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| Author | A.W. Montford |
|---|---|
| Language | English |
| Subject | Climate change |
| Genre | Non-Fiction, Polemic |
| Publisher | Stacey International |
| Publication date | 2010 |
| Publication place | United Kingdom |
| Pages | 482 |
| ISBN | 978 1 906768 35 5 |
The Hockey Stick Illusion: Climategate and the Corruption of Science is a book written by Andrew Montford and published by Stacey International in 2010. Montford, who is skeptical of man made climate change, provides his analysis of the history of the "hockey stick graph" of global temperatures for the last 1000 years. The graph was first published in 1998, and was included prominently in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Third Assessment Report in 2001.
Synopsis
The Hockey Stick Illusion relates the story of Michael E. Mann, Raymond S. Bradley and Malcolm K. Hughes's "hockey stick graph" from a skeptical perspective. Starting with a brief summary of the consensus view prior to 1998, and the first incarnation of the hockey stick graph, the book traces the history of what Montford claims is the slow unraveling of that same graph.
The last few chapters of the book deal with the Climatic Research Unit email controversy (Climategate). Here, the author compares several e-mails to the evidence he presents in The Hockey Stick Illusion. Montford focuses on those e-mails dealing with the peer review process and how these pertained to Stephen McIntyre's efforts to obtain the data and methodology from Mann's and other paleoclimatologists' published works.
Many subsequent scientific papers have produced reconstructions broadly similar to the original Mann et al. (1998) hockey-stick graph using various statistical techniques and combinations of proxy records.
Reception
Matt Ridley likened the book to a detective story, describing it as "one of the best science books in years" and complimenting the way it dissects what he calls "a great scientific mistake". Christopher Booker also recommends the book as a "full account" of the IPCC's use of the hockey stick graph in its Third and Fourth Assessment Reports. Writing in Discovery News, Discovery Institute co-founder George Gilder compared the portrayal of Stephen McIntyre's pursuit of the data underlying the "hockey stick" graph with the lead detective character in the Columbo televison series.
An article by Bruce Robbins in The Courier states that the book shows that the science involved in climate change has been corrupted by political and environmental agendas. Robbins concludes, "The evidence against man-made global warming is growing and the Hockey Stick Illusion stands as the definitive account of a pivotal point in climate change science."
Andrew Orlowski in an interview with the author said, " has provided the storytelling to match the detective work and persistence of another blogger, Steve McIntyre".
The author
Andrew Montford is a Chartered Accountant who also works in science publishing, and is author of the blog, Bishop Hill. After following a link from a blog posted by Tim Worstall to Climate Audit, Montford changed the focus of his blog to climate change from a skeptical viewpoint.
See also
- Medieval warm period
- Historical climatology
- Hockey stick controversy
- Climatic Research Unit email controversy
References
- ^ David Leigh, Charles Arthur and Rob Evans (2010-02-04). "Detectives question climate change scientist over email leaks". Guardian. Retrieved 2010-04-14.
- Webster, Ben (23 March 2010). "Lord Oxburgh, the climate science peer, 'has a conflict of interest'". Times Newspapers Ltd. Times Online. Retrieved 7 April 2010.
- Fred Pearce (9 February 2010). "Part four: Climate change debate overheated after sceptics grasped 'hockey stick' | Environment". The Guardian. Retrieved 2010-03-08.
- Matt Ridley (2010-03-10). "The case against the hockey stick". Prospect (prospectmagazine.co.uk). Retrieved 2010-04-03.
- Matt Ridley (2010-02-03). "The global warming guerrillas". The Spectator (spectator.co.uk). Retrieved 2010-04-09.
- Christopher Booker (7:49PM GMT 27 Feb 2010). "A perfect storm is brewing for the IPCC". www.telegraph.co.uk. Retrieved Saturday, Apr 03 2010.
{{cite news}}: Check date values in:|accessdate=and|date=(help) - George Gilder (2010-02-25). "George Gilder Hails "The Hockey Stick Illusion" on the Science Scandal of Global Warming". discoverynews.org. Retrieved 2010-02-25.
In this story, the Columbo figure is Steve McIntyre, a Canadian mining consultant, and A.W. Montford's book tells the gripping and suspenseful details of McIntyre's pursuit of the self-denominated "hockey team" led by Michael Mann, who wrote the key chapters on his own work for the IPCC, and Phil Jones, who maintains the temperature record used by the IPCC to document the "Hockey Stick" claiming allegedly unprecedented and anomalous anthropogenic global warming in the Twentieth Century while denying that any comparable or greater warming occurred in the Medieval period.
- Bruce Robbins (2010-04-02). "Climate of Change". The Courier.
- Orlowski, Andrew (8th February 2010). "Bishop Hill: Gonzo science and the Hockey Stick Torturing the climate numbers until they confess". The Register. Retrieved 26 April 2010.
{{cite news}}: Check date values in:|date=(help) - ICAS. "The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Scotland (ICAS)". ICAS. Retrieved 19 April 2010.
- "People". Anglosphere Editing Limited. Retrieved 26 April 2010.
- Montford, Andrew (2010-03-25). "Heated discussions". Times Higher Education. Retrieved 26 April 2010.
Further reading
- Booker, Christopher (2009). The Real Global Warming Disaster. Continuum International Publishing Group Ltd. ISBN 1441110526.
- Montford, Andrew (2008-08-11). "Casper and the Jesus paper". Retrieved 2010-04-01.