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2021 Dutch general election

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2021 Dutch general election
Netherlands
← 2017 15–17 March 2021 2023 →

All 150 seats in the House of Representatives
76 seats needed for a majority
Turnout78.71% (Decrease 3.22 pp)
Party Leader Vote % Seats +/–
VVD Mark Rutte 21.87 34 +1
D66 Sigrid Kaag 15.02 24 +5
PVV Geert Wilders 10.79 17 −3
CDA Wopke Hoekstra 9.50 15 −4
SP Lilian Marijnissen 5.98 9 −5
PvdA Lilianne Ploumen 5.73 9 0
GL Jesse Klaver 5.16 8 −6
FvD Thierry Baudet 5.02 8 +6
PvdD Esther Ouwehand 3.84 6 +1
CU Gert-Jan Segers 3.37 5 0
Volt Laurens Dassen 2.42 3 New
JA21 Joost Eerdmans 2.37 3 New
SGP Kees van der Staaij 2.07 3 0
Denk Farid Azarkan 2.03 3 0
50+ Liane den Haan 1.02 1 −3
BBB Caroline van der Plas 1.00 1 New
BIJ1 Sylvana Simons 0.84 1 +1
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
Most voted-for party by municipality
Cabinet before Cabinet after
Third Rutte cabinet
VVDCDAD66CU
Fourth Rutte cabinet
VVDD66CDACU

General elections were held in the Netherlands from 15 to 17 March 2021 to elect all 150 members of the House of Representatives. Following the elections and lengthy coalition formation talks, the sitting government remained in power.

The elections had originally been scheduled to take place on 17 March; however, due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the government decided to open some polling stations two days in advance to ensure safe voting for elderly and immunocompromised citizens. Citizens aged 70 years or older were also given the opportunity to vote by post.

The elections were held two days before the 2021 Curaçao general election.

Background

Previous election

The 2017 general election was held after a five-year coalition government between the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD) and Labour Party (PvdA). The PvdA suffered heavy losses in the election, being reduced from 38 to 9 seats, while the VVD lost 8 seats, falling from 41 to 33 but remaining the largest party. The Party for Freedom (PVV) came in second with 20 seats, 5 more than it won in the 2012 election, while the Christian Democratic Appeal (CDA) gained 6 seats to win 19 in total. Democrats 66 (D66) gained 7 to win 19, GroenLinks (GL) gained 10 to win 14, and the Socialist Party (SP) lost 1 to win 14. The election also saw two new parties, Denk and Forum for Democracy (FvD), enter the House of Representatives, winning 3 and 2 seats, respectively. Four other smaller parties maintained representation in the lower chamber: Christian Union (CU) and Party for the Animals (PvdD) with 5 seats each, 50PLUS with 4 seats, and the Reformed Political Party (SGP) with 3 seats.

The third Rutte cabinet was inaugurated after the longest coalition formation in Dutch history, with 225 days between the election and the cabinet being sworn in. The cabinet was led by Prime Minister Mark Rutte, who presided over a coalition consisting of the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD), Christian Democratic Appeal (CDA), Democrats 66 (D66) and Christian Union (CU). The coalition held a narrow majority in both legislative chambers at the time of the cabinet's inauguration, with 76 of 150 seats in the House of Representatives and 38 of 75 seats in the Senate. Following the 2019 Senate election, it had a minority of 32 seats in the upper chamber. After Wybren van Haga was expelled from the VVD faction in 2019, the coalition lost its majority in the House of Representatives. On 15 January 2021, two months before the election, the third Rutte cabinet resigned following a parliamentary inquiry into the Dutch childcare benefits scandal, and continued as a demissionary cabinet.

Electoral system

Main article: Elections in the Netherlands

Pursuant to articles C.1, C.2 and C.3 of the electoral law, elections for the House of Representatives take place every four years in March. The 150 members of the House of Representatives are elected by open list proportional representation. The number of seats per list is determined using the D'Hondt method. There is an official threshold of electoral threshold of 1/150th (0.67%) of votes to secure a seat. (If it did not exist, the portion of votes needed for a party to take its first seat might be lower than that if there are many wasted votes caused by some parties having vote tallies lower than the effective threshold of 0.67%.)

Voters have the option to cast a preferential vote, to mark a vote with a preference for an individual candidate. The seats won by a list are first allocated to the candidates who, in preferential votes, have received at least 25% of the number of votes needed for one seat (effectively 0.17% of the total votes), regardless of their placement on the electoral list. If multiple candidates from a list pass this threshold, their ordering is determined based on the number of votes received. Any remaining seats are allocated to candidates according to their placement on the electoral list.

Participating parties

See also: List of candidates in the 2021 Dutch general election

A record number of 89 parties registered with the Electoral Council in order to compete in the election. Most parties, however, did not achieve (nationwide) ballot access, as they were not able to pay the €11,250 deposit and/or did not receive enough endorsements (30 for each of the 19 electoral districts in the European Netherlands, and 10 for the Caribbean Netherlands).

Parties that met the requirements to participate in the election
List Party Lead candidate Main ideology Position 2017 result Districts
1 People's Party for Freedom and Democracy VVD Mark Rutte Conservative liberalism Centre-right 21.3% (33 seats) 20
2 Party for Freedom PVV Geert Wilders Right-wing populism Right-wing to far-right 13.1% (20 seats) 20
3 Christian Democratic Appeal CDA Wopke Hoekstra Christian democracy Centre-right 12.4% (19 seats) 20
4 Democrats 66 D66 Sigrid Kaag Social liberalism Centre 12.2% (19 seats) 20
5 GroenLinks GL Jesse Klaver Green politics Centre-left to left-wing 9.1% (14 seats) 20
6 Socialist Party SP Lilian Marijnissen Democratic socialism Left-wing 9.1% (14 seats) 20
7 Labour Party PvdA Lilianne Ploumen Social democracy Centre-left 5.7% (9 seats) 20
8 Christian Union CU Gert-Jan Segers Christian democracy Syncretic 3.4% (5 seats) 20
9 Party for the Animals PvdD Esther Ouwehand Animal rights Left-wing 3.2% (5 seats) 20
10 50PLUS 50+ Liane den Haan Pensioners' interests Centre 3.1% (4 seats) 20
11 Reformed Political Party SGP Kees van der Staaij Christian right Right-wing 2.1% (3 seats) 20
12 Denk Denk Farid Azarkan Minority rights Centre-left 2.1% (3 seats) 20
13 Forum for Democracy FVD Thierry Baudet National conservatism Right-wing to far-right 1.8% (2 seats) 20
14 BIJ1 BIJ1 Sylvana Simons Anti-capitalism Far-left 0.3% (0 seats) 20
15 JA21 JA21 Joost Eerdmans Conservative liberalism Right-wing 20
16 Code Orange CO Richard de Mos Direct democracy Syncretic 20
17 Volt Netherlands VOLT Laurens Dassen European federalism Centre 20
18 NIDA NIDA Nourdin El Ouali Islamic democracy Syncretic 20
19 Pirate Party PPNL Matthijs Pontier Pirate politics Syncretic 0.3% (0 seats) 20
20 Libertarian Party LP Robert Valentine Libertarianism Right-wing 0.01% (0 seats) 20
21 JONG JONG Jaron Tichelaar Youth politics Centre 19
22 Splinter SPL Femke Merel van Kooten Social liberalism Centre-left 19
23 Farmer–Citizen Movement BBB Caroline van der Plas Agrarianism Centre-right 19
24 NLBeter NLB Esther van Fenema Public sector interests Syncretic 19
25 Henk Krol List LHK Henk Krol Progressive conservatism Centre-right 19
26 OpRecht OR Michael Ruperti National conservatism Right-wing 19
27 Jezus Leeft JL Florens van der Spek Evangelism Right-wing 0.03% (0 seats) 16
28 Proud of the Netherlands ToN Sander van den Raadt Conservative liberalism Right-wing 13
29 Ubuntu Connected Front UCF Regillio Vaarnold Ubuntuism Centre-left 13
30 Blank list Anna Zeven COVID-19 scepticism Centre 12
31 Party of Unity PvdE Arnoud van Doorn Islamism Syncretic 8
32 The Party Party DFP Johan Vlemmix Joke party Syncretic 8
33 Free and Social Netherlands VSN Bas Filippini COVID-19 scepticism Centre 6
34 We Are the Netherlands WZNL Erwin Versteeg Ethnic nationalism Far-right 6
35 Modern Netherlands MN Niels Heeze E-democracy Syncretic 4
36 The Greens DG Otto ter Haar Green politics Centre 2
37 Party for the Republic PvdR Bruno Braakhuis Republicanism Centre 2

Campaign

Debates

2021 Dutch general election debates
Date Organisers Channel Venue     P  Present    A  Absent invitee   NI  Non-invitee 
Azarkan Baudet Den Haan Hoekstra Kaag Klaver Marijnissen Ouwehand Ploumen Rutte Segers Van der Staaij Wilders
26 February NOS NPO Radio 1 Oude Zaal, Binnenhof, The Hague P P P P P P P P P P P P P
28 February RTL Nieuws RTL 4 Felix Meritis, Amsterdam NI NI NI P P P P NI NI P NI NI P
15 March EenVandaag NPO 1 Koninklijke Schouwburg, The Hague NI NI NI P P P NI NI P P NI NI P
16 March NOS Statenpassage, Binnenhof, The Hague NI NI NI P P P P NI P P P NI P

Opinion polls

Main article: Opinion polling for the 2021 Dutch general election

Results

Main article: List of members of the House of Representatives of the Netherlands, 2021–2023
At least one polling station per municipality already opened its doors on Monday 15 March 2021 to offer people in the vulnerable target group the opportunity to vote at a quiet moment.

The left-wing parties' support - Socialist Party, Labour Party, and GroenLinks - totaled less than 20 percent of the vote. According to political scientist Cas Mudde, the steady decline of the left since 2006 can be explained mainly by a media agenda dominated by societal issues, especially identity issues, at the expense of economic and social issues. The fraction of wasted votes due to the electoral threshold was 1.99%.

The official results were published by the Electoral Council on 26 March 2021.

PartyVotes%Seats+/–
People's Party for Freedom and Democracy2,279,13021.8734+1
Democrats 661,565,86115.0224+5
Party for Freedom1,124,48210.7917−3
Christian Democratic Appeal990,6019.5015−4
Socialist Party623,3715.989−5
Labour Party597,1925.7390
GroenLinks537,3085.168−6
Forum for Democracy523,0835.028+6
Party for the Animals399,7503.846+1
Christian Union351,2753.3750
Volt Netherlands252,4802.423New
JA21246,6202.373New
Reformed Political Party215,2492.0730
Denk211,2372.0330
50PLUS106,7021.021−3
Farmer–Citizen Movement104,3191.001New
BIJ187,2380.841+1
Code Orange40,7310.390New
NIDA33,8340.320New
Splinter30,3280.290New
Pirate Party22,8160.2200
JONG15,2970.150New
Trots op Nederland13,1980.1300
Henk Krol List9,2640.090New
NLBeter8,6570.080New
List 308,2770.080New
Libertarian Party5,5460.0500
OpRecht [nl]5,4490.050New
Jezus Leeft5,0150.0500
The Party Party3,7440.040New
Ubuntu Connected Front1,8800.020New
Free and Social Netherlands [nl]9420.010New
Party of Unity [nl]8040.010New
We are the Netherlands [nl]5530.010New
Party for the Republic2550.000New
Modern Netherlands [nl]2450.000New
The Greens1190.0000
Total10,422,852100.001500
Valid votes10,422,85299.62
Invalid/blank votes39,8250.38
Total votes10,462,677100.00
Registered voters/turnout13,293,18678.71
Source: Kiesraad

By province

Results by province
Province VVD D66 PVV CDA SP PvdA GL FvD PvdD CU Volt JA21 SGP Denk 50+ BBB BIJ1 Others
 Drenthe 20.4 12.7 12.4 11.0 8.7 7.5 4.0 5.6 3.3 4.6 1.4 2.1 0.8 0.3 1.1 2.2 0.2 1.9
 Flevoland 21.1 12.1 12.2 7.9 5.7 4.8 4.3 7.0 3.6 4.2 1.7 2.6 4.1 2.5 1.2 0.9 1.9 2.4
 Friesland 17.2 12.0 10.8 14.6 7.1 8.9 3.9 7.4 3.6 5.0 1.5 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.8 2.3 0.2 1.7
 Gelderland 22.1 14.3 10.1 10.4 5.7 5.4 5.3 4.5 3.6 4.6 2.1 2.1 4.1 1.3 0.9 1.5 0.4 1.6
 Groningen 14.9 15.4 10.2 8.8 9.5 9.1 6.5 5.1 4.4 5.5 2.9 1.6 0.8 0.5 0.9 1.7 0.6 1.8
 Limburg 20.9 12.6 17.2 11.1 7.7 7.0 4.1 6.5 3.5 0.7 1.6 2.0 0.1 1.0 1.4 0.8 0.3 1.8
 North Brabant 26.6 15.1 11.8 10.0 7.7 4.5 4.4 4.8 3.2 1.2 2.2 2.2 0.5 1.6 1.2 0.8 0.4 1.9
 North Holland 21.4 18.4 9.1 6.7 5.3 6.1 6.5 4.7 5.2 1.8 3.4 2.4 0.3 2.9 1.0 0.5 2.1 2.4
 Overijssel 19.9 12.2 10.4 15.9 5.5 5.3 4.0 5.1 2.6 5.7 1.9 2.0 3.1 1.3 0.8 2.6 0.3 1.5
 South Holland 22.2 14.9 10.9 7.5 4.9 5.1 5.2 5.0 3.9 3.8 2.5 3.1 2.9 3.4 1.0 0.3 1.0 2.4
 Utrecht 21.7 18.6 7.9 8.3 4.0 4.8 7.0 3.6 4.2 4.9 3.5 2.2 2.7 2.8 0.8 0.5 0.9 1.8
 Zeeland 21.4 10.3 10.7 10.8 5.6 6.2 3.0 5.7 3.3 4.6 1.2 2.5 9.7 0.6 1.4 1.3 0.2 1.5
 Caribbean Netherlands 10.1 12.3 3.9 30.8 2.0 6.9 4.4 3.4 3.2 4.0 1.1 0.8 0.2 2.3 0.4 5.0 9.1

Government formation

Main article: 2021–2022 Dutch cabinet formation

Rutte claimed the result was a vote of confidence in the VVD and has ruled out a coalition with the PVV and FvD. He was expected to form a four-party government with D66, CDA, and smaller parties. On 23 March, Rutte said that he preferred a coalition with the new right-wing party called JA21, which has eight seats in the Senate that can help form a government majority in both chambers; however, this proposal could potentially meet with resistance from D66 due to disagreements on issues such as climate change, EU integration, and migration policies. If a coalition were formed including CU, there would be differences on medico-ethical issues with D66. Rutte could also potentially speak to left-wing parties, such as the SP, PvdA, GL, or Volt, if other attempts fail. SP leader Lilian Marijnissen said that it was very unlikely that she would join a VVD-led coalition but did not rule it out completely. PvdA leader Lilianne Ploumen said she would want to sit alone with another party, while GL leader Jesse Klaver said he is open to a progressive coalition with VVD and D66, despite the party's poor election performance.

While Rutte was in the process of negotiations to form a new coalition, informateur Kajsa Ollongren (D66) was photographed by a journalist of the Algemeen Nederlands Persbureau as she was leaving Parliament with a document from the coalition negotiations under her arm. The document contained the note "position elsewhere" next to the name of Pieter Omtzigt of the CDA, who has been a vocal critic of Rutte and played a key role in exposing the child welfare scandal that forced the resignation of Rutte's previous cabinet. This photograph caused speculation about whether Rutte was planning to sideline Omtzigt, but Rutte initially denied any involvement in the matter. After further notes emerged confirming he had discussed the possibility of Omtzigt as minister, he said he had "misremembered", and was accused by numerous opposition leaders of having lied to the media and the Dutch people. Parliament held a vote of no-confidence in Rutte as prime minister, which narrowly failed, but D66 and the CDA, which served in Rutte's previous cabinet, instead submitted a motion of censure against Rutte as parliamentary leader; this motion was passed by a large majority, with only Rutte's own VVD voting against. Informateurs Wouter Koolmees (D66) and Tamara van Ark (VVD) resigned after the scandal, and were replaced by veteran informateur Herman Tjeenk Willink (PvdA). On September 7, Johan Remkes was appointed as informateur. On September 30, the four parties from the previous governing coalition, the VVD, D66, CDA, and CU, agreed to negotiate forming the same coalition again. After long coalition talks, the four parties agreed to present their coalition agreement on 15 December 2021. With a coalition officially formed, the Fourth Rutte cabinet was inaugurated on 10 January 2022.

References

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