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{{Short description|1962 confrontation between the US and USSR}} | |||
{{infobox military conflict | |||
{{Redirect|Missile Crisis|the missile crisis in Cyprus|Cypriot S-300 crisis}} | |||
| conflict = Cuban Missile Crisis | |||
{{Redirect|Cuban Missile|the baseball player|Aroldis Chapman}} | |||
| partof = the ] | |||
{{pp-pc|small=yes}} | |||
| image = ] | |||
{{Use dmy dates|date=November 2023}} | |||
| caption = CIA reference photograph of ] intermediate-range nuclear ballistic missile (NATO designation ''SS-4'') in ], ] | |||
{{Use American English|date=November 2023}} | |||
| date = October 14 – October 28, 1962<br><small>Quarantine of Cuba ended November 20, 1962</small> | |||
{{Infobox military conflict | |||
| place = ] | |||
| conflict = Cuban Missile Crisis | |||
| coordinates = | |||
| partof = the ] and the ] | |||
| map_type = | |||
| image = {{multiple image|border=infobox|perrow=1/1/1|total_width=300 | |||
| latitude = | |||
|image1=Jupiter on its launch pad.jpg | |||
| longitude = | |||
|image2=Soviet-R-12-nuclear-ballistic missile.jpg}} {{plainlist| | |||
| map_size = | |||
* '''Top''': US ] medium-range ballistic missile on its launchpad | |||
| map_caption = | |||
* '''Bottom''': Soviet ] medium-range ballistic missile in ], ] | |||
| map_label = | |||
}} | |||
| territory = | |||
| date = 16–28 October 1962<br>(naval quarantine of Cuba ended on 20 November) | |||
| result = | |||
| place = Cuba | |||
*Withdrawal of the ]'s nuclear missiles from Cuba | |||
| coordinates = | |||
*Withdrawal of the ]' nuclear missiles from ] and ] | |||
| map_type = | |||
*Agreement with the Soviet Union that the United States would never invade Cuba | |||
| latitude = | |||
*Creation of a ] between ] and ] | |||
| longitude = | |||
*]'s position as Cuban leader strengthened<ref name="axelrod2009"/>{{rp|335}} | |||
| |
| map_size = | ||
| |
| map_caption = | ||
| map_label = | |||
{{flag|United States}} | |||
| territory = | |||
{{flag|Turkey}} | |||
| result = Conflict resolved diplomatically | |||
| combatant2 = | |||
* Publicized removal of Soviet nuclear missiles from Cuba | |||
{{flag|Soviet Union}} | |||
* Non-publicized removal of American nuclear missiles from Turkey and Italy | |||
{{flag|Cuba}} | |||
* Agreement with the Soviet Union that the United States would never invade Cuba without direct provocation | |||
| combatant3 = | |||
* Creation of a ] between the United States and the Soviet Union | |||
| commander1 = | |||
| status = | |||
{{flagicon|United States}} ] | |||
| combatants_header = Parties involved in the crisis | |||
{{flagicon|Turkey}} ] | |||
| combatant2 = '''{{flag|United States}}'''<br />{{flag|United Kingdom}}<br />{{flag|Italy}}<br />{{flag|Turkey}} | |||
| commander2 = | |||
{{ |
| combatant1 = '''{{flag|Soviet Union}}'''<br />{{flag|Cuba}} | ||
| commander2 = {{plainlist}} | |||
{{flagicon|Cuba}} ] | |||
* {{flagicon|United States}} ''']''' | |||
| commander3 = | |||
* {{flagicon|United States}} ''']''' | |||
| units1 = | |||
* {{flagicon|United States}} ] | |||
| units2 = | |||
* {{flagicon|United States}} ] | |||
| units3 = | |||
* {{flagicon|United States}} ] | |||
| strength1 = | |||
* {{flagicon|United States}} ] | |||
| strength2 = | |||
* {{flagicon|United Kingdom}} ] | |||
| strength3 = | |||
* {{flagicon|United Kingdom}} ] | |||
| casualties1 = 1 aircraft shot down<br>1 aircraft damaged<br>1 pilot killed | |||
* {{flagicon|United Kingdom}} ] | |||
| casualties2 = | |||
* {{flagicon|Italy}} ] | |||
| casualties3 = | |||
* {{flagicon|Italy}} ] | |||
| notes = | |||
* {{flagicon|Turkey}} ] | |||
* {{flagicon|Turkey}} ] | |||
{{endplainlist}} | |||
| commander1 = {{plainlist}} | |||
* {{flagicon|Soviet Union}} ''']''' | |||
* {{flagicon|Soviet Union}} ''']''' | |||
* {{flagicon|Soviet Union}} ] | |||
* {{flagicon|Soviet Union}} ] | |||
* {{flagicon|Soviet Union}} ] | |||
* {{flagicon|Soviet Union}} ] | |||
* {{flagicon|Soviet Union}} ] | |||
* {{flagicon|Cuba}} ] | |||
* {{flagicon|Cuba}} ] | |||
* {{flagicon|Cuba}} ] | |||
{{endplainlist}} | |||
| commander3 = | |||
| units1 = | |||
| units2 = | |||
| units3 = | |||
| strength1 = {{flagicon|Soviet Union}} 43,000 soldiers | |||
| strength2 = 100,000–180,000 (estimated) | |||
| strength3 = | |||
| casualties1 = None | |||
| casualties2 = {{flagicon|United States}} 1 ] spy aircraft lost<br />{{flagicon|United States}} ] | |||
| casualties3 = | |||
| notes = | |||
| image_size = 300 | |||
}} | }} | ||
{{Use mdy dates|date=February 2011}} | |||
The '''Cuban Missile Crisis''' (known as the '''October Crisis''' in ] or '''Caribbean Crisis''' ({{lang-ru|Kарибский кризис}}) in the USSR) was a confrontation between the ] and Cuba on one side and the ] on the other in October 1962, during the ]. In August 1962, after some unsuccessful operations by the US to overthrow the Cuban regime (], ]), the Cuban and Soviet governments secretly began to build bases in Cuba for a number of ] and ] nuclear missiles (MRBMs and IRBMs) with the ability to strike most of the ]. This action followed the 1958 deployment of ]s in the UK (]) and ]s to ] – more than 100 US-built missiles having the capability to strike ] with nuclear warheads. On October 14, 1962, a United States Air Force ] plane on a ] mission captured photographic proof of Soviet missile bases under construction in Cuba. | |||
] about the Cuban Missile Crisis]] | |||
The ensuing crisis ranks with the ], the ] and the ] as one of the major confrontations of the Cold War and is generally regarded as the moment in which the Cold War came closest to turning into a ].<ref>{{cite journal|first=B. Gregory |last=Marfleet|title=The Operational Code of John F. Kennedy During the Cuban Missile Crisis: A Comparison of Public and Private Rhetoric |journal=Political Psychology |volume=21|page=545|issue=3}}</ref> It also marks the first documented instance of the threat of ] (MAD) being discussed as a determining factor in a major international arms agreement.<ref name="Cuban missile crisis overview">{{cite web | |||
| year = 1997 | |||
| url = http://library.thinkquest.org/11046/briefing/index.html|publisher=ThinkQuest|work=Fourteen Days in October: The Cuban Missile Crisis | |||
| title= Briefing Room | |||
| accessdate = December 30, 2010}}</ref><ref name = "Khrushchev letters">{{cite web | |||
| year = 2010 | |||
| url = http://library.thinkquest.org/11046/sitroom/letters.html | |||
| title= Letters between Khrushchev and Kennedy | |||
| accessdate = December 30, 2010}} Archive of correspondence between Kennedy and Khrushchev during Cuban Missile Crisis.</ref> | |||
The '''Cuban Missile Crisis''', also known as the '''October Crisis''' ({{langx|es|Crisis de Octubre}}) in Cuba, or the '''Caribbean Crisis''' ({{Langx|ru|Карибский кризис|Karibskiy krizis}}), was a 13-day confrontation between the governments of the ] and the ], when American deployments of ] in ] and ] were matched by Soviet deployments of nuclear missiles in ]. The crisis lasted from 16{{nbsp}}to{{nbsp}}28 October 1962. The confrontation is widely considered ] the ] came to escalating into full-scale ].<ref>{{cite book|first1=Len|last1=Scott|first2=R. Gerald|last2=Hughes|title=The Cuban Missile Crisis: A Critical Reappraisal|url=https://www.routledge.com/The-Cuban-Missile-Crisis-A-Critical-Reappraisal/Scott-Hughes/p/book/9780415787161|year=2015|publisher=Taylor & Francis|page=17|isbn=978-1-317-55541-4|access-date=December 31, 2015|archive-date=July 29, 2016|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160729014313/https://books.google.com/books?id=UJEGCAAAQBAJ&pg=PT17|url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
The United States considered attacking Cuba via air and sea, and settled on a military "quarantine" of Cuba. The US announced that it would not permit offensive weapons to be delivered to Cuba and demanded that the Soviets dismantle the missile bases already under construction or completed in Cuba and remove all offensive weapons. The ] held only a slim hope that the Kremlin would agree to their demands, and expected a military confrontation. On the Soviet side, Premier ] wrote in a letter to Kennedy that his quarantine of "navigation in international waters and air space" constituted "an act of aggression propelling humankind into the abyss of a world nuclear-missile war". | |||
In 1961 the US government put ] in Italy and Turkey. It had trained a paramilitary force of ], which the ] led in an attempt to ] and overthrow its government. Starting in November of that year, the US government engaged in a violent campaign of ] and ] in Cuba, referred to as the ], which continued throughout the first half of the 1960s. The Soviet administration was concerned about a Cuban drift towards ], with which the Soviets had an ] relationship. In response to these factors the Soviet and Cuban governments agreed, at a meeting between leaders ] and ] in July 1962, to place nuclear missiles on Cuba to deter a future US invasion. Construction of launch facilities started shortly thereafter. | |||
The Soviets publicly balked at the US demands, but in secret back-channel communications initiated a proposal to resolve the crisis. The confrontation ended on October 28, 1962, when President ] and ] ] reached a public and secret agreement with Khrushchev. Publicly, the Soviets would dismantle their offensive weapons in Cuba and return them to the Soviet Union, subject to United Nations verification, in exchange for a US public declaration and agreement never to invade Cuba. Secretly, the US agreed that it would dismantle all US-built Thor and Jupiter IRBMs deployed in Turkey and Italy. | |||
A ] captured ] of medium- and long-range launch facilities in October. US President ] convened a meeting of the ] and other key advisers, forming the ] (EXCOMM). Kennedy was advised to carry out an air strike on Cuban soil in order to compromise Soviet missile supplies, followed by an invasion of the Cuban mainland. He chose a less aggressive course in order to avoid a declaration of war. On 22 October Kennedy ordered a naval ] to prevent further missiles from reaching Cuba.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Society |first=National Geographic |date=April 21, 2021 |title=Kennedy 'Quarantines' Cuba |url=http://www.nationalgeographic.org/thisday/oct22/kennedy-quarantines-cuba/ |access-date=May 11, 2022 |website=National Geographic Society |language=en}}</ref> He referred to the blockade as a "quarantine", not as a blockade, so the US could avoid the formal implications of a state of war.<ref name="uslegalcaseblockadeofcuba">{{Cite journal |last=Colman |first=Jonathan |date=2019-05-01 |title=Toward 'World Support' and 'The Ultimate Judgment of History': The U.S. Legal Case for the Blockade of Cuba during the Missile Crisis, October–November 1962 |url=https://direct.mit.edu/jcws/article/21/2/150-173/13772 |journal=Journal of Cold War Studies |language=en |volume=21 |issue=2 |pages=150–173 |doi=10.1162/jcws_a_00879 |issn=1520-3972}}</ref> | |||
Only two weeks after the agreement, the Soviets had removed the missile systems and their support equipment, loading them onto eight Soviet ships from November 5–9. A month later, on December 5 and 6, the Soviet ] bombers were loaded onto three Soviet ships and shipped back to Russia. The quarantine was formally ended at 6:45 pm ] on November 20, 1962. Eleven months after the agreement, all American weapons were ]. An additional outcome of the negotiations was the creation of the Hotline Agreement and the ], a direct communications link between ] and ] | |||
An agreement was eventually reached between Kennedy and Khrushchev. The Soviets would dismantle their offensive weapons in Cuba, subject to ] verification, in exchange for a US public declaration and agreement not to invade Cuba again. The United States secretly agreed to dismantle all of the offensive weapons it had deployed to Turkey. There has been debate on whether Italy was also included in the agreement. While the Soviets dismantled their missiles, some Soviet bombers remained in Cuba, and the United States kept the naval quarantine in place until 20 November 1962.<ref name="uslegalcaseblockadeofcuba"/><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://history.state.gov/milestones/1961-1968/cuban-missile-crisis|title=Milestones: 1961–1968 – The Cuban Missile Crisis, October 1962|website=history.state.gov |archive-date=3 April 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190403181853/https://history.state.gov/milestones/1961-1968/cuban-missile-crisis|url-status=live}}</ref> The blockade was formally ended on 20 November after all offensive missiles and bombers had been withdrawn from Cuba. The evident necessity of a quick and direct communication line between the two powers resulted in the ]. A series of agreements later reduced US–Soviet tensions for several years. | |||
==Earlier actions by the United States== | |||
The Americans feared the Soviet expansion of ], but for a ]n country to ally openly with the USSR was regarded as unacceptable, given the Soviet-American enmity since the end of ] in 1945. Such an involvement would also directly defy the ]; a United States policy which, while limiting the United States' involvement with European colonies and European affairs, held that European powers ought not have involvement with states in the ].USA | |||
The compromise embarrassed Khrushchev and the Soviet Union because the withdrawal of US missiles from Italy and Turkey was a secret deal between Kennedy and Khrushchev, and the Soviets were seen as retreating from a situation that they had started. Khrushchev's ] two years later was in part because of the ]'s embarrassment at both Khrushchev's eventual concessions to the US and his ineptitude in precipitating the crisis. According to the ], ], the top Soviet leadership took the Cuban outcome as "a blow to its prestige bordering on humiliation".<ref name="auto">William Taubman, ] (2004) p. 579.</ref><ref name="The Malin Notes">{{cite web|url=https://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/media/documents/publication/CWHIP_Bulletin_17-18_Cuban_Missile_Crisis_v2_s3_Soviet_Union.pdf|title=The Malin Notes: Glimpses Inside the Kremlin during the Cuban Missile Crisis|work=Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars|author=Jeffery D. Shields|date=March 7, 2016}}</ref> | |||
The United States had been embarrassed publicly by the failed ] in April 1961, which had been launched under President ] by ]-trained forces of ]s. Afterward, former President ] told Kennedy that "the failure of the Bay of Pigs will embolden the Soviets to do something that they would otherwise not do."<ref name=Absher>{{cite journal |title=Mind-Sets and Missiles: A First Hand Account of the Cuban Missile Crisis |first=Kenneth Michael |last=Absher |publisher=Strategic Studies Institute, United States Army War College |year=2009 |url=http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pubs/display.cfm?pubID=935}}</ref>{{rp|10}} The half-hearted invasion left Soviet premier ] and his advisers with the impression that Kennedy was indecisive and, as one Soviet adviser wrote, "too young, intellectual, not prepared well for decision making in crisis situations ... too intelligent and too weak."<ref name=Absher /> US covert operations continued in 1961 with the unsuccessful ].<ref name="franklin">{{cite book |title=Cuba and the United States: A Chronological History |first = Jane |last = Franklin |url=http://andromeda.rutgers.edu/~hbf/missile.htm |year=1997 |publisher=Ocean Press |location=Melbourne|isbn=1875284923}}</ref> | |||
==Background== | |||
In addition, Khrushchev’s impression of Kennedy’s weakness was confirmed by the President’s soft response during the ], particularly the building of the ]. Speaking to Soviet officials in the aftermath of the crisis, Khrushchev asserted, "I know for certain that Kennedy doesn’t have a strong background, nor, generally speaking, does he have the courage to stand up to a serious challenge." He also told his son ] that on Cuba, Kennedy "would make a fuss, make more of a fuss, and then agree".<ref>{{cite book|last=Kempe|first=Frederick|title=Berlin 1961|year=2011|publisher=Penguin Group (USA)|isbn=0399157298|page=491}}</ref> | |||
===Cuba–Soviet relations=== | |||
{{Main|Escalante affair}} | |||
In late 1961, ] asked for more SA-2 anti-aircraft missiles from the ]. The request was not acted upon by the Soviet leadership. In the interval, Castro began criticizing the Soviets for lack of "revolutionary boldness", and began talking to ] about agreements for economic assistance. In March 1962, Castro ordered the ousting of ] and his pro-Moscow comrades from Cuba's ]. This affair alarmed the Soviet leadership and raised fears of a possible US invasion. As a result, the Soviet Union sent more SA-2 anti-aircraft missiles in April, as well as a regiment of regular Soviet troops.<ref name="Kennedy">{{cite book |date=2002 |title=The Kennedy Tapes Inside the White House During the Cuban Missile Crisis |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=bnuvCJQnS0kC&dq=escalante+affair&pg=PA421 |publisher=Norton |page=421 |isbn=978-0-393-32259-0}}</ref> | |||
Historian ] has contended that Escalante's dismissal was a motivating factor behind the Soviet decision to place nuclear missiles in Cuba in 1962. According to Naftali, Soviet foreign policy planners were concerned that Castro's break with Escalante foreshadowed a Cuban drift toward ], and they sought to solidify the Soviet-Cuban relationship through the missile basing program.<ref>{{cite news|title='One Hell of a Gamble': Khrushchev, Castro and Kennedy, 1958–1964|url=https://muse.jhu.edu/login?auth=0&type=summary&url=/journals/journal_of_cold_war_studies/v004/4.1taubman.html|access-date=August 31, 2015|work=Journal of Cold War Studies|date=2002}}</ref> | |||
In January 1962, General ] described plans to overthrow the Cuban Government in a top-secret report (partially declassified 1989), addressed to President Kennedy and officials involved with ].<ref name="franklin"/> CIA agents or "pathfinders" from the ] were to be infiltrated into ] to carry out sabotage and organization, including radio broadcasts.<ref>{{cite book |title=Shadow Warrior: The CIA Hero of 100 Unknown Battles|last=Rodriguez |publisher=Simon & Schuster |date=October 1989 |isbn=978-0-671-66721-4 |others= John Weisman}}</ref> In February 1962, the United States launched an ],<ref>{{cite web | url = http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=58824 |title = Proclamation 3447—Embargo on all trade with Cuba |author=] |work= The American Presidency Project |location=Santa Barbara, California}}</ref> and Lansdale presented a 26-page, top-secret timetable for implementation of the overthrow of the Cuban Government, mandating that guerrilla operations begin in August and September, and in the first two weeks of October: "Open revolt and overthrow of the Communist regime".<ref name="franklin"/> | |||
===Cuba–US relations=== | |||
==Balance of power== | |||
{{Further|Operation 40|Bay of Pigs Invasion|Operation Mongoose}} | |||
When Kennedy ran for president in 1960, one of his key election issues was an alleged "]", with the Soviets leading. In fact, the United States led the Soviets. In 1961, the Soviets had only four ]s (ICBMs). By October 1962, they may have had a few dozen, although some intelligence estimates were as high as 75.<ref name="afmag"/> | |||
]'s plans for the ]]] | |||
The ] regarded ] as the primary explanation for the island's structural weaknesses.<ref name=Yaffe20b>{{cite book |last1=Yaffe |first1=Helen |title=We are Cuba!: How a Revolutionary People have Survived in a Post-Soviet World |date=2020 |publisher=] |location=New Haven |isbn=978-0-300-23003-1 |pages=14–22, 176–181|url=https://yalebooks.yale.edu/book/9780300230031/we-are-cuba|quote=For the Cuban revolutionaries of the 1950s, US imperialism was the principal explanation for the island's structural weaknesses...Thus, the Revolution of 1959 faced two real alternatives: it could renounce all fundamental changes, beyond expelling the dictator Fulgencio Batista, so that it would be acceptable to Washington; or it could pursue the deep structural changes necessary to address the island's socioeconomic ills and dependent development, which would bring hostility from the United States.}}</ref> The ] had provided weapons, money, and authority to the ] of ] that ruled Cuba until 1958. The majority of the Cuban population had become tired of the severe socioeconomic problems associated with US domination of the country. The Cuban government was aware of the necessity of ending the turmoil and incongruities of US-dominated pre-revolution Cuban society. It decided that the US government's demands, part of the hostile US reaction to Cuban government policy, were unacceptable.<ref name=Yaffe20b/><ref name=Bo12a>{{cite book |last1=Bolender |first1=Keith |title=Cuba under Siege: American Policy, the Revolution, and its People |date=2012 |publisher=]|url=https://link.springer.com/book/10.1057/9781137275554 |location=New York |isbn=978-1-137-27554-7 |pages=x, 14, 18–20, 45–57, 63–64, '']''|doi=10.1057/9781137275554 |quote=The economic inequality and social unrest was brought to a head under the brutal Batista dictatorship, supported by American arms, money, and authority. An estimated 20,000 were killed opposing the government from 1955 to his overthrow, with even President John F. Kennedy using this figure in a rare expression of sympathy for revolutionary goals. Kennedy also came closest to recognizing America could not claim ignorance of the harm its neocolonial control was inflicting on the inhabitants...Transformation came swiftly, completely, and often framed in direct conflict with American immoderations. Popular support for radicalization was possible only by aiming it at the social inequalities associated with foreign domination, of which the greater part of the Cuban population, particularly in the rural areas, had tired of finally. The backing of the countryside permitted Castro to act ruthlessly to ensure his revolution would not suffer the same fate as Grau's. Concurrently, America's hostile reaction worked in harmony, if not intentionally, with Castro's political ambitions. He comprehended the turmoil and incongruities of American dominated prerevolution society had to end.}}</ref> | |||
With the ending of ] and the start of the ], the United States government had grown concerned about the expansion of ] and sought to promote private enterprise as an instrument for advancing US strategic interests in the developing world.<ref>{{cite journal |last1=Kapstein |first1=Ethan B. |title=Private Enterprise, International Development, and the Cold War |journal=] |date=December 2020 |volume=22 |issue=4|publisher=]|location=Cambridge, MA|doi-access=free|pages=113–145 |doi=10.1162/jcws_a_00967 |issn=1520-3972}}</ref> | |||
The United States, on the other hand, had 170 ICBMs and was quickly building more. It also had eight ] and ] class ]s with the capability to launch 16 ] missiles each with a range of {{convert|2200|km}}. | |||
In December 1959, under the ] administration and less than twelve months after the ], the ] (CIA) developed a plan for paramilitary action against Cuba. The CIA recruited operatives on the island to carry out ] and ], kill civilians, and cause economic damage.{{refn|name=Opera40|<ref name=Yaffe20/><ref name=PicMil16>{{cite report|last1=Piccone|first1=Ted|last2=Miller|first2=Ashley|title=Cuba, the U.S., and the Concept of Sovereignty: Toward a Common Vocabulary?|date=December 19, 2016|publisher=]|location=Washington|quote=President Dwight D. Eisenhower approved a plan to train Cuban exiles to commit violent acts of terrorism within Cuba against civilians, and the CIA trained and commanded pilots to bomb civilian airfields...U.S. government officials justified some of the terrorist attacks on Cuban soil on the grounds of coercive regime change|url=https://www.brookings.edu/research/cuba-the-u-s-and-the-concept-of-sovereignty-toward-a-common-vocabulary/|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170707040411/https://www.brookings.edu/research/cuba-the-u-s-and-the-concept-of-sovereignty-toward-a-common-vocabulary/|archive-date=July 7, 2017|url-status=live|access-date=January 6, 2023}}</ref><ref name=DomYaf17>{{cite journal |last1=Domínguez López |first1=Ernesto |last2=Yaffe |first2=Helen |title=The Deep, Historical Roots of Cuban Anti-imperialism |journal=]|publisher=]|location=Abingdon|date=November 2, 2017 |volume=38 |issue=11 |pages=2517–2535|quote=In international terms, Cuba's Revolution dented the US sphere of influence, weakening the US position as a global power. These were the structural geopolitical motivations for opposing Cuba's hard-won independence. The Bay of Pigs (Playa Giron) invasion and multiple military invasion plans, programmes of terrorism, sabotage and subversion were part of Washington's reaction. |doi=10.1080/01436597.2017.1374171|s2cid=149249232 |url=http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/84628/1/Yaffe_Deep%20historical-roots%20of%20Cuban_2017.pdf }}</ref><ref name=Franklin16/>}} At the initiative of the CIA ], ], and approved by the new President ], the US launched the attempted ] in April 1961 using CIA-trained forces of ]. The complete failure of the invasion, and the exposure of the US government's role before the operation began, was a source of diplomatic embarrassment for the ]. Former President Eisenhower told Kennedy that "the failure of the Bay of Pigs will embolden the Soviets to do something that they would otherwise not do."<ref name=Absher>{{cite web |title=Mind-Sets and Missiles: A First Hand Account of the Cuban Missile Crisis |first=Kenneth Michael |last=Absher |publisher=Strategic Studies Institute, United States Army War College |year=2009 |url=http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pubs/display.cfm?pubID=935 |access-date=April 29, 2010 |archive-date=April 20, 2010 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100420055113/http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pubs/display.cfm?pubID=935 |url-status=live }}</ref>{{rp|10}} | |||
Khrushchev increased the perception of a missile gap when he loudly boasted that the USSR was building missiles "like sausages" whose numbers and capabilities actually were nowhere close to his assertion. However, the Soviets did have ]s in quantity, about 700 of them.<ref name="afmag"/> | |||
Following the failed invasion, the US escalated its sponsorship of terrorism against Cuba. Starting in late 1961, using the ] and the CIA, the US government engaged in an extensive campaign of state-sponsored terrorism against civilian and military targets on the island. The terrorist attacks killed significant numbers of civilians. The US armed, trained, funded and directed the terrorists, most of whom were Cuban expatriates. Terrorist attacks were planned at the direction and with the participation of US government employees and launched from US territory.{{refn|name=uscuba1|<ref name=Jorge00>{{cite journal |last1=Domínguez |first1=Jorge I. |title=The @#$%& Missile Crisis |journal=] |quote=On the afternoon of 16 October... Attorney General Robert F. Kennedy convened in his office a meeting on Operation Mongoose, the code name for a U.S. policy of sabotage and related covert operation aimed at Cuba... The Kennedy administration returned to its policy of sponsoring terrorism against Cuba as the confrontation with the Soviet Union lessened... Only once in these nearly thousand pages of documentation did a US official raise something that resembled a faint moral objection to US-government sponsored terrorism.|publisher=]/]|location=Boston/Oxford|date=April 2000 |volume=24 |issue=2 |pages=305–316 |doi=10.1111/0145-2096.00214 |url=https://wcfia.harvard.edu/files/wcfia/files/jd_missile_crisis.pdf|via=], ]|access-date=September 6, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200907103502/https://wcfia.harvard.edu/files/wcfia/files/jd_missile_crisis.pdf |archive-date=September 7, 2020 |url-status=live}}</ref><ref name=Schou11>{{cite book |last1=Schoultz |first1=Lars |title=That Infernal Little Cuban Republic: the United States and the Cuban Revolution |quote=What more could be done? How about a program of sabotage focused on blowing up "such targets as refineries, power plants, micro wave stations, radio and TV installations, strategic highway bridges and railroad facilities, military and naval installations and equipment, certain industrial plants and sugar refineries." The CIA proposed just that approach a month after the Bay of Pigs, and the State Department endorsed the proposal... In early November, six months after the Bay of Pigs, ] authorized the CIA's "Program of Covert Action", now dubbed Operation Mongoose, and named ] its chief of operations. A few days later, President Kennedy told a Seattle audience, "We cannot, as a free nation, compete with our adversaries in tactics of terror, assassination, false promises, counterfeit mobs and crises." Perhaps – but the Mongoose decision indicated that he was willing to try. |date=2009 |publisher=] |url=https://uncpress.org/book/9780807871898/that-infernal-little-cuban-republic/ |access-date=February 2, 2020 |location=Chapel Hill |isbn=978-0-8078-8860-5 |chapter=State Sponsored Terrorism |pages=170–211}}</ref><ref name=NSArchive19>{{cite report |editor-last1=Prados |editor-first1=John|editor-link1=John Prados|editor-last2=Jimenez-Bacardi |editor-first2=Arturo |date=October 3, 2019 |title=Kennedy and Cuba: Operation Mongoose |work=] |url=https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/briefing-book/cuba/2019-10-03/kennedy-cuba-operation-mongoose |location=] |publisher=] |access-date=April 3, 2020 |quote=The Kennedy administration had been quick to set up a Cuba Task Force—with strong representation from CIA's Directorate of Plans—and on August 31 that unit decided to adopt a public posture of ignoring Castro while attacking civilian targets inside Cuba: 'our covert activities would now be directed toward the destruction of targets important to the economy' (Document 4)...While acting through Cuban revolutionary groups with potential for real resistance to Castro, the task force 'will do all we can to identify and suggest targets whose destruction will have the maximum economic impact.' The memorandum showed no concern for international law or the unspoken nature of these operations as terrorist attacks.|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191102010542/https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/briefing-book/cuba/2019-10-03/kennedy-cuba-operation-mongoose |archive-date=November 2, 2019 |url-status=live}}</ref><ref name=Yaffe20>{{cite book |last1=Yaffe |first1=Helen |title=We are Cuba!: How a Revolutionary People have Survived in a Post-Soviet World |date=2020 |publisher=] |location=New Haven |isbn=978-0-300-23003-1 |pages=67, 176–181|url=https://yalebooks.yale.edu/book/9780300230031/we-are-cuba|quote=What have Cuba's revolutionary people survived? For six decades, the Caribbean island has withstood manifold and unrelenting aggression from the world's dominant economic and political power: overt and covert military actions; sabotage and terrorism by US authorities and allied exiles...The first Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) plan for paramilitary action in Cuba was developed in December 1959, less than a year after Batista fled the island and well before the US blockade was imposed. The CIA recruited operatives inside Cuba to carry out terrorism and sabotage, killing civilians and causing economic damage.}}</ref><ref name=Franklin16>{{cite book |last1=Franklin |first1=Jane |title=Cuba and the U.S. Empire: a Chronological History |date=2016 |publisher=] |url=https://nyupress.org/9781583676059/cuba-and-the-u-s-empire/ |access-date=February 2, 2020 |location=New York |isbn=978-1-58367-605-9 |pages=45–63, 388–392, '']''}}</ref><ref name=Erlich16>{{cite book |last1=Erlich |first1=Reese |title=Dateline Havana: the Real Story of U.S. Policy and the Future of Cuba |quote=Officially, the United States favored only peaceful means to pressure Cuba. In reality, US leaders also used violent, terrorist tactics... Operation Mongoose began in November 1961... US operatives attacked civilian targets, including sugar refineries, saw mills, and molasses storage tanks. Some 400 CIA officers worked on the project in Washington and Miami... Operation Mongoose and various other terrorist operations caused property damage and injured and killed Cubans. But they failed to achieve their goal of regime change. |date=2008 |publisher=] |url=https://www.routledge.com/Dateline-Havana-The-Real-Story-of-Us-Policy-and-the-Future-of-Cuba-1st/Erlich-Kinzer/p/book/9780981576978 |access-date=February 2, 2020 |location=Abingdon/New York |isbn=978-1-317-26160-5 |pages=26–29}}</ref><ref name=BrennerNSA>{{cite web |last1=Brenner |first1=Philip |title=Turning History on its Head |url=https://nsarchive2.gwu.edu/nsa/cuba_mis_cri/brenner.htm |location=] |quote=..in October 1962 the United States was waging a war against Cuba that involved several assassination attempts against the Cuban leader, terrorist acts against Cuban civilians, and sabotage of Cuban factories. |website=] |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170824225125/http://nsarchive2.gwu.edu/nsa/cuba_mis_cri/brenner.htm |archive-date=August 24, 2017 |url-status=live |date=2002 |publisher=] |access-date=January 2, 2020}}</ref>}} In January 1962, ] General ] described the plans to overthrow the Cuban government in a top-secret report, addressed to Kennedy and officials involved with Operation Mongoose.<ref name=FRUS63volX>{{cite report |last1=Lansdale |first1=Edward |author-link=Edward Lansdale |editor-last=Smith |editor-first=Louis J. |title=Program Review by the Chief of Operations, Operation Mongoose |date=January 18, 1962 |publisher=] |location=Washington, D.C.|url=https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1961-63v10/d291 |access-date=February 19, 2020 |work=] |series=1961–1963 |volume=X, Cuba|archive-date=April 8, 2016 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160408224822/https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1961-63v10/d291 |url-status=live}}</ref><ref name=Franklin16/> CIA agents or "pathfinders" from the ] were to be infiltrated into Cuba to carry out sabotage and organization, including radio broadcasts.<ref>{{cite book |title=Shadow Warrior: The CIA Hero of 100 Unknown Battles|url=https://archive.org/details/shadowwarrior00rodr|url-access=registration|last1=Rodriguez |first1=Felix I. |last2=Weisman |first2=John |publisher=Simon and Schuster |date=1989 |isbn=978-0-671-66721-4}}</ref> In February 1962, the US launched an ],<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/STATUTE-76/pdf/STATUTE-76-Pg1446.pdf |title=Proclamation 3447 – Embargo on All Trade With Cuba |date=February 3, 1962 |publisher=US Government Printing Office |access-date=September 28, 2014 |archive-date=June 5, 2015 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150605041149/http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/STATUTE-76/pdf/STATUTE-76-Pg1446.pdf |url-status=live }}</ref> and Lansdale presented a 26-page, top-secret timetable for implementation of the overthrow of the Cuban government, mandating guerrilla operations to begin in August and September. "Open revolt and overthrow of the Communist regime" was hoped by the planners to occur in the first two weeks of October.<ref name=Franklin16/> | |||
In his memoirs published in 1970, Khrushchev wrote, “In addition to protecting Cuba, our missiles would have equalized what the West likes to call ‘the balance of massive nuclear missiles around the globe.’” <ref name="afmag"/> | |||
The terrorism campaign and the threat of invasion were crucial factors in the Soviet decision to place nuclear missiles on Cuba, and in the Cuban government's decision to accept them.{{refn|name=BrZuMiMi|<ref name=Br92>{{cite book |editor-last=Nathan |editor-first=James A. |last1=Brenner |first1=Philip |title=The Cuban Missile Crisis Revisited |chapter=Thirteen Months: Cuba's Perspective on the Missile Crisis |date=1992|publisher=] |location=New York |isbn=978-1-137-11462-4 |pages=187–218}}</ref><ref name=Zu94>{{cite book | last=Zubok | first=Vladislav M.|author-link=Vladislav Zubok|chapter=Unwrapping the Enigma: What was Behind the Soviet Challenge in the 1960s? | editor-last=Kunz | editor-first=Diane B.|title=The Diplomacy of the Crucial Decade: American Foreign Relations During the 1960s|location=New York| url=http://cup.columbia.edu/book/the-diplomacy-of-the-crucial-decade/9780231081771|pages=149–181|date=1994 | publisher=] | isbn=978-0-231-08177-1}}</ref><ref name=Mi12>{{cite book |last=Mikoyan |first=Sergo|author-link=Sergo Mikoyan|title=The Soviet Cuban Missile Crisis: Castro, Mikoyan, Kennedy, Khrushchev, and the Missiles of November |date=2012 |publisher=] |location=Redwood City |isbn=978-0-8047-6201-4 |pages=91–99 |url=https://www.sup.org/books/title/?id=17376}}</ref><ref name=Mi02>{{cite book |last1=Miller |first1=Nicola |editor-last1=Carter |editor-first1=Dale |editor-last2=Clifton |editor-first2=Robin |chapter=The Real Gap in the Cuban Missile Crisis: The Post-Cold-War Historiography and Continued Omission of Cuba |title=War and Cold War in American Foreign Policy, 1942–62 |date=2002 |publisher=] |url=https://www.palgrave.com/gp/book/9780333919408 |access-date=February 2, 2020 |location=Basingstoke |isbn=978-1-4039-1385-2 |pages=211–237}}</ref>}} The US government was aware at the time, as reported to the president in a ], that the invasion threat was a key reason for Cuban acceptance of the missiles.<ref name=Ge18>{{cite book |last1=Getchell |first1=Michelle |title=The Cuban Missile Crisis and the Cold War: A Short History with Documents |date=2018 |publisher=]|pages=70–93|chapter=Operation Anadyr: Soviet Missiles in Cuba|location=Indianapolis |isbn=978-1-62466-742-8 |url=https://www.hackettpublishing.com/history/series-in-history/passages-key-moments-in-history-series/the-cuban-missile-crisis-and-the-cold-war|quote=a Special National Intelligence Estimate drawn up in September had analyzed the Soviet military buildup in Cuba and concluded that its purpose was to 'strengthen the Communist regime there against what the Cubans and the Soviets conceive to be a danger that the US may attempt by one means or another to overthrow it.'}}</ref><ref name=FRUS63XNIE>{{cite report |editor-last=Smith |editor-first=Louis J.|author=]|title=Special National Intelligence Estimate: The Military Buildup in Cuba |date=September 19, 1962 |publisher=] |location=] |url=https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1961-63v10/d433 |access-date=February 19, 2020|id=85-3-62 |work=] |series=1961–1963 |volume=X, Cuba |archive-date=October 15, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20121015031754/https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1961-63v10/d433 |url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
==Soviet deployment of missiles in Cuba== | |||
Soviet Premier Nikita Khrushchev persuaded in May 1962 the idea of countering the United States' growing lead in developing and deploying strategic missiles by placing Soviet intermediate-range nuclear missiles in Cuba. Khrushchev was also reacting in part to the ] intermediate-range ballistic missiles which the United States had installed in Turkey during April 1962.<ref name="afmag"/> | |||
===US–Soviet relations=== | |||
From the very beginning, the Soviet's operation entailed elaborate denial and deception, known in the USSR as ''Maskirovka''.<ref name=hansen/> All of the planning and preparation for transporting and deploying the missiles were carried out in the utmost secrecy, with only a very few told the exact nature of the mission. Even the troops detailed for the mission were given misdirection, told they were headed for a cold region and outfitted with ski boots, fleece-lined parkas, and other winter equipment.<ref name=hansen>{{cite web|url=https://www.cia.gov/library/center-for-the-study-of-intelligence/kent-csi/vol46no1/pdf/v46i1a06p.pdf|title=Soviet Deception in the Cuban Missile Crisis|last=Hansen|first=James H.|work=Learning from the Past|accessdate=May 2, 2010|archiveurl = http://www.webcitation.org/5slHYhnEk |archivedate = September 15, 2010|deadurl=no}}</ref> The Soviet code name, ], was also the name of a ] flowing into the ], the name of the ] of ], and a bomber base in the far eastern region. All these were meant to conceal the program from both internal and external audiences.<ref name=hansen/> | |||
{{Main|Missile gap}} | |||
{{See also|Berlin Crisis of 1961}} | |||
] (1917–1963) and ] (1894–1971) in ], Austria in May 1961]] | |||
When Kennedy ran for president in 1960, one of his key election issues was an alleged "]" with the Soviets. In fact the US at that time was ahead of the Soviets and by an increasingly wide margin. In 1961 the Soviets had four ] ]s (ICBMs); by October 1962, some intelligence estimates indicated a figure of 75.<ref name="afmag"/> | |||
The US had 170 ICBMs and was quickly building more. It also had eight {{sclass|George Washington|submarine|5}}- and {{sclass|Ethan Allen|submarine|0}} ]s, with the capability to launch 16 ] missiles, each with a range of {{convert|2500|nmi|km}}. The Soviet ], ], increased the perception of a 'missile gap' when he boasted to the world that the Soviets were building missiles "like sausages", but Soviet missile numbers and capabilities were nowhere close to his assertions. The Soviet Union had ]s in quantity, about 700, but they were unreliable and inaccurate. The US had a considerable advantage in total number of nuclear warheads (27,000 against 3,600) and in the technology required for accurate delivery. The US also led in ] capabilities, naval and air power. The Soviets had a two-to-one advantage in conventional ground forces, particularly in ]s and tanks in the European theatre.<ref name="afmag"/> | |||
In early 1962, a group of Soviet military and missile construction specialists accompanied an agricultural delegation to Havana. They obtained a meeting with Cuban leader ]. The Cuban leadership had a strong expectation that the US would invade Cuba again and they enthusiastically approved the idea of installing nuclear missiles in Cuba. Specialists in missile construction under the guise of "machine operators", "irrigation specialists" and "agricultural specialists" arrived in July.<ref name=hansen/> Marshal Sergei Biryuzov, chief of the Soviet Rocket Forces, led a survey team that visited Cuba. He told Khrushchev that the missiles would be concealed and camouflaged by the palm trees.<ref name="afmag"/> | |||
Khrushchev also thought Kennedy was weak. This impression was confirmed by the President's response during the ], particularly to the building of the ] by ] to prevent its citizens from ].<ref>{{cite encyclopedia|url=https://www.britannica.com/topic/Berlin-Wall|title=Berlin Wall|encyclopedia=]|date=September 7, 2023 }}</ref> The half-hearted nature of the Bay of Pigs invasion reinforced his impression that Kennedy was indecisive and, as one Soviet aide wrote, "too young, intellectual, not prepared well for decision making in crisis situations... too intelligent and too weak".<ref name=Absher /> Speaking to Soviet officials in the aftermath of the crisis, Khrushchev said, "I know for certain that Kennedy doesn't have a strong background, nor, generally speaking, does he have the courage to stand up to a serious challenge." He told his son ] that on Cuba, Kennedy "would make a fuss, make more of a fuss, and then agree".<ref>{{cite book|last=Kempe|first=Frederick|title=Berlin 1961|page=491|year=2011|publisher=Penguin Group USA}}</ref> | |||
The Cuban leadership was further upset when in September Congress approved US Joint Resolution 230, which expressed Congress's resolve to prevent the creation of an externally-supported military establishment.<ref name=blight/> On the same day, the US announced a major military exercise in the Caribbean, ], which Cuba denounced as a deliberate provocation and proof that the US planned to invade Cuba.<ref name=blight/><ref name="thedays">{{cite web|url=http://library.thinkquest.org/10826/cuba.htm |title=The Days the World Held Its Breath |accessdate=4-3-2010 |publisher= |date=July 31, 1997}}</ref> | |||
==Prelude== | |||
Khrushchev and Castro agreed to place strategic nuclear missiles secretly in Cuba. Like Castro, Khrushchev felt that a US invasion of Cuba was imminent, and that to lose Cuba would do great harm to the communist cause, especially in Latin America. He said he wanted to confront the Americans "with more than words... the logical answer was missiles".<ref>{{cite book|last=Weldes |first=Jutta |title=Constructing National Interests: The United States and the Cuban Missile Crisis |publisher=University of Minnesota Press |year=1999|isbn=978-0-8166-3111-7}}</ref>{{rp|29}} The Soviets maintained their tight secrecy, writing their plans longhand, which were approved by ] on July 4 and Khrushchev on July 7. | |||
=== Conception === | |||
In May 1962, Soviet First Secretary ] decided to counter the growing lead of the US in developing and deploying strategic missiles by placing Soviet intermediate-range nuclear missiles in Cuba, despite the misgivings of the Soviet Ambassador in Havana, ], who argued that Castro would not accept them.<ref>{{cite web|last=Alexeyev|first=Alexandr|title=Interview|url=http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/NSAEBB/NSAEBB400/docs/Interview%20with%20Alekseev.pdf|access-date=March 30, 2013|archive-date=March 29, 2013|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130329112225/http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/NSAEBB/NSAEBB400/docs/Interview%20with%20Alekseev.pdf|url-status=live}}</ref> Khrushchev faced a strategic situation in which the US was perceived to have a "splendid ]" capability that put the Soviet Union at a disadvantage. In 1962, the Soviets had only 20 ]s capable of delivering nuclear warheads to the US from inside the Soviet Union.<ref name="Allison 1999 92">{{cite book|last=Allison|first=Graham and Philip Zelikow|title=Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis|year=1999|publisher=Addison Wesley Longman|location=New York|isbn=978-0-321-01349-1|page=|url=https://archive.org/details/essenceofdecisio00alli_0/page/92}}</ref> Their poor accuracy and reliability raised serious doubts about their effectiveness. A newer, more reliable generation of Soviet ICBMs only became operational after 1965.<ref name="Allison 1999 92"/> | |||
Soviet nuclear capability in 1962 placed less emphasis on ICBMs than on medium and intermediate-range ballistic missiles (] and ]) which could strike American allies and most of ] from Soviet territory, but not the ]. As Graham Allison, the director of ]'s ], pointed out, "The Soviet Union could not right the nuclear imbalance by deploying new ICBMs on its own soil. In order to meet the threat it faced in 1962, 1963, and 1964, it had very few options. Moving existing nuclear weapons to locations from which they could reach American targets was one."<ref>{{cite book|last=Allison|first=Graham and Philip Zelikow|title=Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis|year=1999|publisher=Addison Wesley Longman|location=New York|isbn=978-0-321-01349-1|pages=|url=https://archive.org/details/essenceofdecisio00alli_0/page/94}}</ref> | |||
The Soviet leadership believed, based on their perception of Kennedy's lack of confidence during the Bay of Pigs Invasion, that he would avoid confrontation and accept the missiles as a ''fait accompli''.<ref name=Absher/>{{rp|1}} On September 11, the Soviet Union publicly warned that a US attack on Cuba or on Soviet ships carrying supplies to the island would mean war.<ref name=franklin /> The Soviets continued their ''Maskirovka'' program to conceal their actions in Cuba. They repeatedly denied that the weapons being brought into Cuba were offensive in nature. On September 7, Soviet Ambassador ] assured US Ambassador to the United Nations ] that the USSR was supplying only defensive weapons to Cuba. On September 11, the Soviet News Agency TASS announced that the Soviet Union has no need or intention to introduce offensive nuclear missiles into Cuba. On October 13, Dobrynin was questioned by former Undersecretary of State ] about whether the Soviets plan to put offensive weapons in Cuba. He denied any such plans.<ref name=blight>{{cite book|last=Blight|first=James G.|coauthors=Bruce J. Allyn and David A. Welch|title=Cuba on the Brink: Castro, the Missile Crisis, and the Soviet Collapse; |publisher=Rowman & Littlefield|location=Lanham, Maryland| year=2002| edition=2nd |isbn=978-0-7425-2269-5}}</ref> And again on October 17, Soviet embassy official Georgy Bolshakov brought President Kennedy a "personal message" from Khrushchev reassuring him that "under no circumstances would surface-to-surface missiles be sent to Cuba."<ref name=blight/>{{rp|494}} | |||
A second reason that Soviet missiles were deployed to Cuba was that Khrushchev wanted to bring ], which was controlled by the American, British and French within Communist ], into the Soviet orbit. The East Germans and Soviets considered western control over a portion of ] to be a threat to East Germany. Khrushchev made West Berlin the central battlefield of the Cold War. He believed that if the US did nothing over the deployments of missiles in Cuba, he could force the West out of Berlin by using the missiles as a deterrent to western countermeasures in Berlin. If the US tried to bargain with the Soviets after it became aware of them, Khrushchev could demand a trade of the missiles for West Berlin. Since Berlin was strategically more important than Cuba, the trade would be a win for Khrushchev, as Kennedy recognized: "The advantage is, from Khrushchev's point of view, he takes a great chance but there are quite some rewards to it."<ref>{{cite book|last=Allison|first=Graham and Philip Zelikow|title=Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis|year=1999|publisher=Addison Wesley Longman|location=New York|isbn=978-0-321-01349-1|page=|url=https://archive.org/details/essenceofdecisio00alli_0/page/105}}</ref> | |||
As early as August 1962, the United States suspected the Soviets of building missile facilities in Cuba. During that month, its intelligence services gathered information about sightings by ground observers of Russian-built ] fighters and ] light bombers. ] spyplanes found ] (NATO designation ''SA-2'') surface-to-air missile sites at eight different locations. CIA director ] was suspicious. On August 10, he wrote a memo to President Kennedy in which he guessed that the Soviets were preparing to introduce ballistic missiles into Cuba.<ref name="afmag">{{cite journal|url=http://www.airforce-magazine.com/MagazineArchive/Pages/2005/August%202005/0805u2.aspx|title=Airpower and the Cuban Missile Crisis |last=Correll |first=John T. |date=August 2005|volume=88|issue=8 |journal=AirForce-Magazine.com|accessdate=May 4, 2010}}</ref> On August 31, Senator ] (R-New York), who probably received his information from Cuban exiles in Florida,<ref name="afmag"/> warned on the Senate floor that the Soviet Union may be constructing a missile base in Cuba.<ref name="franklin"/> | |||
Thirdly, it seemed from the perspective both of the Soviet Union and of Cuba that the United States wanted to invade Cuba or increase its presence there. In view of actions which included an attempt to expel Cuba from the ],<ref name="cuban-missile-crisis-nationalsecurityarchive">{{Cite book|title=The Cuban missile crisis, 1962: a National Security Archive (U.S.) Documents Reader|date=1998|publisher=W.W. Norton & Co.|editor1=Laurence Chang|editor2=Peter Kornbluh|others=Foreword by Robert S. McNamara|isbn=978-1-56584-474-2|edition=Revised|location=New York|oclc=40952458|url=https://nsarchive2.gwu.edu/nsa/publications/DOC_readers/cmcread/cmcread.html}}</ref> a campaign of ] on civilians which the US was carrying out on Cuba,{{refn|name=uscuba1}} economic sanctions against the country and an earlier ] the island, Cuban officials understood that America was trying to overrun their country. The USSR would respond by placing missiles on Cuba, which would secure the country against attack and keep it in the Socialist Bloc.<ref name=Mi12/> | |||
Air Force General ] presented a pre-invasion bombing plan to Kennedy in September, while spy flights and minor military harassment from US forces at ] were the subject of continual Cuban diplomatic complaints to the US government.<ref name="franklin"/> | |||
] missiles, with the capability to strike Moscow with nuclear warheads, were ] in 1961.]] | |||
The first consignment of ] missiles arrived on the night of September 8, followed by a second on September 16. The R-12 was the first operational intermediate-range ballistic missile, the first missile ever mass-produced, and the first Soviet missile deployed with a ] warhead. It was a single-stage, road-transportable, surface-launched, storable propellant fueled missile that could deliver a ] nuclear weapon.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/world/russia/r-12-specs.htm|title=R-12 / SS-4 SANDAL|publisher=Global Security|accessdate=April 30, 2010 }}</ref> The Soviets were building nine sites—six for ] medium-range missiles (NATO designation '']'') with an effective range of {{convert|2000|km}} and three for ] intermediate-range ballistic missiles (NATO designation ''SS-5 Skean'') with a maximum range of {{convert|4500|km}}.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/world/russia/r-14-specs.htm|title=R-14 / SS-5 SKEAN |publisher=Global Security|accessdate=April 30, 2010}}</ref> | |||
American missiles could have been launched from Turkey to attack the USSR before the Soviets had a chance to react. Placing nuclear missiles on Cuba would have created a balance of ]. If the United States launched a nuclear strike against the Soviet Union, the Soviets would have been able to react by launching a retaliatory nuclear strike against the US.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2012/oct/22/cuban-missile-crisis-nikita-khrushchev|title=Cuban missile crisis: Nikita Khrushchev's Cuban gamble misfired {{!}} Paul Wingrove|last=Wingrove|first=Paul|date=October 22, 2012|website=The Guardian|language=en|access-date=May 18, 2018|archive-date=July 5, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180705033345/https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2012/oct/22/cuban-missile-crisis-nikita-khrushchev|url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
Placing nuclear missiles on Cuba was also a way for the USSR to show support for Cuba and the Cuban people who viewed the United States as a threat.<ref name="cuban-missile-crisis-nationalsecurityarchive"/> The USSR had become Cuba's ally after the Cuban Revolution of 1959. According to Khrushchev, the Soviet Union's motives were "aimed at allowing Cuba to live peacefully and develop as its people desire".<ref>{{Cite web | url=http://schoolshistory.org.uk/topics/world-history/cold-war-1945-1972/cuban-missile-crisis-why-were-missiles-there/ | title=Cuban Missile Crisis: Why were missiles there? | access-date=May 18, 2018 | archive-date=May 19, 2018 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180519032359/http://schoolshistory.org.uk/topics/world-history/cold-war-1945-1972/cuban-missile-crisis-why-were-missiles-there/ | url-status=live }}</ref> | |||
==Cuba positioning== | |||
On October 7, Cuban President ] spoke at the ]: "If ... we are attacked, we will defend ourselves. I repeat, we have sufficient means with which to defend ourselves; we have indeed our inevitable weapons, the weapons, which we would have preferred not to acquire, and which we do not wish to employ." | |||
], a historian and adviser to Kennedy, told ] in an interview on 16 October 2002 that Castro did not want the missiles, but Khrushchev pressured him to accept them. Castro was not completely happy with the idea, but the Cuban National Directorate of the Revolution accepted them, both to protect Cuba against US attack and to aid the Soviet Union.<ref name="Ramonet"/>{{rp|272}} | |||
=== Soviet military deployments === | |||
], ], and ] based on Cuba in nautical miles (NM)]] | |||
In early 1962, a group of Soviet military and missile construction specialists accompanied an agricultural delegation to Havana and met Cuban prime minister ]. According to one report, the Cuban leadership expected that the US would invade Cuba again and enthusiastically approved the idea of installing nuclear missiles on Cuba. According to another source, Castro objected to being made to look like a Soviet puppet, but was persuaded that missiles in Cuba would be an irritant to the US and would help the interests of the entire socialist camp.<ref name="gwu">{{cite web |url=http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/NSAEBB/NSAEBB393/ |title=The Soviet Cuban Missile Crisis: Castro, Mikoyan, Kennedy, Khrushchev, and the Missiles of November |publisher=The National Security Archive |date=October 10, 2012 |access-date=October 11, 2012 |archive-date=November 10, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20121110190118/http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/NSAEBB/NSAEBB393/ |url-status=live }}</ref> The deployment would include short-range tactical weapons with a range of 40km, usable only against naval vessels, that would provide a "nuclear umbrella" for attacks upon the island. | |||
By May, Khrushchev and Castro agreed to place strategic nuclear missiles secretly in Cuba. Like Castro, Khrushchev felt that a US invasion of Cuba was imminent and that to lose Cuba would do great harm to the communists, especially in Latin America. He said he wanted to confront the Americans "with more than words.... the logical answer was missiles".<ref>{{cite book|last=Weldes |first=Jutta |title=Constructing National Interests: The United States and the Cuban Missile Crisis |publisher=University of Minnesota Press |year=1999|isbn=978-0-8166-3111-7|page=29}}</ref> The Soviets maintained their tight secrecy, writing their plans in longhand, which were approved by ] ] on 4 July and Khrushchev on 7 July. | |||
The Soviets' operation entailed elaborate ], known as "]". All the planning and preparation for transporting and deploying the missiles was carried out in the utmost secrecy, with only a very few knowing the exact nature of the mission. Even the troops detailed for the mission were given misdirection by being told that they were headed for a cold region and were outfitted with ski boots, fleece-lined parkas, and other winter equipment. The Soviet code-name was ]. The ] flows into the ], and Anadyr is also the ] of ] and a bomber base in the far eastern region. All these measures were intended to conceal the program.<ref name=hansen>{{cite web|url=https://www.cia.gov/library/center-for-the-study-of-intelligence/kent-csi/vol46no1/pdf/v46i1a06p.pdf |title=Soviet Deception in the Cuban Missile Crisis |last=Hansen |first=James H. |work=Learning from the Past |access-date=May 2, 2010 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100607061839/https://www.cia.gov/library/center-for-the-study-of-intelligence/kent-csi/vol46no1/pdf/v46i1a06p.pdf |archive-date=June 7, 2010 }}</ref> | |||
Specialists in missile construction, under the guise of machine operators and agricultural specialists, arrived in July.<ref name=hansen/> A total of 43,000 foreign troops would ultimately be brought in.<ref name=WP>{{cite news|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/06/20/AR2008062002595.html|title=Cool Crisis Management? It's a Myth, Ask JFK|newspaper=The Washington Post|date=June 22, 2008|last1=Dobbs|first1=Michael|access-date=August 22, 2017|archive-date=July 2, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170702131906/http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/06/20/AR2008062002595.html|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite book |last=Dobbs |first=Michael |author-link=Michael Dobbs (journalist) |date=2008 |title=One Minute to Midnight: Kennedy, Khrushchev, and Castro on the Brink of Nuclear War |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=zfYGuP3DibYC&pg=PA66 |location=New York |publisher=Alfred A. Knopf |isbn=978-1-4000-4358-3 |page=66}}</ref> Chief Marshal of Artillery Sergei Biryuzov, Head of the Soviet Rocket Forces, led a survey team that visited Cuba. He told Khrushchev that the missiles would be concealed and camouflaged by palm trees.<ref name="afmag"/> The Soviet troops would arrive in Cuba heavily underprepared. They did not know that the tropical climate would render ineffective many of their weapons and much of their equipment. In the first few days of setting up the missiles, troops complained of fuse failures, excessive corrosion, overconsumption of oil, and generator blackouts.<ref>{{cite web |last1=Larson |first1=Emma |title="Blundering on the Brink": Cuban Missile Crisis Documents from the Central Archive of the Russian Ministry of Defense | Wilson Center |url=https://www.wilsoncenter.org/blog-post/blundering-brink-cuban-missile-crisis-documents-central-archive-russian-ministry-defense |website=www.wilsoncenter.org |publisher=The Wilson Center |access-date=1 April 2024}}</ref> | |||
As early as August 1962, the US suspected that the Soviets were building missile facilities in Cuba. During that month, its intelligence services gathered information of sightings by ground observers of Soviet-built ] fighters and ] light bombers. ] spy planes found ] (NATO designation ''SA-2'') ] sites at eight different locations. CIA director ] was suspicious. Sending antiaircraft missiles into Cuba, he reasoned, "made sense only if Moscow intended to use them to shield a base for ballistic missiles aimed at the United States".<ref>{{cite book|last=Allison|first=Graham and Philip Zelikow|title=Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis|year=1999|publisher=Addison Wesley Longman|location=New York|isbn=978-0-321-01349-1|page=|url=https://archive.org/details/essenceofdecisio00alli_0/page/80}}</ref> On 10 August, he wrote a memo to Kennedy in which he guessed that the Soviets were preparing to introduce ballistic missiles into Cuba.<ref name="afmag">{{cite journal|url=http://www.airforcemag.com/MagazineArchive/Pages/2005/August%202005/0805u2.aspx|title=Airpower and the Cuban Missile Crisis|last=Correll|first=John T.|date=August 2005|volume=88|issue=8|journal=Air Force Magazine|access-date=May 4, 2010|archive-date=June 13, 2013|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130613164558/http://www.airforcemag.com/MagazineArchive/Pages/2005/August%202005/0805u2.aspx|url-status=live}}</ref> Che Guevara himself traveled to the Soviet Union on 30 August 1962, to sign the final agreement regarding the deployment of missiles in Cuba.<ref>{{cite book |last= Abrams |first= Dennis |date=2013 |title=Ernesto "Che" Guevara | |||
|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=xsVbAgAAQBAJ&dq=che+guevara+nuclear+missiles&pg=PT83 |publisher=Infobase Learning |isbn=978-1-4381-4613-3}}</ref> The visit was heavily monitored by the ] as Guevara was being watched closely by American intelligence. While in the Soviet Union, Guevara argued with Khrushchev that the missile deal should be made public but Khrushchev insisted on total secrecy, and promised the Soviet Union's support if the Americans discovered the missiles. By the time Guevara arrived in Cuba, U-2 spy planes had already discovered the Soviet troops in Cuba.<ref>{{cite book |last1=Eric |first1=Luther |last2=Henken |first2=Ted |date=2001 |title=Che Guevara |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=-ZiMFkQ1hjkC&q=che+guevara+missiles |publisher=Alpha |page=165 |isbn=978-0-02-864199-7}}</ref> | |||
With important Congressional elections scheduled for November, the crisis became enmeshed in American politics. On 31 August, Senator ] (R-New York) warned on the Senate floor that the Soviet Union was "in all probability" constructing a missile base in Cuba. He charged the Kennedy administration with covering up a major threat to the US, thereby starting the crisis.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://digitalarchive.wilsoncenter.org/assets/media_files/000/019/308/19308.pdf|title=Congressional Record|access-date=January 27, 2019|archive-date=August 11, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170811063346/http://digitalarchive.wilsoncenter.org/assets/media_files/000/019/308/19308.pdf|url-status=live}}</ref> He may have received this initial "remarkably accurate" information from his friend, former congresswoman and ambassador ], who in turn received it from Cuban exiles.<ref>{{cite book|last=Stern|first=Sheldon M.|title=Averting 'the Final Failure': John F. Kennedy and the Secret Cuban Missile Crisis Meetings|url=https://archive.org/details/avertingthefinal00ster|url-access=registration|year=2003|publisher=Stanford University Press|page=|isbn=978-0-8047-4846-9}}</ref> A later confirming source for Keating's information may have been the West German ambassador to Cuba, who had received information from dissidents inside Cuba that Soviet troops had arrived in Cuba in early August and were seen working "in all probability on or near a missile base". The ambassador passed this information to Keating on a trip to Washington in early October.<ref name="Wilson Center 21 February 2017">{{cite web | title= Senator Keating's Source: How West German intelligence discovered Soviet missiles in Cuba | url= https://www.wilsoncenter.org/blog-post/senator-keatings-source | last= Henning | first= Heiko | date= February 21, 2017 | website= ] | access-date= January 31, 2019 | archive-date= January 27, 2019 | archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20190127094209/https://www.wilsoncenter.org/blog-post/senator-keatings-source | url-status= live }}</ref> Air Force General ] presented a pre-invasion bombing plan to Kennedy in September, and spy flights and minor military harassment from US forces at ] were the subject of continual Cuban diplomatic complaints to the US government.<ref name=Franklin16/> | |||
] | |||
The first consignment of Soviet ] missiles arrived on the night of 8 September, followed by a second on 16 September. The R-12 was a medium-range ballistic missile capable of carrying a ] warhead.<ref name="R-12 Specs.">{{cite web|last=Zak |first=Anatoly |title=Rockets: R-12 |url=http://www.russianspaceweb.com/r12.html |publisher=RussianSpaceWeb.com |access-date=October 21, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20121004160729/http://www.russianspaceweb.com/r12.html |archive-date=October 4, 2012 |location=Morristown, New Jersey |year=2012 |url-status=live }}</ref> It was a single-stage, road-transportable, surface-launched, storable liquid propellant-fuelled missile that could deliver a ] nuclear weapon.{{citation needed|date=November 2022}} The Soviets were building nine sites, six for ] medium-range missiles (NATO designation '']'') with an effective range of {{convert|2000|km}} and three for ] intermediate-range ballistic missiles (NATO designation ''SS-5 Skean'') with a maximum range of {{convert|4500|km}}.<ref>{{Cite web |title=Nuclear Close Calls: The Cuban Missile Crisis - Nuclear Museum |url=https://ahf.nuclearmuseum.org/ahf/history/nuclear-close-calls-cuban-missile-crisis/ |access-date=2024-11-14 |website=ahf.nuclearmuseum.org/ |language=en-US}}</ref> | |||
On 7 October, Cuban President ] spoke at the ]: "If... we are attacked, we will defend ourselves. I repeat, we have sufficient means with which to defend ourselves; we have indeed our inevitable weapons, the weapons, which we would have preferred not to acquire, and which we do not wish to employ."<ref>{{cite web |title=The Cuban Missile Crisis Timeline |url=http://www.nuclearfiles.org/menu/key-issues/nuclear-weapons/history/cold-war/cuban-missile-crisis/timeline.htm |website=NuclearFiles.org |access-date=April 8, 2020 |archive-date=February 20, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200220024319/http://www.nuclearfiles.org/menu/key-issues/nuclear-weapons/history/cold-war/cuban-missile-crisis/timeline.htm |url-status=live }}</ref> On 11 October in another Senate speech, Sen Keating reaffirmed his earlier warning of 31 August and stated that, "Construction has begun on at least a half dozen launching sites for intermediate range tactical missiles."<ref>{{cite web|url=https://digitalarchive.wilsoncenter.org/assets/media_files/000/019/307/19307.pdf|title=Congressional Record|access-date=January 27, 2019|archive-date=August 11, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170811063247/http://digitalarchive.wilsoncenter.org/assets/media_files/000/019/307/19307.pdf|url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
The Cuban leadership was further upset when on 20 September, the ] approved Joint Resolution 230, which stated that the US was determined "to prevent in Cuba the creation or use of an externally-supported military capability endangering the security of the United States".<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/STATUTE-76/pdf/STATUTE-76-Pg697.pdf |title=Joint resolution expressing the determination of the United States with respect to the situation in Cuba – P.L. 87-733 |date=October 3, 1962 |publisher=U.S. Government Printing Office |access-date=September 28, 2014 |archive-date=June 5, 2015 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150605041146/http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/STATUTE-76/pdf/STATUTE-76-Pg697.pdf |url-status=live }}</ref><ref name=blight/> On the same day, the US announced a major military exercise in the Caribbean, ], which Cuba denounced as a deliberate provocation and proof that the US planned to invade Cuba.<ref name=blight/><ref name="thedays">{{cite web |url=http://library.thinkquest.org/10826/cuba.htm |title=The Days the World Held Its Breath |access-date=March 4, 2010 |date=July 31, 1997 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090608122553/http://library.thinkquest.org/10826/cuba.htm |archive-date=June 8, 2009 }}</ref>{{Unreliable source?|date=October 2013}} | |||
The Soviet leadership believed, based on its perception of Kennedy's lack of confidence during the Bay of Pigs Invasion, that he would avoid confrontation and would accept the missiles as a {{Lang|fr|fait accompli}}.<ref name=Absher/>{{rp|1}} On 11 September, the Soviet Union publicly warned that a US attack on Cuba or on Soviet ships that were carrying supplies to the island would mean war.<ref name=Franklin16/> The Soviets continued the ''Maskirovka'' program to conceal their actions in Cuba. They repeatedly denied that the weapons being brought into Cuba were offensive in nature. On 7 September, ] ] assured ] ] that the Soviet Union was supplying only defensive weapons to Cuba. On 11 September, the ] (TASS: ''Telegrafnoe Agentstvo Sovetskogo Soyuza'') announced that the Soviet Union had no need or intention to introduce offensive nuclear missiles into Cuba. On 13 October, Dobrynin was questioned by former Undersecretary of State ] about whether the Soviets planned to put offensive weapons in Cuba. He denied any such plans.<ref name=blight>{{cite book|last1=Blight|first1=James G. |first2=Bruce J. |last2=Allyn |first3=David A.|last3=Welch|title=Cuba on the Brink: Castro, the Missile Crisis, and the Soviet Collapse; |publisher=Rowman & Littlefield|location=Lanham, Maryland| year=2002| edition=2nd |isbn=978-0-7425-2269-5}}</ref> On 17 October, Soviet embassy official Georgy Bolshakov brought President Kennedy a personal message from Khrushchev reassuring him that "under no circumstances would surface-to-surface missiles be sent to Cuba."<ref name=blight/>{{rp|494}} | |||
==Missiles reported== | ==Missiles reported== | ||
Missiles placed in Cuba would enable the Soviets to target most of the Continental US. The planned arsenal consisted of forty launchers. The Cuban populace observed the arrival and deployment of the missiles and hundreds of reports reached Miami. US intelligence received countless reports, many of dubious quality or even laughable, most of which could be dismissed as describing defensive missiles.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.khanacademy.org/humanities/us-history/postwarera/1960s-america/a/the-cuban-missile-crisis|title=The Cuban Missile Crisis|access-date=May 21, 2020|website=www.khanacademy.org|language=en|archive-date=July 27, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200727100728/https://www.khanacademy.org/humanities/us-history/postwarera/1960s-america/a/the-cuban-missile-crisis|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=https://resources.saylor.org/wwwresources/archived/site/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/Cuban-Missile-Crisis.pdf|title=Cuban Missile Crisis|access-date=May 21, 2020|website=www.resources.saylor.org|language=en|archive-date=July 27, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200727074616/https://resources.saylor.org/wwwresources/archived/site/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/Cuban-Missile-Crisis.pdf|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.nationalcoldwarexhibition.org/schools-colleges/national-curriculum/cuban-missile-crisis/deployment-of-missiles.aspx|title=Deployment of Missiles|access-date=May 21, 2020|website=www.nationalcoldwarexhibition.org|language=en|archive-date=July 27, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200727104202/https://www.nationalcoldwarexhibition.org/schools-colleges/national-curriculum/cuban-missile-crisis/deployment-of-missiles.aspx|url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
Only five reports bothered the analysts. They described large trucks passing through towns at night that were carrying very long canvas-covered cylindrical objects and could not make turns through towns without backing up and maneuvering. Defensive missile transporters, it was believed, could make such turns without undue difficulty. The reports could not be satisfactorily dismissed.<ref name=GWUgraybeal>{{cite web |url=http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/coldwar/interviews/episode-21/graybeal3.html |publisher=], National Security Archive |work=Episode 21 |title=Interview with Sidney Graybeal – 29 January 1998 |date=March 14, 1999 |access-date=March 25, 2006 |archive-date=January 15, 2015 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150115214838/http://www2.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/coldwar/interviews/episode-21/graybeal3.html |url-status=live }}</ref> | |||
] | |||
] | |||
===U-2 flights find missiles=== | |||
Despite the increasing evidence of a military build-up on Cuba, no U-2 flights were made over Cuba from September 5 until October 14. The first problem that caused the pause in reconnaissance flights took place on August 30, an Air Force ] U-2 flew over ] in the Far East by mistake. The Soviets lodged a protest and the US apologized. Nine days later, a Taiwanese-operated U-2 <ref> ''Taiwan Air Blog'', updated 11 April 2007. Retrieved: 14 September 2009.</ref><ref> ''Taiwan Air Blog'', updated 15 April 2007. Retrieved: 14 September 2009.</ref> was lost over western China, probably to a ]. US officials were worried that one of the Cuban or Soviet SAMs in Cuba might shoot down a CIA U-2, initiating another international incident. At the end of September, Navy reconnaissance aircraft photographed the Soviet ship ''Kasimov'' with large crates on its deck the size and shape of ].<ref name=afmag/> | |||
===Aerial confirmation=== | |||
On October 12, the administration decided to transfer the Cuban U-2 reconnaissance missions to the Air Force. In the event another U-2 was shot down, they thought a cover story involving Air Force flights would be easier to explain than CIA flights. There was also some evidence that the Department of Defense and the Air Force lobbied to get responsibility for the Cuban flights.<ref name=afmag/> When the reconnaissance missions were re-authorized on October 8, weather kept the planes from flying. The US first obtained photographic evidence of the missiles on October 14 when a ] flight piloted by Major ] took 928 pictures, capturing images of what turned out to be an SS-4 construction site at ], ], in western Cuba.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://future.state.gov/educators/slideshow/cuba/cuba2.html| title=Cuban Missile Crisis |publisher=US Department of State|accessdate=May 6, 2010}}</ref> | |||
The United States had been sending U-2 surveillance flights over Cuba since the failed Bay of Pigs Invasion.<ref>Pedlow, Gregory, The Central Intelligence Agency and Overhead Reconnaissance. CIA. 1962.</ref> A pause in reconnaissance flights occurred on 30 August 1962 when a U-2 operated by the US Air Force's ] flew over ] in the ] by mistake. The Soviets lodged a protest and the US apologized. Nine days later, a ]<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111008222047/http://taiwanairpower.org/blog/?p=135 |date=October 8, 2011 }} ''Taiwan Air Blog'', updated April 11, 2007. Retrieved: September 14, 2009.</ref><ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111008222124/http://taiwanairpower.org/blog/?p=136 |date=October 8, 2011 }} ''Taiwan Air Blog'', updated April 15, 2007. Retrieved: September 14, 2009.</ref> was lost over western China to an ] ] (SAM). US officials were worried that one of the Cuban or Soviet SAMs in Cuba might shoot down a CIA U-2, causing another international incident. In a meeting with members of the Committee on Overhead Reconnaissance (COMOR) on 10 September 1962, Secretary of State ] and National Security Advisor ] restricted further U-2 flights over Cuban airspace. The resulting lack of coverage over the island for the next five weeks became known to historians as the "Photo Gap".<ref>Max Holland. {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150402113319/https://www.cia.gov/library/center-for-the-study-of-intelligence/csi-publications/csi-studies/studies/vol49no4/Photo_Gap_2.htm |date=April 2, 2015 }} ''Studies in Intelligence,'' Vol. 49, No. 4; published online April 15, 2007. Retrieved: March 22, 2015.</ref> No significant U-2 coverage was achieved over the interior of the island during this time. US officials attempted to use a ] photo-reconnaissance satellite to photograph reported Soviet military deployments, but the imagery acquired over western Cuba by a Corona KH-4 mission on October 1 1962 was obscured by clouds and haze and did not provide usable intelligence.<ref>{{Cite journal | doi=10.1080/02684527.2015.1005495|title = Corona over Cuba: The Missile Crisis and the Early Limitations of Satellite Imagery Intelligence| journal=Intelligence and National Security| volume=31| issue=3| pages=416–438|year = 2016|last1 = Caddell|first1 = Joseph W.|s2cid = 154433400}}</ref> At the end of September, Navy reconnaissance aircraft photographed the Soviet ship ''Kasimov'' with large crates on its deck the size and shape of Il-28 jet bomber fuselages.<ref name=afmag/> | |||
In September 1962, analysts from the ] (DIA) noticed that Cuban surface-to-air missile sites were arranged in a pattern similar to those used by the Soviet Union to protect ICBM bases, and the DIA lobbied for resumption of U-2 flights over the island.<ref> {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130604140041/http://www.dia.mil/public-affairs/testimonies/2011-08-12.html |date=June 4, 2013}}. Association of Former Intelligence Officers, August 12, 2011</ref> In the past the flights had been conducted by the CIA, but pressure from the Defense Department led to that authority being transferred to the Air Force.<ref name=afmag/> After the loss of a CIA U-2 over the Soviet Union in ], it was thought that if another U-2 were shot down, an Air Force aircraft apparently being used for a legitimate military purpose would be easier to explain than a CIA flight. | |||
When reconnaissance missions were permitted again, on 9 October 1962, poor weather kept the planes from flying. The US first obtained U-2 photographic evidence of the Soviet missiles on 14 October 1962, when a U-2 flight piloted by Major ] took 928 pictures on a path selected by DIA analysts, capturing images of what turned out to be an SS-4 construction site at ], ] (now in ]), in western Cuba.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://future.state.gov/educators/slideshow/cuba/cuba2.html|title=Cuban Missile Crisis|publisher=U.S. Department of State|access-date=May 6, 2010|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100527171609/http://future.state.gov/educators/slideshow/cuba/cuba2.html|archive-date=May 27, 2010}}</ref> | |||
] | |||
===President notified=== | ===President notified=== | ||
On 15 October 1962, the CIA's ] (NPIC) reviewed the U-2 photographs and identified objects that appeared to be medium range ballistic missiles. This identification was made partly on the strength of reporting provided by ], a ] in the ] working for the ] and ]. Although he provided no direct reports of Soviet missile deployments to Cuba, technical and doctrinal details of Soviet missile regiments that had been provided by Penkovsky in the months and years prior to the crisis helped NPIC analysts to identify the missiles in U-2 imagery.<ref>Vladislav Zubok & Constantine Pleshkov, ''Inside the Kremlin's Cold War'', 1996, p. 264, Harvard Press, Massachusetts {{ISBN|0-674-45532-0}}</ref> | |||
That evening, the CIA notified the ] and at 8:30pm ], Bundy chose to wait until the next morning to tell the President. McNamara was briefed at midnight. The next morning, Bundy showed Kennedy the U-2 photographs and briefed him on the CIA's analysis of the images.<ref>{{cite web | url=https://www.loc.gov/exhibits/archives/colc.html | title=Revelations from the Russian Archives | publisher=Library of Congress | access-date=April 20, 2010 | archive-date=December 2, 2017 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171202121300/http://www.loc.gov/exhibits/archives/colc.html | url-status=live }}</ref> At 6:30 pm EDT, Kennedy convened a meeting of the nine members of the National Security Council and five other key advisers,<ref>{{cite web|url=http://microsites.jfklibrary.org/cmc/oct16/doc3.html|title=Off the Record Meeting on Cuba: The White House|access-date=August 26, 2011|publisher=John F. Kennedy Presidential Library and Museum|date=October 16, 1962|archive-date=October 11, 2011|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111011124723/http://microsites.jfklibrary.org/cmc/oct16/doc3.html|url-status=live}}</ref> in a group he named the ] (EXCOMM) after the fact on 22 October by National Security Action Memorandum 196.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://microsites.jfklibrary.org/cmc/oct22/doc2.html|title=National Security Action Memorandum 196|access-date=August 26, 2011|publisher=JFK Presidential Library and Museum|date=October 22, 1962|archive-date=October 11, 2011|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111011124739/http://microsites.jfklibrary.org/cmc/oct22/doc2.html|url-status=live}}</ref> Without informing the members of EXCOMM, President Kennedy tape-recorded all of their proceedings, and Sheldon M. Stern, head of the Kennedy library transcribed some of them.<ref>''Averting The Final Failure, John F. Kennedy and the Secret Cuban Missile Crisis Meetings'', Sheldon M. Stern, Stanford University Press, 2003.</ref><ref>''The Cuban Missile Crisis in American Memory: Myths versus Reality (Stanford Nuclear Age Series)'', Sheldon M. Stern, Stanford University Press, 2012</ref> | |||
On 16 October, President Kennedy notified ] ] that he was convinced the Soviets were placing missiles on Cuba, that it was a legitimate threat and that the possibility of nuclear destruction by two world superpowers had become a reality. Robert Kennedy responded by contacting the Soviet Ambassador, ]. Robert Kennedy expressed his "concern about what was happening" and Dobrynin "was instructed by Soviet Chairman Nikita S. Khrushchev to assure President Kennedy that there would be no ground-to-ground missiles or offensive weapons placed in Cuba". Khrushchev further assured Kennedy that the Soviet Union had no intention of "disrupting the relationship of our two countries" despite the photo evidence presented before President Kennedy.<ref>{{cite book |last=Kennedy |first=Robert |title=Thirteen Days: A Memoir of the Cuban Missile Crisis |year=1999 |location=New York |publisher=W.W. Norton & Company |pages=19–21 |isbn=0-393-31834-6}}</ref> | |||
===Responses considered=== | ===Responses considered=== | ||
] with General ] and the reconnaissance pilots who found the missile sites in Cuba.]] | |||
The US had no plan for a response in place because it had never expected that the Soviets would install nuclear missiles on Cuba. EXCOMM discussed several possible courses of action:<ref>{{cite book|last=Allison|first=Graham T.|author-link=Graham T. Allison|author2=Zelikow, Philip D.|title=Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis|publisher=Addison Wesley Longman|location=New York|pages=|isbn=978-0-321-01349-1|year=1999|edition=2nd|orig-date=1971|title-link=Essence of Decision}}</ref> | |||
# Do nothing: American vulnerability to Soviet missiles was not new. | |||
The US had no plan in place because US intelligence had been convinced that the Soviets would never install nuclear missiles in Cuba. The EXCOMM quickly discussed several possible courses of action, including:<ref name="thedays"/><ref>{{cite book | last = Allison | first = Graham T.| authorlink = Graham T. Allison |coauthor=Zelikow, Philip D.| title = ] | publisher = Addison Wesley Longman |location=New York| pages = 111–116 | isbn = 978-0-321-01349-1 | year = 1999|edition=2nd|origyear=1971}}</ref> | |||
# Diplomacy: Use diplomatic pressure to induce the Soviet Union to remove the missiles. | |||
# Secret approach: Offer Castro the choice of parting from the Soviets or being invaded. | |||
# No action. | |||
# Invasion: Full-force invasion of Cuba and overthrow of Castro. | |||
# Diplomacy: Use diplomatic pressure to get the Soviet Union to remove the missiles. | |||
# Warning: Send a message to Castro to warn him of the grave danger he, and Cuba were in. | |||
# Blockade: Use the US Navy to block any missiles from arriving in Cuba. | |||
# Air strike: Use the US Air Force to attack all known missile sites. | # Air strike: Use the US Air Force to attack all known missile sites. | ||
# Blockade: Use the US Navy to block any missiles from arriving in Cuba. | |||
# Invasion: Full force invasion of Cuba and overthrow of Castro. | |||
] models how both actors would have considered their decisions. It is broken down into a simple form for basic understanding.]] | |||
The ] unanimously agreed that a full-scale attack and invasion was the only solution. They believed that the Soviets would not attempt to stop the US from conquering Cuba. Kennedy was skeptical. | |||
The ] unanimously agreed that a full-scale attack and invasion was the only solution. They believed that the Soviets would not attempt to stop the US from conquering Cuba. Kennedy was skeptical: | |||
{{Block quote|They, no more than we, can let these things go by without doing something. They can't, after all their statements, permit us to take out their missiles, kill a lot of Russians, and then do nothing. If they don't take action in Cuba, they certainly will in Berlin.<ref name=rfkennedy>{{cite book | last = Kennedy | first = Robert | authorlink = Robert F. Kennedy | title = Thirteen Days: A Memoir of the Cuban Missile Crisis | publisher = W.W. Norton & Company | page = 14 | isbn = 978-0-393-09896-9 | year = 1971 }}</ref>}} | |||
{{Blockquote|text=They, no more than we, can let these things go by without doing something. They can't, after all their statements, permit us to take out their missiles, kill a lot of Russians, and then do nothing. If they don't take action in Cuba, they certainly will in Berlin.<ref name=rfkennedy>{{cite book |last=Kennedy |first=Robert |author-link=Robert F. Kennedy |title=Thirteen Days: A Memoir of the Cuban Missile Crisis |publisher=W.W. Norton & Company |page= |isbn=978-0-393-09896-9 |year=1971 |url=https://archive.org/details/thirtee_ken_1971_00_8923/page/14 }}</ref>}} | |||
Kennedy concluded that attacking Cuba by air would signal the Soviets to presume "a clear line" to conquer Berlin. Kennedy also believed that United States' allies would think of the US as "trigger-happy cowboys" who lost Berlin because they could not peacefully resolve the Cuban situation.<ref name="axelrod2009">{{cite book|last=Axelrod|first=Alan |title=The Real History of the Cold War: A New Look at the Past |publisher=Sterling Publishing Co.|location=New York|year=2009| isbn=978-1-4027-6302-1| url=http://books.google.com/?id=ZnYHG1eK-2AC| accessdate=April 22, 2010}}</ref>{{rp|332}} | |||
Kennedy concluded that attacking Cuba by air would signal the Soviets to presume "a clear line" to conquer Berlin. Kennedy also believed that US allies would think of the country as "trigger-happy cowboys" who lost Berlin because they could not peacefully resolve the Cuban situation.<ref name="axelrod2009">{{cite book|last=Axelrod|first=Alan |title=The Real History of the Cold War: A New Look at the Past |publisher=Sterling Publishing Co.|location=New York|year=2009| isbn=978-1-4027-6302-1| url=https://archive.org/details/realhistoryofcol0000axel|url-access=registration| pages=, 335 | access-date=April 22, 2010}}</ref> | |||
] | |||
The EXCOMM then discussed the effect on the strategic balance of power, both political and military. The Joint Chiefs of Staff believed that the missiles would seriously alter the military balance, but Secretary of Defense ] disagreed. He was convinced that the missiles would not affect the strategic balance at all. An extra forty, he reasoned, would make little difference to the overall strategic balance. The US already had approximately 5,000 strategic warheads,<ref>{{cite book|first=Robert Evan |last=Ornstein |title=New world new mind: moving toward conscious evolution|publisher=The University of Michigan, Doubleday |year=1989|unused_data=others}}</ref>{{rp|261}} while the Soviet Union had only 300. He concluded that the Soviets having 340 would not therefore substantially alter the strategic balance. In 1990, he reiterated that "it made ''no'' difference...The military balance wasn't changed. I didn't believe it then, and I don't believe it now."<ref>{{cite book|last=Blight|first=James G.|coauthors=David A. Welch |title=On the Brink: Americans and Soviets Reexamine the Cuban Missile Crisis |publisher= Hill and Wang|location=New York|year=1989|isbn=978-0374226343}}</ref> | |||
] meeting, 29 October 1962]] | |||
The EXCOMM agreed that the missiles would affect the ''political'' balance. First, Kennedy had explicitly promised the American people less than a month before the crisis that "if Cuba should possess a capacity to carry out offensive actions against the United States...the United States would act."<ref>{{cite journal|last=Kennedy |first=J. |title=The President's News Conference of September 13, 1962 |location=Washington, DC |publisher= Government Printing Office |year=1963|unused_data=DUPLICATE DATA: title=In Public Papers of the Presidents: John F Kennedy, 1962}}</ref>{{rp|674–681}} Second, US credibility amongst their allies, and amongst the American people, would be damaged if they allowed the Soviet Union to ''appear'' to redress the strategic balance by placing missiles in Cuba. Kennedy explained after the crisis that "it would have politically changed the balance of power. It would have appeared to, and appearances contribute to reality."<ref>{{cite journal|last=Kennedy, J. |title=After Two Years: A conversation with the president |date=December 17, 1962 |work=In 'Public Papers of the Presidents: John F. Kennedy, 1962' |location=Washington, DC. |publisher=Government Printing Office |year=1963 |pages=889–904}}</ref> | |||
EXCOMM considered the effect on the strategic balance of power, both political and military. The Joint Chiefs of Staff believed that the missiles would seriously alter the military balance, but McNamara disagreed. An extra 40, he reasoned, would make little difference to the overall strategic balance. The US already had approximately 5,000 strategic warheads,<ref>{{cite book|first=Robert Evan |last=Ornstein |title=New world new mind: moving toward conscious evolution|publisher=The University of Michigan, Doubleday |year=1989|page=261}}</ref> but the Soviet Union had only 300. McNamara concluded that the Soviets having 340 would not therefore substantially alter the strategic balance. In 1990, he reiterated that "it made ''no'' difference.... The military balance wasn't changed. I didn't believe it then, and I don't believe it now."<ref>{{cite book|last1=Blight|first1=James G.|first2=David A.|last2=Welch|title=On the Brink: Americans and Soviets Reexamine the Cuban Missile Crisis|publisher=Hill and Wang|location=New York|year=1989|isbn=978-0-374-22634-3|url=https://archive.org/details/onbrinkamericans00blig}}</ref> | |||
] | |||
It was agreed that the missiles would affect the ''political'' balance. Kennedy had explicitly promised the American people less than a month before the crisis that "if Cuba should possess a capacity to carry out offensive actions against the United States... the United States would act."<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/?pid=8867 |title=John F. Kennedy: "378 – The President's News Conference," September 13, 1962 |author1=Peters, Gerhard |author2=Woolley, John T |publisher=University of California – Santa Barbara |work=The American Presidency Project |access-date=September 28, 2014 |archive-date=June 5, 2015 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150605002141/http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/?pid=8867 |url-status=live }}</ref>{{rp|674–681}} Further, US credibility among its allies and people would be damaged if the Soviet Union appeared to redress the strategic imbalance by placing missiles in Cuba. Kennedy explained after the crisis that "it would have politically changed the balance of power. It would have appeared to, and appearances contribute to reality."<ref>{{cite journal|last=Kennedy, J. |title=After Two Years: A conversation with the president |date=December 17, 1962|journal=In 'Public Papers of the Presidents: John F. Kennedy, 1962' |pages=889–904}}</ref> | |||
On October 18, President Kennedy met with Soviet Minister of Foreign Affairs, ], who claimed the weapons were for defensive purposes only. Not wanting to expose what he already knew, and wanting to avoid panicking the American public,<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.u-s-history.com/pages/h1736.html|title=Cuban Missile Crisis|publisher=Online Highways LLC|accessdate=May 5, 2010}}</ref> the President did not reveal that he was already aware of the missile build-up.<ref name=historyplace>{{cite web|url=http://www.historyplace.com/speeches/jfk-cuban.htm|title=JFK on the Cuban Missile Crisis|publisher=The History Place|accessdate=May 3, 2010}}</ref> | |||
], 18 October 1962.]] | |||
On 18 October 1962, Kennedy met ] ], who claimed that the weapons were for defensive purposes only. Not wanting to expose what he already knew and to avoid panicking the American public,<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.u-s-history.com/pages/h1736.html|title=Cuban Missile Crisis|publisher=Online Highways LLC|access-date=May 5, 2010|archive-date=April 22, 2010|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100422211753/http://www.u-s-history.com/pages/h1736.html|url-status=live}}</ref> Kennedy did not reveal that he was already aware of the missile buildup.<ref name=historyplace>{{cite web|url=http://www.historyplace.com/speeches/jfk-cuban.htm|title=JFK on the Cuban Missile Crisis|publisher=The History Place|access-date=May 3, 2010|archive-date=April 24, 2010|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100424024932/http://www.historyplace.com/speeches/jfk-cuban.htm|url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
By October 19, frequent U-2 spy flights showed four operational sites. As part of the blockade, the US military was put on high alert to enforce the blockade and to be ready to invade Cuba at a moment's notice. The ] was sent to ], and five army ] were alerted for maximal action. The ] (SAC) distributed its shorter-ranged ] ]s to civilian airports and sent aloft its ] ]s.<ref name=global/> | |||
==Operational |
==Operational plans== | ||
Two Operational Plans (OPLAN) were considered. OPLAN 316 envisioned a full invasion of Cuba by Army and Marine units, supported by the Navy, following Air Force and naval airstrikes. Army units in the US would have had difficulty fielding mechanised and logistical assets, and the US Navy could not supply enough amphibious shipping to transport even a modest armoured contingent from the Army. | |||
OPLAN 312, primarily an Air Force and Navy carrier operation, was designed with enough flexibility to do anything from engaging individual missile sites to providing air support for OPLAN 316's ground forces.<ref name="Kamps, Charles Tustin 2007, page 88">Kamps, Charles Tustin, "''The Cuban Missile Crisis''", Air & Space Power Journal, AU Press, Air University, Maxwell Air Force Base, Alabama, Fall 2007, Vol. XXI, No. 3, p. 88.</ref> | |||
== |
==Blockade== | ||
<!-- the article "Hedy Lamarr" links here --> | |||
{{listen|filename=John F Kennedy Address on the Buildup of Arms in Cuba.ogg|title=Address on the Buildup of Arms in Cuba|description=Kennedy addressing the nation on October 22, 1962 about the buildup of arms on Cuba}} | |||
] of VP-18 flying over a Soviet cargo ship with crated ] on deck during the Cuban Crisis |
] of ] flying over a Soviet cargo ship with crated ] on deck during the Cuban Crisis<ref>{{cite book|title=Dictionary of American Naval Aviation Squadrons|publisher=Naval Aviation History Office|chapter-url=http://www.history.navy.mil/avh-vol2/chap3-4.pdf|chapter=Third VP-18|page=2|access-date=January 16, 2011|date=November 9, 2000|volume=2|archive-date=December 6, 2010|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20101206052226/http://www.history.navy.mil/avh-vol2/chap3-4.pdf|url-status=live}}</ref>]] | ||
Kennedy |
Kennedy conferred with members of EXCOMM and other top advisers throughout 21 October and considered the two remaining options: an air strike primarily against the Cuban missile bases or a naval ] of Cuba.<ref name=historyplace/> A full-scale invasion was not the administration's first option. McNamara supported the naval blockade as a strong but limited military action that would leave the US in control. The term "blockade" was problematic – according to ], a blockade is an ], but the Kennedy administration did not think that the Soviets would be provoked to attack by a mere blockade.<ref>{{cite web|title=The Naval Quarantine of Cuba, 1962|url=http://www.history.navy.mil/faqs/faq90-5.htm|work=Report on the Naval Quarantine of Cuba, Operational Archives Branch, Post 46 Command File, Box 10, Washington, DC|publisher=Naval History & Heritage Command|access-date=January 25, 2011|archive-date=January 28, 2011|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110128153544/http://www.history.navy.mil/faqs/faq90-5.htm|url-status=live}}</ref> Legal experts at the ] and ] concluded that a declaration of war could be avoided if another legal justification, based on the ] for defence of the Western Hemisphere, was obtained from a resolution by a two-thirds vote from the members of the ] (OAS).<ref>{{cite book|last=Allison|first=Graham and Philip Zelikow|title=Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis|year=1999|publisher=Addison Wesley Longman|location=New York|isbn=978-0-321-01349-1|page=|url=https://archive.org/details/essenceofdecisio00alli_0/page/119}}</ref> | ||
] ], ] wrote a position paper that helped Kennedy to differentiate between a quarantine of offensive weapons and a blockade of all materials, |
] ], ] wrote a position paper that helped Kennedy to differentiate between what they termed a "quarantine"<ref name="quarantine term">{{cite web|year=2011|author=Ernest R May|url=https://www.bbc.co.uk/history/worldwars/coldwar/kennedy_cuban_missile_01.shtml#three|title=John F Kennedy and the Cuban Missile Crisis|access-date=February 7, 2012|archive-date=January 19, 2012|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120119211834/http://www.bbc.co.uk/history/worldwars/coldwar/kennedy_cuban_missile_01.shtml#three|url-status=live}} BBC History of the Cold War.</ref> of offensive weapons and a blockade of all materials, claiming that a classic blockade was not the original intention. Since it would take place in international waters, Kennedy obtained the approval of the OAS for military action under the hemispheric defence provisions of the Rio Treaty: | ||
{{ |
{{blockquote|text=Latin American participation in the quarantine now involved two Argentine destroyers which were to report to the US Commander South Atlantic at Trinidad on November 9. An Argentine submarine and a Marine battalion with lift were available if required. In addition, two Venezuelan destroyers (Destroyers ARV D-11 Nueva Esparta" and "ARV D-21 Zulia") and one submarine (Caribe) had reported to COMSOLANT, ready for sea by November 2. The Government of Trinidad and Tobago offered the use of ] Naval Base to warships of any OAS nation for the duration of the "quarantine". The Dominican Republic had made available one escort ship. Colombia was reported ready to furnish units and had sent military officers to the US to discuss this assistance. The Argentine Air Force informally offered three ] aircraft in addition to forces already committed to the "quarantine" operation.<ref name="flagship"/>}} | ||
{{ |
{{blockquote|text=This initially was to involve a naval blockade against offensive weapons within the framework of the ] and the ]. Such a blockade might be expanded to cover all types of goods and air transport. The action was to be backed up by surveillance of Cuba. The CNO's scenario was followed closely in later implementing the "quarantine."}} | ||
On 19 October, the EXCOMM formed separate working groups to examine the air strike and blockade options, and by the afternoon most support in the EXCOMM had shifted to a blockade. Reservations about the plan continued to be voiced as late as 21 October, the paramount concern being that once the blockade was put into effect, the Soviets would rush to complete some of the missiles and the US could find itself bombing operational missiles if the blockade had not already forced their removal.<ref name=Gibson2012>{{Cite book|last=Gibson |first=David R. |author-link=David R. Gibson |year=2012 |title=Talk at the Brink: Deliberation and Decision during the Cuban Missile Crisis |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=5v6SgKWAaywC |location=Princeton, NJ |publisher=Princeton University Press |edition=1st |isbn=978-0-691-15131-1}}</ref>{{rp|99–101}} | |||
On October 19, the EXCOMM formed separate working groups to examine the air strike and blockade options, and by the afternoon most support in the EXCOMM shifted to the blockade option. | |||
===Speech to the nation=== | |||
] on October 23, 1962.]] | |||
] on 23 October 1962.<ref name="proclamation-3504">{{cite web |url=http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/STATUTE-77/pdf/STATUTE-77-Pg958.pdf |title=Proclamation 3504 – Interdiction of the Delivery of Offensive Weapons to Cuba |date=October 23, 1962 |publisher=U.S. Government Printing Office |access-date=September 28, 2014 |archive-date=March 10, 2016 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160310170241/https://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/STATUTE-77/pdf/STATUTE-77-Pg958.pdf |url-status=live }}</ref>]] | |||
At 3:00 pm EDT on October 22, President Kennedy formally established the Executive Committee (EXCOMM) with National Security Action Memorandum (NSAM) 196. At 5:00 pm, he met with Congressional leaders who contentiously opposed a blockade and demanded a stronger response. In Moscow, Ambassador ] briefed Chairman Khrushchev on the pending blockade and Kennedy's speech to the nation. Ambassadors around the world gave advance notice to non-] leaders. Before the speech, US delegations met with Canadian Prime Minister ], British Prime Minister ], West German ] ], and French President ] to brief them on the US intelligence and their proposed response. All were supportive of the US position.<ref name="brink">{{cite web |url=http://www.cubacrisis.net/angl/pages/aubordset_02.html |title=Brinkmanship |work=The Cuban Missile Crisis exhibition |publisher=The Caen Mémorial | last=Buffet |first=Cyril |coauthors=Touze, Vincent |accessdate=May 3, 2010}}</ref> | |||
At 3:00 pm EDT on 22 October 1962, President Kennedy formally established the executive committee (EXCOMM) with National Security Action Memorandum (NSAM) 196. At 5:00 pm, he met Congressional leaders, who opposed a blockade and demanded a stronger response. In ], US Ambassador ] briefed Khrushchev on the pending blockade and Kennedy's speech to the nation. Ambassadors around the world gave notice to non-] leaders. Before the speech, US delegations met Canadian Prime Minister ], British Prime Minister ], ] ] ], French President ] and Secretary-General of the ], ] to brief them on this intelligence and the US's proposed response. All were supportive of the US position. Over the course of the crisis, Kennedy had daily telephone conversations with Macmillan, who was publicly supportive of US actions.<ref>{{cite journal |last1=Boyle |first1=Peter G. |date=September 1996 |title=The British Government's View of the Cuban Missile Crisis |journal=Contemporary British History |volume=10 |issue=3 |page=25 |doi=10.1080/13619469608581403}}</ref> | |||
Shortly before his speech, Kennedy telephoned former President ].<ref>{{cite web|url=http://jfk14thday.com/jfk-eisenhower-cuban-missile-crisis/|title=JFK Tapes » JFK and Dwight Eisenhower during the Cuban Missile Crisis|date=October 22, 1962|access-date=September 15, 2017|archive-date=September 10, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170910084353/http://jfk14thday.com/jfk-eisenhower-cuban-missile-crisis/|url-status=live}}</ref> Kennedy's conversation with the former president also revealed that the two had been consulting during the Cuban Missile Crisis.<ref name=ovalofficetapes1>{{cite web|url=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RFAdinz11CM|title=JFK Talks With Dwight Eisenhower About the Cuban Crisis (October 22, 1962)|last=David Von Pein's JFK Channel|date=August 30, 2013|via=YouTube|access-date=September 15, 2017|archive-date=September 20, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170920194857/https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RFAdinz11CM|url-status=live}}</ref> The two also anticipated that Khrushchev would respond to the Western world in a manner similar to his response during the ], and would possibly wind up trading off{{clarify|date=May 2022}} Berlin.<ref name=ovalofficetapes1 /> | |||
On October 22 at 7:00 pm EDT, President Kennedy delivered a nation-wide televised address on all of the major networks announcing the discovery of the missiles. | |||
{{listen | |||
{{Block quote|It shall be the policy of this nation to regard any nuclear missile launched from Cuba against any nation in the Western Hemisphere as an attack by the Soviet Union on the United States, requiring a full retaliatory response upon the Soviet Union.<ref name=upi/>}} | |||
| filename = John F Kennedy Address on the Buildup of Arms in Cuba.ogg | |||
| title = Address on the Buildup of Arms in Cuba | |||
| description = Kennedy addressing the nation on 22 October 1962 about the buildup of arms on Cuba | |||
}} | |||
{{Wikisource|Cuban Missile Crisis}} | |||
At 7:00 pm EDT on 22 October, Kennedy delivered a nationwide televised address on all of the major networks announcing the discovery of the missiles. He noted: | |||
{{blockquote|text=It shall be the policy of this nation to regard any nuclear missile launched from Cuba against any nation in the Western Hemisphere as an attack by the Soviet Union on the United States, requiring a full retaliatory response upon the Soviet Union.<ref name=upi/>}} | |||
Kennedy described the administration's plan: | Kennedy described the administration's plan: | ||
{{ |
{{blockquote|text=To halt this offensive buildup, a strict quarantine on all offensive military equipment under shipment to Cuba is being initiated. All ships of any kind bound for Cuba, from whatever nation or port, will, if found to contain cargoes of offensive weapons, be turned back. This quarantine will be extended, if needed, to other types of cargo and carriers. We are not at this time, however, denying the necessities of life as the Soviets attempted to do in their Berlin blockade of 1948.<ref name=upi>{{cite news|url=http://www.upi.com/Audio/Year_in_Review/Events-of-1962/Cuban-Missile-Crisis/12295509437657-6/|title=1962 Year In Review: Cuban Missile Crisis|year=1962|publisher=United Press International, Inc.|access-date=April 22, 2010|archive-date=May 2, 2010|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100502193203/http://www.upi.com/Audio/Year_in_Review/Events-of-1962/Cuban-Missile-Crisis/12295509437657-6/|url-status=live}}</ref>}} | ||
During the speech a directive went out to all US forces worldwide placing them on ] 3. The heavy cruiser |
During the speech, a directive went out to all US forces worldwide, placing them on ] 3. The ] {{USS|Newport News|CA-148|6}} was the designated ] for the blockade,<ref name="quarantine term" /> with {{USS|Leary|DD-879|6}} as ''Newport News''{{'}}s ] escort.<ref name="flagship">{{cite report |url=http://www.history.navy.mil/faqs/faq90-5c.htm |title=The Naval Quarantine of Cuba, 1962: Abeyance and Negotiation, 31 October – 13 November| date=January 2001 |publisher=Department of the Navy, Naval Historical Center|access-date=August 26, 2011|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20011130144007/http://history.navy.mil/faqs/faq90-5c.htm|archive-date=November 30, 2001}}</ref> Kennedy's speech writer ] stated in 2007 that the address to the nation was "Kennedy's most important speech historically, in terms of its impact on our planet."<ref name="20070422TheGuardianSorensen">{{cite news |author1=] |title=Great speeches of the 20th century: The Kennedys. Ted Sorenson: JFK's inaugural address was world-changing |url=https://www.theguardian.com/theguardian/2007/apr/22/greatspeeches1 |access-date=August 15, 2021 |work=The Guardian |date=April 22, 2007 |archive-url=https://archive.today/20210815074816/https://www.theguardian.com/theguardian/2007/apr/22/greatspeeches1 |archive-date=August 15, 2021 |url-status=live }}</ref> | ||
===Crisis deepens=== | ===Crisis deepens=== | ||
]'s letter to Kennedy (dated 24 October 1962) stating that the blockade of Cuba "constitute an act of aggression"<ref>{{cite report|editor-last=Sampson |editor-first=Charles S. |url=https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1961-63v06/d63 |title=63. Letter From Chairman Khrushchev to President Kennedy |date=October 24, 1962 |work=], 1961–1963, Volume VI, Kennedy–Khrushchev Exchanges |publisher=] |location=Washington, D.C. |access-date=September 28, 2014 |archive-date=February 9, 2015 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150209130849/https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1961-63v06/d63 |url-status=live}}</ref><ref name="loc-khrushchev-translation">{{cite web |url=https://www.loc.gov/exhibits/archives/x2jfk.html |title=Khruschev Letter to President Kennedy |website=] |date=October 24, 1962 |access-date=December 30, 2017 |archive-date=December 22, 2017 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171222101745/http://www.loc.gov/exhibits/archives/x2jfk.html |url-status=live }}</ref>]] | |||
an act of aggression..."]] | |||
On October 23 at 11:24 am EDT a cable drafted by ] to the US Ambassador in Turkey and the US Ambassador to ] notified them that they were considering making an offer to withdraw what the U.S knew to be nearly obsolete missiles from Italy and Turkey in exchange for the Soviet withdrawal from Cuba. Turkish officials replied that they would "deeply resent" any trade for the US missile's presence in their country.<ref name="chrono26oct15nov">{{cite web |url=http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/nsa/cuba_mis_cri/621026_621115%20Chronology%201.pdf|title=Chronology 1: October 26, 1962 to November 15, 1962 |work=The Cuban Missile Crisis, 1962 |publisher=The National Security Archive|accessdate=8 April 2011}}</ref> Two days later, on the morning of October 25, journalist ] proposed the same thing in his syndicated column. Castro reaffirmed Cuba's right to self-defense and said that all of its weapons were defensive and Cuba would not allow an inspection.<ref name=franklin/> | |||
At 11:24 am EDT on 24 October , a cable from ] ] to the US Ambassadors in Turkey and ] notified them that they were considering making an offer to withdraw missiles from Italy and Turkey in exchange for Soviet withdrawal from Cuba. Turkish officials replied that they would "deeply resent" any trade involving the US missile presence in their country.<ref name="chrono26oct15nov">{{cite web|url=https://nsarchive2.gwu.edu/nsa/cuba_mis_cri/620928_621025%20Chronology%201.pdf |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170824231024/http://nsarchive2.gwu.edu/nsa/cuba_mis_cri/620928_621025%20Chronology%201.pdf |archive-date=August 24, 2017 |url-status=live|title=Chronology 1: October 26, 1962 to November 15, 1962|work=The Cuban Missile Crisis, 1962|publisher=The National Security Archive|access-date=February 25, 2022}}</ref> One day later, on the morning of 25 October, American journalist ] proposed the same thing in his syndicated column. Castro reaffirmed Cuba's right to self-defense and said that all of its weapons were defensive and Cuba would not allow an inspection.<ref name=Franklin16/> | |||
===International response=== | ===International response=== | ||
Three days after Kennedy's speech, the Chinese '']'' announced that "650,000,000 Chinese men and women were standing by the Cuban people."<ref name="brink">{{cite web |url=http://www.cubacrisis.net/angl/pages/aubordset_02.html |title=Brinkmanship |work=The Cuban Missile Crisis exhibition |publisher=The Caen Mémorial |last=Buffet |first=Cyril |author2=Touze, Vincent |access-date=May 3, 2010 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100711144324/http://www.cubacrisis.net/angl/pages/aubordset_02.html |archive-date=July 11, 2010 }}</ref> In West Germany, newspapers supported the US response by contrasting it with the weak American actions in the region during the preceding months. They also expressed some fear that the Soviets might retaliate in Berlin. In France on 23 October, the crisis made the front page of all the daily newspapers. The next day, an editorial in '']'' expressed doubt about the authenticity of the CIA's photographic evidence. Two days later, after a visit by a high-ranking CIA agent, the newspaper accepted the validity of the photographs. In the 29 October issue of '']'', ] wrote in support of the American response.<ref name="cubacrisis">{{cite web |url=http://www.cubacrisis.net/angl/pages/aubord_rfa11.html |title=Germany, between Cuba and Berlin |work=The Cuban Missile Crisis exhibition |publisher=The Caen Mémorial |last=Buffet |first=Cyril |author2=Touze, Vincent |access-date=May 3, 2010 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100711174830/http://www.cubacrisis.net/angl/pages/aubord_rfa11.html |archive-date=July 11, 2010 }}</ref> On 24 October, ] sent a message to the Soviet embassy in Rome, to be transmitted to the ], in which he voiced his concern for peace. In this message he stated, "We beg all governments not to remain deaf to this cry of humanity. That they do all that is in their power to save peace."<ref>{{cite news|title=Pope John Helped settle the Cuban missile crisis|newspaper=The Telegraph|date=June 4, 1971}}</ref> | |||
===Soviet broadcast and communications=== | |||
Kennedy's speech was not well liked in Britain. The day after the speech, the British press, recalling previous CIA missteps, was unconvinced about the existence of Soviet bases in Cuba, and guessed that Kennedy's actions might be related to his re-election.<ref name=cubacrisis/> | |||
The crisis continued unabated, and on the evening of 24 October 1962, the Soviet TASS news agency broadcast a telegram from Khrushchev to Kennedy in which Khrushchev warned that the United States' "outright piracy" would lead to war.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.ibiblio.org/expo/soviet.exhibit/x2jfk.html|title=Outright Piracy|access-date=May 12, 2013|archive-date=May 26, 2013|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130526202736/http://www.ibiblio.org/expo/soviet.exhibit/x2jfk.html|url-status=live}}</ref> Khrushchev then sent at 9:24 pm a telegram to Kennedy, which was received at 10:52 pm EDT. Khrushchev stated, "if you weigh the present situation with a cool head without giving way to passion, you will understand that the Soviet Union cannot afford not to decline the despotic demands of the USA". The Soviet Union viewed the blockade as "an act of aggression" and their ships would be instructed to ignore it.<ref name="loc-khrushchev-translation"/> After 23 October, Soviet communications with the US increasingly showed indications of having been rushed. Undoubtedly a result of pressure, it was not uncommon for Khrushchev to repeat himself and to send messages lacking basic editing.<ref name=Mi12a/> With President Kennedy making known his aggressive intentions of a possible airstrike followed by an invasion on Cuba, Khrushchev sought a diplomatic compromise. Communications between the two superpowers had entered a new and revolutionary period, with the threat of mutual destruction now accompanying the deployment of nuclear weapons.<ref>{{Cite book|title=The Cuban Missile Crisis Revisited|last=Nathan|first=James|publisher=Palgrave Macmillan|year=1992|location=New York|page=7}}</ref> | |||
Three days after Kennedy's speech, the Chinese '']'' announced that "650,000,000 Chinese men and women were standing by the Cuban people".<ref name="brink"/> | |||
In Germany, newspapers supported the United States' response, contrasting it with the weak-kneed American actions in the region during the preceding months. They also expressed some fear that the Soviets might retaliate in Berlin.<ref name="cubacrisis">{{cite web|url=http://www.cubacrisis.net/angl/pages/aubord_rfa11.html | title=Germany, between Cuba and Berlin |work=The Cuban Missile Crisis exhibition |publisher=The Caen Mémorial | last=Buffet |first=Cyril |coauthors=Touze, Vincent |accessdate=May 3, 2010}}</ref> In France on October 23, the crisis made the front page of all the daily newspapers. The next day, an editorial in '']'' expressed doubt about the authenticity of the CIA's photographic evidence. Two days later, after a visit by a high-ranking CIA agent, they accepted the validity of the photographs. Also in France, in the October 29 issue of '']'', Raymond Aron wrote in support of the American response.<ref name="cubacrisis"/> | |||
===Soviet broadcast=== | |||
At the time, the crisis continued unabated, and on the evening of October 24, the Soviet news agency ] (TASS) broadcast a telegram from Khrushchev to President Kennedy, in which Khrushchev warned that the United States' "pirate action" would lead to war. However, this was followed at 9:24 pm by a telegram from Khrushchev to Kennedy which was received at 10:52 pm EDT, in which Khrushchev stated, "If you coolly weigh the situation which has developed, not giving way to passions, you will understand that the Soviet Union cannot fail to reject the arbitrary demands of the United States" and that the Soviet Union views the blockade as "an act of aggression" and their ships will be instructed to ignore it. | |||
===US alert level raised=== | ===US alert level raised=== | ||
] shows aerial photos of Cuban missiles to the United Nations |
] shows aerial photos of Cuban missiles to the United Nations, 25 October 1962.]] | ||
The |
The US requested an emergency meeting of the ] on 25 October and Ambassador to the United Nations, Adlai Stevenson, confronted Soviet Ambassador ] and challenged him to admit the existence of the missiles. Ambassador Zorin refused to answer. At 10:00 pm EDT the next day, the US raised the readiness level of ] (SAC) forces to DEFCON 2. For the only confirmed time in US history, ] bombers were put on continuous airborne alert. ] medium bombers were dispersed to military and civilian airfields and made ready to take off, fully equipped, at 15 minutes' notice.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.afgsc.af.mil/news/story.asp?id=123323100|title=SAC during the 13 Days of the Cuban Missile Crisis|first=Stephanie|last=Ritter|publisher=Air Force Global Strike Command|date=October 19, 2012|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130222100942/http://www.afgsc.af.mil/news/story.asp?id=123323100|archive-date=February 22, 2013}}</ref> One-eighth of SAC's 1,436 bombers were on airborne alert. Some 145 intercontinental ballistic missiles, some of which targeted Cuba, were placed on alert.<ref>{{cite news |last=Sowa |first=Tom |date=September 21, 2014 |title=Buried treasures |url=http://www.spokesman.com/stories/2014/sep/21/buried-treasures/ |newspaper=The Spokesman Review |location=Spokane, WA |access-date=January 26, 2017 |archive-date=February 2, 2017 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170202044051/http://www.spokesman.com/stories/2014/sep/21/buried-treasures/ |url-status=live }}</ref> ] (ADC) redeployed 161 nuclear-armed ] to 16 dispersal fields within nine hours, with one third on 15-minute ].<ref name="Kamps, Charles Tustin 2007, page 88"/> Twenty-three nuclear-armed B-52 bombers were sent to orbit points within striking distance of the Soviet Union to demonstrate that the US was serious.<ref>{{cite journal |first1=Vista |last1=Boyland |first2=Klyne D. |last2=Nowlin |date=January 2012 |title=WW III, A Close Call |journal=The Intercom |volume=35 |issue=1 |pages=19–20 |url=http://www.moaacc.org/Intercomjan12.pdf }}{{dead link|date=March 2018 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}</ref> ] later estimated that about 80 per cent of SAC's planes were ready for launch during the crisis. ] recalled that, by contrast:{{r|jstor2538995}} | ||
{{blockquote|the Russians were so thoroughly stood down, and we knew it. They didn't make any move. They did not increase their alert; they did not increase any flights, or their air defense posture. They didn't do a thing, they froze in place. We were never further from nuclear war than at the time of Cuba, never further.}} | |||
"By October 22, ] (TAC) had 511 fighters plus supporting tankers and reconnaissance aircraft deployed to face Cuba on one-hour alert status. However, TAC and the ] had problems. The concentration of aircraft in Florida strained command and support echelons; we faced critical undermanning in security, armaments, and communications; the absence of initial authorization for war-reserve stocks of conventional munitions forced TAC to scrounge; and the lack of airlift assets to support a major airborne drop necessitated the call-up of 24 Reserve squadrons."<ref name="Kamps, Charles Tustin 2007, page 88"/> | |||
By 22 October, ] (TAC) had 511 fighters plus supporting tankers and reconnaissance aircraft deployed to face Cuba on one-hour alert status. TAC and the ] had problems: the concentration of aircraft in Florida strained command and support echelons, which were facing critical undermanning in security, armaments, and communications. Absence of permission to use war-reserve stocks of conventional munitions forced TAC to scrounge supplies, and the lack of airlift assets to support a major airborne drop necessitated the call-up of 24 ] squadrons.<ref name="Kamps, Charles Tustin 2007, page 88"/> | |||
On October 25 at 1:45 am EDT, Kennedy responded to Khrushchev's telegram, stating that the US was forced into action after receiving repeated assurances that no offensive missiles were being placed in Cuba, and that when these assurances proved to be false, the deployment "required the responses I have announced... I hope that your government will take necessary action to permit a restoration of the earlier situation." | |||
] | |||
On 25 October at 1:45 am EDT, Kennedy responded to Khrushchev's telegram by stating that the US was forced into action after receiving repeated false assurances that no offensive missiles were being placed in Cuba. Deployment of the missiles "required the responses I have announced.... I hope that your government will take necessary action to permit a restoration of the earlier situation." | |||
===Quarantine challenged=== | |||
] showing the position of American and Soviet ships at the height of the crisis]] | |||
===Blockade challenged=== | |||
At 7:15 am EDT on October 25, the ] and ] attempted to intercept the ''Bucharest'' but failed to do so. Fairly certain the tanker did not contain any military materiel, they allowed it through the blockade. Later that day, at 5:43 pm, the commander of the blockade effort ordered the ] to intercept and board the Lebanese freighter ''Marucla''. This took place the next day, and the ''Marucla'' was cleared through the blockade after its cargo was checked.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.battleshipcove.org/news-boarding-marucla.htm|title=Boarding MARUCLA: A personal account from the Executive Officer of USS Joseph P. Kennedy, Jr|last=Reynolds|first=K.C.|accessdate=June 22, 2010}}</ref> | |||
At 7:15 am EDT on 25 October, {{USS|Essex|CV-9|6}} and {{USS|Gearing|DD-710|6}} attempted to intercept ''Bucharest'' but failed to do so. Fairly certain that the ] did not contain any military material, the US allowed it through the blockade. Later that day, at 5:43 pm, the commander of the blockade ordered the destroyer {{USS|Joseph P. Kennedy Jr.|DD-850|6}} to intercept and ] the ] freighter '']''. That took place the next day, and ''Marucla'' was cleared through the blockade after its cargo was checked.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.battleshipcove.org/news-boarding-marucla.htm|title=Boarding MARUCLA: A personal account from the Executive Officer of USS Joseph P. Kennedy Jr.|last=Reynolds|first=K.C.|access-date=June 22, 2010|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100922220852/http://battleshipcove.org/news-boarding-marucla.htm|archive-date=September 22, 2010}}</ref> | |||
At 5:00 pm EDT on |
At 5:00 pm EDT on 25 October, William Clements announced that the missiles in Cuba were still being worked on. This was later verified by a CIA report that suggested there had been no slowdown. In response, Kennedy issued Security Action Memorandum 199, authorizing the loading of nuclear weapons onto aircraft under the command of ], which had the duty of carrying out first air strikes on the Soviet Union. Kennedy claimed that the blockade had succeeded when the USSR turned back fourteen ships presumed to be carrying offensive weapons.<ref name="Goldman">{{cite web |last1=Goldman |first1=Jerry |last2=Stein |first2=Giel |title=The Cuban Missile Crisis, October 18–29, 1962 |url=http://www.hpol.org/jfk/cuban/ |work=History and Politics Out Loud |date=October 8, 1997 |archive-date=February 19, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120219195848/http://www.hpol.org/jfk/cuban/ |url-status=live}}</ref> The first indication of this was in a report from British ] sent to the White House ] which contained intercepted communications from Soviet ships reporting their positions. On 24 October, ''Kislovodsk,'' a Soviet cargo ship, reported a position north-east of where it had been 24 hours earlier, indicating it had "discontinued" its voyage and turned back towards the Baltic. The next day, further reports showed that more ships originally bound for Cuba had altered their course.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-50098955|title=Scarborough's Cuban missile crisis role revealed|last=Corera|first=Gordon|date=October 21, 2019|access-date=October 21, 2019|language=en-GB|archive-date=December 5, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191205204023/https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-50098955|url-status=live}}</ref> | ||
=== |
===Raising the stakes=== | ||
The next morning, 26 October, Kennedy informed EXCOMM that he believed only an invasion would remove the missiles from Cuba. He was persuaded to wait and continue with military and diplomatic pressure. He agreed and ordered low-level flights over the island to be increased from two per day to every two hours. He also ordered a crash program to institute a new civil government in Cuba if an invasion went ahead.{{cn|date=October 2024}} | |||
At this point the crisis appeared to be at a stalemate. The Soviets had shown no indication that they would back down and had made public media and private inter-government statements to that effect. The US had no reason to disbelieve them and was in the early stages of preparing an invasion of Cuba and a nuclear strike on the Soviet Union if it responded militarily, which the US assumed it would.<ref name=GWUCubaAG>{{cite web |url=http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/nsa/cuba_mis_cri/620119%20Meeting%20with%20the%20Attorney%20Gen..pdf |date=January 19, 1962 |title=Memorandum for the Director of Central Intelligence: Meeting with the Attorney General of the United States Concerning Cuba |author=Helms, Richard |publisher=], National Security Archive |access-date=January 22, 2008 |archive-date=October 14, 2014 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20141014105856/http://www2.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/nsa/cuba_mis_cri/620119%20Meeting%20with%20the%20Attorney%20Gen..pdf |url-status=live }}</ref> Kennedy had no intention of keeping these plans secret, and with an array of Cuban and Soviet spies present Khrushchev was made aware of them. | |||
The next morning, October 26, Kennedy informed the EXCOMM that he believed only an invasion would remove the missiles from Cuba. However, he was persuaded to give the matter time and continue with both military and diplomatic pressure. He agreed and ordered the low-level flights over the island to be increased from two per day to once every two hours. He also ordered a crash program to institute a new civil government in Cuba if an invasion went ahead. | |||
The implicit threat of air strikes on Cuba followed by an invasion allowed the United States to exert pressure in future talks, and the prospect of military action helped to accelerate Khrushchev's proposal for a compromise.<ref name=Mi12a/> Throughout the closing stages of October 1962, Soviet communications to the United States became increasingly defensive, and Khrushchev's tendency to use poorly phrased and ambiguous language during negotiations increased the United States' confidence and clarity in messaging. Leading Soviet figures failed to mention that only the Cuban government could agree to inspections of the territory, and continued to make arrangements relating to Cuba without Castro's knowledge. According to Dean Rusk, Khrushchev "blinked": he began to panic from the consequences of his own plan, and this was reflected in the tone of Soviet messages. This allowed the US to dominate negotiations in late October.<ref name=Mi12a>{{cite book |last=Mikoyan |first=Sergo|author-link=Sergo Mikoyan|title=The Soviet Cuban Missile Crisis: Castro, Mikoyan, Kennedy, Khrushchev, and the Missiles of November |date=2012 |publisher=] |location=Redwood City |isbn=978-0-8047-6201-4 |pages=148–155 |url=https://www.sup.org/books/title/?id=17376}}</ref> | |||
At this point, the crisis was ostensibly at a stalemate. The USSR had shown no indication that they would back down and had made several comments to the contrary. The US had no reason to believe otherwise and was in the early stages of preparing for an invasion, along with a nuclear strike on the Soviet Union in case it responded militarily, which was assumed.<ref name = GWUCubaAG>{{cite web | |||
| url = http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/nsa/cuba_mis_cri/620119%20Meeting%20with%20the%20Attorney%20Gen..pdf | |||
| date = January 19, 1962 | title = Memorandum for the Director of Central Intelligence: Meeting with the Attorney General of the United States Concerning Cuba | author = Helms, Richard (Deputy Director for Plans, CIA) | publisher = ], National Security Archive }}</ref> | |||
The escalating situation also caused Khrushchev to abandon plans for a possible ] invasion of ] which was being discussed in the Eastern Bloc following the ] the previous year.<ref>{{Cite web |title=Zbulohet plani i Rusisë për pushtimin e Shqipërisë |url=https://abcnews.al/zbulohet-plani-i-rusise-per-pushtimin-e-shqiperise/ |access-date=2023-03-22 |language=sq}}</ref> | |||
==Secret negotiations== | ==Secret negotiations== | ||
At 1:00 pm EDT on |
At 1:00 pm EDT on 26 October, ] of ] met Aleksandr Fomin, the cover name of ], the ] ] in Washington, at Fomin's request. Following the instructions of the ],<ref>{{Cite journal|url=http://vivovoco.astronet.ru/VV/JOURNAL/VRAN/FALSE.HTM |title=Проблемы борьбы с лженаукой (обсуждение в Президиуме РАН) |trans-title=Problems with Fighting Pseudoscience (Discussion at the Presidium of the Russian Academy of Sciences) |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20070321192034/http://vivovoco.astronet.ru/VV/JOURNAL/VRAN/FALSE.HTM |archive-date=March 21, 2007 |quote=The documents of the meeting of the Presidium of the Central Committee of the CPSU are very laconic, but thanks to the fact that in the archive I found an extract from the decision of the Presidium of the Central Committee of the CPSU, coinciding word for word with what was discussed at the meeting of the intelligence officer with the journalist, it became quite obvious who was the true author of the plan for settling the Caribbean crisis. |journal=Bulletin of the Russian Academy of Sciences |publisher=] |year=1999 |volume=69 |issue=10 |pages=879–904 |language=ru}}</ref> Fomin noted, "War seems about to break out." He asked Scali to use his contacts to talk to his "high-level friends" at the State Department to see if the US would be interested in a diplomatic solution. He suggested that the language of the deal would contain an assurance from the Soviet Union to remove the weapons under UN supervision and that Castro would publicly announce that he would not accept such weapons again, in exchange for a public statement by the US that it would not invade Cuba.<ref name=chrono28sep26oct>{{cite web|title=Chronology 1: September 28, 1962 to October 26, 1962|url=http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/nsa/cuba_mis_cri/620928_621025%20Chronology%201.pdf|work=The Cuban Missile Crisis, 1962|publisher=The National Security Archive|access-date=April 9, 2011|archive-date=May 14, 2011|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110514035225/http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/nsa/cuba_mis_cri/620928_621025%20Chronology%201.pdf|url-status=live}}</ref> The US responded by asking the ]ian government to pass a message to Castro that the US would be "unlikely to invade" if the missiles were removed.<ref name="chrono26oct15nov"/> | ||
{{Quote box | |||
{{Quote box|align=right|quote=Mr. President, we and you ought not now to pull on the ends of the rope in which you have tied the knot of war, because the more the two of us pull, the tighter that knot will be tied. And a moment may come when that knot will be tied so tight that even he who tied it will not have the strength to untie it, and then it will be necessary to cut that knot, and what that would mean is not for me to explain to you, because you yourself understand perfectly of what terrible forces our countries dispose. | |||
| align = right | |||
| quote = Mr. President, we and you ought not now to pull on the ends of the rope in which you have tied the knot of war, because the more the two of us pull, the tighter that knot will be tied. And a moment may come when that knot will be tied so tight that even he who tied it will not have the strength to untie it, and then it will be necessary to cut that knot, and what that would mean is not for me to explain to you, because you yourself understand perfectly of what terrible forces our countries dispose. | |||
Consequently, if there is no intention to tighten that knot and thereby to doom the world to the catastrophe of thermonuclear war, then let us not only relax the forces pulling on the ends of the rope, let us take measures to untie that knot. We are ready for this. |
Consequently, if there is no intention to tighten that knot and thereby to doom the world to the catastrophe of thermonuclear war, then let us not only relax the forces pulling on the ends of the rope, let us take measures to untie that knot. We are ready for this. | ||
| source = — Letter From Chairman Khrushchev to President Kennedy, 26 October 1962<ref>{{cite web|title=Department of State Telegram Transmitting Letter From Chairman Khrushchev to President Kennedy|url=http://microsites.jfklibrary.org/cmc/oct26/doc4.html|work=The Cuban Missile Crisis, October 1962|publisher=John F. Kennedy Presidential Library and Museum|access-date=9 April 2011|date=26 October 1962|archive-date=27 April 2011|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110427084706/http://microsites.jfklibrary.org/cmc/oct26/doc4.html}}</ref> | |||
| width = 40% | |||
}} | |||
At 6:00 pm EDT on 26 October, the State Department started receiving a message that appeared to be written personally by Khrushchev. It was Saturday 2:00 am in Moscow. The long letter took several minutes to arrive, and it took translators additional time to translate and transcribe it.<ref name="chrono26oct15nov"/> | |||
Robert Kennedy described the letter as "very long and emotional". Khrushchev reiterated the basic outline that had been stated to |
] described the letter as "very long and emotional". Khrushchev reiterated the basic outline that had been stated to Scali earlier in the day: "I propose: we, for our part, will declare that our ships bound for Cuba are not carrying any armaments. You will declare that the United States will not invade Cuba with its troops and will not support any other forces which might intend to invade Cuba. Then the necessity of the presence of our military specialists in Cuba will disappear." At 6:45 pm EDT, news of Fomin's offer to Scali was finally heard and was interpreted as a "set up" for the arrival of Khrushchev's letter. The letter was then considered official and accurate, although it was later learned that Fomin was almost certainly operating without official backing. Additional study of the letter was ordered and continued into the night.<ref name="chrono26oct15nov"/> | ||
===Crisis continues=== | ===Crisis continues=== | ||
{{ |
{{blockquote|Direct aggression against Cuba would mean nuclear war. The Americans speak about such aggression as if they did not know or did not want to accept this fact. I have no doubt they would lose such a war.|], October 1962<ref>{{cite news |url=http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/us_and_americas/article5062895.ece |title=Attack us at your Peril, Cocky Cuba Warns US |first=Henry |last=Brandon |work=The Sunday Times |location=London |date=October 28, 1962 |access-date=November 19, 2008 |archive-date=June 29, 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110629141930/http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/us_and_americas/article5062895.ece |url-status=dead }}</ref>}} | ||
] with V-750V 1D missile (NATO SA-2 Guideline) on a launcher. |
] with V-750V 1D missile (NATO designation SA-2 Guideline) on a launcher. A similar installation shot down Major Anderson's U-2 over Cuba.]] | ||
Castro, on the other hand, was convinced that an invasion was soon at hand, and he dictated a letter to ] that appeared to call for a preemptive strike on the US. However, in a 2010 interview, Castro said of his recommendation for the Soviets to bomb America "After I've seen what I've seen, and knowing what I know now, it wasn't worth it at all."<ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-11226158 |first= Jeffrey |last=Goldberg |publisher=BBC |date=September 8, 2010 | title=Cuban model no longer works, says Fidel Castro}}</ref> Castro also ordered all anti-aircraft weapons in Cuba to fire on any US aircraft,<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.marxists.org/history/cuba/subject/missile-crisis/ch03.htm|title=Cuban History Missile Crisis|last=Baggins|first=Brian |work=Marxist History: Cuba (1959 – present)|publisher=Marxists Internet Archive|accessdate=May 7, 2010}}</ref> whereas in the past they had been ordered only to fire on groups of two or more. At 6:00 am EDT on October 27, the CIA delivered a memo reporting that three of the four missile sites at San Cristobal and the two sites at Sagua la Grande appeared to be fully operational. They also noted that the Cuban military continued to organize for action, although they were under order not to initiate action unless attacked.{{Citation needed|date=May 2010}} | |||
Castro, on the other hand, was convinced that an invasion of Cuba was imminent, and on 26 October he sent a telegram to Khrushchev that appeared to call for a ] on the US in case of attack. In a 2010 interview, Castro expressed regret about his 1962 stance on ]: "After I've seen what I've seen, and ], it wasn't worth it at all."<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-11226158 |first=Jeffrey |last=Goldberg |publisher=BBC |date=September 8, 2010 |title=Cuban model no longer works, says Fidel Castro |access-date=July 21, 2018 |archive-date=October 5, 2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181005072634/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-11226158 |url-status=live }}</ref> Castro also ordered all anti-aircraft weapons in Cuba to fire on any US aircraft.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.marxists.org/history/cuba/subject/missile-crisis/ch03.htm|title=Cuban History Missile Crisis|last=Baggins|first=Brian|work=Marxist History: Cuba (1959 – present)|publisher=Marxists Internet Archive|access-date=May 7, 2010|archive-date=June 20, 2010|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100620115457/http://marxists.org/history/cuba/subject/missile-crisis/ch03.htm|url-status=live}}</ref> Previous orders had been to fire only on groups of two or more. At 6:00 am EDT on 27 October, the CIA delivered a memo reporting that three of the four missile sites at San Cristobal and both sites at Sagua la Grande appeared to be fully operational. It also noted that the Cuban military continued to organise for action but was under order not to act unless attacked.{{Citation needed|date=May 2010}} | |||
At 9:00 am EDT on October 27, ] began broadcasting a message from Khrushchev. Contrary to the letter of the night before, the message offered a new trade, that the missiles on Cuba would be removed in exchange for the removal of the ] missiles from Italy and Turkey. At 10:00 am EDT, the executive committee met again to discuss the situation and came to the conclusion that the change in the message was due to internal debate between Khrushchev and other party officials in the Kremlin.<ref>{{cite book |title=For the President's Eyes Only: Secret Intelligence and the American Presidency from Washington to Bush |last=Christopher |first= Andrew |page=688 |isbn=978-0-06-092178-1|publisher=Harper Perennial |date=March 1, 1996}}</ref>{{rp|300}} McNamara noted that another tanker, the ''Grozny'', was about {{convert|600|mi|km|-1}} out and should be intercepted. He also noted that they had not made the USSR aware of the quarantine line and suggested relaying this information to them via ] at the United Nations. | |||
At 9:00 am EDT on 27 October, ] began broadcasting a message from Khrushchev. Contrary to the letter of the night before, the message offered a new trade: the missiles on Cuba would be removed in exchange for the removal of the Jupiter missiles from Italy and Turkey. At 10:00 am EDT, the executive committee met again to discuss the situation and came to the conclusion that the change in the message was because of internal debate between Khrushchev and other party officials in the Kremlin.<ref>{{cite book |title=For the President's Eyes Only: Secret Intelligence and the American Presidency from Washington to Bush |last=Christopher |first= Andrew |pages=688 |isbn=978-0-06-092178-1|publisher=Harper Perennial |date=1996}}</ref> Kennedy realised that he would be in an "insupportable position if this becomes Khrushchev's proposal" because the missiles in Turkey were not militarily useful and were being removed anyway, and "It's gonna – to any man at the United Nations or any other rational man, it will look like a very fair trade." Bundy explained why Khrushchev's public acquiescence could not be considered: "The current threat to peace is not in Turkey, it is in Cuba."<ref name="The Week The World Stood Still: Inside The Secret Cuban Missile Crisis">{{Cite book|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=s9kOngGBclEC |title=The Week The World Stood Still: Inside The Secret Cuban Missile Crisis |first=Sheldon M. |last=Stern |year=2005 |edition=1st |publisher=Stanford University Press |location=Stanford, CA |isbn=978-0-8047-5077-6 |pages=149, 154}}</ref> | |||
McNamara noted that another tanker, the ''Grozny'', was about {{convert|600|mi|km|-1}} out and should be intercepted. He also noted that they had not made the Soviets aware of the blockade line and suggested relaying that information to them via ] at the ].<ref>{{cite journal|last=Dorn|first=A. Walter|author-link=Walter Dorn|author2=Pauk, Robert|title=Unsung Mediator: U Thant and the Cuban Missile Crisis|journal=]|date=April 2009|volume=33|number=2|pages=261–292|url=http://walterdorn.org/pub/144|doi=10.1111/j.1467-7709.2008.00762.x|access-date=September 18, 2012|archive-date=June 28, 2013|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130628035518/http://walterdorn.org/pub/144|url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
] U-2F, the high altitude reconnaissance type shot down over Cuba, being refueled by a ] ]Q. The aircraft in 1962 was painted overall gray and carried USAF military markings and national insignia.]] | ] U-2F, the high altitude reconnaissance type shot down over Cuba, being refueled by a ] ]Q. The aircraft in 1962 was painted overall gray and carried USAF military markings and national insignia.]] | ||
While the meeting progressed, at 11:03 am EDT a new message began to arrive from Khrushchev. The message stated, in part |
While the meeting progressed, at 11:03 am EDT a new message began to arrive from Khrushchev. The message stated, in part: | ||
"You are disturbed over Cuba. You say that this disturbs you because it is ninety-nine miles by sea from the coast of the United States of America. But... you have placed destructive missile weapons, which you call offensive, in Italy and Turkey, literally next to us.... I therefore make this proposal: We are willing to remove from Cuba the means which you regard as offensive.... Your representatives will make a declaration to the effect that the United States... will remove its analogous means from Turkey... and after that, persons entrusted by the United Nations Security Council could inspect on the spot the fulfillment of the pledges made." | |||
The executive committee continued to meet through the day. | The executive committee continued to meet through the day. | ||
Throughout the crisis, Turkey had repeatedly stated that it would be upset if the ] missiles were removed. Italy's Prime Minister ], who was also Foreign Minister ''ad interim'', offered to allow withdrawal of the missiles deployed in ] as a bargaining chip. He gave the message to one of his most trusted friends, ], |
Throughout the crisis, Turkey had repeatedly stated that it would be upset if the ] missiles were removed. Italy's Prime Minister ], who was also Foreign Minister ''ad interim'', offered to allow withdrawal of the missiles deployed in ] as a bargaining chip. He gave the message to one of his most trusted friends, ], general manager of ], to convey to ] Bernabei was in New York to attend an international conference on satellite TV broadcasting. | ||
] shot down over Cuba on display at ] in ] |
] shot down over Cuba on display at ] in ]]] | ||
On the morning of |
On the morning of 27 October, a U-2F (the third CIA U-2A, modified for air-to-air refuelling) piloted by USAF Major ],<ref>{{cite book |last=Pocock |first=Chris |title=50 Years of the U-2: The Complete Illustrated History of the 'Dragon Lady' |publisher=Schiffer Publishing, Ltd. |location=] |lccn=2005927577 |isbn=978-0-7643-2346-1 |page=406|year=2005 }}</ref> departed its forward operating location at ], Florida. At approximately 12:00 pm EDT, the aircraft was struck by an SA-2 surface-to-air missile launched from Cuba. The aircraft crashed, and Anderson was killed. Stress in negotiations between the Soviets and the US intensified; only later was it assumed that the decision to fire the missile was made locally by an undetermined Soviet commander, acting on his own authority. Later that day, at about 3:41 pm EDT, several US Navy ] aircraft, on low-level photo-reconnaissance missions, were fired upon. | ||
At 4:00 pm EDT, Kennedy recalled members of EXCOMM to the ] and ordered that a message should immediately be sent to U Thant asking the Soviets to suspend work on the missiles while negotiations were carried out. During the meeting, General ] delivered the news that the U-2 had been shot down. Kennedy had earlier claimed he would order an attack on such sites if fired upon, but he decided to not act unless another attack was made. On 28 October 1962, Khrushchev told his son Sergei that the shooting down of Anderson's U-2 was by the "Cuban military at the direction of ]".<ref>{{cite web |title=Was Castro Out of Control In 1962? |url=http://reformation.org/castro-out-of-control-in-1962.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160812194801/http://reformation.org/castro-out-of-control-in-1962.html |archive-date=August 12, 2016 |access-date=September 1, 2016}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |last=Fontova |first=Humberto |date=2 October 2015 |title=Raul Castro meets with Bill Clinton in New York (To Thank Him?) |url=http://townhall.com/columnists/humbertofontova/2015/10/02/raul-castro-meets-with-bill-clinton-in-new-york-to-thank-him-n2060259 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160602115519/http://townhall.com/columnists/humbertofontova/2015/10/02/raul-castro-meets-with-bill-clinton-in-new-york-to-thank-him-n2060259 |archive-date=June 2, 2016 |access-date=September 1, 2016}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |title=An Act of Terrorism by Castro, An Abortion of Justice by Obama |url=http://www.capitolhillcubans.com/2016/02/an-act-of-terrorism-by-castro-abortion.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160701183524/http://www.capitolhillcubans.com/2016/02/an-act-of-terrorism-by-castro-abortion.html |archive-date=July 1, 2016 |access-date=September 1, 2016}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |title=U-2 Pilot Maj. Rudy Anderson: The Only American Killed During the Cuban Missile Crisis – Defense Media Network |url=http://www.defensemedianetwork.com/stories/u-2-pilot-maj-rudy-anderson-the-only-american-killed-during-the-cuban-missile-crisis/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160404034458/http://www.defensemedianetwork.com/stories/u-2-pilot-maj-rudy-anderson-the-only-american-killed-during-the-cuban-missile-crisis/ |archive-date=April 4, 2016 |access-date=September 1, 2016}}</ref> | |||
At 4:00 pm EDT, Kennedy recalled members of EXCOMM to the ] and ordered that a message immediately be sent to U Thant asking the Soviets to "suspend" work on the missiles while negotiations were carried out. During this meeting, Maxwell Taylor delivered the news that the U-2 had been shot down. Kennedy had earlier claimed he would order an attack on such sites if fired upon, but he decided to not act unless another attack was made. In an interview 40 years later, McNamara said: | |||
On 27 October Bobby Kennedy relayed a message to the Soviet Ambassador that President Kennedy was under pressure from the military to use force against Cuba and that "an irreversible chain of events could occur against his will" as "the president is not sure that the military will not overthrow him and seize power". He therefore implored Khrushchev to accept Kennedy's proposed agreement.<ref>{{cite book |last1=Sabato |first1=Larry J. |title=The Kennedy Half-Century The Presidency, Assassination, and Lasting Legacy of John F. Kennedy |date=2013 |publisher=Bloomsbury Publishing |pages=482–483}}</ref> | |||
{{Block quote| We had to send a U-2 over to gain reconnaissance information on whether the Soviet missiles were becoming operational. We believed that if the U-2 was shot down that—the Cubans didn't have capabilities to shoot it down, the Soviets did—we believed if it was shot down, it would be shot down by a Soviet surface-to-air-missile unit, and that it would represent a decision by the Soviets to escalate the conflict. And therefore, before we sent the U-2 out, we agreed that if it was shot down we wouldn't meet, we'd simply attack. It was shot down on Friday . Fortunately, we changed our mind, we thought "Well, it might have been an accident, we won't attack." Later we learned that Khrushchev had reasoned just as we did: we send over the U-2, if it was shot down, he reasoned we would believe it was an intentional escalation. And therefore, he issued orders to Pliyev, the Soviet commander in Cuba, to instruct all of his batteries not to shoot down the U-2.<ref name=mcnamara group=note>McNamara mistakenly dates the shooting down of USAF ] ]'s U-2 on October 26.</ref><ref>{{cite video | people = Robert McNamara | title = ]| medium = DVD | publisher = Columbia Tristar Home Entertainment | location = | date =1964 }}</ref> }} | |||
Forty years later, McNamara said: | |||
===Drafting the response=== | |||
{{blockquote|text= We had to send a U-2 over to gain reconnaissance information on whether the Soviet missiles were becoming operational. We believed that if the U-2 was shot down that—the Cubans didn't have capabilities to shoot it down, the Soviets did—we believed if it was shot down, it would be shot down by a Soviet surface-to-air-missile unit, and that it would represent a decision by the Soviets to escalate the conflict. And therefore, before we sent the U-2 out, we agreed that if it was shot down we wouldn't meet, we'd simply attack. It was shot down on Friday.... Fortunately, we changed our mind, we thought "Well, it might have been an accident, we won't attack." Later we learned that Khrushchev had reasoned just as we did: we send over the U-2, if it was shot down, he reasoned we would believe it was an intentional escalation. And therefore, he issued orders to Pliyev, the Soviet commander in Cuba, to instruct all of his batteries not to shoot down the U-2.<ref name=mcnamara group=note>McNamara mistakenly dates the shooting down of USAF Major ]'s U-2 on October 26.</ref><ref>{{cite video |people=Robert McNamara |title=Interview included as special feature on ]| medium=DVD |publisher=Columbia Tristar Home Entertainment |year=2004 |orig-date=1964}}</ref>}} | |||
Emissaries sent by both Kennedy and Nikita Khrushchev agreed to meet at the Yenching Palace Chinese restaurant in the ] neighborhood of Washington D.C. on the evening of October 27.<ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/01/13/AR2007011301272.html|title=At Yenching Palace, Five Decades of History to Go|last=Frey|first=Jennifer |date=January 14, 2007|publisher=Washington Post|accessdate=December 27, 2008}}</ref> Kennedy suggested that they take Khrushchev's offer to trade away the missiles. Unknown to most members of the EXCOMM, Robert Kennedy had been meeting with the Soviet Ambassador in Washington to discover whether these intentions were genuine. The EXCOMM was generally against the proposal because it would undermine ]'s authority, and the Turkish government had repeatedly stated it was against any such trade. | |||
] said that ] told him in 1964 that after the U-2 was shot down and the pilot killed, he (RFK) told Soviet ambassador ], "You have drawn first blood ... . he president had decided against advice ... not to respond militarily to that attack, but he should know that if another plane was shot at, ... we would take out all the SAMs and anti-aircraft ... . And that would almost surely be followed by an invasion."<ref>Ellsberg (2017, p. 206).</ref> | |||
As the meeting progressed, a new plan emerged and Kennedy was slowly persuaded. The new plan called for the President to ignore the latest message and instead to return to Khrushchev's earlier one. Kennedy was initially hesitant, feeling that Khrushchev would no longer accept the deal because a new one had been offered, but ] argued that he might accept it anyway. White House Special Counsel and Adviser ] and Robert Kennedy left the meeting and returned 45 minutes later with a draft letter to this effect. The President made several changes, had it typed, and sent it. | |||
===Drafting response=== | |||
After the EXCOMM meeting, a smaller meeting continued in the ]. The group argued that the letter should be underscored with an oral message to Ambassador Dobrynin stating that if the missiles were not withdrawn, military action would be used to remove them. Dean Rusk added one proviso, that no part of the language of the deal would mention Turkey, but there would be an understanding that the missiles would be removed "voluntarily" in the immediate aftermath. The President agreed, and the message was sent. | |||
{{more citations needed|section|date=October 2017}}<!--4 paragraphs without citations--> | |||
Emissaries sent by both Kennedy and Khrushchev agreed to meet at the Yenching Palace Chinese restaurant in the ] neighbourhood of Washington, DC, on Saturday evening, 27 October.<ref>{{cite news|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/01/13/AR2007011301272.html|title=At Yenching Palace, Five Decades of History to Go|last=Frey|first=Jennifer|date=January 14, 2007|newspaper=]|access-date=December 27, 2008|archive-date=June 29, 2011|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110629052826/http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/01/13/AR2007011301272.html|url-status=live}}</ref> Kennedy suggested taking Khrushchev's offer to trade away the missiles. Unknown to most members of the EXCOMM, but with the support of his brother the president, Robert Kennedy had been meeting the Soviet Ambassador Dobrynin in Washington to discover whether the intentions were genuine.<ref>{{Cite journal|last=Hayes|first=Matthew A.|date=May 7, 2019|title=Robert Kennedy and the Cuban Missile Crisis: A Reassertion of Robert Kennedy's Role as the President's 'Indispensable Partner' in the Successful Resolution of the Crisis|journal=History|volume=104|issue=361|pages=473–503|language=en|doi=10.1111/1468-229X.12815|s2cid=164907501|issn=0018-2648|url=https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10075581/}}</ref> The EXCOMM was against the proposal because it would undermine NATO's authority, and the Turkish government had repeatedly stated that it was against any such trade. | |||
As the meeting progressed, a new plan emerged, and Kennedy was slowly persuaded. The new plan called for him to ignore the latest message and instead to return to Khrushchev's earlier one. Kennedy was initially hesitant, feeling that Khrushchev would no longer accept the deal because a new one had been offered, but ] argued that it was still possible.<ref name=Gibson2012 />{{rp|135–56}} White House Special Counsel and Adviser ] and Robert Kennedy left the meeting and returned 45 minutes later, with a draft letter to that effect. The President made several changes, had it typed, and sent it. | |||
] meeting on October 29, 1962 held in the White House Cabinet Room during the Cuban Missile Crisis. President Kennedy is to the left of the American flag; on his left is Secretary of Defense ] and his right is Secretary of State ].]] | |||
After the EXCOMM meeting, a smaller meeting continued in the ]. The group argued that the letter should be underscored with an oral message to Dobrynin that stated that if the missiles were not withdrawn, military action would be used to remove them. Rusk added one proviso that no part of the language of the deal would mention Turkey, but there would be an understanding that the missiles would be removed "voluntarily" in the immediate aftermath. The president agreed, and the message was sent. | |||
At ]{{specify|Not ] or the Dominican player ]! Where is this man from, and what position does he helded?}}'s request, Fomin and Scali met again. Scali asked why the two letters from Khrushchev were so different, and Fomin claimed it was because of "poor communications". Scali replied that the claim was not credible and shouted that he thought it was a "stinking double cross". He went on to claim that an invasion was only hours away, at which point Fomin stated that a response to the US message was expected from Khrushchev shortly, and he urged Scali to tell the State Department that no treachery was intended. Scali said that he did not think anyone would believe him, but he agreed to deliver the message. The two went their separate ways, and Scali immediately typed out a memo for the EXCOMM.{{Citation needed|date=May 2010}} | |||
] meeting in the White House Cabinet Room, with President Kennedy, ] and ] in attendance, 29 October 1962]] | |||
Within the US establishment, it was well understood that ignoring the second offer and returning to the first put Khrushchev in a terrible position. Military preparations continued, and all active duty Air Force personnel were recalled to their bases for possible action. Robert Kennedy later recalled the mood, "We had not abandoned all hope, but what hope there was now rested with Khrushchev's revising his course within the next few hours. It was a hope, not an expectation. The expectation was military confrontation by Tuesday, and possibly tomorrow..."{{Citation needed|date=May 2010}} | |||
At Rusk's request, Fomin and Scali met again. Scali asked why the two letters from Khrushchev were so different, and Fomin claimed it was because of "poor communications". Scali replied that the claim was not credible and shouted that he thought it was a "stinking double cross". He went on to claim that an invasion was only hours away, and Fomin stated that a response to the US message was expected from Khrushchev shortly and urged Scali to tell the State Department that no treachery was intended. Scali said that he did not think anyone would believe him, but he agreed to deliver the message. The two went their separate ways, and Scali immediately typed out a memo for the EXCOMM.<ref name=":0">{{Cite web|url=http://www.nuclearfiles.org/menu/key-issues/nuclear-weapons/history/cold-war/cuban-missile-crisis/timeline_print.htm|title=Nuclear Files: Key Issues: Nuclear Weapons: Cold War: Cuban Missile Crisis: Timeline|website=www.nuclearfiles.org|access-date=February 6, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171223020900/http://www.nuclearfiles.org/menu/key-issues/nuclear-weapons/history/cold-war/cuban-missile-crisis/timeline_print.htm|archive-date=December 23, 2017}}</ref> | |||
At 8:05 pm EDT, the letter drafted earlier in the day was delivered. The message read, "As I read your letter, the key elements of your proposals—which seem generally acceptable as I understand them—are as follows: 1) You would agree to remove these weapons systems from Cuba under appropriate United Nations observation and supervision; and undertake, with suitable safe-guards, to halt the further introduction of such weapon systems into Cuba. 2) We, on our part, would agree—upon the establishment of adequate arrangements through the United Nations, to ensure the carrying out and continuation of these commitments (a) to remove promptly the quarantine measures now in effect and (b) to give assurances against the invasion of Cuba." The letter was also released directly to the press to ensure it could not be "delayed".{{Citation needed|date=May 2010}} | |||
Within the US establishment, it was understood that ignoring the second offer and returning to the first put Khrushchev in a terrible position. Military preparations continued, and all active duty Air Force personnel were recalled to their bases for possible action. Robert Kennedy later recalled the mood: "We had not abandoned all hope, but what hope there was now rested with Khrushchev's revising his course within the next few hours. It was a hope, not an expectation. The expectation was military confrontation by Tuesday , and possibly tomorrow ...."<ref name=":0" /> | |||
With the letter delivered, a deal was on the table. However, as Robert Kennedy noted, there was little expectation it would be accepted. At 9:00 pm EDT, the EXCOMM met again to review the actions for the following day. Plans were drawn up for air strikes on the missile sites as well as other economic targets, notably petroleum storage. McNamara stated that they had to "have two things ready: a government for Cuba, because we're going to need one; and secondly, plans for how to respond to the Soviet Union in Europe, because sure as hell they're going to do something there".{{Citation needed|date=May 2010}} | |||
At 8:05 pm EDT, the letter drafted earlier in the day was delivered. The message read, "As I read your letter, the key elements of your proposals—which seem generally acceptable as I understand them—are as follows: 1) You would agree to remove these weapons systems from Cuba under appropriate United Nations observation and supervision; and undertake, with suitable safe-guards, to halt the further introduction of such weapon systems into Cuba. 2) We, on our part, would agree—upon the establishment of adequate arrangements through the United Nations, to ensure the carrying out and continuation of these commitments (a) to remove promptly the quarantine measures now in effect and (b) to give assurances against the invasion of Cuba." The letter was also released directly to the press to ensure it could not be "delayed".<ref>{{cite report|editor-last=Sampson |editor-first=Charles S. |url=https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1961-63v06/d67 |title=67. Telegram From the Department of State to the Embassy in the Soviet Union |work=], 1961–1963, Volume VI, Kennedy-Khrushchev Exchanges |publisher=] |location=Washington, D.C. |access-date=March 16, 2016|archive-date=March 22, 2016 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160322071808/https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1961-63v06/d67 |url-status=live}}</ref> With the letter delivered, a deal was on the table. As Robert Kennedy noted, there was little expectation it would be accepted. At 9:00 pm EDT, the EXCOMM met again to review the actions for the following day. Plans were drawn up for air strikes on the missile sites as well as other economic targets, notably petroleum storage. McNamara stated that they had to "have two things ready: a government for Cuba, because we're going to need one; and secondly, plans for how to respond to the Soviet Union in Europe, because sure as hell they're going to do something there".<ref>{{cite web|url=http://nsarchive.gwu.edu/nsa/cuba_mis_cri/audio.htm|title=The Cuban Missile Crisis, 1962: Audio Clips|first=Michael|last=Evans|access-date=March 16, 2016|archive-date=March 30, 2016|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160330233206/http://nsarchive.gwu.edu/nsa/cuba_mis_cri/audio.htm|url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
At 12:12 am EDT, on October 27, the US informed its NATO allies that "the situation is growing shorter... the United States may find it necessary within a very short time in its interest and that of its fellow nations in the Western Hemisphere to take whatever military action may be necessary." To add to the concern, at 6 am the CIA reported that all missiles in Cuba were ready for action. | |||
At 12:12 am EDT, on 27 October, the US informed its NATO allies that "the situation is growing shorter.... the United States may find it necessary within a very short time in its interest and that of its fellow nations in the Western Hemisphere to take whatever military action may be necessary." To add to the concern, at 6:00 am, the CIA reported that all missiles in Cuba were ready for action.] helicopter hovers over Soviet submarine ''B-59'', driven to the surface by US Naval forces in the Caribbean near Cuba (28 or 29 October 1962).]] | |||
Later on that same day, what the White House later called "Black Saturday", the US Navy dropped a series of "signaling ]s" (practice depth charges the size of hand grenades<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/NSAEBB/NSAEBB75/|title=The Submarines of October|accessdate=May 1, 2010|publisher= ], National Security Archive }}</ref>) on a Soviet submarine (''B-59'') at the quarantine line, unaware that it was armed with a nuclear-tipped torpedo with orders that allowed it to be used if the submarine was "hulled" (a hole in the hull from depth charges or surface fire).<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/nsa/cuba_mis_cri/press3.htm|title=The Cuban Missile Crisis, 1962: Press Release, 11 October 2002, 5:00 pm|date=October 11, 2002|publisher= ], National Security Archive |accessdate=October 26, 2008}}</ref> On the same day, a US U-2 spy plane made an accidental, unauthorized ninety-minute overflight of the Soviet Union's far eastern coast.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.usip.org/files/resources/sr205.pdf|title=Why We Should Still Study the Cuban Missile Crisis |last=Dobbs|first=Michael|authorlink=Michael Dobbs (US author)|date=June 2008|work=Special Report 205|publisher=United States Institute of Peace|accessdate=26 August 2011}}</ref> | |||
On 27 October, Khrushchev also received a letter from Castro, what is now known as the Armageddon Letter (dated the day before), which urged the use of nuclear force in the event of an attack on Cuba:<ref>{{cite book |url=https://rowman.com/ISBN/9781442216815 |title=The Armageddon Letters: Kennedy, Khrushchev, Castro in the Cuban Missile Crisis |last=Blight |first=James G. and Janet M. Lang |year=2012 |publisher=Rowman & Littlefield |location=Lanham, Maryland |isbn=978-1-4422-1679-2 |access-date=October 9, 2012 |archive-date=May 9, 2013 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130509064704/https://rowman.com/ISBN/9781442216815 |url-status=live }}</ref> "I believe the imperialists' aggressiveness is extremely dangerous and if they actually carry out the brutal act of invading Cuba in violation of international law and morality, that would be the moment to eliminate such danger forever through an act of clear legitimate defense, however harsh and terrible the solution would be," Castro wrote.<ref>{{cite book |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=8n7zYmshBNgC |title=Khrushchev: The Man and His Era |last=Taubman |first=William |year=2004 |publisher=W.W. Norton & Company |location=New York |isbn=978-1-4422-1679-2 |page=573 |access-date=June 6, 2020 |archive-date=July 27, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200727175412/https://books.google.com/books?id=8n7zYmshBNgC |url-status=live }}</ref> | |||
The Soviets scrambled MiG fighters from ] and in response the American sent aloft ] fighters armed with nuclear air-to-air missiles over the Bering Sea.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://history.sandiego.edu/gen/filmnotes/thirteendays4.html|title=The Thirteen Days, October 16–28, 1962 |last=Schoenherr|first=Steven |date=April 10, 2006|accessdate=May 3, 2010|archiveurl = http://web.archive.org/web/20070310104929/http%3A//history.sandiego.edu/gen/filmnotes/thirteendays4.html |archivedate = March 10, 2007|deadurl=yes}}</ref> | |||
===Averted nuclear launch=== | |||
==Crisis ends== | |||
{{Further|List of nuclear close calls#27 October 1962 (likely)|l1=List of nuclear close calls § 27 October 1962}} | |||
] | |||
Later that same day, what the White House later called "Black Saturday", the US Navy dropped a series of "signalling" ]s ("practice" depth charges the size of hand grenades)<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/NSAEBB/NSAEBB75/|title=The Submarines of October|access-date=May 1, 2010|publisher=], National Security Archive|archive-date=May 18, 2012|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120518142419/http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/NSAEBB/NSAEBB75/|url-status=live}}</ref> on a Soviet submarine ({{ship|Soviet submarine|B-59||2}}) at the blockade line, unaware that it was armed with a ] that could be launched if the submarine was damaged by depth charges or surface fire.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/nsa/cuba_mis_cri/press3.htm|title=The Cuban Missile Crisis, 1962: Press Release, 11 October 2002, 5:00 pm|date=October 11, 2002|publisher=], National Security Archive|access-date=October 26, 2008|archive-date=October 25, 2008|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081025232600/http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/nsa/cuba_mis_cri/press3.htm|url-status=live}}</ref> The submarine was too deep to monitor radio traffic<ref>Michael Dobbs, ''One Minute to Midnight'', Vintage, Random House, 2009. Includes photograph of ''B-59'' surfacing.</ref><ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/NSAEBB/NSAEBB75/subchron.htm |title=Chronology of Submarine Contact During the Cuban Missile Crisis |publisher=National Security Archive of the ] |access-date=November 15, 2010 |archive-date=February 9, 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110209202013/http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/NSAEBB/NSAEBB75/subchron.htm |url-status=live }}</ref> and the captain of the ''B-59'', Valentin Grigoryevich Savitsky, assuming after live ammunition fire at his submarine that a war had started, proposed to launch the nuclear torpedo at the US ships.<ref>{{cite web |url=https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/document/29066-7-recollections-vadim-orlov-ussr-submarine-b-59-we-will-sink-them-all |title=Alexander Mozgovoi, The Cuban Samba of the Quartet of Foxtrots: Soviet Submarines in the Caribbean Crisis of 1962: Military Parade, Moscow |date=2002 }}{{Dead link|date=December 2024 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}</ref> The decision to launch the "special weapon" normally only required the agreement of the ship's commanding officer and political officer, but the commander of the submarine flotilla, ], was aboard ''B-59'' and he also had to agree. Arkhipov did not give his consent and the nuclear torpedo was not launched. (These events only became publicly known in 2002. See ].) | |||
On the same day a U-2 spy plane made an accidental and unauthorised 90-minute overflight of the Soviet Union's far eastern coast.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.usip.org/files/resources/sr205.pdf|title=Why We Should Still Study the Cuban Missile Crisis|last=Dobbs|first=Michael|author-link=Michael Dobbs (American author)|date=June 2008|work=Special Report 205|publisher=United States Institute of Peace|access-date=August 26, 2011|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110911214701/http://www.usip.org/files/resources/sr205.pdf|archive-date=September 11, 2011}}</ref> The Soviets responded by scrambling MiG fighters from ]; in turn, the Americans launched ] fighters armed with nuclear air-to-air missiles over the ].<ref>{{cite web|url=http://history.sandiego.edu/gen/filmnotes/thirteendays4.html|title=The Thirteen Days, October 16–28, 1962 |last=Schoenherr|first=Steven |date=April 10, 2006|access-date=May 3, 2010|archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20080515075927/http://history.sandiego.edu/gen/filmnotes/thirteendays4.html |archive-date = May 15, 2008}}</ref> | |||
After much deliberation between the Soviet Union and Kennedy's cabinet, Kennedy secretly agreed to remove all missiles set in southern Italy and in Turkey, the latter on the border of the Soviet Union, in exchange for Khrushchev removing all missiles in Cuba. {{When|date=September 2011}} | |||
==Resolution== | |||
At 9:00 am EDT, on October 28, a new message from Khrushchev was broadcast on Radio Moscow. Khrushchev stated that, "the Soviet government, in addition to previously issued instructions on the cessation of further work at the building sites for the weapons, has issued a new order on the dismantling of the weapons which you describe as 'offensive' and their crating and return to the Soviet Union." | |||
On Saturday, 27 October, after much deliberation between the Soviet Union and Kennedy's cabinet, Kennedy secretly agreed to remove all missiles in Turkey, on the border of the Soviet Union, and possibly those in southern Italy, in exchange for Khrushchev removing all missiles in Cuba.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/nsa/cuba_mis_cri/moment.htm|title=Anatomy of a Controversy: Anatoly F. Dobrynin's Meeting With Robert F. Kennedy, Saturday, 27 October 1962. Reproduced with permission from The Cold War International History Project Bulletin Issue 5, Spring 1995.|date=Spring 1995|issue=5|first=Jim|last=Hershberg|access-date=May 29, 2012|archive-date=May 29, 2012|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120529125542/http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/nsa/cuba_mis_cri/moment.htm|url-status=live|publisher=The National Security Archive at The George Washington University}}</ref><ref name="20230216WilsonCenterPotPie1" /><ref name="20230216WilsonCenterPotPie2" /><ref name="20230216NationalSecurityArchivePotPie1" /><ref name="20230420NationalSecurityArchivePotPie2" /> There is some dispute as to whether removing the missiles from Italy was part of the secret agreement. Khrushchev wrote in his memoirs that it was, and when the crisis had ended McNamara gave the order to dismantle the missiles in both Italy and Turkey.<ref>Johnson, Dominic D. P. ''Failing to Win'' p. 105</ref> | |||
At this point, Khrushchev knew things the US did not. First, that the shooting down of the U-2 by a Soviet missile violated direct orders from Moscow, and Cuban anti-aircraft fire against other US reconnaissance aircraft also violated direct orders from Khrushchev to Castro.<ref>Ellsberg (2017, pp. 206–207)</ref> Second, the Soviets already had 162 nuclear warheads on Cuba that the US did not know were there.<ref>McNamara and Blight (2003, pp. 189–190)</ref> Third, the Soviets and Cubans on the island would almost certainly have responded to an invasion by using them, even though Castro believed that everyone in Cuba would die as a result.<ref>McNamara and Blight (2003, p. 190). Ellsberg (2017, pp. 208–210).</ref> Khrushchev also knew, but may not have considered, that he had submarines nearby armed with nuclear weapons of which the US Navy may not have been aware. | |||
Kennedy immediately responded, issuing a statement calling the letter "an important and constructive contribution to peace". He continued this with a formal letter: "I consider my letter to you of October twenty-seventh and your reply of today as firm undertakings on the part of both our governments which should be promptly carried out... The US will make a statement in the framework of the Security Council in reference to Cuba as follows: it will declare that the United States of America will respect the inviolability of Cuban borders, its sovereignty, that it take the pledge not to interfere in internal affairs, not to intrude themselves and not to permit our territory to be used as a bridgehead for the invasion of Cuba, and will restrain those who would plan to carry an aggression against Cuba, either from US territory or from the territory of other countries neighboring to Cuba."<ref name=Faria>{{cite book|last=Faria |first=Miguel A.|title=Cuba in Revolution: Escape from a Lost Paradise|year=2002 |publisher= Hacienda Pub|location=Macon, GA| isbn=978-0-9641077-3-1}}</ref>{{rp|103}} | |||
Khrushchev knew he was losing control. President Kennedy had been told in early 1961 that a nuclear war would probably kill a third of humanity, with most or all of those deaths concentrated in the US, the USSR, Europe and China,<ref>Ellsberg (2017, p. 2). See also {{Citation | last1 = Ellsberg | first1 = Daniel | last2 = Goodman | first2 = Amy | last3 = González | first3 = Juan | date = December 6, 2017 | title = Daniel Ellsberg Reveals He was a Nuclear War Planner, Warns of Nuclear Winter & Global Starvation | publisher = Democracy Now | url = https://www.democracynow.org/2017/12/6/doomsday_machine_daniel_ellsberg_reveals_he | access-date = December 6, 2017 | archive-date = December 6, 2017 | archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20171206195116/https://www.democracynow.org/2017/12/6/doomsday_machine_daniel_ellsberg_reveals_he | url-status = live }}</ref> and Khrushchev may have received a similar estimate. | |||
The U.S continued the quarantine, and in the following days, aerial reconnaissance proved that the Soviets were making progress in removing the missile systems. The 42 missiles and their support equipment were loaded onto eight Soviet ships. The ships left Cuba from November 5–9. The US made a final visual check as each of the ships passed the quarantine line. Further diplomatic efforts were required to remove the Soviet IL-28 bombers, and they were loaded on three Soviet ships on December 5 and 6. Concurrent with the Soviet commitment on the IL-28's, the US Government announced the end of the quarantine effective at 6:45 pm EDT on November 20, 1962.<ref name=global>{{cite web|url=http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/ops/cuba-62.htm|title=Cuban Missile Crisis|publisher=Global Security|accessdate=May 6, 2010}}</ref> <!-- This ref. mistakenly has a typo claiming Nov. 20, 1963 is the date of end of quarantine instead of 1962, as the 4-wk. quarantine period would encompass, and not into 1963 --> | |||
With this background, when Khrushchev heard of Kennedy's threats as relayed by Robert Kennedy to Soviet Ambassador Dobrynin, he immediately drafted his acceptance of Kennedy's latest terms from his dacha without involving the Politburo, as he had previously, and had them immediately broadcast over Radio Moscow, which he believed the US would hear. In that broadcast at 9:00 am EST, on 28 October 1962, Khrushchev stated that "the Soviet government, in addition to previously issued instructions on the cessation of further work at the building sites for the weapons, has issued a new order on the dismantling of the weapons which you describe as 'offensive' and their crating and return to the Soviet Union."<ref>''The Fog of War: Lessons from the Life of Robert S. McNamara'', by James G. Blight, Janet M. Lang, Rowman & Littlefield, 2005, p. 37, {{ISBN|978-0-7425-8022-0}}</ref><ref>''Crises in U.S. Foreign Policy: An International History Reader'', by Michael H. Hunt, Yale University Press, 1996, p. 287, {{ISBN|978-0-300-06597-8}}</ref><ref name=AFPCD1962pp443-446>{{cite book|title=American Foreign Policy, Current Documents|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=9q19YkzhANEC|year=1962|publisher=Historical Division, Bureau of Public Affairs|pages=|access-date=November 23, 2019|archive-date=July 27, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200727165332/https://books.google.com/books?id=9q19YkzhANEC|url-status=live}} (Docs III-87, 88, 89)</ref> At 10:00 am on 28 October, Kennedy first learned of Khrushchev's solution to the crisis: the US would remove the 15 Jupiters in Turkey and the Soviets would remove the missiles from Cuba. Khrushchev had made the offer in a public statement for the world to hear. Despite almost solid opposition from his senior advisers, Kennedy accepted the Soviet offer. "This is a pretty good play of his," Kennedy said, according to a tape recording that he made secretly of the Cabinet Room meeting. Kennedy had deployed the Jupiters in March 1962, causing a stream of angry outbursts from Khrushchev. "Most people will think this is a rather even trade and we ought to take advantage of it," Kennedy said. Vice President Lyndon Johnson was the first to endorse the missile swap, but others continued to oppose it. Finally, Kennedy ended the debate. "We can't very well invade Cuba with all its toil and blood," Kennedy said, "when we could have gotten them out by making a deal on the same missiles on Turkey. If that's part of the record, then you don't have a very good war."<ref>{{cite web |url=https://edition.cnn.com/ALLPOLITICS/1997/10/06/time/kennedy.html |title=Armageddon's Echoes |first=Bruce W. |last=Nelan |publisher=CNN |date=October 6, 1997 |access-date=December 21, 2017 |archive-date=March 14, 2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180314235711/http://edition.cnn.com/ALLPOLITICS/1997/10/06/time/kennedy.html |url-status=live }}</ref> | |||
In his negotiations with the Soviet Ambassador ], US Attorney General ] informally proposed that the ] missiles in ] would be removed "within a short time after this crisis was over."<ref>{{cite book | last=Glover |first=Jonathan |title=Humanity: a moral history of the twentieth century |url=http://books.google.com/?id=xtqFJVhmuowC |accessdate=July 2, 2009 |year=2000 |publisher=Yale University Press |isbn=978-0-300-08700-0 |page=464 }}</ref>{{rp|222}} The last US missiles were disassembled by April 24, 1963, and were flown out of Turkey soon after.<ref>{{cite book |last=Schlesinger |first=Arthur |title=Robert Kennedy and his times |url=http://books.google.com/?id=0xqrU5lnD7AC&pg=PA528&dq=robert+kennedy+ambassador++cuban+missile |accessdate=July 2, 2009 |year=2002 |publisher=Houghton Mifflin Harcourt |isbn=978-0-618-21928-5 |page=1088 }}</ref> | |||
Kennedy immediately responded to Khrushchev's letter, issuing a statement calling it "an important and constructive contribution to peace".<ref name=AFPCD1962pp443-446 /> He continued this with a formal letter: | |||
The practical effect of this Kennedy-Khrushchev Pact was that it effectively strengthened Castro's position in Cuba, guaranteeing that the US would not invade Cuba. It is possible that Khrushchev only placed the missiles in Cuba to get Kennedy to remove the missiles from Italy and Turkey and that the Soviets had no intention of resorting to nuclear war if they were out-gunned by the Americans.<ref>{{cite web|last=Garthoff|first=Raymond L.|title=Did Khrushchev Bluff in Cuba? No|url=http://books.google.com/books?id=sAYAAAAAMBAJ&lpg=PA40&dq=Khrushchev%20only%20placed%20the%20missiles%20in%20Cuba%20to%20get%20Kennedy%20to%20remove%20the%20missiles%20from%20Italy%20and%20Turkey&pg=PA40#v=onepage&q&f=false|work=Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists|accessdate=January 25, 2011|pages=40–43|date=July 1988}}</ref> Because the withdrawal of the Jupiter missiles from NATO bases in Southern Italy and Turkey was not made public at the time, Khrushchev appeared to have lost the conflict and become weakened. The perception was that Kennedy had won the contest between the superpowers and Khrushchev had been humiliated. This is not entirely the case as both Kennedy and Khrushchev took every step to avoid full conflict despite the pressures of their governments. Khrushchev held power for another two years.<ref name=Faria/>{{rp|102–105}} | |||
{{blockquote|I consider my letter to you of October twenty-seventh and your reply of today as firm undertakings on the part of both our governments which should be promptly carried out.... The US will make a statement in the framework of the Security Council in reference to Cuba as follows: it will declare that the United States of America will respect the inviolability of Cuban borders, its sovereignty, that it take the pledge not to interfere in internal affairs, not to intrude themselves and not to permit our territory to be used as a bridgehead for the invasion of Cuba, and will restrain those who would plan to carry an aggression against Cuba, either from US territory or from the territory of other countries neighboring to Cuba.<ref name=AFPCD1962pp443-446 /><ref name=Faria>{{cite book|last=Faria |first=Miguel A.|title=Cuba in Revolution: Escape from a Lost Paradise|year=2002 |publisher=Hacienda Pub|location=Macon, GA| isbn=978-0-9641077-3-1}}</ref>{{rp|103}}}} | |||
===Aftermath=== | |||
] intermediate-range ballistic missile. The US secretly agreed to withdraw these missiles from Italy and Turkey.]] | |||
The compromise was a particularly sharp embarrassment for Khrushchev and the Soviet Union because the withdrawal of US missiles from Italy and Turkey was not made public—it was a secret deal between Kennedy and Khrushchev. The Soviets were seen as retreating from circumstances that they had started—though if played well, it could have looked just the opposite. Khrushchev's fall from power two years later can be partially linked to ] embarrassment at both Khrushchev's eventual concessions to the US and his ineptitude in precipitating the crisis in the first place. Taubman (2004) reports that, according to Dobrynin, the top Soviet leadership took the Cuban outcome as "a blow to its prestige bordering on humiliation".<ref>William Taubman, ''Khrushchev: the man and his era'' (2004) p. 579.</ref> | |||
Kennedy's planned statement would also contain suggestions he had received from his adviser Arthur Schlesinger Jr. in a "Memorandum for the President" describing the "Post Mortem on Cuba".<ref>Schlesinger, Arthur Jr. {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20121114220244/http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/nsa/cuba_mis_cri/19621029mortem.pdf |date=November 14, 2012 }}, October 29, 1962 – full text</ref> | |||
Cuba perceived it as a partial betrayal by the Soviets, given that decisions on how to resolve the crisis had been made exclusively by Kennedy and Khrushchev. Castro was especially upset that certain issues of interest to Cuba, such as the status of Guantanamo, were not addressed. This caused Cuban-Soviet relations to deteriorate for years to come.<ref name=Ramonet>{{cite book|first=Ramonet|last=Ignacio |title=Fidel Castro: My Life |publisher=Penguin Books |year=2007|isbn=978-0-14-102626-8}}</ref>{{rp|278}} On the other hand, Cuba continued to be protected from invasion. | |||
On 28 October, Kennedy participated in telephone conversations with Eisenhower<ref name=jfk-eisenhower-tape>{{cite web|url=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IyArUh8eqJ0|title=Phone Call with General Eisenhower during Cuban Missile Crisis|last=JFK Library|date=October 28, 2016|via=YouTube|access-date=September 15, 2017|archive-date=September 20, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170920194857/https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IyArUh8eqJ0|url-status=live}}</ref> and fellow former US President ].<ref name=jfk-truman-tape>{{cite web|url=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NBHrNvopHdc|title=John F. Kennedy Tapes: Truman on Cuban Missile Crisis|last=((rmm413c))|date=August 13, 2008|via=YouTube|access-date=September 16, 2017|archive-date=September 20, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170920194857/https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NBHrNvopHdc|url-status=live}}</ref> In these calls, Kennedy revealed that he thought the crisis would result in the two superpowers being "toe to toe"<ref name=jfk-eisenhower-tape /> in Berlin by the end of the following month and expressed concern that the Soviet setback in Cuba would "make things tougher"<ref name=jfk-truman-tape /> there. He also informed his predecessors that he had rejected the public Soviet offer to withdraw from Cuba in exchange for the withdrawal of US missiles from Turkey.<ref name=jfk-eisenhower-tape /><ref name=jfk-truman-tape /> | |||
Although General ] told the President that he considered the resolution of the Cuban Missile Crisis the "greatest defeat in our history", his was a distinctly minority position.<ref name="axelrod2009"/>{{rp|335}} LeMay had pressed for an immediate invasion of Cuba as soon as the crisis began, and he still favoured invading Cuba even after the Soviets had withdrawn their missiles.<ref>http://militaryhistory.about.com/od/airforce/p/lemay.htm</ref> | |||
<!-- Deleted image removed: ] cartoon in ''Washington Post'', (November 1962)]] --> | |||
The Cuban Missile Crisis spurred the ], which created the ], a direct communications link between Moscow and Washington, D.C. The purpose was to have a way that the leaders of the two Cold War countries could communicate directly to solve such a crisis. The world-wide US Forces DEFCON 3 status was returned to DEFCON 4 on November 20, 1962. U-2 pilot Major Anderson's body was returned to the United States and he was buried with full military honors in South Carolina. He was the first recipient of the newly-created ], which was awarded posthumously. | |||
] | |||
The US continued the blockade of Cuba. In the following days aerial reconnaissance showed that the Soviets were making progress in removing the missile systems. The 42 missiles and their support equipment were loaded onto eight Soviet ships. On 2 November 1962, Kennedy addressed the US via radio and television broadcasts concerning the dismantling of the Soviet R-12 missile bases located in the Caribbean.<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.jfklibrary.org/Asset-Viewer/Archives/JFKPOF-041-023.aspx |title=Radio and television remarks on dismantling of Soviet missile bases in Cuba, 2 November 1962 |publisher=John F. Kennedy Presidential Library and Museum |access-date=December 13, 2014 |archive-date=December 14, 2014 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20141214023101/http://www.jfklibrary.org/Asset-Viewer/Archives/JFKPOF-041-023.aspx |url-status=live }}</ref> The ships left Cuba on November 5 to 9. The US made a final visual check as each of the ships passed the blockade line. Further diplomatic efforts were required to remove the Soviet Il-28 bombers, and they were loaded on three Soviet ships on 5 and 6 December. Concurrent with the Soviet commitment on the Il-28s, the US government announced the end of the blockade from 6:45 pm EST on 20 November 1962.{{citation needed|date=November 2022}} | |||
At the time when the Kennedy administration believed that the Cuban Missile Crisis was resolved, nuclear tactical rockets remained in Cuba which were not part of the Kennedy-Khrushchev understanding and the Americans did not know about them. The Soviets changed their minds, fearing possible future Cuban militant steps, and on 22 November 1962, ] ] told Castro that the rockets with the nuclear warheads were being removed as well.<ref name="gwu"/> | |||
Although Anderson was the only combat fatality during the crisis, eleven crew members of three reconnaissance Boeing ]s of the 55th Strategic Reconnaissance Wing were also killed in crashes during the period between September 27 and November 11, 1962.<ref>Lloyd, Alwyn T., "Boeing's B-47 Stratojet", Specialty Press, North Branch, Minnesota, 2005, ISBN 978-1-58007-071-3, page 178.</ref> Further, seven crew died when a ] Boeing ] delivering ammunition to ] stalled and crashed on approach on October 23. <ref> http://aviation-safety.net/database/record.php?id=19621023-1</ref> | |||
The Cuban Missile Crisis was solved in part by a secret agreement between John F. Kennedy and Nikita Khrushchev. The Kennedy-Khrushchev Pact was known to only nine US officials at the time of its creation in October 1963 and was first officially acknowledged at a conference in Moscow in January 1989 by Soviet Ambassador Anatoly Dobrynin and Kennedy's speechwriter ].<ref>{{cite web |author1=William Burr |author2=Leopoldo Nuti |title=The Jupiter Missiles and the Endgame of the Cuban Missile Crisis: A Matter of 'Great Secrecy' – Part I: Demarches to Italy and Turkey and Their Reactions |url=https://www.wilsoncenter.org/blog-post/jupiter-missiles-and-endgame-cuban-missile-crisis-matter-great-secrecy |website=wilsoncenter.org |publisher=Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars |access-date=May 20, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230520062820/https://www.wilsoncenter.org/blog-post/jupiter-missiles-and-endgame-cuban-missile-crisis-matter-great-secrecy |archive-date=May 20, 2023|date=February 16, 2023|quote="Only nine US officials knew of the deal at the time: President Kennedy, his brother, Attorney General ], national security adviser ], Secretary of State ], Secretary of Defense ], Deputy Secretary of Defense ], Ambassador ], Deputy Secretary of State ], and White House adviser ]. Of that group, those who lived past the 1960s and 1970s—Bundy, Rusk, Sorensen and McNamara, for example—kept the secret for years, not fully acknowledging the official status of the deal until 1989, when former Soviet ambassador Anatoly Dobrynin disclosed the details of his October 27, 1962, meeting with Robert Kennedy."}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |author1=William Burr |author2=Leopoldo Nuti |title=The Jupiter Missiles and the Endgame of the Cuban Missile Crisis, 60 Years Ago – Part I: U.S. Demarches to Italy and Turkey and Their Reactions |url=https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/briefing-book/cuban-missile-crisis-nuclear-vault/2023-02-16/jupiter-missiles-and-endgame-cuban |website=nsarchive.gwu.edu |publisher=The ] at ] |access-date=May 20, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230520071706/https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/briefing-book/cuban-missile-crisis-nuclear-vault/2023-02-16/jupiter-missiles-and-endgame-cuban |archive-date=May 20, 2023 |date=February 16, 2023|quote="Only nine US officials knew of the deal at the time: President Kennedy, his brother, Attorney General ], national security adviser ], Secretary of State ], Secretary of Defense ], Deputy Secretary of Defense ], Ambassador ], Deputy Secretary of State ], and White House adviser ]. Of that group, those who lived past the 1960s and 1970s—Bundy, Rusk, Sorensen and McNamara, for example—kept the secret for years, not fully acknowledging the official status of the deal until 1989, when former Soviet ambassador Anatoly Dobrynin disclosed the details of his October 27, 1962, meeting with Robert Kennedy."}}</ref><ref name="20210730HershbergAnatomyofaControversy" /> In his negotiations with Dobrynin, Robert Kennedy informally proposed that the Jupiter missiles in Turkey would be removed<ref name="20210730HershbergAnatomyofaControversy">{{cite web |last1=Hershberg |first1=Jim |title=Anatomy of a Controversy: Anatoly F. Dobrynin's Meeting With Robert F. Kennedy, Saturday, 27 October 1962. Reproduced with permission from The Cold War International History Project Bulletin Issue 5, Spring 1995. |url=https://nsarchive2.gwu.edu/nsa/cuba_mis_cri/moment.htm |publisher=The National Security Archive at George Washington University |access-date=July 30, 2021 |archive-url=https://archive.today/20210730071109/https://nsarchive2.gwu.edu/nsa/cuba_mis_cri/moment.htm |archive-date=July 30, 2021 |url-status=live }}</ref> "within a short time after this crisis was over".<ref>{{cite book |last=Glover |first=Jonathan |title=Humanity: a moral history of the twentieth century |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=xtqFJVhmuowC |access-date=July 2, 2009 |year=2000 |publisher=Yale University Press |isbn=978-0-300-08700-0 |page=464 |archive-date=July 27, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200727165249/https://books.google.com/books?id=xtqFJVhmuowC |url-status=live }}</ref> Under an operation code-named ''Operation Pot Pie,''<ref>{{cite book |last1=Nash |first1=Philip |chapter=Chapter 6: A Very Tidy Job – Taking Them Out 1962–1963. |title=The Other Missiles of October: Eisenhower, Kennedy and the Jupiters 1957–1963 |date=1997 |publisher=The University of North Carolina Press |isbn=978-0-8078-4647-6 |pages=150–171 |url=https://www.latinamericanstudies.org/cold-war/Pot-Pie-Withdrawal.pdf |access-date=March 29, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201204014323/https://www.latinamericanstudies.org/cold-war/Pot-Pie-Withdrawal.pdf |archive-date=December 4, 2020|location=Chapel Hill, North Carolina.}}</ref><ref name="20230216WilsonCenterPotPie1">{{cite web |author1=William Burr |author2=Leopoldo Nuti |title=The Jupiter Missiles and the Endgame of the Cuban Missile Crisis: A Matter of 'Great Secrecy' – Part I: Demarches to Italy and Turkey and Their Reactions |url=https://www.wilsoncenter.org/blog-post/jupiter-missiles-and-endgame-cuban-missile-crisis-matter-great-secrecy |website=wilsoncenter.org |publisher=Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars |access-date=May 20, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230520062820/https://www.wilsoncenter.org/blog-post/jupiter-missiles-and-endgame-cuban-missile-crisis-matter-great-secrecy |archive-date=May 20, 2023|date=February 16, 2023}}</ref><ref name="20230216WilsonCenterPotPie2">{{cite web |author1=William Burr |author2=Leopoldo Nuti |title=The Jupiter Missiles and the Endgame of the Cuban Missile Crisis – Part II Sealing the Deal with Italy and Turkey |url=https://www.wilsoncenter.org/blog-post/jupiter-missiles-and-endgame-cuban-missile-crisis-sealing-deal-italy-and-turkey |website=wilsoncenter.org |publisher=Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars |access-date=May 20, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230520065207/https://www.wilsoncenter.org/blog-post/jupiter-missiles-and-endgame-cuban-missile-crisis-sealing-deal-italy-and-turkey |archive-date=May 20, 2023 |date=April 20, 2023}}</ref><ref name="20230216NationalSecurityArchivePotPie1">{{cite web |author1=William Burr |author2=Leopoldo Nuti |title=The Jupiter Missiles and the Endgame of the Cuban Missile Crisis, 60 Years Ago – Part I: U.S. Demarches to Italy and Turkey and Their Reactions |url=https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/briefing-book/cuban-missile-crisis-nuclear-vault/2023-02-16/jupiter-missiles-and-endgame-cuban |website=nsarchive.gwu.edu |publisher=The ] at ] |access-date=May 20, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230520071706/https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/briefing-book/cuban-missile-crisis-nuclear-vault/2023-02-16/jupiter-missiles-and-endgame-cuban |archive-date=May 20, 2023 |date=February 16, 2023}}</ref><ref name="20230420NationalSecurityArchivePotPie2">{{cite web |author1=William Burr |author2=Leopoldo Nuti |title=The Jupiter Missiles and the Cuban Missile Crisis Endgame – Part II: Sealing the Deal with Italy and Turkey. |url=https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/briefing-book/cuban-missile-crisis-nuclear-vault/2023-04-20/jupiter-missiles-and-cuban-missile |website=nsarchive.gwu.edu |publisher=The ] at ] |access-date=May 20, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230516064509/https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/briefing-book/cuban-missile-crisis-nuclear-vault/2023-04-20/jupiter-missiles-and-cuban-missile |archive-date=May 16, 2023 |date=April 20, 2023}}</ref> the removal of the Jupiters from Italy and Turkey began on 1 April, and was completed by 24 April 1963. The initial plans were to recycle the missiles for use in other programs, but ] and the ] were not interested in retaining the missile hardware. The missile bodies were destroyed on site, while warheads, guidance packages, and launching equipment worth $14 million were returned to the United States.<ref>Nash, P. (1997). ''The Other Missiles of October: Eisenhower, Kennedy, and the Jupiters, 1957–1963.'' pp. 164–165.</ref><ref>{{cite book |last=Schlesinger |first=Arthur |title=Robert Kennedy and his times |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=0xqrU5lnD7AC&q=robert+kennedy+ambassador++cuban+missile&pg=PA528 |access-date=July 2, 2009 |year=2002 |publisher=Houghton Mifflin Harcourt |isbn=978-0-618-21928-5 |page=1088 |archive-date=July 27, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200727181306/https://books.google.com/books?id=0xqrU5lnD7AC&pg=PA528&dq=robert+kennedy+ambassador++cuban+missile |url-status=live }}</ref> The dismantling operations were named Pot Pie I for Italy and Pot Pie II for Turkey by the United States Air Force.<ref name="20230216WilsonCenterPotPie2" /><ref name="20230420NationalSecurityArchivePotPie2" /> | |||
Critics including Seymour Melman<ref>{{cite book |first=Seymour |last=Melman |title=The Demilitarized Society: Disarmament and Conversion |publisher=Harvest House |year=1988|authorlink=Seymour Melman |location=Montreal}}</ref> and Seymour Hersh<ref>{{cite book|first=Seymour |last=Hersh |title= The Dark Side of Camelot |year=1978|authorlink=Seymour Hersh}}</ref> suggested that the Cuban Missile Crisis encouraged US use of military means, such as in the ]. This Soviet-American confrontation was synchronous with the ], dating from the US's military quarantine of Cuba; historians{{Who|date=May 2010}} speculate that the Chinese attack against India for disputed land was meant to coincide with the Cuban Missile Crisis.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://journal.frontierindia.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=section&id=7&Itemid=53 |title=Frontier India India-China Section| quote= Note alleged connections to Cuban Missile Crisis|archiveurl = http://web.archive.org/web/20070928115849/http%3A//journal.frontierindia.com/index.php%3Foption%3Dcom_content%26task%3Dsection%26id%3D7%26Itemid%3D53 |archivedate = September 28, 2007|deadurl=yes}}</ref> | |||
The outcome of the Kennedy-Khrushchev Pact was that the US would remove their rockets from Italy and Turkey<ref>{{Cite web | url=https://foreignpolicy.com/2012/10/08/the-myth-that-screwed-up-50-years-of-u-s-foreign-policy/ | title=The Myth That Screwed up 50 Years of U.S. Foreign Policy | access-date=June 4, 2019 | archive-date=June 4, 2019 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190604091324/https://foreignpolicy.com/2012/10/08/the-myth-that-screwed-up-50-years-of-u-s-foreign-policy/ | url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite web|last=Garthoff|first=Raymond L.|title=Did Khrushchev Bluff in Cuba? No|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=sAYAAAAAMBAJ&q=Khrushchev%20only%20placed%20the%20missiles%20in%20Cuba%20to%20get%20Kennedy%20to%20remove%20the%20missiles%20from%20Italy%20and%20Turkey&pg=PA40|work=Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists|access-date=January 25, 2011|pages=40–43|date=July 1988|archive-date=June 7, 2013|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130607141621/http://books.google.com/books?id=sAYAAAAAMBAJ&lpg=PA40&dq=Khrushchev%20only%20placed%20the%20missiles%20in%20Cuba%20to%20get%20Kennedy%20to%20remove%20the%20missiles%20from%20Italy%20and%20Turkey&pg=PA40|url-status=live}}</ref> and that the Soviets had no intention of resorting to nuclear war if they were out-gunned by the US.{{clarify|date=April 2023}}{{failed verification|date=April 2023}}<!--How was this an effect of the pact? I see no such claim in either of the sources. The Soviets were already out-gunned to begin with, so it was not a matter of 'if'; there is no indication that they had ever had an intention of resorting to nuclear war first, even less so while out-gunned, which obviously would have been suicidal, or that they had ruled out resorting to nuclear war if attacked, or that their intention or ruling it out was due to the Cuban Missile Crisis.--> Because the withdrawal of the Jupiter missiles from NATO bases in Italy and Turkey was not made public at the time,<ref name="20210730HershbergAnatomyofaControversy" /> Khrushchev appeared to have lost the conflict and become weakened. The perception was that Kennedy had won the contest between the superpowers and that Khrushchev had been humiliated. Both Kennedy and Khrushchev took every step to avoid full conflict despite pressures from their respective governments. Khrushchev held power for another two years.<ref name=Faria/>{{rp|102–105}} As a direct result of the crisis, the United States and the Soviet Union set up a direct line of communication. The ] was a way for the President and the Premier to have negotiations should a crisis like this ever happen again.<ref>{{Cite web |title=This Day in History – August 30, 1963: Hotline established between Washington and Moscow |url=https://www.history.com/this-day-in-history/hotline-established-between-washington-and-moscow |access-date=2023-05-06 |website=History.com |language=en|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230520160045/https://www.history.com/this-day-in-history/hotline-established-between-washington-and-moscow|archive-date=May 20, 2023}}</ref> | |||
===Post-crisis history=== | |||
], a historian and adviser to John F. Kennedy, told ] in an interview on October 16, 2002 that Castro did not want the missiles, but that Khrushchev had pressured Castro to accept them. Castro was not completely happy with the idea but the Cuban National Directorate of the Revolution accepted them to protect Cuba against US attack, and to aid its ally, the Soviet Union.<ref name=Ramonet/>{{rp|272}} Schlesinger believed that when the missiles were withdrawn, Castro was angrier with Khrushchev than he was with Kennedy because Khrushchev had not consulted Castro before deciding to remove them.<ref name=castro group=note>In his biography, Castro does not compare his feelings for either leader at that moment, however, he makes it clear that he was angry with Khrushchev for failing to consult with him. (Ramonet 1978)</ref> | |||
==Nuclear forces== | |||
In early 1992, it was confirmed that Soviet forces in Cuba had, by the time the crisis broke, received tactical nuclear warheads for their ] and ].<ref name="aca">{{cite web |url=http://www.armscontrol.org/act/2002_11/cubanmissile.asp |title=Arms Control Association: Arms Control Today}}</ref> Castro stated that he would have recommended their use if the US invaded despite knowing Cuba would be destroyed.<ref name="aca"/> | |||
By the time of the crisis in October 1962, the total number of nuclear weapons in the stockpiles of each country numbered approximately 26,400 for the United States and 3,300 for the Soviet Union. For the US, around 3,500 (with a combined yield of approximately 6,300 megatons) would have been used in attacking the Soviet Union. The Soviets had considerably less strategic firepower at their disposal: some 300–320 bombs and warheads, without submarine-based weapons in a position to threaten the US mainland and most of their intercontinental delivery systems based on bombers that would have difficulty penetrating North American air defence systems. They had already moved 158 warheads to Cuba and between 95 and 100 would have been ready for use if the US had invaded Cuba, most of them short-range. The US had approximately 4,375 nuclear weapons deployed in Europe, most of which were tactical weapons such as ], with around 450 of them for ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and aircraft; the Soviets had more than 550 similar weapons in Europe.<ref>{{citation | title=The Cuban Missile Crisis: A Nuclear Order of Battle October/November 1962 | last=Norris | first=Robert S. | publisher=] | date=October 24, 2012 | url=https://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/media/documents/event/2012_10_24_Norris_Cuban_Missile_Crisis_Nuclear_Order_of_Battle.pdf | access-date=December 1, 2018 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181020025851/https://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/2012_10_24_Norris_Cuban_Missile_Crisis_Nuclear_Order_of_Battle.pdf | archive-date=October 20, 2018 }}</ref><ref>{{cite journal|title=The Cuban Missile Crisis: A nuclear order of battle, October and November 1962|journal = Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists|volume = 68|issue = 6|pages = 85–91|last1=Kristensen|first1=Hans M.|last2=Norris|first2=Robert S.|date=October 20, 2012|doi=10.1177/0096340212464364|bibcode = 2012BuAtS..68f..85N|s2cid = 146411502|doi-access=free}}</ref> | |||
===United States=== | |||
Arguably the most dangerous moment in the crisis was only recognized during the Cuban Missile Crisis Havana conference in October 2002. Attended by many of the veterans of the crisis, they all learned that on October 26, 1962 the ] had tracked and dropped signaling depth charges (the size of hand grenades) on the ''B-59'', a Soviet Project 641 (NATO designation '']'') submarine which, unknown to the US, was armed with a 15 kiloton nuclear torpedo. Running out of air, the Soviet submarine was surrounded by American warships and desperately needed to surface. An argument broke out among three officers on the ''B-59'', including submarine captain Valentin Savitsky, political officer Ivan Semonovich Maslennikov, and Deputy brigade commander Captain 2nd rank (US Navy Commander rank equivalent) ]. An exhausted Savitsky became furious and ordered that the nuclear torpedo on board be made combat ready. Accounts differ about whether Commander Arkhipov convinced Savitsky not to make the attack, or whether Savitsky himself finally concluded that the only reasonable choice left open to him was to come to the surface.<ref>{{cite book |last=Dobbs |first=Michael |authorlink=Michael Dobbs (US author)|title=One Minute to Midnight: Kennedy, Khrushchev, and Castro on the Brink of Nuclear War|publisher=Alfred A. Knopf|location=New York|year=2008|isbn=978-1-4000-4358-3}}</ref>{{rp|303, 317}} During the conference Robert McNamara stated that nuclear war had come much closer than people had thought. Thomas Blanton, director of the National Security Archive, said, "A guy called Vasili Arkhipov saved the world." | |||
* SAC | |||
** ICBM: 182 (at peak alert); 121 ], 53 ], 8 ] | |||
** Bombers: 1,595; 880 ], 639 ], 76 ] (1,479 bombers and 1,003 refuelling tankers available at peak alert) | |||
* Atlantic Command | |||
** 112 ] in seven SSBNs (16 each); five submarines with Polaris A1 and two with A2 | |||
* Pacific Command | |||
** 4–8 ] | |||
** 16 ] | |||
** Three aircraft carriers with some 40 bombs each | |||
** Land-based aircraft with some 50 bombs | |||
* European Command | |||
** IRBM: 45 ] (30 Italy, 15 Turkey) | |||
** 48–90 Mace cruise missiles | |||
** Two ] aircraft carriers with some 40 bombs each | |||
** Land-based aircraft with some 50 bombs | |||
===Soviet Union=== | |||
The crisis was a substantial focus of the 2003 documentary, '']'', which won the ]. | |||
* Strategic (for use against North America): | |||
** ICBM: 42; four ] at ] with two in reserve at ], 36 ] with 26 in silos and ten on open launch pads | |||
** Bombers: 160 (readiness unknown); 100 ], 60 ] | |||
* Regional (mostly targeting Europe, and others targeting US bases in east Asia): | |||
** MRBM: 528 ], 492 at soft launch sites and 36 at hard launch sites (approximately six to eight R-12s were operational in Cuba, capable of striking the US mainland at any moment until the crisis was resolved) | |||
** IRBM: 28 ] | |||
** Unknown number of ], ], and ] aircraft tasked with nuclear strike missions | |||
===United Kingdom=== | |||
*Bomber Command<ref>{{cite journal |last1=Scott |first1=Len |title=Bomber Command and the Cuban Missile Crisis: At the Brink of Armageddon? |journal=]|location=Swindon|publisher=] |date=April 2017 |volume=20 |issue=2|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240911172654/https://raf.mod.uk/what-we-do/centre-for-air-and-space-power-studies/aspr/apr-vol20-iss2-8-pdf/|archive-date=11 September 2024|url-status=live|pages=142–153|url=https://raf.mod.uk/what-we-do/centre-for-air-and-space-power-studies/aspr/apr-vol20-iss2-8-pdf/}}</ref> | |||
**Bombers: 120; ], ], ] | |||
**IRBM: 59 ] (missiles operated by the RAF with warheads under US supervision) | |||
== Aftermath == | |||
] intermediate-range ballistic missile. The US secretly agreed to withdraw the missiles from Italy and Turkey.]] | |||
===Cuban leadership=== | |||
Decisions on how to resolve the crisis had been made exclusively by Kennedy and Khrushchev and Cuba perceived the outcome as a betrayal by the Soviets. Castro was especially upset that certain questions of interest to Cuba, such as the status of the ], were not addressed, and Cuban–Soviet relations deteriorated.<ref name=Ramonet>{{cite book|first=Ramonet|last=Ignacio |title=Fidel Castro: My Life |publisher=Penguin Books |year=2007|isbn=978-0-14-102626-8}}</ref>{{rp|278}} | |||
Historian Arthur Schlesinger believed that when the missiles were withdrawn, Castro was more angry with Khrushchev than with Kennedy because Khrushchev had not consulted him before making the decision.<ref group="note" name="castro">In his biography, Castro did not compare his feelings for either leader at that moment but makes it clear that he was angry with Khrushchev for failing to consult with him. (Ramonet 1978)</ref> Although Castro was infuriated by Khrushchev, he had still planned to strike the US with the remaining missiles if Cuba was invaded.<ref name=Ramonet/>{{rp|311}} | |||
A few weeks after the crisis, during an interview with British communist newspaper the '']'', Guevara was still fuming over the perceived Soviet betrayal and told correspondent Sam Russell that, if the missiles had been under Cuban control they would have been launched.<ref name="Anderson 1997 p 545">], p. 545.</ref> Guevara said later that the cause of socialist liberation from global "imperialist aggression" would have been worth the possibility of "millions of atomic war victims".<ref>], p 304</ref> The missile crisis further convinced Guevara that the world's two superpowers, the United States and the Soviet Union, were using Cuba as a pawn in their global strategies, and after this he denounced the Soviets almost as frequently as he denounced the Americans.<ref>], p. 73.</ref> | |||
===Romanian leadership=== | |||
During the crisis, ], general secretary of Romania's communist party, sent a letter to President Kennedy dissociating Romania from Soviet actions. This convinced the American administration of ]'s intentions of ] from Moscow.<ref name="books.google.ro">{{cite book| url = https://books.google.com/books?id=EgK_DAAAQBAJ&pg=PA99| title = The Soviet Union in Eastern Europe, 1945–89| isbn = 978-1-349-23234-5| last1 = Holtsmark| first1 = Sven G.| last2 = Neumann| first2 = Iver B.| last3 = Westad| first3 = Odd Arne| date = 2016| publisher = Springer|page= 99}}</ref> | |||
===Soviet leadership=== | |||
The realisation that the world had come close to thermonuclear war caused Khrushchev to propose a far-reaching easing of tensions with the US.<ref>Stone, Oliver and Peter Kuznick, "The Untold History of the United States" (Gallery Books, 2012), p. 313</ref> In a letter to President Kennedy dated 30 October 1962, Khrushchev suggested initiatives that were intended to prevent the possibility of another nuclear crisis. These included a non-aggression treaty between the ] (NATO) and the ], or even disbanding these military blocs; a treaty to cease all nuclear weapons testing and possibly eliminate all nuclear weapons; resolution of the difficult question of Germany by both sides accepting the existence of ] and ]; and US recognition of the government of mainland China. The letter invited counter-proposals and further exploration of these and other questions through peaceful negotiations. Khrushchev invited ], the editor of a major US periodical and an anti-nuclear weapons activist, to serve as liaison with Kennedy. Cousins met with Khrushchev for four hours in December 1962.<ref>Stone, Oliver and Peter Kuznick, "The Untold History of the United States" (Gallery Books, 2012), pp. 313–314, ''citing'' Message from Chairman Khrushchev to President Kennedy, October 30, 1962, in ''Foreign Relations of the United States, 1961–1963'', vol. 11, (Washington, DC, US Government Printing Office, 1997), pp. 309–317</ref> | |||
Kennedy's response to Khrushchev's proposals was lukewarm, but he told Cousins that he felt obliged to consider them because he was under pressure from hardliners in the US national security apparatus. The United States and the Soviet Union subsequently agreed to a treaty banning atmospheric testing of nuclear weapons, known as the "]".<ref>Stone, Oliver and Peter Kuznick, "The Untold History of the United States" (Gallery Books, 2012), pp. 313–314</ref> The US and the USSR also created a communications link, the ], to enable the leaders of the two Cold War countries to speak directly to each other in any future crisis. | |||
These compromises embarrassed ] and the Soviet Union because the withdrawal of US missiles from ] and ] had remained a secret deal between Kennedy and Khrushchev. Khrushchev went to Kennedy because he thought that the crisis was getting out of hand, but the Soviets were seen to be retreating from circumstances that they had started. | |||
Khrushchev's fall from power two years later was partly because of the ]'s embarrassment at his eventual concessions to the US and his ineptitude in precipitating the crisis in the first place. According to Dobrynin, the top Soviet leadership took the Cuban outcome as "a blow to its prestige bordering on humiliation".<ref name="auto" /> | |||
===US leadership=== | |||
The worldwide ] 3 status of US Forces was returned to DEFCON 4 on 20 November 1962. General ] told Kennedy that the resolution of the crisis was the "greatest defeat in our history" but his was a minority view.<ref name="axelrod2009"/> LeMay had pressed for an immediate invasion of Cuba as soon as the crisis began, and he still favored invading Cuba even after the Soviets had withdrawn their missiles.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://militaryhistory.about.com/od/airforce/p/lemay.htm|title=Militaryhistory.about.com|access-date=August 27, 2011|archive-date=August 22, 2011|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110822010243/http://militaryhistory.about.com/od/airforce/p/lemay.htm|url-status=live}}</ref> Twenty-five years later, LeMay still believed that "We could have gotten not only the missiles out of Cuba, we could have gotten the Communists out of Cuba at that time."<ref name="jstor2538995">{{cite journal | doi = 10.2307/2538995 | last1 = Kohn | first1 = R. H. | last2 = Harahan | first2 = J. P. | s2cid = 154782339 | year = 1988 | title = U.S. Strategic Air Power, 1948–1962: Excerpts from an Interview with Generals Curtis E. LeMay, Leon W. Johnson, David A. Burchinal, and Jack J. Catton | journal = International Security | volume = 12 | issue = 4 | pages = 78–95 | jstor = 2538995 }}</ref> | |||
By 1962, President Kennedy had faced four crisis situations: the failure of the ];<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://historynewsnetwork.org/article/161188|title=It's Time to Stop Saying that JFK Inherited the Bay of Pigs Operation from Ike|publisher=History News Network|date=May 12, 2015}}</ref> settlement negotiations between the pro-Western government of Laos and the ] communist movement ("Kennedy sidestepped Laos, whose rugged terrain was no battleground for American soldiers."<ref name="Karnow">{{Harvnb|Karnow|1997}}</ref>{{Rp|265}}); the construction of the ]; and the Cuban Missile Crisis. Kennedy believed that another failure to gain control and stop communist expansion would irreparably damage US credibility. He was determined to "draw a line in the sand" and prevent a communist victory in Vietnam. He told James Reston of '']'' immediately after his Vienna summit meeting with Khrushchev, "Now we have a problem making our power credible and Vietnam looks like the place."<ref>.</ref><ref>Mann, Robert. ''A Grand Delusion'', Basic Books, 2002.</ref> | |||
At least four contingency strikes were armed and launched from Florida against Cuban airfields and suspected missile sites in 1963 and 1964, although all were diverted to the ] after the planes had passed ].<ref>{{cite journal |last1=Tillman |first1=Barrett |last2=Nichols |first2=John B. III |date=April 1986 |url=https://www.usni.org/magazines/proceedings/1986/april-supplement/fighting-unwinnable-wars |title=Fighting Unwinnable Wars |journal=Proceedings |volume=112 |issue=4/998 |pages=78–86 |publisher=] |access-date=March 25, 2020 |archive-date=March 25, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200325083918/https://www.usni.org/magazines/proceedings/1986/april-supplement/fighting-unwinnable-wars |url-status=live }} (Supplement April 1986 {{!}} A Salute: The Diamond Jubilee of Naval Aviation)</ref> Critics, including ]<ref>{{cite book |first=Seymour |last=Melman |title=The Demilitarized Society: Disarmament and Conversion |url=https://archive.org/details/demilitarizedsoc0000melm |url-access=registration |publisher=Harvest House |year=1988|author-link=Seymour Melman |location=Montreal}}</ref> and ],<ref>{{cite book|first=Seymour|last=Hersh |author-link=Seymour Hersch|title=] |year=1997}}</ref> suggested that the Cuban Missile Crisis had encouraged the United States to use military means, as in the later ]. Similarly, Lorraine Bayard de Volo suggested that the masculine brinksmanship of the Cuban Missile Crisis had become a "touchstone of toughness by which presidents are measured".<ref>{{cite journal|author=Lorraine Bayard de Volo|title= Masculinity and the Cuban Missile Crisis: gender as pre-emptive deterren|journal= International Affairs|volume= 98|issue= 4|date= July 5, 2022|<!-- pages=1211–1229 | -->page=1227|doi=10.1093/ia/iiac121 }}</ref> Actions in 1962 had a significant influence on the policy decisions of future occupants of the White House, and led to foreign policy decisions such as President Lyndon B. Johnson's escalation of the war in Vietnam three years later.<ref>Michael Dobbs, '', ''The New York Times'', 15 Oct. 2012.</ref> | |||
===Human casualties=== | |||
The body of U-2 pilot Anderson was returned to the US and was buried with full military honours in ]. He was the first recipient of the newly created ], which was awarded posthumously. Although Anderson was the only combatant fatality during the crisis, 11 crew members of three reconnaissance Boeing ]s of the 55th Strategic Reconnaissance Wing were also killed in crashes during the period between 27 September and 11 November 1962.<ref>Lloyd, Alwyn T., "Boeing's B-47 Stratojet", Specialty Press, North Branch, Minnesota, 2005, {{ISBN|978-1-58007-071-3}}, p. 178.</ref> Seven crew died when a ] Boeing ] delivering ammunition to Guantanamo Bay Naval Base stalled and crashed on landing approach on 23 October.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://aviation-safety.net/database/record.php?id=19621023-1|title=Aviation Safety|access-date=October 19, 2011|archive-date=October 6, 2014|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20141006070919/http://aviation-safety.net/database/record.php?id=19621023-1|url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
==Later revelations== | |||
===Submarine close call=== | |||
What may have been the most dangerous moment in the crisis was not recognized until the Cuban Missile Crisis Havana conference in October 2002, which marked its 40th anniversary. The three-day conference was sponsored by the private ], ] and the Cuban government<ref name="latinamericanstudies">, ], 13 October 2002</ref> and attended by many of the veterans of the crisis. They learned that on 27 October 1962, a group of eleven United States Navy destroyers and the aircraft carrier ] had located a diesel-powered, nuclear-armed Soviet Project 641 (NATO designation {{sclass2|Foxtrot|submarine|5}}) submarine, the {{ship|Soviet submarine|B-59||2}}, near Cuba. Despite being in international waters, the Americans started dropping ]s to attempt to force the submarine to surface. | |||
There had been no contact from Moscow for a number of days and the submarine was running too deep to monitor radio traffic, so those on board did not know whether war had broken out. The captain of the submarine, ], had no way of knowing that the depth charges were non-lethal "practice" rounds, intended as warning shots to force him to surface. Running out of air, the Soviet submarine was surrounded by American warships and desperately needed to surface. While surfacing, the ''B-59'' “came under machine-gun fire from Tracker aircraft. The fire rounds landed either to the sides of the submarine’s hull or near the bow. All these provocative actions carried out by surface ships in immediate proximity, and ASW aircraft flying some 10 to 15 meters above the boat had a detrimental impact on the commander, prompting him to take extreme measures… the use of special weapons.”<ref> ]: , 16 July 2012</ref> As firing live ammunition at a submarine was strictly prohibited, Captain Savitsky assumed that his submarine was doomed and that World War III had started. The Americans, for their part, did not know, that the ''B-59'' was armed with a 15-kiloton nuclear torpedo, of roughly the power of the bomb at Hiroshima.<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://nsarchive.gwu.edu/NSAEBB/NSAEBB75/|title=The Submarines of October|last=Evans|first=Michael|website=nsarchive.gwu.edu|access-date=October 24, 2016|archive-date=October 31, 2016|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20161031210839/http://nsarchive.gwu.edu/NSAEBB/NSAEBB75/|url-status=live}}</ref><ref name="thankyou">{{Cite news |url=https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2012/oct/27/vasili-arkhipov-stopped-nuclear-war|title=Thank you Vasili Arkhipov, the man who stopped nuclear war |newspaper=] |author=Edward Wilson |date=2012-10-27 |access-date=2012-10-31 |author-link=Edward Wilson (novelist)}}</ref>{{Better source needed|date=June 2024}} The {{USS|Beale|DD-471|6}} was joined by other US destroyers who pummelled the submerged ''B-59'' with more explosives. | |||
Savitsky ordered the nuclear torpedo to be prepared for firing; its target was to be the USS ''Randolph'', the aircraft carrier leading the task force. An argument broke out in the sweltering control room of the ''B-59'' submarine among three senior officers, ''B-59'' captain Savitsky, political officer Ivan Semyonovich Maslennikov, and Deputy brigade commander Captain 2nd rank (US Navy Commander rank equivalent) ]. Accounts differ about whether Arkhipov convinced Savitsky not to make the attack or whether Savitsky himself finally concluded that the only reasonable choice left open to him was to come to the surface.<ref>{{cite book |last=Dobbs |first=Michael |author-link=Michael Dobbs (American author)|title=One Minute to Midnight: Kennedy, Khrushchev, and Castro on the Brink of Nuclear War|publisher=Alfred A. Knopf|location=New York|year=2008|isbn=978-1-4000-4358-3|pages =303, 317}}</ref> The decision to launch the nuclear torpedo required the consent of all three senior officers, and of the three, Arkhipov alone refused to give his consent. Arkhipov's reputation was a key factor in the control room debate. The previous year he had exposed himself to severe radiation in order to save a submarine with an overheating nuclear reactor.<ref name="thankyou" />{{Better source needed|date=June 2024}} | |||
During the conference October 2002, McNamara stated that nuclear war had come much closer than people had thought. Thomas Blanton, director of the ], said, "A guy called Vasily Arkhipov saved the world."<ref name="latinamericanstudies" /> | |||
===Possibility of nuclear launch=== | |||
In early 1992 it was confirmed that Soviet forces in Cuba had already received tactical nuclear warheads for their ] and ] when the crisis broke.<ref name="aca">{{cite web|url = http://www.armscontrol.org/act/2002_11/cubanmissile.asp|title = Arms Control Today|publisher = ]|date = November 1, 2002|access-date = February 14, 2004|archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20040218031020/http://www.armscontrol.org/act/2002_11/cubanmissile.asp|archive-date = February 18, 2004}}</ref> Castro stated that he would have recommended their use if the US had invaded, even if Cuba was destroyed.<ref name="aca"/> | |||
Fifty years after the crisis, ] wrote: | |||
{{blockquote|Fifty years ago, the Cuban Missile Crisis brought the world to the brink of nuclear disaster. During the standoff, US President John F. Kennedy thought the chance of escalation to war was "between 1 in 3 and even", and what we have learned in later decades has done nothing to lengthen those odds. We now know, for example, that in addition to nuclear-armed ballistic missiles, the Soviet Union had deployed 100 tactical nuclear weapons to Cuba, and the local Soviet commander there could have launched these weapons without additional codes or commands from Moscow. The US air strike and invasion that were scheduled for the third week of the confrontation would likely have triggered a nuclear response against American ships and troops, and perhaps even ]. The resulting war might have led to the deaths of over 100 million Americans and over 100 million Russians.<ref>{{cite journal |last=Allison |first=Graham |year=2012 |title=The Cuban Missile Crisis at 50 |url=http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/137679/graham-allison/the-cuban-missile-crisis-at-50 |journal=] |volume=91 |issue=4 |access-date=July 9, 2012 |archive-date=February 15, 2021 |archive-url=https://archive.today/20210215142211/https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/cuba/2012-07-01/cuban-missile-crisis-50 |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.vzglyad.ru/opinions/2013/11/22/660828.html|title=ВЗГЛЯД / "США и Россия: кризис 1962–го"|access-date=December 14, 2013|archive-date=December 14, 2013|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20131214084315/http://www.vzglyad.ru/opinions/2013/11/22/660828.html|url-status=live}}</ref>}} | |||
] journalist Joe Matthews published the story, on 13 October 2012, after news of the 100 tactical nuclear warheads mentioned by Graham Allison in the excerpt above.<ref name="MatthewsBBC20121013" /> Khrushchev feared that Castro's hurt pride and widespread Cuban indignation over the concessions he had made to Kennedy might lead to a breakdown of the agreement between the Soviet Union and the United States. To prevent this, Khrushchev decided to offer to give Cuba more than 100 tactical nuclear weapons that had been shipped there with the long-range missiles but, crucially, had escaped the notice of US intelligence. Khrushchev determined that because the Americans had not listed the missiles on their list of demands, keeping them in Cuba would be in the Soviet Union's interests.<ref name="MatthewsBBC20121013">{{cite news|last=Matthews|first=Joe|title=Cuban missile crisis: The other, secret one|url=https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-19930260|magazine=BBC News Magazine|access-date=October 13, 2012|date=October 13, 2012|archive-date=October 13, 2012|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20121013025211/http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-19930260|url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
] had the task of negotiating with Castro over the missile transfer deal to prevent a breakdown in relations between Cuba and the Soviet Union. While in Havana, Mikoyan witnessed the mood swings and paranoia of Castro, who was convinced that Moscow had made the agreement with the US at the expense of Cuba's defence. Mikoyan, on his own initiative, decided that Castro and his military should not under any circumstances be given control of weapons with an explosive force equal to 100 Hiroshima-sized bombs. He defused the seemingly intractable situation, which risked re-escalating the crisis, on 22 November 1962. During a tense, four-hour meeting, Mikoyan convinced Castro that despite Moscow's desire to help, it would be in breach of an unpublished Soviet law, which did not actually exist, to transfer the missiles permanently into Cuban hands and provide them with an independent nuclear deterrent. Castro was forced to give way and, much to the relief of Khrushchev and the rest of the Soviet government, the tactical nuclear weapons were crated and returned by sea to the Soviet Union during December 1962.<ref name="MatthewsBBC20121013" /> | |||
== In popular culture == | |||
]'']] | |||
The American popular media, especially television, made frequent use of the events of the missile crisis in both fictional and documentary forms.<ref>{{cite book|first=Priscilla|last=Roberts|title=Cuban Missile Crisis: The Essential Reference Guide|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=3-WoO0V6rRMC&pg=PA267|year=2012|publisher=ABC-CLIO|page=267|isbn=978-1-61069-066-9|access-date=October 26, 2015|archive-date=April 24, 2016|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160424204723/https://books.google.com/books?id=3-WoO0V6rRMC&pg=PA267|url-status=live}}</ref> Jim Willis includes the Crisis as one of the 100 "media moments that changed America".<ref>{{cite book|first=Jim|last=Willis|title=100 Media Moments that Changed America|year=2010|publisher=ABC-CLIO|pages=97–99}}</ref> Sheldon Stern found that a half century later there were still many "misconceptions, half-truths, and outright lies" that had shaped media versions of what happened in the White House during those two weeks.<ref>{{cite book|first=Sheldon|last=Stern|title=The Cuban Missile Crisis in American Memory: Myths versus Reality|year=2012|publisher=Stanford University Press|page=viii}}</ref> | |||
Historian William Cohn argued in a 1976 article that television programs were typically the main source used by the American public to know about and interpret the past.<ref>{{cite journal|first=William H.|last=Cohn|title=History for the masses: Television portrays the past|journal=Journal of Popular Culture|volume=10|issue=2|year=1976|pages=280–289|doi=10.1111/j.0022-3840.1976.1002_280.x}}</ref> According to Cold War historian Andrei Kozovoi, the Soviet media proved somewhat disorganized as it was unable to generate a coherent popular history. Khrushchev lost power and was airbrushed out of the story and Cuba was no longer portrayed as a heroic David against the American Goliath. One contradiction that pervaded the Soviet media campaign was between the pacifistic rhetoric of the peace movement that emphasized the horrors of nuclear war and the militancy of the need to prepare Soviets for war against American aggression.<ref>{{cite journal|first=Andrei|last=Kozovoi|s2cid=57567035|title=Dissonant Voices|journal=Journal of Cold War Studies|year=2014|volume=16|issue=3|pages=29–61|doi=10.1162/JCWS_a_00470}}</ref> | |||
== Media representations == | |||
<!--(Listed chronologically)--> | |||
=== Non fiction === | |||
* '']'', Robert F. Kennedy's memoir of the crisis, posthumously released in 1969; It became the basis for numerous films and documentaries.<ref>Haruya Anami, "'Thirteen Days' Thirty Years After: Robert Kennedy and the Cuban Missile Crisis Revisited," ''Journal of American & Canadian Studies'' (1994) Issue 12, pp 69–88.</ref> | |||
* '']'', 1974 TV docudrama about the crisis.<ref>Albert Auster, "The Missiles of October: A Case Study of Television Docudrama and Modern Memory." ''Journal of Popular Film and Television'' 17.4 (1990): 164–172.</ref> | |||
* '']'', 2003 American documentary film about the life and times of former US Secretary of Defense Robert S. McNamara directed by Errol Morris, which won that year's ]."<ref>James G. Blight, Janet M. Lang, ''The Fog of War: Lessons from the Life of Robert S. McNamara'' (Rowman & Littlefield, 2005), ch 1,</ref> | |||
=== Fiction === | |||
* '']'', 1969 film by ] based on ] by ], set during the run-up to the crisis.<ref>Michael Walker, "'Topaz' and Cold War Politics." ''Hitchcock Annual'' 13 (2004): 127–153.</ref> | |||
* '']'', 1993 film starring John Goodman set during the Cuban Missile Crisis in which an independent-filmmaker decides to seize the opportunity to debut an atomic themed film.<ref>Ronald Briley, "Reel history and the cold war." ''OAH Magazine of History'' 8.2 (1994): 19–22.</ref> | |||
* ], 2000 film based on ''The Kennedy Tapes: Inside the White House During the Cuban Missile Crisis'', a docudrama directed by Roger Donaldson about the crisis.<ref>Aoki Inoue, Cristina Yumie, and Matthew Krain. "One World, Two Classrooms, 'Thirteen Days': Film as an Active-teaching and Learning Tool in Cross-national Perspective." ''Journal of Political Science Education'' 10.4 (2014): 424–442.</ref> | |||
* ''],'' a 2008 video game, set in an alternate timeline where Einstein did not exist. During the Allied Nations campaign, an alternate version of the Cuban Missile Crisis occurs, dubbed in game as the mission ''"The Great Bear Trap"'', where the Soviet Union had secretly planned and constructed an invasion force in Havana, capped by specially designed Kirov Airships that were yielding 50 megaton bombs and intended to fly towards Allied controlled cities. | |||
* '']'', the 2008 episode "Meditations in an Emergency" is set in the midst of the Cuban Missile Crisis. | |||
* ], a 2009 short novel by Stephen King, is about three men who discover through a magic Kindle that in a parallel universe, the Cuban Missile Crisis escalated into a nuclear war and ended that universe.<ref>Rocky Wood, ''Stephen King: A Literary Companion'' (McFarland, 2017), p. 184.</ref> | |||
* '']'', 2010 video game, set during and after the Cuban Missile Crisis.<ref>Holger Pötzsch, and Vít Šisler, "Playing Cultural Memory: Framing History in Call of Duty: Black Ops and Czechoslovakia 38–89: Assassination." ''Games and Culture'' 14.1 (2019): 3–25.</ref> | |||
* ], 2011 production chronicling the lives of the Kennedy family, including a dramatisation of the crisis.<ref>Gregory Frame, "The Myth of John F. Kennedy in Film and Television." ''Film & History: An Interdisciplinary Journal'' 46.2 (2016): 21–34.</ref> | |||
* '']'', 2011 superhero film set during the Cuban Missile Crisis, which depicts the crisis as being escalated by a group of mutants with the goal of establishing a mutant ruling class after the subsequent war.<ref>Martin Lund, "The mutant problem: X-Men, confirmation bias, and the methodology of comics and identity." ''European journal of American studies'' 10.10-2 (2015), document 4.</ref> | |||
* '']'', a 2020 film that tells the "true story of the British businessman ] (played by ]) who helped MI6 penetrate the Soviet nuclear programme during the Cold War. Wynne and his Russian source, ] (codenamed Ironbark), provided crucial intelligence that ended the Cuban Missile Crisis."<ref name="Announcement">{{cite web|last1=Wiseman|first1=Andreas|title=Benedict Cumberbatch To Star As Cold War Spy Greville Wynne In FilmNation Thriller 'Ironbark' – Hot Cannes Pic|url=https://deadline.com/2018/05/benedict-cumberbatch-to-star-as-cold-war-spy-greville-wynne-in-filmnation-thriller-ironbark-hot-cannes-pic-1202381812/|website=]|access-date=May 3, 2018|date=May 3, 2018}}</ref> | |||
==See also== | ==See also== | ||
{{Portal| |
{{Portal|Cuba|Soviet Union|United States}} | ||
* ] | * ] | ||
* ] | |||
* ] | |||
* ] | |||
* ] | |||
* ] | |||
* ] | |||
* ] | * ] | ||
* ] | * ] | ||
* ] | |||
* ] | |||
===Media=== | |||
* ] | |||
(listed chronologically) | |||
* ], Robert F. Kennedy's account of the crisis, released in 1969 | |||
* '']'', 1974 TV docudrama about the crisis | |||
* '']'', 1990 novel by Brad Ferguson, set in this period | |||
* ], 1999 American romantic comedy film, set in this period | |||
* '']'', 1999 alternate history novel written by Brendan DuBois, set in this period | |||
* ], 2000 docudrama directed by Roger Donaldson about the crisis | |||
* '']'', 2003 American documentary film about the life and times of former US Secretary of Defense Robert S. McNamara | |||
* "Meditations in an Emergency", the last episode of ] takes place during the crisis | |||
* ], 2011 production chronicling the lives of the Kennedy family, including a dramatization of the crisis | |||
* '']'', 2011 superhero film set during the Cuban Missile Crisis | |||
==Notes== | ==Notes== | ||
{{Reflist|group=note |
{{Reflist|group=note}} | ||
==References== | ==References== | ||
{{Reflist |
{{Reflist}} | ||
== |
==Further reading== | ||
* {{cite book|last=Allison|first=Graham|author2=Zelikow, Philip|title=Essence of Decision, Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis|publisher=Addison Wesley Longman|location=New York|year=1999|isbn=978-0-321-01349-1|url=https://archive.org/details/essenceofdecisio00alli_0}} | |||
{{refbegin}} | |||
* Barrett, David M. and Max Holland (2012). ''Blind Over Cuba: The Photo Gap and the Missile Crisis''. College Station: Texas A&M University Press, 2012. | |||
* {{cite book|last=Chayes|first=Abram|authorlink=Abram Chayes|title=The Cuban Missile Crisis|series=International crises and the role of law|publisher=Oxford University Press|location=London|year= 1974|isbn=978-0198253204}} | |||
* {{cite book|last= |
* {{cite book|last=Beschloss|first=Michael R.|author-link=Michael Beschloss|title=The Crisis Years: Kennedy and Khruschev, 1960–1963|publisher=HarperCollins|location=New York|year=1991|isbn=978-0-060-16454-6}} | ||
* Campus, Leonardo (2014). ''I sei giorni che sconvolsero il mondo. La crisi dei missili di Cuba e le sue percezioni internazionali ''. Florence: Le Monnier. {{ISBN|9788800745321}} | |||
* {{cite book|last=Divine |first= Robert A.| title=The Cuban Missile Crisis|location=New York|publisher=M. Wiener Pub|year=1988|isbn=978-0910129152}} | |||
* {{cite book|last= |
* {{cite book|last=Chayes|first=Abram|author-link=Abram Chayes|title=The Cuban Missile Crisis|series=International crises and the role of law|publisher=Oxford University Press|location=London|year=1974|isbn=978-0-19-825320-4|url=https://archive.org/details/cubanmissilecris00chay}} | ||
* ], "Defensive, Not Aggressive" (review of Theodore Voorhees, ''The Silent Guns of Two Octobers: Kennedy and Khrushchev Play the Double Game'', Michigan, September 2021, {{ISBN|978 0 472 03871 8}}, 384 pp.; and ], ''Nuclear Folly: A New History of the Cuban Missile Crisis'', Allen Lane, April 2021, {{ISBN|978 0 241 45473 2}}, 464 pp.), '']'', vol. 43, no. 17 (9 September 2021), pp. 9–10. "or Kennedy, the crisis was entirely about politics." Voorhees argues convincingly that there was never any real danger of war, since Kennedy and Khrushchev were equally determined to avoid one..." (p. 10.) | |||
* {{cite book|last=Frankel |first= Max|authorlink=Max Frankel|title=High Noon in the Cold War: Kennedy, Khrushchev, and the Cuban Missile Crisis |publisher= Ballantine Books|location=New York|year=2004|isbn=978-0345465054}} | |||
* {{cite book|last= |
* {{cite book|last=Diez Acosta |first=Tomás|author-link=Tomás Diez Acosta|title=October 1962: The "Missile" Crisis As Seen from Cuba|publisher=Pathfinder|location=New York|year=2002|isbn=978-0-87348-956-0}} | ||
* {{cite book|last=Divine |first=Robert A.| title=The Cuban Missile Crisis|location=New York|publisher=M. Wiener Pub|year=1988|isbn=978-0-910129-15-2}} | |||
* {{cite journal|last=Fursenko |first= Aleksandr |url=http://www.usnwc.edu/getattachment/022a95fa-5ac0-40ad-8fe6-d332b30b5a3e/Night-Session-of-the-Presidium-of-the-Central-Comm| title=Night Session of the Presidium of the Central Committee, 22–23 October 1962|journal= ]|volume=59|date=Summer 2006|issue=3}} | |||
* {{cite book|last= |
* {{cite book|last=Dobbs |first=Michael|author-link=Michael Dobbs (American author)|title=One Minute to Midnight: Kennedy, Khrushchev and Castro on the Brink of Nuclear War|publisher=Knopf|location=New York|year=2008|isbn=978-1-4000-7891-2}} | ||
* {{cite book|last= |
* {{cite book|last=Feklisov|first=Aleksandr|author-link=Alexander Feklisov|author2=Kostin, Sergueï|title=The Man Behind the Rosenbergs: By the KGB Spymaster Who Was the Case Officer of Julius Rosenberg, Klaus Fuchs, and Helped Resolve the Cuban Missile Crisis|publisher=Enigma Books|location=New York|year=2001|isbn=978-1-929631-08-7|url=https://archive.org/details/manbehindrosenbe00fekl}} | ||
* {{cite |
* {{cite book|last=Frankel|first=Max|author-link=Max Frankel|title=High Noon in the Cold War: Kennedy, Khrushchev, and the Cuban Missile Crisis|publisher=Ballantine Books|location=New York|year=2004|isbn=978-0-345-46505-4|url=https://archive.org/details/highnoonincoldwa00fran}} | ||
* {{cite book|last= |
* {{cite book|last=Fursenko |first=Aleksandr |author2=Naftali, Timothy J.| title=One Hell of a Gamble: Khrushchev, Castro, and Kennedy, 1958–1964 |publisher=Norton|location=New York|year=1998|isbn=978-0-393-31790-9}} | ||
* {{cite journal|last=Fursenko|first=Aleksandr|url=http://www.usnwc.edu/getattachment/022a95fa-5ac0-40ad-8fe6-d332b30b5a3e/Night-Session-of-the-Presidium-of-the-Central-Comm|title=Night Session of the Presidium of the Central Committee, 22–23 October 1962|journal=]|volume=59|date=Summer 2006|issue=3|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111006075238/http://www.usnwc.edu/getattachment/022a95fa-5ac0-40ad-8fe6-d332b30b5a3e/Night-Session-of-the-Presidium-of-the-Central-Comm|archive-date=October 6, 2011}} | |||
* {{cite book|last=Pope|first= Ronald R.|title=Soviet Views on the Cuban Missile Crisis: Myth and Reality in Foreign Policy Analysis|publisher=Univ. Press of America|location=Washington, DC|year=1982|isbn=978-0819125842}} | |||
* {{cite book|last=George|first=Alice L.|title=Awaiting Armageddon: How Americans Faced the Cuban Missile Crisis |url=https://archive.org/details/awaitingarmagedd0000geor|url-access=registration|year=2003 |publisher=University of North Carolina Press|location=Chapel Hill|isbn=978-0-8078-2828-1}} | |||
* {{cite journal|last=Pressman|first=Jeremy|title=September Statements, October Missiles, November Elections: Domestic Politics, Foreign-Policy Making, and the Cuban Missile Crisis|journal=]|volume= 10|year=2001|pages=80–114|issue= 3|doi=10.1080/09636410108429438}} | |||
* {{cite book |
* {{cite book|last=Gibson|first=David R.|title=Talk at the Brink: Deliberation and Decision during the Cuban Missile Crisis |year=2012 |publisher=Princeton University Press|location=Princeton, NJ|isbn=978-0-691-15131-1}} | ||
* {{cite book | vauthors=((Hornsby, R.)) | date=2023 | title=The Soviet Sixties | publisher=Yale University Press }} | |||
* {{cite book|last=Stern|first= Sheldon M.|title=Averting 'the Final Failure': John F. Kennedy and the Secret Cuban Missile Crisis Meetings|series=Stanford nuclear age series|publisher=Stanford University Press|location=Stanford, Calif|year=2003|url=http://www.sup.org/book.cgi?id=5073|isbn= 978-0-8047-4846-9}} | |||
* {{cite book| |
* {{cite book|last1=Jones|first1=Milo |last2=Silberzahn|first2=Philppe|title=Constructing Cassandra, Reframing Intelligence Failure at the CIA, 1947–2001|publisher=Stanford University Press|year=2013 |isbn=978-0-8047-9336-0}} | ||
* {{cite journal|last=Khrushchev|first=Sergei|author-link=Sergei Khrushchev|title=How My Father And President Kennedy Saved The World|journal=]|date=October 2002|volume=53|issue=5|url=http://www.americanheritage.com/content/how-my-father-and-president-kenedy-saved-world}} | |||
* {{cite book|last=Trahair |first= Richard C. S.|coauthors=Miller, Robert L.|title=Encyclopedia of Cold War Espionage, Spies, and Secret Operations|publisher=Enigma Books|location=New York|year=2009|isbn=978-1-929631-75-9}} | |||
* ], "This Close: The day the Cuban missile crisis almost went nuclear" (a review of ]'s ''Gambling with Armageddon: Nuclear Roulette from Hiroshima to the Cuban Missile Crisis'', New York, Knopf, 2020), '']'', 12 October 2020, pp. 70–73. Article includes information from recently declassified sources. | |||
{{refend}} | |||
* Plokhy, Serhii. ''Nuclear Folly: A History of the Cuban Missile Crisis'' (W.W. Norton & Company, 2021). | |||
* {{cite book|last=Polmar|first=Norman|author2=Gresham, John D.|others=Foreword by ]| title=DEFCON-2: Standing on the Brink of Nuclear War During the Cuban Missile Crisis|publisher=Wiley |location=Hoboken, NJ|year=2006|isbn=978-0-471-67022-3}} | |||
* {{cite book|last=Pope|first=Ronald R.|title=Soviet Views on the Cuban Missile Crisis: Myth and Reality in Foreign Policy Analysis|publisher=Univ. Press of America|location=Washington, DC|year=1982|isbn=978-0-8191-2584-2}} | |||
* ], "The Nuclear Worrier" (review of ], ''The Doomsday Machine: Confessions of a Nuclear War Planner'', New York, Bloomsbury, 2017, {{ISBN|9781608196708}}, 420 pp.), '']'', vol. LXV, no. 1 (January 18, 2018), pp. 13–15. | |||
* {{cite journal|last=Pressman|first=Jeremy|title=September Statements, October Missiles, November Elections: Domestic Politics, Foreign-Policy Making, and the Cuban Missile Crisis|journal=]|volume=10|year=2001|pages=80–114|issue=3|doi=10.1080/09636410108429438|s2cid=154854331}} | |||
* {{cite journal |url=https://www.foreignaffairs.com/cuba/missile-crisis-secret-history-soviet-union-russia-ukraine-lessons |last1=Radchenko |first1=Sergey |author-link1=Sergey Radchenko |last2=Zubok |first2=Vladislav |author-link2=Vladislav Zubok |date=May–June 2023 |title=Blundering on the Brink: The Secret History and Unlearned Lessons of the Cuban Missile Crisis |journal=Foreign Affairs |volume=102 |issue=3 |pages=44–63}} | |||
* {{cite book |title=Unarmed Victory|last=Russell|first=Bertrand |author-link=Bertrand Russell|year=1963|publisher=Allen & Unwin|location=London |isbn=978-0-04-327024-0}} | |||
* Seydi, SÜleyman. "Turkish–American Relations and the Cuban Missile Crisis, 1957–63." ''Middle Eastern Studies'' 46#3 (2010), pp. 433–455. | |||
* {{cite book|last=Stern|first=Sheldon M.|title=Averting 'the Final Failure': John F. Kennedy and the Secret Cuban Missile Crisis Meetings|series=Stanford nuclear age series|publisher=Stanford University Press|location=Stanford, Calif|year=2003|url=https://archive.org/details/avertingthefinal00ster|isbn=978-0-8047-4846-9|access-date=November 4, 2011}} | |||
* {{cite book|last=Stern|first=Sheldon M.|title=The Week the World Stood Still: Inside the Secret Cuban Missile Crisis|series=Stanford nuclear age series|publisher=Stanford University Press|location=Stanford, Calif|year=2005|url=http://www.sup.org/book.cgi?id=7994|isbn=978-0-8047-5077-6|access-date=November 4, 2011|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111014144108/http://sup.org/book.cgi?id=7994|archive-date=October 14, 2011}} | |||
* {{cite book|last=Stern|first=Sheldon M.|title=The Cuban Missile Crisis in American Memory: Myths versus Reality|series=Stanford nuclear age series|publisher=Stanford University Press|location=Stanford, Calif|year =2012}} | |||
* {{cite book|last=Trahair |first=Richard C. S.|author2=Miller, Robert L.|title=Encyclopedia of Cold War Espionage, Spies, and Secret Operations|publisher=Enigma Books|location=New York|year=2009|isbn=978-1-929631-75-9}} | |||
* {{cite news|last=Matthews|first=Joe|title=Cuban missile crisis: The other, secret one|publisher=]|date=October 2012|url=https://www.bbc.com/news/magazine-19930260}} | |||
* Weaver, Michael E. The Relationship between Diplomacy and Military Force: An Example from the Cuban Missile Crisis, Diplomatic History, January 2014, Volume 38, Number 1, pp. 137–81. | |||
* White, Mark. "The Other Missiles of October: Eisenhower, Kennedy, and the Jupiters, 1957–1963." ''Diplomatic History'' (2002) 26#1 pp 147–153. | |||
===Historiography=== | ===Historiography=== | ||
* {{cite journal |last1=Allison|first1=Graham T.|author-link=Graham T. Allison|date=September 1969 |title=Conceptual Models and the Cuban Missile Crisis|journal=]|volume=63|issue=3|pages=689–718|jstor=1954423|doi=10.2307/1954423|s2cid=251094337 }} | |||
{{refbegin}} | |||
* {{cite journal |
* {{cite journal|last=Dorn|first=A. Walter|author-link=Walter Dorn|author2=Pauk, Robert|title=Unsung Mediator: U Thant and the Cuban Missile Crisis|journal=]|date=April 2009|volume=33|issue=2|pages=261–292|url=http://walterdorn.org/pub/144|doi=10.1111/j.1467-7709.2008.00762.x}} | ||
* {{cite journal |last1=Garthoff|first1=Raymond L.| |
* {{cite journal |last1=Garthoff|first1=Raymond L.|s2cid=57563600|author-link=Raymond L. Garthoff|date=Spring 2004|title=Foreign Intelligence and the Historiography of the Cold War|journal=]|volume=6|issue=2|pages=21–56 |issn=1520-3972 |doi=10.1162/152039704773254759}} | ||
* {{cite journal |last1= |
* {{cite journal |last1=Gibson|first1=David R.|year=2011|title=Avoiding Catastrophe: The Interactional Production of Possibility during the Cuban Missile Crisis|journal=]|volume=117|issue =2|pages=361–419|jstor=10.1086/661761|doi=10.1086/661761|citeseerx=10.1.1.374.2005|s2cid=143717875}} | ||
* {{cite journal |last1= |
* {{cite journal |last1=Jones|first1=John A.|last2=Jones|first2=Virginia H.|s2cid=154894890|date=Spring 2005|title=Through the Eye of the Needle: Five Perspectives on the Cuban Missile Crisis|journal=Rhetoric & Public Affairs|volume=8|issue=1|pages=133–144 |doi=10.1353/rap.2005.0044}} | ||
* {{cite book|last1=Jones|first1=Milo |last2=Silberzahn|first2=Philppe|title=Constructing Cassandra, Reframing Intelligence Failure at the CIA, 1947–2001|publisher=Stanford University Press|year=2013 |isbn=978-0-8047-9336-0|pages=135–191}} | |||
{{refend}} | |||
* {{cite journal |last1=Lebow|first1=Richard Ned|author-link=Richard Ned Lebow|date=October 1990|title=Domestic Politics and the Cuban Missile Crisis: The Traditional and Revisionist Interpretations Reevaluated|journal=]|volume=14|issue=4|pages=471–492|doi=10.1111/j.1467-7709.1990.tb00103.x}} | |||
* Bayard de Volo, Lorraine (July 2022) "Masculinity and the Cuban Missile Crisis: gender as pre-emptive deterrent", ''International Affairs'', '''98''' (4): 1211–1229. ]. | |||
===Primary sources=== | ===Primary sources=== | ||
* Getchell, Michelle. ''Cuban Missile Crisis and the Cold War: A Short History with Documents''(Hackett Publishing, 2018) 200 pp. {{Dead link|date=March 2020 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }} | |||
{{refbegin}} | |||
* {{cite book |title= The Cuban Missile Crisis, 1962: A National Security Archive Documents Reader |editor1-last=Chang |editor1-first= Laurence |editor2-last= Kornbluh |editor2-first=Peter |year= 1998 |edition=2nd |publisher= New Press|location= New York|isbn= |
* {{cite book |title= The Cuban Missile Crisis, 1962: A National Security Archive Documents Reader |editor1-last=Chang |editor1-first= Laurence |editor2-last= Kornbluh |editor2-first=Peter |year= 1998 |edition=2nd |publisher= New Press|location= New York|isbn=978-1-56584-474-2|chapter-url=http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/nsa/cuba_mis_cri/declass.htm|chapter=Introduction}} | ||
* {{cite web|title=Cuban Missile Crisis|url=http://www.jfklibrary.org/JFK/JFK-in-History/Cuban-Missile-Crisis.aspx|work=JFK in History|publisher=]}} | * {{cite web|title=Cuban Missile Crisis|url=http://www.jfklibrary.org/JFK/JFK-in-History/Cuban-Missile-Crisis.aspx|work=JFK in History|publisher=]}} | ||
* {{cite web|title=Cuban Missile Crisis 1962|url=http://whitehousetapes.net/foreign-policy/cuba/cuban-missile-crisis-1962|work=Presidential Recordings Program|publisher=], ]}} | * {{cite web|title=Cuban Missile Crisis 1962|url=http://whitehousetapes.net/foreign-policy/cuba/cuban-missile-crisis-1962|work=Presidential Recordings Program|publisher=], ]|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110816232325/http://whitehousetapes.net/foreign-policy/cuba/cuban-missile-crisis-1962|archive-date=August 16, 2011}} | ||
* {{cite web|title=Cuban Missile Crisis|url= |
* {{cite web|title=Cuban Missile Crisis|url=https://digitalarchive.wilsoncenter.org/collection/31/cuban-missile-crisis|publisher=]|work=Wilson Center Digital Archive|access-date=June 27, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150629204417/https://digitalarchive.wilsoncenter.org/collection/31/cuban-missile-crisis|archive-date=June 29, 2015}} | ||
* {{Cite book |last=Karnow |first=Stanley |title=Vietnam: A History |publisher=Penguin Books |year=1997 |isbn=978-0-14-026547-7 |edition=2nd |location=New York |author-link=Stanley Karnow}} | |||
* {{cite book |title= Cuban Missile Crisis and Aftermath |editor1-last=Keefer |editor1-first=Edward C. |editor2-last=Sampson |editor2-first=Charles S. |editor3-last=Smith |editor3-first= Louis J. |series= Foreign relations of the United States, 1961–1963|volume=XI|year= 1996|publisher= U.S. Government Printing Office|location= Washington, D.C|isbn= 0-16-045210-4|url= http://www.state.gov/www/about_state/history/frusXI/index.html}} | |||
* {{cite book |title=Cuban Missile Crisis and Aftermath |editor1-last=Keefer |editor1-first=Edward C. |editor2-last=Sampson |editor2-first=Charles S. |editor3-last=Smith |editor3-first=Louis J. |series=Foreign relations of the United States, 1961–1963 |volume=XI |year=1996 |publisher=U.S. Government Printing Office |location=Washington, D.C. |isbn=978-0-16-045210-9 |url=https://1997-2001.state.gov/www/about_state/history/frusXI/index.html |access-date=December 8, 2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20161223230125/https://1997-2001.state.gov/www/about_state/history/frusXI/index.html |archive-date=December 23, 2016 }} | |||
* {{cite book|last=Kennedy |first=Robert F.| title=]|year=1969 |publisher=W. W. Norton |location=New York|isbn=978-0-393-31834-0}} | |||
* {{cite book | |
* {{cite book|last=Kennedy |first=Robert F.| title=Thirteen Days: A Memoir of the Cuban Missile Crisis|year=1969 |publisher=W.W. Norton |location=New York|isbn=978-0-393-31834-0|title-link=Thirteen Days (book)}} | ||
* {{cite book |title=The Kennedy Tapes: Inside the White House During the Cuban Missile Crisis |edition=2nd | editor1-last=May |editor1-first=Ernest R. |editor2-last=Zelikow |editor2-first=Philip D. |year=2002 |orig-date=1997 |publisher=Norton |location=New York |isbn=978-0-393-32259-0 |url=http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/nsa/cuba_mis_cri/audio.htm}} | |||
* {{cite web|editor1-first= Mary S.|editor1-last=McAuliffe|title=CIA Documents on the Cuban Missile Crisis, 1962 |url=https://www.cia.gov/library/center-for-the-study-of-intelligence/csi-publications/books-and-monographs/Cuban%20Missile%20Crisis1962.pdf |work=Historical Review Program|publisher=]|location=Washington, DC|month=October |year=1992}} | |||
* {{cite web|editor1-first=Mary S.|editor1-last=McAuliffe|title=CIA Documents on the Cuban Missile Crisis, 1962|url=https://www.cia.gov/library/center-for-the-study-of-intelligence/csi-publications/books-and-monographs/Cuban%20Missile%20Crisis1962.pdf|work=Historical Review Program|publisher=]|location=Washington, DC|date=October 1992|access-date=May 11, 2011|archive-date=December 24, 2011|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111224040013/https://www.cia.gov/library/center-for-the-study-of-intelligence/csi-publications/books-and-monographs/Cuban%20Missile%20Crisis1962.pdf}} | |||
* {{cite web|title=The Cuban Missile Crisis, 1962: The 40th Anniversary |url=http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/nsa/cuba_mis_cri/index.htm|work=National Security Archive: Special Exhibits|publisher=The George Washington University|location=Gelman Library}} | |||
* {{cite web|title=The |
* {{cite web|title=The Cuban Missile Crisis, 1962: The 40th Anniversary |url=http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/nsa/cuba_mis_cri/index.htm|work=National Security Archive: Special Exhibits|publisher=George Washington University|location=Gelman Library}} | ||
* {{cite web|title=The World On the Brink: John F. Kennedy and the Cuban Missile Crisis|url=http://microsites.jfklibrary.org/cmc/|work=Interactive Exhibits|publisher=John F. Kennedy Library|access-date=April 9, 2011|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110118233020/http://microsites.jfklibrary.org/cmc/|archive-date=January 18, 2011}} | |||
{{refend}} | |||
* {{cite web|title=America and Russia: The Crisis of 1962. On the 50th anniversary of the missile crisis|editor=Gavrov, Sergei|date=November 2013|publisher=Vzglyad (Russia)|location=Moscow|url=http://watchingamerica.com/WA/2014/07/22/america-and-russia-the-crisis-of-1962/|access-date=September 10, 2016|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20161017103210/http://watchingamerica.com/WA/2014/07/22/america-and-russia-the-crisis-of-1962/|archive-date=October 17, 2016}} | |||
* Dallek, Robert. "If We Listen to Them, None of Us Will Be Alive." In ''Camelot's Court'', 279–334. New York: HarperCollins, 2013. | |||
===Lesson plans=== | ===Lesson plans=== | ||
* {{cite web|url=http://future.state.gov/educators/slideshow/cuba.html|title=Cuban Missile Crisis|work=Slideshows for Educators|publisher=Bureau of Public Affairs, U.S. Department of State|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110105090250/http://future.state.gov/educators/slideshow/cuba.html|archive-date=January 5, 2011}} | |||
{{refbegin}} | |||
* {{cite web|last=Moser|first=John|title=The Cuban Missile Crisis, 1962: 'The Missiles of October'|url=http://edsitement.neh.gov/lesson-plan/missiles-october-cuban-missile-crisis-1962|work=EDSITEment: Lesson Plans|publisher=National Endowment for the Humanities|author2=Hahn, Lori|date=July 15, 2010|access-date=January 26, 2011|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110116165321/http://edsitement.neh.gov/lesson-plan/missiles-october-cuban-missile-crisis-1962|archive-date=January 16, 2011}} | |||
* {{cite web|url=http://future.state.gov/educators/slideshow/cuba.html| title=Cuban Missile Crisis|work=Slideshows for Educators |publisher=Bureau of Public Affairs, US Department of State}} | |||
* {{cite web|last=Moser|first=John|title=The Cuban Missile Crisis, 1962: 'The Missiles of October'|url=http://edsitement.neh.gov/lesson-plan/missiles-october-cuban-missile-crisis-1962|work=EDSITEment: Lesson Plans|publisher=National Endowment for the Humanities|coauthors=Hahn, Lori|date=July 15, 2010}} | |||
{{refend}} | |||
==External links== | ==External links== | ||
{{Commons|Cuban |
{{wikiquote}}{{Library resources box}}{{Commons category|Cuban Missile Crisis}} | ||
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* {{Flickr-inline2|photos/martintrolle/sets/72157621696357587/with/3683916412|Cuban Missile Crisis: Операция Анадырь (Operation Anadyr)}} | ||
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* {{cite web|title=Cuban Missile Crisis|url=http://www.history.com/topics/cuban-missile-crisis|work=Topics|publisher=] |year=2011}} | |||
* {{cite web|title=Cuban Missile Crisis|url=http://www. |
* {{cite web|title=Cuban Missile Crisis|url=http://www.history.com/topics/cuban-missile-crisis|work=Topics|publisher=] |year=2011}} | ||
* {{cite web|title=Cuban Missile Crisis|url=http://www.nuclearfiles.org/menu/key-issues/nuclear-weapons/history/cold-war/cuban-missile-crisis/index.htm|work=Nuclear Weapons History: Cold War|publisher=]|access-date=December 8, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181005072339/http://www.nuclearfiles.org/menu/key-issues/nuclear-weapons/history/cold-war/cuban-missile-crisis/index.htm|archive-date=October 5, 2018}} | |||
* {{cite web|title=Cuban Missile Crisis Bibliography|url=http://alsos.wlu.edu/adv_rst.aspx?keyword=Cuban*Missile*Crisis&results=10|publisher=]}} | |||
* {{cite web|title=Cuban Missile Crisis Bibliography|url=http://alsos.wlu.edu/adv_rst.aspx?keyword=Cuban*Missile*Crisis&results=10|publisher=]|access-date=May 11, 2011|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110807045818/http://alsos.wlu.edu/adv_rst.aspx?keyword=Cuban*Missile*Crisis&results=10|archive-date=August 7, 2011}} | |||
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* Patrick J. Kiger (7 June 2019): ''''. A Timeline of the Cuban Missile Crisis with the links to the correspondence between John F. Kennedy and Nikita Khrushchev during the crisis. In: ]. {{Webarchive|url=https://archive.today/20220329151645/https://www.history.com/news/cuban-missile-crisis-timeline-jfk-khrushchev |date=29 March 2022 }} | |||
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* : an alternate history timeline | |||
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* S.Isaev. | * S.Isaev. | ||
* {{Internet Archive short film|id=gov.ntis.PB94780186|name=Symposium on Intelligence and the Cuban Missile Crisis 1962 (1992)}} | |||
* has a collection of primary source archival documents on the Cuban Missile Crisis. | |||
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* {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170210045316/http://www.pbs.org/video/2286029131// |date=10 February 2017 }} Documentary produced by ] | |||
* '''', a transmedia storytelling of the crisis with animated short films and other digital content | |||
* Documentary produced by ] series '']'' | |||
* {{NYTtopic|c/cuban_missile_crisis|Cuban Missile Crisis (1962)}} | |||
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Latest revision as of 16:55, 20 December 2024
1962 confrontation between the US and USSR "Missile Crisis" redirects here. For the missile crisis in Cyprus, see Cypriot S-300 crisis. "Cuban Missile" redirects here. For the baseball player, see Aroldis Chapman.
Cuban Missile Crisis | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Part of the Cold War and the aftermath of the Cuban Revolution | |||||||
| |||||||
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Parties involved in the crisis | |||||||
Soviet Union Cuba |
United States United Kingdom Italy Turkey | ||||||
Commanders and leaders | |||||||
Strength | |||||||
43,000 soldiers | 100,000–180,000 (estimated) | ||||||
Casualties and losses | |||||||
None |
1 U-2 spy aircraft lost 1 US pilot killed |
The Cuban Missile Crisis, also known as the October Crisis (Spanish: Crisis de Octubre) in Cuba, or the Caribbean Crisis (Russian: Карибский кризис, romanized: Karibskiy krizis), was a 13-day confrontation between the governments of the United States and the Soviet Union, when American deployments of nuclear missiles in Italy and Turkey were matched by Soviet deployments of nuclear missiles in Cuba. The crisis lasted from 16 to 28 October 1962. The confrontation is widely considered the closest the Cold War came to escalating into full-scale nuclear war.
In 1961 the US government put Jupiter nuclear missiles in Italy and Turkey. It had trained a paramilitary force of expatriate Cubans, which the CIA led in an attempt to invade Cuba and overthrow its government. Starting in November of that year, the US government engaged in a violent campaign of terrorism and sabotage in Cuba, referred to as the Cuban Project, which continued throughout the first half of the 1960s. The Soviet administration was concerned about a Cuban drift towards China, with which the Soviets had an increasingly fractious relationship. In response to these factors the Soviet and Cuban governments agreed, at a meeting between leaders Nikita Khrushchev and Fidel Castro in July 1962, to place nuclear missiles on Cuba to deter a future US invasion. Construction of launch facilities started shortly thereafter.
A U-2 spy plane captured photographic evidence of medium- and long-range launch facilities in October. US President John F. Kennedy convened a meeting of the National Security Council and other key advisers, forming the Executive Committee of the National Security Council (EXCOMM). Kennedy was advised to carry out an air strike on Cuban soil in order to compromise Soviet missile supplies, followed by an invasion of the Cuban mainland. He chose a less aggressive course in order to avoid a declaration of war. On 22 October Kennedy ordered a naval blockade to prevent further missiles from reaching Cuba. He referred to the blockade as a "quarantine", not as a blockade, so the US could avoid the formal implications of a state of war.
An agreement was eventually reached between Kennedy and Khrushchev. The Soviets would dismantle their offensive weapons in Cuba, subject to United Nations verification, in exchange for a US public declaration and agreement not to invade Cuba again. The United States secretly agreed to dismantle all of the offensive weapons it had deployed to Turkey. There has been debate on whether Italy was also included in the agreement. While the Soviets dismantled their missiles, some Soviet bombers remained in Cuba, and the United States kept the naval quarantine in place until 20 November 1962. The blockade was formally ended on 20 November after all offensive missiles and bombers had been withdrawn from Cuba. The evident necessity of a quick and direct communication line between the two powers resulted in the Moscow–Washington hotline. A series of agreements later reduced US–Soviet tensions for several years.
The compromise embarrassed Khrushchev and the Soviet Union because the withdrawal of US missiles from Italy and Turkey was a secret deal between Kennedy and Khrushchev, and the Soviets were seen as retreating from a situation that they had started. Khrushchev's fall from power two years later was in part because of the Soviet Politburo's embarrassment at both Khrushchev's eventual concessions to the US and his ineptitude in precipitating the crisis. According to the Soviet Ambassador to the United States, Anatoly Dobrynin, the top Soviet leadership took the Cuban outcome as "a blow to its prestige bordering on humiliation".
Background
Cuba–Soviet relations
Main article: Escalante affairIn late 1961, Fidel Castro asked for more SA-2 anti-aircraft missiles from the Soviet Union. The request was not acted upon by the Soviet leadership. In the interval, Castro began criticizing the Soviets for lack of "revolutionary boldness", and began talking to China about agreements for economic assistance. In March 1962, Castro ordered the ousting of Anibal Escalante and his pro-Moscow comrades from Cuba's Integrated Revolutionary Organizations. This affair alarmed the Soviet leadership and raised fears of a possible US invasion. As a result, the Soviet Union sent more SA-2 anti-aircraft missiles in April, as well as a regiment of regular Soviet troops.
Historian Timothy Naftali has contended that Escalante's dismissal was a motivating factor behind the Soviet decision to place nuclear missiles in Cuba in 1962. According to Naftali, Soviet foreign policy planners were concerned that Castro's break with Escalante foreshadowed a Cuban drift toward China, and they sought to solidify the Soviet-Cuban relationship through the missile basing program.
Cuba–US relations
Further information: Operation 40, Bay of Pigs Invasion, and Operation MongooseThe Cuban government regarded US imperialism as the primary explanation for the island's structural weaknesses. The US government had provided weapons, money, and authority to the military dictatorship of Fulgencio Batista that ruled Cuba until 1958. The majority of the Cuban population had become tired of the severe socioeconomic problems associated with US domination of the country. The Cuban government was aware of the necessity of ending the turmoil and incongruities of US-dominated pre-revolution Cuban society. It decided that the US government's demands, part of the hostile US reaction to Cuban government policy, were unacceptable.
With the ending of World War II and the start of the Cold War, the United States government had grown concerned about the expansion of communism and sought to promote private enterprise as an instrument for advancing US strategic interests in the developing world.
In December 1959, under the Eisenhower administration and less than twelve months after the Cuban Revolution, the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) developed a plan for paramilitary action against Cuba. The CIA recruited operatives on the island to carry out terrorism and sabotage, kill civilians, and cause economic damage. At the initiative of the CIA Deputy Director for Plans, Richard Bissell, and approved by the new President John F. Kennedy, the US launched the attempted Bay of Pigs Invasion in April 1961 using CIA-trained forces of Cuban expatriates. The complete failure of the invasion, and the exposure of the US government's role before the operation began, was a source of diplomatic embarrassment for the Kennedy administration. Former President Eisenhower told Kennedy that "the failure of the Bay of Pigs will embolden the Soviets to do something that they would otherwise not do."
Following the failed invasion, the US escalated its sponsorship of terrorism against Cuba. Starting in late 1961, using the military and the CIA, the US government engaged in an extensive campaign of state-sponsored terrorism against civilian and military targets on the island. The terrorist attacks killed significant numbers of civilians. The US armed, trained, funded and directed the terrorists, most of whom were Cuban expatriates. Terrorist attacks were planned at the direction and with the participation of US government employees and launched from US territory. In January 1962, US Air Force General Edward Lansdale described the plans to overthrow the Cuban government in a top-secret report, addressed to Kennedy and officials involved with Operation Mongoose. CIA agents or "pathfinders" from the Special Activities Division were to be infiltrated into Cuba to carry out sabotage and organization, including radio broadcasts. In February 1962, the US launched an embargo against Cuba, and Lansdale presented a 26-page, top-secret timetable for implementation of the overthrow of the Cuban government, mandating guerrilla operations to begin in August and September. "Open revolt and overthrow of the Communist regime" was hoped by the planners to occur in the first two weeks of October.
The terrorism campaign and the threat of invasion were crucial factors in the Soviet decision to place nuclear missiles on Cuba, and in the Cuban government's decision to accept them. The US government was aware at the time, as reported to the president in a National Intelligence Estimate, that the invasion threat was a key reason for Cuban acceptance of the missiles.
US–Soviet relations
Main article: Missile gap See also: Berlin Crisis of 1961When Kennedy ran for president in 1960, one of his key election issues was an alleged "missile gap" with the Soviets. In fact the US at that time was ahead of the Soviets and by an increasingly wide margin. In 1961 the Soviets had four R-7 Semyorka intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs); by October 1962, some intelligence estimates indicated a figure of 75.
The US had 170 ICBMs and was quickly building more. It also had eight George Washington- and Ethan Allen-class ballistic missile submarines, with the capability to launch 16 Polaris missiles, each with a range of 2,500 nautical miles (4,600 km). The Soviet First Secretary, Nikita Khrushchev, increased the perception of a 'missile gap' when he boasted to the world that the Soviets were building missiles "like sausages", but Soviet missile numbers and capabilities were nowhere close to his assertions. The Soviet Union had medium-range ballistic missiles in quantity, about 700, but they were unreliable and inaccurate. The US had a considerable advantage in total number of nuclear warheads (27,000 against 3,600) and in the technology required for accurate delivery. The US also led in missile defensive capabilities, naval and air power. The Soviets had a two-to-one advantage in conventional ground forces, particularly in field guns and tanks in the European theatre.
Khrushchev also thought Kennedy was weak. This impression was confirmed by the President's response during the Berlin Crisis of 1961, particularly to the building of the Berlin Wall by East Germany to prevent its citizens from emigrating to the West. The half-hearted nature of the Bay of Pigs invasion reinforced his impression that Kennedy was indecisive and, as one Soviet aide wrote, "too young, intellectual, not prepared well for decision making in crisis situations... too intelligent and too weak". Speaking to Soviet officials in the aftermath of the crisis, Khrushchev said, "I know for certain that Kennedy doesn't have a strong background, nor, generally speaking, does he have the courage to stand up to a serious challenge." He told his son Sergei that on Cuba, Kennedy "would make a fuss, make more of a fuss, and then agree".
Prelude
Conception
In May 1962, Soviet First Secretary Nikita Khrushchev decided to counter the growing lead of the US in developing and deploying strategic missiles by placing Soviet intermediate-range nuclear missiles in Cuba, despite the misgivings of the Soviet Ambassador in Havana, Alexandr Ivanovich Alexeyev, who argued that Castro would not accept them. Khrushchev faced a strategic situation in which the US was perceived to have a "splendid first strike" capability that put the Soviet Union at a disadvantage. In 1962, the Soviets had only 20 ICBMs capable of delivering nuclear warheads to the US from inside the Soviet Union. Their poor accuracy and reliability raised serious doubts about their effectiveness. A newer, more reliable generation of Soviet ICBMs only became operational after 1965.
Soviet nuclear capability in 1962 placed less emphasis on ICBMs than on medium and intermediate-range ballistic missiles (MRBMs and IRBMs) which could strike American allies and most of Alaska from Soviet territory, but not the contiguous United States. As Graham Allison, the director of Harvard University's Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, pointed out, "The Soviet Union could not right the nuclear imbalance by deploying new ICBMs on its own soil. In order to meet the threat it faced in 1962, 1963, and 1964, it had very few options. Moving existing nuclear weapons to locations from which they could reach American targets was one."
A second reason that Soviet missiles were deployed to Cuba was that Khrushchev wanted to bring West Berlin, which was controlled by the American, British and French within Communist East Germany, into the Soviet orbit. The East Germans and Soviets considered western control over a portion of Berlin to be a threat to East Germany. Khrushchev made West Berlin the central battlefield of the Cold War. He believed that if the US did nothing over the deployments of missiles in Cuba, he could force the West out of Berlin by using the missiles as a deterrent to western countermeasures in Berlin. If the US tried to bargain with the Soviets after it became aware of them, Khrushchev could demand a trade of the missiles for West Berlin. Since Berlin was strategically more important than Cuba, the trade would be a win for Khrushchev, as Kennedy recognized: "The advantage is, from Khrushchev's point of view, he takes a great chance but there are quite some rewards to it."
Thirdly, it seemed from the perspective both of the Soviet Union and of Cuba that the United States wanted to invade Cuba or increase its presence there. In view of actions which included an attempt to expel Cuba from the Organization of American States, a campaign of violent terrorist attacks on civilians which the US was carrying out on Cuba, economic sanctions against the country and an earlier attempt to invade the island, Cuban officials understood that America was trying to overrun their country. The USSR would respond by placing missiles on Cuba, which would secure the country against attack and keep it in the Socialist Bloc.
American missiles could have been launched from Turkey to attack the USSR before the Soviets had a chance to react. Placing nuclear missiles on Cuba would have created a balance of mutual assured destruction. If the United States launched a nuclear strike against the Soviet Union, the Soviets would have been able to react by launching a retaliatory nuclear strike against the US.
Placing nuclear missiles on Cuba was also a way for the USSR to show support for Cuba and the Cuban people who viewed the United States as a threat. The USSR had become Cuba's ally after the Cuban Revolution of 1959. According to Khrushchev, the Soviet Union's motives were "aimed at allowing Cuba to live peacefully and develop as its people desire".
Arthur M. Schlesinger Jr., a historian and adviser to Kennedy, told National Public Radio in an interview on 16 October 2002 that Castro did not want the missiles, but Khrushchev pressured him to accept them. Castro was not completely happy with the idea, but the Cuban National Directorate of the Revolution accepted them, both to protect Cuba against US attack and to aid the Soviet Union.
Soviet military deployments
In early 1962, a group of Soviet military and missile construction specialists accompanied an agricultural delegation to Havana and met Cuban prime minister Fidel Castro. According to one report, the Cuban leadership expected that the US would invade Cuba again and enthusiastically approved the idea of installing nuclear missiles on Cuba. According to another source, Castro objected to being made to look like a Soviet puppet, but was persuaded that missiles in Cuba would be an irritant to the US and would help the interests of the entire socialist camp. The deployment would include short-range tactical weapons with a range of 40km, usable only against naval vessels, that would provide a "nuclear umbrella" for attacks upon the island.
By May, Khrushchev and Castro agreed to place strategic nuclear missiles secretly in Cuba. Like Castro, Khrushchev felt that a US invasion of Cuba was imminent and that to lose Cuba would do great harm to the communists, especially in Latin America. He said he wanted to confront the Americans "with more than words.... the logical answer was missiles". The Soviets maintained their tight secrecy, writing their plans in longhand, which were approved by Marshal of the Soviet Union Rodion Malinovsky on 4 July and Khrushchev on 7 July.
The Soviets' operation entailed elaborate denial and deception, known as "maskirovka". All the planning and preparation for transporting and deploying the missiles was carried out in the utmost secrecy, with only a very few knowing the exact nature of the mission. Even the troops detailed for the mission were given misdirection by being told that they were headed for a cold region and were outfitted with ski boots, fleece-lined parkas, and other winter equipment. The Soviet code-name was Operation Anadyr. The Anadyr River flows into the Bering Sea, and Anadyr is also the capital of Chukotsky District and a bomber base in the far eastern region. All these measures were intended to conceal the program.
Specialists in missile construction, under the guise of machine operators and agricultural specialists, arrived in July. A total of 43,000 foreign troops would ultimately be brought in. Chief Marshal of Artillery Sergei Biryuzov, Head of the Soviet Rocket Forces, led a survey team that visited Cuba. He told Khrushchev that the missiles would be concealed and camouflaged by palm trees. The Soviet troops would arrive in Cuba heavily underprepared. They did not know that the tropical climate would render ineffective many of their weapons and much of their equipment. In the first few days of setting up the missiles, troops complained of fuse failures, excessive corrosion, overconsumption of oil, and generator blackouts.
As early as August 1962, the US suspected that the Soviets were building missile facilities in Cuba. During that month, its intelligence services gathered information of sightings by ground observers of Soviet-built MiG-21 fighters and Il-28 light bombers. U-2 spy planes found S-75 Dvina (NATO designation SA-2) surface-to-air missile sites at eight different locations. CIA director John A. McCone was suspicious. Sending antiaircraft missiles into Cuba, he reasoned, "made sense only if Moscow intended to use them to shield a base for ballistic missiles aimed at the United States". On 10 August, he wrote a memo to Kennedy in which he guessed that the Soviets were preparing to introduce ballistic missiles into Cuba. Che Guevara himself traveled to the Soviet Union on 30 August 1962, to sign the final agreement regarding the deployment of missiles in Cuba. The visit was heavily monitored by the CIA as Guevara was being watched closely by American intelligence. While in the Soviet Union, Guevara argued with Khrushchev that the missile deal should be made public but Khrushchev insisted on total secrecy, and promised the Soviet Union's support if the Americans discovered the missiles. By the time Guevara arrived in Cuba, U-2 spy planes had already discovered the Soviet troops in Cuba.
With important Congressional elections scheduled for November, the crisis became enmeshed in American politics. On 31 August, Senator Kenneth Keating (R-New York) warned on the Senate floor that the Soviet Union was "in all probability" constructing a missile base in Cuba. He charged the Kennedy administration with covering up a major threat to the US, thereby starting the crisis. He may have received this initial "remarkably accurate" information from his friend, former congresswoman and ambassador Clare Boothe Luce, who in turn received it from Cuban exiles. A later confirming source for Keating's information may have been the West German ambassador to Cuba, who had received information from dissidents inside Cuba that Soviet troops had arrived in Cuba in early August and were seen working "in all probability on or near a missile base". The ambassador passed this information to Keating on a trip to Washington in early October. Air Force General Curtis LeMay presented a pre-invasion bombing plan to Kennedy in September, and spy flights and minor military harassment from US forces at Guantanamo Bay Naval Base were the subject of continual Cuban diplomatic complaints to the US government.
The first consignment of Soviet R-12 missiles arrived on the night of 8 September, followed by a second on 16 September. The R-12 was a medium-range ballistic missile capable of carrying a thermonuclear warhead. It was a single-stage, road-transportable, surface-launched, storable liquid propellant-fuelled missile that could deliver a megaton-class nuclear weapon. The Soviets were building nine sites, six for R-12 medium-range missiles (NATO designation SS-4 Sandal) with an effective range of 2,000 kilometres (1,200 mi) and three for R-14 intermediate-range ballistic missiles (NATO designation SS-5 Skean) with a maximum range of 4,500 kilometres (2,800 mi).
On 7 October, Cuban President Osvaldo Dorticós Torrado spoke at the UN General Assembly: "If... we are attacked, we will defend ourselves. I repeat, we have sufficient means with which to defend ourselves; we have indeed our inevitable weapons, the weapons, which we would have preferred not to acquire, and which we do not wish to employ." On 11 October in another Senate speech, Sen Keating reaffirmed his earlier warning of 31 August and stated that, "Construction has begun on at least a half dozen launching sites for intermediate range tactical missiles."
The Cuban leadership was further upset when on 20 September, the US Senate approved Joint Resolution 230, which stated that the US was determined "to prevent in Cuba the creation or use of an externally-supported military capability endangering the security of the United States". On the same day, the US announced a major military exercise in the Caribbean, PHIBRIGLEX-62, which Cuba denounced as a deliberate provocation and proof that the US planned to invade Cuba.
The Soviet leadership believed, based on its perception of Kennedy's lack of confidence during the Bay of Pigs Invasion, that he would avoid confrontation and would accept the missiles as a fait accompli. On 11 September, the Soviet Union publicly warned that a US attack on Cuba or on Soviet ships that were carrying supplies to the island would mean war. The Soviets continued the Maskirovka program to conceal their actions in Cuba. They repeatedly denied that the weapons being brought into Cuba were offensive in nature. On 7 September, Soviet Ambassador to the United States Anatoly Dobrynin assured United States Ambassador to the United Nations Adlai Stevenson that the Soviet Union was supplying only defensive weapons to Cuba. On 11 September, the Telegraph Agency of the Soviet Union (TASS: Telegrafnoe Agentstvo Sovetskogo Soyuza) announced that the Soviet Union had no need or intention to introduce offensive nuclear missiles into Cuba. On 13 October, Dobrynin was questioned by former Undersecretary of State Chester Bowles about whether the Soviets planned to put offensive weapons in Cuba. He denied any such plans. On 17 October, Soviet embassy official Georgy Bolshakov brought President Kennedy a personal message from Khrushchev reassuring him that "under no circumstances would surface-to-surface missiles be sent to Cuba."
Missiles reported
Missiles placed in Cuba would enable the Soviets to target most of the Continental US. The planned arsenal consisted of forty launchers. The Cuban populace observed the arrival and deployment of the missiles and hundreds of reports reached Miami. US intelligence received countless reports, many of dubious quality or even laughable, most of which could be dismissed as describing defensive missiles.
Only five reports bothered the analysts. They described large trucks passing through towns at night that were carrying very long canvas-covered cylindrical objects and could not make turns through towns without backing up and maneuvering. Defensive missile transporters, it was believed, could make such turns without undue difficulty. The reports could not be satisfactorily dismissed.
Aerial confirmation
The United States had been sending U-2 surveillance flights over Cuba since the failed Bay of Pigs Invasion. A pause in reconnaissance flights occurred on 30 August 1962 when a U-2 operated by the US Air Force's Strategic Air Command flew over Sakhalin Island in the Soviet Far East by mistake. The Soviets lodged a protest and the US apologized. Nine days later, a Taiwanese-operated U-2 was lost over western China to an SA-2 surface-to-air missile (SAM). US officials were worried that one of the Cuban or Soviet SAMs in Cuba might shoot down a CIA U-2, causing another international incident. In a meeting with members of the Committee on Overhead Reconnaissance (COMOR) on 10 September 1962, Secretary of State Dean Rusk and National Security Advisor McGeorge Bundy restricted further U-2 flights over Cuban airspace. The resulting lack of coverage over the island for the next five weeks became known to historians as the "Photo Gap". No significant U-2 coverage was achieved over the interior of the island during this time. US officials attempted to use a Corona photo-reconnaissance satellite to photograph reported Soviet military deployments, but the imagery acquired over western Cuba by a Corona KH-4 mission on October 1 1962 was obscured by clouds and haze and did not provide usable intelligence. At the end of September, Navy reconnaissance aircraft photographed the Soviet ship Kasimov with large crates on its deck the size and shape of Il-28 jet bomber fuselages.
In September 1962, analysts from the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) noticed that Cuban surface-to-air missile sites were arranged in a pattern similar to those used by the Soviet Union to protect ICBM bases, and the DIA lobbied for resumption of U-2 flights over the island. In the past the flights had been conducted by the CIA, but pressure from the Defense Department led to that authority being transferred to the Air Force. After the loss of a CIA U-2 over the Soviet Union in May 1960, it was thought that if another U-2 were shot down, an Air Force aircraft apparently being used for a legitimate military purpose would be easier to explain than a CIA flight.
When reconnaissance missions were permitted again, on 9 October 1962, poor weather kept the planes from flying. The US first obtained U-2 photographic evidence of the Soviet missiles on 14 October 1962, when a U-2 flight piloted by Major Richard Heyser took 928 pictures on a path selected by DIA analysts, capturing images of what turned out to be an SS-4 construction site at San Cristóbal, Pinar del Río Province (now in Artemisa Province), in western Cuba.
President notified
On 15 October 1962, the CIA's National Photographic Interpretation Center (NPIC) reviewed the U-2 photographs and identified objects that appeared to be medium range ballistic missiles. This identification was made partly on the strength of reporting provided by Oleg Penkovsky, a double agent in the GRU working for the CIA and MI6. Although he provided no direct reports of Soviet missile deployments to Cuba, technical and doctrinal details of Soviet missile regiments that had been provided by Penkovsky in the months and years prior to the crisis helped NPIC analysts to identify the missiles in U-2 imagery.
That evening, the CIA notified the Department of State and at 8:30pm EDT, Bundy chose to wait until the next morning to tell the President. McNamara was briefed at midnight. The next morning, Bundy showed Kennedy the U-2 photographs and briefed him on the CIA's analysis of the images. At 6:30 pm EDT, Kennedy convened a meeting of the nine members of the National Security Council and five other key advisers, in a group he named the Executive Committee of the National Security Council (EXCOMM) after the fact on 22 October by National Security Action Memorandum 196. Without informing the members of EXCOMM, President Kennedy tape-recorded all of their proceedings, and Sheldon M. Stern, head of the Kennedy library transcribed some of them.
On 16 October, President Kennedy notified Attorney General Robert Kennedy that he was convinced the Soviets were placing missiles on Cuba, that it was a legitimate threat and that the possibility of nuclear destruction by two world superpowers had become a reality. Robert Kennedy responded by contacting the Soviet Ambassador, Anatoly Dobrynin. Robert Kennedy expressed his "concern about what was happening" and Dobrynin "was instructed by Soviet Chairman Nikita S. Khrushchev to assure President Kennedy that there would be no ground-to-ground missiles or offensive weapons placed in Cuba". Khrushchev further assured Kennedy that the Soviet Union had no intention of "disrupting the relationship of our two countries" despite the photo evidence presented before President Kennedy.
Responses considered
The US had no plan for a response in place because it had never expected that the Soviets would install nuclear missiles on Cuba. EXCOMM discussed several possible courses of action:
- Do nothing: American vulnerability to Soviet missiles was not new.
- Diplomacy: Use diplomatic pressure to induce the Soviet Union to remove the missiles.
- Secret approach: Offer Castro the choice of parting from the Soviets or being invaded.
- Invasion: Full-force invasion of Cuba and overthrow of Castro.
- Air strike: Use the US Air Force to attack all known missile sites.
- Blockade: Use the US Navy to block any missiles from arriving in Cuba.
The Joint Chiefs of Staff unanimously agreed that a full-scale attack and invasion was the only solution. They believed that the Soviets would not attempt to stop the US from conquering Cuba. Kennedy was skeptical:
They, no more than we, can let these things go by without doing something. They can't, after all their statements, permit us to take out their missiles, kill a lot of Russians, and then do nothing. If they don't take action in Cuba, they certainly will in Berlin.
Kennedy concluded that attacking Cuba by air would signal the Soviets to presume "a clear line" to conquer Berlin. Kennedy also believed that US allies would think of the country as "trigger-happy cowboys" who lost Berlin because they could not peacefully resolve the Cuban situation.
EXCOMM considered the effect on the strategic balance of power, both political and military. The Joint Chiefs of Staff believed that the missiles would seriously alter the military balance, but McNamara disagreed. An extra 40, he reasoned, would make little difference to the overall strategic balance. The US already had approximately 5,000 strategic warheads, but the Soviet Union had only 300. McNamara concluded that the Soviets having 340 would not therefore substantially alter the strategic balance. In 1990, he reiterated that "it made no difference.... The military balance wasn't changed. I didn't believe it then, and I don't believe it now."
It was agreed that the missiles would affect the political balance. Kennedy had explicitly promised the American people less than a month before the crisis that "if Cuba should possess a capacity to carry out offensive actions against the United States... the United States would act." Further, US credibility among its allies and people would be damaged if the Soviet Union appeared to redress the strategic imbalance by placing missiles in Cuba. Kennedy explained after the crisis that "it would have politically changed the balance of power. It would have appeared to, and appearances contribute to reality."
On 18 October 1962, Kennedy met Soviet Minister of Foreign Affairs Andrei Gromyko, who claimed that the weapons were for defensive purposes only. Not wanting to expose what he already knew and to avoid panicking the American public, Kennedy did not reveal that he was already aware of the missile buildup.
Operational plans
Two Operational Plans (OPLAN) were considered. OPLAN 316 envisioned a full invasion of Cuba by Army and Marine units, supported by the Navy, following Air Force and naval airstrikes. Army units in the US would have had difficulty fielding mechanised and logistical assets, and the US Navy could not supply enough amphibious shipping to transport even a modest armoured contingent from the Army.
OPLAN 312, primarily an Air Force and Navy carrier operation, was designed with enough flexibility to do anything from engaging individual missile sites to providing air support for OPLAN 316's ground forces.
Blockade
Kennedy conferred with members of EXCOMM and other top advisers throughout 21 October and considered the two remaining options: an air strike primarily against the Cuban missile bases or a naval blockade of Cuba. A full-scale invasion was not the administration's first option. McNamara supported the naval blockade as a strong but limited military action that would leave the US in control. The term "blockade" was problematic – according to international law, a blockade is an act of war, but the Kennedy administration did not think that the Soviets would be provoked to attack by a mere blockade. Legal experts at the State Department and Justice Department concluded that a declaration of war could be avoided if another legal justification, based on the Rio Treaty for defence of the Western Hemisphere, was obtained from a resolution by a two-thirds vote from the members of the Organization of American States (OAS).
Admiral George Anderson, Chief of Naval Operations wrote a position paper that helped Kennedy to differentiate between what they termed a "quarantine" of offensive weapons and a blockade of all materials, claiming that a classic blockade was not the original intention. Since it would take place in international waters, Kennedy obtained the approval of the OAS for military action under the hemispheric defence provisions of the Rio Treaty:
Latin American participation in the quarantine now involved two Argentine destroyers which were to report to the US Commander South Atlantic at Trinidad on November 9. An Argentine submarine and a Marine battalion with lift were available if required. In addition, two Venezuelan destroyers (Destroyers ARV D-11 Nueva Esparta" and "ARV D-21 Zulia") and one submarine (Caribe) had reported to COMSOLANT, ready for sea by November 2. The Government of Trinidad and Tobago offered the use of Chaguaramas Naval Base to warships of any OAS nation for the duration of the "quarantine". The Dominican Republic had made available one escort ship. Colombia was reported ready to furnish units and had sent military officers to the US to discuss this assistance. The Argentine Air Force informally offered three SA-16 aircraft in addition to forces already committed to the "quarantine" operation.
This initially was to involve a naval blockade against offensive weapons within the framework of the Organization of American States and the Rio Treaty. Such a blockade might be expanded to cover all types of goods and air transport. The action was to be backed up by surveillance of Cuba. The CNO's scenario was followed closely in later implementing the "quarantine."
On 19 October, the EXCOMM formed separate working groups to examine the air strike and blockade options, and by the afternoon most support in the EXCOMM had shifted to a blockade. Reservations about the plan continued to be voiced as late as 21 October, the paramount concern being that once the blockade was put into effect, the Soviets would rush to complete some of the missiles and the US could find itself bombing operational missiles if the blockade had not already forced their removal.
Speech to the nation
At 3:00 pm EDT on 22 October 1962, President Kennedy formally established the executive committee (EXCOMM) with National Security Action Memorandum (NSAM) 196. At 5:00 pm, he met Congressional leaders, who opposed a blockade and demanded a stronger response. In Moscow, US Ambassador Foy D. Kohler briefed Khrushchev on the pending blockade and Kennedy's speech to the nation. Ambassadors around the world gave notice to non-Eastern Bloc leaders. Before the speech, US delegations met Canadian Prime Minister John Diefenbaker, British Prime Minister Harold Macmillan, West German Chancellor Konrad Adenauer, French President Charles de Gaulle and Secretary-General of the Organization of American States, José Antonio Mora to brief them on this intelligence and the US's proposed response. All were supportive of the US position. Over the course of the crisis, Kennedy had daily telephone conversations with Macmillan, who was publicly supportive of US actions.
Shortly before his speech, Kennedy telephoned former President Dwight Eisenhower. Kennedy's conversation with the former president also revealed that the two had been consulting during the Cuban Missile Crisis. The two also anticipated that Khrushchev would respond to the Western world in a manner similar to his response during the Suez Crisis, and would possibly wind up trading off Berlin.
Address on the Buildup of Arms in Cuba Kennedy addressing the nation on 22 October 1962 about the buildup of arms on CubaProblems playing this file? See media help.
At 7:00 pm EDT on 22 October, Kennedy delivered a nationwide televised address on all of the major networks announcing the discovery of the missiles. He noted:
It shall be the policy of this nation to regard any nuclear missile launched from Cuba against any nation in the Western Hemisphere as an attack by the Soviet Union on the United States, requiring a full retaliatory response upon the Soviet Union.
Kennedy described the administration's plan:
To halt this offensive buildup, a strict quarantine on all offensive military equipment under shipment to Cuba is being initiated. All ships of any kind bound for Cuba, from whatever nation or port, will, if found to contain cargoes of offensive weapons, be turned back. This quarantine will be extended, if needed, to other types of cargo and carriers. We are not at this time, however, denying the necessities of life as the Soviets attempted to do in their Berlin blockade of 1948.
During the speech, a directive went out to all US forces worldwide, placing them on DEFCON 3. The heavy cruiser USS Newport News was the designated flagship for the blockade, with USS Leary as Newport News's destroyer escort. Kennedy's speech writer Ted Sorensen stated in 2007 that the address to the nation was "Kennedy's most important speech historically, in terms of its impact on our planet."
Crisis deepens
At 11:24 am EDT on 24 October , a cable from US Secretary of State George Ball to the US Ambassadors in Turkey and NATO notified them that they were considering making an offer to withdraw missiles from Italy and Turkey in exchange for Soviet withdrawal from Cuba. Turkish officials replied that they would "deeply resent" any trade involving the US missile presence in their country. One day later, on the morning of 25 October, American journalist Walter Lippmann proposed the same thing in his syndicated column. Castro reaffirmed Cuba's right to self-defense and said that all of its weapons were defensive and Cuba would not allow an inspection.
International response
Three days after Kennedy's speech, the Chinese People's Daily announced that "650,000,000 Chinese men and women were standing by the Cuban people." In West Germany, newspapers supported the US response by contrasting it with the weak American actions in the region during the preceding months. They also expressed some fear that the Soviets might retaliate in Berlin. In France on 23 October, the crisis made the front page of all the daily newspapers. The next day, an editorial in Le Monde expressed doubt about the authenticity of the CIA's photographic evidence. Two days later, after a visit by a high-ranking CIA agent, the newspaper accepted the validity of the photographs. In the 29 October issue of Le Figaro, Raymond Aron wrote in support of the American response. On 24 October, Pope John XXIII sent a message to the Soviet embassy in Rome, to be transmitted to the Kremlin, in which he voiced his concern for peace. In this message he stated, "We beg all governments not to remain deaf to this cry of humanity. That they do all that is in their power to save peace."
Soviet broadcast and communications
The crisis continued unabated, and on the evening of 24 October 1962, the Soviet TASS news agency broadcast a telegram from Khrushchev to Kennedy in which Khrushchev warned that the United States' "outright piracy" would lead to war. Khrushchev then sent at 9:24 pm a telegram to Kennedy, which was received at 10:52 pm EDT. Khrushchev stated, "if you weigh the present situation with a cool head without giving way to passion, you will understand that the Soviet Union cannot afford not to decline the despotic demands of the USA". The Soviet Union viewed the blockade as "an act of aggression" and their ships would be instructed to ignore it. After 23 October, Soviet communications with the US increasingly showed indications of having been rushed. Undoubtedly a result of pressure, it was not uncommon for Khrushchev to repeat himself and to send messages lacking basic editing. With President Kennedy making known his aggressive intentions of a possible airstrike followed by an invasion on Cuba, Khrushchev sought a diplomatic compromise. Communications between the two superpowers had entered a new and revolutionary period, with the threat of mutual destruction now accompanying the deployment of nuclear weapons.
US alert level raised
The US requested an emergency meeting of the United Nations Security Council on 25 October and Ambassador to the United Nations, Adlai Stevenson, confronted Soviet Ambassador Valerian Zorin and challenged him to admit the existence of the missiles. Ambassador Zorin refused to answer. At 10:00 pm EDT the next day, the US raised the readiness level of Strategic Air Command (SAC) forces to DEFCON 2. For the only confirmed time in US history, B-52 bombers were put on continuous airborne alert. B-47 medium bombers were dispersed to military and civilian airfields and made ready to take off, fully equipped, at 15 minutes' notice. One-eighth of SAC's 1,436 bombers were on airborne alert. Some 145 intercontinental ballistic missiles, some of which targeted Cuba, were placed on alert. Air Defense Command (ADC) redeployed 161 nuclear-armed interceptors to 16 dispersal fields within nine hours, with one third on 15-minute alert status. Twenty-three nuclear-armed B-52 bombers were sent to orbit points within striking distance of the Soviet Union to demonstrate that the US was serious. Jack J. Catton later estimated that about 80 per cent of SAC's planes were ready for launch during the crisis. David A. Burchinal recalled that, by contrast:
the Russians were so thoroughly stood down, and we knew it. They didn't make any move. They did not increase their alert; they did not increase any flights, or their air defense posture. They didn't do a thing, they froze in place. We were never further from nuclear war than at the time of Cuba, never further.
By 22 October, Tactical Air Command (TAC) had 511 fighters plus supporting tankers and reconnaissance aircraft deployed to face Cuba on one-hour alert status. TAC and the Military Air Transport Service had problems: the concentration of aircraft in Florida strained command and support echelons, which were facing critical undermanning in security, armaments, and communications. Absence of permission to use war-reserve stocks of conventional munitions forced TAC to scrounge supplies, and the lack of airlift assets to support a major airborne drop necessitated the call-up of 24 reserve squadrons.
On 25 October at 1:45 am EDT, Kennedy responded to Khrushchev's telegram by stating that the US was forced into action after receiving repeated false assurances that no offensive missiles were being placed in Cuba. Deployment of the missiles "required the responses I have announced.... I hope that your government will take necessary action to permit a restoration of the earlier situation."
Blockade challenged
At 7:15 am EDT on 25 October, USS Essex and USS Gearing attempted to intercept Bucharest but failed to do so. Fairly certain that the tanker did not contain any military material, the US allowed it through the blockade. Later that day, at 5:43 pm, the commander of the blockade ordered the destroyer USS Joseph P. Kennedy Jr. to intercept and board the Lebanese freighter Marucla. That took place the next day, and Marucla was cleared through the blockade after its cargo was checked.
At 5:00 pm EDT on 25 October, William Clements announced that the missiles in Cuba were still being worked on. This was later verified by a CIA report that suggested there had been no slowdown. In response, Kennedy issued Security Action Memorandum 199, authorizing the loading of nuclear weapons onto aircraft under the command of SACEUR, which had the duty of carrying out first air strikes on the Soviet Union. Kennedy claimed that the blockade had succeeded when the USSR turned back fourteen ships presumed to be carrying offensive weapons. The first indication of this was in a report from British GCHQ sent to the White House Situation Room which contained intercepted communications from Soviet ships reporting their positions. On 24 October, Kislovodsk, a Soviet cargo ship, reported a position north-east of where it had been 24 hours earlier, indicating it had "discontinued" its voyage and turned back towards the Baltic. The next day, further reports showed that more ships originally bound for Cuba had altered their course.
Raising the stakes
The next morning, 26 October, Kennedy informed EXCOMM that he believed only an invasion would remove the missiles from Cuba. He was persuaded to wait and continue with military and diplomatic pressure. He agreed and ordered low-level flights over the island to be increased from two per day to every two hours. He also ordered a crash program to institute a new civil government in Cuba if an invasion went ahead.
At this point the crisis appeared to be at a stalemate. The Soviets had shown no indication that they would back down and had made public media and private inter-government statements to that effect. The US had no reason to disbelieve them and was in the early stages of preparing an invasion of Cuba and a nuclear strike on the Soviet Union if it responded militarily, which the US assumed it would. Kennedy had no intention of keeping these plans secret, and with an array of Cuban and Soviet spies present Khrushchev was made aware of them.
The implicit threat of air strikes on Cuba followed by an invasion allowed the United States to exert pressure in future talks, and the prospect of military action helped to accelerate Khrushchev's proposal for a compromise. Throughout the closing stages of October 1962, Soviet communications to the United States became increasingly defensive, and Khrushchev's tendency to use poorly phrased and ambiguous language during negotiations increased the United States' confidence and clarity in messaging. Leading Soviet figures failed to mention that only the Cuban government could agree to inspections of the territory, and continued to make arrangements relating to Cuba without Castro's knowledge. According to Dean Rusk, Khrushchev "blinked": he began to panic from the consequences of his own plan, and this was reflected in the tone of Soviet messages. This allowed the US to dominate negotiations in late October.
The escalating situation also caused Khrushchev to abandon plans for a possible Warsaw Pact invasion of Albania, which was being discussed in the Eastern Bloc following the Vlora incident the previous year.
Secret negotiations
At 1:00 pm EDT on 26 October, John A. Scali of ABC News met Aleksandr Fomin, the cover name of Alexander Feklisov, the KGB station chief in Washington, at Fomin's request. Following the instructions of the Politburo of the CPSU, Fomin noted, "War seems about to break out." He asked Scali to use his contacts to talk to his "high-level friends" at the State Department to see if the US would be interested in a diplomatic solution. He suggested that the language of the deal would contain an assurance from the Soviet Union to remove the weapons under UN supervision and that Castro would publicly announce that he would not accept such weapons again, in exchange for a public statement by the US that it would not invade Cuba. The US responded by asking the Brazilian government to pass a message to Castro that the US would be "unlikely to invade" if the missiles were removed.
— Letter From Chairman Khrushchev to President Kennedy, 26 October 1962Mr. President, we and you ought not now to pull on the ends of the rope in which you have tied the knot of war, because the more the two of us pull, the tighter that knot will be tied. And a moment may come when that knot will be tied so tight that even he who tied it will not have the strength to untie it, and then it will be necessary to cut that knot, and what that would mean is not for me to explain to you, because you yourself understand perfectly of what terrible forces our countries dispose.
Consequently, if there is no intention to tighten that knot and thereby to doom the world to the catastrophe of thermonuclear war, then let us not only relax the forces pulling on the ends of the rope, let us take measures to untie that knot. We are ready for this.
At 6:00 pm EDT on 26 October, the State Department started receiving a message that appeared to be written personally by Khrushchev. It was Saturday 2:00 am in Moscow. The long letter took several minutes to arrive, and it took translators additional time to translate and transcribe it.
Robert F. Kennedy described the letter as "very long and emotional". Khrushchev reiterated the basic outline that had been stated to Scali earlier in the day: "I propose: we, for our part, will declare that our ships bound for Cuba are not carrying any armaments. You will declare that the United States will not invade Cuba with its troops and will not support any other forces which might intend to invade Cuba. Then the necessity of the presence of our military specialists in Cuba will disappear." At 6:45 pm EDT, news of Fomin's offer to Scali was finally heard and was interpreted as a "set up" for the arrival of Khrushchev's letter. The letter was then considered official and accurate, although it was later learned that Fomin was almost certainly operating without official backing. Additional study of the letter was ordered and continued into the night.
Crisis continues
Direct aggression against Cuba would mean nuclear war. The Americans speak about such aggression as if they did not know or did not want to accept this fact. I have no doubt they would lose such a war.
— Che Guevara, October 1962
Castro, on the other hand, was convinced that an invasion of Cuba was imminent, and on 26 October he sent a telegram to Khrushchev that appeared to call for a pre-emptive nuclear strike on the US in case of attack. In a 2010 interview, Castro expressed regret about his 1962 stance on first use: "After I've seen what I've seen, and knowing what I know now, it wasn't worth it at all." Castro also ordered all anti-aircraft weapons in Cuba to fire on any US aircraft. Previous orders had been to fire only on groups of two or more. At 6:00 am EDT on 27 October, the CIA delivered a memo reporting that three of the four missile sites at San Cristobal and both sites at Sagua la Grande appeared to be fully operational. It also noted that the Cuban military continued to organise for action but was under order not to act unless attacked.
At 9:00 am EDT on 27 October, Radio Moscow began broadcasting a message from Khrushchev. Contrary to the letter of the night before, the message offered a new trade: the missiles on Cuba would be removed in exchange for the removal of the Jupiter missiles from Italy and Turkey. At 10:00 am EDT, the executive committee met again to discuss the situation and came to the conclusion that the change in the message was because of internal debate between Khrushchev and other party officials in the Kremlin. Kennedy realised that he would be in an "insupportable position if this becomes Khrushchev's proposal" because the missiles in Turkey were not militarily useful and were being removed anyway, and "It's gonna – to any man at the United Nations or any other rational man, it will look like a very fair trade." Bundy explained why Khrushchev's public acquiescence could not be considered: "The current threat to peace is not in Turkey, it is in Cuba."
McNamara noted that another tanker, the Grozny, was about 600 miles (970 km) out and should be intercepted. He also noted that they had not made the Soviets aware of the blockade line and suggested relaying that information to them via U Thant at the United Nations.
While the meeting progressed, at 11:03 am EDT a new message began to arrive from Khrushchev. The message stated, in part:
"You are disturbed over Cuba. You say that this disturbs you because it is ninety-nine miles by sea from the coast of the United States of America. But... you have placed destructive missile weapons, which you call offensive, in Italy and Turkey, literally next to us.... I therefore make this proposal: We are willing to remove from Cuba the means which you regard as offensive.... Your representatives will make a declaration to the effect that the United States... will remove its analogous means from Turkey... and after that, persons entrusted by the United Nations Security Council could inspect on the spot the fulfillment of the pledges made."
The executive committee continued to meet through the day.
Throughout the crisis, Turkey had repeatedly stated that it would be upset if the Jupiter missiles were removed. Italy's Prime Minister Amintore Fanfani, who was also Foreign Minister ad interim, offered to allow withdrawal of the missiles deployed in Apulia as a bargaining chip. He gave the message to one of his most trusted friends, Ettore Bernabei, general manager of RAI-TV, to convey to Arthur M. Schlesinger Jr. Bernabei was in New York to attend an international conference on satellite TV broadcasting.
On the morning of 27 October, a U-2F (the third CIA U-2A, modified for air-to-air refuelling) piloted by USAF Major Rudolf Anderson, departed its forward operating location at McCoy AFB, Florida. At approximately 12:00 pm EDT, the aircraft was struck by an SA-2 surface-to-air missile launched from Cuba. The aircraft crashed, and Anderson was killed. Stress in negotiations between the Soviets and the US intensified; only later was it assumed that the decision to fire the missile was made locally by an undetermined Soviet commander, acting on his own authority. Later that day, at about 3:41 pm EDT, several US Navy RF-8A Crusader aircraft, on low-level photo-reconnaissance missions, were fired upon.
At 4:00 pm EDT, Kennedy recalled members of EXCOMM to the White House and ordered that a message should immediately be sent to U Thant asking the Soviets to suspend work on the missiles while negotiations were carried out. During the meeting, General Maxwell Taylor delivered the news that the U-2 had been shot down. Kennedy had earlier claimed he would order an attack on such sites if fired upon, but he decided to not act unless another attack was made. On 28 October 1962, Khrushchev told his son Sergei that the shooting down of Anderson's U-2 was by the "Cuban military at the direction of Raúl Castro".
On 27 October Bobby Kennedy relayed a message to the Soviet Ambassador that President Kennedy was under pressure from the military to use force against Cuba and that "an irreversible chain of events could occur against his will" as "the president is not sure that the military will not overthrow him and seize power". He therefore implored Khrushchev to accept Kennedy's proposed agreement.
Forty years later, McNamara said:
We had to send a U-2 over to gain reconnaissance information on whether the Soviet missiles were becoming operational. We believed that if the U-2 was shot down that—the Cubans didn't have capabilities to shoot it down, the Soviets did—we believed if it was shot down, it would be shot down by a Soviet surface-to-air-missile unit, and that it would represent a decision by the Soviets to escalate the conflict. And therefore, before we sent the U-2 out, we agreed that if it was shot down we wouldn't meet, we'd simply attack. It was shot down on Friday.... Fortunately, we changed our mind, we thought "Well, it might have been an accident, we won't attack." Later we learned that Khrushchev had reasoned just as we did: we send over the U-2, if it was shot down, he reasoned we would believe it was an intentional escalation. And therefore, he issued orders to Pliyev, the Soviet commander in Cuba, to instruct all of his batteries not to shoot down the U-2.
Daniel Ellsberg said that Robert Kennedy (RFK) told him in 1964 that after the U-2 was shot down and the pilot killed, he (RFK) told Soviet ambassador Dobrynin, "You have drawn first blood ... . he president had decided against advice ... not to respond militarily to that attack, but he should know that if another plane was shot at, ... we would take out all the SAMs and anti-aircraft ... . And that would almost surely be followed by an invasion."
Drafting response
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Emissaries sent by both Kennedy and Khrushchev agreed to meet at the Yenching Palace Chinese restaurant in the Cleveland Park neighbourhood of Washington, DC, on Saturday evening, 27 October. Kennedy suggested taking Khrushchev's offer to trade away the missiles. Unknown to most members of the EXCOMM, but with the support of his brother the president, Robert Kennedy had been meeting the Soviet Ambassador Dobrynin in Washington to discover whether the intentions were genuine. The EXCOMM was against the proposal because it would undermine NATO's authority, and the Turkish government had repeatedly stated that it was against any such trade.
As the meeting progressed, a new plan emerged, and Kennedy was slowly persuaded. The new plan called for him to ignore the latest message and instead to return to Khrushchev's earlier one. Kennedy was initially hesitant, feeling that Khrushchev would no longer accept the deal because a new one had been offered, but Llewellyn Thompson argued that it was still possible. White House Special Counsel and Adviser Ted Sorensen and Robert Kennedy left the meeting and returned 45 minutes later, with a draft letter to that effect. The President made several changes, had it typed, and sent it.
After the EXCOMM meeting, a smaller meeting continued in the Oval Office. The group argued that the letter should be underscored with an oral message to Dobrynin that stated that if the missiles were not withdrawn, military action would be used to remove them. Rusk added one proviso that no part of the language of the deal would mention Turkey, but there would be an understanding that the missiles would be removed "voluntarily" in the immediate aftermath. The president agreed, and the message was sent.
At Rusk's request, Fomin and Scali met again. Scali asked why the two letters from Khrushchev were so different, and Fomin claimed it was because of "poor communications". Scali replied that the claim was not credible and shouted that he thought it was a "stinking double cross". He went on to claim that an invasion was only hours away, and Fomin stated that a response to the US message was expected from Khrushchev shortly and urged Scali to tell the State Department that no treachery was intended. Scali said that he did not think anyone would believe him, but he agreed to deliver the message. The two went their separate ways, and Scali immediately typed out a memo for the EXCOMM.
Within the US establishment, it was understood that ignoring the second offer and returning to the first put Khrushchev in a terrible position. Military preparations continued, and all active duty Air Force personnel were recalled to their bases for possible action. Robert Kennedy later recalled the mood: "We had not abandoned all hope, but what hope there was now rested with Khrushchev's revising his course within the next few hours. It was a hope, not an expectation. The expectation was military confrontation by Tuesday , and possibly tomorrow ...."
At 8:05 pm EDT, the letter drafted earlier in the day was delivered. The message read, "As I read your letter, the key elements of your proposals—which seem generally acceptable as I understand them—are as follows: 1) You would agree to remove these weapons systems from Cuba under appropriate United Nations observation and supervision; and undertake, with suitable safe-guards, to halt the further introduction of such weapon systems into Cuba. 2) We, on our part, would agree—upon the establishment of adequate arrangements through the United Nations, to ensure the carrying out and continuation of these commitments (a) to remove promptly the quarantine measures now in effect and (b) to give assurances against the invasion of Cuba." The letter was also released directly to the press to ensure it could not be "delayed". With the letter delivered, a deal was on the table. As Robert Kennedy noted, there was little expectation it would be accepted. At 9:00 pm EDT, the EXCOMM met again to review the actions for the following day. Plans were drawn up for air strikes on the missile sites as well as other economic targets, notably petroleum storage. McNamara stated that they had to "have two things ready: a government for Cuba, because we're going to need one; and secondly, plans for how to respond to the Soviet Union in Europe, because sure as hell they're going to do something there".
At 12:12 am EDT, on 27 October, the US informed its NATO allies that "the situation is growing shorter.... the United States may find it necessary within a very short time in its interest and that of its fellow nations in the Western Hemisphere to take whatever military action may be necessary." To add to the concern, at 6:00 am, the CIA reported that all missiles in Cuba were ready for action.
On 27 October, Khrushchev also received a letter from Castro, what is now known as the Armageddon Letter (dated the day before), which urged the use of nuclear force in the event of an attack on Cuba: "I believe the imperialists' aggressiveness is extremely dangerous and if they actually carry out the brutal act of invading Cuba in violation of international law and morality, that would be the moment to eliminate such danger forever through an act of clear legitimate defense, however harsh and terrible the solution would be," Castro wrote.
Averted nuclear launch
Further information: List of nuclear close calls § 27 October 1962Later that same day, what the White House later called "Black Saturday", the US Navy dropped a series of "signalling" depth charges ("practice" depth charges the size of hand grenades) on a Soviet submarine (B-59) at the blockade line, unaware that it was armed with a nuclear-tipped torpedo that could be launched if the submarine was damaged by depth charges or surface fire. The submarine was too deep to monitor radio traffic and the captain of the B-59, Valentin Grigoryevich Savitsky, assuming after live ammunition fire at his submarine that a war had started, proposed to launch the nuclear torpedo at the US ships. The decision to launch the "special weapon" normally only required the agreement of the ship's commanding officer and political officer, but the commander of the submarine flotilla, Vasily Arkhipov, was aboard B-59 and he also had to agree. Arkhipov did not give his consent and the nuclear torpedo was not launched. (These events only became publicly known in 2002. See Submarine close call.)
On the same day a U-2 spy plane made an accidental and unauthorised 90-minute overflight of the Soviet Union's far eastern coast. The Soviets responded by scrambling MiG fighters from Wrangel Island; in turn, the Americans launched F-102 fighters armed with nuclear air-to-air missiles over the Bering Sea.
Resolution
On Saturday, 27 October, after much deliberation between the Soviet Union and Kennedy's cabinet, Kennedy secretly agreed to remove all missiles in Turkey, on the border of the Soviet Union, and possibly those in southern Italy, in exchange for Khrushchev removing all missiles in Cuba. There is some dispute as to whether removing the missiles from Italy was part of the secret agreement. Khrushchev wrote in his memoirs that it was, and when the crisis had ended McNamara gave the order to dismantle the missiles in both Italy and Turkey.
At this point, Khrushchev knew things the US did not. First, that the shooting down of the U-2 by a Soviet missile violated direct orders from Moscow, and Cuban anti-aircraft fire against other US reconnaissance aircraft also violated direct orders from Khrushchev to Castro. Second, the Soviets already had 162 nuclear warheads on Cuba that the US did not know were there. Third, the Soviets and Cubans on the island would almost certainly have responded to an invasion by using them, even though Castro believed that everyone in Cuba would die as a result. Khrushchev also knew, but may not have considered, that he had submarines nearby armed with nuclear weapons of which the US Navy may not have been aware.
Khrushchev knew he was losing control. President Kennedy had been told in early 1961 that a nuclear war would probably kill a third of humanity, with most or all of those deaths concentrated in the US, the USSR, Europe and China, and Khrushchev may have received a similar estimate.
With this background, when Khrushchev heard of Kennedy's threats as relayed by Robert Kennedy to Soviet Ambassador Dobrynin, he immediately drafted his acceptance of Kennedy's latest terms from his dacha without involving the Politburo, as he had previously, and had them immediately broadcast over Radio Moscow, which he believed the US would hear. In that broadcast at 9:00 am EST, on 28 October 1962, Khrushchev stated that "the Soviet government, in addition to previously issued instructions on the cessation of further work at the building sites for the weapons, has issued a new order on the dismantling of the weapons which you describe as 'offensive' and their crating and return to the Soviet Union." At 10:00 am on 28 October, Kennedy first learned of Khrushchev's solution to the crisis: the US would remove the 15 Jupiters in Turkey and the Soviets would remove the missiles from Cuba. Khrushchev had made the offer in a public statement for the world to hear. Despite almost solid opposition from his senior advisers, Kennedy accepted the Soviet offer. "This is a pretty good play of his," Kennedy said, according to a tape recording that he made secretly of the Cabinet Room meeting. Kennedy had deployed the Jupiters in March 1962, causing a stream of angry outbursts from Khrushchev. "Most people will think this is a rather even trade and we ought to take advantage of it," Kennedy said. Vice President Lyndon Johnson was the first to endorse the missile swap, but others continued to oppose it. Finally, Kennedy ended the debate. "We can't very well invade Cuba with all its toil and blood," Kennedy said, "when we could have gotten them out by making a deal on the same missiles on Turkey. If that's part of the record, then you don't have a very good war."
Kennedy immediately responded to Khrushchev's letter, issuing a statement calling it "an important and constructive contribution to peace". He continued this with a formal letter:
I consider my letter to you of October twenty-seventh and your reply of today as firm undertakings on the part of both our governments which should be promptly carried out.... The US will make a statement in the framework of the Security Council in reference to Cuba as follows: it will declare that the United States of America will respect the inviolability of Cuban borders, its sovereignty, that it take the pledge not to interfere in internal affairs, not to intrude themselves and not to permit our territory to be used as a bridgehead for the invasion of Cuba, and will restrain those who would plan to carry an aggression against Cuba, either from US territory or from the territory of other countries neighboring to Cuba.
Kennedy's planned statement would also contain suggestions he had received from his adviser Arthur Schlesinger Jr. in a "Memorandum for the President" describing the "Post Mortem on Cuba".
On 28 October, Kennedy participated in telephone conversations with Eisenhower and fellow former US President Harry Truman. In these calls, Kennedy revealed that he thought the crisis would result in the two superpowers being "toe to toe" in Berlin by the end of the following month and expressed concern that the Soviet setback in Cuba would "make things tougher" there. He also informed his predecessors that he had rejected the public Soviet offer to withdraw from Cuba in exchange for the withdrawal of US missiles from Turkey.
The US continued the blockade of Cuba. In the following days aerial reconnaissance showed that the Soviets were making progress in removing the missile systems. The 42 missiles and their support equipment were loaded onto eight Soviet ships. On 2 November 1962, Kennedy addressed the US via radio and television broadcasts concerning the dismantling of the Soviet R-12 missile bases located in the Caribbean. The ships left Cuba on November 5 to 9. The US made a final visual check as each of the ships passed the blockade line. Further diplomatic efforts were required to remove the Soviet Il-28 bombers, and they were loaded on three Soviet ships on 5 and 6 December. Concurrent with the Soviet commitment on the Il-28s, the US government announced the end of the blockade from 6:45 pm EST on 20 November 1962.
At the time when the Kennedy administration believed that the Cuban Missile Crisis was resolved, nuclear tactical rockets remained in Cuba which were not part of the Kennedy-Khrushchev understanding and the Americans did not know about them. The Soviets changed their minds, fearing possible future Cuban militant steps, and on 22 November 1962, Deputy Premier of the Soviet Union Anastas Mikoyan told Castro that the rockets with the nuclear warheads were being removed as well.
The Cuban Missile Crisis was solved in part by a secret agreement between John F. Kennedy and Nikita Khrushchev. The Kennedy-Khrushchev Pact was known to only nine US officials at the time of its creation in October 1963 and was first officially acknowledged at a conference in Moscow in January 1989 by Soviet Ambassador Anatoly Dobrynin and Kennedy's speechwriter Theodore Sorensen. In his negotiations with Dobrynin, Robert Kennedy informally proposed that the Jupiter missiles in Turkey would be removed "within a short time after this crisis was over". Under an operation code-named Operation Pot Pie, the removal of the Jupiters from Italy and Turkey began on 1 April, and was completed by 24 April 1963. The initial plans were to recycle the missiles for use in other programs, but NASA and the USAF were not interested in retaining the missile hardware. The missile bodies were destroyed on site, while warheads, guidance packages, and launching equipment worth $14 million were returned to the United States. The dismantling operations were named Pot Pie I for Italy and Pot Pie II for Turkey by the United States Air Force.
The outcome of the Kennedy-Khrushchev Pact was that the US would remove their rockets from Italy and Turkey and that the Soviets had no intention of resorting to nuclear war if they were out-gunned by the US. Because the withdrawal of the Jupiter missiles from NATO bases in Italy and Turkey was not made public at the time, Khrushchev appeared to have lost the conflict and become weakened. The perception was that Kennedy had won the contest between the superpowers and that Khrushchev had been humiliated. Both Kennedy and Khrushchev took every step to avoid full conflict despite pressures from their respective governments. Khrushchev held power for another two years. As a direct result of the crisis, the United States and the Soviet Union set up a direct line of communication. The hotline between the Soviet Union and the United States was a way for the President and the Premier to have negotiations should a crisis like this ever happen again.
Nuclear forces
By the time of the crisis in October 1962, the total number of nuclear weapons in the stockpiles of each country numbered approximately 26,400 for the United States and 3,300 for the Soviet Union. For the US, around 3,500 (with a combined yield of approximately 6,300 megatons) would have been used in attacking the Soviet Union. The Soviets had considerably less strategic firepower at their disposal: some 300–320 bombs and warheads, without submarine-based weapons in a position to threaten the US mainland and most of their intercontinental delivery systems based on bombers that would have difficulty penetrating North American air defence systems. They had already moved 158 warheads to Cuba and between 95 and 100 would have been ready for use if the US had invaded Cuba, most of them short-range. The US had approximately 4,375 nuclear weapons deployed in Europe, most of which were tactical weapons such as nuclear artillery, with around 450 of them for ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and aircraft; the Soviets had more than 550 similar weapons in Europe.
United States
- SAC
- ICBM: 182 (at peak alert); 121 Atlas D/E/F, 53 Titan 1, 8 Minuteman 1A
- Bombers: 1,595; 880 B-47, 639 B-52, 76 B-58 (1,479 bombers and 1,003 refuelling tankers available at peak alert)
- Atlantic Command
- 112 UGM-27 Polaris in seven SSBNs (16 each); five submarines with Polaris A1 and two with A2
- Pacific Command
- 4–8 Regulus cruise missiles
- 16 Mace cruise missiles
- Three aircraft carriers with some 40 bombs each
- Land-based aircraft with some 50 bombs
- European Command
- IRBM: 45 Jupiter (30 Italy, 15 Turkey)
- 48–90 Mace cruise missiles
- Two US Sixth Fleet aircraft carriers with some 40 bombs each
- Land-based aircraft with some 50 bombs
Soviet Union
- Strategic (for use against North America):
- ICBM: 42; four SS-6/R-7A at Plesetsk with two in reserve at Baikonur, 36 SS-7/R-16 with 26 in silos and ten on open launch pads
- Bombers: 160 (readiness unknown); 100 Tu-95 Bear, 60 3M Bison B
- Regional (mostly targeting Europe, and others targeting US bases in east Asia):
- MRBM: 528 SS-4/R-12, 492 at soft launch sites and 36 at hard launch sites (approximately six to eight R-12s were operational in Cuba, capable of striking the US mainland at any moment until the crisis was resolved)
- IRBM: 28 SS-5/R-14
- Unknown number of Tu-16 Badger, Tu-22 Blinder, and MiG-21 aircraft tasked with nuclear strike missions
United Kingdom
- Bomber Command
- Bombers: 120; Vulcan B.1/B.1A/B.2, Victor B.1/B.1A/B2, Valiant B.1
- IRBM: 59 Thor (missiles operated by the RAF with warheads under US supervision)
Aftermath
Cuban leadership
Decisions on how to resolve the crisis had been made exclusively by Kennedy and Khrushchev and Cuba perceived the outcome as a betrayal by the Soviets. Castro was especially upset that certain questions of interest to Cuba, such as the status of the US Naval Base in Guantánamo, were not addressed, and Cuban–Soviet relations deteriorated.
Historian Arthur Schlesinger believed that when the missiles were withdrawn, Castro was more angry with Khrushchev than with Kennedy because Khrushchev had not consulted him before making the decision. Although Castro was infuriated by Khrushchev, he had still planned to strike the US with the remaining missiles if Cuba was invaded.
A few weeks after the crisis, during an interview with British communist newspaper the Daily Worker, Guevara was still fuming over the perceived Soviet betrayal and told correspondent Sam Russell that, if the missiles had been under Cuban control they would have been launched. Guevara said later that the cause of socialist liberation from global "imperialist aggression" would have been worth the possibility of "millions of atomic war victims". The missile crisis further convinced Guevara that the world's two superpowers, the United States and the Soviet Union, were using Cuba as a pawn in their global strategies, and after this he denounced the Soviets almost as frequently as he denounced the Americans.
Romanian leadership
During the crisis, Gheorghe Gheorghiu-Dej, general secretary of Romania's communist party, sent a letter to President Kennedy dissociating Romania from Soviet actions. This convinced the American administration of Bucharest's intentions of detaching itself from Moscow.
Soviet leadership
The realisation that the world had come close to thermonuclear war caused Khrushchev to propose a far-reaching easing of tensions with the US. In a letter to President Kennedy dated 30 October 1962, Khrushchev suggested initiatives that were intended to prevent the possibility of another nuclear crisis. These included a non-aggression treaty between the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and the Warsaw Pact, or even disbanding these military blocs; a treaty to cease all nuclear weapons testing and possibly eliminate all nuclear weapons; resolution of the difficult question of Germany by both sides accepting the existence of West Germany and East Germany; and US recognition of the government of mainland China. The letter invited counter-proposals and further exploration of these and other questions through peaceful negotiations. Khrushchev invited Norman Cousins, the editor of a major US periodical and an anti-nuclear weapons activist, to serve as liaison with Kennedy. Cousins met with Khrushchev for four hours in December 1962.
Kennedy's response to Khrushchev's proposals was lukewarm, but he told Cousins that he felt obliged to consider them because he was under pressure from hardliners in the US national security apparatus. The United States and the Soviet Union subsequently agreed to a treaty banning atmospheric testing of nuclear weapons, known as the "Partial Nuclear Test Ban Treaty". The US and the USSR also created a communications link, the Moscow–Washington hotline, to enable the leaders of the two Cold War countries to speak directly to each other in any future crisis.
These compromises embarrassed Khrushchev and the Soviet Union because the withdrawal of US missiles from Italy and Turkey had remained a secret deal between Kennedy and Khrushchev. Khrushchev went to Kennedy because he thought that the crisis was getting out of hand, but the Soviets were seen to be retreating from circumstances that they had started.
Khrushchev's fall from power two years later was partly because of the Soviet Politburo's embarrassment at his eventual concessions to the US and his ineptitude in precipitating the crisis in the first place. According to Dobrynin, the top Soviet leadership took the Cuban outcome as "a blow to its prestige bordering on humiliation".
US leadership
The worldwide DEFCON 3 status of US Forces was returned to DEFCON 4 on 20 November 1962. General Curtis LeMay told Kennedy that the resolution of the crisis was the "greatest defeat in our history" but his was a minority view. LeMay had pressed for an immediate invasion of Cuba as soon as the crisis began, and he still favored invading Cuba even after the Soviets had withdrawn their missiles. Twenty-five years later, LeMay still believed that "We could have gotten not only the missiles out of Cuba, we could have gotten the Communists out of Cuba at that time."
By 1962, President Kennedy had faced four crisis situations: the failure of the Bay of Pigs Invasion; settlement negotiations between the pro-Western government of Laos and the Pathet Lao communist movement ("Kennedy sidestepped Laos, whose rugged terrain was no battleground for American soldiers."); the construction of the Berlin Wall; and the Cuban Missile Crisis. Kennedy believed that another failure to gain control and stop communist expansion would irreparably damage US credibility. He was determined to "draw a line in the sand" and prevent a communist victory in Vietnam. He told James Reston of The New York Times immediately after his Vienna summit meeting with Khrushchev, "Now we have a problem making our power credible and Vietnam looks like the place."
At least four contingency strikes were armed and launched from Florida against Cuban airfields and suspected missile sites in 1963 and 1964, although all were diverted to the Pinecastle Range Complex after the planes had passed Andros island. Critics, including Seymour Melman and Seymour Hersh, suggested that the Cuban Missile Crisis had encouraged the United States to use military means, as in the later Vietnam War. Similarly, Lorraine Bayard de Volo suggested that the masculine brinksmanship of the Cuban Missile Crisis had become a "touchstone of toughness by which presidents are measured". Actions in 1962 had a significant influence on the policy decisions of future occupants of the White House, and led to foreign policy decisions such as President Lyndon B. Johnson's escalation of the war in Vietnam three years later.
Human casualties
The body of U-2 pilot Anderson was returned to the US and was buried with full military honours in South Carolina. He was the first recipient of the newly created Air Force Cross, which was awarded posthumously. Although Anderson was the only combatant fatality during the crisis, 11 crew members of three reconnaissance Boeing RB-47 Stratojets of the 55th Strategic Reconnaissance Wing were also killed in crashes during the period between 27 September and 11 November 1962. Seven crew died when a Military Air Transport Service Boeing C-135B Stratolifter delivering ammunition to Guantanamo Bay Naval Base stalled and crashed on landing approach on 23 October.
Later revelations
Submarine close call
What may have been the most dangerous moment in the crisis was not recognized until the Cuban Missile Crisis Havana conference in October 2002, which marked its 40th anniversary. The three-day conference was sponsored by the private National Security Archive, Brown University and the Cuban government and attended by many of the veterans of the crisis. They learned that on 27 October 1962, a group of eleven United States Navy destroyers and the aircraft carrier USS Randolph had located a diesel-powered, nuclear-armed Soviet Project 641 (NATO designation Foxtrot) submarine, the B-59, near Cuba. Despite being in international waters, the Americans started dropping depth charges to attempt to force the submarine to surface.
There had been no contact from Moscow for a number of days and the submarine was running too deep to monitor radio traffic, so those on board did not know whether war had broken out. The captain of the submarine, Valentin Savitsky, had no way of knowing that the depth charges were non-lethal "practice" rounds, intended as warning shots to force him to surface. Running out of air, the Soviet submarine was surrounded by American warships and desperately needed to surface. While surfacing, the B-59 “came under machine-gun fire from Tracker aircraft. The fire rounds landed either to the sides of the submarine’s hull or near the bow. All these provocative actions carried out by surface ships in immediate proximity, and ASW aircraft flying some 10 to 15 meters above the boat had a detrimental impact on the commander, prompting him to take extreme measures… the use of special weapons.” As firing live ammunition at a submarine was strictly prohibited, Captain Savitsky assumed that his submarine was doomed and that World War III had started. The Americans, for their part, did not know, that the B-59 was armed with a 15-kiloton nuclear torpedo, of roughly the power of the bomb at Hiroshima. The USS Beale was joined by other US destroyers who pummelled the submerged B-59 with more explosives.
Savitsky ordered the nuclear torpedo to be prepared for firing; its target was to be the USS Randolph, the aircraft carrier leading the task force. An argument broke out in the sweltering control room of the B-59 submarine among three senior officers, B-59 captain Savitsky, political officer Ivan Semyonovich Maslennikov, and Deputy brigade commander Captain 2nd rank (US Navy Commander rank equivalent) Vasily Arkhipov. Accounts differ about whether Arkhipov convinced Savitsky not to make the attack or whether Savitsky himself finally concluded that the only reasonable choice left open to him was to come to the surface. The decision to launch the nuclear torpedo required the consent of all three senior officers, and of the three, Arkhipov alone refused to give his consent. Arkhipov's reputation was a key factor in the control room debate. The previous year he had exposed himself to severe radiation in order to save a submarine with an overheating nuclear reactor.
During the conference October 2002, McNamara stated that nuclear war had come much closer than people had thought. Thomas Blanton, director of the National Security Archive, said, "A guy called Vasily Arkhipov saved the world."
Possibility of nuclear launch
In early 1992 it was confirmed that Soviet forces in Cuba had already received tactical nuclear warheads for their artillery rockets and Il-28 bombers when the crisis broke. Castro stated that he would have recommended their use if the US had invaded, even if Cuba was destroyed.
Fifty years after the crisis, Graham Allison wrote:
Fifty years ago, the Cuban Missile Crisis brought the world to the brink of nuclear disaster. During the standoff, US President John F. Kennedy thought the chance of escalation to war was "between 1 in 3 and even", and what we have learned in later decades has done nothing to lengthen those odds. We now know, for example, that in addition to nuclear-armed ballistic missiles, the Soviet Union had deployed 100 tactical nuclear weapons to Cuba, and the local Soviet commander there could have launched these weapons without additional codes or commands from Moscow. The US air strike and invasion that were scheduled for the third week of the confrontation would likely have triggered a nuclear response against American ships and troops, and perhaps even Miami. The resulting war might have led to the deaths of over 100 million Americans and over 100 million Russians.
BBC journalist Joe Matthews published the story, on 13 October 2012, after news of the 100 tactical nuclear warheads mentioned by Graham Allison in the excerpt above. Khrushchev feared that Castro's hurt pride and widespread Cuban indignation over the concessions he had made to Kennedy might lead to a breakdown of the agreement between the Soviet Union and the United States. To prevent this, Khrushchev decided to offer to give Cuba more than 100 tactical nuclear weapons that had been shipped there with the long-range missiles but, crucially, had escaped the notice of US intelligence. Khrushchev determined that because the Americans had not listed the missiles on their list of demands, keeping them in Cuba would be in the Soviet Union's interests.
Anastas Mikoyan had the task of negotiating with Castro over the missile transfer deal to prevent a breakdown in relations between Cuba and the Soviet Union. While in Havana, Mikoyan witnessed the mood swings and paranoia of Castro, who was convinced that Moscow had made the agreement with the US at the expense of Cuba's defence. Mikoyan, on his own initiative, decided that Castro and his military should not under any circumstances be given control of weapons with an explosive force equal to 100 Hiroshima-sized bombs. He defused the seemingly intractable situation, which risked re-escalating the crisis, on 22 November 1962. During a tense, four-hour meeting, Mikoyan convinced Castro that despite Moscow's desire to help, it would be in breach of an unpublished Soviet law, which did not actually exist, to transfer the missiles permanently into Cuban hands and provide them with an independent nuclear deterrent. Castro was forced to give way and, much to the relief of Khrushchev and the rest of the Soviet government, the tactical nuclear weapons were crated and returned by sea to the Soviet Union during December 1962.
In popular culture
The American popular media, especially television, made frequent use of the events of the missile crisis in both fictional and documentary forms. Jim Willis includes the Crisis as one of the 100 "media moments that changed America". Sheldon Stern found that a half century later there were still many "misconceptions, half-truths, and outright lies" that had shaped media versions of what happened in the White House during those two weeks.
Historian William Cohn argued in a 1976 article that television programs were typically the main source used by the American public to know about and interpret the past. According to Cold War historian Andrei Kozovoi, the Soviet media proved somewhat disorganized as it was unable to generate a coherent popular history. Khrushchev lost power and was airbrushed out of the story and Cuba was no longer portrayed as a heroic David against the American Goliath. One contradiction that pervaded the Soviet media campaign was between the pacifistic rhetoric of the peace movement that emphasized the horrors of nuclear war and the militancy of the need to prepare Soviets for war against American aggression.
Media representations
Non fiction
- Thirteen Days, Robert F. Kennedy's memoir of the crisis, posthumously released in 1969; It became the basis for numerous films and documentaries.
- The Missiles of October, 1974 TV docudrama about the crisis.
- The Fog of War, 2003 American documentary film about the life and times of former US Secretary of Defense Robert S. McNamara directed by Errol Morris, which won that year's Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature."
Fiction
- Topaz, 1969 film by Alfred Hitchcock based on the 1967 novel by Leon Uris, set during the run-up to the crisis.
- Matinee, 1993 film starring John Goodman set during the Cuban Missile Crisis in which an independent-filmmaker decides to seize the opportunity to debut an atomic themed film.
- Thirteen Days, 2000 film based on The Kennedy Tapes: Inside the White House During the Cuban Missile Crisis, a docudrama directed by Roger Donaldson about the crisis.
- Command & Conquer: Red Alert 3, a 2008 video game, set in an alternate timeline where Einstein did not exist. During the Allied Nations campaign, an alternate version of the Cuban Missile Crisis occurs, dubbed in game as the mission "The Great Bear Trap", where the Soviet Union had secretly planned and constructed an invasion force in Havana, capped by specially designed Kirov Airships that were yielding 50 megaton bombs and intended to fly towards Allied controlled cities.
- Mad Men, the 2008 episode "Meditations in an Emergency" is set in the midst of the Cuban Missile Crisis.
- Ur, a 2009 short novel by Stephen King, is about three men who discover through a magic Kindle that in a parallel universe, the Cuban Missile Crisis escalated into a nuclear war and ended that universe.
- Call of Duty: Black Ops, 2010 video game, set during and after the Cuban Missile Crisis.
- The Kennedys, 2011 production chronicling the lives of the Kennedy family, including a dramatisation of the crisis.
- X-Men: First Class, 2011 superhero film set during the Cuban Missile Crisis, which depicts the crisis as being escalated by a group of mutants with the goal of establishing a mutant ruling class after the subsequent war.
- The Courier, a 2020 film that tells the "true story of the British businessman Greville Wynne (played by Benedict Cumberbatch) who helped MI6 penetrate the Soviet nuclear programme during the Cold War. Wynne and his Russian source, Oleg Penkovsky (codenamed Ironbark), provided crucial intelligence that ended the Cuban Missile Crisis."
See also
- Bomber gap
- Cuban thaw
- Leninsky Komsomol class cargo ships
- List of nuclear close calls
- Norwegian rocket incident
- Nuclear disarmament
- Nuclear threats during the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine
- Peaceful coexistence
- Soviet Navy
Notes
- McNamara mistakenly dates the shooting down of USAF Major Rudolf Anderson's U-2 on October 26.
- In his biography, Castro did not compare his feelings for either leader at that moment but makes it clear that he was angry with Khrushchev for failing to consult with him. (Ramonet 1978)
References
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For the Cuban revolutionaries of the 1950s, US imperialism was the principal explanation for the island's structural weaknesses...Thus, the Revolution of 1959 faced two real alternatives: it could renounce all fundamental changes, beyond expelling the dictator Fulgencio Batista, so that it would be acceptable to Washington; or it could pursue the deep structural changes necessary to address the island's socioeconomic ills and dependent development, which would bring hostility from the United States.
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The economic inequality and social unrest was brought to a head under the brutal Batista dictatorship, supported by American arms, money, and authority. An estimated 20,000 were killed opposing the government from 1955 to his overthrow, with even President John F. Kennedy using this figure in a rare expression of sympathy for revolutionary goals. Kennedy also came closest to recognizing America could not claim ignorance of the harm its neocolonial control was inflicting on the inhabitants...Transformation came swiftly, completely, and often framed in direct conflict with American immoderations. Popular support for radicalization was possible only by aiming it at the social inequalities associated with foreign domination, of which the greater part of the Cuban population, particularly in the rural areas, had tired of finally. The backing of the countryside permitted Castro to act ruthlessly to ensure his revolution would not suffer the same fate as Grau's. Concurrently, America's hostile reaction worked in harmony, if not intentionally, with Castro's political ambitions. He comprehended the turmoil and incongruities of American dominated prerevolution society had to end.
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What have Cuba's revolutionary people survived? For six decades, the Caribbean island has withstood manifold and unrelenting aggression from the world's dominant economic and political power: overt and covert military actions; sabotage and terrorism by US authorities and allied exiles...The first Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) plan for paramilitary action in Cuba was developed in December 1959, less than a year after Batista fled the island and well before the US blockade was imposed. The CIA recruited operatives inside Cuba to carry out terrorism and sabotage, killing civilians and causing economic damage.
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On the afternoon of 16 October... Attorney General Robert F. Kennedy convened in his office a meeting on Operation Mongoose, the code name for a U.S. policy of sabotage and related covert operation aimed at Cuba... The Kennedy administration returned to its policy of sponsoring terrorism against Cuba as the confrontation with the Soviet Union lessened... Only once in these nearly thousand pages of documentation did a US official raise something that resembled a faint moral objection to US-government sponsored terrorism.
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The Kennedy administration had been quick to set up a Cuba Task Force—with strong representation from CIA's Directorate of Plans—and on August 31 that unit decided to adopt a public posture of ignoring Castro while attacking civilian targets inside Cuba: 'our covert activities would now be directed toward the destruction of targets important to the economy' (Document 4)...While acting through Cuban revolutionary groups with potential for real resistance to Castro, the task force 'will do all we can to identify and suggest targets whose destruction will have the maximum economic impact.' The memorandum showed no concern for international law or the unspoken nature of these operations as terrorist attacks.
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Officially, the United States favored only peaceful means to pressure Cuba. In reality, US leaders also used violent, terrorist tactics... Operation Mongoose began in November 1961... US operatives attacked civilian targets, including sugar refineries, saw mills, and molasses storage tanks. Some 400 CIA officers worked on the project in Washington and Miami... Operation Mongoose and various other terrorist operations caused property damage and injured and killed Cubans. But they failed to achieve their goal of regime change.
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Only nine US officials knew of the deal at the time: President Kennedy, his brother, Attorney General Robert Kennedy, national security adviser McGeorge Bundy, Secretary of State Dean Rusk, Secretary of Defense Robert McNamara, Deputy Secretary of Defense Roswell Gilpatric, Ambassador Llewellyn Thompson, Deputy Secretary of State George Ball, and White House adviser Theodore Sorensen. Of that group, those who lived past the 1960s and 1970s—Bundy, Rusk, Sorensen and McNamara, for example—kept the secret for years, not fully acknowledging the official status of the deal until 1989, when former Soviet ambassador Anatoly Dobrynin disclosed the details of his October 27, 1962, meeting with Robert Kennedy.
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Further reading
- Allison, Graham; Zelikow, Philip (1999). Essence of Decision, Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis. New York: Addison Wesley Longman. ISBN 978-0-321-01349-1.
- Barrett, David M. and Max Holland (2012). Blind Over Cuba: The Photo Gap and the Missile Crisis. College Station: Texas A&M University Press, 2012.
- Beschloss, Michael R. (1991). The Crisis Years: Kennedy and Khruschev, 1960–1963. New York: HarperCollins. ISBN 978-0-060-16454-6.
- Campus, Leonardo (2014). I sei giorni che sconvolsero il mondo. La crisi dei missili di Cuba e le sue percezioni internazionali . Florence: Le Monnier. ISBN 9788800745321
- Chayes, Abram (1974). The Cuban Missile Crisis. International crises and the role of law. London: Oxford University Press. ISBN 978-0-19-825320-4.
- Cockburn, Andrew, "Defensive, Not Aggressive" (review of Theodore Voorhees, The Silent Guns of Two Octobers: Kennedy and Khrushchev Play the Double Game, Michigan, September 2021, ISBN 978 0 472 03871 8, 384 pp.; and Serhii Plokhy, Nuclear Folly: A New History of the Cuban Missile Crisis, Allen Lane, April 2021, ISBN 978 0 241 45473 2, 464 pp.), London Review of Books, vol. 43, no. 17 (9 September 2021), pp. 9–10. "or Kennedy, the crisis was entirely about politics." Voorhees argues convincingly that there was never any real danger of war, since Kennedy and Khrushchev were equally determined to avoid one..." (p. 10.)
- Diez Acosta, Tomás (2002). October 1962: The "Missile" Crisis As Seen from Cuba. New York: Pathfinder. ISBN 978-0-87348-956-0.
- Divine, Robert A. (1988). The Cuban Missile Crisis. New York: M. Wiener Pub. ISBN 978-0-910129-15-2.
- Dobbs, Michael (2008). One Minute to Midnight: Kennedy, Khrushchev and Castro on the Brink of Nuclear War. New York: Knopf. ISBN 978-1-4000-7891-2.
- Feklisov, Aleksandr; Kostin, Sergueï (2001). The Man Behind the Rosenbergs: By the KGB Spymaster Who Was the Case Officer of Julius Rosenberg, Klaus Fuchs, and Helped Resolve the Cuban Missile Crisis. New York: Enigma Books. ISBN 978-1-929631-08-7.
- Frankel, Max (2004). High Noon in the Cold War: Kennedy, Khrushchev, and the Cuban Missile Crisis. New York: Ballantine Books. ISBN 978-0-345-46505-4.
- Fursenko, Aleksandr; Naftali, Timothy J. (1998). One Hell of a Gamble: Khrushchev, Castro, and Kennedy, 1958–1964. New York: Norton. ISBN 978-0-393-31790-9.
- Fursenko, Aleksandr (Summer 2006). "Night Session of the Presidium of the Central Committee, 22–23 October 1962". Naval War College Review. 59 (3). Archived from the original on 6 October 2011.
- George, Alice L. (2003). Awaiting Armageddon: How Americans Faced the Cuban Missile Crisis. Chapel Hill: University of North Carolina Press. ISBN 978-0-8078-2828-1.
- Gibson, David R. (2012). Talk at the Brink: Deliberation and Decision during the Cuban Missile Crisis. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. ISBN 978-0-691-15131-1.
- Hornsby, R. (2023). The Soviet Sixties. Yale University Press.
- Jones, Milo; Silberzahn, Philppe (2013). Constructing Cassandra, Reframing Intelligence Failure at the CIA, 1947–2001. Stanford University Press. ISBN 978-0-8047-9336-0.
- Khrushchev, Sergei (October 2002). "How My Father And President Kennedy Saved The World". American Heritage. 53 (5).
- Kolbert, Elizabeth, "This Close: The day the Cuban missile crisis almost went nuclear" (a review of Martin J. Sherwin's Gambling with Armageddon: Nuclear Roulette from Hiroshima to the Cuban Missile Crisis, New York, Knopf, 2020), The New Yorker, 12 October 2020, pp. 70–73. Article includes information from recently declassified sources.
- Plokhy, Serhii. Nuclear Folly: A History of the Cuban Missile Crisis (W.W. Norton & Company, 2021).
- Polmar, Norman; Gresham, John D. (2006). DEFCON-2: Standing on the Brink of Nuclear War During the Cuban Missile Crisis. Foreword by Tom Clancy. Hoboken, NJ: Wiley. ISBN 978-0-471-67022-3.
- Pope, Ronald R. (1982). Soviet Views on the Cuban Missile Crisis: Myth and Reality in Foreign Policy Analysis. Washington, DC: Univ. Press of America. ISBN 978-0-8191-2584-2.
- Powers, Thomas, "The Nuclear Worrier" (review of Daniel Ellsberg, The Doomsday Machine: Confessions of a Nuclear War Planner, New York, Bloomsbury, 2017, ISBN 9781608196708, 420 pp.), The New York Review of Books, vol. LXV, no. 1 (January 18, 2018), pp. 13–15.
- Pressman, Jeremy (2001). "September Statements, October Missiles, November Elections: Domestic Politics, Foreign-Policy Making, and the Cuban Missile Crisis". Security Studies. 10 (3): 80–114. doi:10.1080/09636410108429438. S2CID 154854331.
- Radchenko, Sergey; Zubok, Vladislav (May–June 2023). "Blundering on the Brink: The Secret History and Unlearned Lessons of the Cuban Missile Crisis". Foreign Affairs. 102 (3): 44–63.
- Russell, Bertrand (1963). Unarmed Victory. London: Allen & Unwin. ISBN 978-0-04-327024-0.
- Seydi, SÜleyman. "Turkish–American Relations and the Cuban Missile Crisis, 1957–63." Middle Eastern Studies 46#3 (2010), pp. 433–455. online
- Stern, Sheldon M. (2003). Averting 'the Final Failure': John F. Kennedy and the Secret Cuban Missile Crisis Meetings. Stanford nuclear age series. Stanford, Calif: Stanford University Press. ISBN 978-0-8047-4846-9. Retrieved 4 November 2011.
- Stern, Sheldon M. (2005). The Week the World Stood Still: Inside the Secret Cuban Missile Crisis. Stanford nuclear age series. Stanford, Calif: Stanford University Press. ISBN 978-0-8047-5077-6. Archived from the original on 14 October 2011. Retrieved 4 November 2011.
- Stern, Sheldon M. (2012). The Cuban Missile Crisis in American Memory: Myths versus Reality. Stanford nuclear age series. Stanford, Calif: Stanford University Press.
- Trahair, Richard C. S.; Miller, Robert L. (2009). Encyclopedia of Cold War Espionage, Spies, and Secret Operations. New York: Enigma Books. ISBN 978-1-929631-75-9.
- Matthews, Joe (October 2012). "Cuban missile crisis: The other, secret one". BBC.
- Weaver, Michael E. The Relationship between Diplomacy and Military Force: An Example from the Cuban Missile Crisis, Diplomatic History, January 2014, Volume 38, Number 1, pp. 137–81. The Relationship between Diplomacy and Military Force: An Example from the Cuban Missile Crisis
- White, Mark. "The Other Missiles of October: Eisenhower, Kennedy, and the Jupiters, 1957–1963." Diplomatic History (2002) 26#1 pp 147–153.
Historiography
- Allison, Graham T. (September 1969). "Conceptual Models and the Cuban Missile Crisis". American Political Science Review. 63 (3): 689–718. doi:10.2307/1954423. JSTOR 1954423. S2CID 251094337.
- Dorn, A. Walter; Pauk, Robert (April 2009). "Unsung Mediator: U Thant and the Cuban Missile Crisis". Diplomatic History. 33 (2): 261–292. doi:10.1111/j.1467-7709.2008.00762.x.
- Garthoff, Raymond L. (Spring 2004). "Foreign Intelligence and the Historiography of the Cold War". Journal of Cold War Studies. 6 (2): 21–56. doi:10.1162/152039704773254759. ISSN 1520-3972. S2CID 57563600.
- Gibson, David R. (2011). "Avoiding Catastrophe: The Interactional Production of Possibility during the Cuban Missile Crisis". The American Journal of Sociology. 117 (2): 361–419. CiteSeerX 10.1.1.374.2005. doi:10.1086/661761. JSTOR 10.1086/661761. S2CID 143717875.
- Jones, John A.; Jones, Virginia H. (Spring 2005). "Through the Eye of the Needle: Five Perspectives on the Cuban Missile Crisis". Rhetoric & Public Affairs. 8 (1): 133–144. doi:10.1353/rap.2005.0044. S2CID 154894890.
- Jones, Milo; Silberzahn, Philppe (2013). Constructing Cassandra, Reframing Intelligence Failure at the CIA, 1947–2001. Stanford University Press. pp. 135–191. ISBN 978-0-8047-9336-0.
- Lebow, Richard Ned (October 1990). "Domestic Politics and the Cuban Missile Crisis: The Traditional and Revisionist Interpretations Reevaluated". Diplomatic History. 14 (4): 471–492. doi:10.1111/j.1467-7709.1990.tb00103.x.
- Bayard de Volo, Lorraine (July 2022) "Masculinity and the Cuban Missile Crisis: gender as pre-emptive deterrent", International Affairs, 98 (4): 1211–1229. doi:10.1093/ia/iiac121.
Primary sources
- Getchell, Michelle. Cuban Missile Crisis and the Cold War: A Short History with Documents(Hackett Publishing, 2018) 200 pp. online review
- Chang, Laurence; Kornbluh, Peter, eds. (1998). "Introduction". The Cuban Missile Crisis, 1962: A National Security Archive Documents Reader (2nd ed.). New York: New Press. ISBN 978-1-56584-474-2.
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- Karnow, Stanley (1997). Vietnam: A History (2nd ed.). New York: Penguin Books. ISBN 978-0-14-026547-7.
- Keefer, Edward C.; Sampson, Charles S.; Smith, Louis J., eds. (1996). Cuban Missile Crisis and Aftermath. Foreign relations of the United States, 1961–1963. Vol. XI. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office. ISBN 978-0-16-045210-9. Archived from the original on 23 December 2016. Retrieved 8 December 2018.
- Kennedy, Robert F. (1969). Thirteen Days: A Memoir of the Cuban Missile Crisis. New York: W.W. Norton. ISBN 978-0-393-31834-0.
- May, Ernest R.; Zelikow, Philip D., eds. (2002) . The Kennedy Tapes: Inside the White House During the Cuban Missile Crisis (2nd ed.). New York: Norton. ISBN 978-0-393-32259-0.
- McAuliffe, Mary S., ed. (October 1992). "CIA Documents on the Cuban Missile Crisis, 1962" (PDF). Historical Review Program. Washington, DC: Central Intelligence Agency. Archived from the original (PDF) on 24 December 2011. Retrieved 11 May 2011.
- "The Cuban Missile Crisis, 1962: The 40th Anniversary". National Security Archive: Special Exhibits. Gelman Library: George Washington University.
- "The World On the Brink: John F. Kennedy and the Cuban Missile Crisis". Interactive Exhibits. John F. Kennedy Library. Archived from the original on 18 January 2011. Retrieved 9 April 2011.
- Gavrov, Sergei, ed. (November 2013). "America and Russia: The Crisis of 1962. On the 50th anniversary of the missile crisis". Moscow: Vzglyad (Russia). Archived from the original on 17 October 2016. Retrieved 10 September 2016.
- Dallek, Robert. "If We Listen to Them, None of Us Will Be Alive." In Camelot's Court, 279–334. New York: HarperCollins, 2013.
Lesson plans
- "Cuban Missile Crisis". Slideshows for Educators. Bureau of Public Affairs, U.S. Department of State. Archived from the original on 5 January 2011.
- Moser, John; Hahn, Lori (15 July 2010). "The Cuban Missile Crisis, 1962: 'The Missiles of October'". EDSITEment: Lesson Plans. National Endowment for the Humanities. Archived from the original on 16 January 2011. Retrieved 26 January 2011.
External links
Library resources aboutCuban Missile Crisis
- Cuban Missile Crisis: Операция Анадырь (Operation Anadyr) on Flickr
- Cuban Missile Crisis and the Fallout from the Dean Peter Krogh Foreign Affairs Digital Archives
- "Cuban Missile Crisis". Topics. History Channel. 2011.
- "Cuban Missile Crisis". Nuclear Weapons History: Cold War. Nuclear Age Peace Foundation. Archived from the original on 5 October 2018. Retrieved 8 December 2018.
- "Cuban Missile Crisis Bibliography". Alsos Digital Library for Nuclear Issues. Archived from the original on 7 August 2011. Retrieved 11 May 2011.
- Cuban Missile Crisis, 1962
- October 1962: DEFCON 4, DEFCON 3
- Spartacus Educational(UK): Cuban Missile Crisis
- Document – Britain's Cuban Missile Crisis
- No Time to Talk: The Cuban Missile Crisis
- Patrick J. Kiger (7 June 2019): Key Moments in the Cuban Missile Crisis. A Timeline of the Cuban Missile Crisis with the links to the correspondence between John F. Kennedy and Nikita Khrushchev during the crisis. In: History.com. Archived 29 March 2022 at archive.today
- The 32nd Guards Air Fighter Regiment in Cuba (1962–1963) S.Isaev.
- The short film Symposium on Intelligence and the Cuban Missile Crisis 1962 (1992) is available for free viewing and download at the Internet Archive.
- The Woodrow Wilson Center's Digital Archive has a collection of primary source archival documents on the Cuban Missile Crisis.
- EDSITEment lesson plan Cuban Missile Crisis
- EDSITEment Cuban Missile Crisis Interactive
- Cuban Missile Crisis: Three Men Go To War Archived 10 February 2017 at the Wayback Machine Documentary produced by PBS
- The Armageddon Letters, a transmedia storytelling of the crisis with animated short films and other digital content
- The Man Who Saved the World Documentary produced by PBS series Secrets of the Dead
- Cuban Missile Crisis (1962) collected news and commentary at The New York Times
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- Cuban Missile Crisis
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- Fidel Castro
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