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Revision as of 16:22, 13 November 2010 editHylian Auree (talk | contribs)Autopatrolled, Extended confirmed users, File movers, Pending changes reviewers, Rollbackers7,935 edits Meteorological history: clarification← Previous edit Revision as of 16:28, 13 November 2010 edit undoHylian Auree (talk | contribs)Autopatrolled, Extended confirmed users, File movers, Pending changes reviewers, Rollbackers7,935 editsm Meteorological history: wikifyNext edit →
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In late October, the ] (NHC) began to monitor an area of disorganized weather in association with a deep-layered ] located northeast of the northern ]. Supported by an ] retrograding to its southwest, the system generated clusters of scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms, otherwise known as ].<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/text/TWDAT/TWDAT.201010271755.txt|title=Tropical Weather Discussion|date=October 27, 2010|accessdate=November 8, 2010|publisher=National Hurricane Center|author=Pasch/Kimberlain}}</ref> This convection enhanced as environmental conditions within its encounter became more favorable over time.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/text/TWDAT/TWDAT.201010280553.txt|title=Tropical Weather Discussion|date=October 28, 2010|accessdate=November 8, 2010|publisher=National Hurricane Center|author=Blake/Brown}}</ref> Around 1600&nbsp;] October&nbsp;28, ] showed what appeared to be the formation of a ] within the trough. Shower and thunderstorm activity accordingly intensified, and the NHC assessed a high chance for tropical or ] development.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/gtwo/atl/201010280546/index.php?basin=atl&current_issuance=201010280546|title=Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook|date=October 28, 2010|accessdate=October 30, 2010|publisher=National Hurricane Center|author=Blake/Brown}}</ref> At the time, the center of circulation remained poor; however, it became better defined later that day, with a stable amount of corresponding convection.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/gtwo/atl/201010282347/index.php?basin=atl&current_issuance=201010282347|title=Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook|date=October 28, 2010|accessdate=October 30, 2010|publisher=National Hurricane Center|author=Brown/Berg}}</ref> In addition, a ] reported peak winds of 38&nbsp;mph (61&nbsp;km/h) at both&nbsp;0000 UTC and 0200&nbsp;UTC the next day. Although the upper low had remained adjacent, it was located well to the southwest of the considerably small associated ] — not quite a subtropical structure.<ref name=discuss001>{{cite web|author=Brown/Berg|publisher=National Hurricane Center|date=October 29, 2010|accessdate=October 30, 2010|title=Tropical Storm Shary Discussion One|url=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2010/al20/al202010.discus.001.shtml?}}</ref> The system was therefore designated as Tropical Storm ''Shary'' about 350&nbsp;mi (565&nbsp;km) south of ], steered toward the northwest between the upper low and a mid-level ] to its northeast.<ref name=public001 /> The NHC also noted that Shary would be a relatively short-lived tropical cyclone due to a forecast merge with a ] in a day or two.<ref name=discuss001 /> In late October, the ] (NHC) began to monitor an area of disorganized weather in association with a deep-layered ] located northeast of the northern ]. Supported by an ] retrograding to its southwest, the system generated clusters of scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms, otherwise known as ].<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/text/TWDAT/TWDAT.201010271755.txt|title=Tropical Weather Discussion|date=October 27, 2010|accessdate=November 8, 2010|publisher=National Hurricane Center|author=Pasch/Kimberlain}}</ref> This convection gradually enhanced, as environmental conditions within its encounter became more favorable over time.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/text/TWDAT/TWDAT.201010280553.txt|title=Tropical Weather Discussion|date=October 28, 2010|accessdate=November 8, 2010|publisher=National Hurricane Center|author=Blake/Brown}}</ref> Around 1600&nbsp;] October&nbsp;28, ] showed what appeared to be the formation of a ] within the trough. Shower and thunderstorm activity accordingly intensified, and the NHC assessed a high chance for tropical or ] ].<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/gtwo/atl/201010280546/index.php?basin=atl&current_issuance=201010280546|title=Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook|date=October 28, 2010|accessdate=October 30, 2010|publisher=National Hurricane Center|author=Blake/Brown}}</ref> At the time, the center of circulation remained poor; however, it became better defined later that day, with a stable amount of corresponding convection.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/gtwo/atl/201010282347/index.php?basin=atl&current_issuance=201010282347|title=Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook|date=October 28, 2010|accessdate=October 30, 2010|publisher=National Hurricane Center|author=Brown/Berg}}</ref> In addition, a ] reported peak winds of 38&nbsp;mph (61&nbsp;km/h) at both&nbsp;0000 UTC and 0200&nbsp;UTC the next day. Although the upper low had remained adjacent, it was located well to the southwest of the considerably small associated ] — not quite a subtropical structure.<ref name=discuss001>{{cite web|author=Brown/Berg|publisher=National Hurricane Center|date=October 29, 2010|accessdate=October 30, 2010|title=Tropical Storm Shary Discussion One|url=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2010/al20/al202010.discus.001.shtml?}}</ref> The system was therefore designated as Tropical Storm ''Shary'' about 350&nbsp;mi (565&nbsp;km) south of ], steered toward the northwest between the upper low and a mid-level ] to its northeast.<ref name=public001 /> The NHC also noted that Shary would be a relatively short-lived tropical cyclone due to a forecast merge with a ] in a day or two.<ref name=discuss001 />


During the morning, storm cloud patterns became less distorted as Shary continued to separate from the upper-level low. Although the center remained partially exposed, convection steadily deepened within the western ] over the next hours.<ref name=discuss002>{{cite web|author=Blake/Brennan|publisher=National Hurricane Center|date=October 29, 2010|accessdate=October 30, 2010|title=Tropical Storm Shary Discussion Two|url=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2010/al20/al202010.discus.002.shtml?}}</ref> However, northerly shear subsequently increased over the system due to the relocation of the upper low, shifting the inner-core convection south of the center and causing a considerable decrease in forward speed. Additionally, dry air began to wrap into the eastern and northeastern ]s, resulting in some convective erosion and intensification halting.<ref name=discuss003>{{cite web|author=Stacy Stewart|publisher=National Hurricane Center|date=October 29, 2010|accessdate=October 30, 2010|title=Tropical Storm Shary Discussion Three|url=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2010/al20/al202010.discus.003.shtml?}}</ref> As the upper low retained little to no further influence, the storm gradually re-curved to the north, expected to only strengthen slightly in response to marginally improving conditions aloft. However, several ] showed Shary becoming a hurricane within 36 hours, which at the time the NHC regarded as "highly unlikely given the very strong shear and cool ]s forecast at that time."<ref name=discuss002 /><ref name=discuss003 /> Nevertheless, data from a ] flight revealed a drop in minimum central pressure and an increase in maximum wind speeds; convection re-fired later that day, quickly expanding over eastern portions of the cyclone.<ref>{{cite web|author=Roberts/Brown|publisher=National Hurricane Center|date=October 29, 2010|accessdate=October 30, 2010|title=Tropical Storm Shary Discussion Five|url=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2010/al20/al202010.discus.005.shtml?}}</ref> During the overnight hours, convective activity further grew and deepened symmetrically near the center, supported by the development of a small ] as seen on microwave imagery. Although ] were far from supporting such intensity, the system was upgraded to a ] on October&nbsp;30 with winds set at 75&nbsp;mph (120&nbsp;km/h) — a case which the NHC described as a case of a small hurricane that would not have been observed before the invention of microwave satellite imagery. Upon reaching this intensity, Shary was entrenched in a deep, southwesterly mid-latitude ], resulting in an accelerated motion toward the northeast.<ref>{{cite web|author=Eric Blake|publisher=National Hurricane Center|date=October 30, 2010|accessdate=October 30, 2010|title=Hurricane Shary Discussion Six|url=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2010/al20/al202010.discus.006.shtml?}}</ref> During the morning, storm cloud patterns became less distorted as Shary continued to separate from the upper-level low. Although the center remained partially exposed, convection steadily deepened within the western ] over the next hours.<ref name=discuss002>{{cite web|author=Blake/Brennan|publisher=National Hurricane Center|date=October 29, 2010|accessdate=October 30, 2010|title=Tropical Storm Shary Discussion Two|url=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2010/al20/al202010.discus.002.shtml?}}</ref> However, northerly shear subsequently increased over the system due to the relocation of the upper low, shifting the inner-core convection south of the center and causing a considerable decrease in forward speed. Additionally, dry air began to wrap into the eastern and northeastern ]s, resulting in some convective erosion and intensification halting.<ref name=discuss003>{{cite web|author=Stacy Stewart|publisher=National Hurricane Center|date=October 29, 2010|accessdate=October 30, 2010|title=Tropical Storm Shary Discussion Three|url=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2010/al20/al202010.discus.003.shtml?}}</ref> As the upper low retained little to no further influence, the storm gradually re-curved to the north, expected to only strengthen slightly in response to marginally improving conditions aloft. However, several ] showed Shary becoming a hurricane within 36 hours, which at the time the NHC regarded as "highly unlikely given the very strong shear and cool ]s forecast at that time."<ref name=discuss002 /><ref name=discuss003 /> Nevertheless, data from a ] flight revealed a drop in minimum central pressure and an increase in maximum wind speeds; convection re-fired later that day, quickly expanding over eastern portions of the cyclone.<ref>{{cite web|author=Roberts/Brown|publisher=National Hurricane Center|date=October 29, 2010|accessdate=October 30, 2010|title=Tropical Storm Shary Discussion Five|url=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2010/al20/al202010.discus.005.shtml?}}</ref> During the overnight hours, convective activity further grew and deepened symmetrically near the center, supported by the development of a small ] as seen on microwave imagery. Although ] were far from supporting such intensity, the system was upgraded to a ] on October&nbsp;30 with winds set at 75&nbsp;mph (120&nbsp;km/h) — a case which the NHC described as a case of a small hurricane that would not have been observed before the invention of microwave satellite imagery. Upon reaching this intensity, Shary was entrenched in a deep, southwesterly mid-latitude ], resulting in an accelerated motion toward the northeast.<ref>{{cite web|author=Eric Blake|publisher=National Hurricane Center|date=October 30, 2010|accessdate=October 30, 2010|title=Hurricane Shary Discussion Six|url=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2010/al20/al202010.discus.006.shtml?}}</ref>

Revision as of 16:28, 13 November 2010

Hurricane Shary
Category 1 hurricane (SSHWS/NWS)
Shary near peak intensity
FormedOctober 28, 2010
DissipatedOctober 30, 2010
Highest winds1-minute sustained: 75 mph (120 km/h)
Lowest pressure989 mbar (hPa); 29.21 inHg
FatalitiesNone
DamageMinimal
Areas affectedBermuda
Part of the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season

Hurricane Shary was a short-lived tropical cyclone that stayed at sea in late October 2010. The eighteenth named storm and eleventh hurricane of the unusually active 2010 Atlantic hurricane season, Shary originated from a weak area of convection associated with an upper-level and surface trough over the Central Atlantic. Initially not expected to exceed winds of 50 mph (85 km/h), Shary defied predictions and became a minimal hurricane on October 30, as it passed well east of Bermuda. Unfavorable conditions subsequently took effect, and Shary quickly began to lose tropical characteristics. Later that day, Shary degenerated into a post-tropical cyclone, and the final advisory by the National Hurricane Center was issued. The storm brushed Bermuda with light rain, and wind gusts reached no more than 35 mph (55 km/h) as it made its closest point of approach to the territory.

Meteorological history

Storm path
Tropical Storm Shary approaching Bermuda

In late October, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) began to monitor an area of disorganized weather in association with a deep-layered surface trough located northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. Supported by an upper-level low retrograding to its southwest, the system generated clusters of scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms, otherwise known as convection. This convection gradually enhanced, as environmental conditions within its encounter became more favorable over time. Around 1600 UTC October 28, satellite imagery showed what appeared to be the formation of a surface low within the trough. Shower and thunderstorm activity accordingly intensified, and the NHC assessed a high chance for tropical or subtropical development. At the time, the center of circulation remained poor; however, it became better defined later that day, with a stable amount of corresponding convection. In addition, a surface buoy reported peak winds of 38 mph (61 km/h) at both 0000 UTC and 0200 UTC the next day. Although the upper low had remained adjacent, it was located well to the southwest of the considerably small associated wind radius — not quite a subtropical structure. The system was therefore designated as Tropical Storm Shary about 350 mi (565 km) south of Bermuda, steered toward the northwest between the upper low and a mid-level ridge to its northeast. The NHC also noted that Shary would be a relatively short-lived tropical cyclone due to a forecast merge with a cold front in a day or two.

During the morning, storm cloud patterns became less distorted as Shary continued to separate from the upper-level low. Although the center remained partially exposed, convection steadily deepened within the western semicircle over the next hours. However, northerly shear subsequently increased over the system due to the relocation of the upper low, shifting the inner-core convection south of the center and causing a considerable decrease in forward speed. Additionally, dry air began to wrap into the eastern and northeastern quadrants, resulting in some convective erosion and intensification halting. As the upper low retained little to no further influence, the storm gradually re-curved to the north, expected to only strengthen slightly in response to marginally improving conditions aloft. However, several forecast models showed Shary becoming a hurricane within 36 hours, which at the time the NHC regarded as "highly unlikely given the very strong shear and cool sea surface temperatures forecast at that time." Nevertheless, data from a Hurricane Hunters flight revealed a drop in minimum central pressure and an increase in maximum wind speeds; convection re-fired later that day, quickly expanding over eastern portions of the cyclone. During the overnight hours, convective activity further grew and deepened symmetrically near the center, supported by the development of a small eye feature as seen on microwave imagery. Although Dvorak classifications were far from supporting such intensity, the system was upgraded to a Category 1 hurricane on October 30 with winds set at 75 mph (120 km/h) — a case which the NHC described as a case of a small hurricane that would not have been observed before the invention of microwave satellite imagery. Upon reaching this intensity, Shary was entrenched in a deep, southwesterly mid-latitude flow, resulting in an accelerated motion toward the northeast.

Located just to the east of a strong cold front, the minimal hurricane continued to speed over progressively cooler waters. Correspondingly, Shary began to lose its convective symmetry, though the small eye remained distinguishable in additional microwave observation. Within moments, rapid interaction with the front began to take place, suggesting the system was finally entering an extratropical transition. Subsequent data from cyclone phase space diagrams indicated Shary had become post-tropical about 530 miles (885 km) south-southeast of Cape Race, and the NHC discontinued advisories. Early on October 31, the extratropical remnants of Hurricane Shary were completely absorbed by the same neighboring system.

Preparations and impact

Immediately following the first advisory on Tropical Storm Shary on October 28, the Government of Bermuda issued a tropical storm warning for the entire island. In response to the presence of Shary, JetBlue canceled flights from the United States to Bermuda. The Causeway, a low-lying bridge that connects St. David's Island to the mainland, was to be shut down at 7:00 p.m. local time on October 29. Ferry service between Hamilton Parish and St. George's Island was temporarily suspended. Residents were also urged to secure their boats as a safety precaution. The tropical storm warning was later canceled during the evening of October 29 as Shary no longer posed a threat to Bermuda. Since Shary turned away from Bermuda before directly striking the island, its effects were limited. Only 0.54 in (14 mm) of rain fell during the storm's passage and winds gusted to 35 mph (55 km/h).

See also

References

  1. Pasch/Kimberlain (October 27, 2010). "Tropical Weather Discussion". National Hurricane Center. Retrieved November 8, 2010.
  2. Blake/Brown (October 28, 2010). "Tropical Weather Discussion". National Hurricane Center. Retrieved November 8, 2010.
  3. Blake/Brown (October 28, 2010). "Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook". National Hurricane Center. Retrieved October 30, 2010.
  4. Brown/Berg (October 28, 2010). "Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook". National Hurricane Center. Retrieved October 30, 2010.
  5. ^ Brown/Berg (October 29, 2010). "Tropical Storm Shary Discussion One". National Hurricane Center. Retrieved October 30, 2010.
  6. ^ Brown/Berg (October 29, 2010). "Tropical Storm Shary Public Advisory One". National Hurricane Center. Retrieved October 30, 2010.
  7. ^ Blake/Brennan (October 29, 2010). "Tropical Storm Shary Discussion Two". National Hurricane Center. Retrieved October 30, 2010.
  8. ^ Stacy Stewart (October 29, 2010). "Tropical Storm Shary Discussion Three". National Hurricane Center. Retrieved October 30, 2010.
  9. Roberts/Brown (October 29, 2010). "Tropical Storm Shary Discussion Five". National Hurricane Center. Retrieved October 30, 2010.
  10. Eric Blake (October 30, 2010). "Hurricane Shary Discussion Six". National Hurricane Center. Retrieved October 30, 2010.
  11. John Cangialosi (October 30, 2010). "Hurricane Shary Discussion Seven". National Hurricane Center. Retrieved October 30, 2010.
  12. John Cangialosi (October 30, 2010). "Tropical Storm Shary Discussion Eight". National Hurricane Center. Retrieved October 30, 2010.
  13. Staff Writer (October 29, 2010). "Flights and ferry service canceled as Tropical Storm Shary heads for Bermuda". Go Jamaica. Retrieved October 30, 2010.
  14. Elizabeth Roberts (October 29, 2010). "Tropical Storm Shary approaches Bermuda". The Houston Chronicle. Retrieved October 30, 2010.
  15. Roberts/Brown (October 29, 2010). "Tropical Storm Shary Public Advisory Five". National Hurricane Center. Retrieved October 30, 2010.
  16. "Daily Climatology Written Summary: October 1, 2010 to October 29, 2010". Bermuda Weather Service. October 30, 2010. Retrieved October 30, 2010.

External links

Tropical cyclones of the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season
2Alex TDTwo TSBonnie TSColin TDFive 4Danielle 4Earl TSFiona TSGaston TSHermine 4Igor 4Julia 3Karl 1Lisa TSMatthew TSNicole 1Otto 2Paula 2Richard 1Shary 2Tomas
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