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William Playfair

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(Redirected from Playfair cycle) British polymath (1759–1823) For other people with the same name, see William Playfair (disambiguation).

William Playfair
Born(1759-09-22)September 22, 1759
Benvie, Forfarshire, Scotland
Died11 February 1823(1823-02-11) (aged 63)
London, England
Known forinventor of statistical graphs, writer on political economy, various reported clandestine activities during the French Revolution
FamilyJohn Playfair (brother)
James Playfair (brother)
William Henry Playfair (nephew)


William Playfair (22 September 1759 – 11 February 1823) was a Scottish engineer and political economist. The founder of graphical methods of statistics, Playfair invented several types of diagrams: in 1786 he introduced the line, area and bar chart of economic data, and in 1801 he published what were likely the first pie chart and circle graph, used to show part-whole relations. Playfair has been reported to have been a secret agent for the British Government, although this is a subject of controversy.

Biography

William Playfair was born in 1759 in Scotland. He was the fourth son (named after his grandfather) of the Reverend James Playfair of the parish of Liff & Benvie near the city of Dundee in Scotland; his notable brothers were architect James Playfair and mathematician John Playfair. His father died in 1772 when he was 13, leaving the eldest brother John to care for the family and his education. After his apprenticeship with Andrew Meikle, the inventor of the threshing machine, Playfair became an engine erector, draftsman and personal assistant to James Watt at the Boulton and Watt steam engine manufactory in Soho, Birmingham.

Playfair had a variety of careers. He was, in turn, a millwright, engineer, draftsman, accountant, inventor, silversmith, merchant, investment broker, economist, statistician, pamphleteer, translator, publicist, land speculator, banker, ardent royalist, convict, editor, blackmailer and journalist. On leaving Watt's company in 1782, he set up a silversmithing business and shop in London, which failed. In 1787 he moved to Paris, being present for the storming of the Bastille two years later. During the French Revolution, as many Frenchmen were seeking safety and opportunity, Playfair played a role in the Scioto Land sale to French settlers in the Ohio River Valley. After earning the ire of Republican leaders, he escaped to London in 1793. In 1797 he opened "The Original Security Bank" with partners John Casper Hartsinck and Julius Hutchinson to provide small-denomination currency. The bank failed, and he thereafter worked as a writer and pamphleteer, and also did some engineering work.

After returning to England, Playfair secretly provided support to the British government--specifically, Secretary of State for War Henry Dundas, Secretary at War William Windham, and Permanent Undersecretary of State Evan Nepean (the de facto chief of civilian intelligence)--pre-dating the formal establishment of the modern British intelligence establishment that would emerge in the 1900s. Playfair provided information on events in France and proposed various propaganda and clandestine operations aimed at undermining the French government.

After the failure of the Original Security Bank, Playfair was imprisoned for debt in the Fleet Prison, being released in 1802.

Work

Ian Spence and Howard Wainer in 2001 describe Playfair as "engineer, political economist and scoundrel" while "Eminent Scotsmen" calls him an "ingenious mechanic and miscellaneous writer". It compares his career with the glorious one of his older brother John Playfair, the distinguished Edinburgh mathematics professor, and draws a moral about the importance of "steadiness and consistency of plan" as well as of "genius". Bruce Berkowitz in 2018 provides a detailed portrait of Playfair as an "ambitious, audacious, and woefully imperfect British patriot" who undertook the "most complex covert operation anyone had ever conceived".

Statistical Graphics

Playfair, who argued that charts communicated better than tables of data, has been credited with inventing the line, bar, area, and pie charts. His time-series plots are still presented as models of clarity.

Playfair first published The Commercial and Political Atlas in London in 1786. It contained 43 time-series plots and one bar chart, a form apparently introduced in this work. It has been described by Ian Spence and Howard Wainer as the first major work to contain statistical graphs.

Line Charts

In 1786 Playfair published what is thought to be the earliest statistical graphic--that is, a visual representation of the relationship of two or more variables)--in his Commercial and Political Atlas when he depicted in a line chart the balance of trade between England and other nations, using customs data.

Playfair's trade-balance time-series chart, published in Commercial and Political Atlas, 1786
Playfair's trade-balance time-series chart, published in Commercial and Political Atlas, 1786

Bar Charts

Two decades before Playfair published the Atlas, in 1765 Joseph Priestley had created the innovation of the first timeline charts, in which individual bars were used to visualise the life span of a person, and the whole can be used to compare the life spans of multiple persons. According to James R. Beniger and Dorothy L. Robyn, "Priestley's timelines proved a commercial success and a popular sensation, and went through dozens of editions".

These timelines likely inspired Playfair's invention of the bar chart, which first appeared in his Commercial and Political Atlas, published in 1786. According to Beniger and Robyn, Playfair was driven to this invention by a lack of data. In his Atlas he had collected a series of 34 plates about the import and export from different countries over the years, which he presented as line graphs or surface charts: line graphs shaded or tinted between abscissa and function. Because Playfair lacked the necessary series data for Scotland, he graphed its trade data for a single year as a series of 34 bars, one for each of 17 trading partners.

In Playfair's bar chart Scotland's imports and exports from and to 17 countries in 1781 are represented. "This bar chart was the first quantitative graphical form that did not locate data either in space, as had coordinates and tables, or time, as had Priestley's timelines. It constitutes a pure solution to the problem of discrete quantitative comparison".

The idea of representing data as a series of bars had earlier (14th century) been published by Jacobus de Sancto Martino and attributed to Nicole Oresme. Oresme used the bars to generate a graph of velocity against continuously varying time. Playfair's use of bars was to generate a chart of discrete measurements.

Pie Charts

Playfair introduced the pie chart as a means to show proportion in The Statistical Breviary. At the time Playfair sought a means to represent the relative numbers of European, African, and Asian peoples within the Ottoman Empire. Playfair also used a pie chart in a graphic he provided for D. Donnant's Statistical Account of the United States of America to show the relative distribution of land among the states.

Pie chart from Playfair's Statistical Breviary (1801), showing the proportions of the Turkish Empire located in Asia, Europe and Africa before 1789

Tables of National Statistics

Playfair's 1801 The Statistical Breviary was likely the first nation-by-nation compilation of national statistics on area, population, and military capabilities. Its users included Thomas Jefferson, a proponent of a national system of statistics, and Alexander von Humboldt, often cited as a pioneer of modern geography.

Other Works

From 1809 until 1811, Playfair published the massive British Family Antiquity, Illustrative of the Origin and Progress of the Rank, Honours and Personal Merit of the Nobility of the United Kingdom. Accompanied with an Elegant Set of Chronological Charts. The work was nine large volumes in eleven parts; Volume Six contained a suite of twelve plates of which ten are in two states, coloured and uncoloured, and 9 large folding tables, partly hand coloured. This was an important work on genealogy published in a very limited edition. In it, Playfair sought to show the true character and heroism of the British nobility and that the Monarchy, particularly the British Monarchy, is the true defender of liberty. The volumes are separated into the peerage and baronetage of England, Scotland and Ireland.

Clandestine Activities

In 1793 Playfair as secret agent devised a plan that he most probably presented to Henry Dundas, who was Home Secretary and soon to become Britain's Secretary of State for War. Playfair proposed to "fabricate one hundred millions of assignats (the French currency) and spread them in France by every means in my power." He saw the counterfeiting plan as the lesser of two evils: "That there are two ways of combatting the French nation the forces of which are measured by men and money. Their assignats are their money and it is better to destroy this paper founded upon an iniquitous extortion and a villainous deception than to shed the blood of men." Playfair arranged for the production of paper for the assignats at Haughton Castle in Northumberland and other sites, and distributed them according to an elaborate plan. The plan apparently worked: by 1795 the French assignat had become worthless and the ensuing chaos undermined the French government. Some contemporary accounts even at the time linked Playfair to the clandestine activity. Though Playfair never told anyone about the operation, he alluded to it in a private letter to former Foreign Secretary and Prime Minister William Wyndham Grenville in 1811.

The counterfeiting effort was part of a pattern of activities that Playfair undertook that would today be considered intelligence operations. Playfair also provided a model of France's semaphore telegraph system in 1794 to the staff of the Duke of York, then commander of British forces in Flanders and offered a Dutch-crewed ship to assist in quashing the foreign-inspired Nore mutiny against the Royal Navy in 1797. At the time Britain had not yet established a formal intelligence organization; according to the historian of the Secret Intelligence Service, Christopher Andrew, this did not occur until the early Twentieth Century. Rather, British senior officials and military commanders (like those in other countries) obtained information using their own budgets and personal relationships.

While historians, economists, and scholars of the intelligence profession have acknowledged Playfair as a pioneer of intelligence, at least one statistician has contested whether he was a secret agent.

Playfair cycle

The following quotation, known as the "Playfair cycle," has achieved notoriety as it pertains to the "Tytler cycle":

:...wealth and power have never been long permanent in any place.

...they travel over the face of the earth,
something like a caravan of merchants.
On their arrival, every thing is found green and fresh;
while they remain all is bustle and abundance,
and, when gone, all is left trampled down, barren, and bare.

Publications

References

  1. Paul J. FitzPatrick (1960). "Leading British Statisticians of the Nineteenth Century". In: Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 55, No. 289 (Mar. 1960), pp. 38–70.
  2. Michael Friendly (2008). "Milestones in the history of thematic cartography, statistical graphics, and data visualization" Archived 26 September 2018 at the Wayback Machine. pp 13–14. Retrieved 7 July 2008.
  3. ^ Berkowitz, Bruce (2018). Playfair: The True Story of the British Secret Agent Who Changed How We See the World. George Mason University Press. ISBN 978-1-942695-04-2.
  4. Bellhouse, David R. (July 2023). The Flawed Genius of William Playfair. University of Toronto Press. ISBN 9781487545048.
  5. Royal Statistical Society Lecture, "The Flawed Genius of William Playfair" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jFrr7NBwuXU
  6. ^ Ian Spence and Howard Wainer (1997). "Who Was Playfair?". In: Chance 10, p. 35–37.
  7. H.W. Dickinson and R. Jenkins, James Watt and the Steam Engine The Memorial Volume Prepared for the Committee of the Watt Centenary Commemoration at Birmingham, 1919, reprint (London: Encore Editions, 1989), pp. 265-267, 284-285.
  8. William Playfair, A Statement, Which Was Made in October, to Earl Bathhurst, One of His Majesty's Principal Secretaries of State, and in November, 1814, to the Comte de La Chatre, the French ambassador, of Buonaparte's Plot to Re-usurp the Crown of France p. 14 https://archive.org/details/statementwhichwa00playuoft/page/n3/mode/2up
  9. Justin Pollard, "The Eccentric Engineer: William Playfair and his Many, Varied and Unappreciated Careers" Engineering and Technologyhttps://eandt.theiet.org/2020/03/22/eccentric-engineer-william-playfair-and-his-many-varied-and-unappreciated-careers
  10. Patricia Costigan-Eaves and Michael Macdonald-Ross, "William Playfair (1759-1823)" Statistical Science Vol. 5, No. 3 (Aug., 1990), 318-326
  11. William Playfair, A Statement, Which Was Made in October, to Earl Bathhurst, One of His Majesty's Principal Secretaries of State, and in November, 1814, to the Comte de La Chatre, the French ambassador, of Buonaparte's Plot to Re-usurp the Crown of France p. 14 https://archive.org/details/statementwhichwa00playuoft/page/n3/mode/2up
  12. Arthur Aspinall, Politics and the Press (London: Home & Van Thal Ltd, 1949) 153 https://archive.org/details/politicspressc170000aasp/page/152/mode/2up?q=playfair
  13. Elizabeth Sparrow, "Secret Service Under Pitt's Administrations" History 83, 207 (April 1998) 280-294
  14. Ian Spence and Howard Wainer (2001). "William Playfair". In: Statisticians of the Centuries. C.C. Heyde and E. Seneta (eds.) New York: Springer. pp. 105–110.
  15. Spence, Ian; Wainer, Howard (January 2017). "William Playfair and the invention of statistical graphs". In Black, Alison (ed.). Information Design: Research and Practice. Routledge. doi:10.4324/9781315585680. ISBN 9781315585680.
  16. Edward R. Tufte, The Visual Display of Quantitative Data (Cheshire, Conn.: Graphics Press, 1983) 32
  17. ^ James R. Beniger and Dorothy L. Robyn (1978). "Quantitative graphics in statistics: A brief history". In: The American Statistician. 32: pp. 1–11.
  18. Der, Geoff; Everitt, Brian S. (2014). A Handbook of Statistical Graphics Using SAS ODS. Chapman and Hall - CRC. p. 4. ISBN 978-1-584-88784-3. William Playfair, for example, is often credited with inventing the bar chart (see Chapter 3) in the last part of the 18th century, although a Frenchman, Nicole Oresme, used a bar chart in a 14th century publication, The Latitude of Forms to plot the velocity of a constantly accelerating object against time. But it was Playfair who popularized the idea of graphic depiction of quantitative information.
  19. William Playfair, The Statistical Breviary: Shewing the Resources of Every State and Kingdom in Europe https://archive.org/details/statisticalbrev00playgoog/page/n8/mode/2up
  20. Ian Spence (2005). "No Humble Pie: The Origins and Usage of a statistical Chart" Archived 20 March 2007 at the Wayback Machine. Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics. Winter 2005, 30 (4), 353–368.
  21. Playfair, William; Wainer, Howard; Spence, Ian (2005). Playfair's Commercial and Political Atlas and Statistical Breviary. Cambridge University Press. ISBN 9780521855549.
  22. Sandra Rebok Humboldt and Jefferson A Transatlantic Friendship of the Enlightenment https://www.upress.virginia.edu/title/4332/
  23. James R. Beniger and Dorothy L. Robyn "The History and Future of Graphics in Statistics http://www.asasrms.org/Proceedings/y1976/The%20History%20And%20Future%20Of%20Graphics%20In%20Statistics.pdf
  24. “Alexander von Humboldt to Thomas Jefferson, 12 June 1809,” Founders Online, National Archives, https://founders.archives.gov/documents/Jefferson/03-01-02-0215.
  25. Samuel Wilson (blog) Historic Environment Scotland "The Scottish Engineer Who Devised a Secret Plan to Destabilise the French Economy" https://blog.historicenvironment.scot/2018/09/adventure-scotland-europe/
  26. John Phillipson, "A Case of Economic Warfare in the Late 18th Century;" and Peter Isaac, "Sir John Swinburne and the Forged Assignats from Haughton Mill" Archaeologia Aeliana Series 5. Vol 18, pp. 151-163 doi:10.5284/1060865
  27. Letter from William Playfair to former Foreign Secretary and Prime Minister William Grenville, 1st Baron Grenville, 10 July 1811, reprinted in The Manuscripts of J.B. Fortscue, Preserved at Dropmore (London: Her Majesty's Printing Office, 1927) 10, 155-157
  28. William Playfair, Political Portraits in This New Æra, Vol. II . (London: Chapple, 1814),
  29. Conrad Gill, The Naval Mutinies of 1797 (Manchester: Manchester University Press, 1913) p. 203. https://archive.org/details/navalmutiniesof100gill/page/203/mode/2up
  30. Christopher Andrew, Defend the Realm (New York: Knopf, 2009) https://www.google.com/books/edition/Defend_the_Realm/M84O5pYh3rcC?hl=en&gbpv=0
  31. Christopher Andrew, The Secret World (New Have, Conn.: Yale University Press, 2018) https://www.google.com/books/edition/The_Secret_World/AxttDwAAQBAJ?hl=en&gbpv=1&dq=The+Secret+World:+A+History+of+Intelligence+(The+Henry+L.+Stimson+Lectures+Series)+Kindle+Edition++by+Christopher+Andrew&printsec=frontcover
  32. "George Washington, Spymaster" https://www.mountvernon.org/george-washington/the-revolutionary-war/spying-and-espionage/george-washington-spymaster
  33. Richard Davenport-Hines, "Review: ‘Playfair’ Plotted for England." Wall Street Journal https://www.wsj.com/articles/review-playfair-plotted-for-england-1515790469 (12 January 2018)
  34. Maria Pia Paganelli,"Playfair: The True Story of the British Secret Agent Who Changed How We See the World" (review) https://eh.net/book_reviews/playfair-the-true-story-of-the-british-secret-agent-who-changed-how-we-see-the-world/
  35. Stephen Irving Max Schwab, "Discovering William Playfair: The Most Influential Spy You Never Heard Of" International Journal of Intelligence and Counterintelligence https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/08850607.2019.1565881
  36. Hayden Peake Studies in Intelligence "Intelligence Officer's Bookshelf" https://www.cia.gov/resources/csi/static/Intel-Officers-Bookshelf-62.3.pdf (September 2018)
  37. Bellhouse, David R. (2023). The Flawed Genius of William Playfair: The Story of the Father of Statistical Graphics. University of Toronto Press. ISBN 978-1-4875-4503-1. JSTOR 10.3138/jj.6167271.
  38. Royal Statistical Society Lecture, "The Flawed Genius of William Playfair" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jFrr7NBwuXU
  39. William Playfair (1807). An Inquiry into the Permanent Causes of the Decline and Fall of Powerful and Wealthy Nations, p. 102.

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