Misplaced Pages

2016 United States presidential election in Maine

← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
Turnout	72.53%
Nominee Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Gary Johnson Party Democratic Republican Libertarian Home state New York New York New Mexico Running mate Tim Kaine Mike Pence Bill Weld Electoral vote 3 1 0 Popular vote 357,735 335,593 38,105 Percentage 47.83% 44.87% 5.09%
County Results Municipality Results Congressional District Results Clinton   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   90-100% Trump   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90-100% Stein   60–70% Tie
President before election Barack Obama Democratic Elected President Donald Trump Republican

Elections in Maine
Federal offices U.S. President 1820 1824 1828 1832 1836 1840 1844 1848 1852 1856 1860 1864 1868 1872 1876 1880 1884 1888 1892 1896 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 Dem 1988 1992 1996 2000 Dem 2004 Dem 2008 Dem Rep 2012 Rep 2016 Dem Rep 2020 Dem Rep 2024 Dem Rep U.S. Senate 1820 1821 1823 1823 1827 1829 sp 1835 1835 sp 1837 sp 1839 1840 1843 sp 1846 1848 sp 1851 1854 sp 1857 1857 sp 1859 1861 sp 1863 1865 sp 1869 1870 sp 1875 1877 1877 sp 1880 1881 1881 sp 1883 1887 1889 1893 1895 1899 1901 1905 1907 1911 1912 sp 1913 1916 1916 sp 1918 1922 1924 1926 sp 1928 1930 1934 1936 1940 1942 1946 1948 1952 1954 1958 1960 1964 1966 1970 1972 1976 1978 1982 1984 1988 1990 1994 1996 2000 2002 2006 2008 2012 2014 2018 2020 2024 U.S. House of Representatives 1820–1821 1822 sp 2nd 1823 1824–1825 1826–1827 1826 sp 5th 1827 sp 1st 1828–1830 1830 1833 1834 1836 1838 1840 1843 1844 1846 1848 1850 1852 1854 1856 1858 1860 1860 sp 5th 1862 1864 1866 1868 1870 1872 1874 1876 1878 1880 1881 sp 2nd 1882 1884 1886 1888 1890 1892 1894 1896 1897 sp 3rd 1898 1899 sp 1st 1899 sp 2nd 1900 1901 sp 4th 1902 1904 1906 1908 1908 sp 2nd 1908 sp 4th 1910 1912 1913 sp 3rd 1914 1916 1918 1920 1922 1924 1926 1928 1930 1932 1934 1936 1938 1940 1940 sp 2nd 1942 1944 1946 1948 1950 1951 sp 3rd 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024
State government Gubernatorial elections 1820 1821 1822 1823 1824 1825 1826 1827 1828 1829 1830 1831 1832 1833 1834 1835 1836 1837 1838 1839 1840 1841 1842 1843 1844 1845 1846 1847 1848 1849 1850 1852 1853 1854 1855 1856 1857 1858 1859 1860 1861 1862 1863 1864 1865 1866 1867 1868 1869 1870 1871 1872 1873 1874 1875 1876 1877 1878 1879 1880 1882 1884 1886 1888 1890 1892 1894 1896 1898 1900 1902 1904 1906 1908 1910 1912 1914 1916 1918 1920 1922 1924 1926 1928 1930 1932 1934 1936 1938 1940 1942 1944 1946 1948 1950 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 1962 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 2022 State Senate elections 2016 2018 2020 2022 State House elections 2016 2018 2020 2022
Ballot measures People's vetoes 2009 Question 1 2011 Question 1 2018 Question 1 (Jun) 2020 Question 1 Citizen initiated referendums 2012 Question 1 2014 Question 1 2015 Question 1 2016 Question 1 Question 2 Question 3 Question 4 Question 5 2017 Question 1 Question 2 2018 Question 1 (Nov) 2021 Question 1 2023 Question 1 Constitutional amendments 2021 Question 3 Legislatively referred referendums 2024 Question 5
City of Portland Mayoral elections 2011 2015 2019 2023
v t e

The 2016 United States presidential election in Maine was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Maine voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Maine has four electoral votes in the Electoral College. Unlike all other states except Nebraska, Maine awards two electoral votes based on the statewide vote, and one vote for each congressional district. The last time it did so was in 1828.

Maine was once one of the most Republican states in the nation. It voted for the Democratic ticket only three times (1912, 1964, and 1968) from 1856 to 1988, but a Democrat has won the state's popular vote in every election since then. Although regarded as a safe blue state prior to the election, Maine shifted dramatically and unexpectedly towards the Republicans, with Clinton's 2.96% margin of victory the narrowest for a Democrat since 1988, when Republicans last won the state, and well down on Obama's 15.29% margin in 2012. As a measure of how Republican Maine once was at the presidential level, Trump is only the third Republican to win the White House without winning the popular vote in Maine after Richard Nixon in 1968 and George W. Bush in both his 2000 and 2004 campaigns.

On election day, Clinton carried Maine's two at-large electoral votes with a plurality and won Maine's 1st congressional district, while Trump won Maine's 2nd congressional district, making him the first Republican to do so since George H. W. Bush in 1988 and also making him the first Republican to win an electoral vote from a New England state since George W. Bush won New Hampshire in 2000.

In addition to the historic electoral vote split in Maine, this marked the first time that such a split occurred after Maine began awarding electoral votes based on congressional districts in 1972. This was also the second time that a state split its Electoral College vote by congressional district since Nebraska in 2008.

Caucuses

Democratic caucuses

Both Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders were on the ballot in Maine for the Democratic Presidential caucuses. Ahead of the caucuses, polling suggested that Sanders had a slight lead over Clinton.

Sanders swept all of Maine's counties and also won a large share of the democratic caucus votes in New England.

Republican caucuses

Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, Donald Trump, and John Kasich were all on the ballot for the 2016 Maine state Republican caucuses. The caucuses were held on March 5, 2016, in the following counties in Maine: Cumberland, Franklin, Piscataquis, Somerset, Aroostook, Androscoggin, Sagadahoc, Kennebec, Lincoln, Knox, Hancock, Waldo, Washington, York, Oxford, and Penobscot.

Ted Cruz won the caucus with 45.9% of the vote and was awarded 12 delegates, with Donald Trump in second, receiving 32.59% of the votes and 9 delegates.

Delegates were awarded to candidates who got 10% or more of the vote proportionally.

Green caucuses

Maine held a series of caucuses throughout the state between February 27 and March 19. The Maine Green Independent Party didn't compile the results until the state convention on May 7, during which it then assigned delegates based on the results.

On March 13, 2016, it was announced that Jill Stein had won the Maine Green Independent Party caucuses.

Maine Green Party presidential caucus, February 27 – March 19, 2016

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	National delegates
Jill Stein	–	–	–
William Kreml	–	–	–
Kent Mesplay	–	–	–
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry	–	–	–
Darryl Cherney	–	–	–
Uncommitted	–	–	–
Total	-	-	-

Libertarian convention

The Libertarian Party nominated its ticket, former New Mexico Governor Gary Johnson for president and former Massachusetts Governor William Weld for vice president, at its national convention in Orlando, Florida, on May 29, 2016.

Until July 13, 2016, the Libertarian Party was not a legally recognized party in Maine. A 2013 change in the ballot access law permitted a party to gain recognition if they enroll 5,000 Maine voters in the party. The Libertarian Party of Maine turned approximately 6,500 signatures in to the Maine Secretary of State's office in 2015, but Secretary of State Matthew Dunlap invalidated 2,000 of them, bringing the total below the threshold required. The party then sued Dunlap, claiming Maine's ballot access requirements were unconstitutionally unreasonable. While losing an initial ruling by U.S. District Court Judge John Woodcock, Woodcock later ordered that they be given until July 12 to collect the necessary signatures. On July 13, Dunlap certified that 5,150 signatures had been validated, surpassing the threshold required to allow their candidates on the ballot. Maintenance of the status required obtaining 10,000 presidential votes in the general election.

General election

Maine distributes 2 EVs based on the statewide vote and 1 EV for each congressional district's vote.

Predictions

Polling

Statewide, Hillary Clinton won every pre-election poll but one with margins ranging from 3 to 11 points. The average of the last two polls showed Hillary Clinton ahead of Donald Trump 46.5% to 41% statewide.

Statewide Polls

1st congressional district

Hillary Clinton won every poll in the 1st Congressional District. The average of the last three polls had her leading 49% to 36%.

2nd congressional district

Donald Trump won most of the polls conducted in Maine's 2nd district. He was ahead anywhere from 3 to 11 points, although Hillary Clinton won the last poll 44% to 42%. An average of the last two polls showed Trump leading Hillary Clinton 41.5% to 41%.

Results

By county

•   Democratic — +10-12.5%
•   Democratic — +2.5-5%
•   Democratic — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +2.5-5%
•   Republican — +7.5-10%
•   Republican — +10-12.5%
•   Republican — +12.5-15%
•   Republican — +>15%

•   Democratic — +10-12.5%
•   Democratic — +2.5-5%
•   Democratic — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +2.5-5%
•   Republican — +7.5-10%
•   Republican — +10-12.5%
•   Republican — +12.5-15%
•   Republican — +>15%

• Democratic   Hold

  Republican   Hold   Gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Androscoggin (largest city: Lewiston)
• Aroostook (largest city: Presque Isle)
• Franklin (largest town: Farmington)
• Kennebec (largest city: Augusta)
• Oxford (largest town: Rumford)
• Penobscot (largest city: Bangor)
• Somerset (largest town: Skowhegan)
• Washington (largest city: Calais)

By congressional district

Clinton won the southern 1st district, while Trump carried the more rural 2nd district.

See also

• United States presidential elections in Maine
• 2016 Democratic Party presidential debates and forums
• 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2016 Republican Party presidential debates and forums
• 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries

Notes

1. Bush won the entire state of Maine in addition to the 2nd district, not on a split vote.

References

1. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. September 19, 2019. Archived from the original on January 9, 2019. Retrieved November 26, 2020.
2. "Bureau of Corporations, Elections & Commissions, Elections and Voting, Results, 2014 Tabulations". State.me.us. Archived from the original on September 10, 2018. Retrieved November 26, 2020.
3. The Green Papers
4. "Maine Republican Delegation 2016". www.thegreenpapers.com. Archived from the original on March 9, 2016. Retrieved March 8, 2016.
5. "IT'S A CRUCIAL TIME TO BE A GREEN PARTY MEMBER!". Maine Green Independent Party. January 7, 2016. Archived from the original on March 3, 2016. Retrieved February 20, 2016.
6. "SCHEDULED CAUCUSES". Maine Green Independent Party. January 7, 2016. Archived from the original on March 3, 2016. Retrieved February 20, 2016.
7. "Maine Green Independent Party holds caucuses". WCSH6.com.
8. "Libertarian Party Selects Gary Johnson to be 2016 Nominee". C-SPAN.org. Archived from the original on March 9, 2021. Retrieved September 22, 2016.
9. Cousins, Christopher (April 25, 2016). "Judge rejects Libertarians' appeal to become Maine political party". The Bangor Daily News. Archived from the original on July 1, 2016. Retrieved September 22, 2016.
10. "Federal judge hands Maine libertarians a partial victory – The Portland Press Herald / Maine Sunday Telegram". May 27, 2016. Archived from the original on July 4, 2016. Retrieved September 22, 2016.
11. "Libertarians become Maine's fourth political party | State & Capitol". July 13, 2016. Archived from the original on October 7, 2021. Retrieved September 22, 2016.
12. "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. November 6, 2016. Archived from the original on June 9, 2019. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
13. Chalian, David (November 4, 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN. Archived from the original on April 18, 2019. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
14. "2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report. November 7, 2016. Archived from the original on March 1, 2019. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
15. "2016 Electoral Map Prediction". Electoral-vote.com. November 8, 2016. Archived from the original on November 1, 2020. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
16. "Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Archived from the original on August 17, 2021. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
17. Sabato, Larry J. (November 7, 2016). "2016 President". University of Virginia Center for Politics. Archived from the original on December 22, 2017. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
18. "2016 Election Maps – Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Archived from the original on December 31, 2017. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
19. "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. November 7, 2016. Archived from the original on September 29, 2017. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
20. "RealClearPolitics – Election 2016 – Maine: Trump vs. Clinton". Archived from the original on June 7, 2017. Retrieved September 14, 2020.
21. ^ "MPRC November 2016 Poll" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on May 6, 2020. Retrieved April 20, 2018.
22. ^ "Methodology" (PDF). Maine People's Resource Center. November 1, 2016. Archived (PDF) from the original on November 4, 2016. Retrieved November 2, 2016.
23. ^ "Methodology" (PDF). Maine People's Resource Center. October 21, 2016. Archived (PDF) from the original on October 22, 2016. Retrieved October 22, 2016.
24. ^ "Methodology" (PDF). Maine People's Resource Center. October 12, 2016. Archived (PDF) from the original on October 12, 2016. Retrieved October 12, 2016.
25. ^ "For the first time, it looks like Maine's electoral votes will be split". University of New Hampshire. Portland Press Herald. September 25, 2016. Archived from the original on September 26, 2016. Retrieved September 25, 2016.
26. ^ "Methodology" (PDF). Maine People's Resource Center. September 20, 2016. Archived (PDF) from the original on September 22, 2016. Retrieved September 20, 2016.
27. ^ "Charts: Portland Press Herald/Maine Sunday Telegram poll results". University of New Hampshire. Portland Press Herald. July 7, 2016. Archived from the original on August 16, 2016. Retrieved August 14, 2016.
28. ^ "Colby College/Boston Globe Election Poll". Colby College. September 13, 2016. Archived from the original on September 14, 2016. Retrieved September 14, 2016.
29. ^ "Polls: Trump Threatens to Flip New Jersey, Rhode Island; Clinton Leads in New England States". www.peoplespunditdaily.com. September 7, 2016. Archived from the original on September 8, 2016. Retrieved September 7, 2016.
30. "RealClearPolitics – Election 2016 – Maine CD1: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein". Archived from the original on September 10, 2020. Retrieved September 14, 2020.
31. "RealClearPolitics – Election 2016 – Maine CD2: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein". Archived from the original on September 10, 2020. Retrieved September 14, 2020.
32. "Bureau of Corporations, Elections & Commissions, Elections and Voting, Results, 2014 Tabulations". State.me.us. Archived from the original on July 1, 2017. Retrieved August 25, 2017.
33. Percentage of total ballots cast
34. Bump, Philip. "The counties that flipped parties to swing the 2016 election". The Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Archived from the original on August 3, 2020. Retrieved September 1, 2020.
35. LePage, Paul R. "Maine Certificate of Ascertainment 2016" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on October 19, 2020. Retrieved January 11, 2020.

External links

• RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process Archived November 8, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
• Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions
• Decision Desk Headquarter Results for Maine
• State of Maine – Bureau of Corporations, Elections & Commissions – Elections & Voting – Election Results

v t e Elections and referendums in Maine
Presidential elections	1820 1824 1828 1832 1836 1840 1844 1848 1852 1856 1860 1864 1868 1872 1876 1880 1884 1888 1892 1896 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024
Senate elections	Class 1 1916 1922 1928 1934 1940 1946 1952 1958 1964 1970 1976 1982 1988 1994 2000 2006 2012 2018 2024 Class 2 1918 1924 1930 1936 1942 1948 1954 1960 1966 1972 1978 1984 1990 1996 2002 2008 2014 2020
House elections	1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024
Gubernatorial elections	1820 1821 1822 1823 1824 1825 1826 1827 1828 1829 1830 1831 1832 1833 1834 1835 1836 1837 1838 1839 1840 1841 1842 1843 1844 1845 1846 1847 1848 1849 1850 1852 1853 1854 1855 1856 1857 1858 1859 1860 1861 1862 1863 1864 1865 1866 1867 1868 1869 1870 1871 1872 1873 1874 1875 1876 1877 1878 1879 1880 1882 1884 1886 1888 1890 1892 1894 1896 1898 1900 1902 1904 1906 1908 1910 1912 1914 1916 1918 1920 1922 1924 1926 1928 1930 1932 1934 1936 1938 1940 1942 1944 1946 1948 1950 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 1962 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 2022 2026
Legislative elections	State Senate 2018 2020 2022 2024 State House 2018 2020 2022 2024
Referendums	2009 2011 2012 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2020 2021 2023 2024

v t e State and district results of the 2016 United States presidential election
Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming

• 2016 United States presidential election by state
• United States presidential elections in Maine
• 2016 Maine elections