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True-believer syndrome

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The true-believer syndrome is a term coined by the reformed psychic fraud M. Lamar Keene to refer to an irrational belief in the paranormal. Skeptics see this as a form of self-deception caused by wishful thinking in which a believer continues to accept paranormal explanations for phenomena or events, or denies the relevance of scientific findings, even after the believer has been confronted with abundant evidence that the phenomena or events have natural causes. The term is mainly used by skeptics in the debate over the existence of certain sorts of paranormal phenomena and the persistence of belief in these phenomena.

The key is the "true believer's" unwillingness to admit that he is gullible. As evidence of the fraud or fallacy mounts, the "true believer" will make wilder and wilder claims to defend his beliefs. As evidence against his beliefs becomes more compelling, his claims become less convincing. Even if he admits that some of the evidence has been hoaxed, he will claim that the evidence which hasn't been proven false must be true. UFO enthusiasts dismiss the tens of thousands of photographs that have been debunked and claim that the few which haven't yet been disproved are "proof" of extraterrestrial visitors. Dismissing skepticism, they search for supernatural or pseudo-scientific solutions to natural phenomena.

Another tactic is the appeal to authority. The true believer claims that his beliefs are beyond question because some alleged higher authority backs them. To wit: the Gospels say that Jesus had several brothers and sisters, but the doctrine of the Catholic Church is that Mary was allowed to keep her virginity. UFO believers frequently refer to alleged statements by American astronauts.

The opportunities for hoaxing are obvious. Throughout the middle ages, European "wtich-finders" made their living by finding evidence against accused witches. In the 1920s, stage magician Harry Houdini exposed many self-proclaimed psychics as frauds. The Cottingley Fairies photos and the "surgeon's photo" of the Loch Ness Monster have been convincingly debunked, but they continue to fool people to this day. More recently, the Carlos hoax and the Project Alpha hoax, both orchestrated by skeptic James Randi, fooled true believers for years.

For example, skeptics generally agree there is sufficient proof to conclude that the alleged miracles of Uri Geller and Sathya Sai Baba are or were false; they therefore have often reasoned that believers who have been given the extant evidence of fraud in these cases, and yet continue to believe in these men, are described by this condition. Some ex-followers of Sathya Sai Baba accept true-believer syndrome as an explanation of what has happened to them.,

Robert T. Carroll, the webmaster of the Skeptic's Dictionary, sees some similarity with a pathological delusion.

The term was not coined by mainstream psychologists, is not used in the scientific literature, and has not been included in the American Psychiatric Association's Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders. No clinical evidence has been provided for its links with demonstrable cognitive impairment or psychopathology.

Similar belief processes were studied by Thomas Kuhn. In his study on the sociology of science, The Structure of Scientific Revolutions Kuhn demonstrates that scientists can hold onto beliefs in scientific theories despite overwhelming prevailing counter-evidence, and suggested that social forces, as much as ones purely concerned with rationality, are a strong influence on the beliefs we hold. This is an area studied by the sociology of knowledge where the social function of paranormal beliefs has been a focus of research.

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