In probability theory, Lorden's inequality is a bound for the moments of overshoot for a stopped sum of random variables, first published by Gary Lorden in 1970. Overshoots play a central role in renewal theory.
Statement of inequality
Let X1, X2, ... be independent and identically distributed positive random variables and define the sum Sn = X1 + X2 + ... + Xn. Consider the first time Sn exceeds a given value b and at that time compute Rb = Sn − b. Rb is called the overshoot or excess at b. Lorden's inequality states that the expectation of this overshoot is bounded as
Proof
Three proofs are known due to Lorden, Carlsson and Nerman and Chang.
See also
References
- ^ Lorden, G. (1970). "On Excess over the Boundary". The Annals of Mathematical Statistics. 41 (2): 520–527. doi:10.1214/aoms/1177697092. JSTOR 2239350.
- ^ Spouge, John L. (2007). "Inequalities on the overshoot beyond a boundary for independent summands with differing distributions". Statistics & Probability Letters. 77 (14): 1486–1489. doi:10.1016/j.spl.2007.02.013. PMC 2683021. PMID 19461943.
- Carlsson, Hasse; Nerman, Olle (1986). "An Alternative Proof of Lorden's Renewal Inequality". Advances in Applied Probability. 18 (4). Applied Probability Trust: 1015–1016. doi:10.2307/1427260. JSTOR 1427260. S2CID 124416862.
- Chang, J. T. (1994). "Inequalities for the Overshoot". The Annals of Applied Probability. 4 (4): 1223. doi:10.1214/aoap/1177004913.
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