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2007 Madrilenian regional election

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All 120 seats in the Assembly of Madrid 61 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered	4,458,989 0.1%
Turnout	3,001,200 (67.3%) 4.7 pp
First party Second party Third party   Leader Esperanza Aguirre Rafael Simancas Inés Sabanés Party PP PSOE IU Leader since 16 October 2002 26 November 2000 26 January 2007 Last election 57 seats, 48.5% 45 seats, 39.0% 9 seats, 8.5% Seats won 67 42 11 Seat change 10 3 2 Popular vote 1,592,162 1,002,862 264,782 Percentage 53.3% 33.6% 8.9% Swing 4.8 pp 5.4 pp 0.4 pp
President before election Esperanza Aguirre PP Elected President Esperanza Aguirre PP

The 2007 Madrilenian regional election was held on Sunday, 27 May 2007, to elect the 8th Assembly of the Community of Madrid. All 120 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain. Because regional elections in the Community of Madrid were mandated for the fourth Sunday of May every four years, the October 2003 snap election did not alter the term of the four-year legislature starting in May 2003.

Esperanza Aguirre was re-elected for a second term in office, with the People's Party (PP) winning a record absolute majority comprising almost 56% of the seats in the Assembly. The Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) obtained one of the worst party results since 1995, resulting in Rafael Simancas resigning as Secretary-General of the Socialist Party of Madrid shortly thereafter. United Left (IU) continued on its rising trend and won 2 additional seats.

Overview

Electoral system

The Assembly of Madrid was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Madrid, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Madrilenian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president. Voting for the Assembly was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Community of Madrid and in full enjoyment of their political rights.

All members of the Assembly of Madrid were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied regionally. The Assembly was entitled to one member per each 50,000 inhabitants or fraction greater than 25,000.

Election date

The term of the Assembly of Madrid expired four years after the date of its previous election, with elections to the Assembly being fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous ordinary election was held on 25 May 2003, setting the election date for the Assembly on Sunday, 27 May 2007.

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Assembly of Madrid and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Assembly was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms.

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least 0.5 percent of the electorate in the Community of Madrid, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

Candidacy		Parties and alliances	Leading candidate		Ideology	Previous result		Gov.	Ref.
						Votes (%)	Seats
	PP	List People's Party (PP)		Esperanza Aguirre	Conservatism Christian democracy	48.48%	57	Y
	PSOE	List Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)		Rafael Simancas	Social democracy	39.00%	45	N
	IUCM	List United Left of the Community of Madrid (IUCM) – Communist Party of Madrid (PCM) – Revolutionary Workers' Party (POR)		Inés Sabanés	Socialism Communism	8.50%	9	N

Campaign

Election debates

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 61 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Madrid (56 until 21 November 2006).

Color key:

  Exit poll

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout				Lead
2007 regional election	27 May 2007	—	67.3	53.3 67	33.6 42	8.9 11	19.7
Ipsos/RTVE–FORTA	27 May 2007	?	?	50.5 63/66	35.1 43/46	9.0 10/12	15.4
Opina/El País	14–17 May 2007	?	?	51.0 63	38.5 47/48	8.0 9/10	12.5
Metroscopia/ABC	14–16 May 2007	1,211	65–70	52.5 66	35.3 44/45	7.8 9/10	17.2
Celeste-Tel/Terra	9–15 May 2007	?	?	53.3 67	35.2 44	7.7 9	18.1
Noxa/La Vanguardia	7–15 May 2007	800	?	52.3 65	35.7 44	9.3 11	16.6
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3	9 May 2007	?	?	? 64/65	? 46/47	? 9/10	?
Sigma Dos/El Mundo	27 Apr–8 May 2007	800	?	52.7 65/67	35.8 44/46	7.2 9	16.9
Opina/Cadena SER	6 May 2007	600	?	53.0 64/65	38.2 45/47	7.8 9	14.8
CIS	9 Apr–6 May 2007	1,178	?	51.2 64/65	35.6 45	8.5 10/11	15.6
Metroscopia/CEIM	12 Feb–1 Mar 2007	2,056	?	51.7 65	36.6 45	8.3 10	15.1
Sigma Dos/PP	14–25 Feb 2007	2,000	?	52.8 66/67	34.5 43/44	8.4 10	18.3
Iberconsulta/La Razón	15 Jan 2007	?	61.8	53.4 67	35.5 45	7.6 9	17.9
Sigma Dos/El Mundo	16–21 Nov 2006	600	?	55.4 65/66	33.8 39/40	5.6 6	21.6
Iberconsulta/La Razón	17 Sep 2006	?	?	50.6 59	35.6 41	? 11	15.0
IMOP/PSOE	12–20 Jul 2006	4,442	?	39.3	35.5	7.7	3.8
Opina/El País	26 Apr 2006	1,000	?	50.0 57	40.0 46	7.0 8	10.0
PP	12 Dec 2005	8,000	?	51.0 59	? 43	7.5 9	?
Synovate/PSOE	15 May 2005	2,625	?	45.1 51	44.5 50	9.0 10	0.6
Sigma Dos/El Mundo	28 Feb 2005	?	?	? 56/57	? 47	? 8/9	?
2004 EP election	13 Jun 2004	—	49.2	49.5 (57)	42.9 (49)	5.1 (5)	6.6
2004 general election	14 Mar 2004	—	78.9	45.0 (53)	44.1 (51)	6.4 (7)	0.9
October 2003 regional election	26 Oct 2003	—	62.5	48.5 57	39.0 45	8.5 9	9.5

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 27 May 2007 Assembly of Madrid election results →

Parties and alliances		Popular vote			Seats
		Votes	%	±pp	Total	+/−
	People's Party (PP)	1,592,162	53.29	+4.81	67	+10
	Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)	1,002,862	33.57	–5.43	42	–3
	United Left of the Community of Madrid (IUCM)	264,782	8.86	+0.36	11	+2
	The Greens (LV, LVM, LVCM, LV–GV)	33,044	1.11	+0.14	0	±0
	Anti-Bullfighting Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA)	6,877	0.23	New	0	±0
	Spanish Alternative (AES)	5,039	0.17	New	0	±0
	For a Fairer World (PUM+J)	5,024	0.17	New	0	±0
	Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE)	4,231	0.14	+0.07	0	±0
	National Democracy (DN)	3,518	0.12	–0.01	0	±0
	Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE–JONS)	3,123	0.10	+0.03	0	±0
	The Phalanx (FE)	2,675	0.09	+0.01	0	±0
	Citizen Unity (UC)	2,099	0.07	+0.04	0	±0
	Madrid is Castile (MEC)	2,074	0.07	New	0	±0
	Spanish Democratic Centre (CDEs)	1,816	0.06	New	0	±0
	Humanist Party (PH)	1,757	0.06	+0.01	0	±0
	Madrid First (PM)	1,667	0.06	+0.01	0	±0
	Union for Leganés (ULEG)	1,422	0.05	New	0	±0
	Liberal Centrist Union (UCL)	1,335	0.04	New	0	±0
	Democratic Innovation (ID)	574	0.02	New	0	±0
	Save Telemadrid Party (PSTM)	0	0.00	New	0	±0
Blank ballots		51,665	1.73	–0.01
Total		2,987,746			120	+9
Valid votes		2,987,746	99.55	–0.06
Invalid votes		13,454	0.45	+0.06
Votes cast / turnout		3,001,200	67.31	+4.73
Abstentions		1,457,789	32.69	–4.73
Registered voters		4,458,989
Sources
Footnotes: The Greens results are compared to the combined totals of The Greens of the Community of Madrid and The Greens in the October 2003 election.

Elected legislators

The following table lists the elected legislators sorted by order of election.

Aftermath

Investiture processes to elect the President of the Community of Madrid required for an absolute majority—more than half the votes cast—to be obtained in the first ballot. If unsuccessful, a new ballot would be held 48 hours later requiring of a simple majority—more affirmative than negative votes—to succeed. If none of such majorities were achieved, successive candidate proposals could be processed under the same procedure. In the event of the investiture process failing to elect a regional President within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Assembly would be automatically dissolved and a snap election called.

Investiture Esperanza Aguirre (PP)
Ballot →		19 June 2007
Required majority →		61 out of 120 Y
	Yes • PP (67)	67 / 120
	No • PSOE (42) • IUCM (11)	53 / 120
	Abstentions	0 / 120
	Absentees	0 / 120
Sources

Notes

1. Denotes a main invitee attending the event.

References

Opinion poll sources

1. "Madrid: el PP revalidaría la mayoría en Asamblea y Ayuntamiento". Expansión (in Spanish). 27 May 2007.
2. "Sólo Navarra y Baleares podrían cambiar de gobierno, según el sondeo de RTVE y FORTA". Europa Press (in Spanish). 27 May 2007.
3. "Rajoy saca peor nota que Zapatero en los bastiones electorales del PP". El País (in Spanish). 20 May 2007.
4. "Aguirre amplía su mayoría en Madrid". El País (in Spanish). 20 May 2007.
5. "Gallardón y Aguirre ampliarían su victoria en Madrid con más del 52% de los votos". ABC (in Spanish). 20 May 2007.
6. "Vuelco electoral en Navarra, Baleares y Canarias y aplastante victoria del PP en Madrid". Terra (in Spanish). 17 May 2007. Archived from the original on 20 May 2007. Retrieved 25 February 2021.
7. "Encuestas autonómicas". Celeste-Tel (in Spanish). 17 May 2007. Archived from the original on 11 May 2009. Retrieved 25 February 2021.
8. "El PP reforzará su mayoría en Madrid". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 20 May 2007.
9. "La campaña por Madrid echa a andar con todas las encuestas favorables al PP". ABC (in Spanish). 10 May 2007.
10. "Sondeo de Sigma Dos: El PP renovaría siete autonomías y podría perder dos". El Mundo (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
11. "Aguirre acaricia una ventaja de 10 puntos". El Mundo (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
12. "Elecciones 27-M / Sondeo El Mundo-Sigma Dos". El Mundo (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
13. "El PP revalidaría la mayoría en el Ayuntamiento y la Comunidad de Madrid". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 11 May 2007.
14. "Pulsómetro 11/05/2007". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 11 May 2007. Archived from the original on 13 May 2007.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
15. "Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas, 2007. Comunidad de Madrid (Estudio nº 2696. Abril-Mayo 2007)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 11 May 2007.
16. "La aritmética juega en contra del PSOE sólo en las islas Canarias". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
17. "El PP de Aguirre y Gallardón se distancia de un PSOE estancado". ABC (in Spanish). 12 March 2007.
18. "Aguirre y Gallardón ganan a sus rivales en valoración y arrasan en intención de voto". ABC (in Spanish). 12 March 2007.
19. "El PP espera ganar por goleada". El Mundo (in Spanish). 28 March 2007.
20. "Aguirre: el mejor resultado de su historia". El Mundo (in Spanish). 27 November 2006.
21. "El voto en las comunidades. Elecciones autonómicas 2007" (PDF). El Mundo (in Spanish). 27 November 2006.
22. "Aguirre y Gallardón aumentan su ventaja según una encuesta de SIGMA DOS-El Mundo". 20minutos (in Spanish). 27 November 2006.
23. ^ "Suspiro de alivio en Génova con la última encuesta de Madrid". Semanal Digital (in Spanish). 17 September 2006.
24. "Una encuesta encargada por el PSOE anuncia una mayoría de izquierdas". El País (in Spanish). 13 September 2006.
25. "Rajoy saca peor nota que Zapatero en los bastiones electorales del PP". El País (in Spanish). 2 May 2006.
26. "Informe Encuesta Comunidad y Ayuntamiento de Madrid. Abril 2006" (PDF). Instituto Opina (in Spanish). 2 May 2006. Archived from the original (PDF) on 18 January 2007. Retrieved 25 February 2021.
27. "Una encuesta asegura al PP la mayoría absoluta en la región, con 59 escaños". ABC (in Spanish). 12 December 2005.
28. "El PP consolidaría su mayoría absoluta en Madrid y La Rioja y avanza en Andalucía y Castilla la Mancha". Libertad Digital (in Spanish). 19 December 2005.
29. "Aguirre pierde la mayoría absoluta, según una macroencuesta encargada por el PSOE". El País (in Spanish). 15 May 2005.
30. "Simancas niega su apoyo a Maragall por confundir "diversidad con privilegio"". ABC (in Spanish). 15 May 2005.
31. "Enfado de Simancas por la encuesta de El Mundo: "El profesor Malo que se dedique a lo suyo"". Libertad Digital (in Spanish). 28 February 2005.

Other

1. ^ Ley Orgánica 3/1983, de 25 de febrero, de Estatuto de Autonomía de la Comunidad de Madrid (Organic Law 3) (in Spanish). 25 February 1983. Retrieved 22 February 2017.
2. ^ Ley 11/1986, de 16 de diciembre, Electoral de la Comunidad de Madrid (Law 11) (in Spanish). 16 November 1986. Retrieved 22 February 2017.
3. ^ Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved 28 December 2016.
4. Ley 5/1990, de 17 de mayo, reguladora de la facultad de disolución de la Asamblea de Madrid por el Presidente de la Comunidad (Law 5) (in Spanish). 17 May 1990. Retrieved 14 September 2017.
5. Bécares, Roberto (24 April 2007). "Los candidatos a la Comunidad debatirán en Telemadrid el 11 de mayo". El Mundo (in Spanish). Retrieved 6 May 2023.
6. "El debate de los aspirantes a la Comunidad de Madrid no logra alcanzar el 14%". FórmulaTV (in Spanish). 12 May 2007. Retrieved 6 May 2023.
7. ^ "Elecciones a la Asamblea de Madrid (1983-2021)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 10 October 2021.
8. "Elecciones a la Asamblea de Madrid 2007" (PDF) (in Spanish). Boletín Oficial de la Comunidad de Madrid. 15 June 2007. Retrieved 10 October 2021.
9. Junta Electoral Provincial de Madrid: "Elecciones a la Asamblea de Madrid 2007" (PDF). Boletín Oficial de la Comunidad de Madrid (141): 69–70. 2007-06-15. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2017-09-30. Retrieved 2018-07-13.

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