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2021 Mexican legislative election

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2021 Mexican legislative election
Mexico
← 2018 6 June 2021 2024 →
All 500 seats in the Chamber of Deputies
251 seats needed for a majority
Turnout52.7%
Party Leader Vote % Seats +/–
Juntos Hacemos Historia (278 seats)
MORENA Mario Martín Delgado 35.30 198 +7
PVEM Karen Castrejón Trujillo 5.63 43 +27
PT Alberto Anaya 3.36 37 −24
Va por México (199 seats)
PAN Marko Cortés Mendoza 18.89 114 +33
PRI Alejandro Moreno Cárdenas 18.36 70 +25
PRD Ángel Ávila Romero 3.78 15 −6
Other party (23 seats)
MC Clemente Castañeda 7.27 23 −4
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
Results by constituency
Politics of Mexico
Federal government
Executive
Legislature
Judiciary
Elections
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Administrative divisions
Foreign relations
flag Mexico portal

Legislative elections were held in Mexico on 6 June 2021. Voters elected 500 deputies (300 in single-member constituencies by first-past-the-post and 200 by proportional representation) to sit in the Chamber of Deputies for the 65th Congress. These elections took place concurrently with the country's state elections.

On 5 December 2020 the National Action Party, the Institutional Revolutionary Party and the Party of the Democratic Revolution announced an electoral alliance, Va por México ("Go For Mexico"). Morena, the Labour Party and the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico formed the Juntos Hacemos Historia (″Together we make history″) coalition. Both alliances were approved by the National Electoral Institute (INE).

The INE issued a statement on 3 February 2021 saying that it would not be prudent to postpone the election because of the COVID-19 pandemic and doing so could even trigger a constitutional crisis by delaying the opening of the 65th Congress. INE board president Lorenzo Córdova Vianello noted the successful elections in Hidalgo and Coahuila in October 2020.

On 13 April 2021 the INE cancelled the registrations of Manuel Guillermo Chapman (Morena), Ana Elizabeth Ayala Leyva, (Juntos Haremos Historia), and Raúl Tadeo Nava (Labor Party) for failure to certify their lack of involvement in gender violence. On 3 June, the INE warned about possible sanctions on Catholic bishops, in particular Juan Sandoval Íñiguez, for their interference in the elections.

The elections were Mexico's largest in history and were tainted by several political assassinations and the COVID-19 pandemic in Mexico.

Political parties and coalitions

Ten national political parties were registered with the INE and were eligible to participate in federal elections: the National Action Party (PAN), the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI), the Party of the Democratic Revolution (PRD), the Labor Party (PT), the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM), Citizens' Movement (MC), the National Regeneration Movement (Morena), the Solidarity Encounter Party (PES), Progressive Social Networks (RSP), and Force for Mexico (FXM).

The General Law of Political Parties stipulates that national political parties can form coalitions for elections by submitting a coalition agreement to the electoral authority. Parties cannot join coalitions in their first election. As the Solidarity Encounter Party (PES), Progressive Social Networks (RSP), and Force for Mexico (FXM) were newly established parties, they were not eligible for joining a coalition.

Parties that do not reach 3% of the popular vote lose their registration as a national political party.

Summary

Party or alliance Leader Position
Juntos Hacemos Historia National Regeneration Movement Mario Delgado Left-wing
Ecologist Green Party of Mexico Karen Castrejón Trujillo Centre-left
Labor Party Alberto Anaya Left-wing
Va por México National Action Party Marko Cortés Mendoza Centre-right to right-wing
Institutional Revolutionary Party Alejandro Moreno Cárdenas Centre or big tent
Party of the Democratic Revolution Ángel Ávila Romero Centre-left to left-wing
Citizens' Movement Clemente Castañeda Centre to centre-left
Solidarity Encounter Party Hugo Eric Flores Cervantes Right-wing
Progressive Social Networks José Fernando Gonzalez Sánchez Centre-left
Force for Mexico Gerardo Islas Maldonado Centre-left

Juntos Hacemos Historia

Main article: Juntos Hacemos Historia

In June 2020, Alfonso Ramírez Cuéllar, president of the National Regeneration Movement (Morena), announced an alliance with the Labor Party (PT), and the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM), expressing full support for Andrés Manuel López Obrador's legislative agenda.

On 23 December 2020, Mario Delgado, the new president of Morena, introduced the Juntos Hacemos Historia electoral alliance, a coalition comprising Morena, PT, and PVEM. Initially planned for the coalition to run together in 150 of the 300 electoral districts, the alliance was expanded on 18 March 2021, to cover 183 districts.

Juntos Hacemos Historia
  Candidate from MORENA (88)  Candidate from PVEM (50)  Candidate from PT (45)  No coalition candidate

Va por México

Main article: Va por México

On 22 December 2020, the National Action Party (PAN), the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) and the Party of the Democratic Revolution (PRD) formed the opposition electoral alliance Va por México. Initially planned to run together in 180 of the 300 electoral districts, on 23 December, the number was decreased to 171. On 15 February 2021, the alliance was expanded to cover a total of 219 districts.

Citizens' Movement (MC) announced that they would not form an alliance with the PAN and PRD, as they had in 2018, and would instead contest the election independently, citing disagreements with the parties.

Va por México
  Candidate from PRI (77)  Candidate from PAN (72)  Candidate from PRD (70)  No coalition candidate

Opinion polls

Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org.
Poll Source Date Published Date of Poll Sample Size Margin of Error
Other Undecided/No Answer
Massive Caller August 2020 No Data 600 No Data 40% 11.8% 24.2% 2.16% 3.23% 18.4% No Data
GEA-ISA 17 September 2020 5–7 September 2020 No Data No Data 22% 17% 14% - - 7% 40%
Massive Caller 19 October 2020 No Data 600 ±4.3% 41.8% 12.3% 31.7% 2.3% 3.4% 8.5% No Data
El Universal 30 November 2020 12–17 November 2020 1000 ±3.54% 32% 16% 17% 4% 3% No Data No Data
Mitofsky 17 December 2020 No Data No Data No Data 28.4% 10.8% 14.9% 2.6% 2.6% 9.8% 30.9%
Mitofsky 27 December 2020 No Data No Data No Data 27.4% 13.9% 12.4% 3.3% 1.4% 5.8% 35.8%
El Financiero 4 February 2021 15–16 and 29–30 January 2021 1000 ±3.1% 38% 10% 11% 3% - No Data 33%
Massive Caller 22 February 2021 19 February 2021 600 ±4.1% 51.3% 10.7% 31.3% 2.0% 2.2% No Data No Data
El Financiero 4 March 2021 12–13 and 25–26 February 2021 1000 ±3.1% 44% 10% 10% 3% - No Data 29%
El Financiero 8 April 2021 2–13 and 26–27 March 2021 1000 ±3.1% 40% 10% 11% 3% - No Data 27%
Parametría 10 April 2021 31 March – 10 April 2021 800 ±3.5% 32% 11% 12% 3% 4.5% 12.5% 25%
Massive Caller 16 April 2021 1–15 April 2021 600 ±4.3% 42.1% 17.8% 24.1% 3.4% 4.8% 7.8% No Data
Reforma 16 April 2021 8–13 April 2021 1200 ±4.2% 45% 18% 17% 4% 3% 13% No Data
El Financiero 5 May 2021 29 April – 2 May 2021 2000 ±3.1% 40% 20% 19% 3% 5% 13% No Data
El País 17 May 2021 10–14 May 2021 2000 ±3.46% 44% 19% 18% 3% 5% 8% —
GEA-ISA May 2021 14–17 May 2021 1500 ±2.5% 29.7% 13.0% 15.6% 4.6% 5.8% 9.8% 21.5%
Varela y Asociados 25 May 2021 29 April – 5 May 2021 1500 No Data 46% 15% 17% 5% 5% 12% —
El Universal 27 May 2021 19–25 May 2021 1530 ±2.86% 41% 15.3% 15.9% 3% 7.9% 16.9% —
Parametria 1 June 2021 22–28 May 2021 1000 ±3.1% 40% 16% 15% 3% 7% 19% —
El Financiero 2 June 2021 14–15, 28–29, 27–30 May 2021 2000 ±2.86% 39% 20% 21% 3% 5% 12% —
Reforma 2 June 2021 22–30 May 2021 2000 ±2.8% 43% 20% 18% 2% 7% 10% —

Conduct

A woman inserting her vote into a ballot box, Mexico City, 6 June 2021

Possibility of post-election protests

Prior Mexican elections have been fraught with accusations of election fraud, this had led to massive protests after the majority of Mexican elections in the past two decades. The 2021 legislative election did not cause protests. In a speech on 14 June, President Andrés Manuel López Obrador said "We must celebrate it, because we achieved our purpose: to establish in Mexico an authentic, a true democracy."

Political assassinations

The runup to the 2021 legislative election in Mexico was filled with political assassinations. More than 91 politicians were killed, 14 of them being candidates. This political violence led to the 2021 elections being labeled as the second most deadly election since the year 2000.

Absentee voting

Mexican citizens from eleven states who live overseas can vote electronically or by mail. Most of the elections are for governor, but overseas citizens registered in Mexico City, Jalisco, and Guerrero will be able to vote in state legislative elections.

INE approved a pilot program allowing prison inmates who are held in protective custody in Hermosillo (District 4, Sonora); Villa Comaltitlán, Chiapas; Coatlán del Río (District 4 Jojutla, Morelos); and Buena Vista Tomatlán (District 12 Apatzingán, Michoacán) to vote absentee from 17–19 May 2021. The present order covers only male inmates, but it may be extended to females.

Results

The results were a stalemate. The Morena coalition (Juntos Hacemos Historia) retained its majority in the Chamber of Deputies but lost a significant number of seats to the opposition coalition (Va por México). The opposition was able to gain enough seats to block Juntos Hacemos Historia from the two-thirds majority required to make constitutional amendments. The Morena coalition won with over 44% of the popular vote. Morena and its allies also performed very well in gubernatorial races, winning 18, a little over half of Mexico’s 32 governorships.

Because Juntos Hacemos Historia did not have a supermajority or a majority with Morena by itself, there were questions about how that would impact legislative goals. Some said López Obrador might negotiate to bring his policies to fruition. Others said he could attempt to flex his executive muscle and brute force changes by using his powers as president.

The election results hinted that the opposition parties could perform more strongly if they were allied together. With their alliance, Va por México believed it stood a chance of denying Morena a legislative majority or even the presidency in the 2024 election.

The election had a voter turnout of 53% with 49 million votes cast, the largest midterm election in Mexican history.

The results of the INE's official quick count were announced around midnight Mexico City time. It reported around 35% of the vote for Morena, with the following approximate results for the other parties: PAN 19%; PRI 18%; PRD 4%; PVEM 6%; PT 3%; MC 7%; PES, 3%; RSP 2%; FxM 3%; and independents 0.2%.

Party or allianceParty-listConstituencyTotal
seats		+/–
Votes%SeatsVotes%Seats
Juntos
Hacemos
Historia		Morena16,756,18935.307616,629,90535.27122198+7
Ecologist Green Party of Mexico2,670,6775.63122,659,1785.643143+27
Labor Party1,594,6353.3671,588,1523.373037–24
Total21,021,50144.289520,877,23544.28183278+10
Va por MéxicoNational Action Party8,967,78518.89418,896,47018.8773114+33
Institutional Revolutionary Party8,715,19118.36408,663,25718.373070+25
Party of the Democratic Revolution1,792,3483.7881,785,3513.79715–6
Total19,475,32441.038919,345,07841.03110199+52
Citizens' Movement3,449,8047.27163,425,0067.26723–4
Solidarity Encounter Party1,352,3882.8501,344,8352.8500–56
Force for Mexico1,216,7802.5601,210,3842.5700New
Progressive Social Networks868,4441.830864,3911.8300New
Independents44,3110.09044,2920.09000
Non-registered candidates41,9250.09041,5580.09000
Total47,470,477100.0020047,152,779100.003005000
Valid votes47,470,47796.6047,152,77996.60
Invalid/blank votes1,673,0463.401,660,3633.40
Total votes49,143,523100.0048,813,142100.00
Source: DOF, INE

Aftermath

Party registrations

Mexican law requires political parties to obtain at least 3% of the vote to be registered. Registration allows the party to postulate candidates and receive subsidies for campaign expenses (MXN $161.9 million or US$8.1 million each in 2021). Based on 2021 PREP results, Progressive Social Networks, Solidarity Encounter Party, and Force for Mexico will lose their registration. RSP, affiliated with teachers′ union leader Elba Esther Gordillo, had 839,000 (1.76%) votes; PES, affiliated with evangelist Hugo Eric Flores, had 296,568 (2.73%) votes; and FM, affiliated with Senator Ricardo Monreal, had 178,000 (2.48%) votes. The parties have the opportunity to reorganize for the next election.

See also

References

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