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Nationwide opinion polling for the 1940 United States presidential election

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Main article: United States presidential election, 1940

This article provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 1940 United States presidential election.

Presidential election

Franklin Roosevelt vs Wendell Willkie

Polling aggregates
Candidates
  Franklin Roosevelt
  Wendell Willkie
  Undecided
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org.
Poll Source Field Date(s) Sample Size Franklin Roosevelt
Democratic 		Wendell Willkie
Republican 		Others Undecided Leading by
(points)
Election Results November 5, 1940 54.7% 44.8% 0.5% - 10.0
Gallup Poll News Service November 2, 1940 3,094 (A) 51.1% 47.4% 0.4% 1.1% 3.7
Gallup Poll News Service October 24, 1940 10,325 (A) 47.7% 44.2% 0.2% 7.9% 3.5
Gallup Poll News Service October 23, 1940 3,161 (A) 48.2% 43.5% 0.3% 8.00% 4.7
Gallup Poll News Service October 22, 1940 11,860 (A) 49.9% 41.8% 0.4% 7.9% 8.1
Gallup Poll News Service October 19, 1940 5,525 (A) 48.3% 45.1% 0.5% 6.2% 3.2
Gallup Poll News Service October 9, 1940 3,134 (A) 50.0% 41.4% 0.6% 7.9% 8.6
Gallup Poll News Service October 5, 1940 6,221 (A) 46.7% 45.6% 0.4% 7.5% 1.1
Gallup Poll News Service September 30, 1940 3,089 (A) 48.8% 42.0% 0.3% 8.8% 6.8
Gallup Poll News Service September 20, 1940 2,957 (A) 48.3% 40.7% 0.1% 11.0% 7.6
Gallup Poll News Service September 14, 1940 7,489 (A) 47.6% 42.4% 0.5% 9.5% 5.2
Gallup Poll News Service September 3, 1940 4,536 (A) 42.7% 42.8% 0.3% 14.2% 0.1
Gallup Poll News Service August 21, 1940 3,117 (A) 43.2% 43.6% 0.3% 12.2% 0.4
Gallup Poll News Service August 9, 1940 3,117 (A) 40.3% 43.8% 0.6% 13.8% 3.5
Gallup Poll News Service August 8, 1940 5,790 (A) 42.1% 46.0% 0.9% 11.1% 3.9
Gallup Poll News Service July 31, 1940 3,060 (A) 43.6% 45.8% 0.3% 10.3% 2.2
Gallup Poll News Service July 19, 1940 3,117 (A) 42.7% 43.4% 0.5% 13.4% 0.7
Gallup Poll News Service July 16, 1940 1,626 (A) 44.3% 43.1% 0.3% 12.4% 1.2
Gallup Poll News Service July 11, 1940 2,490 (A) 46.4% 39.8% - 13.8% 6.6
Gallup Poll News Service July 3, 1940 3,121 (A) 42.0% 45.7% - 12.3% 3.6
Gallup Poll News Service Jun 11, 1940 3,091 (A) 52.7% 29.9% - 17.3% 22.9
Gallup Poll News Service May 29, 1940 3,159 (A) 54.5% 29.3% - 15.9% 25.2

Franklin Roosevelt vs Bruce Barton

Poll source Date Franklin Roosevelt
Democratic 		Bruce Barton
Republican 		Undecided Leading by
(points)
Gallup Poll News Service August 10, 1938 45.5% 30.9% 23.6% 14.6

Franklin Roosevelt vs Thomas Dewey

Poll source Date Franklin Roosevelt
Democratic 		Thomas Dewey
Republican 		Undecided Leading by
(points)
Gallup Poll News Service June 11, 1940 54.0% 34.7% 11.3% 19.3
Gallup Poll News Service May 29, 1940 53.7% 35.6% 10.5% 18.1
Gallup Poll News Service May 23, 1940 54.3% 37.2% 8.5% 17.1
Gallup Poll News Service May 16, 1940 54.2% 35.7% 11.6% 18.5
Gallup Poll News Service May 3, 1940 45.0% 47.6% 11.6% 2.6
Gallup Poll News Service April 23, 1940 48.3% 44.3% 7.5% 4.0
Gallup Poll News Service April 9, 1940 48.4% 43.3% 8.4% 5.1
Gallup Poll News Service January 30, 1940 47.6% 43.2% 9.3% 4.4
Gallup Poll News Service January 30, 1940 45.4% 43.0% 11.6% 2.4
Gallup Poll News Service December 2–7, 1939 42.4% 43.3% 14.7% 0.9
Gallup Poll News Service November 8, 1939 42.2% 45.0% 12.8% 2.8
Gallup Poll News Service September 22, 1939 50.8% 36.4% 12.9% 14.4
Gallup Poll News Service June 7, 1939 42.9% 44.6% 12.5% 1.7
Gallup Poll News Service February 17, 1939 40.1% 49.3% 10.5% 9.2
Gallup Poll News Service August 10, 1938 42.9% 36.3% 20.8% 6.6

Franklin Roosevelt vs Herbert Hoover

Poll source Date Franklin Roosevelt
Democratic 		Herbert Hoover
Republican 		Undecided Leading by
(points)
Gallup Poll News Service June 11, 1940 61.0% 26.3% 12.7% 34.7
Gallup Poll News Service May 18, 1939 53.4% 36.2% 10.4% 17.2

Franklin Roosevelt vs Alf Landon

Poll source Date Franklin Roosevelt
Democratic 		Alf Landon
Republican 		Undecided Leading by
(points)
Gallup Poll News Service August 10, 1938 48.8% 38.4% 12.8% 10.4

Franklin Roosevelt vs Robert Taft

Poll source Date Franklin Roosevelt
Democratic 		Robert Taft
Republican 		Undecided Leading by
(points)
Gallup Poll News Service June 11, 1940 55.6% 31.0% 13.3% 24.6
Gallup Poll News Service April 23, 1940 52.0% 38.7% 9.2% 13.3
Gallup Poll News Service April 17, 1940 50.9% 38.1% 11.0% 12.8
Gallup Poll News Service January 30, 1940 48.9% 42.7% 8.4% 6.2
Gallup Poll News Service December 2–7, 1939 45.3% 39.0% 15.7% 6.3
Gallup Poll News Service October 10, 1939 47.5% 41.8% 10.8% 5.7
Gallup Poll News Service March 21, 1939 43.3% 42.8% 13.8% 0.5

Franklin Roosevelt vs Arthur Vandenberg

Poll source Date Franklin Roosevelt
Democratic 		Arthur Vandenberg
Republican 		Undecided Leading by
(points)
Gallup Poll News Service April 23, 1940 51.1% 38.3% 10.7% 12.8
Gallup Poll News Service December 2–7, 1939 46.4% 37.1% 15.9% 9.3
Gallup Poll News Service October 3, 1939 53.2% 33.0% 13.9% 20.2
Gallup Poll News Service July 17, 1939 44.2% 43.5% 12.3% 0.7
Gallup Poll News Service March 21, 1939 44.5% 37.8% 17.6% 6.7
Gallup Poll News Service August 10, 1938 44.5% 36.8% 18.7% 7.7

James Farley vs Thomas Dewey

Poll source Date James Farley
Democratic 		Thomas Dewey
Republican 		Undecided Leading by
(points)
Gallup Poll News Service May 3, 1940 31.9% 53.0% 15.0% 21.1
Gallup Poll News Service April 3, 1940 33.3% 54.0% 12.7% 20.7
Gallup Poll News Service April 6, 1939 33.5% 54.2% 12.3% 20.7
Gallup Poll News Service June 21, 1938 29.8% 38.7% 31.6% 8.9

James Farley vs Robert Taft

Poll source Date James Farley
Democratic 		Robert Taft
Republican 		Undecided Leading by
(points)
Gallup Poll News Service April 6, 1939 39.4% 45.3% 15.2% 5.9

James Farley vs Arthur Vandenberg

Poll source Date James Farley
Democratic 		Arthur Vandenberg
Republican 		Undecided Leading by
(points)
Gallup Poll News Service June 21, 1938 32.7% 37.6% 29.8% 4.9

John Garner vs Thomas Dewey

Poll source Date John Garner
Democratic 		Thomas Dewey
Republican 		Undecided Leading by
(points)
Gallup Poll News Service June 18–23, 1939 39.4% 46.8% 13.8% 7.4
Gallup Poll News Service June 7, 1939 40.3% 42.2% 17.5% 1.9
Gallup Poll News Service February 17, 1939 43.5% 41.4% 15.1% 2.1

John Garner vs Robert Taft

Poll source Date John Garner
Democratic 		Robert Taft
Republican 		Undecided Leading by
(points)
Gallup Poll News Service April 17, 1940 36.7% 42.3% 21.1% 5.6
Gallup Poll News Service May 2, 1939 40.8% 36.0% 23.2% 4.8

John Garner vs Arthur Vandenberg

Poll source Date John Garner
Democratic 		Arthur Vandenberg
Republican 		Undecided Leading by
(points)
Gallup Poll News Service March 30, 1939 46.9% 43.1% 10.1% 3.8
Gallup Poll News Service June 21, 1938 34.8% 35.7% 29.5% 0.9

Harry Hopkins vs Thomas Dewey

Poll source Date Harry Hopkins
Democratic 		Thomas Dewey
Republican 		Undecided Leading by
(points)
Gallup Poll News Service April 19, 1939 30% 48% 22% 18

Cordell Hull vs Thomas Dewey

Poll source Date Cordell Hull
Democratic 		Thomas Dewey
Republican 		Undecided Leading by
(points)
Gallup Poll News Service May 23, 1940 46.1% 39.9% 13.5% 6.2
Gallup Poll News Service May 16, 1940 43.6% 38.2% 18.2% 5.4
Gallup Poll News Service May 3, 1940 44.4% 41.6% 14.0% 2.8
Gallup Poll News Service April 23, 1940 42.3% 43.7% 14.1% 1.4
Gallup Poll News Service April 9, 1940 42.9% 42.3% 14.8% 0.6
Gallup Poll News Service February 6, 1940 41.3% 43.5% 15.2% 2.2
Gallup Poll News Service January 30, 1940 39.2% 42.3% 18.5% 3.1
Gallup Poll News Service July 17, 1939 38.7% 42.7% 18.6% 4.0
Gallup Poll News Service April 19, 1939 41.0% 42.1% 16.9% 1.1

Cordell Hull vs Robert Taft

Poll source Date Cordell Hull
Democratic 		Robert Taft
Republican 		Undecided Leading by
(points)
Gallup Poll News Service May 3, 1940 50.4% 32.8% 16.9% 17.6
Gallup Poll News Service April 23, 1940 46.7% 34.8% 18.6% 11.9
Gallup Poll News Service April 17, 1940 49.0% 31.4% 19.6% 17.6
Gallup Poll News Service January 30, 1940 43.4% 40.8% 15.7% 2.6
Gallup Poll News Service May 2, 1939 36.9% 35.7% 27.4% 1.2

Cordell Hull vs Arthur Vandenberg

Poll source Date Cordell Hull
Democratic 		Arthur Vandenberg
Republican 		Undecided Leading by
(points)
Gallup Poll News Service May 3, 1940 49.8% 31.4% 18.8% 18.4
Gallup Poll News Service April 23, 1940 46.5% 33.5% 19.9% 13.0
Gallup Poll News Service March 25, 1940 48.4% 38.6% 13.0% 9.8
Gallup Poll News Service February 6, 1940 39.5% 43.3% 17.2% 3.8

Cordell Hull vs Wendell Willkie

Poll source Date Cordell Hull
Democratic 		Wendell Willkie
Republican 		Undecided Leading by
(points)
Gallup Poll News Service May 14, 1940 36.3% 45.4% 18.0% 9.1

Paul McNutt vs Robert Taft

Poll source Date Paul McNutt
Democratic 		Robert Taft
Republican 		Undecided Leading by
(points)
Gallup Poll News Service May 16, 1940 30.0% 38.6% 31.5% 8.6
Gallup Poll News Service July 26, 1939 31.1% 39.0% 30.0% 7.9

Paul McNutt vs Arthur Vandenberg

Poll source Date Paul McNutt
Democratic 		Arthur Vandenberg
Republican 		Undecided Leading by
(points)
Gallup Poll News Service May 16, 1940 31.1% 39.8% 29.1% 8.7

Paul McNutt vs Wendell Willkie

Poll source Date Paul McNutt
Democratic 		Wendell Willkie
Republican 		Undecided Leading by
(points)
Gallup Poll News Service May 16, 1940 32.0% 29.4% 42.7% 2.6

Henry Wallace vs Thomas Dewey

Poll source Date Henry Wallace
Democratic 		Thomas Dewey
Republican 		Undecided Leading by
(points)
Gallup Poll News Service May 10, 1939 31.7% 51.2% 17.2% 19.5

Henry Wallace vs Robert Taft

Poll source Date Henry Wallace
Democratic 		Robert Taft
Republican 		Undecided Leading by
(points)
Gallup Poll News Service April 3, 1940 33.2% 45.9% 20.9% 12.7
Gallup Poll News Service May 10, 1939 34.2% 42.5% 23.3% 8.3

Franklin Roosevelt vs Thomas Dewey vs John Garner

Poll source Date Franklin Roosevelt
New Deal 		Thomas Dewey
Republican 		John Garner
Conservative-Democratic 		Undecided Leading by
(points)
Gallup Poll News Service June 7, 1939 37.8% 36.9% 14.0% 11.3% 0.9

Polling for the Republican Presidential Nomination

Polling aggregates
Candidates
  Wendell Willkie
  Thomas Dewey
  Robert Taft
  Arthur Vandenberg
  Herbert Hoover
  Undecided
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org.
Poll source Date Wendell Willkie Thomas Dewey Robert Taft Arthur Vandenberg Herbert Hoover Alf Landon William Borah Henry Cabot Lodge John Bricker Fiorello La Guardia Charles Lindbergh Arthur James Bruce Barton Others Undecided Leading by
(points)
Gallup November 27, 1938 - 33% 18% 18% 6% 6% - 5% - - - - - 17% - 15
Gallup February 17, 1939 - 14.04% 8.32% 10.92% 2.08% 3.64% 2.08% - - 2.08% - - - 8.84% 48% 3.12
Gallup March 22, 1939 - 23.00% 5.98% 6.90% 2.30% 1.84% 0.92% 0.92% - - - - - 4.14% 54% 16.10
Gallup May 10, 1939 - 31.86% 8.85% 7.67% 2.36% 1.77% 1.77% 0.59% 0.59% 0.59% - - 0.59% 2.36% 41% 16.10
Gallup July 7, 1939 - 47% 13% 19% 6% 4% 3% 1% 1% 2% - - - 4% - 28
Gallup August 13, 1939 - 26.55% 8.26% 14.75% 3.54% 1.77% 1.18% - 1.18% - - - - 1.77% 41% 11.80
Gallup October 13, 1939 - 33.54% 14.62% 23.22% 3.54% 3.44% 2.58% - 0.86% - 0.86% 0.86% - 2.58% 14% 10.32
Gallup November 10, 1939 - 39% 18% 26% 5% 3% 3% 1% - - 1% 1% - 4% - 13
- 44% 31% 25% - - - - - - - - - - - 13
Gallup January 7, 1940 - 37.80% 6.93% 10.08% 3.15% 0.63% 0.63% 0.63% 0.63% - - - - 1.89% 37% 27.72
Gallup May 8, 1940 2.16% 48.24% 8.64% 10.08% 1.44% - - - - - - - - 2.16% 28% 38.16
Gallup May 17, 1940 3.70% 45.88% 10.36% 9.62% 1.48% - - - - - - - - 2.96% 26% 35.52
Gallup May 31, 1940 6.80% 38.08% 10.88% 8.16% 1.36% - - - - - - - - 2.72% 32% 27.20
Gallup June 12, 1940 13.43% 41.08% 10.27% 9.48% 1.56% 0.79% - - - - - - - 2.37% 21% 27.65
Gallup June 21, 1940 19.14% 31.02% 5.28% 5.28% 3.96% - - - - - - - - 1.32% 34% 11.88
Gallup July 8, 1940 44% 29% 13% - - - - - - - - - - 14% - 15

Polling for the Democratic Presidential Nomination

Poll source Date Franklin Roosevelt John Garner Cordell Hull James Farley Paul McNutt Frank Murphy Burton K. Wheeler Robert Jackson Fiorello La Guardia Alben W. Barkley Henry Wallace Harry Hopkins Bennett Clark Herbert Lehman Al Smith Harold Ickes George Earle Others Undecided Leading by
(points)
Gallup July 31, 1938 - 23% 12% 16% 5% 2% - - - 2% 3% - - 3% - - 5% 25% - 7
Gallup March 26, 1939 - 42% 10% 10% 5% 2% - - - 2% - 8% 2% 3% - - - 14% - 32
Gallup May 21, 1939 - 50% 13% 9% 3% 3% - - - 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% - - - 11% - 37
Gallup June 14, 1939 - 23.03% 5.88% 7.84% 1.47% 1.47% - - - 0.49% 1.47% 2.45% 0.98% - - - - 3.43% 51% 15.19
Gallup August 4, 1939 - 46% 12% 12% 13% 2% - - - 1% 1% 3% 1% - - - - 8% - 33
Gallup September 13, 1939 - 45% 10% 10% 21% 2% - - - 1% - 1% 1% - - - - 9% - 24
Gallup November 6, 1939 83% 8% 3% 1% 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - 2% - 75
- 45% 13% 8% 18% 3% - - - 2% - - 1% - 2% 1% - 8% - 75
Gallup January 3, 1940 58.85% 9.75% 1.50% 0.75% 3.00% 0.75% - - - - - - - - - - - 0.75% 25% 49.10
- 27.84% 3.84% 2.40% 8.16% - - - - - - - - - - - - 5.76% 52% 19.68
Gallup February 19, 1940 58.50% 7.50% 4.50% 0.75% 1.50% - 0.75% - - - - - - - - - - 1.50% 25% 51.00
- 20.00% 12.50% 4.00% 5.50% 0.50% 2.00% 0.50% 1.50% - - - - - - - - 2.20% 50% 7.50
Gallup May 15, 1940 - 11.55% 25.85% 8.80% 3.30% - 2.20% 0.55% 0.55% - - - - - - - - 2.20% 45% 14.30
Gallup July 1, 1940 76.36% 1.66% 2.49% 0.83% 0.83% - - - - - - - - - - - - 0.83% 17% 73.87
- 11.96% 24.44% 6.24% 4.68% - 1.56% 0.56% 0.56% - - - - - - - - 2.08% 48% 12.48

Notes

  1. Running-mate is Fiorello La Guardia
  2. Running-mate is Robert Taft
  3. Running-mate is Fiorello La Guardia
  4. Running-mate is Thomas Dewey
  5. Running-mate is James Farley
  6. Running-mate is Arthur Vandenberg
  7. Running-mate is Robert Jackson
  8. Running-mate is Robert Taft
  9. Running-mate is Robert Jackson
  10. Running-mate is Thomas Dewey
  11. Running-mate is James Farley
  12. Running-mate is Thomas Dewey
  13. ^ On occasion it seems that Gallup would not mention how many of those polled were Undecided, and would subsequently only announce the results of those who were Decided on a candidate. Possibly this information is in the Gallup Brain Archives.

References

  1. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 127.
  2. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 140.
  3. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 146.
  4. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 153.
  5. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 164.
  6. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 173.
  7. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 185.
  8. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 189.
  9. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 199.
  10. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 222.
  11. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 224.
  12. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 226.
  13. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 228.
  14. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 229.
  15. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 231.
  16. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 112.
  17. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 147.
  18. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 155.
  19. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 159.
  20. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 171.
  21. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 180.
  22. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 189.
  23. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 199.
  24. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 208.
  25. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 224.
  26. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 230.
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