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Mutur Polling Division

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Polling Division in Sri Lanka
Mutur
Polling Division
Location of Mutur
Coordinates: 8°27′30″N 81°18′29″E / 8.458283°N 81.308035°E / 8.458283; 81.308035
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceEastern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictTrincomalee Electoral District
Area
 • Total183.93 km (71.02 sq mi)
Population
 • Total56,621
 • Density308/km (800/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-14C

The Mutur Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Trincomalee Electoral District, in the Eastern Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Mutur has matched the final country result 5 out of 8 times. Hence, Muttur is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Mutur Trincomalee Electoral District MAE % Sri Lanka MAE %
2019 NDF NDF 17.10% SLPP 44.47%
2015 NDF NDF 15.50% NDF 36.07%
2010 NDF NDF 4.86% UPFA 19.10%
2005 UNP UNP 1.66% UPFA 11.29%
1999 PA UNP 4.72% PA 1.81%
1994 PA PA 3.96% PA 5.56%
1988 UNP UNP 3.48% UNP 5.26%
1982 UNP UNP 3.92% UNP 4.48%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/8 4/8 6.90% 8/8 16.00%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mutur Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 74,171 90.15% 166,841 72.10% 5,564,239 41.99%
SLPP 4,925 5.99% 54,135 23.39% 6,924,255 52.25%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 3,180 3.87% 10,434 4.51% 764,005 5.76%
Valid Votes 82,276 99.30% 231,410 99.21% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 576 0.70% 1,832 0.79% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 82,852 80.29% 233,242 82.97% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 103,197 281,114 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mutur Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 57,532 87.54% 140,338 71.84% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 7,132 10.85% 52,111 26.67% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,055 1.61% 2,907 1.49% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 65,719 99.30% 195,356 99.08% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 461 0.70% 1,805 0.92% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 66,180 69.08% 197,161 72.50% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 95,804 271,953 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mutur Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 32,631 59.09% 87,661 54.09% 4,173,185 40.15%
UPFA 21,002 38.03% 69,752 43.04% 6,015,934 57.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,586 2.87% 4,659 2.87% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 55,219 98.76% 162,072 98.52% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 696 1.24% 2,432 1.48% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 55,915 65.47% 164,504 34.10% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 85,401 482,356 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mutur Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 29,061 59.54% 92,197 61.33% 4,706,366 48.43%
UPFA 18,817 38.55% 55,680 37.04% 4,887,152 50.29%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 930 1.91% 2,457 1.63% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 48,808 98.90% 150,334 98.63% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 542 1.10% 2,094 1.37% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 49,350 60.53% 152,428 31.92% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 81,534 477,540 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mutur Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 20,908 50.60% 56,691 44.96% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 18,987 45.95% 63,351 50.25% 3,602,748 42.71%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,429 3.46% 6,039 4.79% 520,606 6.17%
Valid Votes 41,324 98.30% 126,081 97.95% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 716 1.70% 2,642 2.05% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 42,040 63.04% 128,723 62.76% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 66,690 205,116 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mutur Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 25,721 67.42% 77,943 71.62% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 11,209 29.38% 28,006 25.74% 2,715,283 35.91%
Ind 2 946 2.48% 2,074 1.91% 58,888 0.78%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 276 0.72% 798 0.73% 78,152 1.03%
Valid Votes 38,152 98.72% 108,821 98.44% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 495 1.28% 1,726 1.56% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 38,647 62.39% 110,547 58.80% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 61,949 188,017 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mutur Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 16,283 50.45% 36,841 45.70% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 11,087 34.35% 29,679 36.81% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 4,909 15.21% 14,103 17.49% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 32,276 98.91% 80,620 98.38% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 352 1.08% 1,326 1.62% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 32,631 67.18% 81,949 53.72% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 48,570 152,540 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mutur Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 14,529 46.85% 45,522 48.64% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 12,900 41.60% 31,700 33.87% 2,546,348 39.05%
ACTC 2,760 8.90% 10,068 10.76% 173,934 2.67%
JVP 509 1.64% 5,395 5.76% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 311 1.00% 911 0.97% 75,526 1.16%
Valid Votes 31,009 98.30% 93,596 98.12% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 536 1.70% 1,795 1.88% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 31,545 78.04% 95,391 70.69% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 40,422 134,948 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Muttur has matched the final country result 3 out of 7 times.

Year Mutur Trincomalee Electoral District MAE % Sri Lanka MAE %
2015 UNP UNP 13.76% UNP 24.20%
2010 UNP UPFA 8.66% UPFA 18.89%
2004 SLMC ITAK 19.59% UPFA 36.46%
2001 UNP UNP 8.74% UNP 11.31%
2000 PA PA 6.74% PA 2.71%
1994 SLMC UNP 11.62% PA 28.70%
1989 SLMC INDI 4.22% UNP 20.23%
Matches/Mean MAE 3/7 4/7 10.48% 7/7 20.36%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mutur Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 40,130 64.98% 83,638 46.45% 5,098,916 45.77%
ITAK 10,555 17.09% 45,894 25.49% 515,963 4.63%
IG0 5,196 8.41% 6,520 3.62% 14,927 0.13%
UPFA 5,033 8.15% 38,463 21.36% 4,732,664 42.48%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 841 1.36% 5,550 3.08% 646,323 5.80%
Valid Votes 61,755 94.05% 180,065 94.31% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 3,652 5.56% 10,542 5.52% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 65,662 68.54% 190,938 74.34% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 95,804 256,852 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mutur Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 21,963 44.32% 39,691 28.45% 2,357,057 29.37%
UPFA 18,576 37.48% 59,784 42.85% 4,846,388 60.38%
ITAK 8,068 16.28% 33,268 23.85% 233,190 2.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 952 1.92% 6,770 4.85% 502,536 6.26%
Valid Votes 49,559 93.64% 139,513 93.02% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 3,246 6.13% 10,240 6.83% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 52,927 61.97% 149,982 59.19% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 85,401 253,399 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mutur Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLMC 45,523 69.58% 65,191 35.64% 186,880 2.02%
ITAK 17,005 25.99% 69,087 37.77% 633,203 6.85%
UPFA 1,854 2.83% 31,053 16.98% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 689 1.05% 15,693 8.58% 3,486,792 37.73%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 354 0.54% 1,906 1.04% 601,931 6.51%
Valid Votes 65,425 95.50% 182,930 95.38% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,080 4.50% 8,863 4.62% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 68,505 91.50% 191,793 85.33% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 74,869 224,764 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mutur Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 29,473 52.82% 62,930 39.05% 4,086,026 45.62%
TULF 14,393 25.79% 56,121 34.83% 348,164 3.89%
PA 11,199 20.07% 32,997 20.48% 3,330,815 37.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 736 1.32% 9,090 5.64% 1,016,335 11.35%
Valid Votes 55,801 95.15% 161,138 95.03% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,844 4.85% 8,429 4.97% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 58,645 83.58% 169,567 79.88% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 70,168 212,280 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mutur Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 21,393 49.62% 53,802 40.44% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 17,688 41.03% 46,676 35.08% 3,451,765 40.12%
TULF 1,615 3.75% 14,088 10.59% 105,907 1.23%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,059 2.46% 12,513 9.41% 797,351 9.27%
EPDP 746 1.73% 4,524 3.40% 50,702 0.59%
IG3 609 1.41% 1,434 1.08% 6,109 0.07%
Valid Votes 43,110 N/A 133,037 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mutur Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLMC 18,677 45.21% 26,903 22.43% 143,307 1.80%
UNP 13,773 33.34% 34,986 29.17% 3,498,370 44.04%
TULF 6,817 16.50% 28,380 23.66% 132,461 1.67%
PA 856 2.07% 23,886 19.91% 3,887,805 48.94%
TELO 651 1.58% 3,709 3.09% 24,974 0.31%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 538 1.30% 2,078 1.73% 147,688 1.86%
Valid Votes 41,312 94.92% 119,942 94.72% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,210 5.08% 6,682 5.28% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 43,522 70.25% 126,624 67.36% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 61,949 187,991 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mutur Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLMC 10,804 28.96% 17,884 17.61% 202,016 3.61%
SLFP 8,036 21.54% 22,966 22.61% 1,785,369 31.90%
UNP 7,681 20.59% 22,450 22.10% 2,838,005 50.71%
INDI 7,565 20.28% 25,239 24.85% 175,579 3.14%
TULF 3,160 8.47% 12,755 12.56% 188,594 3.37%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 63 0.17% 284 0.28% 90,480 1.62%
Valid Votes 37,309 96.02% 101,578 95.42% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,547 3.98% 4,878 4.58% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 38,856 80.51% 106,456 69.90% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 48,260 152,289 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Mutur Polling Division has a Moor majority (61.9%) and a significant Sri Lankan Tamil population (37.0%) . In comparison, the Trincomalee Electoral District (which contains the Mutur Polling Division) has a Moor plurality (41.8%), a significant Sri Lankan Tamil population (30.7%) and a significant Sinhalese population (26.7%)

Ethnicity in Muttur

  Moor (61.9%)  Sri Lankan Tamil (37.0%)  Other (1.1%)

Religion

The Mutur Polling Division has a Muslim majority (62.0%) and a significant Hindu population (33.0%) . In comparison, the Trincomalee Electoral District (which contains the Mutur Polling Division) has a Muslim plurality (42.0%), a significant Buddhist population (26.2%) and a significant Hindu population (25.9%)

Religion in Muttur

  Muslim (62.0%)  Hindu (33.0%)  Roman Catholic (2.6%)  Other Christian (1.6%)  Other (0.8%)

References

  1. ^ "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mutur and the Trincomalee Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mutur and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mutur and the Trincomalee Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mutur and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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