Misplaced Pages

Southern strategy: Difference between revisions

Article snapshot taken from Wikipedia with creative commons attribution-sharealike license. Give it a read and then ask your questions in the chat. We can research this topic together.
Browse history interactively← Previous editContent deleted Content addedVisualWikitext
Revision as of 20:25, 17 June 2015 editGoethean (talk | contribs)Autopatrolled, Extended confirmed users40,563 edits Evolution: {{cn}}← Previous edit Latest revision as of 15:56, 16 December 2024 edit undoJon698 (talk | contribs)Autopatrolled, Extended confirmed users, New page reviewers27,827 edits Undid revision 1263423229 by 200.144.94.26 (talk)Tags: Undo Mobile edit Mobile app edit Android app edit App undo 
Line 1: Line 1:
{{Short description|20th century Republican electoral strategy for the Southern US}}
{{for|the British strategy in the American Revolutionary War|Southern theater of the American Revolutionary War}}
{{For|the British strategy in the American Revolutionary War|Southern theater of the American Revolutionary War}}
]]]
] as defined by the ]]]


In ], the '''Southern strategy''' refers to a ] strategy in the late 20th century of gaining political support for presidential candidates in the ] by appealing to regional racial tensions and history of ].<ref name="Boyd">{{cite news|title=Nixon's Southern strategy: 'It's All in the Charts'|last=Boyd|first=James |date=May 17, 1970|publisher=The New York Times|url=http://www.nytimes.com/packages/html/books/phillips-southern.pdf|format=PDF|accessdate=2008-08-02}}</ref><ref name="Counter">Carter, Dan T. ''From George Wallace to Newt Gingrich: Race in the Conservative Counterrevolution, 1963-1994.'' pages 27-29</ref> In American politics, the '''Southern strategy''' was a ] electoral strategy to increase political support among white voters in the ] by appealing to ].<ref name="Boyd">{{cite news|title=Nixon's Southern strategy: 'It's All in the Charts'|last=Boyd|first=James|date=May 17, 1970|work=The New York Times|url=https://www.nytimes.com/packages/html/books/phillips-southern.pdf|access-date=August 2, 2008}}</ref><ref name="Counter">{{cite book | last=Carter | first=Dan T. | title=From George Wallace to Newt Gingrich: Race in the Conservative Counterrevolution 1963–1994 | page=35}}</ref><ref name="Branch">{{cite book|last=Branch|first=Taylor|title=Pillar of Fire: America in the King Years 1963–65|publisher=Simon & Schuster|location=New York|year=1999|page=|isbn=978-0-684-80819-2|oclc=37909869|url=https://archive.org/details/pillaroffireamer00bran/page/242}}</ref> As the ] and dismantling of ] in the 1950s and 1960s visibly deepened existing racial tensions in much of the Southern United States, Republican politicians such as presidential candidates ] and ] developed strategies that successfully contributed to the ] of many white, conservative voters in the South who had traditionally supported the ] so consistently that the voting pattern was named the ]. The strategy also helped to push the Republican Party much more to the ].<ref name="NY Times 1996">{{cite news|title=G.O.P. Tries Hard to Win Black Votes, but Recent History Works Against It|last=Apple|first=R. W. Jr.|date=September 19, 1996|work=The New York Times|url=https://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9A06E2DA1F3AF93AA2575AC0A960958260|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220612002448/https://www.nytimes.com/1996/09/19/us/gop-tries-hard-to-win-black-votes-but-recent-history-works-against-it.html?pagewanted=all&src=pm|archive-date=June 12, 2022|url-status=live}}</ref> By winning all of the South, a presidential candidate could obtain the presidency with minimal support elsewhere.{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=306}}{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=312}}


The phrase "Southern strategy" refers primarily to "top down" narratives of the political realignment of the South which suggest that Republican leaders consciously appealed to many white Southerners' racial grievances to gain their support.<ref name="University Press of Kentucky">{{cite book|last1=Aistrup|first1=Joseph A.|title=The Southern Strategy Revisited: Republican Top-Down Advancement in the South|date=1996|publisher=University Press of Kentucky|isbn=978-0-8131-4792-5|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=oKMeBgAAQBAJ&q=%22southern%20strategy%22%20%22welfare%20queen%22&pg=PA44}}</ref> This top-down narrative of the Southern Strategy is generally believed to be the primary force that transformed Southern politics following the civil rights era. The scholarly consensus is that racial conservatism was critical in the post-] ] of the Republican and Democratic parties,<ref name="Routledge">{{cite journal|last1=Lisa Bedolla|first1=Kerry Haynie|title=The Obama coalition and the future of American politics|date=2013|journal=Politics, Groups, and Identities|volume=1|pages=128–133|doi=10.1080/21565503.2012.758593|s2cid=154440894|quote=It is generally believed to be the primary force that transformed the once overwhelmingly Democratic South into a reliable GOP stronghold in presidential elections (Aistrup 1996; Black and Black 2003)}}</ref><ref>{{Cite book|last=Crespino|first=Joseph|title=In Search of Another Country: Mississippi and the Conservative Counterrevolution|publisher=Princeton University Press|year=2007|isbn=|location=|pages=10|quote=Whatever the shortcomings of the southern strategy thesis, on one score it has been exactly right: it has placed white reaction against the modern civil rights movement at the center of the conservative resurgence since the 1960s.}}</ref> though several aspects of this view have been ] by historians and political scientists.<ref name="Zelizer2012">{{cite book |author=Julian E. Zelizer |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=lNZELCRPj0oC&pg=PA69 |title=Governing America: The Revival of Political History |publisher=Princeton University Press |year=2012 |isbn=978-1-4008-4189-9 |quote=younger Southern historians such as Matthew Lassiter, ], and ] objected to claims about Southern Exceptionalism while agreeing on the centrality of a racial backlash.}}</ref><ref>{{cite book|last1=Lassiter|first1=Matthew D.|title=The Silent Majority: Suburban Politics in the Sunbelt South|date=2006|publisher=Princeton University Press|isbn=978-1-4008-4942-0 |pages=4–7|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=_a0EAQAAQBAJ&q=most+scholars&pg=PP1}}</ref><ref name="Feldman"/><ref name="LassiterCrespino2010">{{cite book|first1=Matthew D. |last1=Lassiter|first2=Joseph |last2=Crespino|title=The Myth of Southern Exceptionalism|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=0xNbY2CehHgC&pg=PT25|year=2010|publisher=Oxford University Press|isbn=978-0-19-538474-1|pages=25–}}</ref><ref name="Kruse2005">{{cite book|first=Kevin Michael |last=Kruse|title=White Flight: Atlanta and the Making of Modern Conservatism|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=c5763Zgu4_oC|year=2005|publisher=Princeton University Press|isbn=978-0-691-09260-7}}</ref>
The ] in the South defended slavery before the ]. After regaining power in state governments in the 1870s, Democrats imposed white supremacy. At the end of the century, southern states passed new constitutions and laws making voter registration and voting more difficult, resulting in ] most blacks and many poor whites. The South became a one-party region, maintaining political exclusion of minorities well into the 1960s. The ] and its political power in Congress was achieved at the expense of African Americans. In the years after World War II, African Americans pressed for civil rights. White Southern Democrats gradually stopped supporting the national party following its adoption of the civil rights plank of the Democratic campaign in ] (against which the ]s formed), support for the ], passage of the ] and ], and push for ].


The perception that the Republican Party had served as the "vehicle of ] in the South", particularly during the ] and the presidential elections of ] and ], made it difficult for the Republican Party to win back the support of black voters in the South in later years.<ref name="NY Times 1996"/> In 2005, ] chairman ] formally apologized to the ] (NAACP) for exploiting racial polarization to win elections and for ignoring the black vote.<ref name="Mehlman">{{cite news|last=Rondy|first=John|title=GOP ignored black vote, chairman says: RNC head apologizes at NAACP meeting|url=https://www.boston.com/news/nation/articles/2005/07/15/gop_ignored_black_vote_chairman_says/|newspaper=The Boston Globe|date=July 15, 2005|agency=Reuters|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120112220033/http://www.boston.com/news/nation/articles/2005/07/15/gop_ignored_black_vote_chairman_says/|archive-date=January 12, 2012|url-status=live}}</ref><ref name="wapo-apology">{{cite news|newspaper=]|title=RNC Chief to Say It Was 'Wrong' to Exploit Racial Conflict for Votes|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/07/13/AR2005071302342.html|first=Mike|last=Allen|author-link=Michael Allen (journalist)|date=July 14, 2005|access-date=October 14, 2013}}</ref>
In the mid 1960s, a period of social turmoil, Republican Presidential candidates Senator ]<ref>{{cite book|last=Black & Black|first=Earl & Merle|title=Rise of the Southern Republicans|year=2003|publisher=Harvard University Press|page=442}}</ref><ref>{{cite book|last=Kalk|first=Bruce H.|title=The Origin of the Southern Strategy|year=2001|publisher=Lexington Books|location=Lanham, Md. |isbn=978-0-7391-0242-8|page=55|chapter=The Goldwater Effect, 1962-1966}}</ref> and ] worked to attract southern white conservative voters to their candidacies and the Republican Party.<ref name="NY Times 1996">{{cite news|title=G.O.P. Tries Hard to Win Black Votes, but Recent History Works Against It|last=Apple|first=R.W. Jr. |date=September 19, 1996|publisher=The New York Times|url=http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9A06E2DA1F3AF93AA2575AC0A960958260|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/64t5A14Sz|archivedate=January 22, 2012|deadurl=no}}</ref> Barry Goldwater won the five formerly Confederate states of the ] (], ], ], ], and ]<ref name="freedict">{{cite web|title=Deep South|work=The Free Dictionary|url=http://www.thefreedictionary.com/Deep+South|accessdate=2007-01-18}}</ref><ref name="synon">{{cite web|title=Deep South|work=Synonym.com|url=http://www.synonym.com/definition/deep%20south/|accessdate=2007-01-18}}</ref>) in the 1964 presidential election, but he otherwise won only in his home state of Arizona. In the ], Nixon won Florida, South Carolina, North Carolina, Virginia, and Tennessee, all former Confederate states, contributing to the ] of white voters in some Southern states to the Republican Party. After federal civil rights legislation was gained via ] votes, including the ], more than 90 percent of black voters registered with the Democratic Party. The VRA provided tools to end their decades-long ] by southern states. Hundreds of cases have been litigated to change election systems, such as ] voting, that have prevented even significant minorities from electing candidates of their choice for city and county positions.

As the twentieth century came to a close, most white voters in the South had shifted to the Republican Party. It began to try to appeal again to black voters and rebuild the political relationship that had lasted through the 1920s, though with little success.<ref name="NY Times 1996" /> In 2005, ] chairman ] formally apologized to the ] (NAACP), a national civil rights organization, for exploiting racial polarization to win elections and ignoring the black vote.<ref name="Mehlman"/><ref name="wapo-apology">{{cite news | work = ] | title = RNC Chief to Say It Was 'Wrong' to Exploit Racial Conflict for Votes | url = http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/07/13/AR2005071302342.html | first = Mike | last = Allen | authorlink = Michael Allen (journalist) | date = July 14, 2005 | accessdate = October 14, 2013}}</ref>


==Introduction== ==Introduction==
Although the phrase "Southern Strategy" is often attributed to Nixon's political strategist ], he did not originate it<ref name="Javits">{{cite news|title=To Preserve the Two-Party System|last=Javits|first=Jacob K.|date=October 27, 1963|work=The New York Times}}</ref> but popularized it.<ref name="Phillips">{{cite book|last=Phillips|first=Kevin|title=The Emerging Republican Majority|publisher=Arlington House|location=New York|year=1969|isbn=978-0-87000-058-4|oclc=18063|url=https://archive.org/details/emergingrepublic00kevi}} passim</ref> In an interview included in a 1970 '']'' article, Phillips stated his analysis based on studies of ethnic voting:
]
Although the phrase "Southern strategy" is often attributed to Nixon's political strategist ], he did not originate it<ref name="Javits">{{cite news|title=To Preserve the Two-Party System|last=Javits|first=Jacob K.|date=October 27, 1963|publisher=The New York Times|accessdate=2008-08-02}}</ref> but popularized it.<ref name="Phillips">{{cite book|last=Phillips|first=Kevin|title=The Emerging Republican Majority|publisher=Arlington House|location=New York|year=1969|accessdate=2008-08-02|isbn=0-87000-058-6 |oclc=18063}}</ref> In an interview included in a 1970 '']'' article, Phillips stated his analysis based on studies of ethnic voting:
:From now on, the Republicans are never going to get more than 10 to 20 percent of the Negro vote and they don't need any more than that...but Republicans would be shortsighted if they weakened enforcement of the ]. The more Negroes who register as Democrats in the South, the sooner the Negrophobe whites will quit the Democrats and become Republicans. That's where the votes are. Without that prodding from the blacks, the whites will backslide into their old comfortable arrangement with the local Democrats.<ref name="Boyd" />


{{Blockquote|From now on, the Republicans are never going to get more than 10 to 20 percent of the Negro vote and they don't need any more than that... but Republicans would be shortsighted if they weakened enforcement of the ]. The more Negroes who register as Democrats in the South, the sooner the Negrophobe whites will quit the Democrats and become Republicans. That's where the votes are. Without that prodding from the blacks, the whites will backslide into their old comfortable arrangement with the local Democrats.<ref name="Boyd"/>}}
While Phillips sought to increase Republican power by polarizing ethnic voting in general, and not just to win the white South, the South was by far the biggest prize yielded by his approach. Its success began at the presidential level. Gradually southern voters began to elect Republicans to Congress, and finally to statewide and local offices, particularly as some legacy segregationist Democrats retired or switched to the GOP. In addition, the Republican Party worked for years to develop ] political organizations across the South, supporting candidates for local school boards and city and county offices, as examples. But, following the ], in the ], southern voters came out in support for the "favorite son" candidate, Southern Democrat ].
] campaigning in 1968]]


While Phillips sought to increase Republican power by polarizing ethnic voting in general, and not just to win the white South, the South was by far the biggest prize yielded by his approach. Its success began at the presidential level. Gradually, Southern voters began to elect Republicans to Congress and finally to statewide and local offices, particularly as some legacy segregationist Democrats, such as ], retired or switched to the GOP. In addition, the Republican Party worked for years to develop ] political organizations across the South, supporting candidates for local school boards and city and county offices as examples, but following the ] Southern voters came out in support for the "favorite son" candidate, Southern Democrat ].
From 1948 to 1984 the Southern states, for decades a stronghold for the ] after disenfranchising most blacks, became key ]s, providing the popular vote margins in the ], ] and 1976 elections. During this era, several Republican candidates expressed support for ], an issue over which southern states had argued against the federal government prior to the Civil War. Some political analysts said this term was used in the 20th century as a "codeword" to represent opposition to federal enforcement of civil rights for blacks and to federal intervention on their behalf; many individual southerners had opposed passage of the Voting Rights Act.<ref name="Branch">{{cite book|last=Branch|first=Taylor|title=Pillar of Fire: America in the King Years 1963-65|publisher=Simon & Schuster|location=New York|year=1999|page=242|accessdate=2008-08-02|isbn=0-684-80819-6 |oclc=37909869}}</ref>


From 1948 to 1984, the Southern states, for decades a stronghold for the ], became key ]s, providing the popular vote margins in the ], ] and ]. During this era, several Republican candidates expressed support for ], a reversal of the position held by Republicans since the Civil War. Some political analysts said this term was used in the 20th century as a "code word" to represent opposition to federal enforcement of civil rights for blacks and to federal intervention on their behalf; many individual southerners had opposed passage of the Voting Rights Act.<ref name="Branch"/>
==19th century disfranchisement and rise of the Solid South==
{{Main|Solid South}}
After the ], ] gained additional seats in the ] and representation in the ] because the millions of freed slaves were granted full citizenship and ]. Southern white resentment stemming from the Civil War and the Republican Party’s policy of ] kept most southern whites in the Democratic Party, but the Republicans competed in the South with a biracial coalition of freedmen, Unionists, and highland whites.


==Background==
Rising intimidation, election fraud, and violence by white ], such as the ] and ], who supported the Democratic Party during the mid to late-1870s, contributed to the turning out Republican officeholders and suppression of the black vote.<ref>George C. Rable, ''But There Was No Peace: The Role of Violence in the Politics of Reconstruction'', Athens: University of Georgia Press, 1984, p. 132</ref> After the North agreed to withdraw federal troops under the ], white Democrats used a variety of tactics in each election cycle to reduce voting by African Americans and poor whites.<ref>], ''Redemption: The Last Battle of the Civil War'', New York: Farrar Straus & Giroux, Paperback, 2007, pp.74-80</ref> In the 1880s they began to pass legislation making election processes more complicated and in some cases requiring payment of poll taxes, which created a barrier for poor people of both races.
===Reconstruction to Solid South===
]'' criticizing the use of literacy tests. It shows "Mr. ]" writing on the wall, "Eddikashun qualifukashun. The Blak man orter be eddikated afore he kin vote with us Wites."]]
{{Main|Reconstruction era|Solid South}}
From 1890 to 1908, the white Democratic legislatures in every Southern state enacted new constitutions or amendments with provisions to disenfranchise most blacks<ref>{{cite book|last=Zinn|first=Howard|title=]|year=1999|publisher=HarperCollins|location=New York|isbn=0-06-052842-7|pages=205–210, 449}}</ref> and tens of thousands of poor whites. Provisions required payment of ], and complicated residency, ], and other requirements, which were subjectively applied against blacks. As blacks lost their vote, the Republican Party lost its ability to effectively compete in the South.<ref name="Perman">{{cite book|last=Perman|first=Michael|title=Struggle for Mastery: Disfranchisement in the South, 1888-1908|publisher=University of North Carolina Press|location=Chapel Hill, NC|year=2001|chapter=Introduction|accessdate=2008-08-02|isbn=0-8078-2593-X |oclc=44131788}}</ref> There was a dramatic drop in voter turnout as these measures took effect, a decline in African-American participation that was enforced for decades in all southern states.<ref name="University of Texas">{{cite web|url=http://texaspolitics.laits.utexas.edu/html/vce/0503.html|title=Turnout for Presidential and Midterm Elections|work=Politics: Historical Barriers to Voting|publisher=University of Texas|archiveurl=http://web.archive.org/web/20080801225046/http://texaspolitics.laits.utexas.edu/html/vce/0503.html |archivedate=August 1, 2008}}</ref>


During Reconstruction, the Republican Party built up its base across the South and controlled each state except Virginia, but from a national perspective, the Republicans gave priority to its much better established Northern state operations. Southerners distrusted the ]s, found the ] distasteful, and lacked respect for the black component of their Republican Party in the South. Richard Abbott says that national Republicans always "stressed building their Northern base rather than extending their party into the South, and whenever the Northern and Southern needs conflicted the latter always lost".<ref>Richard H. Abbott, ''The Republican Party and the South, 1855–1877: The First Southern Strategy'' (1986) p. 231</ref> In 1868, the GOP spent only 5% of its war chest in the South. ] was reelected and the ''New York Tribune'' advised it was now time for Southern Republicans to "root, hog, or die!" (that is, to take care of themselves).<ref>{{cite book|author=Tali Mendelberg|title=The Race Card: Campaign Strategy, Implicit Messages, and the Norm of Equality|url=https://archive.org/details/racecardcampaign0000mend|url-access=registration|year=2001|publisher=Princeton UP|page=|isbn=978-0691070711}}</ref>
Because blacks were closed out of the political process, the South's congressional delegations and state governments were dominated by white Democrats until past the middle of the 20th century. Effectively, Southern white Democrats controlled all the votes of the expanded population by which Congressional apportionment was figured. Many of their representatives achieved powerful positions of seniority in Congress, giving them control of chairmanships of significant Congressional committees. Although the ] has a provision to reduce the Congressional representation of states that denied votes to their adult male citizens, this provision was never enforced. Because African Americans could not be voters, they were also prevented from being jurors and serving in local offices. Services and institutions for them in the segregated South were chronically underfunded by state and local governments, from which they were excluded.<ref name="Beginnings of black education">, ''The Civil Rights Movement in Virginia.'' Virginia Historical Society. Retrieved April 12, 2009.</ref>


During the ], the Republican ticket of ] and ] (later known as members of the comparably liberal "]" faction) abandoned the party's pro-civil rights efforts of Reconstruction and made conciliatory tones to the South in the form of appeals to old Southern ].<ref>. ''United States Senate''. Retrieved January 27, 2022.</ref>
During this period, Republicans held only a few House seats from the South. Between 1880 and 1904, Republican presidential candidates in the South received between 35 and 40 percent of that section's vote (except in 1892, when the 16 percent for the Populists knocked Republicans down to 25 percent). From 1904 to 1948, after disenfranchisement, Republicans received more than 30 percent of the section's votes only in the ] (35.2 percent, carrying Tennessee) and ] (47.7 percent, carrying five states). The only important political role of the South in presidential elections came in the ], when it provided the delegates to select Taft over Theodore Roosevelt in that year's Republican convention. In this period, more than 1.5 million African Americans left the South in the ], changing demographics in both the South and the North and becoming urbanized.


] map showing Democrat ] winning only the Solid South and Republican ] prevailing in the electoral college. From the time of Reconstruction until the Civil Rights Era, the Southern states consistently supported the Democratic candidate for president.]]
Scholar Richard Valelly credits ]'s election to the disfranchisement of blacks in the South, as it resulted in a substantial loss of votes by Republicans. He also documents far-reaching effects in Congress, where the Democratic South gained "about 25 extra seats in Congress for each decade between 1903 and 1953."<ref name="valelly146-147"></ref>


In a series of compromises, such as the ], the Republicans withdrew military forces that had propped up their last three state governors and in return gained the presidency for Hayes.<ref>C. Vann Woodward, ''Reunion and Reaction: The Compromise of 1877 and the End of Reconstruction''(1956) pp. 8, 205–12</ref> All the southern states were now under the control of the Democrats, who increased their control of virtually all aspects of politics in the ex-] during the ensuing decades. There were occasional pockets of Republican control, but they were usually in remote mountain districts.<ref>Vincent P. De Santis, ''Republicans face the southern question: The new departure years, 1877–1897'' (1959) pp. 71–85</ref>
During this period, Republican administrations appointed blacks to political positions. Republicans regularly supported anti-] bills, but these were filibustered by Southern Democrats in the ]. In the 1928 election, the Republican candidate ] rode the issues of ] and ]<ref>{{cite news|last=Dobbs|first=Ricky Floyd|title=Continuities in American anti-Catholicism: the Texas Baptist Standard and the coming of the 1960 election.|url=http://www.thefreelibrary.com/Continuities+in+American+anti-Catholicism:+the+Texas+Baptist+Standard...-a0162618834 |newspaper=Baptist History and Heritage|date=January 1, 2007|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/64t913Kud|archivedate=January 22, 2012|deadurl=no}}</ref> to carry five former Confederate states, with 62 of the 126 electoral votes of the section. After his victory, Hoover attempted to build up the Republican Party of the South, transferring his limited patronage away from blacks and toward the same kind of white Protestant businessmen who made up the core of the Northern Republican Party. With the onset of the ], which severely affected the South, Hoover soon became extremely unpopular. The gains of the Republican Party in the South were lost. In the ], Hoover received only 18.1 percent of the Southern vote for re-election.


] from the January 18, 1879 issue of '']'' criticizing the use of literacy tests. It shows "Mr. ]" writing on the wall: "Eddikashun qualifukashun. The Blak man orter be eddikated afore he kin vote with us Wites." The Republican Nast often satirized the Democratic Party by caricaturing its adherents as poor, ignorant, and violent.]]
==World War II and population changes==
In the ], after ] signed an Executive Order to desegregate the Army, a group of Southern Democrats known as ] split from the Democratic Party in reaction to the inclusion of a civil rights plank in the party's platform. This followed a floor fight led by ] mayor and (soon-to-be ]) ]. The disaffected Democrats formed the States' Rights Democratic, or ] Party, and nominated Governor ] of ] for president. Thurmond carried four Deep South states in the general election: ], ], ], and ]. The main plank of the States' Rights Democratic Party was maintaining ] and ] in the South. The Dixiecrats, failing to deny the Democrats the presidency in 1948, soon dissolved, but the split lingered. In 1964, Thurmond was one of the first conservative southern Democrats to switch to the Republican Party.<ref name="Goldwater">{{cite news|title=Thurmond to Bolt Democrats Today; South Carolinian Will Join G.O.P. and Aid Goldwater| newspaper=The New York Times|date=September 16, 1964 |page=12 |url=http://query.nytimes.com/mem/archive/pdf?res=F70711F939591B7A93C4A81782D85F408685F9 |quote=Both senators have opposed the Administration on such matters as civil rights...|accessdate=December 27, 2010}}</ref><ref>{{Cite journal|title=The Party of Civil Rights|url=http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2010_05/023915.php|date=May 21, 2010|first=Steve|last=Benen|work=]|accessdate=June 18, 2012}}</ref>


After 1890, the white Democrats used a variety of tactics to reduce voting by African Americans and poor whites.<ref>], ''Redemption: The Last Battle of the Civil War'' (New York: Farrar Straus & Giroux, 2007), pp. 74–80</ref> The rise of primaries in the electoral system allowed for the ] to be circumvented using a ]. Winning the Democratic primary was tantamount to winning the election during the period of the solid south.{{sfn|Steed|Moreland|Baker|1980|p=4}} From 1890 to 1908, the white Democratic legislatures in every Southern state enacted new constitutions or amendments with provisions to disenfranchise most blacks<ref>{{cite book|last=Zinn|first=Howard|title=A People's History of the United States|year=1999|publisher=HarperCollins|location=New York|isbn=978-0-06-052842-3|pages=|title-link=A People's History of the United States}}</ref> and tens of thousands of poor whites. Provisions required payment of ], complicated residency, ] and other requirements which were subjectively applied against blacks. As blacks lost their vote, the Republican Party lost its ability to effectively compete in the South.<ref name="Perman">{{cite book|last=Perman|first=Michael|title=Struggle for Mastery: Disfranchisement in the South, 1888–1908|publisher=University of North Carolina Press|location=Chapel Hill, NC|year=2001}} pp. 1–8</ref>
In addition to the splits in the Democratic Party, the population movements associated with ] had a significant effect in changing the demographics of the South. More than 5 million African Americans migrated from the South to the North and West in the ], lasting from 1940-1970. Starting before WWII, many had moved to ] for jobs in the defense industry, as well as to major industrial cities of the ].<ref>{{cite web|last1=Gregg|first1=Khyree|title=The Second Great Migration|url=http://www.inmotionaame.org/print.cfm;jsessionid=f830127271430904287014?migration=9&bhcp=1|website=inmotionaame|publisher=inmotionaame|accessdate=6 May 2015}}</ref>


Because blacks were closed out of elected offices, the South's congressional delegations and state governments were dominated by white Democrats until the 1980s or later. Effectively, Southern white Democrats controlled all the votes of the expanded population by which congressional apportionment was figured. Many of their representatives achieved powerful positions of seniority in Congress, giving them control of chairmanships of significant congressional committees. Although the ] has a provision to reduce the congressional representation of states that denied votes to their adult male citizens, this provision was never enforced. As African Americans could not be voters, they were also prevented from being jurors and serving in local offices. Services and institutions for them in the segregated South were chronically underfunded by state and local governments, from which they were excluded.<ref name="Beginnings of black education"> {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090721184903/http://www.vahistorical.org/civilrights/education.htm|date=2009-07-21}}, ''The Civil Rights Movement in Virginia''. Virginia Historical Society. Retrieved April 12, 2009.</ref>
With control of powerful committees, during and after the war, Southern Democrats gained new federal military installations in the South and other federal investments. Changes in industry, and growth in universities and the military establishment in turn attracted Northern transplants to the South, and bolstered the base of the Republican Party. In the post-war Presidential campaigns, Republicans did best in those fastest-growing states of the South that had the most Northern transplants. In the ], ] and ], ], ] and ] went Republican, while Louisiana went Republican in 1956, and ] twice voted for ] and once for ]. In 1956, Eisenhower received 48.9 percent of the Southern vote, becoming only the second Republican in history (after ]) to get a plurality of Southern votes.{{Citation needed|date=May 2011}}


Republicans rarely held seats in the U.S. House from the South during the Solid South period with the party only holding two seats in Tennessee between 1947 and 1952, out of the 105 seats in the south.{{sfn|Moreland|Steed|Baker|1991|p=201}} Republicans won 80 of 2,565 congressional elections in the south during the first half of the 20th century.{{sfn|Black|Black|2002|p=59}} Between 1902 and 1950, all US Senators from the south were Democrats.{{sfn|Black|Black|2002|p=40}} Republicans held around 3% of state legislative seats in the south in 1948, and held zero seats in five states.{{sfn|Steed|Moreland|Baker|1980|p=102}}
The white conservative voters of the states of the Deep South remained loyal to the Democratic Party, which had not officially repudiated segregation. Because of declines in population or smaller rates of growth compared to other states, Mississippi, Alabama, Arkansas and North Carolina lost congressional seats from the 1950s to the 1970s, while South Carolina, Louisiana and ] remained static.{{Citation needed|date=May 2011}}


Between 1880 and 1904, Republican presidential candidates in the South received 35–40% of that section's vote (except in 1892, when the 16% for the Populists lowered Republicans down to 25%). From 1904 to 1948, Republicans received more than 30% of the section's votes only in the ] (35.2%, carrying Tennessee) and ] (47.7%, carrying five states) after disenfranchisement.
The "Year of Birmingham" in 1963 highlighted racial issues in Alabama. Through the spring, there were marches and demonstrations to end legal segregation. The Movement's achievements in settlement with the local business class were overshadowed by bombings and murders by the ], most notoriously in the deaths of four girls in the bombing of the Sixteenth Street Baptist Church.<ref name="McWhorter">{{cite book|last=McWhorter|first=Diane|title=Carry Me Home: Birmingham, Alabama, The Climactic Battle of the Civil Rights Revolution|publisher=Simon & Schuster|location=New York|year=2001|accessdate=2008-08-02|isbn=0-684-80747-5 |oclc=45376386}}</ref>


During this period, Republican administrations appointed blacks to political positions. Republicans regularly supported anti-] bills, but these were ]ed by Southern Democrats in the Senate. In the 1928 election, the Republican candidate ] rode the issues of ] and ]<ref>{{cite news|last=Dobbs|first=Ricky Floyd|title=Continuities in American anti-Catholicism: the Texas Baptist Standard and the coming of the 1960 election.|url=http://www.thefreelibrary.com/Continuities+in+American+anti-Catholicism:+the+Texas+Baptist+Standard...-a0162618834|newspaper=Baptist History and Heritage|date=January 1, 2007|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140221202108/http://www.thefreelibrary.com/403.htm|archive-date=February 21, 2014|url-status=live}}</ref> to carry five former Confederate states, with 62 of the 126 electoral votes of the section. After his victory, Hoover attempted to build up the Republican Party of the South, transferring his limited patronage away from blacks and toward the same kind of white Protestant businessmen who made up the core of the Northern Republican Party. With the onset of the ], which severely affected the South, Hoover soon became extremely unpopular. The gains of the Republican Party in the South were lost. In the ], Hoover received only 18.1% of the Southern vote for re-election.<ref>{{cite news |last=Chapin |first=James |date=February 22, 2001 |title=Analysis: The end of the Southern strategy, part 2 |url=https://www.upi.com/Archives/2001/02/22/Analysis-The-end-of-the-Southern-strategy-part-2/7841982818000/ |work=UPI Archives |location=Boca Raton, FL |access-date=October 17, 2024}}</ref>
After the Democrat ] was elected as ], he emphasized the connection between states' rights and segregation, both in speeches and by creating crises to provoke Federal intervention. He opposed integration at the ], and collaborated with the Ku Klux Klan in 1963 in disrupting court-ordered integration of public schools in Birmingham.<ref name="McWhorter" />
] won his home state of Arizona and five states in the ], depicted in red. The Southern states, traditionally Democratic up to that time, voted Republican primarily as a statement of opposition to the ], which had been passed in Congress earlier that year. Capturing 61.1% of the popular vote and 486 electors, Johnson won in a landslide. Note that ] went to Johnson as he was its ].]]
Many of the ] Democrats were attracted to the ] of conservative Republican Senator ] of ]. Goldwater was notably more conservative than previous Republican nominees, such as ]. Goldwater's principal opponent in the ], Governor ] of ], was widely seen as representing the more moderate, ], Northern wing of the party (see ], ]).{{Citation needed|date=March 2015}}


From 1860 and 1930, the Republicans controlled the U.S. Senate in thirty-one of thirty-six sessions and the U.S. House in twenty-three sessions. Between 1932 and 1992, the Republicans controlled the U.S. Senate for five out of thirty-one sessions and the U.S. House for two sessions.{{sfn|Black|Black|2002|p=15}}
In the ], Goldwater ran a conservative campaign that broadly opposed strong action by the federal government. Although he had supported all previous federal civil rights legislation, Goldwater decided to oppose the ].<ref name=cra64>{{cite web|url=http://finduslaw.com/civil_rights_act_of_1964_cra_title_vii_equal_employment_opportunities_42_us_code_chapter_21 |title=Civil Rights Act of 1964 - CRA - Title VII - Equal Employment Opportunities - 42 US Code Chapter 21 |publisher=Finduslaw.com |accessdate=January 22, 2012}}</ref> He believed that this act was an intrusion of the federal government into the affairs of states and, second, that the Act interfered with the rights of private persons to do business, or not, with whomever they chose, even if the choice is based on racial discrimination. (In many instances, southern whites wanted the business of blacks but on their terms, for instance, restricting their use of water fountains, lunch counters, and dressing rooms in department stores.){{Citation needed|date=March 2015}}


===Internal Republican politics===
Goldwater's position appealed to white Southern Democrats, and Goldwater was the first Republican presidential candidate since ] to win the electoral votes of the Deep South states (Louisiana, Georgia, Alabama, Mississippi, and South Carolina). Outside the South, Goldwater's negative vote on the Civil Rights Act proved devastating to his campaign; the only other state he won was his home one of Arizona, contributing to his landslide defeat in 1964. A ] ad called "Confessions of a Republican," which ran in the North, associated Goldwater with the ]. At the same time, Johnson’s campaign in the ] publicized Goldwater’s support for pre-1964 civil rights legislation. In the end, Johnson swept the election.<ref>{{cite web|last1=Gregg|first1=Khyree|title=Election of 1964|url=http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/showelection.php?year=1964|website=American Presidency Project|publisher=American Presidency Project|accessdate=6 May 2015}}</ref>
According to Boris Heersink and Jeffery A. Jenkins, blacks did have a voice in the Republican Party, especially in the choice of presidential candidates at the national convention. They argue that in 1880–1928 Republican leaders at the presidential level adopted a "Southern Strategy" by "investing heavily in maintaining a minor party organization in the South as a way to create a reliable voting base at conventions", causing federal patronage to go to Southern blacks as long as there was a Republican in the White House.<ref>Boris Heersink and Jeffery A. Jenkins, "Southern Delegates and Republican National Convention Politics, 1880–1928," ''Studies in American Political Development'' (April 2015) 29#1 pp. 68–88</ref><ref>Edward O. Frantz, ''The Door of Hope: Republican Presidents and the First Southern Strategy, 1877–1933'' (University Press of Florida, 2011)</ref>


Southern states sent delegations to Republican conventions that accounted for one-fourth of the overall number despite the Democratic dominance of the region. These delegates were viewed as ] and gave their support to the incumbent or the frontrunner.{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=121-123}}{{sfn|Sherman|1973|p=19}} ] started to lobby southern Republicans in favor of ] in 1895, and McKinley came to the ] with control of all of the southern delegations, which accounted for almost half of the votes required to win, except for Texas.{{sfn|Sherman|1973|p=4}} The issue of southern delegates exploded in 1912, when ] used his 83% control of Southern delegations to defeat ] at the convention. Delegate allocation by state was altered after this election to be based on how well the party did electorally in those states. Southern delegate sizes fell from 23% of the total delegates in 1912, to 18% in 1916.{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=121-123}}
At the time, Goldwater was at odds in his position with most of the prominent members of the Republican Party, dominated by so-called Eastern Establishment and Midwestern Progressives. A higher percentage of the Republican Party supported the Civil Rights Act of 1964<ref name="cra64"/> than did the Democratic Party, as they had on all previous Civil Rights legislation. The ] mostly opposed their Northern Party mates &mdash; and their presidents (Kennedy and Johnson) on civil rights issues.


The mixed-race ]'s control of Republican parties in the south was ended by the ] and according to ] by 1949, black Republicans only held power in the Mississippi affiliate.{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=121-123}} Alabama, Arkansas, North Carolina, Texas, and Virginia sent entirely white delegations to the 1920 convention.{{sfn|Sherman|1973|p=135}} The ] was restructured in 1921, with ]'s involvement, as a model for other southern states and this restructuring replaced the black majority state committee with one that only had two black members.{{sfn|Sherman|1973|pp=152-153}} Texas sent its first entirely white delegate in 1928.{{sfn|Sherman|1973|p=229}} At the 1964 convention the Georgia delegation was entirely white for the first time in fifty years.{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=130}}
In some Republican circles, the election after the 1964 Civil Rights Act was termed, "The Great Betrayal".{{citation needed|date=March 2015}} Although some Republicans were defeated in the election, national party support for this important law did not attract black voters to the Republican fold in the North. In the South, most black voters were still disenfranchised. When Democratic Senator ] was re-elected from Middle Tennessee; a majority of the still limited number of black voters in the region cast their votes for him as a Democrat, although he personally had voted against the Civil Rights Act.{{Citation needed|date=March 2015}}


] stated that "the southern oligarchies have greatly bolstered the conservative wing of the Republican party".{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=123-124}} Eisenhower's victories in southern states increased their delegation sizes to account for 21% of the total delegates at the 1956 convention, the highest since the rule change.{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=126}} By 1964, a candidate that could unify delegations from the west and south would hold four-fifths of the required number of delegates for the nomination, taking power away from more liberal Republicans in the northeast. 270 of the 279 southern delegates gave their support to ], 31% of his overall support.{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=128-129}}
==Roots of the Southern strategy==
Lyndon Johnson was concerned that his endorsement of Civil Rights legislation would endanger his party in the South. In the ], ] saw the cracks in the ] as an opportunity to tap into a group of voters who had historically been beyond the reach of the ]. George Wallace had exhibited a strong candidacy in that election, where he garnered 46 electoral votes and nearly 10 million popular votes, attracting mostly southern Democrats away from ].<ref>] (March 5, 2006). . {{subscription required}} ''The Boston Globe.'' Retrieved 2007-02-11</ref><ref>Thomas R. Dye, Louis Schubert, Harmon Zeigler. , Cengage Learning. 2011</ref><ref>Ted Van Dyk. , ''Wall Street Journal'', 2008</ref>


===World War II and population changes===
African Americans continued to push in politics and began to gain national office: US Senator ] of Massachusetts was elected in 1966 as the first African-American senator since Reconstruction; ] co-founded the ] that same year in ]. ] was elected from New York in 1968 as the first African-American woman to be a Congresswoman; ] would be elected to Congress in 1972 from Georgia and later was elected as mayor of Atlanta; all these rising leaders had benefited by the work of Rev. ]
In 1932, less than 10% of the voting population in the peripheral south and less than 20% in the deep south lived in metropolitan areas. By 1956, metropolitan areas accounted for less than 40% and 30% respectively. This rose to around 60% and 40% respectively by 1976.{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=177}} Florida became the first urbanized state in the south in the 1930s.{{sfn|Black|Black|2002|p=20}} Republicans, such as ] and ], performed well in these urban areas.{{sfn|Black|Black|2002|p=93-94}}


The ], organized by Truman, published ''To Secure These Rights: The Report of the President’s Committee on Civil Rights'' in 1947. This report recommended the passage of civil rights legislation and ending segregation.{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=95}} The southern delegates planned on conducting a walkout during the roll call vote on the party's platform, which included support for civil rights, but ], chair of the convention, instead used a voice vote as he believed a walkout would ruin Truman's presidential campaign. Only 35 of the 278 southern delegates, thirteen from Alabama and the entire twenty-two member Mississippi delegation, left the convention on July 15. The remaining southern delegates gave their support to Senator ] on the presidential ballot.{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=98}}{{sfn|Hardeman|Bacon|1990|p=336-338}}<ref>{{Cite news |date=July 15, 1948 |title=Scene Is Dramatic As Southerners Stalk Out Of Convention; Boos And Cheers Echo |page=1 |work=] |url=https://www.newspapers.com/article/talladega-daily-home-and-our-mountain-ho/129532397/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230806153239/https://www.newspapers.com/article/talladega-daily-home-and-our-mountain-ho/129532397/ |archive-date=August 6, 2023 |via=]}}</ref>
By this point, King had led the ] in major protests and demonstrations in the South to raise awareness of civil rights issues. He was awarded the ]. His work contributed to passage of civil rights legislation, especially the Voting Rights Act of 1965. His assassination in 1968 generated grief and despair; African Americans rioted in many inner-city areas in major cities throughout the country. King's policy of non-violence had already been challenged by other African-American leaders, such as ] and ] of the ] (SNCC).


The ] met in Birmingham, Alabama, and nominated ] and ] as its presidential ticket. The party supported racial segregation, poll taxes, and opposed anti-lynching legislation. They planned on winning the entirety of the south's 127 electoral votes in order to force a contingent election in the US House of Representatives.{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=142-143}} Thurmond ran using the Democratic ballot line in Alabama, Louisiana, Mississippi, and South Carolina. The Dixiecrats were unsuccessful as Truman won reelection and they only received 39 of the south's electoral votes, only winning in states without Truman on the ballot.{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=145-146}} Failing to deny the Democrats the presidency in 1948, soon dissolved, but the split lingered.<ref name="Goldwater">{{cite news|title=Thurmond to Bolt Democrats Today; South Carolinian Will Join G.O.P. and Aid Goldwater| newspaper=The New York Times|date=September 16, 1964 |page=12 |url=https://timesmachine.nytimes.com/timesmachine/1964/09/16/98447784.pdf |quote=Both senators have opposed the Administration on such matters as civil rights...|access-date=December 27, 2010}}</ref><ref>{{Cite journal|title=The Party of Civil Rights|url=http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2010_05/023915.php|date=May 21, 2010|first=Steve|last=Benen |author-link=Steve Benen|journal=]|access-date=June 18, 2012}}</ref> Truman was the last Democratic presidential nominee to win a majority of the white vote in the south.{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=328}}
The notion of ] advocated by SNCC leaders captured some of the frustrations of African Americans at the slow process of change in gaining civil rights and social justice. African Americans pushed for faster change, raising racial tensions.<ref>Zinn, Howard (1999) '']'' New York:HarperCollins, 457-461</ref> Journalists reporting about the demonstrations against the Vietnam War often featured young people engaging in violence or burning draft cards and American flags.<ref>Zinn, Howard (1999) ''A People's History of the United States'' New York:HarperCollins, 491</ref> Conservatives were also dismayed about the many young adults engaged in the ] ] and "free love" (sexual ]), in what was called the "]" ]. These actions scandalized many Americans and created a concern about law and order.
]


In addition to the splits in the Democratic Party, the population movements associated with ] had a significant effect in changing the demographics of the South. Starting during World War II, lasting from 1940 to 1970, more than 5 million African-Americans moved from the rural South to medium and major ] industrial cities as well as mainly coastal munitions centers of the ] during the ] for jobs in the defense industry and later economic opportunities during the post-World War II economic boom.<ref>{{cite web|last1=Gregg|first1=Khyree|title=The Second Great Migration|url=http://www.inmotionaame.org/print.cfm;jsessionid=f830127271430904287014?migration=9&bhcp=1|website=inmotionaame|access-date=6 May 2015}}</ref>
Nixon's advisers recognized that they could not appeal directly to voters on issues of ] or racism. White House Chief of Staff ] noted that Nixon "emphasized that you have to face the fact that the whole problem is really the blacks. The key is to devise a system that recognized this while not appearing to."<ref>{{cite book|last1=Robin|first1=Corey|authorlink1=Corey Robin|title=The Reactionary Mind: Conservatism from Edmund Burke to Sarah Palin|date=2011|publisher=Oxford University Press|location=New York|isbn=0-19-979393-X|page=50|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=lolpAgAAQBAJ&lpg=PA50&dq=%22southern%20strategy%22%20Corey%20Robin&pg=PA50#v=onepage&q&f=false}}</ref> With the aid of Harry Dent and ] ] ], who had switched to the Republican Party in 1964, Richard Nixon ran his 1968 campaign on ] and "law and order." ] accused Nixon of pandering to Southern whites, especially with regard to his "states' rights" and "law and order" positions, which were widely understood by black leaders to symbolize southern resistance to civil rights.<ref name="Johnson">{{cite news|url=http://select.nytimes.com/gst/abstract.html?res=F0071FFF3B54157493C1A81783D85F4C8685F9 |title=Negro Leaders See Bias in Call Of Nixon for 'Law and Order'|last=Johnson|first=Thomas A.|date=August 13, 1968|publisher=The New York Times|page=27|accessdate=2008-08-02}}{{subscription required}}</ref> This tactic was described in 2007 by David Greenberg in '']'' as "]."<ref>{{cite news|last=Greenberg|first=David|title=Dog-Whistling Dixie: When Reagan said "states' rights," he was talking about race.|url=http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/history_lesson/2007/11/dogwhistling_dixie.html|newspaper=Slate|date=November 20, 2007|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/64tCNJh08|archivedate=January 22, 2012|deadurl=no}}</ref> According to an article in ''The American Conservative,'' Nixon adviser and speechwriter ] disputed this characterization.<ref>, ''The American Conservative'' magazine</ref>


In 1876, over 70% of voters participated in the election, but declined to less than 60% by 1896, and less than 30% by 1904. Voter participation reached a low of below 20% in the 1924 election. Increase voting rights in the 1950s and 1960s raised participation to 38% in 1952, and around 51% in 1968, the first time since 1896 that a majority voted. The percentage of black southerners who were registered to vote rose from around 20% in 1952, to 43% in 1964, and a majority in 1968.{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=214-217}}
The independent candidacy of ], former Democratic governor of ], partially negated Nixon's Southern strategy.<ref>{{cite news|last=Childs|first=Marquis|title=Wallace's Victory Weakens Nixon's Southern Strategy|url=http://news.google.com/newspapers?id=hy9IAAAAIBAJ&sjid=egANAAAAIBAJ&pg=1221,5431957&dq=southern-strategy&hl=en|newspaper=The Morning Record|date=June 8, 1970}}</ref> With a much more explicit attack on integration and black civil rights, Wallace won all of Goldwater's states (except ]), as well as ] and one of ]'s electoral votes. Nixon picked up ], ], ], ] and ], while Democratic nominee ] won only ] in the South. Writer ], who worked on the Nixon campaign as a ], said in 2006 that Nixon did not have a "Southern Strategy" but "Border State Strategy;" as he said that the 1968 campaign ceded the Deep South to George Wallace. Hart suggested that the press called it a "Southern Strategy" as they are "very lazy".<ref>{{cite video | people=] | date=2006-02-09 | title = The Making of the American Conservative Mind | medium=television | location=] | publisher=]}}</ref>


With control of powerful committees, Southern Democrats gained new federal military installations in the South and other federal investments during and after the war. Changes in industry and growth in universities and the military establishment in turn attracted Northern transplants to the South and bolstered the base of the Republican Party. In the post-war presidential campaigns, Republicans did best in those fastest-growing states of the South that had the most Northern transplants. In the ], ] and ], ], ] and ] went Republican while Louisiana went Republican in 1956 and ] twice voted for ] and once for ]. In 1956, Eisenhower received 48.9% of the Southern vote, becoming only the second Republican in history (after ]) to get a plurality of Southern votes.<ref>{{cite book |last1=Bartley |first1=Numan |last2=Graham |first2=Hugh Davis |date=2019 |title=Southern Politics and the Second Reconstruction |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=4hK9DwAAQBAJ&pg=PT132 |location=Baltimore, MD |publisher=Johns Hopkins University Press |page=132 |isbn=978-1-4214-3519-0 |via=]}}</ref> The 1956 election was the first time since 1872 that the Democratic presidential nominee failed to win a majority of the south's electoral votes.{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=189}}
In the ], by contrast, Nixon won every state in the Union except Massachusetts, winning more than 70 percent of the popular vote in most of the Deep South (Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, Florida, and South Carolina) and 61% of the national vote. He won more than 65 percent of the votes in the other states of the former ]. Nixon won 18% of the black vote nationwide. Despite his appeal to Southern whites, Nixon was widely perceived as a ] outside the South and won African-American votes on that basis.


The white conservative voters of the states of the Deep South remained loyal to the Democratic Party, which had not officially repudiated segregation. Due to declines in population or smaller rates of growth compared to other states, Mississippi, Alabama, Arkansas, and North Carolina lost congressional seats from the 1950s to the 1970s while South Carolina, Louisiana and ] remained static. Eisenhower was elected president in 1952, with strong support from the emerging middle class suburban element in the South. He appointed a number of Southern Republican supporters as federal judges in the South. They in turn ordered the desegregation of Southern schools in the 1950s and 1960s. They included ] judges ], ] and ] as well as district judges Frank Johnson and ].<ref>{{cite book|editor=Günter Bischof and Stephen E. Ambrose|title=Eisenhower: A Centenary Assessment|url=https://archive.org/details/eisenhowercenten0000bisc|url-access=registration|year=1995|publisher=Louisiana State University Press|pages=–93|isbn=978-0807119426}}</ref> Five of his{{who?|date=October 2024}} 24 appointees supported segregation.<ref>{{cite book|author=Sheldon Goldman|title=Picking Federal Judges: Lower Court Selection from Roosevelt Through Reagan|year=1999|publisher=Yale University Press|page=128}}</ref>
==Evolution==
]
As civil rights grew more accepted throughout the nation, basing a general election strategy on appeals to "]," which some would have believed opposed civil rights laws, would have resulted in a national backlash. The concept of "states' rights" was considered by some to be subsumed within a broader meaning than simply a reference to civil rights laws.<ref name="Counter"/><ref name="Branch" /> States rights became seen as encompassing a type of ] that would return local control of race relations.<ref>{{cite book|last1=Aistrup|first1=Joseph A.|title=The Southern Strategy Revisited: Republican Top-Down Advancement in the South|date=2015|publisher=University Press of Kentucky|isbn=0-8131-4792-1|page=48|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=oKMeBgAAQBAJ&lpg=PA44&dq=%22southern%20strategy%22%20%22welfare%20queen%22&pg=PA44#v=onepage&q&f=false}}</ref>


==Roots (1950s–1972)==
Republican strategist ] discussed the Southern strategy in a 1981 interview later published in ''Southern Politics in the 1990s'' by Alexander P. Lamis.<ref name="Herbert">{{cite news|title=Impossible, Ridiculous, Repugnant|last=Herbert|first=Bob|url=http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9C04E6DF1E30F935A35753C1A9639C8B63|date=October 6, 2005|publisher=The New York Times|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/64tABJOk0|archivedate=January 22, 2012|deadurl=no}}</ref>


===Eisenhower and Kennedy===
<blockquote>''Questioner'': But the fact is, isn't it, that Reagan does get to the ] voter and to the racist side of the Wallace voter by doing away with legal services, by cutting down on ]?</blockquote>
In the ], Eisenhower placed first in 39 southern congressional districts, four in the Deep South. Only six Republicans ] to the US House from the south, with five of them representing districts within the ]. The Republicans made a net gain of one seat in the ], but did not win any additional seats for the rest of the decade. There were only 15 Republican candidates for the US House in the entirety of the South in 1958.{{sfn|Black|Black|2002|p=62-66}}


Tower's victory over interim appointee ] in the ] was made possible by a split among Democrats and a lack of liberal support for the conservative Blakley. This win made Tower the first Republican elected to the US Senate from the south since the end of Reconstruction. In the senate, he voted with southern Democrats in opposition to civil rights legislation. Tower was succeeded by ], a Republican who left the Democratic Party. The Democrats maintained control of Texas' other senate seat until ].{{sfn|Black|Black|2002|p=88; 90-91; 93}}
<blockquote>''Atwater'': You start out in 1954 by saying, "], nigger, nigger." By 1968 you can't say "nigger" &mdash; that hurts you. Backfires. So you say stuff like ], states' rights and all that stuff. You're getting so abstract now you're talking about cutting taxes, and all these things you're talking about are totally economic things and a byproduct of them is blacks get hurt worse than whites. And subconsciously maybe that is part of it. I'm not saying that. But I'm saying that if it is getting that abstract, and that coded, that we are doing away with the racial problem one way or the other. You follow me &mdash; because obviously sitting around saying, "We want to cut this," is much more abstract than even the busing thing, and a hell of a lot more abstract than "Nigger, nigger."<ref name="Lamis1999">{{cite book|author=Lamis, Alexander P.|title=Southern Politics in the 1990s|url=http://books.google.com/books?id=GNr40qOoXOoC&pg=PA7|year=1999|publisher=Louisiana State University Press|isbn=978-0-8071-2374-4|pages=7–8}}</ref></blockquote>


===1964 election===
Atwater, in the same interview cited by Herbert, also stated that Reagan did not use such a strategy in his run for office:
In the early 1960s, leading Republicans including Goldwater began advocating for a plan they called the 'Southern Strategy', an effort to make Republican gains in the ], which had been pro-Democratic since the aftermath of the ].<ref>{{cite news |agency=] |date=November 17, 1961 |title=GOP Officials Map Southern Strategy |url=https://www.newspapers.com/clip/45843546/southern-strategy/ |work=] |location=Montgomery, AL |page=9A |via=]}}</ref><ref name="Alsop">{{cite news |last=Alsop|first=Joseph |date=November 14, 1962 |title='Southern Strategy': GOP Gains in Dixie May Alter Shape of Politics |url=https://www.newspapers.com/clip/99303215/southern-strategy/ |work=] |location=Birmingham, AL |page=10 |via=] }}</ref> Under the Southern Strategy, Republicans would continue an earlier effort to make inroads in the South, Operation Dixie, by ending attempts to appeal to ] voters in the Northern states, and instead appeal to white conservative voters in the South.<ref>{{cite news |last=Bell |first=Jack |agency=] |date=December 7, 1962 |title=G.O.P. Pledges Drive for South Congressional Seats |url=https://www.newspapers.com/clip/45843684/gop-pledges-drive/ |work=] |location=Cedar Rapids, IA |page=3 |via=]}}</ref> As documented by reporters and columnists, including ] and ], on the surface the Southern Strategy would appeal to white voters in the South by advocating against the ] programs of President ] and in favor of a smaller federal government and ], while less publicly arguing against the ] and in favor of continued ].<ref name="Alsop"/><ref>{{cite news |last=Krock |first=Arthur |date=March 27, 1963 |title=New York Times News Service: Go South, Young GOP Writers Advise |url=https://www.newspapers.com/clip/51941797/go-south/ |work=] |location=Fort Worth, TX |page=6 |via=]}}</ref><ref>{{cite book |last=Esposito |first=Joseph L. |date=2012 |title=Pragmatism, Politics, and Perversity: Democracy and the American Party Battle |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=d6_ToBp7Lm0C&pg=PA143 |location=Lanham, MD |publisher=Lexington Books |pages=143–144 |isbn=978-0-7391-7363-3 |via=]}}</ref><ref>{{cite book |last=Reinhard |first=David W. |date=1983 |title=The Republican Right Since 1945 |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=SscfBgAAQBAJ&pg=PA169 |location=Lexington, KY |publisher=University Press of Kentucky |pages=168–170 |isbn=978-0-8131-6440-3 |via=]}}</ref>
<blockquote>''Atwater:'' But Reagan did not have to do a southern strategy for two reasons. Number one, race was not a dominant issue. And number two, the mainstream issues in this campaign had been, quote, southern issues since way back in the sixties. So Reagan goes out and campaigns on the issues of economics and of national defense. The whole campaign was devoid of any kind of racism, any kind of reference. And I'll tell you another thing you all need to think about, that even surprised me, is the lack of interest, really, the lack of knowledge right now in the South among white voters about the Voting Rights Act."<ref>{{cite news|title=Exclusive: Lee Atwater's Infamous 1981 Interview on the Southern Strategy|author=Rick Perlstein|url=http://www.thenation.com/article/170841/exclusive-lee-atwaters-infamous-1981-interview-southern-strategy|website=]|date=November 13, 2012|accessdate=April 11, 2014}}</ref><ref>http://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2013/06/what-did-lee-atwater-really-say.php</ref></blockquote>


Congressman and Republican National Committee chairman ] concurred with Goldwater and backed the Southern Strategy, including holding private meetings of the RNC and other key Republican leaders in late 1962 and early 1963 so they could decide whether to implement it.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Evans |first1=Rowland |last2=Novak |first2=Robert |date=January 14, 1964 |title='Goldwater Can't Win' Battle Cry Launches Drive to Stop Senator |url=https://www.newspapers.com/clip/45842594/goldwater-cant-win/ |work=]|location=Oklahoma City, OK |page=10 |via=]}}</ref> Overruling the moderate and liberal wings of the party, its leadership decided to pursue the Southern Strategy for the 1964 elections and beyond.<ref name="EvansandNovak">{{cite news |last1=Evans |first1=Rowland |last2=Novak |first2=Robert |date=January 20, 1965 |title='Southern Strategy' Still Swaying Republican Leaders |url=https://www.newspapers.com/clip/45839896/southern-strategy/ |work=] |location=Tampa, FL |page=4B |via=]}}</ref>
In 1980, Republican candidate ] launched his campaign at the Neshoba County Fair<ref>{{cite web|title=Ronald Reagan's Neshoba County Speech|url=http://www.c-span.org/video/?293124-1/ronald-reagans-neshoba-county-speech|website=C-SPAN|publisher=C-SPAN|accessdate=6/11/15}}</ref> near ], the county where the ] during 1964's ]. The ] he gave there was cited as evidence that the Republican Party was building upon the Southern strategy again.<ref name="HerbertReagan">{{cite news| url=http://www.nytimes.com/2007/11/13/opinion/13herbert.html | work=The New York Times | first=Bob | last=Herbert | title=Righting Reagan's Wrongs? | date=November 13, 2007|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/64t9QbSNy|archivedate=January 22, 2012|deadurl=no}}</ref><ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.time.com/time/nation/article/0,8599,399921,00.html |work=Time |first=Jack |last=White |title=Lott, Reagan and Republican Racism|date=December 14, 2002|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/64t7SCrCn|archivedate=January 22, 2012|deadurl=no}}</ref><ref>Cannon, Lou (2003). '''', New York: Public Affairs, 477-78.</ref><ref>Michael Goldfield (1997) ''The Color of Politics: Race and the Mainspring of American Politics'', New York: The New Press, 314.</ref><ref>{{Cite book | isbn = 978-0-231-10419-7| page = 20 | last = Walton | first = Hanes | title = African American Power and Politics | year = 1997 }}</ref> However, others disagree with this view. David Brooks noted that the campaign staff was unsure about attending the event but it was a major political rally spot (Used by Dukakis in 1988). Reagan did mention "state's rights" but in context of education and with little reaction from the audience. Brooks concludes by stating that the claim this was an appeal to racism is a distortion. <ref>{{cite news|last1=Brooks|first1=David|title=Rewriting history on Reagan speech|url=http://www.utsandiego.com/uniontrib/20071110/news_lz1e10brooks.html|accessdate=6/17/2015|work=THE NEW YORK TIMES|publisher=The New York Times|date=November 10, 2007|ref=Brooks}}</ref> Kevin Drum, while critical of the campaign's decision to make an appearance at the fair and of Reagan's overall civil rights record, noted that Reagan routinely talked about states rights in a non-racial context and that Mississippi was a swing state at the time. Drum states that the accusations of racism in this presentation are "less than meets the eye"<ref>{{cite news|last1=Lathrop|first1=Ray|title=Reagan and Philadelphia|url=http://www2.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2004_06/004116.php|accessdate=6/17/2015|work=Washington Monthly|date=June 10, 2004}}</ref>


] won his home state of Arizona and five states in the ], depicted in red. The Southern states, traditionally Democratic up to that time, voted Republican primarily as a statement of opposition to the ], which had been passed in Congress earlier that year. Capturing 61.1% of the popular vote and 486 electors, Johnson won in a landslide.]]
Reagan's campaigns used racially-coded rhetoric, making attacks on the "]" and leveraging resentment towards ]. During his 1976 and 1980 campaigns Reagan employed stereotypes of welfare recipients, often invoking a ] with a large house and a Cadillac using multiple names to collect over $150,000 in tax-free income. His dog-whistle politics extended to field-testing language in the South referring to an unscrupulous man using food stamps as a "strapping young buck."<ref>{{cite book|last1=Aistrup|first1=Joseph A.|title=The Southern Strategy Revisited: Republican Top-Down Advancement in the South|date=2015|publisher=University Press of Kentucky|isbn=0-8131-4792-1|page=44|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=oKMeBgAAQBAJ&lpg=PA44&dq=%22southern%20strategy%22%20%22welfare%20queen%22&pg=PA44#v=onepage&q&f=false}}</ref><ref>{{cite news|last1=Haney-Lopez|first1=Ian|title=The racism at the heart of the Reagan presidency|url=http://www.salon.com/2014/01/11/the_racism_at_the_heart_of_the_reagan_presidency/|work=Salon|date=January 11, 2014|quote=Reagan also trumpeted his racial appeals in blasts against welfare cheats. On the stump, Reagan repeatedly invoked a story of a “Chicago welfare queen” with “eighty names, thirty addresses, twelve Social Security cards is collecting veteran’s benefits on four non-existing deceased husbands. She’s got Medicaid, getting food stamps, and she is collecting welfare under each of her names. Her tax-free cash income is over $150,000.”}}</ref>
Reagan was upset by the accusations of racism in his campaign, stating,"Because I said I believed states should be allowed to regain the rights and powers granted to them in the Constitution, he implied I was a racist pandering to Southern voters."<ref>{{cite web|last1=Murdock|first1=Deroy|title=Reagan, No Racist|url=http://www.nationalreview.com/article/222886/reagan-no-racist-deroy-murdock|website=National Review|accessdate=6/17/2015|ref=Murdock}}</ref>


Many ] Democrats were attracted to Goldwater's ]. Goldwater was notably more conservative than previous Republican nominees, such as President Eisenhower. Goldwater's principal opponent in the primary election, Governor ] of New York, was widely seen as representing the more moderate, pro-Civil Rights Act, Northern wing of the party (see ] and ]).<ref>{{cite book|author=Robert H Donaldson|title=Liberalism's Last Hurrah: The Presidential Campaign of 1964|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=9mTxBwAAQBAJ&pg=PT27|year=2015|publisher=Taylor & Francis|page=27|isbn=978-1317466093}}</ref>
In addition to presidential campaigns, Democratic charges of racism have been made about subsequent Republican campaigns for the ] and ] in the South. The ] commercials used by supporters of ] against ] in the ] were considered by many Democrats, including ], ], and many newspaper editors, to be racist. The 1990 re-election campaign of ] attacked his opponent's alleged support of "racial quotas," most notably through an ad in which a white person's hands are seen crumpling a letter indicating that he was denied a job because of the color of his skin.<ref> on ]</ref>


In the 1964 presidential election, Goldwater ran a conservative, ] campaign that broadly opposed strong action by the federal government. Although he had supported all previous federal civil rights legislation, Goldwater opposed the Civil Rights Act and championed this opposition during the campaign.<ref name=cra64>{{cite web|url=http://finduslaw.com/civil_rights_act_of_1964_cra_title_vii_equal_employment_opportunities_42_us_code_chapter_21 |title=Civil Rights Act of 1964 – CRA – Title VII – Equal Employment Opportunities – 42 US Code Chapter 21 |publisher=Finduslaw.com |access-date=January 22, 2012}}</ref><ref>{{Cite book|url=https://global.oup.com/academic/product/the-long-southern-strategy-9780190265960?cc=us&lang=en&The%20Long%20Southern%20Strategy#|title=The Long Southern Strategy: How Chasing White Voters in the South Changed American Politics|year=2019|publisher=Oxford University Press|isbn=978-0190265960|location=Oxford, New York}}</ref> He believed that this act was an intrusion of the federal government into the affairs of state; and that the Act interfered with the rights of private people to do business, or not, with whomever they chose, even if the choice is based on racial discrimination.
''New York Times'' opinion columnist ] wrote in 2005 that "The truth is that there was very little that was subconscious about the G.O.P.'s relentless appeal to racist whites. Tired of losing elections, it saw an opportunity to renew itself by opening its arms wide to white voters who could never forgive the Democratic Party for its support of civil rights and voting rights for blacks."<ref name="Herbert"/> However the quality of the opinion article was questioned by Deroy Murdock who replies, "Examined honestly, the diabolical phrase, “state’s rights,” which Krugman and Herbert decry as a plea for white power, dissolves into an innocuous call for Conservatism 101: A smaller federal government with revenues and public programs left as close to the people as possible. If Krugman and Herbert are unfamiliar with this concept, they can start by reading the 10th Amendment."{{cn}}


Goldwater's position appealed to white Southern Democrats and Goldwater was the first Republican presidential candidate since ] to win the electoral votes of the Deep South states (Louisiana, Georgia, Alabama, Mississippi and South Carolina). Outside the South, Goldwater's negative vote on the Civil Rights Act proved devastating to his campaign. The only other state he won was his home one of Arizona and he suffered a landslide defeat. A ] ad called "]", which ran in Northern and Western states, associated Goldwater with the Ku Klux Klan (KKK). At the same time, Johnson's campaign in the Deep South publicized Goldwater's support for pre-1964 civil rights legislation. In the end, Johnson swept the election.<ref>{{cite web|last1=Gregg|first1=Khyree|title=Election of 1964|url=http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/showelection.php?year=1964|website=American Presidency Project|access-date=6 May 2015}}</ref>
Joseph Aistrup described the transition of the Southern strategy saying that it has "evolved from a states’ rights, racially conservative message to one promoting in the Nixon years, vis-à-vis the courts, a racially conservative interpretation of civil rights laws—including opposition to busing. With the ascendancy of Reagan, the Southern Strategy became a national strategy that melded race, taxes, anticommunism, and religion."<ref name="Aistrup">Aistrup, Joseph A. ''The Southern Strategy Revisited: Republican Top-down Advancement in the South'' University Press of Kentucky, 1996</ref>


In September, Thurmond left the Democratic Party and joined the Republicans. Goldwater gave a televised speech in Columbia, South Carolina, that featured segregationist politicians on-stage with him, including Thurmond, ], ], ], ], and ], in which he criticized the Civil Rights Act.{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=152-153}}
In later decades, some analysts made the argument that Southern whites' move to the Republican Party had more to do with economic interests than racism. In ''The End of Southern Exceptionalism'', political scientists Richard Johnston and Byron Shafer argued that Republican dominance in the South was driven by increasing numbers of wealthy suburbanites.<ref name="Risen">{{cite news|url=http://www.nytimes.com/2006/12/10/magazine/10Section2b.t-4.html|title=The Myth of 'the Southern Strategy'|last=Risen|first=Clay|date=December 10, 2006|publisher=The New York Times|accessdate=2008-08-02|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/64tFQT7MN|archivedate=January 22, 2012|deadurl=no}}</ref> Conversely, other scholarship has reaffirmed the role of racial factors: in 2005, Valentino and Sears reported that "the South's shift to the Republican party has been driven to a significant degree by racial conservatism".<ref name="valentino-sears">{{cite journal | journal = American Journal of Political Science | volume = 49 | pages = 672&ndash;688 | doi = 10.1111/j.1540-5907.2005.00136.x | author = Valentino NA, Sears DO | title = Old Times There Are Not Forgotten: Race and Partisan Realignment in the Contemporary South | year = 2005 | url = http://web.posc.jmu.edu/seminar/readings/4a-realignment/race+party%20realignment%20in%20the%20south%20old%20times%20not%20forgotten.pdf}}</ref>


{{Blockquote|If you can convince the lowest white man he's better than the best colored man, he won't notice you're picking his pocket. Hell, give him somebody to look down on, and he'll empty his pockets for you.|Lyndon Johnson<ref>1960s remark to ], "What a Real President Was Like," ], 13 November 1988.</ref>}}
Some analysts viewed the 1990s as the apogee of ] or the Southern strategy, given that the Democratic president ] and vice-president ] were from the South, as were Congressional leaders on both sides of the aisle.<ref name="Adam Nossiter 2008">{{cite news|last=Nossiter|first=Adam|title=For South, a Waning Hold on National Politics|url=http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/11/us/politics/11south.html?pagewanted=all|newspaper=The New York Times|date=November 10, 2008|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/64szQ8Ey6|archivedate=January 22, 2012|deadurl=no}}</ref> During the end of Nixon's presidency, the Senators representing the former Confederate states in the ] were primarily Democrats. During the beginning of Bill Clinton's, 20 years later in the ], this was still the case.


Goldwater performed well in the Deep South, but fared poorly in other southern states due to his conservative policies. Goldwater was an opponent of the ] and stated that it "was a big fat sacred ] cow". He received significant criticism for this statement and later wrote that "You would have thought I had just shot Santa Claus" about the response. ], a financial backer of Goldwater's campaign, wrote a memo criticizing Goldwater for "shooting from the hip" and "kicking a sleeping dog". His initial lead in North Carolina was undone by his opposition to federal tobacco price support. He was hurt in Florida due to his desire to privatize ] and his criticism of the United States' ].{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=205-206}}
==Shift in strategy==
While running for President, Clinton promised to "end welfare as we have come to know it" while in office.<ref name="promise">{{cite news |first=Barbara| last=Vobejda| title= Clinton Signs Welfare Bill Amid Division |url=http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/special/welfare/stories/wf082396.htm |publisher='']'' |date=August 22, 1996 |accessdate=2013-10-21 }}</ref> In 1996, Clinton would fulfill his campaign promise and one manifestation of the longtime GOP goal of major ] was passed. After two welfare reform bills sponsored by the GOP-controlled Congress were successfully vetoed by the President,<ref name=salonafr /> a compromise was eventually reached; Clinton signed the ] into law on August 22, 1996.<ref name="promise" /> Around this time, the main focus the Southern Strategy had drifted away from race-related campaign issues and shifted towards cultural issues, such as the preservation of ] in American society.<ref>{{cite book|last1=Aistrup|first1=Joseph A.|title=The Southern Strategy Revisited: Republican Top-Down Advancement in the South|date=2015|publisher=University Press of Kentucky|isbn=0-8131-4792-1|page=56-58|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=oKMeBgAAQBAJ&lpg=PA44&dq=%22southern%20strategy%22%20%22welfare%20queen%22&pg=PA44#v=onepage&q&f=false}}</ref>


At the time, Goldwater was at odds in his position with most of the prominent members of the Republican Party, dominated by so-called Eastern Establishment and Midwestern Progressives. A higher percentage of the Republicans and Democrats outside the South supported the Civil Rights Act of 1964, as they had on all previous Civil Rights legislation. The ] mostly opposed the Northern and Western politicians regardless of party affiliation—and their Presidents (Kennedy and Johnson)—on civil rights issues. At the same time, passage of the Civil Rights Act caused many black voters to join the Democratic Party, which moved the party and its nominees in a ] direction.<ref name=rutenberg>{{cite news|last1=Rutenberg|first1=Jim|title=A Dream Undone|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2015/07/29/magazine/voting-rights-act-dream-undone.html|access-date=29 July 2015|newspaper=The New York Times|date=29 July 2015}}</ref>
In the mid-1990s, the Republican Party made major attempts to court African-American voters, believing that the strength of religious values within the African-American community and the growing number of affluent and middle-class African Americans would lead this group increasingly to support Republican candidates.<ref name=uooozv> Facts on File.com</ref> An early example of this shift showed during the 1996 Presidential election, when Republican Presidential nominee ] chose ] as his running mate. The New York Congressman had long advocated for urban revitalization projects, a position to appeal to inner-city blacks.<ref name="NY Times 1996" /><ref name="NY Times 1996" /> General ], an African American who gained national recognition for his role in ]'s success, announced he was a registered Republican.<ref name="NY Times 1996" /> (He later was appointed as Secretary of State in the Bush administration.)


===Nixon===
Though the Republican Party attracted the interests of some African-American voters,<ref name=uooozv /> the group still remained loyal to the Democratic Party.<ref name="NY Times 1996" /><ref name=uooozv /> During his time in office, Clinton connected greatly with the Africans Americans.<ref name=salonafr> - interview with DeWayne Wickham, ], Suzy Hansen, published February 22, 2002, accessed October 21, 2013.</ref> Born into a poor, Southern working-class family, Clinton life and social-economic status growing up resembled that of many African Americans. Since his youth, Clinton had befriended several African Americans. He was easy about making these friendships public since his time as Governor of Arkansas.<ref name=salonafr /> In addition to his background,<ref name=salonafr /> Clinton's policies and decisions to appoint numerous African Americans in his cabinet helped him cement his status among those voters.<ref name=salonafr /> <!--he did other things, as well-->By the time he left office, Clinton's popularity in the African American community surpassed that of ] and longtime African American civil rights activist ], according to polls. His administration strengthened African-American loyalty to the Democratic Party.<ref name=salonafr />


===21st century=== ====1968 election====
Johnson was concerned that his endorsement of civil rights legislation would endanger his party in the South. In the ], ] saw the cracks in the ] as an opportunity to tap into a group of voters who had historically been beyond the reach of the Republican Party. George Wallace had exhibited a strong candidacy in that election, where he garnered 46 electoral votes and nearly 10 million popular votes, attracting mostly Southern Democrats away from Hubert Humphrey.<ref>] (March 5, 2006). . {{subscription required}} ''The Boston Globe.'' Retrieved 2007-02-11</ref><ref>Thomas R. Dye, Louis Schubert, Harmon Zeigler. , Cengage Learning. 2011</ref><ref>Ted Van Dyk. , ''Wall Street Journal'', 2008</ref> Humphrey had the worst performance for a Democratic presidential nominee in the South since the ].{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=113}}
Few African Americans voted for ] and other national Republican candidates in the 2004 elections, although he attracted a higher percentage of black voters than had any GOP candidate since President ].{{Citation needed|date=May 2011}} Following Bush's re-election, ], Bush's campaign manager and Chairman of the ], held several large meetings in 2005 with African-American business, community, and religious leaders. In his speeches, he apologized for his party's use of the Southern Strategy in the past. When asked about the strategy of using race as an issue to build GOP dominance in the once-Democratic South, Mehlman replied,
<blockquote>"Republican candidates often have prospered by ignoring black voters and even by exploiting racial tensions," and, "by the '70s and into the '80s and '90s, the Democratic Party solidified its gains in the African-American community, and we Republicans did not effectively reach out. Some Republicans gave up on winning the African-American vote, looking the other way or trying to benefit politically from racial polarization. I am here today as the Republican chairman to tell you we were wrong."<ref name="Allen">{{cite news|url=http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/07/13/AR2005071302342.html|title=RNC Chief to Say It Was 'Wrong' to Exploit Racial Conflict for Votes|last=Allen|first=Mike|date=July 14, 2005|publisher=Washington Post|accessdate=2008-08-02|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/64tEumSuH|archivedate=January 22, 2012|deadurl=no}}</ref><ref>{{cite news|last=Benedetto|first=Richard|title=GOP: 'We were wrong' to play racial politics|url=http://www.usatoday.com/news/washington/2005-07-14-GOP-racial-politics_x.htm|accessdate=January 22, 2012|newspaper=USA Today|date=July 14, 2005}}</ref></blockquote>


The notion of ] advocated by the ] leaders captured some of the frustrations of African Americans at the slow process of change in gaining civil rights and social justice. African Americans pushed for faster change, raising racial tensions.<ref>Zinn, Howard (1999) '']'' New York: HarperCollins, 457–61</ref> Journalists reporting about the demonstrations against the Vietnam War often featured young people engaging in violence or burning draft cards and American flags.<ref>Zinn, Howard (1999) ''A People's History of the United States'' New York:HarperCollins, 491</ref> Conservatives were also dismayed about the many young adults engaged in the ] ] and "free love" (sexual ]), in what was called the "]" ]. These actions scandalized many Americans and created a concern about law and order.
The election of President Barack Obama saw a new type of Southern strategy emerge among conservative voters. His election is utilized as evidence of a ] to deny the need of continued civil rights legislation, while simultaneously playing on racial tensions and marking him as a "racial bogeyman".<ref name="Edge"/> Thomas Edge described three parts to this phenomenon saying:


]]]
<blockquote>"First, according to the arguments, a nation that has the ability to elect a Black president is completely free of racism. Second, attempts to continue the remedies enacted after the civil rights movement will only result in more racial discord, demagoguery, and racism against ''White Americans''. Third, these tactics are used side-by-side with the veiled racism and coded language of the ''original'' Southern Strategy."<ref name="Edge">{{cite journal|last1=Edge|first1=Thomas|title=Southern Strategy 2.0: Conservatives, White Voters, and the Election of Barack Obama|journal=Journal of Black Studies|date=January 2010|volume=40|issue=3|pages=426–444|url=http://www.jstor.org/stable/40648600}}</ref></blockquote>


Nixon's advisers recognized that they could not appeal directly to voters on issues of ] or racism. White House Chief of Staff ] noted that Nixon "emphasized that you have to face the fact that the whole problem is really the blacks. The key is to devise a system that recognized this while not appearing to".<ref>{{cite book|last1=Robin|first1=Corey|author-link1=Corey Robin|title=The Reactionary Mind: Conservatism from Edmund Burke to Sarah Palin|date=2011|publisher=Oxford University Press|location=New York|isbn=978-0-19-979393-8|page=|url=https://archive.org/details/isbn_9780199793747|url-access=registration|quote=southern strategy Corey Robin.}}</ref> With the aid of Harry Dent and South Carolina Senator Strom Thurmond, who had switched to the Republican Party in 1964, Nixon ran his ] on ] and "law and order". Liberal Northern Democrats accused Nixon of pandering to Southern whites, especially with regard to his "states' rights" and "law and order" positions, which were widely understood by black leaders to symbolize Southern resistance to civil rights.<ref name="Johnson">{{cite news|url=https://www.nytimes.com/1968/08/13/archives/negro-leaders-see-bias-in-call-of-nixon-for-law-and-order.html |title=Negro Leaders See Bias in Call Of Nixon for 'Law and Order'|last=Johnson|first=Thomas A.|date=August 13, 1968|work=The New York Times|page=27|access-date=2008-08-02}}{{subscription required}}</ref> This tactic was described in 2007 by David Greenberg in '']'' as "]".<ref>{{cite magazine|url=https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2007/11/what-reagan-meant-by-states-rights.html|title=Dog-Whistling Dixie|first=David|last=Greenberg|magazine=]|date=November 20, 2007|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20071124153022/http://www.slate.com/id/2178379/pagenum/all/|archive-date=November 24, 2007|access-date=April 11, 2024|url-status=dead}}</ref> According to an article in ''The American Conservative'', Nixon adviser and speechwriter ] disputed this characterization.<ref>, ''The American Conservative'' magazine</ref>
===Southern strategy and Southernization===
In 2005, ] chairman ] formally apologized to the ] for exploiting racial polarization to win elections and ignoring the black vote.<ref name="Mehlman">{{cite news|last=Rondy|first=John|title=GOP ignored black vote, chairman says: RNC head apologizes at NAACP meeting|url=http://www.boston.com/news/nation/articles/2005/07/15/gop_ignored_black_vote_chairman_says/|newspaper=The Boston Globe|date=July 15, 2005|agency=Reuters|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/64t1tyBbe|archivedate=January 22, 2012|deadurl=no}}</ref> But two days after his address to the NAACP he characterized this as a general strategy, not particularly Southern: "It always interests me when people say it was a Southern strategy. The fact is that folks in the North, the South, the East and the West sometimes did this."<ref>Transcript of ''CNN Late Edition'' with Wolf Blitzer from July 17, 2005 http://transcripts.cnn.com/TRANSCRIPTS/0507/17/le.01.html retrieved 10/14/2013</ref>


Nixon met with southern Republicans and party chairmen, including ] and Thurmond, on May 31, 1968, in Atlanta, Georgia, and promised to slow integration efforts and forced busing. ] entered the 1968 primary late and attempted to gain the support of the southern delegations, with Nixon stating that "it was Ronald Reagan who set the hearts of many Southern Republicans aflutter", but the delegations had committed to Nixon and Thurmond helped maintain their support for Nixon.{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=134-136}} Southern delegates accounted for 46% of the delegates needed to win the nomination at the 1968 convention. Nixon received his highest level of support from the south, which gave him 74% of their vote and accounted for 33% of his overall support.{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=132}}
In a ''New York Times'' article writer Adam Nossiter quoted three political scientists who considered the decisive victory of Democratic Senator ] in the ] and subsequent ] to represent the lessened influence of Southernization in national politics:


Nixon wrote in his memoir that the south was the most important region for winning both the nomination and the presidency. However, he had to concede the Deep South to Wallace and instead presented himself as a compromise between Wallace and Humphrey to the rest of the south.{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=298}} Nixon's campaign in the south was managed by ] and Thurmond. Dent had Nixon used euphemisms in opposition to school desegregation and forced busing.{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=300}}
*Wayne Parent, a political scientist at ], said that "The region’s absence from Mr. Obama’s winning formula means it's becoming distinctly less important,... The South has moved from being the center of the political universe to being an outside player in presidential politics."<ref name="Adam Nossiter 2008"/>


The independent candidacy of George Wallace partially negated Nixon's Southern Strategy.<ref>{{cite news|last=Childs|first=Marquis|title=Wallace's Victory Weakens Nixon's Southern Strategy|url=https://news.google.com/newspapers?id=hy9IAAAAIBAJ&pg=1221,5431957&dq=southern-strategy&hl=en|newspaper=The Morning Record|date=June 8, 1970}}</ref> With a much more explicit attack on integration and civil rights, Wallace won almost all of Goldwater's states. Nixon picked up Virginia, Tennessee, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Florida while Democratic nominee Hubert Humphrey won only Texas. Writer ], who worked on the Nixon campaign as a ], said in 2006 that Nixon did not have a "Southern Strategy", but "Border State Strategy" as he said that the 1968 campaign ceded the Deep South to George Wallace. Hart suggested that the press called it a "Southern Strategy" as they are "very lazy".<ref>{{cite video | people=] | date=2006-02-09 | title = The Making of the American Conservative Mind | medium=television | location=] | publisher=]}}</ref>
*], a political scientist at the ], stated that the Republicans had become "a Southernized party.... They have completely marginalized themselves to a mostly regional party," noting that he believed ] was over and that the South was no longer needed to win national elections.<ref name="Adam Nossiter 2008"/>


Nixon won 29% of the white vote in the Deep South compared to Wallace's 63%, but won 45% of the white vote in the peripheral south compared to Wallace's 31% and Humphrey's 24%. Numan V. Bartley and ] wrote that Nixon performed best in the metropolitan, urban, and suburban areas of the south where law and order rhetoric appealed better while performing worse in smaller cities and rural areas.{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=302-303}}
*], an expert on the region’s politics at ] in ], said the Republican Party went too far in appealing to the South, alienating voters elsewhere. 'They’ve maxed out on the South,' he said, which has 'limited their appeal in the rest of the country.'"<ref name="Adam Nossiter 2008"/>

{{col-begin}}
{{col-2}}
{|class="wikitable sortable mw-collapsible"
|+Percentage of white vote won in southern states{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=147}}{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=295}}{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=335}}
|-
!State
!1964
!1968
!1972
!1976
!1980
!1984
!1988
|-
|Alabama
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|77|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|23|100|hex={{party color|Dixiecrat}}}}
|{{Party shading/American Independent}} | {{Composition bar|78|100|hex={{party color|American Independent}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|16|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|4|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|83|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|14|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Democratic}} | {{Composition bar|50|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|48|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|59|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|36|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|73|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|25|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} |{{Composition bar|71|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|28|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|-
|Arkansas
|{{Party shading/Democratic}} | {{Composition bar|49|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|51|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/American Independent}} | {{Composition bar|46|100|hex={{party color|American Independent}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|36|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|19|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|80|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|19|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Democratic}} | {{Composition bar|58|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|42|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|53|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|42|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|68|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|31|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|63|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|36|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|-
|Florida
|{{Party shading/Democratic}} | {{Composition bar|56|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|44|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|45|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|32|100|hex={{party color|American Independent}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|23|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|78|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|22|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Democratic}} | {{Composition bar|51|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|47|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|62|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|31|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|71|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|29|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|67|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|33|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|-
|Georgia
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|65|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}}<br/> {{Composition bar|35|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/American Independent}} | {{Composition bar|51|100|hex={{party color|American Independent}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|36|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|13|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|90|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|10|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Democratic}} | {{Composition bar|58|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|42|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Democratic}} | {{Composition bar|50|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|47|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|73|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|27|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|72|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|27|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|-
|Louisiana
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|65|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}}<br/> {{Composition bar|35|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/American Independent}} | {{Composition bar|60|100|hex={{party color|American Independent}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|28|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|12|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|77|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|15|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Democratic}} | {{Composition bar|57|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|40|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|63|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|33|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|76|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|23|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|68|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|30|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|-
|Mississippi
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|91|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}}<br/> {{Composition bar|9|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/American Independent}} | {{Composition bar|83|100|hex={{party color|American Independent}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|17|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|0|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|100|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|0|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Democratic}} | {{Composition bar|60|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|36|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|62|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|35|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|79|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|20|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|76|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|23|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|-
|North Carolina
|{{Party shading/Democratic}} | {{Composition bar|49|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}}<br/> {{Composition bar|51|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|46|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|37|100|hex={{party color|American Independent}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|18|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|78|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|20|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Democratic}} | {{Composition bar|51|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|48|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|57|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|39|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|73|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|27|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|68|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|32|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|-
|South Carolina
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|70|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}}<br/> {{Composition bar|30|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|48|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|41|100|hex={{party color|American Independent}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|12|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|85|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|13|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Democratic}} | {{Composition bar|55|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|44|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|64|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|32|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|82|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|17|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|79|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|20|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|-
|Tennessee
|{{Party shading/Democratic}} | {{Composition bar|51|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}}<br/> {{Composition bar|49|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|43|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|39|100|hex={{party color|American Independent}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|19|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|75|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|22|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Democratic}} | {{Composition bar|51|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|48|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|55|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|42|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|65|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|34|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|65|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|34|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|-
|Texas
|{{Party shading/Democratic}} | {{Composition bar|44|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}}<br/> {{Composition bar|56|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Democratic}} | {{Composition bar|45|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|34|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|22|100|hex={{party color|American Independent}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|73|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|26|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Democratic}} | {{Composition bar|53|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|46|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|59|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|37|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|70|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|30|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|61|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|38|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|-
|Virginia
|{{Party shading/Democratic}} | {{Composition bar|52|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}}<br/> {{Composition bar|48|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|51|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|28|100|hex={{party color|American Independent}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|21|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|78|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|22|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|56|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|40|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|59|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|33|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|72|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|27|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|{{Party shading/Republican}} | {{Composition bar|69|100|hex={{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}}} <br/> {{Composition bar|30|100|hex={{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}}}
|}
{{col-end}}

====Midterms and 1972 election====
Glen Moore argues that in 1970 Nixon and the Republican Party developed a "Southern Strategy" for the midterm elections. The strategy involved depicting Democratic candidates as permissive liberals. Republicans thereby managed to unseat ] of Tennessee as well as Senator ] of Maryland. However, for the entire region the net result was a small loss of seats for the Republican Party in the South.<ref>Glen Moore, "Richard M. Nixon and the 1970 Midterm Elections in the South." ''Southern Historian'' 12 (1991) pp. 60–71.</ref>

Regional attention in 1970 focused on the Senate, when Nixon nominated Judge ] of Florida, a judge on the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals to the Supreme Court.<ref>John Paul Hill, "Nixon's Southern Strategy Rebuffed: Senator Marlow W. Cook and the Defeat of Judge G. Harrold Carswell for the US Supreme Court." ''Register of the Kentucky Historical Society'' 112#4 (2014). 613–50.</ref> Carswell was a lawyer from north Florida with a mediocre record, but Nixon needed a Southerner and a "strict constructionist" to support his "Southern Strategy" of moving the region toward the GOP. Carswell was voted down by the liberal block in the Senate, causing a backlash that pushed many Southern Democrats into the Republican fold. The long-term result was a realization by both parties that nominations to the Supreme Court could have a major impact on political attitudes in the South.<ref>Bruce H. Kalk, "The Carswell Affair: The Politics of a Supreme Court Nomination in the Nixon Administration". ''American Journal of Legal History'' (1998): 261–87. </ref>

In a year-by-year analysis of how the transformation took place in the critical state of Virginia, James Sweeney shows that the slow collapse of the old statewide ] gave the Republicans the opportunity to build local organizations county by county and city by city. The Democratic Party factionalized, with each faction having the goal of taking over the entire statewide ], but the Byrd leadership was basically conservative and more in line with the national Republican Party in economic and foreign policy issues. Republicans united behind ] in 1969 and swept the state. In the ], the Byrd machine made a comeback by electing Independent ] over Republican ] and Democrat ]. The new Senator Byrd never joined the Republican Party and instead joined the Democratic caucus. Nevertheless, he had a mostly conservative voting record especially on the trademark Byrd issue of the national deficit. At the local level, the 1970s saw steady Republican growth with this emphasis on a middle-class suburban electorate that had little interest in the historic issues of rural agrarianism and racial segregation.<ref>James R. Sweeney, "Southern strategies," ''Virginia Magazine of History & Biography'' (1998) 106#2 pp. 165–200.</ref>

Nixon won 79% of the southern white vote in the 1972 election, and received 86% of the white vote in the Deep South. CBS reported that Nixon won former Wallace voters three to one.{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=305}} Nixon's highest margins of victory in the national election were in Mississippi and Georgia.{{sfn|Moreland|Steed|Baker|1991|p=56}} It was the first time that a Republican presidential candidate won the entirety of the south.{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=306}}

], who left the Democratic Party in 1971, was ] to the US Senate from North Carolina. He never supported any civil rights legislation during his tenure. Helms received large amounts of support from white voters and tied himself to Reagan and opposition to ] during the ]. His campaign against black Democratic nominee ] in the ] was racially charged as he focused on messaging of black people taking jobs from white people.{{sfn|Black|Black|2002|p=103-109}} He ran an ] in which a white person was denied a job due to racial quotas. Carter Wrenn, who was involved in the ad's creation, stated that "We played the race card".<ref>{{Cite news |date=September 10, 2012 |title=Political Pro With Race-Baiting Past Doesn't See It In Romney's Welfare Charge |work=] |url=https://www.npr.org/sections/itsallpolitics/2012/09/10/160885683/political-pro-with-race-baiting-past-doesnt-see-it-in-romneys-welfare-charge |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230924042131/https://www.npr.org/sections/itsallpolitics/2012/09/10/160885683/political-pro-with-race-baiting-past-doesnt-see-it-in-romneys-welfare-charge |archive-date=September 24, 2023}}</ref>

], a Republican who opposed busing, ran in the ] against conservative Democrat ]. Nunn won the election, but was the first Democrat to win a senatorial election in Georgia while losing the white vote.{{sfn|Black|Black|2002|p=120; 122}}

===1976 election===
Carter, the first major party presidential candidate from the deep south since ], won every southern state except for Virginia in the ].{{sfn|Moreland|Steed|Baker|1991|p=56-57}} Carter's campaign operated on a strategy that was based around winning the south. His campaign manager, ], wrote that the south "provided us with a base of support that cannot be taken for granted or jeopardized" as the "Republicans cannot win if they write off the South". However, the campaign did not publicly emphasize the importance of the south with Jordan stating that it would "be harmful nationally if we were perceived as having a South strategy".{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=330}}

] stated that televisions ads by the Carter campaign in the south "were blatant-]". To avoid being viewed as a liberal in the south Carter campaigned with Wallace and voice opposition to welfare and support for balanced budgets and national defense. He also campaigned with segregationist senators ] and ]{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=332-333}}

Ford's poor performance in the south, winning only 9% of its electoral votes, greatly increased the amount of support he needed in the rest of the country to win.{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=306-307}} However, Carter only won the white vote in Georgia, Arkansas, and Tennessee.{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=334}}

==Evolution (1970s and 1980s)==

===Reagan===
After his accession to the presidency Ford selected ], rather than ], to serve as his vice president. ] stated that Bush would have been better for party unity, but that Rockefeller would receive better coverage from the media and make Ford a stronger candidate in the 1976 election. Conservatives, including Reagan, opposed the selection as Rockefeller "might inherit the presidency" according to ].{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=275-276}}

Ford was the first incumbent Republican president to face significant primary opposition since Taft in 1912.{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=274}} Reagan's campaign was performing poorly following defeats in New Hampshire, Florida, and Illinois. In North Carolina, Ford was backed by moderate Governor ] while Reagan was backed by Helms and ]. North Carolina was Reagan's first victory during the 1976 primary and he also won Texas, Alabama, and Georgia. However, he failed to win in Tennessee due to comments suggesting he might not support continuation of the TVA. One-third of Reagan's delegate support at the convention came from the south.{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=277-279}}

], Reagan's campaign manager in 1976, proposed that he moderate his policies to prevent being seen as another Goldwater. On the day Reagan won the ] he replaced Sears with ], who shifted to more conservative messaging.{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=279-280}}

Reagan's victories in the south solidified his control of the Republican nomination. ] and ] managed his successful campaign in South Carolina despite ] having the support of Thurmond and Governor ]. Reagan won the entire south with him taking over 60% in North Carolina, over 70% in Alabama, Georgia, Tennessee, and Louisiana, and over 80% in Mississippi.{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=281}}

]]]

As civil rights grew more accepted throughout the nation, basing a general election strategy on appeals to "states' rights", which some would have believed opposed civil rights laws, would have resulted in a national backlash. The concept of "states' rights" was considered by some to be subsumed within a broader meaning than simply a reference to civil rights laws.<ref name="Counter"/><ref name="Branch" /> States rights became seen as encompassing a type of ] that would return local control of race relations.<ref>{{cite book|last1=Aistrup|first1=Joseph A.|title=The Southern Strategy Revisited: Republican Top-Down Advancement in the South|date=2015|publisher=University Press of Kentucky|isbn=978-0-8131-4792-5|page=48|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=oKMeBgAAQBAJ&q=%22southern%20strategy%22%20%22welfare%20queen%22&pg=PA44}}</ref> Republican strategist Atwater discussed the Southern Strategy in a 1981 interview later published in ''Southern Politics in the 1990s'' by Alexander P. Lamis.<ref name="Lamis1999">{{cite book|author=Lamis, Alexander P.|title=Southern Politics in the 1990s|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=GNr40qOoXOoC&pg=PA7|year=1999|publisher=Louisiana State University Press|isbn=978-0-8071-2374-4|pages=7–8, 26}}</ref><ref>{{cite book|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=loMDqAdFnAcC&q=%22All+you+have+to+do+to+keep+the+South+is+for+Reagan%22&pg=PA138|title=The Persuadable Voter|isbn=978-1400831593|last1=Sunshine Hillygus|first1=D.|last2=Shields|first2=Todd G.|year=2014|publisher=Princeton University Press }}</ref><ref>{{cite journal |author=Rick Perlstein |date=13 November 2012 |title=Exclusive: Lee Atwater's Infamous 1981 Interview on the Southern Strategy |url=https://www.thenation.com/article/archive/exclusive-lee-atwaters-infamous-1981-interview-southern-strategy/ |journal=The Nation}}</ref><ref>{{YouTube|id=X_8E3ENrKrQ|title=Exclusive: Lee Atwater's Infamous 1981 Interview on the Southern Strategy}}</ref>

{{Blockquote|Atwater: As to the whole Southern strategy that Harry Dent and others put together in 1968, opposition to the Voting Rights Act would have been a central part of keeping the South. Now doesn't have to do that. All you have to do to keep the South is for Reagan to run in place on the issues he's campaigned on since 1964 and that's fiscal conservatism, balancing the budget, cut taxes, you know, the whole cluster...

Questioner: But the fact is, isn't it, that Reagan does get to the ] voter and to the racist side of the Wallace voter by doing away with legal services, by cutting down on ]?

Atwater: Y'all don't quote me on this. You start out in 1954 by saying, "], nigger, nigger." By 1968 you can't say "nigger"—that hurts you. Backfires. So you say stuff like ], states' rights and all that stuff. You're getting so abstract now you're talking about cutting taxes, and all these things you're talking about are totally economic things and a byproduct of them is blacks get hurt worse than whites. And subconsciously maybe that is part of it. I'm not saying that. But I'm saying that if it is getting that abstract, and that coded, that we are doing away with the racial problem one way or the other. You follow me—because obviously sitting around saying, "We want to cut this," is much more abstract than even the busing thing, and a hell of a lot more abstract than "Nigger, nigger."}}

From the ] to ] Georgia was the only southern state to support a Democratic presidential candidate.{{sfn|Moreland|Steed|Baker|1991|p=23}} Republicans won US Senate seats in Mississippi and Alabama for the first time since Reconstruction in 1978 and 1980, and a statewide office in Georgia in 1980.{{sfn|Moreland|Steed|Baker|1991|p=37}}{{sfn|Moreland|Steed|Baker|1991|p=58}}{{sfn|Moreland|Steed|Baker|1991|p=96}} ]'s victory in the ] made him the first Republican to defeat an incumbent Democratic senator in the deep south.{{sfn|Black|Black|2002|p=124}} Georgia, Kentucky, and Mississippi were the only southern states to not elect a Republican governor in the 1980s.{{sfn|Moreland|Steed|Baker|1991|p=24}}<ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.nga.org/former-governors/kentucky/ |title=Former Governors - Kentucky |date=2020 |website=NGA.org |publisher=National Governors Association |location=Washington, DC |access-date=July 31, 2024}}</ref> The number of registered Republican voters increased in the south during the 1980s with Louisiana rising from 7% in 1980 to 16% in 1988, North Carolina rising from 24% to 30%, and Florida rising from 30% to 39%.{{sfn|Moreland|Steed|Baker|1991|p=29}}

During the Reagan administration, there was a decline in Republican congressional support in the south. Republicans held 10 of the 22 US Senate seats and 39 seats in the US House of Representatives from the south after the 1980 election, but declined to 7 senate seats while maintaining its representation in the US House of Representatives despite reapportionment increasing the south's seat total by eight. Republicans did not contest one-fourth of the house seats in the south in the ].{{sfn|Moreland|Steed|Baker|1991|p=23-24}} Reagan was able to form a governing majority due to a coalition between Republicans and conservative southern Democrats, ].{{sfn|Moreland|Steed|Baker|1991|p=21}} The Republicans gained four seats in the US Senate from the south in the 1980 election, but three lost reelection in 1986, and one died in office.{{sfn|Black|Black|2002|p=87}}

Fourteen of the eighteen Democratic senators from the South voted against extending the Voting Rights Act in 1970. However, an increase in newer members led to nine voting to extend it in 1975, while five voted against it. In 1982, all Democratic senators from the South, including ] and Stennis, voted to extend the legislation for twenty-five years. ] and ] stated that southern senators ], ], ], ], ], and ] were voting as or more liberal than the national party in the 1980s.{{sfn|Black|Black|2002|p=82-83}}

===Reagan's Neshoba County Fair "states' rights" speech===
In August 1980, Reagan made a much-noted appearance at the ] in ],<ref>{{cite web|title=Ronald Reagan's Neshoba County Speech|url=http://www.c-span.org/video/?293124-1/ronald-reagans-neshoba-county-speech|website=C-SPAN|date=April 10, 2010 |access-date=June 11, 2015}}</ref> where his speech contained the phrase ].<ref group=note>Quoted from Reagan's speech: "I still believe the answer to any problem lies with the people. I believe in states' rights and I believe in people doing as much as they can for themselves at the community level and at the private level. I believe we have distorted the balance of our government today by giving powers that were never intended to be given in the Constitution to that federal establishment". {{cite web|url=http://www.onlinemadison.com/ftp/reagan/reaganneshoba.mp3|format=MP3|title=Sound file|publisher=Onlinemadison.com|access-date=September 27, 2015|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160304030134/http://www.onlinemadison.com/ftp/reagan/reaganneshoba.mp3|archive-date=March 4, 2016}}</ref> This was cited as evidence that the Republican Party was building upon the Southern strategy again.<ref>Cannon, Lou (2003). '''', New York: Public Affairs, 477–78.</ref><ref>] (1997) ''The Color of Politics: Race and the Mainspring of American Politics'', New York: The New Press, 314.</ref><ref>{{cite book | isbn = 978-0-231-10419-7 | page = | last = Walton | first = Hanes | title = African American Power and Politics | year = 1997 | publisher = Columbia University Press | url = https://archive.org/details/africanamericanp0000walt/page/20 }}</ref> Former UN Ambassador ] stated that with his support of states' rights, Reagan was signaling that "it’s going to be all right to kill niggers when president." Young's remark was criticized by Carter.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Smith |first1=Terence |title=White House Repudiates Andrew Young Remarks; Carter Campaign Financed Trip |url=https://www.nytimes.com/1980/10/16/archives/white-house-repudiates-andrew-young-remarks-carter-campaign.html |access-date=November 20, 2019 |work=New York Times |date=October 16, 1980}}</ref>{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=308}} Two days after his appearance at the fair, Reagan appeared at the ] convention in New York to appeal to black voters, where he said, "I am committed to the protection and enforcement of the civil rights of black Americans. This commitment is interwoven into every phase of the plans I will propose."<ref>{{cite book | title = The Strategy of Campaigning | author1 = Skinner|author2=Kudelia|author3=Mesquita|author4=Rice |page=173| publisher = University of Michigan Press | year = 2007 | url = https://books.google.com/books?id=F0dCiDh4fMsC | access-date = October 20, 2008 | isbn = 978-0-472-11627-0}}</ref>

Reagan's campaigns used racially coded rhetoric, making attacks on the "]" and leveraging resentment towards ].<ref name="Reagan's Southern Strategy" /><ref name="Giroux2006">{{cite book|author=Henry A. Giroux|title=Living dangerously: Identity politics and the new cultural racism: Towards a critical pedagogy of representation|date=2002|publisher=Routledge|page=38|isbn=978-0415907781}}</ref> Dan Carter explains how "Reagan showed that he could use coded language with the best of them, lambasting ]s, ], and affirmative action as the need arose".<ref name="Carter1999">{{cite book|author=Dan T. Carter|title=From George Wallace to Newt Gingrich: Race in the Conservative Counterrevolution, 1963–1994|date=1999|publisher=Louisiana State University Press|isbn=978-0-8071-2366-9|page=|url=https://archive.org/details/fromgeorgewallac00dant/page/64}}</ref> During his 1976 and 1980 campaigns, Reagan employed stereotypes of welfare recipients, often invoking the case of a "]" with a large house and a Cadillac using multiple names to collect over $150,000 in tax-free income.<ref name="Reagan's Southern Strategy" /><ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.npr.org/sections/codeswitch/2013/12/20/255819681/the-truth-behind-the-lies-of-the-original-welfare-queen|title=The Truth Behind The Lies Of The Original 'Welfare Queen'|date=20 December 2013|work=NPR.org}}</ref> Aistrup described Reagan's campaign statements as "seemingly race neutral", but explained how whites interpret this in a racial manner, citing a ] funded study conducted by ].<ref name="Reagan's Southern Strategy"/> Though Reagan did not overtly mention the race of the welfare recipient, the unstated impression in whites' minds were black people and Reagan's rhetoric resonated with Southern white perceptions of black people.<ref name="Reagan's Southern Strategy"/>

Aistrup argued that one example of Reagan field-testing coded language in the South was a reference to an unscrupulous man using food stamps as a "strapping young buck".<ref name="Reagan's Southern Strategy">{{cite book|last1=Aistrup|first1=Joseph A.|title=The Southern Strategy Revisited: Republican Top-Down Advancement in the South|date=2015|publisher=University Press of Kentucky|isbn=978-0-8131-4792-5|page=44|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=oKMeBgAAQBAJ&q=%22southern%20strategy%22%20%22welfare%20queen%22&pg=PA44}}</ref><ref>{{cite book|last1=Haney-Lopez|first1=Ian|title=Dog Whistle Politics: How Coded Racial Appeals Have Reinvented Racism and Wrecked the Middle Class|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=cZe1AQAAQBAJ&q=dog+whistle+politics|publisher=Oxford University Press|date= 2014|quote=Reagan also trumpeted his racial appeals in blasts against welfare cheats. On the stump, Reagan repeatedly invoked a story of a "Chicago welfare queen" with "eighty names, thirty addresses, twelve Social Security cards is collecting veteran's benefits on four non-existing deceased husbands. She's got Medicaid, getting food stamps, and she is collecting welfare under each of her names. Her tax-free cash income is over $150,000."|isbn=978-0199964277}}</ref> When informed of the offensive connotations of the term, Reagan defended his actions as a nonracial term that was common in his Illinois hometown. Ultimately, Reagan never used that particular phrasing again.<ref name="Mayer">{{cite book|last1=Mayer|first1=Jeremy D|title=Running on Race: Racial Politics in Presidential Campaigns, 1960–2000|url=https://archive.org/details/runningonracerac0000maye|url-access=registration|date=2002|publisher=Random House Inc.|pages = |isbn=9780375506253}}</ref> According to Ian Haney Lopez, the "young buck" term changed into "young fellow" which was less overtly racist: {{"'}}Some young fellow' was less overtly racist and so carried less risk of censure, and worked just as well to provoke a sense of white victimization".<ref>{{cite book|last1=Haney-Lopez|first1=Ian|title=Dog Whistle Politics: How Coded Racial Appeals Have Reinvented Racism and Wrecked the Middle Class|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=cZe1AQAAQBAJ&q=dog+whistle+politics|publisher=Oxford University Press|year=2014|isbn=978-0199964277}}</ref>

Lee Atwater argued that Reagan did not use the Southern strategy or need to make racial appeals:<ref name="Lamis1999"/>

<blockquote>''Atwater:'' But Reagan did not have to do a southern strategy for two reasons. Number one, race was not a dominant issue. And number two, the mainstream issues in this campaign had been, quote, southern issues since way back in the sixties. So Reagan goes out and campaigns on the issues of economics and of national defense. The whole campaign was devoid of any kind of racism, any kind of reference.</blockquote>

===Bush===
Southern white conservatives were plurality Democratic in 1976, with independent in second and Republican in third at 30%. The Republican figure rose to 40% in 1980, and 52% in 1984. In 1988, 60% identified themselves as Republicans while 16% identified as Democrats.{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=357-358}}

Bush selected Atwater to manage his ] in the 1988 election. Atwater obtained hundreds of southern endorsements for Bush and focused on ] voters, who made up a large number of the southern electorate.{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=282-284}}

Proposals for holding the presidential primaries of southern states at once started in the 1970s in order to maintain and increase the region's influence in presidential elections. It would allow for a conservative ] candidate from the south to receive a lead in delegate totals and produce momentum for the other primaries. Other southern presidential candidates had fared poorly in the initial contests in Iowa and New Hampshire which allowed more liberal candidates to gain the nomination.{{sfn|Moreland|Steed|Baker|1991|p=3-4}}

Alabama, Florida, and Georgia designated the second Tuesday of March as the date for their presidential primaries and the Southern Legislative Conference lobbied other states to join. 864 Democratic and 564 Republican delegates came from the southern states in the 1988 primary.{{sfn|Moreland|Steed|Baker|1991|p=3-4}} ], chair of the Republican National Committee, stated that "Southern Democrats intended Super Tuesday to be a way to moderate their party", but that "the Democrats have handed us a tremendous opportunity to win over the disaffected majority of their party".{{sfn|Moreland|Steed|Baker|1991|p=81}}

174 delegates were selected in the Republican primary before Super Tuesday and Bush held 35.1% of these delegates. After Super Tuesday Bush held 73.5% of the 959 delegates selected so far. Bush's victory in all but one state on Super Tuesday nearly secured him enough delegates to win the primary.{{sfn|Hadley|Stanley|1989|p=21-22}} Bush won a majority of the vote in all southern states except for in three states, and received 85.7% of their delegates due to the primaries being winner-take-all.{{sfn|Moreland|Steed|Baker|1991|p=12-14}} ]'s campaign was weakened following a defeat in South Carolina and Super Tuesday.{{sfn|Hadley|Stanley|1989|p=22}}

Southern turnout in the Republican primaries rose from 2.1 million in 1980, to 3.8 million in 1988. Turnout in Texas rose from 527,000 to 1,015,000, in Florida from 614,000 to 901,000, and in Georgia from 200,000 to 401,000. Over 40% of southern white voters participated in the Republican primaries except for in Tennessee, North Carolina, Louisiana, and Arkansas. 97% of the Republican electorate in the primaries were white.{{sfn|Black|Black|1992|p=287-289}}

===Willie Horton attack ads===
During the ], the ] attack ads run against Democratic candidate ] built upon the Southern Strategy in a campaign that reinforced the notion that Republicans best represent conservative whites with traditional values.<ref>{{cite book|last1=Aistrup|first1=Joseph A.|title=The Southern Strategy Revisited: Republican Top-Down Advancement in the South|date=2015|publisher=University Press of Kentucky|isbn=978-0-8131-4792-5|pages=51–52|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=oKMeBgAAQBAJ&q=willie%20horton%20southern%20strategy&pg=PA51}}</ref> Lee Atwater and ] worked on the campaign as Bush's political strategists.<ref>{{cite book|last1=Swint|first1=Kerwin|title=Dark Genius: The Influential Career of Legendary Political Operative and Fox News Founder Roger Ailes|date=2008|publisher=Union Square Press|location=New York|isbn=978-1-4027-5445-6|pages=–38|url=https://archive.org/details/darkgeniusinflue0000swin|url-access=registration|quote=willie horton southern strategy.}}</ref> Upon seeing a favorable New Jersey focus group response to the Horton strategy, Atwater recognized that an implicit racial appeal could work outside of the Southern states.<ref>{{cite book|last1=Mendelberg|first1=Tali|title=The Race Card: Campaign Strategy, Implicit Messages, and the Norm of Equality|date=2001|publisher=Princeton University Press|location=Princeton, NJ|isbn=978-0-691-07071-1|pages=–44|url=https://archive.org/details/racecardcampaign0000mend|url-access=registration|quote=willie horton southern strategy.}}</ref> The subsequent ads featured Horton's mugshot and played on fears of black criminals. Atwater said of the strategy: "By the time we're finished, they're going to wonder whether Willie Horton is Dukakis' running mate".<ref>{{cite news|last1=Whitaker|first1=Morgan|title=The legacy of the Willie Horton ad lives on, 25 years later|url=https://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/the-legacy-the-willie-horton-ad-lives|work=MSNBC|date=October 21, 2013}}</ref> Al Gore was the first to use the Willie Horton prison furlough against Dukakis and—like the Bush campaign—would not mention race. The Bush campaign claimed they were initially made aware of the Horton issue via the Gore campaign's use of the subject. Bush initially hesitated to use the Horton campaign strategy, but the campaign saw it as a wedge issue to harm Dukakis who was struggling against Democratic rival ].<ref>{{cite book|last1=Mayer|first1=Jeremy D|title=Running on Race: Racial Politics in Presidential Campaigns, 1960–2000|url=https://archive.org/details/runningonracerac0000maye|url-access=registration|date=2002|publisher=Random House Inc.|pages = |isbn=9780375506253}}</ref>

In addition to presidential campaigns, subsequent Republican campaigns for the ] and ] in the South employed the Southern Strategy.<ref>{{Cite journal |last=Aistrup |first=Joseph |date=1996-01-11 |title=The Southern Strategy Revisited: Republican Top-Down Advancement in the South |url=https://uknowledge.uky.edu/upk_political_science_american_politics/2 |journal=American Politics}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Sargent |first=Greg |date=2023-10-12 |title=Opinion {{!}} The GOP's 'southern strategy' mastermind just died. Here's his legacy. |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/10/12/southern-strategy-kevin-phillips-republican-party-trump/ |access-date=2024-02-05 |newspaper=Washington Post |language=en-US |issn=0190-8286}}</ref>

''New York Times'' opinion columnist ] wrote in 2005: "The truth is that there was very little that was subconscious about the G.O.P.'s relentless appeal to racist whites. Tired of losing elections, it saw an opportunity to renew itself by opening its arms wide to white voters who could never forgive the Democratic Party for its support of civil rights and voting rights for blacks".<ref name="Herbert">{{cite news|title=Impossible, Ridiculous, Repugnant|last=Herbert|first=Bob|url=https://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9C04E6DF1E30F935A35753C1A9639C8B63|date=October 6, 2005|work=The New York Times|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120104090130/http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9C04E6DF1E30F935A35753C1A9639C8B63|archive-date=January 4, 2012|url-status=live}}</ref> Aistrup described the transition of the Southern Strategy saying that it has "evolved from a states' rights, racially conservative message to one promoting in the Nixon years, vis-à-vis the courts, a racially conservative interpretation of civil rights laws—including opposition to busing. With the ascendancy of Reagan, the Southern Strategy became a national strategy that melded race, taxes, ], and religion".<ref>{{cite book |last1=Aistrup |first1=Joseph A. |title=The southern strategy revisited : Republican top-down advancement in the South |date=1996 |publisher=University Press of Kentucky |page=329 |isbn=978-0813119045}}</ref>

Some analysts viewed the 1990s as the apogee of ] or the Southern Strategy, given that the Democratic President ] and Vice President ] were from the South as were Congressional leaders on both sides of the aisle.<ref name="Adam Nossiter 2008">{{cite news|last=Nossiter|first=Adam|title=For South, a Waning Hold on National Politics|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/11/us/politics/11south.html?pagewanted=all|newspaper=The New York Times|date=November 10, 2008|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20121116232053/http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/11/us/politics/11south.html?pagewanted=all|archive-date=November 16, 2012|url-status=live}}</ref> During the end of Nixon's presidency, the Senators representing the former Confederate states in the ] were primarily Democrats. During the beginning of Bill Clinton's presidency twenty years later in the ], this was still the case.<ref>Alexander P. Lamis, ed., ''Southern Politics in the 1990s'' (1999) pp. 1–9</ref>

==Role of churches==
Certain denominations show strong preferences, by membership, for certain political parties, particularly ] for the ] and ] for the ],<ref>Bobby Ross Jr., '''', ], Oklahoma City, OK, Feb. 25, 2016.</ref> and voter guides exist, either designed for distribution by churches or easily available for that.<ref></ref><ref>Wilcox, Clyde. "Of movements and metaphors: The co-evolution of the Christian right and the GOP." Evangelicals and democracy in America 2 (2009): 331-356.</ref><ref>{{cite journal|first1=Angelia R.|last1=Wilson|title=Southern Strategies: Preaching, Prejudice, and Power|url=https://journals.shareok.org/arp/article/view/1016|journal=American Review of Politics|date= n.d. |issn=2374-779X|pages=299–316|volume=34|doi=10.15763/issn.2374-779X.2014.34.0.299-316|doi-access=free}}</ref> As a consequence, churches have played a key role in support of the Southern strategy, especially Southern Baptists.<ref>Paul Rosenberg, "," ''],'' July 1, 2019.</ref><ref>Maxwell, Angie, and Todd Shields. "The Not-So-New Southern Religion." The Long Southern Strategy. Oxford University Press 225-258.</ref> ], on the other hand, served as a source of resistance to ] through parallel institutions, intellectual traditions, and activism which extend into the present day.<ref>Mamiya, Lawrence H., and Patricia A. Kaurouma. "You Never hear About Their Struggles: Black Oral History in Poughkeepsie, New York." Afro-Americans in New York Life and History (1977-1989) 4.2 (1980): 55.</ref><ref>{{cite book|first1=Sarah|last1=Azaransky|title=The Religious Left in Modern America|chapter=Resisting Jim Crow Colonialism: Black Christianity and the International Roots of the Civil Rights Movement|chapter-url=https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-73120-9_7|publisher=Springer International Publishing|date=16 May 2018|location=Cham|isbn=978-3-319-73120-9|pages=125–144|series=Palgrave Studies in the History of Social Movements|via=Springer Link|doi=10.1007/978-3-319-73120-9_7}}</ref><ref>Green, John C., et al. "The soul of the South." The new politics of the Old South: An introduction to Southern politics (1998): 261-276.</ref>

==Shifts in strategy (1990s and 2000s)==
Democrats held a majority of the US House and US Senate seats in the south after the 1992 elections. However, the Republicans gain a 64 to 61 control in the US House and 13 to 9 control in the US Senate after the 1994 elections.{{sfn|Black|Black|2002|p=10}}

], who was ] to the US Senate in 1986 as a conservative Democrat with a minority of the white vote, joined the Republicans after the 1994 election.{{sfn|Black|Black|2002|p=128}}

Ten of the twelve Democrats who served as Speaker or Minority Leader between 1891 and 1961, were from the south.{{sfn|Black|Black|2002|p=50}} Southerners held at least one leadership position during the Democratic control of Congress in the later half of the 20th century. The Republican leaders of the ] (], ], and ]) were all from the south. ], a southerner, replaced ] as the party's whip in the US Senate and later became the Majority Leader in 1996.{{sfn|Black|Black|2002|p=5;7}}

In the mid-1990s, the Republican Party made major attempts to court African American voters, believing that the strength of religious values within the African American community and the growing number of affluent and middle-class African Americans would lead this group increasingly to support Republican candidates.<ref name="NY Times 1996" /><ref name=uooozv> Facts on File.com</ref> In general, these efforts did not significantly increase African American support for the Republican Party.<ref name="NY Times 1996"/><ref name=uooozv/> Few African Americans voted for ] and other national Republican candidates in the ], although he attracted a higher percentage of black voters (15%) to identify as Republican than had any GOP candidate since ] (24%).<ref>{{Cite web |last=Bositis |first=David |title=Blacks and the 2012 Democratic National Convention; page 9, table 1: black votes in presidential elections, 1936 - 2008 |url=https://jointcenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Blacks-and-the-2012-Democratic-National-Convention.pdf |website=Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies}}</ref> In his article "The Race Problematic, the Narrative of Martin Luther King Jr., and the Election of Barack Obama", Dr. Rickey Hill argued that Bush implemented his own Southern Strategy by exploiting "the denigration of the liberal label to convince white conservatives to vote for him. Bush's appeal was to the same racist tropes that had been used since the Goldwater and Nixon days."<ref name="Hill">{{cite journal|last1=Hill|first1=Ricky|title=The Race Problematic, the Narrative of Martin Luther King Jr., and the Election of Barack Obama|journal=Souls: A Critical Journal of Black Politics, Culture, and Society|date=March 2009|volume=11|issue=1|pages=133–47|url=http://redouan.larhzal.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/Barack-Obama.pdf#page=140}}</ref>

Following Bush's re-election, ], Bush's campaign manager and Chairman of the ], held several large meetings in 2005 with African American business, community and religious leaders. In his speeches, he apologized for his party's use of the Southern Strategy in the past. When asked about the strategy of using race as an issue to build GOP dominance in the once-Democratic South, Mehlman replied,

<blockquote>Republican candidates often have prospered by ignoring black voters and even by exploiting racial tensions by the '70s and into the '80s and '90s, the Democratic Party solidified its gains in the African-American community, and we Republicans did not effectively reach out. Some Republicans gave up on winning the African-American vote, looking the other way or trying to benefit politically from racial polarization. I am here today as the Republican chairman to tell you we were wrong.<ref name="Allen">{{cite news|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/07/13/AR2005071302342.html|title=RNC Chief to Say It Was 'Wrong' to Exploit Racial Conflict for Votes|last=Allen|first=Mike|date=July 14, 2005|newspaper=Washington Post|access-date=2008-08-02|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120331125414/http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/07/13/AR2005071302342.html|archive-date=March 31, 2012|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite news|last=Benedetto|first=Richard|title=GOP: 'We were wrong' to play racial politics|url=https://www.usatoday.com/news/washington/2005-07-14-GOP-racial-politics_x.htm|access-date=January 22, 2012|newspaper=USA Today|date=July 14, 2005}}</ref></blockquote>

Thomas Edge argues that the election of President ] saw a new type of Southern Strategy emerge among conservative voters. They used his election as evidence of a ] to deny the need of continued civil rights legislation while simultaneously playing on racial tensions and marking him as a "racial bogeyman".<ref name="Edge" /> Edge described three parts to this phenomenon saying:

<blockquote>First, according to the arguments, a nation that has the ability to elect a Black president is completely free of racism. Second, attempts to continue the remedies enacted after the civil rights movement will only result in more racial discord, demagoguery, and racism against ''White Americans''. Third, these tactics are used side-by-side with the veiled racism and coded language of the ''original'' Southern Strategy.<ref name="Edge">{{cite journal|last1=Edge|first1=Thomas|title=Southern Strategy 2.0: Conservatives, White Voters, and the Election of Barack Obama|journal=Journal of Black Studies|date=January 2010|volume=40|issue=3|pages=426–44|jstor=40648600|doi=10.1177/0021934709352979|s2cid=143252312}}</ref></blockquote>

Other observers have suggested that the election of President Obama in the ] and subsequent ] signaled the growing irrelevance of the Southern Strategy-style tactics. ] political scientists Wayne Parent, for example, suggested that Obama's ability to get elected without the support of Southern states demonstrate that the region was moving from "the center of the political universe to being an outside player in presidential politics" while ] political scientist ] argued that the Republican party had "marginalized" itself, becoming a "mostly regional party" through a process of Southernization.<ref name="Adam Nossiter 2008"/>

==Scholarly debates==
The Southern strategy is generally believed to be the primary force that transformed the "Democratic South into a reliable GOP stronghold in presidential elections".<ref name="Routledge" /> Scholars generally emphasize the role of racial backlash in the realignment of southern voters. The viewpoint that the electoral realignment of the Republican party due to a race-driven Southern Strategy is also known as the "top-down" viewpoint.<ref name="University Press of Kentucky" /><ref name="Princeton University Press">{{cite book|last1=Lassiter|first1=Matthew D.|title=The Silent Majority: Suburban Politics in the Sunbelt South|date=2006|publisher=Princeton University Press|isbn=978-1-4008-4942-0 |pages=5–7|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=_a0EAQAAQBAJ&q=most+scholars&pg=PP1}}</ref> Most scholarship and analysts support this top-down viewpoint and state that the political shift was due primarily to racial issues.<ref name="Princeton University Press" /><ref>{{cite journal |last1=Frymer |first1=Paul |last2=Skrentny |first2=John David |title=Coalition-Building and the Politics of Electoral Capture During the Nixon Administration: African Americans, Labor, Latinos |journal=Studies in American Political Development |date=1998 |volume=12 |pages= 131–61 |url=https://quote.ucsd.edu/jskrentny/files/2014/08/S0898588X9800131Xa.pdf |doi= 10.1017/s0898588x9800131x|doi-broken-date=1 November 2024 |s2cid=143166963 }}</ref><ref>{{cite journal |last1=Boyd |first1=Tim D. |title=The 1966 Election in Georgia and the Ambiguity of the White Backlash |journal=The Journal of Southern History |volume=75 |issue=2 |date=2009 |pages=305–40 |jstor= 27778938}}</ref> Some historians believe that racial issues took a back seat to a grassroots narrative known as the "suburban strategy", which Glen Feldman calls a "dissenting—yet rapidly growing—narrative on the topic of southern partisan realignment".<ref name=Feldman>{{cite book|last1=Feldman|first1=Glenn|title=Painting Dixie Red: When, Where, Why and How the South Became Republican|date=2011|publisher=University Press of Florida|pages=16, 80}}</ref>

Matthew Lassiter says: "A suburban-centered vision reveals that demographic change played a more important role than racial demagoguery in the emergence of a two-party system in the American South".<ref name="Bulldozer">{{cite journal |last1=Lassiter |first1=Matthew |last2=Kruse |first2=Kevin |title=The Bulldozer Revolution: Suburbs and Southern History since World War II |journal=The Journal of Southern History |date=Aug 2009 |volume=75 |issue=3 |pages=691–706 |jstor=27779033}}</ref> Lassiter argues that race-based appeals cannot explain the GOP shift in the South while also noting that the real situation is far more complex.<ref>{{cite book |last1=Lassiter |first1=Matthew |title=The Silent Majority: Suburban Politics in the Sunbelt South |date=2007 |publisher=Princeton University Press |isbn=978-0-691-13389-8 |page=232}}</ref><ref>{{cite journal |last1=Chappell |first1=David |title=Did Racists Create the Suburban Nation? |journal=Reviews in American History |date=March 2007 |volume=V 35 |issue=1 |pages=89–97|doi=10.1353/rah.2007.0004 |jstor=30031671|s2cid=144202527 |quote=Lassiter scrupulously denies suburbanites their racial innocence. The suburbs are disproportionately white and the poor are disproportionately black. But he rejects "white backlash" partly because the term exempts from responsibility those voters, North and South, who have racially liberal roots. Their egalitarianism may be genuine. But unless liberals are lucky enough to live in secession-proof metro areas, whose judges have a strong commitment to comprehensive integration, they behave the same way as people who act frankly on their fear of large concentrations of black people.}}</ref><ref>{{cite journal |last1=Chappell |first1=David |title=Did Racists Create the Suburban Nation? |journal=Reviews in American History |date=March 2007 |volume=V 35 |issue=1 |pages=89–97|doi=10.1353/rah.2007.0004 |jstor=30031671|s2cid=144202527 |quote=In an original analysis of national politics, Lassiter carefully rejects "racereductionist narratives" (pp. 4, 303). Cliches like "white backlash" and "southern strategy" are inadequate to explain the conservative turn in post-1960s politics. ... Racism has not been overcome. One might say rather that it has become redundant. One of Lassiter's many fascinating demonstrations of racism's superfluousness is his recounting of the actual use of the "southern strategy." The strategy obviously failed the Dixiecrats in 1948 and the GOP in 1964. The only time Nixon seriously tried to appeal to southern racism, in the 1970 midterm elections, the South rejected his party and elected Democrats like Jimmy Carter and Dale Bumpers instead (pp. 264–74). To win a nationwide majority, Republicans and Democrats alike had to appeal to the broad middle-class privileges that most people believed they had earned. Lassiter suggests that the first step on the way out of hypersegregation and resegregation is to stop indulging in comforting narratives. The most comforting narratives attribute the whole problem to racists and the Republicans who appease them.}}</ref><ref name="Bulldozer" /> According to Lassiter, political scientists and historians point out that the timing does not fit the "Southern Strategy" model. Nixon carried 49 states in 1972, so he operated a successful national rather than regional strategy. But the Republican Party remained quite weak at the local and state levels across the entire South for decades.<ref>Matthew D. Lassiter, "Suburban Strategies: The Volatile Center in Postwar American Politics" in Meg Jacobs et al. eds., ''The Democratic Experiment: New Directions In American Political History'' (2003): 327–49; quotes on pp. 329–30.</ref> Republicans first won a majority of US House seats in the South in the ] "]", and only began to dominate the South after the ].<ref>{{cite news|url=https://www.economist.com/united-states/2010/11/11/the-long-goodbye|date=November 11, 2010|newspaper=The Economist|title=The long goodbye|quote=In 1981 Republicans took control of the Senate for the first time since 1953, but most Southern elected officials remained white Democrats. When Republicans took control of the House in 1995, white Democrats still comprised one-third of the South's tally. ... white Southern Democrats have met their Appomattox: they will account for just 24 of the South's 155 senators and congressmen in the 112th United States Congress.|access-date=February 20, 2023}}</ref>

Bruce Kalk and ] argue that Nixon's Southern Strategy was to find a compromise on race that would take the issue out of politics, allowing conservatives in the South to rally behind his grand plan to reorganize the national government. Kalk and Tindall emphasize the similarity between Nixon's operations and the series of compromises orchestrated by ] in 1877 that ended the battles over Reconstruction and put Hayes in the White House. Kalk says Nixon did end the reform impulse and sowed the seeds for the political rise of white Southerners and the decline of the civil rights movement.<ref>Bruce H. Kalk, "Wormley's Hotel Revisited: Richard Nixon's Southern Strategy and the End of the Second Reconstruction", ''North Carolina Historical Review'' (1994) 71#1 pp. 85–105 </ref><ref>George B. Tindall, "Southern Strategy: A Historical Perspective", ''North Carolina Historical Review'' (1971) 48#2 pp. 126–41 </ref>

Dean Kotlowski argues that Nixon's overall civil rights record was on the whole responsible and that Nixon tended to seek the middle ground. He campaigned as a moderate in 1968, pitching his appeal to the widest range of voters. Furthermore, he continued this strategy as president. As a matter of principle, says Kotlowski, he supported integration of schools. However, Nixon chose not to antagonize Southerners who opposed it and left enforcement to the judiciary, which had originated the issue in the first place.<ref>Dean J. Kotlowski, "Nixon's southern strategy revisited". ''Journal of Policy History'' (1998) 10#2 pp. 207–38.</ref><ref>{{cite book |last1=Kotlowski |first1=Dean |title=Nixon's Civil Rights: Politics Principle, and Policy |date=2009 |publisher=Harvard University Press |location=Cambridge, MA |isbn=978-0-674-03973-5}}</ref> In particular, Kotlowski believes historians have been somewhat misled by Nixon's rhetorical Southern Strategy that had limited influence on actual policies.<ref>{{cite journal |last1=Aldridge |first1=Daniel |title=Review |journal=The Georgia Historical Quarterly |date=Summer 2002 |volume=86}}</ref>

] and ] conducted their own study and reported that "the South's shift to the Republican party has been driven to a significant degree by racial conservatism" and also concluded that "racial conservatism seems to continue to be central to the realignment of Southern whites' partisanship since the Civil Rights era".<ref name="valentino-sears" /> Valentino and Sears state that some "ther scholars downplay the role of racial issues and prejudice even in contemporary racial politics". And that "the conventional wisdom about partisanship today seems to point to divisions over the size of government (including taxes, social programs, and regulation), national security, and moral issues such as abortion and gay rights, with racial issues only one of numerous areas about which liberals and conservatives disagree, and far from the most important one at that".<ref name="valentino-sears">{{cite journal | journal = American Journal of Political Science | volume = 49 | issue = 3 | pages = 672–88 | doi = 10.1111/j.1540-5907.2005.00136.x | author1 = Valentino NA|author-link1=Nicholas Valentino|author2=Sears DO|author-link2=David O. Sears | title = Old Times There Are Not Forgotten: Race and Partisan Realignment in the Contemporary South | year = 2005 | url = http://web.posc.jmu.edu/seminar/readings/4a-realignment/race+party%20realignment%20in%20the%20south%20old%20times%20not%20forgotten.pdf| archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20120905151945/http://web.posc.jmu.edu/seminar/readings/4a-realignment/race+party%20realignment%20in%20the%20south%20old%20times%20not%20forgotten.pdf| url-status = dead| archive-date = 2012-09-05}}</ref>

Jeremy Mayer argues that scholars have given too much emphasis on the civil rights issue as it was not the only deciding factor for Southern white voters. Goldwater took positions on such issues as ], abolishing Social Security and ending farm price supports that outraged many white Southerners who strongly supported these programs. Mayer states:

{{Blockquote|Goldwater's staff also realized that his radical plan to sell the Tennessee Valley Authority was causing even racist whites to vote for Johnson. A Florida editorial urged Southern whites not to support Goldwater even if they agreed with his position on civil rights, because his other positions would have grave economic consequences for the region. Goldwater's opposition to most poverty programs, the TVA, aid to education, Social Security, the Rural Electrification Administration, and farm price supports surely cost him votes throughout the South and the nation.<ref>Jeremy D. Mayer, "LBJ Fights the White Backlash: The Racial Politics of the 1964 Presidential Campaign, Part 2". ''Prologue'' 33#2 (2001) pp. 6–19.</ref>}}

Political scientist ] argued that economic development was more central than racial desegregation in the evolution of the postwar South in Congress.<ref>Byron E. Shafer and Richard Johnston, ''The End of Southern Exceptionalism: Class, Race, and Partisan Change in the Postwar South'' (Harvard University Press, 2006) p. vii</ref> In ''The End of Southern Exceptionalism: Class, Race, and Partisan Change in the Postwar South'', ] political scientist Byron E. Shafer and ] political scientist Richard Johnston developed Polsby's argument in greater depth. Using roll call analysis of voting patterns in the House of Representatives, they found that issues of desegregation and race were less important than issues of economics and ] when it came to the transformation of partisanship in the South.<ref>Byron E. Shafer and Richard G.C. Johnston. "The transformation of southern politics revisited: The House of Representatives as a window". ''British Journal of Political Science'' (2001) 31#4 pp. 601–25. In their 2006 book they write that "economics and social class clearly trumped desegregation and racial identity as engines for partisan change". Shafer and Johnston, ''The End of Southern Exceptionalism'' p. vii</ref> This view is backed by Glenn Feldman who notes that the early narratives on the Southern realignment focused on the idea of appealing to racism. This argument was first and thus took hold as the accepted narrative.{{citation needed|date=December 2023}} In a later publication, ''The Great Melding: War, the Dixiecrat Rebellion, and the Southern Model for America’s New Conservatism'', Feldman outlined that poor whites believed they had more racial affinity with white elites than class affinity with blacks, despite being adversely affected by economic policies of the white elites.<ref>{{cite journal |url=https://muse.jhu.edu/article/651159 |title=The Great Melding: War, the Dixiecrat Rebellion, and the Southern Model for America's New Conservatism by Glenn Feldman (review) |author=Glenn Feldman |journal=American Studies |year=2015 |volume=55 |issue=2 |pages=103–104 |publisher=University of Alabama Press }}</ref>

Gareth Davies argues that "he scholarship of those who emphasize the southern strategizing Nixon is not so much wrong—it captures one side of the man—as it is unsophisticated and incomplete. Nixon and his enemies needed one another in order to get the job done".<ref>Gareth Davies, ''See Government Grow: Education Politics from Johnson to Reagan'' (2007) p. 140.</ref><ref>Gareth Davies, "Richard Nixon and the Desegregation of Southern Schools". ''Journal of Policy History'' 19#04 (2007) pp. 367–94.</ref> Lawrence McAndrews makes a similar argument, saying Nixon pursued a mixed strategy:

{{Blockquote|Some scholars claim that Nixon succeeded, by leading a principled assault on de jure school desegregation. Others claim that he failed, by orchestrating a politically expedient surrender to de facto school segregation. A close examination of the evidence, however, reveals that in the area of school desegregation, Nixon's record was a mixture of principle and politics, progress and paralysis, success and failure. In the end, he was neither simply the cowardly architect of a racially insensitive "Southern strategy" which condoned segregation, nor the courageous conductor of a politically risky "not-so-Southern strategy" which condemned it.<ref>Lawrence J. McAndrews, "The politics of principle: Richard Nixon and school desegregation." ''Journal of Negro History'' (1998): 187–200, quoting p. 187. </ref>}}

Historian Joan Hoff noted that in interviews with historians years later, Nixon denied that he ever practiced a Southern strategy. ], one of Nixon's senior advisers on Southern politics, told Nixon privately in 1969 that the administration "has no Southern Strategy, but rather a national strategy which, for the first time in modern times, includes the South".<ref>{{cite book|author=Joan Hoff|title=Nixon Reconsidered|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=uzBPnPPcoSoC&pg=PA79|year=1995|publisher=BasicBooks|page=79|isbn=978-0465051052}}</ref>


==See also== ==See also==
* ]
* ]
* ]
* ] * ]
* ] * ]
* ] * ]
* ]
* ]
* {{portal-inline|Politics}}
* {{portal-inline|United States}}

==Notes==
{{Reflist|group=note}}


==References== ==References==
{{Reflist|33em}} {{Reflist}}


==Works cited==
==Further reading== <!--(put additions in alphabetical order, please)-->
* {{cite book|last1=Black |first1=Earl |author-link1=Earl Black (political scientist) |last2=Black |first2=Merle |author-link2=Merle Black |title=The Rise of Southern Republicans |publisher=] |date=2002 |url=https://archive.org/details/riseofsouthernre00earl_0 |isbn=067400728X}}
*Aistrup, Joseph A. , Kentucky Press
* {{cite book|last1=Black |first1=Earl |author-link1=Earl Black (political scientist) |last2=Black |first2=Merle |author-link2=Merle Black |title=The Vital South: How Presidents Are Elected |publisher=] |date=1992 |url=https://archive.org/details/vitalsouthhowpre0000blac |isbn=0674941306}}
*Alexander, Michelle. ''The New Jim Crow: Mass Incarceration in the Age of Colorblindness'', The New Press, New York, 2010 (ISBN 978-1-59558-103-7).
* {{cite journal|last1=Hadley |first1=Charles |last2=Stanley |first2=Harold |title=Super Tuesday 1988: Regional Results and National Implications |journal=] |publisher=] |date=1989 |volume=19 |issue=3 |pages=19–37 |jstor=3330481 |url=https://www.jstor.org/stable/3330481}}
*Applebome, Peter. ''Dixie Rising: How the South is Shaping American Values, Politics, and Culture'' (ISBN 0-15-600550-6).
* {{cite book|last1=Hardeman |first1=D. |last2=Bacon |first2=Donald |title=Rayburn: A Biopgrahy |publisher=] |date=1990 |url=https://archive.org/details/rayburnbiography0000hard |isbn=0932012035}}
*Black, Earl; Black, Merle. , Harvard University Press
* {{cite book|editor-last1=Moreland |editor-first1=Laurence |editor-last2=Steed |editor-first2=Robert |editor-last3=Baker |editor-first3=Tod |title=The 1988 Presidential Election in the South: Continuity Amidst Change in Southern Party Politics |publisher=] |date=1991 |url=https://archive.org/details/1988presidential0000unse |isbn=0275931455}}
*Boyd, James. , ''New York Times'', May 17, 1970
* {{cite book|last=Sherman |first=Richard |title=The Republican Party and Black America From McKinley to Hoover 1896-1933 |publisher=] |date=1973 |isbn=0813904676}}
*Buchanan, Patrick J. , December 2002, Patrick Buchanan Official Website
* {{cite book|editor-last1=Steed |editor-first1=Robert |editor-last2=Moreland |editor-first2=Laurence |editor-last3=Baker |editor-first3=Tod |title=Party Politics in the South |publisher=] |date=1980 |isbn=0030565863}}
*Carter, Dan T. ''From George Wallace to Newt Gingrich: Race in the Conservative Counterrevolution, 1963-1994'' (ISBN 0-8071-2366-8)
* {{cite book|editor-last1=Sundquist |editor-first1=James |title=Dynamics of the Party System: Alignment and Realignment of Political Parties in the United States |publisher=] |date=1983 |url=https://archive.org/details/dynamicsofpartys00sund |isbn=0815782268}}
*Carter, Dan T. ''The Politics of Rage: George Wallace, The Origins of the New Conservatism, and the Transformation of Southern Politics'' (ISBN 0-8071-2597-0)
*Chappell, David L. ''A Stone of Hope: Prophetic Religion and the Death of Jim Crow'' (ISBN 0-8078-2819-X)
*Egerton, John. "", ''Southern Spaces'', 29 November 2006.
*Kruse, Kevin M. ''White Flight: Atlanta and the Making of Modern Conservatism'' (ISBN 0-691-09260-5) by
*Phillips, Kevin. ''The Emerging Republican Majority'' (ISBN 0-87000-058-6)
*UPI, , 23 February 2001, at NewsMax


==Further reading==<!-- Put additions in alphabetical order, please. -->
{{Racism}}
{{div col|colwidth=33em}}
* Aistrup, Joseph A. "Constituency diversity and party competition: A county and state level analysis." ''Political Research Quarterly'' 57#2 (2004): 267–81.
* Aistrup, Joseph A. ''The southern strategy revisited: Republican top-down advancement in the South'' (University Press of Kentucky, 2015).
* Aldrich, John H. "Southern Parties in State and Nation" ''Journal of Politics'' 62#3 (2000) pp.&nbsp;643–70.
* Applebome, Peter. ''Dixie Rising: How the South is Shaping American Values, Politics, and Culture'' ({{ISBN|0-15-600550-6|}}).
* Bass, Jack. ''The transformation of southern politics: Social change and political consequence since 1945'' (University of Georgia Press, 1995).
* Black, Earl and Merle Black. ''The Rise of Southern Republicans'' (Harvard University Press, 2003).
* Brady, David, Benjamin Sosnaud, and Steven M. Frenk. "The shifting and diverging white working class in US presidential elections, 1972–2004." 'Social Science Research'' 38.1 (2009): 118–33.
* Brewer, Mark D., and Jeffrey M. Stonecash. "Class, race issues, and declining white support for the Democratic Party in the South." ''Political Behavior'' 23#2 (2001): 131–55.
* Bullock III, Charles S. and Mark J. Rozell, eds. ''The New Politics of the Old South: An Introduction to Southern Politics'' (5th ed. 2013).
* Carter, Dan T. ''From George Wallace to Newt Gingrich: Race in the Conservative Counterrevolution, 1963–1994'' ({{ISBN|0-8071-2366-8|}}).
* Carter, Dan T. ''The Politics of Rage: George Wallace, The Origins of the New Conservatism, and the Transformation of Southern Politics'' ({{ISBN|0-8071-2597-0|}}).
* Chappell, David L. ''A Stone of Hope: Prophetic Religion and the Death of Jim Crow'' ({{ISBN|0-8078-2819-X|}}).
* Davies, Gareth. "Richard Nixon and the Desegregation of Southern Schools." ''Journal of Policy History'' 19#04 (2007) pp. 367–94.
* Egerton, John. "", ''Southern Spaces'', 29 November 2006.
* Feldman, Glenn, ed. ''Painting Dixie Red: When, Where, Why, and How the South Became Republican'' (UP of Florida, 2011) 386pp
* Frantz, Edward O. ''The Door of Hope: Republican Presidents and the First Southern Strategy, 1877–1933'' (University Press of Florida, 2011).
* Havard, William C., ed. ''The Changing Politics of the South'' (Louisiana State University Press, 1972).
* Hill, John Paul. "Nixon's Southern Strategy Rebuffed: Senator Marlow W. Cook and the Defeat of Judge G. Harrold Carswell for the US Supreme Court." ''Register of the Kentucky Historical Society'' 112#4 (2014): 613–50.
* Inwood, Joshua F.J. "Neoliberal racism: the 'Southern Strategy' and the expanding geographies of white supremacy." ''Social & Cultural Geography'' 16#4 (2015) pp. 407–23.
* Kalk, Bruce H. ''The Origins of the Southern Strategy: Two-party Competition in South Carolina, 1950–1972'' (Lexington Books, 2001).
* Kalk, Bruce H. "Wormley's Hotel Revisited: Richard Nixon's Southern Strategy and the End of the Second Reconstruction." ''North Carolina Historical Review'' (1994): 85–105. .
* Kalk, Bruce H. ''The Machiavellian nominations: Richard Nixon's Southern strategy and the struggle for the Supreme Court, 1968–70'' (1992).
* Kruse, Kevin M. ''White Flight: Atlanta and the Making of Modern Conservatism'' ({{ISBN|0-691-09260-5|}}).
* Lisio, Donald J. ''Hoover, Blacks, and Lily-Whites: A Study of Southern Strategies'' (UNC Press, 2012).
* Lublin, David. ''The Republican South: Democratization and Partisan Change'' (Princeton University Press, 2004).
* Maxwell, Angie and Todd Shields. ''The Long Southern Strategy: How Chasing White Voters in the South Changed American Politics'' (Oxford University Press, 2019).
* Olien, Roger M. ''From Token to Triumph: The Texas Republicans, 1920–1978'' (SMU Press, 1982).
* Perlstein, Rick. ''Nixonland: The Rise of a President and the Fracturing of America'' (2009).
* Phillips, Kevin. ''The Emerging Republican Majority'' (1969) ({{ISBN|0-87000-058-6|}}).
** Boyd, James. , ''New York Times'', May 17, 1970.
* Shafer, Byron E., and Richard Johnston. ''The end of Southern exceptionalism: class, race, and partisan change in the postwar South'' (Harvard University Press, 2009).
* Shafer, Byron E., and Richard G.C. Johnston. "The transformation of southern politics revisited: The House of Representatives as a window." ''British Journal of Political Science'' 31#04 (2001): 601–25. .
* Scher, Richard K. ''Politics in the New South: Republicanism, race and leadership in the twentieth century'' (1992).
{{div col end}}


{{DEFAULTSORT:Southern Strategy}}
]
] ]
] ]
] ]
]
] ]
] ]
]
]
]

Latest revision as of 15:56, 16 December 2024

20th century Republican electoral strategy for the Southern US For the British strategy in the American Revolutionary War, see Southern theater of the American Revolutionary War.
The Southern United States as defined by the Census Bureau

In American politics, the Southern strategy was a Republican Party electoral strategy to increase political support among white voters in the South by appealing to racism against African Americans. As the civil rights movement and dismantling of Jim Crow laws in the 1950s and 1960s visibly deepened existing racial tensions in much of the Southern United States, Republican politicians such as presidential candidates Richard Nixon and Barry Goldwater developed strategies that successfully contributed to the political realignment of many white, conservative voters in the South who had traditionally supported the Democratic Party so consistently that the voting pattern was named the Solid South. The strategy also helped to push the Republican Party much more to the right. By winning all of the South, a presidential candidate could obtain the presidency with minimal support elsewhere.

The phrase "Southern strategy" refers primarily to "top down" narratives of the political realignment of the South which suggest that Republican leaders consciously appealed to many white Southerners' racial grievances to gain their support. This top-down narrative of the Southern Strategy is generally believed to be the primary force that transformed Southern politics following the civil rights era. The scholarly consensus is that racial conservatism was critical in the post-Civil Rights Act realignment of the Republican and Democratic parties, though several aspects of this view have been debated by historians and political scientists.

The perception that the Republican Party had served as the "vehicle of white supremacy in the South", particularly during the Goldwater campaign and the presidential elections of 1968 and 1972, made it difficult for the Republican Party to win back the support of black voters in the South in later years. In 2005, Republican National Committee chairman Ken Mehlman formally apologized to the National Association for the Advancement of Colored People (NAACP) for exploiting racial polarization to win elections and for ignoring the black vote.

Introduction

Although the phrase "Southern Strategy" is often attributed to Nixon's political strategist Kevin Phillips, he did not originate it but popularized it. In an interview included in a 1970 New York Times article, Phillips stated his analysis based on studies of ethnic voting:

From now on, the Republicans are never going to get more than 10 to 20 percent of the Negro vote and they don't need any more than that... but Republicans would be shortsighted if they weakened enforcement of the Voting Rights Act. The more Negroes who register as Democrats in the South, the sooner the Negrophobe whites will quit the Democrats and become Republicans. That's where the votes are. Without that prodding from the blacks, the whites will backslide into their old comfortable arrangement with the local Democrats.

Richard Nixon campaigning in 1968

While Phillips sought to increase Republican power by polarizing ethnic voting in general, and not just to win the white South, the South was by far the biggest prize yielded by his approach. Its success began at the presidential level. Gradually, Southern voters began to elect Republicans to Congress and finally to statewide and local offices, particularly as some legacy segregationist Democrats, such as Strom Thurmond, retired or switched to the GOP. In addition, the Republican Party worked for years to develop grassroots political organizations across the South, supporting candidates for local school boards and city and county offices as examples, but following the Watergate scandal Southern voters came out in support for the "favorite son" candidate, Southern Democrat Jimmy Carter.

From 1948 to 1984, the Southern states, for decades a stronghold for the Democrats, became key swing states, providing the popular vote margins in the 1960, 1968 and 1976 elections. During this era, several Republican candidates expressed support for states' rights, a reversal of the position held by Republicans since the Civil War. Some political analysts said this term was used in the 20th century as a "code word" to represent opposition to federal enforcement of civil rights for blacks and to federal intervention on their behalf; many individual southerners had opposed passage of the Voting Rights Act.

Background

Reconstruction to Solid South

Main articles: Reconstruction era and Solid South

During Reconstruction, the Republican Party built up its base across the South and controlled each state except Virginia, but from a national perspective, the Republicans gave priority to its much better established Northern state operations. Southerners distrusted the scalawags, found the carpetbaggers distasteful, and lacked respect for the black component of their Republican Party in the South. Richard Abbott says that national Republicans always "stressed building their Northern base rather than extending their party into the South, and whenever the Northern and Southern needs conflicted the latter always lost". In 1868, the GOP spent only 5% of its war chest in the South. Ulysses S. Grant was reelected and the New York Tribune advised it was now time for Southern Republicans to "root, hog, or die!" (that is, to take care of themselves).

During the 1876 United States presidential election, the Republican ticket of Rutherford B. Hayes and William A. Wheeler (later known as members of the comparably liberal "Half-Breed" faction) abandoned the party's pro-civil rights efforts of Reconstruction and made conciliatory tones to the South in the form of appeals to old Southern Whigs.

1920 presidential election map showing Democrat James M. Cox winning only the Solid South and Republican Warren G. Harding prevailing in the electoral college. From the time of Reconstruction until the Civil Rights Era, the Southern states consistently supported the Democratic candidate for president.

In a series of compromises, such as the Compromise of 1877, the Republicans withdrew military forces that had propped up their last three state governors and in return gained the presidency for Hayes. All the southern states were now under the control of the Democrats, who increased their control of virtually all aspects of politics in the ex-Confederate states during the ensuing decades. There were occasional pockets of Republican control, but they were usually in remote mountain districts.

Editorial cartoon by Thomas Nast from the January 18, 1879 issue of Harper's Weekly criticizing the use of literacy tests. It shows "Mr. Solid South" writing on the wall: "Eddikashun qualifukashun. The Blak man orter be eddikated afore he kin vote with us Wites." The Republican Nast often satirized the Democratic Party by caricaturing its adherents as poor, ignorant, and violent.

After 1890, the white Democrats used a variety of tactics to reduce voting by African Americans and poor whites. The rise of primaries in the electoral system allowed for the 15th Amendment to be circumvented using a white primary. Winning the Democratic primary was tantamount to winning the election during the period of the solid south. From 1890 to 1908, the white Democratic legislatures in every Southern state enacted new constitutions or amendments with provisions to disenfranchise most blacks and tens of thousands of poor whites. Provisions required payment of poll taxes, complicated residency, literacy tests and other requirements which were subjectively applied against blacks. As blacks lost their vote, the Republican Party lost its ability to effectively compete in the South.

Because blacks were closed out of elected offices, the South's congressional delegations and state governments were dominated by white Democrats until the 1980s or later. Effectively, Southern white Democrats controlled all the votes of the expanded population by which congressional apportionment was figured. Many of their representatives achieved powerful positions of seniority in Congress, giving them control of chairmanships of significant congressional committees. Although the Fourteenth Amendment has a provision to reduce the congressional representation of states that denied votes to their adult male citizens, this provision was never enforced. As African Americans could not be voters, they were also prevented from being jurors and serving in local offices. Services and institutions for them in the segregated South were chronically underfunded by state and local governments, from which they were excluded.

Republicans rarely held seats in the U.S. House from the South during the Solid South period with the party only holding two seats in Tennessee between 1947 and 1952, out of the 105 seats in the south. Republicans won 80 of 2,565 congressional elections in the south during the first half of the 20th century. Between 1902 and 1950, all US Senators from the south were Democrats. Republicans held around 3% of state legislative seats in the south in 1948, and held zero seats in five states.

Between 1880 and 1904, Republican presidential candidates in the South received 35–40% of that section's vote (except in 1892, when the 16% for the Populists lowered Republicans down to 25%). From 1904 to 1948, Republicans received more than 30% of the section's votes only in the 1920 (35.2%, carrying Tennessee) and 1928 elections (47.7%, carrying five states) after disenfranchisement.

During this period, Republican administrations appointed blacks to political positions. Republicans regularly supported anti-lynching bills, but these were filibustered by Southern Democrats in the Senate. In the 1928 election, the Republican candidate Herbert Hoover rode the issues of prohibition and anti-Catholicism to carry five former Confederate states, with 62 of the 126 electoral votes of the section. After his victory, Hoover attempted to build up the Republican Party of the South, transferring his limited patronage away from blacks and toward the same kind of white Protestant businessmen who made up the core of the Northern Republican Party. With the onset of the Great Depression, which severely affected the South, Hoover soon became extremely unpopular. The gains of the Republican Party in the South were lost. In the 1932 election, Hoover received only 18.1% of the Southern vote for re-election.

From 1860 and 1930, the Republicans controlled the U.S. Senate in thirty-one of thirty-six sessions and the U.S. House in twenty-three sessions. Between 1932 and 1992, the Republicans controlled the U.S. Senate for five out of thirty-one sessions and the U.S. House for two sessions.

Internal Republican politics

According to Boris Heersink and Jeffery A. Jenkins, blacks did have a voice in the Republican Party, especially in the choice of presidential candidates at the national convention. They argue that in 1880–1928 Republican leaders at the presidential level adopted a "Southern Strategy" by "investing heavily in maintaining a minor party organization in the South as a way to create a reliable voting base at conventions", causing federal patronage to go to Southern blacks as long as there was a Republican in the White House.

Southern states sent delegations to Republican conventions that accounted for one-fourth of the overall number despite the Democratic dominance of the region. These delegates were viewed as rotten boroughs and gave their support to the incumbent or the frontrunner. Mark Hanna started to lobby southern Republicans in favor of William McKinley in 1895, and McKinley came to the 1896 Republican National Convention with control of all of the southern delegations, which accounted for almost half of the votes required to win, except for Texas. The issue of southern delegates exploded in 1912, when William Howard Taft used his 83% control of Southern delegations to defeat Theodore Roosevelt at the convention. Delegate allocation by state was altered after this election to be based on how well the party did electorally in those states. Southern delegate sizes fell from 23% of the total delegates in 1912, to 18% in 1916.

The mixed-race Black-and-tan faction's control of Republican parties in the south was ended by the Lily-white movement and according to V. O. Key Jr. by 1949, black Republicans only held power in the Mississippi affiliate. Alabama, Arkansas, North Carolina, Texas, and Virginia sent entirely white delegations to the 1920 convention. The Georgia Republican Party was restructured in 1921, with Warren G. Harding's involvement, as a model for other southern states and this restructuring replaced the black majority state committee with one that only had two black members. Texas sent its first entirely white delegate in 1928. At the 1964 convention the Georgia delegation was entirely white for the first time in fifty years.

G. Alexander Heard stated that "the southern oligarchies have greatly bolstered the conservative wing of the Republican party". Eisenhower's victories in southern states increased their delegation sizes to account for 21% of the total delegates at the 1956 convention, the highest since the rule change. By 1964, a candidate that could unify delegations from the west and south would hold four-fifths of the required number of delegates for the nomination, taking power away from more liberal Republicans in the northeast. 270 of the 279 southern delegates gave their support to Barry Goldwater, 31% of his overall support.

World War II and population changes

In 1932, less than 10% of the voting population in the peripheral south and less than 20% in the deep south lived in metropolitan areas. By 1956, metropolitan areas accounted for less than 40% and 30% respectively. This rose to around 60% and 40% respectively by 1976. Florida became the first urbanized state in the south in the 1930s. Republicans, such as John Tower and Howard Baker, performed well in these urban areas.

The President's Committee on Civil Rights, organized by Truman, published To Secure These Rights: The Report of the President’s Committee on Civil Rights in 1947. This report recommended the passage of civil rights legislation and ending segregation. The southern delegates planned on conducting a walkout during the roll call vote on the party's platform, which included support for civil rights, but Sam Rayburn, chair of the convention, instead used a voice vote as he believed a walkout would ruin Truman's presidential campaign. Only 35 of the 278 southern delegates, thirteen from Alabama and the entire twenty-two member Mississippi delegation, left the convention on July 15. The remaining southern delegates gave their support to Senator Richard Russell Jr. on the presidential ballot.

The States' Rights Democratic Party met in Birmingham, Alabama, and nominated Strom Thurmond and Fielding L. Wright as its presidential ticket. The party supported racial segregation, poll taxes, and opposed anti-lynching legislation. They planned on winning the entirety of the south's 127 electoral votes in order to force a contingent election in the US House of Representatives. Thurmond ran using the Democratic ballot line in Alabama, Louisiana, Mississippi, and South Carolina. The Dixiecrats were unsuccessful as Truman won reelection and they only received 39 of the south's electoral votes, only winning in states without Truman on the ballot. Failing to deny the Democrats the presidency in 1948, soon dissolved, but the split lingered. Truman was the last Democratic presidential nominee to win a majority of the white vote in the south.

In addition to the splits in the Democratic Party, the population movements associated with World War II had a significant effect in changing the demographics of the South. Starting during World War II, lasting from 1940 to 1970, more than 5 million African-Americans moved from the rural South to medium and major Northern industrial cities as well as mainly coastal munitions centers of the West during the Second Great Migration for jobs in the defense industry and later economic opportunities during the post-World War II economic boom.

In 1876, over 70% of voters participated in the election, but declined to less than 60% by 1896, and less than 30% by 1904. Voter participation reached a low of below 20% in the 1924 election. Increase voting rights in the 1950s and 1960s raised participation to 38% in 1952, and around 51% in 1968, the first time since 1896 that a majority voted. The percentage of black southerners who were registered to vote rose from around 20% in 1952, to 43% in 1964, and a majority in 1968.

With control of powerful committees, Southern Democrats gained new federal military installations in the South and other federal investments during and after the war. Changes in industry and growth in universities and the military establishment in turn attracted Northern transplants to the South and bolstered the base of the Republican Party. In the post-war presidential campaigns, Republicans did best in those fastest-growing states of the South that had the most Northern transplants. In the 1952, 1956 and 1960 elections, Virginia, Tennessee and Florida went Republican while Louisiana went Republican in 1956 and Texas twice voted for Dwight D. Eisenhower and once for John F. Kennedy. In 1956, Eisenhower received 48.9% of the Southern vote, becoming only the second Republican in history (after Ulysses S. Grant) to get a plurality of Southern votes. The 1956 election was the first time since 1872 that the Democratic presidential nominee failed to win a majority of the south's electoral votes.

The white conservative voters of the states of the Deep South remained loyal to the Democratic Party, which had not officially repudiated segregation. Due to declines in population or smaller rates of growth compared to other states, Mississippi, Alabama, Arkansas, and North Carolina lost congressional seats from the 1950s to the 1970s while South Carolina, Louisiana and Georgia remained static. Eisenhower was elected president in 1952, with strong support from the emerging middle class suburban element in the South. He appointed a number of Southern Republican supporters as federal judges in the South. They in turn ordered the desegregation of Southern schools in the 1950s and 1960s. They included Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals judges John R. Brown, Elbert P. Tuttle and John Minor Wisdom as well as district judges Frank Johnson and J. Skelly Wright. Five of his 24 appointees supported segregation.

Roots (1950s–1972)

Eisenhower and Kennedy

In the 1952 United States presidential election, Eisenhower placed first in 39 southern congressional districts, four in the Deep South. Only six Republicans were elected to the US House from the south, with five of them representing districts within the Blue Ridge Mountains. The Republicans made a net gain of one seat in the 1954 election, but did not win any additional seats for the rest of the decade. There were only 15 Republican candidates for the US House in the entirety of the South in 1958.

Tower's victory over interim appointee William A. Blakley in the 1961 United States Senate special election in Texas was made possible by a split among Democrats and a lack of liberal support for the conservative Blakley. This win made Tower the first Republican elected to the US Senate from the south since the end of Reconstruction. In the senate, he voted with southern Democrats in opposition to civil rights legislation. Tower was succeeded by Phil Gramm, a Republican who left the Democratic Party. The Democrats maintained control of Texas' other senate seat until 1993.

1964 election

In the early 1960s, leading Republicans including Goldwater began advocating for a plan they called the 'Southern Strategy', an effort to make Republican gains in the Solid South, which had been pro-Democratic since the aftermath of the American Civil War. Under the Southern Strategy, Republicans would continue an earlier effort to make inroads in the South, Operation Dixie, by ending attempts to appeal to African American voters in the Northern states, and instead appeal to white conservative voters in the South. As documented by reporters and columnists, including Joseph Alsop and Arthur Krock, on the surface the Southern Strategy would appeal to white voters in the South by advocating against the New Frontier programs of President John F. Kennedy and in favor of a smaller federal government and states' rights, while less publicly arguing against the Civil Rights movement and in favor of continued racial segregation.

Congressman and Republican National Committee chairman William E. Miller concurred with Goldwater and backed the Southern Strategy, including holding private meetings of the RNC and other key Republican leaders in late 1962 and early 1963 so they could decide whether to implement it. Overruling the moderate and liberal wings of the party, its leadership decided to pursue the Southern Strategy for the 1964 elections and beyond.

1964 presidential candidate Barry Goldwater won his home state of Arizona and five states in the Deep South, depicted in red. The Southern states, traditionally Democratic up to that time, voted Republican primarily as a statement of opposition to the Civil Rights Act, which had been passed in Congress earlier that year. Capturing 61.1% of the popular vote and 486 electors, Johnson won in a landslide.

Many states' rights Democrats were attracted to Goldwater's 1964 presidential campaign. Goldwater was notably more conservative than previous Republican nominees, such as President Eisenhower. Goldwater's principal opponent in the primary election, Governor Nelson Rockefeller of New York, was widely seen as representing the more moderate, pro-Civil Rights Act, Northern wing of the party (see Rockefeller Republican and Goldwater Republican).

In the 1964 presidential election, Goldwater ran a conservative, hawkish campaign that broadly opposed strong action by the federal government. Although he had supported all previous federal civil rights legislation, Goldwater opposed the Civil Rights Act and championed this opposition during the campaign. He believed that this act was an intrusion of the federal government into the affairs of state; and that the Act interfered with the rights of private people to do business, or not, with whomever they chose, even if the choice is based on racial discrimination.

Goldwater's position appealed to white Southern Democrats and Goldwater was the first Republican presidential candidate since Reconstruction to win the electoral votes of the Deep South states (Louisiana, Georgia, Alabama, Mississippi and South Carolina). Outside the South, Goldwater's negative vote on the Civil Rights Act proved devastating to his campaign. The only other state he won was his home one of Arizona and he suffered a landslide defeat. A Lyndon B. Johnson ad called "Confessions of a Republican", which ran in Northern and Western states, associated Goldwater with the Ku Klux Klan (KKK). At the same time, Johnson's campaign in the Deep South publicized Goldwater's support for pre-1964 civil rights legislation. In the end, Johnson swept the election.

In September, Thurmond left the Democratic Party and joined the Republicans. Goldwater gave a televised speech in Columbia, South Carolina, that featured segregationist politicians on-stage with him, including Thurmond, Iris Faircloth Blitch, James F. Byrnes, James H. Gray Sr., Albert Watson, and John Bell Williams, in which he criticized the Civil Rights Act.

If you can convince the lowest white man he's better than the best colored man, he won't notice you're picking his pocket. Hell, give him somebody to look down on, and he'll empty his pockets for you.

— Lyndon Johnson

Goldwater performed well in the Deep South, but fared poorly in other southern states due to his conservative policies. Goldwater was an opponent of the Tennessee Valley Authority and stated that it "was a big fat sacred New Deal cow". He received significant criticism for this statement and later wrote that "You would have thought I had just shot Santa Claus" about the response. Peter O'Donnell, a financial backer of Goldwater's campaign, wrote a memo criticizing Goldwater for "shooting from the hip" and "kicking a sleeping dog". His initial lead in North Carolina was undone by his opposition to federal tobacco price support. He was hurt in Florida due to his desire to privatize Social Security and his criticism of the United States' space program.

At the time, Goldwater was at odds in his position with most of the prominent members of the Republican Party, dominated by so-called Eastern Establishment and Midwestern Progressives. A higher percentage of the Republicans and Democrats outside the South supported the Civil Rights Act of 1964, as they had on all previous Civil Rights legislation. The Southern Democrats mostly opposed the Northern and Western politicians regardless of party affiliation—and their Presidents (Kennedy and Johnson)—on civil rights issues. At the same time, passage of the Civil Rights Act caused many black voters to join the Democratic Party, which moved the party and its nominees in a progressive direction.

Nixon

1968 election

Johnson was concerned that his endorsement of civil rights legislation would endanger his party in the South. In the 1968 election, Richard Nixon saw the cracks in the Solid South as an opportunity to tap into a group of voters who had historically been beyond the reach of the Republican Party. George Wallace had exhibited a strong candidacy in that election, where he garnered 46 electoral votes and nearly 10 million popular votes, attracting mostly Southern Democrats away from Hubert Humphrey. Humphrey had the worst performance for a Democratic presidential nominee in the South since the 1868 election.

The notion of Black Power advocated by the Student Nonviolent Coordinating Committee leaders captured some of the frustrations of African Americans at the slow process of change in gaining civil rights and social justice. African Americans pushed for faster change, raising racial tensions. Journalists reporting about the demonstrations against the Vietnam War often featured young people engaging in violence or burning draft cards and American flags. Conservatives were also dismayed about the many young adults engaged in the drug culture and "free love" (sexual promiscuity), in what was called the "hippie" counter-culture. These actions scandalized many Americans and created a concern about law and order.

Alabama Governor George Wallace

Nixon's advisers recognized that they could not appeal directly to voters on issues of white supremacy or racism. White House Chief of Staff H. R. Haldeman noted that Nixon "emphasized that you have to face the fact that the whole problem is really the blacks. The key is to devise a system that recognized this while not appearing to". With the aid of Harry Dent and South Carolina Senator Strom Thurmond, who had switched to the Republican Party in 1964, Nixon ran his 1968 campaign on states' rights and "law and order". Liberal Northern Democrats accused Nixon of pandering to Southern whites, especially with regard to his "states' rights" and "law and order" positions, which were widely understood by black leaders to symbolize Southern resistance to civil rights. This tactic was described in 2007 by David Greenberg in Slate as "dog-whistle politics". According to an article in The American Conservative, Nixon adviser and speechwriter Pat Buchanan disputed this characterization.

Nixon met with southern Republicans and party chairmen, including John Tower and Thurmond, on May 31, 1968, in Atlanta, Georgia, and promised to slow integration efforts and forced busing. Ronald Reagan entered the 1968 primary late and attempted to gain the support of the southern delegations, with Nixon stating that "it was Ronald Reagan who set the hearts of many Southern Republicans aflutter", but the delegations had committed to Nixon and Thurmond helped maintain their support for Nixon. Southern delegates accounted for 46% of the delegates needed to win the nomination at the 1968 convention. Nixon received his highest level of support from the south, which gave him 74% of their vote and accounted for 33% of his overall support.

Nixon wrote in his memoir that the south was the most important region for winning both the nomination and the presidency. However, he had to concede the Deep South to Wallace and instead presented himself as a compromise between Wallace and Humphrey to the rest of the south. Nixon's campaign in the south was managed by Harry S. Dent Sr. and Thurmond. Dent had Nixon used euphemisms in opposition to school desegregation and forced busing.

The independent candidacy of George Wallace partially negated Nixon's Southern Strategy. With a much more explicit attack on integration and civil rights, Wallace won almost all of Goldwater's states. Nixon picked up Virginia, Tennessee, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Florida while Democratic nominee Hubert Humphrey won only Texas. Writer Jeffrey Hart, who worked on the Nixon campaign as a speechwriter, said in 2006 that Nixon did not have a "Southern Strategy", but "Border State Strategy" as he said that the 1968 campaign ceded the Deep South to George Wallace. Hart suggested that the press called it a "Southern Strategy" as they are "very lazy".

Nixon won 29% of the white vote in the Deep South compared to Wallace's 63%, but won 45% of the white vote in the peripheral south compared to Wallace's 31% and Humphrey's 24%. Numan V. Bartley and Hugh Davis Graham wrote that Nixon performed best in the metropolitan, urban, and suburban areas of the south where law and order rhetoric appealed better while performing worse in smaller cities and rural areas.

Percentage of white vote won in southern states
State 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988
Alabama 77 / 100
23 / 100
78 / 100
16 / 100
4 / 100
83 / 100
14 / 100
50 / 100
48 / 100
59 / 100
36 / 100
73 / 100
25 / 100
71 / 100
28 / 100
Arkansas 49 / 100
51 / 100
46 / 100
36 / 100
19 / 100
80 / 100
19 / 100
58 / 100
42 / 100
53 / 100
42 / 100
68 / 100
31 / 100
63 / 100
36 / 100
Florida 56 / 100
44 / 100
45 / 100
32 / 100
23 / 100
78 / 100
22 / 100
51 / 100
47 / 100
62 / 100
31 / 100
71 / 100
29 / 100
67 / 100
33 / 100
Georgia 65 / 100
35 / 100
51 / 100
36 / 100
13 / 100
90 / 100
10 / 100
58 / 100
42 / 100
50 / 100
47 / 100
73 / 100
27 / 100
72 / 100
27 / 100
Louisiana 65 / 100
35 / 100
60 / 100
28 / 100
12 / 100
77 / 100
15 / 100
57 / 100
40 / 100
63 / 100
33 / 100
76 / 100
23 / 100
68 / 100
30 / 100
Mississippi 91 / 100
9 / 100
83 / 100
17 / 100
0 / 100
100 / 100
0 / 100
60 / 100
36 / 100
62 / 100
35 / 100
79 / 100
20 / 100
76 / 100
23 / 100
North Carolina 49 / 100
51 / 100
46 / 100
37 / 100
18 / 100
78 / 100
20 / 100
51 / 100
48 / 100
57 / 100
39 / 100
73 / 100
27 / 100
68 / 100
32 / 100
South Carolina 70 / 100
30 / 100
48 / 100
41 / 100
12 / 100
85 / 100
13 / 100
55 / 100
44 / 100
64 / 100
32 / 100
82 / 100
17 / 100
79 / 100
20 / 100
Tennessee 51 / 100
49 / 100
43 / 100
39 / 100
19 / 100
75 / 100
22 / 100
51 / 100
48 / 100
55 / 100
42 / 100
65 / 100
34 / 100
65 / 100
34 / 100
Texas 44 / 100
56 / 100
45 / 100
34 / 100
22 / 100
73 / 100
26 / 100
53 / 100
46 / 100
59 / 100
37 / 100
70 / 100
30 / 100
61 / 100
38 / 100
Virginia 52 / 100
48 / 100
51 / 100
28 / 100
21 / 100
78 / 100
22 / 100
56 / 100
40 / 100
59 / 100
33 / 100
72 / 100
27 / 100
69 / 100
30 / 100

Midterms and 1972 election

Glen Moore argues that in 1970 Nixon and the Republican Party developed a "Southern Strategy" for the midterm elections. The strategy involved depicting Democratic candidates as permissive liberals. Republicans thereby managed to unseat Albert Gore, Sr. of Tennessee as well as Senator Joseph D. Tydings of Maryland. However, for the entire region the net result was a small loss of seats for the Republican Party in the South.

Regional attention in 1970 focused on the Senate, when Nixon nominated Judge G. Harrold Carswell of Florida, a judge on the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals to the Supreme Court. Carswell was a lawyer from north Florida with a mediocre record, but Nixon needed a Southerner and a "strict constructionist" to support his "Southern Strategy" of moving the region toward the GOP. Carswell was voted down by the liberal block in the Senate, causing a backlash that pushed many Southern Democrats into the Republican fold. The long-term result was a realization by both parties that nominations to the Supreme Court could have a major impact on political attitudes in the South.

In a year-by-year analysis of how the transformation took place in the critical state of Virginia, James Sweeney shows that the slow collapse of the old statewide Byrd machine gave the Republicans the opportunity to build local organizations county by county and city by city. The Democratic Party factionalized, with each faction having the goal of taking over the entire statewide Byrd machine, but the Byrd leadership was basically conservative and more in line with the national Republican Party in economic and foreign policy issues. Republicans united behind A. Linwood Holton, Jr. in 1969 and swept the state. In the 1970 Senate elections, the Byrd machine made a comeback by electing Independent Harry Flood Byrd, Jr. over Republican Ray L. Garland and Democrat George Rawlings. The new Senator Byrd never joined the Republican Party and instead joined the Democratic caucus. Nevertheless, he had a mostly conservative voting record especially on the trademark Byrd issue of the national deficit. At the local level, the 1970s saw steady Republican growth with this emphasis on a middle-class suburban electorate that had little interest in the historic issues of rural agrarianism and racial segregation.

Nixon won 79% of the southern white vote in the 1972 election, and received 86% of the white vote in the Deep South. CBS reported that Nixon won former Wallace voters three to one. Nixon's highest margins of victory in the national election were in Mississippi and Georgia. It was the first time that a Republican presidential candidate won the entirety of the south.

Jesse Helms, who left the Democratic Party in 1971, was elected to the US Senate from North Carolina. He never supported any civil rights legislation during his tenure. Helms received large amounts of support from white voters and tied himself to Reagan and opposition to Martin Luther King Jr. Day during the 1984 election. His campaign against black Democratic nominee Harvey Gantt in the 1990 election was racially charged as he focused on messaging of black people taking jobs from white people. He ran an advertisement in which a white person was denied a job due to racial quotas. Carter Wrenn, who was involved in the ad's creation, stated that "We played the race card".

Fletcher Thompson, a Republican who opposed busing, ran in the 1972 Georgia senatorial election against conservative Democrat Sam Nunn. Nunn won the election, but was the first Democrat to win a senatorial election in Georgia while losing the white vote.

1976 election

Carter, the first major party presidential candidate from the deep south since Zachary Taylor, won every southern state except for Virginia in the 1976 presidential election. Carter's campaign operated on a strategy that was based around winning the south. His campaign manager, Hamilton Jordan, wrote that the south "provided us with a base of support that cannot be taken for granted or jeopardized" as the "Republicans cannot win if they write off the South". However, the campaign did not publicly emphasize the importance of the south with Jordan stating that it would "be harmful nationally if we were perceived as having a South strategy".

Patrick Caddell stated that televisions ads by the Carter campaign in the south "were blatant-waving the bloody rebel flag". To avoid being viewed as a liberal in the south Carter campaigned with Wallace and voice opposition to welfare and support for balanced budgets and national defense. He also campaigned with segregationist senators James Eastland and John C. Stennis

Ford's poor performance in the south, winning only 9% of its electoral votes, greatly increased the amount of support he needed in the rest of the country to win. However, Carter only won the white vote in Georgia, Arkansas, and Tennessee.

Evolution (1970s and 1980s)

Reagan

After his accession to the presidency Ford selected Nelson Rockefeller, rather than George H. W. Bush, to serve as his vice president. Bryce Harlow stated that Bush would have been better for party unity, but that Rockefeller would receive better coverage from the media and make Ford a stronger candidate in the 1976 election. Conservatives, including Reagan, opposed the selection as Rockefeller "might inherit the presidency" according to Lou Cannon.

Ford was the first incumbent Republican president to face significant primary opposition since Taft in 1912. Reagan's campaign was performing poorly following defeats in New Hampshire, Florida, and Illinois. In North Carolina, Ford was backed by moderate Governor James Holshouser while Reagan was backed by Helms and Thomas F. Ellis. North Carolina was Reagan's first victory during the 1976 primary and he also won Texas, Alabama, and Georgia. However, he failed to win in Tennessee due to comments suggesting he might not support continuation of the TVA. One-third of Reagan's delegate support at the convention came from the south.

John Sears, Reagan's campaign manager in 1976, proposed that he moderate his policies to prevent being seen as another Goldwater. On the day Reagan won the New Hampshire primary he replaced Sears with William J. Casey, who shifted to more conservative messaging.

Reagan's victories in the south solidified his control of the Republican nomination. Lee Atwater and Carroll A. Campbell Jr. managed his successful campaign in South Carolina despite John Connally having the support of Thurmond and Governor James B. Edwards. Reagan won the entire south with him taking over 60% in North Carolina, over 70% in Alabama, Georgia, Tennessee, and Louisiana, and over 80% in Mississippi.

Lee Atwater

As civil rights grew more accepted throughout the nation, basing a general election strategy on appeals to "states' rights", which some would have believed opposed civil rights laws, would have resulted in a national backlash. The concept of "states' rights" was considered by some to be subsumed within a broader meaning than simply a reference to civil rights laws. States rights became seen as encompassing a type of New Federalism that would return local control of race relations. Republican strategist Atwater discussed the Southern Strategy in a 1981 interview later published in Southern Politics in the 1990s by Alexander P. Lamis.

Atwater: As to the whole Southern strategy that Harry Dent and others put together in 1968, opposition to the Voting Rights Act would have been a central part of keeping the South. Now doesn't have to do that. All you have to do to keep the South is for Reagan to run in place on the issues he's campaigned on since 1964 and that's fiscal conservatism, balancing the budget, cut taxes, you know, the whole cluster...

Questioner: But the fact is, isn't it, that Reagan does get to the Wallace voter and to the racist side of the Wallace voter by doing away with legal services, by cutting down on food stamps?

Atwater: Y'all don't quote me on this. You start out in 1954 by saying, "Nigger, nigger, nigger." By 1968 you can't say "nigger"—that hurts you. Backfires. So you say stuff like forced busing, states' rights and all that stuff. You're getting so abstract now you're talking about cutting taxes, and all these things you're talking about are totally economic things and a byproduct of them is blacks get hurt worse than whites. And subconsciously maybe that is part of it. I'm not saying that. But I'm saying that if it is getting that abstract, and that coded, that we are doing away with the racial problem one way or the other. You follow me—because obviously sitting around saying, "We want to cut this," is much more abstract than even the busing thing, and a hell of a lot more abstract than "Nigger, nigger."

From the 1980 to 1988 presidential elections Georgia was the only southern state to support a Democratic presidential candidate. Republicans won US Senate seats in Mississippi and Alabama for the first time since Reconstruction in 1978 and 1980, and a statewide office in Georgia in 1980. Mack Mattingly's victory in the 1980 Georgia senatorial election made him the first Republican to defeat an incumbent Democratic senator in the deep south. Georgia, Kentucky, and Mississippi were the only southern states to not elect a Republican governor in the 1980s. The number of registered Republican voters increased in the south during the 1980s with Louisiana rising from 7% in 1980 to 16% in 1988, North Carolina rising from 24% to 30%, and Florida rising from 30% to 39%.

During the Reagan administration, there was a decline in Republican congressional support in the south. Republicans held 10 of the 22 US Senate seats and 39 seats in the US House of Representatives from the south after the 1980 election, but declined to 7 senate seats while maintaining its representation in the US House of Representatives despite reapportionment increasing the south's seat total by eight. Republicans did not contest one-fourth of the house seats in the south in the 1988 election. Reagan was able to form a governing majority due to a coalition between Republicans and conservative southern Democrats, boll weevils. The Republicans gained four seats in the US Senate from the south in the 1980 election, but three lost reelection in 1986, and one died in office.

Fourteen of the eighteen Democratic senators from the South voted against extending the Voting Rights Act in 1970. However, an increase in newer members led to nine voting to extend it in 1975, while five voted against it. In 1982, all Democratic senators from the South, including Russell B. Long and Stennis, voted to extend the legislation for twenty-five years. Earl Black and Merle Black stated that southern senators Dale Bumpers, Wyche Fowler, Bob Graham, David Pryor, Terry Sanford, and Jim Sasser were voting as or more liberal than the national party in the 1980s.

Reagan's Neshoba County Fair "states' rights" speech

In August 1980, Reagan made a much-noted appearance at the Neshoba County Fair in Philadelphia, Mississippi, where his speech contained the phrase "I believe in states' rights". This was cited as evidence that the Republican Party was building upon the Southern strategy again. Former UN Ambassador Andrew Young stated that with his support of states' rights, Reagan was signaling that "it’s going to be all right to kill niggers when president." Young's remark was criticized by Carter. Two days after his appearance at the fair, Reagan appeared at the Urban League convention in New York to appeal to black voters, where he said, "I am committed to the protection and enforcement of the civil rights of black Americans. This commitment is interwoven into every phase of the plans I will propose."

Reagan's campaigns used racially coded rhetoric, making attacks on the "welfare state" and leveraging resentment towards affirmative action. Dan Carter explains how "Reagan showed that he could use coded language with the best of them, lambasting welfare queens, busing, and affirmative action as the need arose". During his 1976 and 1980 campaigns, Reagan employed stereotypes of welfare recipients, often invoking the case of a "welfare queen" with a large house and a Cadillac using multiple names to collect over $150,000 in tax-free income. Aistrup described Reagan's campaign statements as "seemingly race neutral", but explained how whites interpret this in a racial manner, citing a Democratic National Committee funded study conducted by Communications Research Group. Though Reagan did not overtly mention the race of the welfare recipient, the unstated impression in whites' minds were black people and Reagan's rhetoric resonated with Southern white perceptions of black people.

Aistrup argued that one example of Reagan field-testing coded language in the South was a reference to an unscrupulous man using food stamps as a "strapping young buck". When informed of the offensive connotations of the term, Reagan defended his actions as a nonracial term that was common in his Illinois hometown. Ultimately, Reagan never used that particular phrasing again. According to Ian Haney Lopez, the "young buck" term changed into "young fellow" which was less overtly racist: "'Some young fellow' was less overtly racist and so carried less risk of censure, and worked just as well to provoke a sense of white victimization".

Lee Atwater argued that Reagan did not use the Southern strategy or need to make racial appeals:

Atwater: But Reagan did not have to do a southern strategy for two reasons. Number one, race was not a dominant issue. And number two, the mainstream issues in this campaign had been, quote, southern issues since way back in the sixties. So Reagan goes out and campaigns on the issues of economics and of national defense. The whole campaign was devoid of any kind of racism, any kind of reference.

Bush

Southern white conservatives were plurality Democratic in 1976, with independent in second and Republican in third at 30%. The Republican figure rose to 40% in 1980, and 52% in 1984. In 1988, 60% identified themselves as Republicans while 16% identified as Democrats.

Bush selected Atwater to manage his presidential campaign in the 1988 election. Atwater obtained hundreds of southern endorsements for Bush and focused on Evangelical voters, who made up a large number of the southern electorate.

Proposals for holding the presidential primaries of southern states at once started in the 1970s in order to maintain and increase the region's influence in presidential elections. It would allow for a conservative favorite son candidate from the south to receive a lead in delegate totals and produce momentum for the other primaries. Other southern presidential candidates had fared poorly in the initial contests in Iowa and New Hampshire which allowed more liberal candidates to gain the nomination.

Alabama, Florida, and Georgia designated the second Tuesday of March as the date for their presidential primaries and the Southern Legislative Conference lobbied other states to join. 864 Democratic and 564 Republican delegates came from the southern states in the 1988 primary. Frank Fahrenkopf, chair of the Republican National Committee, stated that "Southern Democrats intended Super Tuesday to be a way to moderate their party", but that "the Democrats have handed us a tremendous opportunity to win over the disaffected majority of their party".

174 delegates were selected in the Republican primary before Super Tuesday and Bush held 35.1% of these delegates. After Super Tuesday Bush held 73.5% of the 959 delegates selected so far. Bush's victory in all but one state on Super Tuesday nearly secured him enough delegates to win the primary. Bush won a majority of the vote in all southern states except for in three states, and received 85.7% of their delegates due to the primaries being winner-take-all. Pat Robertson's campaign was weakened following a defeat in South Carolina and Super Tuesday.

Southern turnout in the Republican primaries rose from 2.1 million in 1980, to 3.8 million in 1988. Turnout in Texas rose from 527,000 to 1,015,000, in Florida from 614,000 to 901,000, and in Georgia from 200,000 to 401,000. Over 40% of southern white voters participated in the Republican primaries except for in Tennessee, North Carolina, Louisiana, and Arkansas. 97% of the Republican electorate in the primaries were white.

Willie Horton attack ads

During the 1988 presidential election, the Willie Horton attack ads run against Democratic candidate Michael Dukakis built upon the Southern Strategy in a campaign that reinforced the notion that Republicans best represent conservative whites with traditional values. Lee Atwater and Roger Ailes worked on the campaign as Bush's political strategists. Upon seeing a favorable New Jersey focus group response to the Horton strategy, Atwater recognized that an implicit racial appeal could work outside of the Southern states. The subsequent ads featured Horton's mugshot and played on fears of black criminals. Atwater said of the strategy: "By the time we're finished, they're going to wonder whether Willie Horton is Dukakis' running mate". Al Gore was the first to use the Willie Horton prison furlough against Dukakis and—like the Bush campaign—would not mention race. The Bush campaign claimed they were initially made aware of the Horton issue via the Gore campaign's use of the subject. Bush initially hesitated to use the Horton campaign strategy, but the campaign saw it as a wedge issue to harm Dukakis who was struggling against Democratic rival Jesse Jackson.

In addition to presidential campaigns, subsequent Republican campaigns for the House of Representatives and Senate in the South employed the Southern Strategy.

New York Times opinion columnist Bob Herbert wrote in 2005: "The truth is that there was very little that was subconscious about the G.O.P.'s relentless appeal to racist whites. Tired of losing elections, it saw an opportunity to renew itself by opening its arms wide to white voters who could never forgive the Democratic Party for its support of civil rights and voting rights for blacks". Aistrup described the transition of the Southern Strategy saying that it has "evolved from a states' rights, racially conservative message to one promoting in the Nixon years, vis-à-vis the courts, a racially conservative interpretation of civil rights laws—including opposition to busing. With the ascendancy of Reagan, the Southern Strategy became a national strategy that melded race, taxes, anticommunism, and religion".

Some analysts viewed the 1990s as the apogee of Southernization or the Southern Strategy, given that the Democratic President Bill Clinton and Vice President Al Gore were from the South as were Congressional leaders on both sides of the aisle. During the end of Nixon's presidency, the Senators representing the former Confederate states in the 93rd Congress were primarily Democrats. During the beginning of Bill Clinton's presidency twenty years later in the 103rd Congress, this was still the case.

Role of churches

Certain denominations show strong preferences, by membership, for certain political parties, particularly evangelicals for the GOP and historically black churches for the Democratic Party, and voter guides exist, either designed for distribution by churches or easily available for that. As a consequence, churches have played a key role in support of the Southern strategy, especially Southern Baptists. Black Baptists, on the other hand, served as a source of resistance to Jim Crow through parallel institutions, intellectual traditions, and activism which extend into the present day.

Shifts in strategy (1990s and 2000s)

Democrats held a majority of the US House and US Senate seats in the south after the 1992 elections. However, the Republicans gain a 64 to 61 control in the US House and 13 to 9 control in the US Senate after the 1994 elections.

Richard Shelby, who was elected to the US Senate in 1986 as a conservative Democrat with a minority of the white vote, joined the Republicans after the 1994 election.

Ten of the twelve Democrats who served as Speaker or Minority Leader between 1891 and 1961, were from the south. Southerners held at least one leadership position during the Democratic control of Congress in the later half of the 20th century. The Republican leaders of the 104th United States Congress (Newt Gingrich, Dick Armey, and Tom DeLay) were all from the south. Trent Lott, a southerner, replaced Alan Simpson as the party's whip in the US Senate and later became the Majority Leader in 1996.

In the mid-1990s, the Republican Party made major attempts to court African American voters, believing that the strength of religious values within the African American community and the growing number of affluent and middle-class African Americans would lead this group increasingly to support Republican candidates. In general, these efforts did not significantly increase African American support for the Republican Party. Few African Americans voted for George W. Bush and other national Republican candidates in the 2004 elections, although he attracted a higher percentage of black voters (15%) to identify as Republican than had any GOP candidate since Dwight D. Eisenhower (24%). In his article "The Race Problematic, the Narrative of Martin Luther King Jr., and the Election of Barack Obama", Dr. Rickey Hill argued that Bush implemented his own Southern Strategy by exploiting "the denigration of the liberal label to convince white conservatives to vote for him. Bush's appeal was to the same racist tropes that had been used since the Goldwater and Nixon days."

Following Bush's re-election, Ken Mehlman, Bush's campaign manager and Chairman of the Republican National Committee, held several large meetings in 2005 with African American business, community and religious leaders. In his speeches, he apologized for his party's use of the Southern Strategy in the past. When asked about the strategy of using race as an issue to build GOP dominance in the once-Democratic South, Mehlman replied,

Republican candidates often have prospered by ignoring black voters and even by exploiting racial tensions by the '70s and into the '80s and '90s, the Democratic Party solidified its gains in the African-American community, and we Republicans did not effectively reach out. Some Republicans gave up on winning the African-American vote, looking the other way or trying to benefit politically from racial polarization. I am here today as the Republican chairman to tell you we were wrong.

Thomas Edge argues that the election of President Barack Obama saw a new type of Southern Strategy emerge among conservative voters. They used his election as evidence of a post-racial era to deny the need of continued civil rights legislation while simultaneously playing on racial tensions and marking him as a "racial bogeyman". Edge described three parts to this phenomenon saying:

First, according to the arguments, a nation that has the ability to elect a Black president is completely free of racism. Second, attempts to continue the remedies enacted after the civil rights movement will only result in more racial discord, demagoguery, and racism against White Americans. Third, these tactics are used side-by-side with the veiled racism and coded language of the original Southern Strategy.

Other observers have suggested that the election of President Obama in the 2008 presidential election and subsequent re-election in 2012 signaled the growing irrelevance of the Southern Strategy-style tactics. Louisiana State University political scientists Wayne Parent, for example, suggested that Obama's ability to get elected without the support of Southern states demonstrate that the region was moving from "the center of the political universe to being an outside player in presidential politics" while University of Maryland, Baltimore County political scientist Thomas Schaller argued that the Republican party had "marginalized" itself, becoming a "mostly regional party" through a process of Southernization.

Scholarly debates

The Southern strategy is generally believed to be the primary force that transformed the "Democratic South into a reliable GOP stronghold in presidential elections". Scholars generally emphasize the role of racial backlash in the realignment of southern voters. The viewpoint that the electoral realignment of the Republican party due to a race-driven Southern Strategy is also known as the "top-down" viewpoint. Most scholarship and analysts support this top-down viewpoint and state that the political shift was due primarily to racial issues. Some historians believe that racial issues took a back seat to a grassroots narrative known as the "suburban strategy", which Glen Feldman calls a "dissenting—yet rapidly growing—narrative on the topic of southern partisan realignment".

Matthew Lassiter says: "A suburban-centered vision reveals that demographic change played a more important role than racial demagoguery in the emergence of a two-party system in the American South". Lassiter argues that race-based appeals cannot explain the GOP shift in the South while also noting that the real situation is far more complex. According to Lassiter, political scientists and historians point out that the timing does not fit the "Southern Strategy" model. Nixon carried 49 states in 1972, so he operated a successful national rather than regional strategy. But the Republican Party remained quite weak at the local and state levels across the entire South for decades. Republicans first won a majority of US House seats in the South in the 1994 "Republican Revolution", and only began to dominate the South after the 2010 elections.

Bruce Kalk and George Tindall argue that Nixon's Southern Strategy was to find a compromise on race that would take the issue out of politics, allowing conservatives in the South to rally behind his grand plan to reorganize the national government. Kalk and Tindall emphasize the similarity between Nixon's operations and the series of compromises orchestrated by Rutherford B. Hayes in 1877 that ended the battles over Reconstruction and put Hayes in the White House. Kalk says Nixon did end the reform impulse and sowed the seeds for the political rise of white Southerners and the decline of the civil rights movement.

Dean Kotlowski argues that Nixon's overall civil rights record was on the whole responsible and that Nixon tended to seek the middle ground. He campaigned as a moderate in 1968, pitching his appeal to the widest range of voters. Furthermore, he continued this strategy as president. As a matter of principle, says Kotlowski, he supported integration of schools. However, Nixon chose not to antagonize Southerners who opposed it and left enforcement to the judiciary, which had originated the issue in the first place. In particular, Kotlowski believes historians have been somewhat misled by Nixon's rhetorical Southern Strategy that had limited influence on actual policies.

Nicholas Valentino and David O. Sears conducted their own study and reported that "the South's shift to the Republican party has been driven to a significant degree by racial conservatism" and also concluded that "racial conservatism seems to continue to be central to the realignment of Southern whites' partisanship since the Civil Rights era". Valentino and Sears state that some "ther scholars downplay the role of racial issues and prejudice even in contemporary racial politics". And that "the conventional wisdom about partisanship today seems to point to divisions over the size of government (including taxes, social programs, and regulation), national security, and moral issues such as abortion and gay rights, with racial issues only one of numerous areas about which liberals and conservatives disagree, and far from the most important one at that".

Jeremy Mayer argues that scholars have given too much emphasis on the civil rights issue as it was not the only deciding factor for Southern white voters. Goldwater took positions on such issues as privatizing the Tennessee Valley Authority, abolishing Social Security and ending farm price supports that outraged many white Southerners who strongly supported these programs. Mayer states:

Goldwater's staff also realized that his radical plan to sell the Tennessee Valley Authority was causing even racist whites to vote for Johnson. A Florida editorial urged Southern whites not to support Goldwater even if they agreed with his position on civil rights, because his other positions would have grave economic consequences for the region. Goldwater's opposition to most poverty programs, the TVA, aid to education, Social Security, the Rural Electrification Administration, and farm price supports surely cost him votes throughout the South and the nation.

Political scientist Nelson W. Polsby argued that economic development was more central than racial desegregation in the evolution of the postwar South in Congress. In The End of Southern Exceptionalism: Class, Race, and Partisan Change in the Postwar South, University of Wisconsin political scientist Byron E. Shafer and University of British Columbia political scientist Richard Johnston developed Polsby's argument in greater depth. Using roll call analysis of voting patterns in the House of Representatives, they found that issues of desegregation and race were less important than issues of economics and social class when it came to the transformation of partisanship in the South. This view is backed by Glenn Feldman who notes that the early narratives on the Southern realignment focused on the idea of appealing to racism. This argument was first and thus took hold as the accepted narrative. In a later publication, The Great Melding: War, the Dixiecrat Rebellion, and the Southern Model for America’s New Conservatism, Feldman outlined that poor whites believed they had more racial affinity with white elites than class affinity with blacks, despite being adversely affected by economic policies of the white elites.

Gareth Davies argues that "he scholarship of those who emphasize the southern strategizing Nixon is not so much wrong—it captures one side of the man—as it is unsophisticated and incomplete. Nixon and his enemies needed one another in order to get the job done". Lawrence McAndrews makes a similar argument, saying Nixon pursued a mixed strategy:

Some scholars claim that Nixon succeeded, by leading a principled assault on de jure school desegregation. Others claim that he failed, by orchestrating a politically expedient surrender to de facto school segregation. A close examination of the evidence, however, reveals that in the area of school desegregation, Nixon's record was a mixture of principle and politics, progress and paralysis, success and failure. In the end, he was neither simply the cowardly architect of a racially insensitive "Southern strategy" which condoned segregation, nor the courageous conductor of a politically risky "not-so-Southern strategy" which condemned it.

Historian Joan Hoff noted that in interviews with historians years later, Nixon denied that he ever practiced a Southern strategy. Harry S. Dent Sr., one of Nixon's senior advisers on Southern politics, told Nixon privately in 1969 that the administration "has no Southern Strategy, but rather a national strategy which, for the first time in modern times, includes the South".

See also

Notes

  1. Quoted from Reagan's speech: "I still believe the answer to any problem lies with the people. I believe in states' rights and I believe in people doing as much as they can for themselves at the community level and at the private level. I believe we have distorted the balance of our government today by giving powers that were never intended to be given in the Constitution to that federal establishment". "Sound file". Onlinemadison.com. Archived from the original (MP3) on March 4, 2016. Retrieved September 27, 2015.

References

  1. ^ Boyd, James (May 17, 1970). "Nixon's Southern strategy: 'It's All in the Charts'" (PDF). The New York Times. Retrieved August 2, 2008.
  2. ^ Carter, Dan T. From George Wallace to Newt Gingrich: Race in the Conservative Counterrevolution 1963–1994. p. 35.
  3. ^ Branch, Taylor (1999). Pillar of Fire: America in the King Years 1963–65. New York: Simon & Schuster. p. 242. ISBN 978-0-684-80819-2. OCLC 37909869.
  4. ^ Apple, R. W. Jr. (September 19, 1996). "G.O.P. Tries Hard to Win Black Votes, but Recent History Works Against It". The New York Times. Archived from the original on June 12, 2022.
  5. ^ Black & Black 1992, p. 306.
  6. Black & Black 1992, p. 312.
  7. ^ Aistrup, Joseph A. (1996). The Southern Strategy Revisited: Republican Top-Down Advancement in the South. University Press of Kentucky. ISBN 978-0-8131-4792-5.
  8. ^ Lisa Bedolla, Kerry Haynie (2013). "The Obama coalition and the future of American politics". Politics, Groups, and Identities. 1: 128–133. doi:10.1080/21565503.2012.758593. S2CID 154440894. It is generally believed to be the primary force that transformed the once overwhelmingly Democratic South into a reliable GOP stronghold in presidential elections (Aistrup 1996; Black and Black 2003)
  9. Crespino, Joseph (2007). In Search of Another Country: Mississippi and the Conservative Counterrevolution. Princeton University Press. p. 10. Whatever the shortcomings of the southern strategy thesis, on one score it has been exactly right: it has placed white reaction against the modern civil rights movement at the center of the conservative resurgence since the 1960s.
  10. Julian E. Zelizer (2012). Governing America: The Revival of Political History. Princeton University Press. ISBN 978-1-4008-4189-9. younger Southern historians such as Matthew Lassiter, Kevin Kruse, and Joseph Crespino objected to claims about Southern Exceptionalism while agreeing on the centrality of a racial backlash.
  11. Lassiter, Matthew D. (2006). The Silent Majority: Suburban Politics in the Sunbelt South. Princeton University Press. pp. 4–7. ISBN 978-1-4008-4942-0.
  12. ^ Feldman, Glenn (2011). Painting Dixie Red: When, Where, Why and How the South Became Republican. University Press of Florida. pp. 16, 80.
  13. Lassiter, Matthew D.; Crespino, Joseph (2010). The Myth of Southern Exceptionalism. Oxford University Press. pp. 25–. ISBN 978-0-19-538474-1.
  14. Kruse, Kevin Michael (2005). White Flight: Atlanta and the Making of Modern Conservatism. Princeton University Press. ISBN 978-0-691-09260-7.
  15. Rondy, John (July 15, 2005). "GOP ignored black vote, chairman says: RNC head apologizes at NAACP meeting". The Boston Globe. Reuters. Archived from the original on January 12, 2012.
  16. Allen, Mike (July 14, 2005). "RNC Chief to Say It Was 'Wrong' to Exploit Racial Conflict for Votes". The Washington Post. Retrieved October 14, 2013.
  17. Javits, Jacob K. (October 27, 1963). "To Preserve the Two-Party System". The New York Times.
  18. Phillips, Kevin (1969). The Emerging Republican Majority. New York: Arlington House. ISBN 978-0-87000-058-4. OCLC 18063. passim
  19. Richard H. Abbott, The Republican Party and the South, 1855–1877: The First Southern Strategy (1986) p. 231
  20. Tali Mendelberg (2001). The Race Card: Campaign Strategy, Implicit Messages, and the Norm of Equality. Princeton UP. p. 52. ISBN 978-0691070711.
  21. About the Vice President|William A. Wheeler, 19th Vice President (1877-1881). United States Senate. Retrieved January 27, 2022.
  22. C. Vann Woodward, Reunion and Reaction: The Compromise of 1877 and the End of Reconstruction(1956) pp. 8, 205–12
  23. Vincent P. De Santis, Republicans face the southern question: The new departure years, 1877–1897 (1959) pp. 71–85
  24. Nicholas Lemann, Redemption: The Last Battle of the Civil War (New York: Farrar Straus & Giroux, 2007), pp. 74–80
  25. Steed, Moreland & Baker 1980, p. 4.
  26. Zinn, Howard (1999). A People's History of the United States. New York: HarperCollins. pp. 205–10, 449. ISBN 978-0-06-052842-3.
  27. Perman, Michael (2001). Struggle for Mastery: Disfranchisement in the South, 1888–1908. Chapel Hill, NC: University of North Carolina Press. pp. 1–8
  28. "Beginnings of black education" Archived 2009-07-21 at the Wayback Machine, The Civil Rights Movement in Virginia. Virginia Historical Society. Retrieved April 12, 2009.
  29. Moreland, Steed & Baker 1991, p. 201.
  30. Black & Black 2002, p. 59.
  31. Black & Black 2002, p. 40.
  32. Steed, Moreland & Baker 1980, p. 102.
  33. Dobbs, Ricky Floyd (January 1, 2007). "Continuities in American anti-Catholicism: the Texas Baptist Standard and the coming of the 1960 election". Baptist History and Heritage. Archived from the original on February 21, 2014.
  34. Chapin, James (February 22, 2001). "Analysis: The end of the Southern strategy, part 2". UPI Archives. Boca Raton, FL. Retrieved October 17, 2024.
  35. Black & Black 2002, p. 15.
  36. Boris Heersink and Jeffery A. Jenkins, "Southern Delegates and Republican National Convention Politics, 1880–1928," Studies in American Political Development (April 2015) 29#1 pp. 68–88
  37. Edward O. Frantz, The Door of Hope: Republican Presidents and the First Southern Strategy, 1877–1933 (University Press of Florida, 2011)
  38. ^ Black & Black 1992, p. 121-123.
  39. Sherman 1973, p. 19.
  40. Sherman 1973, p. 4.
  41. Sherman 1973, p. 135.
  42. Sherman 1973, pp. 152–153.
  43. Sherman 1973, p. 229.
  44. Black & Black 1992, p. 130.
  45. Black & Black 1992, p. 123-124.
  46. Black & Black 1992, p. 126.
  47. Black & Black 1992, p. 128-129.
  48. Black & Black 1992, p. 177.
  49. Black & Black 2002, p. 20.
  50. Black & Black 2002, p. 93-94.
  51. Black & Black 1992, p. 95.
  52. Black & Black 1992, p. 98.
  53. Hardeman & Bacon 1990, p. 336-338.
  54. "Scene Is Dramatic As Southerners Stalk Out Of Convention; Boos And Cheers Echo". Talladega Daily Home. July 15, 1948. p. 1. Archived from the original on August 6, 2023 – via Newspapers.com.
  55. Black & Black 1992, p. 142-143.
  56. Black & Black 1992, p. 145-146.
  57. "Thurmond to Bolt Democrats Today; South Carolinian Will Join G.O.P. and Aid Goldwater" (PDF). The New York Times. September 16, 1964. p. 12. Retrieved December 27, 2010. Both senators have opposed the Administration on such matters as civil rights...
  58. Benen, Steve (May 21, 2010). "The Party of Civil Rights". Washington Monthly. Retrieved June 18, 2012.
  59. Black & Black 1992, p. 328.
  60. Gregg, Khyree. "The Second Great Migration". inmotionaame. Retrieved 6 May 2015.
  61. Black & Black 1992, p. 214-217.
  62. Bartley, Numan; Graham, Hugh Davis (2019). Southern Politics and the Second Reconstruction. Baltimore, MD: Johns Hopkins University Press. p. 132. ISBN 978-1-4214-3519-0 – via Google Books.
  63. Black & Black 1992, p. 189.
  64. Günter Bischof and Stephen E. Ambrose, ed. (1995). Eisenhower: A Centenary Assessment. Louisiana State University Press. pp. 92–93. ISBN 978-0807119426.
  65. Sheldon Goldman (1999). Picking Federal Judges: Lower Court Selection from Roosevelt Through Reagan. Yale University Press. p. 128.
  66. Black & Black 2002, p. 62-66.
  67. Black & Black 2002, p. 88; 90-91; 93.
  68. "GOP Officials Map Southern Strategy". Alabama Journal. Montgomery, AL. United Press International. November 17, 1961. p. 9A – via Newspapers.com.
  69. ^ Alsop, Joseph (November 14, 1962). "'Southern Strategy': GOP Gains in Dixie May Alter Shape of Politics". The Birmingham News. Birmingham, AL. p. 10 – via Newspapers.com.
  70. Bell, Jack (December 7, 1962). "G.O.P. Pledges Drive for South Congressional Seats". The Gazette. Cedar Rapids, IA. Associated Press. p. 3 – via Newspapers.com.
  71. Krock, Arthur (March 27, 1963). "New York Times News Service: Go South, Young GOP Writers Advise". Fort Worth Star-Telegram. Fort Worth, TX. p. 6 – via Newspapers.com.
  72. Esposito, Joseph L. (2012). Pragmatism, Politics, and Perversity: Democracy and the American Party Battle. Lanham, MD: Lexington Books. pp. 143–144. ISBN 978-0-7391-7363-3 – via Google Books.
  73. Reinhard, David W. (1983). The Republican Right Since 1945. Lexington, KY: University Press of Kentucky. pp. 168–170. ISBN 978-0-8131-6440-3 – via Google Books.
  74. Evans, Rowland; Novak, Robert (January 14, 1964). "'Goldwater Can't Win' Battle Cry Launches Drive to Stop Senator". The Oklahoman. Oklahoma City, OK. p. 10 – via Newspapers.com.
  75. Evans, Rowland; Novak, Robert (January 20, 1965). "'Southern Strategy' Still Swaying Republican Leaders". The Tampa Tribune. Tampa, FL. p. 4B – via Newspapers.com.
  76. Robert H Donaldson (2015). Liberalism's Last Hurrah: The Presidential Campaign of 1964. Taylor & Francis. p. 27. ISBN 978-1317466093.
  77. "Civil Rights Act of 1964 – CRA – Title VII – Equal Employment Opportunities – 42 US Code Chapter 21". Finduslaw.com. Retrieved January 22, 2012.
  78. The Long Southern Strategy: How Chasing White Voters in the South Changed American Politics. Oxford, New York: Oxford University Press. 2019. ISBN 978-0190265960.
  79. Gregg, Khyree. "Election of 1964". American Presidency Project. Retrieved 6 May 2015.
  80. Black & Black 1992, p. 152-153.
  81. 1960s remark to Bill Moyers, "What a Real President Was Like," Washington Post, 13 November 1988.
  82. Black & Black 1992, p. 205-206.
  83. Rutenberg, Jim (29 July 2015). "A Dream Undone". The New York Times. Retrieved 29 July 2015.
  84. Risen, Clay (March 5, 2006). "How the South was won". (subscription required) The Boston Globe. Retrieved 2007-02-11
  85. Thomas R. Dye, Louis Schubert, Harmon Zeigler. The Irony of Democracy: An Uncommon Introduction to American Politics, Cengage Learning. 2011
  86. Ted Van Dyk. "How the Election of 1968 Reshaped the Democratic Party", Wall Street Journal, 2008
  87. Black & Black 1992, p. 113.
  88. Zinn, Howard (1999) A People's History of the United States New York: HarperCollins, 457–61
  89. Zinn, Howard (1999) A People's History of the United States New York:HarperCollins, 491
  90. Robin, Corey (2011). The Reactionary Mind: Conservatism from Edmund Burke to Sarah Palin. New York: Oxford University Press. p. 50. ISBN 978-0-19-979393-8. southern strategy Corey Robin.
  91. Johnson, Thomas A. (August 13, 1968). "Negro Leaders See Bias in Call Of Nixon for 'Law and Order'". The New York Times. p. 27. Retrieved 2008-08-02.(subscription required)
  92. Greenberg, David (November 20, 2007). "Dog-Whistling Dixie". Slate.com. Archived from the original on November 24, 2007. Retrieved April 11, 2024.
  93. "Nixon in Dixie", The American Conservative magazine
  94. Black & Black 1992, p. 134-136.
  95. Black & Black 1992, p. 132.
  96. Black & Black 1992, p. 298.
  97. Black & Black 1992, p. 300.
  98. Childs, Marquis (June 8, 1970). "Wallace's Victory Weakens Nixon's Southern Strategy". The Morning Record.
  99. Hart, Jeffrey (2006-02-09). The Making of the American Conservative Mind (television). Hanover, New Hampshire: C-SPAN.
  100. Black & Black 1992, p. 302-303.
  101. Black & Black 1992, p. 147.
  102. Black & Black 1992, p. 295.
  103. Black & Black 1992, p. 335.
  104. Glen Moore, "Richard M. Nixon and the 1970 Midterm Elections in the South." Southern Historian 12 (1991) pp. 60–71.
  105. John Paul Hill, "Nixon's Southern Strategy Rebuffed: Senator Marlow W. Cook and the Defeat of Judge G. Harrold Carswell for the US Supreme Court." Register of the Kentucky Historical Society 112#4 (2014). 613–50.
  106. Bruce H. Kalk, "The Carswell Affair: The Politics of a Supreme Court Nomination in the Nixon Administration". American Journal of Legal History (1998): 261–87. in JSTOR
  107. James R. Sweeney, "Southern strategies," Virginia Magazine of History & Biography (1998) 106#2 pp. 165–200.
  108. Black & Black 1992, p. 305.
  109. Moreland, Steed & Baker 1991, p. 56.
  110. Black & Black 2002, p. 103-109.
  111. "Political Pro With Race-Baiting Past Doesn't See It In Romney's Welfare Charge". NPR. September 10, 2012. Archived from the original on September 24, 2023.
  112. Black & Black 2002, p. 120; 122.
  113. Moreland, Steed & Baker 1991, p. 56-57.
  114. Black & Black 1992, p. 330.
  115. Black & Black 1992, p. 332-333.
  116. Black & Black 1992, p. 306-307.
  117. Black & Black 1992, p. 334.
  118. Black & Black 1992, p. 275-276.
  119. Black & Black 1992, p. 274.
  120. Black & Black 1992, p. 277-279.
  121. Black & Black 1992, p. 279-280.
  122. Black & Black 1992, p. 281.
  123. Aistrup, Joseph A. (2015). The Southern Strategy Revisited: Republican Top-Down Advancement in the South. University Press of Kentucky. p. 48. ISBN 978-0-8131-4792-5.
  124. ^ Lamis, Alexander P. (1999). Southern Politics in the 1990s. Louisiana State University Press. pp. 7–8, 26. ISBN 978-0-8071-2374-4.
  125. Sunshine Hillygus, D.; Shields, Todd G. (2014). The Persuadable Voter. Princeton University Press. ISBN 978-1400831593.
  126. Rick Perlstein (13 November 2012). "Exclusive: Lee Atwater's Infamous 1981 Interview on the Southern Strategy". The Nation.
  127. Exclusive: Lee Atwater's Infamous 1981 Interview on the Southern Strategy on YouTube
  128. Moreland, Steed & Baker 1991, p. 23.
  129. Moreland, Steed & Baker 1991, p. 37.
  130. Moreland, Steed & Baker 1991, p. 58.
  131. Moreland, Steed & Baker 1991, p. 96.
  132. Black & Black 2002, p. 124.
  133. Moreland, Steed & Baker 1991, p. 24.
  134. "Former Governors - Kentucky". NGA.org. Washington, DC: National Governors Association. 2020. Retrieved July 31, 2024.
  135. Moreland, Steed & Baker 1991, p. 29.
  136. Moreland, Steed & Baker 1991, p. 23-24.
  137. Moreland, Steed & Baker 1991, p. 21.
  138. Black & Black 2002, p. 87.
  139. Black & Black 2002, p. 82-83.
  140. "Ronald Reagan's Neshoba County Speech". C-SPAN. April 10, 2010. Retrieved June 11, 2015.
  141. Cannon, Lou (2003). Governor Reagan: His Rise to Power, New York: Public Affairs, 477–78.
  142. Michael Goldfield (1997) The Color of Politics: Race and the Mainspring of American Politics, New York: The New Press, 314.
  143. Walton, Hanes (1997). African American Power and Politics. Columbia University Press. p. 20. ISBN 978-0-231-10419-7.
  144. Smith, Terence (October 16, 1980). "White House Repudiates Andrew Young Remarks; Carter Campaign Financed Trip". New York Times. Retrieved November 20, 2019.
  145. Black & Black 1992, p. 308.
  146. Skinner; Kudelia; Mesquita; Rice (2007). The Strategy of Campaigning. University of Michigan Press. p. 173. ISBN 978-0-472-11627-0. Retrieved October 20, 2008.
  147. ^ Aistrup, Joseph A. (2015). The Southern Strategy Revisited: Republican Top-Down Advancement in the South. University Press of Kentucky. p. 44. ISBN 978-0-8131-4792-5.
  148. Henry A. Giroux (2002). Living dangerously: Identity politics and the new cultural racism: Towards a critical pedagogy of representation. Routledge. p. 38. ISBN 978-0415907781.
  149. Dan T. Carter (1999). From George Wallace to Newt Gingrich: Race in the Conservative Counterrevolution, 1963–1994. Louisiana State University Press. p. 64. ISBN 978-0-8071-2366-9.
  150. "The Truth Behind The Lies Of The Original 'Welfare Queen'". NPR.org. 20 December 2013.
  151. Haney-Lopez, Ian (2014). Dog Whistle Politics: How Coded Racial Appeals Have Reinvented Racism and Wrecked the Middle Class. Oxford University Press. ISBN 978-0199964277. Reagan also trumpeted his racial appeals in blasts against welfare cheats. On the stump, Reagan repeatedly invoked a story of a "Chicago welfare queen" with "eighty names, thirty addresses, twelve Social Security cards is collecting veteran's benefits on four non-existing deceased husbands. She's got Medicaid, getting food stamps, and she is collecting welfare under each of her names. Her tax-free cash income is over $150,000."
  152. Mayer, Jeremy D (2002). Running on Race: Racial Politics in Presidential Campaigns, 1960–2000. Random House Inc. pp. 152–55. ISBN 9780375506253.
  153. Haney-Lopez, Ian (2014). Dog Whistle Politics: How Coded Racial Appeals Have Reinvented Racism and Wrecked the Middle Class. Oxford University Press. ISBN 978-0199964277.
  154. Black & Black 1992, p. 357-358.
  155. Black & Black 1992, p. 282-284.
  156. ^ Moreland, Steed & Baker 1991, p. 3-4.
  157. Moreland, Steed & Baker 1991, p. 81.
  158. Hadley & Stanley 1989, p. 21-22.
  159. Moreland, Steed & Baker 1991, p. 12-14.
  160. Hadley & Stanley 1989, p. 22.
  161. Black & Black 1992, p. 287-289.
  162. Aistrup, Joseph A. (2015). The Southern Strategy Revisited: Republican Top-Down Advancement in the South. University Press of Kentucky. pp. 51–52. ISBN 978-0-8131-4792-5.
  163. Swint, Kerwin (2008). Dark Genius: The Influential Career of Legendary Political Operative and Fox News Founder Roger Ailes. New York: Union Square Press. pp. 37–38. ISBN 978-1-4027-5445-6. willie horton southern strategy.
  164. Mendelberg, Tali (2001). The Race Card: Campaign Strategy, Implicit Messages, and the Norm of Equality. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. pp. 143–44. ISBN 978-0-691-07071-1. willie horton southern strategy.
  165. Whitaker, Morgan (October 21, 2013). "The legacy of the Willie Horton ad lives on, 25 years later". MSNBC.
  166. Mayer, Jeremy D (2002). Running on Race: Racial Politics in Presidential Campaigns, 1960–2000. Random House Inc. pp. 212–14. ISBN 9780375506253.
  167. Aistrup, Joseph (1996-01-11). "The Southern Strategy Revisited: Republican Top-Down Advancement in the South". American Politics.
  168. Sargent, Greg (2023-10-12). "Opinion | The GOP's 'southern strategy' mastermind just died. Here's his legacy". Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved 2024-02-05.
  169. Herbert, Bob (October 6, 2005). "Impossible, Ridiculous, Repugnant". The New York Times. Archived from the original on January 4, 2012.
  170. Aistrup, Joseph A. (1996). The southern strategy revisited : Republican top-down advancement in the South. University Press of Kentucky. p. 329. ISBN 978-0813119045.
  171. ^ Nossiter, Adam (November 10, 2008). "For South, a Waning Hold on National Politics". The New York Times. Archived from the original on November 16, 2012.
  172. Alexander P. Lamis, ed., Southern Politics in the 1990s (1999) pp. 1–9
  173. Bobby Ross Jr., Elephant in the pews: Is the GOP the party of Churches of Christ?, The Christian Chronicle, Oklahoma City, OK, Feb. 25, 2016.
  174. Christianvoterguide.com
  175. Wilcox, Clyde. "Of movements and metaphors: The co-evolution of the Christian right and the GOP." Evangelicals and democracy in America 2 (2009): 331-356.
  176. Wilson, Angelia R. (n.d.). "Southern Strategies: Preaching, Prejudice, and Power". American Review of Politics. 34: 299–316. doi:10.15763/issn.2374-779X.2014.34.0.299-316. ISSN 2374-779X.
  177. Paul Rosenberg, "'The Long Southern Strategy': How Southern white women drove the GOP to Donald Trump," Salon, July 1, 2019.
  178. Maxwell, Angie, and Todd Shields. "The Not-So-New Southern Religion." The Long Southern Strategy. Oxford University Press 225-258.
  179. Mamiya, Lawrence H., and Patricia A. Kaurouma. "You Never hear About Their Struggles: Black Oral History in Poughkeepsie, New York." Afro-Americans in New York Life and History (1977-1989) 4.2 (1980): 55.
  180. Azaransky, Sarah (16 May 2018). "Resisting Jim Crow Colonialism: Black Christianity and the International Roots of the Civil Rights Movement". The Religious Left in Modern America. Palgrave Studies in the History of Social Movements. Cham: Springer International Publishing. pp. 125–144. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-73120-9_7. ISBN 978-3-319-73120-9 – via Springer Link.
  181. Green, John C., et al. "The soul of the South." The new politics of the Old South: An introduction to Southern politics (1998): 261-276.
  182. Black & Black 2002, p. 10.
  183. Black & Black 2002, p. 128.
  184. Black & Black 2002, p. 50.
  185. Black & Black 2002, p. 5;7.
  186. ^ African-American voting trends Facts on File.com
  187. Bositis, David. "Blacks and the 2012 Democratic National Convention; page 9, table 1: black votes in presidential elections, 1936 - 2008" (PDF). Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies.
  188. Hill, Ricky (March 2009). "The Race Problematic, the Narrative of Martin Luther King Jr., and the Election of Barack Obama" (PDF). Souls: A Critical Journal of Black Politics, Culture, and Society. 11 (1): 133–47.
  189. Allen, Mike (July 14, 2005). "RNC Chief to Say It Was 'Wrong' to Exploit Racial Conflict for Votes". Washington Post. Archived from the original on March 31, 2012. Retrieved 2008-08-02.
  190. Benedetto, Richard (July 14, 2005). "GOP: 'We were wrong' to play racial politics". USA Today. Retrieved January 22, 2012.
  191. ^ Edge, Thomas (January 2010). "Southern Strategy 2.0: Conservatives, White Voters, and the Election of Barack Obama". Journal of Black Studies. 40 (3): 426–44. doi:10.1177/0021934709352979. JSTOR 40648600. S2CID 143252312.
  192. ^ Lassiter, Matthew D. (2006). The Silent Majority: Suburban Politics in the Sunbelt South. Princeton University Press. pp. 5–7. ISBN 978-1-4008-4942-0.
  193. Frymer, Paul; Skrentny, John David (1998). "Coalition-Building and the Politics of Electoral Capture During the Nixon Administration: African Americans, Labor, Latinos" (PDF). Studies in American Political Development. 12: 131–61 . doi:10.1017/s0898588x9800131x (inactive 1 November 2024). S2CID 143166963.{{cite journal}}: CS1 maint: DOI inactive as of November 2024 (link)
  194. Boyd, Tim D. (2009). "The 1966 Election in Georgia and the Ambiguity of the White Backlash". The Journal of Southern History. 75 (2): 305–40. JSTOR 27778938.
  195. ^ Lassiter, Matthew; Kruse, Kevin (Aug 2009). "The Bulldozer Revolution: Suburbs and Southern History since World War II". The Journal of Southern History. 75 (3): 691–706. JSTOR 27779033.
  196. Lassiter, Matthew (2007). The Silent Majority: Suburban Politics in the Sunbelt South. Princeton University Press. p. 232. ISBN 978-0-691-13389-8.
  197. Chappell, David (March 2007). "Did Racists Create the Suburban Nation?". Reviews in American History. V 35 (1): 89–97. doi:10.1353/rah.2007.0004. JSTOR 30031671. S2CID 144202527. Lassiter scrupulously denies suburbanites their racial innocence. The suburbs are disproportionately white and the poor are disproportionately black. But he rejects "white backlash" partly because the term exempts from responsibility those voters, North and South, who have racially liberal roots. Their egalitarianism may be genuine. But unless liberals are lucky enough to live in secession-proof metro areas, whose judges have a strong commitment to comprehensive integration, they behave the same way as people who act frankly on their fear of large concentrations of black people.
  198. Chappell, David (March 2007). "Did Racists Create the Suburban Nation?". Reviews in American History. V 35 (1): 89–97. doi:10.1353/rah.2007.0004. JSTOR 30031671. S2CID 144202527. In an original analysis of national politics, Lassiter carefully rejects "racereductionist narratives" (pp. 4, 303). Cliches like "white backlash" and "southern strategy" are inadequate to explain the conservative turn in post-1960s politics. ... Racism has not been overcome. One might say rather that it has become redundant. One of Lassiter's many fascinating demonstrations of racism's superfluousness is his recounting of the actual use of the "southern strategy." The strategy obviously failed the Dixiecrats in 1948 and the GOP in 1964. The only time Nixon seriously tried to appeal to southern racism, in the 1970 midterm elections, the South rejected his party and elected Democrats like Jimmy Carter and Dale Bumpers instead (pp. 264–74). To win a nationwide majority, Republicans and Democrats alike had to appeal to the broad middle-class privileges that most people believed they had earned. Lassiter suggests that the first step on the way out of hypersegregation and resegregation is to stop indulging in comforting narratives. The most comforting narratives attribute the whole problem to racists and the Republicans who appease them.
  199. Matthew D. Lassiter, "Suburban Strategies: The Volatile Center in Postwar American Politics" in Meg Jacobs et al. eds., The Democratic Experiment: New Directions In American Political History (2003): 327–49; quotes on pp. 329–30.
  200. "The long goodbye". The Economist. November 11, 2010. Retrieved February 20, 2023. In 1981 Republicans took control of the Senate for the first time since 1953, but most Southern elected officials remained white Democrats. When Republicans took control of the House in 1995, white Democrats still comprised one-third of the South's tally. ... white Southern Democrats have met their Appomattox: they will account for just 24 of the South's 155 senators and congressmen in the 112th United States Congress.
  201. Bruce H. Kalk, "Wormley's Hotel Revisited: Richard Nixon's Southern Strategy and the End of the Second Reconstruction", North Carolina Historical Review (1994) 71#1 pp. 85–105 in JSTOR
  202. George B. Tindall, "Southern Strategy: A Historical Perspective", North Carolina Historical Review (1971) 48#2 pp. 126–41 in JSTOR
  203. Dean J. Kotlowski, "Nixon's southern strategy revisited". Journal of Policy History (1998) 10#2 pp. 207–38.
  204. Kotlowski, Dean (2009). Nixon's Civil Rights: Politics Principle, and Policy. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. ISBN 978-0-674-03973-5.
  205. Aldridge, Daniel (Summer 2002). "Review". The Georgia Historical Quarterly. 86.
  206. ^ Valentino NA; Sears DO (2005). "Old Times There Are Not Forgotten: Race and Partisan Realignment in the Contemporary South" (PDF). American Journal of Political Science. 49 (3): 672–88. doi:10.1111/j.1540-5907.2005.00136.x. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2012-09-05.
  207. Jeremy D. Mayer, "LBJ Fights the White Backlash: The Racial Politics of the 1964 Presidential Campaign, Part 2". Prologue 33#2 (2001) pp. 6–19.
  208. Byron E. Shafer and Richard Johnston, The End of Southern Exceptionalism: Class, Race, and Partisan Change in the Postwar South (Harvard University Press, 2006) p. vii
  209. Byron E. Shafer and Richard G.C. Johnston. "The transformation of southern politics revisited: The House of Representatives as a window". British Journal of Political Science (2001) 31#4 pp. 601–25. In their 2006 book they write that "economics and social class clearly trumped desegregation and racial identity as engines for partisan change". Shafer and Johnston, The End of Southern Exceptionalism p. vii
  210. Glenn Feldman (2015). "The Great Melding: War, the Dixiecrat Rebellion, and the Southern Model for America's New Conservatism by Glenn Feldman (review)". American Studies. 55 (2). University of Alabama Press: 103–104.
  211. Gareth Davies, See Government Grow: Education Politics from Johnson to Reagan (2007) p. 140.
  212. Gareth Davies, "Richard Nixon and the Desegregation of Southern Schools". Journal of Policy History 19#04 (2007) pp. 367–94.
  213. Lawrence J. McAndrews, "The politics of principle: Richard Nixon and school desegregation." Journal of Negro History (1998): 187–200, quoting p. 187. in JSTOR
  214. Joan Hoff (1995). Nixon Reconsidered. BasicBooks. p. 79. ISBN 978-0465051052.

Works cited

Further reading

  • Aistrup, Joseph A. "Constituency diversity and party competition: A county and state level analysis." Political Research Quarterly 57#2 (2004): 267–81.
  • Aistrup, Joseph A. The southern strategy revisited: Republican top-down advancement in the South (University Press of Kentucky, 2015).
  • Aldrich, John H. "Southern Parties in State and Nation" Journal of Politics 62#3 (2000) pp. 643–70.
  • Applebome, Peter. Dixie Rising: How the South is Shaping American Values, Politics, and Culture (ISBN 0-15-600550-6).
  • Bass, Jack. The transformation of southern politics: Social change and political consequence since 1945 (University of Georgia Press, 1995).
  • Black, Earl and Merle Black. The Rise of Southern Republicans (Harvard University Press, 2003).
  • Brady, David, Benjamin Sosnaud, and Steven M. Frenk. "The shifting and diverging white working class in US presidential elections, 1972–2004." 'Social Science Research 38.1 (2009): 118–33.
  • Brewer, Mark D., and Jeffrey M. Stonecash. "Class, race issues, and declining white support for the Democratic Party in the South." Political Behavior 23#2 (2001): 131–55.
  • Bullock III, Charles S. and Mark J. Rozell, eds. The New Politics of the Old South: An Introduction to Southern Politics (5th ed. 2013).
  • Carter, Dan T. From George Wallace to Newt Gingrich: Race in the Conservative Counterrevolution, 1963–1994 (ISBN 0-8071-2366-8).
  • Carter, Dan T. The Politics of Rage: George Wallace, The Origins of the New Conservatism, and the Transformation of Southern Politics (ISBN 0-8071-2597-0).
  • Chappell, David L. A Stone of Hope: Prophetic Religion and the Death of Jim Crow (ISBN 0-8078-2819-X).
  • Davies, Gareth. "Richard Nixon and the Desegregation of Southern Schools." Journal of Policy History 19#04 (2007) pp. 367–94.
  • Egerton, John. "A Mind to Stay Here: Closing Conference Comments on Southern Exceptionalism", Southern Spaces, 29 November 2006.
  • Feldman, Glenn, ed. Painting Dixie Red: When, Where, Why, and How the South Became Republican (UP of Florida, 2011) 386pp
  • Frantz, Edward O. The Door of Hope: Republican Presidents and the First Southern Strategy, 1877–1933 (University Press of Florida, 2011).
  • Havard, William C., ed. The Changing Politics of the South (Louisiana State University Press, 1972).
  • Hill, John Paul. "Nixon's Southern Strategy Rebuffed: Senator Marlow W. Cook and the Defeat of Judge G. Harrold Carswell for the US Supreme Court." Register of the Kentucky Historical Society 112#4 (2014): 613–50.
  • Inwood, Joshua F.J. "Neoliberal racism: the 'Southern Strategy' and the expanding geographies of white supremacy." Social & Cultural Geography 16#4 (2015) pp. 407–23.
  • Kalk, Bruce H. The Origins of the Southern Strategy: Two-party Competition in South Carolina, 1950–1972 (Lexington Books, 2001).
  • Kalk, Bruce H. "Wormley's Hotel Revisited: Richard Nixon's Southern Strategy and the End of the Second Reconstruction." North Carolina Historical Review (1994): 85–105. in JSTOR.
  • Kalk, Bruce H. The Machiavellian nominations: Richard Nixon's Southern strategy and the struggle for the Supreme Court, 1968–70 (1992).
  • Kruse, Kevin M. White Flight: Atlanta and the Making of Modern Conservatism (ISBN 0-691-09260-5).
  • Lisio, Donald J. Hoover, Blacks, and Lily-Whites: A Study of Southern Strategies (UNC Press, 2012).
  • Lublin, David. The Republican South: Democratization and Partisan Change (Princeton University Press, 2004).
  • Maxwell, Angie and Todd Shields. The Long Southern Strategy: How Chasing White Voters in the South Changed American Politics (Oxford University Press, 2019).
  • Olien, Roger M. From Token to Triumph: The Texas Republicans, 1920–1978 (SMU Press, 1982).
  • Perlstein, Rick. Nixonland: The Rise of a President and the Fracturing of America (2009).
  • Phillips, Kevin. The Emerging Republican Majority (1969) (ISBN 0-87000-058-6).
  • Shafer, Byron E., and Richard Johnston. The end of Southern exceptionalism: class, race, and partisan change in the postwar South (Harvard University Press, 2009).
  • Shafer, Byron E., and Richard G.C. Johnston. "The transformation of southern politics revisited: The House of Representatives as a window." British Journal of Political Science 31#04 (2001): 601–25. online.
  • Scher, Richard K. Politics in the New South: Republicanism, race and leadership in the twentieth century (1992).
Categories: