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The '''Gompertz distribution''' is an extreme value (reverted ]) distribution (distribution of -x) truncated at zero. It has been used as a model of customer lifetime. The '''Gompertz distribution''' is an extreme value (reverted ]) distribution (i.e., the distribution of <math>-x) truncated at zero. It has been used as a model of customer lifetime.


== Specification == == Specification ==

Revision as of 13:19, 28 November 2011


Gompertz distribution
Probability density functionProbability distribution of Gompertz Distribution
Cumulative distribution functionCumulative distribution function of Gompertz Distribution
Parameters η , b > 0 , x > 0 {\displaystyle \eta ,b>0,x>0}
PDF b η e b x e η e x p ( η e b x ) {\displaystyle b\eta e^{bx}e^{\eta }exp\left(-\eta e^{bx}\right)}
CDF 1 e x p ( η ( e b x 1 ) ) {\displaystyle 1-exp\left(-\eta \left(e^{bx}-1\right)\right)}
Mean ( 1 / b ) e η E i ( η ) {\displaystyle (-1/b)e^{\eta }Ei\left(-\eta \right)} w h e r e E i ( x ) = x ( e u / u ) d u {\displaystyle whereEi\left(x\right)=\int \limits _{-x}^{\infty }\left(e^{-u}/u\right)du}
Mode ( x η ) = ( 1 / b ) ln ( 1 / η )   w i t h 0 < F ( x η ) < 1 e 1 {\displaystyle \left(x_{\eta }^{*}\right)=\left(1/b\right)\ln \left(1/\eta \right)\ with0<F\left(x_{\eta }^{*}\right)<1-e^{-1}} = 0.632121 , 0 < η < 1   {\displaystyle =0.632121,0<\eta <1\ } ( x η ) = 0 , η 1 {\displaystyle \left(x_{\eta }^{*}\right)=0,\eta \geq 1}
Variance

( 1 / b 2 ) ( E { [ ln ( X ) ] 2 } ( E [ ln ( X ) ] ) 2 ) {\displaystyle (1/b^{2})(\mathrm {E} \{^{2}\}-(\mathrm {E} )^{2})\,}

where X = η e b x {\displaystyle X=\eta e^{-bx}\,} and E { [ ln ( X ) ] 2 } = [ 1 + 1 / η ] 0 η e X [ ln ( X ) ] 2 d X 1 / η 0 η X e X [ ln ( X ) ] 2 d X {\displaystyle {\begin{aligned}\mathrm {E} \{^{2}\}=&\!\!\int _{0}^{\eta }\!\!\!\!e^{-X}^{2}\,dX\\&{}-1/\eta \!\!\int _{0}^{\eta }\!\!\!\!Xe^{-X}^{2}\,dX\end{aligned}}}

The Gompertz distribution is an extreme value (reverted Gumbel) distribution (i.e., the distribution of x ) t r u n c a t e d a t z e r o . I t h a s b e e n u s e d a s a m o d e l o f c u s t o m e r l i f e t i m e . == S p e c i f i c a t i o n ===== P r o b a b i l i t y d e n s i t y f u n c t i o n === T h e [ [ p r o b a b i l i t y d e n s i t y f u n c t i o n ] ] o f t h e G o m p e r t z d i s t r i b u t i o n i s ::< m a t h > f ( x | η , b ) = b η e b x e η e x p ( η e b x ) {\displaystyle -x)truncatedatzero.Ithasbeenusedasamodelofcustomerlifetime.==Specification=====Probabilitydensityfunction===The]oftheGompertzdistributionis::<math>f\left(x|\eta ,b\right)=b\eta e^{bx}e^{\eta }exp\left(-\eta e^{bx}\right)}

where b > 0 {\displaystyle b>0} is the scale parameter and η > 0 {\displaystyle \eta >0} is the shape parameter of the Gompertz distribution.

Cumulative distribution function

The cumulative distribution function of the Gompertz distribution is:

F ( x | η , b ) = 1 e x p ( η ( e b x 1 ) ) {\displaystyle F\left(x|\eta ,b\right)=1-exp\left(-\eta \left(e^{bx}-1\right)\right)}

where η , b > 0 , x > 0 {\displaystyle \eta ,b>0,x>0}

Properties

The Gompertz distribution is right-skewed for all values of η {\displaystyle \eta } .

Shapes

The Gompertz density function can take on different shapes depending on the values of the shape parameter η {\displaystyle \eta } :

  • η 1 {\displaystyle \eta \geq 1\,} the probability density function has its mode at 0.
  • η < 1 {\displaystyle \eta <1\,} the probability density function has its mode at
mode = ln ( z ) b 0 < z < 1 {\displaystyle {\text{mode}}=-{\frac {\ln(z^{\star })}{b}}\,\qquad 0<z^{\star }<1}
where z {\displaystyle z^{\star }\,} is the smallest root of
η 2 z 2 η ( 3 + η ) z + η + 1 = 0 , {\displaystyle \eta ^{2}z^{2}-\eta (3+\eta )z+\eta +1=0\,,}
which is
z = [ 3 + η ( η 2 + 2 η + 5 ) 1 / 2 ] / ( 2 η ) . {\displaystyle z^{\star }=/(2\eta ).}

Related distributions

The Gompertz distribution is a natural conjugate to a gamma distribution. If η {\displaystyle \eta } varies according to a gamma distribution with shape parameter α {\displaystyle \alpha } and scale parameter β {\displaystyle \beta } (mean = α β {\displaystyle \alpha \beta } ), the cumulative distribution function is Gamma/Gompertz (G/G).

See also

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