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Opinion polling for the 2024 Indian general election

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Revision as of 06:34, 3 October 2024 by Unknown FG (talk | contribs) (→Gujarat)(diff) ← Previous revision | Latest revision (diff) | Newer revision → (diff) Surveys and polls for 2024 Indian general election

In the run-up to the 2024 Indian general election, various media houses and polling agencies, carried out opinion polls to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.

Seats by constituency. As this is a FPTP election, seat totals are not determined proportional to each party's total vote share, but instead by the plurality in each constituency

Seats and vote share projections

Vote share projections
Vote share projections
Polling agency Date published Sample size Margin of error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 57,566 ±3–5% 46.6 39.8 13.6 6.8
News 18 March 2024 118,616 ±4% 48 32 20 16
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 41,762 ±5% 46 39 15 7
Times Now-ETG March 2024 323,357 ±3% 52 42 6 10
Zee News-Matrize February 2024 167,843 ±2% 43.6 27.7 24.9 15.9
India Today-CVoter February 2024 149,092 ±3–5% 45 38 17 8
Times Now-ETG February 2024 156,843 ±2% 41.8 28.6 29.6 13.2
ABP News-CVoter December 2023 200,000 ±3–5% 42 38 20 4
Times Now-ETG December 2023 147,231 ±3% 44 39 17 5
India TV-CNX October 2023 54,250 ±3% 43.4 39.1 17.5 4.3
Times Now-ETG October 2023 135,100 ±3% 42.6 40.2 17.2 2.4
August 2023 110,662 ±3% 42.6 40.2 17.2 2.4
India Today-CVoter August 2023 160,438 ±3–5% 43 41 16 2
Formation of the big-tent INDIA opposition bloc
India Today-CVoter January 2023 140,917 ±3–5% 43 30 27 13
2019 election results 45.3% 27.5% 27.2% NDA
Seat projections
Polling agency Date published Sample size Margin of error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
2024 election results 293 234 16 NDA
TV9 Bharatvarsh - People's Insight - Polstrat April 2024 2,500,000 3% 362 149 32 NDA
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 57,566 ±3–5% 373 155 15 NDA
Times Now-ETG April 2024 271,292 ±3% 384 118 41 NDA
News18 March 2024 118,616 ±4% 411 105 27 NDA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 41,762 ±5% 366 156 21 NDA
India TV-CNX March 2024 162,900 ±3% 378 98 67 NDA
Times Now-ETG March 2024 323,357 ±3% 358–398 110–130 40–50 NDA
Zee News-Matrize February 2024 167,843 ±2% 377 93 73 NDA
India Today-CVoter February 2024 149,092 ±3–5% 335 166 42 NDA
Times Now-ETG February 2024 156,843 ±2% 366 104 73 NDA
ABP-CVoter December 2023 200,000 ±3–5% 295–335 165–205 35–65 NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 147,231 ±3% 319–339 148–168 52–61 NDA
India TV-CNX October 2023 54,250 ±3% 315 172 56 NDA
Times Now-ETG October 2023 135,100 ±3% 297–317 165–185 57–65 NDA
August 2023 110,662 ±3% 296–326 160–190 56–64 NDA
India Today-CVoter August 2023 160,438 ±3–5% 306 193 54 NDA
Formation of the big-tent INDIA opposition bloc
India Today-CVoter January 2023 140,917 ±3–5% 298 153 92 NDA
2019 election results 353 91 99 NDA

Data of states and union territories

Andaman and Nicobar Islands (1)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in the Andaman and Nicobar Islands
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
India TV-CNX April 2024 ±3% 1 0 0 NDA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 1 0 0 NDA

Andhra Pradesh (25)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in Andhra Pradesh
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
YSRCP NDA INDIA Others
TDP+ BJP
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 ±5% 5 20 0 0 NDA
News 18 March 2024 ±3% 7 18 0 0 NDA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 5 20 0 0 NDA
TDP+ joins NDA
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3–5% 8 17 0 0 0 TDP
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 24–25 0–1 0 0 0 YSRCP
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3% 15 10 0 0 0 YSRCP
Times Now-ETG September 2023 ±3% 24–25 0–1 0 0 0 YSRCP
August 2023 ±3% 24–25 0–1 0 0 0 YSRCP
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
YSRCP NDA INDIA Others
TDP+ BJP
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 ±5% 39.9% 46.7% 13.4% 6.8
News 18 March 2024 ±3% 41% 50% 6% 3% 9
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 42% 45% 3% 10% 3
TDP+ joins NDA
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3–5% 41% 45% 2% 3% 9% 4
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 50% 47% 1% 1% 1% 3
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3–5% 46% 42% 2% 2% 8% 4
Times Now-ETG September 2023 ±3% 51.1% 36.4% 1.3% 1.1% 10.1% 14.7

Arunachal Pradesh (2)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in Arunachal Pradesh
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 ±5% 2 0 0 NDA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 2 0 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 2 0 0 NDA
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3% 2 0 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 ±3% 2 0 0 NDA
August 2023 ±3% 2 0 0 NDA
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 ±5% 63% 32% 5% 31
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 61% 32% 7% 29

Assam (14)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in Assam
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA AIUDF Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 ±5% 12 2 0 NDA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 12 2 0 NDA
India TV-CNX March 2024 ±3% 12 1 1 NDA
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 12 2 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 9-11 2-4 0-1 NDA
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3% 12 1 1 NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 ±3% 7-9 4-6 0-1 NDA
August 2023 ±3% 9-11 3-4 0-1 NDA
India Today-CVoter August 2023 ±3-5% 12 1 1 NDA
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA AIUDF Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 ±5% 51.8% 35.5% 16.3% 12.7
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 45% 38% 13% 7
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 46% 31% 23% 15
India Today-CVoter August 2023 ±3-5% 48% 36% 16% 12

Bihar (40)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in Bihar
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 ±3-5% 33 7 0 NDA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 32 8 0 NDA
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 32 8 0 NDA
JD(U) leaves INDIA and joins NDA
ABP News-CVoter December 2023 ±3-5% 16-18 21-23 0-2 INDIA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 22-24 15-17 0 NDA
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3% 24 16 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 ±3% 18-20 20-22 0 INDIA
August 2023 ±3% 22-24 16-18 0 NDA
India Today-CVoter August 2023 ±3-5% 14 26 0 INDIA
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 ±3-5% 50.8% 39.9% 9.3% 10.9
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 50% 35% 15% 15
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 52% 38% 10% 14
JD(U) leaves INDIA and joins NDA
India Today-CVoter August 2023 ±3-5% 43% 47% 10% 4

Chandigarh (1)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in Chandigarh
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 ±5% 1 0 0 NDA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 1 0 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 1 0 0 NDA
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3% 1 0 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 ±3% 1 0 0 NDA
August 2023 ±3% 1 0 0 NDA
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 51% 44% 5% 6

Chhattisgarh (11)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in Chhattisgarh
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 ±3-5% 11 0 0 NDA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 11 0 0 NDA
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 10 1 0 NDA
ABP News-CVoter December 2023 ±3-5% 9-11 0-2 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 10-11 0-1 0 NDA
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3% 7 4 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 ±3% 7-9 2-4 0 NDA
August 2023 ±3% 6-8 3-5 0 NDA
India Today-CVoter August 2023 ±3-5% 10 1 0 NDA
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 ±3-5% 54.8% 40.8% 4.4% 14
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 55% 41% 4% 14
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 54% 38% 8% 16
India Today-CVoter August 2023 ±3-5% 51% 41% 8% 10

Dadra and Nagar Haveli and Daman and Diu (2)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in Dadra and Nagar Haveli and Daman and Diu
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 2 0 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 2 0 0 NDA
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3% 2 0 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 ±3% 1-2 0-1 0 NDA
August 2023 ±3% 1-2 0-1 0 NDA
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 52% 19% 29% 23

Delhi (7)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in Delhi
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 7 0 0 NDA
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 7 0 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 6-7 0-1 0 NDA
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3% 7 0 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 ±3% 5-6 1-2 0 NDA
August 2023 ±3% 5-6 1-2 0 NDA
India Today-CVoter August 2023 ±3-5% 7 0 0 NDA
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 57% 36% 7% 21
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 57% 40% 3% 17
India Today-CVoter August 2023 ±3-5% 54% 42% 4% 12

Goa (2)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in Goa
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 ±5% 1 1 0 Tie
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 1 1 0 Tie
India TV-CNX March 2024 ±3% 2 0 0 NDA
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 1 1 0 Tie
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 1-2 0-1 0 NDA
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3% 2 0 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 ±3% 1-2 0-1 0 NDA
August 2023 ±3% 1-2 0-1 0 NDA
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 ±5% 46% 44.9% 9.1% 1.1
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 45.6% 48.3% 6.1% 2.7
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 37% 55% 8% 18

Gujarat (26)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in Gujarat
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 ±3-5% 26 0 0 NDA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±3-5% 26 0 0 NDA
India TV-CNX March 2024 ±3% 26 0 0 NDA
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 26 0 0 NDA
ABP News-CVoter December 2023 ±3-5% 26 0 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 26 0 0 NDA
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3% 26 0 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 ±3% 26 0 0 NDA
August 2023 ±3% 26 0 0 NDA
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 ±3-5% 63% 33.7% 3.3% 29.3
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±3-5% 64% 35% 1% 29
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 62% 26% 12% 36

Haryana (10)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in Haryana
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 ±5% 9 1 0 NDA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 8 2 0 NDA
JJP leaves the NDA
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 8 2 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 8-10 0-2 0 NDA
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3% 8 2 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 ±3% 7-9 1-3 0 NDA
August 2023 ±3% 6-8 2-4 0 NDA
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 ±5% 53% 38% 9% 15
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 52% 38% 10% 14
JJP leaves NDA
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 50% 38% 12% 12

Himachal Pradesh (4)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in Himachal Pradesh
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 ±5% 4 0 0 NDA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 4 0 0 NDA
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 4 0 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 3-4 0-1 0 NDA
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3% 3 1 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 ±3% 3-4 0-1 0 NDA
August 2023 ±3% 3-4 0-1 0 NDA
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 ±5% 63% 33.2% 3.8% 29.8
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 65% 32% 3% 33
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 60% 29% 11% 31

Jammu and Kashmir (5)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in Jammu and Kashmir
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
INDIA NDA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 ±3-5% 3 2 0 INDIA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 2-3 1-3 0-1 INDIA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 3 2 0 INDIA
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 3 2 0 INDIA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 2-3 1-3 0-1 INDIA
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3% 2 2 1 Tie between INDIA and NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 ±3% 3-4 1-2 0-1 INDIA
August 2023 ±3% 2-3 1-3 0-1 INDIA
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 ±3-5% 47% 44.9% 8.1% 3.1
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 41.4% 51.5% 7.1% 10.1
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 49% 36% 15% 13

Jharkhand (14)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in Jharkhand
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 12 2 0 NDA
India TV-CNX March 2024 ±3% 13 1 0 NDA
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 12 2 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 11-13 1-3 0 NDA
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3% 13 1 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 ±3% 9-11 3-5 0 NDA
August 2023 ±3% 10-12 2-4 0 NDA
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 52% 35% 13% 17
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 56% 30% 14% 26

Karnataka (28)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in Karnataka
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 ±3-5% 23 5 0 NDA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 23 5 0 NDA
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 24 4 0 NDA
ABP News-CVoter December 2023 ±3-5% 22-24 4-6 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 20-22 6-8 0-1 NDA
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3% 18 10 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 ±3% 18-21 7-9 0 NDA
August 2023 ±3% 18-20 8-10 0-1 NDA
India Today-CVoter August 2023 ±3-5% 23 5 0 NDA
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 ±3-5% 52% 42% 6% 10
Eedina March 2024 ±2% 42.4% 43.8% 13.8% 1.4
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 53% 42% 5% 11
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 53% 42% 5% 11
India Today-CVoter August 2023 ±3-5% 44% 34% 22% 10

Kerala (20)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in Kerala
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
INDIA NDA Others
UDF LDF
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 ±3-5% 20 0 0 0 INDIA
Mathrubhumi News-P-MARQ March 2024 ±3% 17 3 0 0 INDIA
News 18 March 2024 ±3% 17 2 1 0 INDIA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 19 1 0 0 INDIA
India TV-CNX March 2024 ±3% 16 3 1 0 INDIA
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 20 0 0 INDIA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 15-17 3-5 0-1 0 INDIA
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3% 18 2 0 0 INDIA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 ±3% 18-20 0-2 0 INDIA
August 2023 ±3% 18-20 0-2 0 INDIA
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
INDIA NDA Others
UDF LDF
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 ±3-5% 43% 31% 21% 5% 12
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 44.5% 31.4% 19.8% 4.3% 13.1
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 78% 17% 5% 61
India Today-CVoter August 2023 ±3-5% 81% 14% 5% 67

Ladakh (1)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in Ladakh
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 1 0 0 NDA
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 44% 41% 15% 3

Lakshadweep (1)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in Lakshadweep
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 0 1 0 INDIA
India Today-CVoter December 2023 ±3-5% 0 1 0 INDIA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 0 1 0 INDIA
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3% 0 1 0 INDIA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 ±3% 0 1 0 INDIA
August 2023 ±3% 0 1 0 INDIA
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 4% 95% 1% 91

Madhya Pradesh (29)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in Madhya Pradesh
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 ±3-5% 28 1 0 NDA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 28 1 0 NDA
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 27 2 0 NDA
ABP News-CVoter December 2023 ±3-5% 27-29 0-2 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 27-29 0-1 0 NDA
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3% 25 4 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 ±3% 25-27 2-4 0 NDA
August 2023 ±3% 24-26 3-5 0 NDA
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 ±3-5% 53% 43.3% 3.7% 9.7
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 57.9% 40.8% 1.3% 17.1
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 58% 38% 4% 20
India Today-CVoter August 2023 ±3-5% 48% 41% 11% 7

Maharashtra (48)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in Maharashtra
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
INDIA NDA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 ±3-5% 18 30 0 NDA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 20 28 0 NDA
India TV-CNX March 2024 ±3% 13 35 0 NDA
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 26 22 0 INDIA
ABP News-CVoter December 2023 ±3-5% 26-28 19-21 0-2 INDIA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 16-20 27-31 1-2 NDA
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3% 20 28 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 ±3% 16-20 26-30 1-2 NDA
August 2023 ±3% 15-19 28-32 1-2 NDA
India Today-CVoter August 2023 ±3-5% 28 20 0 INDIA
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
INDIA NDA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 ±3-5% 30 18 0 NDA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 42.1% 42.7% 15.2% 0.6
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 45% 40% 15% 5
India Today-CVoter August 2023 ±3-5% 45% 40% 15% 5

Manipur (2)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in Manipur
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 2 0 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 1-2 0-1 0 NDA
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3% 1 1 0 Tie
Times Now-ETG September 2023 ±3% 1-2 0-1 0 NDA
August 2023 ±3% 1-2 0-1 0 NDA
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 50% 34% 16% 16

Meghalaya (2)

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Main article: 2024 Indian general election in Meghalaya
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 1 1 0 Tie
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 1-2 0-1 0 NDA
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3% 2 0 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 ±3% 1-2 0-1 0 NDA
August 2023 ±3% 1-2 0-1 0 NDA

Mizoram (1)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in Mizoram
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
ZPM NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 1 0 0 0 ZPM
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 1 0 0 0 ZPM
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 0 1 0 0 NDA
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3% 0 1 0 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 ±3% 0 1 0 0 NDA
August 2023 ±3% 0 1 0 0 NDA

Nagaland (1)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in Nagaland
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 1 0 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 1 0 0 NDA
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3% 1 0 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 ±3% 1 0 0 NDA
August 2023 ±3% 1 0 0 NDA

Odisha (21)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in Odisha
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
BJD NDA INDIA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 11 10 0 BJD
India TV-CNX March 2024 ±3% 11 10 0 BJD
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 11 10 0 BJD
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 13-15 5-7 0-1 BJD
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3% 13 8 0 BJD
Times Now-ETG September 2023 ±3% 13-15 5-7 0-1 BJD
August 2023 ±3% 12-14 6-8 0-1 BJD
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
BJD NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 40.9% 40.2% 13.8% 5.1% 0.7
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 41% 40% 12% 7% 1

Puducherry (1)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in Puducherry
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 0 1 0 INDIA

Punjab (13)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in Punjab
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
INDIA NDA SAD Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 11 1 1 0 INDIA
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 10 2 1 0 INDIA
ABP-CVoter December 2023 ±3-5% 9-11 0-2 0-2 0 INDIA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 6-10 3-5 1-2 0-1 INDIA
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3% 11 1 1 0 INDIA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 ±3% 8-11 1-3 1-2 0 INDIA
August 2023 ±3% 8-12 1-2 1-2 0-1 INDIA
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
INDIA NDA SAD Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 57% 16% 17% 10% 40
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 65% 17% 18% 47

Rajasthan (25)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in Rajasthan
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 25 0 0 NDA
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 25 0 0 NDA
ABP News-CVoter December 2023 ±3-5% 23-25 0-2 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 24-25 0-1 0 NDA
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3% 23 2 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 ±3% 21-24 1-2 0-1 NDA
August 2023 ±3% 19-22 2-4 0-1 NDA
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 60% 39% 1% 21
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 59% 35% 6% 24

Sikkim (1)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in Sikkim
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
SDF NDA INDIA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 0 1 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 0 1 0 NDA
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3% 0 1 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 ±3% 0 1 0 NDA
August 2023 ±3% 0 1 0 NDA

Tamil Nadu (39)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in Tamil Nadu
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
INDIA AIADMK NDA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 ±3-5% 39 0 0 0 INDIA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±3-5% 39 0 0 0 INDIA
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 39 0 0 0 INDIA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 30-36 3-6 0-1 0-2 INDIA
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3% 32 5 1 1 INDIA
AIADMK leaves NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 ±3% 30-34 3-7 0-1 0-1 INDIA
August 2023 ±3% 30-34 3-7 0-1 0-1 INDIA
India Today-CVoter August 2023 ±3-5% 39 0 0 0 INDIA
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
INDIA NDA AIADMK Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±3-5% 54.7% 10.9% 27.9% 6.8% 26.9
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 47% 15% 38% 9
AIADMK leaves NDA
India Today-CVoter August 2023 ±3-5% 53% 33% 14% 20

Telangana (17)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in Telangana
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
BRS INDIA NDA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 ±5% 1 10 5 1 INDIA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 3 10 4 1 INDIA
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 3 10 3 1 INDIA
ABP-CVoter December 2023 ±3-5% 3-5 9-11 1-3 1-2 INDIA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 3-5 8-10 3-5 0-1 INDIA
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3% 8 2 6 1 BRS
Times Now-ETG September 2023 ±3% 9-11 3-4 2-3 0-1 BRS
August 2023 ±3% 9-11 3-4 2-3 0-1 BRS
India Today-CVoter August 2023 ±3-5% 6 7 4 0 INDIA
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
BRS INDIA NDA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024 ±5% 27% 42% 26% 5% 15
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 28% 43% 25% 4% 15
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 29% 41% 21% 9% 12
India Today-CVoter August 2023 ±3-5% 37% 38% 23% 2% 1

Tripura (2)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in Tripura
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 2 0 0 NDA
TMP joins NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 2 0 0 NDA
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3% 2 0 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 ±3% 2 0 0 NDA
August 2023 ±3% 1-2 0-1 0 NDA

Uttar Pradesh (80)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in Uttar Pradesh
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA BSP Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 74 6 0 0 NDA
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 72 8 0 0 NDA
ABP News-CVoter December 2023 ±3-5% 73-75 4-6 0-2 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 70-74 4-8 0-1 1-3 NDA
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3% 73 7 0 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 ±3% 70-74 4-8 1-3 0-1 NDA
August 2023 ±3% 69-73 5-9 0-1 1-3 NDA
India Today-CVoter August 2023 ±3-5% 72 8 0 0 NDA
ABP News-Matrize March 2023 ±3% 67-73 1-2 0-4 3-6 NDA
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA BSP Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 51% 35% 8% 6% 16
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 52% 36% 12% 16
India Today-CVoter August 2023 ±3-5% 49% 38% 13% 11

Uttarakhand (5)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in Uttarakhand
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 5 0 0 NDA
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 5 0 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 4-5 0-1 0 NDA
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3% 5 0 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 ±3% 4-5 0-1 0 NDA
August 2023 ±3% 4-5 0-1 0 NDA
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 63% 35% 2% 28
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 59% 32% 9% 27

West Bengal (42)

Main article: 2024 Indian general election in West Bengal
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
AITC NDA SDA Others
News18 March 2024 ±4% 17 25 0 0 NDA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 23 19 0 0 AITC
India TV-CNX March 2024 ±3% 21 20 1 0 AITC
Zee News-Matrize February 2024 ±2% 24 17 1 0 AITC
India Today-CVoter February 2024 ±3-5% 22 19 1 0 AITC
Times Now-ETG February 2024 ±2% 26 15 1 0 AITC
ABP News-CVoter December 2023 ±3-5% 23-25 16-18 0-2 0 AITC
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 20-24 18-20 2-4 0 AITC
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3% 30 10 2 0 AITC
Times Now-ETG August 2023 ±3% 22-24 16-18 0-3 0 AITC
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
AITC NDA SDA Others
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 ±5% 42.5% 40.9% 17.6% 1.6

Preferred candidate for prime minister

Polling Agency Date published
Narendra Modi Rahul Gandhi Others/None/

Can't say

ABP News-CVoter April 2024 58% 16% 26%
The Hindu-CSDS-Lokniti April 2024 48% 27% 25%
Times Now-ETG April 2024 64% 17% 19%
News18 March 2024 69% 31% 0%
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 62.7% 27.5% 9.8%
Times Now-ETG February 2024 64% 17% 19%
India Today-CVoter February 2024 54.9% 13.8% 31.3%
ABP News-CVoter December 2023 58.6% 32% 9.4%
India Today-CVoter August 2023 52% 16% 32%
Times Now-ETG July 2023 64% 13% 23%
CSDS-Lokniti May 2023 43.4% 26.8% 29.8%
TV9 Bharatvarsh-People's Insight - Polstrat March 2023 58% 19.9% 22.1%
India Today-CVoter January 2023 53% 14% 33%
India Today-CVoter August 2022 53% 9% 38%
India TV-Matrize July 2022 48% 11% 41%
India Today-CVoter January 2022 52.5% 6.8% 40.7%
India Today-Karvy August 2021 24% 10% 66%
India Today-Karvy January 2021 38% 7% 55%
India Today-Karvy August 2020 66% 8% 26%
ABP News-CVoter January 2020 70% 25.4% 4.6%
India Today-Karvy January 2020 53% 13% 34%

Approval ratings

Union government

Polling firm Date published Approve Disapprove DK/NA Strongly

approve

Approve Disapprove Strongly

disapprove

DK/NA Net Margin of error Sample

size

The Hindu-CSDS-Lokniti April 2024 59% 39% 2% 23% 34% 19% 20% 2% +20% - 10,019
ABP News-CVoter March 2024 70.67% 26.67% 2.66% 40.8% 29.87% 26.67% 2.66% +44% ±5% 41,762
CSDS-Lokniti May 2023 54.7% 40.2% 5.1% 17.0% 37.7% 19.4% 20.8% 5.1% +14.5% - 7,202

Prime Minister Narendra Modi's performance

Polling firm Date published Approve Disapprove DK/NA Strongly

approve

Approve Disapprove Strongly

disapprove

DK/NA Net Margin of error Sample

size

ABP News-CVoter March 2024 77.11% 21.47% 1.42% 51.41% 25.7% 21.47% 1.42% +56% ±5% 41,762

Exit polls

The Election Commission of India banned the publication of all exit polls starting 48 hours before Phase 1 of the election until the end of Phase 7. This was intended to prevent exit polls from earlier phases affecting voter decisions in later phases. The ban ended after the close of Phase 7 voting at 18:30 IST on 1 June 2024.

Polling agency Lead
NDA INDIA Others
2019 election results 353 91 99 81
ABP News-CVoter 368±15 167±15 8±4 96
Agni News Services 242 264 37 HUNG
Dainik Bhaskar 316±34 173±28 41±8 44
DB Live 221±20 275±15 38±10 3
India Today-Axis My India 381±20 148±18 14±6 109
India News-Dynamics 371 125 47 99
India TV-CNX 386±15 134±15 33±5 96
NDTV-Jan Ki Baat 377±15 151±10 15±5 105
News18-CNBC 362±8 132±8 47±5 90
News 24-Today's Chanakya 400±15 107-11 36±9 128
News Nation 360±18 161±8 22±1 88
Republic TV-Matrize 360±8 126±8 30 88
Republic TV-PMarq 359 154 30 87
Times Now-ETG 358 152 33 86
TV9 Bharatvarsh - People's Insight - Polstrat 346 162 35 74
2024 election results 293 234 16 21

Exit polls by states and union territories

Andaman and Nicobar Islands

Polling agency Lead
NDA INDIA Others

Andhra Pradesh

Polling agency Lead
NDA YSRCP INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter 21-25 0-4 0 0 NDA
India Today-Axis My India 21-23 2-4 0 0 NDA
India News-Dynamics 18 7 0 0 NDA
India TV-CNX 19-23 3-5 0 0 NDA
NDTV-Jan Ki Baat 10-14 8-13 0 0 NDA
CNN-CNBC-News 18 19-22 5-8 0 0 NDA
News 24-Today's Chanakya 22 3 0 0 NDA
News Nation 19 6 0 0 NDA
Republic TV-Matrize 19-22 3-6 0 0 NDA
Republic TV-PMarq 14 11 0 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG 11 14 0 0 YSRCP
TV9 Bharatvarsh- People's Insight - Polstrat 12 13 0 0 YSRCP
Times Now-NavBharat 10 15 0 0 YSRCP
DB Live 7-9 15-17 0-2 0 YSRCP
Actual Results 21 4 0 0 NDA

Arunachal Pradesh

Polling agency Lead
NDA INDIA Others
India Today Axis My India 2 0 0 NDA
2019 Results 2 0 0 NDA
Actual results 2 0 0 NDA

Assam

Polling agency Lead
NDA INDIA AIUDF Others

Bihar

Polling agency Lead
NDA INDIA Others
India Today Axis My India 29-33 7-10 0 NDA
DB Live 14-16 24-26 0 INDIA
Jan Ki Baat 33-37 3-7 0 NDA
News18 31-34 6-9 0 NDA
ABP C-Voter 35-38 3-5 0 NDA
2019 Election Results 39 1 0 NDA
Actual Results 30 9 1 NDA

Chandigarh

Polling agency Lead
NDA INDIA Others

Chhattisgarh

Polling agency Lead
NDA INDIA Others

Dadra and Nagar Haveli and Daman and Diu

Polling agency Lead
NDA INDIA Others

Delhi

Polling agency Lead
NDA INDIA Others
India Today-Axis My India 6-7 0-1 0 NDA
Actual Results 7 0 0 NDA

Goa

Polling agency Lead
NDA INDIA Others
DB Live 1±1 1±1 0 Tie
2019 election 1 1 0 Tie
Actual Results 1 1 0 Tie

Gujarat

Polling agency Lead
NDA INDIA Others
Actual Results 25 1 0 NDA

Haryana

Polling agency Lead
NDA INDIA Others
Actual Results 5 5 0 Tie

Himachal Pradesh

Polling agency Lead
NDA INDIA Others
Actual Results 4 0 0 NDA

Jammu and Kashmir

Polling agency Lead
NDA INDIA Others
Actual Results 2 2 1 Tie

Jharkhand

Polling agency Lead
NDA INDIA Others
Actual Results 9 5 0 NDA

Karnataka

Polling agency Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News 23-25 3-5 0 NDA
India News-Dynamics 23 5 0 NDA
India TV-CNX 20-24 4-8 0 NDA
NDTV-Jan Ki Baat 19-25 4-8 0 NDA
CNN-CNBC-News 18 19-22 6-9 0 NDA
News 24-Today's Chanakya 20-28 0-8 0 NDA
News Nation 18 10 0 NDA
Republic TV-Matrize 21 7 0 NDA
Republic Bharat-PMarq 22 6 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG 23 5 0 NDA
DB Live 8-10 18-20 0 INDIA
Actual Results 19 9 0 NDA

Kerala

Polling agency Lead
UDF LDF NDA Others
ABP News-CVoter 17-19 0 1-3 0 UDF
India Today-Axis My India 17-18 0-1 1-3 0 UDF
India News-Dynamics 14-17 3-5 0-1 0 UDF
India TV-CNX 13-15 3-5 1-3 0 UDF
NDTV-Jan Ki Baat 14-17 3-5 0-1 0 UDF
CNN-CNBC-News 18 15-18 1-3 0 0 UDF
News 24-Today's Chanakya 15 1 4 0 UDF
News Nation 17-19 0 1-3 0 UDF
Republic TV-Matrize 17 3 0 0 UDF
Republic TV-PMarq 17 3 0 0 UDF
Times Now-ETG 14-15 4 1 0 UDF
Times Now-NavBharat 16-18 4 1 0 UDF
DB Live 17-19 2-3 0-1 0 UDF
Actual Results 18 1 1

Ladakh

Polling agency Lead
NDA INDIA Others

Lakshadweep

Polling agency Lead
NDA INDIA Others

Madhya Pradesh

Polling agency Lead
NDA INDIA Others
Actual Results 29 0 0 NDA

Maharashtra

Polling agency Lead
NDA INDIA Others

Manipur

Polling agency Lead
NDA INDIA Others

Meghalaya

Polling agency Lead
NDA INDIA Others

Mizoram

Polling agency Lead
ZPM NDA INDIA Others
Actual Results 1 0 0 0 ZPM

Nagaland

Polling agency Lead
NDA INDIA Others

Odisha

Polling agency Lead
NDA BJD INDIA Others
India Today-Axis My India 18-20 0-2 0-1 0 NDA
Jan Ki Baat 15-18 3-7 0 0 NDA
ABP-CVoter 17-19 1-3 0-2 0 NDA
India TV-CNX 15-17 4-6 0-1 0 NDA
News 24-Today's Chanakya 16 4 1 0 NDA
News Nation 14 6 1 0 NDA
Dainik Bhaskar 14-15 6-7 0-1 0 NDA
DB Live 6-8 12-14 0-1 0 BJD
News18 Mega Exit Polls 13-15 6-8 0 0 NDA
India News-Dynamics 13 8 0 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG 13 8 0 0 NDA
Republic-PMarq 12 8 1 0 NDA
Republic Bharat-Matrize 9-12 7-10 0-1 0 NDA
2019 results 8 12 1 0 BJD
Actual results 20 0 1 0 NDA

Puducherry

Polling agency Lead
NDA INDIA Others

Punjab

Polling agency Lead
INDIA NDA SAD Others
DB Live 13 0 0 0 INDIA
2019 election 9 2 2 0 INDIA
Actual Results 10 0 1 2 INDIA

Rajasthan

Polling agency Lead
NDA INDIA Others
Actual Results 14 11 0 NDA

Sikkim

Polling agency Lead
NDA SDF INDIA Others
Actual Results 1 0 0 0 NDA

Tamil Nadu

Polling agency Lead
INDIA AIADMK NDA Others

Telangana

Polling agency Lead
INDIA NDA BRS Others
Actual Results 8 8 0 1 Tie

Tripura

Polling agency Lead
NDA INDIA Others
DB Live 0-2 0-2 0 Tie
India Today-Axis My India 2 0 0 NDA
2019 election 2 0 0 NDA
Actual Results 2 0 0 NDA

Uttar Pradesh

Polling agency Lead
NDA INDIA BSP Others
Republic-PMarq 69 11 0 0 NDA
DB Live 46-48 32-34 0 0 NDA
IndiaNews Dynamics 69 11 0 0 NDA
India TV-CNX 62-68 12-16 0-1 0 NDA
India-Today Axis My India 64-67 13-16 0-1 0 NDA
Jan Ki Baat 68-74 6-12 0 0 NDA
News Nation 67 13 0 0 NDA
News24-Today's Chanakya 68 12 0 0 NDA
2019 election 64 6 10 0 NDA
Actual Results 36 43 0 1

Uttarakhand

Polling agency Lead
NDA INDIA Others
Actual Results 5 0 0 NDA

West Bengal

Polling agency Lead
NDA AITC LF+INC Others
ABP News-CVoter 23-27 13-17 1-3 0 NDA
DB Live 11-12 26-28 2-4 0 AITC
India Today- Axis My India 26-31 11-14 0-2 0 NDA
India News-Dynamics 21 19 2 0 NDA
India TV-CNX 22-26 14-18 1-2 0 NDA
NDTV-Jan Ki Baat 21-26 18-16 0-3 0 NDA
News 24-Today's Chanakya 24 17 1 0 NDA
News 18-CNBC 21-24 18-21 0 0 NDA
News Nation 19 22 1 0 AITC
Republic TV-Matrize 21-25 16-21 0 0 NDA
Republic TV-PMarq 22 20 0 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG 21 20 1 0 NDA
TV9 Bharatvarsh- People's Insight -Polstrat 21 20 1 0 NDA
2019 election 18 22 2 0 AITC
Actual Results

See also

References

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  303. "ABP-CVoter Exit Poll: Results for Andhra Pradesh, BJP May Get a 52.9% Vote Share". ABP News. 1 June 2024. Retrieved 3 June 2024.
  304. "ABP-CVoter Exit Poll: Results for Andhra Pradesh, BJP May Get a 52.9% Vote Share". ABP News. 1 June 2024. Retrieved 3 June 2024.
  305. PTI (30 March 2024). "No exit poll from 7 a.m. on April 19 to 6.30 p.m. on June 1, says Election Commission of India". The Hindu. ISSN 0971-751X. Retrieved 14 May 2024.
  306. "Odisha Assembly Exit Poll Results 2024: Can Naveen Patnaik overturn BJP's Lok Sabha exit poll predication in the state?". Business Today. 1 June 2024. Retrieved 2 June 2024.
  307. "Odisha Lok Sabha Election 2024 Exit Poll: BJP overtakes BJD with massive gains in coastal state". www.indiatvnews.com. 1 June 2024. Retrieved 2 June 2024.

Notes

  1. Some polls did not differentiate between UDF and LDF, even though they are contesting separately.
  2. Some polls did not differentiate between UDF and LDF, even though they are contesting separately.
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