| Revision as of 22:19, 17 October 2023 editIan Tompaso (talk | contribs)411 edits →Polling← Previous edit | Revision as of 10:06, 21 October 2023 edit undo2001:e68:5409:281b:c515:1315:189a:1f95 (talk) →PollingNext edit → | ||
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| ===Polling=== | ===Polling=== | ||
| ;Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | |||
| {| class="wikitable sortable tpl-blanktable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;line-height:17px" | |||
| |- valign=bottom | |||
| ! Poll source | |||
| ! Date(s)<br/>administered | |||
| ! Sample<br/>size{{efn|name=key}} | |||
| ! Margin<br/>of error | |||
| ! class="unsortable" | Donald<br/>Trump<br/><small>{{nobold|Republican}}</small> | |||
| ! class="unsortable" | Joe<br/>Biden<br/><small>{{nobold|Democratic}}</small> | |||
| ! class="unsortable" | Robert<br/>Kennedy Jr<br/><small>{{nobold|Independent}}</small> | |||
| ! class="unsortable" | Other /<br/>Undecided | |||
| ⚫ | |- | ||
| ⚫ | |style="text-align:left;"| | ||
| ⚫ | | data-sort-value="2023-10-15" |Oct 7-9, 2023 | ||
| ⚫ | |820 (LV) | ||
| ⚫ | |± | ||
| ⚫ | |{{party shading/Republican}}|'''41%''' | ||
| ⚫ | |38% | ||
| ⚫ | |9% | ||
| ⚫ | |14% | ||
| |- | |||
| |} | |||
| ;Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden | ;Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden | ||
| <!-- Leave graph hidden until there is a primary victor --><!-- | <!-- Leave graph hidden until there is a primary victor --><!-- | ||
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| ! class="unsortable" | Robert<br/>Kennedy Jr<br/><small>{{nobold|Independent}}</small> | ! class="unsortable" | Robert<br/>Kennedy Jr<br/><small>{{nobold|Independent}}</small> | ||
| ! class="unsortable" | Other /<br/>Undecided | ! class="unsortable" | Other /<br/>Undecided | ||
| ⚫ | |- | ||
| ⚫ | |style="text-align:left;"| | ||
| ⚫ | | data-sort-value="2023-10-15" | |
||
| ⚫ | | |
||
| ⚫ | |± | ||
| ⚫ | |{{party shading/Republican}}|'''41%''' | ||
| ⚫ | |38% | ||
| ⚫ | |9% | ||
| ⚫ | |14% | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| |style="text-align:left;"| | |style="text-align:left;"| | ||
Revision as of 10:06, 21 October 2023
Main article: 2024 United States presidential election
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The 2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. North Carolina voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of North Carolina has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat. Although a red-leaning state (it was the narrowest Republican victory in 2020), North Carolina is expected to be targeted by both parties in 2024.
Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden has stated that he intends to run for reelection to a second term.
Primary elections
Democratic primary
Main article: 2024 North Carolina Democratic presidential primaryThe North Carolina Democratic primary is scheduled to be held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
Republican primary
Main article: 2024 North Carolina Republican presidential primaryThe North Carolina Republican primary is scheduled to be held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
General election
Polling
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 7-9, 2023 | 820 (LV) | ± | 41% | 38% | 9% | 14% |
- Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7-9, 2023 | 736 (LV) | ± | 43% | 38% | 20% | |
| Change Research (D) | September 1–5, 2023 | 914 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 42% | 12% | |
| Opinion Diagnostics | June 5–7, 2023 | 902 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 40% | 18% | |
| Cygnal (R) | March 26–27, 2023 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 45% | 12% | |
| Differentiators (R) | January 9–12, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 48% | 7% | |
| Emerson College | October 27–29, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 40% | 9% | |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | October 7–8, 2022 | 606 (RV) | – | 44% | 44% | 12% | |
| SurveyUSA | September 28 – October 2, 2022 | 918 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 45% | 12% | |
| Emerson College | September 15–16, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 42% | 11% | |
| East Carolina University | September 7–10, 2022 | 1,020 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 45% | 9% | |
| Blueprint Polling (D) | August 4–6, 2022 | 656 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 39% | 17% | |
| PEM Management Corporation (R) | July 22–24, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 48% | 41% | 11% | |
| East Carolina University | May 19–20, 2022 | 635 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 37% | 16% |
- Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opinion Diagnostics | June 5–7, 2023 | 902 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 40% | 13% |
| Cygnal (R) | March 26–27, 2023 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 41% | 15% |
| Differentiators (R) | January 9–12, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 44% | 7% |
- Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike Pence Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R) | March 26–27, 2023 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 41% | 20% |
See also
- United States presidential elections in North Carolina
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
- Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by Carolina Forward
- ^ Poll sponsored by the John Locke Foundation
- ^ Poll sponsored by NC Values Coalition, a sponsor of the Republican Party
- Poll conducted for the John Bolton Super PAC
References
- Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
- "Biden: 'My plan is to run for reelection' in 2024". Politico.com. Retrieved July 19, 2021.
| (2023 ←) 2024 United States elections (→ 2025) | |
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| U.S. President |
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| U.S. House (election ratings) |
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| State and district results of the 2024 United States presidential election | ||
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