In the run up to the 2016 Slovak parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Slovakia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.
The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 5 March 2016, to the present day.
Party vote
| Date | Polling firm | Sample size | Smer-SD | SIEŤ | KDH | Most–Híd | OĽaNO | SNS | SMK-MKP | SaS | NOVA | SDKÚ-DS | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb-14 Feb | MVK | 1,136 | 32.5% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | w.OĽaNO | 1.0% | 11.7% | 18.0% |
| 6 Feb-14 Feb | Polis | 1,670 | 38.4% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | w.OĽaNO | 1.3% | 9.0% | 28.0% |
| 6 Feb-14 Feb | Focus | 1,005 | 34.6% | 14.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | w.OĽaNO | 1.0% | 8.9% | 20.6% |
| 31 Jan-7 Feb | Focus | 1,000 | 34.1% | 13.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | w.OĽaNO | 1.7% | 11.8% | 20.4% |
| 22-31 Jan | Focus | 1,009 | 36.3% | 13.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | w.OĽaNO | 1.7% | 11.2% | 23.3% |
| 22-28 Jan | MVK | 1,148 | 32.1% | 14.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | w.OĽaNO | 1.6% | 13.0% | 17.5% |
| 11-14 Jan | AKO | 1,000 | 40.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | — | 6.2% | w.OĽaNO | — | 18.4% | 33.9% |
| 28 Dec-8 Jan | MVK | 1,089 | 34.5% | 14.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | w.OĽaNO | 2.0% | 10.1% | 19.8% |
| 2016 | ||||||||||||||
| 24 Nov-1 Dec | AKO | 1,000 | 42.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 9.7% | — | 6.2% | w.OĽaNO | — | 9.6% | 31.8% |
| 14-21 Nov | MVK | 1,270 | 36.0% | 14.9% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | w.OĽaNO | 2.8% | 6.4% | 21.1% |
| 8–14 Nov | Polis | 1,305 | 40.1% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | w.OĽaNO | 2.8% | 4.6% | 27.5% |
| 3-11 Nov | Focus | 1,034 | 39.0% | 12.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | w.OĽaNO | 3.0% | 8.5% | 28.1% |
| 14 Oct-11 Nov | Median | 1,217 | 40.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | w.OĽaNO | 3.2% | 7.7% | 31.1% |
| 29 Oct–4 Nov | AKO | 1,000 | 41.0% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | w.OĽaNO | 3.9% | 7.0% | 31.1% |
| 6-14 Oct | Focus | 1,032 | 39.1% | 12.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | w.OĽaNO | 2.8% | 8.9% | 26.5% |
| 26 Sep–2 Oct | MVK | 1,085 | 40.0% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | w.OĽaNO | 1.7% | 11.7% | 29.2% |
| 1-9 Sep | Focus | 1,031 | 37.7% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | w.OĽaNO | 2.2% | 9.5% | 26.3% |
| 20 Jul–16 Aug | Median | 1,031 | 39.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | w.OĽaNO | 3.5% | 8.6% | 30.6% |
| 28 Jul–4 Aug | Focus | 1,017 | 34.6% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | w.OĽaNO | 2.2% | 10.6% | 22.7% |
| 22–29 Jul | Median | 1,031 | 38.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | w.OĽaNO | 3.7% | 7.9% | 28.2% |
| 12–18 Jul | Polis Slovakia | 1,463 | 35.0% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | w.OĽaNO | 1.8% | 8.3% | 22.9% |
| 8–14 Jun | Polis Slovakia | 1,469 | 34.8% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 7.5% | 23.0% |
| 2–10 Jun | Focus | 1,018 | 35.3% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 8.6% | 24.4% |
| 5–13 May | Focus | 1,067 | 33.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 9.1% | 22.5% |
| 4–11 May | Polis Slovakia | 1,402 | 35.3% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 7.7% | 24.5% |
| 11–18 Apr | Polis Slovakia | 1,417 | 34.7% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 7.9% | 24.2% |
| 31 Mar–8 Apr | Focus | 1,027 | 37.4% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 7.1% | 26.5% |
| 20–27 Mar | eCall Slovakia | 1,266 | 35.6% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 23% |
| 17–23 Mar | Polis Slovakia | 1 448 | 37.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 8.5% | 28.4% |
| 3–10 Mar | MVK | 1,106 | 38.8% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 8.5% | 27.3% |
| 9–18 Feb | Polis Slovakia | 1,472 | 36.8% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 8.3% | 26.7% |
| 27 Jan–3 Feb | Focus | 1,010 | 35.5% | 11% | 10.9% | 7% | 6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 8.8% | 24.5% |
| 12–18 Jan | Polis Slovakia | 1,410 | 37.4% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 7.6% | 26.1% |
| 2015 | ||||||||||||||
| 1–7 Dec | Polis Slovakia | 1,463 | 38.3% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 26.4% |
| 1–7 Nov | MVK | 1,125 | 38.8% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 26.6% |
| 4 Aug | Focus | 1,051 | 36.8% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 26.2% |
| 31 Jul | Polis Slovakia | 1,128 | 35.8% | 16.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 19.4% |
| 1 Jul | Polis Slovakia | 1,322 | 35.3% | 17.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 18.1% |
| 23 Jun | Focus | 1,025 | 32.2% | 15.8% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 16.4% |
| 2 Jun | Polis Slovakia | 1,603 | 36.4% | Did not exist | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 21.0% |
| 24 May | European elections | 576,437 | 24.1% | 13.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 16.9% | 11.1% | |
| 20 May | Focus | 1,037 | 34.6% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 24.5% | 24.7% | |
| 19 May | Median | 998 | 42.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 10.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 31.7% | |
| 6 May | Polis Slovakia | 1,250 | 38.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 17.3% | 30.4% | |
| 22–28 Mar | Polis Slovakia | 1,521 | 41.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 32.3% | |
| 1–5 Mar | Polis Slovakia | 1,521 | 39.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | - | - | 6.5% | - | 8.9% | 21.6% | 30.1% | |
| 27 Jan–5 Feb | Focus | 1,051 | 38.1% | 12.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 25.4% | |
| 15–21 Jan | MVK | 1,106 | 38.1% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 28.6% | |
| 2014 | ||||||||||||||
| 2013 | ||||||||||||||
| 10 Mar 2012 | 2012 elections | 2,553,726 | 44.4% | Did not exist | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | Did not exist | 6.1% | 10.0% | 35.6% |
Notes
References
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- "Posledný prieskum Focusu: Smer nestúpa, potreboval by partnera".
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- "SLOVAKIA, January 2016. Focus poll".
- "Prieskum MVK: V parlamente by bolo sedem strán, SNS na treťom mieste".
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