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Opinion polling for the 2018 Pakistani general election: Difference between revisions

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Revision as of 06:09, 26 February 2018 editSaqib (talk | contribs)Extended confirmed users61,574 edits Unreliable data← Previous edit Revision as of 07:46, 27 February 2018 edit undoMasterpha (talk | contribs)Extended confirmed users3,374 edits →Nationwide voting intention: Perfectly reliable, just because it is from facebook does not mean it is unreliable. They even have their own weighting system and have perfectly reliable pollsTags: Mobile edit Mobile web editNext edit →
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| '''21 Feb 2018'''
|colspan="9" | '''] is disqualified as president of ]
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|20 Feb 2018
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| style="background: rgb(153, 255, 153);" |'''29%'''
|19%
|21%
|5%
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|style="background:{{Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color}}"|'''8%'''
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| '''16 Dec 2017''' | '''16 Dec 2017'''
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| '''14 Aug 2014''' | '''14 Aug 2014'''
| colspan="9" | '''] starts ] due to rigging allegations of the ] | colspan="9" | '''] starts ] due to rigging allegations of the ]
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|20 Sep 2014
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|19%
| style="background:rgb(248, 193, 190)"|'''30%'''
|21%
|colspan=4|29%
| style="background:{{Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color}}"|'''9%'''
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|17 Jul 2014 |17 Jul 2014
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! class="unsortable" style="background:{{Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color}}; width:60px;"| ! class="unsortable" style="background:{{Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color}}; width:60px;"|
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|20 Feb 2018
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|''unspecified
| style="background: rgb(153, 255, 153);" |'''47%'''
|22%
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|style="background:{{Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color}}"|'''26%'''
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|01 Nov 2017 |01 Nov 2017
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|20 Feb 2018
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|''unspecified''
| style="background:#D7D5D7"|'''44%'''
|18%
|''N/A''
|7%
|7%
|24%
| style="background:{{Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color}}; color:white"|'''26%'''
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|01 Nov 2017 |01 Nov 2017
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|20 Feb 2018
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|''unspecified''
| style="background:rgb(248, 193, 190)"|'''27%'''
|12%
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| style="background:{{Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color}}"|'''8%'''
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|20 Feb 2018
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| style="background: rgb(153, 255, 153);" |'''108'''
|53
|44
|6
|8
|5
|48
|style="background:{{Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color}}"|'''] 29 short'''
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|style="background:#D5D5D5"|'''11 May 2013'''||style="background:#D5D5D5"|]<ref>https://ecp.gov.pk/Documents/Downloads/General%20Election%202013/Statistics/Party%20wise%20Vote%20Bank.pdf</ref> |style="background:#D5D5D5"|'''11 May 2013'''||style="background:#D5D5D5"|]<ref>https://ecp.gov.pk/Documents/Downloads/General%20Election%202013/Statistics/Party%20wise%20Vote%20Bank.pdf</ref>

Revision as of 07:46, 27 February 2018

General elections are scheduled to be held in Pakistan on the 15th July 2018. In the run up to this, several Pollsters have conducted opinion polls on both the national and provincial level.

Nationwide voting intention

Voting intention polls conducted since 2013 for the National Assembly.

Date published Pollster PML (N) PTI PPP MQM (P) JUI (F) ANP Others Lead
class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Muttahida Qaumi Movement/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Awami National Party/meta/color; width:60px;"|
21 Feb 2018 Nawaz Sharif is disqualified as president of PML (N)
20 Feb 2018 OOP 29% 19% 21% 5% 4% 3% 19% style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|8%
16 Dec 2017 PM Shahid Khaqan Abbasi announces his intention to hold general elections on 15 July 2018
15 Dec 2017 PTI Secretary General Jahangir Tareen is disqualified, although Chairman Imran Khan is not
01 Nov 2017 Gallup Pakistan 34% 26% 15% 2% 2% 2% 19% style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|8%
25 Oct 2017 Pulse Consultant 36% 23% 15% 2% 1% 1% 22% style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color|13%
24 Oct 2017 GSP 38% 27% 17% 3% 1% 1% 14% style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color|11%
01 Aug 2017 Shahid Khaqan Abbasi is sworn in as Prime Minister of Pakistan
28 Jul 2017 PM Nawaz Sharif is disqualified from office on corruption charges
24 Apr 2017 Gallup Pakistan 36% 25% 16% 2% 3% 2% 16% style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|11%
38% 22% 17% 2% 2% 2% 14% style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|16%
27 Aug 2015 SDPI 27% 33% 14% 1% 2% 1% 20% style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|6%
14 Aug 2014 PTI starts nationwide protest due to rigging allegations of the 2013 Elections
20 Sep 2014 OOP 19% 30% 21% 29% style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|9%
17 Jul 2014 SDPI/Herald 17% 33% 19% 5% 3% 3% 18% style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|14%
05 Jun 2013 Nawaz Sharif is sworn in as Prime Minister of Pakistan
11 May 2013 Election 2013 style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|32.8% 16.9% 15.2% 5.4% 3.2% 1.0% 25.5% style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|15.9%

Province-wide voting intention

Voting intention polls conducted for each of the provinces. If a party has N/A listed in the poll, this indicates it is in the 'Others' section of the poll.

Punjab

Date published Pollster Legislature type PML (N) PTI PPP Others Lead
class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; width:60px;"|
20 Feb 2018 OOP unspecified 47% 22% 15% 16% style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|26%
01 Nov 2017 Gallup Pakistan unspecified 50% 31% 5% 14% style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|19%
25 Oct 2017 Pulse Consultant unspecified 55% 20% 7% 18% style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|35%
24 Oct 2017 GSP National 58% 23% 6% 13% style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|35%
27 Aug 2015 SDPI National 38% 35% 7% 20% style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|3%
17 Jul 2014 SDPI/Herald Provincial 25% 43% 11% 21% style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|18%
08 Jun 2013 Shehbaz Sharif is sworn in as Chief Minister of Punjab
11 May 2013 Election 2013 Provincial style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|40.8% 17.8% 8.8% 32.6% style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|23.0%

Sindh

Date published Pollster Legislature type PPP MQM (P) PML (F) PTI PML (N) Others Lead
class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Muttahida Qaumi Movement/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (F)/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color; width:60px;"|
20 Feb 2018 OOP unspecified 44% 18% N/A 7% 7% 24% style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; color:white"|26%
01 Nov 2017 Gallup Pakistan unspecified 44% 10% N/A 11% 35% style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; color:white"|35%
25 Oct 2017 Pulse Consultant unspecified 46% 7% N/A 10% N/A 37% style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; color:white"|36%
24 Oct 2017 GSP National 52% 11% 2% 14% 12% 7% style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; color:white"|38%
29 Jul 2016 Syed Murad Ali Shah is sworn in as Chief Minister of Sindh
27 Jul 2016 Syed Qaim Ali Shah is removed from the post of Chief Minister of Sindh by PPP head office
27 Aug 2015 SDPI National 41% 5% N/A 21% 13% 20% style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; color:white"|20%
17 July 2014 SDPI/Herald Provincial 50% 20% 5% 25% style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; color:white"|30%
30 May 2013 Syed Qaim Ali Shah is sworn in as Chief Minister of Sindh
11 May 2013 Election 2013 Provincial style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; color:white"|32.6% 25.5% 11.6% 6.2% 6.0% 18.1% style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; color:white"|7.1%

Khyber Pakhtunkhwa

Date published Pollster Legislature type PTI PML (N) JUI (F) ANP Others Lead
class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Awami National Party/meta/color; width:60px;"|
20 Feb 2018 OOP unspecified 27% 12% 19% 14% 28% style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|8%
01 Nov 2017 Gallup Pakistan unspecified 47% 10% 43% style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|37%
25 Oct 2017 Pulse Consultant unspecified 53% 13% 34% style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|40%
24 Oct 2017 GSP National 62% 10% 1% 5% 22% style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|52%
27 Aug 2015 SDPI National 50% 15% 7% 7% 21% style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|35%
17 Jul 2014 SDPI/Herald Provincial 40% N/A 13% 12% 35% style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|27%
31 May 2013 Pervez Khattak is sworn in as Chief Minister of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
11 May 2013 Election 2013 Provincial style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|19.3% 15.9% 13.6% 10.3% 40.9% style="background:Template:PTI/meta/color"|3.4%

Balochistan

Date published Pollster Legislature type JUI (F) PkMAP PML (N) BNP NP PPP ANP PTI Others Lead
class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:National Party (Pakistan)/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Awami National Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color; width:60px;"|
13 Jan 2018 Mir Abdul Quddus Bizenjo is sworn in as Chief Minister of Balochistan
09 Jan 2018 Sanaullah Zehri resigns from to post of Chief Minister to prevent a no confidence motion passing against him
01 Nov 2017 Gallup Pakistan unspecified 22% 18% 16% 44% 4%
25 Oct 2017 Pulse Consultant unspecified N/A 39% N/A 7% 21% 33% style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|18%
24 Oct 2017 GSP National N/A 6% 15% 8% 1% 9% 2% 33% 26% style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|18%
24 Dec 2015 Sanaullah Zehri is sworn in as Chief Minister of Balochistan
27 Aug 2015 SDPI National 18% N/A 5% N/A 10% 12% 4% 51% 6%
17 July 2014 SDPI/Herald Provincial N/A 23% 22% N/A 14% 41% 1%
07 Jun 2013 Abdul Malik Baloch is sworn in as Chief Minister of Balochistan
11 May 2013 Election 2013 Provincial 16% 13% 10% 6% 6% 4% 2% 2% 47% 3%

Seat Predictions

These seat predictions are based on the 272 directly elected general seats to the National Assembly of Pakistan. 137 seats are required for an absolute majority in the assembly.

Date published Pollster PML (N) PPP PTI MQM (P) JUI (F) ANP Others Majority
class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Muttahida Qaumi Movement/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Awami National Party/meta/color; width:60px;"|
20 Feb 2018 OOP 108 53 44 6 8 5 48 style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|PML (N) 29 short
11 May 2013 Election 2013 style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|126 33 28 19 11 2 53 style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|PML (N) 11 short

References

  1. "Prime Minister Shahid Khaqan Abbasi has said that general elections will be held in the country on 15th July next year". Twitter. December 16, 2017. {{cite news}}: Cite has empty unknown parameter: |1= (help)
  2. "Prime Minister Shahid Khaqan Abbasi has said that general elections will be held in the country on 15th July next year". Twitter. December 16, 2017. {{cite news}}: Cite has empty unknown parameter: |1= (help)
  3. https://ecp.gov.pk/Documents/Downloads/General%20Election%202013/Statistics/Party%20wise%20Vote%20Bank.pdf
  4. https://ecp.gov.pk/Documents/Downloads/General%20Election%202013/Statistics/Party%20wise%20Vote%20Bank.pdf
  5. https://ecp.gov.pk/Documents/Downloads/General%20Election%202013/Statistics/Party%20wise%20Vote%20Bank.pdf
  6. https://ecp.gov.pk/Documents/Downloads/General%20Election%202013/Statistics/Party%20wise%20Vote%20Bank.pdf
  7. https://ecp.gov.pk/Documents/Downloads/General%20Election%202013/Statistics/Party%20wise%20Vote%20Bank.pdf
  8. https://ecp.gov.pk/Documents/Downloads/General%20Election%202013/Statistics/Party%20wise%20Vote%20Bank.pdf
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