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| |align=center|February 2010 | |align=center|February 2010 | ||
| |Ipsos Apoyo<ref>{{cite web | |
|Ipsos Apoyo<ref>{{cite web |last1=Torres Guzmán |first1=Alfredo |last2=Loli |first2=Guillermo |author3=Ghislaine Liendo |author4=Ricardo Sánchez |author5=Silvia Milla |author6=Maria Sol Delgado |title=Lourdes Flores y las próximas elecciones |work=opinión|data – Resumen de Encuestas a la opinión pública |language=es|publisher=Ipsos APOYO |date=15 February 2010 |url=http://www.ipsos-apoyo.com.pe/sites/default/files/opinion_data/Opinion%20Data%20Febrero%202010.pdf |access-date=12 June 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150924040620/http://www.ipsos-apoyo.com.pe/sites/default/files/opinion_data/Opinion%20Data%20Febrero%202010.pdf |archive-date=24 September 2015 |url-status=dead}}</ref> | ||
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| |align=center|June 2010 | |align=center|June 2010 | ||
| |Ipsos Apoyo<ref>{{cite web | |
|Ipsos Apoyo<ref>{{cite web |last1=Torres Guzmán |first1=Alfredo |last2=Loli |first2=Ghislaine |author3=Liendo, Ghislaine |author4=Pizarro, Alejandro |author5=Sánchez, Ricardo |author6=Mendiguri, Dimelsa |title=Lourdes se afianza y Keiko Avanza |work=opinión|data – Resumen de Encuestas a la opinión pública |language=es|publisher=Ipsos APOYO |date=21 June 2010 |url=http://www.ipsos-apoyo.com.pe/sites/default/files/opinion_data/Opinion%20Data%20Junio%202010.pdf |access-date=12 June 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150924040648/http://www.ipsos-apoyo.com.pe/sites/default/files/opinion_data/Opinion%20Data%20Junio%202010.pdf |archive-date=24 September 2015 |url-status=dead}}</ref> | ||
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| |align=center|August 2010 | |align=center|August 2010 | ||
| |Datum<ref>{{cite |
|Datum<ref>{{cite news|url=http://elcomercio.pe/noticia/633562/keiko-fujimori-supero-luis-castaneda-lidera-encuesta-datum |language=es |title=Keiko Fujimori superó a Luis Castañeda y lidera encuesta de Datum |work=El Comercio |date=3 September 2010 |publisher=El Comercio Perú |access-date=19 April 2011}}</ref> | ||
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| |align=center|September 2010 | |align=center|September 2010 | ||
| |Ipsos Apoyo<ref>{{cite web | |
|Ipsos Apoyo<ref>{{cite web |last1=Torres Guzmán |first1=Alfredo |last2=Loli |first2=Guillermo |author3=Ponce, Carlos |author4=Pizarro, Alejandro |author5=Arellano, Jose Carlos |author6=Sánchez, Ricardo |author7=Álvarez, Hugo |title=Susana Villarán mantiene el primer lugar |work=opinión|data – Resumen de Encuestas a la opinión pública |language=es|publisher=Ipsos APOYO |date=26 September 2010 |url=http://www.ipsos-apoyo.com.pe/sites/default/files/opinion_data/Opinion%20Data%20Especial%2026%20set%2010.pdf |access-date=7 June 2011 }}{{Dead link|date=April 2019 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}</ref> | ||
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| |align=center|October 2010 | |align=center|October 2010 | ||
| |Ipsos Apoyo<ref>{{cite web | |
|Ipsos Apoyo<ref>{{cite web |last1=Torres Guzmán |first1=Alfredo |last2=Loli |first2=Guillermo |author3=Arenas, Lina |author4=Liendo, Ghislaine |author5=Sánchez, Ricardo |author6=Àlvarez, Hugo |author7=Morales, Milagros |title=Lecciones Electorales |language=es|work=opinión|data – Resumen de Encuestas a la opinión pública |publisher=Ipsos APOYO |date=18 October 2010 |url=http://www.ipsos-apoyo.com.pe/sites/default/files/opinion_data/Opinion%20Data%20Octubre%202010.pdf |access-date=7 June 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150924040702/http://www.ipsos-apoyo.com.pe/sites/default/files/opinion_data/Opinion%20Data%20Octubre%202010.pdf |archive-date=24 September 2015 |url-status=dead}}</ref> | ||
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| |align=center|December 2010 | |align=center|December 2010 | ||
| |Ipsos Apoyo<ref>{{cite web | |
|Ipsos Apoyo<ref>{{cite web |last1=Torres Guzmán |first1=Alfredo |last2=Loli |first2=Guillermo |author3=Ponce, Carlos |author4=Casquero, Laura |author5=Sánchez, Ricardo |author6=Aguero, Jessica |author7=Álvarez, Hugo |title=Toledo Empata Con Castañeda |work=opinión|data – Resumen de Encuestas a la opinión pública |language=es|publisher=Ipsos APOYO |date=20 December 2010 |url=http://www.ipsos-apoyo.com.pe/sites/default/files/opinion_data/toledo-empata-con-castaneda.pdf |access-date=7 June 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150924040739/http://www.ipsos-apoyo.com.pe/sites/default/files/opinion_data/toledo-empata-con-castaneda.pdf |archive-date=24 September 2015 |url-status=dead}}</ref> | ||
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| |align=center|February 2011 | |align=center|February 2011 | ||
| |Ipsos Apoyo<ref>{{cite web | |
|Ipsos Apoyo<ref>{{cite web |last1=Torres Guzmán |first1=Alfredo |last2=Loli |first2=Guillermo |author3=Pizarro, Alejandro |author4=Liendo, Ghislaine |author5=Sánchez, Ricardo |author6=Aliaga, Geraldine |author7=Montoro, Giuliana |author8=Boyco, Daniel |title=Toledo y Fujimori rumbo a la segundo vuelta |work=opinión|data – Resumen de Encuestas a la opinión pública |language=es|publisher=Ipsos APOYO |date=15 February 2011 |url=http://www.ipsos-apoyo.com.pe/sites/default/files/opinion_data/Toledo-y-Fujimori-rumbo-a-la-segunda-vuelta.pdf |access-date=7 June 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150924040714/http://www.ipsos-apoyo.com.pe/sites/default/files/opinion_data/Toledo-y-Fujimori-rumbo-a-la-segunda-vuelta.pdf |archive-date=24 September 2015 |url-status=dead}}</ref> | ||
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| |align=center|February 2011 | |align=center|February 2011 | ||
| |Ipsos Apoyo<ref>{{cite web | |
|Ipsos Apoyo<ref>{{cite web |last1=Torres Guzmán |first1=Alfredo |last2=Loli |first2=Guillermo |author3=Liendo, Ghislaine |author4=Sánchez, Ricardo |author5=Aliaga, Geraldine |author6=Montoro, Giuliana |author7=Boyco, Daniel |title=Todavía puede haber cambios |language=es|work=opinión|data – Resumen de Encuestas a la opinión pública |publisher=Ipsos APOYO |date=28 February 2011 |url=http://www.ipsos-apoyo.com.pe/sites/default/files/opinion_data/Opinion%20Data%20Febrero%202011.pdf |access-date=7 June 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150924040635/http://www.ipsos-apoyo.com.pe/sites/default/files/opinion_data/Opinion%20Data%20Febrero%202011.pdf |archive-date=24 September 2015 |url-status=dead}}</ref> | ||
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| |align=center|14 March 2011 | |align=center|14 March 2011 | ||
| |Ipsos Apoyo<ref>{{cite web | |
|Ipsos Apoyo<ref>{{cite web |last1=Torres Guzmán |first1=Alfredo |last2=Loli |first2=Guillermo |author3=Ponce, Carlos |author4=Sánchez, Ricardo |author5=Agüero, Jessica |author6=Aliaga, Geraldine |author7=Montoro, Giuliana |author8=Arellano, Jose Carlos |title=Encuestas y Simulacros de votación |language=es|work=opinión|data – Resumen de Encuestas a la opinión pública |publisher=Ipsos APOYO |date=14 March 2011 |url=http://www.ipsos-apoyo.com.pe/sites/default/files/opinion_data/Opinion%20Data%20Marzo%2014%202011.pdf |access-date=7 June 2011 }}{{Dead link|date=April 2019 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}</ref> | ||
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| |align=center|21 March 2011 | |align=center|21 March 2011 | ||
| |Ipsos Apoyo<ref>{{cite web | |
|Ipsos Apoyo<ref>{{cite web |last1=Torres Guzmán |first1=Alfredo |last2=Loli |first2=Guillermo |author3=Ponce, Carlos |author4=Sánchez, Ricardo |author5=Agüero, Jessica |author6=Aliaga, Geraldine |author7=Montoro, Giuliana |author8=Arellano, Jose Carlos |title=El avance de Humala y PPK |work=opinión|data – Resumen de Encuestas a la opinión pública |language=es|publisher=Ipsos APOYO |date=21 March 2011 |url=http://www.ipsos-apoyo.com.pe/sites/default/files/opinion_data/avance-humala-ppk.pdf |access-date=7 June 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150924040727/http://www.ipsos-apoyo.com.pe/sites/default/files/opinion_data/avance-humala-ppk.pdf |archive-date=24 September 2015 |url-status=dead}}</ref> | ||
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| |align=center|3 April 2011 | |align=center|3 April 2011 | ||
| |Ipsos Apoyo<ref>{{cite news |url=http://elcomercio.pe/politica/737151/noticia-encuesta-ipsos-apoyo-humala-272-keiko-205-toledo-185-y-ppk-181 |language=es |title=Encuesta Ipsos Apoyo: Humala 27,2%, Keiko 20,5%, Toledo 18,5% y PPK 18,1% | El Comercio Perú |publisher=Elcomercio.pe |access-date=19 April 2011}}</ref><ref>{{cite web | |
|Ipsos Apoyo<ref>{{cite news |url=http://elcomercio.pe/politica/737151/noticia-encuesta-ipsos-apoyo-humala-272-keiko-205-toledo-185-y-ppk-181 |language=es |title=Encuesta Ipsos Apoyo: Humala 27,2%, Keiko 20,5%, Toledo 18,5% y PPK 18,1% | El Comercio Perú |publisher=Elcomercio.pe |access-date=19 April 2011}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |last1=Torres Guzmán |first1=Alfredo |last2=Loli |first2=Guillermo |author3=Ponce, Carlos |author4=Sánchez, Ricardo |author5=Agüero, Jessica |author6=Aliaga, Geraldine |author7=Montoro, Giuliana |author8=Pizarro, Alejandro |author9=Ruiz, Antonio |title=Humala en la segunda vuelta |language=es|publisher=Ipsos Apoyo |location=Peru |date=3 April 2011 |url=http://www.ipsos-apoyo.com.pe/sites/default/files/opinion_data/Humala-en-la-segunda-vuelta.pdf |access-date=7 June 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150924040319/http://www.ipsos-apoyo.com.pe/sites/default/files/opinion_data/Humala-en-la-segunda-vuelta.pdf |archive-date=24 September 2015 |url-status=dead}}</ref> | ||
| | style="text-align:center; background:lightblue;"|20.5% | | style="text-align:center; background:lightblue;"|20.5% | ||
| | style="text-align:center;"|18.5% | | style="text-align:center;"|18.5% | ||
| Line 407: | Line 407: | ||
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| |align=center|3 April 2011 | |align=center|3 April 2011 | ||
| |CPI<ref>{{cite |
|CPI<ref>{{cite news|url=http://elcomercio.pe/politica/737164/noticia-sondeo-cpi-toledo-keiko-ppk-empatan-segundo-lugar |language=es |title=Sondeo de CPI: Toledo, Keiko y PPK empatan en el segundo lugar | El Comercio Perú |work=El Comercio |date=3 April 2011 |publisher=Elcomercio.pe |access-date=19 April 2011}}</ref> | ||
| | style="text-align:center;"|19.1% | | style="text-align:center;"|19.1% | ||
| | style="text-align:center; background:lightblue;"|19.6% | | style="text-align:center; background:lightblue;"|19.6% | ||
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| |15 May 2011 | |15 May 2011 | ||
| |CPI<ref>{{cite news| url=https://www.reuters.com/article/2011/05/15/elecciones-peru-sondeo-idARN1522037420110515?rpc=444 | |
|CPI<ref>{{cite news| url=https://www.reuters.com/article/2011/05/15/elecciones-peru-sondeo-idARN1522037420110515?rpc=444 | work=Reuters | title=ACTUALIZA 3-Fujimori mantiene ventaja carrera presidencia Perú | date=15 May 2011}}</ref> | ||
| |style="text-align:center"|47.1% | |style="text-align:center"|47.1% | ||
| |style="text-align:center; background:lightgreen;"|'''52.9%''' | |style="text-align:center; background:lightgreen;"|'''52.9%''' | ||
Latest revision as of 00:29, 22 December 2024
Opinion polling was carried out prior to the 2011 Peruvian general election.
President
First round
| Date | Source | Keiko Fujimori | Alejandro Toledo | Ollanta Humala | Pedro Pablo Kuczynski | Luis Castañeda |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 2010 | Ipsos Apoyo | 18% | 9% | 15% | 3% | 23% |
| February 2010 | Ipsos Apoyo | 21% | 9% | 13% | - | 22% |
| March 2010 | Ipsos Apoyo | 20% | 11% | 12% | - | 20% |
| April 2010 | Ipsos Apoyo | 18% | 12% | 14% | 2% | 22% |
| May 2010 | Ipsos Apoyo | 18% | 13% | 13% | 2% | 22% |
| June 2010 | Ipsos Apoyo | 22% | 12% | 13% | 2% | 21% |
| July 2010 | Ipsos Apoyo | 22% | 14% | 12% | 2% | 20% |
| August 2010 | Ipsos Apoyo | 20% | 14% | 12% | 2% | 20% |
| August 2010 | Datum | 20% | 14% | 12% | - | 19% |
| August 2010 | Imasen | 19.7% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 1.7% | 20.2% |
| September 2010 | CPI | 19.6% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 1.2% | 23.1% |
| September 2010 | Datum | 23% | 14% | 12% | 2% | 21% |
| September 2010 | Ipsos Apoyo | 24% | 16% | 14% | 2% | 19% |
| September 2010 | IMA | 25.2% | 19.3% | 11.8% | - | 20.1% |
| October 2010 | Datum | 24% | 16% | 11% | 1% | 26% |
| October 2010 | Ipsos Apoyo | 23% | 16% | 11% | 2% | 24% |
| November 2010 | CPI | 19.6% | 20.5% | 8% | 1.2% | 24.1% |
| November 2010 | Ipsos Apoyo | 20% | 20% | 10% | 3% | 24% |
| December 2010 | IOP | 22% | 22% | 9% | 1% | 25% |
| December 2010 | Datum | 22% | 26% | 10% | 2% | 21% |
| December 2010 | IMA | 22.8% | 28.6% | 9.1% | - | 21% |
| December 2010 | CPI | 19.3% | 22% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 24.6% |
| December 2010 | Ipsos Apoyo | 20% | 23% | 11% | 5% | 23% |
| December 2010 | IMA | 17.4% | 27.3% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 22.8% |
| January 2011 | Datum | 20% | 27% | 10% | 4% | 22% |
| January 2011 | CPI | 18.8% | 25.2% | 11.7% | 5% | 22.2% |
| January 2011 | Ipsos Apoyo | 22% | 27% | 10% | 5% | 19% |
| January 2011 | Imasen | 20.3% | 30.7% | 12.1% | 5% | 21.3% |
| February 2011 | IOP | 20.3% | 28.6% | 12% | 3.6% | 17.5% |
| February 2011 | Datum | 20% | 30% | 10% | 5% | 19% |
| February 2011 | CPI | 17.6% | 30.2% | 10.4% | 4.3% | 20.2% |
| February 2011 | Ipsos Apoyo | 22% | 28% | 12% | 6% | 18% |
| February 2011 | IMA | 20.7% | 36.5% | 11% | 4.4% | 19.9% |
| February 2011 | Datum | 19% | 28% | 11% | 5% | 19% |
| February 2011 | Ipsos Apoyo | 21% | 28% | 14% | 6% | 17% |
| February 2011 | CPI | 18.8% | 28.4% | 13.4% | 6.4% | 20.1% |
| March 2011 | Datum | 18% | 29% | 13% | 7% | 18% |
| March 2011 | Imasen | 19.2% | 30% | 14.1% | 6.4% | 19.6% |
| March 2011 | IOP | 19.3% | 26.6% | 15.5% | 10.6% | 17.3% |
| 14 March 2011 | Ipsos Apoyo | 19% | 26% | 15% | 9% | 17% |
| 21 March 2011 | Ipsos Apoyo | 19% | 23% | 17% | 14% | 14% |
| 20 March 2011 | Datum | 17% | 20.2% | 18.5% | 12.7% | 15.5% |
| 21 March 2011 | CPI | 20% | 20.5% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 17% |
| 25 March 2011 | Datum | 16.1% | 19.4% | 17.6% | 17.5% | 15.5% |
| 27 March 2011 | CPI | 19% | 18.6% | 21.2% | 16.1% | 15.5% |
| 27 March 2011 | Ipsos Apoyo | 22.3% | 21.6% | 22.8% | 15.8% | 15% |
| 31 March 2011 | Imasen | 17.6% | 23.9% | 21.9% | 16.9% | 13.8% |
| 1 April 2011 | Datum | 16.4% | 17.4% | 21.4% | 17.5% | 12.6% |
| 3 April 2011 | Ipsos Apoyo | 20.5% | 18.5% | 27.2% | 18.1% | 12.8% |
| 3 April 2011 | CPI | 19.1% | 19.6% | 28.7% | 17.8% | 14.0% |
| 3 April 2011 | Imasen | 18.2% | 20% | 25% | 16.5% | 11.6% |
| 7 April 2011 | CPI | 21.5% | 15% | 29% | 19.3% | |
| 7 April 2011 | Ipsos Apoyo | 21.4% | 18.2% | 28% | 18.4% | |
| 8 April 2011 | Datum | 22.3% | 15.3% | 31.9% | 17.3% |
There has been a lot of discussion about these polls. For instance, for a while the JNE enforced new regulations where people were obliged to give personal information. After protests by poll organisations and the people of Peru, these regulations were nullified since they were seen as an invasion of the privacy by the poll takers. According to the JNE it is not permitted to publish new polls one week before the day of election.
Second round
| Date | Source | Ollanta Humala | Keiko Fujimori |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 April 2011 | Ipsos Apoyo | 42% | 36% |
| 28 April 2011 | CPI | 40.6% | 36.8% |
| 29 April 2011 | Datum | 41.5% | 40.3% |
| 4 May 2011 | Ipsos Apoyo | 39% | 38% |
| 7 May 2011 | IOP – PUCP | 40.7% | 40.5% |
| 8 May 2011 | Ipsos Apoyo | 39% | 41% |
| 12 May 2011 | Datum | 37.9% | 40.6% |
| 15 May 2011 | CPI | 47.1% | 52.9% |
| 15 May 2011 | Ipsos Apoyo | 48.9% | 51.1% |
| 15 May 2011 | Datum | 40.2% | 46% |
| 19 May 2011 | Datum | 41.8% | 45.4% |
| 22 May 2011 | Ipsos Apoyo | 39% | 43% |
| 22 May 2011 | CPI | 46.3% | 53.7% |
| 26 May 2011 | Datum | 47.1% | 52.9% |
| 27 May 2011 | IOP – PUCP | 42.3% | 42.8% |
| 29 May 2011 | Ipsos Apoyo | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| 29 May 2011 | CPI | 48.2% | 51.8% |
| 29 May 2011 | Datum | 47.7% | 52.3% |
| 1 June 2011 | Datum | 49.4% | 50.6% |
| 1 June 2011 | Ipsos Apoyo | 48.9% | 51.1% |
| 2 June 2011 | CPI | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| 2 June 2011 | IOP – PUCP | 51.8% | 48.2% |
| 3 June 2011 | Datum | 50.8% | 49.2% |
| 4 June 2011 | Ipsos Apoyo | 51.9% | 48.1% |
| 5 June 2011 | Ipsos Apoyo | 52.7% | 47.3% |
References
- "Opinión Data enero 2010 final" (PDF) (in Spanish). Retrieved 19 April 2011.
- Torres Guzmán, Alfredo; Loli, Guillermo; Ghislaine Liendo; Ricardo Sánchez; Silvia Milla; Maria Sol Delgado (15 February 2010). "Lourdes Flores y las próximas elecciones" (PDF). opinión|data – Resumen de Encuestas a la opinión pública (in Spanish). Ipsos APOYO. Archived from the original (PDF) on 24 September 2015. Retrieved 12 June 2011.
- "Presentación de PowerPoint" (PDF) (in Spanish). Retrieved 19 April 2011.
- ^ "Presentación de PowerPoint" (PDF) (in Spanish). Retrieved 19 April 2011.
- Torres Guzmán, Alfredo; Loli, Ghislaine; Liendo, Ghislaine; Pizarro, Alejandro; Sánchez, Ricardo; Mendiguri, Dimelsa (21 June 2010). "Lourdes se afianza y Keiko Avanza" (PDF). opinión|data – Resumen de Encuestas a la opinión pública (in Spanish). Ipsos APOYO. Archived from the original (PDF) on 24 September 2015. Retrieved 12 June 2011.
- "Presentación de PowerPoint" (PDF) (in Spanish). Retrieved 19 April 2011.
- "Presentación de PowerPoint" (PDF) (in Spanish). Retrieved 19 April 2011.
- "Keiko Fujimori superó a Luis Castañeda y lidera encuesta de Datum". El Comercio (in Spanish). El Comercio Perú. 3 September 2010. Retrieved 19 April 2011.
- Encuestasperu (1 September 2010). "Luis Castañeda Lossio a nivel nacional tiene 20.2% frente al 19.7% de Keiko Fujimori segun ultima encuesta de IMASEN de agosto" (in Spanish). Encuestasperu.Com. Archived from the original on 10 July 2011. Retrieved 19 April 2011.
- ESTUDIO DE OPINIÓN PÚBLICA A NIVEL PERÚ URBANO – Informe de resultados Archived 22 July 2011 at the Wayback Machine. 8–12 September 2010
- ENCUESTA DE OPINIÓN PÚBLICA A NIVEL NACIONAL Archived 16 March 2012 at the Wayback Machine. Datum Internacional Peru. October 2010
- Torres Guzmán, Alfredo; Loli, Guillermo; Ponce, Carlos; Pizarro, Alejandro; Arellano, Jose Carlos; Sánchez, Ricardo; Álvarez, Hugo (26 September 2010). "Susana Villarán mantiene el primer lugar" (PDF). opinión|data – Resumen de Encuestas a la opinión pública (in Spanish). Ipsos APOYO. Retrieved 7 June 2011.
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