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{{Short description|Conspiracy theory originating from the US}} | |||
{{longish}} | |||
{{About|issues concerning allegations of pre-] links between Iraq and al-Qaeda|the ] presence involved during the ]|Al-Qaeda in Iraq}} | |||
{{multiple image | |||
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| image1 = Saddam Hussein in 1998.png | |||
| height1 = 317.2 | |||
| caption1 = ], fifth president of Iraq | |||
| image2 = Osama bin Laden portrait.jpg | |||
| height2 = 317.2 | |||
| caption2 = ], first leader of the militant group al-Qaeda | |||
}} | |||
{{Saddam Hussein series}} | |||
The '''Saddam Hussein and al-Qaeda link allegations''' were based on false claims by the ] alleging that a secretive relationship existed between Iraqi president ] and the Sunni ] militant organization ] between 1992 and 2003. U.S. president ] used it as a main ] in 2003. | |||
The ] dates after the ] in 1991, when ] officers met al-Qaeda members in 1992. After the ] in 2001, the conspiracy theory gained worldwide attention. The consensus of intelligence experts, backed up by reports from the ], ], and declassified ] reports, was that these contacts never led to a relationship between Saddam Hussein and al-Qaeda. Critics of Bush have said that he was intentionally building a case for war with Iraq with ]. | |||
In ], ] ] alleged that Iraqi President, '''] and ]''' might conspire to launch terrorist attacks on ], and used this allegation, ], to build a case for war. That the US Administration was intentionally bulding a case for war is was also discussed again after May 1, 2005 the ] (a British ] newspaper) published the ] which features the remark attributed to ] (then head of British foreign intelligence service ]) that "the intelligence and facts were being fixed around the policy" of removing Saddam Hussein from power, which was taken by critics to show that US intelligence on Iraq prior to the war was deliberately falsified, rather than simply mistaken. The support of the American public and by extension, authorization of the ] was needed to ]. Prior to 9/11 and the resulting War on Terror, some believed that Saddam Hussein's regime had links to al-Qaeda. Reports of contacts and cooperation between the two were published in various newspapers, magazines and televised news reports , but no concrete evidence that Iraq conspired with al-Qaeda to commit terrorist attacks has ever materialized. | |||
<!-- Do NOT add citations to the lead, except for material likely to be challenged, per ] (]. Move unneeded citations to the body. --> | |||
==Background== | |||
The ] concluded that there was no evidence of a "collaborative relationship" between Saddam Hussein and Al-Qaeda at the time of the ]. This was also the conclusion of various U.S. government agencies that investigated the issue, including the ], ], ], and ]. The ] also reviewed the intelligence community's conclusions and found that they were justifiable. | |||
{{See also|Timeline of Saddam Hussein and al-Qaeda link allegations}} | |||
During the lead-up to the Iraq War, questions were raised about a possible connection between Saddam Hussein's government and al-Qaeda. One question was whether the Iraqi regime and al-Qaeda had a cooperative relationship.<ref name="caseclosed" /> | |||
In addition, President Bush received on ] ] a classified ] (PDB), indicating the U.S. intelligence community had no evidence linking Saddam Hussein to the September 11th attacks. Furthermore, there was no evidence of any collaborative relationship between the Iraqi leader and ]. Despite all of this information, polls have shown that many Americans continue to persist in the false belief that Saddam was linked to al-Qaeda, although the number who continue to do so has been slowly declining. This discrepancy has been attributed to the way in which the U.S. ] presented facts and opinion regarding the "]." | |||
Although some contacts between agents of Saddam's government and members of al-Qaeda have been alleged, the consensus of experts and analysts is that those contacts never led to an formal relationship.<ref name=":0">{{Cite book |url=https://www.govinfo.gov/app/details/CRPT-108srpt301/CRPT-108srpt301 |title=S. Rept. 108-301 - REPORT OF THE SELECT COMMITTEE ON INTELLIGENCE on the U.S. INTELLIGENCE COMMUNITY'S PREWAR INTELLIGENCE ASSESSMENTS ON IRAQ together with ADDITIONAL VIEWS |date=December 31, 2003 |publisher=U.S. Government Printing Office |pages=346}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Corn |first=David |date=July 5, 2004 |title=Al Qaeda Disconnect |work=The Nation |publisher=The Nation Company L.P. |pages=4 |via=Gale OneFile |volume=279 |issue=1}}</ref> The ] concluded that there was only one encounter between representatives of the Baathist regime and representatives of al-Qaeda. This meeting took place in Sudan in 1995, and the Iraqi representative (who is in custody and has been cooperating with investigators) said that after the meeting he "received word from his IIS chain-of-command that he should not see bin Laden again."{{Citation needed|date=November 2024}} The panel found evidence of only two other instances in which there was any communication between Saddam's regime and al-Qaeda members. On the other two occasions, the Committee concluded, Saddam rebuffed meeting requests from an al-Qaeda operative. The intelligence community has not found other evidence of meetings between al-Qaeda and Iraq.{{Citation needed|date=November 2024}} | |||
== Questions about the plausibility of the link == | |||
On the more specific question of whether Saddam was behind the attacks of September 11, 2001, the consensus is that there is no credible evidence of his government's involvement. The ] (CIA, NSA, and ]) view, confirmed by the conclusions of the ] and the ], is that there was no cooperative effort between the two and Saddam did not support the 9/11 attacks; it was considered that the difference in ideology between Saddam and al-Qaeda made cooperation in any terrorist attacks unlikely. The Senate report discussed the possibility of Saddam offering al-Qaeda training and safe haven, but confirmed the CIA's conclusion that there was no evidence of operational cooperation between the two.<ref>Even the alleged training and safe haven involved secular Baathists not associated with al-Qaeda.</ref> By March 20, 2006, President ] made clear that his administration did not have evidence to prove that Saddam played a role in the attacks.<ref name="Claim">"", ].</ref> | |||
When Iraq invaded Kuwait in ] ], Osama bin Laden offered to defend ] by sending "]" warriors from ] to repel Saddam's forces. After the ], bin Laden continued to criticize Saddam's ] regime. Additionally, Bin Laden supported anti-Saddam terrorist forces in northern Iraq, although in later years there are indications that Saddam eventually tolerated their presence as a counterweight to the Kurds.<ref>9/11 Commission, p. 61</ref> Those forces, however, mostly operated in areas not under Saddam's control (see below). | |||
==History of claims== | |||
Osama bin Laden's expressed hostility to Saddam's regime, critical assessment of evidence from the ] (the source of most of the claims of cooperation between the two) as well as the paucity of evidence for the alleged links, particularly for any substantial collaboration, have led most journalists and intelligence analysts not associated with or supporters of the Bush administration to dismiss the claimed links. | |||
===After the September 11 attacks=== | |||
]'s exhaustive study of suicide terrorism found that "al-Qaeda's transnational suicide terrorists have come overwhelmingly from America's closest allies in the Muslim world and not at all from the Muslim regimes that the U.S. State Department considers 'state sponsors of terrorism'." <ref>Robert Pape, ''Dying to Win: The Strategic Logic of Suicide Terrorism'' New York: Random House, 2005 ) p. 114</ref> Pape notes that no al-Qaeda suicide attackers came from Iraq. Daniel Byman's study of state sponsorship of terrorism similarly did not list Iraq as a significant state sponsor, and called the al-Qaeda connection "a rationale that before the war was strained and after it seems an ever-weaker reed." <ref>Daniel Byman, ''Deadly Connections: States that Sponsor Terrorism'' Cambridge University Press, 2005, ) p. 285</ref> The conclusion of counterterrorism experts such as ], ], ], and ] has been that there is no evidence that suggests any collaborative relationship between Saddam Hussein and al-Qaeda. That was also the conclusion of specific investigations by the ], the ], the ] and the 9/11 Commission, among others. The ] reviewed the CIA's investigation and concluded that the CIA's conclusion that there was no evidence of collaboration was justified. | |||
{{Main|Aftermath of the September 11 attacks}} | |||
The Bush administration sought to link the Iraqi president to Islamist radicals early in the aftermath of the September 11 attacks. President Bush allegedly made the case to ] as early as September 14, 2001, although Blair urged him not to pursue the claim.<ref>"," ''Agence France Presse'' (30 November 2009).</ref><ref>"," "Routledge - Taylor & Francis" (2009).</ref> | |||
===Dick Cheney's allegations=== | |||
While it is doubtful that Saddam was involved in September 11, members of his government did have contacts with al-Qaeda over the years; however, many of the links, as will be seen below, are not considered by experts and analysts as convincing evidence of a collaborative relationship. Former Counterterrorism Czar ] writes, "he simple fact is that lots of people, particularly in the Middle East, pass along many rumors and they end up being recorded and filed by U.S. intelligence agencies in raw reports. That does not make them 'intelligence'. Intelligence involves analysis of raw reports, not merely their enumeration or weighing them by the pound. Analysis, in turn, involves finding independent means of corroborating the reports. Did al-Qaeda agents ever talk to Iraqi agents? I would be startled if they had not. I would also be startled if American, Israeli, Iranian, British, or Jordanian agents had somehow failed to talk to al-Qaeda or Iraqi agents. Talking to each other is what intelligence agents do, often under assumed identities or 'false flags,' looking for information or possible defectors." <ref>'']'', p. 269-70</ref> | |||
{{Main|Mohamed Atta's alleged Prague connection}} | |||
Vice President ] said during a '']'' appearance on December 9, 2001, that Iraq was harboring ], a suspect in the ].<ref name="Meet the Press">{{cite press release | |||
== Background == | |||
|date = 2001-12-09 | |||
|url = https://georgewbush-whitehouse.archives.gov/vicepresident/news-speeches/speeches/print/vp20011209.html | |||
|title = The Vice President Appears on NBC's Meet the Press | |||
|work = White House news release | |||
|publisher = The White House | |||
}}</ref> Cheney repeated the claim in another appearance on September 14, 2003: <blockquote>We learned more and more that there was a relationship between Iraq and al-Qaida that stretched back through most of the decade of the '90s, that it involved training, for example, on BW and CW, that al-Qaida sent personnel to Baghdad to get trained on the systems that are involved. The Iraqis providing bomb-making expertise and advice to the al-Qaida organization. We know, for example, in connection with the original World Trade Center bombing in '93 that one of the bombers was Iraqi, returned to Iraq after the attack of '93. And we've learned subsequent to that, since we went into Baghdad and got into the intelligence files, that this individual probably also received financing from the Iraqi government as well as safe haven.<ref name="Meet the Press transcript">"", ].</ref></blockquote> Cheney said in a January 2004 interview with ] there was "overwhelming evidence" of a relationship between Saddam and al-Qaeda based on purported evidence, including Iraq's alleged harboring of Yasin.<ref name="0303-01.htm">{{cite news| first=Jonathan S.| last=Landay| author2=Warren P. Strobel| author3=John Walcott| url=http://www.commondreams.org/headlines04/0303-01.htm| title=Doubts Cast on Efforts to Link Saddam, al-Qaida| publisher=Knight-Ridder| date=March 3, 2004| url-status=dead| archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20061208023017/http://www.commondreams.org/headlines04/0303-01.htm| archive-date=December 8, 2006}}</ref> | |||
In the 2001 and 2003 ''Meet the Press'' interviews, Cheney also reported that Czech Interior Minister ] said that an Iraqi intelligence officer met with 9/11 hijacker ] in Prague five months before the attacks;<ref name="Meet the Press" /> in the 2003 interview, he said that "we've never been able to develop any more of that yet either in terms of confirming it or discrediting it. We just don't know."<ref name="Meet the Press transcript" /> In 2006, Cheney acknowledged that the notion "that the meeting ever took place" had been "pretty well knocked down now."<ref>{{cite press release | |||
Osama bin Laden, the leader of al-Qaeda, had been highly critical of Saddam Hussein's regime and when Iraqi armies invaded Kuwait in August 1990, bin Laden offered to defend the Saudi kingdom from Saddam by sending warriors from the Afghan jihad to the border. After the ], bin Laden remained highly critical of Saddam's socialist ] regime, emphasizing that Saddam could not be trusted, and at one point calling him a "socialist motherfucker." Bin Laden told his biographer that "the land of the Arab world, the land is like a mother, and Saddam Hussein is fucking his mother." | |||
|date = 2006-03-29 | |||
|url = https://georgewbush-whitehouse.archives.gov/news/releases/2006/03/print/20060329-2.html | |||
|title = Interview of the Vice President by Tony Snow | |||
|work = White House news release | |||
|publisher = The White House | |||
}}</ref> | |||
===Intelligence community claims and doubts=== | |||
After the Gulf War, as Iraq experienced internal unrest, Saddam turned to religion perhaps to bolster his government (for example, adding the words "God is Great" in Arabic to the Iraqi flag, and referring to God in his speeches). | |||
In the initial stages of the ], the ] under ] was rising to prominence as the lead agency in the ]. When Tenet insisted in his personal meetings with President Bush that there was no connection between al-Qaeda and Iraq, however, Dick Cheney and Secretary of Defense ] initiated a secret program to re-examine the evidence and marginalize the CIA and Tenet. The questionable intelligence acquired by this secret program was "]" to the vice president and presented to the public. Cheney's office would sometimes leak the intelligence to reporters, where it would be reported by outlets such as '']''. Cheney would subsequently appear on the Sunday political television talk shows to discuss the intelligence, citing the ''Times'' to give it credence.<ref> PBS, aired June 20, 2006</ref> | |||
Some sources allege that several meetings between top Iraqi operatives and bin Laden took place, but these claims have been disputed by many other sources, including most of the original intelligence agencies that investigated these sources in the first place. Many in the intelligence community are skeptical about whether such meetings, if they took place at all, ever resulted in any meaningful relationship. Many of the claims of actual collaboration seem to have originated with people associated with the ] whose credibility has been impeached and who has been accused of manipulating the evidence in order to lure the United States into war on false pretenses. In addition, many of the raw intelligence reports came to the awareness of the public through the leaking of a memo sent from Undersecretary of Defense for Policy ] to the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence <ref>"the Feith memo", dated ] ]</ref>, the conclusions of which have been disputed by intelligence agencies including the CIA. | |||
The prewar CIA testimony was that there was evidence of senior-level contacts between Iraq and al-Qaeda going back a decade, with Iraq providing al-Qaeda training (combat, bomb-making, and ]:chemical, biological, radiological and nuclear), but they had no credible information that Baghdad had foreknowledge of the 11 September attacks or any other al-Qaeda strike.<ref>, Report on the U.S. Intelligence Community's Prewar Intelligence Assessments On Iraq, ], GlobalSecurity.org.</ref><ref>" {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20060907004534/http://foi.missouri.edu/terrorintelligence/cialetter.html |date=2006-09-07 }}", '']'', 10-09-2002.</ref> The CIA's report on Iraq's ties to terrorism noted in September 2002 that the CIA did not have "credible intelligence reporting" of operational collaboration between Iraq and al-Qaeda. According to the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, the CIA reported that "al-Qaida, including Bin Ladin personally, and Saddam were leery of close cooperation," but the "mutual antipathy of the two would not prevent tactical, limited cooperation." (p. 338) The current expert consensus is that although members of Saddam's intelligence service may have met with al-Qaeda terrorists over the last decade or so, there was no evidence that Iraq and al-Qaeda were linked operationally.<ref>{{cite web|url= http://www.9-11commission.gov/report/911Report_Statement.pdf |title=Statement on the release of the 9/11 Report }} {{small|(40.3 KB)}}</ref> It is now known that the main source for the CIA's claim that Iraq had trained al-Qaeda members in bomb-making, poisons and gases included the now-recanted claims of captured al-Qaeda leader ]. The CIA has since recalled and reissued its intelligence reporting about al-Libi's recanted claims.<ref name="09intel.html">{{cite news | |||
Some have suggested that an understanding was reached between Iraq and al-Qaeda, namely that al-Qaeda would not act against Saddam in exchange for Iraqi support, primarily in the form of training. Some reports claim that six of the ], including their leader ], met with Iraqi intelligence operatives on several separate occasions, but the evidence that any of these meetings actually took place is sketchy. A training camp in ], south of Baghdad, was claimed by a number of defectors to have been used to train international terrorists (assumed to be al-Qaeda members) in hijacking techniques using a real airplane as a prop. The defectors were inconsistent about a number of details. The camp has been discovered by U.S. Marines, but intelligence analysts do not believe it was used by al-Qaeda. Some believe it was actually used for counterterrorism training, while others believe it was used to train foreign terrorists but not al-Qaeda members. | |||
|author=DOUGLAS JEHL | |||
|title=Qaeda-Iraq Link U.S. Cited Is Tied to Coercion Claim | |||
|date=December 9, 2005 | |||
|work=] | |||
|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2005/12/09/politics/09intel.html | |||
|access-date=2008-08-05 | |||
}}</ref> The DIA communicated to President Bush in February 2002 its stance that al-Libi "was intentionally misleading his debriefers."<ref>{{cite news | |||
|title=Report Warned Bush Team About Intelligence Doubts | |||
|date=November 6, 2005 | |||
|work=] | |||
|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2005/11/06/politics/06intel.ready.html | |||
|access-date=2008-08-05 | |||
| first=Douglas | |||
| last=Jehl | |||
}}</ref> | |||
===9/11 Commission conclusions=== | |||
] noted that a lot of the claims connecting Saddam and al-Qaeda - and specifically Saddam and the 9/11 attacks - were based on the controversial theories of ] which had been thoroughly vetted and dismissed by the CIA and FBI. He notes in ''Frontpage Magazine'', "she also believes Saddam perpetrated 9-11 in spite of the fact that the joint FBI-INS-police PENTBOM investigation, the FBI program of voluntary interviews and numerous other post-9-11 inquiries, together comprising probably the most comprehensive criminal investigation in history—chasing down 500,000 leads and interviewing 175,000 people -- has turned up no evidence of Iraq's involvement; nor has the extensive search of post-Saddam Iraq by the Kay and Duelfer commission and US troops combing through Saddam’s computers." | |||
{{Main|9/11 Commission Report}} | |||
In its report, the ] said that ] sponsored anti-Saddam Islamists in ] and sought to attract them to his Islamic army. Those forces primarily operated in areas not under Saddam's control. To protect his ties with Iraq, Sudanese Islamic leader Hassan al-Turabi brokered an agreement with bin Laden to stop supporting activities against Saddam. Bin Laden seemed to honor this agreement for a time, although he continued to aid Islamic extremists in Kurdistan. During the late 1990s, these extremist groups were defeated by Kurdish forces. In 2001, the extremist groups (with help from Bin Laden) re-formed as ]. Indications exist that by then, the Iraqi regime tolerated (and may have helped) Ansar al-Islam against their common Kurdish enemy.<ref name=":1">{{Cite book |url=https://www.govinfo.gov/app/details/GPO-911REPORT/summary |title=The 9/11 Commission Report: Final Report of the National Commission on Terrorist Attacks Upon the United States (9/11 Report) |date=July 22, 2004 |publisher=U.S. Government Printing Office |isbn=0-16-072304-3 |pages=66}}</ref> | |||
The commission concluded that "to date we have seen no evidence that these or the earlier contacts ever developed into a collaborative operational relationship," however, and did not find proof "indicating that Iraq cooperated with al-Qaeda in developing or carrying out any attacks against the United States."<ref name=":1" /><ref> ''MSNBC'' June 16, 2004.</ref><ref>Milbank, Dana. "", '']'', 06-20-2004.</ref> This conclusion is consistent with the findings of investigations of specific aspects of the Saddam Hussein-al-Qaeda relationship, including those conducted by the ], ], ], and ]. The ] also reviewed the intelligence community's conclusions,<ref> {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20060816215352/http://intelligence.senate.gov/iraqreport2.pdf |date=2006-08-16 }} (broken link)</ref> and found them justifiable.<ref>The committee also found gaps in the intelligence-gathering methods used (see ]), but did not suggest that these gaps altered the conclusions those agencies reached.</ref> | |||
''For discussion of links between Iraq and other terrorist organizations, see ]''. | |||
===Operation Iraqi Freedom documents=== | |||
==Timeline== | |||
{{Main|Operation Iraqi Freedom documents}} | |||
Much of the evidence of alleged links between Iraq and al-Qaeda is based on speculation about meetings that may have taken place between Iraqi officials and al-Qaeda members. What took place at those meetings is unclear, but often the mere act of meeting has been taken as evidence of substantial collaboration. As terrorism analyst Evan Kohlman points out, "While there have been a number of promising intelligence leads hinting at possible meetings between al-Qaeda members and elements of the former Baghdad regime, nothing has been yet shown demonstrating that these potential contacts were historically any more significant than the same level of communication maintained between Osama bin Laden and ruling elements in a number of Iraq's Persian Gulf neighbors, including Saudi Arabia, Iran, Yemen, Qatar, and Kuwait." | |||
The U.S. government released "Operation Iraqi Freedom documents", about which the Pentagon said that it had made "no determination regarding the authenticity of the documents, validity or factual accuracy."<ref>"", ], 03-17-2006.</ref> Claims have been made that information in some of the documents suggests that Saddam and al-Qaeda may have been willing to work together. 9/11 Commission member ] looked at some of the documents and "was careful to say that new documents translated last night by ABC News did not prove Saddam Hussein played a role in any way in plotting the attacks of September 11, 2001." However, Kerrey said that one document suggests that "Saddam was a significant enemy of the United States."<ref>Lake, Eil. " {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20060415022447/http://www.nysun.com/article/29746 |date=2006-04-15 }}", 03-24-2006.</ref> | |||
The Office of the Director of National Intelligence looked at the documents and said that "amateur translators won't find any major surprises, such as proof Hussein hid stockpiles of chemical weapons."<ref>Bray, Hiawatha. "", '']'', 03-18-2006. Retrieved 03-28 2006.</ref> The Pentagon also examined the documents and released an official study which did not report on any evidence linking Saddam to al-Qaeda. The 2006 Senate Select Committee on Intelligence concluded that "additional reviews of documents recovered in Iraq are unlikely to provide information that would contradict the Committee's findings or conclusions." Intelligence expert ] said that the release of the documents was being used as an opportunity to find "a retrospective justification for the war in Iraq."<ref>{{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230416025721/https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-2006-mar-17-na-ushussein17-story.html|date=April 16, 2023|title=U.S. Reveals Once-Secret Files From Hussein Regime}}</ref> | |||
The following timeline lists allegations of meetings between al Qaeda members and members of Saddam Hussein's government, as well as other information relevant to the theory that Saddam conspired with al-Qaeda. It is important to note that not all of the specific claims about meetings can be substantiated with other evidence, and that many of the intelligence agencies and experts who have analyzed the evidence have concluded that no substantial links exist. | |||
==={{anchor|Bush Administration retracts its position}}Bush administration retraction=== | |||
===1988=== | |||
On March 21, 2006, Bush sought to distance himself from the allegation of any link: "First, just if I might correct a misperception, I don't think we ever said—at least I know I didn't say that there was a direct connection between September the 11th and Saddam Hussein."<ref>{{cite press release |date=2006-03-20 |url=https://georgewbush-whitehouse.archives.gov/news/releases/2006/03/print/20060320-7.html|title=President Discusses War on Terror and Operation Iraqi Freedom |publisher=The White House}}</ref> Bush reaffirmed the White House position in stronger terms in a press conference on August 21 of that year. Ken Herman of ] asked, "What did Iraq have to do with ... the attack on the World Trade Center?" Bush replied, "Nothing", and added: "Nobody has ever suggested that the attacks of September the 11th were ordered by Iraq."<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f_A77N5WKWM&t=1m4s |archive-url=https://ghostarchive.org/varchive/youtube/20211213/f_A77N5WKWM |archive-date=2021-12-13 |url-status=live|title=Bush admits that Iraq Had Nothing To Do With 9/11|last=marky1dark|date=23 August 2006|via=YouTube}}{{cbignore}}</ref><ref>{{cite press release |date=2006-08-21 |url=https://georgewbush-whitehouse.archives.gov/news/releases/2006/08/print/20060821.html |title=Press ference by the President |publisher=The White House}}</ref> | |||
* Osama bin Laden lectures in Pakistan, according to sworn testimony of al-Qaeda member ]. During these lectures, bin Laden warns against Saddam Hussein and the Baath party, telling listeners to beware of the expansionist ambitions of the secular leader. | |||
Opponents of Bush's Iraq policy called his statement inconsistent with his letter to Congress of March 21, 2003.<ref>{{cite press release |date=2003-03-21 |url=https://georgewbush-whitehouse.archives.gov/news/releases/2003/03/print/20030321-5.html | |||
===1990=== | |||
|title=Presidential Letter |publisher=The White House}}</ref> A minority (Democratic) staff report by the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Government Reform said that "in 125 separate appearances, they made ... 61 misleading statements about Iraq's relationship with al-Qaeda."<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.house.gov/reform/min/pdfs_108_2/pdfs_inves/pdf_admin_iraq_on_the_record_rep.pdf |title= Iraq on The Record: The Bush Administration's Public Statements on Iraq |access-date=2007-06-18 |date=2004-03-16 |publisher=U.S. House of Representatives |pages=36 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20060514140012/http://www.house.gov/reform/min/pdfs_108_2/pdfs_inves/pdf_admin_iraq_on_the_record_rep.pdf |archive-date=2006-05-14 |quote=61 misleading statements about Iraq's relationship with al Qaeda.}}</ref> | |||
* ] - Saddam Hussein's army invades Kuwait. In response to the perceived threat to Saudi Arabia, Osama bin Laden offers to bring an army of jihadist fighters against Saddam to protect the kingdom. The Saudi royal family's decision to seek protection from American troops rather than bin Laden's jihadists is considered a turning point in bin Laden's life; the presence of these troops in the Arabian peninsula after the end of the ] became, for bin Laden, a key piece of evidence that America was at war with Islam. While bin Laden continued to oppose Saddam's Baathist government, he was vocal in criticizing the U.N. sanctions against Iraq and in making common cause with the Iraqi people. | |||
=== |
===American public opinion=== | ||
{{Main|Public opinion in the United States on the invasion of Iraq|Media coverage of the Iraq War}} | |||
* Sudan -- ], then head of ], meets with ] in Sudan (). Bin Laden told his aide that "he had no intention of accepting Saddam's offer because 'if we go there, it would be his agenda, not ours.'" Hijazi, arrested in April 2003, acknowledged the meeting took place but said the two groups established no ties. | |||
Polls have indicated that many Americans continued to believe that Saddam was linked to al-Qaeda, although the number who do so has slowly declined.<ref>{{cite news |title=Sizeable Minorities Still Believe Saddam Hussein Had Strong Links to Al Qaeda, Helped Plan 9/11 and Had Weapons of Mass Destruction |url=http://www2.prnewswire.com/cgi-bin/stories.pl?ACCT=104&STORY=/www/story/12-29-2005/0004240417&EDATE= |agency=PR Newswire |publisher=Harris Interactive |date=29 December 2005 |access-date=2005-12-31 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080510103500/http://www.prnewswire.com/cgi-bin/stories.pl?ACCT=104&STORY=%2Fwww%2Fstory%2F12-29-2005%2F0004240417&EDATE= |archive-date=2008-05-10 |url-status=dead }}</ref><ref>"{{usurped|1=}}"</ref> The discrepancy has been attributed to the way the U.S. ] presented facts and opinion about the ].<ref>{{cite news| url=https://www.thestar.com/NASApp/cs/ContentServer?pagename=thestar/Layout/Article_Type1&c=Article&cid=1142894779554&call_page=TS_Entertainment&call_pageid=968867495754&call_pagepath=A&E/News&pubid=968163964505| publisher=Toronto Star| title=U.S. media wallows in amnesia| date=March 21, 2006| first=Antonia| last=Zerbisias}}</ref><ref> {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20050929024415/http://www.pipa.org/OnlineReports/Iraq/Media_10_02_03_Report.pdf |date=2005-09-29 }}</ref> | |||
== {{anchor|Skepticism of the Saddam–al-Qaeda link}}Skepticism == | |||
* Baghdad - ], one of the bombers in the 1993 ] attack, flees to Iraq where he moves in with a relative and receives a monthly stipend from the regime (). Iraq had actually made an offer to the Clinton Administration to trade Yasin in 1998, but the Clinton administration rejected the offer. The Iraqis made a similar offer to the Bush Administration in 2003 but this offer was also spurned. Neil Herman, who headed the ] investigation into the 1993 World Trade Center attack, noted that despite Yasin's presence in Baghdad, there was no evidence of Iraqi support for the attack. "We looked at that rather extensively," he told CNN terrorism analyst ]. "There were no ties to the Iraqi government." Bergen writes, "In sum, by the mid-'90s, the Joint Terrorism Task Force in New York, the F.B.I., the U.S. Attorney's office in the Southern District of New York, the C.I.A., the N.S.C., and the State Department had all found no evidence implicating the Iraqi government in the first Trade Center attack." During the 9/11 Commission Hearings, former U.S. counterterrorism chief ] was asked about whether Yasin going to Iraq established a connection between Saddam Hussein and the 1993 WTC attack. His response was unequivocating: "But the investigation, both the CIA investigation and the FBI investigation, made it very clear in '95 and '96 as they got more information, that the Iraqi government was in no way involved in the attack. And the fact that one of the 12 people involved in the attack was Iraqi hardly seems to me as evidence that the Iraqi government was involved in the attack. The attack was al-Qaida; not Iraq. The Iraqi government because, obviously, of the hostility between us and them, didn't cooperate in turning him over and gave him sanctuary, as it did give sanctuary to other terrorists. But the allegation that has been made that the 1993 attack on the World Trade Center was done by the Iraqi government I think is absolutely without foundation." <ref>9/11 Commission Hearing, ] ] </ref> | |||
=== Conflicting goals and ideologies === | |||
Saddam Hussein was a ], and ] combines ] ] with ]. The ideological founder of Ba'athism, ], was a Christian.<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.damascus-online.com/se/bio/aflaq_michel.htm |title=Michel Aflaq |publisher=Damascus-online.com |access-date=2009-07-07 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090803232825/http://www.damascus-online.com/se/bio/aflaq_michel.htm |archive-date=2009-08-03 |url-status=dead }}</ref> The movement is at odds with ], with which Saddam had been in conflict;<ref>Abdel-Malek, Anouar ''Contemporary Arab Political Thought'', London: Zed Books, 1983</ref> Saddam exiled ] to France when the ayatollah attempted to incite the Iraqi Shia to overthrow him when Khomeini was in exile in ], which was a catalyst for the ] and the resulting Iran-Iraq war. Khomeini pitted Saddam against Islamic radicalism; Saddam's people were inspired by the Iranian Revolution and eight years of "holy war" against Iranians who used suicide tactics. This wreaked havoc on the Iraqi armed forces, who solved the problem with ]. | |||
During the ], Saddam supported ] and the Christian ] instead of the ] or ], which were funded by Iran and most other Arab countries. When Iraq invaded Kuwait in August 1990, ] offered to defend ] by sending '']'' from ] to repel Saddam's forces. After the ], bin Laden continued to criticize Saddam's ] administration and emphasized that Saddam could not be trusted. Bin Laden told his biographer that "the land of the Arab world, the land is like a mother, and Saddam Hussein is fucking his mother."<ref>Bergen, Peter. "". (archive)</ref> Saddam abolished ] in Iraq, cracked down on Islamist movements (responding with mass executions and torture when he felt threatened by them), promoted Western ideals of society and law, and usually retained secular ]s, Shias and Christians in his government. | |||
===1995=== | |||
* September -- Sudan -- Brigadier ], top explosives expert of the ], allegedly meets with bin Laden in Sudan; a second meeting at which Mani-abd-al-Rashid-al-Tikriti, director of the IIS, is also present, supposedly takes place in July 1996 (, ] pg. 468 ). The 9/11 Commission final report concludes that the evidence did not support the alleged meetings, and notes that the information was received "third hand". The interrogation records show various possible dates for the first meeting. One dates the meeting in 1994 while another dates it in February 1995. The date of the second meeting is also in doubt, and there was no evidence that bin Laden had left Afghanistan at the time: "The information is puzzling, since bin Ladin left Sudan for Afghanistan in May 1996, and there is no evidence he ventured back there (or anywhere else) for a visit. In examining the source material, the reports note that the information was received 'third hand,' passed from the foreign government service that 'does not meet directly with the ultimate source of the information, but obtains the information from him through two unidentified intermediaries, one of whom merely delivers the information to the Service.'" The same source also claims al-Ahmed was seen near bin Laden's farm in December 1995.<ref>The 9/11 Commission Report, p. 468</ref> | |||
]'s study of suicide terrorism found that "al-Qaeda's transnational suicide terrorists have come overwhelmingly from America's closest allies in the Muslim world and not at all from the Muslim regimes that the U.S. State Department considers 'state sponsors of terrorism'."<ref>Robert Pape, ''Dying to Win: The Strategic Logic of Suicide Terrorism'' New York: Random House, 2005 {{ISBN|1-4000-6317-5}} p. 114</ref> Pape notes that no al-Qaeda suicide attackers came from Iraq. Daniel Byman's study of state sponsorship of terrorism also did not list Iraq as a significant state sponsor and called the al-Qaeda connection "a rationale that before the war was strained and after it seems an ever-weaker reed."<ref>Daniel Byman, ''Deadly Connections: States that Sponsor Terrorism'' Cambridge University Press, 2005, {{ISBN|0-521-83973-4}} p. 285</ref> Counterterrorism experts ], ] and ] and journalists ] and ] (both of whom have written extensively about al-Qaeda) have found no evidence of a collaborative relationship between Saddam Hussein and al-Qaeda. This conclusion agrees with investigations by the National Security Council, the Central Intelligence Agency, Federal Bureau of Investigation, and the 9/11 Commission. The ] reviewed the CIA investigation, and found that the agency's conclusion that there was no evidence of operational collaboration was justified. | |||
* ], Iraq - several Iraqi defectors report that hundreds of foreign terrorists were being trained in airplane hijacking techniques "without weapons" using a real airplane (variously reported as a Boeing 707 and a Tupolev 154) as a prop at the ] just south of Baghdad, between 1995 to 2000; the training was allegedly run by Hussein's ] (). This story has been reported by the following defectors: Sabah Khalifa Khodada Alami (former Iraqi army captain), "Abu Zeinab" al-Ghurairy (former Iraqi seargant who claimed to be a general), Khidir Hamza (scientist who was director of the Iraqi nuclear program, ), Abdul Rahman al-Shamari (a Mukhabarat agent in US custody), and "Abu Mohammed" (a former colonel in the Fedayeen, ). Khodada provided details of the layout of the camp, now confirmed as accurate, as early as 1998, and Abu Zeinab corroborated the story in 2000. The credibility of Khodada and Abu Zeinab is often questioned due to their association with the ], an organization that has been accused of deliberately supplying false information to the US government in order to build support for regime change (). "The INC’s agenda was to get us into a war," said Helen Kennedy of the ]. "The really damaging stories all came from those guys, not the CIA. They did a really sophisticated job of getting it out there." One of the defectors, al-Ghurairy, has been described as "a complete fake -- a low-ranking former soldier whom Ahmed Chalabi's aides had coached to deceive the media." <ref>Jack Fairweather, "Heroes in Error," ''Mother Jones'' March/April 2006</ref> Another defector who interviewed Mr. Ghurairy noted, ""He is an opportunist, cheap and manipulative. He has poetic interests and has a vivid imagination in making up stories." Inconsistencies in the stories of the defectors led U.S. officials, journalists, and investigators to conclude that the Salman Pak story was inaccurate. One senior U.S. official said that they had found "nothing to substantiate" the claim that al-Qaeda trained at Salman Pak other than the testimony of several INC defectors (, ). ] chief ] disagrees: "We always just called them the terrorist camps ... We reported them at the time, but they've obviously taken on new significance." () and "The Iraqis, he said, told UNSCOM it was used by 'police' for counter-terrorist training. "Of course we automatically took out the word 'counter'," Duelfer explained.(). After the invasion of Iraq, the camp was captured by the Marines (, ) "after it was discussed by Egyptian and Sudanese fighters caught elsewhere in Iraq". Brigadier General Vincent Brooks described the capture: "The nature of the work being done by some of those people that we captured, their inferences to the type of training that they received, all of these things give us the impression that there was terrorist training that was conducted at Salman Pak." The independent Iraqi weekly Al-Yawm Al-Aakher interviewed a former Iraqi officer who also claimed that Salman Pak was being used to train foreign terrorists. No evidence has been disclosed about any intelligence finds at the camp after its capture, leading some to doubt that anything was found. According to Douglas MacCollam, a journalist for the ], "the consensus view now is that the camp was what Iraq told UN weapons inspectors it was — a counterterrorism training camp for army commandos." (). | |||
Although Saddam was not involved in the September 11 attacks, members of his government had contacts with al-Qaeda; however, the links are not considered by experts and analysts as convincing evidence of a collaborative, operational relationship. Former counterterrorism ] ] writes, | |||
* (circa 1995) Iraq - ] (an alias), an ] operative, allegedly requests help in chemical weapons training from Saddam. This information is accepted as false. The request was supposedly approved and trainers from ], an Iraqi secret-police organization organized by ] dispatched to camps in Afghanistan. (). The source of this information was captured al-Qaeda operative ], who has since recanted, and whose credibility was impugned by both the CIA and the DIA. A DIA report in ] ] concluded that al-Libi was most likely fabricating his entire story, "intentionally misleading the debriefers" by describing conspiracies "that he knows will retain their interest." A CIA report in ] ] voiced similar concerns, also noting that al-Libi was "not in a position to know" the things he had told interrogators. These conclusions did not stop the Administration from relying heavily on Libi's information in statements to the public. The CIA recalled all of its intelligence reports that were based on Libi's testimony in February 2004. It was revealed in December 2005 that al-Libi lied about this, and other, information regarding Saddam Hussein and al-Qaeda in order to avoid harsh treatment by his Egyptian captors, to whom he had been transfered under the controversial American policy of ]. | |||
<blockquote>The simple fact is that lots of people, particularly in the Middle East, pass along many rumors and they end up being recorded and filed by U.S. intelligence agencies in raw reports. That does not make them "intelligence". Intelligence involves analysis of raw reports, not merely their enumeration or weighing them by the pound. Analysis, in turn, involves finding independent means of corroborating the reports. Did al-Qaeda agents ever talk to Iraqi agents? I would be startled if they had not. I would also be startled if American, Israeli, Iranian, British, or Jordanian agents had somehow failed to talk to al-Qaeda or Iraqi agents. Talking to each other is what intelligence agents do, often under assumed identities or "false flags", looking for information or possible defectors.<ref> | |||
===1997=== | |||
{{cite book |last=Clarke |first=Richard A. |title=]: Inside America's War on Terrorism |publisher=Free Press/Simon & Schuster |year=2004 |location=New York |pages= |isbn=0-7432-6024-4 }}</ref></blockquote> | |||
* Afghanistan - ], ] minister, tells ], Assistant US Secretary of State, that the Taliban "had frustrated Iranian and Iraqi efforts to contact" bin Laden. But Inderfurth told ] that "he did not believe the Taliban claim was credible at the time, and that he had no recollection of Taliban officials mentioning Iraqi or Iranian attempts to meet bin Laden." He said, "I never saw any evidence in anything I was doing where there were any Iraqi connections." (). | |||
], former chief of staff for ] ], told the ] that | |||
===1998=== | |||
* Baghdad - ], Al-Qaeda second-in-command, allegedly meets ], Iraqi vice-president (). The source of this unlikely claim appears to be ]'s controversial 1999 book, ''Bin Laden: The Man Who Declared War on America'' (p. 322), which makes many similar unsourced claims. There are no footnotes in the book, and there has been no other independent confirmation of this claim, which was republished uncritically by ] in a column in October 2001. | |||
<blockquote> ... Saddam Hussein had his agenda and al-Qaida had its agenda, and those two agendas were incompatible. And so if there was any contact between them, it was a contact that was rebuffed rather than a contact that led to meaningful relationships between them.<ref>{{cite news |first=Gary |last=Thomas |title=State-Sponsored Terrorism Thrives |url=http://www.voanews.com/english/NewsAnalysis/2006-04-19-voa60.cfm |publisher=Voice of America |date=2006-04-29 |access-date=2006-09-10 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20060426082930/http://voanews.com/english/NewsAnalysis/2006-04-19-voa60.cfm |archive-date=2006-04-26 |url-status=dead }}</ref></blockquote> | |||
* Washington - ], head of the ]'s counterterrorism division, heads an exercise aimed at a critical analysis of the CIA's contention that Iraq and al Qaeda would not team up. "This was a red-team effort," he said. "We looked at this as an opportunity to disprove the conventional wisdom, and basically we came to the conclusion that the CIA had this one right." | |||
=== Lack of evidence === | |||
* February, Baghdad - the ] arranges for an envoy from bin Laden to travel from Sudan to Baghdad to meet with Iraqi officials; the meeting is extended by a full week (). These talks, according to the ''Observer'', "are thought to have ended disastrously for the Iraqis, as bin Laden rejected any kind of alliance, preferring to pursue his own policy of global jihad."(). | |||
An alleged meeting in ] between Mohammed Atta and an Iraqi intelligence officer about which Vice President Cheney said that "we've never been able to develop any more of that yet either in terms of confirming it or discrediting it"<ref name="Meet the Press transcript" /> was dismissed by CIA Director ], who told the Senate Intelligence Committee in February 2004 that there was no evidence to support the meeting. The ] had evidence that Atta was in ] at the time and taking aircraft flight training; the Iraqi officer in question, ], was captured and said that he had never met Atta.<ref name="0303-01.htm" /> | |||
Cheney's repeated accusation that Iraq harbored ], one of the perpetrators of the ], conflicts with Iraq's 1998 offer to the FBI of extradition for Yasin in return for a statement clearing Iraq of any responsibility for the attack. Although the CIA and FBI had concluded that Iraq played no role in the attack, the Clinton administration refused the offer.<ref name="0303-01.htm" /> Iraq also offered to extradite Yasin in 2001, after the 9/11 attacks. In June 2002, an unnamed U.S. intelligence official told '']'' that Iraq had attached "extreme conditions" to Yasin's extradition. According to the official, the Iraqis wanted the U.S. to sign a document detailing Yasin's whereabouts since 1993 but the U.S. disagreed with their version of the facts.<ref name="2022991.stm">"", ], June 3, 2002.</ref> Yasin cooperated with the FBI and was released, which the bureau later called a "mistake."<ref name="2022991.stm" /> The CIA and FBI concluded in 1995 and 1996 that "the Iraqi government was in no way involved in the attack", and counterterrorism czar Richard Clarke called the allegations "absolutely without foundation" in 2004.<ref>"", '']'', March 24, 2004.</ref> The Iraqis made another offer to the Bush administration in 2003, which was also declined.<ref>Risen, James. " {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20061122062511/http://www.commondreams.org/headlines03/1106-02.htm |date=2006-11-22 }}", '']'', ], November 6, 2003.</ref> | |||
* ], Afghanistan - Osama bin Laden issues a fatwa urging jihad against all Americans. "The ruling to kill the Americans and their allies--civilians and military--is an individual duty for every Muslim who can do it in any country in which it is possible to do it..." One of his reasons for the fatwa is the "Americans' continuing aggression against the Iraqi people." Osama mentions aggression against Iraq four times in the fatwa. | |||
{{Blockquote|text = Al-Qaeda did not have any relationship with Saddam Hussein or his regime. We had to draw up a plan to enter Iraq through the north that was not under the control of his regime. We would then spread south to the areas of our fraternal Sunni brothers. The fraternal brothers of the ] expressed their willingness to offer assistance to help us achieve this goal.|author=]<ref name="berg">Bergen, Peter. ''The Osama bin Laden I Know'', 2006</ref>}} | |||
*], Khartoum, Sudan - President Clinton orders 80 ] fired at targets in Afghanistan and Sudan, including the ], which the Clinton Administration claimed was actually a chemical weapons plant operated by al-Qaeda. Clinton's Secretary of Defense William Cohen would testify to the ] in 2004 that intelligence officials suspected "indirect links between the facility and bin Laden and the Iraqi chemical weapons program" and noted that "The direct physical evidence from the scene obtained at that time convinced the U.S. intelligence community that their suspicions were correct about the facility’s chemical weapons role and that there was a risk of chemical agents getting into the hands of al-Qaeda." Officials later acknowleged, however, "that the evidence that prompted President Clinton to order the missile strike on the Shifa plant was not as solid as first portrayed. Indeed, officials later said that there was no proof that the plant had been manufacturing or storing nerve gas, as initially suspected by the Americans, or had been linked to Osama bin Laden, who was a resident of Khartoum in the 1980's." The U.S. ] wrote a report in 1999 questioning the attack on the factory, suggesting that the connection to bin Laden was not accurate; James Risen reported in the ''New York Times'': "Now, the analysts renewed their doubts and told Assistant Secretary of State Phyllis Oakley that the C.I.A.'s evidence on which the attack was based was inadequate. Ms. Oakley asked them to double-check; perhaps there was some intelligence they had not yet seen. The answer came back quickly: There was no additional evidence. Ms. Oakley called a meeting of key aides and a consensus emerged: Contrary to what the Administration was saying, the case tying Al Shifa to Mr. bin Laden or to chemical weapons was weak." The Chairman of El Shifa Pharmaceutical Industries, who is critical of the Sudanese government, more recently told reporters, "I had inventories of every chemical and records of every employee's history. There were no such chemicals being made here." Sudan has since invited the U.S. to conduct chemical tests at the site for evidence to support its claim that the plant might have been a chemical weapons factory; so far, the U.S. has refused the invitation to investigate. Nevertheless, the U.S. has refused to officially apologize for the attacks, suggesting that some privately still suspect that chemical weapons activity existed there. | |||
Former ] counterterrorism directors ] and ] summarized the problem with the Bush administration's view in the eyes of the intelligence community: "The administration pressed its case for war most emphatically by arguing that U.S. national security was imperiled by Saddam's ties to al-Qaeda. The argument had the obvious virtue of playing to the public's desire to see the war on terrorism prosecuted aggressively and conclusively. Yet, scant proof of these links was presented. The record showed a small number of contacts between jihadists and Iraqi officials. This was treated as the tip of an unseen iceberg of cooperation, even though it fell far short of anything that resembled significant cooperation in the eyes of the counterterrorism community—as it always had. No persuasive proof was given of money, weaponry, or training being provided."<ref>Daniel Benjamin and Steven Simon, ''The Age of Sacred Terror: Radical Islam's War against America'' (New York: Random House, 2003) p. 456.</ref> Former Chief of Staff to Secretary of State Colin Powell ] said, "s the administration authorized harsh interrogation in April and May 2002—well before the Justice Department had rendered any legal opinion—its principal priority for intelligence was not aimed at pre-empting another terrorist attack on the U.S. but discovering a smoking gun linking Iraq and al-Qa'ida."<ref>{{cite web |last=Clemons |first=Steve |url=http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/05/14/the_truth_about_richard_bruce_cheney |title=The Truth About Richard Bruce Cheney |publisher=TPMCafe |date=2009-05-14 |access-date=2009-07-07 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090519083829/http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/05/14/the_truth_about_richard_bruce_cheney/ |archive-date=2009-05-19 |url-status=dead }}</ref> | |||
*], Pakistan - Stephen Hayes of the '']'' reported that this month, according to a "Summary of Evidence" released by the Pentagon in March 2005 concerning a detainee held at Guantanamo, it was alleged that this former infantryman of the Iraqi Army who became an al-Qaeda agent travelled to Pakistan with a member of Iraqi intelligence "for the purpose of blowing up the Pakistan, United States and British Embassies with chemical mortars". The Associated Press report of the same document includes the caveat, "There is no indication the Iraqi's purported terror-related activities were on behalf of Saddam Hussein's government, other than the brief mention of him traveling to Pakistan with a member of the Iraqi intelligence.... The assertion that the was involved in a plot against embassies in Pakistan is not substantiated in the document." | |||
== Background == | |||
* ], New York - The U.S Department of Justice files an indictment against Osama Bin Laden. This indictment repeats the disputed claim that "al Qaeda reached an understanding with the government of Iraq that al Qaeda would not work against that government and that on particular projects, specifically including weapons development, al Qaeda would work cooperatively with the Government of Iraq." ] wrote a memo to ] that the ] was "probably a direct result of the Iraq-Al Qaida agreement." (Page 128) By 2001, based on several reviews of the evidence prompted by the Bush Administration, Clarke came to change his view. To date, no evidence of such an "understanding" or "agreement" has ever materialized. Clarke notes in his book ] that many of the contacts cited by supporters of the invasion as proof of Iraq and al-Qaeda cooperation "actually proved that al Qaeda and Iraq had not succeeded in establishing a modus vivendi,".<ref>Clark, ''Against All Enemies'', p. 269</ref> | |||
Saddam invoked religion shortly before the 1990 ] (possibly to bolster his government), adding the words "]" in Arabic to the ] and referring to God in his speeches. He began the ] in 1994, which included the construction and repair of mosques,{{sfn|Baram|2011|page={{page needed|date=December 2022}}}} the closure of night clubs, and changes to the law which restricted alcohol consumption.<ref name="nytimes">{{Cite news|url=https://www.nytimes.com/1994/08/21/world/iraq-bans-public-use-of-alcohol.html|title=Iraq Bans Public Use Of Alcohol|newspaper=The New York Times|date=21 August 1994|last1=Lewis|first1=Paul}}</ref> | |||
* December, after President Clinton ordered a four day bombing campaign known as ''Operation Desert Fox,'' the Arabic language daily newspaper ''Al-Quds al-Arabi'' speculated in an editorial that "President Saddam Hussein, whose country was subjected to a four-day air strike, will look for support in taking revenge on the United States and Britain by cooperating with Saudi oppositionist Osama bin Laden, whom the United States considers to be the most wanted person in the world." | |||
Some sources allege that several meetings between top Iraqi operatives and bin Laden took place. These claims have been disputed by other sources, including most of the original intelligence agencies that investigated the allegations. Many in the intelligence community are skeptical about whether such meetings, if they took place at all, resulted in any meaningful relationship. Many of the claims of collaboration seem to have originated with associates of the ], whose credibility has been questioned and who have been accused of manipulating evidence to lure the United States into war on false pretenses. Raw intelligence reports also reached public awareness through the leaking of a memo from Undersecretary of Defense for Policy ] to the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence,<ref>"the Feith memo", dated October 27, 2003</ref> the conclusions of which have been disputed by intelligence agencies which include the CIA. Feith's view of the relationship between Saddam and Osama differed from the official view of the intelligence community, and the memo was leaked to the media. The Pentagon issued a statement that the memo was "a classified annex containing a list and description of the requested reports, so that the committee could obtain the reports from the relevant members of the intelligence community ... The classified annex was not an analysis of the substantive issue of the relationship between Iraq and al Qaeda, and it drew no conclusions." It added, "Individuals who leak or purport to leak classified information are doing serious harm to national security; such activity is deplorable and may be illegal."<ref>" {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20070929144157/http://www.defenselink.mil/releases/2003/nr20031115-0642.html |date=2007-09-29 }}", November 15, 2003.</ref> Former DIA Middle East section head ] told the '']'' that the '']'' article, which published Feith's memo, "is a listing of a mass of unconfirmed reports, many of which themselves indicate that the two groups continued to try to establish some sort of relationship. If they had such a productive relationship, why did they have to keep trying?" According to the ''Post'', "another former senior intelligence official said the memo is not an intelligence product but rather 'data points ... among the millions of holdings of the intelligence agencies, many of which are simply not thought likely to be true.{{'"}}<ref>Pincus, Walter. "", '']'', November 18, 2003.</ref> | |||
* ] or ], Afghanistan - ], Iraq's ambassador to Turkey, allegedly meets with bin Laden in Afghanistan (, ). Corriere della Sera, a Milan newspaper, translated by the CIA, reads: “Saddam Hussayn and Usama bin Ladin have sealed a pact. Faruk Hidjazi, the former Director of the Iraqi Secret Services and now the country’s Ambassador to Turkey, held a secret meeting with the extremist leader on ].” The newspaper had direct quotes from Hijazi without specifying the source of the quotes. (Page 328) Former CIA counterterrorism official ] notes that bin Laden rejected Hijazi's overtures, concluding that he did not want to be "exploited" by Iraq's secular regime. Hijazi, arrested in April 2003, denied any such meeting took place. | |||
It has been suggested that an understanding was reached between Iraq and al-Qaeda that al-Qaeda would not act against Saddam in exchange for Iraqi support (primarily in the form of training), but no evidence of such an understanding has been produced. ] allegedly met with an Iraqi intelligence operative in Prague, but intelligence officials have concluded that no such meeting took place. A training camp in ] (south of ]) was said by a number of defectors to have been used to train international terrorists (assumed to be al-Qaeda members) in hijacking techniques, using a real airplane as a prop. The defectors were inconsistent about a number of details; the camp has been examined by U.S. Marines, and intelligence analysts do not believe that it was used by al-Qaeda. Some analysts believe that it was used for counterterrorism training, and others believe it was used to train foreign fighters overtly allied with Iraq. The Senate Select Committee on Intelligence concluded, "Postwar findings support the April 2002 Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) assessment that there was no credible reporting on al-Qa'ida training at Salman Pak or anywhere else in Iraq. There have been no credible reports since the war that Iraq trained al-Qa'ida operatives at Salman Pak to conduct or support transnational terrorist operations."<ref name="Phase II"/> | |||
===1999=== | |||
* January, ] magazine reported Saddam Hussein is joining forces with al-Qaeda to launch joint terror counter-strikes against the US and Britain. An Arab intelligence officer, reported to know Saddam personally, told Newsweek: "very soon, you will be witnessing large-scale terrorist activity by the Iraqis." The planned attacks are said to be Saddam's revenge for the "continuing aggression" posed by the no fly zones that show the countries are still at war since Operation Desert Fox. The planned attacks never materialized, and at the time officials questioned the validity of the claim. The ''Newsweek'' article went on: "Saddam may think he's too good for such an association . Jerold Post, a political psychologist and government consultant who has profiled Saddam, says he thinks of himself as a world leader like Castro or Tito, not a thug. 'I'm skeptical that Saddam would resort to terrorism,' says a well informed administration official." <ref>''Newsweek'', ] ], p. 34</ref> | |||
In November 2001, a month after the ], ] was contacted by ] services who told him that the ] had sent Jack Cloonan and several other agents to speak with a number of people known to have ties to bin Laden. Al-Duri and another Iraqi colleague agreed to meet with Cloonan in a ] overseen by the intelligence service. They laughed when asked about any connection between ] and ], saying that bin Laden hated the dictator whom he considered a "Scotch-drinking, woman-chasing apostate."<ref>Silverstein, Ken. ], "Official Pariah Sudan Valuable to America's War on Terrorism", April 29, 2005</ref> | |||
* ], Moscow newspaper '']'' reported that "hundreds of Afghan Arabs are undergoing sabotage training in Southern Iraq and are preparing for armed actions on the Iraqi-Kuwaiti border. They have declared as their goal a fight against the interests of the United States in the region." Cybercast News Service claims that it received documents from an unnamed government official that appear to substantiate this claim (see below, October 2004). The ''Weekly Standard'' claims that the Kuwaiti government detained some al Qaeda members on the border but notes that the Kuwaiti government would not respond to requests for more information about these alleged detainees. | |||
==Timeline== | |||
* May, Iraq - ], according to documents summarized by the ] Iraqi Perspectives Project, ordered the ] to prepare for "special operations, assassinations, and bombings, for the centers and traitor symbols in London, Iran and the self-ruled areas "; the special operation was referred to as "Blessed July," described by defense analyst Kevin Woods as "a regime-directed wave of "martyrdom" operations against targets in the West." Woods claims that plans for Blessed July "were well under way at the time of the coalition invasion"; he also notes that the Fedayeen was racked by corruption. "In the years preceding the coalition invasion," he continues, "Iraq's leaders had become enamored of the belief that the spirit of the Fedayeen's 'Arab warriors' would allow them to overcome the Americans' advantages. In the end, however, the Fedayeen fighters proved totally unprepared for the kind of war they were asked to fight, and they died by the thousands." | |||
{{Main|Timeline of Saddam Hussein and al-Qaeda link allegations}} | |||
Much evidence of alleged links between Iraq and al-Qaeda is based on speculation about meetings which might have taken place between Iraqi officials and al-Qaeda members; the idea that a meeting could have occurred has been interpreted as evidence of collaboration. According to terrorism analyst Evan Kohlman, "While there have been a number of promising intelligence leads hinting at possible meetings between al-Qaeda members and elements of the former Baghdad regime, nothing has been yet shown demonstrating that these potential contacts were historically any more significant than the same level of communication maintained between Osama bin Laden and ruling elements in a number of Iraq's Persian Gulf neighbors, including Saudi Arabia, Iran, Yemen, Qatar, and Kuwait."<ref>Canellos, Peter S. and Bender, Bryan. " {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20061122072436/http://www.commondreams.org/headlines03/0803-04.htm |date=2006-11-22 }}", ], '']'', 08-03-2003. Retrieved 04-22-2005.</ref> | |||
* July, Iraq - Saddam Hussein allegedly cuts off all contact with al-Qaeda, according to ], a former Iraqi intelligence officer in U.S. custody. | |||
=={{anchor|U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell Addresses the U.N. Security Council}}Colin Powell's address to the U.N. Security Council== | |||
* September, Baghdad - ], al-Qaeda second-in-command, allegedly visits Iraq under a pseudonym to attend the ninth Popular Islamic Congress, according to ]. Farouk Hijazi, the Iraqi ambassador who supposedly orchestrated the visit, is in U.S. custody and has denied meeting al-Qaeda members (see above, ] ]). | |||
] was found in court to be a single person.<ref name=bbc-20050413>{{cite news |url=http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/4433499.stm |title=Questions over ricin conspiracy |last=Summers |first=Chris |work=BBC News |date=13 April 2005 |access-date=3 January 2022}}</ref>]] | |||
On February 5, 2003, Secretary of State Colin Powell addressed the U.N. Security Council on the issue of Iraq.<ref>{{cite press release | |||
|date = 2003-02-05 | |||
|url = https://georgewbush-whitehouse.archives.gov/news/releases/2003/02/print/20030205-1.html | |||
|title = U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell Addresses the U.N. Security Council | |||
|work = White House news release | |||
|publisher = The White House | |||
}}</ref> In his speech, Powell made several claims about Iraq's ties to terrorism. He acknowledged in January 2004 that the speech presented no hard evidence of collaboration between Saddam and al-Qaeda, and told reporters at a State Department press conference that "I have not seen smoking gun, concrete evidence about the connection, but I do believe the connections existed."<ref>NBC, MSNBC, AP, "," MSNBC News Services (8 January 2004).</ref> After Powell left office, he acknowledged that he was skeptical about the evidence presented to him for the speech. He told ] in an interview that he considered the speech a "blot" on his record, and feels "terrible" about assertions he made in the speech which turned out to be false: "There were some people in the intelligence community who knew at that time that some of these sources were not good, and shouldn't be relied upon, and they didn't speak up. That devastated me." Asked about a Saddam-al-Qaeda connection, Powell answered: "I have never seen a connection ... I can't think otherwise because I'd never seen evidence to suggest there was one."<ref>"", ], September 8, 2005.</ref> | |||
The main claims in Powell's speech—that Jordanian terrorist ] was a link between Saddam Hussein and al-Qaeda, and that Saddam's government provided training and assistance to al-Qaeda terrorists in Baghdad—have been disputed by the intelligence community and terrorism experts. The CIA released an August 2004 report which concluded that there was "no conclusive evidence that the regime harbored Osama bin Laden associate Abu Musab Al-Zarqawi."<ref>Warren P. Strobel, Jonathan S. Landay and John Walcott, "Fresh CIA analysis: No evidence Saddam colluded with al-Qaida," '']'' (5 October 2004) p. A9.</ref> A U.S. official told ] that "the report did not make any final judgments or come to any definitive conclusions: "To suggest the case is closed on this would not be correct."<ref>", {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20071209093414/http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/200410/s1214475.htm |date=2007-12-09 }}" ''ABC news'' (10 October 2004).</ref> Zarqawi reportedly entered Iraq from Iran, infiltrating the Kurdish north because it was the one part of the country not under Saddam's control.<ref>{{cite book|last=Bergen|first=Peter|title=The Osama bin Laden I Know|publisher=Simon and Schuster|year=2006|page=361}}</ref> Intelligence experts say that Zarqawi had few ties to Osama bin Laden, noting that he was a rival (not an affiliate) of al-Qaeda. A former Israeli intelligence official described the meeting between Zarqawi and bin Laden as "loathing at first sight."<ref> | |||
===2000=== | |||
{{cite web | |||
* -- Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia -- ], an Iraqi national with connections to the Iraqi embassy and possibly a lieutenant-colonel in Saddam's Fedayyeen, supposedly helped arrange a top-level al-Qaeda meeting attended by ], ] and his brother ], three of the 9/11 hijackers, and ], responsible for the USS Cole bombing () (see ]) The CIA has concluded that while Shakir al-Azzawi was indeed an Iraqi with connections to the embassy in Malaysia who helped organize the Kuala Lumpur meeting, he is a different person from a Fedayeen officer with a similar name (). | |||
| url = https://www.theatlantic.com/doc/prem/200607/zarqawi | |||
| title = The Short, Violent Life of Abu Musab al-Zarqawi | |||
| access-date = 2006-09-10 | |||
| last = Weaver | |||
| first = Mary Anne | |||
| date = 2006-06-08 | |||
| publisher = The Atlantic Monthly | |||
}}</ref> The other major claims in the speech are attributed by Powell to "an al-Qaeda source." Karen DeYoung wrote, "A year after the invasion, the acknowledged that the information had come from a single source who had been branded a liar by U.S. intelligence officials long before Powell's presentation."<ref>Karen DeYoung, ": Colin Powell's Most Significant Moment Turned Out to Be His Lowest," ''Washington Post'' (1 October 2006) W12.</ref> The source was captured al-Qaeda leader ], who was handed over to Egypt for interrogation. According to '']'', al-Libi provided some accurate intelligence on al Qaeda and made some statements about Iraq and al Qaeda while in American custody; after he was handed over to ], he made more-specific assertions about Iraq training al-Qaeda members in biological- and chemical-weapons use. A February 2002 DIA report expressed skepticism about al-Libi's claims, noting that he may have been subjected to harsh treatment in Egyptian custody. In February 2004, the CIA reissued al-Libi's debriefing reports to note that he had recanted information. A government official told the ''New York Times'' that al-Libi's claims of harsh treatment had not been corroborated; the CIA has refused to comment on al-Libi's case since much of its information remains classified, but current and former government officials agreed to discuss the case on condition of anonymity.<ref name="09intel.html"/> Two U.S. counterterrorism officials told '']'' that they believed the information Powell cited about al-Iraqi came from al-Libi.<ref name="9991919/site/newsweek/"> | |||
{{cite web | |||
| url = http://msnbc.msn.com/id/9991919/site/newsweek/ | |||
| title = Al-Libi's Tall Tales | |||
| access-date = 2006-09-10 | |||
| last = Isikoff | |||
| first = Michael | |||
|author2=Hosenball, Mark | |||
| date = 2005-11-10 | |||
| publisher = newsweek | |||
| url-status = dead | |||
|archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20060828092444/http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/9991919/site/newsweek/ <!-- Bot retrieved archive --> |archive-date = 2006-08-28}}</ref> A CIA officer told the ] that although the CIA believes al-Libi fabricated information, the agency could not determine whether{{snd}}or what portions of{{snd}}the original statements or later recantations are true of false. The Senate report concluded, "The Intelligence Community has found no postwar information to indicate that Iraq provided CBW training to al-Qa'ida."<ref name="Phase II"/> | |||
=={{anchor|Official investigations and reports}}Investigations and reports== | |||
===2001=== | |||
Several investigations by U.S. intelligence agencies, foreign intelligence agencies, and independent investigative bodies have examined aspects of alleged links between Saddam Hussein and al-Qaeda.<ref> | |||
* ]- ] -- Two unidentified Iraqi men are arrested in Germany on suspicion of spying. , According to the ''Weekly Standard'', an Arab newspaper in Paris called ''Al-Watan al-Arabi'' reported: "The arrests came in the wake of reports that Iraq was reorganizing the external branches of its intelligence service and that it had drawn up a plan to strike at US interests around the world through a network of alliances with extremist fundamentalist parties. The most serious report contained information that Iraq and Osama bin Ladin were working together. German authorities were surprised by the arrest of the two Iraqi agents and the discovery of Iraqi intelligence activities in several German cities. German authorities, acting on CIA recommendations, had been focused on monitoring the activities of Islamic groups linked to bin Ladin. They discovered the two Iraqi agents by chance and uncovered what they considered to be serious indications of cooperation between Iraq and bin Ladin. The matter was considered so important that a special team of CIA and FBI agents was sent to Germany to interrogate the two Iraqi spies." This report and the interrogation records of the detained Iraqi agents were not discussed in the 9/11 Commission Report, and do not seem to be mentioned in other media sources. It is not known whether the arrests revealed any cooperation between the men and either Iraqi intelligence or al Qaeda. | |||
{{cite web |last=Weisman |first=Jonathan |date=2006-09-10 |title=Saddam had no links to al-Qaeda |url=http://www.theage.com.au/news/world/saddam-had-no-links-to-alqaeda/2006/09/09/1157222383981.html |access-date=2006-09-10 |publisher=The Age}}</ref><ref> | |||
{{cite news |last=Smith |first=Jeffrey |date=2007-04-06 |title=Hussein's Prewar Ties To Al-Qaeda Discounted |newspaper=Washington Post |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/04/05/AR2007040502263.html |access-date=2007-04-06}}</ref> Every investigation has concluded that the data examined did not provide compelling evidence of a cooperative relationship between the two entities. On April 29, 2007, former ] ] said on '']'', "We could never verify that there was any Iraqi authority, direction and control, complicity with al-Qaeda for ] or any operational act against America, period."<ref>Grieve, Tim. "", ], 04-30-2007. Retrieved 05-01-2007.</ref> | |||
===1993 WTC investigations=== | |||
* ] -- ], ] -- Czech counterintelligence service claimed that Mohamed Atta al-Sayed, 9/11 hijacker, met with ], the ] at the Iraqi Embassy in Prague, in a cafe in Prague. This claim, known as Prague connection, is generally considered to be false, although the Czech Foreign Minister (also in charge of intelligence) continued to give credence to the report in 2003. According to columnist ], Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld "confirmed published reports that there is no evidence placing the presumed leader of the terrorist attacks in the Czech capital." <ref>], ] ], p. 35</ref> According to the January 2003 CIA report ''Iraqi Support for Terrorism'', "the most reliable reporting to date casts doubt on this possibility" that such a meeting occurred.<ref>States News Service, ] ])</ref> Director of Central Intelligence George Tenet released "the most complete public assessment by the agency on the issue" in a statement to the Senate Armed Services Committee in July 2004, stating that the CIA was "increasingly skeptical" any such meeting took place. The claim that the meeting did occur was based on a report from "a single informant from Prague's Arab community who saw Atta's picture in the news after the ] attacks, and who later told his handlers that he had seen him meeting with Ani. Some officials have called the source unreliable." The claim was officially stated by Czech Prime Minister Milos Zeman and Interior Minister Stanislav Gross (), but Czech officials later backed off of the claim, first privately, and then later publicly after the ] conducted "extensive interviews with leading Czech figures."<!-- link does not contain full article but I got the full text off Lexis/Nexis and my quotes from the article are direct --> When rumors of the Czech officials privately backing off the claims first appeared in the Western media, according to ], Hynek Kmonicek, the Czech envoy to the UN stated "The meeting took place." One senior Czech official who requested anonymity speculated that the media reports dismissing the meeting were the result of a "guided leak.". By 2002 the Czechs were already backing away from the claimed meeting. On ] ] David Ignatius wrote in the ''Washington Post'': "Even the Czechs, who initially put out the reports about Atta's meeting with al-Ani, have gradually backed away. The Czech interior minister, Stanislav Gross, said in October that the two had met in April 2001. That version was altered slightly by Czech Prime Minister Milos Zeman when he told CNN in November: 'Atta contacted some Iraqi agent, not to prepare the terrorist attack on but to prepare terrorist attack on just the building of Radio Free Europe' in Prague. Then, in December, Czech President ] retreated further, saying there was only 'a 70 percent' chance Atta met with al-Ani." But Havel later "moved to quash the report once and for all" by making the statement publicly to the White House, as reported in the ''New York Times''. According to the ''Times'' report, "Czech officials also say they have no hard evidence that Mr. Ani was involved in terrorist activities, although the government did order his ouster in late April 2001." The ''New York Times'' report was described as "a fabrication" by a , a spokesman for Czech president Vaclav Havel. But Spacek also "said Mr. Havel was still certain there was no factual basis behind the report that Mr. Atta met an Iraqi diplomat."<ref>Peter S. Green, "Havel Denies Telephoning U.S. On Iraq Meeting," ''New York Times'' (] ]) p. A11</ref> The ''Times'' story was a potential embarrassment to Czech prime minister Milos Zeman after "extensive interviews with Czech and other Western intelligence officials, politicians and people close to the Czech intelligence community revealed that Mr. Zeman had prematurely disclosed an unverified report." According to an article in the '']'' more recently, the Czechs backed off of the claim: "After months of further investigation, Czech officials determined last year that they could no longer confirm that a meeting took place, telling the Bush administration that al-Ani might have met with someone other than Atta." This perception seems confirmed by an associate of al-Ani's who suggested to a reporter that the Czech informant had mistaken another man for Atta. The associate said "I have sat with the two of them at least twice. The double is an Iraqi who has met with the consul. If someone saw a photo of Atta he might easily mistake the two." The '']'' on ] ] also reported that a man from Pakistan named Mohammed Atta (spelling his name with two "m's" rather than one) flew to the Czech Republic in 2000, confusing the intelligence agency, who thought it was the same Mohamed Atta. Jiri Ruzek, the former head of the Czech Republic's ], told reporters, "This information was verified, and it was confirmed that it was a case of the same name." <ref>CTK Czech News Agency, ] ]</ref> Opposition leaders in the Czech Republic have publicly called this a failure on the part of Czech intelligence, and it is not clear that any Czech officials still stand by the story. In hopes of resolving the issue, Czech officials hoped to be given access to information from the U.S. investigation but that cooperation was not forthcoming. In May 2004, the Czech newspaper ] speculated that the source of the information behind the rumored meeting was actually the discredited INC chief ].<ref>CTK Czech News Agency, ] ]</ref> In addition, a senior administration official told ] of the '']'' that the FBI had concluded that "there was no evidence Atta left or returned to the U.S. at the time he was supposed to be in Prague." FBI Director ] outlined the extent of their investigation into the hijacker's whereabouts in a speech in April 2002: "We ran down literally hundreds of thousands of leads and checked every record we could get our hands on, from flight reservations to car rentals to bank accounts." (). There are no known travel records showing Atta leaving or entering the US at that time, and ] suggests that he was in Florida at that time. Also, the Czech police chief, ], "said there were no documents showing that Atta visited Prague at any time" in 2001. Even further doubt was cast on rumors of such a meeting in December 2003 when Al-Ani, who is in U.S. custody, denied having ever met Atta (, ). According to ''Newsweek'', it was "a denial that officials tend to believe given that they have not unearthed a scintilla of evidence that Atta was even in Prague at the time of the alleged rendezvous." It is also notable that Atta's own religious and political convictions made him violently opposed to the Saddam regime; according to the 9/11 Commission Report, "In his interactions with other students, Atta voiced virulently anti-Semitic and anti-American opinions, ranging from condemnations of what he described as a global Jewish movement centered in New York City that supposedly controlled the financial world and the media, to polemics against governments of the Arab world. To him, Saddam Hussein was an American stooge set up to give Washington an excuse to intervene in the Middle East."<ref>The 9/11 Commission Report, p. 161</ref> The 9/11 Commission also addressed the question of an alleged Prague connection and listed many of the reasons above that such a meeting could not have taken place. The report notes that "the FBI has gathered intelligence indicating that Atta was in Virginia Beach on ] (as evidenced by a bank surveillance camera photo), and in Coral Springs, Florida on ], where he and Shehhi leased an apartment. On ],9,10, and 11, Atta's cellular telephone was used numerous times to call various lodging establishments in Florida from cell sites within Florida. We cannot confirm that he placed those calls. But there are no U.S. records indicating that Atta departed the country during this period." Combining FBI and Czech intelligence investigations, "o evidence has been found that Atta was in the Czech Republic in April 2001." The Commission still could not "absolutely rule out the possibility" that Atta was in Prague on ] travelling under an alias, but the Commission concluded that "There was no reason for such a meeting, especially considering the risk it would pose to the operation. By April 2001, all four pilots had completed most of their training,and the muscle hijackers were about to begin entering the United States. The available evidence does not support the original Czech report of an Atta-Ani meeting." (p. 229) | |||
After the ], there were several investigations of possible collaboration between Saddam Hussein and the terrorists who attacked the building.{{efn|This investigation related to Abdul Rahman Yasin.<ref>{{cite news| first=Jonathan S.| last=Landay| author2=Warren P. Strobel| author3=John Walcott| url=http://www.commondreams.org/headlines04/0303-01.htm| title=Doubts Cast on Efforts to Link Saddam, al-Qaida| publisher=Knight-Ridder| date=March 3, 2004| url-status=dead| archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20061208023017/http://www.commondreams.org/headlines04/0303-01.htm| archive-date=December 8, 2006}}</ref> The Iraqis had made a similar offer to the Bush administration in 2003, but that offer was also spurned.<ref>{{cite news| first= James| last= Risen| url= https://select.nytimes.com/gst/abstract.html?res=FB0617F63C5D0C758CDDA80994DB404482| title= Iraq Said to Have Tried to Reach Last-Minute Deal to Avert War| work= The New York Times| date= November 6, 2003| pages= 1}}{{Dead link|date=April 2019 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}</ref>}} Neil Herman, who headed the FBI investigation of the attack, noted that there was no evidence of Iraqi support for the attack despite Yasin's presence in Baghdad. "We looked at that rather extensively," he told CNN terrorism expert ]. "There were no ties to the Iraqi government." Bergen wrote, "In sum, by the mid-'90s, the Joint Terrorism Task Force in New York, the F.B.I., the U.S. Attorney's office in the Southern District of New York, the C.I.A., the N.S.C., and the State Department had all found no evidence implicating the Iraqi government in the first Trade Center attack."<ref>{{cite news| first=Peter| last=Bergen| url=http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/features/2003/0312.bergen.html| title=Armchair Provocateur| publisher=Washington Monthly| date=December 2003| url-status=dead| archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081101154056/http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/features/2003/0312.bergen.html| archive-date=2008-11-01}}</ref> | |||
===1998 National Security Council exercise=== | |||
* summer -- United Arab Emirates -- According to ] reporter David Rose, ] and ], two of the 9/11 hijackers, supposedly meet with unidentified Mukhabarat officer (, ). No evidence has emerged to support this claim. | |||
], who headed the ]'s counterterrorism division, led a 1998 exercise to analyze the CIA's contention that Iraq and al-Qaeda would not collaborate. "This was a red-team effort," Benjamin said. "We looked at this as an opportunity to disprove the conventional wisdom, and basically we came to the conclusion that the CIA had this one right."<ref name="globe" /> He later told '']'', "No one disputes that there have been contacts over the years. In that part of the America-hating universe, contacts happen. But that's still a long way from suggesting that they were really working together."<ref name=globe>{{cite news| last=Bender| first=Bryan| author2=Canellos, Peter| url=http://www.commondreams.org/headlines03/0803-04.htm| title=Questions Grow Over Iraq Links to Qaeda| publisher=Boston Globe| date=2003-08-03| url-status=dead| archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20061122072436/http://www.commondreams.org/headlines03/0803-04.htm| archive-date=2006-11-22}}</ref> | |||
===2001 President's Daily Brief=== | |||
* summer -- A man known as "Abu Wael" ("Abu Wa'il"), who worked with the ] organization in northern Iraq, allegedly worked with al-Qaeda members from Afghanistan to set up a backup base. According to ], Abu Wael is an alias for ], allegedly a colonel in Iraq's Mukhabarat (, ). The 9/11 Commission reported: "There are indications that by then (2001) the Iraqi regime tolerated and may even have helped Ansar al Islam against the common Kurdish enemy." (Page 61) And al-Shamari, sitting in a Kurdish prison, has said that Saddam Hussein supported Ansar al Islam because he wanted to "foment unrest in the pro-American Kurdish area of Iraq." Intelligence agencies have disputed such claims of support, however. According to Con Coughlin in the ''Telegraph'', "While the White House has attempted to link the group directly to Hussein's intelligence agents, both the CIA and MI6 insist that all their intelligence suggests the group operates in area over which Saddam has no control." Spenser Ackerman wrote in November 2003, "Far from being "harbored" by Saddam, Ansar al Islam operated out of northeastern Iraq, an area under Kurdish control that was being protected from Saddam's incursions by U.S. warplanes. Indeed, some of its members fought against Saddam during the Iran-Iraq war." Additionally, Mullah Krekar, the leader of Ansar al-Islam, calls himself "Saddam's sworn enemy" and "scoffs" at the notion that his friend Abu Wael works with the Mukhabarat. Elsewhere, Abu Wael is described as a "former Iraqi army officer" and it is suggested that, while he may still have been working for Saddam, it was as a spy, gathering intelligence on Ansar al-Islam rather than cooperating with them. Jason Burke notes, "Saddam may well have infiltrated the Ansar-ul-Islam with a view to monitoring the developments of the group (indeed it would be odd if he had not) but that appears to be about as far as his involvement with the group, and incidentally with al-Qaeda, goes." Ackerman likewise notes that the "far more likely explanation" of Abu Wael's contact with Ansar al-Islam, "is that the dictator had placed an agent in the group not to aid them, as Powell implied to the Security Council, but to keep tabs on a potential threat to his own regime." Additionally, while Mullah Krekar has expressed admiration for bin Laden, he has denied any actual links to al-Qaeda, stating, "I have never met with him, nor do I have any contacts ." The Belgian think tank International Crisis Group called the group "nothing more than a minor irritant in local Kurdish politics" and suggested that the alleged ties to bin Laden were the product of propaganda by the secular Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK). Nevertheless, Ansar al-Islam is generally considered an al-Qaeda affiliate organization and is designated officially as such by the United Nations. But it was not an organization identified as a terrorist group by the U.S. Secretary of the Treasury until ] ], just one month before the ] and just weeks after Powell's presentation to the United Nations, and it was not until March 2004 that it was officially added to the U.S. list of Foreign Terrorist Organizations. | |||
Ten days after the ], President Bush received a classified ] (prepared at his request) indicating that the U.S. intelligence community had no evidence linking Saddam Hussein to the attacks and there was "scant credible evidence that Iraq had any significant collaborative ties with Al Qaeda." The PDB wrote off the few contacts that existed between Saddam's government and al-Qaeda as attempts to monitor the group, not work with it. According to '']'', "Much of the contents of the PDB were later incorporated, albeit in a slightly different form, into a lengthier CIA analysis examining not only Al Qaeda's contacts with Iraq, but also Iraq's support for international terrorism."<ref name="waas" /> This PDB was one of the documents the Bush administration refused to turn over to the ], even on a classified basis, and refused to discuss other than acknowledging its existence.<ref name=waas>{{cite web |url=http://www.nationaljournal.com/whitehouse/key-bush-intelligence-briefing-kept-from-hill-panel-20051122 |title=Key Bush Intelligence Briefing Kept from Hill Panel - Murray Waas - NationalJournal.com |website=www.nationaljournal.com |access-date=13 January 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120710231520/http://www.nationaljournal.com/whitehouse/key-bush-intelligence-briefing-kept-from-hill-panel-20051122 |archive-date=10 July 2012 |url-status=dead}}</ref> | |||
==={{anchor|2001-2 Atta in Prague investigations}}2001-02 Atta in Prague investigations=== | |||
* July -- Rome, Italy -- ], general in the Iraqi intelligence, allegedly meets with Mohamed Atta, 9/11 hijacker () Daniel McGrory, the reporter who claims this information came from Italian intelligence, admits "There is no proof the men were in direct contact." <ref>London ''Times'', ] ]</ref> A June or July meeting in Rome is completely at odds with everything known about Atta's whereabouts in mid-2001. | |||
{{Main|Mohamed Atta's alleged Prague connection}} | |||
After 9/11 hijacker ] was allegedly seen in Prague in 2001 meeting with an Iraqi diplomat, a number of investigations analyzed the possible meeting. They concluded that all known evidence suggested that such a meeting was unlikely at best. According to the January 2003 CIA report "Iraqi Support for Terrorism", "he most reliable reporting to date casts doubt on this possibility" (a meeting).<ref>States News Service, (15 April 2005)</ref> CIA director George Tenet released "the most complete public assessment by the agency on the issue" in a statement to the Senate Armed Services Committee in July 2004, saying that the agency was "increasingly skeptical" that any such meeting took place.<ref>{{cite news| first=Douglas| last= Jehl| url=http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/chronicle/archive/2004/07/09/MNG267J1N51.DTL| title= CIA doubts hijacker met with Iraq| work=New York Times| date=9 July 2004}}</ref> CIA deputy director John McLaughlin described the extent of the agency's investigation into the claim: "Well, on something like the Atta meeting in Prague, we went over that every which way from Sunday. We looked at it from every conceivable angle. We peeled open the source, examined the chain of acquisition. We looked at photographs. We looked at timetables. We looked at who was where and when. It is wrong to say that we didn't look at it. In fact, we looked at it with extraordinary care and intensity and fidelity."<ref> with ], '']'', June 20, 2006.</ref> A ''New York Times'' investigation which included "extensive interviews with leading Czech figures" reported that Czech officials had backed off the claim.<ref>Risen, James. " {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20070713213523/http://query.nytimes.com/gst/abstract.html?res=F40816FB34590C728EDDA90994DA404482 |date=2007-07-13 }}", '']'', 11-21-2006.</ref><ref>The ''Times report'' was described as "a fabrication" by a Ladislav Špaček, a spokesman for Czech president Václav Havel. But Špaček also "said Mr. Havel was still certain there was no factual basis behind the report that Mr. Atta met an Iraqi diplomat." {{cite news| first=Peter S.| last= Green| title=Havel Denies Telephoning U.S. On Iraq Meeting| work=New York Times| date=23 October 2002| pages=A11}}</ref> | |||
* ] -- Iraq -- The state-run Iraqi newspaper ''Al-Nasiriya'' publishes an opinion piece written by ]. This piece praises Osama bin Laden and includes the following, which ] has interpreted (in testimony before Judge Baer) as a "vague" foreshadowing of the 9/11 attacks: bin Laden "continues to smile and still thinks seriously, with the seriousness of the Bedouin of the desert about the way he will try to bomb the Pentagon after he destroys the White House." The opinion piece also reads that “Bin Ladin is insisting very convincingly that he will strike America on the arm that is already hurting.” On the floor of the Senate, Senator ] interpreted this as foreknowledge: “In other words, the World Trade Towers. Here, over a year ahead of time in the open press in Iraq, they are writing that this man is planning not only to bomb the White House, but where they are already hurting, the World Trade Towers.” Senator Hollings read the opinion piece into the ]. Judge Baer also interprets this opinion piece as an allusion to the once-bombed ]. This editorial, by itself, is not proof of Iraqi complicity in the attacks of 9/11. No evidence of foreknowledge of the attacks on the part of the Iraqi government has ever materialized. | |||
The FBI and the Czech police chief investigated the issue and reached similar conclusions; FBI director ] noted that the bureau's investigation "ran down literally hundreds of thousands of leads and checked every record we could get our hands on, from flight reservations to car rentals to bank accounts."<ref>{{cite web| url=https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/gunning/etc/alqaeda.html| publisher= PBS| title=frontline: gunning for saddam: is there a link between al qaeda and Iraq?}}</ref><ref>{{cite news| url=https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml;jsessionid=5N4KDX1ALIPAJQFIQMGCM54AVCBQUJVC?xml=/news/2001/12/18/wirq18.xml| archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080203105121/http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml;jsessionid=5N4KDX1ALIPAJQFIQMGCM54AVCBQUJVC?xml=%2Fnews%2F2001%2F12%2F18%2Fwirq18.xml| url-status=dead| archive-date=2008-02-03| title=Iraq link to Sept 11 attack and anthrax is ruled out| first=Peter| last=Green| date=2001-12-18| publisher=Telegraph| location=London| access-date=2021-10-11}}</ref> The 9/11 Commission investigation, which examined the FBI and Czech intelligence investigations, concluded that "o evidence has been found that Atta was in the Czech Republic in April 2001." The commission still could not "absolutely rule out the possibility" that Atta was in Prague on 9 April under an alias, but concluded: "There was no reason for such a meeting, especially considering the risk it would pose to the operation. By April 2001, all four pilots had completed most of their training, and the muscle hijackers were about to begin entering the United States. The available evidence does not support the original Czech report of an Atta-Ani meeting." (p. 229){{full citation needed|date=March 2024}} | |||
* ] -- Spain -- ], an al-Qaeda cell leader in Morocco, allegedly meets with ], 9/11 financier. Some allege that Abu Zubayr was also an officer in the Iraqi Mukhabarat. () Abu Zubayr was arrested in Morocco in 2002 and while news accounts widely noted that he was "one of the most important members of Al Qaeda to be captured," no mainstream source substantiated (or even saw fit to mention) the allegation that the Saudi citizen abu Zubayr worked for the Iraqi Secret police. <ref>James Risen, "Morocco Detainee Linked to Qaeda," ''New York Times'' ] ]; see also ''Al-Hayat'' ] ]</ref> | |||
===2002 DIA reports=== | |||
* ] -- United States -- The ] take place as four airliners are apparently hijacked by members of ], with two airliners striking the ] in ] and a third striking ] in ]. The fourth plane crashes in rural ]. | |||
In February 2002, The U.S. ] issued Defense Intelligence Terrorism Summary No. 044-02 in February 2002 (the existence of which was revealed on 9 December 2005 by ] in the ''New York Times''), which impugned the credibility of information obtained from captured al-Qaeda leader ]. The DIA summary suggested that al-Libi had been "intentionally misleading" his interrogators, and cast doubt on the possibility of a Saddam Hussein-al-Qaeda conspiracy: "Saddam's regime is intensely secular and is wary of Islamic revolutionary movements. Moreover, Baghdad is unlikely to provide assistance to a group it cannot control."<ref>Douglas Jehl: ''. The New York Times, November 6, 2005; p. 14.</ref> In April 2002, the DIA said that "there was no credible reporting on al-Qa'ida training at Salman Pak or anywhere else in Iraq".<ref name="Phase II">{{cite web | |||
| url = http://intelligence.senate.gov/phaseiiaccuracy.pdf | |||
| title = Report of the Select Committee on Intelligence on post-war findings about Iraq's WMD programs and links to terrorism and how they compare with pre-war assessments together with additional views | |||
| access-date = 2006-09-10 | |||
| date = 2006-09-08 | |||
| publisher = United States Senate | |||
| archive-date = 2006-09-21 | |||
| archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20060921074629/http://intelligence.senate.gov/phaseiiaccuracy.pdf | |||
| url-status = dead | |||
}}</ref> | |||
===2002 British intelligence report=== | |||
* ] -- Washington, D.C. -- Ten days after the ], President Bush receives a classified ] (that had been prepared at his request) indicating that the U.S. intelligence community had no evidence linking Saddam Hussein to the September 11th attacks and that there was no credible evidence of any collaborative relationship between the Iraqi leader and al-Qaeda. The PDB writes off the few contacts that existed between Saddam's government and al-Qaeda as attempts to monitor the group rather than attempts to work with them. The ]'s Murray Waas reported the existence of the briefing on ], ], describing it as saying that "Saddam viewed Al Qaeda as well as other theocratic radical Islamist organizations as a potential threat to his secular regime. At one point, analysts believed, Saddam considered infiltrating the ranks of Al Qaeda with Iraqi nationals or even Iraqi intelligence operatives to learn more about its inner workings, according to records and sources." This PDB was one of the documents the Bush Administration refused to turn over to the ], even on a classified basis, and refuses to discuss other than to acknowledge its existence. | |||
In October 2002, a British intelligence investigation of possible links between Iraq and al-Qaeda and the possibility of Iraqi ] attacks issued a report which concluded that "al Qaeda has shown interest in gaining chemical and biological expertise from Iraq, but we do not know whether any such training was provided. We have no intelligence of current cooperation between Iraq and al Qaeda and do not believe that al Qaeda plans to conduct terrorist attacks under Iraqi direction".<ref>{{cite web | |||
| url = http://www.ctv.ca/servlet/ArticleNews/story/CTVNews/1089901831124_85311031/?hub=World | |||
| archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20050316223456/http://www.ctv.ca/servlet/ArticleNews/story/CTVNews/1089901831124_85311031/?hub=World | |||
| url-status = dead | |||
| archive-date = March 16, 2005 | |||
| title = Zarqawi set up Iraq sleeper cells: UK report | |||
| access-date = 2006-09-15 | |||
| date = 2004-07-15 | |||
| publisher = Associated Press | |||
}} | |||
</ref> | |||
===2003 CIA report=== | |||
* ] -- The ] froze the assets of the ] network, accusing them of raising, managing and distributing money for al Qaeda under the guise of legitimate business activity. ] and ], the two principals of Al Taqwa, are members of the ]. Nada was known to have good relations with ]. ], a ]-based company earning revenue from Iraq’s Oil for Food contracts, also had its assets frozen due to its relationship to Al Taqwa. Marc Perelman speculates: “The operation raises the possibility that Iraq quietly funneled money to Al Qaeda by deliberately choosing an oil company working with one of the terrorist group's alleged financial backers.” Perelman presents no evidence to substantiate this speculation. | |||
The CIA released ''Iraqi Support for Terrorism'', a report to Congress, in January 2003. The report concluded, "In contrast to the patron-client pattern between Iraq and its Palestinian surrogates, the relationship between Iraq and al-Qaida appears to more closely resemble that of two independent actors trying to exploit each other—their mutual suspicion suborned by al-Qaida's interest in Iraqi assistance, and Baghdad's interest in al-Qaida's anti-U.S. attacks ... The Intelligence Community has no credible information that Baghdad had foreknowledge of the 11 September attacks or any other al-Qaida strike."<ref>{{cite web|url=http://intelligence.senate.gov/iraqreport2.pdf|title=Prewar Intelligence Assessment|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20060816215352/http://intelligence.senate.gov/iraqreport2.pdf|archive-date=2006-08-16}}, page 332</ref> ], the main researcher assigned to review research for the report, described the review and his conclusions: "For about four weeks in late 2002 and early 2003, I and several others were engaged full time in searching CIA files—seven days a week, often far more than eight hours a day. At the end of the effort, we had gone back ten years in the files and had reviewed nearly twenty thousand documents that amounted to well over fifty thousand pages of materials ... There was no information that remotely supported the analysis that claimed there was a strong working relationship between Iraq and al Qaeda. I was embarrassed because this reality invalidated the analysis I had presented on the subject in my book."<ref>Michael Scheuer, ''Through Our Enemies' Eyes'' (revised edition). Washington, DC: Potomac Books, 2006 p. 136.</ref> Scheuer said that he was not part of the analysis team that produced "Iraqi Support for Terrorism", but was the main researcher reviewing the evidence and conclusions of that report. According to the ] report, "''Iraqi Support for Terrorism'' contained the following summary judgments regarding Iraq's provision of training to al-Qaida: Regarding the Iraq-al-Qa'ida relationship, reporting from sources of varying reliability points to ... incidents of training ... The most disturbing aspect of the relationship is the dozen or so reports of varying reliability mentioning the involvement of Iraq or Iraqi nationals in al-Qa'ida's efforts to obtain CBW training."<ref>{{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20060816215352/http://intelligence.senate.gov/iraqreport2.pdf |date=2006-08-16 }} (p.329)</ref> Although the report questioned information from captured al-Qaeda leader ], Colin Powell cited al-Libi's claims in his speech to the United Nations Security Council in February 2003; the following day, President Bush spoke in the Roosevelt Room at the White House with Powell at his side. National Security Council spokesperson ] told ''Newsweek'' that it was impossible to determine whether dissent from the DIA and questions by the CIA were seen by officials at the White House before the president spoke. A counter-terrorism official told ''Newsweek'' that although CIA reports on al-Libi were distributed widely around U.S. intelligence agencies and policy-making offices, many similarly-routine reports were not read by senior policy-making officials. Davis added that Bush's remarks were "based on what was put forward to him as the views of the intelligence community", and those views came from "an aggregation" of sources.<ref name="9991919/site/newsweek/" /> ''Newsweek'' reported, "The new documents also raise the possibility that caveats raised by intelligence analysts about al-Libi's claims were withheld from Powell when he was preparing his Security Council speech. Larry Wilkerson, who served as Powell's chief of staff and oversaw the vetting of Powell's speech, responded to an e-mail from ''Newsweek'' Wednesday stating that he was unaware of the DIA doubts about al-Libi at the time the speech was being prepared. 'We never got any dissent with respect to those lines you cite ... indeed the entire section that now we know came from ,' Wilkerson wrote."<ref name="9991919/site/newsweek/" /> | |||
===2003 British intelligence report=== | |||
===2002=== | |||
In January 2003, British intelligence completed a classified report on Iraq. The report was leaked to the BBC, who published information about it on February 5 (the day that Colin Powell addressed the United Nations). According to the BBC, the report "says al-Qaeda leader Osama Bin Laden views Iraq's ruling Ba'ath party as running contrary to his religion, calling it an 'apostate regime'. 'His aims are in ideological conflict with present day Iraq,' it says." The BBC reported that former British ] ] said that intelligence indicated that the Iraqi regime appeared to be allowing a permissive environment "in which al-Qaeda is able to operate ... Certainly we have some evidence of links between al-Qaeda and various people in Iraq ... What we don't know, and the prime minister and I have made it very clear, is the extent of those links ... What we also know, however, is that the Iraqi regime have been up to their necks in the pursuit of terrorism generally."<ref>{{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231211230946/http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/2727471.stm|title=Leaked report rejects Iraqi al-Qaeda link|date=December 11, 2023}}</ref> | |||
* ] -- Captured al-Qaeda leader ], after being ], gives specific and elaborate details of ties between Iraq and Al Qaeda, included training in explosives, biological, and chemical weapons. His account, which has since been repudiated by himself, the Defense Intelligence Agency and the CIA as being fabricated under duress (see below), nevertheless provides much of the basis for United States claims of the threat from Hussein's continued regime, including Secretary of State Colin Powell's speech to the UN the next year. | |||
===2003 Israeli intelligence=== | |||
* ] -- U.S. ] issues ], the existence of which was revealed on December 9, 2005, by Doug Jehl in the New York Times, impugning the credibility of information gleaned from captured al-Libi. The DIA report suggested that al-Libi had been "intentionally misleading" his interrogators. The DIA report also cast significant doubt on the possibility of a Saddam Hussein-al-Qaeda conspiracy: "Saddam’s regime is intensely secular and is wary of Islamic revolutionary movements. Moreover, Baghdad is unlikely to provide assistance to a group it cannot control." | |||
In February 2003, Israeli intelligence sources told the ] that no link had been conclusively established between Saddam and al-Qaeda. According to the AP story, "Boaz Ganor, an Israeli counter-terrorism expert, told the AP he knows of no Iraqi ties to terror groups, beyond Baghdad's relationship with Palestinian militias and possibly Osama bin Laden's Al Qaeda ... A senior Israeli security source told the AP that Israel has not yet found evidence of an Iraqi-Palestinian-Al Qaeda triangle, and that several investigations into possible Al Qaeda ties to Palestinian militias have so far not yielded substantial results. Ganor said Al Qaeda has put out feelers to Palestinian groups, but ties are at a very preliminary stage."<ref>"", ], February 1, 2003.</ref> | |||
===2003 Feith memo=== | |||
* ] -- U.K. -- British ] political director ] sends memo to Foreign Secretary ] stating bluntly that "U.S. scrambling to establish a link between Iraq and al-Qaida is so far frankly unconvincing." | |||
A 2007 Pentagon inspector general's report concluded that ]'s office in the Department of Defense had "developed, produced, and then disseminated alternative intelligence assessments on the Iraq and al-Qaeda relationship, which included some conclusions that were inconsistent with the consensus of the Intelligence Community, to senior decision-makers."<ref name="washingtonpost2007">{{cite news |last1=Pincus |first1=Walter |date=2007-02-08 |title=Official's Key Report On Iraq Is Faulted |newspaper=] |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/02/08/AR2007020802387.html |access-date=2008-11-04}}</ref> In October 2003, Feith (undersecretary of defense for policy and head of the controversial ]) sent a memo to Congress that included "a classified annex containing a list and description of the requested reports, so that the committee could obtain the reports from the relevant members of the intelligence community ... The classified annex was not an analysis of the substantive issue of the relationship between Iraq and al Qaeda, and it drew no conclusions."<ref name=autogenerated14>{{cite web|url=http://www.defenselink.mil/releases/2003/nr20031115-0642.html |title=DefenseLink News Release: DoD Statement on News Reports of Al Qaeda and Iraq Connections |publisher=Defenselink.mil |access-date=2009-07-07 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20070929144157/http://www.defenselink.mil/releases/2003/nr20031115-0642.html |archive-date=September 29, 2007}}</ref> The memo was leaked to the media, and became the foundation of reports in the ''Weekly Standard'' by ].<ref name="caseclosed">Hayes. Stephen F. , ''The Weekly Standard''. 24 November 2003; Volume 009, Issue 11.</ref><ref>Isikoff, Michael and Hosenball, Mark. , ''Newsweek''. November 19, 2003.</ref> ], former head of the Middle East section of Defense Intelligence Agency, called the Feith memo "a listing of a mass of unconfirmed reports, many of which themselves indicate that the two groups continued to try to establish some sort of relationship. If they had such a productive relationship, why did they have to keep trying?"<ref>''The Washington Post'': November 18, 2003.</ref> ] also criticized the memo, noting that "in any serious intelligence review, much of the material presented would quickly be discarded."<ref>{{cite web |last=Benjamin |first=Daniel |url=https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2003/12/the-hayes-memo-is-important-but-bogus.html |title=The Hayes memo is important—but bogus |work=Slate |date=2003-12-09 |access-date=2009-07-07 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20070609085817/http://slate.msn.com/id/2092180 |archive-date=2007-06-09 }}</ref> The Pentagon said, "Individuals who leak or purport to leak classified information are doing serious harm to national security; such activity is deplorable and may be illegal."<ref name=autogenerated14 /> | |||
===2004 Carnegie study=== | |||
* ] -- The ] publishes comments by weapons smuggler ] that he had been directed by the Iraqi intelligence community to organize, plan, and carry out up to nine terrorist attacks against American targets in the Middle East, including an attack similar to the one carried out on the ].. The smuggler is not considered credible however; Reporter Guy Dinmore wrote in the London ''Financial Times'': "it is apparent that the man is deranged. He claims to have killed 422 people, including two of his wives, and says he would drink the blood of his victims. He also has no explanation for why, although he was arrested two years ago, he only revealed his alleged links to al-Qaeda and Baghdad after the September 11 attacks." <ref>London Financial Times ] ] p. 13</ref> Al Qaeda expert ] wrote after interviewing Shahab, "Shahab is a liar. He may well be a smuggler, and probably a murderer too, but substantial chunks of his story simply are not true.". | |||
] scholars ], ] and George Perkovich published their study, ''WMD in Iraq: Evidence and Implications'', in January 2004. The study looked into Saddam's relationship with al-Qaeda, concluding that "although there have been periodic meetings between Iraqi and Al Qaeda agents, and visits by Al Qaeda agents to Baghdad, the most intensive searching over the last two years has produced no solid evidence of a cooperative relationship between Saddam's government and Al Qaeda." It also found "some evidence that there were no operational links" between the two entities.<ref>Joseph Cirincione, Jessica Tuchman Mathews, George Perkovich, with Alexis Orton, '''' Carnegie Endowment for International Peace (8 January 2004) pp. 48, 44.</ref> | |||
===2004 FBI interrogation reports=== | |||
* May – July -- ] allegedly recuperated in Baghdad after being wounded in the war in Afghanistan. Dozens of his followers came to Baghdad as well. The United States, through a foreign intelligence service, notified Saddam Hussein’s government that Zarqawi was living in Baghdad under an alias. "A foreign government service asserted that the IIS (Iraqi Intelligence Service) knew where al-Zarqawi was located despite Baghdad’s claims that it could not find him." (Page 337) Nevertheless, no evidence has emerged of any collaboration between Zarqawi and Saddam's government. According to Jason Burke, "Stories that an injured leg had been amputated in Baghdad as al-Zarqawi was cared for by Saddam Hussein's personal physicians proved false." <ref>Jason Burke, ''Al Qaeda: The True Story of Radical Islam'' London: ], 2004) p. 326</ref> And Spenser Ackerman wrote in the ''Washington Monthly'' that "if Zarqawi's ties to al Qaeda were loose, his ties to Saddam were practically non-existent." Intercepts of Zarqawi's phone calls in Iraq provided "no evidence that the suspected terrorist was working with the Iraqi regime or that he was working on a terrorist operation while he was in Iraq." In addition, Zarqawi did not identify himself with bin Laden nor swear allegiance to him until October 2004. Before that time terrorist experts considered him an "independent actor" who was setting himself up as a "competitor to bin Laden" rather than an al Qaeda operative. Jason Burke writes, "What Powell did not say was that al-Zarqawi ... had operated independently of bin Laden, running his own training camp in the west of Afghanistan near Herat. It was a small operation and al-Zarqawi was not considered a significant player, by militants or Western and Middle Eastern intelligence services, at the time. It is likely that al-Zarqawi had some contact with bin Laden but never took the ] and never made any formal allegiance with the Saudi or his close associates. Instead he was one of the thousands of foreign activists living and working in Afghanistan during the late 1990s.... al-Zarqawi was a rival, not an ally, of the Saudi." (p. 270). German law enforcement learned that Zarqawi's group operated in "opposition to" al-Qaeda and that Zarqawi even vetoed splitting charity funds with bin Laden's group. Recent information confirms the view of counterterrorism experts that Zarqawi's group was a rival of al-Qaeda until October 2004. In an interview on ] TV, former al-Qaeda member Walid Khan, who was in Afghanistan fighting alongside Zarqawi's group, said, "The problem was that most of the Arabs there were Jordanians, supporters of Abu Mus'ab al-Zarqawi. We mixed with them. The problem was they didn't care about anyone but their sheikh, al-Maqdisi. They belonged to the Jordanian Bay'at Al-Imam, organized from 1995. They pledged allegiance to al-Maqdisi and were in jail for five years. They were sentenced to 15 years. They served five years and then were pardoned. So they went to Afghanistan. Their ideology further developed there. Of course, they accused the government, the army, and the police of heresy. This is the most dangerous group. I understood that they had differences of opinion with bin Laden on a number of issues and positions. Of course, we understood that only later. From the day al-Zarqawi's group arrived, there were " Interestingly, even though no connection between Saddam Hussein and al-Zarqawi has emerged, the White House continued to insist on such a connection, and Colin Powell made this claim a feature of his February 2003 speech to the United Nations (which has been heavily criticized). Nevertheless, the White House on several occasions nixed Pentagon plans to attack Zarqawi. Former ] member ] noted, "People were more obsessed with developing the coalition to overthrow Saddam than to execute the president’s policy of preemption against terrorists." It has been suggested by military officials that the White House let Zarqawi's camp continue to operate inside Iraq because destroying the camp "could undercut its case for war against Saddam." While U.S. officials now think reports of al-Zarqawi's leg being amputated are incorrect, they still believe that al-Zarqawi may have received medical treatment in Baghdad. However, a CIA report in late 2004 concluded that there was no evidence Saddam's government was involved or even aware of this medical treatment, and found "no conclusive evidence the Saddam Hussein regime had harbored Zarqawi." One U.S. official summarized the report: "The evidence is that Saddam never gave Zarqawi anything." Indeed, scholars have added that such cooperation between Saddam and al-Zarqawi goes against everything known about both people. Counterterrorism scholar Loretta Napoleoni quotes former Jordanian parliamentarian Layth Shubaylat, who was personally acquainted with both Zarqawi and Saddam Hussein: "'First of all, I don't think the two ideologies go together, I'm sure the former Iraqi leadership saw no interest in contacting al-Zarqawi or al-Qaeda operatives. The mentality of al-Qaeda simply doesn't go with the Ba'athist one.' When he was in prison , 'Abu Mos'ab wouldn't accept me,' said Shubaylat, 'because I'm opposition, even if I'm a Muslim.' How could he accept Saddam Hussein, a secular dictator?" <ref>Loretta Napoleoni, ''Insurgent Iraq: Al Zarqawi and the New Generation''. New York: Seven Stories Press, 2005, p. 117. </ref> A letter from an Iraqi intelligence official dated August 2002 that was recovered in Iraq by U.S. forces and released by the Pentagon in March 2006 suggests that Saddam's government was "on the lookout" for Zarqawi in Baghdad and noted that finding Zarqawi was a "top priority"; three responses to the letter claimed that there was "no evidence" Zarqawi was in Iraq. This suggests that if Zarqawi was in Baghdad during this time, it was without the knowledge or support of the Baathist regime. | |||
During the ] in the first half of 2004, ] special agent ] had 25 face-to-face meetings with Saddam Hussein while he was held as a ] at the United States military detention facility at ].<ref name=Meek0626> | |||
{{cite news | |||
|url = http://www.nydailynews.com/blogs/dc/2009/06/how-the-fbi-broke-saddam-1.html | |||
|title = How the FBI Broke Saddam - Part 1 | |||
|work = Mouth Of The Potomac | |||
|publisher = ] | |||
|access-date = 2009-07-02 | |||
|date = 2009-06-26 | |||
|last = Meek | |||
|first = James Gordon | |||
|quote = The first FBI interrogation of Saddam Hussein al-Tikriti - in a program codenamed 'Desert Spider' - took place Feb. 7, 2004, in a dingy cell at Baghdad International Airport. | |||
|url-status=dead | |||
|archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20090629063949/http://www.nydailynews.com/blogs/dc/2009/06/how-the-fbi-broke-saddam-1.html | |||
|archive-date = 2009-06-29 | |||
}} | |||
</ref> Piro's reports, filed during the interrogation, were declassified and released in 2009 after a ] request.<ref name=NSA>{{cite web | |||
|url=http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/NSAEBB/NSAEBB279/index.htm | |||
|title=Saddam Hussein Talks to the FBI : Twenty Interviews and Five Conversations with "High Value Detainee # 1" in 2004 | |||
|work= National Security Archive Electronic Briefing Book No. 279 | |||
|publisher=] | |||
|access-date=2009-07-02 | |||
|date=2009-07-01 | |||
|last= Battle | |||
|first=Joyce | |||
|author2=McQuade, Brendan | |||
|quote=FBI special agents carried out 20 formal interviews and at least 5 'casual conversations' with former Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein after his capture by U.S. troops in December 2003, according to secret FBI reports released as the result of Freedom of Information Act requests by the National Security Archive and posted today on the Web at www.nsarchive.org.}} | |||
</ref> Hussein had reportedly maintained that he did not collaborate with al-Qaeda,<ref name=WaPo/> said he feared al-Qaeda would have turned on him, and was quoted as calling ] a "zealot."<ref name=WaPo>{{cite news | |||
|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/07/01/AR2009070104217.html | |||
|title=Saddam Hussein Said WMD Talk Helped Him Look Strong to Iran - | |||
|newspaper=] | |||
|access-date=2009-07-02 | |||
|date=2009-07-02 | |||
|last=Kessler | |||
|first=Glenn | |||
|quote= Saddam Hussein told an FBI interviewer before he was hanged that he allowed the world to believe he had weapons of mass destruction because he was worried about appearing weak to Iran, according to declassified accounts of the interviews released yesterday. The former Iraqi president also denounced Osama bin Laden as 'a zealot' and said he had no dealings with al-Qaeda.}}</ref> | |||
==={{anchor|2004 9/11 Commission Report}}''9/11 Commission Report''=== | |||
* ] -– ] ] testified before a Congressional Committee: "There is evidence that Iraq provided al-Qaida with various kinds of training – combat, bomb-making, and CBRN (chemical, biological, radiological and nuclear). Although Saddam did not endorse al-Qaida’s overall agenda and was suspicious of Islamist movements in general, he was apparently not averse, under certain circumstances, to enhancing bin Laden’s operational capabilities. As with much of the information on the overall relationship, details on training are (redacted as classified info) from sources of varying reliability." (Page 329) The Senate Select Committee on Intelligence pointed out that the DCI's comments could be misleading: "The DCI's unclassified testimony did not include source descriptions, which could have led the recipients of that testimony to interpret that the CIA believed the training had definitely occurred." (p. 330). It is now known that the main source for Tenet's claim, which was repeated by the White House in October, was the now-discredited interrogation of captured al-Qaeda leader ]. The DIA and CIA have since indicated their belief that al-Libi (who recanted the story in January 2004) fabricated the entire thing under harsh interrogation techniques. | |||
The July 2004 '']'' addressed a possible conspiracy between the government of Iraq and al-Qaeda in the September 11 attacks. The report addressed allegations of contacts between al-Qaeda and members of Saddam Hussein's government and concluded that there was no evidence that such contacts developed into a collaborative relationship, and they did not cooperate to commit terrorist attacks against the United States.<ref name=":1" /><ref>{{Cite news |last=Harper |first=Tim |date=18 June 2004 |title=Saddam-Al Qaeda link exists Bush; Disputes 9/11 panel's contention U.S. response to attacks chaotic: |work=Toronto Star}}</ref> | |||
=== {{anchor|2004 Senate Report of Pre-war Intelligence on Iraq}}2004 Senate report of pre-war intelligence on Iraq === | |||
* October -- U.K. -- British Intelligence investigation of possible links between Iraq and al-Qaeda issues report concluding: "We have no intelligence of current cooperation between Iraq and al-Qaeda and do not believe that al-Qaeda plans to conduct terrorist attacks under Iraqi direction." | |||
The ] examined "the quality and quantity of U.S. intelligence on Iraqi weapons of mass destruction, ties to terrorist groups, Saddam Hussein's threat to stability and security in the region, and his repression of his own people;"<ref name=":0" /> and "the objectivity, reasonableness, independence, and accuracy of the judgments reached by the Intelligence Community".<ref name=":0" /> The committee examined the CIA's five intelligence products on Iraqi links to terrorism, focusing on the agency's 2003 study, in section 12 of the report: "Iraq's Links to Terrorism". It concluded that the CIA had accurately concluded that contacts between Saddam Hussein's regime and members of al-Qaeda did not constitute a formal relationship.<ref name=":0" /> Based on information the CIA made available to the Senate committee, it published the ] critiquing the intelligence-gathering process.<ref>{{Cite book |url=https://www.govinfo.gov/app/details/CRPT-109srpt331/CRPT-109srpt331 |title=S. Rept. 109-331 - REPORT of the SELECT COMMITTEE ON INTELLIGENCE on POSTWAR FINDINGS ABOUT IRAQ'S WMD PROGRAMS AND LINKS TO TERRORISM AND HOW THEY COMPARE WITH PREWAR ASSESSMENTS together with ADDITIONAL AND MINORITY VIEWS |date=September 8, 2006 |publisher=U.S. Government Printing Office |pages=5–6}}</ref> | |||
* ] -- Philippines -- ], leader of the al-Qaeda-affiliated ] terrorist group, contacts ], deputy secretary of the Iraqi embassy immediately after a successful bombing (, ) '']'' editor Stephen Hayes points to additional evidence indicating that the group received some funding from Saddam's regime. Hayes notes that the support was suspended "temporarily it seems - after high-profile kidnappings, including of Americans, focused international attention on the terrorist group." | |||
===2004 CIA report=== | |||
* ] -- Washington, D.C. -- Knight Ridder reports that "a growing number of military officers, intelligence professionals and diplomats" have serious doubts about the Bush Administration's case for war, specifically raising doubts about claimed "links" between Iraq and al-Qaeda. One official told the reporter that "Analysts at the working level in the intelligence community are feeling very strong pressure from the Pentagon to cook the intelligence books." | |||
In August 2004, the CIA finished another assessment of possible links between Iraq and al-Qaeda. The assessment had been requested by the ], which asked the CIA to reexamine the possibility that Jordanian terrorist Abu Musab al-Zarqawi constituted a link between Saddam and al-Qaeda (as Colin Powell had said in his speech to the United Nations Security Council). The assessment concluded that there was no evidence that Saddam Hussein's regime had harbored al-Zarqawi. A U.S. official familiar with the new CIA assessment said that intelligence analysts were unable to determine conclusively the nature of the relationship between al-Zarqawi and Saddam. "It's still being worked," he said. "It (the assessment) ... doesn't make clear-cut, bottom-line judgments" about whether Saddam's regime aided al-Zarqawi. The official told ], "What is indisputable is that Zarqawi was operating out of Baghdad and was involved in a lot of bad activities"; the report did not conclude, however, that Saddam's regime had provided "aid, comfort and succor" to al-Zarqawi. According to the Knight Ridder story, "Some officials believe that Saddam's secular regime kept an eye on al-Zarqawi, but didn't actively assist him." Knight Ridder reporters called the CIA study "the latest assessment that calls into question one of President Bush's key justifications for last year's U.S.-led invasion of Iraq."<ref>{{cite news| url=http://www.commondreams.org/headlines04/1005-01.htm| date=October 5, 2004| publisher=Knight-Ridder| title=CIA Review Finds No Evidence Saddam Had Ties to Islamic Terrorists| first=Warren P.| last=Strobel| author2=Jonathan S. Landay| author3=John Walcott| access-date=2006-10-29| url-status=dead| archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090803224622/http://www.commondreams.org/headlines04/1005-01.htm| archive-date=August 3, 2009}}</ref> | |||
===={{anchor|2005 update of CIA report}}2005 update==== | |||
* ] -- Baghdad -- ], officer at the Iraqi embassy in Pakistan, is identified as "responsible for the coordination of activities with the Osama bin Laden group" in a list of names published in an issue of the ''Babylon Daily Political Newspaper'' by Uday Hussein, interpreted by Judge ] as some kind of private memo (). Judge Merrit leaves out the passage published at the top of the list, which undercuts his story: "This is a list of the henchmen of the regime. Our hands will reach them sooner or later. Woe unto them." The Defense Intelligence Agency's only comment on the list was, "There are innumerable lists. So you have to ask what does it mean to be on this list? It takes time to sort through all this. People give names all over the place." | |||
In October 2005, the CIA updated its 2004 report to conclude that Saddam's regime "did not have a relationship, harbor, or even turn a blind eye toward Mr. Zarqawi and his associates".<ref name="09intelcnd.html">{{cite news|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2006/09/08/washington/09intelcnd.html|title=Senate Panel Releases Report on Iraq Intelligence|author=Mark Mazzetti|date=September 8, 2006|work=The New York Times|url-access=registration}}.</ref> Two counterterrorism analysts told ''Newsweek'' that Zarqawi probably received medical treatment in Baghdad in 2002, but Saddam's government may never have known that he was in Iraq because he used "false cover." ] reported that an intelligence official told ''Newsweek'' that, according to the report's current draft, "most evidence suggests Saddam Hussein did not provide Zarqawi safe haven before the war. It also recognizes that there are still unanswered questions and gaps in knowledge about the relationship ... The most recent CIA analysis is an update—based on fresh reporting from Iraq and interviews with former Saddam officials—of a classified report that analysts in the CIA's Directorate of Intelligence first produced more than a year ago."<ref>"{{dead link|date=August 2024|bot=medic}}{{cbignore|bot=medic}}", ], October 26, 2005.</ref> | |||
=== |
===2006 Pentagon study=== | ||
In February 2006, the Pentagon published a study of the "Harmony database" documents captured in Afghanistan.<ref name="Harmony">{{cite web |url= http://www.ctc.usma.edu/aq/Harmony%20and%20Disharmony%20--%20CTC.pdf |title= Harmony and Disharmony: Exploiting al-Qai'da's Organizational Vulnerabilities |access-date= 2006-02-18 |archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20060219072611/http://www.ctc.usma.edu/aq/Harmony%20and%20Disharmony%20--%20CTC.pdf |archive-date= 2006-02-19 |url-status=dead }}, ], 02-14-2006.</ref> Although the study did not address allegations of Iraqi ties to al-Qaeda, it analyzed papers that offer insight into the history of the movement and tensions among its leadership. The Pentagon found evidence that al-Qaeda jihadists viewed Saddam as an "infidel", and advised against working with him.<ref>{{cite web |url= http://www.ctc.usma.edu/aq/AFGP-2002-600080-Trans.pdf |title= CTC Report |access-date= 2006-02-18 |archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20060226111921/http://www.ctc.usma.edu/aq/AFGP-2002-600080-Trans.pdf |archive-date= 2006-02-26 |url-status=dead }}</ref> | |||
* ] -- CIA releases special Report to Congress entitled ''Iraqi Support for Terrorism''. The report states "We have reporting from reliable clandestine and press sources that (deleted) direct meetings between senior Iraqi representatives and top al-Qaida operatives took place from the early 1990s to the present." (Page 326) The report concludes that "In contrast to the patron-client pattern between Iraq and its Palestinian surrogates, the relationship between Iraq and al-Qaida appears to more closely resemble that of two independent actors trying to exploit each other -- their mutual suspicion suborned by al-Qaida's interest in Iraqi assistance, and Baghdad's interest in al-Qaida's anti-U.S. attacks…. The Intelligence Community has no credible information that Baghdad had foreknowledge of the 11 September attacks or any other al-Qaida strike." (Page 332) () The report also questioned the information coming from captured al-Qaeda leader ], determining that the al-Qaeda leader was not in a position to know about any links to Saddam Hussein and that his stories were likely fabrications. Nevertheless, this information was cited uncritically by Colin Powell in his speech to the ] in February 2003. | |||
<!-- *] New York Colin Powell gives speech to the United Nations Security Council: someone want to write this up? --> | |||
==={{anchor|2006 U.S. Senate Report of Pre-War Intelligence|CIA conclusions|DIA conclusions|FBI}}2006 U.S. Senate report=== | |||
* ] -- Israeli intelligence report concludes that no evidence ties Saddam Hussein to Osama bin Laden or al-Qaeda. | |||
{{Main|Senate Report on Iraqi WMD Intelligence#"Phase two" of the investigation}} | |||
In September 2006, the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence released two bipartisan reports which constituted Phase II of its study of prewar intelligence claims about Iraq's pursuit of WMD and alleged links to al-Qaeda.<ref>{{cite web| url=http://intelligence.senate.gov/phaseiiinc.pdf| title=The Use by the Intelligence Community of Information Provided by the Iraqi National Congress| url-status=dead| archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20060921074654/http://intelligence.senate.gov/phaseiiinc.pdf| archive-date=2006-09-21}}</ref> The reports concluded, according to David Stout of ''The New York Times'', that "there is no evidence that Saddam Hussein had prewar ties to Al Qaeda and one of the terror organization's most notorious members, Abu Musab al-Zarqawi."<ref name="09intelcnd.html"/> Senator John Rockefeller, the committee's ranking Democrat, said: "Today's reports show that the administration's repeated allegations of a past, present and future relationship between al Qaeda and Iraq were wrong and intended to exploit the deep sense of insecurity among Americans in the immediate aftermath of the September 11th attacks."<ref>{{dead link|date=June 2021|bot=medic}}{{cbignore|bot=medic}}</ref> | |||
====Administration response==== | |||
* ] -- Satellite TV -- Osama bin Laden audiotape broadcast on ] urges Iraqi Muslims to fight the American invaders who will soon be attacking Hussein's Baathist regime. He reaffirms his view of Saddam as an infidel: "Socialists are infidels wherever they are, whether they are in Baghdad or ]." | |||
After the report was released, ] told ''Fox News Sunday'' that she did not remember seeing that particular report and "there were ties between Iraq and al-Qaeda."<ref>" {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20071207191714/http://www.kwtx.com/home/headlines/3881902.html |date=2007-12-07 }}", ], September 10, 2006.</ref> In an interview with Tim Russert on ''Meet the Press'', Vice President Cheney said: "We've never been able to confirm any connection between Iraq and 9/11." He reiterated that there was a connection between Iraq and al-Qaeda, citing Zarqawi's presence in Baghdad and DCI George Tenet's claim of "a relationship that went back at least a decade." Pressed about the Senate report, Cheney said: "I haven't seen the report. I haven't had a chance to read it yet."<ref>{{cite press release | |||
|date = 2006-09-10 | |||
|url = https://georgewbush-whitehouse.archives.gov/news/releases/2006/09/print/20060910.html | |||
|title = Interview of the Vice President by Tim Russert, NBC News, Meet the Press | |||
|work = White House news release | |||
|publisher = The White House | |||
}}</ref> | |||
==={{anchor|2007 Pentagon Inspector General Report}}2007 Pentagon inspector general's report=== | |||
* ] -- Washington, D.C. -- Director of Central Intelligence ] testifies before the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, repeating the now-discredited claim that "Iraq has in the past provided training in document forgery and bomb-making to al Qaeda. It has also provided training in poisons and gases to two al Qaeda associates. One of these associates characterized the relationship he forged with Iraqi officials as successful." The associate he mentioned was Ibn al-Shaykh al-Libi, who was known to the DIA to have fabricated the story in response to harsh treatment by the Egyptian captors to whom he had been ]. | |||
The Pentagon's inspector general issued a February 2007 report<ref>{{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20070927022944/https://www.npr.org/documents/2007/feb/dod_iog_iraq_summary.pdf|title=Review of Pre-Iraqi War Activities of the Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Policy: Executive Summary|date=September 27, 2007}}</ref> which found that the actions of Feith's ], the source of most misleading intelligence about al-Qaeda and Iraq, were inappropriate but not illegal. Senator ], Chair of the Senate Armed Services Committee, said: "The bottom line is that intelligence relating to the Iraq-al-Qaeda relationship was manipulated by high-ranking officials in the Department of Defense to support the administration's decision to invade Iraq. The inspector general's report is a devastating condemnation of inappropriate activities in the DOD policy office that helped take this nation to war."<ref name="Faulted">{{cite news|last1=Pincus|first1=Walter|last2=Smith|first2=R. Jeffrey|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/02/08/AR2007020802387.html|title=Official's Key Report On Iraq Is Faulted|newspaper=The Washington Post|date=February 9, 2007|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20070214042657/https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/02/08/AR2007020802387.html|archive-date=February 14, 2007|url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
Feith said, however, that he felt vindicated by the report's conclusion that what he did was not unlawful.<ref name="Faulted"/> He told ''The Washington Post'' that his office produced a criticism of the consensus of the intelligence community, acknowledging that he "was not endorsing its substance."<ref name="Faulted"/> | |||
* ] -- The ''Toronto Star'' by Middle East correspondent Mitch Potter about a memo discovered in the wreckage of ] headquarters. The memo discusses a planned trip by a trusted aide of ] leader ] to Baghdad. The story says the trip is "thought to have ended disastrously for the Iraqis, as bin Laden rejected any kind of alliance, preferring to pursue his own policy of global jihad, or holy war." Martin Bright and Jason Burke contend that "the find is unlikely to be the 'smoking gun' the US and Britain are looking for." | |||
=== 2008 Pentagon report === | |||
* ] -- ] Judge ] issues a decision in a lawsuit ordering Osama bin Laden and Saddam Hussein to pay $104 million to the families of two men killed in the ] attacks. Baer ruled in part that the plaintiffs had "shown, albeit barely ... that Iraq provided material support to Bin Laden and al-Qaeda." Judge Baer's decision was based on the testimony of former Director of Central Intelligence ] as well as on Secretary of State Colin Powell's speech to the United Nations that February. Judge Baer said, however, that these sources had provided "few actual facts" demonstrating that Iraq provided any material support for the attack and instead based his decision on this point of fact entirely upon their expertise. No testimony was introduced into the case by defendants to counter the statements of Woolsey or Powell. | |||
''Saddam and Terrorism: Emerging Insights from Captured Iraqi Documents,'' a Pentagon-sponsored March 2008 study, was based on the review of over 600,000 Iraqi documents captured after the 2003 US invasion. The study found no direct connection between Iraq and al-Qaeda.<ref name="Pentagon 2008">{{cite web|url=http://a.abcnews.com/images/pdf/Pentagon_Report_V1.pdf|title=Iraqi Perspectives Project - Saddam and Terrorism: Emerging Insights from Captured Iraqi Documents, Volume 1 (Redacted)|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240308134137/https://a.abcnews.com/images/pdf/Pentagon_Report_V1.pdf|archive-date=March 8, 2024|url-status=live|access-date=March 22, 2024}}</ref> It noted that during the early 1990s, "Saddam supported groups that either associated directly with al Qaeda (such as the ], led at one time by bin Laden's deputy, ]) or that generally shared al Qaeda's stated goals and objectives."<ref>, Volume 1, p. 42.</ref> | |||
* ] -- Al-Jazeera broadcasts Osama bin Laden's message to the Iraqi people, in which he expresses satisfaction at having lured the U.S. military into a conflict with Muslims in Iraq: "Be glad of the good news: America is mired in the swamps of the Tigris and Euphrates. Bush is, through Iraq and its oil, easy prey. Here is he now, thank God, in an embarrassing situation and here is America today being ruined before the eyes of the whole world." | |||
According to the ], | |||
* ] -- ], undersecretary of defense for policy and head of the controversial ], sends a memo to Congress that includes "a classified annex containing a list and description of the requested reports, so that the committee could obtain the reports from the relevant members of the intelligence community...The classified annex was not an analysis of the substantive issue of the relationship between Iraq and al Qaeda, and it drew no conclusions." The memo was subsequently leaked to the media and became the foundation for reports in the ''Weekly Standard'' by ]. ], former head of the Middle East section of Defense Intelligence Agency, called the Feith memo "a listing of a mass of unconfirmed reports, many of which themselves indicate that the two groups continued to try to establish some sort of relationship. If they had such a productive relationship, why did they have to keep trying?" ] criticized the memo, noting that "in any serious intelligence review, much of the material presented would quickly be discarded." A Pentagon press release warned: "Individuals who leak or purport to leak classified information are doing serious harm to national security; such activity is deplorable and may be illegal." | |||
<blockquote>While these documents do not reveal direct coordination and assistance between the Saddam regime and the al Qaeda network, they do indicate that Saddam was willing to use, albeit cautiously, operatives affiliated with al Qaeda as long as Saddam could have these terrorist–operatives monitored closely ... This created both the appearance of and, in some ways, a 'de facto' link between the organizations. At times, these organizations would work together in pursuit of shared goals but still maintain their autonomy and independence because of innate caution and mutual distrust.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.fas.org/irp/eprint/iraqi/index.html|title=Iraqi Perspectives Project - Saddam and Terrorism: Emerging Insights from Captured Iraqi Documents (Redacted)|website=fas.org}}</ref></blockquote> | |||
* ] -- Saddam Hussein's arrest in Iraq yields a document from Saddam directing Iraqi Baathist insurgents to beware of working with foreign jihadists. The ''New York Times'' reported that the directive "provides a second piece of evidence challenging the Bush administration contention of close cooperation between Mr. Hussein's government and terrorists from al-Qaeda. C.I.A. interrogators have already elicited from the top Qaeda officials in custody that, before the American-led invasion, Osama bin Laden had rejected entreaties from some of his lieutenants to work jointly with Mr. Hussein." Reporter Greg Miller went even further, calling the document "one of the strongest pieces of evidence to contest the repeated insinuations of the Bush Administration that there were links between al-Qaeda and the Baath regime." | |||
The report also stated that "captured documents reveal that the regime was willing to co-opt or support organizations it knew to be part of al Qaeda."<ref name="Pentagon 2008" />{{rp|page=34}} In July 2001, the ] director for international intelligence ordered an investigation of a terrorist group known as the Army of Muhammad. The investigation revealed that the group "threatened Kuwaiti authorities and plans to attack American and Western interests",<ref name="Pentagon 2008" />{{rp|page=34}} and was working with Osama bin Laden. According to the report, "A later memorandum from the same collection to the Director of the IIS reports that the Army of Muhammad is endeavoring to receive assistance to implement its objectives, and that the local IIS station has been told to deal with them in accordance with priorities previously established. The IIS agent goes on to inform the Director that 'this organization is an offshoot of bin Laden, but that their objectives are similar but with different names that can be a way of camouflaging the organization.{{'"}}<ref name="Pentagon 2008" />{{rp|page=35}} | |||
===2004=== | |||
* ] -- The CIA withdraws its information regarding links between Hussein's Iraq and Al Qaeda based on the 2002 testimony of al-Libi, after he begins asserting that he fabricated them in order to receive better treatment from his captors. | |||
ABC News noted about the report that the primary target of Saddam's terror activities was not the United States or Israel: "The predominant targets of Iraqi state terror operations were Iraqi citizens, both inside and outside of Iraq." Saddam's primary aim was self-preservation and the elimination of potential internal threats to his power.<ref>"U.S. Military Concludes No Saddam Link to Al Qaeda" ''ABC News'' (11 March 2008).</ref> | |||
* ] -- U.S. attorney ], who oversaw the government's case against al Qaeda members accused of bombing U.S. embassies in Africa in 1998, testifies to the 9/11 Commission. He told the Commission that a U.S. ] indictment that mentioned ties between Iraq and al-Qaeda -- which is frequently mentioned by Stephen F. Hayes to support his claim that the Clinton Administration supported the link (e.g. -- had been superceded by a later indictment which dropped the language because it could not be confirmed by investigators. | |||
===2008 U.S. Senate report === | |||
* ] -- ] releases report assessing the state of prewar intelligence on Iraq. The report concludes that the CIA's assessment that there was no evidence of a formal relationship between Iraq and al-Qaeda was justified. (See below). | |||
In June 2008, the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence released the final part of its Phase II investigation of the intelligence assessments that led to the U.S. invasion and occupation of Iraq; this part of the investigation looked into statements by members of the Bush administration, and compared those statements to what the intelligence community was telling the administration at the time. The report, endorsed by eight Democrats and two Republicans on the committee, concluded that "Statements and implications by the President and Secretary of State suggesting that Iraq and al-Qa'ida had a partnership, or that Iraq had provided al-Qa'ida with weapons training, were not substantiated by the intelligence." It concluded that "Statements ... regarding Iraq's contacts with al-Qa'ida were substantiated by intelligence information. However, policymakers' statements did not accurately convey the intelligence assessments of the nature of these contacts, and left the impression that the contacts led to substantive Iraqi cooperation or support of al-Qa'ida" and "Statements that Iraq provided safe haven for Abu Musab al-Zarqawi and other al-Qa'ida-related terrorist members were substantiated by the intelligence assessments. Intelligence assessments noted Zarqawi's presence in Iraq and his ability to travel and operate within the country. The intelligence community generally believed that Iraqi intelligence must have known about, and therefore at least tolerated, Zarqawi's presence in the country."<ref>{{cite web |url=http://intelligence.senate.gov/080605/phase2a.pdf |title=Archived copy |access-date=2008-03-28 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080611232451/http://intelligence.senate.gov/080605/phase2a.pdf |archive-date=2008-06-11 }}</ref> | |||
The ''New York Times'' called the report "especially critical of statements by the president and vice president linking Iraq to Al Qaeda and raising the possibility that Mr. Hussein might supply the terrorist group with unconventional weapons." Committee chair John D. Rockefeller IV wrote in an addendum to the report, "Representing to the American people that the two had an operational partnership and posed a single, indistinguishable threat was fundamentally misleading and led the nation to war on false premises."<ref name=mazzetti/> | |||
* ] -- ] releases its final report on the ] attacks, concluding that there was no evidence of an operational relationship between Saddam Hussein and al-Qaeda. (See below). | |||
In a minority addendum to the report signed by four Republican dissenters, the Republicans "suggested that the investigation was a partisan smoke screen to obscure the real story: that the C.I.A. failed the Bush administration by delivering intelligence assessments to policy makers that have since been discredited."<ref name=mazzetti>{{cite news|first1=Mark|last1=Mazzetti|first2=Scott|last2=Shane|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/06/world/middleeast/06intel.html|title=Bush Overstated Iraq Evidence, Senators Report|work=The New York Times|date=June 6, 2008|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231021203714/https://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/06/world/middleeast/06intel.html|archive-date=October 21, 2023|url-access=registration}}</ref> The minority senators did not take issue with the majority's conclusion that there was no evidence of a Saddam-al-Qaeda conspiracy, but objected to the manner in which the report was assembled and called the finished product "a waste of Committee time and resources."<ref name="mazzetti" /> The dissent focused on the committee's reluctance to include statements by previous administrations and members of Congress about prewar intelligence, and objected to the report's conclusion that President Bush and Vice President Cheney made statements that Saddam was prepared to give WMD to terrorist groups for attacks against the United States.<ref> {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080611232451/http://intelligence.senate.gov/080605/phase2a.pdf |date=2008-06-11 }}</ref> | |||
*] – The internet news outlet ] published a story describing 42 documents dated January-April 1993 confiscated by U.S. forces. The documents supposedly include details of Saddam Hussein’s ties to terrorists, records on WMDs and information on terrorists trained inside Iraq. The unnamed source of the documents is described as "a senior government official who is not a political appointee." The documents were examined by Bruce Tefft, a retired CIA specialist in counter-terrorism and expert on Islam, who speculated that "based on available, unclassified and open source information, the details in these documents are accurate ..." CNSNews, however, does not indicate whether Tefft identified any specific open-source information that confirms details in the documents. Laurie Mylroie wrote an article for the New York Sun expressing confidence in the documents' authenticity. As of December 2005, the documents have not been acknowledged by any Bush Administration official, not even when making the case for Saddam-al-Qaeda cooperation. They have nevertheless led to speculation in the ] about a "smoking gun" proving Iraq had ties to al-Qaeda. The documents purport to establish that Saddam had been supporting terrorism for years and implicates Iraq in the defeat of Americans at the ] but also that Saddam had chemical and biological weapons. If these documents could be authenticated, the implications could be significant, at least for understanding events of early 1993. Some efforts to confirm the accuracy of the documents took place, but no document expert has yet examined them. <!--To critics of the Bush Administration, these documents appear "too good to be true." The release of the documents right before the ] has caused some to wonder if the documents were forged as a sort of ] to help the ].--> James Geraghty of the ] questioned the timing and manner of the documents' release commenting that if the documents were as remarkable as they appear to be, why was there such a delay in their release and why the administration had not commented on them. CNSNews has posted translations of some of the documents online and has invited journalists and terror experts to study the documents in person in their corporate offices. | |||
==Notes== | |||
* ] -- U.S. Secretary of Defense ] tells the ] that he has seen no "strong, hard evidence that links" Saddam Hussein and al Qaeda. He admits in the statement that the information he relied upon for earlier statements linking the two "may have been something that was not representative of a hard linkage." | |||
{{notelist}} | |||
== |
== References == | ||
{{Reflist}} | |||
* ] -- Senator ] releases newly declassified intelligence documents which suggest that Administration claims of a relationship between Saddam and al-Qaeda contradicted the conclusions of the intelligence community. Levin said, "These documents are additional compelling evidence that the Intelligence Community did not believe there was a cooperative relationship between Iraq and al Qaeda, despite public comments by the highest ranking officials in our government to the contrary." | |||
* ] -- ], the leader of al-Qaeda's security committee, publishes a testament on the internet about ], the Jordanian terrorist in Iraq who swore allegiance to bin Laden in October 2004. Among other things, the al-Qaeda leader clarifies the relationship between Zarqawi's group and the new Iraq: "contrary to what the Americans continuously claimed, al-Qaeda did not have any connection with Saddam whatsoever. American attempts to connect Saddam to al-Qaeda were in order to create excuses and legitimate causes to invade Iraq. So after we were trapped in Iran, after being forced out of Afghanistan, it became inevitable that we would plan to enter Iraq through the north, which was free from American control. It was then that we moved south to join our Sunni brothers." Al-Adl described the U.S. invasion of Iraq as a boon to al-Qaeda: "The Americans took the bait and fell into our trap." | |||
* ] -- Corporal Jonathan "Paco" Reese of the Pennsylvania National Guard, one of the Americans responsible for guarding the captured Saddam Hussein when he was in American custody, tells ] magazine that the ousted leader insisted that he had no relationship with Osama bin Laden. | |||
* ] -- In ] of ], ], ] and ] describe a "secret draft CIA report" which stated, according to "two counterterrorism analysts familiar with the classified CIA study who asked not to be identified", that | |||
:''Zarqawi probably did travel to the Iraqi capital in the spring of 2002 for medical treatment. And, of course, there is no question that he is in Iraq now-orchestrating many of the deadly suicide bombings and attacks on American soldiers. But before the American-led invasion, Saddam's government may never have known he was there. The reason: he used an alias and was there under what one U.S. intelligence official calls a "false cover." No evidence has been found showing senior Iraqi officials were even aware of his presence.'' | |||
* ] -- The ] answers the question as to what new evidence do the Democrats have regarding pre-war intelligence? ] reported the contents of a newly declassified memo apparently passed to him by Sen. Carl Levin of Michigan, the top Democrat on the Senate Armed Services Committee. The document provides the earliest and strongest indication there were doubts about the reliability of ], an ] official in American custody, voiced by American intelligence agencies, Jehl writes. “Without mentioning him by name, President Bush, Vice President Dick Cheney, Colin L. Powell, then secretary of state, and other administration officials repeatedly cited Mr. Libi's information as 'credible' evidence that Iraq was training Al Qaeda members in the use of explosives and illicit weapons." On ], the ]'s ] describes the existence of the highly classified ] ] ] described above, informing President Bush that there was no credible evidence of collaboration between Saddam Hussein's Iraq and Al Qaeda. | |||
* ] -- '']'' publishes excerpt of counterterrorism expert ]'s new book, which cites Pakistani biographer Hamid Mir's interview with Osama bin Laden. Regarding Saddam Hussein, Mir commented that bin Laden "condemned Saddam Hussein ... He gave such kind of abuses that it was very difficult for me to write." | |||
* ] -- Doug Jehl continues to report in the New York Times on the questionable nature of al-Libi's statements regarding ties between Saddam hussein and Al Qaeda, stating that "current and former government officials" had described to him | |||
:''A classified Defense Intelligence Agency report issued in February 2002 (]) that expressed skepticism about Mr. Libi's credibility on questions related to Iraq and Al Qaeda ... based in part on the knowledge that he was no longer in American custody when he made the detailed statements, and that he might have been subjected to harsh treatment. ... They said the C.I.A.'s decision to withdraw the intelligence based on Mr. Libi's claims had been made because of his later assertions, beginning in January 2004, that he had fabricated them to obtain better treatment from his captors. ... American officials had not previously acknowledged either that Mr. Libi made the false statements in foreign custody or that Mr. Libi contended that his statements had been coerced. '' | |||
===2006=== | |||
* ] - '']'' published a report confirmed by 11 government officials confirming that documents and photographs were seized in post-war Iraq proving Saddam Hussein trained Islamic terrorists such as Ansar al-Islam. Some two million documents were obtained after the fall of Baghdad. The documents had to be prioritized and translated. The priority at the time was ]. According to columnist ], a debate inside the Bush Administration delayed release of the translated documents, which should be released later in January. One anonymous official familiar with the captured documents stated: "As much as we overestimated WMD, it appears we underestimated support for transregional terrorists." Such documents may provide evidence of more extensive contact between Saddam and ], a group whose leader considers himself the "sworn enemy" of Saddam and who claims to have no ties to ]. Experts argue that Saddam maintained some ties to this group in order to exploit it to use against their common enemy the Kurds. (See above, Summer 2001). | |||
* ] -- CNN terrorism expert ]'s book ''The Osama bin Laden I Know'' is published. ], the foreign affairs correspondent for the London '']'', noted that the book "makes clear that had no link with Saddam Hussein. On the contrary, he told his childhood friend Batarfi, 'This guy can never be trusted.'" In the book, Bergen discusses his conversations with bin Laden's Pakistani biographer Hamid Mir (see above, December 2005). Among other things, Mir tells Bergen that bin Laden cursed Saddam, calling him a "socialist motherfucker" and said "the land of the Arab world, the land is like a mother, and Saddam Hussein is fucking his mother." | |||
* ] - '']'' publishes information about recently declassified slide show presentation prepared for a secret Pentagon briefing in 2002. The topic of the briefing was links between Saddam and al-Qaeda, and the slides include previously unpublished information about allegations that Mohamed Atta met an Iraqi official in April 2001. While Delroy Murdock claimed that the slides were new evidence that the meeting might have occurred, ''Newsweek'' clearly put to rest such speculation, noting that "four former senior intel officials who monitored investigations into Atta's alleged Iraqi contacts say they never heard the airport anecdote." Another intelligence official "rejected" the anecdotal evidence. ''Newsweek'' concluded that the briefing "helped keep the tale alive" even though it had been rejected by intelligence experts. | |||
* ] - Osama bin Laden tape is released in which the terrorist leader addresses American citizens, claiming that the American invasion of Iraq has led to a situation in which "there is no difference between this criminality and Saddam's criminality." | |||
* ] -- U.S. Representative ] (R-Mich), chairman of the ], appeared on MSNBC to discuss the "]." Reports claim Saddam discusses WMD and links to terrorists on these tapes. Some 12 hours of these tapes were aired at ] conference from February 17-21. Hoekstra called for the U.S. government to put the remaining 35,000 boxes of documents on the internet so Arabic speakers around the world can help translate the documents. Attorney ], the controversial president of the Intelligence Summit, claims the tapes provide evidence that Saddam had ties to terrorists. Representative Hoekstra later said he felt the tapes were primarily of "historical interest" and cautioned, "I tried to stay away from whatever claims Loftus was making." | |||
* ] -- ''Weekly Standard'' web published a story about documents seized from the Iraqi Foreign Ministry building in the days after the fall of Baghdad. Several sourced indicated seeing a document described as "listing jihadists" in Iraq. Also found were "16 or 17 floppy disks from the personal computer of Naji Sabri" believed to be "a treasure trove" of information. These documents and disks were presumably handed over to the CIA. Since that time, none of the intelligence officers involved have seen or heard anything more about them. | |||
* ] -- ''Combating Terrorism Center'' at West Point published a study of al-Qaeda titled ''Harmony and Disharmony: Exploiting al-Qa’ida’s Organizational Vulnerabilities.'' The study was based on documents seized from al-Qaeda and recently declassified from the Harmony database. The papers offer insight into the history of the movement, organizational structure, tensions among leadership and the lessons learned. One of the papers examines the lessons learned from jihad in ]; the al-Qaeda writer concluded that one of the lessons learned from that experience is the influence of secular Baathist thinking distorts the message of jihad. This writer advises the movement no longer allow the jihad message to be influenced by the Iraqi Baath message. (Page 79) The writer called the Iraqi and Syrian Baath parties "renegades" and noted that "the alliance with them was catastrophic." He also noted that these parties had "no influence or effect on the battle field." The writer identifies Saddam's Iraq one of the "apostate regimes that abandoned Islam." Another document in the collection lists Saddam as well as Arafat and Hikmatyar among Islamic leaders who lack "manhood" and suggests that "they are useless. Beware of them." | |||
* ] -- The ] television news program '']'' airs translations of taped conversations of Saddam Hussein speaking candidly with advisers. On the ABC transcript of , Saddam is heard speaking with Deputy Prime Minister ] discussing terrorism and weapons of mass destruction. Saddam specifically mentions that he had warned the United States in 1989 (when the two countries were allies) that terrorists would eventually gain access to weapons of mass destruction. "Terrorism is coming," the Iraqi leader is translated as saying. "I told the Americans a long time before August 2 and told the British as well, I think Hamed was there keeping the meeting minutes with one of them, that in the future there will be terrorism with weapons of mass destruction. What prevents this technology from developing and people from smuggling it? All of this, before the stories of smuggling, before that, in 1989. I told them, 'In the future, what would prevent that we see a booby-trapped car causing a nuclear explosion in Washington or a germ or a chemical one?'" Saddam later adds, "This is coming, this story is coming but not from Iraq." Former U.N. inspector ], who claims that God directed him to weapons sites in Iraq, says the interpretation put on the tapes by ABC News downplayed Saddam's statements. As ABC News interpreted it, Saddam was saying Iraq itself would not launch a WMD terror attack on the U.S. "I disagree completely, because Saddam also says in other tapes that the war is ongoing," Tierney said on ''Hannity & Colmes.'' "And when I was there as an inspector, what struck me is that these people were still in the fight. There was no change of heart like you had in Germany after World War II. They were still in the fight. It makes perfect sense." Byron York in the ''National Review Online'' casts doubt on Tierney's objectivity and credibility, noting that he claims to know about Iraqi WMD thanks to messages from God and to a friend's clairvoyant dreams. York also points out: "Tierney said he believes other tapes, which have not yet been heard, will eventually reveal that Iraq was behind the 1993 bombing of the World Trade Center and the 1995 Oklahoma City bombing. Tierney also said that he believes Iraq orchestrated the 2001 anthrax attacks, with Saddam Hussein using American scientist Steven Hatfill as a 'proxy' to carry out the mission." Reporter Sherrie Gossett wrote that the excerpts of the tapes presented at the Intelligence Summit were "vague, cryptic, nonsensical, insignificant" and notes that "the most-hyped excerpts are also subject to wide-ranging interpretations." A spokeswoman for ], the Directorate of National Intelligence, noted that "Intelligence community analysts from the CIA and the DIA reviewed the translations and found that while fascinating from a historical perspective, the tapes do not reveal anything that changes their postwar analysis of Iraq's weapons programs, nor do they change the findings contained in the comprehensive Iraq Survey Group report." ABC News reporter Brian Ross commented that people on both sides of this controversy will use these tapes to support their side. | |||
* ] -- former National Intelligence Officer ] appears on the ]. Pillar tells Rose, "Iraq did provide other kinds of sponsorship to terrorist groups, some of the Palestinian groups that aren't so active anymore. They were also an active sponsor of the Mujahedin-e Khalq, an Iranian group, which killed Americans way back in the - in the '70s, but more recently has been focusing its aim at the clerical regime in Iran. But in terms of it having provided support or sustenance or strength, or having anything close to an alliance with al Qaeda, it simply wasn't there." Pillar also appeared on the ] show ] and offered the following elaboration: "Well, what was found--and this has been the pretty consistent story all along with regard to intelligence coverage of that topic--is there were various data points that were relevant to that issue, even some encounters or meetings held years ago in Sudan, other kinds of coincidences or two different names appearing in the same place. What it all added up to in the view of the judgment--in the judgment of the intelligence analysts working those particular issues was that you had two entities, one the Saddam regime and the other al-Qaeda, that were kind of feeling each other out, trying to stay aware of what they were doing, what each other was doing, but no indication of anything that could be described as a patron-client relationship or a sponsor-client relationship or an alliance. There were some of these coincidences and contacts, but that's hardly anything out of the ordinary and not something that adds up to state sponsorship." Pillar later gave an interview to ], confirming that the Administration distorted intelligence findings to try to claim the opposite: "The main thing that happened there, particularly with reference to this issue of, was there a relationship between the Saddam regime and al-Qaida -- was a selective use of bits and pieces of reporting to try to build the case that in this case there was some kind of alliance without really reflecting the analytic judgment of the intelligence community that there was not." | |||
* ] -- The Pentagon, at the request of the ], the obtained during the invasions of Iraq and Afghanistan. These documents have been hailed by some supporters of the invasion as a possible "]" connecting Saddam's Iraq to al-Qaeda terrorists and Representative Hoekstra has been calling for their release to the public; those released so far, however, fail to provide evidence of any such connection. According to Steven Aftergood of the Federation of American Scientists, the release of the documents "looks like an effort to discover a retrospective justification for the war in Iraq." The Pentagon cautions that the government "has made no determination regarding the authenticity of the documents, validity or factual accuracy of the information contained therein, or the quality of any translations, when available." , which seems to have been trumpeted by Stephen Hayes earlier in the year as proof that "thousands" of al-Qaeda terrorists were trained in Iraq between 1999 and 2002 to fight in Afghanistan, is according to the Pentagon simply an investigation of a rumor. The Pentagon synopsis of the document reads: "Fedayeen Saddam received news of a rumor that 3,000 volunteers from Iraq and Saudi Arabia had traveled to Afghanistan to fight with the Mujahideen against the US. This letter is a request to investigate the rumor to determine whether it is true." Also present in the collection is concerning suspected al-Qaeda members in Iraq. The document includes names and photographs of suspected al-Qaeda members, including Abu Musab al-Zarqawi. The Pentagon summary of the document indicates that Iraqi intelligence suspected these people to be members of al-Qaeda but provides no indication that they trained or supported them. Indeed, an ] translation of the document suggests that the letter warned Iraqi agents to "be on the lookout" for Zarqawi and other al Qaeda agents; AP reports that "Attached were three responses in which agents said there was no evidence al-Zarqawi or the other man were in Iraq." The ''Los Angeles Times'' notes that "the documents do not appear to offer any new evidence of illicit activity by Hussein, or hint at preparations for the insurgency that followed the invasion. | |||
" | |||
==9/11 Commission Report== | |||
The ] issued by the ] in July 2004 addressed the issue of a possible conspiracy between the government of Iraq and al-Qaeda in the ] attacks. The report addressed specific allegations of contacts between al-Qaeda and members of Saddam Hussein's government, concluding: "to date we have seen no evidence that these or the earlier contacts ever developed into a collaborative operational relationship. Nor have we seen evidence indicating that Iraq cooperated with al Qaeda in developing or carrying out any attacks against the United States." For specific quotations from the report, see ]. | |||
== Senate Report of Pre-war Intelligence on Iraq == | |||
Looking at pre-war intelligence on Iraq, the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence examined “the quality and quantity of U.S. intelligence on Iraqi weapons of mass destruction, ties to terrorist groups, Saddam Hussein’s threat to stability and security in the region, and his repression of his own people;” and “the objectivity, reasonableness, independence, and accuracy of the judgments reached by the Intelligence Community.” | |||
Based on the information the CIA made available to the Senate Committee, the committee published a series of conclusions in the ]. These included the following: | |||
::Conclusion 91. The Central Intelligence Agency’s (CIA) assessment that Iraq had maintained ties to several secular Palestinian terrorist groups and with the Mujahidin e-Khalq was supported by the intelligence. The CIA was also reasonable in judging that Iraq appeared to have been reaching out to more effective terrorist groups, such as Hizballah and Hamas, and might have intended to employ such surrogates in the event of war. (Page 345) | |||
::Conclusion 92. The CIA's examination of contacts, training, safehaven and operational cooperation as indicators of a possible Iraq-al-Qaida relationship was a reasonable and objective approach to the question. (Page 345) | |||
::Conclusion 93. The Central Intelligence Agency reasonably assessed that there were likely several instances of contacts between Iraq and al-Qaida throughout the 1990s, but that these contacts did not add up to an established formal relationship. (Page 346) | |||
::Conclusion 94. The CIA reasonably and objectively assessed in Iraqi Support for Terrorism that the most problematic area of contact between Iraq and al-Qaida were the reports of training in the use of non-conventional weapons, specifically chemical and biological weapons. (Page 346) | |||
::Conclusion 95. The CIA’s assessment on safehaven – that al-Qaida or associated operatives were present in Baghdad and in northeastern Iraq in an area under Kurdish control – was reasonable. (Page 347) | |||
::Conclusion 96. The CIA's assessment that to date there was no evidence proving Iraqi complicity or assistance in an al-Qaida attack was reasonable and objective. No additional information has emerged to suggest otherwise. (Page 347) | |||
::Conclusion 97. The CIA's judgment that Saddam Hussein, if sufficiently desperate, might employ terrorists with a global reach – al-Qaida – to conduct terrorist attacks in the event of war, was reasonable. No information has emerged thus far to suggest that Saddam did try to employ al-Qaida in conducting terrorist attacks. (Page 348) | |||
==Statements== | |||
<blockquote> | |||
* While speaking at the Pentagon on ] ], President ] warned of the "reckless acts of outlaw nations and an unholy axis of terrorists, drug traffickers and organized international criminals." These "predators of the twenty-first century," he said "will be all the more lethal if we allow them to build arsenals of nuclear, chemical and biological weapons and missiles to deliver them. We simply cannot allow that to happen. There is no more clear example of this threat than Saddam Hussein's Iraq." | |||
*"Al-Qaeda reached an understanding with the government of Iraq that al-Qaeda would not work against that government and that on particular projects, specifically including weapons development, al-Qaeda would work cooperatively with the government of Iraq." -- ], U.S. attorney in an indictment of Osama bin Laden, unsealed ] ] (Page 128) | |||
*"We do have solid evidence of the presence in Iraq of al-Qaeda members, including some that have been in Baghdad," -- Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld, September 2002 | |||
*"We have solid reporting of senior-level contacts between Iraq and al Qaeda going back a decade. ... We have credible reporting that al-Qaeda leaders sought contacts in Iraq who could help them acquire WMD capabilities." -- CIA Director George J. Tenet, October 2002 | |||
*"We could find no provable connection between Hussein and al-Qaeda." Senior CIA official, summing up conclusions of a 2003 report by the Directorate of Intelligence, ] ]. | |||
*"There is no doubt in my mind that trained them in how to prepare and deliver anthrax and to use terror weapons." -- Former Navy Secretary ], after reading classified intelligence as a member of the congressional commission investigating the ] attacks | |||
*"There's absolutely no evidence that Iraq was supporting al-Qaeda, ever" -- ], former counterterrorism official under George W. Bush and Bill Clinton, ] ] | |||
*"The al-Shifa facility had been under surveillance for some time because of a variety of intelligence reports, including HUMINT reports identifying it as a WMD-related facility, indirect links between the facility and bin Laden and the Iraqi chemical weapons program, and extraordinary security – including surface-to-air missiles – used to protect it during its construction. The direct physical evidence from the scene obtained at that time convinced the U.S. intelligence community that their suspicions were correct about the facility’s chemical weapons role and that there was a risk of chemical agents getting into the hands of al-Qaeda, whose interest in obtaining such weapons was clear." ], former Secretary of defense in a sworn statement to the 9/11 Commission, ] ] (Page 9) | |||
*Interviewer, ] ]: "Do you believe that there is a link between Saddam Hussein, a direct link, and the men who attacked on September the 11th?" ]: "I can't make that claim." | |||
*"What I have said, however, to the liaison committee, and this is backed up by the evidence we have from intelligence, submitted to me by the joint intelligence committee, is that, yes, on the one hand, we do not know of a link between Iraq and the ] attack. But on the other hand there are unquestionably links between al-Qaida and Iraq. Just how far those links go is a matter of speculation. This isn't a static situation. It is changing. We are getting fresh intelligence in the entire time." ], ] ] | |||
*"The reason I keep insisting that there was a relationship between Iraq and Saddam and al-Qaeda: because there was a relationship between Iraq and al-Qaeda. ... There's numerous contacts between the two" -- President George W. Bush, ] ] | |||
*"In my judgment, Saddam assessed Osama bin Laden and al-Qaeda as a threat rather than a potential partner to be exploited to attack the United States. Bin Laden wanted to attack Iraq after it invaded Kuwait in 1990 rather than have the Saudi government depend on foreign military forces." ] CIA counterterrorism analyst who specialized in Iraq during the George H. W, Bush administration <ref>''Boston Globe'' (] ])</ref>. | |||
*Stephen Hayes's book, titled "The Connection", details this alleged link and is entirely based upon a report by the Undersecretary of Defense, Douglas Feith - which has since been characterized by the Pentagon as 'inaccurate'. It "is a listing of a mass of unconfirmed reports, many of which themselves indicate that the two groups continued to try to establish some sort of relationship. If they had such a productive relationship, why did they have to keep trying?" W. Patrick Lang, former head of the Middle East section of ] . | |||
*An article in the Times Online quotes a recently-leaked 'Top Secret' UK government memo: ''marked "SECRET AND STRICTLY PERSONAL," dated eight months before Bush sent us into Iraq, following a closed meeting with the President, reads, "C {(head of MI6, Sir Richard Dearlove) states that} military action was now seen as inevitable. Bush wanted to remove Saddam through military action justified by the conjunction of terrorism and WDM. But the intelligence and facts were being fixed around the policy."'' | |||
*''"In 125 separate appearances, they (Bush, Cheney, Powell, Rumsfeld and Rice) made {...} 61 misleading statements about Iraq's relationship with al-Qaeda"'' -- Report by the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Government Reform - Minority Staff | |||
*''"We owe it to the memories of those who lost their lives September 11 to remember, to reflect, and bring justice to those responsible. | |||
:''"We also have a similar obligation not to use the events of 9/11, and the great loss which so many endured, as a pretext for launching a war against Iraq. | |||
:''"Iraq was not responsible for 9/11. | |||
:''"Iraq has not been linked to 9/11. | |||
:''"Yet here we are on the anniversary of that grim day, and the Administration is attempting to reframe 9/11 by beating the drum for war against a nation not connected to 9/11."'' -- ], Washington, ] ] | |||
*''"Saddam Hussein and people like him were very much involved in 9/11."'' - ] Representative ], Republican, vice-chairman of the ], interviewed on ], ], ] | |||
:Carol Costello:''"But there is no evidence that Saddam Hussein was connected in any way to al-Qaida." | |||
:Hayes: ''"Ma'am, I'm sorry, but you're mistaken. There's evidence everywhere. We get access to it. Unfortunately others don't. But the evidence is very clear." | |||
:Costello: ''"What evidence is there?" | |||
:Hayes: ''"The connection between individuals who were connected to Saddam Hussein, folks who worked for him, we've seen it time and time again." | |||
:Costello: ''"Well, are you saying that Saddam Hussein had something to do with 9/11?" | |||
:Hayes: ''"I'm saying that Saddam Hussein -- and I think you're losing track of what we're trying to talk about here -- Saddam Hussein and people like him were very much involved in 9/11." | |||
:Costello: ''" no evidence ." | |||
:Hayes: ''"Well, I'm sorry, you haven't looked in the right places." | |||
:''"I haven't seen compelling evidence of that"'' -], asked about Hayes' statements | |||
:''"I think it undermines the confidence of the American people. I think it shows a contempt for the American people. Unless Robin is going to some tippy-top secret briefing, I'm not sure what Robin’s source of information is."'' - North Carolina Representative ], Democrat | |||
:''"Extensive research reveals that the facts are clear - Saddam Hussein and Iraq had nothing whatsoever to do with the terrorists' attacks."'' - North Carolina Representative ], Democrat, who serves with Hayes on the ] | |||
*"I have not seen one.... I have never seen any evidence to suggest there was one." Colin Powell, when asked whether there had been a "connection between Saddam Hussein and the terrorist attack of 9/11".<ref>] interview, ] ]</ref> | |||
<!-- video available at http://movies.crooksandliars.com/20-20-Colin-Powell.mov --> | |||
* "The Iraqi secret services had links to these groups through a person called Faruq Hajizi, later named Iraq's ambassador to Turkey and arrested after the fall of Saddam's regime as he tried to re-enter Iraq. Iraqi secret agents helped terrorists enter the country and directed them to the Ansar al-Islam camps in the Halbija area." Former Iraqi Prime Minister Iyad Allawi, May 23rd, 2005 | |||
*"There was a relationship between Iraq and al-Qaida. This administration never said that the 9-11 attacks were orchestrated between Saddam and al-Qaida. We did say there were numerous contacts between Saddam Hussein and al-Qaida, for example, Iraqi intelligence agents met with (Osama) bin Laden, the head of al-Qaida in Sudan." President George W. Bush, June 17th, 2005 | |||
*"There was no question in our minds that there was a relationship between Iraq and al Qaeda. We have found no relationship whatever between Iraq and 9/11." Thomas Kean, chairman of the 9/11 Commission, July 22nd 2004 | |||
* "There were contacts between Iraq and al-Qa'eda, a number of them, some of them a little shadowy. They were definitely there." Thomas Kean, July 22nd 2004 | |||
* "To my knowledge, I have not seen any strong, hard evidence that links the two." --Donald Rumsfeld, October 2004, referring to Saddam Hussein and al-Qaeda. | |||
</blockquote> | |||
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==Notes== | |||
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==Sources== | |||
* by Sheila MacVicar on RealOne Player | |||
* - Jane's Foreign Report, September 19, 2001 | |||
* by Daniel Benjamin, ''New York Times'' September 30, 2002 | |||
* by Jeffrey Goldberg, February 3, 2003 | |||
* by Mitch Potter, ''Toronto Star,'' April 28, 2003 | |||
* by Richard Miniter, September 23, 2003 | |||
* by Stephen F. Hayes, November 17, 2003 | |||
* Michael Isikoff and Mark Hosenball ''MSNBC'', November 19, 2003 | |||
* by Rowan Scarborough ''Washington Times,'' December 1, 2003 | |||
* ''Daily Telegraph'', December 14, 2003 | |||
* Dept. of Defense, December 15, 2003 | |||
* ''MSNBC'', December 19, 2003 | |||
* by Stephen F. Hayes, December 29, 2003 | |||
* Congressional Research Service, February 5, 2004 | |||
* (U.S. House of Representatives, Committee on Gov't Reform - Minority Staff, Rep. Henry Waxman (D-CA)), March 16, 2004 | |||
* by Stephen F. Hayes, June 7, 2004 | |||
* ''MSNBC'' June 16, 2004 | |||
* by Walter Pincus and Dana Milbank, ''Washington Post'' June 17, 2004, p. A1 | |||
* Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, July 7, 2004 | |||
* , Robert S. Leiken, November 2004 | |||
* By Andrew C. McCarthy, June 29, 2005 | |||
* By Stephen F Hayes, July 18, 2005 | |||
* by Stephen F. Hayes, ''Weekly Standard'', January 16, 2006 | |||
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Latest revision as of 15:22, 21 December 2024
Conspiracy theory originating from the US This article is about issues concerning allegations of pre-invasion links between Iraq and al-Qaeda. For the al-Qaeda presence involved during the Iraqi insurgency, see Al-Qaeda in Iraq. Saddam Hussein, fifth president of IraqOsama bin Laden, first leader of the militant group al-Qaeda
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The Saddam Hussein and al-Qaeda link allegations were based on false claims by the United States government alleging that a secretive relationship existed between Iraqi president Saddam Hussein and the Sunni pan-Islamist militant organization al-Qaeda between 1992 and 2003. U.S. president George W. Bush used it as a main reason for invading Iraq in 2003.
The conspiracy theory dates after the Gulf War in 1991, when Iraqi Intelligence Service officers met al-Qaeda members in 1992. After the September 11 attacks in 2001, the conspiracy theory gained worldwide attention. The consensus of intelligence experts, backed up by reports from the 9/11 Commission, United States Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, and declassified United States Department of Defense reports, was that these contacts never led to a relationship between Saddam Hussein and al-Qaeda. Critics of Bush have said that he was intentionally building a case for war with Iraq with no regard for factual evidence.
Background
See also: Timeline of Saddam Hussein and al-Qaeda link allegationsDuring the lead-up to the Iraq War, questions were raised about a possible connection between Saddam Hussein's government and al-Qaeda. One question was whether the Iraqi regime and al-Qaeda had a cooperative relationship.
Although some contacts between agents of Saddam's government and members of al-Qaeda have been alleged, the consensus of experts and analysts is that those contacts never led to an formal relationship. The Senate Select Committee on Intelligence concluded that there was only one encounter between representatives of the Baathist regime and representatives of al-Qaeda. This meeting took place in Sudan in 1995, and the Iraqi representative (who is in custody and has been cooperating with investigators) said that after the meeting he "received word from his IIS chain-of-command that he should not see bin Laden again." The panel found evidence of only two other instances in which there was any communication between Saddam's regime and al-Qaeda members. On the other two occasions, the Committee concluded, Saddam rebuffed meeting requests from an al-Qaeda operative. The intelligence community has not found other evidence of meetings between al-Qaeda and Iraq.
On the more specific question of whether Saddam was behind the attacks of September 11, 2001, the consensus is that there is no credible evidence of his government's involvement. The US intelligence community (CIA, NSA, and DIA) view, confirmed by the conclusions of the 9/11 Commission Report and the Senate Report on Iraqi WMD Intelligence, is that there was no cooperative effort between the two and Saddam did not support the 9/11 attacks; it was considered that the difference in ideology between Saddam and al-Qaeda made cooperation in any terrorist attacks unlikely. The Senate report discussed the possibility of Saddam offering al-Qaeda training and safe haven, but confirmed the CIA's conclusion that there was no evidence of operational cooperation between the two. By March 20, 2006, President George W. Bush made clear that his administration did not have evidence to prove that Saddam played a role in the attacks.
History of claims
After the September 11 attacks
Main article: Aftermath of the September 11 attacksThe Bush administration sought to link the Iraqi president to Islamist radicals early in the aftermath of the September 11 attacks. President Bush allegedly made the case to Tony Blair as early as September 14, 2001, although Blair urged him not to pursue the claim.
Dick Cheney's allegations
Main article: Mohamed Atta's alleged Prague connectionVice President Dick Cheney said during a Meet the Press appearance on December 9, 2001, that Iraq was harboring Abdul Rahman Yasin, a suspect in the 1993 World Trade Center bombing. Cheney repeated the claim in another appearance on September 14, 2003:
We learned more and more that there was a relationship between Iraq and al-Qaida that stretched back through most of the decade of the '90s, that it involved training, for example, on BW and CW, that al-Qaida sent personnel to Baghdad to get trained on the systems that are involved. The Iraqis providing bomb-making expertise and advice to the al-Qaida organization. We know, for example, in connection with the original World Trade Center bombing in '93 that one of the bombers was Iraqi, returned to Iraq after the attack of '93. And we've learned subsequent to that, since we went into Baghdad and got into the intelligence files, that this individual probably also received financing from the Iraqi government as well as safe haven.
Cheney said in a January 2004 interview with National Public Radio there was "overwhelming evidence" of a relationship between Saddam and al-Qaeda based on purported evidence, including Iraq's alleged harboring of Yasin.
In the 2001 and 2003 Meet the Press interviews, Cheney also reported that Czech Interior Minister Stanislav Gross said that an Iraqi intelligence officer met with 9/11 hijacker Mohamed Atta in Prague five months before the attacks; in the 2003 interview, he said that "we've never been able to develop any more of that yet either in terms of confirming it or discrediting it. We just don't know." In 2006, Cheney acknowledged that the notion "that the meeting ever took place" had been "pretty well knocked down now."
Intelligence community claims and doubts
In the initial stages of the war on terror, the Central Intelligence Agency under George Tenet was rising to prominence as the lead agency in the Afghan war. When Tenet insisted in his personal meetings with President Bush that there was no connection between al-Qaeda and Iraq, however, Dick Cheney and Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld initiated a secret program to re-examine the evidence and marginalize the CIA and Tenet. The questionable intelligence acquired by this secret program was "stovepiped" to the vice president and presented to the public. Cheney's office would sometimes leak the intelligence to reporters, where it would be reported by outlets such as The New York Times. Cheney would subsequently appear on the Sunday political television talk shows to discuss the intelligence, citing the Times to give it credence.
The prewar CIA testimony was that there was evidence of senior-level contacts between Iraq and al-Qaeda going back a decade, with Iraq providing al-Qaeda training (combat, bomb-making, and CBRN:chemical, biological, radiological and nuclear), but they had no credible information that Baghdad had foreknowledge of the 11 September attacks or any other al-Qaeda strike. The CIA's report on Iraq's ties to terrorism noted in September 2002 that the CIA did not have "credible intelligence reporting" of operational collaboration between Iraq and al-Qaeda. According to the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, the CIA reported that "al-Qaida, including Bin Ladin personally, and Saddam were leery of close cooperation," but the "mutual antipathy of the two would not prevent tactical, limited cooperation." (p. 338) The current expert consensus is that although members of Saddam's intelligence service may have met with al-Qaeda terrorists over the last decade or so, there was no evidence that Iraq and al-Qaeda were linked operationally. It is now known that the main source for the CIA's claim that Iraq had trained al-Qaeda members in bomb-making, poisons and gases included the now-recanted claims of captured al-Qaeda leader Ibn al-Shaykh al-Libi. The CIA has since recalled and reissued its intelligence reporting about al-Libi's recanted claims. The DIA communicated to President Bush in February 2002 its stance that al-Libi "was intentionally misleading his debriefers."
9/11 Commission conclusions
Main article: 9/11 Commission ReportIn its report, the 9/11 Commission said that Osama bin Laden sponsored anti-Saddam Islamists in Iraqi Kurdistan and sought to attract them to his Islamic army. Those forces primarily operated in areas not under Saddam's control. To protect his ties with Iraq, Sudanese Islamic leader Hassan al-Turabi brokered an agreement with bin Laden to stop supporting activities against Saddam. Bin Laden seemed to honor this agreement for a time, although he continued to aid Islamic extremists in Kurdistan. During the late 1990s, these extremist groups were defeated by Kurdish forces. In 2001, the extremist groups (with help from Bin Laden) re-formed as Ansar al-Islam. Indications exist that by then, the Iraqi regime tolerated (and may have helped) Ansar al-Islam against their common Kurdish enemy.
The commission concluded that "to date we have seen no evidence that these or the earlier contacts ever developed into a collaborative operational relationship," however, and did not find proof "indicating that Iraq cooperated with al-Qaeda in developing or carrying out any attacks against the United States." This conclusion is consistent with the findings of investigations of specific aspects of the Saddam Hussein-al-Qaeda relationship, including those conducted by the Central Intelligence Agency, Defense Intelligence Agency, Federal Bureau of Investigation, and National Security Council. The Senate Report on Iraqi WMD Intelligence also reviewed the intelligence community's conclusions, and found them justifiable.
Operation Iraqi Freedom documents
Main article: Operation Iraqi Freedom documentsThe U.S. government released "Operation Iraqi Freedom documents", about which the Pentagon said that it had made "no determination regarding the authenticity of the documents, validity or factual accuracy." Claims have been made that information in some of the documents suggests that Saddam and al-Qaeda may have been willing to work together. 9/11 Commission member Bob Kerrey looked at some of the documents and "was careful to say that new documents translated last night by ABC News did not prove Saddam Hussein played a role in any way in plotting the attacks of September 11, 2001." However, Kerrey said that one document suggests that "Saddam was a significant enemy of the United States."
The Office of the Director of National Intelligence looked at the documents and said that "amateur translators won't find any major surprises, such as proof Hussein hid stockpiles of chemical weapons." The Pentagon also examined the documents and released an official study which did not report on any evidence linking Saddam to al-Qaeda. The 2006 Senate Select Committee on Intelligence concluded that "additional reviews of documents recovered in Iraq are unlikely to provide information that would contradict the Committee's findings or conclusions." Intelligence expert Steven Aftergood said that the release of the documents was being used as an opportunity to find "a retrospective justification for the war in Iraq."
Bush administration retraction
On March 21, 2006, Bush sought to distance himself from the allegation of any link: "First, just if I might correct a misperception, I don't think we ever said—at least I know I didn't say that there was a direct connection between September the 11th and Saddam Hussein." Bush reaffirmed the White House position in stronger terms in a press conference on August 21 of that year. Ken Herman of Cox News asked, "What did Iraq have to do with ... the attack on the World Trade Center?" Bush replied, "Nothing", and added: "Nobody has ever suggested that the attacks of September the 11th were ordered by Iraq."
Opponents of Bush's Iraq policy called his statement inconsistent with his letter to Congress of March 21, 2003. A minority (Democratic) staff report by the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Government Reform said that "in 125 separate appearances, they made ... 61 misleading statements about Iraq's relationship with al-Qaeda."
American public opinion
Main articles: Public opinion in the United States on the invasion of Iraq and Media coverage of the Iraq WarPolls have indicated that many Americans continued to believe that Saddam was linked to al-Qaeda, although the number who do so has slowly declined. The discrepancy has been attributed to the way the U.S. mainstream media presented facts and opinion about the war on terror.
Skepticism
Conflicting goals and ideologies
Saddam Hussein was a Ba'athist, and Ba'athism combines pan-Arab nationalism with Arab socialism. The ideological founder of Ba'athism, Michel Aflaq, was a Christian. The movement is at odds with political Islam, with which Saddam had been in conflict; Saddam exiled Ayatollah Khomeini to France when the ayatollah attempted to incite the Iraqi Shia to overthrow him when Khomeini was in exile in Najaf, which was a catalyst for the Iranian Revolution and the resulting Iran-Iraq war. Khomeini pitted Saddam against Islamic radicalism; Saddam's people were inspired by the Iranian Revolution and eight years of "holy war" against Iranians who used suicide tactics. This wreaked havoc on the Iraqi armed forces, who solved the problem with chemical weapons.
During the Lebanese Civil War, Saddam supported Michel Aoun and the Christian Maronites instead of the Amal Movement or Hezbollah, which were funded by Iran and most other Arab countries. When Iraq invaded Kuwait in August 1990, Osama bin Laden offered to defend Saudi Arabia by sending mujahideen from Afghanistan to repel Saddam's forces. After the Gulf War, bin Laden continued to criticize Saddam's Ba'ath administration and emphasized that Saddam could not be trusted. Bin Laden told his biographer that "the land of the Arab world, the land is like a mother, and Saddam Hussein is fucking his mother." Saddam abolished sharia courts in Iraq, cracked down on Islamist movements (responding with mass executions and torture when he felt threatened by them), promoted Western ideals of society and law, and usually retained secular Sunnis, Shias and Christians in his government.
Robert Pape's study of suicide terrorism found that "al-Qaeda's transnational suicide terrorists have come overwhelmingly from America's closest allies in the Muslim world and not at all from the Muslim regimes that the U.S. State Department considers 'state sponsors of terrorism'." Pape notes that no al-Qaeda suicide attackers came from Iraq. Daniel Byman's study of state sponsorship of terrorism also did not list Iraq as a significant state sponsor and called the al-Qaeda connection "a rationale that before the war was strained and after it seems an ever-weaker reed." Counterterrorism experts Rohan Gunaratna, Bruce Hoffman and Daniel Benjamin and journalists Peter Bergen and Jason Burke (both of whom have written extensively about al-Qaeda) have found no evidence of a collaborative relationship between Saddam Hussein and al-Qaeda. This conclusion agrees with investigations by the National Security Council, the Central Intelligence Agency, Federal Bureau of Investigation, and the 9/11 Commission. The Senate Select Committee on Intelligence reviewed the CIA investigation, and found that the agency's conclusion that there was no evidence of operational collaboration was justified.
Although Saddam was not involved in the September 11 attacks, members of his government had contacts with al-Qaeda; however, the links are not considered by experts and analysts as convincing evidence of a collaborative, operational relationship. Former counterterrorism czar Richard A. Clarke writes,
The simple fact is that lots of people, particularly in the Middle East, pass along many rumors and they end up being recorded and filed by U.S. intelligence agencies in raw reports. That does not make them "intelligence". Intelligence involves analysis of raw reports, not merely their enumeration or weighing them by the pound. Analysis, in turn, involves finding independent means of corroborating the reports. Did al-Qaeda agents ever talk to Iraqi agents? I would be startled if they had not. I would also be startled if American, Israeli, Iranian, British, or Jordanian agents had somehow failed to talk to al-Qaeda or Iraqi agents. Talking to each other is what intelligence agents do, often under assumed identities or "false flags", looking for information or possible defectors.
Larry Wilkerson, former chief of staff for Secretary of State Colin Powell, told the Voice of America that
... Saddam Hussein had his agenda and al-Qaida had its agenda, and those two agendas were incompatible. And so if there was any contact between them, it was a contact that was rebuffed rather than a contact that led to meaningful relationships between them.
Lack of evidence
An alleged meeting in Prague between Mohammed Atta and an Iraqi intelligence officer about which Vice President Cheney said that "we've never been able to develop any more of that yet either in terms of confirming it or discrediting it" was dismissed by CIA Director George Tenet, who told the Senate Intelligence Committee in February 2004 that there was no evidence to support the meeting. The FBI had evidence that Atta was in Florida at the time and taking aircraft flight training; the Iraqi officer in question, Ahmed Khalil Ibrahim Samir al Ani, was captured and said that he had never met Atta.
Cheney's repeated accusation that Iraq harbored Abdul Rahman Yasin, one of the perpetrators of the 1993 World Trade Center bombing, conflicts with Iraq's 1998 offer to the FBI of extradition for Yasin in return for a statement clearing Iraq of any responsibility for the attack. Although the CIA and FBI had concluded that Iraq played no role in the attack, the Clinton administration refused the offer. Iraq also offered to extradite Yasin in 2001, after the 9/11 attacks. In June 2002, an unnamed U.S. intelligence official told 60 Minutes that Iraq had attached "extreme conditions" to Yasin's extradition. According to the official, the Iraqis wanted the U.S. to sign a document detailing Yasin's whereabouts since 1993 but the U.S. disagreed with their version of the facts. Yasin cooperated with the FBI and was released, which the bureau later called a "mistake." The CIA and FBI concluded in 1995 and 1996 that "the Iraqi government was in no way involved in the attack", and counterterrorism czar Richard Clarke called the allegations "absolutely without foundation" in 2004. The Iraqis made another offer to the Bush administration in 2003, which was also declined.
Al-Qaeda did not have any relationship with Saddam Hussein or his regime. We had to draw up a plan to enter Iraq through the north that was not under the control of his regime. We would then spread south to the areas of our fraternal Sunni brothers. The fraternal brothers of the Ansar al-Islam expressed their willingness to offer assistance to help us achieve this goal.
— Saif al-Adel
Former National Security Council counterterrorism directors Daniel Benjamin and Steven Simon summarized the problem with the Bush administration's view in the eyes of the intelligence community: "The administration pressed its case for war most emphatically by arguing that U.S. national security was imperiled by Saddam's ties to al-Qaeda. The argument had the obvious virtue of playing to the public's desire to see the war on terrorism prosecuted aggressively and conclusively. Yet, scant proof of these links was presented. The record showed a small number of contacts between jihadists and Iraqi officials. This was treated as the tip of an unseen iceberg of cooperation, even though it fell far short of anything that resembled significant cooperation in the eyes of the counterterrorism community—as it always had. No persuasive proof was given of money, weaponry, or training being provided." Former Chief of Staff to Secretary of State Colin Powell Lawrence B. Wilkerson said, "s the administration authorized harsh interrogation in April and May 2002—well before the Justice Department had rendered any legal opinion—its principal priority for intelligence was not aimed at pre-empting another terrorist attack on the U.S. but discovering a smoking gun linking Iraq and al-Qa'ida."
Background
Saddam invoked religion shortly before the 1990 Iraqi invasion of Kuwait (possibly to bolster his government), adding the words "God is Great" in Arabic to the flag and referring to God in his speeches. He began the Faith Campaign in 1994, which included the construction and repair of mosques, the closure of night clubs, and changes to the law which restricted alcohol consumption.
Some sources allege that several meetings between top Iraqi operatives and bin Laden took place. These claims have been disputed by other sources, including most of the original intelligence agencies that investigated the allegations. Many in the intelligence community are skeptical about whether such meetings, if they took place at all, resulted in any meaningful relationship. Many of the claims of collaboration seem to have originated with associates of the Iraqi National Congress, whose credibility has been questioned and who have been accused of manipulating evidence to lure the United States into war on false pretenses. Raw intelligence reports also reached public awareness through the leaking of a memo from Undersecretary of Defense for Policy Douglas J. Feith to the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, the conclusions of which have been disputed by intelligence agencies which include the CIA. Feith's view of the relationship between Saddam and Osama differed from the official view of the intelligence community, and the memo was leaked to the media. The Pentagon issued a statement that the memo was "a classified annex containing a list and description of the requested reports, so that the committee could obtain the reports from the relevant members of the intelligence community ... The classified annex was not an analysis of the substantive issue of the relationship between Iraq and al Qaeda, and it drew no conclusions." It added, "Individuals who leak or purport to leak classified information are doing serious harm to national security; such activity is deplorable and may be illegal." Former DIA Middle East section head W. Patrick Lang told the Washington Post that the Weekly Standard article, which published Feith's memo, "is a listing of a mass of unconfirmed reports, many of which themselves indicate that the two groups continued to try to establish some sort of relationship. If they had such a productive relationship, why did they have to keep trying?" According to the Post, "another former senior intelligence official said the memo is not an intelligence product but rather 'data points ... among the millions of holdings of the intelligence agencies, many of which are simply not thought likely to be true.'"
It has been suggested that an understanding was reached between Iraq and al-Qaeda that al-Qaeda would not act against Saddam in exchange for Iraqi support (primarily in the form of training), but no evidence of such an understanding has been produced. Mohamed Atta allegedly met with an Iraqi intelligence operative in Prague, but intelligence officials have concluded that no such meeting took place. A training camp in Salman Pak (south of Baghdad) was said by a number of defectors to have been used to train international terrorists (assumed to be al-Qaeda members) in hijacking techniques, using a real airplane as a prop. The defectors were inconsistent about a number of details; the camp has been examined by U.S. Marines, and intelligence analysts do not believe that it was used by al-Qaeda. Some analysts believe that it was used for counterterrorism training, and others believe it was used to train foreign fighters overtly allied with Iraq. The Senate Select Committee on Intelligence concluded, "Postwar findings support the April 2002 Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) assessment that there was no credible reporting on al-Qa'ida training at Salman Pak or anywhere else in Iraq. There have been no credible reports since the war that Iraq trained al-Qa'ida operatives at Salman Pak to conduct or support transnational terrorist operations."
In November 2001, a month after the September 11 attacks, Mubarak al-Duri was contacted by Sudanese intelligence services who told him that the FBI had sent Jack Cloonan and several other agents to speak with a number of people known to have ties to bin Laden. Al-Duri and another Iraqi colleague agreed to meet with Cloonan in a safe house overseen by the intelligence service. They laughed when asked about any connection between Saddam Hussein and al-Qaeda, saying that bin Laden hated the dictator whom he considered a "Scotch-drinking, woman-chasing apostate."
Timeline
Main article: Timeline of Saddam Hussein and al-Qaeda link allegationsMuch evidence of alleged links between Iraq and al-Qaeda is based on speculation about meetings which might have taken place between Iraqi officials and al-Qaeda members; the idea that a meeting could have occurred has been interpreted as evidence of collaboration. According to terrorism analyst Evan Kohlman, "While there have been a number of promising intelligence leads hinting at possible meetings between al-Qaeda members and elements of the former Baghdad regime, nothing has been yet shown demonstrating that these potential contacts were historically any more significant than the same level of communication maintained between Osama bin Laden and ruling elements in a number of Iraq's Persian Gulf neighbors, including Saudi Arabia, Iran, Yemen, Qatar, and Kuwait."
Colin Powell's address to the U.N. Security Council
On February 5, 2003, Secretary of State Colin Powell addressed the U.N. Security Council on the issue of Iraq. In his speech, Powell made several claims about Iraq's ties to terrorism. He acknowledged in January 2004 that the speech presented no hard evidence of collaboration between Saddam and al-Qaeda, and told reporters at a State Department press conference that "I have not seen smoking gun, concrete evidence about the connection, but I do believe the connections existed." After Powell left office, he acknowledged that he was skeptical about the evidence presented to him for the speech. He told Barbara Walters in an interview that he considered the speech a "blot" on his record, and feels "terrible" about assertions he made in the speech which turned out to be false: "There were some people in the intelligence community who knew at that time that some of these sources were not good, and shouldn't be relied upon, and they didn't speak up. That devastated me." Asked about a Saddam-al-Qaeda connection, Powell answered: "I have never seen a connection ... I can't think otherwise because I'd never seen evidence to suggest there was one."
The main claims in Powell's speech—that Jordanian terrorist Abu Musab al-Zarqawi was a link between Saddam Hussein and al-Qaeda, and that Saddam's government provided training and assistance to al-Qaeda terrorists in Baghdad—have been disputed by the intelligence community and terrorism experts. The CIA released an August 2004 report which concluded that there was "no conclusive evidence that the regime harbored Osama bin Laden associate Abu Musab Al-Zarqawi." A U.S. official told Reuters that "the report did not make any final judgments or come to any definitive conclusions: "To suggest the case is closed on this would not be correct." Zarqawi reportedly entered Iraq from Iran, infiltrating the Kurdish north because it was the one part of the country not under Saddam's control. Intelligence experts say that Zarqawi had few ties to Osama bin Laden, noting that he was a rival (not an affiliate) of al-Qaeda. A former Israeli intelligence official described the meeting between Zarqawi and bin Laden as "loathing at first sight." The other major claims in the speech are attributed by Powell to "an al-Qaeda source." Karen DeYoung wrote, "A year after the invasion, the acknowledged that the information had come from a single source who had been branded a liar by U.S. intelligence officials long before Powell's presentation." The source was captured al-Qaeda leader Ibn al-Shaykh al-Libi, who was handed over to Egypt for interrogation. According to The New York Times, al-Libi provided some accurate intelligence on al Qaeda and made some statements about Iraq and al Qaeda while in American custody; after he was handed over to Egypt, he made more-specific assertions about Iraq training al-Qaeda members in biological- and chemical-weapons use. A February 2002 DIA report expressed skepticism about al-Libi's claims, noting that he may have been subjected to harsh treatment in Egyptian custody. In February 2004, the CIA reissued al-Libi's debriefing reports to note that he had recanted information. A government official told the New York Times that al-Libi's claims of harsh treatment had not been corroborated; the CIA has refused to comment on al-Libi's case since much of its information remains classified, but current and former government officials agreed to discuss the case on condition of anonymity. Two U.S. counterterrorism officials told Newsweek that they believed the information Powell cited about al-Iraqi came from al-Libi. A CIA officer told the United States Senate Select Committee on Intelligence that although the CIA believes al-Libi fabricated information, the agency could not determine whether – or what portions of – the original statements or later recantations are true of false. The Senate report concluded, "The Intelligence Community has found no postwar information to indicate that Iraq provided CBW training to al-Qa'ida."
Investigations and reports
Several investigations by U.S. intelligence agencies, foreign intelligence agencies, and independent investigative bodies have examined aspects of alleged links between Saddam Hussein and al-Qaeda. Every investigation has concluded that the data examined did not provide compelling evidence of a cooperative relationship between the two entities. On April 29, 2007, former Director of Central Intelligence George Tenet said on 60 Minutes, "We could never verify that there was any Iraqi authority, direction and control, complicity with al-Qaeda for 9/11 or any operational act against America, period."
1993 WTC investigations
After the 1993 World Trade Center bombing, there were several investigations of possible collaboration between Saddam Hussein and the terrorists who attacked the building. Neil Herman, who headed the FBI investigation of the attack, noted that there was no evidence of Iraqi support for the attack despite Yasin's presence in Baghdad. "We looked at that rather extensively," he told CNN terrorism expert Peter Bergen. "There were no ties to the Iraqi government." Bergen wrote, "In sum, by the mid-'90s, the Joint Terrorism Task Force in New York, the F.B.I., the U.S. Attorney's office in the Southern District of New York, the C.I.A., the N.S.C., and the State Department had all found no evidence implicating the Iraqi government in the first Trade Center attack."
1998 National Security Council exercise
Daniel Benjamin, who headed the United States National Security Council's counterterrorism division, led a 1998 exercise to analyze the CIA's contention that Iraq and al-Qaeda would not collaborate. "This was a red-team effort," Benjamin said. "We looked at this as an opportunity to disprove the conventional wisdom, and basically we came to the conclusion that the CIA had this one right." He later told The Boston Globe, "No one disputes that there have been contacts over the years. In that part of the America-hating universe, contacts happen. But that's still a long way from suggesting that they were really working together."
2001 President's Daily Brief
Ten days after the September 11 attacks, President Bush received a classified President's Daily Brief (prepared at his request) indicating that the U.S. intelligence community had no evidence linking Saddam Hussein to the attacks and there was "scant credible evidence that Iraq had any significant collaborative ties with Al Qaeda." The PDB wrote off the few contacts that existed between Saddam's government and al-Qaeda as attempts to monitor the group, not work with it. According to National Journal, "Much of the contents of the PDB were later incorporated, albeit in a slightly different form, into a lengthier CIA analysis examining not only Al Qaeda's contacts with Iraq, but also Iraq's support for international terrorism." This PDB was one of the documents the Bush administration refused to turn over to the Senate Report of Pre-war Intelligence on Iraq, even on a classified basis, and refused to discuss other than acknowledging its existence.
2001-02 Atta in Prague investigations
Main article: Mohamed Atta's alleged Prague connectionAfter 9/11 hijacker Mohamed Atta was allegedly seen in Prague in 2001 meeting with an Iraqi diplomat, a number of investigations analyzed the possible meeting. They concluded that all known evidence suggested that such a meeting was unlikely at best. According to the January 2003 CIA report "Iraqi Support for Terrorism", "he most reliable reporting to date casts doubt on this possibility" (a meeting). CIA director George Tenet released "the most complete public assessment by the agency on the issue" in a statement to the Senate Armed Services Committee in July 2004, saying that the agency was "increasingly skeptical" that any such meeting took place. CIA deputy director John McLaughlin described the extent of the agency's investigation into the claim: "Well, on something like the Atta meeting in Prague, we went over that every which way from Sunday. We looked at it from every conceivable angle. We peeled open the source, examined the chain of acquisition. We looked at photographs. We looked at timetables. We looked at who was where and when. It is wrong to say that we didn't look at it. In fact, we looked at it with extraordinary care and intensity and fidelity." A New York Times investigation which included "extensive interviews with leading Czech figures" reported that Czech officials had backed off the claim.
The FBI and the Czech police chief investigated the issue and reached similar conclusions; FBI director Robert Mueller noted that the bureau's investigation "ran down literally hundreds of thousands of leads and checked every record we could get our hands on, from flight reservations to car rentals to bank accounts." The 9/11 Commission investigation, which examined the FBI and Czech intelligence investigations, concluded that "o evidence has been found that Atta was in the Czech Republic in April 2001." The commission still could not "absolutely rule out the possibility" that Atta was in Prague on 9 April under an alias, but concluded: "There was no reason for such a meeting, especially considering the risk it would pose to the operation. By April 2001, all four pilots had completed most of their training, and the muscle hijackers were about to begin entering the United States. The available evidence does not support the original Czech report of an Atta-Ani meeting." (p. 229)
2002 DIA reports
In February 2002, The U.S. Defense Intelligence Agency issued Defense Intelligence Terrorism Summary No. 044-02 in February 2002 (the existence of which was revealed on 9 December 2005 by Doug Jehl in the New York Times), which impugned the credibility of information obtained from captured al-Qaeda leader Ibn al-Shaykh al-Libi. The DIA summary suggested that al-Libi had been "intentionally misleading" his interrogators, and cast doubt on the possibility of a Saddam Hussein-al-Qaeda conspiracy: "Saddam's regime is intensely secular and is wary of Islamic revolutionary movements. Moreover, Baghdad is unlikely to provide assistance to a group it cannot control." In April 2002, the DIA said that "there was no credible reporting on al-Qa'ida training at Salman Pak or anywhere else in Iraq".
2002 British intelligence report
In October 2002, a British intelligence investigation of possible links between Iraq and al-Qaeda and the possibility of Iraqi WMD attacks issued a report which concluded that "al Qaeda has shown interest in gaining chemical and biological expertise from Iraq, but we do not know whether any such training was provided. We have no intelligence of current cooperation between Iraq and al Qaeda and do not believe that al Qaeda plans to conduct terrorist attacks under Iraqi direction".
2003 CIA report
The CIA released Iraqi Support for Terrorism, a report to Congress, in January 2003. The report concluded, "In contrast to the patron-client pattern between Iraq and its Palestinian surrogates, the relationship between Iraq and al-Qaida appears to more closely resemble that of two independent actors trying to exploit each other—their mutual suspicion suborned by al-Qaida's interest in Iraqi assistance, and Baghdad's interest in al-Qaida's anti-U.S. attacks ... The Intelligence Community has no credible information that Baghdad had foreknowledge of the 11 September attacks or any other al-Qaida strike." Michael Scheuer, the main researcher assigned to review research for the report, described the review and his conclusions: "For about four weeks in late 2002 and early 2003, I and several others were engaged full time in searching CIA files—seven days a week, often far more than eight hours a day. At the end of the effort, we had gone back ten years in the files and had reviewed nearly twenty thousand documents that amounted to well over fifty thousand pages of materials ... There was no information that remotely supported the analysis that claimed there was a strong working relationship between Iraq and al Qaeda. I was embarrassed because this reality invalidated the analysis I had presented on the subject in my book." Scheuer said that he was not part of the analysis team that produced "Iraqi Support for Terrorism", but was the main researcher reviewing the evidence and conclusions of that report. According to the SSCI report, "Iraqi Support for Terrorism contained the following summary judgments regarding Iraq's provision of training to al-Qaida: Regarding the Iraq-al-Qa'ida relationship, reporting from sources of varying reliability points to ... incidents of training ... The most disturbing aspect of the relationship is the dozen or so reports of varying reliability mentioning the involvement of Iraq or Iraqi nationals in al-Qa'ida's efforts to obtain CBW training." Although the report questioned information from captured al-Qaeda leader Ibn al-Shaykh al-Libi, Colin Powell cited al-Libi's claims in his speech to the United Nations Security Council in February 2003; the following day, President Bush spoke in the Roosevelt Room at the White House with Powell at his side. National Security Council spokesperson Michele Davis told Newsweek that it was impossible to determine whether dissent from the DIA and questions by the CIA were seen by officials at the White House before the president spoke. A counter-terrorism official told Newsweek that although CIA reports on al-Libi were distributed widely around U.S. intelligence agencies and policy-making offices, many similarly-routine reports were not read by senior policy-making officials. Davis added that Bush's remarks were "based on what was put forward to him as the views of the intelligence community", and those views came from "an aggregation" of sources. Newsweek reported, "The new documents also raise the possibility that caveats raised by intelligence analysts about al-Libi's claims were withheld from Powell when he was preparing his Security Council speech. Larry Wilkerson, who served as Powell's chief of staff and oversaw the vetting of Powell's speech, responded to an e-mail from Newsweek Wednesday stating that he was unaware of the DIA doubts about al-Libi at the time the speech was being prepared. 'We never got any dissent with respect to those lines you cite ... indeed the entire section that now we know came from ,' Wilkerson wrote."
2003 British intelligence report
In January 2003, British intelligence completed a classified report on Iraq. The report was leaked to the BBC, who published information about it on February 5 (the day that Colin Powell addressed the United Nations). According to the BBC, the report "says al-Qaeda leader Osama Bin Laden views Iraq's ruling Ba'ath party as running contrary to his religion, calling it an 'apostate regime'. 'His aims are in ideological conflict with present day Iraq,' it says." The BBC reported that former British Foreign Secretary Jack Straw said that intelligence indicated that the Iraqi regime appeared to be allowing a permissive environment "in which al-Qaeda is able to operate ... Certainly we have some evidence of links between al-Qaeda and various people in Iraq ... What we don't know, and the prime minister and I have made it very clear, is the extent of those links ... What we also know, however, is that the Iraqi regime have been up to their necks in the pursuit of terrorism generally."
2003 Israeli intelligence
In February 2003, Israeli intelligence sources told the Associated Press that no link had been conclusively established between Saddam and al-Qaeda. According to the AP story, "Boaz Ganor, an Israeli counter-terrorism expert, told the AP he knows of no Iraqi ties to terror groups, beyond Baghdad's relationship with Palestinian militias and possibly Osama bin Laden's Al Qaeda ... A senior Israeli security source told the AP that Israel has not yet found evidence of an Iraqi-Palestinian-Al Qaeda triangle, and that several investigations into possible Al Qaeda ties to Palestinian militias have so far not yielded substantial results. Ganor said Al Qaeda has put out feelers to Palestinian groups, but ties are at a very preliminary stage."
2003 Feith memo
A 2007 Pentagon inspector general's report concluded that Douglas Feith's office in the Department of Defense had "developed, produced, and then disseminated alternative intelligence assessments on the Iraq and al-Qaeda relationship, which included some conclusions that were inconsistent with the consensus of the Intelligence Community, to senior decision-makers." In October 2003, Feith (undersecretary of defense for policy and head of the controversial Office of Special Plans) sent a memo to Congress that included "a classified annex containing a list and description of the requested reports, so that the committee could obtain the reports from the relevant members of the intelligence community ... The classified annex was not an analysis of the substantive issue of the relationship between Iraq and al Qaeda, and it drew no conclusions." The memo was leaked to the media, and became the foundation of reports in the Weekly Standard by Stephen F. Hayes. W. Patrick Lang, former head of the Middle East section of Defense Intelligence Agency, called the Feith memo "a listing of a mass of unconfirmed reports, many of which themselves indicate that the two groups continued to try to establish some sort of relationship. If they had such a productive relationship, why did they have to keep trying?" Daniel Benjamin also criticized the memo, noting that "in any serious intelligence review, much of the material presented would quickly be discarded." The Pentagon said, "Individuals who leak or purport to leak classified information are doing serious harm to national security; such activity is deplorable and may be illegal."
2004 Carnegie study
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace scholars Joseph Cirincione, Jessica Tuchman Mathews and George Perkovich published their study, WMD in Iraq: Evidence and Implications, in January 2004. The study looked into Saddam's relationship with al-Qaeda, concluding that "although there have been periodic meetings between Iraqi and Al Qaeda agents, and visits by Al Qaeda agents to Baghdad, the most intensive searching over the last two years has produced no solid evidence of a cooperative relationship between Saddam's government and Al Qaeda." It also found "some evidence that there were no operational links" between the two entities.
2004 FBI interrogation reports
During the interrogation of Saddam Hussein in the first half of 2004, FBI special agent George Piro had 25 face-to-face meetings with Saddam Hussein while he was held as a prisoner of war at the United States military detention facility at Baghdad International Airport. Piro's reports, filed during the interrogation, were declassified and released in 2009 after a U.S. Freedom of Information Act request. Hussein had reportedly maintained that he did not collaborate with al-Qaeda, said he feared al-Qaeda would have turned on him, and was quoted as calling Osama bin Laden a "zealot."
9/11 Commission Report
The July 2004 9/11 Commission Report addressed a possible conspiracy between the government of Iraq and al-Qaeda in the September 11 attacks. The report addressed allegations of contacts between al-Qaeda and members of Saddam Hussein's government and concluded that there was no evidence that such contacts developed into a collaborative relationship, and they did not cooperate to commit terrorist attacks against the United States.
2004 Senate report of pre-war intelligence on Iraq
The Senate Select Committee on Intelligence examined "the quality and quantity of U.S. intelligence on Iraqi weapons of mass destruction, ties to terrorist groups, Saddam Hussein's threat to stability and security in the region, and his repression of his own people;" and "the objectivity, reasonableness, independence, and accuracy of the judgments reached by the Intelligence Community". The committee examined the CIA's five intelligence products on Iraqi links to terrorism, focusing on the agency's 2003 study, in section 12 of the report: "Iraq's Links to Terrorism". It concluded that the CIA had accurately concluded that contacts between Saddam Hussein's regime and members of al-Qaeda did not constitute a formal relationship. Based on information the CIA made available to the Senate committee, it published the Senate Report on Iraqi WMD Intelligence critiquing the intelligence-gathering process.
2004 CIA report
In August 2004, the CIA finished another assessment of possible links between Iraq and al-Qaeda. The assessment had been requested by the Office of the Vice President, which asked the CIA to reexamine the possibility that Jordanian terrorist Abu Musab al-Zarqawi constituted a link between Saddam and al-Qaeda (as Colin Powell had said in his speech to the United Nations Security Council). The assessment concluded that there was no evidence that Saddam Hussein's regime had harbored al-Zarqawi. A U.S. official familiar with the new CIA assessment said that intelligence analysts were unable to determine conclusively the nature of the relationship between al-Zarqawi and Saddam. "It's still being worked," he said. "It (the assessment) ... doesn't make clear-cut, bottom-line judgments" about whether Saddam's regime aided al-Zarqawi. The official told Knight Ridder, "What is indisputable is that Zarqawi was operating out of Baghdad and was involved in a lot of bad activities"; the report did not conclude, however, that Saddam's regime had provided "aid, comfort and succor" to al-Zarqawi. According to the Knight Ridder story, "Some officials believe that Saddam's secular regime kept an eye on al-Zarqawi, but didn't actively assist him." Knight Ridder reporters called the CIA study "the latest assessment that calls into question one of President Bush's key justifications for last year's U.S.-led invasion of Iraq."
2005 update
In October 2005, the CIA updated its 2004 report to conclude that Saddam's regime "did not have a relationship, harbor, or even turn a blind eye toward Mr. Zarqawi and his associates". Two counterterrorism analysts told Newsweek that Zarqawi probably received medical treatment in Baghdad in 2002, but Saddam's government may never have known that he was in Iraq because he used "false cover." MSNBC reported that an intelligence official told Newsweek that, according to the report's current draft, "most evidence suggests Saddam Hussein did not provide Zarqawi safe haven before the war. It also recognizes that there are still unanswered questions and gaps in knowledge about the relationship ... The most recent CIA analysis is an update—based on fresh reporting from Iraq and interviews with former Saddam officials—of a classified report that analysts in the CIA's Directorate of Intelligence first produced more than a year ago."
2006 Pentagon study
In February 2006, the Pentagon published a study of the "Harmony database" documents captured in Afghanistan. Although the study did not address allegations of Iraqi ties to al-Qaeda, it analyzed papers that offer insight into the history of the movement and tensions among its leadership. The Pentagon found evidence that al-Qaeda jihadists viewed Saddam as an "infidel", and advised against working with him.
2006 U.S. Senate report
Main article: Senate Report on Iraqi WMD Intelligence § "Phase two" of the investigationIn September 2006, the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence released two bipartisan reports which constituted Phase II of its study of prewar intelligence claims about Iraq's pursuit of WMD and alleged links to al-Qaeda. The reports concluded, according to David Stout of The New York Times, that "there is no evidence that Saddam Hussein had prewar ties to Al Qaeda and one of the terror organization's most notorious members, Abu Musab al-Zarqawi." Senator John Rockefeller, the committee's ranking Democrat, said: "Today's reports show that the administration's repeated allegations of a past, present and future relationship between al Qaeda and Iraq were wrong and intended to exploit the deep sense of insecurity among Americans in the immediate aftermath of the September 11th attacks."
Administration response
After the report was released, Condoleezza Rice told Fox News Sunday that she did not remember seeing that particular report and "there were ties between Iraq and al-Qaeda." In an interview with Tim Russert on Meet the Press, Vice President Cheney said: "We've never been able to confirm any connection between Iraq and 9/11." He reiterated that there was a connection between Iraq and al-Qaeda, citing Zarqawi's presence in Baghdad and DCI George Tenet's claim of "a relationship that went back at least a decade." Pressed about the Senate report, Cheney said: "I haven't seen the report. I haven't had a chance to read it yet."
2007 Pentagon inspector general's report
The Pentagon's inspector general issued a February 2007 report which found that the actions of Feith's Office of Special Plans, the source of most misleading intelligence about al-Qaeda and Iraq, were inappropriate but not illegal. Senator Carl Levin, Chair of the Senate Armed Services Committee, said: "The bottom line is that intelligence relating to the Iraq-al-Qaeda relationship was manipulated by high-ranking officials in the Department of Defense to support the administration's decision to invade Iraq. The inspector general's report is a devastating condemnation of inappropriate activities in the DOD policy office that helped take this nation to war."
Feith said, however, that he felt vindicated by the report's conclusion that what he did was not unlawful. He told The Washington Post that his office produced a criticism of the consensus of the intelligence community, acknowledging that he "was not endorsing its substance."
2008 Pentagon report
Saddam and Terrorism: Emerging Insights from Captured Iraqi Documents, a Pentagon-sponsored March 2008 study, was based on the review of over 600,000 Iraqi documents captured after the 2003 US invasion. The study found no direct connection between Iraq and al-Qaeda. It noted that during the early 1990s, "Saddam supported groups that either associated directly with al Qaeda (such as the Egyptian Islamic Jihad, led at one time by bin Laden's deputy, Ayman al-Zawahiri) or that generally shared al Qaeda's stated goals and objectives."
According to the abstract,
While these documents do not reveal direct coordination and assistance between the Saddam regime and the al Qaeda network, they do indicate that Saddam was willing to use, albeit cautiously, operatives affiliated with al Qaeda as long as Saddam could have these terrorist–operatives monitored closely ... This created both the appearance of and, in some ways, a 'de facto' link between the organizations. At times, these organizations would work together in pursuit of shared goals but still maintain their autonomy and independence because of innate caution and mutual distrust.
The report also stated that "captured documents reveal that the regime was willing to co-opt or support organizations it knew to be part of al Qaeda." In July 2001, the IIS director for international intelligence ordered an investigation of a terrorist group known as the Army of Muhammad. The investigation revealed that the group "threatened Kuwaiti authorities and plans to attack American and Western interests", and was working with Osama bin Laden. According to the report, "A later memorandum from the same collection to the Director of the IIS reports that the Army of Muhammad is endeavoring to receive assistance to implement its objectives, and that the local IIS station has been told to deal with them in accordance with priorities previously established. The IIS agent goes on to inform the Director that 'this organization is an offshoot of bin Laden, but that their objectives are similar but with different names that can be a way of camouflaging the organization.'"
ABC News noted about the report that the primary target of Saddam's terror activities was not the United States or Israel: "The predominant targets of Iraqi state terror operations were Iraqi citizens, both inside and outside of Iraq." Saddam's primary aim was self-preservation and the elimination of potential internal threats to his power.
2008 U.S. Senate report
In June 2008, the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence released the final part of its Phase II investigation of the intelligence assessments that led to the U.S. invasion and occupation of Iraq; this part of the investigation looked into statements by members of the Bush administration, and compared those statements to what the intelligence community was telling the administration at the time. The report, endorsed by eight Democrats and two Republicans on the committee, concluded that "Statements and implications by the President and Secretary of State suggesting that Iraq and al-Qa'ida had a partnership, or that Iraq had provided al-Qa'ida with weapons training, were not substantiated by the intelligence." It concluded that "Statements ... regarding Iraq's contacts with al-Qa'ida were substantiated by intelligence information. However, policymakers' statements did not accurately convey the intelligence assessments of the nature of these contacts, and left the impression that the contacts led to substantive Iraqi cooperation or support of al-Qa'ida" and "Statements that Iraq provided safe haven for Abu Musab al-Zarqawi and other al-Qa'ida-related terrorist members were substantiated by the intelligence assessments. Intelligence assessments noted Zarqawi's presence in Iraq and his ability to travel and operate within the country. The intelligence community generally believed that Iraqi intelligence must have known about, and therefore at least tolerated, Zarqawi's presence in the country."
The New York Times called the report "especially critical of statements by the president and vice president linking Iraq to Al Qaeda and raising the possibility that Mr. Hussein might supply the terrorist group with unconventional weapons." Committee chair John D. Rockefeller IV wrote in an addendum to the report, "Representing to the American people that the two had an operational partnership and posed a single, indistinguishable threat was fundamentally misleading and led the nation to war on false premises."
In a minority addendum to the report signed by four Republican dissenters, the Republicans "suggested that the investigation was a partisan smoke screen to obscure the real story: that the C.I.A. failed the Bush administration by delivering intelligence assessments to policy makers that have since been discredited." The minority senators did not take issue with the majority's conclusion that there was no evidence of a Saddam-al-Qaeda conspiracy, but objected to the manner in which the report was assembled and called the finished product "a waste of Committee time and resources." The dissent focused on the committee's reluctance to include statements by previous administrations and members of Congress about prewar intelligence, and objected to the report's conclusion that President Bush and Vice President Cheney made statements that Saddam was prepared to give WMD to terrorist groups for attacks against the United States.
Notes
- This investigation related to Abdul Rahman Yasin. The Iraqis had made a similar offer to the Bush administration in 2003, but that offer was also spurned.
References
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Saddam Hussein told an FBI interviewer before he was hanged that he allowed the world to believe he had weapons of mass destruction because he was worried about appearing weak to Iran, according to declassified accounts of the interviews released yesterday. The former Iraqi president also denounced Osama bin Laden as 'a zealot' and said he had no dealings with al-Qaeda.
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- p. 100-112 Archived 2008-06-11 at the Wayback Machine
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