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| The '''2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina''' is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the ] in which all 50 states plus the ] will participate. ] voters will choose electors to represent them in the ] via a popular vote. The state of North Carolina has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following ] due to the ] in which the state gained a seat.<ref>{{cite web |last1=Wang |first1=Hansi |last2=Jin |first2=Connie |last3=Levitt |first3=Zach |title=Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats |url=https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats |publisher=] |access-date=August 20, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210819123145/https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats |archive-date=August 19, 2021 |date=April 26, 2021 |url-status=live}}</ref> North Carolina is |
The '''2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina''' is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the ] in which all 50 states plus the ] will participate. ] voters will choose electors to represent them in the ] via a popular vote. The state of North Carolina has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following ] due to the ] in which the state gained a seat.<ref>{{cite web |last1=Wang |first1=Hansi |last2=Jin |first2=Connie |last3=Levitt |first3=Zach |title=Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats |url=https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats |publisher=] |access-date=August 20, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210819123145/https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats |archive-date=August 19, 2021 |date=April 26, 2021 |url-status=live}}</ref> North Carolina is considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024. | ||
| Incumbent Democratic president ] has stated that he intends to run for reelection to a second term.<ref>{{Cite web|title= Biden: 'My plan is to run for reelection' in 2024|url= https://www.politico.com/news/2021/03/25/biden-run-reelection-2024-478008|access-date=July 19, 2021|website=Politico.com|language=en}}</ref> | Incumbent Democratic president ] has stated that he intends to run for reelection to a second term.<ref>{{Cite web|title= Biden: 'My plan is to run for reelection' in 2024|url= https://www.politico.com/news/2021/03/25/biden-run-reelection-2024-478008|access-date=July 19, 2021|website=Politico.com|language=en}}</ref> | ||
Revision as of 23:45, 27 February 2023
Main article: 2024 United States presidential election
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The 2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. North Carolina voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of North Carolina has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat. North Carolina is considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024.
Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden has stated that he intends to run for reelection to a second term.
Primary elections
Republican primary
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ted Cruz |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Kristi Noem |
Mike Pence |
Mike Pompeo |
Mitt Romney |
Marco Rubio |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Differentiators data | Dec 8–11, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | - | 56% | - | – | – | - | - | – | - | 35% | - | - | |||
| John Bolton Super PAC | Jul 22–24, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 3% | 27% | – | – | 6% | 1% | – | 5% | – | 37% | 4% | 17% | |||
| Atlantic Polling Strategies | Apr 25–28, 2022 | 534 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 2% | 23% | 5% | – | 4% | – | – | – | 4% | 52% | – | 10% | |||
| Spry Strategies | Apr 6–10, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 6% | 19% | 8% | 1% | 6% | 2% | – | – | 1% | 45% | – | 12% | |||
| 11% | 32% | 8% | 2% | 9% | 5% | – | – | 2% | – | – | 31% | |||||||
| Cygnal (R) | Apr 1–3, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 2% | 26% | 8% | – | 6% | – | – | – | – | 45% | – | 13% | |||
| Cygnal (R) | Jan 7–9, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 2% | 19% | 8% | – | 5% | – | – | – | – | 47% | 3% | 16% | |||
| Jan 20, 2021 | Inauguration of Joe Biden | |||||||||||||||||
| University of Nevada/BUSR | Nov 30 – Dec 2, 2020 | 221 (RV) | ± 7.0% | 3% | – | 6% | – | – | – | 3% | 2% | – | 76% | 5% | 6% | |||
| 9% | – | 9% | – | 48% | – | 9% | 3% | – | – | 4% | 18% | |||||||
General election
Polling
- Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Differentiators (R) | January 9–12, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Emerson College | October 27–29, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | October 7–8, 2022 | 606 (RV) | – | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| SurveyUSA | September 28 – October 2, 2022 | 918 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
| Emerson College | September 15–16, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 42% | 11% |
| East Carolina University | September 7–10, 2022 | 1,020 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| Blueprint Polling (D) | August 4–6, 2022 | 656 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 39% | 17% |
| PEM Management Corporation (R) | July 22–24, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
| East Carolina University | May 19–20, 2022 | 635 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 37% | 16% |
- Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Differentiators (R) | January 9–12, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 44% | 7% |
See also
- United States presidential elections in North Carolina
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
- ^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Liz Cheney with 3%; Chris Christie at 1%
- Standard VI response
- Partisan clients
- Poll conducted for the North Carolina Chamber of Commerce
- ^ Poll conducted for the John Locke Foundation
- ^ Poll sponsored by NC Values Coalition, a sponsor of the Republican Party
- Poll conducted for the John Bolton Super PAC
References
- Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
- "Biden: 'My plan is to run for reelection' in 2024". Politico.com. Retrieved July 19, 2021.
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