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==Campaign== ==Campaign==
During the course of the first-round campaign the head of the president's War Veterans Council Vlado Marić gave his resignation in protest of Josipović. His resignation cited a lack of an "appropriate reaction to multiple attempts to show either <nowiki></nowiki> or his close associates, personally or through the War Veterans Council, of the difficulty and seriousness of the problems affecting Croatian veterans".<ref>{{cite web| url = http://dnevnik.hr/vijesti/hrvatska/vlado-maric-dao-ostavku-na-mjesto-predsjednika-josipoviceva-savjeta-za-ratne-veterane---366035.html| title = Vlado Marić dao ostavku na mjesto predsjednika Josipovićeva Savjeta za ratne veterane | date = 23 December 2014 | work = Dnevnik.hr | language = Croatian}}</ref>
Incumbent president Ivo Josipović addressed his supporters on the night of the first round. During his speech he stated "Too much blood has been spilled for Croatia and too many defenders died that we would give Croatia up to those who don't deserve it" in reference to the opposition challenger Grabar-Kitarović.<ref>{{cite web| url = http://www.vecernji.hr/predsjednicki-izbori2014/sokirali-ih-rezultati-u-josipovicevom-stozeru-zavladao-muk-981496| title = Josipović: Previše je krvi proliveno da bi Hrvatsku predali onima koji je ne zaslužuju | date = December 28, 2014 | work = ] | language = Croatian}}</ref> The Croatian Democratic Union criticized the president's rhetoric as "dirty and aggressive" and stressed that while Josipović "speaks of blood", their candidate offers "peace, unity and optimism".<ref>{{cite web| url = http://www.jutarnji.hr/paljba-iz-hdz-a--josipovic-govori-o-krvi--a-kolinda-nudi-mir--zajednistvo-i-optimizam-/1266915/| title = PALJBA IZ HDZ-a 'Josipović govori o krvi, a Kolinda nudi mir, zajedništvo i optimizam' | date = January 2, 2015 | work = ] | language = Croatian}}</ref>

Incumbent president Ivo Josipović addressed his supporters on the night of the first round of elections. During his speech he stated "Too much blood has been spilled for Croatia and too many defenders died that we would give Croatia up to those who don't deserve it" in reference to the opposition challenger Grabar-Kitarović.<ref>{{cite web| url = http://www.vecernji.hr/predsjednicki-izbori2014/sokirali-ih-rezultati-u-josipovicevom-stozeru-zavladao-muk-981496| title = Josipović: Previše je krvi proliveno da bi Hrvatsku predali onima koji je ne zaslužuju | date = December 28, 2014 | work = ] | language = Croatian}}</ref> The Croatian Democratic Union criticized the president's rhetoric as "dirty and aggressive" and stressed that while Josipović "speaks of blood", their candidate offers "peace, unity and optimism".<ref>{{cite web| url = http://www.jutarnji.hr/paljba-iz-hdz-a--josipovic-govori-o-krvi--a-kolinda-nudi-mir--zajednistvo-i-optimizam-/1266915/| title = PALJBA IZ HDZ-a 'Josipović govori o krvi, a Kolinda nudi mir, zajedništvo i optimizam' | date = January 2, 2015 | work = ] | language = Croatian}}</ref>


After the first round, third place candidate Ivan Sinčić was asked which of the two candidates he would support in the second round to which he replied that he could not support either due to moral reasons. Sinčić's Živi zid told his supporters to spoil their ballots in the second round by entering Sinčić's name on the ballot.<ref>{{cite web| url = http://www.vecernji.hr/predsjednicki-izbori2014/pozivamo-vas-da-na-vas-glasacki-listic-dopisete-broj-3-i-zaokruzite-ivana-sincica-981589| title = Preporučili svojim biračima za 2. krug: Dopišite broj 3 i zaokružite ime Ivana Sinčića! | date = December 29, 2014 | work = ] | language = Croatian}}</ref> After the first round, third place candidate Ivan Sinčić was asked which of the two candidates he would support in the second round to which he replied that he could not support either due to moral reasons. Sinčić's Živi zid told his supporters to spoil their ballots in the second round by entering Sinčić's name on the ballot.<ref>{{cite web| url = http://www.vecernji.hr/predsjednicki-izbori2014/pozivamo-vas-da-na-vas-glasacki-listic-dopisete-broj-3-i-zaokruzite-ivana-sincica-981589| title = Preporučili svojim biračima za 2. krug: Dopišite broj 3 i zaokružite ime Ivana Sinčića! | date = December 29, 2014 | work = ] | language = Croatian}}</ref>

Revision as of 23:24, 3 January 2015

Croatian presidential election, 2014-2015

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Candidate Ivo Josipović Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović
Party Independent HDZ

Incumbent President

Ivo Josipović
Independent



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Presidential elections were held in Croatia on 28 December 2014. Since no candidate received 50% of the vote in the first round, a run-off will take place on 11 January 2015 between incumbent President Ivo Josipović and Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović.

Background and rules

In mid-October 2014 the SDP-led government proposed adopting a new electoral law by February 2015. SDP's parliamentary speaker Josip Leko stated that the party's position in consultation with the Venice Commission was that the electoral law should not be changed within a year prior to an election. However, the new Law on the Election of the President of the Republic of Croatia was subsequently voted in by the SDP-led parliamentary majority on 24 October. One of the more significant changes to the law involved limiting voting abroad to consular offices. This had the effect of greatly reducing the number of polling stations in neighbouring Bosnia and Herzegovina: from 124 in the 2009-10 presidential elections to 15 in the current election. The Croatian People's Assembly, a grouping of Croat parties in Bosnia and Herzegovina, protested at the reduction.

Candidates

As of 22 November 2014, the following candidates have announced their bids:

Withdrawn candidate bids

  • Anto Đapić withdrew on 5 December, endorsing Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović.
  • Ivan Grubišić withdrew on 6 December, endorsing Ivan Rude.
  • Ivan Rude, lawyer who handled pre-bankruptcy settlements at several large companies and candidate of the non-parliamentary Voice of Reason party, running on left-wing populist and worker's rights platform. Withdrew on 6 December after failing to collect 10,000 signatures required to formally submit his bid.

First round candidates

Candidates seeking nomination first had to submit a minimum of 10,000 citizens' signatures to the State Electoral Commission (Državno izborno povjerenstvo or DIP) in order for their candidacy to be formally accepted. The signatures had to be collected in a period of twelve days, from 25 November to 6 December. The deadline for submissions was midnight, 6 December, with most candidates submitting a much larger number of signatures as a show of support. Following the submissions, DIP will have two days to check the validity of signatures, and is expected to announce a final list of candidates by midnight on 8 December. On 9 December the campaign will officially start, and will last for 18 days until 26 December, celebrated in Croatia as St. Stephen's Day.

Candidate Party affiliation Political remarks Proof of nomination Website
Ivo Josipović Independent Incumbent, stands for re-election after completing his first term. Although formally independent, Josipović was nominated by the ruling Social Democratic Party of Croatia (SDP), and is supported by 16 other left wing, centre-left, green and liberal parties. Running on a centre-left platform focusing on judiciary and fight against corruption, as well as proposed reforms to the constitution which would grant the president more executive powers. Submitted some 203,000 signatures on 6 December. josipovic.hr
Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović Croatian Democratic Union Candidate of the biggest opposition party, the centre-right Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ), and supported by 7 other centre-right parties. Former foreign minister in the Cabinet of Ivo Sanader I (2003–08), Grabar-Kitarović is running on a centre-right platform. Submitted some 330,000 signatures on 6 December. kolinda.hr
Milan Kujundžić Croatian Dawn Founder and president of the right-wing populist Croatian Dawn (HZ) non-parliamentary party, formed in July 2013 as a splinter party of HDZ, following Kujundžić's defeat in internal party elections. Also supported by 6 other right-wing and nationalist parties. Running on a right-wing populist platform. Submitted some 50,000 signatures on 5 December. milankujundzic.hr
Ivan Vilibor Sinčić Živi zid Nominated by an activist organization called Živi Zid (Human Blockade) which fights forced home evictions by organising human shields, and which was registered as a political party in July 2011. Running on an eurosceptic, anti-NATO populist platform. Submitted some 15,000 signatures on 6 December. s-p.hr

Failed candidacies

  • Ivan Bavčević submitted 7,600 signatures to the electoral commission on December 6 and was rejected.
  • Ratko Dobrović submitted no signatures to the electoral commission claiming that they are "blank signatures".
  • Slobodan Midžić not submitted signatures on the prescribed form. Instead he offered a CD on which, as he claims, is about 500 thousand signatures. He is form Velika Kladuša (BiH). Midžić had also failed to nominate himself for 2009 presidential election.
  • Ivica Dukić submitted only 800 signatures because "in Split and Zagreb is raining and people are suspicious"
  • Vesna Balenović, supported Milan Kujundžić
  • Tomislav Šutalo, buisnessman from Valpovo
  • Ivan Valek, architect and member of The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints
  • Iva Anzulović, reporter. She said that "she is apolitical and always a reporter"
  • Tomislav Opačak, businessman from Slavonski Brod. Arrested before the elections. He said that "he will be a great president, just like Josip Broz Tito and Franjo Tuđman who were in prison too."

Campaign

During the course of the first-round campaign the head of the president's War Veterans Council Vlado Marić gave his resignation in protest of Josipović. His resignation cited a lack of an "appropriate reaction to multiple attempts to show either or his close associates, personally or through the War Veterans Council, of the difficulty and seriousness of the problems affecting Croatian veterans".

Incumbent president Ivo Josipović addressed his supporters on the night of the first round of elections. During his speech he stated "Too much blood has been spilled for Croatia and too many defenders died that we would give Croatia up to those who don't deserve it" in reference to the opposition challenger Grabar-Kitarović. The Croatian Democratic Union criticized the president's rhetoric as "dirty and aggressive" and stressed that while Josipović "speaks of blood", their candidate offers "peace, unity and optimism".

After the first round, third place candidate Ivan Sinčić was asked which of the two candidates he would support in the second round to which he replied that he could not support either due to moral reasons. Sinčić's Živi zid told his supporters to spoil their ballots in the second round by entering Sinčić's name on the ballot.

Results

Results of the first round in all of Croatia's counties: the candidate with the plurality of votes in each administrative division.  Josipović   Grabar-Kitarović

Template:Croatian Presidential Election, 2014

First round result analysis

Incumbent president Ivo Josipović and opposition candidate Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović received the greatest number of votes in the first round. The result was notable for being much closer than expected in pre-election polls, with respective vote shares of 38.46% and 37.22%. Political analyst Žarko Puhovski criticized the polls for having an inadequate sample and being overly reliant on telephone polling.

The new electoral law put into place by the Milanović government had the effect of greatly reducing the number of polling stations in neighbouring Bosnia and Herzegovina for citizens residing there. This translated to a greatly reduced turnout there: from 50,859 in the first round of the 2009 presidential elections to 7,372 in 2014.

Opinion polls

First round

Date(s) Conducted Polling Organisation/Client Ivo Josipović Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović Milan Kujundžić Others Undecided / none Ivan Sinčić
style="background: Template:Alliance for Croatia/meta/color"|
28 Dec Exit polls, Ipsos puls for Novatv 38.80% 38.10% 5.70% 15.90%
19 Dec Ipsos plus for Novatv 46.5% 34.9% 7.2% 9.2%
18 Dec Promocija Plus for RTL 42.1% 30.5% 9.3% 10.6% 7.5%
4 Dec Promocija plus for RTL 42.3% 28.3% 11.2% 9.5 8.7
6 Sep Promocija plus 48.9% 32.5% 6.8%
4 Sep Ipsos puls 45.5% 30.9% 2.1% 9.4% 12.1%
4 Aug Promocija plus 48.4% 33.6% 4.8% 3.2% 10.0%
1-3 Jul Promocija plus 49.2% 35.2% 4.3% 1.8% 9.4%
June Promocija plus 50.1% 29.2% 6.2% 4.8% 9.6%
June Ipsos puls 50.3% 37.3% 12.4%
May Promocija plus 52.5% 27.0% 6.1% 5.9% 8.6%
April Promocija plus 51.6% 27.2% 4.5% 8.6% 8.2%
March Promocija plus 52.2% 28.4% 8.8% 10.7%
February Promocija plus 54.0% 24.0% 10.3% 11.7%
January Promocija plus 51.7% 17.4% 19.9% 11.0%

Josipović v Grabar-Kitarović - Before the first round

Date(s) Conducted Polling Organisation/Client Ivo Josipović Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović Undecided
18 Dec Promocija Plus for RTL 52% 41.3% 6.7%
4 Dec Promocija plus for RTL 50.9% 41.4% 7.7%

References

  1. ^ "ODLUČENO JE Predsjednički izbori održat će se 28. prosinca". Jutarnji list (in Croatian). 19 November 2014. Retrieved 19 November 2014.
  2. "Izmjene izbornog zakona do veljače?". N1 (in Croatian). 21 October 2014. Retrieved 3 January 2015.
  3. "SDP izmijenio Zakon o izboru predsjednika, ljutiti HDZ-ovci napustili Sabor". Jutarnji list (in Croatian). 24 October 2014. Retrieved 3 January 2015.
  4. "HNS traži više biračkih mjesta u BiH za hrvatske predsjedničke izbore". Dnevnik.ba (in Croatian). 28 November 2014. Retrieved 3 January 2015.
  5. ^ "SDP-ovci potvrdili Josipovića za kandidata". Jutarnji list (in Croatian). 6 September 2014. Retrieved 9 November 2014.
  6. "Josipović se zahvalio HNS-u: 'Hrvatska treba nove temelje'". 24sata (in Croatian). 25 October 2014. Retrieved 9 November 2014.
  7. "IDS podržava Josipovića" (in Croatian). Predsjednicki-Izbori.hr. 23 September 2014. Retrieved 9 November 2014.
  8. "HSU odlučio podržati Ivu Josipovića" (in Croatian). Croatian Party of Pensioners. 1 October 2014. Retrieved 9 November 2014.
  9. "Laburisti podržali Josipovića u borbi za novi mandat" (in Croatian). T-Portal. 19 October 2014. Retrieved 9 November 2014.
  10. http://www.jutarnji.hr/orah--podrzao-josipovica-holly---njegov-program-promovira-zeleni-nacin-razmisljanja-/1236608/
  11. Patković, Nikola (6 June 2014). "Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović potvrđena kao kandidatkinja HDZ-a na predsjedničkim izborima". Slobodna Dalmacija (in Croatian). Retrieved 9 November 2014.
  12. Glavni odbor HSS-a donio Odluku da je predsjednička kandidatkinja Kolinda Grabar Kitarović i HSS-ova kandidatkinja
  13. "Kujundžić kandidat za predsjednika". Index.hr (in Croatian). 18 October 2014. Retrieved 9 November 2014.
  14. "ANTO ĐAPIĆ DAJE PODRŠKU KOLINDI 'Odustajem od kandidature, to bi samo zbunilo desničare'". Jutarnji list (in Croatian). 5 December 2014. Retrieved 6 December 2014.
  15. "HDZ: Kolinda će oboriti rekord s brojem potpisa". Večernji list (in Croatian). 6 December 2014. Retrieved 6 December 2014.
  16. "Kandidat Ivan Rude ipak nije uspio prikupiti 10.000 potpisa". Večernji list (in Croatian). 6 December 2014. Retrieved 6 December 2014.
  17. "Josipović predao 203.875 potpisa, i Milanović mu nosio kutije" (in Croatian). 6 December 2014.
  18. "Prikupili smo više nego ijedan kandidat u povijesti" (in Croatian). December 6, 2014.
  19. "Milan Kujundžić je pet do 12 predao kandidaturu za izbore" (in Croatian). December 5, 2014.
  20. http://www.vecernji.hr/hrvatska/tko-je-ivan-vilibor-sincic-donosimo-biografiju-outsiderskog-kandidata-977961
  21. http://www.hrt.hr/predsjednicki-izbori/ivan-vilibor-sincic-predao-kandidaturu-za-predsjednicke-izbore
  22. http://www.index.hr/vijesti/clanak/ovo-su-predsjednicki-kandidati-koji-su-ostali-u-utrci-za-pantovcak/788482.aspx
  23. "Vlado Marić dao ostavku na mjesto predsjednika Josipovićeva Savjeta za ratne veterane". Dnevnik.hr (in Croatian). 23 December 2014.
  24. "Josipović: Previše je krvi proliveno da bi Hrvatsku predali onima koji je ne zaslužuju". Večernji list (in Croatian). December 28, 2014.
  25. "PALJBA IZ HDZ-a 'Josipović govori o krvi, a Kolinda nudi mir, zajedništvo i optimizam'". Jutarnji list (in Croatian). January 2, 2015.
  26. "Preporučili svojim biračima za 2. krug: Dopišite broj 3 i zaokružite ime Ivana Sinčića!". Večernji list (in Croatian). December 29, 2014.
  27. "GDJE SE ISTOPILA RAZLIKA? 'Ankete nisu pogriješile, rezultat su odlučila TV sučeljavanja'". Jutarnji list (in Croatian). December 29, 2014.
  28. "Zašto 'lažu'? Puhovski: Ankete se rade neozbiljno i zato su griješile". Večernji list (in Croatian). December 30, 2014.
  29. "POTPUNI SLUŽBENI REZULTATI IZBORA ZA PREDSJEDNIKA REPUBLIKE HRVATSKE". Državno izborno povjerenstvo (in Croatian). December 28, 2009.
  30. "Privremeni službeni rezultati izbora za predsjednika Republike Hrvatske". Državno izborno povjerenstvo (in Croatian). December 30, 2014.
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