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{{Short description|none}} <!-- "none" is preferred when the title is already sufficiently detailed; see ] -->
{{Short description|Election}}
{{Use mdy dates|date=December 2017}} {{Use mdy dates|date=December 2017}}
{{Infobox election {{Infobox election
| election_name = 2012 United States Senate election in Wisconsin | election_name = 2012 United States Senate election in Wisconsin
| country = Wisconsin | country = Wisconsin
| type = presidential | type = presidential
| ongoing = no | ongoing = no
| previous_election = 2006 United States Senate election in Wisconsin | previous_election = 2006 United States Senate election in Wisconsin
| previous_year = 2006 | previous_year = 2006
| next_election = 2018 United States Senate election in Wisconsin | next_election = 2018 United States Senate election in Wisconsin
| next_year = 2018 | next_year = 2018
| election_date = November 6, 2012 | election_date = November 6, 2012
| image_size = x150px | image_size = x150px
| turnout = 72.5% (voting eligible)<ref name="VEP12">{{cite web |url=http://elections.gmu.edu/Turnout_2012G.html |title=2012 General Election Turnout Rates |publisher=] |author=Michael McDonald |date=February 9, 2013 |access-date=April 3, 2013 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130424003112/http://elections.gmu.edu/Turnout_2012G.html |archive-date=April 24, 2013 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all }}</ref> | turnout = 72.5% (voting eligible)<ref name="VEP12">{{cite web |url=http://elections.gmu.edu/Turnout_2012G.html |title=2012 General Election Turnout Rates |publisher=] |author=Michael McDonald |date=February 9, 2013 |access-date=April 3, 2013 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130424003112/http://elections.gmu.edu/Turnout_2012G.html |archive-date=April 24, 2013 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all}}</ref>
| image1 = Tammy Baldwin, official photo portrait, color (cropped).jpg

| image1 = Tammy Baldwin, official photo portrait, color (cropped).jpg | nominee1 = ''']'''
| party1 = Democratic Party (United States)
| nominee1 = ''']'''
| popular_vote1 = '''1,547,104'''
| party1 = Democratic Party (United States)
| popular_vote1 = '''1,547,104''' | percentage1 = '''51.41%'''
| image2 = File:Tommy Thompson 1 (3x4) a.jpg
| percentage1 = '''51.4%'''
| nominee2 = ]

| party2 = Republican Party (United States)
| image2 = File:Tommy Thompson 1 (3x4) a.jpg
| popular_vote2 = 1,380,126
| nominee2 = ]
| percentage2 = 45.86%
| party2 = Republican Party (United States)
| map_image = {{switcher |] |County results |]|Congressional district results |] |Precinct results |default=1}}
| popular_vote2 = 1,380,126
| map_size = 250px
| percentage2 = 45.9%
| map_caption = '''Baldwin''': {{legend0|#a5b0ff|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80–90%}} {{legend0|#0D0596|>90%}}<br />'''Thompson''': {{legend0|#ffb2b2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#D72F30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#C21B18|80–90%}} {{legend0|#A80000|>90%}}<br /> {{legend0|#d2b1d9|Tie}} {{legend0|#808080|No data}}

| title = U.S. Senator
| map_image ={{switcher |] |County results |] |Precinct results |default=1}}
| before_election = ]
| map_size = 250px
| before_party = Democratic Party (United States)
| map_caption = County results<br />'''Baldwin''': {{legend0|#a5b0ff|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}}{{legend0|#3933e5|80–90%}} {{legend0|#0D0596|>90%}}<br />'''Thompson''': {{legend0|#ffb2b2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}}{{legend0|#D72F30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#C21B18|80–90%}} {{legend0|#A80000|>90%}}<br/> {{legend0|#d2b1d9|Tie}} {{legend0|#808080|No data}}
| after_election = ]
| title = U.S. Senator
| after_party = Democratic Party (United States)
| before_election = ]
| before_party = Democratic Party (United States)
| after_election = ]
| after_party = Democratic Party (United States)
}} }}


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The '''2012 United States Senate election in Wisconsin''' took place on November 6, 2012, alongside a ] as well as other elections to the ] and ] and various state and local elections. Incumbent ] Senator ] retired instead of running for re-election to a fifth term. This was the first open Senate seat in Wisconsin since ], when Kohl won his first term. The '''2012 United States Senate election in Wisconsin''' took place on November 6, 2012, alongside a ] as well as other elections to the ] and ] and various state and local elections. Incumbent ] Senator ] retired instead of running for re-election to a fifth term. This was the first open Senate seat in Wisconsin since ], when Kohl won his first term.


Primary elections were held on August 14, 2012. Congresswoman ] of ] ran unopposed in the Democratic primary. The Republican nominee was former ] and ] ], who won with a plurality in a four-way primary race. In the general election, Baldwin defeated Thompson and won the open seat. She became the first woman elected to represent Wisconsin in the Senate and the first openly ] U.S. senator in history. This is also the first time Thompson lost a statewide race. Primary elections were held on August 14, 2012. Congresswoman ] of ] ran unopposed in the Democratic primary. The Republican nominee was former ] and ] ], who won with a plurality in a four-way primary race. In the general election, Baldwin defeated Thompson and won the open seat. She became the first woman elected to represent Wisconsin in the Senate and the first openly ] U.S. senator in history. This is also the only time Thompson lost a statewide race.


== Background == == Background ==
Incumbent Democratic senator ] was re-elected to a fourth term ], beating Republican attorney ] by 67% to 30%. Kohl's lack of fundraising suggested his potential retirement.<ref name=js1>{{cite web|url=http://www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/106628683.html|title=Kohl says he'll work with Johnson |date=November 3, 2010|access-date=November 29, 2010|work=]|first=Bill|last=Glauber}}</ref> There was speculation that Kohl might decide to retire so as to allow ], who lost his re-election bid ], to run again, although Mike Tate, chairman of the ], dismissed speculation about Kohl's potential retirement.<ref name=ch1>{{cite web|url=http://chippewa.com/news/local/article_9e9dbc76-e826-11df-85e2-001cc4c002e0.html|title=Feingold won't seek office in 2012, official says|date=November 4, 2010|access-date=November 29, 2010|work=]|first=Dee|last=Hall}}</ref> Ultimately, Kohl announced in May 2011 that he would not run for re-election in 2012. Incumbent Democratic senator ] was re-elected to a fourth term ], beating Republican attorney Robert Lorge by 67% to 30%. Kohl's lack of fundraising suggested his potential retirement.<ref name="js1">{{cite news |url=http://www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/106628683.html |title=Kohl says he'll work with Johnson |date=November 3, 2010 |access-date=November 29, 2010 |work=] |first=Bill |last=Glauber}}</ref> There was speculation that Kohl might decide to retire to allow ], who lost his re-election bid in ], to run again, although Mike Tate, chairman of the ], dismissed speculation about Kohl's potential retirement.<ref name="ch1">{{cite news |url=http://chippewa.com/news/local/article_9e9dbc76-e826-11df-85e2-001cc4c002e0.html |title=Feingold won't seek office in 2012, official says |date=November 4, 2010 |access-date=November 29, 2010 |work=] |first=Dee |last=Hall}}</ref> Ultimately, Kohl announced in May 2011 that he would not run for re-election in 2012.


== Democratic primary == == Democratic primary ==
Despite speculation that Kohl would retire to make way for his former Senate colleague Russ Feingold, who had been unseated in 2010, Feingold chose not to enter the race. Other potential candidates also declined to run, so Baldwin was unopposed in the Democratic primary. Despite speculation that Kohl would retire to make way for his former Senate colleague Russ Feingold, who had been unseated in 2010, Feingold chose not to enter the race. Other potential candidates also declined to run, leaving Baldwin unopposed in the Democratic primary.


=== Candidates === === Candidates ===


==== Declared ==== ==== Declared ====
* ], U.S. representative<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/129281483.html|title=Tammy Baldwin enters race for open Senate seat|website=www.jsonline.com}}</ref> * ], U.S. representative<ref>{{Cite news |url=http://www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/129281483.html |title=Tammy Baldwin enters race for open Senate seat |work=]}}</ref>


==== Declined ==== ==== Declined ====
* ], ] of ]<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.politico.com/blogs/davidcatanese/0511/Barrett_closes_door_on_Senate_speculation.html|title=Barrett closes door on Senate speculation|date=May 17, 2011|access-date=May 17, 2011|work=]|first=Alexander|last=Burns}}</ref> * ], ] of ]<ref>{{cite news |url=http://www.politico.com/blogs/davidcatanese/0511/Barrett_closes_door_on_Senate_speculation.html |title=Barrett closes door on Senate speculation |date=May 17, 2011 |access-date=May 17, 2011 |work=] |first=Alexander|last=Burns}}</ref>
* ], former ] executive<ref>{{cite web|url=http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2012/01/falk-announces.php|title=Falk Announces Candidacy in Wisconsin Gubernatorial Race|date=January 18, 2012|access-date=January 28, 2012|work=]|first=Sean|last=Sullivan|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120122011157/http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2012/01/falk-announces.php|archive-date=January 22, 2012|url-status=dead|df=mdy-all}}</ref> * ], former ] executive (1997–2011)<ref>{{cite news |url=http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2012/01/falk-announces.php |title=Falk Announces Candidacy in Wisconsin Gubernatorial Race |date=January 18, 2012 |access-date=January 28, 2012 |work=] |first=Sean |last=Sullivan |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120122011157/http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2012/01/falk-announces.php |archive-date=January 22, 2012 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all}}</ref>
* ], former U.S. senator<ref>{{cite news| url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/post/russ-feingold-not-running-in-2012/2011/08/19/gIQALSkjPJ_blog.html | newspaper=The Washington Post | date=August 19, 2011 | first=Krissah | last=Thompson | title=Russ Feingold not running in 2012}}</ref> * ], former U.S. senator<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/post/russ-feingold-not-running-in-2012/2011/08/19/gIQALSkjPJ_blog.html |newspaper=The Washington Post |date=August 19, 2011 |first=Krissah |last=Thompson |title=Russ Feingold not running in 2012}}</ref>
* ], former U.S. representative<ref>{{cite web|url=http://dc.wispolitics.com/2012/01/baldwin-kicks-off-jobs-tour-receives.html|title=Baldwin kicks off jobs tour; receives Kagen endorsement|date=January 5, 2012|access-date=January 28, 2012|work=]|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120508182109/http://dc.wispolitics.com/2012/01/baldwin-kicks-off-jobs-tour-receives.html|archive-date=May 8, 2012|url-status=dead}}</ref> * ], former U.S. representative for ] (2006–2011)<ref>{{cite web |url=http://dc.wispolitics.com/2012/01/baldwin-kicks-off-jobs-tour-receives.html |title=Baldwin kicks off jobs tour; receives Kagen endorsement |date=January 5, 2012 |access-date=January 28, 2012 |work=] |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120508182109/http://dc.wispolitics.com/2012/01/baldwin-kicks-off-jobs-tour-receives.html |archive-date=May 8, 2012 |url-status=dead}}</ref>
* ], U.S. representative<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.politico.com/blogs/davidcatanese/0911/Exclusive_Rep_Kind_says_no_to_Senate_run.html|title=Rep. Kind says no to Senate run|date=September 15, 2011|access-date=September 15, 2011|work=]|first=David|last=Catanese}}</ref> * ], U.S. representative for ]<ref>{{cite news |url=http://www.politico.com/blogs/davidcatanese/0911/Exclusive_Rep_Kind_says_no_to_Senate_run.html |title=Rep. Kind says no to Senate run |date=September 15, 2011 |access-date=September 15, 2011 |work=] |first=David |last=Catanese}}</ref>
* ], incumbent U.S. senator<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.rollcall.com/news/Herb-Kohl-Retiring-Senate-Wisconsin-2012-205591-1.html|title = Democratic Sen. Herb Kohl to Retire|date = May 13, 2011}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.politico.com/blogs/davidcatanese/0511/Herb_Kohl_wont_seek_reelection.html?showall|title=Herb Kohl won't seek reelection|website=]}}</ref> * ], incumbent U.S. senator<ref>{{cite news |url=http://www.rollcall.com/news/Herb-Kohl-Retiring-Senate-Wisconsin-2012-205591-1.html |title=Democratic Sen. Herb Kohl to Retire |date=May 13, 2011}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |url=http://www.politico.com/blogs/davidcatanese/0511/Herb_Kohl_wont_seek_reelection.html?showall |title=Herb Kohl won't seek reelection |website=]}}</ref>
* ], U.S. representative<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.wispolitics.com/index.iml?Article=250796 |title = WisPolitics.com: Baldwin Campaign: Rep. Gwen Moore endorses Tammy Baldwin for U.S. Senate |access-date=October 21, 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120402172250/http://www.wispolitics.com/index.iml?Article=250796 |archive-date=April 2, 2012 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all }}</ref> * ], U.S. representative for ]<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.wispolitics.com/index.iml?Article=250796 |title=Baldwin Campaign: Rep. Gwen Moore endorses Tammy Baldwin for U.S. Senate |website=WisPolitics.com |access-date=October 21, 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120402172250/http://www.wispolitics.com/index.iml?Article=250796 |archive-date=April 2, 2012 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all}}</ref>
* Tim Sullivan, businessman<ref name=sullivan>{{cite web|url=http://dc.wispolitics.com/2011/11/former-bucyrus-head-unlikely-to-jump.html|title=Former Bucyrus head unlikely to jump into races next year|date=November 18, 2011|access-date=November 21, 2011|work=]|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111211211815/http://dc.wispolitics.com/2011/11/former-bucyrus-head-unlikely-to-jump.html|archive-date=December 11, 2011|url-status=dead}}</ref> * Tim Sullivan, businessman<ref name="sullivan">{{cite web |url=http://dc.wispolitics.com/2011/11/former-bucyrus-head-unlikely-to-jump.html |title=Former Bucyrus head unlikely to jump into races next year |date=November 18, 2011 |access-date=November 21, 2011 |work=] |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111211211815/http://dc.wispolitics.com/2011/11/former-bucyrus-head-unlikely-to-jump.html |archive-date=December 11, 2011 |url-status=dead}}</ref>


=== Polling === === Polling ===
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<!-- = = = don't edit the line above = = = --> <!-- = = = don't edit the line above = = = -->
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" {| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
|- valign= bottom |- style="vertical-align:bottom"
! Poll source ! Poll source
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} ! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}}
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! Other/<br />Undecided ! Other/<br />Undecided
|- |-
| align=left rowspan=2 | | style="text-align:left" rowspan=2 |]<ref></ref>
| rowspan=2 | May 19–22, 2011 | rowspan=2 | May 19–22, 2011
| rowspan=2 | 783 | rowspan=2 | 783
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| 12% | 12%
|- |-
| align=left rowspan=2 | | style="text-align:left" rowspan=2 |]<ref></ref>
| rowspan=2 | July 12–13, 2011 | rowspan=2 | July 12–13, 2011
| rowspan=2 | 627 | rowspan=2 | 627
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| 40% | 40%
|- |-
| align=left rowspan=2 | | style="text-align:left" rowspan=2 |]<ref name="Public Policy Polling"></ref>
| rowspan=2 | August 12–14, 2011 | rowspan=2 | August 12–14, 2011
| rowspan=2 | 387 | rowspan=2 | 387
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=== Results === === Results ===
{{Election box begin no change {{Election box begin no change
| title = Democratic primary results<ref name="gab.wi.gov">{{cite web|url=http://gab.wi.gov/sites/default/files/Percentage%20Results_8.14.12%20primary.pdf|title=Canvass Results for 2012 PARTISAN PRIMARY - 8/14/2012|access-date=September 22, 2012|work=]|archive-date=October 29, 2013|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20131029204626/http://gab.wi.gov/sites/default/files/Percentage%20Results_8.14.12%20primary.pdf|url-status=dead}}</ref> | title = Democratic primary results<ref name="gab.wi.gov">{{cite web |url=http://gab.wi.gov/sites/default/files/Percentage%20Results_8.14.12%20primary.pdf |title=Canvass Results for 2012 Partisan Primary - 8/14/2012 |access-date=September 22, 2012 |publisher=] |archive-date=October 29, 2013 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20131029204626/http://gab.wi.gov/sites/default/files/Percentage%20Results_8.14.12%20primary.pdf |url-status=dead}}</ref>
}} }}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change {{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
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== Republican primary == == Republican primary ==
Congressman and ] Chairman ] stated he would not run if Kohl sought reelection, but would contemplate a run if Kohl retired.<ref>{{cite news|last=Gilbert |first=Craig |url=http://www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/43705712.html |title=Ryan shines as GOP seeks vision |work=] |date=April 25, 2009|access-date=June 29, 2010}}</ref> Ryan later stated that he was "95 percent sure" that he would not run.<ref>{{cite news |last=Catanese |first=David |url=http://www.politico.com/blogs/davidcatanese/0511/Ryan_telling_GOPers_hes_unlikely_to_run_.html |title=Ryan telling GOPers he's unlikely to run |newspaper=Politico |date=May 16, 2011 |access-date=May 17, 2011}}</ref> He was later chosen as the Republican nominee for vice president by presidential nominee ].
]

Congressman and ] Chairman ] stated he would not run if Kohl sought reelection, but would contemplate a run if Kohl retired.<ref>{{cite news|last=Gilbert |first=Craig |url=http://www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/43705712.html |title=Ryan shines as GOP seeks vision |publisher=JSOnline |date=April 25, 2009|access-date=June 29, 2010}}</ref> Ryan later stated that he was "95 percent sure" that he would not run.<ref>{{cite news|last=Catanese |first=David |url=http://www.politico.com/blogs/davidcatanese/0511/Ryan_telling_GOPers_hes_unlikely_to_run_.html |title=Ryan telling GOPers he's unlikely to run |publisher=Politico |date=May 16, 2011|access-date=May 17, 2011}}</ref> He was later chosen as the Republican nominee for vice president by presidential nominee ].


Six candidates declared for the seat, although two later withdrew. The contest turned out to be a four-way fight and although a large majority of Republican primary voters consistently expressed a preference for a nominee "more conservative" than Tommy Thompson, Eric Hovde and Mark Neumann split the conservative vote, allowing Thompson to narrowly prevail with a plurality of the vote.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=409667|title=Our Campaigns - WI US Senate - R Primary Race - Aug 14, 2012|website=www.ourcampaigns.com}}</ref> Six candidates declared for the seat, although two later withdrew. The contest turned out to be a four-way fight. Although a large majority of Republican primary voters consistently expressed a preference for a nominee "more conservative" than Tommy Thompson, Eric Hovde and Mark Neumann split the conservative vote, allowing Thompson to narrowly prevail with a plurality of the vote.<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=409667 |title=Our Campaigns - WI US Senate - R Primary Race - Aug 14, 2012 |website=Our Campaigns}}</ref>


=== Candidates === === Candidates ===


==== Declared ==== ==== Declared ====
* ], Speaker of the ]<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/jeff-fitzgerald-announces-senate-bid-131519063.html|title=Jeff Fitzgerald announces Senate bid|date=October 11, 2011|access-date=October 11, 2011|work=]|first=Patrick|last=Marley}}</ref> * ], Speaker of the ]<ref>{{cite news |url=http://www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/jeff-fitzgerald-announces-senate-bid-131519063.html |title=Jeff Fitzgerald announces Senate bid |date=October 11, 2011 |access-date=October 11, 2011 |work=] |first=Patrick |last=Marley}}</ref>
* Eric Hovde, businessman<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.leadertelegram.com/news/front_page/article_8f25fbd4-602d-11e1-8d24-0019bb2963f4.html |title=Hovde emerges as new Senate candidate - Leader-Telegram: Front Page<!-- Bot generated title --> |access-date=February 27, 2012 |archive-date=March 4, 2016 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160304031455/http://www.leadertelegram.com/news/front_page/article_8f25fbd4-602d-11e1-8d24-0019bb2963f4.html |url-status=dead }}</ref> * Eric Hovde, businessman<ref>{{cite news |url=http://www.leadertelegram.com/news/front_page/article_8f25fbd4-602d-11e1-8d24-0019bb2963f4.html |title=Hovde emerges as new Senate candidate |newspaper=Leader-Telegram |access-date=February 27, 2012 |archive-date=March 4, 2016 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160304031455/http://www.leadertelegram.com/news/front_page/article_8f25fbd4-602d-11e1-8d24-0019bb2963f4.html |url-status=dead}}</ref>
* ], former U.S. representative, nominee for the U.S. Senate in ], and candidate for Governor in ]<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110928030928/http://www.wbay.com/story/15351054/republican-neumann-announces-senate-run |date=September 28, 2011 }} ''WBAY-TV''. August 29, 2011. Retrieved August 29, 2011</ref><ref> Kyle Trygstad. (August 29, 2011) ''Roll Call''. Retrieved August 29, 2011</ref> * ], former U.S. representative, nominee for the U.S. Senate in ], and candidate for governor in ]<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110928030928/http://www.wbay.com/story/15351054/republican-neumann-announces-senate-run |date=September 28, 2011}} WBAY-TV. August 29, 2011. Retrieved August 29, 2011</ref><ref>Kyle Trygstad. (August 29, 2011) ''Roll Call''. Retrieved August 29, 2011</ref>
* ], former ] and former ]<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.rollcall.com/news/Tommy_Thompson_Wisconsin_Senate_Bid_Official-208823-1.html?pos=hln|title=Tommy Thompson Makes Wisconsin Senate Bid Official|date=September 19, 2011|access-date=September 19, 2011}}</ref> * ], former ] and former ]<ref>{{cite news |url=http://www.rollcall.com/news/Tommy_Thompson_Wisconsin_Senate_Bid_Official-208823-1.html?pos=hln |title=Tommy Thompson Makes Wisconsin Senate Bid Official |date=September 19, 2011 |access-date=September 19, 2011}}</ref>


==== Withdrew ==== ==== Withdrew ====
* ], state senator<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.channel3000.com/news/30327852/detail.html |title=State Senator Lasee Drops Out Of U.S. Senate Race {{!}} News - Channel3000.com<!-- Bot generated title --> |access-date=February 15, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120202080622/http://www.channel3000.com/news/30327852/detail.html |archive-date=February 2, 2012 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all }}</ref> (endorsed Eric Hovde) * ], state senator<ref>{{cite news |url=http://www.channel3000.com/news/30327852/detail.html |title=State Senator Lasee Drops Out Of U.S. Senate Race |website=Channel3000.com |access-date=February 15, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120202080622/http://www.channel3000.com/news/30327852/detail.html |archive-date=February 2, 2012 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all}}</ref> ''(endorsed Eric Hovde)''
* Kip Smith, physical therapist<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://wisconsin.onpolitix.com/news/106086/republican-kip-smith-enters-2012-u-s-senate-race|title=archive.ph|website=archive.ph|access-date=January 1, 2023|archive-date=July 18, 2012|archive-url=https://archive.today/20120718232143/http://wisconsin.onpolitix.com/news/106086/republican-kip-smith-enters-2012-u-s-senate-race|url-status=dead}}</ref> * Kip Smith, physical therapist<ref>{{Cite news |url=http://wisconsin.onpolitix.com/news/106086/republican-kip-smith-enters-2012-u-s-senate-race |title=Kip Smith enters U.S. Senate race |website=onpolitics |publisher=] |access-date=January 1, 2023 |archive-date=July 18, 2012 |archive-url=https://archive.today/20120718232143/http://wisconsin.onpolitix.com/news/106086/republican-kip-smith-enters-2012-u-s-senate-race |url-status=dead}}</ref>


==== Declined ==== ==== Declined ====
* ], former U.S. representative and former ]<ref name=fox11online>{{cite web|url=http://www.fox11online.com/dpp/news/local/green_bay/former-u-s-rep-mark-green-backs-tommy-thompson-for-senate|archive-url=https://archive.today/20130123113310/http://www.fox11online.com/dpp/news/local/green_bay/former-u-s-rep-mark-green-backs-tommy-thompson-for-senate|url-status=dead|archive-date=January 23, 2013|title=Green backs Thompson for Senate|date=September 16, 2011|access-date=December 18, 2011|work=]|publisher=]}}</ref> * ], former U.S. representative and former ]<ref name="fox11online">{{cite news |url=http://www.fox11online.com/dpp/news/local/green_bay/former-u-s-rep-mark-green-backs-tommy-thompson-for-senate|archive-url=https://archive.today/20130123113310/http://www.fox11online.com/dpp/news/local/green_bay/former-u-s-rep-mark-green-backs-tommy-thompson-for-senate|url-status=dead|archive-date=January 23, 2013|title=Green backs Thompson for Senate|date=September 16, 2011|access-date=December 18, 2011|publisher=]|agency=]}}</ref>
* ], former state senator<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/news/130773358.html|title = Kanavas says he won't run for U.S. Senate}}</ref> * ], former state senator<ref>{{Cite news |url=http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/news/130773358.html |title=Kanavas says he won't run for U.S. Senate |work=]}}</ref>
* ], U.S. representative<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.rollcall.com/news/Ryan-Out-Thompson-In-Wisconsin-Senate-205679-1.html?pos=hln|title = Ryan Out, Thompson to Get in Wisconsin Senate Race|date = May 17, 2011}}</ref> * ], U.S. representative<ref>{{cite news |url=http://www.rollcall.com/news/Ryan-Out-Thompson-In-Wisconsin-Senate-205679-1.html?pos=hln|title=Ryan Out, Thompson to Get in Wisconsin Senate Race|date=May 17, 2011 |work=Roll Call}}</ref>
* Tim Sullivan, businessman<ref name=sullivan/> * Tim Sullivan, businessman<ref name="sullivan" />
* ], Wisconsin attorney general<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/127969353.html?wpisrc=nl_fix|title = Thompson takes step toward Senate run}}</ref> * ], Wisconsin attorney general<ref>{{Cite news |url=http://www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/127969353.html?wpisrc=nl_fix |title=Thompson takes step toward Senate run |work=]}}</ref>


===Polling=== ===Polling===
{| class="wikitable" {| class="wikitable"
|- valign= bottom |- style="vertical-align:bottom"
! Poll source ! Poll source
! Date(s) administered ! Date(s) administered
Line 218: Line 213:
! Undecided ! Undecided
|- |-
| |]<ref></ref>
| align=center| August 8–9, 2012 | style="text-align:center"| August 8–9, 2012
| align=center| 557 | style="text-align:center"| 557
| align=center| ± 4.2% | style="text-align:center"| ± 4.2%
| align=center| 15% | style="text-align:center"| 15%
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''27%''' | {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''27%'''
| align=center| 24% | style="text-align:center"| 24%
| align=center| 25% | style="text-align:center"| 25%
| align=center| 9% | style="text-align:center"| 9%
|- |-
| |]<ref></ref>
| align=center| August 2–5, 2012 | style="text-align:center"| August 2–5, 2012
| align=center| 519 | style="text-align:center"| 519
| align=center| ± 4.4% | style="text-align:center"| ± 4.4%
| align=center| 13% | style="text-align:center"| 13%
| align=center| 20% | style="text-align:center"| 20%
| align=center| 18% | style="text-align:center"| 18%
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''28%''' | {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''28%'''
| align=center| 7% | style="text-align:center"| 7%
|- |-
| |]<ref></ref>
| align=center| July 31, 2012 | style="text-align:center"| July 31, 2012
| align=center| 1,237 | style="text-align:center"| 1,237
| align=center| ± 2.8% | style="text-align:center"| ± 2.8%
| align=center| 12% | style="text-align:center"| 12%
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''23%''' | {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''23%'''
| align=center| 17% | style="text-align:center"| 17%
| align=center| 23% | style="text-align:center"| 23%
| {{party shading/Undecided}} align=center| '''25%''' | {{party shading/Undecided}} align="center"| '''25%'''
|- |-
| rowspan=2| | rowspan=2|]<ref name="publicpolicypolling.com"></ref>
| align=center rowspan=2| July 30–31, 2012 | style="text-align:center" rowspan=2| July 30–31, 2012
| align=center rowspan=2| 400 | style="text-align:center" rowspan=2| 400
| align=center rowspan=2| ± 4.9% | style="text-align:center" rowspan=2| ± 4.9%
| align=center| 13% | style="text-align:center"| 13%
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''28%''' | {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''28%'''
| align=center| 25% | style="text-align:center"| 25%
| align=center| 25% | style="text-align:center"| 25%
| align=center| 9% | style="text-align:center"| 9%
|- |-
| align=center| — | style="text-align:center"| —
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''33%''' | {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''33%'''
| align=center| 27% | style="text-align:center"| 27%
| align=center| 30% | style="text-align:center"| 30%
| align=center| 10% | style="text-align:center"| 10%
|- |-
| |]<ref name="Marquette University"></ref>
| align=center| July 5–8, 2012 | style="text-align:center"| July 5–8, 2012
| align=center| 432 | style="text-align:center"| 432
| align=center| ± 4.8% | style="text-align:center"| ± 4.8%
| align=center| 6% | style="text-align:center"| 6%
| align=center| 23% | style="text-align:center"| 23%
| align=center| 10% | style="text-align:center"| 10%
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''35%''' | {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''35%'''
| align=center| 25% | style="text-align:center"| 25%
|- |-
| |]<ref name="ReferenceA"></ref>
| align=center| July 5–8, 2012 | style="text-align:center"| July 5–8, 2012
| align=center| 564 | style="text-align:center"| 564
| align=center| ± 4.1% | style="text-align:center"| ± 4.1%
| align=center| 9% | style="text-align:center"| 9%
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''31%''' | {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''31%'''
| align=center| 15% | style="text-align:center"| 15%
| align=center| 29% | style="text-align:center"| 29%
| align=center| 16% | style="text-align:center"| 16%
|- |-
| {{+}} |]<ref></ref>{{+}}
| align=center| June 26–27, 2012 | style="text-align:center"| June 26–27, 2012
| align=center| 600 | style="text-align:center"| 600
| align=center| ± 4.0% | style="text-align:center"| ± 4.0%
| align=center| 7% | style="text-align:center"| 7%
| align=center| 29% | style="text-align:center"| 29%
| align=center| 16% | style="text-align:center"| 16%
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''34%''' | {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''34%'''
| align=center| 14% | style="text-align:center"| 14%
|- |-
| |]<ref name="law.marquette.edu"></ref>
| align=center| June 13–16, 2012 | style="text-align:center"| June 13–16, 2012
| align=center| 344 | style="text-align:center"| 344
| align=center| ± 5.4% | style="text-align:center"| ± 5.4%
| align=center| 10% | style="text-align:center"| 10%
| align=center| 14% | style="text-align:center"| 14%
| align=center| 16% | style="text-align:center"| 16%
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''34%''' | {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''34%'''
| align=center| 25% | style="text-align:center"| 25%
|- |-
| |]<ref></ref>
| align=center| March 31–April 1, 2012 | style="text-align:center"| March 31–April 1, 2012
| align=center| 609 | style="text-align:center"| 609
| align=center| ± 4.0% | style="text-align:center"| ± 4.0%
| align=center| 18% | style="text-align:center"| 18%
| align=center| — | style="text-align:center"| —
| align=center| 25% | style="text-align:center"| 25%
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''38%''' | {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''38%'''
| align=center| 19% | style="text-align:center"| 19%
|- |-
| rowspan=4| | rowspan=4|]<ref name="ReferenceB"></ref>
| align=center rowspan=4| February 23–26, 2012 | style="text-align:center" rowspan=4| February 23–26, 2012
| align=center rowspan=4| 556 | style="text-align:center" rowspan=4| 556
| align=center rowspan=4| ± 4.2% | style="text-align:center" rowspan=4| ± 4.2%
| align=center| 22% | style="text-align:center"| 22%
| align=center| — | style="text-align:center"| —
| align=center| 22% | style="text-align:center"| 22%
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''39%''' | {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''39%'''
| align=center| 17% | style="text-align:center"| 17%
|- |-
| align=center| 32% | style="text-align:center"| 32%
| align=center| — | style="text-align:center"| —
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''42%''' | {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''42%'''
| align=center| — | style="text-align:center"| —
| align=center| 26% | style="text-align:center"| 26%
|- |-
| align=center| 37% | style="text-align:center"| 37%
| align=center| — | style="text-align:center"| —
| align=center| — | style="text-align:center"| —
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''46%''' | {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''46%'''
| align=center| 17% | style="text-align:center"| 17%
|- |-
| align=center| — | style="text-align:center"| —
| align=center| — | style="text-align:center"| —
| align=center| 36% | style="text-align:center"| 36%
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''46%''' | {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''46%'''
| align=center| 18% | style="text-align:center"| 18%
|- |-
| rowspan=4| | rowspan=4|]<ref name="ReferenceC"></ref>
| align=center rowspan=4| October 20–23, 2011 | style="text-align:center" rowspan=4| October 20–23, 2011
| align=center rowspan=4| 650 | style="text-align:center" rowspan=4| 650
| align=center rowspan=4| ± 3.8% | style="text-align:center" rowspan=4| ± 3.8%
| align=center| 21% | style="text-align:center"| 21%
| align=center| — | style="text-align:center"| —
| align=center| 29% | style="text-align:center"| 29%
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''35%''' | {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''35%'''
| align=center| 11% | style="text-align:center"| 11%
|- |-
| align=center| — | style="text-align:center"| —
| align=center| — | style="text-align:center"| —
| align=center| 39% | style="text-align:center"| 39%
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''43%''' | {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''43%'''
| align=center| 17% | style="text-align:center"| 17%
|- |-
| align=center| 28% | style="text-align:center"| 28%
| align=center| — | style="text-align:center"| —
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''44%''' | {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''44%'''
| align=center| — | style="text-align:center"| —
| align=center| 28% | style="text-align:center"| 28%
|- |-
| align=center| 35% | style="text-align:center"| 35%
| align=center| — | style="text-align:center"| —
| align=center| — | style="text-align:center"| —
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''47%''' | {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''47%'''
| align=center| 17% | style="text-align:center"| 17%
|- |-
|]<ref name="Public Policy Polling"/>
|
| align=center| August 12–14, 2011 | style="text-align:center"| August 12–14, 2011
| align=center| 362 | style="text-align:center"| 362
| align=center| ± 5.2% | style="text-align:center"| ± 5.2%
| align=center| — | style="text-align:center"| —
| align=center| — | style="text-align:center"| —
| align=center| 39% | style="text-align:center"| 39%
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''47%''' | {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''47%'''
| align=center| 13% | style="text-align:center"| 13%
|- |-
| rowspan=2| | rowspan=2|]<ref></ref>
| align=center rowspan=2| July 12–13, 2011 | style="text-align:center" rowspan=2| July 12–13, 2011
| align=center rowspan=2| 638 | style="text-align:center" rowspan=2| 638
| align=center rowspan=2| ± 3.9% | style="text-align:center" rowspan=2| ± 3.9%
| align=center| 15% | style="text-align:center"| 15%
| align=center| — | style="text-align:center"| —
| align=center| 26% | style="text-align:center"| 26%
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''41%''' | {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''41%'''
| align=center| 18% | style="text-align:center"| 18%
|- |-
| align=center| — | style="text-align:center"| —
| align=center| — | style="text-align:center"| —
| align=center| 36% | style="text-align:center"| 36%
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''44%''' | {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''44%'''
| align=center| 20% | style="text-align:center"| 20%
|} |}


Line 400: Line 395:


{| class="wikitable" {| class="wikitable"
|- valign= bottom |- style="vertical-align:bottom"bottom
! Poll source ! Poll source
! Date(s) administered ! Date(s) administered
Line 409: Line 404:
! Undecided ! Undecided
|- |-
|]<ref name="publicpolicypolling.com"/>
|
| align=center| July 30–31, 2012 | style="text-align:center"| July 30–31, 2012
| align=center| 400 | style="text-align:center"| 400
| align=center| ± 4.9% | style="text-align:center"| ± 4.9%
| align=center| 29% | style="text-align:center"| 29%
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''58%''' | {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''58%'''
| align=center| 13% | style="text-align:center"| 13%
|- |-
|]<ref name="ReferenceA"/>
|
| align=center| July 5–8, 2012 | style="text-align:center"| July 5–8, 2012
| align=center| 564 | style="text-align:center"| 564
| align=center| ± 4.1% | style="text-align:center"| ± 4.1%
| align=center| 34% | style="text-align:center"| 34%
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''50%''' | {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''50%'''
| align=center| 17% | style="text-align:center"| 17%
|- |-
|]<ref name="ReferenceB"/>
|
| align=center| February 23–26, 2012 | style="text-align:center"| February 23–26, 2012
| align=center| 556 | style="text-align:center"| 556
| align=center| ± 4.2% | style="text-align:center"| ± 4.2%
| align=center| 37% | style="text-align:center"| 37%
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''47%''' | {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''47%'''
| align=center| 17% | style="text-align:center"| 17%
|- |-
|]<ref name="ReferenceC"/>
|
| align=center| October 20–23, 2011 | style="text-align:center"| October 20–23, 2011
| align=center| 650 | style="text-align:center"| 650
| align=center| ± 3.8% | style="text-align:center"| ± 3.8%
| align=center| 35% | style="text-align:center"| 35%
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''51%''' | {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''51%'''
| align=center| 14% | style="text-align:center"| 14%
|} |}


Line 447: Line 442:
| title = Jeff Fitzgerald | title = Jeff Fitzgerald
| list = | list =
* ], Wisconsin Assembly Majority Leader (Abbotsford)<ref name="sunpra">{{Cite web|url=https://www.hngnews.com/sun_prairie_star/|title=Sun Prairie Star|first=Hometown News|last=LP|website=Hometown News LP}}</ref> * ], Wisconsin Assembly Majority Leader (Abbotsford)<ref name="sunpra">{{cite news |url=https://www.hngnews.com/sun_prairie_star/ |title=Sun Prairie Star}}</ref>{{failed verification|date=January 2023}}
* ], Wisconsin Assembly Finance Chair (Rochester)<ref name=sunpra /> * ], Wisconsin Assembly Finance Chair (Rochester)<ref name="sunpra" />{{failed verification|date=January 2023}}
* ], Wisconsin Assembly Caucus Chair (Markesan)<ref name=sunpra /> * ], Wisconsin Assembly Caucus Chair (Markesan)<ref name="sunpra" />{{failed verification|date=January 2023}}
* ], Wisconsin Assembly Caucus Secretary (Medford)<ref name=sunpra /> * ], Wisconsin Assembly Caucus Secretary (Medford)<ref name="sunpra" />{{failed verification|date=January 2023}}
* ], Wisconsin Assembly Caucus Sergeant at Arms (Randall)<ref name=sunpra /> * ], Wisconsin Assembly Caucus Sergeant at Arms (Randall)<ref name="sunpra" />{{failed verification|date=January 2023}}
* ], Wisconsin Assembly Speaker Pro-Temp (Waukesha)<ref name=sunpra2></ref> * ], Wisconsin Assembly Speaker Pro-Temp (Waukesha)<ref name="sunpra2">. ''Sun Prairie Star''</ref>
* ], Wisconsin Assembly Assistant Assembly Majority Leader (Germantown)<ref name="sunpra"/> * ], Wisconsin Assembly Assistant Assembly Majority Leader (Germantown)<ref name="sunpra" />{{failed verification|date=January 2023}}
* ], Wisconsin State Representative (Oconomowoc)<ref name=sunpra2 /> * ], Wisconsin State Representative (Oconomowoc)<ref name="sunpra2" />
* ], Wisconsin State Representative (Hartford)<ref name=sunpra2 /> * ], Wisconsin State Representative (Hartford)<ref name="sunpra2" />
* ], Wisconsin State Representative (Pewaukee)<ref name=sunpra2 /> * ], Wisconsin State Representative (Pewaukee)<ref name="sunpra2" />
* ], Wisconsin State Representative (Brookfield)<ref name=sunpra2 /> * ], Wisconsin State Representative (Brookfield)<ref name="sunpra2" />
* ], Wisconsin State Representative (New Berlin)<ref name=sunpra2 /> * ], Wisconsin State Representative (New Berlin)<ref name="sunpra2" />
* ], Wisconsin State Representative (Brown Deer)<ref name=sunpra2 /> * ], Wisconsin State Representative (Brown Deer)<ref name="sunpra2" />


}} }}
Line 466: Line 461:
| title = Eric Hovde | title = Eric Hovde
| list = | list =
* ], Wisconsin State Senator (De Pere)<ref name=sunpra2 /> * ], Wisconsin State Senator (De Pere)<ref name="sunpra2" />
* ], Wisconsin State Senator (Wauwatosa)<ref name=sunpra2 /> * ], Wisconsin State Senator (Wauwatosa)<ref name="sunpra2" />
* ]<ref>{{cite news|url=http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/237743-freedomworks-endorses-hovde-in-wisconsin|work=The Hill|title=FreedomWorks splits with other conservatives, endorses Hovde in Wisconsin}}</ref> * ]<ref>{{cite news |url=https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/119549-freedomworks-splits-with-other-conservatives-endorses-hovde-in-wisconsin/ |work=The Hill |title=FreedomWorks splits with other conservatives, endorses Hovde in Wisconsin}}</ref>


}} }}
Line 475: Line 470:
| title = Mark Neumann | title = Mark Neumann
| list = | list =
* ]<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.clubforgrowth.org/endorsedcandidates/ |title=CFG PAC endorses Kevin Cramer in North Dakota<!-- Bot generated title --> |access-date=October 12, 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111006124727/http://www.clubforgrowth.org/endorsedcandidates/ |archive-date=October 6, 2011 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all }}</ref> * ]<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.clubforgrowth.org/endorsedcandidates/ |title=CFG PAC endorses Kevin Cramer in North Dakota<!-- Bot generated title --> |access-date=October 12, 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111006124727/http://www.clubforgrowth.org/endorsedcandidates/ |archive-date=October 6, 2011 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all}}</ref>
* ]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.frcaction.org/advanced-search|title=FRC Action|website=www.frcaction.org}}</ref> * ]<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://www.frcaction.org/advanced-search |title=FRC Action |publisher=]}}</ref>
* ], U.S. Senator (KY)<ref>{{cite news| url=http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/11/11/huffpost-fundrace----perr_n_1089105.html | work=Huffington Post | first=Paul | last=Blumenthal | title=HUFFPOST FUNDRACE -- Perry Spends Big | date=November 11, 2011}}</ref> * ], U.S. Senator (KY)<ref>{{cite news |url=http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/11/11/huffpost-fundrace----perr_n_1089105.html |work=The Huffington Post |first=Paul |last=Blumenthal |title=HUFFPOST FUNDRACE -- Perry Spends Big |date=November 11, 2011}}</ref>
* ], U.S. Senator (OK)<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/193139-coburn-endorses-neumann-in-wi-senate-race/|title=Sen. Coburn endorses Neumann in Wis. Senate race|first=Cameron|last=Joseph|date=November 12, 2011}}</ref> * ], U.S. Senator (OK)<ref>{{cite news |url=https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/178441-sen-coburn-endorses-neumann-in-wis-senate-race/ |title=Sen. Coburn endorses Neumann in Wis. Senate race |first=Cameron |last=Joseph |date=November 12, 2011}}</ref>
* ], U.S. Senator (SC)<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.rollcall.com/2011/11/28/jim-demint-backs-wisconsin-senate-hopeful-over-tommy-thompson/|title=Jim DeMint Backs Wisconsin Senate Hopeful Over Tommy Thompson|date=November 28, 2011|website=Roll Call}}</ref> * ], U.S. Senator (SC)<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.rollcall.com/2011/11/28/jim-demint-backs-wisconsin-senate-hopeful-over-tommy-thompson/ |title=Jim DeMint Backs Wisconsin Senate Hopeful Over Tommy Thompson |date=November 28, 2011 |website=Roll Call}}</ref>
* ], U.S. Senator (UT)<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/news/148022855.html|title=Utah senator endorses Neumann|website=www.jsonline.com}}</ref> * ], U.S. Senator (UT)<ref>{{cite news |url=http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/news/148022855.html |title=Utah senator endorses Neumann |work=]}}</ref>
* ], former Wisconsin State Treasurer<ref name=wispol> {{Dead link|date=April 2019 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}</ref> * ], former Wisconsin State Treasurer<ref name="wispol"> {{Dead link|date=April 2019 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes}}</ref>
* ], Wisconsin State Treasurer<ref name=wispol /> * ], Wisconsin State Treasurer<ref name="wispol" />
* GING PAC, a PAC of Social Conservatives<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.gingpac.org/mark-neumann-wins-two-key-endorsements-for-senate-race |title=Mark Neumann Wins Two Key Endorsements For Senate Race<!-- Bot generated title --> |access-date=February 27, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160317014619/http://gingpac.org/mark-neumann-wins-two-key-endorsements-for-senate-race/ |archive-date=March 17, 2016 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all }}</ref> * GING PAC, a PAC of Social Conservatives<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.gingpac.org/mark-neumann-wins-two-key-endorsements-for-senate-race |title=Mark Neumann Wins Two Key Endorsements For Senate Race<!-- Bot generated title --> |access-date=February 27, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160317014619/http://gingpac.org/mark-neumann-wins-two-key-endorsements-for-senate-race/ |archive-date=March 17, 2016 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all}}</ref>
* ], U.S. Senator (PA)<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/news/161087815.html|title=Neumann endorsed by Sen. Toomey|website=www.jsonline.com}}</ref> * ], U.S. Senator (PA)<ref>{{cite news |url=http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/news/161087815.html |title=Neumann endorsed by Sen. Toomey |work=]}}</ref>
* Wisconsin Right to Life<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://wrtl.org/mec/ |title=Wisconsin Right to Life - My Election Central - WRTL.org/Mec |access-date=July 23, 2012 |archive-date=July 23, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120723062333/http://www.wrtl.org/mec/ |url-status=dead }}</ref> * Wisconsin Right to Life<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://wrtl.org/mec/ |title=My Election Central |publisher=Wisconsin Right to Life |access-date=July 23, 2012 |archive-date=July 23, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120723062333/http://www.wrtl.org/mec/ |url-status=dead}}</ref>
* ], Nationally Syndicated Talk Show Host<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://impeachobamatoday.blogspot.com/2012/08/mark-levin-endorses-mark-neumann-for-us.html|title=Impeach McConnell, Boehner, and Cantor Today: Mark Levin endorses Mark Neumann for US Senate in Wisconsin GOP primary, 8/14/12|date=August 6, 2012}}</ref> * ], Nationally Syndicated Talk Show Host<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://impeachobamatoday.blogspot.com/2012/08/mark-levin-endorses-mark-neumann-for-us.html |title=Impeach McConnell, Boehner, and Cantor Today: Mark Levin endorses Mark Neumann for US Senate in Wisconsin GOP primary, 8/14/12 |date=August 6, 2012}}</ref>


}} }}
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| list = | list =
'''Politicians''' '''Politicians'''
* ], business executive, radio host, syndicated columnist, former candidate for the 2012 U.S. Republican Party presidential nomination.<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://waukesha.patch.com/articles/herman-cain-stumps-for-tommy-thompson-at-waukesha-rally|title=Herman Cain Stumps for Tommy Thompson at Waukesha Rally|date=August 13, 2012}}</ref> * ], business executive, radio host, syndicated columnist, former candidate for the 2012 U.S. Republican Party presidential nomination.<ref>{{Cite news |url=http://waukesha.patch.com/articles/herman-cain-stumps-for-tommy-thompson-at-waukesha-rally|title=Herman Cain Stumps for Tommy Thompson at Waukesha Rally|date=August 13, 2012}}</ref>
* ], former speaker of the House of Representatives, and 2012 presidential candidate<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.tommyforwisconsin.com/category/endorsements/ |title = Endorsements |access-date=May 9, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120609045717/http://www.tommyforwisconsin.com/category/endorsements/ |archive-date=June 9, 2012 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all }}</ref> * ], former speaker of the House of Representatives, and 2012 presidential candidate<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.tommyforwisconsin.com/category/endorsements/ |title=Endorsements |access-date=May 9, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120609045717/http://www.tommyforwisconsin.com/category/endorsements/ |archive-date=June 9, 2012 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all}}</ref>
* Governor ] of Indiana<ref name=autogenerated1>{{Cite web |url=http://www.tommyforwisconsin.com/category/endorsements/ |title=Endorsements<!-- Bot generated title --> |access-date=May 9, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120609045717/http://www.tommyforwisconsin.com/category/endorsements/ |archive-date=June 9, 2012 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all }}</ref> * Governor ] of Indiana<ref name="tommyforwisconsin endorsements">{{Cite web |url=http://www.tommyforwisconsin.com/category/endorsements/ |title=Endorsements<!-- Bot generated title --> |access-date=May 9, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120609045717/http://www.tommyforwisconsin.com/category/endorsements/ |archive-date=June 9, 2012 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all}}</ref>
* ], former mayor of New York City and ]<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/news/145021415.html|title=Rudy Giuliani, Milwaukee Police Association backing Tommy Thompson|website=www.jsonline.com}}</ref> * ], former mayor of New York City and ]<ref>{{Cite news |url=http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/news/145021415.html |title=Rudy Giuliani, Milwaukee Police Association backing Tommy Thompson |work=] |author=Don Walker |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150509155522/http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/news/145021415.html |archive-date=May 9, 2015 |url-status=live}}</ref>
* ], U.S. senator from ]<ref name=rollcall>{{Cite web|url=http://www.rollcall.com/issues/57_60/tommy_thompson_picks_up_senate_endorsements-210366-1.html|title=Tommy Thompson Picks Up Senate Endorsements : Roll Call Politics<!-- Bot generated title -->}}</ref> * ], U.S. senator from ]<ref name="rollcall">{{Cite news |url=http://www.rollcall.com/issues/57_60/tommy_thompson_picks_up_senate_endorsements-210366-1.html |title=Tommy Thompson Picks Up Senate Endorsements |author=Abby Livingston |work=Roll Call |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111117002212/http://www.rollcall.com/issues/57_60/tommy_thompson_picks_up_senate_endorsements-210366-1.html |archive-date=November 17, 2011 |url-status=dead}}</ref>
* ], U.S. senator from ]<ref name=rollcall/> * ], U.S. senator from ]<ref name="rollcall" />
* ], U.S. senator from ]<ref name=rollcall/> * ], U.S. senator from ]<ref name="rollcall" />
* ], U.S. senator from ]<ref name=rollcall/> * ], U.S. senator from ]<ref name="rollcall" />
* ], former U.S. representative and former ]<ref name="fox11online"/> * ], former U.S. representative and former ]<ref name="fox11online" />
* ], Wisconsin attorney general<ref name=fox11online/> * ], Wisconsin attorney general<ref name="fox11online" />
* ], former Wisconsin state treasurer<ref name=fox11online/> * ], former Wisconsin state treasurer<ref name="fox11online" />
* ], former ], ] and ] talk show host<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/huckabee-endorses-thompson-slams-club-for-growth-tr3f7ar-135710398.html|title=Huckabee endorses Thompson, slams Club for Growth|date=December 15, 2011|access-date=December 18, 2011|work=]|first=Don|last=Walker|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120111234455/http://www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/huckabee-endorses-thompson-slams-club-for-growth-tr3f7ar-135710398.html|archive-date=January 11, 2012|url-status=dead|df=mdy-all}}</ref> * ], former ], ] and ] talk show host<ref>{{cite news |url=http://www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/huckabee-endorses-thompson-slams-club-for-growth-tr3f7ar-135710398.html |title=Huckabee endorses Thompson, slams Club for Growth|date=December 15, 2011 |access-date=December 18, 2011 |work=] |first=Don |last=Walker |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120111234455/http://www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/huckabee-endorses-thompson-slams-club-for-growth-tr3f7ar-135710398.html |archive-date=January 11, 2012 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all}}</ref>
* ], former U.S. representative (WI) * ], former U.S. representative (WI)
* ], former lieutenant governor of Wisconsin * ], former lieutenant governor of Wisconsin
* ], former ], former ], and former ]<ref name=7govs>{{Cite web|url=https://archive.jsonline.com/blogs/news/146970885.html/|title=Seven former governors endorse Thompson|website=archive.jsonline.com}}</ref> * ], former ], former ], and former ]<ref name="7govs">{{Cite news |url=https://archive.jsonline.com/blogs/news/146970885.html/ |title=Seven former governors endorse Thompson |work=]}}</ref>
* ], former ]<ref name=7govs /> * ], former ]<ref name="7govs" />
* ], former ] and former ]<ref name=7govs /> * ], former ] and former ]<ref name="7govs" />
* ], former ]<ref name=7govs /> * ], former ]<ref name="7govs" />
* ], former ] and former ]<ref name=7govs /> * ], former ] and former ]<ref name="7govs" />
* ], former ]<ref name=7govs /> * ], former ]<ref name="7govs" />
* ], former ]<ref name=7govs /> * ], former ]<ref name="7govs" />
* ], former ]<ref name=autogenerated1 /> * ], former ]<ref name="tommyforwisconsin endorsements" />


'''Celebrities and political commentators'''<ref name="tommyforwisconsin.com">{{Cite web |url=http://www.tommyforwisconsin.com/2012/06/21/see-the-full-list/ |title = See the full list |access-date=July 25, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120725202346/http://www.tommyforwisconsin.com/2012/06/21/see-the-full-list/ |archive-date=July 25, 2012 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all }}</ref> '''Celebrities and political commentators'''<ref name="tommyforwisconsin full list">{{Cite web |url=http://www.tommyforwisconsin.com/2012/06/21/see-the-full-list/ |title=See the full list |access-date=July 25, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120725202346/http://www.tommyforwisconsin.com/2012/06/21/see-the-full-list/ |archive-date=July 25, 2012 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all}}</ref>
* ], musician and conservative activist <ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/news/144434255.html|title='The Nuge' endorses Tommy Thompson|website=www.jsonline.com}}</ref> * ], musician and conservative activist <ref>{{Cite news |url=http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/news/144434255.html |title='The Nuge' endorses Tommy Thompson |author=Don Walker |work=] |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120330015632/http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/news/144434255.html |archive-date=March 30, 2012 |url-status=live}}</ref>
* ], author, radio host, and son of President ] * ], author, radio host, and son of President ]
* ], political strategist, author, Fox News analyst, former adviser to President ]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/buzzfeedpolitics/the-coveted-dick-morris-endorsement|title=The Coveted Dick Morris Endorsement|first=BuzzFeed|last=Politics|website=BuzzFeed News}}</ref> * ], political strategist, author, Fox News analyst, former adviser to President ]<ref>{{Cite news |url=https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/buzzfeedpolitics/the-coveted-dick-morris-endorsement |title=The Coveted Dick Morris Endorsement |website=BuzzFeed News |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180811112749/https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/buzzfeedpolitics/the-coveted-dick-morris-endorsement |archive-date=August 11, 2018 |url-status=live}}</ref>
* ], a.k.a. Joe the Plumber<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://shorewood.patch.com/articles/joe-the-plumber-supports-thompson-because-he-gets-stuff-done |title=Joe the Plumber Supports Thompson Because He 'Gets Stuff Done' - Shor… |archive-url=https://archive.today/20130131032804/http://shorewood.patch.com/articles/joe-the-plumber-supports-thompson-because-he-gets-stuff-done |archive-date=31 January 2013 |url-status=dead}}</ref> * ], a.k.a. Joe the Plumber<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://shorewood.patch.com/articles/joe-the-plumber-supports-thompson-because-he-gets-stuff-done |title=Joe the Plumber Supports Thompson Because He 'Gets Stuff Done' - Shor… |archive-url=https://archive.today/20130131032804/http://shorewood.patch.com/articles/joe-the-plumber-supports-thompson-because-he-gets-stuff-done |archive-date=31 January 2013 |url-status=dead}}</ref>


'''Cabinet officials'''<ref name="tommyforwisconsin.com"/> '''Cabinet officials'''<ref name="tommyforwisconsin full list" />
* ], former Secretary of Defense from 1975 to 1977 and 2001 to 2006, former White House chief of staff, and former ambassador * ], former Secretary of Defense from 1975 to 1977 and 2001 to 2006, former White House chief of staff, and former ambassador
* Donald L. Nelson, former deputy assistant Secretary of Defense * Donald L. Nelson, former deputy assistant Secretary of Defense
* Ray Boland, colonel and former Veterans Affairs Secretary * Ray Boland, colonel and former Veterans Affairs Secretary


'''State legislators'''<ref name="tommyforwisconsin.com"/> '''State legislators'''<ref name="tommyforwisconsin full list" />
* ], former Wisconsin Assembly Speaker * ], former Wisconsin Assembly Speaker
* State Senator Rob Cowles * State Senator Rob Cowles
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* ], former state senator * ], former state senator


'''Political organization officials'''<ref name="tommyforwisconsin.com"/> '''Political organization officials'''<ref name="tommyforwisconsin full list" />
* ], president of the ] and former chairman of the ]{{citation needed|date=October 2019}} * ], president of the ] and former chairman of the ]<ref>{{Cite web |last=Byers |first=Dylan |date=25 March 2014 |title=David Keene, the endorsement editor |url=https://www.politico.com/blogs/media/2014/03/david-keene-the-endorsement-editor-185686 |access-date=4 June 2024 |website=]}}</ref>
* Former Republican Party of Wisconsin Chairman Rick Graber * Former Republican Party of Wisconsin Chairman Rick Graber
* Wisconsin Club for Growth founders Terry and Mary Kohler * Wisconsin Club for Growth founders Terry and Mary Kohler
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* Republican National Convention co-chairman Mary Buestrin * Republican National Convention co-chairman Mary Buestrin


'''Law enforcement officials'''<ref name="tommyforwisconsin.com"/> '''Law enforcement officials'''<ref name="tommyforwisconsin full list" />
* Waukesha County Sheriff Daniel Trawicki * Waukesha County Sheriff Daniel Trawicki
* Waukesha County District Attorney ] * Waukesha County District Attorney ]


'''Organizations'''<ref name="tommyforwisconsin.com"/> '''Organizations'''<ref name="tommyforwisconsin full list" />


* Wisconsin Right to Life * Wisconsin Right to Life
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* Wisconsin Health Care Association * Wisconsin Health Care Association
* Wisconsin Mortgage Bankers Association * Wisconsin Mortgage Bankers Association
* ]<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.goproud.org/pages/news--press/2012/goproud-announces-u.s.-house-endorsements|title=GOProud Announces U.S. House Endorsements - GOProud, Inc.|date=October 25, 2012|website=web.archive.org|access-date=September 17, 2017|archive-date=October 25, 2012|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20121025012745/http://www.goproud.org/pages/news--press/2012/goproud-announces-u.s.-house-endorsements|url-status=dead}}</ref> * ]<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.goproud.org/pages/news--press/2012/goproud-announces-u.s.-house-endorsements |title=GOProud Announces U.S. House Endorsements - GOProud, Inc. |date=October 25, 2012 |access-date=September 17, 2017 |archive-date=October 25, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20121025012745/http://www.goproud.org/pages/news--press/2012/goproud-announces-u.s.-house-endorsements |url-status=dead}}</ref>


}} }}


=== Results === === Results ===
[[File:2012 WI US Senate GOP primary.svg|thumb|Results by county
{{Election box begin no change
{{collapsible list
| title = Republican primary results<ref name="gab.wi.gov"/>
| title = {{legend|#d35f5f|Thompson}}
|{{legend|#e9afaf|20–30%}}
|{{legend|#de8787|30–40%}}
|{{legend|#d35f5f|40–50%}}
|{{legend|#c83737|50–60%}}
|{{legend|#a02c2c|60–70%}}
}}
{{collapsible list
| title = {{legend|#5f8dd3|Hovde}}
|{{legend|#87aade|30–40%}}
|{{legend|#5f8dd3|40–50%}}
}}
{{collapsible list
| title = {{legend|#8dd35f|Neumann}}
|{{legend|#aade87|30–40%}}
|{{legend|#8dd35f|40–50%}}
}}
]]{{Election box begin no change
| title = Republican primary results<ref name="gab.wi.gov" />
}} }}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change {{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
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* ] (Democratic), U.S. Representative * ] (Democratic), U.S. Representative
* ] (Republican), former governor and former ] * ] (Republican), former governor and former ]
* Joseph Kexel (Libertarian), IT consultant<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.wispolitics.com/1006/120420_Kexel.pdf|title=Kexel Announces Run for US Senate|date=April 20, 2012|access-date=September 22, 2012|publisher=]|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160303231853/http://www.wispolitics.com/1006/120420_Kexel.pdf|archive-date=March 3, 2016|url-status=dead|df=mdy-all}}</ref> * Joseph Kexel (Libertarian), IT consultant<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.wispolitics.com/1006/120420_Kexel.pdf |title=Kexel Announces Run for US Senate |date=April 20, 2012 |access-date=September 22, 2012 |website=] |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160303231853/http://www.wispolitics.com/1006/120420_Kexel.pdf |archive-date=March 3, 2016 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all}}</ref>
* Nimrod Allen III (Independent), consultant and former ]<ref>{{cite web|url=http://wispolitics.com/1006/120720_Nimrod_Allen_bio___press_release_7_20.pdf|title=NIMROD ALLEN III INDEPENDENT CANDIDATE FOR U.S. SENATE|date=July 20, 2012|access-date=September 22, 2012|publisher=]|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160303173630/http://wispolitics.com/1006/120720_Nimrod_Allen_bio___press_release_7_20.pdf|archive-date=March 3, 2016|url-status=dead|df=mdy-all}}</ref> * Nimrod Allen III (independent), consultant and former ]<ref>{{cite web |url=http://wispolitics.com/1006/120720_Nimrod_Allen_bio___press_release_7_20.pdf |title=Nimrod Allen III Independent Candidate for U.S. Senate |date=July 20, 2012 |access-date=September 22, 2012 |website=] |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160303173630/http://wispolitics.com/1006/120720_Nimrod_Allen_bio___press_release_7_20.pdf |archive-date=March 3, 2016 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all}}</ref>


=== Debates === === Debates ===
Line 628: Line 642:
The third debate originated from Eckstein Hall on the campus of ] and was coordinated by ] in Milwaukee. It aired on that station and across the state's other ] affiliated stations. The third debate originated from Eckstein Hall on the campus of ] and was coordinated by ] in Milwaukee. It aired on that station and across the state's other ] affiliated stations.


;External links '''External links'''
* , September 28, 2012 - ] * , September 28, 2012 - ]
* , October 18, 2012 - ] * , October 18, 2012 - ]
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| $0 | $0
|- |-
| colspan=5 | Source: ]<ref>{{cite web | url=http://fec.gov/disclosurehs/HSState.do | title =2012 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Wisconsin | publisher =fec.gov | date =November 26, 2012 | access-date =December 19, 2012 }}</ref> | colspan=5 | Source: ]<ref>{{cite web |url=http://fec.gov/disclosurehs/HSState.do |title=2012 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Wisconsin |publisher=] |date=November 26, 2012 |access-date=December 19, 2012 }}</ref>


|} |}
Line 716: Line 730:
| $20,000 | $20,000
|- |-
| colspan=5 | Source: ]<ref>{{cite web | url=http://www.opensecrets.org/races/contrib.php?cycle=2012&id=WIS1&spec=N | title =Top Contributors 2012 Race: Wisconsin Senate | publisher=] | date =March 25, 2013}}</ref> | colspan=5 | Source: ]<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.opensecrets.org/races/contrib.php?cycle=2012&id=WIS1&spec=N |title=Top Contributors 2012 Race: Wisconsin Senate |website=] |date=March 25, 2013}}</ref>


|} |}
Line 778: Line 792:
| $138,700 | $138,700
|- |-
| colspan=5 | Source: ]<ref>{{cite web | url=http://www.opensecrets.org/races/indus.php?cycle=2012&id=WIS1&spec=N | title =Top Industries 2012 Race: Wisconsin Senate | publisher=] | date =March 25, 2013}}</ref> | colspan=5 | Source: ]<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.opensecrets.org/races/indus.php?cycle=2012&id=WIS1&spec=N |title=Top Industries 2012 Race: Wisconsin Senate |website=] |date=March 25, 2013}}</ref>


|} |}
Line 789: Line 803:
! As of ! As of
|- |-
| align=left | ]<ref>{{cite web | title=2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012 | url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings/139117 | website=The Cook Political Report | access-date=September 20, 2018}}</ref> | style="text-align:left" | ]<ref>{{cite web |title=2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012 |url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings/139117 |website=The Cook Political Report |access-date=September 20, 2018 |archive-date=August 29, 2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180829035855/https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings/139117 |url-status=dead }}</ref>
| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}}
| November 1, 2012 | November 1, 2012
|- |-
| align=left | ]<ref>{{cite web | title=2012 Senate | url=http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2012-senate/ | website=Sabato's Crystal Ball | access-date=September 20, 2018}}</ref> | style="text-align:left" | ]<ref>{{cite web |title=2012 Senate |url=http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2012-senate/ |website=Sabato's Crystal Ball |access-date=September 20, 2018}}</ref>
| {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}}
| November 5, 2012 | November 5, 2012
|- |-
| align=left | ]<ref>{{cite web | title=2012 Senate Ratings | url=http://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2012-senate-ratings-november-2-2012 | work=Senate Ratings | publisher=The Rothenberg Political Report | access-date=September 20, 2018}}</ref> | style="text-align:left" | ]<ref>{{cite web |title=2012 Senate Ratings |url=http://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2012-senate-ratings-november-2-2012 |work=Senate Ratings |publisher=The Rothenberg Political Report |access-date=September 20, 2018}}</ref>
| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}}
| November 2, 2012 | November 2, 2012
|- |-
| align=left | ]<ref>{{cite web | title=2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012 | url=https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/senate/2012_elections_senate_map.html| publisher=Real Clear Politics | access-date=September 20, 2018}}</ref> | style="text-align:left" | ]<ref>{{cite web |title=2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012 |url=https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/senate/2012_elections_senate_map.html |publisher=Real Clear Politics |access-date=September 20, 2018}}</ref>
| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}}
| November 5, 2012 | November 5, 2012
Line 808: Line 822:
=== Polling === === Polling ===
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" {| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
|- valign= bottom |- style="vertical-align:bottom"
! Poll source ! Poll source
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} ! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}}
Line 818: Line 832:
! Undecided ! Undecided
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceD"></ref>
| May 19–22, 2011 | May 19–22, 2011
| 1,636 | 1,636
Line 827: Line 841:
| 11% | 11%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceE"></ref>
| August 12–14, 2011 | August 12–14, 2011
| 830 | 830
Line 836: Line 850:
| 8% | 8%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceF"></ref>
| October 20–23, 2011 | October 20–23, 2011
| 1,170 | 1,170
Line 845: Line 859:
| 10% | 10%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="Rasmussen Reports"></ref>
| October 26, 2011 | October 26, 2011
| 500 | 500
Line 854: Line 868:
| 6% | 6%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceG"></ref>
| February 16–19, 2012 | February 16–19, 2012
| 716 | 716
Line 863: Line 877:
| 9% | 9%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceB"/>
| February 23–26, 2012 | February 23–26, 2012
| 900 | 900
Line 872: Line 886:
| 9% | 9%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="rasmussenreports.com"></ref>
| February 27, 2012 | February 27, 2012
| 500 | 500
Line 881: Line 895:
| 10% | 10%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceH"></ref>
| March 27, 2012 | March 27, 2012
| 500 | 500
Line 890: Line 904:
| 4% | 4%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="dailykos.com"></ref>
| April 13–15, 2012 | April 13–15, 2012
| 1,136 | 1,136
Line 899: Line 913:
| 8% | 8%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceI"></ref>
| May 9, 2012 | May 9, 2012
| 500 | 500
Line 908: Line 922:
| 7% | 7%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceJ"></ref>
| May 11–13, 2012 | May 11–13, 2012
| 851 | 851
Line 917: Line 931:
| 11% | 11%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref></ref>
| June 12, 2012 | June 12, 2012
| 500 | 500
Line 926: Line 940:
| 6% | 6%
|- |-
| style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="law.marquette.edu"/>
| align=left |
| June 13–16, 2012 | June 13–16, 2012
| 707 | 707
Line 935: Line 949:
| 10% | 10%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceA"/>
| July 5–8, 2012 | July 5–8, 2012
| 1,057 | 1,057
Line 944: Line 958:
| 11% | 11%
|- |-
| style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="Marquette University"/>
| align=left |
| July 5–8, 2012 | July 5–8, 2012
| 810 | 810
Line 953: Line 967:
| 14% | 14%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref></ref>
| July 25, 2012 | July 25, 2012
| 500 | 500
Line 962: Line 976:
| 6% | 6%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceK"></ref>
| August 2–5, 2012 | August 2–5, 2012
| 1,400 | 1,400
Line 971: Line 985:
| 5% | 5%
|- |-
| align=left | {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120913072521/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/presidential-swing-states-%28co-va-and-wi%29/release-detail?ReleaseID=1786 |date=September 13, 2012 }} | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="Quinnipiac"> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120913072521/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/presidential-swing-states-%28co-va-and-wi%29/release-detail?ReleaseID=1786 |date=September 13, 2012}}</ref>
| July 31 – August 6, 2012 | July 31 – August 6, 2012
| 1,428 | 1,428
Line 980: Line 994:
| 5% | 5%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref></ref>
| August 15, 2012 | August 15, 2012
| 500 | 500
Line 989: Line 1,003:
| 3% | 3%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref></ref>
| August 16–19, 2012 | August 16–19, 2012
| 1,308 | 1,308
Line 998: Line 1,012:
| 7% | 7%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref></ref>
| August 16–19, 2012 | August 16–19, 2012
| 576 | 576
Line 1,007: Line 1,021:
| 9% | 9%
|- |-
| align=left | {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120927101858/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/presidential-swing-states-%28fl-oh-and-pa%29/release-detail?ReleaseID=1789 |date=September 27, 2012 }} | style="text-align:left" |]/]/]<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120927101858/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/presidential-swing-states-%28fl-oh-and-pa%29/release-detail?ReleaseID=1789 |date=September 27, 2012}}</ref>
| August 15–21, 2012 | August 15–21, 2012
| 1,190 | 1,190
Line 1,016: Line 1,030:
| 4% | 4%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref></ref>
| September 4–11, 2012 | September 4–11, 2012
| 772 | 772
Line 1,025: Line 1,039:
| 10% | 10%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref></ref>
| September 12–13, 2012 | September 12–13, 2012
| 959 | 959
Line 1,034: Line 1,048:
| 6% | 6%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref></ref>
| September 13–16, 2012 | September 13–16, 2012
| 705 | 705
Line 1,043: Line 1,057:
| 5% | 5%
|- |-
| align=left | {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120927031655/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/presidential-swing-states-%28co-va-and-wi%29/release-detail?ReleaseID=1799 |date=September 27, 2012 }} | style="text-align:left" |]/]/]<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120927031655/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/presidential-swing-states-%28co-va-and-wi%29/release-detail?ReleaseID=1799 |date=September 27, 2012}}</ref>
| September 11–17, 2012 | September 11–17, 2012
| 1,485 | 1,485
Line 1,052: Line 1,066:
| 6% | 6%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]/]/]<ref></ref>
| September 16–18, 2012 | September 16–18, 2012
| 968 | 968
Line 1,061: Line 1,075:
| 5% | 5%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref></ref>
| September 18–19, 2012 | September 18–19, 2012
| 842 | 842
Line 1,070: Line 1,084:
| 6% | 6%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref></ref>
| September 20–23, 2012 | September 20–23, 2012
| 1,238 | 1,238
Line 1,079: Line 1,093:
| 8% | 8%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref></ref>
| September 27–30, 2012 | September 27–30, 2012
| 894 | 894
Line 1,088: Line 1,102:
| 6% | 6%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref></ref>
| October 4–6, 2012 | October 4–6, 2012
| 979 | 979
Line 1,097: Line 1,111:
| 6% | 6%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]/]/]<ref></ref>
| October 4–9, 2012 | October 4–9, 2012
| 1,327 | 1,327
Line 1,106: Line 1,120:
| 5% | 5%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref></ref>
| October 9, 2012 | October 9, 2012
| 500 | 500
Line 1,115: Line 1,129:
| 2% | 2%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref></ref>
| October 4–11, 2012 | October 4–11, 2012
| 639 | 639
Line 1,124: Line 1,138:
| 9% | 9%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref></ref>
| October 11–14, 2012 | October 11–14, 2012
| 870 | 870
Line 1,133: Line 1,147:
| 7% | 7%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]/]/]<ref></ref>
| October 15–17, 2012 | October 15–17, 2012
| 1,013 | 1,013
Line 1,142: Line 1,156:
| 5% | 5%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref></ref>
| October 15–17, 2012 | October 15–17, 2012
| 625 | 625
Line 1,151: Line 1,165:
| 8% | 8%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref></ref>
| October 18, 2012 | October 18, 2012
| 500 | 500
Line 1,160: Line 1,174:
| 3% | 3%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref>{{usurped|1=}}</ref>
| October 18–20, 2012 | October 18–20, 2012
| 502 | 502
Line 1,169: Line 1,183:
| 11% | 11%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceL"></ref>
| October 25, 2012 | October 25, 2012
| 500 | 500
Line 1,178: Line 1,192:
| 4% | 4%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref></ref>
| October 25–28, 2012 | October 25–28, 2012
| 1,243 | 1,243
Line 1,187: Line 1,201:
| 10% | 10%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref></ref>
| October 25–29, 2012 | October 25–29, 2012
| 402 | 402
Line 1,196: Line 1,210:
| 11% | 11%
|- |-
| style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceL"/>
| align=left |
| October 29, 2012 | October 29, 2012
| 750 | 750
Line 1,205: Line 1,219:
| 2% | 2%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]/]/]<ref></ref>
| October 31, 2012 | October 31, 2012
| 1,065 | 1,065
Line 1,214: Line 1,228:
| 1% | 1%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref></ref>
| October 31 – November 1, 2012 | October 31 – November 1, 2012
| 1,210 | 1,210
Line 1,223: Line 1,237:
| 5% | 5%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref></ref>
| October 31 – November 3, 2012 | October 31 – November 3, 2012
| 1,225 | 1,225
Line 1,232: Line 1,246:
| 5% | 5%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref>{{usurped|1=}}</ref>
| November 1–3, 2012 | November 1–3, 2012
| 482 | 482
Line 1,241: Line 1,255:
| — | —
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref></ref>
| November 2–3, 2012 | November 2–3, 2012
| 1,256 | 1,256
Line 1,255: Line 1,269:
{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}} {{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}
<!-- = = = don't edit the line above = = = --> <!-- = = = don't edit the line above = = = -->
;with Tammy Baldwin '''with Tammy Baldwin'''<br />
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" {| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
|- valign= bottom |- style="vertical-align:bottom"
! Poll source ! Poll source
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} ! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}}
Line 1,267: Line 1,281:
! Undecided ! Undecided
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceD"/>
| May 19–22, 2011 | May 19–22, 2011
| 1,636 | 1,636
Line 1,276: Line 1,290:
| 15% | 15%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceF"/>
| October 20–23, 2011 | October 20–23, 2011
| 1,170 | 1,170
Line 1,285: Line 1,299:
| 16% | 16%
|- |-
| style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="Rasmussen Reports"/>
| align=left |
| October 26, 2011 | October 26, 2011
| 500 | 500
Line 1,295: Line 1,309:
|- |-
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceG"/>
| February 16–19, 2012 | February 16–19, 2012
| 716 | 716
Line 1,304: Line 1,318:
| 15% | 15%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceB"/>
| February 23–26, 2012 | February 23–26, 2012
| 900 | 900
Line 1,313: Line 1,327:
| 14% | 14%
|- |-
| style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="rasmussenreports.com"/>
| align=left |
| February 27, 2012 | February 27, 2012
| 500 | 500
Line 1,322: Line 1,336:
| 15% | 15%
|- |-
| style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceH"/>
| align=left |
| March 27, 2012 | March 27, 2012
| 500 | 500
Line 1,331: Line 1,345:
| 7% | 7%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="dailykos.com"/>
| April 13–15, 2012 | April 13–15, 2012
| 1,136 | 1,136
Line 1,340: Line 1,354:
| 13% | 13%
|- |-
| style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceI"/>
| align=left |
| May 9, 2012 | May 9, 2012
| 500 | 500
Line 1,349: Line 1,363:
| 9% | 9%
|- |-
| style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceL"/>
| align=left |
| June 12, 2012 | June 12, 2012
| 500 | 500
Line 1,358: Line 1,372:
| 8% | 8%
|- |-
| style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="law.marquette.edu"/>
| align=left |
| June 13–16, 2012 | June 13–16, 2012
| 707 | 707
Line 1,367: Line 1,381:
| 16% | 16%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceA"/>
| July 5–8, 2012 | July 5–8, 2012
| 1,057 | 1,057
Line 1,376: Line 1,390:
| 13% | 13%
|- |-
| style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="Marquette University"/>
| align=left |
| July 5–8, 2012 | July 5–8, 2012
| 810 | 810
Line 1,385: Line 1,399:
| 20% | 20%
|- |-
| style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceL"/>
| align=left |
| July 25, 2012 | July 25, 2012
| 500 | 500
Line 1,394: Line 1,408:
| 10% | 10%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceK"/>
| August 2–5, 2012 | August 2–5, 2012
| 1,400 | 1,400
Line 1,403: Line 1,417:
| 7% | 7%
|- |-
| style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="Quinnipiac"/>
| align=left | {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120913072521/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/presidential-swing-states-%28co-va-and-wi%29/release-detail?ReleaseID=1786 |date=September 13, 2012 }}
| July 31 – August 6, 2012 | July 31 – August 6, 2012
| 1,428 | 1,428
Line 1,415: Line 1,429:


{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" {| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
|- valign= bottom |- style="vertical-align:bottom"
! Poll source ! Poll source
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} ! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}}
Line 1,425: Line 1,439:
! Undecided ! Undecided
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceJ"/>
| May 11–13, 2012 | May 11–13, 2012
| 851 | 851
Line 1,434: Line 1,448:
| 14% | 14%
|- |-
| style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceL"/>
| align=left |
| June 12, 2012 | June 12, 2012
| 500 | 500
Line 1,443: Line 1,457:
| 10% | 10%
|- |-
| style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="law.marquette.edu"/>
| align=left |
| June 13–16, 2012 | June 13–16, 2012
| 707 | 707
Line 1,452: Line 1,466:
| 19% | 19%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceA"/>
| July 5–8, 2012 | July 5–8, 2012
| 1,057 | 1,057
Line 1,461: Line 1,475:
| 11% | 11%
|- |-
| style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="Marquette University"/>
| align=left |
| July 5–8, 2012 | July 5–8, 2012
| 810 | 810
Line 1,470: Line 1,484:
| 18% | 18%
|- |-
| style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceL"/>
| align=left |
| July 25, 2012 | July 25, 2012
| 500 | 500
Line 1,479: Line 1,493:
| 8% | 8%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceK"/>
| August 2–5, 2012 | August 2–5, 2012
| 1,400 | 1,400
Line 1,488: Line 1,502:
| 9% | 9%
|- |-
| style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="Quinnipiac"/>
| align=left | {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120913072521/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/presidential-swing-states-%28co-va-and-wi%29/release-detail?ReleaseID=1786 |date=September 13, 2012 }}
| July 31 – August 6, 2012 | July 31 – August 6, 2012
| 1,428 | 1,428
Line 1,500: Line 1,514:


{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" {| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
|- valign= bottom |- style="vertical-align:bottom"
! Poll source ! Poll source
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} ! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}}
Line 1,510: Line 1,524:
! Undecided ! Undecided
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceD"/>
| May 19–22, 2011 | May 19–22, 2011
| 1,636 | 1,636
Line 1,519: Line 1,533:
| 13% | 13%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceE"/>
| August 12–14, 2011 | August 12–14, 2011
| 830 | 830
Line 1,528: Line 1,542:
| 15% | 15%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceF"/>
| October 20–23, 2011 | October 20–23, 2011
| 1,170 | 1,170
Line 1,537: Line 1,551:
| 13% | 13%
|- |-
| style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="Rasmussen Reports"/>
| align=left |
| October 26, 2011 | October 26, 2011
| 500 | 500
Line 1,546: Line 1,560:
| 9% | 9%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceG"/>
| February 16–19, 2012 | February 16–19, 2012
| 716 | 716
Line 1,556: Line 1,570:
|- |-
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceB"/>
| February 23–26, 2012 | February 23–26, 2012
| 900 | 900
Line 1,565: Line 1,579:
| 12% | 12%
|- |-
| style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="rasmussenreports.com"/>
| align=left |
| February 27, 2012 | February 27, 2012
| 500 | 500
Line 1,574: Line 1,588:
| 13% | 13%
|- |-
| style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceH"/>
| align=left |
| March 27, 2012 | March 27, 2012
| 500 | 500
Line 1,583: Line 1,597:
| 8% | 8%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="dailykos.com"/>
| April 13–15, 2012 | April 13–15, 2012
| 1,136 | 1,136
Line 1,592: Line 1,606:
| 9% | 9%
|- |-
| style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceI"/>
| align=left |
| May 9, 2012 | May 9, 2012
| 500 | 500
Line 1,601: Line 1,615:
| 9% | 9%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceJ"/>
| May 11–13, 2012 | May 11–13, 2012
| 851 | 851
Line 1,610: Line 1,624:
| 12% | 12%
|- |-
| style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceL"/>
| align=left |
| June 12, 2012 | June 12, 2012
| 500 | 500
Line 1,619: Line 1,633:
| 7% | 7%
|- |-
| style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="law.marquette.edu"/>
| align=left |
| June 13–16, 2012 | June 13–16, 2012
| 707 | 707
Line 1,628: Line 1,642:
| 12% | 12%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceA"/>
| July 5–8, 2012 | July 5–8, 2012
| 1,057 | 1,057
Line 1,637: Line 1,651:
| 13% | 13%
|- |-
| style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="Marquette University"/>
| align=left |
| July 5–8, 2012 | July 5–8, 2012
| 810 | 810
Line 1,646: Line 1,660:
| 17% | 17%
|- |-
| style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceL"/>
| align=left |
| July 25, 2012 | July 25, 2012
| 500 | 500
Line 1,655: Line 1,669:
| 8% | 8%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceK"/>
| August 2–5, 2012 | August 2–5, 2012
| 1,400 | 1,400
Line 1,664: Line 1,678:
| 6% | 6%
|- |-
| style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="Quinnipiac"/>
| align=left | {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120913072521/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/presidential-swing-states-%28co-va-and-wi%29/release-detail?ReleaseID=1786 |date=September 13, 2012 }}
| July 31 – August 6, 2012 | July 31 – August 6, 2012
| 1,428 | 1,428
Line 1,675: Line 1,689:


{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" {| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
|- valign= bottom |- style="vertical-align:bottom"
! Poll source ! Poll source
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} ! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}}
Line 1,685: Line 1,699:
! Undecided ! Undecided
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceD"/>
| May 19–22, 2011 | May 19–22, 2011
| 1,636 | 1,636
Line 1,696: Line 1,710:
|} |}


;with Russ Feingold '''with Russ Feingold'''<br />
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" {| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
|- valign= bottom |- style="vertical-align:bottom"
! Poll source ! Poll source
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} ! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}}
Line 1,708: Line 1,722:
! Undecided ! Undecided
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceD"/>
| May 19–22, 2011 | May 19–22, 2011
| 1,636 | 1,636
Line 1,719: Line 1,733:


{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" {| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
|- valign= bottom |- style="vertical-align:bottom"
! Poll source ! Poll source
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} ! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}}
Line 1,729: Line 1,743:
! Undecided ! Undecided
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceE"/>
| August 12–14, 2011 | August 12–14, 2011
| 830 | 830
Line 1,738: Line 1,752:
| 5% | 5%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceD"/>
| May 19–22, 2011 | May 19–22, 2011
| 1,636 | 1,636
Line 1,747: Line 1,761:
| 6% | 6%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceM"></ref>
| February 24–27, 2011 | February 24–27, 2011
| 768 | 768
Line 1,758: Line 1,772:


{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" {| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
|- valign= bottom |- style="vertical-align:bottom"
! Poll source ! Poll source
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} ! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}}
Line 1,768: Line 1,782:
! Undecided ! Undecided
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceN"></ref>
| December 10–12, 2010 | December 10–12, 2010
| 702 | 702
Line 1,777: Line 1,791:
| 7% | 7%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceM"/>
| February 24–27, 2011 | February 24–27, 2011
| 768 | 768
Line 1,788: Line 1,802:


{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" {| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
|- valign= bottom |- style="vertical-align:bottom"
! Poll source ! Poll source
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} ! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}}
Line 1,798: Line 1,812:
! Undecided ! Undecided
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceN"/>
| December 10–12, 2010 | December 10–12, 2010
| 702 | 702
Line 1,807: Line 1,821:
| 11% | 11%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceD"/>
| May 19–22, 2011 | May 19–22, 2011
| 1,636 | 1,636
Line 1,816: Line 1,830:
| 6% | 6%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceE"/>
| August 12–14, 2011 | August 12–14, 2011
| 830 | 830
Line 1,827: Line 1,841:


{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" {| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
|- valign= bottom |- style="vertical-align:bottom"
! Poll source ! Poll source
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} ! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}}
Line 1,837: Line 1,851:
! Undecided ! Undecided
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceN"/>
| December 10–12, 2010 | December 10–12, 2010
| 702 | 702
Line 1,846: Line 1,860:
| 7% | 7%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceM"/>
| February 24–27, 2011 | February 24–27, 2011
| 768 | 768
Line 1,855: Line 1,869:
| 10% | 10%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceD"/>
| May 19–22, 2011 | May 19–22, 2011
| 1,636 | 1,636
Line 1,865: Line 1,879:
|} |}


;with Steve Kagen '''with Steve Kagen'''<br />
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" {| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
|- valign= bottom |- style="vertical-align:bottom"
! Poll source ! Poll source
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} ! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}}
Line 1,877: Line 1,891:
! Undecided ! Undecided
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceD"/>
| May 19–22, 2011 | May 19–22, 2011
| 1,636 | 1,636
Line 1,888: Line 1,902:


{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" {| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
|- valign= bottom |- style="vertical-align:bottom"
! Poll source ! Poll source
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} ! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}}
Line 1,898: Line 1,912:
! Undecided ! Undecided
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceD"/>
| May 19–22, 2011 | May 19–22, 2011
| 1,636 | 1,636
Line 1,907: Line 1,921:
| 17% | 17%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceE"/>
| August 12–14, 2011 | August 12–14, 2011
| 830 | 830
Line 1,918: Line 1,932:


{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" {| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
|- valign= bottom |- style="vertical-align:bottom"
! Poll source ! Poll source
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} ! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}}
Line 1,928: Line 1,942:
! Undecided ! Undecided
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceD"/>
| May 19–22, 2011 | May 19–22, 2011
| 1,636 | 1,636
Line 1,937: Line 1,951:
| 13% | 13%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceE"/>
| August 12–14, 2011 | August 12–14, 2011
| 830 | 830
Line 1,948: Line 1,962:


{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" {| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
|- valign= bottom |- style="vertical-align:bottom"
! Poll source ! Poll source
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} ! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}}
Line 1,958: Line 1,972:
! Undecided ! Undecided
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceD"/>
| May 19–22, 2011 | May 19–22, 2011
| 1,636 | 1,636
Line 1,968: Line 1,982:
|} |}


;with Ron Kind '''with Ron Kind'''<br />
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" {| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
|- valign= bottom |- style="vertical-align:bottom"
! Poll source ! Poll source
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} ! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}}
Line 1,980: Line 1,994:
! Undecided ! Undecided
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceD"/>
| May 19–22, 2011 | May 19–22, 2011
| 1,636 | 1,636
Line 1,991: Line 2,005:


{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" {| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
|- valign= bottom |- style="vertical-align:bottom"
! Poll source ! Poll source
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} ! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}}
Line 2,001: Line 2,015:
! Undecided ! Undecided
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceD"/>
| May 19–22, 2011 | May 19–22, 2011
| 1,636 | 1,636
Line 2,010: Line 2,024:
| 16% | 16%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceE"/>
| August 12–14, 2011 | August 12–14, 2011
| 830 | 830
Line 2,021: Line 2,035:


{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" {| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
|- valign= bottom |- style="vertical-align:bottom"
! Poll source ! Poll source
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} ! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}}
Line 2,031: Line 2,045:
! Undecided ! Undecided
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceD"/>
| May 19–22, 2011 | May 19–22, 2011
| 1,636 | 1,636
Line 2,040: Line 2,054:
| 12% | 12%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceE"/>
| August 12–14, 2011 | August 12–14, 2011
| 830 | 830
Line 2,051: Line 2,065:


{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" {| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
|- valign= bottom |- style="vertical-align:bottom"
! Poll source ! Poll source
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} ! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}}
Line 2,061: Line 2,075:
! Undecided ! Undecided
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceD"/>
| May 19–22, 2011 | May 19–22, 2011
| 1,636 | 1,636
Line 2,071: Line 2,085:
|} |}


;with Herb Kohl '''with Herb Kohl'''<br />
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" {| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
|- valign= bottom |- style="vertical-align:bottom"
! Poll source ! Poll source
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} ! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}}
Line 2,083: Line 2,097:
! Undecided ! Undecided
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceM"/>
| February 24–27, 2011 | February 24–27, 2011
| 768 | 768
Line 2,094: Line 2,108:


{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" {| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
|- valign= bottom |- style="vertical-align:bottom"
! Poll source ! Poll source
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} ! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}}
Line 2,104: Line 2,118:
! Undecided ! Undecided
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceN"/>
| December 10–12, 2010 | December 10–12, 2010
| 702 | 702
Line 2,113: Line 2,127:
| 11% | 11%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceM"/>
| February 24–27, 2011 | February 24–27, 2011
| 768 | 768
Line 2,124: Line 2,138:


{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" {| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
|- valign= bottom |- style="vertical-align:bottom"
! Poll source ! Poll source
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} ! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}}
Line 2,134: Line 2,148:
! Undecided ! Undecided
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceN"/>
| December 10–12, 2010 | December 10–12, 2010
| 702 | 702
Line 2,145: Line 2,159:


{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" {| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
|- valign= bottom |- style="vertical-align:bottom"
! Poll source ! Poll source
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} ! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}}
Line 2,155: Line 2,169:
! Undecided ! Undecided
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceN"/>
| December 10–12, 2010 | December 10–12, 2010
| 702 | 702
Line 2,164: Line 2,178:
| 11% | 11%
|- |-
| align=left | | style="text-align:left" |]<ref name="ReferenceM"/>
| February 24–27, 2011 | February 24–27, 2011
| 768 | 768
Line 2,176: Line 2,190:


===Results=== ===Results===
{{Election box begin | title=United States Senate election in Wisconsin, 2012<ref> G.A.B. Canvass Reporting System {{webarchive|date=October 14, 2016 {{Election box begin | title=United States Senate election in Wisconsin, 2012<ref>{{cite web |url=https://elections.wi.gov/sites/default/files/Amended%20Percentage%20Results-11.6.12%20President.pdf |title=Canvass Results for 2012 Presidential and General Election - 11/6/2012 |publisher=G.A.B. Canvass Reporting System |archive-date=October 14, 2016 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20161014235045/https://elections.wi.gov/sites/default/files/Amended%20Percentage%20Results-11.6.12%20President.pdf |url-status=dead}}</ref>}}
|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20161014235045/https://elections.wi.gov/sites/default/files/Amended%20Percentage%20Results-11.6.12%20President.pdf}}</ref>}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link {{Election box winning candidate with party link
| party = Democratic Party (United States) | party = Democratic Party (United States)
Line 2,185: Line 2,198:
| change = -15.90% | change = -15.90%
}} }}
{{Election box candidate with party link {{Election box candidate with party link|party=Republican Party (United States)|candidate=]|votes=1,380,126|percentage=45.86%|change=+16.38%}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Libertarian Party (United States)|candidate=Joseph Kexel|votes=62,240|percentage=2.07%|change=N/A}}
| party = Republican Party (United States)
{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Independent (United States)|candidate=Nimrod Allen, III|votes=16,455|percentage=0.55%|change=N/A}}
| candidate = ]
| votes = 1,380,126
| percentage = 45.86%
| change = +16.38%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link
| party = Independent (United States)
| candidate = Joseph Kexel
| votes = 62,240
| percentage = 2.07%
| change = N/A
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link
| party = Independent (United States)
| candidate = Nimrod Allen, III
| votes = 16,455
| percentage = 0.55%
| change = N/A
}}
{{Election box write-in with party link {{Election box write-in with party link
| votes = 3,486 | votes = 3,486
Line 2,221: Line 2,216:
{{Election box end}} {{Election box end}}


====Counties that flipped Democratic to Republican====
===By congressional districts===
* ] (largest city: ])
Despite losing the state, Thompson won 5 of 8 congressional districts.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2013/07/09/1220127/-Daily-Kos-Elections-2012-election-results-by-congressional-and-legislative-districts|title=Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts|website=Daily Kos|access-date=11 August 2020}}</ref>
* ] (largest city: ])
* ] (largest village: ])
* ] (largest city: ])
* ] (largest city: ])
* ] (largest city: ])
* ] (largest city: ])
* ] (largest city: ])
* ] (largest city: ])
* ] (largest city: ])
* ] (largest city: ])
* ] (largest city: ])
* ] (largest city: ])
* ] (largest city: ])
* ] (largest city: ])
* ] (largest city: ])
* ] (largest city: ])
* ] (largest city: ])
* ] (largest city: ])
* ] (largest city: ])
* ] (largest city: ])
*] (largest city: ])
*] (largest city: ])
*] (Largest city: ])
*] (Largest city: ])
*] (Largest city: ])
*] (Largest city: ])
*] (Largest city: ])
*] (Largest city: ])
*] (Largest city: ])
*] (Largest city: ])
*] (Largest city: ])
*] (Largest city: ])
*] (Largest city: ])
*] (Largest city: ])
*] (Largest city: ])

====By congressional district====
Despite losing the state, Thompson won 5 of 8 congressional districts.<ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2013/07/09/1220127/-Daily-Kos-Elections-2012-election-results-by-congressional-and-legislative-districts |title=Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts |website=Daily Kos |access-date=11 August 2020}}</ref>


{|class=wikitable {|class=wikitable
Line 2,230: Line 2,263:
! Baldwin ! Baldwin
! Representative ! Representative
|- align=center |- style="text-align:center"
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Wisconsin|1|1st}} ! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Wisconsin|1|1st}}
| '''50.61%''' | '''50.61%'''
| 46.56% | 46.56%
| {{party shading/Republican}}|] | {{party shading/Republican}}|]
|- align=center |- style="text-align:center"
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Wisconsin|2|2nd}} ! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Wisconsin|2|2nd}}
| 32.28% | 32.28%
| '''65.82%''' | '''65.82%'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|] | {{party shading/Democratic}}|]
|- align=center |- style="text-align:center"
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Wisconsin|3|3rd}} ! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Wisconsin|3|3rd}}
| 44.31% | 44.31%
| '''52.77%''' | '''52.77%'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|] | {{party shading/Democratic}}|]
|- align=center |- style="text-align:center"
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Wisconsin|4|4th}} ! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Wisconsin|4|4th}}
| 25.15% | 25.15%
| '''72.93%''' | '''72.93%'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|] | {{party shading/Democratic}}|]
|- align=center |- style="text-align:center"
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Wisconsin|5|5th}} ! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Wisconsin|5|5th}}
| '''61.06%''' | '''61.06%'''
| 36.68% | 36.68%
| {{party shading/Republican}}|] | {{party shading/Republican}}|]
|- align=center |- style="text-align:center"
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Wisconsin|6|6th}} ! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Wisconsin|6|6th}}
| '''52.93%''' | '''52.93%'''
| 44.05% | 44.05%
| {{party shading/Republican}}|] | {{party shading/Republican}}|]
|- align=center |- style="text-align:center"
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Wisconsin|7|7th}} ! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Wisconsin|7|7th}}
| '''48.93%''' | '''48.93%'''
| 48.06% | 48.06%
| {{party shading/Republican}}|] | {{party shading/Republican}}|]
|- align=center |- style="text-align:center"
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Wisconsin|8|8th}} ! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Wisconsin|8|8th}}
| '''50.21%''' | '''50.21%'''
Line 2,273: Line 2,306:


==Aftermath== ==Aftermath==
Brian Schimming, the vice chairman of the ], partly blamed Thompson's defeat on the fact that he had to face a competitive primary whereas Baldwin was unopposed for the Democratic nomination: " blew all his money going through the primary. So when he gets through the primary, it was like three weeks before he was up on the air. piled on immediately." He claimed "If hadn't had as ugly a primary, we could have won that seat."<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.nationaljournal.com/magazine/can-republicans-avoid-the-next-todd-akin-20130926|title=Can Republicans Avoid the Next Todd Akin?|work=National Journal|author=Alex Roarty|date=September 26, 2013|access-date=September 30, 2013}}</ref> Brian Schimming, the vice chairman of the ], partly blamed Thompson's defeat on the fact that he had to face a competitive primary whereas Baldwin was unopposed for the Democratic nomination: " blew all his money going through the primary. So when he gets through the primary, it was like three weeks before he was up on the air. piled on immediately." He claimed "If hadn't had as ugly a primary, we could have won that seat."<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.nationaljournal.com/magazine/can-republicans-avoid-the-next-todd-akin-20130926 |title=Can Republicans Avoid the Next Todd Akin? |work=National Journal |author=Alex Roarty |date=September 26, 2013 |access-date=September 30, 2013}}</ref>


==See also== ==See also==
Line 2,284: Line 2,317:


==External links== ==External links==
* {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20121107175743/http://gab.wi.gov/elections-voting |date=November 7, 2012 }} at the Wisconsin Government Accountability Board * {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20121107175743/http://gab.wi.gov/elections-voting |date=November 7, 2012}} at the Wisconsin Government Accountability Board
* at ] * at ]
* at ] * at ]
* at ] * at ]


;Official candidate sites (Archived) '''Official candidate sites (Archived)'''
* *
* *

Latest revision as of 10:30, 26 December 2024

2012 United States Senate election in Wisconsin
← 2006 November 6, 2012 2018 →
Turnout72.5% (voting eligible)
 
Nominee Tammy Baldwin Tommy Thompson
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,547,104 1,380,126
Percentage 51.41% 45.86%
County resultsCongressional district results Precinct resultsBaldwin:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Thompson:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
     Tie      No data
U.S. senator before election

Herb Kohl
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Tammy Baldwin
Democratic

Elections in Wisconsin
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The 2012 United States Senate election in Wisconsin took place on November 6, 2012, alongside a U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic Senator Herb Kohl retired instead of running for re-election to a fifth term. This was the first open Senate seat in Wisconsin since 1988, when Kohl won his first term.

Primary elections were held on August 14, 2012. Congresswoman Tammy Baldwin of Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district ran unopposed in the Democratic primary. The Republican nominee was former Wisconsin Governor and U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services Tommy Thompson, who won with a plurality in a four-way primary race. In the general election, Baldwin defeated Thompson and won the open seat. She became the first woman elected to represent Wisconsin in the Senate and the first openly gay U.S. senator in history. This is also the only time Thompson lost a statewide race.

Background

Incumbent Democratic senator Herb Kohl was re-elected to a fourth term in 2006, beating Republican attorney Robert Lorge by 67% to 30%. Kohl's lack of fundraising suggested his potential retirement. There was speculation that Kohl might decide to retire to allow Russ Feingold, who lost his re-election bid in 2010, to run again, although Mike Tate, chairman of the Wisconsin Democratic Party, dismissed speculation about Kohl's potential retirement. Ultimately, Kohl announced in May 2011 that he would not run for re-election in 2012.

Democratic primary

Despite speculation that Kohl would retire to make way for his former Senate colleague Russ Feingold, who had been unseated in 2010, Feingold chose not to enter the race. Other potential candidates also declined to run, leaving Baldwin unopposed in the Democratic primary.

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Tammy
Baldwin 		Jon
Erpenbach 		Russ
Feingold 		Kathleen
Falk 		Steve
Kagen 		Ron
Kind 		Barbara
Lawton 		Gwen
Moore 		Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 19–22, 2011 783 ±3.5% 12% 5% 70% 1% 3% 4% 1% 2% 3%
30% 13% — 4% 17% 16% 3% 6% 12%
Magellan Strategies July 12–13, 2011 627 ±3.9% 46% — — — 21% — — — 33%
41% — — — — 19% — — 40%
Public Policy Polling August 12–14, 2011 387 ±5% 48% — — — 19% — — — 33%
37% — — — 15% 21% — — 27%

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tammy Baldwin 185,265 99.77
Democratic Write ins 424 0.23
Total votes 185,689 100

Republican primary

Congressman and House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan stated he would not run if Kohl sought reelection, but would contemplate a run if Kohl retired. Ryan later stated that he was "95 percent sure" that he would not run. He was later chosen as the Republican nominee for vice president by presidential nominee Mitt Romney.

Six candidates declared for the seat, although two later withdrew. The contest turned out to be a four-way fight. Although a large majority of Republican primary voters consistently expressed a preference for a nominee "more conservative" than Tommy Thompson, Eric Hovde and Mark Neumann split the conservative vote, allowing Thompson to narrowly prevail with a plurality of the vote.

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

  • Frank Lasee, state senator (endorsed Eric Hovde)
  • Kip Smith, physical therapist

Declined

Polling

Poll source Date(s) administered Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Jeff
Fitzgerald 		Eric
Hovde 		Mark
Neumann 		Tommy
Thompson 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling August 8–9, 2012 557 ± 4.2% 15% 27% 24% 25% 9%
Marquette University August 2–5, 2012 519 ± 4.4% 13% 20% 18% 28% 7%
We Ask America July 31, 2012 1,237 ± 2.8% 12% 23% 17% 23% 25%
Public Policy Polling July 30–31, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 13% 28% 25% 25% 9%
— 33% 27% 30% 10%
Marquette University July 5–8, 2012 432 ± 4.8% 6% 23% 10% 35% 25%
Public Policy Polling July 5–8, 2012 564 ± 4.1% 9% 31% 15% 29% 16%
OnMessage Inc. June 26–27, 2012 600 ± 4.0% 7% 29% 16% 34% 14%
Marquette University June 13–16, 2012 344 ± 5.4% 10% 14% 16% 34% 25%
Public Policy Polling March 31–April 1, 2012 609 ± 4.0% 18% — 25% 38% 19%
Public Policy Polling February 23–26, 2012 556 ± 4.2% 22% — 22% 39% 17%
32% — 42% — 26%
37% — — 46% 17%
— — 36% 46% 18%
Public Policy Polling October 20–23, 2011 650 ± 3.8% 21% — 29% 35% 11%
— — 39% 43% 17%
28% — 44% — 28%
35% — — 47% 17%
Public Policy Polling August 12–14, 2011 362 ± 5.2% — — 39% 47% 13%
Magellan Strategies July 12–13, 2011 638 ± 3.9% 15% — 26% 41% 18%
— — 36% 44% 20%
  • Commissioned by Eric Hovde
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Tommy
Thompson 		Someone more
conservative 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 30–31, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 29% 58% 13%
Public Policy Polling July 5–8, 2012 564 ± 4.1% 34% 50% 17%
Public Policy Polling February 23–26, 2012 556 ± 4.2% 37% 47% 17%
Public Policy Polling October 20–23, 2011 650 ± 3.8% 35% 51% 14%

Endorsements

Jeff Fitzgerald
  • Scott Suder, Wisconsin Assembly Majority Leader (Abbotsford)
  • Robin Vos, Wisconsin Assembly Finance Chair (Rochester)
  • Joan Ballweg, Wisconsin Assembly Caucus Chair (Markesan)
  • Mary Williams, Wisconsin Assembly Caucus Secretary (Medford)
  • Samantha Kerkman, Wisconsin Assembly Caucus Sergeant at Arms (Randall)
  • Bill Kramer, Wisconsin Assembly Speaker Pro-Temp (Waukesha)
  • Dan Knodl, Wisconsin Assembly Assistant Assembly Majority Leader (Germantown)
  • Joel Kleefisch, Wisconsin State Representative (Oconomowoc)
  • Don Pridemore, Wisconsin State Representative (Hartford)
  • Paul Farrow, Wisconsin State Representative (Pewaukee)
  • Dale Kooyenga, Wisconsin State Representative (Brookfield)
  • Mike Kuglitsch, Wisconsin State Representative (New Berlin)
  • Jim Ott, Wisconsin State Representative (Brown Deer)
Eric Hovde Mark Neumann Tommy Thompson

Politicians

Celebrities and political commentators

Cabinet officials

  • Donald Rumsfeld, former Secretary of Defense from 1975 to 1977 and 2001 to 2006, former White House chief of staff, and former ambassador
  • Donald L. Nelson, former deputy assistant Secretary of Defense
  • Ray Boland, colonel and former Veterans Affairs Secretary

State legislators

Political organization officials

  • David Keene, president of the National Rifle Association of America and former chairman of the American Conservative Union
  • Former Republican Party of Wisconsin Chairman Rick Graber
  • Wisconsin Club for Growth founders Terry and Mary Kohler
  • Former Wisconsin Federation of Republican Women President Sue Lynch
  • Former Wisconsin Federation of Republican Women President Ginny Marschman
  • Republican National Convention co-chairman Mary Buestrin

Law enforcement officials

  • Waukesha County Sheriff Daniel Trawicki
  • Waukesha County District Attorney Brad Schimel

Organizations

  • Wisconsin Right to Life
  • Dairy Business Association
  • Wisconsin Corn Growers Association
  • Wisconsin Farm Bureau Federation
  • Milwaukee Police Association
  • Milwaukee Police Supervisors Organization
  • Milwaukee Professional Firefighters Association
  • Wisconsin Grocers Association
  • Wisconsin Restaurant Association
  • Chiropractic Society of Wisconsin
  • Wisconsin Health Care Association
  • Wisconsin Mortgage Bankers Association
  • GOProud

Results

Results by county   Thompson
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Hovde
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Neumann
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tommy Thompson 197,928 34.0
Republican Eric Hovde 179,557 30.8
Republican Mark Neumann 132,786 22.8
Republican Jeff Fitzgerald 71,871 12.3
Republican Write ins 244 0.04
Total votes 582,630 100

General election

Thompson and Baldwin with WISN-TV's Mike Gousha at the October 26 debate.

Candidates

Debates

Baldwin and Thompson agreed to three debates: September 28, October 18 and 26, all broadcast statewide, and nationwide through C-SPAN.

The first debate originated from the studios of Milwaukee Public Television and was coordinated by the Wisconsin Broadcasters Association. It aired on MPTV, Wisconsin Public Television, Wisconsin Public Radio and several commercial stations throughout the state.

The second debate originated from the Theater for Civic Engagement on the campus of the University of Wisconsin–Marathon County in Wausau and was coordinated by WPT/WPR, the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel and Milwaukee's WTMJ-TV. Again it was carried on MPTV, WPT/WPR, and several commercial stations, including WTMJ-TV.

The third debate originated from Eckstein Hall on the campus of Marquette University Law School and was coordinated by WISN-TV in Milwaukee. It aired on that station and across the state's other ABC affiliated stations.

External links

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Tammy Baldwin (D) $14,643,869 $15,204,940 $143,852 $0
Tommy Thompson (R) $9,585,823 $9,582,888 $2,934 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission

Top contributors

Tammy Baldwin Contribution Tommy Thompson Contribution
EMILY's List $431,843 Michael Best & Friedrich LLP $36,825
MoveOn.org $171,467 ABC Supply $28,500
University of Wisconsin $117,600 Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld $28,250
J Street PAC $113,758 Direct Supply $27,500
League of Conservation Voters $95,308 Wisconsin Energy Corporation $25,750
Democracy Engine $81,330 American Foods Group $25,000
Council for a Livable World $54,130 Gilead Sciences $23,000
Voices for Progress $25,749 Centene Corporation $20,750
Marshfield Clinic $21,800 BGR Group $20,500
Microsoft Corporation $18,564 C. R. Bard, Inc. $20,000
Source: OpenSecrets

Top industries

Tammy Baldwin Contribution Tommy Thompson Contribution
Women's Issues $915,482 Retired $858,276
Retired $791,756 Leadership PACs $244,804
Lawyers/Law Firms $597,674 Financial Institutions $243,636
Democratic/Liberal $555,792 Lawyers/Law Firms $228,379
Leadership PACs $309,430 Real Estate $227,687
Universities $298,298 Pharmaceuticals/Health Products $204,302
Human Rights Organisations $215,539 Insurance Industry $202,654
Health Professionals $202,654 Manufacturing & Distributing $169,104
Pro-Israel $172,380 Health Professionals $150,149
Business Services $163,238 Lobbyists $138,700
Source: OpenSecrets

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Tossup November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball Lean D November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report Tossup November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics Tossup November 5, 2012

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Tammy
Baldwin (D) 		Tommy
Thompson (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 19–22, 2011 1,636 ±2.4% 44% 45% — 11%
Public Policy Polling August 12–14, 2011 830 ±3.4% 42% 50% — 8%
Public Policy Polling October 20–23, 2011 1,170 ±2.9% 44% 46% — 10%
Rasmussen Reports October 26, 2011 500 ±4.5% 42% 49% 4% 6%
Marquette University February 16–19, 2012 716 ±3.7% 42% 48% 1% 9%
Public Policy Polling February 23–26, 2012 900 ±3.3% 46% 45% — 9%
Rasmussen Reports February 27, 2012 500 ±4.5% 36% 50% 4% 10%
Rasmussen Reports March 27, 2012 500 ±4.5% 44% 48% 4% 4%
Public Policy Polling April 13–15, 2012 1,136 ±2.9% 45% 47% — 8%
Rasmussen Reports May 9, 2012 500 ±4.5% 38% 50% 5% 7%
Public Policy Polling May 11–13, 2012 851 ±3.4% 42% 47% — 11%
Rasmussen Reports June 12, 2012 500 ±4.5% 36% 52% 6% 6%
Marquette University June 13–16, 2012 707 ±3.8% 41% 49% — 10%
Public Policy Polling July 5–8, 2012 1,057 ±3.0% 45% 45% — 11%
Marquette University July 5–8, 2012 810 ±3.5% 41% 45% — 14%
Rasmussen Reports July 25, 2012 500 ±4.5% 48% 41% 5% 6%
Marquette University August 2–5, 2012 1,400 ±2.6% 43% 48% — 5%
Quinnipiac July 31 – August 6, 2012 1,428 ±2.6% 47% 47% 1% 5%
Rasmussen Reports August 15, 2012 500 ±4.5% 43% 54% 1% 3%
Public Policy Polling August 16–19, 2012 1,308 ±2.7% 44% 49% — 7%
Marquette University August 16–19, 2012 576 ±4.2% 41% 50% — 9%
CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac August 15–21, 2012 1,190 ±3.0% 44% 50% 1% 4%
YouGov September 4–11, 2012 772 ±n/a 42% 48% — 10%
Public Policy Polling September 12–13, 2012 959 ±n/a 48% 45% — 6%
Marquette University September 13–16, 2012 705 ±3.8% 50% 41% — 5%
CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac September 11–17, 2012 1,485 ±2.5% 47% 47% — 6%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll September 16–18, 2012 968 ±3.2% 48% 46% — 5%
Public Policy Polling September 18–19, 2012 842 ±3.4% 49% 45% — 6%
We Ask America September 20–23, 2012 1,238 ±2.8% 52% 40% — 8%
Marquette University September 27–30, 2012 894 ±3.3% 48% 44% — 6%
Public Policy Polling October 4–6, 2012 979 ±3.1% 49% 46% — 6%
CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac October 4–9, 2012 1,327 ±2.7% 48% 46% — 5%
Rasmussen Reports October 9, 2012 500 ±4.5% 51% 47% 1% 2%
YouGov October 4–11, 2012 639 ±4.9% 48% 43% — 9%
Marquette University October 11–14, 2012 870 ±3.3% 45% 46% — 7%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll October 15–17, 2012 1,013 ±3.1% 49% 45% 1% 5%
Mason-Dixon October 15–17, 2012 625 ±4% 47% 45% — 8%
Rasmussen Reports October 18, 2012 500 ±4.5% 46% 48% 3% 3%
Angus Reid Public Opinion October 18–20, 2012 502 ±4.5% 45% 42% 3% 11%
Rasmussen Reports October 25, 2012 500 ±4.5% 47% 48% 2% 4%
Marquette University October 25–28, 2012 1,243 ±2.8% 47% 43% — 10%
St. Norbert College October 25–29, 2012 402 ±5% 43% 46% — 11%
Rasmussen Reports October 29, 2012 750 ±4.0% 48% 48% 1% 2%
NBC/WSJ/Marist October 31, 2012 1,065 ±3.0% 48% 47% 4% 1%
WeAskAmerica October 31 – November 1, 2012 1,210 ±3% 49% 46% — 5%
YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 1,225 ±3.1% 48% 47% — 5%
Angus Reid Public Opinion November 1–3, 2012 482 ±4.5% 50% 48% 2% —
Public Policy Polling November 2–3, 2012 1,256 ±2.8% 51% 48% — 2%
Hypothetical polling

with Tammy Baldwin

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Tammy
Baldwin (D) 		Jeff
Fitzgerald (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 19–22, 2011 1,636 ±2.4% 48% 37% — 15%
Public Policy Polling October 20–23, 2011 1,170 ±2.9% 44% 40% — 16%
Rasmussen Reports October 26, 2011 500 ±4.5% 46% 39% 4% 6%
Marquette University February 16–19, 2012 716 ±3.7% 45% 37% 3% 15%
Public Policy Polling February 23–26, 2012 900 ±3.3% 47% 39% — 14%
Rasmussen Reports February 27, 2012 500 ±4.5% 40% 41% 4% 15%
Rasmussen Reports March 27, 2012 500 ±4.5% 48% 40% 4% 7%
Public Policy Polling April 13–15, 2012 1,136 ±2.9% 47% 40% — 13%
Rasmussen Reports May 9, 2012 500 ±4.5% 45% 41% 4% 9%
Rasmussen Reports June 12, 2012 500 ±4.5% 44% 43% 5% 8%
Marquette University June 13–16, 2012 707 ±3.8% 45% 39% — 16%
Public Policy Polling July 5–8, 2012 1,057 ±3.0% 46% 42% — 13%
Marquette University July 5–8, 2012 810 ±3.5% 43% 37% — 20%
Rasmussen Reports July 25, 2012 500 ±4.5% 47% 37% 6% 10%
Marquette University August 2–5, 2012 1,400 ±2.6% 45% 40% — 7%
Quinnipiac July 31 – August 6, 2012 1,428 ±2.6% 51% 39% — 9%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Tammy
Baldwin (D) 		Eric
Hovde (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 11–13, 2012 851 ±3.4% 41% 45% — 14%
Rasmussen Reports June 12, 2012 500 ±4.5% 42% 44% 4% 10%
Marquette University June 13–16, 2012 707 ±3.8% 45% 36% — 19%
Public Policy Polling July 5–8, 2012 1,057 ±3.0% 44% 45% — 11%
Marquette University July 5–8, 2012 810 ±3.5% 44% 38% — 18%
Rasmussen Reports July 25, 2012 500 ±4.5% 45% 42% 5% 8%
Marquette University August 2–5, 2012 1,400 ±2.6% 44% 41% — 9%
Quinnipiac July 31 – August 6, 2012 1,428 ±2.6% 47% 43% 1% 8%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Tammy
Baldwin (D) 		Mark
Neumann (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 19–22, 2011 1,636 ±2.4% 46% 41% — 13%
Public Policy Polling August 12–14, 2011 830 ±3.4% 40% 44% — 15%
Public Policy Polling October 20–23, 2011 1,170 ±2.9% 44% 43% — 13%
Rasmussen Reports October 26, 2011 500 ±4.5% 44% 43% 4% 9%
Marquette University February 16–19, 2012 716 ±3.7% 44% 40% 2% 14%
Public Policy Polling February 23–26, 2012 900 ±3.3% 47% 41% — 12%
Rasmussen Reports February 27, 2012 500 ±4.5% 37% 46% 4% 13%
Rasmussen Reports March 27, 2012 500 ±4.5% 48% 40% 4% 8%
Public Policy Polling April 13–15, 2012 1,136 ±2.9% 46% 45% — 9%
Rasmussen Reports May 9, 2012 500 ±4.5% 42% 44% 4% 9%
Public Policy Polling May 11–13, 2012 851 ±3.4% 42% 46% — 12%
Rasmussen Reports June 12, 2012 500 ±4.5% 43% 45% 5% 7%
Marquette University June 13–16, 2012 707 ±3.8% 44% 44% — 12%
Public Policy Polling July 5–8, 2012 1,057 ±3.0% 45% 41% — 13%
Marquette University July 5–8, 2012 810 ±3.5% 43% 40% — 17%
Rasmussen Reports July 25, 2012 500 ±4.5% 48% 42% 3% 8%
Marquette University August 2–5, 2012 1,400 ±2.6% 44% 44% — 6%
Quinnipiac July 31 – August 6, 2012 1,428 ±2.6% 48% 45% 1% 6%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Tammy
Baldwin (D) 		J. B.
Van Hollen (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 19–22, 2011 1,636 ±2.4% 46% 39% — 15%

with Russ Feingold

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Russ
Feingold (D) 		Jeff
Fitzgerald (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 19–22, 2011 1,636 ±2.4% 55% 39% — 7%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Russ
Feingold (D) 		Mark
Neumann (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling August 12–14, 2011 830 ±3.4% 51% 44% — 5%
Public Policy Polling May 19–22, 2011 1,636 ±2.4% 53% 41% — 6%
Public Policy Polling February 24–27, 2011 768 ±3.5% 50% 40% — 10%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Russ
Feingold (D) 		Paul
Ryan (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling December 10–12, 2010 702 ±3.7% 50% 43% — 7%
Public Policy Polling February 24–27, 2011 768 ±3.5% 49% 42% — 9%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Russ
Feingold (D) 		Tommy
Thompson (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling December 10–12, 2010 702 ±3.7% 49% 40% — 11%
Public Policy Polling May 19–22, 2011 1,636 ±2.4% 52% 42% — 6%
Public Policy Polling August 12–14, 2011 830 ±3.4% 48% 47% — 5%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Russ
Feingold (D) 		J. B.
Van Hollen (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling December 10–12, 2010 702 ±3.7% 52% 41% — 7%
Public Policy Polling February 24–27, 2011 768 ±3.5% 51% 39% — 10%
Public Policy Polling May 19–22, 2011 1,636 ±2.4% 53% 38% — 9%

with Steve Kagen

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Steve
Kagen (D) 		Jeff
Fitzgerald (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 19–22, 2011 1,636 ±2.4% 43% 38% — 19%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Steve
Kagen (D) 		Mark
Neumann (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 19–22, 2011 1,636 ±2.4% 42% 41% — 17%
Public Policy Polling August 12–14, 2011 830 ±3.4% 38% 45% — 17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Steve
Kagen (D) 		Tommy
Thompson (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 19–22, 2011 1,636 ±2.4% 42% 45% — 13%
Public Policy Polling August 12–14, 2011 830 ±3.4% 41% 49% — 10%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Steve
Kagen (D) 		J. B.
Van Hollen (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 19–22, 2011 1,636 ±2.4% 43% 38% — 19%

with Ron Kind

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Ron
Kind (D) 		Jeff
Fitzgerald (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 19–22, 2011 1,636 ±2.4% 45% 37% — 18%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Ron
Kind (D) 		Mark
Neumann (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 19–22, 2011 1,636 ±2.4% 44% 40% — 16%
Public Policy Polling August 12–14, 2011 830 ±3.4% 40% 43% — 17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Ron
Kind (D) 		Tommy
Thompson (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 19–22, 2011 1,636 ±2.4% 44% 44% — 12%
Public Policy Polling August 12–14, 2011 830 ±3.4% 41% 48% — 11%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Ron
Kind (D) 		J. B.
Van Hollen (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 19–22, 2011 1,636 ±2.4% 44% 38% — 17%

with Herb Kohl

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Herb
Kohl (D) 		Mark
Neumann (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 24–27, 2011 768 ±3.5% 51% 37% — 12%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Herb
Kohl (D) 		Paul
Ryan (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling December 10–12, 2010 702 ±3.7% 48% 42% — 11%
Public Policy Polling February 24–27, 2011 768 ±3.5% 49% 42% — 10%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Herb
Kohl (D) 		Tommy
Thompson (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling December 10–12, 2010 702 ±3.7% 49% 40% — 11%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Herb
Kohl (D) 		J. B.
Van Hollen (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling December 10–12, 2010 702 ±3.7% 51% 38% — 11%
Public Policy Polling February 24–27, 2011 768 ±3.5% 52% 37% — 11%

Results

United States Senate election in Wisconsin, 2012
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Tammy Baldwin 1,547,104 51.41% −15.90%
Republican Tommy Thompson 1,380,126 45.86% +16.38%
Libertarian Joseph Kexel 62,240 2.07% N/A
Independent Nimrod Allen, III 16,455 0.55% N/A
Write-in 3,486 0.11% +0.05%
Total votes 3,009,411 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Despite losing the state, Thompson won 5 of 8 congressional districts.

District Thompson Baldwin Representative
1st 50.61% 46.56% Paul Ryan
2nd 32.28% 65.82% Mark Pocan
3rd 44.31% 52.77% Ron Kind
4th 25.15% 72.93% Gwen Moore
5th 61.06% 36.68% Jim Sensenbrenner
6th 52.93% 44.05% Tom Petri
7th 48.93% 48.06% Sean Duffy
8th 50.21% 46.63% Reid Ribble

Aftermath

Brian Schimming, the vice chairman of the Wisconsin Republican Party, partly blamed Thompson's defeat on the fact that he had to face a competitive primary whereas Baldwin was unopposed for the Democratic nomination: " blew all his money going through the primary. So when he gets through the primary, it was like three weeks before he was up on the air. piled on immediately." He claimed "If hadn't had as ugly a primary, we could have won that seat."

See also

References

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