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2018 Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district special election

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Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district
Nominee Conor Lamb Rick Saccone Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 114,102 113,347 Percentage 49.9% 49.5%
U.S. Representative before election Tim Murphy Republican Elected U.S. Representative Conor Lamb Democratic

Elections in Pennsylvania
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Government
v t e

A special election for Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district was held on March 13, 2018, following the resignation of Republican representative Tim Murphy. Murphy, who held the seat since January 3, 2003, declared his intent to resign on October 5, 2017, and vacated his seat on October 21 that year. Democrat Conor Lamb defeated Republican Rick Saccone 49.86% to 49.53%. Saccone conceded the race eight days after the election.

Background

Eight-term incumbent Republican U.S. Representative Tim Murphy was involved in a sex scandal consisting of his allegedly having extramarital sexual relations with a woman and then asking her to have an abortion. This was particularly damaging because Murphy identifies as a pro-life politician. Murphy subsequently announced that he was resigning and that he would leave office on October 21.

Primary elections were not held in the race. Instead, nominees were chosen by each party. The Republican Party held a special convention on November 11, 2017, to choose a nominee through a conferee process involving 215 local Republican activists. The Democratic Party held their nominating convention on November 19, 2017. The Libertarian Party of Allegheny County and the Libertarian Party of Washington County nominated a candidate via party caucus.

At the time, Pennsylvania's 18th Congressional District was located in Western Pennsylvania and bordered the state of West Virginia. It included portions of Greene, Washington, Allegheny and Westmoreland counties. The district had a Cook PVI score of R+11. This was the last election for Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district held under the configuration made in 2011 by the Pennsylvania Legislature as new districts have been drawn in accordance with the ruling of the state supreme court in League of Women Voters v. Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and came into effect for the main 2018 congressional elections in November. The bulk of the old 18th became the 14th District.

Republican conferee meeting

Candidates

Declared

• Guy Reschenthaler, state senator
• Rick Saccone, state representative
• Kim Ward, state senator

Failed to qualify

• George Karpacs, Pennsylvania College Access Program board member

Withdrew

• Jason Ortitay, state representative

Results

Democratic convention

Candidates

Declared

• Rueben Brock, psychologist and California University of Pennsylvania assistant professor
• Gina Cerilli, Westmoreland County Commissioner
• Mike Crossey, former Allegheny County Councillor and former teachers' union official
• Pam Iovino, former Assistant Department of Veterans Affairs Secretary
• Conor Lamb, former Assistant United States Attorney for the Western District of Pennsylvania
• Keith Seewald, small business owner and author
• Bob Solomon, physician

Declined

• Brandon Neuman, state representative
• Dan Miller, state representative

Results

Libertarian Party nomination

The Libertarian candidate was Pittsburgh attorney Drew Gray Miller. Prior to this however, a primary candidate was Philip Moses, a high school government teacher. Moses ended his campaign in early 2018.

General election

Candidates

• Rick Saccone (Republican), state representative
• Conor Lamb (Democratic), former Assistant United States Attorney for the Western District of Pennsylvania
• Drew Gray Miller (Libertarian), former Legal Counsel to the Majority Whip of the Pennsylvania Senate

Official Sample Ballot

Predictions

Campaign

The major party candidates were Republican Rick Saccone and Democrat Conor Lamb, in a district that Donald Trump carried by almost 20 points in the 2016 presidential election. The special election attracted national attention and was seen by many political analysts and commentators as a bellwether on the popularity of Donald Trump, Trump's tariffs on steel and aluminum imports, and the Republican Party. Saccone said the special election was a referendum on Trump's presidency and called himself "Trump before Trump was Trump". Prominent Republicans including Donald Trump (twice), Donald Trump Jr., Ivanka Trump, and Mike Pence came to the state to campaign for Saccone. The district was contested by a third-party candidate (Libertarian Drew Gray Miller) for the first time since 1996.

Campaign funding

Republicans and aligned groups spent more than twice as much as Democrats and aligned groups on the special election. Although Lamb's campaign fund raised more than Saccone's campaign fund, Saccone benefited from far more spending by outside groups than Lamb.

The Republican Party and outside pro-Republican "independent expenditure" groups spent almost $10.7 million to support Saccone or oppose Lamb in the campaign, while $2.6 million in independent expenditures was spent in support of Lamb. Fourteen outside groups (seven Republican, seven Democrat) comprised over 95% of the spending. For the Republican side, the major groups spending money on Saccone's behalf were Paul Ryan's Congressional Leadership Fund, the National Republican Congressional Committee, the Republican National Committee, and the pro-Trump groups America First Action and 45Committee. For the Democratic side, the major groups spending money on Lamb's behalf were the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, Patriot Majority PAC, and the VoteVets.org Action Fund.

Debates

KDKA-TV hosted the first debate on February 19, 2018. WTAE-TV hosted the second and final debate on March 3, 2018, at 7 PM EST. The debate was hosted live by WTAE-TV along with the League of Women Voters of Greater Pittsburgh.

Endorsements

Federal politicians

• Donald Trump, President of the United States
• Mike Pence, Vice President of the United States
• Lou Barletta, U.S. Representative (R-PA)

Individuals

• John R. Bolton, former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations
• Donald Trump Jr., businessman
• Ivanka Trump, model and businesswoman

Unions

• Fraternal Order of Police, Allegheny County, Lodge 91

Organizations

• CatholicVote.org
• Club for Growth
• Congressional Leadership Fund
• Tea Party Express
• Ending Spending Inc.
• Firearms Owners Against Crime
• LifePAC
• NRA Political Victory Fund
• National Right to Life

Newspapers

• Pittsburgh Post-Gazette

Federal politicians

• Joe Biden, former Vice President of the United States and former U.S. Senator (D-DE)
• Bob Casey Jr., U.S. Senator (D-PA)
• Doug Jones, U.S Senator (D-AL)
• Dwight Evans, U.S. Representative (D-PA)
• Joe Kennedy III, U.S. Representative (D-MA)
• Seth Moulton, U.S. Representative (D-MA)

Local and statewide politicians

• Gina Cerilli, Westmoreland County Commissioner
• John Fetterman, Mayor of Braddock, PA and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016
• Rich Fitzgerald, Allegheny County Executive
• Josh Shapiro, Pennsylvania Attorney General
• Pam Snyder, state representative
• Tom Wolf, Governor of Pennsylvania

Individuals

• Randy Bryce, ironworker, union activist, veteran and candidate for United States House of Representatives in Wisconsin in 2018
• Jason Kander, nominee for U.S. Senate in Missouri in 2016, former Missouri Secretary of State, host of podcast Majority 54 and founder of Let America Vote
• Katie McGinty, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016, former Chief of Staff to Governor Tom Wolf, and former secretary of the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection
• Martin O'Malley, former Governor of Maryland
• Cecil Roberts, President of The United Mine Workers of America

Labor unions

• International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers
• National Education Association
• Pennsylvania Conference of Teamsters
• Pennsylvania State AFL–CIO
• Pennsylvania State Education Association
• SEIU Healthcare Pennsylvania
• Service Employees International Union Local 32BJ
• Service Employees International Union Local 668
• United Steelworkers
• United Mine Workers of America

Organizations

• Act to Matter
• Alliance for Retired Americans
• Blue Dog Coalition
• Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee
• End Citizens United
• Humane Society Legislative Fund
• J Street
• Let America Vote
• National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare
• Raising Our Future PAC
• Social Security Works PAC
• Steel City Stonewall Democrats
• VoteVets.org

Newspapers and news websites

• Daily Kos, political news blog
• The Observer-Reporter

Politicians

• Gary Johnson, former Governor of New Mexico
• Caleb Q. Dyer, New Hampshire Libertarian State Representative
• Brandon Phinney, New Hampshire Libertarian State Representative
• Joseph Stallcop, New Hampshire Libertarian State Representative

Polling

Results

Lamb declared victory just after midnight on March 14. With all precincts reporting, Lamb led Saccone by 627 votes, a margin of 0.2 percent. NBC News declared Lamb the apparent winner early on the morning of March 14, based on the remaining absentee ballots from Washington County. The New York Times followed suit later that afternoon. A few other outlets declared Lamb the winner in what has been described as "a major upset", but others withheld judgment, citing the closeness of the race and the likelihood of a recount. Saccone conceded the race to Lamb on March 21, the day that the last votes were counted. Allegheny County certified its election results on April 2, making Conor Lamb's victory official. He was sworn in on April 12.

Lamb's victory came primarily on the strength of winning the Allegheny County portion of the district by almost 15,400 votes, as he lost the rest of the district by 14,700 votes.

Results by county

See also

• List of close election results
• List of special elections to the United States House of Representatives
• United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania, 2016
• Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district special election, 2010

External links

• Conor Lamb (D) for Congress
• Rick Saccone (R) for Congress

References

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101. Marans, Daniel (January 26, 2018). "DCCC Makes First Investment In Pennsylvania Democrat's Special Election Bid". The Huffington Post.
102. "End Citizens United Endorses Conor Lamb in PA-18 Special Election - End Citizens United". End Citizens United. January 17, 2018.
103. "Humane Society Legislative Fund endorses Conor Lamb for Congress". Humane Society Legislative Fund. February 22, 2018. Archived from the original on March 1, 2018. Retrieved March 1, 2018.
104. J Street (February 6, 2018). "J Street is proud to endorse @ConorLambPA in next month's PA-18 special election" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
105. "PA-18: Jason Kander's PAC Doubles Down To Pull Off Another Doug Jones-Style Victory". Daily Kos. February 20, 2018.
106. Richtman, Max (February 14, 2018). "National Committee Endorses Conor Lamb for House in PA -18 Special Election". NCPSSM. Archived from the original on February 15, 2018. Retrieved February 15, 2018.
107. "Raising Our Future PAC Endorses Conor Lamb In Pennsylvania's 18th District Special Election – Raising Our Future". www.raisingourfuture.org. March 6, 2018. Archived from the original on March 13, 2018. Retrieved March 12, 2018.
108. Jon Bauman (February 14, 2018). "I'm in PA-18 to endorse Conor Lamb on behalf of Social Security Works in the special election for Congress to be held 3/13. TURN YOUR ATTENTION HERE, EVERYBODY! IT'S THE NEXT BIG ONE!!!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
109. Conor Lamb. "2018 Steel City Stonewall Democrats Endorsement Questionnaire" (PDF). Steel City Stonewall Democrats. Retrieved February 27, 2018. I am grateful to have your support and endorsement in my current race for the PA-18 special election, and hope to have it going forward into the primary and general elections so that we can continue to work as allies in the fight for full equality.
110. VoteVets (December 6, 2017). "VoteVets PAC is today endorsing Marine veteran @ConorLambPA for Congress in Pennsylvania's 18th District. "Conor is someone who will always be thinking of those who need a voice, and how he can best represent them," said Jon Soltz, Iraq War vet and Chairman of VoteVets. #PApol" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
111. Daily Kos Elections (January 18, 2018). "Daily Kos is proud to endorse @ConorLambPA in the #PA18 special election, which has Republicans so worried that Donald Trump is coming to town today" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
112. "EDITORIAL In 18th district election, Lamb is the best choice". Observer-Reporter. March 11, 2018.
113. Monmouth University
114. RABA Research
115. Gravis Marketing
116. Emerson College
117. Gravis Marketing
118. Monmouth University
119. DFM Research (D) Archived January 22, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
120. Gravis Marketing
121. "Allegheny County's District 18 special election results are finally official". The Incline. Retrieved April 3, 2018.
122. Chamberlain, Samuel (March 14, 2018). "Democrat Lamb declares victory in Pa. special election determined too close to call". Fox News.
123. Kornacki, Steve (March 14, 2018). "We have the Washington numbers and NBC is calling Conor Lamb the apparent winner in PA-18" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
124. Drum, Kevin (March 14, 2018). "Conor Lamb officially wins Pennsylvania election". Mother Jones.
125. "It's official: Democrat Conor Lamb wins Pennsylvania special election in major upset". Vox. Retrieved March 14, 2018.
126. Schneider, Elena (March 14, 2018). "Republicans prepare for recount in Pennsylvania special election". Politico. Retrieved March 14, 2018.
127. Marc Levy (March 21, 2018). "Republican Rick Saccone Concedes to Democrat Conor Lamb in Pennsylvania Race". NBC Philadelphia. Retrieved March 22, 2018.
128. ^ Julian Routh (April 2, 2018). "Finally official: Conor Lamb certified winner of congressional seat". Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. Retrieved April 3, 2018.
129. Election results from CNN

• Special elections to the 115th United States Congress
• United States House of Representatives special elections
• United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania
• 2018 United States House of Representatives elections
• 2018 Pennsylvania elections
• Pennsylvania special elections
• March 2018 events in the United States