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1987 Asturian regional election

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1987 Asturian regional election

← 1983 10 June 1987 1991 →

All 45 seats in the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias
23 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered874,310 Green arrow up0.1%
Turnout582,077 (66.6%)
Green arrow up1.6 pp
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Pedro de Silva Isidro Fernández Rozada Alejandro Rebollo
Party PSOE AP CDS
Leader since 15 March 1983 1983 1987
Leader's seat Central Central Central
Last election 26 seats, 52.0% 14 seats, 30.2% 0 seats, 3.5%
Seats won 20 13 8
Seat change Red arrow down6 Red arrow down1 Green arrow up8
Popular vote 223,307 144,541 106,266
Percentage 38.9% 25.2% 18.5%
Swing Red arrow down13.1 pp Red arrow down5.0 pp Green arrow up15.0 pp

  Fourth party
 
Leader Francisco Javier Suárez
Party IU
Leader since 1983
Leader's seat Central
Last election 5 seats, 11.1%
Seats won 4
Seat change Red arrow down1
Popular vote 69,413
Percentage 12.1%
Swing Green arrow up1.0 pp

Constituency results map for the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias

President before election

Pedro de Silva
PSOE

Elected President

Pedro de Silva
PSOE

The 1987 Asturian regional election was held on Wednesday, 10 June 1987, to elect the 2nd General Junta of the Principality of Asturias. All 45 seats in the General Junta were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 1987 European Parliament election.

The Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) of incumbent President Pedro de Silva remained the most-voted party, but lost 13 percentage points as well as the absolute majority it had enjoyed in the previous legislature. The internal crisis within the People's Coalition after the breakup of the People's Democratic Party (PDP) from the alliance resulted in the People's Alliance (AP) standing alone in the election, losing 25,000 votes and 5 percentage points.

Disenchanted voters with the Socialist government that did not see AP as a credible opposition alternative went on to centrist Democratic and Social Centre (CDS), which saw a significant increase of its vote share and entered the General Junta with 8 seats. United Left (IU), the new incarnation of the Communist Party of Spain and its allies, lost 1 seat despite achieving more votes than in 1983.

Overview

Electoral system

The General Junta of the Principality of Asturias was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Asturias, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Asturian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.

Voting for the General Junta was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Asturias and in full enjoyment of their political rights. The 45 members of the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, which were established by law as follows:

Each constituency was allocated an initial minimum of two seats, with the remaining 39 being distributed in proportion to their populations.

In smaller constituencies, the use of the electoral method resulted in an effective threshold based on the district magnitude and the distribution of votes among candidacies.

Election date

The term of the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias expired four years after the date of its previous election. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Principality of Asturias (BOPA), with election day taking place between the fifty-fourth and the sixtieth day from publication and set so as to make it coincide with elections to the regional assemblies of other autonomous communities. The previous election was held on 8 May 1983, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 8 May 1987. The election decree was required to be published in the BOPA no later than 14 April 1987, with the election taking place no later than the sixtieth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the General Junta on Saturday, 13 June 1987.

The General Junta could not be dissolved before the date of expiry of parliament except in the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot. In such a case, the General Junta was to be automatically dissolved and a snap election called, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms.

Parliamentary composition

The General Junta of the Principality of Asturias was officially dissolved on 14 April 1987, after the publication of the dissolution decree in the Official Gazette of the Principality of Asturias. The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the General Junta at the time of dissolution.

Parliamentary composition in April 1987
Groups Parties Legislators
Seats Total
Socialist Parliamentary Group PSOE 27 27
People's Parliamentary Group AP 10 10
People's Parliamentary Group PCA–PCE 4 4
Mixed Parliamentary Group PDP 3 4
INDEP 1

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

Candidacy Parties and
alliances
Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Gov. Ref.
Votes (%) Seats
PSOE List Pedro de Silva Social democracy 51.96% 26 checkY
AP List Isidro Fernández Rozada Conservatism
National conservatism
30.23% 14 ☒N
PDP List Celestino de Nicolás Christian democracy ☒N
IU List Francisco Javier Suárez Socialism
Communism
11.13% 5 ☒N
CDS List Alejandro Rebollo Centrism
Liberalism
3.45% 0 ☒N

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 23 seats were required for an absolute majority in the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias.

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PSOE AP–PDP–PL IU CDS AP PDP Lead
1987 regional election 10 Jun 1987 66.6 38.9
20
12.1
4
18.5
8
25.2
13
0.6
0
13.7
Demoscopia/El País 22–26 May 1987 ? 64 36.7
19/20
11.6
5/6
17.0
8/9
24.0
11
2.5
0
12.7
Sofemasa/AP 16 Apr 1987 ? ? 39.2 12.9 18.5 24.0 1.0 15.2
1986 general election 22 Jun 1986 67.8 46.0 27.2 9.2 13.2 18.8
1983 regional election 8 May 1983 65.0 52.0
26
30.2
14
11.1
5
3.5
0
21.8

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size PSOE AP–PDP–PL IU CDS AP PDP Question? ☒N Lead
1987 regional election 10 Jun 1987 25.6 8.0 12.2 16.6 0.4 33.2 9.0
CIS 29 May–5 Jun 1987 1,386 29.3 9.6 9.4 10.2 0.3 32.8 7.1 19.1
CIS 8–16 May 1987 2,193 30.0 7.0 10.0 8.0 0.0 34.0 9.0 20.0
CIS 3–15 Apr 1987 2,185 34.0 7.0 11.0 8.0 29.0 8.0 23.0
CIS 6–26 Feb 1987 2,872 30.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 30.0 14.0 21.0
1986 general election 22 Jun 1986 31.0 18.4 6.2 8.9 31.2 12.6
1983 regional election 8 May 1983 33.6 19.5 7.2 2.2 35.0 14.1

Victory preferences

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size PSOE AP IU CDS Other/
None
Question? Lead
CIS 29 May–5 Jun 1987 1,386 35.9 12.1 11.3 12.1 1.7 26.9 23.8
CIS 8–16 May 1987 2,193 36.0 10.0 9.0 13.0 1.0 30.0 23.0
CIS 3–15 Apr 1987 2,185 37.0 10.0 9.0 13.0 2.0 30.0 24.0
CIS 6–26 Feb 1987 2,872 34.0 11.0 7.0 10.0 2.0 35.0 23.0

Victory likelihood

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size PSOE AP IU CDS Other/
None
Question? Lead
CIS 29 May–5 Jun 1987 1,386 63.7 3.8 2.5 3.2 0.1 26.6 59.9
CIS 8–16 May 1987 2,193 61.0 4.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 28.0 57.0
CIS 3–15 Apr 1987 2,185 61.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 33.0 58.0
CIS 6–26 Feb 1987 2,872 55.0 3.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 38.0 52.0

Preferred President

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Principality of Asturias.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Other/
None/
Not
care
Question? Lead
De Silva
PSOE
Rozada
AP
Suárez
IU
Rebollo
CDS
De Nicolás
PDP
CIS 29 May–5 Jun 1987 1,386 32.9 10.2 7.6 5.0 0.4 15.0 28.9 22.7
CIS 8–16 May 1987 2,193 30.0 6.0 4.0 5.0 0.0 22.0 33.0 24.0
CIS 3–15 Apr 1987 2,185 27.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 21.0 37.0 23.0

Results

Overall

Summary of the 10 June 1987 General Junta of the Principality of Asturias election results
Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Total +/−
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) 223,307 38.91 –13.05 20 –6
People's Alliance (AP) 144,541 25.18 –5.05 13 –1
Democratic and Social Centre (CDS) 106,266 18.52 +15.07 8 +8
United Left (IU) 69,413 12.09 +0.96 4 –1
Asturianist Party (PAS) 7,348 1.28 New 0 ±0
Workers' Party of Spain–Communist Unity (PTE–UC) 4,875 0.85 New 0 ±0
People's Democratic Party (PDP) 3,606 0.63 New 0 ±0
Asturian Nationalist Ensame (ENA) 2,809 0.49 +0.05 0 ±0
Workers' Socialist Party (PST) 2,493 0.43 –0.40 0 ±0
Humanist Platform (PH) 1,251 0.22 New 0 ±0
Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE–JONS) 957 0.17 New 0 ±0
Blank ballots 7,076 1.23 +0.82
Total 573,942 45 ±0
Valid votes 573,942 98.60 –0.74
Invalid votes 8,135 1.40 +0.74
Votes cast / turnout 582,077 66.58 +1.54
Abstentions 292,233 33.42 –1.54
Registered voters 874,310
Sources
Footnotes:
Popular vote
PSOE 38.91%
AP 25.18%
CDS 18.52%
IU 12.09%
PAS 1.28%
Others 2.79%
Blank ballots 1.23%
Seats
PSOE 44.44%
AP 28.89%
CDS 17.78%
IU 8.89%

Distribution by constituency

Constituency PSOE AP CDS IU
% S % S % S % S
Central 37.0 13 23.6 8 19.9 7 13.6 4
Eastern 44.3 3 35.3 2 13.6 3.7
Western 45.9 4 27.8 3 13.8 1 8.7
Total 38.9 20 25.2 13 18.5 8 12.1 4
Sources

Aftermath

Investiture
Ballot → 22 June 1987 24 June 1987
Required majority → 23 out of 45 Simple
Pedro de Silva (PSOE) 20 / 45 ☒N 20 / 45 checkY
Abstentions
  • AP (13)
  • CDS (8)
  • IU (4)
25 / 45 25 / 45
Absentees 0 / 45 0 / 45
Sources

Notes

  1. ^ Results for AP–PDP–UL in the 1983 election.
  2. ^ Results for PCA–PCE in the 1983 election.
  3. The 1986 electoral law lowered the electoral threshold from five percent regionally to three percent by constituency.
  4. Maximino Gorostiza, former AP legislator.
  5. ^ Within CP.
  6. ^ Result for PCA–PCE.

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. "Los suaristas irrumpen con fuerza en el Parlamento regional" (PDF). El País (in Spanish). 4 June 1987.
  2. "Una encuesta de AP pronostica un fuerte descenso del PSOE en las municipales". ABC (in Spanish). 17 April 1987.
  3. "Notable descenso del PSOE en los próximos comicios, según una encuesta encargada por AP". ABC Sevilla (in Spanish). 17 April 1987.
  4. ^ "Preelectoral municipales y autonómicas del Principado de Asturias 1987 (IV) (Estudio nº 1657. Mayo 1987)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 5 June 1987.
  5. ^ "Preelectoral municipales y autonómicas del Principado de Asturias 1987 (III) (Estudio nº 1633. Mayo 1987)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 16 May 1987.
  6. ^ "Preelectoral municipales y autonómicas del Principado de Asturias 1987 (II) (Estudio nº 1616. Abril 1987)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 15 April 1987.
  7. ^ "Preelectoral municipales y autonómicas del Principado de Asturias 1987 (I) (Estudio nº 1572. Febrero 1987)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 26 February 1987.
Other
  1. ^ Ley Orgánica 7/1981, de 30 de diciembre, de Estatuto de Autonomía del Principado de Asturias. Boletín Oficial del Estado (Organic Law 7) (in Spanish). 30 December 1981. Retrieved 14 March 2017.
  2. ^ Ley 14/1986, de 26 de diciembre, sobre régimen de elecciones a la Junta General del Principado de Asturias. Boletín Oficial del Estado (Law 14) (in Spanish). 26 December 1986. Retrieved 14 March 2017.
  3. Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. Archived from the original on 30 July 2017. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
  4. ^ Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General. Boletín Oficial del Estado (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved 28 December 2016.
  5. "Decreto del Presidente 2/1987, de 13 de abril, por el que se convocan elecciones a la Junta General del Principado de Asturias" (PDF). Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish) (89): 11164. 14 April 1987. ISSN 0212-033X.
  6. ^ "Elecciones a la Junta General del Principado de Asturias (1983 - 2019)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 27 September 2017.
  7. "Junta General del Principado de Asturias. Los diputados del Parlamento Asturiano desde 1982". General Junta of the Principality of Asturias (in Spanish). Retrieved 5 February 2022.
  8. ^ "General Junta of the Principality of Asturias election results, 10 June 1987". www.juntaelectoralcentral.es (in Spanish). Electoral Commission of Asturias. 28 November 1987. Archived from the original on 28 January 2018. Retrieved 8 December 2019.
  9. ^ "Number 75. Audit report on the regularity of electoral accounting derived from the elections held on June 10, 1987" (PDF). tcu.es (in Spanish). Court of Auditors. Retrieved 8 December 2019.
  10. "Elegidos los presidentes autonómicos de La Rioja, Asturias y Cantabria". El País (in Spanish). 25 July 1987. Retrieved 9 December 2019.
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