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38th Federal Congress of the PSOE

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38th Federal Congress of the PSOE
← 2008 3−5 February 2012 2014 →
956 delegates in the federal congress
Plurality of delegates needed to win
Opinion polls
Turnout955 (99.9%) (secretary)
899 (94.0%) (executive)
 
Candidate Alfredo Pérez Rubalcaba Carme Chacón Blank ballots
Delegate vote 487 (51.0%) 465 (48.7%) 2 (0.2%)
Executive 723 (81.1%) Withdrew 168 (18.9%)
Secretary before election

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero

 Elected Secretary

Alfredo Pérez Rubalcaba

The 38th Federal Congress of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party was held in Seville from 3 to 5 February 2012, to renovate the governing bodies of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) and establish the party's main lines of action and strategy for the next leadership term. The congress was called after the PSOE suffered its worst defeat since the Spanish transition to democracy in the general election held on 20 November 2011. Previous secretary-general José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero had announced in April the same year he would not stand for election to a third term as Prime Minister of Spain, announcing his intention to step down as party leader after a successor had been elected.

The result was a close race between the two candidates to the party leadership: Alfredo Pérez Rubalcaba, the party's candidate for the 2011 general election and former first deputy prime minister and interior minister, and former defence minister Carme Chacón. The ballot saw Rubalcaba win by a 51.0% of the delegate vote (487 votes) to the 48.7% won by Carme Chacón (465 votes), with 2 blank and 1 invalid ballots.

Timetable

The key dates are listed below (all times are CET):

  • 26 November: Official announcement of the congress.
  • 8 January: Federal committee endorsement submission.
  • 9–15 January: Election of congress delegates.
  • 3–5 February: Federal congress.

Candidates

Candidate Age Notable positions Announced Eliminated Ref.

Elected

Candidate elected as secretary-general.
Alfredo Pérez
Rubalcaba 		60 Deputy in the Cortes Generales for Cádiz,
Cantabria, Madrid and Toledo (since 1993)
First Deputy Prime Minister of Spain (2010–2011)
Spokesperson of the Government of Spain (1993–1996 and 2010–2011)
Minister of the Interior of Spain (2006–2011)
Spokesperson of the PSOE Group in the Congress of Deputies (2004–2006)
Secretary of Communication of the PSOE (1997–2000)
Minister of the Presidency of Spain (1993–1996)
Minister of Education and Science of Spain (1992–1993)
Secretary of State of Education of Spain (1986–1992) 		29 December 2011 checkY Elected

Proclaimed

Candidates who met the endorsement requirement and were officially proclaimed to contest the party congress.
Carme Chacón 		40 Deputy in the Cortes Generales for Barcelona (since 2000)
Minister of Defence of Spain (2008–2011)
Minister of Housing of Spain (2007–2008)
First Vice President of the Congress of Deputies (2004–2007)
Secretary of Education, Universities, Culture and Research of the PSOE (2000–2004)
First Deputy Mayor of Esplugues de Llobregat (1999–2003)
City Councillor of Esplugues de Llobregat (1999–2003) 		7 January 2012 4 February 2012

Announced

Candidates who announced an intention to run for the primary election, but were rejected as a result of not meeting the endorsement requirement.
Luis Ángel
Hierro Recio 		48 Deputy in the Cortes Generales for Seville (2004–2007) 8 January 2012 8 January 2012

Declined

The individuals in this section were the subject of speculation about their possible candidacy, but publicly denied or recanted interest in running:

Endorsements

Candidates seeking to run were required to collect the endorsements of at least 10% of federal committee members and of between 20% and 30% of congress delegates.

Summary of candidate endorsement results
Candidate Federal Committee Delegates
Count % T % V Count % T % V
Alfredo Pérez Rubalcaba 58 23.20 66.67 286 29.92 49.91
Carme Chacón 29 11.60 33.33 287 30.02 50.09
Luis Ángel Hierro Recio Eliminated (below 10%) —
Total 87 573
Valid endorsements 87 34.80 573 59.94
Not endorsing 163 65.20 383 40.06
Total members 250 956
Sources
Endorsements by committee members
Rubalcaba   66.67%
Chacón   33.33%
Endorsements by delegates
Chacón   50.09%
Rubalcaba   49.91%

Opinion polls

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the candidate's colour. In the instance of a tie, the figures with the highest percentages are shaded. Polls show data gathered among PSOE voters/supporters as well as Spanish voters as a whole, but not among delegates, who were the ones ultimately entitled to vote in the congress election.

PSOE voters

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Other
/None 		Question? Lead
Zapatero
(Inc.) 		Chacón Rubalcaba Bono López
Aguilar 		Madina Blanco Fernández
de la Vega 		González
Congress election 4 Feb 2012 — – 48.7 51.0 – – – – – – 0.2 — 2.3
Metroscopia/El País 4–5 Jan 2012 ? – 21.0 44.0 – – – – – – 22.0 13.0 23.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo 27–29 Dec 2011 ? – 38.2 50.4 – – – – – – – 11.4 12.2
– 33.7 35.3 11.0 4.9 3.4 – – – 3.3 8.4 1.6
Sigma Dos/El Mundo 27 Nov 2011 ? – 27.4 43.1 8.1 – – – – – 21.4 15.7
Metroscopia/El País 30–31 Mar 2011 1,004 10.0 15.0 52.0 14.0 – – – – – 5.0 4.0 37.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo 7–9 Mar 2011 1,000 12.9 – 44.8 – – – – – – – – 31.9
Opina/Cadena SER 12–13 Jan 2011 1,000 26.7 11.8 27.4 12.6 – – 8.3 – – – 13.0 0.7
Opina/Cadena SER 28–29 Oct 2010 1,000 36.0 12.4 20.5 13.0 – – 9.7 – – – 8.4 15.5
Metroscopia/El País 2 Jun 2010 506 35.0 – 8.0 4.0 – – 3.0 5.0 2.0 7.0 38.0 27.0
Noxa/La Vanguardia 28–29 Dec 2009 807 – 8.1 11.0 8.8 – – – – – – – 2.2
Sigma Dos/El Mundo 23–29 Dec 2009 1,000 – – 19.8 15.5 – – – – – – – 4.3

Spanish voters

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Other
/None 		Question? Lead
Zapatero
(Inc.) 		Chacón Rubalcaba Bono López
Aguilar 		Madina Blanco López Solana Fernández
de la Vega 		González Jiménez
Metroscopia/El País 4–5 Jan 2012 1,000 – 18.0 26.0 – – – – – – – – – 36.0 20.0 8.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo 27–29 Dec 2011 800 – 37.2 38.5 – – – – – – – – – – 24.3 1.3
– 22.4 26.0 14.4 4.1 3.2 – – – – – – 3.9 26.0 3.6
Sigma Dos/El Mundo 27 Nov 2011 ? – 19.5 21.2 15.8 2.0 2.4 – 2.5 – – – – 36.6 1.7
Ikerfel/Vocento 4–22 Apr 2011 45,635 – 18.8 34.9 11.3 – – 2.8 – – – – – 3.1 29.1 16.1
NC Report/La Razón 3 Apr 2011 ? – 7.3 25.2 21.2 – – – – 5.2 – – – 46.3 4.0
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3 2 Apr 2011 ? – 10.4 40.5 2.3 – – 1.1 – – – – – 3.3 42.4 30.1
Invymark/laSexta 2 Apr 2011 ? – 24.8 62.1 – – – – – – – – – 13.1 37.3
– 11.3 44.0 5.9 – – 1.5 – – – – – 16.3 7.5 32.7
Metroscopia/El País 30–31 Mar 2011 1,004 8.0 17.0 42.0 16.0 – – – – – – – – 10.0 7.0 25.0
NC Report/La Razón 14 Mar 2011 ? – 5.7 23.5 20.3 – – – – 6.4 – – – 44.1 3.2
Sigma Dos/El Mundo 7–9 Mar 2011 1,000 7.3 10.1 26.9 12.6 – – – – 11.9 – – – – – 14.3
Opina/Cadena SER 12–13 Jan 2011 1,000 16.7 14.6 30.3 18.0 – – 8.8 – – – – – – 11.5 12.3
NC Report/La Razón 22–24 Dec 2010 1,000 – 12.2 32.7 29.5 – – 9.8 – – – – – – – 3.2
Opina/Cadena SER 28–29 Oct 2010 1,000 21.3 13.7 24.5 19.7 – – 10.3 – – – – – – 10.4 3.2
NC Report/La Razón 17 Oct 2010 ? – 15.9 24.5 27.9 – – 16.2 6.5 9.0 – – – – – 3.4
Opina/Cadena SER 7–8 Oct 2010 1,000 22.1 14.2 20.0 20.6 – – 11.1 – – – – – – 12.0 1.5
Metroscopia/El País 2 Jun 2010 506 21.0 – 6.0 3.0 – – 2.0 – – 2.0 1.0 – 9.0 56.0 15.0
Noxa/La Vanguardia 28–29 Dec 2009 807 – 5.0 7.0 11.0 – – 3.0 – – 4.0 – 3.0 29.0 38.0 4.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo 23–29 Dec 2009 1,000 – 6.7 15.5 17.9 – – 3.2 – – 9.2 – – – – 2.4

Delegate estimations

Source Fieldwork date Sample size Delegates Percentage
Other
/None
/Unknown 		Other
/None
/Unknown
Chacón Rubalcaba Chacón Rubalcaba
Congress election 4 Feb 2012 956 465 487 4 48.6 50.9 0.4
Chacón's campaign 3 Feb 2012 924 501 421 2 54.2 45.6 0.2
Rubacaba's campaign 3 Feb 2012 924 413 506 5 44.7 54.8 0.5
Chacón's campaign 23 Jan 2012 956 488 360 108 51.0 37.7 11.3
Rubacaba's campaign 23 Jan 2012 956 390 540 26 40.8 56.5 2.7
Chacón's campaign 20 Jan 2012 786 416 290 80 52.9 36.9 10.2
Rubacaba's campaign 20 Jan 2012 698 290 380 28 41.5 54.4 4.0

Results

Summary of the 4–5 February 2012 congress results
Candidate Secretary Executive
Votes % Votes %
Alfredo Pérez Rubalcaba 487 51.05 723 81.14
Carme Chacón 465 48.74 Withdrew
Blank ballots 2 0.21 168 18.86
Total 954 891
Valid votes 954 99.90 891 99.11
Invalid votes 1 0.10 8 0.89
Votes cast / turnout 955 99.90 899 94.04
Abstentions 1 0.10 57 5.96
Total delegates 956 956
Sources
Vote by delegates (Secretary)
Rubalcaba   51.05%
Chacón   48.74%
Blank ballots   0.21%
Vote by delegates (Executive)
Rubalcaba   81.14%
Blank ballots   18.86%

Notes

  1. PSOE delegates.
  2. ^ Does not include delegates from Europe, the Americas and the JSE.
  3. ^ Partial count.

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. ^ Garea, Fernando (7 January 2012). "La mayoría apoya los recortes pero rechaza la subida de impuestos". El País (in Spanish).
  2. ^ "Los jóvenes prefieren a Chacón para liderar el PSOE y los mayores a Rubalcaba". La Voz Libre (in Spanish). 3 January 2012.
  3. ^ "Los votantes del PSOE prefieren a Rubalcaba". e-Notícies (in Spanish). 27 November 2011.
  4. ^ "Una encuesta "agridulce" para Rubalcaba y Chacón con Bono al fondo". El Semanal Digital (in Spanish). 27 November 2011. Archived from the original on 3 April 2017. Retrieved 2 April 2017.
  5. ^ Garea, Fernando (3 April 2011). "Rubalcaba es el candidato preferido". El País (in Spanish).
  6. ^ "Zapatero en quinta posición para ser candidato del PSOE". El Mundo (in Spanish). 14 March 2011.
  7. ^ "Pulsómetro 17/01/11" (PDF). Instituto Opina (in Spanish). 17 January 2011. Archived from the original (PDF) on 16 November 2011.
  8. ^ "Pulsómetro 02/11/10" (PDF). Instituto Opina (in Spanish). 2 November 2010. Archived from the original (PDF) on 22 November 2010.
  9. ^ Garea, Fernando (6 June 2010). "El 77% quiere nuevos candidatos". El País (in Spanish).
  10. ^ "Clima Social de España (12ª oleada. Junio 2010)" (PDF). Metroscopia (in Spanish). 14 June 2010. Archived from the original (PDF) on 3 January 2018. Retrieved 15 October 2018.
  11. ^ "El 63% no quiere que Zapatero repita; la alternativa: Rubalcaba o Bono". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 2 January 2010.
  12. ^ "Bono y Rubalcaba, los sustitutos preferidos para Zapatero". Libertad Digital (in Spanish). 2 January 2010.
  13. "Encuesta Elecciones 2011". ABC (in Spanish). 1 May 2011.
  14. "Rubalcaba encabeza todas las encuestas tras el fin de Zapatero". Libertad Digital (in Spanish). 3 April 2011.
  15. "Rubalcaba es el favorito para ser el candidato socialista a las elecciones". Antena 3 (in Spanish). 2 April 2011.
  16. "Rajoy perdería también contra Rubalcaba y Chacón". Público (in Spanish). 2 April 2011.
  17. "La Sexta ya ve al PSOE ganador". Libertad Digital (in Spanish). 2 April 2011.
  18. "Los españoles piden que Zapatero acabe con la incertidumbre". Antena 3 (in Spanish). 14 March 2011.
  19. "Rubalcaba ya es el favorito para suceder a Zapatero". La Razón (in Spanish). 27 December 2010.
  20. "La mayoría de los españoles cree que Zapatero no debería presentarse a las elecciones". Antena 3 (in Spanish). 27 December 2010.
  21. "Bono se consolida como el preferido y López cae". La Razón (in Spanish). 17 October 2010.
  22. "Pulsómetro 13/10/10". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 13 October 2010. Archived from the original on 16 October 2010.
Other
  1. "Zapatero convoca un congreso ordinario en la primera semana de febrero". PSOE (in Spanish). Retrieved 5 February 2012.
  2. "Alfredo Pérez Rubalcaba elegido Secretario General del PSOE". PSOE (in Spanish). Retrieved 5 February 2012.
  3. ^ "Partido Socialista Obrero Español. Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya, P.Socialista de Euskadi E.E., Partido Socialista Popular, PSOE histórico". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 16 March 2023.
  4. "El Comité Federal convoca el 38º Congreso Federal del PSOE". PSOE (in Spanish). 26 November 2011. Retrieved 24 March 2022.
  5. "Rubalcaba se rodea de caras nuevas en su presentación como candidato". El País (in Spanish). Madrid. 29 December 2011. Retrieved 2 April 2017.
  6. Viúdez, Juana (7 January 2012). "Chacón pide al PSOE que huya del inmovilismo y de la incoherencia". El País (in Spanish). Olula del Río. Retrieved 2 April 2017.
  7. ^ "Rubalcaba y Chacón logran los avales necesarios del Comité Federal para convertirse en "precandidatos"" (in Spanish). Europa Press. 8 January 2012. Retrieved 2 April 2017.
  8. "Blanco afirma no estar disponible para ser el sucesor de Zapatero". Diario de Noticias (in Spanish). Pamplona. 16 June 2010. Retrieved 24 March 2022.
  9. "Zapatero ya sabe si se presentará a los comicios de 2012 pero sólo una persona del partido conoce su decisión". El Correo (in Spanish). Madrid. 21 December 2010. Retrieved 24 March 2022.
  10. Toribio, Beatriz (18 February 2011). "José Blanco, el sucesor en la sombra". La Información (in Spanish). Retrieved 24 March 2022.
  11. "Bono asegura que Zapatero le propuso sucederle como candidato a la Presidencia". El País (in Spanish). Madrid. Agencias. 6 June 2011. Retrieved 24 March 2022.
  12. ^ Gorriarán, Ramón (26 November 2011). "El PSOE llega fragmentado al comité federal que convocará su 38 Congreso". Diario Sur (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 24 March 2022.
  13. Garat, Ketty (25 November 2011). "El PSOE se prepara para su primera batalla tras el desastre electoral". Diario Sur (in Spanish). Retrieved 25 March 2022.
  14. "Trinidad Jiménez, la primera en descartarse como sucesora de Zapatero". El Progreso de Lugo (in Spanish). 4 April 2011. Retrieved 29 July 2024.
  15. Toribio, Beatriz (2 April 2011). "Zapatero se va: anuncia que no se presentará a la reelección en 2012". La Información (in Spanish). Retrieved 24 March 2022.
  16. "Javier Solana descarta dedicarse a la "primera fila" de la política a propósito de una hipotética sucesión de Zapatero" (in Spanish). Mérida: Europa Press. 19 February 2010. Retrieved 29 July 2024.
  17. López Alba, Gonzalo (26 November 2011). "El PSOE repetirá el modelo de congreso que aupó a Zapatero". Público (in Spanish). Retrieved 25 March 2022.
  18. Pascual Bueno, Ernesto M. (2016). Selección de Líderes y Candidatos a la Presidencia del Gobierno (1976-2016). "El jardín secreto del PSOE" (PDF) (PhD) (in Spanish). Barcelona: Universidad Autónoma de Barcelona. p. 149. Retrieved 25 March 2022.
  19. "Rubalcaba y Chacón consiguen los avales para optar a la secretaría general del PSOE". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 8 January 2012. Retrieved 8 November 2021.
  20. "PSOE.- Los equipos de Chacón y Rubalcaba entregan el máximo de avales, el 30 por ciento cada uno" (in Spanish). Madrid: Europa Press. 4 February 2012. Retrieved 8 November 2021.
  21. ^ "Atribución de delegados del PSOE según los propios candidatos". El País (in Spanish). 3 February 2012. Retrieved 8 November 2021.
  22. Ríos, Pere; Planelles, Manuel (3 February 2012). "Unidos en la discrepancia". El País (in Spanish). Seville. Retrieved 8 November 2021.
  23. ^ Merino, Juan Carlos (23 January 2012). "La igualdad entre Rubalcaba y Chacón ahonda la división territorial del PSOE". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). Retrieved 8 November 2021.
  24. "Rubalcaba dice aventajar a Chacón en hasta 150 delegados". Expansión (in Spanish). EFE. 22 January 2012. Retrieved 8 November 2021.
  25. ^ Garea, Fernando (20 January 2012). "La incertidumbre se apodera del PSOE". El País (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 8 November 2021.
  26. Benito, Roberto; Sánchez, Manuel (4 February 2012). "Rubalcaba, nuevo líder del PSOE por 22 votos". El Mundo (in Spanish). Seville. Retrieved 8 November 2021.
  27. "La ejecutiva de Rubalcaba recibe el respaldo del 80,4% de los delegados". El País (in Spanish). Madrid. 5 February 2012. Retrieved 18 March 2022.
  28. "Partido Socialista Obrero Español, Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya, P.Socialista de Euskadi E.E., Partido Socialista Popular, PSOE histórico". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 8 November 2021.
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