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Nikaweratiya Polling Division

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Polling Division in Sri Lanka
Nikaweratiya
Polling Division
Location of Nikaweratiya
Coordinates: 7°45′46″N 80°05′12″E / 7.762894°N 80.086628°E / 7.762894; 80.086628
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceNorth Western Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictKurunegala Electoral District
Area
 • Total627.34 km (242.22 sq mi)
Population
 • Total119,583
 • Density191/km (490/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-15B

The Nikaweratiya Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kurunegala Electoral District, in the North Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Nikaweratiya has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Nikaweratiya is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Nikaweratiya Kurunegala Electoral District MAE % Sri Lanka MAE %
2019 SLPP SLPP 1.41% SLPP 3.66%
2015 UPFA UPFA 2.06% NDF 7.70%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.44% UPFA 6.33%
2005 UPFA UPFA 0.18% UPFA 1.65%
1999 PA PA 1.06% PA 1.75%
1994 PA PA 2.60% PA 0.41%
1988 UNP UNP 3.39% UNP 2.89%
1982 UNP UNP 0.52% UNP 2.33%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/8 7/8 1.58% 8/8 3.34%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Nikaweratiya Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 44,354 56.50% 652,278 57.90% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 30,286 38.58% 416,961 37.01% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 2,194 2.79% 36,178 3.21% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,673 2.13% 21,193 1.88% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 78,507 99.40% 1,126,610 99.25% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 477 0.60% 8,522 0.75% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 78,984 84.92% 1,135,132 85.24% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 93,010 1,331,705 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Nikaweratiya Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 40,015 55.47% 556,868 53.46% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 31,444 43.59% 476,602 45.76% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 684 0.95% 8,154 0.78% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 72,143 99.10% 1,041,624 99.12% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 658 0.90% 9,285 0.88% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 72,801 76.71% 1,050,909 78.82% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 94,910 1,333,377 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Nikaweratiya Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 41,510 64.49% 582,784 63.08% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 21,830 33.91% 327,594 35.46% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,029 1.60% 13,515 1.46% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 64,369 99.33% 923,893 99.29% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 432 0.67% 6,644 0.71% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 64,801 73.72% 930,537 75.59% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 87,897 1,230,966 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Nikaweratiya Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 32,978 52.07% 468,507 52.26% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 29,691 46.88% 418,809 46.72% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 663 1.05% 9,181 1.02% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 63,332 99.17% 896,497 99.07% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 532 0.83% 8,458 0.93% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 63,864 76.30% 904,955 77.87% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 83,696 1,162,099 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Nikaweratiya Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 26,123 49.87% 377,483 50.77% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 23,694 45.23% 326,327 43.89% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,789 3.42% 27,354 3.68% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 777 1.48% 12,355 1.66% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 52,383 97.78% 743,519 97.99% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,191 2.22% 15,272 2.01% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 53,574 73.63% 758,791 75.83% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 72,758 1,000,624 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Nikaweratiya Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 30,415 61.99% 403,838 59.36% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 17,932 36.55% 266,740 39.21% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 720 1.47% 9,766 1.44% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 49,067 98.33% 680,344 98.48% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 834 1.67% 10,511 1.52% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 49,901 77.45% 690,855 76.97% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 64,434 897,539 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Nikaweratiya Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 11,988 54.52% 198,662 51.12% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 9,536 43.37% 182,220 46.89% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 464 2.11% 7,717 1.99% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 21,988 98.94% 388,599 98.91% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 235 1.06% 4,281 1.09% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 22,223 39.27% 392,880 53.49% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 56,592 734,453 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Nikaweratiya Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 24,544 56.50% 345,769 55.77% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 17,307 39.84% 248,479 40.08% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,262 2.91% 21,835 3.52% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 328 0.76% 3,895 0.63% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 43,441 99.28% 619,978 99.13% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 314 0.72% 5,431 0.87% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 43,755 86.70% 625,409 86.00% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 50,467 727,202 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Nikaweratiya has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Nikaweratiya is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Nikaweratiya Kurunegala Electoral District MAE % Sri Lanka MAE %
2015 UPFA UPFA 1.72% UNP 4.45%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.43% UPFA 3.04%
2004 UPFA UPFA 1.77% UPFA 6.03%
2001 UNP UNP 0.87% UNP 3.76%
2000 PA PA 0.56% PA 2.37%
1994 PA PA 3.29% PA 3.23%
1989 UNP UNP 1.76% UNP 4.46%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 6/7 1.48% 7/7 3.90%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Nikaweratiya Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 33,344 51.44% 474,124 49.29% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 28,849 44.50% 441,275 45.87% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 2,337 3.61% 41,077 4.27% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 295 0.46% 5,496 0.57% 83,041 0.75%
Valid Votes 64,825 94.17% 961,972 95.39% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 3,973 5.77% 46,036 4.56% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 68,836 72.53% 1,008,459 79.63% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 94,910 1,266,443 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Nikaweratiya Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 28,687 63.66% 429,316 63.91% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 14,677 32.57% 213,713 31.81% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,486 3.30% 26,440 3.94% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 213 0.47% 2,288 0.34% 34,779 0.43%
Valid Votes 45,063 89.95% 671,757 92.58% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 4,975 9.93% 53,130 7.32% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 50,098 57.00% 725,566 59.08% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 87,897 1,228,044 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Nikaweratiya Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 29,545 54.65% 412,157 51.95% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 22,885 42.33% 340,768 42.95% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 1,427 2.64% 37,459 4.72% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 209 0.39% 2,976 0.38% 64,640 0.70%
Valid Votes 54,066 92.92% 793,360 95.14% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 4,086 7.02% 40,261 4.83% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 58,185 72.07% 833,908 76.54% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 80,736 1,089,482 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Nikaweratiya Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 27,615 49.85% 382,768 48.59% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 23,120 41.74% 332,775 42.24% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 4,204 7.59% 63,652 8.08% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 458 0.83% 8,533 1.08% 133,770 1.49%
Valid Votes 55,397 94.26% 787,728 95.35% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,376 5.74% 38,451 4.65% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 58,773 75.81% 826,179 78.98% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 77,522 1,046,102 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Nikaweratiya Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 25,831 48.23% 358,794 48.75% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 22,752 42.48% 308,106 41.86% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 2,607 4.87% 40,780 5.54% 518,725 6.03%
NUA 827 1.54% 11,927 1.62% 185,593 2.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 784 1.46% 14,604 1.98% 201,684 2.34%
PP 754 1.41% 1,817 0.25% 19,830 0.23%
Valid Votes 53,555 N/A 736,028 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Nikaweratiya Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 28,351 55.37% 366,856 51.87% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 22,471 43.88% 332,547 47.02% 3,498,370 44.04%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 385 0.75% 7,876 1.11% 158,616 2.00%
Valid Votes 51,207 95.59% 707,279 95.92% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,365 4.41% 30,071 4.08% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 53,572 83.14% 737,350 82.15% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 64,434 897,580 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Nikaweratiya Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 19,342 59.03% 314,724 58.51% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 10,653 32.51% 195,526 36.35% 1,785,369 31.90%
ELJP 1,315 4.01% 13,759 2.56% 67,723 1.21%
USA 1,022 3.12% 11,059 2.06% 141,983 2.54%
MEP 437 1.33% 2,848 0.53% 90,480 1.62%
Valid Votes 32,769 92.81% 537,916 94.02% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,539 7.19% 34,212 5.98% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 35,308 63.25% 572,128 72.88% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 55,823 784,991 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Nikaweratiya Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (91.7%) . In comparison, the Kurunegala Electoral District (which contains the Nikaweratiya Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (91.4%)

Ethnicity in Nikaweratiya

  Sinhalese (91.7%)  Moor (7.9%)  Other (0.4%)

Religion

The Nikaweratiya Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (90.0%) . In comparison, the Kurunegala Electoral District (which contains the Nikaweratiya Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (88.5%)

Religion in Nikaweratiya

  Buddhist (90.0%)  Muslim (8.0%)  Roman Catholic (1.5%)  Other (0.5%)

References

  1. ^ "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Nikaweratiya and the Kurunegala Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Nikaweratiya and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Nikaweratiya and the Kurunegala Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Nikaweratiya and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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