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Registered | 2,749,268 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Turnout | 32.73% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Bauchi State was held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria. Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.
Background
Bauchi State is a large, diverse northeastern state with a growing economy and vast natural areas but facing an underdeveloped yet vital agricultural sector, desertification, and a rising sexual violence epidemic. Politically, the state's 2019 elections were a mixed bag for both major parties. In federal elections, Buhari held the state for the APC albeit with a reduced margin of victory while the APC swept all senate seats by winning back two seats it lost due to defections. Both major parties lost seats in House of Representatives elections to the benefit of the minor People's Redemption Party. On the state level, Mohammed unseated APC incumbent Governor Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar by a narrow margin as the APC held the House of Assembly.
Polling
Polling organisation/client | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Others | Undecided | Undisclosed | Not voting | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tinubu APC |
Obi LP |
Kwankwaso NNPP |
Abubakar PDP | |||||||
BantuPage | January 2023 | N/A | 34% | 1% | 9% | 45% | – | 9% | 2% | 0% |
Nextier (Bauchi crosstabs of national poll) |
27 January 2023 | N/A | 30.0% | 1.0% | 4.0% | 60.0% | – | 5.0% | – | – |
SBM Intelligence for EiE (Bauchi crosstabs of national poll) |
22 January-6 February 2023 | N/A | 27% | 18% | 10% | 18% | 1% | 5% | – | – |
Projections
Source | Projection | As of | |
---|---|---|---|
Africa Elects | Likely Abubakar | 24 February 2023 | |
Dataphyte | |||
Tinubu: | 19.80% | 11 February 2023 | |
Obi: | 8.07% | ||
Abubakar: | 65.12% | ||
Others: | 7.00% | ||
Enough is Enough- SBM Intelligence |
Abubakar | 17 February 2023 | |
SBM Intelligence | Abubakar | 15 December 2022 | |
ThisDay | |||
Tinubu: | 20% | 27 December 2022 | |
Obi: | 5% | ||
Kwankwaso: | 15% | ||
Abubakar: | 40% | ||
Others/Undecided: | 20% | ||
The Nation | Battleground | 12-19 February 2023 |
General election
Results
Candidate | Running mate | Party | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Atiku Abubakar | Ifeanyi Okowa | PDP | 426,607 | 49.98 | |
Bola Tinubu | Kashim Shettima | APC | 316,694 | 37.10 | |
Rabiu Kwankwaso | Isaac Idahosa | NNPP | 72,103 | 8.45 | |
Peter Obi | Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed | LP | 27,373 | 3.21 | |
Others candidates | – | Others | 10,739 | 1.26 | |
Total | 853,516 | 100.00 | |||
Valid votes | 853,516 | 96.71 | |||
Invalid/blank votes | 29,030 | 3.29 | |||
Total votes | 899,769 | – | |||
Registered voters/turnout | 2,749,268 | 32.73 | |||
Source: |
By senatorial district
The results of the election by senatorial district.
Senatorial district | Bola Tinubu APC |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Others | Total valid votes | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
Bauchi Central Senatorial District | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Bauchi North Senatorial District | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Bauchi South Senatorial District | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
By federal constituency
The results of the election by federal constituency.
Federal constituency | Bola Tinubu APC |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Others | Total valid votes | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
Alkaleri/Kirfi Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Bauchi Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Darazo/Ganjuwa Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Dass/Bogoro/Tafawa Balewa Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Gamawa Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Jama’are/Itas-Gadau Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Katagum Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Misau/Dambam Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Ningi/Warji Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Shira/Giade Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Toro Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Zaki Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
By local government area
The results of the election by local government area.
Local government area | Bola Tinubu APC |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Others | Total valid votes | Turnout (%) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | |||
Alkaleri | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Bauchi | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Bogoro | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Damban | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Darazo | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Dass | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Gamawa | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Ganjuwa | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Giade | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Itas/Gadau | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Jamaare | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Katagum | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Kirfi | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Misau | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Ningi | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Shira | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Tafawa Balewa | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Tipchi | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Toro | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Warji | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Zaki | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
See also
Notes
- Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
- Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
- EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
- SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
- ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
- SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
- Comprising the local government areas of Damban, Darazo, Ganjuwa, Misau, Ningi, and Warji.
- Comprising the local government areas of Gamawa, Giade, Itas/Gadau, Jamaare, Katagum, Shira, and Zaki.
- Comprising the local government areas of Alkaleri, Bauchi, Bogoro, Dass, Kirfi, Tafawa Balewa, and Toro.
- Comprising the local government areas of Alkaleri and Kirfi.
- Comprising the local government area of Bauchi.
- Comprising the local government areas of Darazo and Ganjuwa.
- Comprising the local government areas of Dass, Bogoro, and Tafawa Balewa.
- Comprising the local government area of Gamawa.
- Comprising the local government areas of Jamaare and Itas/Gadau.
- Comprising the local government area of Katagum.
- Comprising the local government areas of Misau and Dambam.
- Comprising the local government areas of Ningi and Warji.
- Comprising the local government areas of Shira and Giade.
- Comprising the local government area of Toro.
- Comprising the local government area of Zaki.
References
- Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
- Elimian, Adrian. "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
- "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
- "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
- "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
- "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
- Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
- Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
- Bakam, Armstrong (27 February 2023). "NigeriaElections2023: Atiku wins Bauchi with 109,913 votes". Punch Nigeria. Retrieved 27 February 2023.
(2022 ←) 2023 Nigerian elections (→ 2024) | |
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President | |
Senate | |
House of Representatives | |
Governors | |
Houses of Assembly | |
Local | |
Statewide |
Elections in Bauchi State | |||||||||||
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