2014 Alaska gubernatorial election

(Redirected from Alaska gubernatorial election, 2014)

For related races, see 2014 United States gubernatorial elections.

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November 4, 2014

2018 →


Nominee	Bill Walker	Sean Parnell
Party	Independent	Republican
Alliance	Democratic
Running mate	Byron Mallott	Dan Sullivan
Popular vote	134,658	128,435
Percentage	48.10%	45.88%

Borough and census area results

State house district resultsWalker: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80%
Parnell: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70%

Governor before election

Sean Parnell
Republican

Elected Governor

Bill Walker
Independent

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Anchorage

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The 2014 Alaska gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Alaska, concurrently with the election of Alaska's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican governor Sean Parnell ran for re-election to a second full term in office, but incumbent lieutenant governor Mead Treadwell instead chose to run for the U.S. Senate. Primary elections were held on August 19, 2014, to determine party nominees for the office, with separate primaries held for governor and lieutenant governor and the winners running together on the same ticket.

Parnell was renominated; his running mate was Anchorage Mayor Dan Sullivan. The Democrats nominated businessman and former executive director of the Alaska Permanent Fund Byron Mallott, whose running mate was State Senator Hollis French. Also running as an independent was former Republican mayor of Valdez Bill Walker, whose running mate was Craig Fleener, the former deputy commissioner of the Alaska Department of Fish and Game.

On September 2, 2014, Walker and Mallott merged their campaigns to appear on the November ballot as a single independent ticket, which the Alaska Democratic Party endorsed. On this ticket, Walker ran for governor with Mallott as his running mate. Both candidates' former running mates withdrew. Parnell was considered vulnerable, as reflected in his low approval ratings. The consensus among The Cook Political Report, Governing, The Rothenberg Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Daily Kos Elections, and others was that the contest was a tossup. Former Republican governor Sarah Palin, who had praised Parnell as her successor when she resigned in 2009, endorsed Walker and Mallott, taking issue with Parnell's tax cuts for the oil and gas industry.

On November 7, Walker and Mallott held a 3,165-vote lead, which on November 11 had grown to 4,004 out of some 244,000 votes cast, or 1.6%. Walker began preparing for a transition but the race remained officially uncalled and Parnell refused to concede. On November 14, after Walker and Mallott extended their lead to 4,634 votes, multiple media outlets called the race. Parnell conceded the following day. His loss – coupled with Democrat Mark Begich's defeat in the U.S. Senate election – marked just the fifth time in the last 50 years in which an incumbent governor and senator from different political parties were defeated in the same state in the same election cycle.

Republican primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared

Gerald L. "Tap" Heikes, minister, candidate for governor in 2006 and 2010 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2008
Russ Millette, former chairman-elect of the Alaska Republican Party
Sean Parnell, incumbent governor
Brad Snowden, candidate for governor in 2002

Withdrew

Bill Walker, former mayor of Valdez and candidate for governor in 2010 (ran as an independent)

Polling

Hypothetical polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Sean Parnell	Bill Walker	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 25–28, 2013	507	± 4.4%	60%	22%	18%

Results

Republican primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Sean Parnell (incumbent)	80,903	75.86
	Republican	Russ Millette	11,296	10.59
	Republican	Brad Snowden	10,594	9.93
	Republican	Gerald L. "Tap" Heikes	3,855	3.61
Total votes			106,648	100

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared

Dan Sullivan, Mayor of Anchorage
Kelly Wolf, Kenai Peninsula Borough Assemblyman and former state representative

Withdrew

Lesil McGuire, state senator

Results

Republican primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Dan Sullivan	74,758	70.70
	Republican	Kelly Wolf	30,985	29.30
Total votes			105,743	100

Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary

Candidates from the Alaska Democratic Party, Alaska Libertarian Party and Alaskan Independence Party appear on the same ballot, with the highest-placed candidate from each party receiving that party's nomination.

Governor

Democratic candidates

Declared

Byron Mallott, businessman, former mayor of Juneau, former president of the Alaska Federation of Natives and former executive director of the Alaska Permanent Fund
Phil Stoddard, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 1984 and candidate for governor in 1986

Withdrew

Hollis French, state senator and candidate for governor in 2010 (running for lieutenant governor)

Declined

Ethan Berkowitz, former Minority Leader of the Alaska House of Representatives, nominee for lieutenant governor in 2006, for Congress in 2008 and governor in 2010
Les Gara, state representative
Scott McAdams, former mayor of Sitka and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010
Bill Wielechowski, state senator

Libertarian candidates

Declared

Carolyn Clift, treasurer of the Alaska Libertarian Party

Results

Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Byron Mallott	42,327	66.89
	Democratic	Phil Stoddard	10,514	16.62
	Libertarian	Carolyn Clift	10,436	16.49
Total votes			63,277	100

Lieutenant governor

Democratic candidates

Declared

Hollis French, state senator and candidate for governor in 2010
Bob Williams, teacher

Libertarian candidates

Declared

Andrew C. Lee, gold miner

Results

Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Hollis French	40,271	62.08
	Democratic	Bob Williams	16,358	25.22
	Libertarian	Andrew C. Lee	8,238	12.70
Total votes			64,867	100

Others

Constitution Party

J. R. Myers, founder and chairman of the Alaska Constitution Party

Running mate: Maria Rensel

Independent

Bill Walker, former mayor of Valdez and Republican candidate for governor in 2010

Running mate: Byron Mallott, businessman, former mayor of Juneau, former president of the Alaska Federation of Natives and former executive director of the Alaska Permanent Fund
Former running mate: Craig Fleener, former deputy commissioner of the Alaska Department of Fish and Game

General election

Campaign

Parnell drew criticism during his re-election campaign over his support of billions in tax reductions for the petrochemical industry as well an exploding scandal featuring five years of alleged cover ups with regard to rampant sexual abuse, cronyism, corruption and whistleblower suppression, in the Alaska National Guard.

In October 2014, former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin endorsed Walker and Mallott. The endorsement was prompted by Parnell's oil and gas industry tax cuts, which dismantled her administration's "Alaska's Clear and Equitable Share" (ACES) plan. She had previously supported a referendum to repeal the tax cuts, which was narrowly defeated in August 2014. Walker and Mallott made the repeal of the tax cuts a centerpiece of their campaign.

Debates

Complete video of debate, October 1, 2014 - C-SPAN

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Tossup	November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Lean I (flip)	November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report	Tossup	November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics	Tossup	November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Sean Parnell (R)	Byron Mallott (D)	Bill Walker (I)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	November 1–2, 2014	1,052	± 3%	45%	—	46%	4%	5%
Public Policy Polling	November 1–2, 2014	1,052	± 3%	47%	—	48%	—	6%
Rasmussen Reports	October 27–30, 2014	887	± 4%	43%	—	50%	—	7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	October 16–23, 2014	561	± 9%	42%	—	39%	0%	20%
Hellenthal & Associates	October 15–21, 2014	403	± 4.88%	44%	—	43%	5%	9%
Rasmussen Reports	October 8–12, 2014	700	± 4%	41%	—	50%	2%	7%
Fox News	October 4–7, 2014	706	± 3.5%	42%	—	37%	8%	13%
CNN/ORC	October 1–6, 2014	704 LV	± 3.5%	45%	—	51%	—	3%
CNN/ORC	October 1–6, 2014	875 RV	± 3.4%	46%	—	49%	1%	5%
Hickman Analytics	September 26 – October 2, 2014	400	± 4.9%	46%	—	38%	7%	10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	September 20 – October 1, 2014	593	± 5%	40%	—	45%	1%	14%
Rasmussen Reports	September 23–24, 2014	713	± 4%	42%	—	47%	5%	6%
Public Policy Polling	September 18–21, 2014	880	± 3.3%	41%	—	42%	5%	13%
Public Policy Polling	September 18–21, 2014	880	± 3.3%	41%	—	45%	—	14%
Hays Research/AFL-CIO	September 13–14, 2014	500	± 4.38%	30%	—	37%	33%
Hays Research*	August 20–22, 2014	474	± 4.5%	40%	—	43%	—	15%
Rasmussen Reports	August 20–21, 2014	750	± 4%	47%	36%	—	11%	6%
Public Policy Polling	July 31 – August 1, 2014	673	± 3.8%	37%	22%	20%	5%	16%
				48%	37%	—	—	14%
				41%	—	40%	—	19%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	July 5–24, 2014	450	± 5.2%	55%	29%	—	6%	8%
Public Policy Polling	May 8–11, 2014	582	± 4.1%	37%	27%	17%	4%	15%
Public Policy Polling	January 30 – February 1, 2014	850	± 3.4%	41%	25%	16%	3%	15%

* Internal poll for Bill Walker campaign

Hypothetical polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Sean Parnell (R)	Ethan Berkowitz (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 25–28, 2013	890	± 3.3%	51%	38%	12%
Public Policy Polling	February 4–5, 2013	1,129	± 2.9%	50%	41%	9%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Sean Parnell (R)	Hollis French (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 25–28, 2013	890	± 3.3%	54%	33%	13%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Sean Parnell (R)	Les Gara (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 25–28, 2013	890	± 3.3%	53%	33%	14%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Sean Parnell (R)	Scott McAdams (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 4–5, 2013	1,129	± 2.9%	52%	34%	15%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Sean Parnell (R)	Mike Navarre (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 4–5, 2013	1,129	± 2.9%	51%	29%	20%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Sean Parnell (R)	Joe Paskvan (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 4–5, 2013	1,129	± 2.9%	51%	25%	24%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Sean Parnell (R)	Bill Wielechowski (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 25–28, 2013	890	± 3.3%	52%	33%	15%

Results

2014 Alaska gubernatorial election
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Independent	Bill Walker	134,658	48.10%	N/A
	Republican	Sean Parnell (incumbent)	128,435	45.88%	−13.18%
	Libertarian	Carolyn Clift	8,985	3.21%	+2.16%
	Constitution	J. R. Myers	6,987	2.50%	N/A
	Write-in		893	0.32%	-0.04%
Total votes			279,958	100.00%	N/A
	Independent gain from Republican

Boroughs and census areas that flipped from Republican to Independent

Denali Borough (largest city: Healy)
Fairbanks North Star (largest city: Fairbanks)
Petersburg
Valdez–Cordova Census Area (largest city: Valdez)
Aleutians West Census Area (largest city: Unalaska)
Anchorage
Bethel Census Area (largest city: Bethel)
Kusilvak Census Area (largest city: Hooper Bay)
Haines Borough (largest census-designated place: Haines)
Kodiak Island (largest city: Kodiak Island)
Lake & Peninsula Borough (largest city: Newhalen)
North Slope Borough (largest city: Utqiaġvik)
Prince of Wales–Hyder Census Area (largest city: Craig)
Yukon–Koyukuk Census Area (largest city: Fort Yukon)
Juneau

Boroughs and census areas that flipped from Democratic to Independent

Nome Census Area (largest city: Nome)
Dilingham Census Area (largest city: Dilingham)
Northwest Arctic Borough (largest city: Kotzebue)
Sitka
Skagway
Hoonah–Angoon Census Area (largest town: Hoonah)
Yakutat

References

Not to be confused with former commissioner of the Alaska Department of Natural Resources Dan Sullivan who ran as the Republican nominee in the U.S. Senate election which was held at the same time.
"Walker, Mallott to join forces in governor's race". Alaska Dispatch News. September 1, 2014. Retrieved September 2, 2014.
"In governor's race, Walker has edge -- or maybe not". Alaska Dispatch News. November 6, 2014. Retrieved November 7, 2014.
"Highs, lows for campaigns as votes are tallied in Alaska election". Alaska Dispatch News. November 11, 2014. Retrieved November 12, 2014.
"Parnell says race isn't over as Walker moves ahead with transition planning". Alaska Dispatch News. November 12, 2014. Retrieved November 14, 2014.
"Governor's race uncalled; Walker plans transition". Alaska Journal. November 13, 2014. Retrieved November 14, 2014.
"Walker introduces co-chairs of transition team". Houston Chronicle. November 12, 2014. Retrieved November 14, 2014.
"Number of uncounted votes grows in Alaska U.S. Senate race". Alaska Dispatch News. November 7, 2014. Retrieved November 7, 2014.
"More than 50,000 votes remain to be counted in heated Alaska races". Alaska Dispatch News. November 10, 2014. Retrieved November 12, 2014.
"Friday vote count makes Walker victory in race for governor look certain". Alaska Dispatch News. November 15, 2014. Retrieved November 14, 2014.
"Alaska Governor Race: Incumbent Republican Sean Parnell Loses To Independent Bill Walker". The Huffington Post. November 15, 2014. Retrieved November 14, 2014.
"Unity ticket defeats Alaska GOP Gov. Sean Parnell in drawn-out race". Los Angeles Times. November 15, 2014. Retrieved November 14, 2014.
"Parnell concedes governor's race". Alaska Dispatch News. November 15, 2014. Retrieved November 27, 2014.
Ostermeier, Eric (November 19, 2014). "Mark Begich and Sean Parnell Join Small Group in Defeat". Smart Politics.
^ "2014 Primary Official Candidate List". Alaska Secretary of State. Archived from the original on June 30, 2014. Retrieved June 4, 2014.
"Ousted GOP leader plans run for governor". Anchorage Daily News. Associated Press. May 23, 2014. Archived from the original on May 26, 2014. Retrieved May 25, 2014.
Forgey, Pat (May 4, 2013). "Alaska Gov. Sean Parnell to seek re-election in 2014". Alaska Dispatch. Retrieved October 16, 2013.
^ Thiessen, Mark (April 25, 2013). "Walker announces 2014 run for Alaska governor". Anchorage Daily News. Archived from the original on April 29, 2013. Retrieved April 26, 2013.
^ "Walker planning to run as independent for Alaska governor". Newsminer. August 1, 2013. Retrieved August 5, 2013.
^ Public Policy Polling
^ "2014 Primary Elections August 19, 2014 Official Results". State of Alaska Division of Elections. Retrieved September 8, 2014.
Gonzales, Nathan L. (May 23, 2013). "Anchorage Mayor Not Running in Alaska Senate Race". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved May 25, 2013.
"Assembly Member Running for Lieutenant Governor". Anchorage Daily News. June 2, 2014. Retrieved May 16, 2014.
Hopkins, Kyle (June 5, 2013). "McGuire files to run for lieutenant governor". Anchorage Daily News. Archived from the original on June 9, 2013. Retrieved June 10, 2013.
"McGuire withdraws from lieutenant governor race just before filing deadline". Anchorage Daily News. June 2, 2014. Archived from the original on June 6, 2014. Retrieved June 4, 2014.
DeMarban, Alex (September 3, 2013). "Byron Mallot announces decision to run for Alaska governor". Alaska Dispatch. Archived from the original on December 14, 2013. Retrieved September 3, 2013.
^ John Aronno (October 16, 2013). "Hollis French Swaps Roles, 2014 Gubernatorial Field Likely Set". Alaska Commons. Retrieved November 5, 2013.
Miller, Mark D. (May 6, 2013). "Treadwell ramps up for Senate after Parnell announcement". Juneau Empire. Archived from the original on June 7, 2013. Retrieved May 8, 2013.
"Gara decides to seek re-election to Alaska House". Anchorage Daily News. Associated Press. August 22, 2013. Archived from the original on August 31, 2013. Retrieved August 23, 2013.
Caldwell, Suzanna (April 3, 2013). "Less is more as former Senate candidate Scott McAdams sheds 100 pounds". Alaska Dispatch. Archived from the original on October 16, 2013. Retrieved October 16, 2013.
"Wielechowski taking look at governor's race". News Miner. Associated Press. May 29, 2013. Retrieved May 30, 2013.
Scott Rhode (June 3, 2014). "Ten Observations About 2014 Candidates". KENI. Retrieved June 4, 2014.
"Sen. Lesil McGuire withdrawing from lieutenant gov's race". KTOO. June 3, 2014. Archived from the original on June 7, 2014. Retrieved June 4, 2014.
"Loose Lips: Establishment finds its West Anchorage candidate, drafting Palin, Gattis nabs Bickford". Amanda Coyne. May 20, 2014. Retrieved June 4, 2014.
Redlich, Warren (October 1, 2013). "Constitution Party Candidate for Alaska". Independent Political Report. Retrieved October 16, 2013.
"November 4, 2014 General Election Candidate List". Alaska Secretary of State. Archived from the original on August 20, 2014. Retrieved August 22, 2014.
Demer, Lisa (October 14, 2013). "Walker chooses Fleener as running mate in independent bid for governor". Alaska Dispatch News. Retrieved July 24, 2014.
Parnell defends handling alaska national guard dysfunction, plans more firings, Alaska Dispatch News, Jill Burke and Richard Mauer, October 2, 2014. Retrieved October 3, 2014.
Parnell waited years to take direct action on National Guard misconduct, Alaska Dispatch News, Jill Burke and Richard Mauer, October 1, 2014. Retrieved October 3, 2014.
Debate draws standing-room-only crowd Archived June 2, 2015, at the Wayback Machine, KTUU, Caslon Hatch. July 23, 2014. Retrieved October 3, 2014.
narrowly defeated
"Palin Endorses Independent-Democratic Ticket for Alaska Governor Against GOP Successor". National Journal. October 23, 2014. Archived from the original on October 24, 2014. Retrieved October 24, 2014.
"2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 4, 2018.
"The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 3, 2014. Retrieved September 4, 2018.
"2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 4, 2018.
"2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 4, 2018.
Public Policy Polling
Carolyn Clift (L) 2%, J.R. Myers (I) 2%
^ Rasmussen Reports
CBS News/NYT/YouGov
Hellenthal & Associates
Carolyn Clift (L) 4%, J.R. Myers (I) 1%
Fox News
Carolyn Clift (L) 4%, J.R. Myers (I) 1%, Other 3%
CNN/ORC
Hickman Analytics
Carolyn Clift (L) 5%, J.R. Myers (I) 2%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov
Public Policy Polling
Carolyn Clift (L) 3%, J.R. Myers (I) 2%
Hays Research/AFL-CIO
Hays Research*
Public Policy Polling
Carolyn Clift (L) 3%, J.R. Myers (C) 2%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov
Public Policy Polling
^ J.R. Myers (C)
Public Policy Polling
^ Public Policy Polling
"2014 General Election November 4, 2014 Official Results". elections.alaska.gov. November 11, 2014. Retrieved November 27, 2014.

Notes

The others were 1990 in Minnesota, 1982 in Nevada, 1978 in New Hampshire, and 1978 in Massachusetts

External links

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Categories:

Republican primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Polling

Results

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Results

Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary

Governor

Democratic candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Libertarian candidates

Declared

Results

Lieutenant governor

Democratic candidates

Declared

Libertarian candidates

Declared

Results

Others

Constitution Party

Independent

General election

Campaign

Debates

Predictions

Polling

Results

Boroughs and census areas that flipped from Republican to Independent

Boroughs and census areas that flipped from Democratic to Independent

See also

References

Notes

External links