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(Redirected from Pan-Blue coalition) Political coalition in Taiwan (Republic of China)
Pan-Blue Coalition 泛藍聯盟
LeaderEric Chu
Ideology
Political positionCentre-right to right-wing
Colours  Blue
Legislative Yuan54 / 113 (48%)
Pan-Blue coalition
Traditional Chinese泛藍聯盟
Simplified Chinese泛蓝联盟
Transcriptions
Standard Mandarin
Hanyu PinyinFànlán Liánméng
Bopomofoㄈㄢˋ ㄌㄢˊ ㄌㄧㄢˊ ㄇㄥˊ
Wade–GilesFan-lan Lien-meng
Tongyong PinyinFàn-lán Lián-méng
IPA
Southern Min
Hokkien POJHoān-lâm-liân-bêng
Pan-Blue force
Traditional Chinese泛藍軍
Simplified Chinese泛蓝军
Transcriptions
Standard Mandarin
Hanyu PinyinFànlán Jūn
Bopomofoㄈㄢˋ ㄌㄢˊ ㄐㄩㄣ
Wade–GilesFan-lan Chün
Tongyong PinyinFàn-lán Jyun
IPA
Southern Min
Hokkien POJHoān-lâm-kun
Pan-Blue groups
Traditional Chinese藍營
Simplified Chinese蓝营
Transcriptions
Standard Mandarin
Hanyu PinyinLán Yíng
Bopomofoㄌㄢˊ ㄧㄥˊ
Wade–GilesLan Ying
Tongyong PinyinLán Yíng
IPA
Southern Min
Hokkien POJLâm-iânn
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The Pan-Blue coalition, Pan-Blue force or Pan-Blue groups is a political coalition in the Republic of China (Taiwan) consisting of the Kuomintang (KMT), People First Party (PFP), New Party (CNP), Non-Partisan Solidarity Union (NPSU), and Young China Party (YCP). The name comes from the party color of the Kuomintang.

Regarding the political status of Taiwan, this coalition maintains that the Republic of China instead of the People's Republic of China is the legitimate government of China, favors a Chinese and Taiwanese dual identity over an exclusive Taiwanese identity, and favors greater friendly exchange with Mainland China, as opposed to the Pan-Green Coalition.

Political stance

The Pan-Blue Coalition's political stance can be characterized as centre-right, conservative and being of Republic of China-centered Chinese nationalism.

Originally, the Pan-Blue Coalition was associated with Chinese unification, but has moved towards a more conservative position supporting the present status quo, while rejecting immediate unification with mainland China. It now argues that reunification is possible only after the communist regime in mainland China collapses or transitions to a democracy either as a new democratic government or with the re-establishment of Sun Yat-sen's Republic of China government which fled to Taiwan after the Chinese Civil War. This would also allow the body of Chiang Kai-shek to be returned to his ancestral home in Xikou.

History

Lee Teng-hui presidency: 1988–2000

Throughout the 1990s, the Kuomintang (KMT) consisted of an uneasy relationship between those party members who had mainland China backgrounds (came from mainland China in 1949) and Taiwanese political elites, Taiwanese factions led by President Lee Teng-hui, who supported a stronger Taiwanese identity and distinction from Chinese nationalism. Lee won the party control after the indirect election in 1990. This led to a split in the early 1990s, when the New Party was formed by the anti-Lee dissidents in the KMT. After the dissidents of KMT members left, the KMT remained loyal and with control by President Lee Teng-hui throughout his presidency.

During the 2000 presidential election, Lee Teng-hui arranged for Lien Chan to be nominated as Kuomintang candidate for president rather than the more popular James Soong, who left the party and formed his own People First Party after both he and Lien were defeated by Chen Shui-bian in the presidential elections. Though Chen and the DPP won the presidency, pro-KMT lawmakers held 140 out of 225 seats in the Legislative Yuan. Soong and Lien later formed a coalition in opposition to the DPP minority government.

First time in opposition: 2000–2008

In the 2000 presidential election itself, the split in Kuomintang votes between Soong and Lien led in part to the election of Chen Shui-bian. After the election, there was widespread anger within the Kuomintang against Lee Teng-hui, who was expelled for forming his own pro-Taiwan independence party, the Taiwan Solidarity Union. After Lee's expulsion, the Kuomintang moved its policies back to a more conservative one and began informal but close cooperation with the People First Party and the New Party. This coalition became informally known as the Pan-Blue Coalition. Although the members of the Pan-Blue Coalition maintain separate party structures, they closely cooperate in large part to ensure that electoral strategies are coordinated, so that votes are not split among them leading to a victory by the Pan-Green Coalition.

The KMT and PFP ran a combined ticket in the 2004 presidential elections with Lien Chan running for president and James Soong running for vice president. The campaign emblem for the Lien-Soong campaign was a two-seat bicycle with a blue (the color of the KMT) figure in the first seat and an orange (the color of the PFP) figure in the second.

There were talks in late 2004 that the KMT and the PFP would merge into one party in 2005, but these talks have been put on hold. In the 2004 legislative election the three parties from the pan-blue coalition organized themselves to properly divide up the votes (配票) to prevent splitting the vote. The New Party ran all but one of its candidates under the KMT banner. The result was that the KMT gained 11 more seats and the PFP lost 12 seats. Right after the election, PFP chairman James Soong began criticizing the KMT for sacrificing the PFP for its own gains and stated that he would not participate in any negotiations regarding to the two parties' merge. Soong's remarks have been strongly criticized by the KMT, a majority of PFP members, and the New Party, whose rank and file were largely absorbed by the PFP following the 2001 elections. Nonetheless, shortly after the legislative election, the PFP legislative caucus agreed to cooperate with the DPP over the investigation into the KMT's finances. On 24 February 2005, James Soong met with President Chen for the first time in four years and issued a 10-point declaration supporting the name "Republic of China", the status quo in cross-strait relations, and the opening of the Three Links. Unlike Soong, Lien did not respond to the offer from Chen to meet.

However, after the 2005 Pan-Blue visits to mainland China, Soong and Chen stopped their partnership. The popular Taipei mayor Ma Ying-jeou was also elected the new head of the Kuomintang, and was considered the leading contender for the KMT nomination in the 2008 presidential election. However, it was uncertain whether the KMT and PFP could agree to field a common ticket. On the 2005 chairmanship election, Soong had made a televised endorsement of Ma's opponent Wang Jin-pyng.

In the December 2005 3-in-1 local elections, the KMT made large gains and held 14 seats, the DPP suffered defeat and held only six, the PFP retained only one, and the TSU was completely shut out. Ma Ying-jeou was now virtually assured of leading the KMT and pan-blues for the 2008 presidential election.

Ma Ying-jeou presidency: 2008–2016

In the 2008 legislative election, the coalition won 86 of 113 seats in the Legislative Yuan, giving it the supermajority needed to recall the president and pass constitutional amendments for a referendum. The KMT, PFP, and NP coordinated their candidate lists in the new single-member constituency system. Candidates of the Non-Partisan Solidarity Union, who despite their party's official stance of non-affiliation, were deemed sympathetic to the coalition and ran unopposed by other blue candidates in almost all the seats it contested. The PFP ran almost all of their candidates under the KMT banner, with some placed under the KMT party list. While having all its district candidates run under the KMT banner, the New Party ran its own party list but failed to gain the 5% threshold for representation. The Kuomintang controlled the Legislative Yuan during the Ma Ying-jeou presidency from 2008 to 2016.

In opposition during Tsai Ing-wen presidency: 2016–2024

In 2016 general election, the KMT lost the presidential election and, for the first time in the history of the Republic of China, the control in the Legislative Yuan. The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) took control of the legislature for the first time, winning the presidency. The KMT became the largest opposition party. The PFP's leader James Soong, despite being a member of the coalition, cooperated with Tsai Ing-wen's administration, becoming the representative of Chinese Taipei in the APEC summit.

In opposition during Lai Ching-te presidency: 2024–present

Although Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) (known as the "white camp") positions itself as a centrist party, its cooperative relationship with the KMT has prompted belief that it aligns more closely with the Pan-Blue camp. Prior to the 2024 presidential election, prospects for ‘blue-white cooperation’ had been met with optimism from both parties, as they sought to jointly minimise the DPP’s chances of procuring a third consecutive term of presidency. The two opposition parties then engaged in negotiations to form a joint presidential ticket in November 2023, with the proposal that either the KMT’s Hou Yu-ih or the TPP’s Ko Wen-je would be selected as the presidential candidate and the other the vice-presidential candidate.

During this period, polls from Mirror Media indicated that support rates for both Ko-Hou ticket and Hou-Ko ticket would outperform their Lai-Hsiao counterpart, standing at 46.6% and 46.5% respectively. However, the alliance subsequently collapsed on 18 November following the disagreement over the selection method for the presidential and vice-presidential candidates, resulting in both Hou and Ko entering the race as separate presidential candidates. The division among Hou and Ko’s overlapping support bases eventually led to vote-splitting, culminating in their defeat and the victory of DPP’s Lai Ching-te, who holds dissimilar ideology with the other two candidates in major issues such as national defence and the view on the Cross-Strait Service Trade Agreement. But since Ko and Hou together secured 60% of the votes, Lai would likely not have won had the deal succeeded.

Despite this setback, an opposition coalition has still been established between the two parties in the Legislative Yuan since February 2024, forming a majority against the DPP’s minority government. The two parties have since cooperated in numerous bill amendments, including the Act Governing the Legislative Yuan’s Power, Act Governing the Allocation of Government Revenues and Expenditures, and others.

Member parties

Current members

Party Ideology Leader
Kuomintang (KMT) Conservatism Eric Chu
New Party (NP) National conservatism Wu Cherng-dean
People First Party (PFP) Liberal conservatism James Soong
Non-Partisan Solidarity Union (NPSU) Conservative liberalism Lin Pin-kuan

Legislative strength

Legislative Yuan

Term Member Party Seats KMT Seats NP Seats PFP Seats NPSU Seats
1st(1992) 95 / 130 95 / 95 - - -
2nd 95 / 162 95 / 95 - - -
3rd 106 / 164 85 / 106 21 / 106 - -
4th 134 / 225 123 / 134 11 / 134 - -
5th 115 / 225 68 / 115 1 / 115 46 / 115 -
6th 120 / 225 79 / 120 1 / 120 34 / 120 6 / 120
7th 85 / 113 81 / 85 - 1 / 85 3 / 85
8th 69 / 113 64 / 69 - 3 / 69 2 / 69
9th 39 / 113 35 / 39 - 3 / 39 1 / 39
10th 40 / 113 40 / 40 - - -
11th 54 / 113 54 / 54 - - -

Media

See also

Explanatory notes

  1. ^ Includes two KMT-aligned Independents.

References

  1. "九二共識普拉斯(上):國民黨內部曾提過「華獨」,為何最終沒有採用?". The News Lens (in Chinese). 27 April 2021. Retrieved 15 February 2024.
  2. "Xi's Top Taiwan Hand Targets 'Hostile Forces' in Taiwan's 'Green' and 'Blue' Camps". Global Taiwan Institute. 12 January 2022. Retrieved 18 September 2024. Moreover, the blue camp's support for the "status quo," which is tantamount to de facto ROC independence, has been reinforced by the KMT's stated opposition to the "one country, two systems" (一國兩制) formula for unification, which Xi insists upon despite the debacle in Hong Kong. In fact, Wang notes that in its latest political platform, the KMT simultaneously stated its opposition to both "Taiwan independence" and "one country, two systems."
  3. Kuang-hao Hou, ed. (July 22, 2022). The Social Construction of the Ocean and Modern Taiwan. Taylor & Francis. ISBN 978-1-000-62302-4.
  4. M. Troy Burnett, ed. (2020). Nationalism Today: Extreme Political Movements around the World [2 volumes]. ABC-CLIO. p. 201. ISBN 9781440850004. The center-right Pan-Blue Coalition, led by the KMT, maintains that the ROC is the sole legitimate government for all of China (including Taiwan) and that the aim of the government should be the eventual reunification of the mainland ...
  5. "KMT breaks it off with Lee Teng-hui - Taipei Times". Taipei Times. 2001-09-22. Retrieved 2020-05-24.
  6. "e-Government Website/Homapage". 23 February 2005. Archived from the original on 23 February 2005.
  7. "Tsai Ing-wen wins Taiwan leadership election[1]- Chinadaily.com.cn". China Daily. Retrieved 2020-05-24.
  8. "ELECTIONS: Chu concedes, resigns as KMT chair". Taipei Times. 2016-01-17.
  9. Hioe, Brian (2024). "Trends in Political Identity: Where Does Taiwan Go from Here?". Asia Policy. 19 (2): 81–89. ISSN 1559-2960. Retrieved 25 November 2024.
  10. "【鏡新聞政經情勢民調6】藍白怎合?「柯侯」46.6%vs.賴蕭33.1% 「侯柯」46.5%vs.賴蕭34.9%". 鏡新聞 (in Traditional Chinese). 17 November 2023. Retrieved 25 November 2024.
  11. Dotson, John; Levine, Ben (24 January 2024). "The Outcomes of Taiwan's 2024 Legislative Elections". Global Taiwan Institute. 9 (2): 6–9. Retrieved 25 November 2024.
  12. Mahdi, Maya (2024). "The Complexity of Ranked Choice Voting and How It Can Improve the U.S. Election System". The Philosophy, Politics, and Economics Review. 3: 5–14. Retrieved 25 November 2024.
  13. Arvidsson, Lina (2023). "Taiwan's 2024 presidential election and cross-Strait relations: Consequences for the European Union" (PDF). Swedish National China Centre. Retrieved 25 November 2024.
  14. Copper, John F (2024). "The Outlook for Taiwan's New President, Lai Ching-te". East Asian Policy. 16 (3): 69–83. Retrieved 25 November 2024.
  15. Tshua, Siu-ui (25 May 2024). "Cross-party dialogue is crucial to restore trust - Taipei Times". Taipei Times. Retrieved 25 November 2024.
  16. Thompson, James; Pan, Tzu-yu (11 November 2024). "Continued disagreement over funding allocation bill leads to impasse - Focus Taiwan". Focus Taiwan. Retrieved 25 November 2024.

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