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Growth of religion may be measured by:
- The absolute number of adherents.
- The percentage of the absolute growth per year.
- The growth of the number of converts in the world.
Introduction
Bahá'í Faith
Main article: Bahá'í statisticsWorld religions statistics place the Bahá'í Faith around 0.1% of the world population in recent years. The World Christian Encyclopedia estimated only 7.1 million Bahá'ís in the world in 2000, representing 218 countries and its evolution to the World Christian Database(WCD) estimated 7.3 million in 2010 while accredited through the Association of Religion Data Archives(ARDA). However the WCD stated: "The Baha'i Faith is the only religion to have grown faster in every United Nations region over the past 100 years than the general population; Baha’i(sic) was thus the fastest-growing religion between 1910 and 2010, growing at least twice as fast as the population of almost every UN region." This source's only documented flaw was to consistently have a higher estimate of Christians than in other cross-national data sets.
From its origins in the Persian and Ottoman Empires of the 19th century the Bahá'í Faith was able to gain converts elsewhere in Asia, Europe, and North America by the early 20th century. John Esslemont performed the first review of the worldwide progress of the religion in 1919. `Abdu'l-Bahá, son of the founder of the religion, then set goals for the community through his Tablets of the Divine Plan shortly before his death. Shoghi Effendi then initiated systematic pioneering efforts which brought the religion to almost every country and territory of the world and converts from more than 2000 tribes and peoples. There were serious setbacks in the Soviet Union where Bahá'í communities in 38 cities across Soviet territories ceased to exist. However plans continued building to 1953 when the Bahá'ís initiated a Ten Year Crusade after plans had focused on Latin America and Europe after WWII. That last stage was largely towards parts of Africa. Wide-scale growth in the religion across Sub-Saharan Africa particularly was observed to begin in 1950s and extend in the 1960s. There was diplomatic pressure from northern arab countries against this development that was eventually overcome. Starting in the 1980s with Perestroyka the Bahá'ís began to re-organize across the Soviet Union and Eastern Bloc. While sometimes failing to meet official minimums for recognitions as a religion, communities of Bahá'ís do exist from Poland to Mongolia. The worldwide progress was such that the Encyclopedia Britannica (2002) identified the religion as the second-most geographically widespread religion after Christianity. It has established Bahá'í Houses of Worship by continental region and been the object of interest and support of diverse non-Bahá'í notable people from Leo Tolstoy to Khalil Gibran to Mohandas K. Gandhi to Desmond Tutu. See List of Bahá'ís for a list of notable Bahá'ís.
ARDA/WCD statistics place the Bahá'í Faith as currently the largest religious minority in Iran (despite significant persecution and the overall Iranian diaspora), Panama, and Belize; the second largest international religion in Bolivia, Zambia, and Papua New Guinea; and the third largest international religion in Chad and Kenya.
A Bahá'í published survey reported 4.74 million Bahá'ís in 1987. Bahá'í sources since 1991 usually estimate the worldwide Bahá'í population to be "above 5 million".
Buddhism
Buddhism is based on the teachings of Siddhartha Gautama, commonly known as the Buddha, who lived and taught in northeastern India in the 5th century BC. The majority of Buddhists live in Asia; Europe and North America also have populations exceeding 1 million. According to scholars of religious demographics, there are between 200 million and 600 million Buddhists, with 350–550 million the most widely accepted estimate. Due to the syncretic nature of religious beliefs in East Asia, however, some believe the Buddhist population exceeds 1 billion. According to Todd M. Johnson and Brian J. Grim, "The Buddhist worldview and key rituals impact the whole of Chinese culture, including many Chinese who claim to be agnostic or atheist. In this 'wider' definition it is approximate to speak of 1 billion Buddhists."
Buddhism is being recognized as the fastest growing religion in Western societies both in terms of new converts and more so in terms of friends of Buddhism, who seek to study and practice various aspects of Buddhism.
One estimate ranks Buddhism among the fastest growing religions in the United States and in many Western European countries. The Australian Bureau of Statistics through statistical analysis held Buddhism to be the fastest growing spiritual tradition/religion in Australia in terms of percentage gain with a growth of 79.1% for the period 1996 to 2001 (200,000→358,000). Buddhism is the fastest-growing religion in England's jails, with the number of followers rising eightfold over the past decade. A traditional belief among its majority Chinese population, Buddhism is the fastest growing religion in Macau.
Christianity
Further information: Christian population growthAccording to a 2005 paper submitted to a meeting of the American Political Science Association, most of this growth has occurred in non-Western countries and concludes the Pentecostalism movement is the fastest growing religion worldwide.
In Vietnam, the US Department of State estimates that Protestants in Vietnam may have grown 600% over the last decade. In Nigeria, the numbers of Christians has grown from 21.4% in 1953 to 50.8% in 2010. In South Korea, Christianity has grown from 20.7% in 1985 to 29.3% in 2010. However, Protestant Christianity is now seeing a decline in the country due to scandals involving church leadership and an increasing negative outlook at Protestant missionary tactics. As a result, Catholicism and Buddhism have become the fastest growing religions in South Korea. In China, a recent boom in the Christian population has been called one of the "greatest revivals in Christian history". Mainland China now has about 67 million Christians, or about 5% of the total population, despite considerable persecution under Chairman Mao. The Christian population in China is expected to reach over 400 million people by 2040, which would give China the highest Christian population of any country.
Evangelical Christian denominations are among the fastest growing denominations in some Catholic Christian countries, such as Brazil and France. In Brazil, the total number of Protestants jumped from 16.2% in 2000 to 22.2% in 2010 (for the first time the percentage of Catholics in Brazil is less than 70%).
Mormonism
The records of The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints show membership growth every decade since its beginning in the 1830s. Following initial growth rates that averaged 10% to 25% per year in the 1830s through 1850s, it grew at about 4% per year through the last four decades of the 19th century. After a steady slowing of growth in the first four decades of the 20th century to a rate of about 2% per year in the 1930s (the Great Depression years), growth boomed to an average of 6% per year for the decade around 1960, staying around 4% to 5% through 1990. After 1990, average annual growth again slowed steadily to a rate around 2.5% for the first decade of the 21st century, still double the world population growth rate of 1.2% for the same period. Rodney Stark predicts that it could become a major world religion by the end of the 21st century if the current growth trend of between 30% and 50% per decade continues. Currently its growth rate, not internationally but in the United States, is at 1.6%, about the rate of the growth of the rest of the U.S. population, which is still the largest growth of the top ten largest Christian denominations, with many other churches having negative growth.
Deism
The 2001 American Religious Identification Survey (ARIS) survey, which involved 50,000 participants, reported that the number of participants in the survey identifying themselves as deists grew at the rate of 717% between 1990 and 2001. If this were generalized to the US population as a whole, it would make deism the fastest-growing religious classification in the US for that period, with the reported total of 49,000 self-identified adherents representing about 0.02% of the US population at the time.
Hinduism
80% of the population of the Republic of India are Hindus, accounting for about 90% of Hindus worldwide. Their 10-year growth rate is estimated at 20% (based on the period 1991 to 2001), corresponding to a yearly growth close to 2% or a doubling time of about 38 years. However, the percentage of Hindus in the population of India has decreased by 3 percentage points since 1961, dropping from 83.5% in 1961 to 80.5% in 2001.
Islam Islam is the fastest growing religion in the world. Indeed, one out of every five persons on this earth is a Muslim. There are nearly 3 million Muslims living in United Kingdom and the number is growing. Yet, unfortunately, Islam is also the most misunderstood religion. Muslims live in different parts of the world ranging from China to Argentina, Russia to South Africa. The country with the largest Muslim population is Indonesia.
Islam means the active submission to the one God. It is strictly a monotheistic religion since it restricts worship to the one supreme Lord who is the Originator and Creator of the universe. Peace (the root from which the word Islam is derived) is attained through complete obedience to the commandments of God, for God is the source of all peace. Muslims are those who believe in one God and in Muhammad as the final Prophet of God. They devote their lives to the service of God, the Creator and Sustainer of the universe.
Islam teaches that God (called Allah in Arabic) is the source of all creation and that human beings are the best of His creation. He communicates by inspiring them towards goodness and by sending Prophets who deliver God’s message. Muslims believe that the first Prophet was Adam followed by a long chain of Prophets to guide humanity. The Qur’an, according to Muslim belief, is the word of God revealed to Prophet Muhammad. It mentions many other Prophets like Noah, Abraham, Isaac, Ishmael, Moses, Jacob, Joseph and Jesus. All the Prophets brought the same message, i.e., belief in one God, upright human conduct and belief in the accountability of human acts at the end of time.
Islam is the final religion revealed to human beings through the last Prophet who was called Muhammad. He was born in Mecca (in Saudi Arabia) in the year 570 A.D. Muhammad was a very truthful and honest person. He was also very pious and detested the moral decadence of his society. At the age of forty, God asked him, through the angel Gabriel, to proclaim the religion of Islam publicly. God’s message to humanity was delivered in the Qur’an which was revealed to Muhammad. The Qur’an, which is the holy book for Muslims, contains 114 chapters (called Suras). Muslims believe that it is the pure word of God, unadulterated over 14 centuries. It deals with issues that affect human beings in their earthly lives; issues like piety, upright human conduct, worship, the creation of a just and virtuous society and the practice of ethics.
Islam has two major schools of thought – the Shi’a and the Sunni. The Sunnis believe that the community selected its own leader after Prophet Muhammad’s death whereas the Shi’as believe that the Prophet had appointed ‘Ali, by divine will, to be his successor. Leadership is thus divinely designated. It is to be noted that both the Sunnis and the Shi’as are united in their major beliefs i.e., they believe in the same God, the same book, the same Prophets and pray in the same direction. The differences are mainly theological and jurisprudential.
The Teachings of Islam
Islam teaches that human beings are born pure and sinless. No one is responsible for, or can take responsibility for the sins of others. The doors of forgiveness are always open for those who repent sincerely. God continuously reminds us in the Qur’an of His infinite mercy and compassion. Muslims are enjoined to maintain inner spiritual purity through constant remembrance and prayer to God. Islam balances the spiritual dimension by emphasizing human responsibility. Human beings are created with a purpose. Attainment of piety is but one dimension of such purpose; playing an active role in the creation of a just society is another. Because Muslims attach importance to what happens in this world, they have made substantial contributions to the development of science, medicine, mathematics, physics, astronomy, geography and literature.
Muslims like Avicenna and Averroes have played major roles in the advancement of science in the West. The first university in the world was established by Imam Jafar Al-Sadiq in Madina, Arabia. Many crucial systems such as the Arabic numerals, algebra, the first map of the globe and navigational maps were developed by Muslims and adopted by the medieval Europeans.
Apart from human responsibility, Islam also teaches human accountability. The final destination of human beings is the hereafter. Muslims believe that, at the end of time, all human beings will be resurrected to account for their deeds. Those who have performed righteous deeds will be rewarded with eternal bliss in heaven and those who have performed evil acts will be punished in hell.
Islam and War
The concept of jihad (wrongly translated as holy war) refers to the duty of Muslims to struggle for their faith and the welfare of the Muslim community. The Qur’an does not permit aggression against anyone and Prophet Muhammad propagated his message in a peaceful manner. Warfare is permitted only in self-defence. However, it must be noted that people only resort to violence when their basic human rights are violated and when all attempts at peaceful settlement are thwarted.
Islam and Human Rights
Islam teaches that human beings have a moral obligation to live in harmony with one another. Islam also recognizes and accords rights to all human beings regardless of race, color or creed. Islam requires its followers to show respect and tolerance even to those who do not share their faith. Prophet Muhammad said: “God has no mercy on one who shows no mercy to others”.
Freedom of conscience is guaranteed by the Qur’an itself. It states:
Wicca
The American Religious Identification Survey gives Wicca an average annual growth of 143% for the period 1990 to 2001 (from 8,000 to 134,000 – U.S. data / similar for Canada & Australia). According to The Statesman Anne Elizabeth Wynn claims "The two most recent American Religious Identification Surveys declare Wicca, one form of paganism, as the fastest growing spiritual identification in America". The "Free Press Release Distribution Service" claims Wicca is one of the fastest growing religions in the United States as well. Wicca which is largely a Pagan religion is primarily attracting the followers of nature based religions in the Southern United States which is contributing towards its growth.
Nonreligious
Further information: Irreligion by countrySee also: Demographics of atheismIn terms of absolute numbers, irreligion appears to be increasing (along with secularization generally). Even so, it is decreasing as a percentage of the world population, due primarily to population increases in more religious developing countries outpacing population growth (or decline) in less religious developed countries. (See the geographic distribution of atheism.)
The American Religious Identification Survey gave nonreligious groups the largest gain in terms of absolute numbers: 14.3 million (8.4% of the population) to 29.4 million (14.1% of the population) for the period 1990–2001 in the U.S. A 2012 study by the Pew Forum on Religion & Public Life reports, "The number of Americans who do not identify with any religion continues to grow at a rapid pace. One-fifth of the U.S. public – and a third of adults under 30 – are religiously unaffiliated today, the highest percentages ever in Pew Research Center polling." A similar pattern has been found in other countries such as Australia, Canada, and Mexico. According to statistics in Canada, the number of "Nones" increased by about 60% between 1985 and 2004. In Australia, census data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics give "no religion" the largest gains in absolute numbers over the 15 years from 1991 to 2006, from 2,948,888 (18.2% of the population that answered the question) to 3,706,555 (21.0% of the population that answered the question). According to INEGI, in Mexico, the number of atheists grows annually by 5.2%, while the number of Catholics grows by 1.7%. In New Zealand, 39% of the population are irreligious making it largest percentage of total population in Oceania region.
Religious growth
Data collection
Statistics on religious adherence are difficult to gather and often contradictory; statistics for the change of religious adherence are even more so, requiring multiple surveys separated by many years using the same data gathering rules. This has only been achieved in rare cases, and then only for a particular country, such as the American Religious Identification Survey in the United States, or census data from Australia (which has included a voluntary religious question since 1911).
Historical growth
The World Religion Database (WRD) is a peer-reviewed database of international religious statistics based on research conducted at the Institute on Culture, Religion & World Affairs at Boston University. It is published by Brill and is the most comprehensive database of religious demographics available to scholars, providing data for all of the world's countries. Adherence data is largely compiled from census and surveys; the WRD methodology is available online. The database groups adherents into 18 broadly-defined categories: Agnostics, Atheists, Baha'is, Buddhists, Chinese folk-religionists, Christians, Confucianists, Daoists, Ethnoreligionists, Hindus, Jains, Jews, Muslims, New Religionists, Shintoists, Sikhs, Spiritists, and Zoroastrians. The WRD is edited by demographers Todd M. Johnson and Brian J. Grim.
Religion | 1910 | 2010 | Rate* | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Adherents | % | Adherents | % | 1910–2010 | 2000–2010 | |
Christianity | 611,810,000 | 34.8 | 2,260,440,000 | 32.8 | 1.32 | 1.31 |
Islam | 221,749,000 | 12.6 | 1,553,773,000 | 22.5 | 1.97 | 1.86 |
Hinduism | 223,383,000 | 12.7 | 948,575,000 | 13.8 | 1.46 | 1.41 |
Agnosticism | 3,369,000 | 0.2 | 676,944,000 | 9.8 | 5.45 | 0.32 |
Chinese folk religion | 390,504,000 | 22.2 | 436,258,000 | 6.3 | 0.11 | 0.16 |
Buddhism | 138,064,000 | 7.9 | 494,881,000 | 7.2 | 1.28 | 0.99 |
Ethnoreligion | 135,074,000 | 7.7 | 242,516,000 | 3.5 | 0.59 | 1.06 |
Atheism | 243,000 | 0.0 | 136,652,000 | 2.0 | 6.54 | 0.05 |
New religion | 6,865,000 | 0.4 | 63,004,000 | 0.9 | 2.24 | 0.29 |
Sikhism | 3,232,000 | 0.2 | 23,927,000 | 0.3 | 2.02 | 1.54 |
Judaism | 13,193,000 | 0.8 | 14,761,000 | 0.2 | 0.11 | 0.72 |
Spiritualism | 324,000 | 0.0 | 13,700,000 | 0.2 | 3.82 | 0.94 |
Daoism | 437,000 | 0.0 | 8,429,000 | 0.1 | 3.00 | 1.73 |
Bahá'í Faith | 225,000 | 0.0 | 7,306,000 | 0.1 | 3.54 | 1.72 |
Confucianism | 760,000 | 0.0 | 6,449,000 | 0.1 | 2.16 | 0.36 |
Jainism | 1,446,000 | 0.1 | 5,316,000 | 0.1 | 1.31 | 1.53 |
Shinto | 7,613,000 | 0.4 | 2,761,000 | 0.0 | −1.01 | 0.09 |
Zoroastrianism | 119,000 | 0.0 | 197,000 | 0.0 | 0.51 | 0.74 |
Total Population: | 1,758,412,000 | 100.0 | 6,895,889,000 | 100.0 | 1.38 | 1.20 |
*Rate = average annual growth rate, percent per year indicated Source: Todd M. Johnson and Brian J. Grim, eds. World Religion Database (Boston, MA: Brill; accessed January 2012) |
Future growth
Projections of future religious adherence are based off assumptions that present trends—total fertility rates, life expectancies, political climate, conversion rates, etc.—will continue into the future. Such forecasts cannot be validated empirically and are contentious, but are useful for comparison. The WRD provides projections up to 2050.
Religion | 2010 | 2050 | Growth % | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Adherents | % | Adherents | % | 2010–2050 | ||||
Christianity | 2,260,440,000 | 32.8 | 3,327,384,000 | 35.8 | 0.97 | |||
Islam | 1,553,773,000 | 22.5 | 2,554,874,000 | 27.5 | 1.25 | |||
Hinduism | 948,575,000 | 13.8 | 1,264,863,000 | 13.6 | 0.72 | |||
Agnosticism | 676,944,000 | 9.8 | 674,949,000 | 7.3 | −0.01 | |||
Buddhism | 494,881,000 | 7.2 | 556,286,000 | 6.0 | 0.29 | |||
Chinese folk religion | 436,258,000 | 6.3 | 379,459,000 | 4.1 | −0.35 | |||
Ethnoreligion | 242,516,000 | 3.5 | 240,408,000 | 2.6 | −0.02 | |||
Atheism | 136,652,000 | 2.0 | 132,613,000 | 1.4 | −0.07 | |||
New religion | 63,004,000 | 0.9 | 59,964,000 | 0.6 | −0.12 | |||
Sikhism | 23,927,000 | 0.3 | 34,267,000 | 0.4 | 0.90 | |||
Judaism | 14,761,000 | 0.2 | 18,338,000 | 0.2 | 0.54 | |||
Spiritualism | 13,700,000 | 0.2 | 15,883,000 | 0.2 | 0.37 | |||
Bahá'í Faith | 7,306,000 | 0.1 | 15,343,000 | 0.2 | 1.87 | |||
Daoism | 8,429,000 | 0.1 | 15,018,000 | 0.2 | 1.45 | |||
Jainism | 5,316,000 | 0.1 | 7,943,000 | 0.1 | 1.01 | |||
Confucianism | 6,449,000 | 0.1 | 6,015,000 | 0.1 | −0.17 | |||
Shinto | 2,761,000 | 0.0 | 2,355,000 | 0.0 | −0.40 | |||
Zoroastrianism | 197,000 | 0.0 | 168,000 | 0.0 | −0.40 | |||
Total Population: | 6,895,889,000 | 100.0 | 9,306,949,000 | 100.0 | 0.75 | |||
Source: Todd M. Johnson and Brian J. Grim, eds. World Religion Database (Boston, MA: Brill; accessed January 2012) |
See also
Notes
- Atheism and agnosticism are not typically considered religions, but data about the prevalence of irreligion is useful to scholars of religious demography.
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- Millions of Brazilians march for Jesus | Deseret News
- French Evangelicals through an American lens
- Template:Pt icon Percent of Brazilian Catholics is below 70% for the first time
- Phillips, Rick; Cragun, Ryan T., Mormons in the United States 1990–2008: Socio-demographic Trends and Regional Differences (PDF), Trinity College
- Brooks, Joanna (February 2, 2012), Mormon Numbers Not Adding Up, Religion Dispatches
- Yeakley, Richard (February 15, 2011). "Growth stalls, falls for largest U.S. churches". USA Today. (Religion News Service).
- ^ American Religious Identification Survey, Key Findings The Graduate Center of the City University of New York
- "Census of India". Census of India. Census Data 2001: India at a glance: Religious Composition. Office of the Registrar General and Census Commissioner, India. Retrieved 2008-11-26. The data is "unadjusted" (without excluding Assam and Jammu and Kashmir); 1981 census was not conducted in Assam and 1991 census was not conducted in Jammu and Kashmir.
- http://pewforum.org/newassets/surveys/pentecostal/pentecostals-08.pdf
- ^ American Religious Identification Survey, Full PDF Document The Graduate Center of the City University of New York
- (Elizabeth) Wynn, Anne. "Our year-long exploration of religions ends with Unitarianian Universalism and paganism". The Statesman.com. Retrieved 2 January 2012.
- "PRLog (Press Release) "Wicca"- The Fastest Growing Belief System In The World Today!". PRLog. Retrieved 2 January 2012.
- Puffer, Nancy. "Rise in paganism in Southeast Valley mirrors U.S. trend". azcentral.com. Retrieved 2 January 2012.
- "American Nones: The Profile of the No Religion Population". American Religious Identification Survey. 2008. Retrieved 19 October 2012.
- "'No Religion' on the Rise: One-in-Five Adults Have No Religious Affiliation". Pew Forum on Religion & Public Life. 9 October 2012. Retrieved 19 October 2012.
- http://www.statcan.gc.ca/pub/11-008-x/2006001/9181-eng.htm#decline StatsCan, "Who is Religious?" by by Warren Clark and Grant Schellenberg
- 2006 Census Table : Australia
- México sigue siendo católico… pero crece el número de ateos
- Catholic News Agency
- "International Religious Freedom Report 2012 – New Zealand". U.S. Bureau of Democracy, Human Rights, and Labor. Retrieved 28 July 2013.
- "2006 Census Tables : Australia".
- Dekker, Jennifer (2010). "World Religion Database" (PDF). The Charleston Advisor. 11 (3): 57–60. ISSN 1525-4003. Retrieved 2 September 2013.
External links
- FAQ from Adherents.com describing why it is difficult to measure the fastest growing religion
- Religious Projections for the Next 200 Years from World Network of Religious Futurists