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The CDC publishes official numbers of COVID-19 cases in the United States. The CDC estimates that, between February 2020 and September 2021, only 1 in 1.3 COVID-19 deaths were attributed to COVID-19. The true COVID-19 death toll in the United States would therefore be higher than official reports, as modeled by a paper published in The Lancet Regional Health – Americas. One way to estimate COVID-19 deaths that includes unconfirmed cases is to use the excess mortality, which is the overall number of deaths that exceed what would normally be expected. From March 1, 2020, through the end of 2020, there were 522,368 excess deaths in the United States, or 22.9% more deaths than would have been expected in that time period.

In February 2020, at the beginning of the pandemic, a shortage of tests made it impossible to confirm all possible COVID-19 cases and resulting deaths, so the early numbers were likely undercounts.

The following numbers are based on CDC data, which is incomplete.

Measuring case and mortality rates

COVID-19 pandemic in the United States by state and territory

	Location	Cases	Deaths	Recoveries	Hospital	Ref.
	56 / 56	112,168,104	1,168,021	—	—
	Alabama	1,659,966	21,138	509,800	50,767
	Alaska	310,531	1,485	7,165	4,208
	American Samoa	8,326	34	3	—
	Arizona	2,611,788	34,545	—	157,969
	Arkansas	1,039,712	13,787	992,651	48,032
	California	14,332,727	107,703	—	664,057
	Colorado	1,884,386	16,062	—	109,315
	Connecticut	983,652	12,354	—	12,257
	Delaware	351,420	3,682	18,371	36,436
	District of Columbia	182,395	1,434	34,985	—
	Florida	8,063,346	95,592	—	78,472
	Georgia	3,293,182	44,201	—	149,236
	Guam	64,279	419	63,816	—
	Hawaii	419,655	2,174	11,958	14,887
	Idaho	526,118	5,766	92,573	19,729
	Illinois	4,139,537	42,033	—	239,809
	Indiana	2,210,538	28,082	1,881,771	194,280
	Iowa	908,936	10,797	286,309	—
	Kansas	946,564	10,229	—	20,081
	Kentucky	1,808,735	19,914	53,643	78,142
	Louisiana	1,683,744	19,727	429,935	—
	Maine	347,116	3,417	12,975	9,316
	Maryland	1,454,101	17,995	—	52,646
	Massachusetts	2,374,055	25,822	644,061	124,678
	Michigan	3,313,807	44,966	1,421,905	—
	Minnesota	1,903,408	15,990	1,529,440	96,724
	Mississippi	1,000,415	15,480	774,429	14,042
	Missouri	1,790,525	22,931	—	—
	Montana	333,758	3,712	329,725	14,414
	Nebraska	604,901	5,034	142,336	31,570
	Nevada	924,325	12,508	—	—
	New Hampshire	382,242	3,340	378,906	9,441
	New Jersey	3,316,021	36,902	—	185,627
	New Mexico	727,786	9,236	660,313	40,692
	New York	7,975,950	65,835	475,270	471,317
	North Carolina	3,501,404	29,059	3,371,565	194,248
	North Dakota	310,409	2,233	236,878	7,831
	Northern Mariana Islands	13,981	46	13,124	311
	Ohio	3,747,050	43,958	3,693,448	151,492
	Oklahoma	1,306,350	16,435	1,288,527	45,990
	Oregon	975,856	10,357	—	41,388
	Pennsylvania	3,565,644	53,837	1,843,620	—
	Puerto Rico	1,486,077	7,362	442,126	—
	Rhode Island	470,368	4,365	—	23,606
	South Carolina	1,859,979	20,353	559,814	—
	South Dakota	305,444	3,401	275,931	14,160
	Tennessee	2,736,444	30,811	1,996,027	56,696
	Texas	9,198,592	94,912	4,445,607	—
	US Virgin Islands	26,148	133	26,002	—
	Utah	1,138,594	5,615	1,103,895	43,431
	Vermont	153,806	1,153	149,941	—
	Virginia	2,534,905	25,489	—	68,154
	Washington	2,056,696	17,043	—	94,784
	West Virginia	662,339	8,247	629,631	—
	Wisconsin	2,043,839	16,758	596,339	38,288
	Wyoming	196,232	2,128	154,312	1,395
Updated:May 22, 2024 · History of cases: United States
Nationality and location of original infection may vary. Reported confirmed and probable cases. Actual case numbers are probably higher. Currently, 35 jurisdictions regularly update this metric Currently 36 jurisdictions regularly update this metric "–" denotes that no data or only partial data currently available for that state, not that the value is zero. Cumulative hospitalizations from positive cases reported from the state or the primary source. If a state only reports total cases from suspect COVID-19 cases, then cumulative hospitalizations from suspect cases are used. Data may be partial. Case and death figures in this chart for Florida include residents and non-residents. This figure is an estimate from the Texas Department of State Health Services.   Data no longer reported   Data no longer updated in the chart due to gaps in reporting

In early 2020, deaths from all causes exceeded the seasonal average, and data from early 2020 suggest additional deaths that were not counted in official reported coronavirus mortality statistics. Until February 28, 2020, CDC testing protocols allowed tests only for people who had traveled to China. In most U.S. locations, testing for some time was performed only on symptomatic people with a history of travel to Wuhan or with close contact to such people. The numbers were reported every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday and were split into categories: individual travelers, people who contracted the disease from other people within the U.S., and repatriated citizens who returned to the U.S. from crisis locations, such as Wuhan, where the disease originated, and the cruise ship Diamond Princess.

By March 26, 2020, the United States, with the world's third-largest population, surpassed China and Italy as the country with the world's highest number of confirmed cases. By April 25, the U.S. had more than 905,000 confirmed coronavirus cases and nearly 52,000 deaths, giving it a mortality rate around 5.7 percent. (In comparison, Spain's mortality rate was 10.2 percent and Italy's was 13.5 percent.)

In April 2020, more than 10,000 American deaths had occurred in nursing homes. Most nursing homes did not have easy access to testing, making the actual number unknown. President Trump established a Coronavirus Commission for Safety and Quality in Nursing Homes. Subsequently, a number of states including Maryland and New Jersey reported their own estimates of deaths at nursing homes, ranging from twenty to fifty percent of the states' total deaths. A PNAS report in September 2020 confirmed that the virus is much more dangerous for the elderly than the young, noting that about 70% of all U.S. COVID-19 deaths had occurred to those over the age of 70.

As of early August 2020, among the 45 countries that had over 50,000 cases, the U.S. had the eighth highest number of deaths per-capita. Its case fatality ratio, however, was significantly better where it ranked 24th in the world, with 3.3% of its cases resulting in death. Several studies suggested that the number of infections was far higher than officially reported, and thus that the infection fatality rate was far lower than the case fatality rate.

The CDC estimates that 40% of people infected never show symptoms (i.e. are asymptomatic), although there is a 75% chance they can still spread the disease. And while children have a lower risk of becoming ill or dying, the CDC warns that they can still function as asymptomatic carriers and transmit the virus to adults. The American Academy of Pediatrics's weekly report from when states started reporting to September 17, 2020, tracked 587,948 child COVID-19 cases, 5,016 child hospitalizations, and 109 child deaths.

Epidemiologists depend on accurate reporting of cases and deaths to advise government response, and some have questioned the reliability of the numbers of confirmed cases. Rates differ among U.S. states, and there are also racial and economic disparities. After a group of epidemiologists requested revisions in how the CDC counts cases and deaths, the CDC in mid-April 2020 updated its guidance for counting COVID-19 cases and deaths to recommend that U.S. states report both confirmed and probable ones, though the decision is left to each state.

On September 25, 2020, The Lancet published the largest study at the time to measure COVID-19 antibody levels in the US population, finding that less than ten percent of the U.S. population had been exposed. The study was published at a time when, according to Newsweek, "some U.S. officials have floated the concept of herd immunity as a possible strategy to manage the national outbreak," and according to the lead author of the study, Stanford Center for Tubulointerstitial Kidney Disease director Shuchi Anand, "this study does not support that there is herd immunity." The research also uncovered racial and economic disparities in populations with COVID-19 antibodies and highlighted the need for public health intervention to address the disparities. At the time of the publication of the study, Anand announced that researchers would monitor the study participants for months to help determine the effectiveness of COVID-19 mitigation tactics.

As of May 2021, the Centers for Disease Control estimated that there had been approximately 120 million infections in the United States.

According to the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins University as of 19:21 Eastern Standard Time (EST) on August 7, 2021, the total COVID-19 cases in the US had crossed the 35.73 million mark, with the death toll reaching 616,712.

Progression charts

New daily cases

Number of new daily cases, with a 21-day centered moving average:

Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org.

Deaths per day

Number of new daily deaths attributed to COVID-19, with a 21-day centered moving average:

Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org.

Weekly all-cause deaths

Weekly predicted deaths, non-COVID excess, and COVID-related excess deaths in the U.S. based on CDC data as of April 10, 2023 which is "Predicted (weighted)" (rather than tabulated) and commonly takes 60 days to fully collate. As such, the data are split and the fields indicated by (*) are not confirmed, including both the 60-day window and any data from the CDC that had numerical inconsistencies (e.g. predicted + excess ≠ observed.) Also, key actions and milestones in the progression of the outbreak are annotated, selectively drawn from COVID-19 pandemic in the United States: Timeline.

Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org.

Hospitalizations

Daily hospital and ICU occupancy numbers, as of January 3, 2023:

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Deaths by age

Number of COVID-19 deaths by age as of April 11, 2023:

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Deaths by sex

Number of COVID-19 deaths by sex and age as of April 12, 2023:

Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org.

Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org.

Deaths by state

COVID-19 deaths per million of the populations of each state, along with the District of Columbia and Puerto Rico, as of February 9, 2023:

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When the data was adjusted to take into account age and co-morbidities, Arizona had the highest rate of Covid-related deaths in the country (581 deaths per 100,000 people). Washington, D.C. (526 per 100,000) and New Mexico (521 per 100,000) were the second and third worst states. Hawaii, on the other hand, had the lowest adjusted Covid death rate at 147 deaths per 100,000 people. It was followed by New Hampshire (215 per 100,000) and Maine (281 per 100,000).

Vaccine distribution

Vaccinations in the U.S. per day:

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Cumulative vaccine doses administered in the U.S.

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Number of U.S. positive test individuals by state over time

Data for all state charts sourced from the NY Times COVID Data, as of January 3, 2023. (This reference tends to include confirmed and suspected cases. This leads to some disparity with other sources).

> 6,000,000 positive test individuals

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2,000,000–6,000,000 positive test individuals

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1,000,000–2,000,000 positive test individuals

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400,000–1,000,000 positive test individuals

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<400,000 positive test individuals

Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org.

Death projections

On March 31, 2020, the CDC projected that eventually 100,000–240,000 Americans would die of coronavirus. The lower end of the estimate was reached within two months after the CDC made its projection, and the upper end was surpassed in November 2020. It is hard to say if the projections were accurate as some of the time they were, while others were very much off, however it was hard to predict the amount of deaths when new variants like the Omicron variant and the Delta variant were rising.

The CDC uses an ensemble forecast, meaning it receives predictions from multiple sources and aggregates them to make its own forecast. As of December 2020, the CDC included 37 modeling groups in its ensemble forecast and was predicting the death toll 4 weeks in advance.

Examples:

• At the end of May 2020, the CDC correctly projected the death toll would surpass 115,000 by June 20.
• At the end of July 2020, the CDC correctly projected the death toll would surpass 168,000 by August 22.
• In mid-October 2020, the CDC correctly projected the death toll would reach 230,000–250,000 by mid-November.

In mid-February 2021, when the death toll had already reached 470,000, the IHME projected that the death toll would reach 600,000 by June 1. However, the death rate dropped during this time period and the total death toll on June 1 was not as high as expected, having reached only about 592,000. The total of 600,000 was reached two weeks later.

In mid-September 2021, when the death toll had already reached 670,000, the IHME projected that the death toll would reach 775,000 by the end of the year. That number was reached by the end of November 2021.

On January 12, 2022, when the death toll had already reached 842,000, a CDC ensemble forecast predicted that 62,000 people would die over the next four weeks.

At the start of January 2023, when the US death toll had accumulated to over 1,120,000, the IHME projected that the death toll would reach 1,130,000 by April 1.

Comparisons

Epidemics of similar size (the number is the U.S. death toll):

• HIV/AIDS in the United States: 700,000 as of 2018
• 1918 Spanish Flu: 675,000

Other large epidemics:

• 1957–1958 influenza pandemic: 116,000
• 1968 Hong Kong flu: 100,000

References

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Trump (niece) Fred Trump III (nephew) John Whitney Walter (cousin) Books Trump: The Art of the Deal (1987) Trump: Surviving at the Top (1990) Trump: The Art of the Comeback (1997) The America We Deserve (2000) Trump: How to Get Rich (2004) The Way to the Top (2004) Trump 101 (2006) Why We Want You to Be Rich (2006) Think Big and Kick Ass (2007) Time to Get Tough (2011) Midas Touch (2011) Crippled America (2015) Campaigns 2000 presidential campaign 2016 presidential campaign announcement "Make America Great Again" rallies links between campaign officials and Russian government officials Crossfire Hurricane 2016 Republican primaries endorsements debates running mate selection convention 2016 general election endorsements debates reactions transition Republican opposition Never Trump movement 2016 Mitt Romney speech 2020 2024 Sexual misconduct allegations Access Hollywood recording 2020 presidential campaign rallies 2020 Tulsa rally 2020 Republican primaries convention 2020 general election political endorsements non-political endorsements debates attempts to overturn fake electors plot Chesebro memos Eastman memos lawsuits Texas v. Pennsylvania Jeffrey Clark letter Republican reactions to Trump's election fraud claims Biden transition 2024 presidential campaign annoucement rallies 2024 Republican primaries endorsements debates running mate selection convention 2024 general election eligibility endorsements debates transition Kamala is for they/them (attack ad) Trump Bible "God Bless the U.S.A." (campaign song) "Y.M.C.A." (campaign song) Legal affairs FBI investigation into handling of government documents FBI search of Mar-a-Lago New York investigations of The Trump Organization Stormy Daniels scandal civil criminal Carroll v. Trump Trump v. United States (2022) State prosecutions Georgia New York Smith special counsel investigation Federal prosecution classified documents case election obstruction case Trump mug shot Trump v. United States (2024) Related Family Foundation In popular culture Trump Dance filmography in music SNL parodies Residences 85-15 Wareham Place Trump Tower penthouse apartment Bedminster Mar-a-Lago The Visionary Social media media use conflict wiretapping allegations Real News Update covfefe Donald J. Trump State Park Nicknames used Trump Force One Trump derangement syndrome Fort Trump Trumpism Bikers for Trump Women for Trump Blacks for Trump Black Voices for Trump Gays for Trump Pseudonyms Misplaced Pages coverage American Civil War ← Barack Obama ← Joe Biden → Category v t e First presidency of Donald Trump (2017–2021) Tenure Transition Inauguration speech Opinion polling 2017 2018 2019 Social media 2018 midterm elections Government shutdowns January 2018 2018–2019 Executive actions executive orders presidential proclamations State funeral of George H. W. Bush State funeral of Ruth Bader Ginsburg Executive clemency pardon of Joe Arpaio commutation of Jaime Davidson Travel bans reactions legal challenges protests replacement Trump wall Executive Order 13767 Family separation policy Migrant detentions Operation Faithful Patriot Stormy Daniels scandal Anonymous senior official op-ed Relations with Israel Jerusalem recognition Golan Heights recognition Peace plan Abraham Accords UAE Bahrain Sudan Morocco Kosovo–Serbia agreement North Korea crisis peace process Singapore summit Hanoi summit DMZ summit Trump–Ukraine scandal Relations with Russia Helsinki summit Links between Trump administration and Russian government officials Russian bounty program Farmer bailouts Saudi Arabia arms deal Syria strikes 2017 2018 Proposed invasion of Venezuela Taiwan call Withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal Death of Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi Assassination of Qasem Soleimani Afghanistan withdrawal COVID-19 pandemic response Communication White House COVID-19 outbreak Political interference with science agencies Federal government data breach Crossfire Hurricane Classified information disclosures Mueller special counsel investigation Durham special counsel investigation Legal affairs Impeachments efforts resolutions impeachment inquiry first impeachment first trial second impeachment second trial proposed expungements Photo op at St. John's Church 2020 Mount Rushmore Fireworks Celebration National Garden of American Heroes Attempts to overturn the 2020 presidential election Fake electors plot Chesebro memos Eastman memos Lawsuits Texas v. Pennsylvania Jeffrey Clark letter January 6 United States Capitol attack timeline aftermath continued protests domestic reactions international reactions Presidential Library Judicial appointments Gorsuch Kavanaugh Barrett Supreme Court candidates controversies Biden transition Timeline First 100 days 2017 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2018 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2019 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2020 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 January 2021 Trips 2017 2018 2019 2020–2021 international by Rex Tillerson by Mike Pompeo Riyadh summit Singapore summit Helsinki summit Hanoi summit DMZ summit Speeches Joint session of Congress (2017) Warsaw speech (2017) National Scout Jamboree (2017) State of the Union Address 2018 2019 2020 2019 Oval Office address 2020 Oval Office address Farewell address (2021) Policies Economy tax cuts China trade war tariffs USMCA Environment Paris Agreement withdrawal America's Water Infrastructure Act of 2018 Foreign policy as candidate as President America First Immigration Infrastructure Racial views Social issues cannabis Space policy Personnel Cabinet formation Ambassadors Attorneys Economic advisors Withdrawn appointees Short-tenure appointees Dismissals and resignations attorneys Comey inspectors general ← Obama administration Biden administration →

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