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In visits to ] in 1958, Mao observed what local officials claimed was increases in crop yield of one thousand to three thousand percent achieved, supposedly, in massive 24-hour pushes organized by the officials which they called "sputnik launches". But the numbers were faked, and so were the fields that Mao observed, which had been carefully prepared in advance of Mao's visit by local officials, who removed shoots of grain from various fields and carefully transplanted them into a field prepared especially for Mao, which appeared to be a bumper crop.<ref name="becker" />{{rp|122}} | In visits to ] in 1958, Mao observed what local officials claimed was increases in crop yield of one thousand to three thousand percent achieved, supposedly, in massive 24-hour pushes organized by the officials which they called "sputnik launches". But the numbers were faked, and so were the fields that Mao observed, which had been carefully prepared in advance of Mao's visit by local officials, who removed shoots of grain from various fields and carefully transplanted them into a field prepared especially for Mao, which appeared to be a bumper crop.<ref name="becker" />{{rp|122}} | ||
The local officials became trapped by these sham demonstrations to Mao, and exhorted the peasants to reach unattainable goals, by "deep ploughing and close planting", |
The local officials became trapped by these sham demonstrations to Mao, and exhorted the peasants to reach unattainable goals, by "deep ploughing and close planting", among other techniques. This ended up making things much worse; the crop failed completely, leaving barren fields. No one was in a position to challenge Mao's ideas as incorrect, so peasants went to extreme lengths to keep up the charade; some grew seedlings in their bedding and coats and, after the seedlings quickly sprouted, "planted" them in fields—the bedding made the plants look high and healthy.<ref name="becker" />{{rp|122}} | ||
Like in the massive Soviet-created famine in Ukraine (the ]), doctors were prohibited from listing "starvation" as a cause of death on death certificates. This kind of deception was far from uncommon; a famous ] from the famine shows Chinese children from ] province ostensibly standing atop a field of wheat, so densely grown that it could apparently support their weight. In reality, they were standing on a bench concealed beneath the plants, and the "field" was again entirely composed of individually transplanted stalks.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RKNEdojrsMo|title=Mao's Great Famine|last=International School History|date=21 January 2015|accessdate=19 September 2018|via=YouTube|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181030033514/https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RKNEdojrsMo|archive-date=30 October 2018|url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
=== Cultural Revolution === | === Cultural Revolution === | ||
{{Main Article|Cultural Revolution|Socialist Education Movement}} | {{Main Article|Cultural Revolution|Socialist Education Movement}} | ||
] (1963).]] | ] (1963).]] | ||
In April and May 1961, ], then ], concluded after 44 days of field research in villages of ] that the |
In April and May 1961, ], then ], concluded after 44 days of field research in villages of ] that the causes of the famine were 30% natural disaster and 70% human error.<ref name=":4"> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20121214040606/http://cpc.people.com.cn/GB/64162/64172/85037/85039/5898093.html |date=14 December 2012 }}, Selection of the Party History (党史博采), 22 June 2007, Accessed Sept 1, 2018, CPC News. {{in lang|zh-Hans}}</ref><ref name=":5" /> In January and February 1962, the "] (七千人大会)" was called and Liu formally announced his conclusion, while the Great Leap Forward was declared "over" by the Communist Party.<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://cpc.people.com.cn/GB/33837/2534794.html|title=七千人大会--中国共产党新闻--中国共产党新闻网|website=cpc.people.com.cn|access-date=2020-04-23|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190919051557/http://cpc.people.com.cn/GB/33837/2534794.html|archive-date=19 September 2019|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://digitalarchive.wilsoncenter.org/theme/chinese-foreign-policy-database/timeline?year=1962|title=Chinese Foreign Policy Database|website=Wilson Center Digital Archive|access-date=2020-04-23}}</ref><ref>{{Cite book|last=MacFarquhar|first=Roderick|url=https://www.oxfordscholarship.com/view/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780192149978.001.0001/acprof-9780192149978-chapter-8|title=The Seven Thousand Cadres Conference|year=1997|publisher=Oxford University Press|isbn=978-0-19-167008-4|language=en-US|doi=10.1093/acprof:oso/9780192149978.001.0001|access-date=23 April 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200523211114/https://www.oxfordscholarship.com/view/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780192149978.001.0001/acprof-9780192149978-chapter-8|archive-date=23 May 2020|url-status=live}}</ref> | ||
The failure of the Great Leap Forward as well as the famine led ] to withdraw from active decision |
The failure of the Great Leap Forward as well as the famine led ] to withdraw from active decision-making within the Communist Party and the government, and turn various future responsibilities over to Liu Shaoqi and ].<ref name=":12">{{Cite web|url=http://afe.easia.columbia.edu/special/china_1950_leaders.htm|title=Three Chinese Leaders: Mao Zedong, Zhou Enlai, and Deng Xiaoping {{!}} Asia for Educators {{!}} Columbia University|website=afe.easia.columbia.edu|access-date=2020-04-22|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20131211053051/http://afe.easia.columbia.edu/special/china_1950_leaders.htm|archive-date=11 December 2013|url-status=live}}</ref> However, the disagreement between Mao and Liu (and Deng) gradually increased; Mao launched the ] in 1963 and the ] in 1966, during which Liu was accused of being a traitor and enemy agent for attributing only 30% to natural calamities.<ref name=":11" /><ref name=":2" /><ref name=":12" /><ref name=":13">{{Cite journal|last=Dittmer|first=Lowell|date=1981|title=Death and Transfiguration: Liu Shaoqi's Rehabilitation and Contemporary Chinese Politics|journal=The Journal of Asian Studies|volume=40|issue=3|pages=455–479|doi=10.2307/2054551|jstor=2054551}}</ref> Liu was beaten and denied medicine for diabetes and pneumonia; he died in 1969.<ref name=":13" /> On the other hand, Deng was accused of being a "]" during the Cultural Revolution and was purged twice.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://origins.osu.edu/review/man-who-re-invented-china|title=The Man Who Re-Invented China {{!}} Origins: Current Events in Historical Perspective|website=origins.osu.edu|access-date=2020-04-22|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190725131635/https://origins.osu.edu/review/man-who-re-invented-china|archive-date=25 July 2019|url-status=live}}</ref> | ||
=== Reforms and reflections === | === Reforms and reflections === | ||
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{{see also|Boluan Fanzheng|Reforms and Opening Up}} | {{see also|Boluan Fanzheng|Reforms and Opening Up}} | ||
]]] | ]]] | ||
In December 1978, Deng Xiaoping became the new ] and launched the historic ] program which fundamentally changed the agricultural and industrial system in China.<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://cpc.people.com.cn/GB/69112/69113/index.html|title=邓小平纪念网--领袖人物纪念馆--人民网|website=cpc.people.com.cn|access-date=2020-04-22|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200505182417/http://cpc.people.com.cn/GB/69112/69113/index.html|archive-date=5 May 2020|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-12-01/40-years-of-reform-that-transformed-china-into-a-superpower/10573468|title=40 years on from the 'experiments' that transformed China into an economic superpower|last1=Zhou|first1=Christina|last2=Xiao|first2=Bang|date=2018-12-01|website=ABC News|language=en-AU|access-date=2020-04-22|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200424005843/https://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-12-01/40-years-of-reform-that-transformed-china-into-a-superpower/10573468|archive-date=24 April 2020|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://slate.com/technology/2014/04/why-does-china-not-have-famines-anymore-capitalist-and-socialist-reforms.html|title=How China Went From Famine After Famine to Feast|last=Palmer|first=Brian|date=2014-04-02|website=Slate Magazine|language=en|access-date=2020-04-22|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200521021209/https://slate.com/technology/2014/04/why-does-china-not-have-famines-anymore-capitalist-and-socialist-reforms.html|archive-date=21 May 2020|url-status=live}}</ref> Until the early 1980s, the ]'s stance, reflected by the name "Three Years of Natural Disasters", was |
In December 1978, Deng Xiaoping became the new ] and launched the historic ] program which fundamentally changed the agricultural and industrial system in China.<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://cpc.people.com.cn/GB/69112/69113/index.html|title=邓小平纪念网--领袖人物纪念馆--人民网|website=cpc.people.com.cn|access-date=2020-04-22|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200505182417/http://cpc.people.com.cn/GB/69112/69113/index.html|archive-date=5 May 2020|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-12-01/40-years-of-reform-that-transformed-china-into-a-superpower/10573468|title=40 years on from the 'experiments' that transformed China into an economic superpower|last1=Zhou|first1=Christina|last2=Xiao|first2=Bang|date=2018-12-01|website=ABC News|language=en-AU|access-date=2020-04-22|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200424005843/https://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-12-01/40-years-of-reform-that-transformed-china-into-a-superpower/10573468|archive-date=24 April 2020|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://slate.com/technology/2014/04/why-does-china-not-have-famines-anymore-capitalist-and-socialist-reforms.html|title=How China Went From Famine After Famine to Feast|last=Palmer|first=Brian|date=2014-04-02|website=Slate Magazine|language=en|access-date=2020-04-22|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200521021209/https://slate.com/technology/2014/04/why-does-china-not-have-famines-anymore-capitalist-and-socialist-reforms.html|archive-date=21 May 2020|url-status=live}}</ref> Until the early 1980s, the ]'s stance, reflected by the name "Three Years of Natural Disasters", was that the famine was largely a result of a series of natural disasters compounded by several planning errors. During the "]" period in June 1981, the ] (CCP) officially changed the name to "Three Years of Difficulty", and stated that the famine was mainly due to the mistakes of the Great Leap Forward as well as the ], in addition to some natural disasters and the ].<ref name=":18" /><ref name=":9" /> Academic studies on the Great Chinese Famine also became more active in ] after 1980, when the government started to release some demographic data to the public.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/simp/indepth/2009/09/090924_china60_yangjisheng|title=一段不容忽视的历史:大饥荒|work=BBC News 中文|access-date=2020-04-22|language=zh-CN}}</ref><ref>{{Cite journal|last1=Chang|first1=Gene Hsin|last2=Wen|first2=Guanzhong James|date=1997|title=Communal Dining and the Chinese Famine of 1958–1961|journal=Economic Development and Cultural Change|volume=46|issue=1|pages=1–34|doi=10.1086/452319|jstor=10.1086/452319|s2cid=154835645|issn=0013-0079}}</ref> | ||
Researchers outside China have argued that the massive institutional and policy changes which accompanied the ] were the key factors in the famine, or at least worsened nature-induced disasters.<ref>{{cite video|title=China: A Century of Revolution|date=1997|people=Sue Williams (director), Howard Sharp (editor), ] (narrator)|publisher=WinStar Home Entertainment}}</ref><ref>{{citation|title=Encyclopedia of Population|volume=1|pages=388–390|year=2003|editor-last=Demeny|editor-first=Paul|contribution=Famine in China|place=New York|publisher=Macmillan Reference|editor2-last=McNicoll|editor2-first=Geoffrey}}</ref> In particular, Nobel laureate ] puts this famine in a global context, arguing that lack of ] is the major culprit: "Indeed, no substantial famine has ever occurred in a democratic country—no matter how poor." He adds that it is "hard to imagine that anything like this could have happened in a country that goes to the polls regularly and that has an independent press. During that terrible calamity the government faced no pressure from newspapers, which were controlled, and none from opposition parties, which were absent."<ref name="Sen1999">{{cite book|author=Amartya Kumar Sen|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=Qm8HtpFHYecC|title=Development as freedom|publisher=Oxford University Press|year=1999|isbn=978-0-19-289330-7|accessdate=14 April 2011|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140103042841/http://books.google.com/books?id=Qm8HtpFHYecC|archive-date=3 January 2014|url-status=live}}</ref> On the other hand, Sen points out that the numbers of "excess mortality", as some demographers call it, i.e. death due to poor nutrition and inadequate medical care, in ] often surpass what they were in China during 1958–1961.<ref>Wiener, Jon. {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190226022039/https://books.google.com/books?id=1KiD069CPsUC&pg=PA38 |date=26 February 2019 }} University of California Press, 2012, p. 38.</ref> Sen estimated: "Despite the gigantic size of excess mortality in the Chinese famine, the extra mortality in India from regular deprivation in normal times vastly overshadows the former. India seems to manage to fill its cupboard with more skeletons every eight years than China put there in its years of shame."<ref>{{cite book|last=Škof|first=Lenart|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=UEGSBgAAQBAJ|title=Breath of Proximity: Intersubjectivity, Ethics and Peace|year=2015|publisher=Springer|page=161|isbn=978-94-017-9738-2}}</ref> | Researchers outside China have argued that the massive institutional and policy changes which accompanied the ] were the key factors in the famine, or at least worsened nature-induced disasters.<ref>{{cite video|title=China: A Century of Revolution|date=1997|people=Sue Williams (director), Howard Sharp (editor), ] (narrator)|publisher=WinStar Home Entertainment}}</ref><ref>{{citation|title=Encyclopedia of Population|volume=1|pages=388–390|year=2003|editor-last=Demeny|editor-first=Paul|contribution=Famine in China|place=New York|publisher=Macmillan Reference|editor2-last=McNicoll|editor2-first=Geoffrey}}</ref> In particular, Nobel laureate ] puts this famine in a global context, arguing that lack of ] is the major culprit: "Indeed, no substantial famine has ever occurred in a democratic country—no matter how poor." He adds that it is "hard to imagine that anything like this could have happened in a country that goes to the polls regularly and that has an independent press. During that terrible calamity the government faced no pressure from newspapers, which were controlled, and none from opposition parties, which were absent."<ref name="Sen1999">{{cite book|author=Amartya Kumar Sen|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=Qm8HtpFHYecC|title=Development as freedom|publisher=Oxford University Press|year=1999|isbn=978-0-19-289330-7|accessdate=14 April 2011|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140103042841/http://books.google.com/books?id=Qm8HtpFHYecC|archive-date=3 January 2014|url-status=live}}</ref> On the other hand, Sen points out that the numbers of "excess mortality", as some demographers call it, i.e. death due to poor nutrition and inadequate medical care, in ] often surpass what they were in China during 1958–1961.<ref>Wiener, Jon. {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190226022039/https://books.google.com/books?id=1KiD069CPsUC&pg=PA38 |date=26 February 2019 }} University of California Press, 2012, p. 38.</ref> Sen estimated: "Despite the gigantic size of excess mortality in the Chinese famine, the extra mortality in India from regular deprivation in normal times vastly overshadows the former. India seems to manage to fill its cupboard with more skeletons every eight years than China put there in its years of shame."<ref>{{cite book|last=Škof|first=Lenart|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=UEGSBgAAQBAJ|title=Breath of Proximity: Intersubjectivity, Ethics and Peace|year=2015|publisher=Springer|page=161|isbn=978-94-017-9738-2}}</ref> |
Revision as of 02:53, 8 December 2020
Famine killing millions in China, stemming from the Great Leap Forward and climate This article is about the famine of 1959–1961. For other famines in Chinese history, see List of famines in China.
Great Chinese Famine 三年大饥荒 | |
---|---|
Country | People's Republic of China |
Location | Mainland China |
Period | 1959–1961 |
Total deaths | 15–55 million |
Consequences | Termination of the Great Leap Forward campaign |
The Great Chinese Famine (Chinese: 三年大饥荒, "three years of great famine") was a period between 1959 and 1961 in the history of the People's Republic of China (PRC) characterized by widespread famine. Some scholars have also included the years 1958 or 1962. The Great Chinese Famine is widely regarded as the deadliest famine and one of the greatest man-made disasters in human history, with an estimated death toll due to starvation that ranges in the tens of millions.
The major contributing factors in the famine were the policies of the Great Leap Forward (1958 to 1962) and people's communes, in addition to some natural disasters such as droughts which took place during the period. During the Seven Thousand Cadres Conference in early 1962, Liu Shaoqi, the second Chairman of the PRC, formally attributed the famine 30% to natural disasters and 70% to man-made errors ("三分天灾, 七分人祸"). After the launch of Reforms and Opening Up, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) officially stated in June 1981 that the famine was mainly due to the mistakes of the Great Leap Forward as well as the Anti-Rightist Campaign, in addition to some natural disasters and the Sino-Soviet split.
Terminology
Besides the name "Three Years of Great Famine" (simplified Chinese: 三年大饥荒; traditional Chinese: 三年大饑荒; pinyin: Sānnián dà jīhuāng), the famine has been known by many names.
The government of the People's Republic of China called it:
- Before June 1981: "Three Years of Natural Disasters" (simplified Chinese: 三年自然灾害; traditional Chinese: 三年自然災害; pinyin: Sānnián zìrán zāihài).
- After June 1981: "Three Years of Difficulty" (simplified Chinese: 三年困难时期; traditional Chinese: 三年困難時期; pinyin: Sānnián kùnnán shíqī).
Extent of the famine
Production drop
Policy changes affecting how farming was organized, with devastating effects, coincided with droughts and floods. As a result, year-over-year grain production fell dramatically in China. The harvest was down by 15% in 1959. By 1960, it was at 70% of its 1958 level. According to the China Statistical Yearbook (1984), crop production decreased from 200 million tons in 1958 to 143.5 million tons in 1960.
Death toll
Due to the lack of food and incentive to marry at that time, according to China's official statistics, China's population in 1961 was about 658,590,000, some 14,580,000 lower than in 1959. The birth rate decreased from 2.922% (1958) to 2.086% (1960) and the death rate increased from 1.198% (1958) to 2.543% (1960), while the average numbers for 1962–1965 are about 4% and 1%, respectively. The mortality in the birth and death rates both peaked in 1961 and began recovering rapidly after that, as shown on the chart of census data displayed on the right.
Unofficial estimates of the death toll vary, but scholars have estimated the number of famine victims to be between 15 and 55 million. Some outlier estimates include 11 million by Utsa Patnaik, an Indian Marxist economist, as well as 2.5 million by Sun Jingxian (孙经先), a Chinese mathematician. It is widely believed that the government seriously under-reported death tolls: Lu Baoguo, a Xinhua reporter based in Xinyang, explained to Yang Jisheng why he never reported on his experience:
In the second half of 1959, I took a long-distance bus from Xinyang to Luoshan and Gushi. Out of the window, I saw one corpse after another in the ditches. On the bus, no one dared to mention the dead. In one county, Guangshan, one-third of the people had died. Although there were dead people everywhere, the local leaders enjoyed good meals and fine liquor. ... I had seen people who had told the truth being destroyed. Did I dare to write it?
Yu Dehong, the secretary of a party official in Xinyang in 1959 and 1960, stated:
I went to one village and saw 100 corpses, then another village and another 100 corpses. No one paid attention to them. People said that dogs were eating the bodies. Not true, I said. The dogs had long ago been eaten by the people.
- A research team of the Chinese Academy of Sciences concluded in 1989 that at least 15 million people died of malnutrition.
- Li Chengrui (李成瑞), former Minister of the National Bureau of Statistics of China, estimated 22 million deaths (1998). His estimate was based on the (27 million deaths) estimated by Ansley J. Coale, and the (17 million deaths) estimated by Jiang Zhenghua (蒋正华), former Vice Chairman of the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress.
- Judith Banister, Director of Global Demographics at the Conference Board, estimated 30 million excess deaths from 1958-1961.
- Jasper Becker, a British scholar, showed in his book Hungry Ghosts: Mao's Secret Famine that most estimates of the famine death toll range from 30-60 million.
- Cao Shuji (曹树基), Distinguished Professor at Shanghai Jiao Tong University, estimated 32.5 million.
- Yang Jisheng, senior journalist from Xinhua News Agency, concluded there were 36 million deaths due to starvation, while another 40 million others failed to be born, so that "China's total population loss during the Great Famine then comes to 76 million."
- Liao Gailong (廖盖隆), former Vice Director of the History Research Unit of the Communist Party of China (CPC), reported 40 million "unnatural" deaths due to the famine.
- Chen Yizi (陈一谘), a former senior Chinese official and a top advisor to former CPC General Secretary Zhao Ziyang, concluded that 43 million people died due to the famine.
- Frank Dikötter, Chair Professor of Humanities at the University of Hong Kong and the author of Mao's Great Famine, estimated that at least 45 million people died from starvation, overwork and state violence during the Great Leap Forward, claiming his findings to be based on access to recently opened local and provincial party archives. His study also stressed that state violence exacerbated the death toll. Dikötter claimed that at least 2.5 million of the victims were beaten or tortured to death. His approach to the documents, as well as his claim to be the first author to use them, however, have been questioned by some other scholars. Dikötter provides a graphic example of what happened to a family after one member was caught stealing some food:
Liu Desheng, guilty of poaching a sweet potato, was covered in urine ... He, his wife, and his son were also forced into a heap of excrement. Then tongs were used to prise his mouth open after he refused to swallow excrement. He died three weeks later.
- Yu Xiguang (余习广), an independent Chinese historian and a former instructor at the Central Party School of the Communist Party of China, estimated that 55 million people died due to the famine. His conclusion was based on two decades of archival research.
Cannibalism
There are widespread oral reports, and some official documentation, of human cannibalism being practised in various forms as a result of the famine. Due to the scale of the famine, the resulting cannibalism has been described as being "on a scale unprecedented in the history of the 20th century".
Causes of the famine
The Great Chinese Famine was caused by a combination of radical agricultural policies, social pressure, economic mismanagement, and natural disasters such as droughts and floods in farming regions.
Great Leap Forward
Main article: Great Leap ForwardMao Zedong, Chair of the Chinese Communist Party, introduced drastic changes in farming policy prohibiting farm ownership. Failure to abide by the policies led to punishment.
People's communes
Main article: People's communeDuring the Great Leap Forward, farming was organized into people's communes and the cultivation of privately owned plots was forbidden. The agricultural economy was centrally planned, and regional Party leaders were given production quotas for the communes under their control. Their output was then appropriated by the state and distributed at its discretion.
In 2008, Yang Jisheng would summarize the effect of the production targets as an inability for supply to be redirected to where it was most demanded:
In Xinyang, people starved at the doors of the grain warehouses. As they died, they shouted, "Communist Party, Chairman Mao, save us". If the granaries of Henan and Hebei had been opened, no one need have died. As people were dying in large numbers around them, officials did not think to save them. Their only concern was how to fulfill the delivery of grain.
The degree to which people's communes helped bring about the famine is controversial. Each region dealt with the famine differently, and timelines of the famine are not uniform across China. One argument is that excessive eating took place in the mess halls, and that this directly led to a worsening of the famine. If excessive eating had not taken place, one scholar argued, "the worst of the Great Leap Famine could still have been avoided in mid-1959". However, dire hunger did not set in to places like Da Fo village until 1960, and the public dining hall participation rate was found not to be a meaningful cause of famine in Anhui and Jiangxi. In Da Fo village, "food output did not decline in reality, but there was an astonishing loss of food availability associated with Maoist state appropriation".
Agricultural techniques
Along with collectivization, the central government decreed several changes in agricultural techniques that would be based on the ideas of later-discredited Russian agronomist Trofim Lysenko. One of these ideas was close planting, whereby the density of seedlings was at first tripled and then doubled again. The theory was that plants of the same species would not compete with each other. In natural cycles they did fully compete, which actually stunted growth and resulted in lower yields.
Another policy known as "deep plowing" was based on the ideas of Lysenko's colleague Terentiy Maltsev, who encouraged peasants across China to eschew normal plowing depths of 15–20 centimeters and instead plow deeply into the soil (1 to 2 chi or 33 to 66 cm). The deep plowing theory stated that the most fertile soil was deep in the earth, and plowing unusually deeply would allow extra-strong root growth. However, in shallow soil, useless rocks, soil, and sand were driven up instead, burying the fertile topsoil and severely stunting seedling growth.
Four Pests Campaign
Main article: Four Pests CampaignIn the Four Pests Campaign, citizens were called upon to destroy sparrows and other wild birds that ate crop seeds, in order to protect fields. Pest birds were shot down or scared away from landing until dropping in exhaustion. The mass eradication of birds resulted in an explosion of the vermin population, especially crop-eating insects, which had no predators without the birds.
Illusion of superabundance
Beginning in 1957, the Chinese Communist Party began to report excessive production of grain because of pressure from superiors. However, the actual production of grain throughout China was decreasing from 1957 to 1961. For example:
- In Sichuan Province, even though the collected grain was decreasing from 1958 to 1961, the numbers reported to the central government kept increasing.
- In Gansu, the grain yield declined by 4,273,000 tonnes from 1957 to 1961.
This series of events resulted in an "illusion of superabundance" (浮夸风), and the Party believed that they had an excess of grain. On the contrary, the crop yields were lower than average. For instance, Beijing believed that "in 1960 state granaries would have 50 billion jin of grain", when they actually contained 12.7 billion jin. The effects of the illusion of superabundance were significant, leaving some historians to argue that it was the major cause of much of the starvation throughout China. Yang Dali argued that there were three main consequences from the illusion of superabundance:
First, it led to planners to shift lands from grain to economic crops, such as cotton, sugarcane, and beets, and divert huge numbers agricultural laborers into industrial sectors, fueling state demand for procured grain from the countryside. Second, it prompted the Chinese leadership, especially Zhou Enlai, to speed up grain exports to secure more foreign currency to purchase capital goods needed for industrialization. Finally, the illusion of superabundance made the adoption of the commune mess halls seem rational at the time. All these changes, of course, contributed to the rapid exhaustion of grain supplies.
Iron and steel production
Iron and steel production was identified as a key requirement for economic advancement, and millions of peasants were ordered away from agricultural work to join the iron and steel production workforce. Much of the iron produced by the peasant population ended up being too weak to be used commercially.
More policies from the central government
Economists Xin Meng, Nancy Qian and Pierre Yared showed that, much as Nobel laureate Amartya Sen had earlier claimed, aggregate production was sufficient for avoiding famine and that the famine was caused by over-procurement and poor distribution within the country. They show that unlike most other famines, there were surprisingly more deaths in places that produced more food per capita, explaining that the inflexibility in the centrally planned food procurement system explains at least half of the famine mortality. Economic historians James Kung and Shuo Chen show that there was more over-procurement in places where politicians faced more competition.
In addition, policies from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and the central government, particularly the Three Red Banners and the Socialist Education Movement (SEM), proved to be ideologically detrimental to the worsening famine. The Three Red Banners of the CCP "sparked the fanaticism of 1958". The implementation of the Mass Line, one of the three banners which told people to "go all out, aim high, and build socialism with greater, better, and more economical results", is cited in connection to the pressures officials felt to report a superabundance of grain. The SEM, established in 1957, also led to the severity of the famine in various ways, including causing the "illusion of superabundance" (浮夸风). Once the exaggerations of crop yields from the Mass Line were reported, "no one dared to 'dash cold water'" on further reports. The SEM also led to the establishment of conspiracy theories in which the peasants were believed to be pretending to be hungry in order to sabotage the state grain purchase.
Power relations in local governments
Local governments had just as much, if not more, influence on the famine than did higher rungs of government. As the Great Leap Forward progressed, many provincial leaders began aligning themselves with Mao and higher Party leaders. Local leaders were forced to choose between doing what was best for their community and guarding their reputation politically. Landlords began "denouncing any opposition as 'conservative rightism'", which is defined broadly as anything anti-communist. In an environment of conspiracy theories directed against peasants, saving extra grain for a family to eat, espousing the belief that the Great Leap Forward should not be implemented, or merely not working hard enough were all seen as forms of "conservative rightism". Peasants became unable to speak openly on collectivization and state grain purchase. With a culture of fear and recrimination at both a local and official level, speaking and acting against the famine became a seemingly impossible task.
The influence of local government in the famine can be seen in the comparison between the provinces of Anhui and Jiangxi. Anhui, having a radical pro-Mao government, was led by Zeng Xisheng who was "dictatorial", with ties to Mao. Zeng firmly believed in the Great Leap Forward and tried to build relationships with higher officials rather than maintain local ties. Zeng proposed agricultural projects without consulting colleagues, which caused Anhui's agriculture to fail terribly. Zhang Kaifan, a party secretary and deputy-governor of the province, heard rumours of a famine breaking out in Anhui and disagreed with many of Zeng's policies. Zeng reported Zhang to Mao for such speculations. As a result, Mao labeled Zhang "a member of the 'Peng Dehuai anti-Party military clique'" and he was purged from the local party. Zeng was unable to report on the famine when it became an emergency situation, as this would prove his hypocrisy. For this he was described as a "blatant political radical who almost single-handedly damaged Anhui".
Jiangxi encountered a situation almost opposite to that of Anhui. The leaders of Jiangxi publicly opposed some of the Great Leap programs, quietly made themselves unavailable, and even appeared to take a passive attitude towards the Maoist economy. As the leaders worked collaboratively among themselves, they also worked with the local population. By creating an environment in which the Great Leap Forward did not become fully implemented, the Jiangxi government "did their best to minimize damage". These findings concluded that much of the severity of the famine came down to provincial leaders and their responsibility for their regions.
Natural disasters
See also: 1958 Yellow River floodIn 1958, there was a notable regional flood of the Yellow River which affected part of Henan Province and Shandong Province. It was reported as the most severe flood of the Yellow River since 1933. In July 1958, the Yellow River flood affected 741,000 people in 1708 villages and inundated over 3.04 million mu (over half a million acres) of cultivated fields. The largest torrent of the flood was smoothly directed into the Bohai Sea on July 27, and the government declared a "victory over the flood" after sending a rescue team of over 2 million people. The spokesperson of the Flood Prevention Center of Chinese government stated on July 27, 1958, that:
This year we defeated the large flood without division of torrents or breaks on dams, which secures the big harvest of the crops. This is yet another miracle created by the Chinese people.
But the government was encouraged to report success and hide failures. Because the 2 million farm laborers from the two provinces were ordered away from the fields to serve as a rescue team and were repairing the banks of the river instead of tending to their fields, "crops are neglected and much of the harvest is left to rot in the fields". On the other hand, historian Frank Dikötter has argued that most floods during the famine were not due to unusual weather, but to massive, poorly planned and poorly executed irrigation works which were part of the Great Leap Forward. At this time, encouraged by Mao Zedong, people in China were building a large number of dams and thousands of kilometers of new irrigation canals in an attempt to move water from wet areas to areas that were experiencing drought. Some of the works, such as the Red Flag Canal, made positive contributions to irrigation, but researchers have pointed out that the massive hydraulic construction project led to many deaths due to starvation, epidemics, and drowning, which contributed to the famine.
In 1959 and 1960, at least some degree of drought and other bad weather affected 55% of the cultivated land in China, while an estimated 60% of agricultural land in northern China received no rain at all. In 1961, the weather improved slightly.
However, there have been disagreements on the significance of the drought and floods in causing the Great Famine. According to published data from Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences (中国气象科学研究院), the drought in 1960 was not uncommon and its severity was only considered "mild" compared to that in other years—it was less serious than those in 1955, 1963, 1965–1967, and so on. Moreover, Yang Jisheng, who was a senior journalist from Xinhua News Agency, Xue Muqiao, then head of the National Statistics Bureau of China, said in 1958, "We give whatever figures the upper-level wants" to overstate natural disasters and relieve official responsibility for deaths due to starvation. Yang claimed that he investigated other sources including a non-government archive of meteorological data from 350 weather stations across China, and the droughts, floods, and temperatures during 1958–1961 were within the typical patterns for China. Western scholars have also pointed out that:
Many foreign observers felt that these reports of weather-related crop failures were designed to cover up political factors that had led to poor agricultural performance. They also suspected that local officials tended to exaggerate such reports to obtain more state assistance or tax relief. Clearly, the weather contributed to the appalling drop in output, but it is impossible to assess to what extent.
Aftermath
Initial cover-ups
Local party leaders, for their part, conspired to cover up shortfalls and reassign blame in order to protect their own lives and positions. Mao was kept unaware of some of the starvation villagers in the rural areas were suffering, as the birth rate began to plummet and deaths increased in 1958 and 1959.
In visits to Henan province in 1958, Mao observed what local officials claimed was increases in crop yield of one thousand to three thousand percent achieved, supposedly, in massive 24-hour pushes organized by the officials which they called "sputnik launches". But the numbers were faked, and so were the fields that Mao observed, which had been carefully prepared in advance of Mao's visit by local officials, who removed shoots of grain from various fields and carefully transplanted them into a field prepared especially for Mao, which appeared to be a bumper crop.
The local officials became trapped by these sham demonstrations to Mao, and exhorted the peasants to reach unattainable goals, by "deep ploughing and close planting", among other techniques. This ended up making things much worse; the crop failed completely, leaving barren fields. No one was in a position to challenge Mao's ideas as incorrect, so peasants went to extreme lengths to keep up the charade; some grew seedlings in their bedding and coats and, after the seedlings quickly sprouted, "planted" them in fields—the bedding made the plants look high and healthy.
Like in the massive Soviet-created famine in Ukraine (the Holodomor), doctors were prohibited from listing "starvation" as a cause of death on death certificates. This kind of deception was far from uncommon; a famous propaganda picture from the famine shows Chinese children from Shandong province ostensibly standing atop a field of wheat, so densely grown that it could apparently support their weight. In reality, they were standing on a bench concealed beneath the plants, and the "field" was again entirely composed of individually transplanted stalks.
Cultural Revolution
Main articles: Cultural Revolution and Socialist Education MovementIn April and May 1961, Liu Shaoqi, then President of the People's Republic of China, concluded after 44 days of field research in villages of Hunan that the causes of the famine were 30% natural disaster and 70% human error. In January and February 1962, the "7000 Cadres Conference (七千人大会)" was called and Liu formally announced his conclusion, while the Great Leap Forward was declared "over" by the Communist Party.
The failure of the Great Leap Forward as well as the famine led Mao Zedong to withdraw from active decision-making within the Communist Party and the government, and turn various future responsibilities over to Liu Shaoqi and Deng Xiaoping. However, the disagreement between Mao and Liu (and Deng) gradually increased; Mao launched the Socialist Education Movement in 1963 and the Cultural Revolution in 1966, during which Liu was accused of being a traitor and enemy agent for attributing only 30% to natural calamities. Liu was beaten and denied medicine for diabetes and pneumonia; he died in 1969. On the other hand, Deng was accused of being a "capitalist roader" during the Cultural Revolution and was purged twice.
Reforms and reflections
See also: Boluan Fanzheng and Reforms and Opening UpIn December 1978, Deng Xiaoping became the new paramount leader of China and launched the historic Reforms and Opening up program which fundamentally changed the agricultural and industrial system in China. Until the early 1980s, the Chinese government's stance, reflected by the name "Three Years of Natural Disasters", was that the famine was largely a result of a series of natural disasters compounded by several planning errors. During the "Boluan Fanzheng" period in June 1981, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) officially changed the name to "Three Years of Difficulty", and stated that the famine was mainly due to the mistakes of the Great Leap Forward as well as the Anti-Rightist Campaign, in addition to some natural disasters and the Sino-Soviet split. Academic studies on the Great Chinese Famine also became more active in mainland China after 1980, when the government started to release some demographic data to the public.
Researchers outside China have argued that the massive institutional and policy changes which accompanied the Great Leap Forward were the key factors in the famine, or at least worsened nature-induced disasters. In particular, Nobel laureate Amartya Sen puts this famine in a global context, arguing that lack of democracy is the major culprit: "Indeed, no substantial famine has ever occurred in a democratic country—no matter how poor." He adds that it is "hard to imagine that anything like this could have happened in a country that goes to the polls regularly and that has an independent press. During that terrible calamity the government faced no pressure from newspapers, which were controlled, and none from opposition parties, which were absent." On the other hand, Sen points out that the numbers of "excess mortality", as some demographers call it, i.e. death due to poor nutrition and inadequate medical care, in India often surpass what they were in China during 1958–1961. Sen estimated: "Despite the gigantic size of excess mortality in the Chinese famine, the extra mortality in India from regular deprivation in normal times vastly overshadows the former. India seems to manage to fill its cupboard with more skeletons every eight years than China put there in its years of shame."
See also
- Famines in China
- Northern Chinese Famine of 1876–79
- Chinese famine of 1928–30
- Chinese famine of 1942–43
- Four Pests Campaign
- Holodomor
- Hungry Ghosts: Mao's Secret Famine
- Mao's Great Famine
- 70,000 Character Petition
- Mass killings under communist regimes
- 1975 Banqiao Dam failure
Notes
- The title of Becker's book is a reference to Hungry ghosts in Chinese religion.
- She wrote in an essay that "he figure of 30 million has passed into popular folklore ... The fact that 19 million of them never existed because they were never born in the first place is not conveyed by the formulation." She criticized the equating of China's "missing millions" with famine deaths, rather than people who were never born due to declining birth rates. Also she claimed that "Because the internal political developments in China after 1978 were in the direction of attacking Maoist egalitarianism and the commune system, no repudiation from Chinese sources of the US estimates are to be seen". Patnaik concluded that the figures were ideologically derived in attempts to discredit communism, while similar excessive deaths in 1990s Russia, following the collapse of the USSR, were routinely ignored.
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Further reading
- Ashton, Basil, Kenneth Hill, Alan Piazza, Robin Zeitz, "Famine in China, 1958–61", Population and Development Review, Vol. 10, No. 4. (Dec. 1984), pp. 613–645.
- Banister, J. "Analysis of Recent Data on the Population of China", Population and Development, Vol. 10, No. 2, 1984.
- Becker, Jasper (1998). Hungry Ghosts: Mao's Secret Famine. A Holt paperback : history. Holt. ISBN 0-8050-5668-8. OCLC 985077206.
- Bernstein, Thomas P. (June 2006). "Mao Zedong and the Famine of 1959-1960: A Study in Wilfulness". The China Quarterly (186). Cambridge University Press: 421–425. JSTOR 20192620.
- Cao Shuji, "The Deaths of China's Population and Its Contributing Factors during 1959–1961". China's Population Science (Jan. 2005) (In Chinese).
- China Statistical Yearbook (1984), edited by State Statistical Bureau. China Statistical Publishing House, 1984. pp. 83, 141, 190.
- China Statistical Yearbook (1991), edited by State Statistical Bureau. China Statistical Publishing House, 1991.
- China Population Statistical Yearbook (1985), edited by State Statistical Bureau. China Statistical Bureau Publishing House, 1985.
- Coale, Ansley J., Rapid Population Change in China, 1952–1982, National Academy Press, Washington, D.C., 1984.
- Dikötter, Frank. Mao's Great Famine: The History of China's Most Devastating Catastrophe, 1958–62. Walker & Company, 2010. ISBN 0-8027-7768-6.
- Gao. Mobo (2007). Gao Village: Rural Life in Modern China. University of Hawaii Press. ISBN 978-0-8248-3192-9.
- Gao. Mobo (2008). The Battle for China's Past. Pluto Press. ISBN 978-0-7453-2780-8.
- Jiang Zhenghua (蔣正華), "Method and Result of China Population Dynamic Estimation", Academic Report of Xi'a University, 1986(3). pp. 46, 84.
- Li Chengrui(李成瑞): Population Change Caused by The Great Leap Movement, Demographic Study, No.1, 1998 pp. 97–111
- Li. Minqi (2008). The Rise of China and the Demise of the Capitalist World Economy. Monthly Review Press. ISBN 978-1-58367-182-5
- Peng Xizhe, "Demographic Consequences of the Great Leap Forward in China's Provinces", Population and Development Review, Vol. 13, No. 4. (Dec. 1987), pp. 639–670
- Thaxton. Ralph A. Jr (2008). Catastrophe and Contention in Rural China: Mao's Great Leap Forward Famine and the Origins of Righteous Resistance in Da Fo Village. Cambridge University Press. ISBN 0-521-72230-6
- Wemheuer, Felix (March 2010). "Dealing with Responsibility for the Great Leap Famine in the People's Republic of China". The China Quarterly (201). Cambridge University Press: 176–194. JSTOR 20749353.
- Yang, Dali. Calamity and Reform in China: State, Rural Society and Institutional Change since the Great Leap Famine. Stanford University Press, 1996.
- Yang Jisheng. Tombstone (Mu Bei – Zhong Guo Liu Shi Nian Dai Da Ji Huang Ji Shi). Cosmos Books (Tian Di Tu Shu), Hong Kong 2008.
- Yang Jisheng. "Tombstone: An Account of Chinese Famine in the 1960s" (墓碑 - 中國六十年代大饑荒紀實 (Mubei – Zhongguo Liushi Niandai Da Jihuang Jishi), Hong Kong: Cosmos Books (Tiandi Tushu), 2008, ISBN 978-988-211-909-3 (in Chinese). By 2010, it was appearing under the title: 墓碑: 一九五八-一九六二年中國大饑荒紀實 (Mubei: Yi Jiu Wu Ba – Yi Jiu Liu Er Nian Zhongguo Da Jihuang Shiji) ("Tombstone: An Account of Chinese Famine From 1958–1962").
- Yang Jisheng. Tombstone: The Untold Story of Mao's Great Famine, Yang Jisheng, Translators: Stacy Mosher, Guo Jian, Publisher: Allen Lane (30 October 2012), ISBN 978-184-614-518-6 (English translation of the above work)
- Translated into English and abridged. Yang Jisheng, Tombstone: The Great Chinese Famine, 1958–1962, Farrar, Straus and Giroux (30 October 2012), hardcover, 656 pp., ISBN 0374277931, ISBN 978-0374277932
- Official Chinese statistics, shown as a graph. "Data – Population Growth", Land Use Systems Group (LUC), Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), archived from the original on 4 September 2005