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| Turnout | 59.17% | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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County results 
Municipality results 
Congressional district results 
Precinct resultsWarren: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%Diehl: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Tie: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2018 United States Senate election in Massachusetts took place on November 6, 2018. Incumbent Democratic U.S. senator Elizabeth Warren ran for re-election to a second term. The candidate filing deadline was June 5, 2018, and the primary election was held on September 4, 2018.
Warren won re-election, defeating her Republican opponent, state Representative Geoff Diehl.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominated
- Elizabeth Warren, incumbent U.S. senator
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Elizabeth Warren (incumbent) | 590,835 | 98.08% | |
| Write-in | 11,558 | 1.92% | ||
| Total votes | 602,393 | 100.00% | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominated
- Geoff Diehl, state representative
Eliminated in primary
- John Kingston, attorney and founder and president of Better for America
- Beth Lindstrom, former Undersecretary of the Massachusetts Office of Consumer Affairs and Business Regulation
Eliminated at convention
- Darius Mitchell
- Heidi Wellman
Declined
- Gabriel Gomez, businessman, former Navy SEAL and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2013
- Rick Green, businessman (running for House of Representatives)
- Curt Schilling, former Major League Baseball pitcher
- Bill Weld, former governor, nominee for the U.S. Senate in 1996 and Libertarian nominee for Vice President of the United States in 2016 (endorsed Beth Lindstrom)
- Daniel Winslow, former state representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2013
Endorsements
Beth LindstromGovernors
- William F. Weld, former governor of Massachusetts, 1991-1997
State legislators
- Jay Barrows, state representative
- Kimberly Ferguson, state representative
- Paul Frost, state representative
- Sheila Harrington, state representative
- Bradford Hill, state representative
- Steven Howitt, state representative
- James Kelcourse, state representative
- David Muradian, state representative
- Elizabeth Poirier, state representative
- Richard J. Ross, state senator
- Donald Wong, state representative
- David Vieira, state representative
Local officials
Organizations
- Maggie's List
- New England Police Benevolent Association
- RightNOW Women PAC
- Value in Electing Women (VIEW) PAC
Newspapers
John KingstonState legislators
- Donnie Berthiaume, state representative
- Will Crocker, state representative
- Vinny deMacedo, state senator
- Ryan Fattman, state senator
- Don Humason, state senator
- Joseph D. McKenna, state representative
Local officials
- Lew Evangelidis, Worcester County Sheriff
- Stephanie K. Fattman, Worcester County Register of Probate
- Jim Kane, member of the Shrewsbury Board of Selectmen
- Eddie Tedesco, Woburn City Councilor
Individuals
- Jim Rappaport, former chairman of the Massachusetts GOP
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Geoff Diehl |
John Kingston |
Beth Lindstrom |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MassINC | June 22–25, 2018 | 399 | ± 4.9% | 26% | 12% | 15% | 5% | 41% |
Results
Overall
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Geoff Diehl | 144,043 | 55.15% | |
| Republican | John Kingston | 69,636 | 26.66% | |
| Republican | Beth Lindstrom | 46,693 | 17.88% | |
| Write-in | 798 | 0.31% | ||
| Total votes | 261,170 | 100.00% | ||
By county
Results by county. Red represents counties won by Diehl. Teal represents counties won by Kingston.
| County | Diehl % |
Diehl votes |
Kingston % |
Kingston votes |
Lindstrom % |
Lindstrom votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnstable | 57.0% | 10,761 | 24.2% | 4,573 | 18.6% | 3,513 |
| Berkshire | 47.9% | 1,221 | 37.8% | 965 | 13.8% | 352 |
| Bristol | 61.8% | 11,005 | 23.0% | 4,095 | 15.0% | 2,669 |
| Dukes | 55.2% | 347 | 25.9% | 163 | 18.9% | 119 |
| Essex | 53.1% | 17,716 | 28.3% | 9,428 | 18.3% | 6,104 |
| Franklin | 41.8% | 938 | 42.3% | 949 | 15.3% | 343 |
| Hampden | 50.5% | 7,491 | 34.0% | 5,048 | 15.0% | 2,225 |
| Hampshire | 45.7% | 1,967 | 36.7% | 1,579 | 16.9% | 725 |
| Middlesex | 52.5% | 29,084 | 26.8% | 14,852 | 20.3% | 11,218 |
| Nantucket | 50.1% | 168 | 29.6% | 99 | 20.3% | 68 |
| Norfolk | 58.9% | 18,749 | 22.0% | 7,009 | 18.8% | 5,992 |
| Plymouth | 70.1% | 23,242 | 19.8% | 6,549 | 10.0% | 3,316 |
| Suffolk | 53.5% | 4,792 | 27.6% | 2,471 | 18.2% | 1,628 |
| Worcester | 44.8% | 16,562 | 32.1% | 11,856 | 22.8% | 8,421 |
| Total | 55.2% | 144,043 | 26.7% | 69,636 | 17.9% | 46,693 |
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Declined
- Bill Weld, former Republican governor and nominee for Vice President of the United States in 2016
Independents
Candidates
Declared
- Shiva Ayyadurai, entrepreneur and conspiracy theorist
- John Devine
- Allen Waters
Declined
- Gabriel Gomez, businessman, former Navy SEAL and Republican nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2013
General election
Endorsements
Elizabeth Warren (D)State officials
Newspapers
Organizations
- Council for a Livable World
- Democracy for America
- EMILY's List
- End Citizens United
- Feminist Majority Political Action Committee
- J Street
- League of Conservation Voters
- LegitAction
- MoveOn.org
- Natural Resources Defense Council Action Fund
- Population Connection
- Sierra Club
- United Automobile Workers
U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Mike Pence, 48th Vice President of the United States
- Sean Spicer, former White House Press Secretary
Governors
State legislators
- Nick Boldyga, state representative
- Forrester Clark, former state representative
- Leah Cole, former state representative
- Robert Correia, former state representative (Democrat)
- David DeCoste, state representative
- Peter Durant, state representative
- Marc Lombardo, state representative
- Jim Lyons, state representative
- Lenny Mirra, state representative
- Shaunna O'Connell, state representative
Local officials
- Caroline Colarusso, Stoneham Selectwoman
- John Coutinho, Hopkinton Selectmen
- Jim Cummings, Barnstable County Sheriff
- Lewis Evangelidis, Worcester County Sheriff
- Bob Hedlund, Weymouth Mayor
- Tom Hodgson, Bristol County Sheriff
- Michael Marchese, Everett City Councilor at Large
- John McCaul, Taunton City Councilor
- Joe McDonald, Plymouth County Sheriff
- Monica Medeiros, Melrose Alderman
- Ken Mitchel, Hanson Board of Selectman Chair
- Jeff Postell, Taunton City Councilor
- Claire Wright. Hopkinton Selectwoman
Individuals
- Herman Cain, former presidential candidate
- Howie Carr, radio talk host
- David Constantine, former Governor's Councilor
- Larry Ellison, president of the Massachusetts Association of Minority Law Enforcement Officers
- Steve Grogan, retired New England Patriots player
- Jeff Kuhner, hadio Host
- Matt Light, retired New England Patriots player
- Joe Malone, former state treasurer
- Dave Marciano, boat captain on Wicked Tuna
- Frank McNamara, former U.S. Attorney
- Stephen Moore, writer and economist
- Fred Smerlas, retired New England Patriots player
Organizations
- Association of County Employees (the Union of Plymouth County Corrections Officers)
- The Association of Marshfield Police
- Boston Police Patrolmen’s Association
- Everett Police Patrolman's Local 94
- Everett Police Superior Officers Local 95
- ICE Council Local 207
- Massachusetts Police Association
- Massachusetts Republican Party (MassGOP), Massachusetts branch of the United States Republican Party
- New Bedford Police Union
- New England Police Benevolent Association
- Norfolk Sheriff's Office County Correctional Officers Association
- NRA Political Victory Fund
- Worcester's NEPBA Local 911
- Youth Conservatives of Massachusetts
Newspapers
Shiva Ayyadurai (I)Individuals
- Ben Garrison, political cartoonist and artist
- Curt Schilling, former MLB pitcher
- Owen Shroyer, political activist and commentator, host on InfoWars
Newspapers
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 19, 2018
- Complete video of debate, October 21, 2018
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | September 28, 2018 |
| Inside Elections | Safe D | September 29, 2017 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe D | September 27, 2017 |
| Fox News | Likely D | July 9, 2018 |
| CNN | Safe D | July 12, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics | Safe D | May 26, 2018 |
^Highest rating they assert
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
Geoff Diehl (R) |
Shiva Ayyadurai (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MassINC | October 25–28, 2018 | 502 | ± 4.4% | 54% | 32% | 6% | 3% | 3% |
| Suffolk University | October 24–28, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 56% | 34% | 4% | – | 5% |
| Western New England University | October 10–27, 2018 | 402 LV | ± 5.0% | 57% | 27% | 7% | – | 8% |
| 485 RV | ± 4.0% | 54% | 27% | 6% | – | 12% | ||
| UMass Lowell | October 1–7, 2018 | 485 LV | ± 5.6% | 56% | 31% | 8% | 3% | 2% |
| 791 RV | ± 4.4% | 56% | 28% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||
| MassINC | September 17–21, 2018 | 506 | ± 4.4% | 56% | 30% | 5% | 1% | 6% |
| Suffolk University | September 13–17, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 54% | 24% | 6% | – | 16% |
| Suffolk University | June 8–12, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 55% | 33% | – | – | 11% |
| MassINC | May 22–26, 2018 | 501 | ± 4.4% | 54% | 19% | 8% | 1% | 15% |
| MassINC | March 16–18, 2018 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 55% | 20% | 9% | 1% | 13% |
| MassINC | November 9–12, 2017 | 503 | ± 4.4% | 58% | 32% | – | 3% | 7% |
| MassINC | June 19–22, 2017 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 60% | 29% | – | 1% | 8% |
with Beth Lindstrom
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
Beth Lindstrom (R) |
Shiva Ayyadurai (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University | June 8–12, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 56% | 31% | – | – | 13% |
| MassINC | May 22–26, 2018 | 501 | ± 4.4% | 55% | 19% | 7% | 2% | 15% |
| MassINC | March 16–18, 2018 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 53% | 19% | 9% | 1% | 14% |
| MassINC | November 9–12, 2017 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 56% | 33% | – | 3% | 8% |
with John Kingston
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
John Kingston (R) |
Shiva Ayyadurai (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University | June 8–12, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 54% | 30% | – | – | 15% |
| MassINC | May 22–26, 2018 | 501 | ± 4.4% | 56% | 19% | 8% | 1% | 14% |
| MassINC | March 16–18, 2018 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 53% | 19% | 7% | 2% | 12% |
| MassINC | November 9–12, 2017 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 57% | 33% | – | 2% | 7% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
Karyn Polito (R) |
Mitt Romney (R) |
Richard Tisei (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMass Amherst | September 15–20, 2016 | ≈450 | ± 4.1% | 40% | 36% | – | – | 5% | 19% |
| 44% | – | 31% | – | 10% | 15% | ||||
| 39% | – | – | 32% | 3% | 26% |
with Shiva Ayyadurai running as Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
Shiva Ayyadurai (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MassINC | November 9–12, 2017 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 58% | 27% | 4% | 10% |
| MassINC | June 19–22, 2017 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 61% | 25% | 2% | 9% |
with Curt Schilling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
Curt Schilling (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University | October 24–26, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 58% | 24% | 2% | 16% |
| UMass Amherst | September 15–20, 2016 | ≈450 | ± 4.1% | 47% | 28% | 9% | 16% |
| MassINC | September 7–10, 2016 | 506 | ± 4.4% | 54% | 29% | 3% | 15% |
with William Weld
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
William Weld (L) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMass Amherst | September 15–20, 2016 | ≈450 | ± 4.1% | 40% | 37% | 8% | 16% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Elizabeth Warren (incumbent) | 1,633,371 | 60.34% | +6.60% | |
| Republican | Geoff Diehl | 979,210 | 36.17% | −10.02% | |
| Independent | Shiva Ayyadurai | 91,710 | 3.39% | N/A | |
| Write-in | 2,799 | 0.10% | N/A | ||
| Total votes | 2,707,090 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Barnstable (largest municipality: Barnstable)
- Essex (largest municipality: Lynn)
- Norfolk (largest municipality: Quincy)
- Worcester (largest municipality: Worcester)
By congressional district
Warren won all of the state’s congressional districts.
| District | Diehl | Warren | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 37.34% | 58.95% | Richard Neal |
| 2nd | 39.07% | 57.01% | Jim McGovern |
| 3rd | 38.56% | 57.51% | Niki Tsongas (115th Congress) |
| Lori Trahan (116th Congress) | |||
| 4th | 38.45% | 58.19% | Joe Kennedy III |
| 5th | 27.82% | 68.91% | Katherine Clark |
| 6th | 41.21% | 54.98% | Seth Moulton |
| 7th | 13.15% | 84.51% | Michael Capuano (115th Congress) |
| Ayanna Pressley (116th Congress) | |||
| 8th | 39.45% | 57.65% | Stephen Lynch |
| 9th | 45.67% | 51.13% | Bill Keating |
References
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- "Massachusetts: Vote for NRA-PVF Endorsed Candidates in Tomorrow's 2018 General Election!". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. November 5, 2018. Archived from the original on July 24, 2023. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
- Geoff Diehl. "BREAKING: I am proud to have earned the endorsement of the @NRA – National Rifle Association of America ahead of our Tuesday Primary. I'll always stand with law-abiding gun owners to protect our #2A #mapoli #masen #masen2018 #magop". Twitter.
- "Worcester police union backs Republican Geoff Diehl for U.S. Senate". Worcester Magazine. September 26, 2018.
- "DIEHL WINS BIG ENDORSEMENT". Diehl for Senate. August 27, 2018. Archived from the original on October 6, 2018. Retrieved August 28, 2018.
- "Editorial endorsement: Geoff Diehl a strong challenge for Liz Warren". Boston Herald. August 20, 2018.
- "Editorial: Geoff Diehl for U.S. Senate". Boston Herald. October 23, 2018. Retrieved October 23, 2018.
- "Fake Indian, Meet Real Indian". December 3, 2017.
- "Schilling Endorses 'My Choice' for Senate, and it Isn't Him". RollCall. March 6, 2017. Archived from the original on October 23, 2018. Retrieved October 23, 2018.
- "Dr Shiva Ayyadurai on the Hypocrisy of the Establishment Elites". YouTube. December 30, 2017. Retrieved December 30, 2017.
- "New GOP option for Warren's seat breaks old mold". The Lowell Sun. April 7, 2017. Retrieved October 23, 2018.
- "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Fox News. Retrieved July 10, 2018.
- "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- MassINC
- Suffolk University
- Western New England University
- UMass Lowell
- MassINC
- Suffolk University Archived September 20, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
- Suffolk University Archived June 15, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ MassINC
- ^ MassINC
- ^ MassINC
- ^ MassINC
- Suffolk University Archived June 15, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
- Suffolk University Archived June 15, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ UMass Amherst
- Suffolk University Archived October 28, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
- MassINC
- "Archived copy" (PDF). www.sec.state.ma.us. Archived from the original (PDF) on November 29, 2018. Retrieved January 11, 2022.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link) - "Daily Kos".
External links
- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at OpenSecrets
Official campaign websites
- Shiva Ayyadurai (I) for Senate
- Geoff Diehl (R) for Senate
- Elizabeth Warren (D) for Senate
- Allen Waters (I) for Senate
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