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The Big Push Model is a concept in development economics or welfare economics that emphasizes the fact that a firm's decision whether to industrialize or not depends on the expectation of what other firms will do. It assumes economies of scale and oligopolistic market structure. It also explains when the industrialization would happen.
The major contributions to the concept of the Big Push were made by Paul Rosenstein-Rodan in 1943 and later on by Murphy, Shleifer and Vishny in 1989. Also, some contributions of Matsuyama (1992), Krugman (1991) and Romer (1986) proved to be seminal for later literature on the Big Push.
Analysis of this economic model usually involves using game theory.
The hallmark of the ‘big-push’ approach lies in the reaping of external economies through the simultaneous installation of a host of technically interdependent industries. But before that could become possible, we have to overcome the economic indivisibilities by moving forward by a certain “minimum indivisible step”. This can be realised through the injection of an initial big dose of a certain size of investment.
See also
- Rostow's stages of growth
- Ragnar Nurkse
- Ragnar Nurkse's balanced growth theory
- Virtuous circle and vicious circle
- Strategy of unbalanced growth
- Dual economy
References
- P Krugman, 1991: History vs Expectation. The Quarterly Journal of Economics
- P Krugman, 1992: Toward a counter-counterrevolution in development theory. Proceedings of the World Bank Annual Conference on Development Economics
- K Matsuyama, 1992: The market size, Entrepreneurship, and the Big Push. Stanford
- KM Murphy, A Shleifer, RW Vishny, 1989: Industrialization and the Big Push. The Journal of Political Economy Vol. 97, pp. 1003–1026
- Romer, Paul (1986). "Increasing Returns and Long-Run Growth". Journal of Political Economy. 95 (5): 1002–1037. doi:10.1086/261420. JSTOR 1833190. S2CID 6818002.
- PN Rosenstein-Rodan, 1943: The Problems of Industrialisation of Eastern and South-Eastern Europe. The Economic Journal Vol.53
- R Nelson, 1956: A Theory of the Low-Level Equilibrium Trap in Underdeveloped Economies. American Economic Review Vol. 46(5), pp. 894–908
- UN Millennium Project, 2005: Investing in Development: A Practical Plan to Achieve the Millennium Development Goals. New York: United Nations
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