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Yatinuwara Polling Division

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Polling Division in Sri Lanka
Yatinuwara
Polling Division
Location of Yatinuwara
Coordinates: 7°16′57″N 80°32′44″E / 7.282388°N 80.545506°E / 7.282388; 80.545506
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceCentral Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictKandy Electoral District
Area
 • Total70.75 km (27.32 sq mi)
Population
 • Total106,027
 • Density1,499/km (3,880/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-04J

The Yatinuwara Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kandy Electoral District, in the Central Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential election results

Summary

The winner of Yatinuwara has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Yatinuwara is a weak bellwether for presidential elections.

Year Yatinuwara Kandy MAE% Sri Lanka MAE%
2019 SLPP SLPP 7.64% SLPP 5.49%
2015 NDF NDF 3.44% NDF 0.18%
2010 SLFP SLFP 3.77% SLFP 0.20%
2005 UNP UNP 4.62% SLFP 1.24%
1999 SLFP SLFP 0.53% SLFP 2.01%
1994 SLFP SLFP 1.12% SLFP 4.46%
1988 SLFP UNP 7.51% UNP 4.57%
1982 UNP UNP 7.06% UNP 2.40%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 7/8 4.46% 8/8 2.57%

2019 Sri Lankan presidential election

Party Yatinuwara Kandy Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 38,765 58.32% 471,502 50.43% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 24,244 36.48% 417,355 44.64% 5,564,239 41.99%
NPP 2,021 3.04% 23,539 2.52% 418,553 3.16%
Others 1,434 2.16% 22,479 2.40% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 66,464 99.13% 934,875 99.04% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 584 0.87% 9,020 0.96% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 67,048 84.37% 943,895 84.89% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 79,471 1,111,860 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan presidential election

Party Yatinuwara Kandy Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 32,298 51.19% 466,994 54.56% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 30,194 47.86% 378,585 44.23% 5,768,090 47.58%
Others 597 0.95% 10,329 1.21% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 63,089 98.83% 855,908 98.73% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 748 1.17% 10,993 1.27% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 63,837 79.38% 866,901 79.71% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 80,420 1,087,542 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan presidential election

Party Yatinuwara Kandy Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 33,664 58.16% 406,636 54.16% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 23,290 40.24% 329,492 43.89% 4,173,185 40.15%
Others 927 1.60% 14,658 1.95% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 57,881 99.13% 750,786 98.85% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 506 0.87% 8,700 1.15% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 58,387 75.83% 759,486 75.87% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 76,996 1,001,074 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan presidential election

Party Yatinuwara Kandy Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 27,791 49.69% 387,150 54.33% 4,706,366 48.43%
UPFA 27,428 49.04% 315,672 44.30% 4,887,152 50.29%
Others 715 1.28% 9,798 1.37% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 55,934 98.95% 712,620 98.64% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 594 1.05% 9,817 1.36% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 56,528 78.15% 722,437 77.37% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 72,329 933,754 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan presidential election

Party Yatinuwara Kandy Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 23,135 49.65% 308,187 50.29% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 21,219 45.54% 276,360 45.10% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,293 2.78% 15,512 2.53% 343,927 4.08%
Others 945 2.03% 12,752 2.08% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 46,592 96.95% 612,811 97.29% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,464 3.05% 17,060 2.71% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 48,056 76.59% 629,871 77.61% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 62,747 811,606 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan presidential election

Party Yatinuwara Kandy Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 25,099 57.83% 320,110 56.64% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 17,621 40.60% 235,519 41.68% 2,715,283 35.91%
Others 679 1.56% 9,488 1.68% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 43,399 97.89% 565,117 97.55% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 934 2.11% 14,179 2.45% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 44,333 75.84% 579,296 77.85% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 58,455 744,151 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan presidential election

Party Yatinuwara Kandy Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 15,699 51.15% 186,187 43.65% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 14,478 47.17% 234,124 54.88% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 515 1.68% 6,266 1.47% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 30,692 98.83% 426,577 98.57% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 362 1.17% 6,167 1.43% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 31,054 59.51% 432,744 68.36% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 52,182 633,030 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan presidential election

Party Yatinuwara Kandy Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 20,848 52.66% 289,621 59.80% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 17,596 44.45% 178,647 36.89% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 964 2.43% 12,493 2.58% 273,428 4.19%
Others 182 0.46% 3,536 0.73% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 39,590 99.19% 484,297 99.07% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 325 0.81% 4,548 0.93% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 39,915 85.41% 488,845 89.44% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 46,731 546,565 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Yatinuwara has matched the final country result 7 out of 7 times. Hence, Yatinuwara is a Perfect Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Yatinuwara Kandy Electoral District MAE % Sri Lanka MAE %
2015 UNP UNP 4.39% UNP 2.69%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.47% UPFA 1.88%
2004 UPFA UNP 3.80% UPFA 3.00%
2001 UNP UNP 2.06% UNP 3.79%
2000 PA PA 1.62% PA 1.58%
1994 PA UNP 4.56% PA 2.55%
1989 UNP UNP 8.29% UNP 4.79%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/7 5/7 3.60% 7/7 2.90%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Yatinuwara Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 29,310 50.84% 440,761 55.61% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 24,986 43.34% 309,152 39.00% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 2,823 4.90% 30,669 3.87% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 534 0.93% 12,055 1.52% 100,088 0.90%
Valid Votes 57,653 96.49% 792,637 95.48% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,067 3.46% 37,065 4.46% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 59,753 74.30% 830,165 79.13% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 80,420 1,049,160 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Yatinuwara Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 26,419 61.21% 339,819 60.81% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 14,621 33.88% 192,798 34.50% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,983 4.59% 23,728 4.25% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 137 0.32% 2,459 0.44% 30,354 0.38%
Valid Votes 43,160 91.75% 558,804 90.49% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 3,862 8.21% 58,333 9.45% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 47,041 61.10% 617,559 61.70% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 76,996 1,000,861 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Yatinuwara Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 22,887 45.60% 268,131 42.71% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 22,647 45.12% 313,859 49.99% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 4,376 8.72% 42,192 6.72% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 282 0.56% 3,684 0.59% 64,227 0.69%
Valid Votes 50,192 95.32% 627,866 93.24% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,465 4.68% 45,484 6.75% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 52,657 75.23% 673,380 76.47% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 69,992 880,634 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Yatinuwara Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 24,871 50.27% 314,297 52.77% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 20,318 41.06% 233,637 39.23% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 3,243 6.55% 37,146 6.24% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 539 1.09% 6,456 1.08% 78,682 0.88%
SU 508 1.03% 4,040 0.68% 50,665 0.57%
Valid Votes 49,479 95.17% 595,576 93.40% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,512 4.83% 42,103 6.60% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 51,991 78.16% 637,679 76.03% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 66,518 838,687 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Yatinuwara Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 21,793 45.95% 282,282 46.66% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 20,405 43.02% 243,623 40.27% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 2,082 4.39% 21,565 3.56% 518,725 6.03%
NUA 1,341 2.83% 32,023 5.29% 185,593 2.16%
SU 1,208 2.55% 10,999 1.82% 127,859 1.49%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 598 1.26% 14,436 2.39% 161,809 1.88%
Valid Votes 47,427 N/A 604,928 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Yatinuwara Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 23,096 50.91% 267,683 46.43% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 21,602 47.62% 301,824 52.35% 3,498,370 44.04%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 668 1.47% 7,045 1.22% 175,576 2.21%
Valid Votes 45,366 95.53% 576,552 94.89% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,122 4.47% 31,019 5.11% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 47,488 81.24% 607,571 81.67% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 58,455 743,939 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Yatinuwara Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 11,064 53.66% 204,973 61.72% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 8,661 42.00% 105,977 31.91% 1,785,369 31.90%
SLMC 500 2.42% 14,697 4.43% 202,016 3.61%
USA 334 1.62% 5,147 1.55% 141,983 2.54%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 61 0.30% 1,315 0.40% 67,723 1.21%
Valid Votes 20,620 95.10% 332,109 93.69% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,062 4.90% 22,374 6.31% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 21,682 42.85% 354,483 56.42% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 50,598 628,317 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Yatinuwara Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (89.9%) . In comparison, the Kandy Electoral District (which contains the Yatinuwara Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (74.4%) and a significant Moor population (13.9%)

Ethnicity in Yatinuwara

  Sinhalese (89.9%)  Moor (7.1%)  Sri Lankan Tamil (2.4%)  Other (0.6%)

Religion

The Yatinuwara Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (88.8%) . In comparison, the Kandy Electoral District (which contains the Yatinuwara Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (73.4%) and a significant Muslim population (14.3%)

Religion in Yatinuwara

  Buddhist (88.8%)  Muslim (7.3%)  Hindu (2.2%)  Other (1.7%)

References

  1. ^ "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Yatinuwara and the Kandy Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Yatinuwara and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Yatinuwara and the Kandy Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Yatinuwara and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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