2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina: Difference between revisions

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	{{Short description\|none}}		{{Short description\|none}}
			{{Use mdy dates\|date=September 2023}}
	{{main\|2024 United States presidential election}}		{{main\|2024 United States presidential election}}
			{{row hover highlight}}
	{{Infobox election		{{Infobox election
	\| election_name = 2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina		\| election_name = 2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina
	\| country = North Carolina		\| country = North Carolina
	\| type = Presidential		\| type = Presidential
	\| ~~ongoing~~ = ~~yes~~		\| college_voted = no
	\| previous_election = 2020 United States presidential election in North Carolina		\| previous_election = 2020 United States presidential election in North Carolina
	\| previous_year = 2020		\| previous_year = 2020
	\| election_date = November 5, 2024		\| election_date = November 5, 2024
	\| next_election = 2028 United States presidential election in North Carolina		\| next_election = 2028 United States presidential election in North Carolina
	\| next_year = 2028		\| next_year = ''2028''
			\| turnout = 73.73%<ref>{{Cite web \|title=Voter Turnout \|url=https://www.ncsbe.gov/results-data/voter-turnout#general \|website=North Carolina State Board of Elections}}</ref> {{decrease}} 1.62 ]
	<!-- do NOT fill add candidates unless also in infobox at ]. -->
			\| title = President
			\| before_election = ]
			\| before_party = Democratic Party (United States)
			\| after_election = ]
			\| after_party = Republican Party (United States)
			\| image2 = File:Kamala Harris Vice Presidential Portrait (cropped).jpg
			\| nominee2 = ]
			\| home_state2 = ]
			\| running_mate2 = ]
			\| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)
			\| image1 = Donald Trump official portrait (3x4a).jpg
			\| nominee1 = ''']'''
			\| party1 = Republican Party (United States)
			\| home_state1 = ]
			\| running_mate1 = ''']'''
	\| image_size = 200x200px		\| image_size = 200x200px
			\| map_size = 400px

			\| map_caption = {{col-begin}}
	\| image1 =
	\| nominee1 =
	\| party1 = Republican Party (United States)
	\| home_state1 =
	\| running_mate1 =

	\| electoral_vote1 =
	\| popular_vote1 =
	\| percentage1 =

	\| image2 =
	\| nominee2 =
	\| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)
	\| home_state2 =
	\| running_mate2 =

	\| electoral_vote2 =
	\| popular_vote2 =
	\| percentage2 =

	\| map_image =
	\| map_size = 300px
	\| map_caption = County results<!-- (replace party names with candidates after election and remove unused shades; colors from ])
	{{col-start}}
	{{col-2}}		{{col-2}}
	'''~~Democratic~~'''		'''Trump'''
	{{legend\|#D3E7FF\|30–40%}}
	{{legend\|#B9D7FF\|40–50%}}
	{{legend\|#86B6F2\|50–60%}}
	{{legend\|#4389E3\|60–70%}}
	{{legend\|#1666CB\|70–80%}}
	{{legend\|#0645B4\|80–90%}}
	{{legend\|#002B84\|>90%}}
	{{col-2}}
	'''Republican'''
	{{legend\|#FFCCD0\|30–40%}}
	{{legend\|#F2B3BE\|40–50%}}
	{{legend\|#E27F90\|50–60%}}		{{legend\|#E27F90\|50–60%}}
	{{legend\|#CC2F4A\|60–70%}}		{{legend\|#CC2F4A\|60–70%}}
	{{legend\|#D40000\|70–80%}}		{{legend\|#D40000\|70–80%}}
	{{legend\|#AA0000\|80–90%}}		{{legend\|#AA0000\|80–90%}}
			{{col-2}}
	{{legend\|#800000\|>90%}}
			'''Harris'''
			{{legend\|#B9D7FF\|40–50%}}
			{{legend\|#86B6F2\|50–60%}}
			{{legend\|#4389E3\|60–70%}}
			{{legend\|#1666CB\|70–80%}}
	{{col-end}}		{{col-end}}
			\| electoral_vote1 = '''16'''
	-->
			\| popular_vote1 = '''2,898,424'''
	\| title = President
			\| percentage1 = '''50.86%'''
	\| before_election = ]
			\| electoral_vote2 = 0
	\| before_party = Democratic Party (United States)
			\| popular_vote2 = 2,715,378
	\| after_election =
	\| ~~after_party~~ =		\| percentage2 = 47.65%
			\| map = {{Switcher
			\| ]
			\| County results
			\| ]
			\| Congressional district results
	}}		}}
			}}
	{{ElectionsNC}}
			{{Elections in North Carolina sidebar}}
	The '''2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina''' is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the ] in which all 50 states plus the ] will participate. ] voters will choose electors to represent them in the ] via a popular vote. The state of North Carolina has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following ] due to the ] in which the state gained a seat.<ref>{{cite web \|last1=Wang \|first1=Hansi \|last2=Jin \|first2=Connie \|last3=Levitt \|first3=Zach \|title=Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats \|url=https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats \|publisher=] \|access-date=August 20, 2021 \|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210819123145/https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats \|archive-date=August 19, 2021 \|date=April 26, 2021 \|url-status=live}}</ref>
			The '''2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina''' took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the ] in which all 50 states plus the ] will participate. ] voters chose electors to represent them in the ] via a popular vote. The state of North Carolina has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following ] due to the ] in which the state gained a seat.<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|last1=Wang \|first1=Hansi \|last2=Jin \|first2=Connie \|last3=Levitt \|first3=Zach \|title=Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats \|url=https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats \|publisher=] \|access-date=August 20, 2021 \|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210819123145/https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats \|archive-date=August 19, 2021 \|date=April 26, 2021 \|url-status=live}}</ref>

			While Republican presidential candidates won close victories in ], ], and ], even as polls indicated a narrow win by Democrat ] in 2020, at the state level, Democrat ] won the ] and ] gubernatorial elections. Because of these results, the presidential election was expected to be competitive. Today a ], North Carolina was targeted by both parties in 2024, with major news organizations marking the state as a tossup or slightly leaning towards the Republican candidate Donald Trump, who would go on to carry the state by a similar margin to his 2016 result.<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|title=270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map \|url=https://www.270towin.com/ \|access-date=2024-03-19 \|website=270toWin.com}}</ref> Incumbent president Biden was initially poised to run for re-election, but withdrew on July 21 and endorsed his vice president ].
	Incumbent Democratic president ] has stated that he intends to run for reelection to a second term.<ref>{{Cite web\|title= Biden: 'My plan is to run for reelection' in 2024\|url= https://www.politico.com/news/2021/03/25/biden-run-reelection-2024-478008\|access-date=July 19, 2021\|website=Politico.com\|language=en}}</ref>

			Despite an otherwise rough year for North Carolina Republicans down ballot, especially due to controversial Republican gubernatorial nominee ], Trump won the state by 3.2%. Trump's win kept it in the Republican column for the fourth election cycle in a row and Trump won the state himself for the third straight election.

	==Primary elections==		==Primary elections==
			===Democratic primary===
			{{main\|2024 North Carolina Democratic presidential primary}}
			In North Carolina, candidates can make the primary ballot either by being nominated by the state party or by filing a nominating petition with at least 10,000 signatures.<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|title=2024 Fact Sheet - Running for President \|url=https://s3.amazonaws.com/dl.ncsbe.gov/Candidate%20Filing/2024_Fact_Sheet_Running_for_President.pdf \|access-date=December 26, 2023 \|website=North Carolina State Board of Elections}}</ref> The ] submitted only ] as a candidate,<ref name=":0">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|date=2023-12-07 \|title=Biden primary foe Phillips will challenge states where he missed ballot {{!}} Semafor \|url=https://www.semafor.com/article/12/07/2023/biden-primary-foe-phillips-will-challenge-states-that-left-him-off-ballot \|access-date=2023-12-26 \|website=www.semafor.com \|language=en}}</ref> and no candidate submitted 10,000 signatures by the December 22, 2023 deadline.<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|date=2023-12-26 \|title=North Carolina's 2024 presidential primary candidates approved \|url=https://www.carolinajournal.com/north-carolinas-2024-presidential-primary-candidates-approved/ \|access-date=2023-12-26 \|website=Carolina Journal - \|language=en-US}}</ref>

			The cancellation was criticized by the ] campaign, who started an online petition to get his candidacy on the ballot and threatened legal challenges.<ref name=":0" /><ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|date=2023-12-22 \|title=Dean Phillips, a Democrat running for president, says North Carolina is wrong to keep him off ballot \|url=https://www.wunc.org/politics/2023-12-22/dean-phillips-democrat-president-north-carolina-wrong-ballot \|access-date=2023-12-26 \|website=WUNC \|language=en}}</ref> ] and ] also criticized the moves.<ref name=":0" />

			In addition to the candidates on the ballot, the "No Preference" option appeared on the Democratic, Republican, and Libertarian Presidential Preference Primary ballots. In 2012, when President Barack Obama did not face primary opposition in North Carolina, approximately twenty percent of voters opted for the "No Preference" option.<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\| url=https://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=705389 \| title=Our Campaigns - NC US President - D Primary Race - May 08, 2012 }}</ref>

			The North Carolina Democratic presidential primary was held on ], March 5, 2024.

			{{2024NCDem}}

	===Republican primary===		===Republican primary===
			{{main\|2024 North Carolina Republican presidential primary}}
	====Polling====
			The North Carolina Republican primary was held on ], March 5, 2024.{{2024NCRep}}
	{\| class="wikitable tpl-blanktable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"

	\|- valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;"
			===Libertarian primary===
			{{Main\|2024 North Carolina Libertarian presidential primary}}
			The North Carolina Libertarian primary was held on ], March 5, 2024. Ten candidates were presented on the ballot.<ref>{{#invoke:cite news\|\|last=News Staff \|first=FOX Carolina \|title=Here are the 10 Libertarian candidates in the 2024 NC Presidential Primary \|url=https://www.foxcarolina.com/2024/02/29/here-are-10-libertarian-candidates-2024-nc-primary-election/?outputType=amp \|work=FOX News}}</ref>

			{\| class="wikitable sortable tpl-blanktable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
			\|+ North Carolina Libertarian primary, March 5, 2024
			\|-
			! Candidate
			! Votes
			! Percentage
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;" \| ''']'''
			\| '''2,058'''
			\| '''40.5%'''
			\|-
			\|-{{Party shading/Libertarian}}
			\| style="text-align:left;" \| ]
			\| 676
			\| 13.3%
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;" \| Jacob Hornberger
			\| 357
			\|7.0%
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;" \| Joshua Smith
			\| 354
			\| 7.0%
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;" \| ]
			\| 195
			\| 3.8%
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;" \| Charles Ballay
			\| 183
			\| 3.6%
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;" \| Lars Mapstead
			\| 176
			\| 3.5%
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;" \| Mike ter Maat
			\| 137
			\| 2.7%
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;" \| ''Other''{{#tag:ref\|464 votes (9.1%) for David (TrimeTaveler) Dunlap, 320 votes (6.3%) for Beau Lindsey, 162 votes (3.2%) for Josh "Toad" Anderson.\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\| 946
			\| 18.7%
			\|-style="background:#eee;"
			! Total:
			! 5,082
			! 100.0%
			\|-
			\| colspan="3" style="text-align:left;" \| Source:<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://er.ncsbe.gov/?election_dt=03/05/2024&county_id=0&office=FED&contest=2569\|title=03/05/2024 UNOFFICIAL PRIMARY ELECTION RESULTS – STATEWIDE\|work=North Carolina State Board of Elections\|accessdate=June 22, 2024}}</ref>
			\|}

			==General election==
			===Events and rule changes===
			Voters must now show a voter ID at the polls and provide a copy of their ID with their mail-in ballots. Mail-in ballots received after election day also will not be counted.<ref name=":1">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|last1=Alexander \|first1=Ayanna \|last2=Robertson \|first2=Gary D. \|last3=Cassidy \|first3=Christina A. \|date=2024-03-02 \|title=North Carolina is among GOP states to change its voting rules. The primary will be a test \|url=https://apnews.com/article/voting-laws-voter-id-republicans-north-carolina-1c2d5b033620244a7ea5012adf669b30 \|access-date=2024-08-30 \|website=AP News \|language=en}}</ref> There will also be more partisan poll-watchers.<ref name=":2">{{#invoke:cite news\|\|last=Jacobs \|first=Rusty \|date=September 2, 2023 \|title=Voting in North Carolina faces some big changes with a Republican-backed bill \|url=https://www.npr.org/2023/09/02/1197252802/north-carolina-voting-legislation \|work=NPR}}</ref> The laws are similar to others passed in Republican-controlled states which Democrats have criticized as ].<ref name=":1" /><ref name=":2" /> ] North Carolina and the ] of North Carolina have been educating voters on the new rules.<ref name=":1" />

			On September 12, 2024, the ] sued to block the use of digital IDs, popular with students at the ], as a form of voter ID.<ref name=":3">{{#invoke:cite news\|\|last=Queen \|first=Jack \|date=September 20, 2024 \|title=North Carolina judge rejects Republican challenge to student voter IDs \|url=https://www.reuters.com/legal/north-carolina-judge-rejects-republican-challenge-student-voter-ids-2024-09-20/ \|access-date=September 23, 2024 \|work=]}}</ref> The plaintiffs sought a temporary restraining order, and alleged that the digital IDs did not comply with the state's voter identification requirements and were susceptible to fraud.<ref name=":3" /> On September 20, 2024, ] ] Judge Keith Gregory rejected the request for a temporary restraining order, stating that the ] had not "advanced any credible link between the State Board's approval of Mobile One Cards and a heightened risk of ineligible voters casting illegal votes."<ref name=":3" />

			] was granted the status of presidential candidate in July 2024 for North Carolina after state authorities recognised the political party he founded, 'We the People', which allowed Kennedy to qualify using 13,757 signatures, instead of the 82,542 signatures required for a candidate with no party.<ref>{{#invoke:cite news\|\|last1=Meryl Kornfield \|first1=Meryl \|title=What to know about RFK Jr.'s 'We the People' party \|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/05/02/rfk-jr-we-the-people-party/ \|access-date=September 14, 2024 \|newspaper=] \|date=May 2, 2024 \|archive-url=https://archive.today/20240507161249/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/05/02/rfk-jr-we-the-people-party/ \|archive-date=May 7, 2024}}</ref><ref name=Praveena>{{#invoke:cite news\|\|last1=Somasundaram \|first1=Praveena \|title=RFK Jr. fought to get on N.C. ballots. Now he's suing to get off them. \|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/09/01/rfk-election-north-carolina-ballot/ \|access-date=September 14, 2024 \|newspaper=] \|date=September 1, 2024 \|archive-url=https://archive.today/20240902014742/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/09/01/rfk-election-north-carolina-ballot/ \|archive-date=September 2, 2024}}</ref> The North Carolina Democratic Party filed a lawsuit alleging that Kennedy was improperly using his party to avoid higher qualification requirements, but this lawsuit against Kennedy was unsuccessful.<ref name=Praveena/> On August 27, Kennedy asked state authorities to remove him as a presidential candidate in North Carolina; on August 28, the We the People party officially made the same request to state authorities; both requests were initially denied due to ballots already being printed and upcoming deadlines, with North Carolina law mandating that absentee ballots should be mailed by authorities from September 6.<ref>{{#invoke:cite news\|\|last1=Sherman \|first1=Lucille \|title=RFK Jr. will remain on North Carolina's 2024 ballot \|url=https://www.axios.com/2024/08/29/rfk-jr-nc-ballot-withdrawal-request-2024-election \|access-date=September 14, 2024 \|work=] \|date=August 29, 2024}}</ref><ref name=Robertson>{{#invoke:cite news\|\|last1=Robertson \|first1=Gary \|title=RFK Jr. can't get off ballot in North Carolina, can't get back on it in New York \|url=https://apnews.com/article/north-carolina-kennedy-ballot-elections-board-d59aeb239392e4c6800df89e01f666ed \|access-date=September 14, 2024 \|work=] \|date=August 30, 2024}}</ref>

			Kennedy responded by launching a lawsuit demanding to be removed as a presidential candidate in North Carolina, with Kennedy previously saying that "by staying on the ballot in the battleground states, I would likely hand the election over to the Democrats", while Kennedy remained as a presidential candidate in non-battleground states and indicated that his lawsuit to become a presidential candidate in New York would continue.<ref name=Praveena/><ref name=Robertson/><ref name=Jacobs>{{#invoke:cite news\|\|last1=Jacobs \|first1=Rusty \|title=State elections board ordered to reprint ballots without RFK Jr.'s name; Board appealing \|url=https://www.wunc.org/politics/2024-09-07/state-elections-board-reprint-ballots-rfk-jr-appeal \|access-date=September 14, 2024 \|work=] \|date=September 7, 2024}}</ref> While Wake County Superior Court ruled against Kennedy, he appealed and the North Carolina Court of Appeals ruled for Kennedy on September 6, ordering for authorities to reprint ballots without Kennedy as a candidate.<ref name=Jacobs/> The North Carolina Supreme Court affirmed the Court of Appeals' decision on September 9, so authorities went to reprint the ballots, which delayed the mailing date from the originally stipulated September 6 date to become September 20 for military and overseas voters and September 24 for other voters.<ref>{{#invoke:cite news\|\|last1=Robertson \|first1=Gary \|title=North Carolina's absentee ballot release was delayed by RFK Jr. ruling, but will begin next week \|url=https://apnews.com/article/north-carolina-absentee-ballots-kennedy-delay-be1c92ab8e5e52e0ad1741acc1bb0da9 \|access-date=September 14, 2024 \|work=] \|date=September 14, 2024}}</ref>

			===Predictions===
			{\| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center"
			!Source
			!Ranking
			!As of
			\|-
			\| align=left \| ]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|title=2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings \|url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/presidential-race-ratings \|website= \|publisher=]}}</ref>
			\| {{USRaceRating\|Tossup}}
			\|November 4, 2024
			\|-
			\| align="left" \| ]<ref name="Sabato's Crystal Ball">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|title=2024 Electoral College ratings \|url=https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2024-president/ \|publisher=]}}</ref>
			\| {{USRaceRating\|Lean\|R}}
			\|November 4, 2024
			\|-
			\| align="left" \| ]/]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|title=2024 presidential predictions \|url=https://elections2024.thehill.com/predictions/president \|work=]}}</ref>
			\| {{USRaceRating\|Tossup}}
			\|November 4, 2024
			\|-
			\| align="left" \| '']''<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|title=Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270 \|url=https://www.cnn.com/election/2024/electoral-college-map?game-id=2024-PG-CNN-ratings&game-view=map \|publisher=]}}</ref>
			\| {{USRaceRating\|Tossup}}
			\|November 4, 2024
			\|-
			\| align="left" \| '']''<ref>{{cite web \|title=2024 Presidential Forecast \|url=https://projects.cnalysis.com/23-24/president \|website=projects.cnalysis.com \|publisher=CNalysis \|access-date=5 November 2024}}</ref>
			\| {{USRaceRating\|Tilt\|D\|flip}}
			\|November 4, 2024
			\|-
			\| align="left" \| '']''<ref>{{#invoke:cite news\|\|title=Trump v Harris: The Economist's presidential election prediction model \|url=https://www.economist.com/interactive/us-2024-election/prediction-model/president \|newspaper=] \|language=en}}</ref>
			\| {{USRaceRating\|Tossup}}
			\|November 4, 2024
			\|-
			\| align="left" \| ]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|last1=Morris \|first1=G. Elliott \|title=2024 Election Forecast \|url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/ \|website=FiveThirtyEight \|date=June 11, 2024 \|language=en}}</ref>
			\| {{USRaceRating\|Tossup}}
			\|November 4, 2024
			\|-
			\| align="left" \| ]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|date= \|title=Presidential Ratings \|url=https://insideelections.com/ratings/president \|access-date= \|website= \|publisher=]}}</ref>
			\| {{USRaceRating\|Tossup}}
			\|November 4, 2024
			\|-
			\| align="left" \| ]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|title=Presidential Election Preview 2024 \|url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/president-electoral-college-battleground-states \|website= \|publisher=]}}</ref>
			\| {{USRaceRating\|Tossup}}
			\|November 4, 2024
			\|-
			\|}

			===Polling===
			'''Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris'''

			'''Aggregate polls'''
			{\| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:17px"
			!Source of poll<br />aggregation
			!Dates<br />administered
			!Dates<br />updated
			! class="unsortable" \|Kamala<br />Harris<br /><small>{{No bold\|Democratic}}</small>
			! class="unsortable" \|Donald<br />Trump<br /><small>{{No bold\|Republican}}</small>
			! Other /<br />Undecided<br />{{#tag:ref\|Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.\|group=lower-alpha}}
			!Margin
			\|-
			\|]<ref></ref>
			\|October 23 – November 4, 2024
			\|November 5, 2024
			\|47.3%
			\| style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''48.6%'''
			\|4.1%
			\| style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''Trump +1.3%'''
			\|-
			\|]<ref></ref>
			\|through November 4, 2024
			\|November 5, 2024
			\|47.4%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''48.3%'''
			\|4.3%
			\| style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''Trump +0.9%'''
			\|-
			\|]<ref></ref>
			\|through November 4, 2024
			\|November 5, 2024
			\|47.7%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''48.8%'''
			\|3.5%
			\| style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''Trump +1.1%'''
			\|-
			\|]/]<ref></ref>
			\|through November 4, 2024
			\|November 5, 2024
			\| 47.9%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''49.4%'''
			\|2.7%
			\| style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''Trump +1.5%'''
			\|-
			\| colspan="3" \|'''Average'''
			\|47.6%
			\| style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''48.8%'''
			\|3.6%
			\| style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''Trump +1.2%'''
			\|}

			{\| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;line-height:17px"
			\|- valign=bottom
	! Poll source		! Poll source
	! Date(s)<br />administered		! Date(s)<br />administered
	! Sample<br />size{{~~efn~~\|name=key}}		! Sample<br />size{{#tag:ref\|\|name=key\|group=lower-alpha}}
	! Margin<br />~~{{nowrap\|~~of error}}		! Margin<br />of error
			! class="unsortable" \| Donald<br />Trump<br />{{No bold\|Republican}}
	! Ted<br />Cruz
			! class="unsortable" \| Kamala<br />Harris<br />{{No bold\|Democratic}}
	! Ron<br />DeSantis
			! class="unsortable" \| Other /<br />Undecided
	! Nikki<br />Haley
	! Mike<br />Pence
	! Mitt<br />Romney
	! Marco<br />Rubio
	! Donald<br />Trump
	! Other
	! Undecided
	\|-		\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;" rowspan="4"\|HarrisX<ref name="HarrisXNov3-5">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://elections.harrisx.com/public/BG_STATE_POLLS_NC.html\|title=HarrisX Battleground State Poll (Nov 3-5): North Carolina\|website=HarrisX\|date=November 5, 2024}}</ref>
	\|
			\|rowspan="4"\|November 3–5, 2024
	\| July 22–24, 2022
			\|rowspan="2"\|1,815 (RV)
	\| 300 (LV)
	\| ± 2.8%		\|rowspan="4"\|± 2.3%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''48%'''
	\| 3%
	\| 27%		\|47%
			\|5%
	\| –
	\| 6%
	\| –
	\| 5%
	\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|'''37%'''
	\| 5%{{efn\|Liz Cheney at 3%; Chris Christie and Mike Pompeo at 1%}}
	\| 17%
	\|-		\|-
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''50.5%'''{{#tag:ref\|\|name="lean"\|group=lower-alpha}}
	\|
			\|49.5%
	\| Jan 7–9, 2022
			\|–
	\| 600 (LV)
	\| ± 4.0%
	\| 2%
	\| 19%
	\| 8%
	\| 5%
	\| –
	\| –
	\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|'''47%'''
	\| 3%
	\| 16%
	\|-		\|-
			\|rowspan="2"\|1,600 (LV)
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''49%'''
			\|48%
			\|3%
			\|-
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''50.2%'''{{#tag:ref\|\|name="lean"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|49.8%
			\|–
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|AtlasIntel<ref name="AtlasNov3-4">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://cdn.atlasintel.org/616d82d3-e782-4d6e-b690-9eed1523fe75.pdf\|title=Atlas Poll - US Key States - November 4, 2024\|website=AtlasIntel\|date=November 4, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-11-04" \|November 3–4, 2024
			\|1,219 (LV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''50%'''
			\|48%
			\|2%
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;" \|Patriot Polling<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://patriotpolling.com/our-polls/f/final-2024-presidential-poll\|title=Final 2024 Presidential Poll\|first=Lucca\|last=Ruggieri\|website=Patriot Polling\|date=November 3, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-11-03" \|November 1–3, 2024
			\|799 (RV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''51%'''
			\|49%
			\|–
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;" \|InsiderAdvantage (R)<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://insideradvantage.com/insideradvantage-surveys-az-mi-wi-pa-nc/\|title=InsiderAdvantage Surveys: AZ, MI, WI, PA, NC\|website=InsiderAdvantage\|date=November 3, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-11-02" \|November 1–2, 2024
			\|800 (LV)
			\|± 3.4%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''49%'''
			\|47%
			\|4%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="Other2"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|AtlasIntel<ref name="AtlasNov1-2">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://cdn.atlasintel.org/f41e83be-de61-4d59-9c46-f5f91cbf00fa.pdf\|title=Atlas Poll - US Swing States - November 2, 2024\|website=AtlasIntel\|date=November 2, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-11-02" \|November 1–2, 2024
			\|1,310 (LV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''51%'''
			\|47%
			\|2%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://emersoncollegepolling.com/november-2024-final-swing-state-polls-too-close-to-call-election-for-president/\|title=November 2024 Final Swing State Polls: Too-Close-To-Call Election for President\|website=Emerson College Polling\|date=November 4, 2024}}</ref>
			\|rowspan="2"\|October 30 – November 2, 2024
			\|rowspan="2"\|860 (LV)
			\|rowspan="2"\|± 3.3%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''49%'''
			\|48%
			\|3%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="SE1"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''50%'''{{#tag:ref\|\|name="lean"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|49%
			\|1%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="SE1"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"\|]/]<ref name="NYTOct28-Nov2">{{#invoke:cite news\|\|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/03/us/politics/harris-trump-times-siena-poll.html\|title=Harris and Trump Battle to the Wire in Swing States, Times/Siena Polls Find\|first1=Lisa\|last1=Lerer\|first2=Ruth\|last2=Igielnik\|website=The New York Times \|date=November 3, 2024}}</ref>
			\|rowspan="2"\|October 28 – November 2, 2024
			\|1,010 (RV)
			\|rowspan="2"\|± 3.5%
			\|44%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''48%'''
			\|8%
			\|-
			\|1,010 (LV)
			\|46%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''48%'''
			\|6%
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;" \|ActiVote<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.activote.net/trump-takes-the-lead-in-north-carolina/\|title=Trump takes the lead in North Carolina\|first=Victor\|last=Allis\|website=ActiVote\|date=November 3, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-11-02" \|October 17 – November 2, 2024
			\|400 (LV)
			\|± 4.9%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''51%'''
			\|49%
			\|–
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="MCTracking"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-11-01" \|October 23 − November 1, 2024
			\|1,056 (LV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''49%'''
			\|47%
			\|4%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|AtlasIntel<ref name="AtlasOct30-31">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://cdn.atlasintel.org/ff8a5b86-e293-44f4-8162-166002248f55.pdf\|title=Atlas Poll - US Swing States - October 31, 2024\|website=AtlasIntel\|date=October 31, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-10-31" \|October 30–31, 2024
			\|1,373 (LV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''51%'''
			\|47%
			\|2%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"\|]<ref name="SAY24Oct25-31">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/Times_SAY24_20241101.pdf\|title=The Times / SAY Poll: October 25-31, 2024\|website=YouGov\|date=November 1, 2024}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=times\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\|rowspan="2"\|October 25–31, 2024
			\|987 (RV)
			\|rowspan="2"\|± 4.2%
			\|'''49%'''
			\|'''49%'''
			\|2%
			\|-
			\|949 (LV)
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''50%'''
			\|49%
			\|1%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/election_2024_trump_leads_in_pennsylvania_nevada_north_carolina\|title=Election 2024: Trump Leads in Pennsylvania, Nevada, North Carolina\|website=Rasmussen Reports\|date=November 1, 2024}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=AT\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-10-30" \|October 25–30, 2024
			\|751 (LV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''50%'''
			\|47%
			\|3%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="Other1"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|AtlasIntel<ref name="AtlasOct25-29">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://cdn.atlasintel.org/12bd169b-6db5-44be-9429-90f44ba0d845.pdf\|title=Atlas Poll - US Swing States - October 29, 2024\|website=AtlasIntel\|date=October 29, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-10-29" \|October 25–29, 2024
			\|1,665 (LV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|48%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''49%'''
			\|3%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/NC-24-General-1029_Report.pdf\|title=North Carolina Presidential Survey - October 2024\|website=The Trafalgar Group\|date=October 29, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-10-28" \|October 25–28, 2024
			\|1,091 (LV)
			\|± 2.9%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''49%'''
			\|46%
			\|5%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="Other1"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"\|]<ref name="FoxOct24-28">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-trump-still-narrowly-ahead-harris-north-carolina\|title=Fox News Poll: Trump still narrowly ahead of Harris in North Carolina
			\|first=Dana\|last=Blanton\|website=Fox News\|date=October 30, 2024}}</ref>
			\|rowspan="2"\|October 24–28, 2024
			\|1,113 (RV)
			\|rowspan="2"\|± 3.0%
			\|49%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''50%'''
			\|1%
			\|-
			\|872 (LV)
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''50%'''
			\|49%
			\|1%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=7ddb5308-26ff-4f6a-92f1-80d09e31c6ee\|title=One Week Out, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris Dead Even in North Carolina, With 16 Critical Electoral Votes Hanging in the Balance\|date=October 29, 2024\|website=SurveyUSA}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=WRAL\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-10-26" \|October 23–26, 2024
			\|853 (LV)
			\|± 4.1%
			\|'''47%'''
			\|'''47%'''
			\|6%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="Other2"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"\|]/]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/stateprezapp2024/\|title=2024 presidential vote preferences by state\|website=Cooperative Election Study\|date=October 29, 2024}}</ref>
			\|rowspan="2"\|October 1–25, 2024
			\|2,330 (A)
			\|rowspan="2"\|–
			\|48%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''49%'''
			\|3%
			\|-
			\|2,308 (LV)
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''50%'''
			\|48%
			\|2%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://emersoncollegepolling.com/october-2024-polls-trump-and-harris-locked-in-tight-race/\|title=October 2024 Polls: Trump and Harris Locked in Tight Race\|website=Emerson College Polling\|date=October 24, 2024}}</ref>
			\|rowspan="2"\|October 21–22, 2024
			\|rowspan="2"\|950 (LV)
			\|rowspan="2"\|± 3.1%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''50%'''
			\|48%
			\|2%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="SE2"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''50%'''{{#tag:ref\|\|name="lean"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|48%
			\|2%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="SE2"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/marist-north-carolina-poll-u-s-presidential-contest-in-north-carolina-october-2024/\|title=Marist North Carolina Poll: U.S. Presidential Contest in North Carolina, October 2024\|website=Marist Poll\|date=October 24, 2024}}</ref>
			\|rowspan="2"\|October 17–22, 2024
			\|1,410 (RV)
			\|± 3.3%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''49%'''
			\|48%
			\|3%{{#tag:ref\|"Another party's candidates" with 2%\|name="APC2"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|1,226 (LV)
			\|± 3.6%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''50%'''
			\|48%
			\|2%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="APC1"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|SoCal Strategies (R)<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://substack.com/inbox/post/150584661\|title=On Point/Red Eagle Politics/SoCal Strategies North Carolina Poll\|website=]\|date=October 22, 2024}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=OPREP\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-10-21" \|October 20–21, 2024
			\|702 (LV)
			\|± 3.7%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''49%'''
			\|46%
			\|5%
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;" \|InsiderAdvantage (R)<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://insideradvantage.com/insideradvantage-survey-trump-leads-harris-by-two-points-in-north-carolina/\|title=InsiderAdvantage Survey: Trump Leads Harris by Two points in North Carolina
			\|website=InsiderAdvantage\|date=October 22, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-10-20" \|October 19–20, 2024
			\|800 (LV)
			\|± 3.5%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''49%'''
			\|47%
			\|4%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="Other2"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]/]<ref>{{#invoke:cite news\|\|url=https://www.highpoint.edu/blog/2024/10/hpu-poll-north-carolina-presidential-race-remains-close-2/\|title=HPU Poll: North Carolina Presidential Race Remains Close\|date=October 22, 2024\|website=High Point University}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-10-20" \|October 17–20, 2024
			\|1,164 (RV)
			\|± 3.5%
			\|46%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''47%'''
			\|7%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="Other1"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;" \|]/]<ref name="BloombergOct16-20">{{#invoke:cite news\|\|url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-10-23/new-poll-has-trump-harris-tied-in-key-states-just-12-days-to-election\|title=Two Weeks Out, Trump and Harris Are Locked in a Dead Heat\|first1=Gregory\|last1=Korte\|first2=Nancy\|last2=Cook\|newspaper=Bloomberg\|date=October 23, 2024}}</ref>
			\| rowspan="2" \|October 16–20, 2024
			\|755 (RV)
			\| rowspan="2" \|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''50%'''
			\|47%
			\|3%
			\|-
			\|702 (LV)
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''50%'''
			\|48%
			\|2%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|AtlasIntel<ref name="AtlasOct12-17">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://cdn.atlasintel.org/023fa4e7-4d28-4903-b4cd-57241a0f5e08.pdf\|title=Atlas Poll - US Swing States - October 2024\|website=AtlasIntel\|date=October 19, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-10-17" \|October 12–17, 2024
			\|1,674 (LV)
			\|± 2.0%
			\|49%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''51%'''
			\|–
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.elon.edu/u/elon-poll/elon-poll-october-29-2024/\|title=Elon Poll: Hurricane Helene factors into dead-even presidential election in N.C.\|website=Elon University\|date=October 29, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-10-17" \|October 10–17, 2024
			\|800 (RV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|'''46%'''
			\|'''46%'''
			\|8%{{#tag:ref\|"Another candidate" with 4%\|name="AC4"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="MCTracking"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-10-15" \|October 6−15, 2024
			\|1,072 (LV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''49%'''
			\|48%
			\|3%
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"\|]/]<ref>{{#invoke:cite news\|\|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/10/21/harris-trump-post-schar-school-poll/\|title=Harris and Trump locked in dead heat in seven-state poll, with some voters still deciding\|first1=Scott\|last1=Clement\|first2=Emily\|last2=Guskin\|first3=Dan\|last3=Keating\|first4=Dan\|last4=Balz\|newspaper=The Washington Post\|date=October 21, 2024}}</ref>
			\|rowspan="2"\|September 30 – October 15, 2024
			\|965 (RV)
			\|rowspan="2"\|± 3.9%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''49%'''
			\|45%
			\|6%
			\|-
			\|965 (LV)
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''50%'''
			\|47%
			\|3%
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;" \|]<ref name="QOct10-14">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3914\|title=Swing State Poll 2024: Georgia, North Carolina: Trump Holds Lead In GA, Harris On Upside Of Tight Race In NC, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; NC Gubernatorial Race: Stein Leads Robinson By Double Digits\|website=Quinnipiac University Poll\|date=October 16, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-10-14" \|October 10–14, 2024
			\|1,031 (LV)
			\|± 3.1%
			\|47%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''50%'''
			\|3%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/election_2024_trump_now_5_in_north_carolina\|title=Election 2024: Trump Now +5 in North Carolina\|website=Rasmussen Reports\|date=October 15, 2024}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=AT\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-09-12" \|October 9–14, 2024
			\|1,042 (LV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\| style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''51%'''
			\|46%
			\|3%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="Other1"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/NC-24-General-1015_Report.pdf\|title=North Carolina Presidential Survey - October 2024\|website=The Trafalgar Group\|date=October 15, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-09-12" \|October 10–13, 2024
			\|1,085 (LV)
			\|± 2.9%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''47%'''
			\|45%
			\|6%{{#tag:ref\|"Other" with 4%\|name="Other4"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)<ref>{{#invoke:cite news\|\|url=https://www.mediaite.com/news/trump-releases-internal-poll-showing-himself-ahead-in-every-swing-state-all-but-one-are-within-the-margin-of-error/\|title=Trump Releases Internal Poll Showing Himself Ahead In Every Swing State — All But One Are Within the Margin of Error\|first=Isaac\|last=Schorr\|website=]\|date=October 10, 2024}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|Poll sponsored by ]\|name=TrumpCampaign\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-10-09" \|October 6–9, 2024
			\|800 (LV)
			\|± 3.5%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''48%'''
			\|47%
			\|5%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://emersoncollegepolling.com/october-2024-state-polls-mixed-movement-across-swing-states-shows-dead-heat/\|title=October 2024 State Polls: Mixed Movement Across Swing States Shows Dead Heat\|website=Emerson College Polling\|date=October 10, 2024}}</ref>
			\|rowspan="2"\|October 5–8, 2024
			\|rowspan="2"\|1,000 (LV)
			\|rowspan="2"\|± 3.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''49%'''
			\|48%
			\|3%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="SE1"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''50%'''{{#tag:ref\|\|name="lean"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|49%
			\|1%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="SE1"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="WSJSept28-Oct8">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/trump-harris-swing-state-poll-october-2024-c3ca9414\|title=Battle for Swing States Is Tied, Trump Has Edge on Top Issues, WSJ Poll Shows\|first=Aaron\|last=Zitner\|website=The Wall Street Journal\|date=October 11, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-10-08" \|September 28 – October 8, 2024
			\|600 (RV)
			\|± 5.0%
			\|'''47%'''
			\|'''47%'''
			\|6%
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;" \|ActiVote<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.activote.net/harris-has-small-lead-in-north-carolina/\|title=Harris has small lead in North Carolina\|first=Victor\|last=Allis\|website=ActiVote\|date=October 7, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-10-06" \|September 7 – October 6, 2024
			\|400 (LV)
			\|± 4.9%
			\|49%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''51%'''
			\|–
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;" \|InsiderAdvantage (R)<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://insideradvantage.com/insideradvantage-sunbelt-battleground-surveys-trump-enjoys-slim-lead-in-arizona-nevada-and-north-carolina-georgia-tied/\|title=InsiderAdvantage 'Sunbelt Battleground' Surveys: Trump Enjoys Slim Lead in Arizona, Nevada, and North Carolina; Georgia Tied\|website=InsiderAdvantage\|date=October 1, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-09-30" \|September 29–30, 2024
			\|800 (LV)
			\|± 3.5%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''50%'''
			\|49%
			\|1%
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;" \|]<ref name="QSept25-29">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3909\|title=Swing State Poll 2024: Georgia, North Carolina: Trump Ahead In GA, On Upside Of Tight Race In NC, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; NC Governor Race: More Voters Say Robinson Should Stay In Race\|website=Quinnipiac University Poll\|date=October 1, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-09-29" \|September 25–29, 2024
			\|953 (LV)
			\|± 3.2%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''49%'''
			\|48%
			\|3%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite news\|\|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/10/01/harris-trump-north-carolina-washington-post-poll/\|title=N.C. presidential race close as Helene recovery begins, Post poll finds\|first1=Emily\|last1=Guskin\|first2=Scott\|last2=Clement\|first3=Dan\|last3=Balz\|newspaper=The Washington Post\|date=October 1, 2024}}</ref>
			\|rowspan="2"\|September 25–29, 2024
			\|1,001 (RV)
			\|rowspan="2"\|± 3.5%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''50%'''
			\|47%
			\|3%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="SE1"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|1,001 (LV)
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''50%'''
			\|48%
			\|2%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="SE1"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;" \|]/North Star Opinion Research (R)<ref name="PGPFSept23-29">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.pgpf.org/sites/default/files/PGPF-Battleground-Poll-Topline-Results-by-State.pdf\|title=PGPF Battleground Poll Topline Results by State\|website=Peter G. Peterson Foundation\|date=October 9, 2024}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|Poll sponsored by the ]\|name=PGPF\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-09-29" \|September 23–29, 2024
			\|401 (LV)
			\|± 4.9%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''48%'''
			\|47%
			\|5%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite news\|\|url=https://www.highpoint.edu/blog/2024/10/hpu-poll-presidential-race-remains-close-for-north-carolina-voters/\|title=HPU Poll: Presidential Race Remains Close for North Carolina Voters\|date=October 3, 2024\|website=High Point University}}</ref>
			\|rowspan="2"\|September 20–29, 2024
			\|814 (RV)
			\|± 3.6%
			\|46%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''48%'''
			\|6%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="SE2"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|589 (LV)
			\|± 4.9%
			\|'''48%'''
			\|'''48%'''
			\|4%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="SE2"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://emersoncollegepolling.com/september-2024-arizona-and-north-carolina-polls-harris-and-trump-neck-and-neck-in-key-swing-states/\|title=September 2024 Arizona and North Carolina Polls: Harris and Trump Neck-and-Neck in Key Swing States\|website=Emerson College Polling\|date=October 1, 2024}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\|rowspan="2"\|September 27–28, 2024
			\|rowspan="2"\|850 (LV)
			\|rowspan="2"\|± 3.3%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''49%'''
			\|48%
			\|3%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="SE1"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''50%'''{{#tag:ref\|\|name="lean"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|49%
			\|1%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="SE1"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"\|RMG Research<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://napolitaninstitute.org/2024/10/04/north-carolina-trump-51-harris-47/\|title=NORTH CAROLINA: Trump 51% Harris 47%\|website=Napolitan Institute\|date=October 4, 2024}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute\|name=NI\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\|rowspan="2"\|September 25–27, 2024
			\|rowspan="2"\|780 (LV)
			\|rowspan="2"\|± 3.5%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''49%'''
			\|46%
			\|5%{{#tag:ref\|"Some other candidate" with 2%\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''51%'''{{#tag:ref\|\|name="lean"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|47%
			\|2%{{#tag:ref\|"Some other candidate" with 1%\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|AtlasIntel<ref name="AtlasSept20-25">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://cdn.atlasintel.org/9e0da6ea-7e9c-498c-89e3-511bd7344cd0.pdf\|title=Atlas Poll - US Swing States - September 2024\|website=AtlasIntel\|date=September 28, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-09-25" \|September 20–25, 2024
			\|1,173 (LV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|48%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''51%'''
			\|1%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]/BSG (R)/]<ref name="CookSept19-25">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/survey-research/2024-swing-state-project/swing-state-polling-finds-deadlocked-presidential\|title=Swing State Polling Finds Deadlocked Presidential Contest, 'Blue Wall' Senate Races Tighten\|first1=Amy\|last1=Walter\|first2=Jessica\|last2=Taylor\|date=October 2, 2024\|website=Cook Political Report}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-09-25" \|September 19–25, 2024
			\|411 (LV)
			\|–
			\|'''49%'''
			\|'''49%'''
			\|2%
			\|-
			\| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;" \|]/]<ref name="BloombergSept19-25">{{#invoke:cite news\|\|url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-09-26/harris-holds-thin-lead-over-trump-in-swing-state-poll-election-2024\|title=Kamala Harris Holds Razor-Thin Lead Across Swing States in Tight 2024 Race\|first1=Gregory\|last1=Korte\|first2= Mark\|last2=Niquette \|newspaper=Bloomberg \|date=September 26, 2024}}</ref>
			\| rowspan="2" \|September 19–25, 2024
			\|889 (RV)
			\| rowspan="2" \|± 3.0%
			\|47%
			\| style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''50%'''
			\|3%
			\|-
			\|828 (LV)
			\|48%
			\| style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''50%'''
			\|2%
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"\|]<ref name="FoxSept20-24-NorthCarolina">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-harris-trump-close-race-north-carolina\|title=Fox News Poll: Harris, Trump in close race in North Carolina\|first=Victoria\|last=Balara\|website=Fox News\|date=September 27, 2024}}</ref>
			\|rowspan="2"\|September 20−24, 2024
			\|991 (RV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|48%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''50%'''
			\|2%
			\|-
			\|787 (LV)
			\|± 3.5%
			\| style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''50%'''
			\|49%
			\|1%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/u-s-presidential-contest-north-carolina-september-2024/\|title=U.S. Presidential Contest: North Carolina, September 2024 - Marist North Carolina Poll\|website=Marist Poll\|date=September 26, 2024}}</ref>
			\|rowspan="2"\|September 19−24, 2024
			\|1,507 (RV)
			\|± 3.5%
			\|48%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''49%'''
			\|3%{{#tag:ref\|"Another party's candidates" with 1%\|name="APC1"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|1,348 (LV)
			\|± 3.7%
			\|'''49%'''
			\|'''49%'''
			\|2%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="APC1"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|The Bullfinch Group<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65fc824cf835683ce2d3549b/66f2fc6cef3551afcccb8041_Independent%20Center%20Sep%202024%20SE%20Swing%20Survey%20Toplines.pdf\|title=Independent Center September 2024 SE Swing Survey Toplines\|website=The Independent Center\|date=September 24, 2024}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|Poll conducted for The Independent Center\|name=icenter\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-09-23" \|September 20–23, 2024
			\|600 (RV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|48%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''49%'''
			\|3%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/election_2024_trump_3_in_n_c_harris_3_in_virginia_tied_in_michigan\|title=Election 2024: Trump +3 in N.C, Harris +3 in Virginia, Tied in Michigan\|website=Rasmussen Reports\|date=September 27, 2024}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|Poll sponsored by ]\|name=AT\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-09-22" \|September 19−22, 2024
			\|1,078 (LV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\| style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''49%'''
			\|46%
			\|5%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="Other2"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2" \|]/]<ref name="NYTSept17-21-NorthCarolina">{{#invoke:cite news\|\|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/23/us/politics/times-siena-polls-arizona-georgia-north-carolina.html\|title=Trump Shows Signs of Strength in Sun Belt Battlegrounds, Polls Find\|first1=Adam\|last1=Nagourney\|first2=Ruth\|last2=Igielnik\|first3=Camille\|last3=Baker\|work=The New York Times \|date=September 23, 2024\|via=NYTimes.com}}</ref>
			\| rowspan="2" \|September 17–21, 2024
			\|682 (RV)
			\|rowspan="2"\|± 4.2%
			\| style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''48%'''
			\|47%
			\|5%
			\|-
			\|682 (LV)
			\| style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''49%'''
			\|47%
			\|4%
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|title=An in-depth examination of North Carolina voter attitudes on important current issues \|url=https://www.meredith.edu/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/Meredith-Poll-Report-September-2024.docx.pdf \|publisher=] \|access-date=30 September 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-09-18" \|September 18−20, 2024
			\|802 (LV)
			\|± 3.5%
			\|'''48%'''
			\|'''48%'''
			\|4%{{#tag:ref\|"Third party candidates" & "Undecided" with 2%\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;"\|Victory Insights<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Cqm7dyeTxFQGSbW2BH6YQqbv0plTVv7C/view\|title=NORTH CAROLINA POLL: DONALD TRUMP LEADS, MARK ROBINSON TRAILS\|first=Ben\|last=Galbraith\|website=]\|date=September 19, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-09-18" \|September 16−18, 2024
			\|600 (LV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''49%'''
			\|45%
			\|6%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://emersoncollegepolling.com/september-2024-swing-state-polls-trump-and-harris-locked-in-tight-presidential-race/\|title=September 2024 Swing State Polls: Trump and Harris Locked in Tight Presidential Race\|website=Emerson College Polling\|date=September 19, 2024}}</ref>
			\|rowspan="2"\|September 15–18, 2024
			\|rowspan="2"\|1,000 (LV)
			\|rowspan="2"\|± 3.0%
			\|48%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''49%'''
			\|3%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="SE1"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|49%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="lean"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''50%'''
			\|1%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="SE1"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="MCTracking"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-09-18" \|September 9−18, 2024
			\|1,314 (LV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|47%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''49%'''
			\|4%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)<ref name="AARPSept11-17">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/topics/voter-opinion-research/politics/north-carolina-older-voter-survey-2024.doi.10.26419-2fres.00813.038.pdf\|title=NORTH CAROLINA VOTER SURVEY - Sep 2024\|website=AARP\|date=September 25, 2024}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|Poll commissioned by ]\|name=AARP\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-09-17" \|September 11–17, 2024
			\|600 (LV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''50%'''
			\|47%
			\|3%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="Other1"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|TIPP Insights<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|title=New Battleground Poll – Trump Pulls Ahead, Post Debate \|url=https://amgreatness.com/2024/09/13/new-battleground-poll-trump-pulls-ahead-post-debate/ \|publisher=American Greatness \|access-date=14 September 2024 \|date=13 September 2024}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=AG\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-09-12" \|September 11–13, 2024
			\|973 (LV)
			\|± 3.2%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''49%'''
			\|46%
			\|5%
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.elon.edu/u/elon-poll/elon-poll-september-24-2024/\|title=Elon Poll finds Harris, Trump too close to call in N.C., and Stein with double-digit lead in governor's race\|website=Elon University\|date=September 24, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-09-13" \|September 4−13, 2024
			\|800 (RV)
			\|± 3.8%
			\|45%
			\| style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''46%'''
			\|9%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="AC3"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/NC-24-General-0913_Report.pdf\|title=North Carolina Presidential Survey - September 2024\|website=The Trafalgar Group\|date=September 13, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-09-12" \|September 11–12, 2024
			\|1,094 (LV)
			\|± 2.9%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''48%'''
			\|46%
			\|6%{{#tag:ref\|"Other" with 2%\|name="Other2"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2" \|Quantus Insights (R)<ref name="QPN Sept11-12">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://quantus.substack.com/p/2024-presidential-election-survey-d1d?r=42r82k\|title=2024 Presidential Election Survey: A Tight Race in North Carolina\|website=]\|date=September 13, 2024}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|Poll sponsored by TrendingPolitics\|name=TP\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\|rowspan="2"\|September 11–12, 2024
			\|rowspan="2"\|815 (LV)
			\|rowspan="2"\|± 3.4%
			\| style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''48%'''
			\|47%
			\|5%{{#tag:ref\|"Some other candidate" with 3%\|name="SOC3"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\| style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''50%'''
			\|48%
			\|2%{{#tag:ref\|"Would not vote" with 2%\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;" \|]<ref name="QSept4-8">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3904\|title=Swing State Poll 2024: North Carolina: Harris vs. Trump Too Close To Call, Georgia: Trump Has Slight Edge In Tight Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; NC Governor's Race: Stein Leads Robinson 51% - 41%\|website=Quinnipiac University Poll\|date=September 9, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-09-08" \|September 4–8, 2024
			\|940 (LV)
			\|± 3.2%
			\|47%
			\| style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''50%'''
			\|3%{{#tag:ref\|"Someone else" with 2%\|name="SE2"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="MCTracking">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-election-state-polls\|title=Tracking the 2024 Election: State by State\|first1=Cameron\|last1=Easley\|first2=Eli\|last2=Yokley\|website=Morning Consult\|date=September 9, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-09-08" \|August 30 – September 8, 2024
			\|1,369 (LV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|'''48%'''
			\|'''48%'''
			\|4%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.wral.com/story/harris-has-slight-edge-in-neck-and-neck-race-with-trump-in-nc-wral-news-poll-shows/21616373/\|title=Harris has slight edge in neck-and-neck race with Trump in NC, WRAL News Poll shows\|first=Will\|last=Doran\|date=September 9, 2024\|website=WRAL}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|Poll sponsored by ]\|name=WRAL\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-09-07" \|September 4–7, 2024
			\|900 (LV)
			\|± 4.9%
			\|46%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''49%'''
			\|5%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"\|]/]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.faupolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/Mainstreet_NC_Sept_2024_Public-1.pdf\|title=Mainstreet Research Survey - North Carolina\|website=FAU Polling\|date=September 9, 2024}}</ref>
			\|rowspan="2"\|September 5–6, 2024
			\|692 (RV)
			\|rowspan="2"\|± 3.7%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''47%'''
			\|46%
			\|7%{{#tag:ref\|"Another candidate" with 3%\|name="AC3"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|619 (LV)
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''48%'''
			\|47%
			\|5%{{#tag:ref\|"Another candidate" with 2%\|name="AC2"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;" \|Patriot Polling<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://patriotpolling.com/our-polls/f/trump-and-harris-in-dead-heat\|title=Trump and Harris in dead heat\|website=Patriot Polling\|date=September 5, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-09-03" \|September 1–3, 2024
			\|804 (RV)
			\|–
			\| style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''50%'''
			\|48%
			\|2%
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;" \|InsiderAdvantage (R)<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://insideradvantage.com/north-carolina-trump-leads-harris-by-one-point-rounded-numbers-below-tabs/\|title=North Carolina: Trump Leads Harris by One Point; (Rounded Numbers Below Tabs)\|date=August 31, 2024\|website=InsiderAdvantage}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-08-31" \|August 29–31, 2024
			\|800 (LV)
			\|± 3.5%
			\| style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''49%'''
			\|48%
			\|3%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="AC2"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;" \|ActiVote<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.activote.net/trump-and-harris-exactly-tied-in-north-carolina/\|title=Trump and Harris exactly tied in North Carolina\|first=Victor \|last=Allis \|website=ActiVote\|date=August 31, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-08-31" \|August 6–31, 2024
			\|400 (LV)
			\|± 4.9%
			\|'''50%'''
			\|'''50%'''
			\|–
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://emersoncollegepolling.com/august-2024-swing-state-polls-toss-up-presidential-election-in-swing-states/\|title=August 2024 Swing State Polls: Toss-up Presidential Election in Swing States\|website=Emerson Polling\|date=August 29, 2024}}</ref>
			\|rowspan="2"\|August 25–28, 2024
			\|rowspan="2"\|775 (LV)
			\|rowspan="2"\|± 3.5%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''49%'''
			\|48%
			\|3%
			\|-
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''50%'''{{#tag:ref\|\|name="lean"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|49%
			\|1%{{#tag:ref\|"Someone else" with 1%\|name="SE1"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|SoCal Strategies (R)<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://substack.com/home/post/p-148195967\|title=On Point/On Point/Red Eagle Politics/SoCal Strategies North Carolina Poll\|website=]\|date=August 27, 2024}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|Poll sponsored by On Point Politics & Red Eagle Politics\|name=OPREP\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-08-27" \|August 26–27, 2024
			\|612 (LV)
			\|–
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''50%'''
			\|46%
			\|4%
			\|-
			\| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;" \|]/]<ref name="BloombergAug23-26-NorthCarolina">{{#invoke:cite news\|\|url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-29/election-2024-poll-harris-leads-or-ties-with-trump-in-swing-states \|title=Harris Edges Trump in Key States, With Sun Belt Now Up for Grabs \|first1=Gregory \|last1=Korte \|newspaper= Bloomberg \|date=August 29, 2024}}</ref>
			\| rowspan="2" \|August 23–26, 2024
			\|645 (LV)
			\|rowspan="2"\|± 4.0%
			\|'''49%'''
			\|'''49%'''
			\|2%
			\|-
			\|700 (RV)
			\|47%
			\| style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''49%'''
			\|4%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="FoxAug23-26">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-harris-closes-gap-trump-sun-belt-states\|title=Fox News Poll: Harris closes gap with Trump in Sun Belt states\|first1=Victoria\|last1=Balara\|first2=Dana\|last2=Blanton\|website=Fox News\|date=August 28, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-08-26 \|August 23–26, 2024
			\|999 (RV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''50%'''
			\|49%
			\|1%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="Other1"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|- style="background:lightyellow;"
			\| style="border-right-style:hidden;" \|
			\| style="border-right-style:hidden; " data-sort-value="2024-08-21" \| August 23, 2024
			\| colspan="5" \| ] suspends ] and endorses Donald Trump.
			\|- style="background:lightyellow;"
			\| style="border-right-style:hidden;" \|
			\| style="border-right-style:hidden; " data-sort-value="2024-08-22" \| August 22, 2024
			\| colspan="5" \| ] concludes
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"\|]/]<ref>{{#invoke:cite news\|\|url=https://www.highpoint.edu/blog/2024/08/hpu-poll-north-carolina-presidential-race-remains-close/\|title=HPU Poll: North Carolina Presidential Race Remains Close\|date=August 22, 2024\|website=High Point University}}</ref>
			\|rowspan="2"\|August 19–21, 2024
			\|1,053 (RV)
			\|rowspan="2"\|± 4.0%
			\|45%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''46%'''
			\|9%
			\|-
			\|941 (LV)
			\|'''47%'''
			\|'''47%'''
			\|6%
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;" \|Spry Strategies (R)<ref name="SpryAug14-20">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://americanprinciplesproject.org/elections/new-app-polling-trump-leads-3-of-5-swing-states-voters-reject-democrats-cultural-extremism/\|title=New APP Polling: Trump Leads in 3 of 5 Swing States, Voters Reject Democrats' Cultural Extremism\|website=American Principles Project\|date=August 29, 2024}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|Poll sponsored by the American Principles Project\|name=APP\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-08-20" \|August 14–20, 2024
			\|600 (LV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|'''47%'''
			\|'''47%'''
			\|6%
			\|- style="background:lightyellow;"
			\| style="border-right-style:hidden;" \|
			\| style="border-right-style:hidden; " data-sort-value="2024-08-19" \| August 19, 2024
			\| colspan="5" \| ] begins
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Focaldata<ref name="semafor.com">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.semafor.com/article/08/18/2024/harris-leads-trump-in-five-of-seven-battlegrounds-poll\|title=Harris leads Trump in five of seven battlegrounds: poll\|last1=Chalfant \|first1=Morgan \|last2=Sarlin \|first2= Benjy\|date=August 19, 2024\|website=]}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-08-16" \|August 6–16, 2024
			\|702 (LV)
			\|± 3.7%
			\|'''50%'''
			\|'''50%'''
			\|–
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"\|]/]<ref name="NYTAug9-14">{{#invoke:cite news\|\|url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/08/17/us/elections/times-siena-poll-north-carolina-toplines.html\|title= Toplines: August 2024 Times/Siena Poll of Registered Voters in North Carolina\|work=The New York Times \|date=August 17, 2024\|via=NYTimes.com}}</ref>
			\|rowspan="2"\|August 9–14, 2024
			\|655 (RV)
			\|rowspan="2"\|± 4.2%
			\|46%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''49%'''
			\|5%
			\|-
			\|655 (LV)
			\|47%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''49%'''
			\|4%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/NC-24-General-0809_Report.pdf\|title=North Carolina Statewide Presidential Survey - August 2024\|website=The Trafalgar Group\|date=August 10, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-07-29" \|August 6–8, 2024
			\|1,082 (LV)
			\|± 2.9%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''49%'''
			\|45%
			\|6%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Navigator Research (D)<ref name="NRJul31-Aug8-NorthCarolina">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://navigatorresearch.org/navigating-the-vote-2024-presidential-battleground/\|title=Navigating the Vote: 2024 Presidential Battleground\|last1=Russell \|first1=Rachael \|date=August 20, 2024\|website=Navigator Research}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-08-08" \|July 31 – August 8, 2024
			\|600 (LV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''48%'''
			\|46%
			\|6%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]/BSG (R)/]<ref name="CookJul26-Aug8-NorthCarolina">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/survey-research/2024-swing-state-project/fight-redefine-2024-race-president\|title=The Fight To Redefine the 2024 Race for President\|first=Amy\|last=Walter\|date=August 14, 2024\|website=]}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-08-08" \|July 26 – August 8, 2024
			\|403 (LV)
			\|–
			\|47%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''48%'''
			\|5%
			\|- style="background:lightyellow;"
			\| style="border-right-style:hidden;" \|
			\| style="border-right-style:hidden; " data-sort-value="2024-08-06" \| August 6, 2024
			\| colspan="5" \| Kamala Harris ] Gov. ] as her running mate.
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]/]<ref name="NC-auto2">{{#invoke:cite news\|\|url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-30/kamala-harris-erases-trump-s-swing-state-lead-in-2024-election-poll\|title=Kamala Harris Wipes Out Trump's Swing-State Lead in Election Dead Heat\|first1=Nancy \|last1=Cook \|first2=Michael \|last2=Sasso \|newspaper=Bloomberg \|date=July 30, 2024\|via=www.bloomberg.com}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-07-28" \|July 24–28, 2024
			\|706 (RV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''48%'''
			\|46%
			\|6%
			\|-
			\|- style="background:lightyellow;"
	\| style="border-right-style:hidden; background:lightyellow;" \|		\| style="border-right-style:hidden; background:lightyellow;" \|
	\| style="border-right-style:hidden; ~~background:lightyellow;~~" \| ~~January~~ 20, ~~2021~~		\| style="border-right-style:hidden; " data-sort-value="2024-07-21" \| July 21, 2024
			\| colspan="5" \| Joe Biden announces ] from the race; Kamala Harris declares ] for president.
	\| colspan="17" style="background:lightyellow;" \| ]
			\|- style="background:lightyellow;"
			\| style="border-right-style:hidden;" \|
			\| style="border-right-style:hidden; " data-sort-value="2024-07-15" \| July 15–19, 2024
			\| colspan="5" \| ]
			\|- style="background:lightyellow;"
			\| style="border-right-style:hidden;" \|
			\| style="border-right-style:hidden; " data-sort-value="2024-07-13" \| July 13, 2024
			\| colspan="5" \| ]
	\|-		\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]/]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://pro-assets.morningconsult.com/wp-uploads/2024/05/Bloomberg-Election-Tracking-Wave-8-Toplines-Crosstabs.pdf\|title=Bloomberg Election Tracking Wave 8 Toplines Crosstabs\|website=Morning Consult\|date=May 22, 2024}}</ref>
	\| rowspan=2\|
			\| data-sort-value="2024-05-22" \|May 7–13, 2024
	\| rowspan=2\|Nov 30 – December 2, 2020
	\| ~~rowspan=2\|221~~ (RV)		\|704 (RV)
			\|± 4.0%
	\| rowspan=2\|± 7%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''50%'''
	\| 3%
			\|40%
	\| –
	\| 6%		\|10%
			\|-
	\| –
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="NC-auto6">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://emersoncollegepolling.com/north-carolina-2024-poll-trump-47-biden-44/\|title=North Carolina 2024 Poll: Trump 47%, Biden 44%\|first=Camille\|last=Mumford\|date=February 21, 2024\|website=Emerson Polling}}</ref>
	\| 3%
			\| data-sort-value="2024-02-21" \|February 14–16, 2024
			\|1,000 (RV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''50%'''
			\|41%
			\|9%
			\|}

			'''Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver'''

			'''Aggregate polls'''

			{\| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:17px"
			!Source of poll<br />aggregation
			!Dates<br />administered
			!Dates<br />updated
			! class="unsortable" \|]<br /><small>{{No bold\|]}}</small>
			! class="unsortable" \|]<br /><small>{{No bold\|]}}</small>
			! class="unsortable" \|]<br /><small>{{No bold\|]}}</small>
			! class="unsortable" \|]<br /><small>{{No bold\|]}}</small>
			! class="unsortable" \|]<br /><small>{{No bold\|]}}</small>
			! class="unsortable" \| Others/<br />Undecided<br />{{#tag:ref\|Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.\|name=difference\|group=lower-alpha}}
			!Margin
			\|-
			\|]<ref></ref>
			\|through October 2, 2024
			\|October 15, 2024
			\|47.1%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''47.8%'''
			\|1.0%
			\|0.8%
			\|{{N/A}}
			\|3.3%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''Trump +0.8%'''
			\|-
			\|]<ref></ref>
			\|October 1 – 11, 2024
			\|October 11, 2024
			\|46.6%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''47.0%'''
			\|0.8%
			\|1.0%
			\|0.5%
			\|4.1%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''Trump +0.4%'''
			\|-
			\|colspan="3" \|'''Average'''
			\|47.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''47.5%'''
			\|0.8%
			\|0.8%
			\|0.6%
			\|3.3%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''Trump +0.5%'''
			\|}

			{\| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;line-height:17px"
			\|- valign=bottom
			! Poll source
			! Date(s)<br />administered
			! Sample<br />size{{#tag:ref\|\|name=key\|group=lower-alpha}}
			! Margin<br />of error
			! class="unsortable" \| Donald<br />Trump<br />{{No bold\|Republican}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Kamala<br />Harris<br />{{No bold\|Democratic}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Cornel<br />West<br />{{No bold\|Independent}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Jill<br />Stein<br />{{No bold\|Green}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Chase<br />Oliver<br />{{No bold\|Libertarian}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Other /<br />Undecided
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;" rowspan="4"\|HarrisX<ref name="HarrisXNov3-5"/>
			\|rowspan="4"\|November 3–5, 2024
			\|rowspan="2"\|1,815 (RV)
			\|rowspan="4"\|± 2.3%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''48%'''
			\|46%
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|–
			\|4%
			\|-
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''49.0%'''{{#tag:ref\|\|name="lean"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|48.5%
			\|1.6%
			\|0.9%
			\|–
			\|–
			\|-
			\|rowspan="2"\|1,600 (LV)
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''49%'''
			\|48%
			\|1%
			\|0%
			\|–
	\|2%		\|2%
			\|-
	\|{{party shading/Republican}}\|'''76%{{efn\|name=standardvi}}'''
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''49.2%'''{{#tag:ref\|\|name="lean"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|49.0%
			\|1.2%
			\|0.6%
			\|–
			\|–
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|AtlasIntel<ref name="AtlasNov3-4"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-11-04" \|November 3–4, 2024
			\|1,219 (LV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''50%'''
			\|48%
			\|–
			\|1%
			\|0%
			\|1%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="Other1"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|AtlasIntel<ref name="AtlasNov1-2"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-11-02" \|November 1–2, 2024
			\|1,310 (LV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''50%'''
			\|47%
			\|–
			\|1%
			\|0%
			\|2%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="Other1"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"\|]/]<ref name="NYTOct28-Nov2"/>
			\|rowspan="2"\|October 28 – November 2, 2024
			\|1,010 (RV)
			\|rowspan="2"\|± 3.5%
			\|43%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''47%'''
			\|0%
			\|0%
			\|1%
			\|9%
			\|-
			\|1,010 (LV)
			\|45%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''48%'''
			\|0%
			\|0%
			\|0%
			\|7%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;" rowspan="3"\|Focaldata<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.focaldata.com/blog/our-final-report-on-the-us-presidential-election\|title=Our final report on the US presidential election\|website=Focaldata\|date=November 4, 2024}}</ref>
			\|rowspan="3"\|October 3 – November 1, 2024
			\|1,787 (LV)
			\|–
			\|'''48%'''
			\|'''48%'''
			\|–
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|2%
			\|-
			\|1,785 (RV)
			\|± 2.2%
			\|46%
			\|style="background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''50%'''
			\|–
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|2%
			\|-
			\|1,987 (A)
			\|–
			\|46%
			\|style="background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''48%'''
			\|–
			\|2%
			\|1%
			\|4%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|AtlasIntel<ref name="AtlasOct30-31"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-10-31" \|October 30–31, 2024
			\|1,373 (LV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''51%'''
			\|47%
			\|–
			\|1%
			\|0%
			\|1%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Redfield & Wilton Strategies<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/final-us-swing-states-voting-intention-28-31-october/\|title=Final US Swing States Voting Intention (28-31 October)\|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies\|date=November 1, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-10-31" \|October 28–31, 2024
			\|1,123 (LV)
			\|–
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''48%'''
			\|47%
			\|–
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|3%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"\|]<ref name="SAY24Oct25-31"/>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=times\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\|rowspan="2"\|October 25–31, 2024
			\|987 (RV)
			\|rowspan="2"\|± 4.2%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''48%'''
			\|47%
			\|0%
			\|1%
			\|–
			\|4%
			\|-
			\|949 (LV)
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''49%'''
			\|48%
			\|0%
			\|1%
			\|–
			\|2%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|AtlasIntel<ref name="AtlasOct25-29"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-10-29" \|October 25–29, 2024
			\|1,665 (LV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|'''48%'''
			\|'''48%'''
			\|–
			\|1%
			\|0%
			\|3%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="Other1"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com/pr/trump-up-2-points-over-harris-in-north-carolina-as-election-day-nears-josh-stein-maintains-comfortable-lead-over-mark-robinson-in-race-for-nc-governor\|title=Trump Up 2 Points over Harris in North Carolina as Election Day Nears; Josh Stein Maintains Comfortable Lead Over Mark Robinson in Race for NC Governor \|first1=Peter\|last1=Francia\|first2=Jonathan\|last2=Morris\|website=ECU Center for Survey Research\|date=November 4, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-10-29" \|October 24–29, 2024
			\|1,250 (LV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''50%'''
			\|48%
			\|0%
			\|0%
			\|0%
			\|2%
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;" \|]/SSRS<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/31/politics/cnn-poll-georgia-north-carolina/index.html\|title=CNN Polls: Harris and Trump remain neck and neck in Georgia and North Carolina \|first1=Jennifer\|last1=Agiesta\|first2=Ariel\|last2=Edwards-Levy\|first3=Edward\|last3=Wu\|website=CNN\|date=October 31, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-10-28" \|October 23–28, 2024
			\|750 (LV)
			\|± 4.5%
			\|47%
			\|style="background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''48%'''
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|2%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Redfield & Wilton Strategies<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-25-27-october-2024/\|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (25-27 October 2024) \|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies\|date=October 29, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-10-27" \|October 25–27, 2024
			\|770 (LV)
			\|–
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''48%'''
			\|46%
			\|–
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|4%
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;"\|]/]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.uml.edu/docs/2024-Oct31-NC-Topline_tcm18-392299.pdf\|title=UMass Lowell / YouGov - Survey of North Carolina Likely Voters\|date=October 31, 2024\|website=University of Massachusetts Lowell}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-10-23" \|October 16–23, 2024
			\|650 (LV)
			\|± 4.2%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''47%'''
			\|45%
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|0%
			\|6%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="Terry0"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Redfield & Wilton Strategies<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-20-22-october-2024/\|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (20 – 22 October 2024)
			\|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies\|date=October 25, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-10-22" \|October 20–22, 2024
			\|679 (LV)
			\|–
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''48%'''
			\|47%
			\|–
			\|1%
			\|0%
			\|4%
			\|-
			\| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;" \|]/]<ref name="BloombergOct16-20"/>
			\| rowspan="2" \|October 16–20, 2024
			\|755 (RV)
			\| rowspan="2" \|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''49%'''
			\|46%
			\|–
			\|1%
			\|3%
			\|1%
			\|-
			\|702 (LV)
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''49%'''
			\|48%
			\|–
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Redfield & Wilton Strategies<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-16-18-october-2024/\|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (16 – 18 October 2024)\|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies\|date=October 21, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-10-18" \|October 16–18, 2024
			\|843 (LV)
			\|–
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''48%'''
			\|45%
			\|–
			\|1%
			\|0%
			\|6%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|AtlasIntel<ref name="AtlasOct12-17"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-10-17" \|October 12–17, 2024
			\|1,674 (LV)
			\|± 2.0%
			\|49%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''50%'''
			\|0%
			\|1%
			\|0%
			\|–
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Cygnal (R)<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.carolinajournal.com/trump-harris-neck-and-neck-in-nc-as-presidential-race-enters-closing-weeks/\|title=Trump, Harris neck-and-neck in NC as presidential race enters closing weeks\|first=David\|last=Bass\|date=October 17, 2024\|website=The Carolina Journal}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=Cjournal\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-10-15" \|October 6–15, 2024
			\|600 (LV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|'''47%'''
			\|'''47%'''
			\|1%
			\|0%
			\|1%
			\|4%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="Terry0"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Redfield & Wilton Strategies<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-12-14-october-2024/\|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (12 – 14 October 2024)\|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies\|date=October 16, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-10-14" \|October 12–14, 2024
			\|620 (LV)
			\|–
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''48%'''
			\|46%
			\|–
			\|0%
			\|1%
	\|5%		\|5%
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;" \|]<ref name="QOct10-14"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-10-14" \|October 10–14, 2024
			\|1,031 (LV)
			\|± 3.1%
			\|47%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''49%'''
			\|0%
			\|0%
			\|1%
			\|3%{{#tag:ref\|\|name=Terry0\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Redfield & Wilton Strategies<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-27-september-2-october-2024/\|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (27 September – 2 October 2024)\|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies\|date=October 7, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-10-02" \|September 27 – October 2, 2024
			\|753 (LV)
			\|–
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''47%'''
			\|45%
			\|–
			\|1%
			\|0%
			\|7%
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;" \|]<ref name="QSept25-29"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-09-29" \|September 25–29, 2024
			\|953 (LV)
			\|± 3.2%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''49%'''
			\|47%
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|0%
			\|2%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="Terry0"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com/pr/trump-lead-harris-by-two-in-north-carolina-josh-stein-opens-large-lead-over-mark-robinson-in-race-for-nc-governor\|title=Trump Leads Harris by Two in North Carolina; Josh Stein Opens Large Lead over Mark Robinson in Race for NC Governor\|first1=Peter\|last1=Francia\|first2=Jonathan\|last2=Morris\|website=ECU Center for Survey Research\|date=September 30, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-09-26" \|September 23–26, 2024
			\|1,005 (LV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''49%'''
			\|47%
			\|0%
			\|0%
			\|1%
			\|3%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|AtlasIntel<ref name="AtlasSept20-25"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-09-25" \|September 20–25, 2024
			\|1,173 (LV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|47%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''51%'''
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|0%
			\|–
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;" \|]/SSRS<ref>{{#invoke:cite news\|\|url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/27/politics/cnn-poll-harris-trump-north-carolina-nebraska/index.html\|title=CNN Poll: Harris and Trump are tied in North Carolina, while vice president leads in Nebraska's 2nd District\|first=Ariel\|last=Edwards-Levy\|website=CNN\|date=September 27, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-09-25" \|September 20–25, 2024
			\|931 (LV)
			\|± 3.9%
			\|'''48%'''
			\|'''48%'''
			\|1%
			\|0%
			\|1%
			\|2%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]/BSG (R)/]<ref name="CookSept19-25"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-09-25" \|September 19–25, 2024
			\|411 (LV)
			\|–
			\|46%
			\| style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''49%'''
			\|1%
			\|2%
			\|–
			\|2%
			\|-
			\| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;" \|]/]<ref name="BloombergSept19-25"/>
			\| rowspan="2" \|September 19–25, 2024
			\|889 (RV)
			\| rowspan="2" \|± 3.0%
			\|46%
			\| style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''48%'''
			\|–
			\|1%
			\|3%
			\|2%
			\|-
			\|828 (LV)
			\|47%
			\| style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''49%'''
			\|–
			\|0%
			\|2%
			\|2%
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"\|]<ref name="FoxSept20-24-NorthCarolina"/>
			\|rowspan="2"\|September 20−24, 2024
			\|991 (RV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|47%
			\| style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''48%'''
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|2%
			\|-
			\|787 (LV)
			\|± 3.5%
			\| style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''49%'''
			\|47%
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2" \|]/]<ref name="NYTSept17-21-NorthCarolina"/>
			\| rowspan="2" \|September 17–21, 2024
			\|682 (RV)
			\|rowspan="2"\|± 4.2%
			\|'''46%'''
			\|'''46%'''
			\|–
			\|0%
			\|1%
			\|7%
			\|-
			\|682 (LV)
			\| style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''47%'''
			\|45%
			\|–
			\|0%
			\|1%
			\|7%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.meredith.edu/news/latest-meredith-poll-illustrates-n-c-s-2024-battleground-status/\|title=Latest Meredith Poll Illustrates N.C.'s 2024 Battleground Status\|website=Meredith College\|date=September 27, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-09-20" \|September 18–20, 2024
			\|802 (LV)
			\|± 3.5%
			\|'''48%'''
			\|'''48%'''
			\|0%
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|2%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="Terry0"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Redfield & Wilton Strategies<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-16-19-september-2024/\|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (16 – 19 September 2024)\|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies\|date=September 23, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-09-19" \|September 16–19, 2024
			\|868 (LV)
			\|–
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''48%'''
			\|47%
			\|–
			\|0%
			\|0%
			\|5%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)<ref name="AARPSept11-17"/>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=AARP\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-09-17" \|September 11–17, 2024
			\|600 (LV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''48%'''
			\|46%
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|3%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Cygnal (R)<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.carolinajournal.com/trump-harris-tied-in-new-nc-poll-of-likely-voters/\|title=Trump, Harris tied in new CJ poll of likely voters in North Carolina\|first=David\|last=Bass\|date=September 19, 2024\|website=The Carolina Journal}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|Poll sponsored by The Carolina Journal\|name=Cjournal\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-09-16" \|September 15–16, 2024
			\|600 (LV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''46%'''
			\|45%
			\|2%
			\|0%
			\|1%
			\|6%{{#tag:ref\|Randall Terry (C) with 0%\|name="Terry0"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Redfield & Wilton Strategies<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-6-9-september-2024/\|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (6 – 9 September 2024)\|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies\|date=September 10, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-09-06" \|September 6–9, 2024
			\|495 (LV)
			\|–
			\|44%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''45%'''
			\|–
			\|0%
			\|0%
			\|11%
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;" \|]<ref name="QSept4-8"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-09-08" \|September 4–8, 2024
			\|940 (LV)
			\|± 3.2%
			\|46%
			\| style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''49%'''
			\|0%
			\|1%
			\|0%
			\|4%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="SE1"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/Times_SAY24_20240904_state_poll_results_XTElWNX.pdf#page=99\|title=The Times / SAY Poll: North Carolina\|website=YouGov\|date=September 5, 2024}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=times\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-09-03" \|August 23 – September 3, 2024
			\|1,000 (RV)
			\|± 3.9%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''47%'''
			\|46%
			\|0%
			\|1%
			\|–
			\|6%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="Other1"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com/pr/north-carolina-election-heats-up-trump-leads-harris-by-1-point-in-north-carolina-stein-widens-advantage-over-robinson-in-race-for-governor\|title=North Carolina Election Heats Up: Trump leads Harris by 1 point in North Carolina; Stein widens advantage over Robinson in race for Governor\|first1=Peter\|last1=Francia\|first2=Jonathan\|last2=Morris\|website=ECU Center for Survey Research\|date=September 3, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-08-28" \|August 26–28, 2024
			\|920 (LV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''48%'''
			\|47%
			\|0%
			\|0%
			\|1%
			\|4%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Redfield & Wilton Strategies<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-25-28-august-2024/\|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (25 – 28 August 2024)\|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies\|date=August 30, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-08-28" \|August 25–28, 2024
			\|1,071 (LV)
			\|–
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''45%'''
			\|44%
			\|–
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|9%
			\|-
			\| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;" \|]/]<ref name="BloombergAug23-26-NorthCarolina"/>
			\| rowspan="2" \|August 23–26, 2024
			\|700 (RV)
			\|rowspan="2"\|± 4.0%
			\|47%
			\| style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''48%'''
			\|–
			\|1%
			\|2%
			\|2%
			\|-
			\|645 (LV)
			\|'''48%'''
			\|'''48%'''
			\|–
			\|1%
			\|2%
			\|1%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="FoxAug23-26"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-08-26 \|August 23–26, 2024
			\|999 (RV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''48%'''
			\|47%
			\|2%
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|1%{{#tag:ref\|"Other" with 1%\|name="Other1"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|}

			<!-- = = = don't edit the line below = = = -->
			<noinclude>{{hidden begin\|titlestyle=background:#CFF\|title=Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.\|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}
			<!-- = = = don't edit the line above = = = -->
			'''Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver'''
			{\| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;line-height:17px"
			\|- valign=bottom
			! Poll source
			! Date(s)<br />administered
			! Sample<br />size{{#tag:ref\|\|name=key\|group=lower-alpha}}
			! Margin<br />of error
			! class="unsortable" \| Donald<br />Trump<br />{{No bold\|Republican}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Kamala<br />Harris<br />{{No bold\|Democratic}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Robert F.<br />Kennedy Jr<br />{{No bold\|Independent}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Cornel<br />West<br />{{No bold\|Independent}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Jill<br />Stein<br />{{No bold\|Green}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Chase<br />Oliver<br />{{No bold\|Libertarian}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Other /<br />Undecided
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"\|]<ref name="FoxOct24-28"/>
			\|rowspan="2"\|October 24–28, 2024
			\|1,113 (RV)
			\|rowspan="2"\|± 3.0%
			\|47%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''48%'''
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|-
			\|872 (LV)
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''49%'''
			\|47%
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|–
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="WSJSept28-Oct8"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-10-08" \|September 28 – October 8, 2024
			\|600 (RV)
			\|± 5.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''46%'''
			\|45%
			\|0%
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|2%
			\|5%
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;" \|]/North Star Opinion Research (R)<ref name="PGPFSept23-29"/>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=PGPF\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-09-29" \|September 23–29, 2024
			\|401 (LV)
			\|± 4.9%
			\|'''47%'''
			\|'''47%'''
			\|0%
			\|0%
			\|0%
			\|0%
	\|6%		\|6%
	\|-		\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;" \|Spry Strategies (R)<ref name="SpryAug14-20"/>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=APP\|group=upper-alpha}}
	\| 9%
			\| data-sort-value="2024-08-20" \|August 14–20, 2024
	\| –
	\| 9%		\|600 (LV)
			\|± 4.0%
	\|{{party shading/Republican}}\|'''48%'''
	\| 9%		\|45%
			\| style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''47%'''
	\|3%		\|3%
	\| –		\|–
			\|1%
			\|–
	\|4%		\|4%
	\|~~18%~~		\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;" rowspan="3"\|Focaldata<ref name="semafor.com"/>
			\|rowspan="3"\|August 6–16, 2024
			\|702 (LV)
			\|rowspan="3"\|± 3.7%
			\|46%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''47%'''
			\|5%
			\|–
			\|1%
			\|0%
			\|1%
			\|-
			\|702 (RV)
			\|44%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''47%'''
			\|6%
			\|–
			\|1%
			\|0%
			\|2%
			\|-
			\|702 (A)
			\|43%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''47%'''
			\|7%
			\|–
			\|1%
			\|0%
			\|2%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Redfield & Wilton Strategies<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-12-15-august-2024/\|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (12 – 15 August 2024)\|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies\|date=August 19, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-08-15" \|August 12–15, 2024
			\|601 (LV)
			\|–
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''47%'''
			\|44%
			\|2%
			\|–
			\|0%
			\|1%
			\|6%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"\|]/]<ref name="NYTAug9-14"/>
			\|rowspan="2"\|August 9–14, 2024
			\|655 (RV)
			\|rowspan="2"\|± 4.2%
			\|42%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''45%'''
			\|5%
			\|0%
			\|2%
			\|1%
			\|4%
			\|-
			\|655 (LV)
			\|44%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''46%'''
			\|4%
			\|0%
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|4%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://carolinaforward.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Carolina-ForwardYouGov-August-2024-Toplines.pdf\|title=Carolina Forward August 2024 - Toplines\|website=Carolina Forward\|date=August 11, 2024}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|Poll sponsored by Carolina Forward\|name=CarolinaFWD1\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\|August 5–9, 2024
			\|802 (RV)
			\|± 3.9%
			\|'''46%'''
			\|'''46%'''
			\|2%
			\|0%
			\|0%
			\|0%
			\|5%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Navigator Research (D)<ref name="NRJul31-Aug8-NorthCarolina"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-08-08" \|July 31 – August 8, 2024
			\|600 (LV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|'''46%'''
			\|'''46%'''
			\|3%
			\|0%
			\|1%
			\|0%
			\|4%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]/BSG (R)/]<ref name="CookJul26-Aug8-NorthCarolina"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-08-08" \|July 26 – August 8, 2024
			\|403 (LV)
			\|–
			\|44%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''46%'''
			\|4%
			\|0%
			\|1%
			\|–
			\|5%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Cygnal (R)<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.carolinajournal.com/polls/with-harris-as-presidential-nominee-race-tightens-in-north-carolina\|title=August 2024 – With Harris as Presidential Nominee, Race Tightens in North Carolina\|date=August 9, 2024\|website=The Carolina Journal}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=Cjournal\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-08-05" \|August 4–5, 2024
			\|600 (LV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''47%'''
			\|44%
			\|4%
			\|–
			\|0%
			\|1%
			\|4%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Redfield & Wilton Strategies<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-31-july-3-august-2024/\|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (31 July – 3 August 2024)\|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies\|date=August 6, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-08-03" \|July 31 – August 3, 2024
			\|714 (LV)
			\|–
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''44%'''
			\|41%
			\|4%
			\|–
			\|0%
			\|1%
			\|10%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]/]<ref name="NC-auto2"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-07-28" \|July 24–28, 2024
			\|706 (RV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''45%'''
			\|44%
			\|5%
			\|–
			\|0%
			\|4%
			\|2%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Redfield & Wilton Strategies<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-22-24-july-2024/\|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (22-24 July 2024)\|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies\|date=July 25, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-07-26" \|July 22–24, 2024
			\|586 (LV)
			\|–
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''46%'''
			\|43%
			\|4%
			\|–
			\|0%
			\|0%
			\|7%
	\|}		\|}

			'''Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein'''
	==General election==
			{\| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;line-height:17px"
	===Polling===
			\|- valign=bottom
	;Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
			! Poll source
			! Date(s)<br />administered
			! Sample<br />size{{#tag:ref\|\|name=key\|group=lower-alpha}}
			! Margin<br />of error
			! class="unsortable" \| Donald<br />Trump<br />{{No bold\|Republican}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Kamala<br />Harris<br />{{No bold\|Democratic}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Robert F.<br />Kennedy Jr.<br />{{No bold\|Independent}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Jill<br />Stein<br />{{No bold\|Green}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Other /<br />Undecided
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="NC-auto17">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240722_swing_PPP.pdf\|title=Battleground State Surveys Show Harris can Defeat Trump\|website=]\|date=July 21, 2024}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|Poll conducted for Clean and Prosperous America PAC\|name=clean\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-07-21" \|July 17–20, 2024
			\|573 (RV)
			\|± 4.1%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''48%'''
			\|44%
			\|2%
			\|2%
			\|4%
			\|}
			{{hidden end}}
			<noinclude>
			{{hidden begin\|titlestyle=background:#CFF\|title=Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden\|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}
			]
			'''Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden'''
	<!-- Leave graph hidden until there is a primary victor --><!--		<!-- Leave graph hidden until there is a primary victor --><!--
	{{Graph:Chart		{{Graph:Chart
Line 162:		Line 1,916:
	\| y1Title=Trump		\| y1Title=Trump
	\| y2Title=Biden		\| y2Title=Biden
	\| y3Title=~~Other/Undecided~~		\| y3Title=Kennedy Jr
			\| y4Title=Other/Undecided
	\| type=line		\| type=line
	\|xGrid= \|yGrid=		\|xGrid= \|yGrid=
	\| x= 2022/05/20, 2022/07/24, 2022/08/06		\| x= 2022/05/20, 2022/07/24, 2022/08/06, 2022/09/10, 2022/09/16, 2022/10/02, 2022/10/08, 2022/10/29, 2023/01/12, 2023/03/27, 2023/06/07, 2023/09/5, 2023/10/05, 2023/11/07
	\| y1= 46, 48, 45		\| y1= 46, 48, 45, 46, 47, 43, 44, 51, 45, 43, 43, 46, 43, 47, 40, 48
	\| y2= 37, 41, 39		\| y2= 37, 41, 39, 45, 42, 45, 44, 40, 48, 45, 40, 42, 38, 43, 39, 39
	\| y3= 16, 11, 17		\| y3= 16, 11, 17, 9, 11, 12, 12, 9, 7, 12, 18, 12, 20, 10, 22, 13

	\| colors = #~~3333FF~~, #~~E81B23~~, #DDDDDD,		\| colors = #E81B23, #3333FF, #DDDDDD,
	\| showSymbols = 0.8,0.8,0.8		\| showSymbols = 0.8,0.8,0.8
	\| symbolsShape = circle		\| symbolsShape = circle
	}}-->		}}-->
	{\| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"		{\| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;line-height:17px"
	\|- valign=bottom		\|- valign=bottom
	! Poll source		! Poll source
	! Date(s)<br/>administered		! Date(s)<br />administered
	! Sample<br/>size{{~~efn~~\|name=key}}		! Sample<br />size{{#tag:ref\|\|name=key\|group=lower-alpha}}
	! Margin<br/>of error		! Margin<br />of error
	! class="unsortable" \| Donald<br/>Trump<br/~~><small~~>{{~~nobold~~\|Republican}}~~</small>~~		! class="unsortable" \| Donald<br />Trump<br />{{No bold\|Republican}}
	! class="unsortable" \| Joe<br/>Biden<br/~~><small~~>{{~~nobold~~\|Democratic}}~~</small>~~		! class="unsortable" \| Joe<br />Biden<br />{{No bold\|Democratic}}
	! class="unsortable" \| Other /<br/>Undecided		! class="unsortable" \| Other /<br />Undecided
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;"\|Quantus Insights (R)<ref name="QPN Sept11-12"/>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=TP\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-09-12" \|September 11–12, 2024
			\|815 (LV)
			\|± 3.4%
			\| style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" \|'''49%'''
			\|42%
			\|9%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="SOC3"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="NC-auto17"/>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=clean\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-07-21" \|July 17–20, 2024
			\|573 (RV)
			\|± 4.1%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''50%'''
			\|46%
			\|4%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="NC-auto">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://emersoncollegepolling.com/july-2024-swing-state-polls/\|title=July 2024 Swing State Polls\|first=Camille\|last=Mumford\|date=July 18, 2024\|website=Emerson Polling}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=DNext\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-07-18" \|July 15–16, 2024
			\|1,000 (RV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''48%'''
			\|41%
			\|11%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Echelon Insights<ref name="EIJul1-8">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://netchoice.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/NetChoice-July-2024-Biden-Antitrust-Survey-Topline-1.pdf\|title=NetChoice June 2024 Antitrust Survey Topline\|website=NetChoice\|date=July 29, 2024}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|Poll sponsored by NetChoice\|name=NC\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-07-08" \|July 1–8, 2024
			\|610 (LV)
			\|± 5.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''47%'''
			\|45%
			\|8%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]/]<ref name="NC-auto22">{{#invoke:cite news\|\|url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-06/biden-narrows-trump-s-election-lead-in-key-states-after-debate-poll\|title=Biden Narrows Gap With Trump in Swing States Despite Debate Loss\|first1= Gregory \|last1=Korte \|first2=Mark \|last2= Niquette\|newspaper=Bloomberg \|date=July 6, 2024\|via=www.bloomberg.com}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-07-06" \|July 1–5, 2024
			\|696 (RV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''46%'''
			\|43%
			\|11%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Spry Strategies (R)<ref name="NC-auto19">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.carolinajournal.com/opinion/poll-lawfare-backfires-on-biden-as-trump-stays-strong-in-nc/\|title=Poll: Lawfare backfires on Biden, as Trump stays strong in NC\|first=Dallas\|last=Woodhouse\|date=June 17, 2024\|website=The Carolina Journal}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-06-17" \|June 7–11, 2024
			\|600 (LV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''48%'''
			\|44%
			\|8%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com/pr/trump-leads-biden-by-5-points-in-north-carolina-gubernatorial-election-remains-close-with-stein-up-1-on-robinson-trump-guilty-verdict-has-little-impact-on-nc-voter-intentions-for-november\|title=Trump leads Biden by 5 points in North Carolina; Gubernatorial election remains close with Stein up 1 on Robinson; Trump guilty verdict has little impact on NC voter intentions for November\|first1=Peter\|last1=Francia\|first2=Jonathan\|last2=Morris\|website=ECU Center for Survey Research\|date=June 8, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-06-03" \|May 31 – June 3, 2024
			\|1,332 (LV)
			\|± 3.1%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''48%'''
			\|43%
			\|9%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|North Star Opinion Research (R)<ref name="NC-auto23">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://cdn.amgreatness.com/app/uploads/2024/06/LAW-May-NC-Toplines.pdf\|title=SURVEY OF NORTH CAROLINA LIKELY VOTERS - MAY 29–JUNE 2, 2024\|website=American Greatness\|date=June 3, 2024}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|Poll sponsored by American Greatness\|name=AG\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-06-03" \|May 29 – June 2, 2024
			\|600 (LV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''49%'''
			\|41%
			\|10%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/north_carolina_voters_want_stronger_immigration_enforcement\|title=North Carolina Voters Want Stronger Immigration Enforcement\|website=Rasmussen Reports\|date=June 6, 2024}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|Poll sponsored by ]\|name=NUSA\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-06-05" \|May 26–27, 2024
			\|1,053 (LV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''51%'''
			\|43%
			\|6%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="ForwardMay13–18">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://docs.google.com/document/d/1n0slwwadxhk19S_J0cHDUyYWh6ufQs-kAyPBpgk0s9c/edit\|title=Carolina Forward - NC Statewide - Toplines - May 2024\|website=]\|date=May 22, 2024}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=forward\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-05-22" \|May 13–18, 2024
			\|835 (LV)
			\|± 3.8%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''45%'''
			\|43%
			\|12%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Prime Group<ref name="NC-auto4">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240522_prime_CSOR.pdf\|title=Swing State Poll: Biden and Trump in a Tight Race, Kennedy Struggles to Qualify for Debate\|website=]\|date=May 22, 2024}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump and third party candidates\|name=citizens\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-05-22" \|May 9–16, 2024
			\|472 (RV)
			\|–
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''51%'''
			\|49%
			\|–
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]/]<ref name="NC-auto8">{{#invoke:cite news\|\|url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-05-22/violence-around-2024-election-feared-by-half-of-swing-state-voters-poll\|title=Half of Swing-State Voters Fear Violence Around US Election\|first=Gregory \|last=Korte \|newspaper=Bloomberg\|date=May 22, 2024\|via=www.bloomberg.com}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-05-22" \|May 7–13, 2024
			\|704 (RV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''49%'''
			\|42%
			\|9%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]/BSG (R)/]<ref name="NC-auto5">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/survey-research/2024-swing-state-project/unique-election-driven-traditional-issue\|title=A Unique Election Driven by a Traditional Issue\|first1=Amy\|last1=Walter\|first2=David\|last2=Wasserman\|date=May 24, 2024\|website=Cook Political Report}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-05-23" \|May 6–13, 2024
			\|601 (LV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''48%'''
			\|41%
			\|11%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.highpoint.edu/src/files/2023/08/103memo.pdf\|title=HIGH POINT UNIVERSITY POLL 103 :: MEMO RELEASE 5/22/2024\|website=High Point University\|date=May 22, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-05-23" \|May 5–9, 2024
			\|804 (RV)
			\|± 3.2%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''44%'''
			\|42%
			\|14%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"\|]<ref name="NC-auto12">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://emersoncollegepolling.com/trump-holds-edge-over-biden-in-seven-key-swing-state-polls/\|title=Trump Holds Edge Over Biden in Seven Key Swing State Polls\|first=Camille\|last=Mumford\|date=April 30, 2024\|website=Emerson Polling}}</ref>
			\|rowspan="2"\|April 25–29, 2024
			\|rowspan="2"\|1,000 (RV)
			\|rowspan="2"\|± 3.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''47%'''
			\|42%
			\|11%
			\|-
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''52%'''{{#tag:ref\|With voters who lean towards a given candidate\|name="lean"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|48%
			\|–
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="Kennedy24">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.kennedy24.com/biden_real_spoiler_kennedy_only_candidate_who_can_beat_trump\|title=Biden Is the Real Spoiler, Kennedy Only Candidate Who Can Beat Trump\|website=Kennedy24\|date=May 1, 2024}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|Poll conducted for ]\|name=Kennedy\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-05-01" \|April 13–21, 2024
			\|641 (LV)
			\|–
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''49%'''
			\|45%
			\|6%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]/]<ref name="NC-auto21">{{#invoke:cite news\|\|url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-24/biden-trails-trump-in-6-of-7-key-states-poll-shows-election-2024\|title=Biden's Gains Against Trump Vanish on Deep Economic Pessimism, Poll Shows\|first=Gregory\|last=Korte\|newspaper=Bloomberg \|date=April 24, 2024\|via=www.bloomberg.com}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-04-24" \|April 8–15, 2024
			\|703 (RV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''51%'''
			\|41%
			\|8%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4603458-trump-leads-biden-in-north-carolina-poll/\|title=Trump leads Biden in North Carolina: Poll\|first=Julia\|last=Mueller\|newspaper=]\|date=April 19, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-04-19" \|April 9–13, 2024
			\|635 (RV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''49%'''
			\|43%
			\|8%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="NC-auto11">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3895\|title=North Carolina 2024: Trump On Upside Of Too-Close-To-Call Race, Quinnipiac University North Carolina Poll Finds; Governor's Race: Stein Leads Robinson 52% - 44%\|date=April 10, 2024\|website=Quinnipiac University Poll}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-04-10" \|April 4–8, 2024
			\|1,401 (RV)
			\|± 2.6%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''48%'''
			\|46%
			\|6%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.highpoint.edu/blog/2024/04/hpu-poll-n-c-registered-voters-say-inflation-and-national-security-are-top-issues-for-d-c/\|title=HPU Poll: N.C. Registered Voters Say Inflation and National Security Are Top Issues for D.C.\|website=High Point University\|date=April 11, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-04-11" \|March 22–30, 2024
			\|829(RV)
			\|± 3.4%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''45%'''
			\|42%
			\|14%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="NC-auto1">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://s.wsj.net/public/resources/documents/WSJ_Swing_States_Partial_March_2024.pdf\|title=Wall Street Journal Targeted Presidential States Multimodal Survey\|website=The Wall Street Journal\|date=April 2, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-04-02" \|March 17–24, 2024
			\|600 (RV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''49%'''
			\|43%
			\|8%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="NC-auto15">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-battleground-2024-north-carolina/\|title=The Battleground 2024: North Carolina\|website=Marist Poll\|date=March 20, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-03-20" \|March 11–14, 2024
			\|1,197 (RV)
			\|± 3.6%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''51%'''
			\|48%
			\|1%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]/]<ref name="NC-auto7">{{#invoke:cite news\|\|url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-03-26/election-2024-poll-biden-gains-on-trump-in-six-swing-states\|title=Biden Gains Ground Against Trump in Six Key States, Poll Shows\|first=Gregory\|last=Korte\|newspaper=Bloomberg \|date=March 26, 2024\|via=www.bloomberg.com}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-03-26" \|March 8–12, 2024
			\|699 (RV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''49%'''
			\|43%
			\|8%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.wral.com/story/trump-leads-in-nc-as-biden-struggles-with-younger-voters-wral-news-poll-shows/21323732/\|title=Trump leads in NC as Biden struggles with younger voters, WRAL News poll shows\|first=Will\|last=Doran\|date=March 11, 2024\|website=WRAL}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=WRAL\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-03-11" \|March 3–9, 2024
			\|598 (LV)
			\|± 4.9%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''50%'''
			\|45%
			\|5%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Cygnal (R)<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.carolinajournal.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/21726-JLF-NC-March-24-Toplines.pdf\|title=Survey of Likely General Election Voters North Carolina Statewide\|website=The Carolina Journal\|date=March 12, 2024}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=JLF\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-03-12" \|March 6–7, 2024
			\|600 (LV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''45%'''
			\|40%
			\|15%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]/]<ref name="NC-auto16">{{#invoke:cite news\|\|url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-02-29/biden-age-worries-swing-state-voters-trump-seen-as-dangerous-poll-shows\|title=Biden Is Too Old But Trump Is Dangerous, Swing-State Poll Shows\|first=Gregory\|last=Korte\|newspaper=Bloomberg \|date=February 29, 2024\|via=www.bloomberg.com}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-02-29" \|February 12–20, 2024
			\|704 (RV)
			\|± 5.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''50%'''
			\|41%
			\|9%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="NC-auto6"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-02-21" \|February 14–16, 2024
			\|1,000 (RV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''47%'''
			\|44%
			\|9%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="NC-auto10">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-biden-north-carolina-support\|title=Fox News Poll: Trump ahead of Biden in North Carolina with 50% support\|first=Victoria\|last=Balara\|date=February 14, 2024\|website=Fox News}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-02-14" \|February 8–12, 2024
			\|1,099 (RV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''50%'''
			\|45%
			\|5%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.meredith.edu/news/meredith-poll-explores-primary-preferences-opinions-on-policy-issues-and-importance-of-democracy/\|title=Meredith Poll Explores Primary Preferences, Opinions on Policy Issues, and Importance of Democracy\|first=Melyssa\|last=Allen\|website=Meredith College\|date=February 5, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-02-05" \|January 26–31, 2024
			\|760 (RV)
			\|± 3.5%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''44%'''
			\|39%
			\|17%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]/]<ref>{{#invoke:cite news\|\|url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-31/trump-guilty-verdict-loses-half-of-key-state-voters-in-election-2024\|title=Trump Risks Losing More Than Half of Swing-State Voters If Found Guilty\|first1=Jordan\|last1=Fabian\|first2=Gregory\|last2=Korte\|newspaper=Bloomberg \|date=January 31, 2024\|via=www.bloomberg.com}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-01-31" \|January 16–21, 2024
			\|706 (RV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''49%'''
			\|39%
			\|12%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]/]<ref>{{#invoke:cite news\|\|url=https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2024-us-election-key-state-voter-polling/december-2023-poll/\|title=Biden Forgave Billions in Student Debt. Poll Shows It's Not Enough For Gen Z\|first1=Nancy\|last1=Cook\|first2=Jennah\|last2=Haque\|first3=Gregory\|last3=Korte\|first4=Denise\|last4=Lu\|first5=Elena\|last5=Mejía\|newspaper=Bloomberg \|date=December 14, 2023\|via=www.bloomberg.com}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2023-12-14" \|November 27 – December 6, 2023
			\|704 (RV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''49%'''
			\|40%
			\|11%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]/]<ref>{{#invoke:cite news\|\|url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-11-09/trump-leads-biden-with-key-state-voters-on-israel-hamas-war-immigration#xj4y7vzkg\|title=Biden's Focus Is on Foreign Conflicts, But Swing-State Voter Worries Are Closer to Home\|first1=Gregory\|last1=Korte\|first2=Iain\|last2=Marlow\|newspaper=Bloomberg\|date=November 9, 2023\|via=www.bloomberg.com}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2023-11-09" \|October 30 – November 7, 2023
			\|702 (RV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''48%'''
			\|39%
			\|13%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://c7p4g5i9.rocketcdn.me/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/Meredith-Poll-Report-November-2023.docx.pdf\|title=An in-depth examination of North Carolina voter attitudes on important current issues\|work=Meredith College\|date=November 5, 2023}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2023-11-05" \|November 1–5, 2023
			\|755 (RV)
			\|± 3.5%
			\|39%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''40%'''
			\|22%{{#tag:ref\|"Someone else" with 17%\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]/]<ref>{{#invoke:cite news\|\|url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-10-19/trump-leads-biden-in-key-us-states-as-voters-worry-about-economy-poll\|title=Trump Is Winning Over Swing-State Voters Wary of Biden's Economic Plan\|first1=Nancy\|last1=Cook\|first2=Gregory\|last2=Korte\|newspaper=Bloomberg\|date=October 19, 2023\|via=www.bloomberg.com}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2023-10-19" \|October 5–10, 2023
			\|702 (RV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''47%'''
			\|43%
			\|10%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Redfield & Wilton Strategies<ref name="NC-auto9">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-7-9-october-2023/\|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (7-9 October 2023)\|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies\|date=October 15, 2023}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2023-10-15" \|October 7–9, 2023
			\|736 (LV)
			\| –
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''43%'''
			\|38%
			\|20%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://carolinaforward.org/blog/reproductive-freedom-amendment/\|title=NC Voters Want a Reproductive Freedom Constitutional Amendment – Carolina Forward\|website=Carolina Forward\|date=September 11, 2023}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|Poll sponsored by Carolina Forward\|name=forward\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2023-09-11" \|September 1–5, 2023
			\|914 (LV)
			\|± 3.6%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''46%'''
			\|42%
			\|12%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"\|Prime Group<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/23872659/no-labels.pdf\|title=Survey of Registered Voters Nationwide AZ, GA, MI, NC, NV, PA, WI\|work=Prime Group\|date=July 13, 2023}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=citizens\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\|rowspan="2"\| June 14–28, 2023
			\|rowspan="2"\|500 (RV)
			\|rowspan="2"\|–
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''54%'''
			\|46%
			\|–
			\|-
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''45%'''
			\|37%
			\|18%{{#tag:ref\|] candidate\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Opinion Diagnostics<ref name="NC-auto13">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.opiniondiagnostics.com/nc-elections-and-policy-poll\|title=NC Elections and Policy Poll\|website=Opinion Diagnostics\|date=June 8, 2023}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2023-06-08" \|June 5–7, 2023
			\|902 (LV)
			\|± 3.3%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''43%'''
			\|40%
			\|18%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Cygnal (R)<ref name="NC-auto18">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.johnlocke.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/20783-JLF-NC-Mar23-Toplines.pdf\|title=Survey of Likely General Election Voters North Carolina Statewide\|website=The John Locke Foundation\|date=March 27, 2023}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=JLF\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2023-03-27" \|March 26–27, 2023
			\|605 (LV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|43%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''45%'''
			\|12%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Differentiators (R)<ref name="NC-auto20">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://ncvalues.org/pr-robinson-narrowly-leads-stein-desantis-over-biden-trump/\|title=PR: Robinson narrowly leads Stein, DeSantis over Biden & Trump\|first=Laura\|last=Macklem\|website=NC Values Coalition\|date=January 25, 2023}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|Poll sponsored by NC Values Coalition, a sponsor of the Republican Party\|name=NCVC\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2023-01-12" \|January 9–12, 2023
			\|500 (LV)
			\|± 4.5%
			\|45%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''48%'''
			\|7%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://emersoncollegepolling.com/north-carolina-2022-budd-holds-five-point-lead-over-beasley-for-us-senate/\|title=North Carolina 2022: Budd Holds Five-Point Lead Over Beasley for US Senate\|first=Camille\|last=Mumford\|date=November 2, 2022\|website=Emerson Polling}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2022-10-29" \|October 27–29, 2022
			\|1,000 (LV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''51%'''
			\|40%
			\|9%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://carolinaforward.org/blog/2024-election-preview/\|title=A Preview of What's to Come in 2024\|website=Carolina Forward\|date=November 28, 2022}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=forward\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2022-10-08" \|October 7–8, 2022
			\|606 (RV)
			\|–
			\|'''44%'''
			\|'''44%'''
			\|12%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.wral.com/story/who-would-win-nc-in-2024-biden-and-trump-neck-and-neck-in-hypothetical-rematch-wral-news-poll-shows/20505030/\|title=Who would win NC in 2024? Biden and Trump neck-and-neck in hypothetical rematch, WRAL poll shows\|first=Bryan\|last=Anderson\|date=October 3, 2022\|website=WRAL}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=WRAL\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2022-10-02" \|September 28 – October 2, 2022
			\|918 (RV)
			\|± 3.9%
			\|43%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''45%'''
			\|12%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://myfox8.com/news/north-carolina/the-race-tightens-beasley-closes-in-on-budd-in-latest-north-carolina-senate-poll/\|title=The race tightens: Beasley closes in on Budd in latest North Carolina Senate poll\|date=September 20, 2022}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2022-09-16" \|September 15–16, 2022
			\|1,000 (LV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''47%'''
			\|42%
			\|11%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com/pr/ecu-poll-shows-budd-with-narrow-lead-over-beasley\|title=ECU Poll Shows Budd With Narrow Lead Over Beasley\|first1=Peter\|last1=Francia\|first2=Jonathan\|last2=Morris\|website=ECU Center for Survey Research\|date=September 13, 2022}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2022-09-10" \|September 7–10, 2022
			\|1,020 (LV)
			\|± 3.6%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''46%'''
			\|45%
			\|9%
	\|-		\|-
	\|style="text-align:left;"\|		\|style="text-align:left;"\|Blueprint Polling (D)<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://chismstrategies.com/dobbs-decision-tilts-nc-senate-race-toward-beasley/\|title=Dobbs Decision Tilts NC Senate Race Toward Beasley\|first=Amy\|last=LeMenager\|website=Chism Strategies \|date=August 9, 2022}}</ref>
	\|August 4–6, 2022		\| data-sort-value="2022-08-06" \|August 4–6, 2022
	\|656 (LV)		\|656 (LV)
	\|± 3.8%		\|± 3.8%
	\|{{~~party~~ ~~shading~~/~~Republican~~}}\|'''45%'''		\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''45%'''
	\|39%		\|39%
	\|17%		\|17%
	\|-		\|-
	\|style="text-align:left;"\|{{~~efn-ua~~\|~~This poll was~~ conducted for John Bolton Super PAC\|name="BoltonPAC"}}		\|style="text-align:left;"\|PEM Management Corporation (R)<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://boltonsuperpac.com/pdfs/crostabs_07282022.pdf\|title=Bolton Super PAC Crosstabs\|website=Bolton Super PAC\|date=July 28, 2022}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|Poll conducted for the ]\|name="BoltonPAC"\|group=upper-alpha}}
	\|July 22–24, 2022		\| data-sort-value="2022-07-24" \|July 22–24, 2022
	\|300 (LV)		\|300 (LV)
	\|± 5.7%		\|± 5.7%
	\|{{~~party~~ ~~shading~~/~~Republican~~}}\|'''48%'''		\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''48%'''
	\|41%		\|41%
	\|11%		\|11%
	\|-		\|-
	\|style="text-align:left;"\|		\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com/pr/ecu-poll-ted-budd-leads-cheri-beasley-by-eight-points-among-registered-voters-in-north-carolina-republicans-lead-generic-congressional-vote-by-three-in-nc-biden-s-approval-rating-at-just-thirty-five-percent-in-the-tar-heel-state\|title=ECU Poll: Ted Budd leads Cheri Beasley by eight points among registered voters in North Carolina; Republicans lead generic congressional vote by three in NC; Biden's approval rating at just thirty-five percent in the Tar Heel state\|first1=Peter\|last1=Francia\|first2=Jonathan\|last2=Morris\|website=ECU Center for Survey Research\|date=May 23, 2022}}</ref>
	\|May 19–20, 2022		\| data-sort-value="2022-05-20" \|May 19–20, 2022
	\|635 (RV)		\|635 (RV)
	\|± 4.5%		\|± 4.5%
	\|{{~~party~~ ~~shading~~/~~Republican~~}}\|'''46%'''		\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''46%'''
	\|37%		\|37%
	\|16%		\|16%
	\|}		\|}

			'''Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein'''
	== See also ==
			{\| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;line-height:17px"
			\|- valign=bottom
			! Poll source
			! Date(s)<br />administered
			! Sample<br />size{{#tag:ref\|\|name=key\|group=lower-alpha}}
			! Margin<br />of error
			! class="unsortable" \| Donald<br />Trump<br />{{nobold\|Republican}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Joe<br />Biden<br />{{nobold\|Democratic}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Robert<br />Kennedy Jr<br />{{nobold\|Independent}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Cornel<br />West<br />{{nobold\|Independent}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Jill<br />Stein<br />{{nobold\|Green}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Other /<br />Undecided
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="NC-auto17"/>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=clean\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-07-21" \|July 17–20, 2024
			\|573 (RV)
			\|± 4.1%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''48%'''
			\|42%
			\|2%
			\|–
			\|2%
			\|6%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Redfield & Wilton Strategies<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-16-18-july-2024/\|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (16-18 July 2024)\|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies\|date=July 21, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-07-18" \|July 16–18, 2024
			\|461 (LV)
			\|–
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''45%'''
			\|39%
			\|5%
			\|–
			\|1%
			\|10%{{#tag:ref\|Chase Oliver (L) with 1%\|name="Oliver1"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="NC-auto"/>{{#tag:ref\|Poll sponsored by Democrats for the Next Generation PAC\|name=DNext\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-07-18" \|July 15–16, 2024
			\|1,000 (RV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''47%'''
			\|38%
			\|6%
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|7%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="Oliver1"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://ygo-assets-websites-editorial-emea.yougov.net/documents/Times_SAY24_20240712_state_poll_results.pdf#page=102\|title=The Times / SAY Poll: North Carolina\|website=YouGov\|date=July 15, 2024}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|Poll conducted for '']'', ], ], and ]\|name=times\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-07-15" \|July 4–12, 2024
			\|1,000 (RV)
			\|± 3.7%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''44%'''
			\|40%
			\|4%
			\|0%
			\|1%
			\|11%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Redfield & Wilton Strategies<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-8-10-july-2024/\|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (8-10 July 2024)\|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies\|date=July 15, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-07-10" \|July 8–10, 2024
			\|420 (LV)
			\|–
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''44%'''
			\|42%
			\|4%
			\|–
			\|1%
			\|9%{{#tag:ref\|Chase Oliver (L) with 0%\|name="Oliver0"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Echelon Insights<ref name="EIJul1-8"/>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=NC\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-07-08" \|July 1–8, 2024
			\|610 (LV)
			\|± 5.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''43%'''
			\|41%
			\|7%
			\|2%
			\|1%
			\|6%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="Oliver1"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]/]<ref name="NC-auto22"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-07-06" \|July 1–5, 2024
			\|696 (RV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''42%'''
			\|40%
			\|7%
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|9%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="Oliver1"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Redfield & Wilton Strategies<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-8-11-june-2024/\|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (8-11 June 2024)\|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies\|date=June 17, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-07-10" \|June 8–11, 2024
			\|534 (LV)
			\|–
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''43%'''
			\|40%
			\|7%
			\|–
			\|1%
			\|9%{{#tag:ref\|\|name="Oliver0"\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|North Star Opinion Research (R)<ref name="NC-auto23"/>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=AG\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-06-03" \|May 29 – June 2, 2024
			\|600 (LV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''44%'''
			\|32%
			\|9%
			\|3%
			\|2%
			\|10%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Prime Group<ref name="NC-auto4"/>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=citizens\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-05-22" \|May 9–16, 2024
			\|472 (RV)
			\|–
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''45%'''
			\|42%
			\|11%
			\|2%
			\|1%
			\|–
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]/]<ref name="NC-auto8"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-05-22" \|May 7–13, 2024
			\|704 (RV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''46%'''
			\|38%
			\|7%
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|7%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]/BSG (R)/]<ref name="NC-auto5"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-05-23" \|May 6–13, 2024
			\|601 (LV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''44%'''
			\|36%
			\|8%
			\|3%
			\|1%
			\|8%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="NC-auto12"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-04-30" \|April 25–29, 2024
			\|1,000 (RV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''46%'''
			\|37%
			\|6%
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|9%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Meeting Street Insights (R)<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://carolinaleader.com/new-poll-predicts-a-bumpy-general-election-ride/\|title=New CLC Poll Predicts a Bumpy Election Ride\|website=Carolina Leader\|date=May 29, 2024}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|Poll sponsored by Carolina Partnership for Reform & Carolina Leadership Coalition\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-05-29" \|April 25–28, 2024
			\|500 (RV)
			\|± 4.4%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''40%'''
			\|35%
			\|11%
			\|–
			\|2%
			\|12%{{#tag:ref\|Charles Ballay (L) with 2%\|group=lower-alpha}}
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]/]<ref name="NC-auto21"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-04-24" \|April 8–15, 2024
			\|703 (RV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''48%'''
			\|38%
			\|5%
			\|1%
			\|0%
			\|8%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="NC-auto11"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-04-10" \|April 4–8, 2024
			\|1,401 (RV)
			\|± 2.6%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''41%'''
			\|38%
			\|12%
			\|3%
			\|3%
			\|3%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="NC-auto1"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-04-02" \|March 17–24, 2024
			\|600 (RV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''42%'''
			\|34%
			\|10%
			\|2%
			\|1%
			\|11%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]/]<ref name="NC-auto7"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-03-26" \|March 8–12, 2024
			\|699 (RV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''45%'''
			\|39%
			\|7%
			\|1%
			\|0%
			\|8%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]/]<ref name="NC-auto16"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-02-29" \|February 12–20, 2024
			\|704 (RV)
			\|± 5.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''45%'''
			\|35%
			\|9%
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|9%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="NC-auto6"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-02-21" \|February 14–16, 2024
			\|1,000 (RV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''46%'''
			\|37%
			\|5%
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|10%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="NC-auto14">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com/pr/mark-robinson-and-josh-stein-clear-favorites-to-win-nominations-in-primary-elections-for-governor-likely-general-election-matchup-tied\|title=Mark Robinson and Josh Stein Clear Favorites to win Nominations in Primary Elections for Governor; Likely General Election Matchup Tied\|first1=Peter\|last1=Francia\|first2=Jonathan\|last2=Morris\|website=ECU Center for Survey Research\|date=February 16, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-02-16" \|February 9–12, 2024
			\|1,207 (LV)
			\|± 3.3%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''47%'''
			\|44%
			\|2%
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|5%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="NC-auto10"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-02-14" \|February 8–12, 2024
			\|1,099 (RV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''46%'''
			\|37%
			\|8%
			\|1%
			\|2%
			\|6%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]/]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://pro-assets.morningconsult.com/wp-uploads/2024/01/2401055_Bloomberg_2024-Election-Tracking-Wave-4_Crosstabs_All-States-compressed-1.pdf\|title=Swing States Tracking Poll #2401055\|website=Morning Consult\|date=January 31, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-01-31" \|January 16–21, 2024
			\|706 (RV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''45%'''
			\|32%
			\|9%
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|12%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]/]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://pro-assets.morningconsult.com/wp-uploads/2023/12/231206-Morning-Consult-Bloomberg-2024-Election-Swing-State-Polling.pdf#page=104\|title=Morning Consult/Bloomberg 2024 Election Swing State Polling\|website=Morning Consult\|date=December 14, 2023}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2023-12-14" \|November 27 – December 6, 2023
			\|704 (RV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''45%'''
			\|34%
			\|8%
			\|1%
			\|1%
			\|11%
			\|-
			\|}

			'''Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'''
			{\| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;line-height:17px"
			\|- valign=bottom
			! Poll source
			! Date(s)<br />administered
			! Sample<br />size{{#tag:ref\|\|name=key\|group=lower-alpha}}
			! Margin<br />of error
			! class="unsortable" \| Donald<br />Trump<br />{{nobold\|Republican}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Joe<br />Biden<br />{{nobold\|Democratic}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Robert<br />Kennedy Jr<br />{{nobold\|Independent}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Other /<br />Undecided
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Spry Strategies (R)<ref name="NC-auto19"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-06-06" \|June 7–11, 2024
			\|600 (LV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''45%'''
			\|37%
			\|8%
			\|10%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="ForwardMay13–18"/>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=forward\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-04-11" \|May 13–18, 2024
			\|835 (LV)
			\|± 3.8%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''41%'''
			\|38%
			\|11%
			\|10%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Cygnal (R)<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.carolinajournal.com/polls/robinson-stein-neck-and-neck-for-governors-mansion/\|title=May 2024 – Robinson, Stein neck and neck for governor's mansion\|website=The Carolina Journal\|date=May 9, 2024}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=Cjournal\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-04-11" \|May 4–5, 2024
			\|600 (LV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''43%'''
			\|38%
			\|9%
			\|10%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Redfield & Wilton Strategies<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-2-4-may-2024/\|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (2-4 May 2024)\|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies\|date=May 13, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-05-13" \|May 2–4, 2024
			\|700 (LV)
			\|–
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''44%'''
			\|37%
			\|7%
			\|12%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://c7p4g5i9.rocketcdn.me/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Meredith-Poll-April-2024-Report.docx.pdf\|title=An in-depth examination of North Carolina voter attitudes on important current issues\|work=Meredith College\|date=April 22, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-04-11" \|April 11–17, 2024
			\|711 (LV)
			\|± 3.5%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''41%'''
			\|39%
			\|9%
			\|11%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Cygnal (R)<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.carolinajournal.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/21803-CJ-NC-Apr24-Toplines.pdf\|title=Survey of Likely General Election Voters North Carolina Statewide\|website=The John Locke Foundation\|date=April 11, 2024}}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|Poll sponsored by the ]\|name=JLF\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-04-11" \|April 7–8, 2024
			\|600 (LV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''43%'''
			\|39%
			\|7%
			\|11%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Redfield & Wilton Strategies<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-14-17-march-2024/\|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (14-17 March 2024)\|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies\|date=March 25, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-03-25" \|March 14–17, 2024
			\|642 (LV)
			\|–
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''43%'''
			\|39%
			\|8%
			\|10%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="NC-auto15"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-03-20" \|March 11–14, 2024
			\|1,197 (RV)
			\|± 3.6%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''46%'''
			\|43%
			\|11%
			\|–
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|North Star Opinion Research (R)<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://www.amworkers.com/news\|title=Key Findings from Survey of North Carolina Likely Voters\|first1=Jon\|last1=McHenry\|first2=Dan\|last2=Judy\|date=February 6, 2024\|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240208195956/https://www.amworkers.com/news \|archive-date=February 8, 2024 }}</ref>{{#tag:ref\|Poll sponsored by the League of American Workers\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-02-06" \|January 30 – February 4, 2024
			\|600 (LV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''39%'''
			\|32%
			\|16%
			\|13%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Redfield & Wilton Strategies<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-28-30-december-2023/\|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (28-30 December 2023)\|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies\|date=January 8, 2024}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-01-08" \|December 28–30, 2023
			\|1,220 (LV)
			\|–
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''37%'''
			\|33%
			\|11%
			\|19%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Redfield & Wilton Strategies<ref name="NC-auto3">{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-27-29-november-2023/\|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (27-29 November 2023)\|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies\|date=December 5, 2023}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2023-12-05" \|November 27–29, 2023
			\|620 (LV)
			\|–
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''44%'''
			\|35%
			\|8%
			\|13%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Redfield & Wilton Strategies<ref name="NC-auto9"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2023-10-15" \|October 7–9, 2023
			\|736 (LV)
			\|–
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''41%'''
			\|38%
			\|9%
			\|14%
			\|-
			\|}

			'''Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West'''
			{\| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;line-height:17px"
			\|- valign=bottom
			! Poll source
			! Date(s)<br />administered
			! Sample<br />size{{#tag:ref\|\|name=key\|group=lower-alpha}}
			! Margin<br />of error
			! class="unsortable" \| Donald<br />Trump<br />{{No bold\|Republican}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Joe<br />Biden<br />{{No bold\|Democratic}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Robert F.<br />Kennedy Jr.<br />{{No bold\|Independent}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Cornel<br />West<br />{{No bold\|Independent}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Other /<br />Undecided
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]/]<ref>{{#invoke:cite web\|\|url=https://pro-assets.morningconsult.com/wp-uploads/2023/11/231105-Morning-Consult-Bloomberg-2024-Election-Survey-All-States-Toplines.pdf#page=87\|title=Morning-Consult/Bloomberg 2024 Election Survey All States Toplines\|website=Morning Consult\|date=November 9, 2023}}</ref>
			\| data-sort-value="2023-11-09" \|October 30 – November 7, 2023
			\|702 (RV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''42%'''
			\|33%
			\|9%
			\|2%
			\|14%
			\|-
			\|}
			{{Hidden end}}

			{{hidden begin\|titlestyle=background:#CFF\|title=Hypothetical polling with other candidates\|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}
			'''Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'''
			{\| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;line-height:17px"
			\|- valign=bottom
			! Poll source
			! Date(s)<br />administered
			! Sample<br />size{{#tag:ref\|\|name=key\|group=lower-alpha}}
			! Margin<br />of error
			! class="unsortable" \| Donald<br />Trump<br />{{No bold\|Republican}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Robert F.<br />Kennedy Jr.<br />{{No bold\|Independent}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Other /<br />Undecided
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="Kennedy24"/>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=Kennedy\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-05-01" \|April 13–21, 2024
			\|641 (LV)
			\|–
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''45%'''
			\|39%
			\|16%
			\|}

			'''Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden'''
			{\| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;line-height:17px"
			\|- valign=bottom
			! Poll source
			! Date(s)<br />administered
			! Sample<br />size{{#tag:ref\|\|name=key\|group=lower-alpha}}
			! Margin<br />of error
			! class="unsortable" \| Robert F.<br />Kennedy Jr.<br />{{No bold\|Independent}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Joe<br />Biden<br />{{No bold\|Democratic}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Other /<br />Undecided
			\|-
			\| style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="Kennedy24"/>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=Kennedy\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-05-01" \|April 13–21, 2024
			\|641 (LV)
			\|–
			\|style="background-color:{{party color\|Independent}}"\|'''50%'''
			\|40%
			\|10%
			\|}

			'''Donald Trump vs. Roy Cooper vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein'''
			{\| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;line-height:17px"
			\|- valign=bottom
			! Poll source
			! Date(s)<br />administered
			! Sample<br />size{{#tag:ref\|\|name=key\|group=lower-alpha}}
			! Margin<br />of error
			! class="unsortable" \| Donald<br />Trump<br />{{nobold\|Republican}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Roy<br />Cooper<br />{{nobold\|Democratic}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Robert<br />Kennedy Jr<br />{{nobold\|Independent}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Jill<br />Stein<br />{{nobold\|Green}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Other /<br />Undecided
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="NC-auto17"/>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=clean\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2024-07-21" \|July 17–20, 2024
			\|573 (RV)
			\|± 4.1%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''45%'''
			\|41%
			\|3%
			\|2%
			\|9%
			\|}

			'''Donald Trump vs. Gavin Newsom'''
			{\| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;line-height:17px"
			\|- valign=bottom
			! Poll source
			! Date(s)<br />administered
			! Sample<br />size{{#tag:ref\|\|name=key\|group=lower-alpha}}
			! Margin<br />of error
			! class="unsortable" \| Donald<br />Trump<br />{{No bold\|Republican}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Gavin<br />Newsom<br />{{No bold\|Democratic}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Other /<br />Undecided
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="NC-auto6"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-02-21" \|February 14–16, 2024
			\|1,000 (RV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''49%'''
			\|34%
			\|17%
			\|}

			'''Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden'''
			{\| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;line-height:17px"
			\|- valign=bottom
			! Poll source
			! Date(s)<br />administered
			! Sample<br />size{{#tag:ref\|\|name=key\|group=lower-alpha}}
			! Margin<br />of error
			! class="unsortable" \| Nikki<br />Haley<br />{{No bold\|Republican}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Joe<br />Biden<br />{{No bold\|Democratic}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Other /<br />Undecided
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="NC-auto10"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-02-14" \|February 8–12, 2024
			\|1,099 (RV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''46%'''
			\|41%
			\|13%
			\|}

			'''Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein'''
			{\| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;line-height:17px"
			\|- valign=bottom
			! Poll source
			! Date(s)<br />administered
			! Sample<br />size{{#tag:ref\|\|name=key\|group=lower-alpha}}
			! Margin<br />of error
			! class="unsortable" \| Nikki<br />Haley<br />{{No bold\|Republican}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Joe<br />Biden<br />{{No bold\|Democratic}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Robert F.<br />Kennedy Jr<br />{{No bold\|Independent}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Cornel<br />West<br />{{No bold\|Independent}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Jill<br />Stein<br />{{No bold\|Green}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Other /<br />Undecided
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="NC-auto14"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-02-16" \|February 9–12, 2024
			\|1,207 (LV)
			\|± 3.3%
			\|32%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''40%'''
			\|10%
			\|2%
			\|0%
			\|16%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|]<ref name="NC-auto10"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2024-02-14" \|February 8–12, 2024
			\|1,099 (RV)
			\|± 3.0%
			\|31%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''33%'''
			\|19%
			\|2%
			\|2%
			\|13%
			\|}

			'''Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'''
			{\| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;line-height:17px"
			\|- valign=bottom
			! Poll source
			! Date(s)<br />administered
			! Sample<br />size{{#tag:ref\|\|name=key\|group=lower-alpha}}
			! Margin<br />of error
			! class="unsortable" \| Nikki<br />Haley<br />{{No bold\|Republican}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Joe<br />Biden<br />{{No bold\|Democratic}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Robert F.<br />Kennedy Jr<br />{{No bold\|Independent}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Other /<br />Undecided
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Redfield & Wilton Strategies<ref name="NC-auto3"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2023-12-05" \|November 27–29, 2023
			\|620 (LV)
			\|–
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''36%'''
			\|33%
			\|12%
			\|18%
			\|-
			\|}

			'''Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden'''
			{\| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;line-height:17px"
			\|- valign=bottom
			! Poll source
			! Date(s)<br />administered
			! Sample<br />size{{#tag:ref\|\|name=key\|group=lower-alpha}}
			! Margin<br />of error
			! class="unsortable" \| Ron<br />DeSantis<br />{{No bold\|Republican}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Joe<br />Biden<br />{{No bold\|Democratic}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Other /<br />Undecided
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Opinion Diagnostics<ref name="NC-auto13"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2023-05-07" \|June 5–7, 2023
			\|902 (LV)
			\|± 3.3%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''46%'''
			\|40%
			\|13%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Cygnal (R)<ref name="NC-auto18"/>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=JLF\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2023-03-27" \|March 26–27, 2023
			\|605 (LV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''44%'''
			\|41%
			\|15%
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Differentiators (R)<ref name="NC-auto20"/>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=NCVC\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2023-01-12" \|January 9–12, 2023
			\|500 (LV)
			\|± 4.5%
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''49%'''
			\|44%
			\|7%
			\|}

			'''Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'''
			{\| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;line-height:17px"
			\|- valign=bottom
			! Poll source
			! Date(s)<br />administered
			! Sample<br />size{{#tag:ref\|\|name=key\|group=lower-alpha}}
			! Margin<br />of error
			! class="unsortable" \| Ron<br />DeSantis<br />{{No bold\|Republican}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Joe<br />Biden<br />{{No bold\|Democratic}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Robert F.<br />Kennedy Jr.<br />{{No bold\|Independent}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Other
			! class="unsortable" \| Undecided
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Redfield & Wilton Strategies<ref name="NC-auto3"/>
			\| data-sort-value="2023-12-05" \|November 27–29, 2023
			\|620 (LV)
			\|–
			\|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''38%'''
			\|34%
			\|12%
			\|4%
			\|12%
			\|-
			\|}

			'''Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden'''
			{\| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;line-height:17px"
			\|- valign=bottom
			! Poll source
			! Date(s)<br />administered
			! Sample<br />size{{#tag:ref\|\|name=key\|group=lower-alpha}}
			! Margin<br />of error
			! class="unsortable" \| Mike<br />Pence<br />{{No bold\|Republican}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Joe<br />Biden<br />{{No bold\|Democratic}}
			! class="unsortable" \| Other /<br />Undecided
			\|-
			\|style="text-align:left;"\|Cygnal (R)<ref name="NC-auto18"/>{{#tag:ref\|\|name=JLF\|group=upper-alpha}}
			\| data-sort-value="2023-03-27" \|March 26–27, 2023
			\|605 (LV)
			\|± 4.0%
			\|39%
			\|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"\|'''41%'''
			\|20%
			\|}
			{{hidden end}}</noinclude>

			=== Results ===
			{{Election box begin \|title=2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina<ref>{{cite web\|url=https://dl.ncsbe.gov/?prefix=State_Board_Meeting_Docs/2024-11-26/Canvass/ \|title=NC - State_Composite_Abstract_Report-Contest.pdf \|date=November 26, 2024\|access-date=December 30, 2024}}</ref>}}
			{{Election box winning candidate with party link\|party=Republican Party (United States)\|candidate={{ubl\|]\|]}}\|votes=2,898,424\|percentage=50.86%\|change=+0.93%}}
			{{Election box candidate with party link\|party=Democratic Party (United States)\|candidate={{ubl\|]\|]}}\|votes=2,715,378\|percentage=47.65%\|change=-0.94%}}
			{{Election box candidate with party link\|party=Green Party (United States)\|candidate={{ubl\|]\|]}}\|votes=24,762\|percentage=0.43%\|change=+0.21%}}
			{{Election box candidate with party link\|party=Libertarian Party (United States)\|candidate={{ubl\|]\|]}}\|votes=22,125\|percentage=0.39%\|change=-0.49%}}
			{{Election box candidate\|party=Justice for All\|candidate={{ubl\|]\|]}}\|color=tan\|votes=12,099\|percentage=0.21%\|change=+0.21%}}
			{{Election box candidate with party link\|party=Constitution Party (United States)\|candidate={{ubl\|]\|]}}\|votes=6,863\|percentage=0.12%\|change=-0.02%}}
			{{Election box write-in with party link\|votes=19,494\|percentage=0.33\|change=}}
			{{Election box total\|votes=5,699,145\|percentage=100%}}
			{{Election box end}}

			====By county====
			{{Update\|part=County results\|date=December 2024\|reason=County results needs to be added}}

			{\|width="60%" class="wikitable sortable"
			! rowspan="2" \|County
			! colspan="2" \|Donald Trump<br />Republican
			! colspan="2" \|Kamala Harris<br />Democratic
			! colspan="2" \|Various candidates<br />Other parties
			! colspan="2" \|Margin
			! rowspan="2" \|Total
			\|-
			! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" \|#
			! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" \|%
			! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" \|#
			! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" \|%
			! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" \|#
			! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" \|%
			! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" \|#
			! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" \|%
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|-
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|-
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|-,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|-
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|-,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|-
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|-,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|-
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|-,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|-
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|-,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|-
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|-,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|-
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|-,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|-
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
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			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|,
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\|- style="text-align:center;"
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|]
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Others}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\| {{party shading/Republican}} \|
			\|-
			!Totals!!,,!!!!,,!!!!,!!!!,!!!!,,
			\|}

			====Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican====

			* ] (largest municipality: ])
			* ] (largest municipality: ])
			* ] (largest municipality: ])
			{{align\|right\|{{Switcher\| ]\|Swing by county<br />{{collapsible list\| title = Legend\|
			{{legend\|#aaeeff\|Democratic — +2.5-5%}}\|
			{{legend\|#d5f6ff\|Democratic — +0-2.5%}}\|
			{{legend\|#ffd5d5\|Republican — +0-2.5%}}\|
			{{legend\|#ffaaaa\|Republican — +2.5-5%}}\|
			{{legend\|#ff8080\|Republican — +5-7.5%}}\|
			{{legend\|#ff5555\|Republican — +7.5-10%}}}}\|
			]\|County flips<br />{{collapsible list\| title = Legend\| {{col-begin}}
			{{col-2}}
			'''Democratic'''
			{{legend\|#92c5de\|Hold}}
			{{col-2}}
			'''Republican'''
			{{legend\|#f48882\|Hold}}
			{{legend\|#ca0120\|Gain from Democratic}}
			{{col-end}}}}}}}}

			====By congressional district====
			Trump won 11 of 14 congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat.<ref>{{cite web\|url=https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ZHx5E0-5vuXxcZShBgsAl_vwAntkkanGqYQp0owNjoQ/edit?gid=0#gid=0 \| title=2024 Pres by CD\|website=www.docs.google.com}}</ref>{{User-generated inline\|date=November 2024\|certain=yes}}
			{\|class=wikitable
			! District
			! Trump
			! Harris
			! Representative
			\|- align=center
			! {{party shading/Republican}}\|{{ushr\|North Carolina\|1\|1st}}
			\| '''51.06%'''
			\| 47.97%
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\|]
			\|- align=center
			! {{party shading/Democratic}}\|{{ushr\|North Carolina\|2\|2nd}}
			\| 31.92%
			\| '''66.21%'''
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\|]
			\|- align=center
			! {{party shading/Republican}}\|{{ushr\|North Carolina\|3\|3rd}}
			\| '''60.33%'''
			\| 38.52%
			\| {{party shading/Republican}}\|]
			\|- align=center
			! {{party shading/Democratic}}\|{{ushr\|North Carolina\|4\|4th}}
			\| 26.53%
			\| '''71.81%'''
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\|]
			\|- align=center
			! {{party shading/Republican}}\|{{ushr\|North Carolina\|5\|5th}}
			\| '''58.22%'''
			\| 40.40%
			\| {{party shading/Republican}}\|]
			\|- align=center
			! {{party shading/Republican}}\|{{ushr\|North Carolina\|6\|6th}}
			\| '''58.11%'''
			\| 41.10%
			\| {{party shading/Republican}}\|]
			\|- align=center
			! {{party shading/Republican}}\|{{ushr\|North Carolina\|7\|7th}}
			\| '''56.31%'''
			\| 42.52%
			\| {{party shading/Republican}}\|]
			\|- align=center
			! {{party shading/Republican}}\|{{ushr\|North Carolina\|8\|8th}}
			\| '''59.14%'''
			\| 39.58%
			\| {{party shading/Republican}}\|]
			\|- align=center
			! {{party shading/Republican}}\|{{ushr\|North Carolina\|9\|9th}}
			\| '''57.50%'''
			\| 41.71%
			\| {{party shading/Republican}}\|]
			\|- align=center
			! {{party shading/Republican}}\|{{ushr\|North Carolina\|10\|10th}}
			\| '''58.18%'''
			\| 40.51%
			\| {{party shading/Republican}}\|]
			\|- align=center
			! {{party shading/Republican}}\|{{ushr\|North Carolina\|11\|11th}}
			\| '''53.96%'''
			\| 44.50%
			\| {{party shading/Republican}}\|]
			\|- align=center
			! {{party shading/Democratic}}\|{{ushr\|North Carolina\|12\|12th}}
			\| 25.99%
			\| '''72.22%'''
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\|]
			\|- align=center
			! {{party shading/Republican}}\|{{ushr\|North Carolina\|13\|13th}}
			\| '''57.97%'''
			\| 41.11%
			\| {{party shading/Republican}}\|]
			\|- align=center
			! {{party shading/Republican}}\|{{ushr\|North Carolina\|14\|14th}}
			\| '''57.06%'''
			\| 41.94%
			\| {{party shading/Republican}}\|]
			\|}

			==Analysis==
			Although a ] ] state, North Carolina has been competitive since the late 2000s – a trend primarily attributed to population growth – as the state has been narrowly decided in every presidential election by less than a 4% margin since ], when ] very narrowly carried the state and became the only Democratic presidential candidate to do so since ] of neighboring ] in ]. However, Republicans have won every single federal statewide race in North Carolina since ]. It flipped back into the GOP column in ] and has been narrowly won by Republican nominee ] in the past two cycles. This presidential election marks the first time since 2012 that the winning candidate won the election with an absolute majority of the vote.

			Trump's margin of victory was more than double that of his 2020 margin, though it was slightly less than his 2016 margin. This marked the fifth consecutive election where North Carolina was decided by less than 5%, the longest ongoing such streak out of any state. Trump became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying ] since ] in ]. This is the first time since 2008 the state voted for the winner of the national popular vote. ] voted Republican for the first time since ] and ] since ].

			Potentially due to the effects of ], ] was one of the few areas of the country to swing towards the Democrats between 2020 and 2024. Despite over 90% of American counties shifting toward Trump during this time period,<ref>{{Cite news \|last1=Bloch \|first1=Matthew \|last2=Collins \|first2=Keith \|last3=Gebeloff \|first3=Robert \|last4=Hernandez \|first4=Marco \|last5=Khurana \|first5=Malika \|last6=Levitt \|first6=Zach \|date=2024-11-06 \|title=Early Results Show a Red Shift Across the U.S. \|url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/06/us/politics/presidential-election-2024-red-shift.html \|access-date=2024-11-12 \|work=The New York Times \|language=en-US \|issn=0362-4331}}</ref> ten counties in the region bucked this trend and supported Harris to a greater extent than Joe Biden.{{#tag:ref\|These were ], ], ], ], ], ], ], ], ] and ].<ref>{{cite news \| url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-president.html \| title=Presidential Election Results: Trump Wins \| work=The New York Times \| date=November 5, 2024 }}</ref>\|group=lower-alpha}}

			== See also ==
			* ]
			* ]
	* ]		* ]
	<!-- uncomment when no longer redirects
	* ]		* ]
	* ]		* ]
	* ]		* ]
	-->

	==Notes==		==Notes==
	{{notelist\|refs=<ref name="key">Key:<br/>A – all adults<br/>RV – registered voters<br/>LV – likely voters<br/>V – unclear~~</ref><ref name="standardvi">Standard VI response~~</ref>}}		{{notelist\|refs=<ref name="key">Key:<br />A – all adults<br />RV – registered voters<br />LV – likely voters<br />V – unclear</ref>}}
	;Partisan clients		'''Partisan clients'''
	{{notelist-ua}}		{{notelist-ua}}

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	{{State results of the 2024 U.S. presidential election}}		{{State results of the 2024 U.S. presidential election}}
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	]		]

Revision as of 03:36, 1 January 2025

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election

2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina

← 2020

November 5, 2024

2028 →

Turnout

73.73%

1.62 pp


Nominee	Donald Trump	Kamala Harris
Party	Republican	Democratic
Home state	Florida	California
Running mate	JD Vance	Tim Walz
Projected electoral vote	16	0
Popular vote	2,898,424	2,715,378
Percentage	50.86%	47.65%

County results

Congressional district results

Trump

50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%

Harris

40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80%

President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Elections in North Carolina

Federal government

U.S. President
1792 1796 1800 1804 1808 1812 1816 1820 1824 1828 1832 1836 1840 1844 1848 1852 1856 1860 1868 1872 1876 1880 1884 1888 1892 1896 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 Dem Rep 2012 2016 Dem 2020 Dem Rep 2024 Dem Rep
U.S. Senate
1789 1792 1795 1798 1799 1800 1804 1805 (sp) 1806 1810 1812 1814 (sp) 1815 (sp) 1816 1816 (sp) 1818 1822 1825 1846 (sp) 1828 1828 (sp) 1829 1829 (sp) 1830 1835 1836 1836 (sp) 1840 (sp) 1841 1843 1847 1849 1854 (sp) 1855 1858 (sp) 1861 1868 1872 1872 (sp) 1876 1879 1883 1884 1889 1890 1894 1894 (sp) 1897 1901 1903 1907 1909 1913 1914 1918 1920 1924 1926 1930 1932 1932 (sp) 1936 1938 1942 1944 1948 1948 (sp) 1950 1950 (sp) 1954 1954 (sp) 1956 1958 (sp) 1960 1966 1968 1972 1974 1978 1980 1984 1986 1986 (sp) 1990 1992 1996 1998 2002 2004 2008 2010 2014 2016 2020 2022 2026
U.S. House of Representatives
1790 1791 1793 1795 sp:4 1796 sp:4 1798 sp:10 1800 1801 sp:8 1802 sp:8 1803 1804 1805 sp:5 1806 sp:10 1808 sp:7 1810 1813 sp:3 1815 1816 sp:6 sp:8 1817 1818 sp:7 sp:11 1819 1821 sp:4 1823 1825 sp:2 1826 sp:8 1827 1829 sp:5 sp:10 1831 1833 1835 1837 1839 1841 1843 1845 1847 1849 1851 1853 1855 1857 1858 sp:8 1859 1865 1868 1870 1872 1874 1876 1878 1880 1882 1884 1886 1888 1890 1892 1894 1896 1898 1900 1902 1904 1906 1908 1910 1912 1914 1916 1918 1920 1928 1930 1934 1938 1940 1942 1946 1948 1950 1952 1956 1958 1960 sp:12 1968 1972 1980 1984 1986 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 sp:1 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 sp:12 2016 2018 9 2019 sp:3 sp:9 2020 2022 2024

State executive

Gubernatorial elections
1803 1804 1805 1806 1807 1808 1809 1810 1810 1812 1813 1814 1815 1816 1817 1818 1819 1820 1821 1822 1823 1824 1825 1826 1827 1828 1829 1830 1831 1832 1833 1834 1835 1836 1838 1840 1842 1844 1846 1848 1850 1852 1854 1856 1858 1860 1862 1864 1865 1866 1868 1872 1876 1880 1884 1888 1892 1896 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024
Lieutenant Governor elections
1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024
Attorney General elections
2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024
Council of State elections
1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024
Secretary of State elections
1940 1944 2024

State legislature

State Senate elections
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024
State House elections
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024

State judiciary

Judicial elections
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024

Ballot measures

2012: Amendment 1

Mayoral elections

Charlotte mayoral elections
2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2022
Cary mayoral elections
2011 2015 2019 2023
Durham mayoral elections
1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023
Fayetteville mayoral elections
2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2022
Greensboro mayoral elections
2011 2013 2015 2017 2022
Raleigh mayoral elections
1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2022 2024
Winston-Salem mayoral elections
1997 2001 2005 2009 2013 2016 2020

The 2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. North Carolina voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of North Carolina has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.

While Republican presidential candidates won close victories in 2012, 2016, and 2020, even as polls indicated a narrow win by Democrat Joe Biden in 2020, at the state level, Democrat Roy Cooper won the 2016 and 2020 gubernatorial elections. Because of these results, the presidential election was expected to be competitive. Today a purple to slightly red state, North Carolina was targeted by both parties in 2024, with major news organizations marking the state as a tossup or slightly leaning towards the Republican candidate Donald Trump, who would go on to carry the state by a similar margin to his 2016 result. Incumbent president Biden was initially poised to run for re-election, but withdrew on July 21 and endorsed his vice president Kamala Harris.

Despite an otherwise rough year for North Carolina Republicans down ballot, especially due to controversial Republican gubernatorial nominee Mark Robinson, Trump won the state by 3.2%. Trump's win kept it in the Republican column for the fourth election cycle in a row and Trump won the state himself for the third straight election.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Main article: 2024 North Carolina Democratic presidential primary

In North Carolina, candidates can make the primary ballot either by being nominated by the state party or by filing a nominating petition with at least 10,000 signatures. The North Carolina Democratic Party submitted only Joe Biden as a candidate, and no candidate submitted 10,000 signatures by the December 22, 2023 deadline.

The cancellation was criticized by the Dean Phillips campaign, who started an online petition to get his candidacy on the ballot and threatened legal challenges. Marianne Williamson and Cenk Uygur also criticized the moves.

In addition to the candidates on the ballot, the "No Preference" option appeared on the Democratic, Republican, and Libertarian Presidential Preference Primary ballots. In 2012, when President Barack Obama did not face primary opposition in North Carolina, approximately twenty percent of voters opted for the "No Preference" option.

The North Carolina Democratic presidential primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

North Carolina Democratic primary, March 5, 2024
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)	609,680	87.27%	113
No Preference	88,900	12.73%
Total:	698,580	100.00%	132		132

Republican primary

Main article: 2024 North Carolina Republican presidential primary

The North Carolina Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

North Carolina Republican primary, March 5, 2024
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	793,978	73.84%	62		62
Nikki Haley	250,838	23.33%	12		12
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)	14,740	1.37%
No Preference	7,448	0.69%
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)	3,418	0.32%
Chris Christie (withdrawn)	3,166	0.29%
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)	916	0.09%
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)	727	0.07%
Total:	1,075,231	100.00%	74		74

Libertarian primary

Main article: 2024 North Carolina Libertarian presidential primary

The North Carolina Libertarian primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Ten candidates were presented on the ballot.

North Carolina Libertarian primary, March 5, 2024
Candidate	Votes	Percentage
None of the Above	2,058	40.5%
Chase Oliver	676	13.3%
Jacob Hornberger	357	7.0%
Joshua Smith	354	7.0%
Michael Rectenwald	195	3.8%
Charles Ballay	183	3.6%
Lars Mapstead	176	3.5%
Mike ter Maat	137	2.7%
Other	946	18.7%
Total:	5,082	100.0%
Source:

General election

Events and rule changes

Voters must now show a voter ID at the polls and provide a copy of their ID with their mail-in ballots. Mail-in ballots received after election day also will not be counted. There will also be more partisan poll-watchers. The laws are similar to others passed in Republican-controlled states which Democrats have criticized as voter suppression. Common Cause North Carolina and the League of Women Voters of North Carolina have been educating voters on the new rules.

On September 12, 2024, the Republican National Committee sued to block the use of digital IDs, popular with students at the University of North Carolina, as a form of voter ID. The plaintiffs sought a temporary restraining order, and alleged that the digital IDs did not comply with the state's voter identification requirements and were susceptible to fraud. On September 20, 2024, Wake County Superior Court Judge Keith Gregory rejected the request for a temporary restraining order, stating that the Republican National Committee had not "advanced any credible link between the State Board's approval of Mobile One Cards and a heightened risk of ineligible voters casting illegal votes."

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. was granted the status of presidential candidate in July 2024 for North Carolina after state authorities recognised the political party he founded, 'We the People', which allowed Kennedy to qualify using 13,757 signatures, instead of the 82,542 signatures required for a candidate with no party. The North Carolina Democratic Party filed a lawsuit alleging that Kennedy was improperly using his party to avoid higher qualification requirements, but this lawsuit against Kennedy was unsuccessful. On August 27, Kennedy asked state authorities to remove him as a presidential candidate in North Carolina; on August 28, the We the People party officially made the same request to state authorities; both requests were initially denied due to ballots already being printed and upcoming deadlines, with North Carolina law mandating that absentee ballots should be mailed by authorities from September 6.

Kennedy responded by launching a lawsuit demanding to be removed as a presidential candidate in North Carolina, with Kennedy previously saying that "by staying on the ballot in the battleground states, I would likely hand the election over to the Democrats", while Kennedy remained as a presidential candidate in non-battleground states and indicated that his lawsuit to become a presidential candidate in New York would continue. While Wake County Superior Court ruled against Kennedy, he appealed and the North Carolina Court of Appeals ruled for Kennedy on September 6, ordering for authorities to reprint ballots without Kennedy as a candidate. The North Carolina Supreme Court affirmed the Court of Appeals' decision on September 9, so authorities went to reprint the ballots, which delayed the mailing date from the originally stipulated September 6 date to become September 20 for military and overseas voters and September 24 for other voters.

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Tossup	November 4, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Lean R	November 4, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill	Tossup	November 4, 2024
CNN	Tossup	November 4, 2024
CNalysis	Tilt D (flip)	November 4, 2024
The Economist	Tossup	November 4, 2024
538	Tossup	November 4, 2024
Inside Elections	Tossup	November 4, 2024
NBC News	Tossup	November 4, 2024

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided	Margin
270ToWin	October 23 – November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	47.3%	48.6%	4.1%	Trump +1.3%
538	through November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	47.4%	48.3%	4.3%	Trump +0.9%
Silver Bulletin	through November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	47.7%	48.8%	3.5%	Trump +1.1%
The Hill/DDHQ	through November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	47.9%	49.4%	2.7%	Trump +1.5%
Average			47.6%	48.8%	3.6%	Trump +1.2%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
HarrisX	November 3–5, 2024	1,815 (RV)	± 2.3%	48%	47%	5%
		1,815 (RV)		50.5%	49.5%	–
		1,600 (LV)		49%	48%	3%
		1,600 (LV)		50.2%	49.8%	–
AtlasIntel	November 3–4, 2024	1,219 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	48%	2%
Patriot Polling	November 1–3, 2024	799 (RV)	± 3.0%	51%	49%	–
InsiderAdvantage (R)	November 1–2, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.4%	49%	47%	4%
AtlasIntel	November 1–2, 2024	1,310 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	47%	2%
Emerson College	October 30 – November 2, 2024	860 (LV)	± 3.3%	49%	48%	3%
Emerson College	October 30 – November 2, 2024	860 (LV)	± 3.3%	50%	49%	1%
New York Times/Siena College	October 28 – November 2, 2024	1,010 (RV)	± 3.5%	44%	48%	8%
New York Times/Siena College	October 28 – November 2, 2024	1,010 (LV)	± 3.5%	46%	48%	6%
ActiVote	October 17 – November 2, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	51%	49%	–
Morning Consult	October 23 − November 1, 2024	1,056 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	4%
AtlasIntel	October 30–31, 2024	1,373 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	47%	2%
YouGov	October 25–31, 2024	987 (RV)	± 4.2%	49%	49%	2%
YouGov	October 25–31, 2024	949 (LV)	± 4.2%	50%	49%	1%
Rasmussen Reports (R)	October 25–30, 2024	751 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	47%	3%
AtlasIntel	October 25–29, 2024	1,665 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%
Trafalgar Group (R)	October 25–28, 2024	1,091 (LV)	± 2.9%	49%	46%	5%
Fox News	October 24–28, 2024	1,113 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	1%
Fox News	October 24–28, 2024	872 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	49%	1%
SurveyUSA	October 23–26, 2024	853 (LV)	± 4.1%	47%	47%	6%
CES/YouGov	October 1–25, 2024	2,330 (A)	–	48%	49%	3%
CES/YouGov	October 1–25, 2024	2,308 (LV)	–	50%	48%	2%
Emerson College	October 21–22, 2024	950 (LV)	± 3.1%	50%	48%	2%
Emerson College	October 21–22, 2024	950 (LV)	± 3.1%	50%	48%	2%
Marist College	October 17–22, 2024	1,410 (RV)	± 3.3%	49%	48%	3%
Marist College	October 17–22, 2024	1,226 (LV)	± 3.6%	50%	48%	2%
SoCal Strategies (R)	October 20–21, 2024	702 (LV)	± 3.7%	49%	46%	5%
InsiderAdvantage (R)	October 19–20, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	47%	4%
High Point University/SurveyUSA	October 17–20, 2024	1,164 (RV)	± 3.5%	46%	47%	7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	October 16–20, 2024	755 (RV)	± 4.0%	50%	47%	3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	October 16–20, 2024	702 (LV)	± 4.0%	50%	48%	2%
AtlasIntel	October 12–17, 2024	1,674 (LV)	± 2.0%	49%	51%	–
Elon University	October 10–17, 2024	800 (RV)	± 4.0%	46%	46%	8%
Morning Consult	October 6−15, 2024	1,072 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	48%	3%
Washington Post/Schar School	September 30 – October 15, 2024	965 (RV)	± 3.9%	49%	45%	6%
Washington Post/Schar School	September 30 – October 15, 2024	965 (LV)	± 3.9%	50%	47%	3%
Quinnipiac University	October 10–14, 2024	1,031 (LV)	± 3.1%	47%	50%	3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)	October 9–14, 2024	1,042 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	46%	3%
Trafalgar Group (R)	October 10–13, 2024	1,085 (LV)	± 2.9%	47%	45%	6%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)	October 6–9, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	47%	5%
Emerson College	October 5–8, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	48%	3%
Emerson College	October 5–8, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	49%	1%
Wall Street Journal	September 28 – October 8, 2024	600 (RV)	± 5.0%	47%	47%	6%
ActiVote	September 7 – October 6, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	49%	51%	–
InsiderAdvantage (R)	September 29–30, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%	49%	1%
Quinnipiac University	September 25–29, 2024	953 (LV)	± 3.2%	49%	48%	3%
Washington Post	September 25–29, 2024	1,001 (RV)	± 3.5%	50%	47%	3%
Washington Post	September 25–29, 2024	1,001 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%	48%	2%
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)	September 23–29, 2024	401 (LV)	± 4.9%	48%	47%	5%
High Point University	September 20–29, 2024	814 (RV)	± 3.6%	46%	48%	6%
High Point University	September 20–29, 2024	589 (LV)	± 4.9%	48%	48%	4%
Emerson College	September 27–28, 2024	850 (LV)	± 3.3%	49%	48%	3%
Emerson College	September 27–28, 2024	850 (LV)	± 3.3%	50%	49%	1%
RMG Research	September 25–27, 2024	780 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	46%	5%
RMG Research	September 25–27, 2024	780 (LV)	± 3.5%	51%	47%	2%
AtlasIntel	September 20–25, 2024	1,173 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	51%	1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)	September 19–25, 2024	411 (LV)	–	49%	49%	2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	September 19–25, 2024	889 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	50%	3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	September 19–25, 2024	828 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	2%
Fox News	September 20−24, 2024	991 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	2%
Fox News	September 20−24, 2024	787 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%	49%	1%
Marist College	September 19−24, 2024	1,507 (RV)	± 3.5%	48%	49%	3%
Marist College	September 19−24, 2024	1,348 (LV)	± 3.7%	49%	49%	2%
The Bullfinch Group	September 20–23, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	48%	49%	3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)	September 19−22, 2024	1,078 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	46%	5%
New York Times/Siena College	September 17–21, 2024	682 (RV)	± 4.2%	48%	47%	5%
New York Times/Siena College	September 17–21, 2024	682 (LV)	± 4.2%	49%	47%	4%
Meredith College	September 18−20, 2024	802 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	48%	4%
Victory Insights	September 16−18, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	45%	6%
Emerson College	September 15–18, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%
Emerson College	September 15–18, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	1%
Morning Consult	September 9−18, 2024	1,314 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	4%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)	September 11–17, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	50%	47%	3%
TIPP Insights	September 11–13, 2024	973 (LV)	± 3.2%	49%	46%	5%
Elon University	September 4−13, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.8%	45%	46%	9%
Trafalgar Group (R)	September 11–12, 2024	1,094 (LV)	± 2.9%	48%	46%	6%
Quantus Insights (R)	September 11–12, 2024	815 (LV)	± 3.4%	48%	47%	5%
Quantus Insights (R)	September 11–12, 2024	815 (LV)	± 3.4%	50%	48%	2%
Quinnipiac University	September 4–8, 2024	940 (LV)	± 3.2%	47%	50%	3%
Morning Consult	August 30 – September 8, 2024	1,369 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4%
SurveyUSA	September 4–7, 2024	900 (LV)	± 4.9%	46%	49%	5%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University	September 5–6, 2024	692 (RV)	± 3.7%	47%	46%	7%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University	September 5–6, 2024	619 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	47%	5%
Patriot Polling	September 1–3, 2024	804 (RV)	–	50%	48%	2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)	August 29–31, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	48%	3%
ActiVote	August 6–31, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	50%	50%	–
Emerson College	August 25–28, 2024	775 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	48%	3%
Emerson College	August 25–28, 2024	775 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%	49%	1%
SoCal Strategies (R)	August 26–27, 2024	612 (LV)	–	50%	46%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	August 23–26, 2024	645 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	49%	2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	August 23–26, 2024	700 (RV)	± 4.0%	47%	49%	4%
Fox News	August 23–26, 2024	999 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	49%	1%
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
	August 22, 2024	Democratic National Convention concludes
High Point University/SurveyUSA	August 19–21, 2024	1,053 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	46%	9%
High Point University/SurveyUSA	August 19–21, 2024	941 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	47%	6%
Spry Strategies (R)	August 14–20, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	47%	6%
	August 19, 2024	Democratic National Convention begins
Focaldata	August 6–16, 2024	702 (LV)	± 3.7%	50%	50%	–
New York Times/Siena College	August 9–14, 2024	655 (RV)	± 4.2%	46%	49%	5%
New York Times/Siena College	August 9–14, 2024	655 (LV)	± 4.2%	47%	49%	4%
Trafalgar Group (R)	August 6–8, 2024	1,082 (LV)	± 2.9%	49%	45%	6%
Navigator Research (D)	July 31 – August 8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	46%	6%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)	July 26 – August 8, 2024	403 (LV)	–	47%	48%	5%
	August 6, 2024	Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	July 24–28, 2024	706 (RV)	± 4.0%	48%	46%	6%
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
	July 15–19, 2024	Republican National Convention
	July 13, 2024	Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	May 7–13, 2024	704 (RV)	± 4.0%	50%	40%	10%
Emerson College	February 14–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	41%	9%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Jill Stein Green	Cornel West Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Others/ Undecided	Margin
Race to the WH	through October 2, 2024	October 15, 2024	47.1%	47.8%	1.0%	0.8%	—	3.3%	Trump +0.8%
270toWin	October 1 – 11, 2024	October 11, 2024	46.6%	47.0%	0.8%	1.0%	0.5%	4.1%	Trump +0.4%
Average			47.0%	47.5%	0.8%	0.8%	0.6%	3.3%	Trump +0.5%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
HarrisX	November 3–5, 2024	1,815 (RV)	± 2.3%	48%	46%	1%	1%	–	4%
		1,815 (RV)		49.0%	48.5%	1.6%	0.9%	–	–
		1,600 (LV)		49%	48%	1%	0%	–	2%
		1,600 (LV)		49.2%	49.0%	1.2%	0.6%	–	–
AtlasIntel	November 3–4, 2024	1,219 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	48%	–	1%	0%	1%
AtlasIntel	November 1–2, 2024	1,310 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	47%	–	1%	0%	2%
New York Times/Siena College	October 28 – November 2, 2024	1,010 (RV)	± 3.5%	43%	47%	0%	0%	1%	9%
New York Times/Siena College	October 28 – November 2, 2024	1,010 (LV)	± 3.5%	45%	48%	0%	0%	0%	7%
Focaldata	October 3 – November 1, 2024	1,787 (LV)	–	48%	48%	–	1%	1%	2%
		1,785 (RV)	± 2.2%	46%	50%	–	1%	1%	2%
		1,987 (A)	–	46%	48%	–	2%	1%	4%
AtlasIntel	October 30–31, 2024	1,373 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	47%	–	1%	0%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	October 28–31, 2024	1,123 (LV)	–	48%	47%	–	1%	1%	3%
YouGov	October 25–31, 2024	987 (RV)	± 4.2%	48%	47%	0%	1%	–	4%
YouGov	October 25–31, 2024	949 (LV)	± 4.2%	49%	48%	0%	1%	–	2%
AtlasIntel	October 25–29, 2024	1,665 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	–	1%	0%	3%
East Carolina University	October 24–29, 2024	1,250 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	48%	0%	0%	0%	2%
CNN/SSRS	October 23–28, 2024	750 (LV)	± 4.5%	47%	48%	1%	1%	1%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	October 25–27, 2024	770 (LV)	–	48%	46%	–	1%	1%	4%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov	October 16–23, 2024	650 (LV)	± 4.2%	47%	45%	1%	1%	0%	6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	October 20–22, 2024	679 (LV)	–	48%	47%	–	1%	0%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	October 16–20, 2024	755 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	46%	–	1%	3%	1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	October 16–20, 2024	702 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	48%	–	1%	1%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	October 16–18, 2024	843 (LV)	–	48%	45%	–	1%	0%	6%
AtlasIntel	October 12–17, 2024	1,674 (LV)	± 2.0%	49%	50%	0%	1%	0%	–
Cygnal (R)	October 6–15, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	47%	1%	0%	1%	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	October 12–14, 2024	620 (LV)	–	48%	46%	–	0%	1%	5%
Quinnipiac University	October 10–14, 2024	1,031 (LV)	± 3.1%	47%	49%	0%	0%	1%	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	September 27 – October 2, 2024	753 (LV)	–	47%	45%	–	1%	0%	7%
Quinnipiac University	September 25–29, 2024	953 (LV)	± 3.2%	49%	47%	1%	1%	0%	2%
East Carolina University	September 23–26, 2024	1,005 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	0%	0%	1%	3%
AtlasIntel	September 20–25, 2024	1,173 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	51%	1%	1%	0%	–
CNN/SSRS	September 20–25, 2024	931 (LV)	± 3.9%	48%	48%	1%	0%	1%	2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)	September 19–25, 2024	411 (LV)	–	46%	49%	1%	2%	–	2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	September 19–25, 2024	889 (RV)	± 3.0%	46%	48%	–	1%	3%	2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	September 19–25, 2024	828 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	–	0%	2%	2%
Fox News	September 20−24, 2024	991 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	48%	1%	1%	1%	2%
Fox News	September 20−24, 2024	787 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	47%	1%	1%	1%	1%
New York Times/Siena College	September 17–21, 2024	682 (RV)	± 4.2%	46%	46%	–	0%	1%	7%
New York Times/Siena College	September 17–21, 2024	682 (LV)	± 4.2%	47%	45%	–	0%	1%	7%
Meredith College	September 18–20, 2024	802 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	48%	0%	1%	1%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	September 16–19, 2024	868 (LV)	–	48%	47%	–	0%	0%	5%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)	September 11–17, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	46%	1%	1%	1%	3%
Cygnal (R)	September 15–16, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	45%	2%	0%	1%	6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	September 6–9, 2024	495 (LV)	–	44%	45%	–	0%	0%	11%
Quinnipiac University	September 4–8, 2024	940 (LV)	± 3.2%	46%	49%	0%	1%	0%	4%
YouGov	August 23 – September 3, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.9%	47%	46%	0%	1%	–	6%
East Carolina University	August 26–28, 2024	920 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	0%	0%	1%	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	August 25–28, 2024	1,071 (LV)	–	45%	44%	–	1%	1%	9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	August 23–26, 2024	700 (RV)	± 4.0%	47%	48%	–	1%	2%	2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	August 23–26, 2024	645 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	48%	–	1%	2%	1%
Fox News	August 23–26, 2024	999 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	2%	1%	1%	1%

Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Fox News	October 24–28, 2024	1,113 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	48%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%
Fox News	October 24–28, 2024	872 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	1%	1%	1%	1%	–
Wall Street Journal	September 28 – October 8, 2024	600 (RV)	± 5.0%	46%	45%	0%	1%	1%	2%	5%
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)	September 23–29, 2024	401 (LV)	± 4.9%	47%	47%	0%	0%	0%	0%	6%
Spry Strategies (R)	August 14–20, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	47%	3%	–	1%	–	4%
Focaldata	August 6–16, 2024	702 (LV)	± 3.7%	46%	47%	5%	–	1%	0%	1%
		702 (RV)		44%	47%	6%	–	1%	0%	2%
		702 (A)		43%	47%	7%	–	1%	0%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	August 12–15, 2024	601 (LV)	–	47%	44%	2%	–	0%	1%	6%
New York Times/Siena College	August 9–14, 2024	655 (RV)	± 4.2%	42%	45%	5%	0%	2%	1%	4%
New York Times/Siena College	August 9–14, 2024	655 (LV)	± 4.2%	44%	46%	4%	0%	1%	1%	4%
YouGov Blue (D)	August 5–9, 2024	802 (RV)	± 3.9%	46%	46%	2%	0%	0%	0%	5%
Navigator Research (D)	July 31 – August 8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	46%	3%	0%	1%	0%	4%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)	July 26 – August 8, 2024	403 (LV)	–	44%	46%	4%	0%	1%	–	5%
Cygnal (R)	August 4–5, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	44%	4%	–	0%	1%	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	July 31 – August 3, 2024	714 (LV)	–	44%	41%	4%	–	0%	1%	10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	July 24–28, 2024	706 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	44%	5%	–	0%	4%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	July 22–24, 2024	586 (LV)	–	46%	43%	4%	–	0%	0%	7%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)	July 17–20, 2024	573 (RV)	± 4.1%	48%	44%	2%	2%	4%

Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Quantus Insights (R)	September 11–12, 2024	815 (LV)	± 3.4%	49%	42%	9%
Public Policy Polling (D)	July 17–20, 2024	573 (RV)	± 4.1%	50%	46%	4%
Emerson College	July 15–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	41%	11%
Echelon Insights	July 1–8, 2024	610 (LV)	± 5.0%	47%	45%	8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	July 1–5, 2024	696 (RV)	± 4.0%	46%	43%	11%
Spry Strategies (R)	June 7–11, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	44%	8%
East Carolina University	May 31 – June 3, 2024	1,332 (LV)	± 3.1%	48%	43%	9%
North Star Opinion Research (R)	May 29 – June 2, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	41%	10%
Rasmussen Reports (R)	May 26–27, 2024	1,053 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	43%	6%
Change Research (D)	May 13–18, 2024	835 (LV)	± 3.8%	45%	43%	12%
Prime Group	May 9–16, 2024	472 (RV)	–	51%	49%	–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	May 7–13, 2024	704 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	42%	9%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)	May 6–13, 2024	601 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	41%	11%
High Point University	May 5–9, 2024	804 (RV)	± 3.2%	44%	42%	14%
Emerson College	April 25–29, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	42%	11%
Emerson College	April 25–29, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	52%	48%	–
John Zogby Strategies	April 13–21, 2024	641 (LV)	–	49%	45%	6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	April 8–15, 2024	703 (RV)	± 4.0%	51%	41%	8%
Mason-Dixon	April 9–13, 2024	635 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	43%	8%
Quinnipiac University	April 4–8, 2024	1,401 (RV)	± 2.6%	48%	46%	6%
High Point University	March 22–30, 2024	829(RV)	± 3.4%	45%	42%	14%
Wall Street Journal	March 17–24, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	43%	8%
Marist College	March 11–14, 2024	1,197 (RV)	± 3.6%	51%	48%	1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	March 8–12, 2024	699 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	43%	8%
SurveyUSA	March 3–9, 2024	598 (LV)	± 4.9%	50%	45%	5%
Cygnal (R)	March 6–7, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	40%	15%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	February 12–20, 2024	704 (RV)	± 5.0%	50%	41%	9%
Emerson College	February 14–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	44%	9%
Fox News	February 8–12, 2024	1,099 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	45%	5%
Meredith College	January 26–31, 2024	760 (RV)	± 3.5%	44%	39%	17%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	January 16–21, 2024	706 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	39%	12%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	November 27 – December 6, 2023	704 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	40%	11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	October 30 – November 7, 2023	702 (RV)	± 4.0%	48%	39%	13%
Meredith College	November 1–5, 2023	755 (RV)	± 3.5%	39%	40%	22%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	October 5–10, 2023	702 (RV)	± 4.0%	47%	43%	10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	October 7–9, 2023	736 (LV)	–	43%	38%	20%
Change Research (D)	September 1–5, 2023	914 (LV)	± 3.6%	46%	42%	12%
Prime Group	June 14–28, 2023	500 (RV)	–	54%	46%	–
Prime Group	June 14–28, 2023	500 (RV)	–	45%	37%	18%
Opinion Diagnostics	June 5–7, 2023	902 (LV)	± 3.3%	43%	40%	18%
Cygnal (R)	March 26–27, 2023	605 (LV)	± 4.0%	43%	45%	12%
Differentiators (R)	January 9–12, 2023	500 (LV)	± 4.5%	45%	48%	7%
Emerson College	October 27–29, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	40%	9%
Public Policy Polling (D)	October 7–8, 2022	606 (RV)	–	44%	44%	12%
SurveyUSA	September 28 – October 2, 2022	918 (RV)	± 3.9%	43%	45%	12%
Emerson College	September 15–16, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	42%	11%
East Carolina University	September 7–10, 2022	1,020 (LV)	± 3.6%	46%	45%	9%
Blueprint Polling (D)	August 4–6, 2022	656 (LV)	± 3.8%	45%	39%	17%
PEM Management Corporation (R)	July 22–24, 2022	300 (LV)	± 5.7%	48%	41%	11%
East Carolina University	May 19–20, 2022	635 (RV)	± 4.5%	46%	37%	16%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)	July 17–20, 2024	573 (RV)	± 4.1%	48%	42%	2%	–	2%	6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	July 16–18, 2024	461 (LV)	–	45%	39%	5%	–	1%	10%
Emerson College	July 15–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	38%	6%	1%	1%	7%
YouGov	July 4–12, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.7%	44%	40%	4%	0%	1%	11%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	July 8–10, 2024	420 (LV)	–	44%	42%	4%	–	1%	9%
Echelon Insights	July 1–8, 2024	610 (LV)	± 5.0%	43%	41%	7%	2%	1%	6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	July 1–5, 2024	696 (RV)	± 4.0%	42%	40%	7%	1%	1%	9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	June 8–11, 2024	534 (LV)	–	43%	40%	7%	–	1%	9%
North Star Opinion Research (R)	May 29 – June 2, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%	32%	9%	3%	2%	10%
Prime Group	May 9–16, 2024	472 (RV)	–	45%	42%	11%	2%	1%	–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	May 7–13, 2024	704 (RV)	± 4.0%	46%	38%	7%	1%	1%	7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)	May 6–13, 2024	601 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%	36%	8%	3%	1%	8%
Emerson College	April 25–29, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	46%	37%	6%	1%	1%	9%
Meeting Street Insights (R)	April 25–28, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	40%	35%	11%	–	2%	12%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	April 8–15, 2024	703 (RV)	± 4.0%	48%	38%	5%	1%	0%	8%
Quinnipiac University	April 4–8, 2024	1,401 (RV)	± 2.6%	41%	38%	12%	3%	3%	3%
Wall Street Journal	March 17–24, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	42%	34%	10%	2%	1%	11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	March 8–12, 2024	699 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	39%	7%	1%	0%	8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	February 12–20, 2024	704 (RV)	± 5.0%	45%	35%	9%	1%	1%	9%
Emerson College	February 14–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	46%	37%	5%	1%	1%	10%
East Carolina University	February 9–12, 2024	1,207 (LV)	± 3.3%	47%	44%	2%	1%	1%	5%
Fox News	February 8–12, 2024	1,099 (RV)	± 3.0%	46%	37%	8%	1%	2%	6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	January 16–21, 2024	706 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	32%	9%	1%	1%	12%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	November 27 – December 6, 2023	704 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	34%	8%	1%	1%	11%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Other / Undecided
Spry Strategies (R)	June 7–11, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	37%	8%	10%
Change Research (D)	May 13–18, 2024	835 (LV)	± 3.8%	41%	38%	11%	10%
Cygnal (R)	May 4–5, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	43%	38%	9%	10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	May 2–4, 2024	700 (LV)	–	44%	37%	7%	12%
Meredith College	April 11–17, 2024	711 (LV)	± 3.5%	41%	39%	9%	11%
Cygnal (R)	April 7–8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	43%	39%	7%	11%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	March 14–17, 2024	642 (LV)	–	43%	39%	8%	10%
Marist College	March 11–14, 2024	1,197 (RV)	± 3.6%	46%	43%	11%	–
North Star Opinion Research (R)	January 30 – February 4, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	39%	32%	16%	13%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	December 28–30, 2023	1,220 (LV)	–	37%	33%	11%	19%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	November 27–29, 2023	620 (LV)	–	44%	35%	8%	13%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	October 7–9, 2023	736 (LV)	–	41%	38%	9%	14%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Other / Undecided
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	October 30 – November 7, 2023	702 (RV)	± 4.0%	42%	33%	9%	2%	14%

Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies	April 13–21, 2024	641 (LV)	–	45%	39%	16%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies	April 13–21, 2024	641 (LV)	–	50%	40%	10%

Donald Trump vs. Roy Cooper vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Roy Cooper Democratic	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)	July 17–20, 2024	573 (RV)	± 4.1%	45%	41%	3%	2%	9%

Donald Trump vs. Gavin Newsom

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Gavin Newsom Democratic	Other / Undecided
Emerson College	February 14–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	34%	17%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Nikki Haley Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Fox News	February 8–12, 2024	1,099 (RV)	± 3.0%	46%	41%	13%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Nikki Haley Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
East Carolina University	February 9–12, 2024	1,207 (LV)	± 3.3%	32%	40%	10%	2%	0%	16%
Fox News	February 8–12, 2024	1,099 (RV)	± 3.0%	31%	33%	19%	2%	2%	13%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Nikki Haley Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr Independent	Other / Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	November 27–29, 2023	620 (LV)	–	36%	33%	12%	18%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Ron DeSantis Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Opinion Diagnostics	June 5–7, 2023	902 (LV)	± 3.3%	46%	40%	13%
Cygnal (R)	March 26–27, 2023	605 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%	41%	15%
Differentiators (R)	January 9–12, 2023	500 (LV)	± 4.5%	49%	44%	7%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Ron DeSantis Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other	Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	November 27–29, 2023	620 (LV)	–	38%	34%	12%	4%	12%

Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Mike Pence Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Cygnal (R)	March 26–27, 2023	605 (LV)	± 4.0%	39%	41%	20%

Results

2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Donald Trump JD Vance	2,898,424	50.86%	+0.93%
	Democratic	Kamala Harris Tim Walz	2,715,378	47.65%	−0.94%
	Green	Jill Stein Butch Ware	24,762	0.43%	+0.21%
	Libertarian	Chase Oliver Mike ter Maat	22,125	0.39%	−0.49%
	Justice for All	Cornel West Melina Abdullah	12,099	0.21%	+0.21%
	Constitution	Randall Terry Stephen Broden	6,863	0.12%	−0.02%
	Write-in		19,494	0.33
Total votes			5,699,145	100%

By county

Parts of this article (those related to County results) need to be updated. The reason given is: County results needs to be added. Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information. (December 2024)

County	Donald Trump Republican		Kamala Harris Democratic		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total
County	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	Total
Alamance	,		,		,		,		,
Alexander	,		,				,		,
Alleghany	,		,				,		,
Anson	,		,				-	-	,
Ashe	,		,				,		,
Avery	,		,				,		,
Beaufort	,		,				,		,
Bertie	,		,				-,	-	,
Bladen	,		,				,		,
Brunswick	,		,		,		,		,
Buncombe	,		,		,		-,	-	,
Burke	,		,				,		,
Cabarrus	,		,		,		,		,
Caldwell	,		,				,		,
Camden	,		,				,		,
Carteret	,		,				,		,
Caswell	,		,				,		,
Catawba	,		,		,		,		,
Chatham	,		,				-,	-	,
Cherokee	,		,				,		,
Chowan	,		,				,		,
Clay	,		,				,		,
Cleveland	,		,				,		,
Columbus	,		,				,		,
Craven	,		,				,		,
Cumberland	,		,		,		-,	-	,
Currituck	,		,				,		,
Dare	,		,				,		,
Davidson	,		,		,		,		,
Davie	,		,				,		,
Duplin	,		,				,		,
Durham	,		,		,		-,	-	,
Edgecombe	,		,				-,	-	,
Forsyth	,		,		,		-,	-	,
Franklin	,		,				,		,
Gaston	,		,		,		,		,
Gates	,		,						,
Graham	,						,		,
Granville	,		,				,		,
Greene	,		,				,		,
Guilford	,		,		,		-,	-	,
Halifax	,		,				-,	-	,
Harnett	,		,		,		,		,
Haywood	,		,				,		,
Henderson	,		,		,		,		,
Hertford	,		,				-,	-	,
Hoke	,		,				-,	-	,
Hyde	,		,						,
Iredell	,		,		,		,		,
Jackson	,		,				,		,
Johnston	,		,		,		,		,
Jones	,		,				,		,
Lee	,		,				,		,
Lenoir	,		,						,
Lincoln	,		,				,		,
Macon	,		,				,		,
Madison	,		,				,		,
Martin	,		,						,
McDowell	,		,				,		,
Mecklenburg	,		,		,		-,	-	,
Mitchell	,		,				,		,
Montgomery	,		,				,		,
Moore	,		,				,		,
Nash	,		,				-	-	,
New Hanover	,		,		,		-,	-	,
Northampton	,		,				-,	-	,
Onslow	,		,		,		,		,
Orange	,		,		,		-,	-	,
Pamlico	,		,				,		,
Pasquotank	,		,				-	-	,
Pender	,		,				,		,
Perquimans	,		,				,		,
Person	,		,				,		,
Pitt	,		,		,		-,	-	,
Polk	,		,				,		,
Randolph	,		,				,		,
Richmond	,		,				,		,
Robeson	,		,				,		,
Rockingham	,		,				,		,
Rowan	,		,				,		,
Rutherford	,		,				,		,
Sampson	,		,				,		,
Scotland	,		,						,
Stanly	,		,				,		,
Stokes	,		,				,		,
Surry	,		,				,		,
Swain	,		,				,		,
Transylvania	,		,				,		,
Tyrrell	,								,
Union	,		,		,		,		,
Vance	,		,				-,	-	,
Wake	,		,		,		,		,
Warren	,		,				,		,
Washington
Watauga
Wayne
Wilkes
Wilson
Yadkin
Yancey
Totals	,,		,,		,		,		,,

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Anson (largest municipality: Wadesboro)
Nash (largest municipality: Rocky Mount)
Pasquotank (largest municipality: Elizabeth City)

Swing by county
Legend

Democratic — +2.5-5%
Democratic — +0-2.5%
Republican — +0-2.5%
Republican — +2.5-5%
Republican — +5-7.5%
Republican — +7.5-10%

County flips
Legend

Democratic
Hold
Republican
Hold Gain from Democratic

By congressional district

Trump won 11 of 14 congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat.

District	Trump	Harris	Representative
1st	51.06%	47.97%	Don Davis
2nd	31.92%	66.21%	Deborah Ross
3rd	60.33%	38.52%	Greg Murphy
4th	26.53%	71.81%	Valerie Foushee
5th	58.22%	40.40%	Virginia Foxx
6th	58.11%	41.10%	Addison McDowell
7th	56.31%	42.52%	David Rouzer
8th	59.14%	39.58%	Mark Harris
9th	57.50%	41.71%	Richard Hudson
10th	58.18%	40.51%	Pat Harrigan
11th	53.96%	44.50%	Chuck Edwards
12th	25.99%	72.22%	Alma Adams
13th	57.97%	41.11%	Brad Knott
14th	57.06%	41.94%	Tim Moore

Analysis

Although a Southern Bible Belt state, North Carolina has been competitive since the late 2000s – a trend primarily attributed to population growth – as the state has been narrowly decided in every presidential election by less than a 4% margin since 2008, when Barack Obama very narrowly carried the state and became the only Democratic presidential candidate to do so since Jimmy Carter of neighboring Georgia in 1976. However, Republicans have won every single federal statewide race in North Carolina since 2010. It flipped back into the GOP column in 2012 and has been narrowly won by Republican nominee Donald Trump in the past two cycles. This presidential election marks the first time since 2012 that the winning candidate won the election with an absolute majority of the vote.

Trump's margin of victory was more than double that of his 2020 margin, though it was slightly less than his 2016 margin. This marked the fifth consecutive election where North Carolina was decided by less than 5%, the longest ongoing such streak out of any state. Trump became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying New Hanover County since Dwight D. Eisenhower in 1956. This is the first time since 2008 the state voted for the winner of the national popular vote. Anson County voted Republican for the first time since 1972 and Pasquotank County since 1988.

Potentially due to the effects of Hurricane Helene, Western North Carolina was one of the few areas of the country to swing towards the Democrats between 2020 and 2024. Despite over 90% of American counties shifting toward Trump during this time period, ten counties in the region bucked this trend and supported Harris to a greater extent than Joe Biden.

Notes

464 votes (9.1%) for David (TrimeTaveler) Dunlap, 320 votes (6.3%) for Beau Lindsey, 162 votes (3.2%) for Josh "Toad" Anderson.
Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
^ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
^ "Other" with 2%
^ "Someone else" with 1%
^ "Other" with 1%
^ "Someone else" with 2%
"Another party's candidates" with 2%
^ "Another party's candidates" with 1%
"Another candidate" with 4%
"Other" with 4%
"Some other candidate" with 2%
"Some other candidate" with 1%
"Third party candidates" & "Undecided" with 2%
^ "Another candidate" with 3%
^ "Some other candidate" with 3%
"Would not vote" with 2%
^ "Another candidate" with 2%
Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
^ Randall Terry (C) with 0%
"Someone else" with 17%
No Labels candidate
^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
^ Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
Charles Ballay (L) with 2%
These were Ashe, Avery, Buncombe, Haywood, Henderson, Macon, Madison, Mitchell, Polk and Transylvania.

Partisan clients

^ Poll conducted for The Times, Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University
^ Poll sponsored by American Thinker
^ Poll sponsored by WRAL-TV
^ Poll sponsored by On Point Politics & Red Eagle Politics
Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
^ Poll sponsored by the Peter G. Peterson Foundation
Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld
Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute
Poll conducted for The Independent Center
^ Poll commissioned by AARP
^ Poll sponsored by American Greatness
^ Poll sponsored by TrendingPolitics
^ Poll sponsored by the American Principles Project
^ Poll sponsored by The Carolina Journal
Poll sponsored by Carolina Forward
^ Poll conducted for Clean and Prosperous America PAC
^ Poll sponsored by Democrats for the Next Generation PAC
^ Poll sponsored by NetChoice
Poll sponsored by NumbersUSA
^ Poll sponsored by Carolina Forward
^ Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump and third party candidates
^ Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
^ Poll sponsored by the John Locke Foundation
^ Poll sponsored by NC Values Coalition, a sponsor of the Republican Party
Poll conducted for the John Bolton Super PAC
Poll sponsored by Carolina Partnership for Reform & Carolina Leadership Coalition
Poll sponsored by the League of American Workers

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^ "2024 Presidential Election Survey: A Tight Race in North Carolina". Substack. September 13, 2024.
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Doran, Will (September 9, 2024). "Harris has slight edge in neck-and-neck race with Trump in NC, WRAL News Poll shows". WRAL.
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"Trump and Harris in dead heat". Patriot Polling. September 5, 2024.
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^ Korte, Gregory (August 29, 2024). "Harris Edges Trump in Key States, With Sun Belt Now Up for Grabs". Bloomberg.
^ Balara, Victoria; Blanton, Dana (August 28, 2024). "Fox News Poll: Harris closes gap with Trump in Sun Belt states". Fox News.
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^ "New APP Polling: Trump Leads in 3 of 5 Swing States, Voters Reject Democrats' Cultural Extremism". American Principles Project. August 29, 2024.
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^ "Toplines: August 2024 Times/Siena Poll of Registered Voters in North Carolina". The New York Times. August 17, 2024 – via NYTimes.com.
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^ Russell, Rachael (August 20, 2024). "Navigating the Vote: 2024 Presidential Battleground". Navigator Research.
^ Walter, Amy (August 14, 2024). "The Fight To Redefine the 2024 Race for President". Cook Political Report.
^ Cook, Nancy; Sasso, Michael (July 30, 2024). "Kamala Harris Wipes Out Trump's Swing-State Lead in Election Dead Heat". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
"Bloomberg Election Tracking Wave 8 Toplines Crosstabs" (PDF). Morning Consult. May 22, 2024.
^ Mumford, Camille (February 21, 2024). "North Carolina 2024 Poll: Trump 47%, Biden 44%". Emerson Polling.
Race to the WH
270toWin
"Our final report on the US presidential election". Focaldata. November 4, 2024.
"Final US Swing States Voting Intention (28-31 October)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. November 1, 2024.
Francia, Peter; Morris, Jonathan (November 4, 2024). "Trump Up 2 Points over Harris in North Carolina as Election Day Nears; Josh Stein Maintains Comfortable Lead Over Mark Robinson in Race for NC Governor". ECU Center for Survey Research.
Agiesta, Jennifer; Edwards-Levy, Ariel; Wu, Edward (October 31, 2024). "CNN Polls: Harris and Trump remain neck and neck in Georgia and North Carolina". CNN.
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Francia, Peter; Morris, Jonathan (September 30, 2024). "Trump Leads Harris by Two in North Carolina; Josh Stein Opens Large Lead over Mark Robinson in Race for NC Governor". ECU Center for Survey Research.
Edwards-Levy, Ariel (September 27, 2024). "CNN Poll: Harris and Trump are tied in North Carolina, while vice president leads in Nebraska's 2nd District". CNN.
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Francia, Peter; Morris, Jonathan (September 3, 2024). "North Carolina Election Heats Up: Trump leads Harris by 1 point in North Carolina; Stein widens advantage over Robinson in race for Governor". ECU Center for Survey Research.
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"Carolina Forward August 2024 - Toplines" (PDF). Carolina Forward. August 11, 2024.
"August 2024 – With Harris as Presidential Nominee, Race Tightens in North Carolina". The Carolina Journal. August 9, 2024.
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^ "Battleground State Surveys Show Harris can Defeat Trump" (PDF). FiveThirtyEight. July 21, 2024.
^ Mumford, Camille (July 18, 2024). "July 2024 Swing State Polls". Emerson Polling.
^ "NetChoice June 2024 Antitrust Survey Topline" (PDF). NetChoice. July 29, 2024.
^ Korte, Gregory; Niquette, Mark (July 6, 2024). "Biden Narrows Gap With Trump in Swing States Despite Debate Loss". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
^ Woodhouse, Dallas (June 17, 2024). "Poll: Lawfare backfires on Biden, as Trump stays strong in NC". The Carolina Journal.
Francia, Peter; Morris, Jonathan (June 8, 2024). "Trump leads Biden by 5 points in North Carolina; Gubernatorial election remains close with Stein up 1 on Robinson; Trump guilty verdict has little impact on NC voter intentions for November". ECU Center for Survey Research.
^ "SURVEY OF NORTH CAROLINA LIKELY VOTERS - MAY 29–JUNE 2, 2024" (PDF). American Greatness. June 3, 2024.
"North Carolina Voters Want Stronger Immigration Enforcement". Rasmussen Reports. June 6, 2024.
^ "Carolina Forward - NC Statewide - Toplines - May 2024". Google Docs. May 22, 2024.
^ "Swing State Poll: Biden and Trump in a Tight Race, Kennedy Struggles to Qualify for Debate" (PDF). FiveThirtyEight. May 22, 2024.
^ Korte, Gregory (May 22, 2024). "Half of Swing-State Voters Fear Violence Around US Election". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
^ Walter, Amy; Wasserman, David (May 24, 2024). "A Unique Election Driven by a Traditional Issue". Cook Political Report.
"HIGH POINT UNIVERSITY POLL 103 :: MEMO RELEASE 5/22/2024" (PDF). High Point University. May 22, 2024.
^ Mumford, Camille (April 30, 2024). "Trump Holds Edge Over Biden in Seven Key Swing State Polls". Emerson Polling.
^ "Biden Is the Real Spoiler, Kennedy Only Candidate Who Can Beat Trump". Kennedy24. May 1, 2024.
^ Korte, Gregory (April 24, 2024). "Biden's Gains Against Trump Vanish on Deep Economic Pessimism, Poll Shows". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
Mueller, Julia (April 19, 2024). "Trump leads Biden in North Carolina: Poll". The Hill.
^ "North Carolina 2024: Trump On Upside Of Too-Close-To-Call Race, Quinnipiac University North Carolina Poll Finds; Governor's Race: Stein Leads Robinson 52% - 44%". Quinnipiac University Poll. April 10, 2024.
"HPU Poll: N.C. Registered Voters Say Inflation and National Security Are Top Issues for D.C." High Point University. April 11, 2024.
^ "Wall Street Journal Targeted Presidential States Multimodal Survey" (PDF). The Wall Street Journal. April 2, 2024.
^ "The Battleground 2024: North Carolina". Marist Poll. March 20, 2024.
^ Korte, Gregory (March 26, 2024). "Biden Gains Ground Against Trump in Six Key States, Poll Shows". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
Doran, Will (March 11, 2024). "Trump leads in NC as Biden struggles with younger voters, WRAL News poll shows". WRAL.
"Survey of Likely General Election Voters North Carolina Statewide" (PDF). The Carolina Journal. March 12, 2024.
^ Korte, Gregory (February 29, 2024). "Biden Is Too Old But Trump Is Dangerous, Swing-State Poll Shows". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
^ Balara, Victoria (February 14, 2024). "Fox News Poll: Trump ahead of Biden in North Carolina with 50% support". Fox News.
Allen, Melyssa (February 5, 2024). "Meredith Poll Explores Primary Preferences, Opinions on Policy Issues, and Importance of Democracy". Meredith College.
Fabian, Jordan; Korte, Gregory (January 31, 2024). "Trump Risks Losing More Than Half of Swing-State Voters If Found Guilty". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
Cook, Nancy; Haque, Jennah; Korte, Gregory; Lu, Denise; Mejía, Elena (December 14, 2023). "Biden Forgave Billions in Student Debt. Poll Shows It's Not Enough For Gen Z". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
Korte, Gregory; Marlow, Iain (November 9, 2023). "Biden's Focus Is on Foreign Conflicts, But Swing-State Voter Worries Are Closer to Home". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
"An in-depth examination of North Carolina voter attitudes on important current issues" (PDF). Meredith College. November 5, 2023.
Cook, Nancy; Korte, Gregory (October 19, 2023). "Trump Is Winning Over Swing-State Voters Wary of Biden's Economic Plan". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (7-9 October 2023)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 15, 2023.
"NC Voters Want a Reproductive Freedom Constitutional Amendment – Carolina Forward". Carolina Forward. September 11, 2023.
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^ Macklem, Laura (January 25, 2023). "PR: Robinson narrowly leads Stein, DeSantis over Biden & Trump". NC Values Coalition.
Mumford, Camille (November 2, 2022). "North Carolina 2022: Budd Holds Five-Point Lead Over Beasley for US Senate". Emerson Polling.
"A Preview of What's to Come in 2024". Carolina Forward. November 28, 2022.
Anderson, Bryan (October 3, 2022). "Who would win NC in 2024? Biden and Trump neck-and-neck in hypothetical rematch, WRAL poll shows". WRAL.
"The race tightens: Beasley closes in on Budd in latest North Carolina Senate poll". September 20, 2022.
Francia, Peter; Morris, Jonathan (September 13, 2022). "ECU Poll Shows Budd With Narrow Lead Over Beasley". ECU Center for Survey Research.
LeMenager, Amy (August 9, 2022). "Dobbs Decision Tilts NC Senate Race Toward Beasley". Chism Strategies.
"Bolton Super PAC Crosstabs" (PDF). Bolton Super PAC. July 28, 2022.
Francia, Peter; Morris, Jonathan (May 23, 2022). "ECU Poll: Ted Budd leads Cheri Beasley by eight points among registered voters in North Carolina; Republicans lead generic congressional vote by three in NC; Biden's approval rating at just thirty-five percent in the Tar Heel state". ECU Center for Survey Research.
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"New CLC Poll Predicts a Bumpy Election Ride". Carolina Leader. May 29, 2024.
^ Francia, Peter; Morris, Jonathan (February 16, 2024). "Mark Robinson and Josh Stein Clear Favorites to win Nominations in Primary Elections for Governor; Likely General Election Matchup Tied". ECU Center for Survey Research.
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"May 2024 – Robinson, Stein neck and neck for governor's mansion". The Carolina Journal. May 9, 2024.
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"An in-depth examination of North Carolina voter attitudes on important current issues" (PDF). Meredith College. April 22, 2024.
"Survey of Likely General Election Voters North Carolina Statewide" (PDF). The John Locke Foundation. April 11, 2024.
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McHenry, Jon; Judy, Dan (February 6, 2024). "Key Findings from Survey of North Carolina Likely Voters". Archived from the original on February 8, 2024.
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"Presidential Election Results: Trump Wins". The New York Times. November 5, 2024.

v t e (2023 ←) 2024 United States elections (→ 2025)
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