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Uzawa's theorem

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Uzawa's theorem, also known as the steady-state growth theorem, is a theorem in economic growth that identifies the necessary functional form of technological change for achieving a balanced growth path in the Solow–Swan and Ramsey–Cass–Koopmans growth models. It was proved by Japanese economist Hirofumi Uzawa in 1961.

A general version of the theorem consists of two parts. The first states that, under the normal assumptions of the Solow-Swan and Ramsey models, if capital, investment, consumption, and output are increasing at constant exponential rates, these rates must be equivalent. The second part asserts that, within such a balanced growth path, the production function, Y = F ~ ( A ~ , K , L ) {\displaystyle Y={\tilde {F}}({\tilde {A}},K,L)} (where A {\displaystyle A} is technology, K {\displaystyle K} is capital, and L {\displaystyle L} is labor), can be rewritten such that technological change affects output solely as a scalar on labor (i.e. Y = F ( K , A L ) {\displaystyle Y=F(K,AL)} ) a property known as labor-augmenting or Harrod-neutral technological change.

Uzawa's theorem demonstrates a limitation of the Solow-Swan and Ramsey models. Imposing the assumption of balanced growth within such models requires that technological change be labor-augmenting. Conversely, a production function that cannot represent the effect of technology as a scalar augmentation of labor cannot produce a balanced growth path.

Statement

Throughout this page, a dot over a variable will denote its derivative concerning time (i.e. X ˙ ( t ) d X ( t ) d t {\displaystyle {\dot {X}}(t)\equiv {dX(t) \over dt}} ). Also, the growth rate of a variable X ( t ) {\displaystyle X(t)} will be denoted g X X ˙ ( t ) X ( t ) {\displaystyle g_{X}\equiv {\frac {{\dot {X}}(t)}{X(t)}}} .

Uzawa's theorem

The following version is found in Acemoglu (2009) and adapted from Schlicht (2006):

Model with aggregate production function Y ( t ) = F ~ ( A ~ ( t ) , K ( t ) , L ( t ) ) {\displaystyle Y(t)={\tilde {F}}({\tilde {A}}(t),K(t),L(t))} , where F ~ : R + 2 × A R + {\displaystyle {\tilde {F}}:\mathbb {R} _{+}^{2}\times {\mathcal {A}}\to \mathbb {R} _{+}} and A ~ ( t ) A {\displaystyle {\tilde {A}}(t)\in {\mathcal {A}}} represents technology at time t (where A {\displaystyle {\mathcal {A}}} is an arbitrary subset of R N {\displaystyle \mathbb {R} ^{N}} for some natural number N {\displaystyle N} ). Assume that F ~ {\displaystyle {\tilde {F}}} exhibits constant returns to scale in K {\displaystyle K} and L {\displaystyle L} . The growth in capital at time t is given by

K ˙ ( t ) = Y ( t ) C ( t ) δ K ( t ) {\displaystyle {\dot {K}}(t)=Y(t)-C(t)-\delta K(t)}

where δ {\displaystyle \delta } is the depreciation rate and C ( t ) {\displaystyle C(t)} is consumption at time t.

Suppose that population grows at a constant rate, L ( t ) = exp ( n t ) L ( 0 ) {\displaystyle L(t)=\exp(nt)L(0)} , and that there exists some time T < {\displaystyle T<\infty } such that for all t T {\displaystyle t\geq T} , Y ˙ ( t ) / Y ( t ) = g Y > 0 {\displaystyle {\dot {Y}}(t)/Y(t)=g_{Y}>0} , K ˙ ( t ) / K ( t ) = g K > 0 {\displaystyle {\dot {K}}(t)/K(t)=g_{K}>0} , and C ˙ ( t ) / C ( t ) = g C > 0 {\displaystyle {\dot {C}}(t)/C(t)=g_{C}>0} . Then

1. g Y = g K = g C {\displaystyle g_{Y}=g_{K}=g_{C}} ; and

2. There exists a function F : R + 2 R + {\displaystyle F:\mathbb {R} _{+}^{2}\to \mathbb {R} _{+}} that is homogeneous of degree 1 in its two arguments such that, for any t T {\displaystyle t\geq T} , the aggregate production function can be represented as Y ( t ) = F ( K ( t ) , A ( t ) L ( t ) ) {\displaystyle Y(t)=F(K(t),A(t)L(t))} , where A ( t ) R + {\displaystyle A(t)\in \mathbb {R} _{+}} and g A ˙ ( t ) / A ( t ) = g Y n {\displaystyle g\equiv {\dot {A}}(t)/A(t)=g_{Y}-n} .

Sketch of proof

Lemma 1

For any constant α {\displaystyle \alpha } , g X α Y = α g X + g Y {\displaystyle g_{X^{\alpha }Y}=\alpha g_{X}+g_{Y}} .

Proof: Observe that for any Z ( t ) {\displaystyle Z(t)} , g Z = Z ˙ ( t ) Z ( t ) = d ln Z ( t ) d t {\displaystyle g_{Z}={\frac {{\dot {Z}}(t)}{Z(t)}}={\frac {d\ln Z(t)}{dt}}} . Therefore, g X α Y = d d t ln [ ( X ( t ) ) α Y ( t ) ] = α d ln X ( t ) d t + d ln Y ( t ) d t = α g X + g Y {\displaystyle g_{X^{\alpha }Y}={\frac {d}{dt}}\ln=\alpha {\frac {d\ln X(t)}{dt}}+{\frac {d\ln Y(t)}{dt}}=\alpha g_{X}+g_{Y}} .

Proof of theorem

We first show that the growth rate of investment I ( t ) = Y ( t ) C ( t ) {\displaystyle I(t)=Y(t)-C(t)} must equal the growth rate of capital K ( t ) {\displaystyle K(t)} (i.e. g I = g K {\displaystyle g_{I}=g_{K}} )

The resource constraint at time t {\displaystyle t} implies

K ˙ ( t ) = I ( t ) δ K ( t ) {\displaystyle {\dot {K}}(t)=I(t)-\delta K(t)}

By definition of g K {\displaystyle g_{K}} , K ˙ ( t ) = g K K ( t ) {\displaystyle {\dot {K}}(t)=g_{K}K(t)} for all t T {\displaystyle t\geq T} . Therefore, the previous equation implies

g K + δ = I ( t ) K ( t ) {\displaystyle g_{K}+\delta ={\frac {I(t)}{K(t)}}}

for all t T {\displaystyle t\geq T} . The left-hand side is a constant, while the right-hand side grows at g I g K {\displaystyle g_{I}-g_{K}} (by Lemma 1). Therefore, 0 = g I g K {\displaystyle 0=g_{I}-g_{K}} and thus

g I = g K {\displaystyle g_{I}=g_{K}} .

From national income accounting for a closed economy, final goods in the economy must either be consumed or invested, thus for all t {\displaystyle t}

Y ( t ) = C ( t ) + I ( t ) {\displaystyle Y(t)=C(t)+I(t)}

Differentiating with respect to time yields

Y ˙ ( t ) = C ˙ ( t ) + I ˙ ( t ) {\displaystyle {\dot {Y}}(t)={\dot {C}}(t)+{\dot {I}}(t)}

Dividing both sides by Y ( t ) {\displaystyle Y(t)} yields

Y ˙ ( t ) Y ( t ) = C ˙ ( t ) Y ( t ) + I ˙ ( t ) Y ( t ) = C ˙ ( t ) C ( t ) C ( t ) Y ( t ) + I ˙ ( t ) I ( t ) I ( t ) Y ( t ) {\displaystyle {\frac {{\dot {Y}}(t)}{Y(t)}}={\frac {{\dot {C}}(t)}{Y(t)}}+{\frac {{\dot {I}}(t)}{Y(t)}}={\frac {{\dot {C}}(t)}{C(t)}}{\frac {C(t)}{Y(t)}}+{\frac {{\dot {I}}(t)}{I(t)}}{\frac {I(t)}{Y(t)}}}
g Y = g C C ( t ) Y ( t ) + g I I ( t ) Y ( t ) = g C C ( t ) Y ( t ) + g I ( 1 C ( t ) Y ( t ) ) = ( g C g I ) C ( t ) Y ( t ) + g I {\displaystyle \Rightarrow g_{Y}=g_{C}{\frac {C(t)}{Y(t)}}+g_{I}{\frac {I(t)}{Y(t)}}=g_{C}{\frac {C(t)}{Y(t)}}+g_{I}(1-{\frac {C(t)}{Y(t)}})=(g_{C}-g_{I}){\frac {C(t)}{Y(t)}}+g_{I}}

Since g Y , g C {\displaystyle g_{Y},g_{C}} and g I {\displaystyle g_{I}} are constants, C ( t ) Y ( t ) {\displaystyle {\frac {C(t)}{Y(t)}}} is a constant. Therefore, the growth rate of C ( t ) Y ( t ) {\displaystyle {\frac {C(t)}{Y(t)}}} is zero. By Lemma 1, it implies that

g c g Y = 0 {\displaystyle g_{c}-g_{Y}=0}

Similarly, g Y = g I {\displaystyle g_{Y}=g_{I}} . Therefore, g Y = g C = g K {\displaystyle g_{Y}=g_{C}=g_{K}} .

Next we show that for any t T {\displaystyle t\geq T} , the production function can be represented as one with labor-augmenting technology.

The production function at time T {\displaystyle T} is

Y ( T ) = F ~ ( A ~ ( T ) , K ( T ) , L ( T ) ) {\displaystyle Y(T)={\tilde {F}}({\tilde {A}}(T),K(T),L(T))}

The constant return to scale property of production ( F ~ {\displaystyle {\tilde {F}}} is homogeneous of degree one in K {\displaystyle K} and L {\displaystyle L} ) implies that for any t T {\displaystyle t\geq T} , multiplying both sides of the previous equation by Y ( t ) Y ( T ) {\displaystyle {\frac {Y(t)}{Y(T)}}} yields

Y ( T ) Y ( t ) Y ( T ) = F ~ ( A ~ ( T ) , K ( T ) Y ( t ) Y ( T ) , L ( T ) Y ( t ) Y ( T ) ) {\displaystyle Y(T){\frac {Y(t)}{Y(T)}}={\tilde {F}}({\tilde {A}}(T),K(T){\frac {Y(t)}{Y(T)}},L(T){\frac {Y(t)}{Y(T)}})}

Note that Y ( t ) Y ( T ) = K ( t ) K ( T ) {\displaystyle {\frac {Y(t)}{Y(T)}}={\frac {K(t)}{K(T)}}} because g Y = g K {\displaystyle g_{Y}=g_{K}} (refer to solution to differential equations for proof of this step). Thus, the above equation can be rewritten as

Y ( t ) = F ~ ( A ~ ( T ) , K ( t ) , L ( T ) Y ( t ) Y ( T ) ) {\displaystyle Y(t)={\tilde {F}}({\tilde {A}}(T),K(t),L(T){\frac {Y(t)}{Y(T)}})}

For any t T {\displaystyle t\geq T} , define

A ( t ) Y ( t ) L ( t ) L ( T ) Y ( T ) {\displaystyle A(t)\equiv {\frac {Y(t)}{L(t)}}{\frac {L(T)}{Y(T)}}}

and

F ( K ( t ) , A ( t ) L ( t ) ) F ~ ( A ~ ( T ) , K ( t ) , L ( t ) A ( t ) ) {\displaystyle F(K(t),A(t)L(t))\equiv {\tilde {F}}({\tilde {A}}(T),K(t),L(t)A(t))}

Combining the two equations yields

F ( K ( t ) , A ( t ) L ( t ) ) = F ~ ( A ~ ( T ) , K ( t ) , L ( T ) Y ( t ) Y ( T ) ) = Y ( t ) {\displaystyle F(K(t),A(t)L(t))={\tilde {F}}({\tilde {A}}(T),K(t),L(T){\frac {Y(t)}{Y(T)}})=Y(t)} for any t T {\displaystyle t\geq T} .

By construction, F ( K , A L ) {\displaystyle F(K,AL)} is also homogeneous of degree one in its two arguments.

Moreover, by Lemma 1, the growth rate of A ( t ) {\displaystyle A(t)} is given by

A ˙ ( t ) A ( t ) = Y ˙ ( t ) Y ( t ) L ˙ ( t ) L ( t ) = g Y n {\displaystyle {\frac {{\dot {A}}(t)}{A(t)}}={\frac {{\dot {Y}}(t)}{Y(t)}}-{\frac {{\dot {L}}(t)}{L(t)}}=g_{Y}-n} . {\displaystyle \blacksquare }

See also

References

  1. Uzawa, Hirofumi (Summer 1961). "Neutral Inventions and the Stability of Growth Equilibrium". The Review of Economic Studies. 28 (2): 117–124. doi:10.2307/2295709. JSTOR 2295709.
  2. ^ Jones, Charles I.; Scrimgeour, Dean (2008). "A New Proof of Uzawa's Steady-State Growth Theorem". Review of Economics and Statistics. 90 (1): 180–182. doi:10.1162/rest.90.1.180. S2CID 57568437.
  3. Acemoglu, Daron (2009). Introduction to Modern Economic Growth. Princeton, New Jersey: Princeton University Press. pp. 60-61. ISBN 978-0-691-13292-1.
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