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Division of Bradfield

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Australian federal electoral division

Australian electorate
Bradfield
Australian House of Representatives Division
Division of Bradfield in New South Wales, as of the 2016 federal election
Created1949
MPPaul Fletcher
PartyLiberal
NamesakeJohn Bradfield
Electors108,573 (2022)
Area101 km (39.0 sq mi)
DemographicInner metropolitan

The Division of Bradfield is an Australian electoral division in the state of New South Wales.

History

John Bradfield, the division's namesake

Bradfield was created in the 1949 expansion of Parliament, and was named in honour of John Bradfield, the designer and builder of the Sydney Harbour Bridge. Its first member was Billy Hughes, a former Prime Minister of Australia and the last serving member of the first federal Parliament. The bulk of the seat was carved out of North Sydney, which Hughes represented from 1923 to 1949. After Hughes, its best-known member was Brendan Nelson, a minister in the third and fourth Howard governments and the federal Leader of the Opposition from 2007 to 2008. The current Member for Bradfield, since the 2009 Bradfield by-election, is Paul Fletcher, a member of the Liberal Party of Australia.

Located in the traditional Liberal stronghold of Sydney's North Shore, Bradfield has been in Liberal hands for its entire existence, and for most of that time has been reckoned as a very safe Liberal seat. Most of the territory covered by the seat has been represented by centre-right MPs since Federation.

The Liberal hold on the seat has only been even remotely threatened twice. Af a 1952 by-election triggered by Hughes’ death, the Liberals were held to 58 percent of the two-party vote–the only time that Labor has come anywhere close to winning the seat. Even in 1952, the Liberals still won more than enough primary votes to retain the seat without the need for preferences.

In the 2022 federal election, Voices of Bradfield-endorsed independent candidate Nicolette Boele slashed the Liberal margin in the seat from 16.56% to 4.23%, turning Bradfield into a marginal seat on a two-candidate preferred basis for the first time in its history, amid the collapse of Liberal support in the North Shore. The swing against the Liberals was enough to drop the Liberal margin in a "traditional" two-party contest with Labor to 56 percent, the first time the seat has been marginal against Labor. The Liberal primary vote plummeted to 45.05%, the first time the Liberal Party received less than 50% of the primary vote in Bradfield. The primary vote swing against the Liberal Party of 15.28% was also the largest in the country.

Boundaries

Since 1984, federal electoral division boundaries in Australia have been determined at redistributions by a redistribution committee appointed by the Australian Electoral Commission. Redistributions occur for the boundaries of divisions in a particular state, and they occur every seven years, or sooner if a state's representation entitlement changes or when divisions of a state are malapportioned.

The electorate is located in the upper North Shore and covers an area of approximately 101 km, covering the suburbs Castle Cove, East Killara, East Lindfield, Gordon, Killara, Lindfield, North Turramurra, North Wahroonga, Pymble, Roseville, Roseville Chase, South Turramurra, St Ives, St Ives Chase, Turramurra, Wahroonga, Waitara, Warrawee, and West Pymble; as well as parts of Asquith, Chatswood, Chatswood West, Hornsby, Mount Colah, and Normanhurst. The electorate has undergone minor boundary changes, with the redistribution in 2016 shifting slightly south, gaining Castle Cove and parts of Chatswood from North Sydney while losing parts of Thornleigh, Normanhurst and Hornsby. The 2025 redistribution saw the electorate once again move south, gaining most of the City of Willoughby, while losing Asquith, Normanhurst, Hornsby, Waitara, as well as Hornsby Shire parts Wahroonga to Berowra. Small Ku-ring-gai Council parts of Wahroonga (Only North of the Coups Creek) were also moved to Berowra

Demographics

2021 Australian census
Ancestry
Response Bradfield NSW Australia
English 26.6% 29.8% 33.0%
Chinese 24.5% 7.2% 5.5%
Australian 21.0% 28.6% 29.9%
Irish 8.0% 9.1% 9.5%
Scottish 7.7% 7.7% 8.6%
Other 12.2%
Country of birth
Response Bradfield NSW Australia
Australia 51.8% 65.4% 66.9%
China 11.2% 3.1% 2.2%
England 4.4% 2.9% 3.6%
India 3.4% 2.6% 2.6%
Hong Kong 3.0% 0.6% 0.4%
South Africa 2.5% 0.6% 0.7%
Other 23.7%
Religious affiliation
No religion 40.3% 32.8% 38.4%
Catholicism 16.7% 22.4% 20.0%
Anglicanism 13.2% 11.9% 9.8%
Hinduism 4.3% 3.4% 2.7%
Other 25.5%
Language spoken at home
Australian English 58.6% 67.6% 72.0%
Mandarin 13.6% 3.4% 2.7%
Cantonese 6.0% 1.8% 1.2%
Korean 2.8% 0.8% 0.5%
Hindi 1.5% 1.0% 0.8%
Persian 1.4% 0.3% 0.3%
Other 16.1%

Members

Image Member Party Term Notes
  Billy Hughes
(1862–1952)
Liberal 10 December 1949
28 October 1952
Previously held the Division of North Sydney. Died in office. Currently the longest serving parliamentarian, as well as the oldest to have served
  Harry Turner
(1905–1988)
20 December 1952
11 April 1974
Previously held the New South Wales Legislative Assembly seat of Gordon. Retired
  David Connolly
(1939–)
18 May 1974
29 January 1996
Lost preselection and retired
  Brendan Nelson
(1958–)
2 March 1996
19 October 2009
Served as minister under Howard. Served as Opposition Leader from 2007 to 2008. Resigned to retire from politics
  Paul Fletcher
(1965–)
5 December 2009
present
Served as minister under Turnbull and Morrison. Incumbent

Election results

Main article: Electoral results for the Division of Bradfield This section is an excerpt from Results of the 2022 Australian federal election in New South Wales § Bradfield.
2022 Australian federal election: Bradfield
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Paul Fletcher 43,562 45.05 −15.28
Independent Nicolette Boele 20,198 20.89 +20.89
Labor David Brigden 16,902 17.48 −3.70
Greens Martin Cousins 8,960 9.27 −4.44
Independent Janine Kitson 3,018 3.12 +3.12
United Australia Rob Fletcher 2,496 2.58 +0.74
One Nation Michael Lowe 1,568 1.62 +1.62
Total formal votes 96,704 96.40 +0.45
Informal votes 3,616 3.60 −0.45
Turnout 100,320 92.43 −0.95
Notional two-party-preferred count
Liberal Paul Fletcher 54,685 56.55 −10.01
Labor David Brigden 42,019 43.45 +10.01
Two-candidate-preferred result
Liberal Paul Fletcher 52,447 54.23 −12.33
Independent Nicolette Boele 44,257 45.77 +45.77
Liberal hold  
Alluvial diagram for preference flows in the seat of Bradfield in the 2022 federal election. checkY indicates at what stage the winning candidate had over 50% of the votes and was declared the winner.

References

  1. "Profile of the electoral division of Bradfield (NSW)". Australian Electoral Commission. 22 February 2012. Retrieved 6 April 2012.
  2. Green, Antony (2010). "Bradfield". Australia votes 2010. Australian Broadcasting Corporation.
  3. Muller, Damon (14 November 2017). "The process of federal redistributions: a quick guide". Parliament of Australia. Retrieved 19 April 2022.
  4. "2021 Bradfield, Census All persons QuickStats | Australian Bureau of Statistics".
  5. Bradfield, NSW, 2022 Tally Room, Australian Electoral Commission.

External links

Electoral divisions of the Australian House of Representatives in New South Wales
Labor (26)
Liberal (9)
Nationals (6)
Independent (6)
Abolished

33°43′55″S 151°08′46″E / 33.732°S 151.146°E / -33.732; 151.146

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