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Global Terrorism Index

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A world map indicating the GTI by country (based on 2015 data).

The Global Terrorism Index (GTI) is an attempt to systematically rank the nations of the world according to terrorist activity. The index combines a number of factors associated with terrorist attacks to build an explicit picture of the impact of terrorism over a 10-year period, illustrating trends, and providing a data series for analysis by researchers and policymakers. It is the product of Institute for Economics and Peace (IEP) and is based on data from the Global Terrorism Database (GTD) which is collected and collated by the National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START) at the University of Maryland. The GTD has codified over 125,000 cases of terrorism.

Global Terrorism Index Report 2016

Rank Country Score Change in score
(Actual year 2015 to 2016)
1  Pakistan 10 Increase 0.406
2  Afghanistan 9.233 Increase 0.238
3  Nigeria 9.213 Increase 1.018
4  Iraq 9.065 Increase 0.027
5  Syria 8.108 Decrease 0.458
6  Angola 7.747 Increase 0.358
7  Yemen 7.642 Increase 0.486
8  Somalia 7.6 Increase 0.48
9  Libya 7.29 Increase 0.966
10  Thailand 7.279 Increase 0.096
11  Philippines 7.27 Increase 0.073
12  Ukraine 7.2 Increase 4.059
13  Egypt 6.813 Increase 0.475
14  Central African Republic 6.721 Increase 1.638
15  South Sudan 6.712 Increase 1.392
16  Sudan 6.686 Increase 0.988
17  Colombia 6.662 Increase 0.218
18  Kenya 6.66 Increase 0.362
19  Republic of the Congo 6.487 Increase 0.733
20  Cameroon 6.466 Increase 4.945
21  Lebanon 6.376 Increase 0.17
22  China 6.294 Increase 1.212
23  Russia 6.207 Decrease -0.432
24  Israel 6.034 Increase 1.118
25  Mali 5.871 Increase 0.683
26  Turkey 5.737 Decrease -0.144
27  United Kingdom 5.613 Increase 0.162
28  Greece 4.976 Decrease -0.259
29  Uganda 4.894 Increase 2.133
30  Bahrain 4.871 Increase 0.198
31  Nepal 4.791 Decrease -0.643
32  Indonesia 4.755 Decrease -0.021
33  Algeria 4.75 Decrease -0.635
34  United States 4.613 Decrease -0.055
35  France 4.553 Decrease -0.331
36  Mozambique 4.386 Increase 0.278
37  South Africa 4.231 Increase 0.707
38  Iran 4.222 Decrease -0.439
39  Paraguay 4.094 Increase 0.391
40  Myanmar 4.08 Decrease -0.275
41  Sri Lanka 4.077 Increase 0.004
42  Saudi Arabia 4.006 Increase 1.234
43  Mexico 3.985 Decrease -0.524
44  Tanzania 3.979 Increase 0.356
45  Chile 3.969 Increase 0.797
46  Tunisia 3.697 Increase 0.145
47  Ireland 3.663 Increase 0.487
48  Malaysia 3.579 Increase 0.056
49  Ethiopia 3.544 Decrease -0.085
50  Niger 3.485 Increase 0.767
51  Senegal 3.467 Decrease -0.067
52  Germany 3.442 Increase 1.676
53  Italy 3.364 Increase 0.483
54  Burundi 3.342 Decrease -0.506
55  Rwanda 3.334 Decrease -0.476
56  Peru 3.316 Increase 0.051
57  Ivory Coast 3.141 Decrease -0.657
58  Australia 3.114 Increase 2.894
59  Sweden 3.083 Increase 1.37
60  Cyprus 3.08 Decrease -0.106
61  Kosovo 3.018 Decrease -0.188
62  Nicaragua 2.928 Increase 2.928
63  Norway 2.738 Decrease -0.674
64  Spain 2.622 Decrease -0.112
65  Dominican Republic 2.581 Increase 1.394
66  Djibouti 2.567 Increase 2.567
67  Czech Republic 2.484 Increase 1.62
68  Madagascar 2.444 Increase 0.635
69  Bulgaria 2.421 Decrease -0.333
70  Georgia 2.373 Decrease -0.576
71  Canada 2.297 Increase 0.368
72  North Macedonia 2.252 Increase 0.875
73  Brazil 2.207 Increase 0.585
74  Chad 2.142 Increase 1.937
75  Venezuela 2.139 Increase 1.514
76  Belarus 2.125 Decrease -0.653
77  Albania 2.116 Increase 1.896
78  Austria 2.088 Increase 0.406
79  Honduras 2.077 Decrease -0.261
80  Guatemala 2.009 Decrease -0.632
81  Belgium 1.977 Increase 0.944
82  Kazakhstan 1.881 Decrease -0.666
83  Tajikistan 1.869 Decrease -0.244
84  Jordan 1.751 Decrease -0.207
85  Kyrgyzstan 1.722 Increase 1.474
86  Zimbabwe 1.71 Increase 0.141
87  Argentina 1.674 Decrease -0.682
89  Eritrea 1.636 Decrease -0.709
90  Trinidad and Tobago 1.583 Decrease -0.646
91  Bosnia and Herzegovina 1.516 Increase 0.038
92  Morocco 1.446 Decrease -0.648
93  Azerbaijan 1.381 Increase 1.247
93  Ghana 1.381 Increase 1.381
94  Switzerland 1.349 Decrease -0.677
95  Iceland 1.219 Increase 1.143
96  Liberia 1.219 Increase 1.143
97  Guinea 1.187 Decrease -0.665
98  Hungary 1.187 Increase 1.044
99  New Zealand 1.187 Increase 1.187
100  United Arab Emirates 1.045 Increase 0.768
101  Democratic Republic of the Congo 0.823 Decrease -0.683
102  Montenegro 0.659 Decrease -0.657
103  Ecuador 0.577 Decrease -0.699
104  Netherlands 0.429 Decrease -0.596
105  Serbia 0.41 Decrease -0.744
106  Bhutan 0.305 Steady 0
107  Burkina Faso 0.305 Decrease -0.354
108  Mauritania 0.305 Decrease -0.841
109  Portugal 0.267 Decrease -0.282
110  India 0.243 Decrease -0.443
111  Jamaica 0.229 Increase 0.229
112  Cambodia 0.153 Decrease -0.152
113  Guinea-Bissau 0.153 Decrease -0.267
114  Taiwan 0.153 Decrease -0.152
115  Armenia 0.115 Decrease -0.229
116  Croatia 0.115 Decrease -0.114
117  Denmark 0.091 Decrease -0.09
118  Bolivia 0.076 Decrease -0.349
119  Estonia 0.076 Decrease -0.077
120  Laos 0.038 Decrease -0.038
121  Moldova 0.038 Decrease -0.31
122  Kuwait 0.019 Decrease -0.019
123  South Korea 0 Steady 0
124  Benin 0 Steady 0
125  Botswana 0 Steady 0
126  Costa Rica 0 Steady 0
127  Cuba 0 Steady 0
128  El Salvador 0 Steady 0
129  Equatorial Guinea 0 Decrease -0.129
130  Finland 0 Steady 0
131  Gabon 0 Steady 0
132  Gambia 0 Steady 0
133  Guyana 0 Steady 0
134  Haiti 0 Steady 0
135  Japan 0 Decrease -0.086
136  Latvia 0 Steady 0
137  Lesotho 0 Decrease -0.086
138  Lithuania 0 Steady 0
139  Malawi 0 Steady 0
140  Mauritius 0 Steady 0
141  Mongolia 0 Steady 0
142  Namibia 0 Steady 0
143  North Korea 0 Steady 0
144  Oman 0 Steady 0
145  Panama 0 Decrease -0.038
146  Papua New Guinea 0 Steady 0
147  Poland 0 Steady 0
148  Qatar 0 Steady 0
149  Romania 0 Steady 0
150  Sierra Leone 0 Steady 0
151  Singapore 0 Steady 0
152  Slovakia 0 Steady 0
153  Slovenia 0 Steady 0
154  Bangladesh 0 Steady 0
155  Eswatini 0 Steady 0
156  Timor-Leste 0 Steady 0
157  Togo 0 Steady 0
158  Turkmenistan 0 Steady 0
159  Uruguay 0 Steady 0
160  Uzbekistan 0 Decrease -0.286
161  Vietnam 0 Steady 0
162  Zambia 0 Steady 0

Methodology

GTI Scoring System

The GTI score for a country in a given year is based on a unique scoring system to account for the relative impact of incidents in the year. There are four factors counted in each country's yearly score:

Each of the factors is weighted differently and a five-year weighted average is applied to importantly reflect the lingering psychological effect of terrorist acts over time. The weightings shown in the table below were determined by consultation with the GPI Expert Panel:

Dimension Weight
Total number of incidents 1
Total number of fatalities 3
Total number of injuries 0.5
Sum of property damages measure 2

The greatest weighting is attributed to a fatality. The property damage measure is further disaggregated into four bands depending on the measured scope of the property damage inflicted by one incident. These bandings are shown in the table below, whereby incidents causing less than US$1 million are accorded a weight of 1, between $1 million and $1 billion, and more than $1 billion. A great majority of incidents are coded in the GTD as an 'unknown' level of property damage, thus scoring nil, with 'catastrophic' events being extremely rare.

Code Damage level
0 Unknown
1 Minor (likely < $1 million)
2 Major (likely between $1 million and $1 billion)
3 Catastrophic (likely > $1 billion)

Example of a country's GTI Score

To assign a relative number to how a country has been directly impacted by terrorism in any given year, for every incident recorded, the GTI calculates a weighted sum of all indicators. To illustrate, the table below depicts a hypothetical country's score for a given year:

Dimension Weight # of records for the given year Score
Total number of incidents 1 21 21
Total number of fatalities 3 36 108
Total number of injuries 0.5 53 26.5
Sum of property damages measure 2 20 40
Total Raw Score 195.5

Given these indicator values, the country for that year would be assessed as having a raw impact of terrorism score of:

(1 x 21) + (3 x 36) + (0.5 x 53) + (2 x 20) = 195.5.

See also

References

  1. "About the GTI". p. Vision of Humanity. Retrieved 11 February 2013.
  2. "Global Terrorism Index Report 2015" (PDF). Institute for Economics & Peace. November 2015. pp. 90–92. Retrieved 21 May 2016.
  3. "Global Terrorism Index Report". Vision of Humanity. Institute for Economics & Peace.

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