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Senkadagala Polling Division

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Polling Division in Sri Lanka
Senkadagala
Polling Division
Location of Senkadagala
Coordinates: 7°17′19″N 80°39′33″E / 7.288639°N 80.659114°E / 7.288639; 80.659114
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceCentral Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictKandy Electoral District
Area
 • Total20.37 km (7.86 sq mi)
Population
 • Total62,544
 • Density3,070/km (8,000/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-04H

The Senkadagala Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kandy Electoral District, in the Central Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Senkadagala has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Senkadagala is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Senkadagala Kandy Electoral District MAE % Sri Lanka MAE %
2019 SLPP SLPP 2.86% SLPP 0.74%
2015 NDF NDF 2.84% NDF 6.10%
2010 UPFA UPFA 2.11% UPFA 5.74%
2005 UNP UNP 0.97% UPFA 6.82%
1999 UNP PA 3.51% PA 4.95%
1994 PA PA 1.04% PA 6.62%
1988 UNP UNP 2.36% UNP 1.10%
1982 UNP UNP 1.32% UNP 3.40%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 7/8 2.13% 8/8 4.43%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Senkadagala Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 35,242 53.07% 471,502 50.43% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 27,399 41.26% 417,355 44.64% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 2,189 3.30% 23,539 2.52% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,575 2.37% 22,479 2.40% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 66,405 99.01% 934,875 99.04% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 666 0.99% 9,020 0.96% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 67,071 81.12% 943,895 84.89% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 82,680 1,111,860 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Senkadagala Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 36,127 57.59% 466,994 54.56% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 26,062 41.54% 378,585 44.23% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 546 0.87% 10,329 1.21% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 62,735 98.69% 855,908 98.73% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 834 1.31% 10,993 1.27% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 63,569 78.34% 866,901 79.71% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 81,149 1,087,542 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Senkadagala Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 28,444 52.33% 406,636 54.16% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 25,243 46.44% 329,492 43.89% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 669 1.23% 14,658 1.95% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 54,356 99.03% 750,786 98.85% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 534 0.97% 8,700 1.15% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 54,890 75.29% 759,486 75.87% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 72,906 1,001,074 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Senkadagala Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 28,894 55.51% 387,150 54.33% 4,706,366 48.43%
UPFA 22,670 43.55% 315,672 44.30% 4,887,152 50.29%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 488 0.94% 9,798 1.37% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 52,052 98.80% 712,620 98.64% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 630 1.20% 9,817 1.36% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 52,682 76.08% 722,437 77.37% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 69,243 933,754 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Senkadagala Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 20,803 48.53% 276,360 45.10% 3,602,748 42.71%
PA 19,893 46.41% 308,187 50.29% 4,312,157 51.12%
JVP 1,173 2.74% 15,512 2.53% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 565 1.32% 9,472 1.55% 140,825 1.67%
SMBP 431 1.01% 3,280 0.54% 35,854 0.43%
Valid Votes 42,865 97.25% 612,811 97.29% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,213 2.75% 17,060 2.71% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 44,078 74.47% 629,871 77.61% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 59,187 811,606 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Senkadagala Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 22,323 55.58% 320,110 56.64% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 17,152 42.70% 235,519 41.68% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 692 1.72% 9,488 1.68% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 40,167 97.78% 565,117 97.55% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 912 2.22% 14,179 2.45% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 41,079 73.70% 579,296 77.85% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 55,740 744,151 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Senkadagala Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 16,825 52.01% 234,124 54.88% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 14,690 45.41% 186,187 43.65% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 834 2.58% 6,266 1.47% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 32,349 98.79% 426,577 98.57% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 395 1.21% 6,167 1.43% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 32,744 67.92% 432,744 68.36% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 48,208 633,030 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Senkadagala Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 20,105 58.67% 289,621 59.80% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 13,219 38.57% 178,647 36.89% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 621 1.81% 12,493 2.58% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 324 0.95% 3,536 0.73% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 34,269 99.20% 484,297 99.07% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 277 0.80% 4,548 0.93% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 34,546 79.52% 488,845 89.44% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 43,442 546,565 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Senkadagala has matched the final country result 4 out of 7 times. Hence, Senkadagala is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Senkadagala Kandy Electoral District MAE % Sri Lanka MAE %
2015 UNP UNP 0.78% UNP 6.74%
2010 UPFA UPFA 6.01% UPFA 7.00%
2004 UNP UNP 3.43% UPFA 8.19%
2001 UNP UNP 3.86% UNP 6.11%
2000 UNP PA 5.76% PA 5.07%
1994 UNP UNP 2.14% PA 2.92%
1989 UNP UNP 3.76% UNP 4.40%
Matches/Mean MAE 4/7 5/7 3.68% 7/7 5.78%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Senkadagala Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 32,354 55.93% 440,761 55.61% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 21,775 37.64% 309,152 39.00% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 3,211 5.55% 30,669 3.87% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 505 0.87% 12,055 1.52% 100,088 0.90%
Valid Votes 57,845 97.26% 792,637 95.48% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 1,604 2.70% 37,065 4.46% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 59,474 73.29% 830,165 79.13% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 81,149 1,049,160 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Senkadagala Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 21,431 53.33% 339,819 60.81% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 15,411 38.35% 192,798 34.50% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 2,965 7.38% 23,728 4.25% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 375 0.93% 2,459 0.44% 30,354 0.38%
Valid Votes 40,182 93.14% 558,804 90.49% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 2,935 6.80% 58,333 9.45% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 43,140 59.17% 617,559 61.70% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 72,906 1,000,861 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Senkadagala Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,435 48.42% 313,859 49.99% 3,486,792 37.73%
UPFA 17,403 37.56% 268,131 42.71% 4,223,126 45.70%
JHU 6,191 13.36% 42,192 6.72% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 309 0.67% 3,684 0.59% 64,227 0.69%
Valid Votes 46,338 95.03% 627,866 93.24% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,424 4.97% 45,484 6.75% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 48,762 72.78% 673,380 76.47% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 66,995 880,634 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Senkadagala Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 25,140 56.19% 314,297 52.77% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 15,289 34.17% 233,637 39.23% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 3,254 7.27% 37,146 6.24% 815,353 9.10%
SU 653 1.46% 4,040 0.68% 50,665 0.57%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 409 0.91% 6,456 1.08% 78,682 0.88%
Valid Votes 44,745 95.21% 595,576 93.40% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,252 4.79% 42,103 6.60% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 46,997 76.20% 637,679 76.03% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 61,677 838,687 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Senkadagala Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 20,096 45.68% 243,623 40.27% 3,451,765 40.12%
PA 17,342 39.42% 282,282 46.66% 3,899,329 45.33%
SU 2,093 4.76% 10,999 1.82% 127,859 1.49%
JVP 2,027 4.61% 21,565 3.56% 518,725 6.03%
NUA 1,469 3.34% 32,023 5.29% 185,593 2.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 966 2.20% 14,436 2.39% 161,809 1.88%
Valid Votes 43,993 N/A 604,928 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Senkadagala Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 21,005 49.88% 301,824 52.35% 3,498,370 44.04%
PA 20,318 48.25% 267,683 46.43% 3,887,805 48.94%
MEP 474 1.13% 3,495 0.61% 68,538 0.86%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 317 0.75% 3,550 0.62% 107,038 1.35%
Valid Votes 42,114 96.32% 576,552 94.89% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 1,610 3.68% 31,019 5.11% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 43,724 78.44% 607,571 81.67% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 55,740 743,939 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Senkadagala Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 14,471 57.32% 204,973 61.72% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 8,853 35.07% 105,977 31.91% 1,785,369 31.90%
SLMC 1,018 4.03% 14,697 4.43% 202,016 3.61%
USA 774 3.07% 5,147 1.55% 141,983 2.54%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 129 0.51% 1,315 0.40% 67,723 1.21%
Valid Votes 25,245 94.90% 332,109 93.69% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,357 5.10% 22,374 6.31% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 26,602 56.91% 354,483 56.42% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 46,746 628,317 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Senkadagala Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (80.6%) and a significant Moor population (10.5%) . In comparison, the Kandy Electoral District (which contains the Senkadagala Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (74.4%) and a significant Moor population (13.9%)

Ethnicity in Senkadagala

  Sinhalese (80.6%)  Moor (10.5%)  Sri Lankan Tamil (6.9%)  Indian Tamil (1.3%)  Other (0.7%)

Religion

The Senkadagala Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (83.8%) and a significant Muslim population (11.1%) . In comparison, the Kandy Electoral District (which contains the Senkadagala Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (73.4%) and a significant Muslim population (14.3%)

Religion in Senkadagala

  Buddhist (76.8%)  Muslim (11.1%)  Roman Catholic (5.5%)  Hindu (5.1%)  Other Christian (1.6%)  Other (0.0%)

References

  1. ^ "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Senkadagala and the Kandy Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Senkadagala and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Senkadagala and the Kandy Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Senkadagala and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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