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Tobique—Mactaquac

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(Redirected from Tobique-Mactaquac) Federal electoral district in New Brunswick, Canada

Tobique—Mactaquac
New Brunswick electoral district
Tobique-Mactaquac in relation to other New Brunswick federal electoral districts (2012 boundaries)
Coordinates:46°31′52″N 67°14′13″W / 46.531°N 67.237°W / 46.531; -67.237
Federal electoral district
LegislatureHouse of Commons
MP
 
 		 
Richard Bragdon
Conservative
District created1996
First contested1997
Last contested2021
District webpageprofile, map
Demographics
Population (2016)68,673
Electors (2019)55,104
Area (km²)15,130
Pop. density (per km²)4.5
Census division(s)Carleton, Victoria, York
Census subdivision(s)Grand Falls / Grand-Sault, Fredericton, Woodstock, Bright, Douglas, Drummond, Kent, Saint Marys, Wakefield

Tobique—Mactaquac is a federal electoral district in New Brunswick, Canada, that has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 1997.

Political geography

The district includes the counties of Carleton and Victoria as well as the Parish and Village of Saint-André and the eastern part of the County of York (excluding the City of Fredericton and vicinity). The neighbouring ridings are Madawaska—Restigouche, Miramichi, Fredericton, and New Brunswick Southwest. Across the border to Maine, it neighbours the Maine District 2 of the United States House of Representatives.

The electoral district was created in 1996 from portions of the old ridings of Carleton—Charlotte, Fredericton—York—Sunbury, and Madawaska—Victoria. Its creation was very controversial, as it included areas with both large anglophone and francophone populations, while neighbouring communities were placed in other ridings. This seemingly went against the "communities of interest" criterion in drawing electoral boundaries.

As per the 2012 federal electoral distribution, this riding will gain territory from Fredericton and lose a small territory to the new riding of Miramichi—Grand Lake.

History

Historical population
YearPop.±%
200170,105—    
200668,352−2.5%
201168,709+0.5%
201668,673−0.1%
202169,344+1.0%

On two separate occasions Tobique—Mactaquac has been involved in party nomination controversies. In the 1997 election, the Liberals were alleged to have rigged their meeting to choose Pierrette Ringuette, the Member of Parliament for the defunct Madawaska—Victoria riding. The meeting was held in Grand Falls, near her hometown and at the far northern end of the riding. Because of sound problems, only her speech was carried over the loudspeakers. Ringuette-Maltais lost the election to Gilles Bernier of the Progressive Conservatives.

In the 2004 election, the Conservative Party selected Adam Richardson, who had run for the Canadian Alliance in the 2000 election, but the national head office refused to sign his nomination papers, apparently because of Richardson's demands that party leader Stephen Harper apologize for allegedly derogatory comments about Atlantic Canadians. The eventual Conservative candidate, Mike Allen, lost to Liberal incumbent Andy Savoy.

Members of Parliament

This riding has elected the following members of Parliament:

Parliament Years Member Party
Tobique—Mactaquac
Riding created from Carleton—Charlotte,
Fredericton—York—Sunbury and Madawaska—Victoria
36th  1997–2000     Gilles Bernier Progressive Conservative
37th  2000–2004     Andy Savoy Liberal
38th  2004–2006
39th  2006–2008     Mike Allen Conservative
40th  2008–2011
41st  2011–2015
42nd  2015–2019     T. J. Harvey Liberal
43rd  2019–2021     Richard Bragdon Conservative
44th  2021–present

Election results

Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org.
Graph of election results in Tobique—Mactaquac (1996-, minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

Tobique—Mactaquac, 2023 representation order

2021 federal election redistributed results
Party Vote %
  Conservative 16,954 52.83
  Liberal 7,269 22.65
  New Democratic 3,702 11.53
  People's 2,320 7.23
  Green 1,574 4.90
  Others 275 0.86

Tobique—Mactaquac, 2013 representation order

This riding gained territory from Fredericton and lost territory to Miramichi—Grand Lake for the 42nd Canadian federal election.

2021 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Richard Bragdon 17,536 50.98 +0.7 $45,965.28
Liberal Cully Robinson 8,223 23.90 -1.3 $10,342.40
New Democratic Meriet Gray Miller 3,656 10.63 +2.7 $0.00
People's Daniel Joseph Waggoner 2,930 8.52 +6.0 $2,750.09
Green Anthony Martin 1,657 4.82 -9.3 $5,670.46
Independent Steven J. LaForest 398 1.15 N/A $0.00
Total valid votes/expense limit 34,400 99.2 – $107,922.33
Total rejected ballots 291 0.8
Turnout 34,691 62.0
Registered voters 55,973
Conservative hold Swing +1.0
Source: Elections Canada
2019 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Richard Bragdon 19,229 50.34 +13.32 $31,254.86
Liberal Kelsey MacDonald 9,631 25.21 -21.40 $12,723.90
Green Rowan P. Miller 5,398 14.13 +9.03 $11,462.77
New Democratic Megan Aiken 3,007 7.87 -3.41 $0.00
People's Dominic Guay 936 2.45 - $402.50
Total valid votes/expense limit 38,201 100.00    
Total rejected ballots 376 0.97 +0.33
Turnout 38,577 70.01 -0.78
Eligible voters 55,104
Conservative gain from Liberal Swing +17.36
Source: Elections Canada
2015 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal T. J. Harvey 17,909 46.61 +30.38 $67,600.14
Conservative Richard Bragdon 14,225 37.02 -25.12 $57,487.20
New Democratic Robert Kitchen 4,334 11.28 -7.86 $6,199.56
Green Terry Wishart 1,959 5.10 +2.62 $3,275.40
Total valid votes/expense limit 38,427 100.00   $204,512.49
Total rejected ballots 248 0.64 –
Turnout 38,675 71.79 –
Eligible voters 53,870
Liberal gain from Conservative Swing +27.75
Source: Elections Canada
2011 federal election redistributed results
Party Vote %
  Conservative 21,410 62.14
  New Democratic 6,594 19.14
  Liberal 5,591 16.23
  Green 853 2.48
  Others 7 0.02

Tobique—Mactaquac, 2003 representation order

2011 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Mike Allen 21,108 62.70 +5.21 $44,047.06
New Democratic Pierre Cyr 6,388 18.98 +3.61 $4,796.14
Liberal Charles Chiasson 5,337 15.85 -5.70 $29,831.59
Green Rish McGlynn 831 2.47 -3.29 $5.82
Total valid votes/expense limit 33,664 100.0     $84,385.35
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 256 0.75 -0.33
Turnout 33,920 63.91 +4.18
Eligible voters 53,073
Conservative hold Swing +0.80
Sources:
2008 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Mike Allen 18,071 57.49 +13.70 $61,678.30
Liberal Sally McGrath 6,773 21.55 -21.32 $26,392.40
New Democratic Alice Finnamore 4,830 15.37 +3.87 $8,535.56
Green Mark Glass 1,810 5.76 +3.89 $1,492.00
Total valid votes/expense limit 31,433 100.0     $81,901
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 343 1.08 +0.04
Turnout 31,776 59.73 -8.02
Eligible voters 53,203
Conservative hold Swing +17.51


2006 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Mike Allen 15,894 43.79 +4.20 $66,976.92
Liberal Andy Savoy 15,558 42.87 -5.36 $70,900.54
New Democratic Alice Finnamore 4,172 11.50 +3.00 $9,442.17
Green Robert Bérubé Jr. 679 1.87 -1.81 none listed
Total valid votes/expense limit 36,292 100.0     $76,462
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 383 1.04
Turnout 36,675 67.75 +3.75
Eligible voters 54,135
Conservative gain from Liberal Swing +4.78
2004 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Andy Savoy 16,787 48.23 +15.82 $74,481.32
Conservative Mike Allen 13,779 39.59 -24.32 $60,455.56
New Democratic Jason Mapplebeck 2,957 8.50 +4.82 $1,645.00
Green Scott Jones 1,282 3.68 – $882.20
Total valid votes/expense limit 34,805 100.0     $74,648
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 349 1.0
Turnout 35,154 64.00 -2.29
Eligible voters 54,931
Liberal notional gain from Progressive Conservative Swing +20.07
Changes from 2000 are based on redistributed results. Conservative Party change is based on the combination of Canadian Alliance and Progressive Conservative Party totals.
2000 federal election redistributed results
Party Vote %
  Progressive Conservative 11,708 33.80
  Liberal 11,225 32.41
  Alliance 10,428 30.11
  New Democratic 1,273 3.68

Tobique—Mactaquac, 1996 representation order

2000 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Andy Savoy 10,900 33.6 +3.4
Progressive Conservative Gilles Bernier 10,750 33.1 -2.8
Alliance Adam Richardson 9,570 29.5 +1.8
New Democratic Carolyn Van Dine 1,216 3.7 -2.5
Total 32,436 100.0
1997 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes %
Progressive Conservative Gilles Bernier 12,125 35.9
Liberal Pierrette Ringuette 10,190 30.2
Reform Ivan Shaw 9,371 27.7
New Democratic Leslie Ann Ferguson 2,093 6.2
Total 33,779 100.0

See also

References

Notes

  1. Statistics Canada: 2011
  2. Statistics Canada: 2011
  3. "Transposition of Votes from the 44th General Election to the 2023 Representation Orders". Elections Canada. Retrieved April 9, 2024.
  4. "Confirmed candidates — Tobique—Mactaquac". Elections Canada. Retrieved September 20, 2021.
  5. "List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
  6. "Election Night Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved November 13, 2019.
  7. Elections Canada – Confirmed candidates for Tobique—Mactaquac, 30 September 2015
  8. Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates
  9. Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections
  10. Elections Canada – Official voting results, Forty-first general election, 2011
  11. Elections Canada – Candidate's electoral campaign return, 41st general election

External links

Federal ridings in New Brunswick
Liberal
Conservative
Federal ridings in Atlantic Canada
Newfoundland and Labrador
Nova Scotia
Prince Edward Island
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