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Revision as of 16:56, 5 December 2014

The Global Terrorism Index (GTI) is an attempt to systematically rank the nations of the world according to terrorist activity. The index combines a number of factors associated with terrorist attacks to build an explicit picture of the impact of terrorism over a 10-year period, illustrating trends, and providing a data series for analysis by researchers and policymakers. It is the product of Institute for Economics and Peace (IEP) and is based on data from the Global Terrorism Database (GTD) which is collected and collated by the National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START) at the University of Maryland. The GTD has codified over 125,000 cases of terrorism.

The 2014 Global Terrorism Index is the second edition of the index following a 2012 edition. An interactive map highlights changes to the level of terrorism and the Global Terrorism Index.

The 2014 Global Terrorism Index rankings

The scores of the GTI on a map. The darker the red, the more the terrorism.
Rank Country Score
1 Iraq Iraq 10
2 Afghanistan Afghanistan 9.39
3 Pakistan Pakistan 9.37
4 Nigeria Nigeria 8.58
5 Syria Syria 8.12
6 India India 7.77
7 Somalia Somalia 7.41
8 Yemen Yemen 7.31
9 Philippines Philippines 7.29
10 Thailand Thailand 7.19
11 Russia Russia 6.76
12 Kenya Kenya 6.58
13 Egypt Egypt 6.5
14 Lebanon Lebanon 6.4
15 Libya Libya 6.25
16 Colombia Colombia 6.24
17 Turkey Turkey 5.98
18 Democratic Republic of the Congo Democratic Republic of the Congo 5.9
19 Sudan Sudan 5.77
20 South Sudan South Sudan 5.6
21 Algeria Algeria 5.52
22 Mali Mali 5.29
23 Bangladesh Bangladesh 5.25
24 Nepal Nepal 5.23
25 China China 5.21
26 Central African Republic Central African Republic 5.19
27 United Kingdom United Kingdom 5.17
28 Iran Iran 4.9
29 Greece Greece 4.73
30 United States United States 4.71
31 Indonesia Indonesia 4.67
32 Israel Israel 4.66
32 Mexico Mexico 4.66
34 Bahrain Bahrain 4.41
35 Myanmar Myanmar 4.24
36 Mozambique Mozambique 4.01
36 Sri Lanka Sri Lanka 4.01
38 Rwanda Rwanda 4
39 Burundi Burundi 3.97
40 Ivory Coast Cote d'Ivoire 3.76
41 Tanzania Tanzania 3.71
42 Ethiopia Ethiopia 3.7
43 Paraguay Paraguay 3.63
44 Norway Norway 3.57
45 Senegal Senegal 3.55
46 Tunisia Tunisia 3.29
47 Republic of Ireland Ireland 3.09
48 Malaysia Malaysia 3.04
48 South Africa South Africa 3.04
50 Peru Peru 2.96
51 Ukraine Ukraine 2.95
52 Uganda Uganda 2.93
53 Belarus Belarus 2.85
54 Kosovo Kosovo 2.73
55 Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia 2.71
56 France France 2.67
57 Guatemala Guatemala 2.61
58 Chile Chile 2.59
58 Niger Niger 2.59
60 Bulgaria Bulgaria 2.58
60 Georgia (country) Georgia 2.58
62 Italy Italy 2.55
63 Eritrea Eritrea 2.45
64 Honduras Honduras 2.38
65 Kazakhstan Kazakhstan 2.37
66 Cyprus Cyprus 2.3
67 Morocco Morocco 2.11
68 Tajikistan Tajikistan 1.99
69 Spain Spain 1.84
70 Jordan Jordan 1.76
71 Argentina Argentina 1.73
72 Brazil Brazil 1.72
73 Republic of the Congo Republic of the Congo 1.59
74 Trinidad and Tobago Trinidad and Tobago 1.54
75 Cameroon Cameroon 1.45
75 North Macedonia Macedonia 1.45
77 Switzerland Switzerland 1.34
78 Madagascar Madagascar 1.26
79 Ecuador Ecuador 1.18
80 Zimbabwe Zimbabwe 1.16
81 Guinea Guinea 1.12
82 Sweden Sweden 1.07
83 Germany Germany 1.02
84 Canada Canada 0.95
85 Czech Republic Czech Republic 0.81
86 Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina 0.76
87 Burkina Faso Burkina Faso 0.7
87 Montenegro Montenegro 0.7
89 Netherlands Netherlands 0.58
89 Serbia Serbia 0.58
91 Mauritania Mauritania 0.56
92 Venezuela Venezuela 0.54
93 Belgium Belgium 0.53
94 Dominican Republic Dominican Republic 0.47
95 Angola Angola 0.41
95 Australia Australia 0.41
97 Guinea-Bissau Guinea-Bissau 0.35
98 Cambodia Cambodia 0.31
98 Taiwan Taiwan 0.31
100 United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates 0.29
101 Moldova Moldova 0.28
102 Armenia Armenia 0.27
103 Austria Austria 0.24
103 Bolivia Bolivia 0.24
105 Croatia Croatia 0.23
105 Portugal Portugal 0.23
107 Albania Albania 0.19
107 Denmark Denmark 0.19
109 Bhutan Bhutan 0.16
109 Estonia Estonia 0.16
111 Uzbekistan Uzbekistan 0.14
112 Kyrgyzstan Kyrgyzstan 0.1
113 Iceland Iceland 0.08
113 Laos Laos 0.08
113 Liberia Liberia 0.08
116 Hungary Hungary 0.07
117 Azerbaijan Azerbaijan 0.06
118 Chad Chad 0.05
119 Kuwait Kuwait 0.04
119 Panama Panama 0.04
121 Equatorial Guinea Equatorial Guinea 0.01
121 Japan Japan 0.01
121 Lesotho Lesotho 0.01
124 Benin Benin 0
124 Botswana Botswana 0
124 Costa Rica Costa Rica 0
124 Cuba Cuba 0
124 Djibouti Djibouti 0
124 El Salvador El Salvador 0
124 Finland Finland 0
124 Gabon Gabon 0
124 The Gambia Gambia 0
124 Ghana Ghana 0
124 Guyana Guyana 0
124 Haiti Haiti 0
124 Jamaica Jamaica 0
124 Latvia Latvia 0
124 Lithuania Lithuania 0
124 Malawi Malawi 0
124 Mauritius Mauritius 0
124 Mongolia Mongolia 0
124 Namibia Namibia 0
124 New Zealand New Zealand 0
124 Nicaragua Nicaragua 0
124 North Korea North Korea 0
124 Oman Oman 0
124 Papua New Guinea Papua New Guinea 0
124 Poland Poland 0
124 Qatar Qatar 0
124 Romania Romania 0
124 Sierra Leone Sierra Leone 0
124 Singapore Singapore 0
124 Slovakia Slovakia 0
124 Slovenia Slovenia 0
124 South Korea South Korea 0
124 Eswatini Swaziland 0
124 Timor-Leste Timor-Leste 0
124 Togo Togo 0
124 Turkmenistan Turkmenistan 0
124 Uruguay Uruguay 0
124 Vietnam Vietnam 0
124 Zambia Zambia 0

Methodology

GTI Scoring System

The GTI score for a country in a given year is based on a unique scoring system to account for the relative impact of incidents in the year. There are four factors counted in each country's yearly score:

  • Total number of terrorist incidents in a given year
  • Total number of fatalities caused by terrorism in a given year
  • Total number of injuries caused by terrorism in a given year
  • The approximate level of total property damage from terrorist incidents in a given year

Each of the factors is weighted differently and a five-year weighted average is applied to importantly reflect the lingering psychological effect of terrorist acts over time. The weightings shown in the table below were determined by consultation with the GPI Expert Panel:

Dimension Weight
Total number of incidents 1
Total number of fatalities 3
Total number of injuries 0.5
Sum of property damages measure 2

The greatest weighting is attributed to a fatality. The property damage measure is further disaggregated into four bands depending on the measured scope of the property damage inflicted by one incident. These bandings are shown in the table below, whereby incidents causing less than US$1 million are accorded a weight of 1, between $1 million and $1 billion, and more than $1 billion. A great majority of incidents are coded in the GTD as an 'unknown' level of property damage, thus scoring nil, with 'catastrophic' events being extremely rare.

Code Damage level
0 Unknown
1 Minor (likely < $1 million)
2 Major (likely between $1 million and $1 billion)
3 Catastrophic (likely > $1 billion)

Example of a country's GTI Score

To assign a relative number to how a country has been directly impacted by terrorism in any given year, for every incident recorded, the GTI calculates a weighted sum of all indicators. To illustrate, the table below depicts a hypothetical country's score for a given year:

Dimension Weight # of records for the given year Score
Total number of incidents 1 21 21
Total number of fatalities 3 36 108
Total number of injuries 0.5 53 26.5
Sum of property damages measure 2 20 40
Total Raw Score 195.5

Given these indicator values, the country for that year would be assessed as having a raw impact of terrorism score of:

(1 x 21) + (3 x 36) + (0.5 x 53) + (2 x 20) = 195.5.

See also

References

  1. "About the GTI". p. Vision of Humanity. Retrieved 11 February 2013.
  2. "GTI 2014". p. Vision of Humanity. Retrieved 18 November 2014.
  3. "GTI 2014". p. Vision of Humanity. Retrieved 18 November 2014.

External links

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