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Moratuwa Polling Division

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Polling Division in Sri Lanka
Moratuwa
Polling Division
Location of Moratuwa
Coordinates: 6°45′55″N 79°53′27″E / 6.765242°N 79.890897°E / 6.765242; 79.890897
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceWestern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictColombo Electoral District
Area
 • Total20.75 km (8.01 sq mi)
Population
 • Total168,280
 • Density8,110/km (21,000/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-01O

The Moratuwa Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Colombo Electoral District, in the Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Moratuwa has matched the final country result 8 out of 8 times. Hence, Moratuwa is a Perfect Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Moratuwa Colombo Electoral District MAE % Sri Lanka MAE %
2019 SLPP SLPP 4.29% SLPP 5.23%
2015 NDF NDF 5.33% NDF 0.94%
2010 UPFA UPFA 4.91% UPFA 0.42%
2005 UPFA UNP 4.17% UPFA 1.68%
1999 PA PA 2.56% PA 1.02%
1994 PA PA 0.74% PA 1.69%
1988 UNP UNP 0.40% UNP 1.28%
1982 UNP UNP 2.76% UNP 1.12%
Matches/Mean MAE 8/8 7/8 3.14% 8/8 1.67%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Moratuwa Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 57,645 57.83% 727,713 53.19% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 36,390 36.50% 559,921 40.92% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 3,534 3.55% 53,803 3.93% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,118 2.12% 26,740 1.95% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 99,687 99.00% 1,368,177 98.89% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 1,008 1.00% 15,333 1.11% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 100,695 84.65% 1,383,510 82.82% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 118,956 1,670,403 15,992,568

2020 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Moratuwa Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPFA 55,000 63.54% 674,603 57.04% 6,853,693 59.09%
SJB 23,747 27.43% 387,145 32.73% 2,771,984 23.9%
JJB 4,404 5.09% 67,600 5.72% 445,958 3.84%
UNP 1,754 2.03% 30,875 2.61% 249,435 2.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,645 1.91% 22,553 1.9% 1,227,859 11.02%
Valid Votes 86,560 72.19% 1,182,776 69.2% 11,598,936 71.32%
Rejected Votes 5,895 4.92% 81,034 4.74% 744,373 4.58%
Total Polled 92,455 77.1% 1,263,810 73.94% 12,343,309 75.89%
Registered Electors 119,911 1,709,209 16,263,885

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Moratuwa Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 48,599 50.63% 725,073 55.93% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 46,885 48.85% 562,614 43.40% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 497 0.52% 8,673 0.67% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 95,981 99.01% 1,296,360 98.83% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 958 0.99% 15,334 1.17% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 96,939 84.13% 1,311,694 81.34% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 115,219 1,612,660 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Moratuwa Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 52,627 57.99% 614,740 52.93% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 37,233 41.03% 533,022 45.90% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 892 0.98% 13,620 1.17% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 90,752 99.19% 1,161,382 99.03% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 745 0.81% 11,394 0.97% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 91,497 79.84% 1,172,776 76.09% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 114,601 1,541,242 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Moratuwa Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 48,047 52.17% 534,431 47.96% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 43,207 46.92% 569,627 51.12% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 835 0.91% 10,192 0.91% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 92,089 98.95% 1,114,250 98.86% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 975 1.05% 12,879 1.14% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 93,064 80.39% 1,127,129 75.85% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 115,759 1,486,021 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Moratuwa Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 41,380 52.16% 474,310 49.18% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 33,017 41.62% 425,185 44.08% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 3,692 4.65% 44,009 4.56% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,238 1.56% 21,030 2.18% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 79,327 97.53% 964,534 97.06% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 2,006 2.47% 29,197 2.94% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 81,333 77.11% 993,731 73.39% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 105,483 1,354,025 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Moratuwa Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 45,403 64.26% 557,708 64.82% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 24,493 34.67% 288,741 33.56% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 759 1.07% 13,937 1.62% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 70,655 98.62% 860,386 98.17% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 988 1.38% 16,060 1.83% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 71,643 73.23% 876,446 69.59% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 97,831 1,259,484 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Moratuwa Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 31,546 48.77% 361,337 49.14% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 29,654 45.84% 339,958 46.23% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 3,488 5.39% 34,020 4.63% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 64,688 98.51% 735,315 98.49% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 977 1.49% 11,295 1.51% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 65,665 67.81% 746,610 67.53% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 96,841 1,105,583 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Moratuwa Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 32,096 54.60% 436,290 57.86% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 22,744 38.69% 274,476 36.40% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 2,625 4.47% 28,580 3.79% 273,428 4.19%
LSSP 1,137 1.93% 9,655 1.28% 58,531 0.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 180 0.31% 5,030 0.67% 190,929 2.93%
Valid Votes 58,782 98.81% 754,031 98.95% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 707 1.19% 7,990 1.05% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 59,489 74.09% 762,021 76.88% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 80,297 991,194 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Moratuwa has matched the final country result 7 out of 7 times. Hence, Moratuwa is a Perfect Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Moratuwa Colombo Electoral District MAE % Sri Lanka MAE %
2015 UNP UNP 4.55% UNP 2.22%
2010 UPFA UPFA 2.40% UPFA 5.41%
2004 UPFA UNP 3.56% UPFA 1.72%
2001 UNP UNP 3.59% UNP 1.70%
2000 PA UNP 2.57% PA 1.76%
1994 PA PA 3.04% PA 4.83%
1989 UNP UNP 4.38% UNP 3.18%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/7 5/7 3.44% 7/7 2.97%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Moratuwa Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 43,665 48.53% 640,743 53.04% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 40,142 44.61% 474,063 39.25% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 5,384 5.98% 81,391 6.74% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 785 0.87% 11,752 0.97% 93,045 0.84%
Valid Votes 89,976 96.72% 1,207,949 96.46% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,990 3.21% 43,372 3.46% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 93,031 80.74% 1,252,271 78.93% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 115,219 1,586,598 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Moratuwa Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 40,369 54.20% 480,896 51.23% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 25,356 34.04% 339,750 36.19% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 8,159 10.95% 110,683 11.79% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 600 0.81% 7,292 0.78% 48,240 0.60%
Valid Votes 74,484 95.20% 938,723 94.85% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 3,725 4.76% 50,354 5.09% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 78,242 68.27% 989,729 64.17% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 114,601 1,542,457 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Moratuwa Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 38,833 44.45% 414,688 39.20% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 34,313 39.27% 441,841 41.77% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 13,493 15.44% 190,618 18.02% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 730 0.84% 10,713 1.01% 90,868 0.98%
Valid Votes 87,369 96.52% 1,057,860 96.47% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,139 3.47% 38,605 3.52% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 90,515 77.73% 1,096,571 74.71% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 116,454 1,467,751 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Moratuwa Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 42,150 47.82% 546,417 51.62% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 33,627 38.15% 353,401 33.39% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 9,932 11.27% 117,404 11.09% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,274 1.45% 24,289 2.29% 510,616 5.70%
SU 1,161 1.32% 16,970 1.60% 50,665 0.57%
Valid Votes 88,144 96.40% 1,058,481 96.28% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,294 3.60% 40,901 3.72% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 91,438 79.22% 1,099,382 76.31% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 115,430 1,440,682 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Moratuwa Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 36,883 43.63% 394,146 38.86% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 35,570 42.07% 440,684 43.45% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 6,849 8.10% 78,133 7.70% 518,725 6.03%
SU 3,721 4.40% 49,671 4.90% 127,859 1.49%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,522 1.80% 51,586 5.09% 375,083 4.36%
Valid Votes 84,545 N/A 1,014,220 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Moratuwa Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 41,670 55.63% 469,642 50.94% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 30,360 40.53% 385,100 41.77% 3,498,370 44.04%
MEP 1,543 2.06% 42,734 4.64% 68,538 0.86%
SLPF 992 1.32% 11,454 1.24% 90,078 1.13%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 345 0.46% 13,003 1.41% 51,995 0.65%
Valid Votes 74,910 96.52% 921,933 96.18% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,701 3.48% 36,635 3.82% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 77,611 79.33% 958,568 76.04% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 97,831 1,260,686 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Moratuwa Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 33,090 53.97% 374,530 51.67% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 22,024 35.92% 205,053 28.29% 1,785,369 31.90%
USA 3,796 6.19% 31,873 4.40% 141,983 2.54%
MEP 1,859 3.03% 76,966 10.62% 90,480 1.62%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 539 0.88% 36,420 5.02% 269,739 4.82%
Valid Votes 61,308 96.14% 724,842 95.36% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,463 3.86% 35,271 4.64% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 63,771 66.58% 760,113 69.87% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 95,786 1,087,891 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Moratuwa Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (94.3%) . In comparison, the Colombo Electoral District (which contains the Moratuwa Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (76.5%), a significant Moor population (10.7%) and a significant Sri Lankan Tamil population (10.1%)

Ethnicity in Moratuwa

  Sinhalese (94.3%)  Sri Lankan Tamil (3.0%)  Moor (1.6%)  Other (1.1%)

Religion

The Moratuwa Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (68.2%) and a significant Roman Catholic population (19.8%) . In comparison, the Colombo Electoral District (which contains the Moratuwa Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (70.2%) and a significant Muslim population (11.8%)

Religion in Moratuwa

  Buddhist (68.2%)  Roman Catholic (19.8%)  Other Christian (7.8%)  Hindu (2.1%)  Muslim (2.0%)  Other (0.1%)

References

  1. ^ "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Moratuwa and the Colombo Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Moratuwa and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. "2020 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2020.
  6. "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  7. "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  8. "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  9. "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  10. "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  11. "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  12. "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  13. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Moratuwa and the Colombo Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Moratuwa and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  15. "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  16. "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  17. "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  18. "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  19. "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  20. "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  21. "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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