For related races, see 2022 United States House of Representatives elections.
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Turnout | 42.11% | |||||||||||||||||||
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Results by countyResults by Senate DistrictArmstrong: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Mund: 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2022 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the U.S. representative from North Dakota's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Kelly Armstrong was re-elected with 69.0% of the vote in 2020. His only opponent in the general election was Independent Cara Mund after Democratic nominee Mark Haugen withdrew.
Although Armstrong won by a large margin, his 62.2% showing was his worst since his first election in 2018, and Mund's 37.6% was the best showing for a non-Republican in a North Dakota U.S. House race since 2014. Mund's vote share was at least 10% higher than every 2022 statewide Democratic–NPL candidate in North Dakota and nearly 6% higher than incumbent president Democrat Joe Biden's vote share in the 2020 presidential election. Mund also had the second-best performance of any Independent in the 2022 congressional elections, only surpassed by Evan McMullin in the Utah Senate race.
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Kelly Armstrong, incumbent U.S. Representative
Endorsements
Kelly ArmstrongFederal officials
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Kelly Armstrong (incumbent) | 70,424 | 99.0 | |
Write-in | 709 | 1.0 | ||
Total votes | 71,133 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Withdrew after winning primary
- Mark Haugen, student counselor and nominee for State Treasurer in 2020
Endorsements
Mark HaugenOrganizations
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic–NPL | Mark Haugen | 21,897 | 99.7 | |
Write-in | 57 | 0.3 | ||
Total votes | 21,954 | 100.0 |
Aftermath
Following the overturning of Roe v. Wade in June 2022, Haugen faced criticism among Democrats for his anti-abortion beliefs. Many within the Democratic–NPL Party preferred independent candidate Cara Mund, who is pro-choice, and urged Haugen to drop out of the race. Haugen ended his campaign in September and the Democratic–NPL Party endorsed Mund shortly after.
Independents
Declared
- Cara Mund, lawyer and former Miss America
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Solid R | October 5, 2021 |
Inside Elections | Solid R | October 11, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | October 5, 2021 |
Politico | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538 | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
Endorsements
Kelly Armstrong (R)Federal officials
Cara Mund (I)Organizations
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kelly Armstrong (R) |
Cara Mund (I) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DFM Research (D) | September 19–21, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 40% | 2% | 14% |
Axis Research (R) | September 16–19, 2022 | 402 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 52% | 30% | – | 18% |
1982 Polling (R) | September 10–12, 2022 | 518 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 31% | – | 13% |
Odney (R) | August 18–28, 2022 | 403 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 20% | 15% | 16% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Kelly Armstrong (incumbent) | 148,399 | 62.20% | –6.76 | |
Independent | Cara Mund | 89,644 | 37.57% | N/A | |
Write-in | 543 | 0.23% | +0.12 | ||
Total votes | 238,586 | 100.00% | |||
Republican hold |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Independent
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Independent
- Rolette (Largest CDP: Belcourt)
- Sioux (Largest CDP: Cannon Ball)
See also
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Haugen (D) with 13%
Partisan clients
- This poll was sponsored by the North Dakota Democratic–NPL Party
- ^ This poll was sponsored by Armstrong's campaign
References
- "Voter Turnout Details". North Dakota Secretary of State. November 8, 2022. Retrieved November 13, 2022.
- "2010 - 2018 Election Results".
- "Shaw: Cara Mund's strong showing and other election thoughts". November 12, 2022.
- Stanko, Frank (December 20, 2021). "Armstrong, Cramer, Hoeven discuss '21 challenges, hopes for '22". Wahpeton Daily News. Retrieved December 23, 2021.
- ^ "Endorsement of Congressman Kelly Armstrong". June 12, 2022. Retrieved July 24, 2022.
- "Christiansen, Haugen accept Dem-NPL nominations for North Dakota U.S. Senate, House races". KFYR-TV. March 27, 2022. Retrieved March 31, 2022.
- Nelson, TJ (September 4, 2022). "Democrat Mark Haugen Suspends Campaign For U.S. House In N.D." KVRR. Retrieved September 5, 2022.
- "North Dakota Democratic-NPL endorses statewide candidates amid recruiting struggles". March 26, 2022. Retrieved March 31, 2022.
- "More details released for Haugen decision to suspend campaign". KFYR-TV. September 5, 2022. Retrieved December 8, 2022.
- "Abortion backers force out pro-life Democratic congressional candidate in N. Dakota". CNA. September 7, 2022. Retrieved December 8, 2022.
- "Cara Mund announces bid for Congress". KX NEWS. August 6, 2022. Retrieved August 7, 2022.
- ^ "Ex-Miss America Mund qualifies as ND congressional candidate". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. September 9, 2022. Archived from the original on September 9, 2022. Retrieved September 9, 2022.
- "2022 House Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 1, 2021.
- "House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 4, 2021.
- "2022 House Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. October 5, 2021. Retrieved October 5, 2021.
- "2022 Election Forecast". Politico. April 5, 2022.
- "Battle for the House 2022". RCP. June 9, 2022.
- "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. July 11, 2022. Retrieved July 11, 2022.
- "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
- "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
- DFM Research (D)
- Axis Research (R)
- 1982 Polling (R)
- Odney (R)
- "Official 2022 General Election Results". North Dakota Secretary of State. November 8, 2022. Retrieved November 13, 2022.
External links
Official campaign websites
Categories: