2016 United States presidential election in Arkansas

(Redirected from United States presidential election in Arkansas, 2016)

Main article: 2016 United States presidential election

← 2012

November 8, 2016

2020 →

Turnout

64.65%


Nominee	Donald Trump	Hillary Clinton
Party	Republican	Democratic
Home state	New York	New York
Running mate	Mike Pence	Tim Kaine
Electoral vote	6	0
Popular vote	684,872	380,494
Percentage	60.57%	33.65%

County results

Congressional district results

Township results

Precinct results

Trump

40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90–100%

Clinton

40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90–100%

Tie/No Data

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Elections in Arkansas

Federal government

Presidential elections
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Ballot measures

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Little Rock

Mayoral elections
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Fayetteville

Mayoral elections
1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Fort Smith

Mayoral elections
1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 2022

Springdale

Mayoral elections
1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Jonesboro

Mayoral elections
1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Rogers

Mayoral elections
1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Conway

Mayoral elections
1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

The 2016 United States presidential election in Arkansas was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Arkansas voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Arkansas has six electoral votes in the Electoral College.

Although Clinton once served as the First Lady of Arkansas from 1979 to 1981 and from 1983 to 1992 as the wife of then-Governor Bill Clinton, Arkansas was considered to be a state Trump would win or otherwise a safe red state. Bill Clinton won the state twice in 1992 and 1996, but the state has trended Republican in every election since 2000, and no Democrat won a statewide election there since 2010. Trump won the state with 60.57% of the vote, and Hillary Clinton received 33.65% of the vote. The Republican candidate has carried Arkansas in every election starting in 2000. This is also the first election in which the state simultaneously voted for a Republican presidential candidate and a Republican Senate candidate. Arkansas was 1 of 11 states that voted twice for Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996 that Hillary Clinton lost in 2016.

Trump's 60.57% share of the vote is the best result for the Republicans in Arkansas since Richard Nixon in 1972. The Prohibition Party candidate, James Hedges, also had the notable achievement of finishing third in Arkansas County, ahead of major third-party candidates Gary Johnson and Jill Stein, the only county in the country where he did so.

Primary elections

On March 1, 2016, in the presidential primaries, Arkansas voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic, Republican, Green, Libertarian, Constitution, and Prohibition parties' respective nominees for president. Registered members of each party only voted in their party's primary, while voters who were unaffiliated chose any one primary in which to vote.

Democratic primary

Main article: 2016 Arkansas Democratic presidential primary

Opinion polling

Results

Primary date: March 1, 2016
National delegates: 37

e • d 2016 Democratic Party's presidential nominating process in Arkansas
– Summary of results –
Candidate	Popular vote		Estimated delegates
Candidate	Count	Percentage	Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Hillary Clinton	146,057	66.08%	22	5	27
Bernie Sanders	66,236	29.97%	10	0	10
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)	2,785	1.26%
John Wolfe Jr.	2,556	1.16%
James Valentine	1,702	0.77%
Rocky De La Fuente	1,684	0.76%
Total	221,020	100%	32	5	37
Sources:

Republican primary

Main article: 2016 Arkansas Republican presidential primary

Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:

Arkansas Republican primary, March 1, 2016
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	134,744	32.79%	16	0	16
Ted Cruz	125,340	30.50%	15	0	15
Marco Rubio	101,910	24.80%	9	0	9
Ben Carson	23,521	5.72%	0	0	0
John Kasich	15,305	3.72%	0	0	0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)	4,792	1.17%	0	0	0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)	2,402	0.58%	0	0	0
Rand Paul (withdrawn)	1,151	0.28%	0	0	0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)	631	0.15%	0	0	0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)	411	0.10%	0	0	0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)	292	0.07%	0	0	0
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn)	252	0.06%	0	0	0
Bobby Jindal (withdrawn)	169	0.04%	0	0	0
Unprojected delegates:			0	0	0
Total:	410,920	100.00%	40	0	40
Source: The Green Papers

General election

Polling

Predictions

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Arkansas as of Election Day.

Source	Ranking	As of
Los Angeles Times	Safe R	November 6, 2016
CNN	Safe R	November 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report	Safe R	November 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Safe R	November 7, 2016
NBC	Likely R	November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics	Safe R	November 8, 2016
Fox News	Safe R	November 7, 2016
ABC	Safe R	November 7, 2016

Results

2016 United States presidential election in Arkansas
Party		Candidate	Running mate	Votes	%	Electoral votes
	Republican	Donald Trump	Mike Pence	684,872	60.57%	6
	Democratic	Hillary Clinton	Tim Kaine	380,494	33.65%	0
	Libertarian	Gary Johnson	William Weld	29,949	2.64%	0
	Independent	Evan McMullin	Nathan Johnson	13,176	1.17%	0
	Green	Jill Stein	Ajamu Baraka	9,473	0.84%	0
	Prohibition Party	Jim Hedges	Bill Bayes	4,709	0.42%	0
	Constitution	Darrell Castle	Scott Bradley	4,613	0.41%	0
	Independent	Lynn S. Kahn	Kathleen Monahan	3,390	0.30%	0
Total				1,130,676	100.00%	6

By county

County	Donald Trump Republican		Hillary Clinton Democratic		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total
County	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	Total
Arkansas	3,826	61.59%	1,939	31.21%	447	7.20%	1,887	30.38%	6,212
Ashley	5,338	66.04%	2,408	29.79%	337	4.17%	2,930	36.25%	8,083
Baxter	14,682	74.28%	4,169	21.09%	915	4.63%	10,513	53.19%	19,766
Benton	60,871	62.87%	28,005	28.92%	7,948	8.21%	32,866	33.95%	96,824
Boone	12,235	75.94%	2,926	18.16%	950	5.90%	9,309	57.78%	16,111
Bradley	2,164	59.24%	1,317	36.05%	172	4.71%	847	23.19%	3,653
Calhoun	1,556	68.58%	639	28.16%	74	3.26%	917	40.42%	2,269
Carroll	6,786	63.08%	3,342	31.07%	630	5.85%	3,444	32.01%	10,758
Chicot	1,716	41.09%	2,350	56.27%	110	2.64%	-634	-15.18%	4,176
Clark	4,404	51.65%	3,620	42.46%	502	5.89%	784	9.19%	8,526
Clay	3,781	72.71%	1,199	23.06%	220	4.23%	2,582	49.65%	5,200
Cleburne	9,458	78.26%	2,101	17.39%	526	4.35%	7,357	60.87%	12,085
Cleveland	2,462	73.40%	723	21.56%	169	5.04%	1,739	51.84%	3,354
Columbia	5,456	61.39%	3,140	35.33%	291	3.28%	2,316	26.06%	8,887
Conway	4,849	61.17%	2,656	33.51%	422	5.32%	2,193	27.66%	7,927
Craighead	22,892	64.35%	10,538	29.62%	2,143	6.03%	12,354	34.73%	35,573
Crawford	16,686	74.33%	4,488	19.99%	1,276	5.68%	12,198	54.34%	22,450
Crittenden	6,964	43.66%	8,410	52.72%	578	3.62%	-1,446	-9.06%	15,952
Cross	4,584	66.69%	1,999	29.08%	291	4.23%	2,585	37.61%	6,874
Dallas	1,509	54.46%	1,165	42.04%	97	3.50%	344	12.42%	2,771
Desha	1,919	45.08%	2,228	52.34%	110	2.58%	-309	-7.26%	4,257
Drew	3,968	60.17%	2,365	35.86%	262	3.97%	1,603	24.31%	6,595
Faulkner	29,346	61.75%	14,629	30.78%	3,552	7.47%	14,717	30.97%	47,527
Franklin	5,039	74.43%	1,376	20.32%	355	5.25%	3,663	54.11%	6,770
Fulton	3,471	72.74%	1,067	22.36%	234	4.90%	2,404	50.38%	4,772
Garland	26,087	63.93%	12,311	30.17%	2,407	5.90%	13,776	33.76%	40,805
Grant	5,725	76.90%	1,373	18.44%	347	4.66%	4,352	58.46%	7,445
Greene	10,720	73.42%	3,071	21.03%	809	5.55%	7,649	52.39%	14,600
Hempstead	4,401	62.43%	2,377	33.72%	271	3.85%	2,024	28.71%	7,049
Hot Spring	8,172	68.42%	3,149	26.36%	623	5.22%	5,023	42.06%	11,944
Howard	3,157	67.54%	1,351	28.90%	166	3.56%	1,806	38.64%	4,674
Independence	9,936	72.98%	2,881	21.16%	797	5.86%	7,055	51.82%	13,614
Izard	4,042	74.19%	1,113	20.43%	293	5.38%	2,929	53.76%	5,448
Jackson	3,267	63.36%	1,583	30.70%	306	5.94%	1,684	32.66%	5,156
Jefferson	9,250	35.72%	15,772	60.91%	872	3.37%	-6,522	-25.19%	25,894
Johnson	6,091	66.85%	2,427	26.64%	594	6.51%	3,664	40.21%	9,112
Lafayette	1,758	61.47%	1,032	36.08%	70	2.45%	726	25.39%	2,860
Lawrence	4,064	71.49%	1,263	22.22%	358	6.29%	2,801	49.27%	5,685
Lee	1,229	40.61%	1,735	57.34%	62	2.05%	-506	-16.73%	3,026
Lincoln	2,455	64.17%	1,252	32.72%	119	3.11%	1,203	31.45%	3,826
Little River	3,605	68.97%	1,397	26.73%	225	4.30%	2,208	42.24%	5,227
Logan	5,746	72.54%	1,715	21.65%	460	5.81%	4,031	50.89%	7,921
Lonoke	19,958	73.65%	5,664	20.90%	1,478	5.45%	14,294	52.75%	27,100
Madison	4,928	72.04%	1,588	23.21%	325	4.75%	3,340	48.83%	6,841
Marion	5,336	75.08%	1,434	20.18%	337	4.74%	3,902	54.90%	7,107
Miller	11,294	70.19%	4,273	26.56%	524	3.25%	7,021	43.63%	16,091
Mississippi	7,061	53.48%	5,670	42.94%	473	3.58%	1,391	10.54%	13,204
Monroe	1,489	51.63%	1,312	45.49%	83	2.88%	177	6.14%	2,884
Montgomery	2,643	74.26%	748	21.02%	168	4.72%	1,895	53.24%	3,559
Nevada	2,000	61.61%	1,157	35.64%	89	2.75%	843	25.97%	3,246
Newton	2,875	76.61%	699	18.63%	179	4.76%	2,176	57.98%	3,753
Ouachita	5,351	53.86%	4,321	43.49%	263	2.65%	1,030	10.37%	9,935
Perry	3,008	69.86%	1,049	24.36%	249	5.78%	1,959	45.50%	4,306
Phillips	2,446	35.18%	4,310	61.99%	197	2.83%	-1,864	-26.81%	6,953
Pike	3,150	79.13%	685	17.21%	146	3.66%	2,465	61.92%	3,981
Poinsett	5,502	71.25%	1,880	24.35%	340	4.40%	3,622	46.90%	7,722
Polk	6,618	80.40%	1,212	14.72%	401	4.88%	5,406	65.68%	8,231
Pope	16,256	72.03%	5,000	22.15%	1,313	5.82%	11,256	49.88%	22,569
Prairie	2,505	72.74%	814	23.64%	125	3.62%	1,691	49.10%	3,444
Pulaski	61,257	38.34%	89,574	56.06%	8,945	5.60%	-28,317	-17.72%	159,776
Randolph	4,509	70.69%	1,425	22.34%	445	6.97%	3,084	48.35%	6,379
St. Francis	3,195	43.00%	4,031	54.25%	204	2.75%	-836	-11.25%	7,430
Saline	35,863	68.83%	13,256	25.44%	2,981	5.73%	22,607	43.39%	52,100
Scott	2,731	77.81%	602	17.15%	177	5.04%	2,129	60.66%	3,510
Searcy	2,955	79.27%	601	16.12%	172	4.61%	2,354	63.15%	3,728
Sebastian	29,127	65.25%	12,300	27.56%	3,210	7.19%	16,827	37.69%	44,637
Sevier	3,282	71.94%	1,075	23.56%	205	4.50%	2,207	48.38%	4,562
Sharp	5,407	74.59%	1,472	20.31%	370	5.10%	3,935	54.28%	7,249
Stone	4,113	73.21%	1,203	21.41%	302	5.38%	2,910	51.80%	5,618
Union	10,456	61.89%	5,855	34.66%	583	3.45%	4,601	27.23%	16,894
Van Buren	5,382	73.33%	1,549	21.11%	408	5.56%	3,833	52.22%	7,339
Washington	41,476	50.67%	33,366	40.76%	7,019	8.57%	8,110	9.91%	81,861
White	21,077	75.28%	5,170	18.46%	1,752	6.26%	15,907	56.82%	27,999
Woodruff	1,347	52.39%	1,118	43.49%	106	4.12%	229	8.90%	2,571
Yell	4,608	71.56%	1,480	22.98%	351	5.46%	3,128	48.58%	6,439
Totals	684,872	60.57%	380,494	33.65%	65,310	5.78%	304,378	26.92%	1,130,676

Swing by county
Legend

Democratic — +7.5-10%
Democratic — +5-7.5%
Democratic — +2.5-5%
Democratic — +0-2.5%
Republican — +0-2.5%
Republican — +2.5-5%
Republican — +5-7.5%
Republican — +7.5-10%
Republican — +10-12.5%
Republican — +12.5-15%
Republican — +>15%

Trend relative to the state by county
Legend

Democratic — +7.5-10%
Democratic — +5-7.5%
Democratic — +2.5-5%
Democratic — +0-2.5%
Republican — +0-2.5%
Republican — +2.5-5%
Republican — +5-7.5%
Republican — +7.5-10%
Republican — +10-12.5%
Republican — +12.5-15%
Republican — +>15%

County flips
Legend

Democratic
Hold
Republican
Hold Gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Woodruff (largest city: Augusta)

By congressional district

Trump won all four of the state's congressional districts.

District	Trump	Clinton	Representative
1st	65.0%	30.2%	Rick Crawford
2nd	52.4%	41.7%	French Hill
3rd	61.9%	30.5%	Steve Womack
4th	64.2%	31.3%	Bruce Westerman

Turnout

The voter turnout in Arkansas was 64.65% with 1,137,772 ballots cast out of 1,759,974 registered voters.

References

"Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. September 19, 2019. Archived from the original on January 9, 2019. Retrieved November 23, 2020.
"Arkansas Election Results 2016 – The New York Times". Retrieved November 10, 2016.
The Green Papers
Official County results (provisional) Arkansas Secretary of State
James Jackson (November 10, 2015). "Candidates file for Arkansas primaries - News - The Sun-Times - Heber Springs, AR - Heber Springs, AR". The Sun-Times. Archived from the original on November 16, 2015. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
"Washington County, AR : March 1, 2016 Republican Preferential Primary Sample Ballots". Co.washington.ar.us. Archived from the original on January 29, 2016. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
"Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
"Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com". Cnn.com. November 8, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
"Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
"Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President". Centerforpolitics.org. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
Todd, Chuck. "NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead". NBC News. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
"2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
"Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
"The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election". Abcnews.go.com. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
"2016 General ELection and Nonpartisan Runoff Election Official County Results". Arkansas Secretary of State.
"Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 – Swing State Project".
"AR - Election Results". Retrieved December 2, 2016.

External links

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v t e Elections in Arkansas
General	1844 1846 1847 1848 1849 1850 1851 1852 1853 1854 1855 1856 1857 1858 1859 1860 1861 1862 1863 1864 1865 1866 1867 1868 1869 1870 1871 1872 1873 1874 1875 1876 1877 1878 1879 1880 1881 1882 1883 1884 1885 1886 1887 1888 1889 1890 1891 1892 1893 1894 1895 1896 1897 1898 1900 1902 1903 1904 1906 1907 1908 1910 1912 1913 1914 1916 1917 1918 1920 1921 1922 1923 1924 1926 1927 1928 1930 1932 1933 1934 1936 1937 1938 1939 1940 1942 1943 1944 1946 1949 1950 1952 1953 1954 1956 1958 1959 1960 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1972 1973 1974 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022
Governor	1836 1840 1844 1848 1849 S 1852 1856 1860 1862 1864 U 1868 1872 1874 1876 1878 1880 1882 1884 1886 1888 1890 1892 1894 1896 1898 1900 1902 1904 1906 1908 1910 1912 1913 S 1914 1916 1918 1920 1922 1924 1926 1928 1930 1932 1934 1936 1938 1940 1942 1944 1946 1948 1950 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 2022
U.S. President	1836 1840 1844 1848 1852 1856 1860 1864 1868 1872 1876 1880 1884 1888 1892 1896 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
U.S. Senate	Class 2: 1833 1839–40 1848 S 1853 1859 1868 S 1870 1876 1883 1885 S 1889 1895 1901 1907 1913 S 1913 1918 1924 1930 1936 1937 S 1942 1948 1954 1960 1966 1972 1978 1984 1990 1996 2002 2008 2014 2020 Class 3: 1837 1843 1845 S 1849 1855 1861 1867 1873 1879 1881 S 1885 1891 1897 1903 1909 1914 1916 S 1920 1926 1932 S 1932 1938 1944 1950 1956 1962 1968 1974 1980 1986 1992 1998 2004 2010 2016 2022
U.S. House	1837 1838 1840 1842 1844 1846 1848 1851 1853 1854 1856 1858 1860 1868 1870 1872 1874 1876 1878 1880 1882 1884 1886 1888 1890 1892 1894 1896 1898 1900 1902 1904 1906 1908 1910 1912 1914 1916 1918 1920 1922 1924 1926 1928 1930 1932 1934 1936 1938 1940 (4th S) 1942 1944 1946 1948 1950 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 (6th S) 1962 1964 1966 (4th S) 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022
'S,' denotes special election; 'U,' denotes election under Federal (Union) military occupation See also: Political party strength in Arkansas

Categories:

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Opinion polling

Results

Republican primary

General election

Polling

Predictions

Results

By county

By congressional district

Turnout

See also

References

External links