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All 240 seats in the National Assembly 121 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 51.05% ( 1.42pp) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Politics of Bulgaria |
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Recent elections
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Parliamentary elections were held in Bulgaria on 5 October 2014 to elect the 43rd National Assembly. GERB remained the largest party, winning 84 of the 240 seats with around a third of the vote. A total of eight parties won seats, the first time since the beginning of democratic elections in 1990 that more than seven parties entered parliament. Boyko Borisov then became prime minister as head of a coalition with the Reformist Bloc and with outside support from the Patriotic Front and the Alternative for Bulgarian Revival.
Background
After the 2013 election, the seat distribution was such that the new coalition government, composed of the Bulgarian Socialist Party (BSP) and the Movement for Rights and Freedoms (DPS) and led by Plamen Oresharski, had only half the seats in Parliament, and thus prospects of holding early elections were significant. Also, the Oresharski cabinet was confronted by a series of protests starting on 14 June 2013, in response to the election of Delyan Peevski as head of the Bulgarian state security agency DANS (State Agency for National Security).
Following the setback suffered by the BSP in the European Parliament election, having picked up 18.94% of the popular vote (down from 26.6% in 2013), opposition parties called for early parliamentary elections. The leader of the DPS expressed his desire to have the government resign so that early elections can be scheduled for the end of 2014 or the middle of 2015.
On 10 June 2014 the leader of the Bulgarian Socialist Party, Sergei Stanishev, demanded the resignation of the government: "We cannot have the responsibility for the existence and actions of this government solely by ourselves." Following an agreement from the three largest parties (GERB, BSP and DPS) to hold early parliamentary elections for 5 October 2014, the cabinet was to resign by the end of July.
On Wednesday July 23, Oresharski's government submitted its resignation. The next day parliament voted 180–8 (8 abstained and 44 were absent) to accept the government's resignation. After each party refused to try to form a new government, on 6 August a caretaker government led by Georgi Bliznashki was sworn into office and the 42nd National Assembly was dissolved with an election date set for 5 October.
Campaign
Twenty-two parties and seven coalitions registered to run on election day before the deadline. Two parties were denied registration.
The election campaign started on 5 September.
Opinion polls
Pre election campaign
| Pre election campaign polls | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Source | Date | GERB | BSP | DPS | Attack | RB | BBT | PF | ABV | Others | Total |
| Sova Haris | 21 July 2013 | 16.9% | 19.3% | 7.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | – | 2.3% | – | 1.8% | 54.3% |
| Alpha Research | 27 August 2013 | 15.6% | 18.4% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 7.6% | – | 3.1% | – | 21.6% | 73.6% |
| Alpha Research | 25 September 2013 | 15.6% | 17.9% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 7.6% | – | 3.1% | – | 21.6% | 73.6% |
| Institute for Modern Politics | 28 September 2013 | 16.6% | 18.5% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 5.6% | – | 1.9% | – | 16.5% | 66.3% |
| AFIS | 29 September 2013 | 19.9% | 21.2% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | – | 7.8% | 64.0% | |
| Sova Haris | 24 October 2013 | 19.5% | 21.7% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | – | 0.7% | 57.3% |
| Alpha Research | 31 October 2013 | 16.5% | 16.9% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 6.4% | – | 2.6% | – | 8.2% | 59.7% |
| Institute for Modern Politics | 10 November 2013 | 26.2% | 26.2% | 8.1% | 1.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 1.9% | – | – | 78.0% |
| Mediana | 18 November 2013 | 16.9% | 22.8% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | – | 2.9% | 68.8% |
| Gallup | 19 November 2013 | 18.1% | 21.4% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 6.7% | – | – | – | – | 54.5% |
| Sova Haris | 4 December 2013 | 16.3% | 21.3% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | – | 1.2% | 55.6% |
| Alpha Research | 8 December 2013 | 15.8% | 16.5% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 6.9% | – | 3.5% | – | 9.7% | 61.2% |
| AFIS | 12 December 2013 | 18% | 22% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 1% | – | 10% | 66% |
| Focus | 13 December 2013 | 23.5% | 22.3% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 65.8% |
| Institute for Modern Politics | 17 December 2013 | 21.0% | 21.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% | – | – | 60.6% |
| Gallup | 18 December 2013 | 18.0% | 22.8% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | – | 3.5% | 60.7% |
| Sova Haris | 15 January 2014 | 18.4% | 19.5% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | – | 0.8% | 56.5% |
| Gallup | 16 January 2014 | 18.1% | 21.6% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | – | 3.5% | 59.9% |
| Modern Institute for Politics | 31 January 2014 | 19.8% | 20.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 4.0% | 62.8% |
| Gallup | 13 March 2014 | 19.9% | 19.0% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | – | 59.6% |
| Sova Haris | 25 March 2014 | 21.7% | 22.3% | 7.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 7.0% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 68.2% |
| Sova Haris | 28 April 2014 | 17.2% | 19.8% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 60.2% |
| Center for Analysis and Marketing | 30 April 2014 | 19.7% | 16.0% | 8.2% | – | 4.8% | 4.6% | – | – | – | 53.3% |
| Focus | 23 May 2014 | 24% | 26% | 12.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 4.5% | – | – | 86.5% |
| Sova Haris | 21 July 2014 | 23% | 15.2% | 8% | 1.3% | 4% | – | 1% | 2.7% | – | 55.2% |
| Modern Institute for Politics | 25 July 2014 | 27.2% | 13.5% | 7.3% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 72.2% |
| Gallup | 14 August 2014 | 23.4% | 15.9% | 7.8% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.9 | 66.1% |
| AFIS | 24 August 2014 | 31.3% | 22.7% | 10.1% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 12.9% | 100% |
| Sova Haris | 30 August 2014 | 43.2% | 31.4% | 11% | – | 7.1% | 7.3% | – | – | – | 100% |
| Mediana | 1 September 2014 | 26.8% | 17.5% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | – | 73.9% |
| Source | Date | GERB | BSP | DPS | Attack | RB | BBT | PF | ABV | Others | Total |
Election campaign
| Source | Date | GERB | BSP | DPS | Attack | RB | BBT | PF | ABV | Others | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gallup | 18 September 2014 | 35.9% | 18.3% | 14.2% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 8.3% | 100.0% |
| Alpha Research | 1 October 2014 | 34.1% | 19.1% | 15.4% | - | 6% | 6% | 4.2% | - | - | 84.8% |
Results
 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Votes | % | +/– | Seats | +/– | |
| GERB | 1,072,491 | 32.67 | +2.1 | 84 | –13 | |
| BSP - Left Bulgaria | 505,527 | 15.40 | –11.2 | 39 | –45 | |
| Movement for Rights and Freedoms | 487,134 | 14.84 | +3.5 | 38 | +2 | |
| Reformist Bloc | 291,806 | 8.89 | +1.1 | 23 | +23 | |
| Patriotic Front | 239,101 | 7.28 | +1.7 | 19 | +19 | |
| Bulgaria Without Censorship | 186,938 | 5.69 | New | 15 | New | |
| Attack | 148,262 | 4.52 | –2.8 | 11 | –12 | |
| Alternative for Bulgarian Revival | 136,223 | 4.15 | New | 11 | New | |
| Movement 21 | 39,221 | 1.19 | New | 0 | New | |
| People's Voice | 37,335 | 1.14 | –0.2 | 0 | 0 | |
| The Greens | 19,990 | 0.61 | –0.1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Republic BG | 18,901 | 0.58 | New | 0 | New | |
| New Bulgaria | 12,628 | 0.38 | New | 0 | New | |
| New Alternative | 11,583 | 0.35 | –0.2 | 0 | 0 | |
| United Bulgaria | 10,831 | 0.33 | New | 0 | New | |
| Bulgarian Social Democracy | 9,431 | 0.29 | New | 0 | New | |
| National Movement for Stability and Progress | 7,917 | 0.24 | New | 0 | New | |
| Party of the Greens | 7,456 | 0.23 | New | 0 | New | |
| The Rights | 7,234 | 0.22 | New | 0 | New | |
| Left and the Green Party | 7,010 | 0.21 | –0.0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Bulgarian National Union – New Democracy | 5,559 | 0.17 | New | 0 | New | |
| New Force | 5,553 | 0.17 | New | 0 | New | |
| Social Democratic Party | 5,398 | 0.16 | +0.1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Community for New Bulgaria | 4,615 | 0.14 | New | 0 | New | |
| New Time | 3,836 | 0.12 | New | 0 | New | |
| Independents | 1,185 | 0.04 | New | 0 | New | |
| Total | 3,283,165 | 100.00 | – | 240 | 0 | |
| Valid votes | 3,283,165 | 93.77 | ||||
| Invalid/blank votes | 218,125 | 6.23 | ||||
| Total votes | 3,501,290 | 100.00 | ||||
| Registered voters/turnout | 6,858,304 | 51.05 | ||||
| Source: CIK | ||||||
Voter demographics
Gallup exit polling suggested the following demographic breakdown. The parties which received below 4% of the vote are included in 'Others':
| Voter demographics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Social group | % GERB | % BSP | % DPS | % RB | % PF | % BBT | % Ataka | % ABV | % Others | % Lead |
| Exit Poll Result | 34 | 16 | 12 | 9.5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6.5 | 18 |
| Final Result | 32.7 | 15.4 | 14.8 | 8.9 | 7.3 | 5.7 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 6.5 | 17.3 |
| Gender | ||||||||||
| Men | 34 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 |
| Women | 35 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 18 |
| Age | ||||||||||
| 18–30 | 35 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 19 |
| 30-60 | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24 |
| 60+ | 26 | 35 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Highest Level of Education | ||||||||||
| Lower Education | 19 | 21 | 35 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 14 |
| Secondary Education | 36 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20 |
| Higher Education | 37 | 15 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 22 |
| Ethnic Group | ||||||||||
| Bulgarian | 38 | 17 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 |
| Turkic | 6 | 2 | 84 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 78 |
| Roma | 20 | 22 | 36 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 |
| Location | ||||||||||
| Towns and Villages | 24 | 18 | 31 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| Smaller Cities | 32 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
| Larger Cities | 41 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 28 |
| Sofia | 36 | 15 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
Reactions
Following his party's election victory, Borisov stated that his party would try to form the next government and that he "want to govern, in person".
Government formation
See also: Second Borisov GovernmentThe newly elected Assembly met for the first time on 27 October.
After being tasked by President Rosen Plevneliev to form a government, Borisov's GERB allied with the Reformist Bloc to form a government and also had the outside support of the Patriotic Front and the Alternative for Bulgarian Revival. The cabinet of twenty ministers was approved by a majority of 136-97 (with one abstention). Borisov was then chosen as prime minister by an even larger vote of 149-85.
References
- ^ "Bulgaria's 42nd Parliament Dissolved, Elections on October 5". Novinite.com. Sofia News Agency. Retrieved 9 August 2014.
- Petrov, Angel. "Bulgaria's Grand Parliament Chessboard Might Be Both Ailment and Cure". Novinite.com. Sofia News Agency. Retrieved 7 October 2014.
- Bulgarians protests over media magnate as security chief, Reuters, 14 June 2013
- Thousands Rally in Bulgaria against Election of Shady Mogul for 'FBI' Head, Novinite, 14 June 2013
- (in Bulgarian) Protester says things could change for better (video) Archived 2014-10-06 at the Wayback Machine, bgnes, 14 June 2013
- "Bulgarian Co-ruling Party DPS Calls for Early Elections by end-2014". Novinite.com. Sofia News Agency. Retrieved 5 June 2014.
- "BSP Leader Stanishev Demands Government Resignation, July Elections". Novinite.com. Sofia News Agency. Retrieved 10 June 2014.
- "President Plevneliev Urges Outgoing Parliament to Review Budget". Novinite.com. Sofia News Agency. Retrieved 9 July 2014.
- "Bulgarian Gov't to Resign between July 23, 25 - PM Oresharski". Novinite.com. Sofia News Agency. Retrieved 9 July 2014.
- "Bulgaria's PM Plamen Oresharski Resigns". Novinite.com. Sofia News Agency. Retrieved 25 July 2014.
- "Bulgarian Parliament Approves Government Resignation". Novinite.com. Sofia News Agency. Retrieved 25 July 2014.
- "Seven Coalitions, 22 Parties to Run in Bulgaria's Early Elections". Novinite.com. Sofia News Agency. Archived from the original on 10 December 2015. Retrieved 22 August 2014.
- "Elections Campaign in Bulgaria To Start On Friday". Novinite.com. Sofia News Agency. Archived from the original on 8 December 2015. Retrieved 8 September 2014.
- "Демографски профили на вота – 12 July". Галъп интернешънъл (in Bulgarian). 2021-07-12. Retrieved 2014-06-10.
- Sturdee, Simon. "Deflated Bulgarian strongman vows to form government". news.yahoo.com. Yahoo - ABC News Network. Retrieved 6 October 2014.
- Bulgaria's 43th [sic] National Assembly to be inaugurated todayКопирано от standartnews.com Archived 2015-09-24 at the Wayback Machine Standart, 27 October 2014
- "Bulgarian MPs Approve New Cabinet, Ministers Sworn In". Novinite.com. Sofia News Agency. Retrieved 7 November 2014.
- "Bulgaria's Parliament Approves New Government". abcnews.go.com. ABC News Internet Ventures. Retrieved 7 November 2014.
