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2019 European Parliament election in Portugal

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Revision as of 12:38, 4 December 2023 by Tuesp1985 (talk | contribs) (Opinion polls: Added 2015 election on table.)(diff) ← Previous revision | Latest revision (diff) | Newer revision → (diff) 2019 election of members of the European parliament for Portugal
2019 European Parliament election in Portugal

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All 21 Portuguese seats to the European Parliament
Turnout30.7% Decrease 3.1 pp
  First party Second party Third party
  Pedro Marques Transportes em Revista (cropped).png MERCOSUL - Representação Brasileira no Parlamento do Mercosul (22371092998) (cropped).jpg Marisa Matias, SomosBibliotecas (cropped).png
Leader Pedro Marques Paulo Rangel Marisa Matias
Party PS PSD BE
Alliance S&D EPP GUE/NGL
Last election 8 seats, 31.5% 6 seats 1 seats, 4.6%
Seats won 9 6 2
Seat change Increase 1 Steady 0 Increase 1
Popular vote 1,106,345 727,207 325,534
Percentage 33.4% 21.9% 9.8%
Swing Increase 1.9 pp Increase 5.3 pp

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
  João Ferreira (48951288883) (cropped).jpg Melo, Nuno-1294 (cropped).jpg Francisco Guerreiro (GEF - The EP Goes Green).png
Leader João Ferreira Nuno Melo Francisco Guerreiro
Party CDU CDS–PP PAN
Alliance GUE/NGL EPP European Greens
Last election 3 seats, 12.7% 1 seat 0 seats, 1.7%
Seats won 2 1 1
Seat change Decrease 1 Steady 0 Increase 1
Popular vote 228,157 205,111 168,501
Percentage 6.9% 6.2% 5.1%
Swing Decrease 5.8 pp Increase 3.4 pp

Map of districts and autonomous regions.

The 2019 European Parliament election in Portugal elected the Portuguese delegation to the European Parliament from 2019 to 2024. This was the eighth European Parliament election held in Portugal. The election was held on Sunday, 26 May 2019.

The Socialist Party (PS) was the winner of the election, scoring 33.4% of the vote. The party increased their share of the votes by 2% from the 2014 election, and won an additional seat. It was one of the only three times in Portuguese history where the government party won a European election.

The Social Democratic Party (PSD) achieved its worst results ever as a standalone party, with 21.9% of the vote, distancing more than eleven points from the winner. The People's Party (CDS), which ran alongside the PSD in the previous election, as part of the Portugal Alliance, also fell below expectations at 6.2% of the vote, only being able to elect their top candidate Nuno Melo.

The Democratic Unity Coalition (CDU) scored their worst result as well, narrowly electing two European Parliament members compared with their former three. On the other hand, the Left Bloc (BE) rebounded to previous support levels, more than doubling its vote share to 9.8% and electing a new member.

The big surprise of the elections was the result of People-Animals-Nature (PAN). Headed by civil engineer André Silva, PAN won 5.1% of the votes and was able to elect its first ever European Parliament member, over-performing the polls.

Turnout, again, fell to the lowest level ever, with only 30.7% of voters casting a ballot. Abstention reached an unprecedented level of 99.04% for Portuguese citizens living abroad.

Electoral system

The voting method used, for the election of European members of parliament, is by proportional representation using the D'Hondt method. For the 2019 European Union elections, Portugal had 21 seats to fill. Deputies are elected in a single constituency, corresponding to the entire national territory.

This election was also the first in which the changes to the electoral law approved in 2018 were put into practice. The main changes were the automatic registration of all Portuguese citizens, at home and abroad, above 17 year's old, prompting the number of registered voters to increase from 9.7 million to almost 10.8 million, the introduction of early voting to all voters without filling an excuse, in previous elections voters could only vote early if they were unable to attend a polling station on election day, and the end of the "voting card", as voters would only need their identification card to cast a ballot. To vote early, 19,584 voters, 0.2% of all registered voters, requested an early ballot. According to the government, 14,909 voters cast an early ballot.

Parties and candidates

The major parties that participated in the election and their European Parliament list leaders, ranked by percentage of the vote received, were:

Campaign period

Party slogans

Party or alliance Original slogan English translation Refs
PS « #Somos Europa » "#We are Europe"
PSD « Marcar a diferença em Portugal e na Europa » "Making a difference in Portugal and in Europe"
CDU « Defender o povo e o País » "Defending the people and the country"
CDS–PP « Portugal, a Europa é aqui » "Portugal, Europe is here"
BE « Lado a Lado, pelo que é de todos » "Side by side, by what is everyone's"
PDR « A voz em Português que faz a diferença no Parlamento Europeu » "The Portuguese voice that makes the difference in the European Parliament"
PAN « A Europa começa em ti » "Europe starts with you"
A « Para ganhar uma Europa nova » "To win a new Europe"
LIVRE « Faz a tua Europa » / «Todos votam. Todos contam » "Make your Europe" / «Everyone votes. Everyone counts. »
PNR « Portugal português numa Europa europeia » "Portuguese Portugal in a European Europe"
B « Basta! » "Enough! "

Candidates' debates

With parties represented in the European Parliament

2019 European Parliament election in Portugal debates
Date Organisers Moderator(s)     P  Present    A  Absent invitee  N  Non-invitee 
PS PSD CDU CDS–PP BE PDR Refs
1 May SIC Bento
Rodrigues
P
Marques
P
Rangel
P
Ferreira
P
Melo
P
Matias
P
Pinto
2 May RTP3 Cristina
Esteves
N
N
N
P
Melo
P
Matias
N
3 May RTP3 Cristina
Esteves
N
P
Rangel
P
Ferreira
N
N
N
4 May RTP3 Cristina
Esteves
P
Marques
N
N
P
Melo
N
N
5 May RTP3 Cristina
Esteves
N
P
Rangel
N
N
P
Matias
N
6 May RTP3 Cristina
Esteves
P
Marques
N
P
Ferreira
N
N
N
7 May RTP3 Cristina
Esteves
N
P
Rangel
N
P
Melo
N
N
8 May TVI José Alberto
Carvalho
P
Marques
P
Rangel
P
Ferreira
P
Melo
P
Matias
P
Pinto
8 May RTP3 Cristina
Esteves
N
N
P
Ferreira
N
P
Matias
N
9 May RTP3 Cristina
Esteves
P
Marques
N
N
N
P
Matias
N
10 May RTP3 Cristina
Esteves
N
N
P
Ferreira
P
Melo
N
N
11 May RTP1 Cristina
Esteves
P
Marques
P
Rangel
N
N
N
N
20 May RTP1 Maria Flor
Pedroso
P
Marques
P
Rangel
P
Ferreira
P
Melo
P
Matias
N

With parties not represented in the European Parliament

2019 European Parliament election in Portugal debates
Date Organisers Moderator(s)     P  Present    A  Absent invitee  N  Non-invitee 
PDR PAN L NC B PCTP A IL PNR PTP PURP MAS Refs
7 May SIC Bento
Rodrigues
N
P
Guerreiro
P
Tavares
P
Morais
P
Ventura
P
Júdice
P
Sande
P
Arroja
N
N
N
N
13 May RTP1 Maria Flor
Pedroso
A
Pinto
P
Guerreiro
P
Tavares
P
Morais
A
Ventura
P
Júdice
P
Sande
P
Arroja
P
Patrocínio
P
Madaleno
P
Loureiro
P
Santos

Opinion polls

Graphical summary

Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org.

Polling

  Exit poll

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample
size
TO PS PSD CDS–PP CDU BE PAN PDR A BASTA! O Lead
2019 EP election 26 May 2019 30.7 33.4
9
21.9
6
6.2
1
6.9
2
9.8
2
5.1
1
0.4
0
1.9
0
1.5
0
12.9
0
11.5
CESOP–UCP 26 May 2019 12,227 32.5 30–34
8/9
20–24
5/6
5–7
1/2
7–9
1/2
9–12
2/3
4–6
1/2
10
GfK/Metris 26 May 2019 7,169 31.5 30.9–
34.9

8/9
21.8–
25.8
6/7
4.7–
7.3
1/2
5.3–
8.3
2
8.5–
11.5
2/3
4.7–
7.3
1/2
13.1–
16.1
0
9.1
Aximage 16–23 May 2019 766 34.9 32.4
8/9
25.1
6/7
7.1
1
8.3
2
11.1
3
1.8
0
2.5
0
11.7
0
7.3
Eurosondagem 15–22 May 2019 2,025 ? 35.5
8/10
25.5
7
7.0
1/2
7.6
2
6.9
1/2
2.5
0/1
2.5
0/1
12.5
0
10.0
Aximage 16–20 May 2019 622 34.2 32.5
8/9
25.4
6/7
6.8
1/2
9.3
2
11.4
3
1.4
0
2.5
0
10.7
0
7.1
Pitagórica 10–19 May 2019 605 ? 32.4
7/8
24.8
6/7
6.7
1/2
7.1
1/2
12.9
2/3
3.3
1
2.1
0/1
1.2
0
1.0
0
8.5
0
7.6
CESOP–UCP 16–19 May 2019 1,882 ? 33
8/9
23
5/6
8
2
8
2
9
2
3
0/1
3
0/1
13
0
10
GfK/Metris 7–12 May 2019 803 ? 36
8/9
28
6/7
8
1/2
8
1/2
9
2
2
0
9
0
8
GfK/Metris 22 Apr–3 May 2019 802 ? 34
8
28
7
9
2
9
2
8
2
3
0
9
0
6
Eurosondagem 28 Apr–2 May 2019 2,010 ? 34.0
9/10
27.1
7/8
7.1
1/2
8.1
2
7.1
1/2
3.3
0/1
3.3
0/1
10.0
0
6.9
Aximage 13–16 Apr 2019 612 40.6 31.7
8/9
29.0
7/8
7.7
1/2
8.4
2
8.3
2
1.3
0
1.3
0
1.8
0
10.5
0
2.7
Pitagórica 3–13 Apr 2019 605 ? 30.3
7/8
28.0
7/8
7.6
2
6.5
1
11.3
2/3
1.7
0
14.6
0
2.3
Aximage 30 Mar–1 Apr 2019 602 43.8 33.6
8
31.1
8
6.8
1
9.4
2
8.0
2
1.3
0
1.3
0
8.5
0
2.5
Aximage 9–13 Mar 2019 600 44.5 34.1
8/9
29.1
7/8
7.3
1/2
9.2
2
7.6
2
1.9
0
2.0
0
8.8
0
5.0
Aximage 5–10 Feb 2019 602 38.2 36.0
9
26.2
6
8.6
2
8.8
2
9.7
2
1.5
0
1.9
0
7.3
0
9.8
Aximage 4–7 Jan 2019 608 36.0 38.5
8/10
23.4
5/7
9.9
2/3
13.4
2/3
7.4
2/3
2.4
0
1.4
0
3.5
0
15.1
2015 legislative elections 4 Oct 2015 55.8 32.4 38.6 8.3 10.2 1.4 1.1 8.0 6.2
2014 EP election 25 May 2014 33.7 31.5
8
27.7
6+1
12.7
3
4.6
1
1.7
0
* 0.9
0
20.9
2
3.8

Voter turnout

The table below shows voter turnout throughout election day including voters from Overseas.

Turnout Time
12:00 16:00 19:00
2014 2019 ± 2014 2019 ± 2014 2019 ±
Total 12.14% 11.56% Decrease 0.58 pp 26.31% 23.37% Decrease 2.94 pp 33.67% 30.73% Decrease 2.94 pp
Sources

Results

Summary of the results of Portugal's 26 May 2019 election to the European Parliament
National party European
party
Main candidate Votes % +/– Seats +/–
Socialist Party (PS) PES Pedro Marques 1,106,328 33.38 1.90Increase 9 1Increase
Social Democratic Party (PSD) EPP Paulo Rangel 727,224 21.94 6 0Steady
Left Bloc (BE) PEL / EACL Marisa Matias 325,533 9.82 5.26Increase 2 1Increase
Unitary Democratic Coalition (CDU)
Communist Party (PCP)
Ecologist Party (PEV)
PEL / EGP João Ferreira 228,156 6.88 5.81Decrease 2
2
0

1Decrease
0Steady
CDS - People's Party (CDS-PP) EPP Nuno Melo 205,106 6.19 1 0Steady
People–Animals–Nature (PAN) APEU / EGP Francisco Guerreiro 168,501 5.08 3.36Increase 1 1Increase
Alliance (A) ALDE Paulo Sande 61,753 1.86 new 0 new
LIVRE (L) DiEM25 / EGP Rui Tavares 60,575 1.83 0.35Decrease 0 0Steady
Basta! (B)
Enough (CH)
People's Monarchist Party (PPM)
Citizenship and Christian Democracy (PPV/CDC)
ECPM André Ventura 49,496 1.49 0.58Increase
0
0
0
0

new
0Steady
0Steady
We, the Citizens! (NC) ALDE Paulo de Morais 34,672 1.05 new 0 1Decrease
Liberal Initiative (IL) ALDE Ricardo Arroja 29,120 0.88 new 0 new
Workers' Communist Party (PCTP/MRPP) None Luís Júdice 27,223 0.82 0.85Decrease 0 0Steady
National Renovator Party (PNR) AENM João Patrocínio 16,165 0.49 0.04Increase 0 0Steady
Democratic Republican Party (PDR) ALDE Marinho e Pinto 15,790 0.48 new 0 1Decrease
United Party of Retirees and Pensioners (PURP) None Fernando Loureiro 13,582 0.41 new 0 new
Portuguese Labour Party (PTP) None Gonçalo Madaleno 8,640 0.26 0.43Decrease 0 0Steady
Socialist Alternative Movement (MAS) None Vasco Santos 6,641 0.20 0.18Decrease 0 0Steady
Valid votes 3,084,505 93.06
Blank and invalid votes 229,909 6.93
Totals 3,314,414 100.00 21 0 Steady
Eligible voters / turnout 10,786,068 30.73 2.94Decrease
Source: Europeias 2019, Comissão Nacional de Eleições
Vote share
PS 33.38%
PSD 21.94%
BE 9.82%
CDU 6.88%
CDS-PP 6.19%
PAN 5.08%
Alliance 1.86%
L 1.83%
Basta! 1.49%
NC 1.05%
IL 0.88%
PCTP/MRPP 0.82%
Others 1.84%
Blank/Invalid 6.93%
Seats
PS 42.86%
PSD 28.57%
BE 9.52%
CDU 9.52%
CDS-PP 4.76%
PAN 4.76%

Distribution by European group

Summary of political group distribution in the 9th European Parliament (2019–2024)
Groups Parties Seats Total %
Party of European Socialists (PES) 9 9 42.86
European People's Party (EPP) 6
1
7 33.33
European United Left–Nordic Green Left (GUE/NGL) 2
2
4 19.05
Greens–European Free Alliance (G/EFA) 1 1 4.76
Total 21 21 100.00

Maps

Electorate

Demographic Size PS PSD BE CDU CDS–PP PAN Others
Total vote 100% 33.4% 21.9% 9.7% 6.9% 6.2% 5.1% 16.8%
Sex
Men 47% 33.1% 22.2% 8.1% 8.1% 6.0% 4.0% 18.5%
Women 53% 33.6% 21.6% 11.3% 5.8% 6.4% 6.1% 15.2%
Age
18–24 years old 8% 22.2% 17.2% 9.9% 4.6% 6.6% 13.9% 25.5%
25–34 years old 10% 18.9% 17.9% 13.7% 5.5% 7.0% 11.2% 25.9%
35–44 years old 17% 26.0% 20.9% 12.1% 7.0% 6.7% 7.3% 20.0%
44–54 years old 21% 25.1% 24.6% 10.8% 7.7% 8.5% 4.4% 18.9%
55–64 years old 18% 38.0% 22.1% 11.3% 5.9% 5.9% 2.4% 14.3%
65 and older 26% 50.2% 23.4% 5.1% 8.0% 3.8% 1.1% 8.4%
Education
No High-school 14% 54.8% 17.9% 6.6% 6.7% 2.8% 2.1% 9.0%
High-school 34% 37.4% 20.2% 8.5% 8.2% 4.5% 4.9% 16.3%
College graduate 52% 24.9% 24.2% 11.6% 6.0% 8.3% 6.0% 19.1%
Source: CESOP–UCP exit poll

See also

Notes

  1. ^ The Social Democratic Party (PSD) and the People's Party (CDS–PP) contested the 2014 election in a coalition called Portugal Alliance (AP) and won a combined 27.7% of the vote and elected 7 MP's to the European parliament.
  2. PDR main candidate, António Marinho e Pinto, was a MEP elected in 2014 and he refused to attend the debate with the minor parties with no representation in the European Parliament.
  3. Results presented here exclude undecideds (5.3%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 34.1%; PSD: 24.8%; BE: 9.2%; CDU: 8.3%; PP: 8.1%; A: 1.8%; PAN: 1.4%; Others: 7.0%.
  4. Results presented here exclude undecideds (15.4%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 32.6%; PSD: 19.8%; CDU: 11.3%; PP: 8.4%; BE: 6.3%; PAN: 2.0%; A: 1.2%; Others: 3.0%.
  5. The main candidate for the Earth Party (MPT) in 2014, António Marinho e Pinto, left MPT in late 2014 and formed his own party, the Democratic Republican Party (PDR).
  6. Includes the 7.2%, and 2 seats, won by MPT in the 2014 EP elections. MPT dropped out from the 2019 EP elections due to internal infighting.
  7. Compared with the combined total of 0.91% of PPM and PPV/CDC in the 2014 EP elections.

References

  1. Europeias. Abstenção de 99% entre os emigrantes, Expresso, 28 May 2019. Retrieved 28 May 2019.
  2. Domingo é mais fácil votar, Rádio e Televisão de Portugal, 25 May 2019. Retrieved 25 May 2019.
  3. Voto antecipado nas europeias teve abstenção de 24%, Eco newspaper, 25 May 2019. Retrieved 20 May 2019.
  4. Ministro do Planeamento vai ser cabeça-de-lista do PS às europeias Archived 2019-02-07 at the Wayback Machine , SIC Notícias, 06 February 2019. Retrieved 06 February 2019.
  5. Rui Rio já fez o convite. Os pormenores estão acertados. Paulo Rangel é o candidato do PSD às Europeias, Observador, 05 February 2019. Retrieved 06 February 2019.
  6. Marisa Matias vai ser cabeça de lista do Bloco de Esquerda às europeias, Correio da Manhã, 10 November 2018. Retrieved 10 November 2018.
  7. João Ferreira é o candidato da CDU ao Parlamento Europeu, Público, 18 December 2018. Retrieved 18 December 2018.
  8. CDS dá tiro de partida para as eleições europeias Archived 2018-08-15 at the Wayback Machine , Expresso, 19 July 2018. Retrieved 15 August 2018.
  9. Francisco Guerreiro é o cabeça de lista pelo PAN às Europeias Archived 2018-12-16 at the Wayback Machine, People–Animals–Nature 13 December 2018. Retrieved 6 February 2019.
  10. Sande é assessor de Marcelo e será cabeça de lista de Santana Lopes às europeias , Jornal de Negócios, 1 December 2018. Retrieved 9 December 2018.
  11. Rui Tavares é cabeça de lista do LIVRE, 'Público, 04 March 2019. Retrieved 04 March 2019.
  12. Tribunal Constitucional aceita coligação Basta. André Ventura é o cabeça de lista, TSF, 12 April 2019. Retrieved 13 April 2019.
  13. Paulo de Morais avança pelo Nós, Cidadãos! mas conta com apoio do eurodeputado do MPT, Observador, 14 April 2019. Retrieved 15 April 2019.
  14. Arroja é cabeça de lista às Europeias por partido que defende “uma enorme redução dos impostos”, Jornal de Negócios, 23 February 2019. Retrieved 23 February 2019.
  15. PCTP/MRPP candidata-se às eleições para o parlamento europeu, Jornal da Madeira 1 March 2019. Retrieved 24 March 2019.
  16. “Eurocético” PNR quer deputado na Europa para “combater a invasão” pelos “chamados refugiados”, Observador, 23 March 2019. Retrieved 24 March 2019.
  17. Marinho e Pinto recandidata-se ao Parlamento Europeu, Observador, 01 February 2019. Retrieved 06 February 2019.
  18. Fernando Loureiro é o cabeça de lista do PURP às Eleições Europeias, Sul Informação, 18 February 2019. Retrieved 24 March 2019.
  19. , TSF, 15 May 2019. Retrieved 16 May 2019.
  20. Vasco Santos é candidato às Eleições Europeias Archived 2019-03-24 at the Wayback Machine, Socialist Alternative Movement, 13 March 2019. Retrieved 24 March 2019.
  21. "PS Europeias". PS (in Portuguese). Archived from the original on 31 May 2019. Retrieved 25 April 2019.
  22. "PSD Europeias 2019". PSD (in Portuguese). Archived from the original on 25 April 2019. Retrieved 25 April 2019.
  23. "CDU Parlamento Europeu 2019". CDU (in Portuguese). Retrieved 25 April 2019.
  24. "CDS Parlamento Europeu". CDS-PP (in Portuguese). Retrieved 25 April 2019.
  25. "Europeias 2019: a campanha do Bloco". Bloco de Esquerda (in Portuguese). 18 April 2019. Retrieved 25 April 2019.
  26. "Eleições para o Parlamento Europeu (2019) - PDR". Ephemera (in Portuguese). 21 February 2019. Retrieved 25 April 2019.
  27. "Europeias 2019 – PAN lança programa eleitoral". PAN (in Portuguese). 17 April 2019. Retrieved 25 April 2019.
  28. "Eleições para o Parlamento Europeu – 2019 – Aliança". Ephemera (in Portuguese). 24 March 2019. Retrieved 25 April 2019.
  29. "Partido Livre Europeias 2019". Partido Livre (in Portuguese). Retrieved 25 April 2019.
  30. "João Patrocínio é o candidato do PNR às Europeias 2019". PNR (in Portuguese). 2 April 2019. Retrieved 25 April 2019.
  31. "Coligação BASTA assume que objetivo é eleger eurodeputados". Chega (in Portuguese). 15 April 2019. Retrieved 25 April 2019.
  32. "Europeias com dois debates nas televisões. SIC tentou frente-a-frente do "centrão"". Visão (in Portuguese). 13 March 2019. Retrieved 25 April 2019.
  33. "Europeias: Debates televisivos arrancam a 1 de maio". Esquerda (in Portuguese). 30 April 2019.
  34. ^ Sá, Paula (15 April 2019). "Europeias. PS só aceita debates a cinco. Dois já estão marcados na SIC e na RTP". Diário de Notícias (in Portuguese). Retrieved 25 April 2019.
  35. ^ "Europeias: RTP arranca hoje com os debates frente-a-frente". SAPO 24 (in Portuguese). Lusa. 2 May 2019. Retrieved 2019-05-02.
  36. "Europeias 2019 - Afluência". eleicoes.mai.gov.pt/europeias2019/index.html (in Portuguese). Ministry of Internal Administration. Retrieved 11 June 2023.
  37. "Europeias 2014 - Afluência". eleicoes.mai.gov.pt/europeias2014/index.html (in Portuguese). Ministry of Internal Administration. Retrieved 11 June 2023.
  38. The MP José Inácio Faria was elected in 2014 by Earth Party (MPT) and was running in 2019 by We, the Citizens! (NC) , Observador, 14 April 2019. Retrieved 27 May 2019.
  39. The MP António Marinho e Pinto was elected in 2014 by Earth Party (MPT) and was running in 2019 by Democratic Republican Party (PDR) , Público, 1 April 2019. Retrieved 27 May 2019.

External links

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