| Revision as of 18:26, 21 July 2024 editInferiorshiny (talk | contribs)170 editsNo edit summaryTag: Visual edit← Previous edit | Revision as of 18:44, 21 July 2024 edit undo2603:6011:500:c82c:257d:73f1:92ef:b5b4 (talk) Deleted this biased ass DNC funded polling source.Tags: Reverted references removed Visual edit Mobile edit Mobile web editNext edit → | ||
| Line 154: | Line 154: | ||
| | July 18, 2024 | | July 18, 2024 | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | align="left" | | |||
| | align="left" |]<ref>{{cite web|title=2024 RCP Electoral College Map |url=https://www.realclearpolling.com/maps/president/2024/toss-up/electoral-college |website=RealClearPolitics |access-date=June 26, 2024 |language=en |date=June 26, 2024}}</ref> | |||
| | {{USRaceRating| |
| {{USRaceRating|}} | ||
| | | |||
| | June 26, 2024 | |||
| |} | |} | ||
Revision as of 18:44, 21 July 2024
Main article: 2024 United States presidential election
 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The 2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. North Carolina voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of North Carolina has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.
Although a Southern Bible Belt state, North Carolina has been competitive since the late 2000s — a trend primarily attributed to population growth — as the state has been narrowly decided in every presidential election by less than a 4% margin since since 2008, when Barack Obama very narrowly carried the state and became the only Democratic presidential candidate to do so since Jimmy Carter of neighboring Georgia in 1976. However, Republicans have won every single federal race in North Carolina since 2010. It flipped back into the GOP column in 2012 (the only one of the last four presidential elections where the winner won over 50% of the state's vote) and has been narrowly won by Republican nominee Donald Trump in the past two cycles.
It was the closest Republican state victory in 2012 and 2020, even as polls indicated a narrow win by Democrat Joe Biden in the latter. However, at the gubernatorial level, incumbent Democrat Roy Cooper has won both terms, and an upcoming race for a new governor coinciding with the presidential election is expected to be competitive. Today a purple to slightly red state, North Carolina is expected to be targeted by both parties in 2024, with major news organizations marking the state as narrowly leaning towards the Republican candidate Donald Trump. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has gathered enough signatures to appear on the ballot. Incumbent president Biden was initially poised to run for re-election, but withdrew on July 21 and endorsed his vice president Kamala Harris.
Primary elections
Democratic primary
Main article: 2024 North Carolina Democratic presidential primaryIn North Carolina, candidates can make the primary ballot either by being nominated by the state party or by filing a nominating petition with at least 10,000 signatures. The North Carolina Democratic Party submitted only Joe Biden as a candidate, and no candidate submitted 10,000 signatures by the December 22, 2023 deadline.
The cancellation was criticized by the Dean Phillips campaign, who started an online petition to get his candidacy on the ballot and threatened legal challenges. Marianne Williamson and Cenk Uygur also criticized the moves.
In North Carolina, the "No Preference" option will appear on the Democratic, Republican, and Libertarian Presidential Preference Primary ballots. In 2012, when President Barack Obama did not face primary opposition in North Carolina, approximately twenty percent of voters opted for the "No Preference" option.
The North Carolina Democratic presidential primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 609,680 | 87.27% | 113 | ||
| No Preference | 88,900 | 12.73% | |||
| Total: | 698,580 | 100.00% | 132 | 132 | |
Republican primary
Main article: 2024 North Carolina Republican presidential primaryThe North Carolina Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 793,978 | 73.84% | 62 | 62 | |
| Nikki Haley | 250,838 | 23.33% | 12 | 12 | |
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 14,740 | 1.37% | |||
| No Preference | 7,448 | 0.69% | |||
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 3,418 | 0.32% | |||
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 3,166 | 0.29% | |||
| Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 916 | 0.09% | |||
| Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 727 | 0.07% | |||
| Total: | 1,075,231 | 100.00% | 74 | 74 | |
Libertarian primary
Main article: 2024 North Carolina Libertarian presidential primaryThe North Carolina Libertarian primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Ten candidates were presented on the ballot.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage |
|---|---|---|
| None of the Above | 2,058 | 40.5% |
| Chase Oliver | 676 | 13.3% |
| Jacob Hornberger | 357 | 7.0% |
| Joshua Smith | 354 | 7.0% |
| Michael Rectenwald | 195 | 3.8% |
| Charles Ballay | 183 | 3.6% |
| Lars Mapstead | 176 | 3.5% |
| Mike ter Maat | 137 | 2.7% |
| Other | 946 | 18.7% |
| Total: | 5,082 | 100.0% |
| Source: | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Lean R | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections | Tilt R | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean R | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill | Lean R | May 30, 2024 |
| CNalysis | Likely R | July 16, 2024 |
| CNN | Lean R | January 14, 2024 |
| The Economist | Likely R | July 19, 2024 |
| 538 | Lean R | July 18, 2024 |
Polling
- Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | July 1–5, 2024 | 696 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
| Spry Strategies | June 7–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| East Carolina University | May 31 – June 3, 2024 | 1,332 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| North Star Opinion Research (R) | May 29 – June 2, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | May 26–27, 2024 | 1,053 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 43% | 6% |
| Change Research (D) | May 13–18, 2024 | 835 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 43% | 12% |
| Prime Group | May 9–16, 2024 | 472 (RV) | – | 51% | 49% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 42% | 9% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | May 6–13, 2024 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
| High Point University | May 5–9, 2024 | 804 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 42% | 14% |
| Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 42% | 11% |
| 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 48% | – | ||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | April 8–15, 2024 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 41% | 8% |
| Mason-Dixon | April 9–13, 2024 | 635 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 43% | 8% |
| Quinnipiac University | April 4–8, 2024 | 1,401 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| High Point University | March 22–30, 2024 | 829(RV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 42% | 14% |
| Wall Street Journal | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 43% | 8% |
| Marist College | March 11–14, 2024 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 51% | 48% | 1% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | March 8–12, 2024 | 699 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 43% | 8% |
| SurveyUSA | March 3–9, 2024 | 598 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 45% | 5% |
| Cygnal (R) | March 6–7, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 40% | 15% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 50% | 41% | 9% |
| Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| Fox News | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,099 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 45% | 5% |
| Meredith College | January 26–31, 2024 | 760 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 39% | 17% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 39% | 13% |
| Meredith College | November 1–5, 2023 | 755 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 40% | 22% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 5–10, 2023 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 43% | 10% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 736 (LV) | – | 43% | 38% | 20% |
| Change Research (D) | September 1–5, 2023 | 914 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 42% | 12% |
| Prime Group | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 54% | 46% | – |
| 500 (RV) | – | 45% | 37% | 18% | ||
| Opinion Diagnostics | June 5–7, 2023 | 902 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 40% | 18% |
| Cygnal (R) | March 26–27, 2023 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
| Differentiators (R) | January 9–12, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Emerson College | October 27–29, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | October 7–8, 2022 | 606 (RV) | – | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| SurveyUSA | September 28 – October 2, 2022 | 918 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
| Emerson College | September 15–16, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 42% | 11% |
| East Carolina University | September 7–10, 2022 | 1,020 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| Blueprint Polling (D) | August 4–6, 2022 | 656 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 39% | 17% |
| PEM Management Corporation (R) | July 22–24, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
| East Carolina University | May 19–20, 2022 | 635 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 37% | 16% |
- Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 38% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| YouGov | July 4–12, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 40% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 11% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | July 1–5, 2024 | 696 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
| North Star Opinion Research (R) | May 29 – June 2, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 32% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 10% |
| Prime Group | May 9–16, 2024 | 472 (RV) | – | 45% | 42% | 11% | 2% | 1% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 38% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | May 6–13, 2024 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 36% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 8% |
| Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 37% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | April 8–15, 2024 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 38% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 8% |
| Quinnipiac University | April 4–8, 2024 | 1,401 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 41% | 38% | 12% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| Wall Street Journal | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 34% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 11% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | March 8–12, 2024 | 699 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 39% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 8% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 45% | 35% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
| Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 37% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
| East Carolina University | February 9–12, 2024 | 1,207 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 44% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| Fox News | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,099 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 37% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 32% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 34% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
- Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spry Strategies | June 7–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 37% | 8% | 10% |
| Change Research (D) | May 13–18, 2024 | 835 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 41% | 38% | 11% | 10% |
| Cygnal (R) | May 4–5, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 38% | 9% | 10% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | May 2–4, 2024 | 700 (LV) | – | 44% | 37% | 7% | 12% |
| Meeting Street Insights (R) | April 25–28, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 35% | 11% | 14% |
| Meredith College | April 11–17, 2024 | 711 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 39% | 9% | 11% |
| Cygnal (R) | April 7–8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 39% | 7% | 11% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | March 14–17, 2024 | 642 (LV) | – | 43% | 39% | 8% | 10% |
| Marist College | March 11–14, 2024 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 43% | 11% | – |
| North Star Opinion Research | January 30 – February 4, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 32% | 16% | 13% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | December 28–30, 2023 | 1,220 (LV) | – | 37% | 33% | 11% | 19% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 620 (LV) | – | 44% | 35% | 8% | 13% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 736 (LV) | – | 41% | 38% | 9% | 14% |
- Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 33% | 9% | 2% | 14% |
- Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 40% | 10% |
| Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 41% | 9% |
- Donald Trump vs. Gavin Newsom
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gavin Newsom Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 34% | 17% |
- Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,099 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 41% | 13% |
- Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Carolina University | February 9–12, 2024 | 1,207 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 32% | 40% | 10% | 2% | 0% | 16% |
| Fox News | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,099 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 31% | 33% | 19% | 2% | 2% | 13% |
- Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 620 (LV) | – | 36% | 33% | 12% | 18% |
- Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opinion Diagnostics | June 5–7, 2023 | 902 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 40% | 13% |
| Cygnal (R) | March 26–27, 2023 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 41% | 15% |
| Differentiators (R) | January 9–12, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 44% | 7% |
- Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 620 (LV) | – | 38% | 34% | 12% | 4% | 12% |
- Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike Pence Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R) | March 26–27, 2023 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 41% | 20% |
See also
- United States presidential elections in North Carolina
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
- 464 votes (9.1%) for David (TrimeTaveler) Dunlap, 320 votes (6.3%) for Beau Lindsey, 162 votes (3.2%) for John “Toad” Anderson.
- ^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - With voters who lean towards a given candidate
- "Someone else" with 17%
- No Labels candidate
- Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
- Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
- Jill Stein (G) with 2%; Charles Ballay (L) with 2%
- Partisan clients
- ^ Poll sponsored by Democrats for Next Generation PAC
- ^ Poll sponsored by American Greatness
- Poll sponsored by NumbersUSA
- ^ Poll sponsored by Carolina Forward
- ^ Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump
- Poll sponsored by WRAL-TV
- ^ Poll sponsored by the John Locke Foundation
- Poll sponsored by Carolina Forward
- Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC
- ^ Poll sponsored by NC Values Coalition, a sponsor of the Republican Party
- Poll conducted for the John Bolton Super PAC
- Poll conducted for The Times & SAY24
- Poll sponsored by The Carolina Journal
- Poll sponsored by Carolina Partnership for Reform & Carolina Leadership Coalition
- Poll sponsored by the League of American Workers
References
- Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
- "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved March 19, 2024.
- Kraemer, Brianna (April 3, 2024). "RFK Jr. is officially joining the NC ballot". Carolina Journal. Retrieved May 1, 2024.
- "2024 Fact Sheet - Running for President" (PDF). North Carolina State Board of Elections. Retrieved December 26, 2023.
- ^ "Biden primary foe Phillips will challenge states where he missed ballot | Semafor". www.semafor.com. December 7, 2023. Retrieved December 26, 2023.
- "North Carolina's 2024 presidential primary candidates approved". Carolina Journal -. December 26, 2023. Retrieved December 26, 2023.
- "Dean Phillips, a Democrat running for president, says North Carolina is wrong to keep him off ballot". WUNC. December 22, 2023. Retrieved December 26, 2023.
- "Our Campaigns - NC US President - D Primary Race - May 08, 2012".
- "03/05/2024 OFFICIAL PRIMARY ELECTION RESULTS - STATEWIDE". North Carolina State Board of Elections. Retrieved March 28, 2024.
- "Presidential and Congressional Primaries: North Carolina Results 2024". CNN. April 30, 2024. Retrieved June 20, 2024.
- News Staff, FOX Carolina. "Here are the 10 Libertarian candidates in the 2024 NC Presidential Primary". FOX News.
- "03/05/2024 UNOFFICIAL PRIMARY ELECTION RESULTS – STATEWIDE". North Carolina State Board of Elections. Retrieved June 22, 2024.
- "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- "2024 Presidential Forecast". Decision Desk HQ/The Hill. Retrieved May 31, 2024.
- "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 17, 2024.
- "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
- "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist. Retrieved July 19, 2024.
- Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved July 16, 2024.
| (2023 ←) 2024 United States elections (→ 2025) | |
|---|---|
| U.S. President |
|
| U.S. Senate |
|
| U.S. House (election ratings) |
|
| Governors | |
| Attorneys general | |
| Secretaries of state | |
| State treasurers | |
| Judicial | |
| Other statewide elections |
|
| State legislative |
|
| Mayors |
|
| Local | |
| States and territories |
|
| Ballot measures |
|
| State and district results of the 2024 United States presidential election | ||
|---|---|---|
|  | |