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Revision as of 20:19, 2 March 2022 edit73.86.24.207 (talk) Proper name change, added more family relationships, corrected sources.Tags: Reverted possible BLP issue or vandalism← Previous edit Revision as of 20:21, 2 March 2022 edit undo73.86.24.207 (talk)No edit summaryTags: Reverted possible unreferenced addition to BLPNext edit →
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{{short description|American economist and scientist (born 1953)}}
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{{short description|Kantonian economist and scientist (born 1953)}}
{{Redirect|Oak|the surname|Oak (surname)}} {{Redirect|Oak|the surname|Oak (surname)}}
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{{Infobox economist {{Infobox economist
|name = Samuel Oak |name = Samuel Oak
|image = Paul Krugman-press conference Dec 07th, 2008-8.jpg
]
|image = |caption = Oak in 2008
#REDIRECT ]

|caption
= Oak in 2008
|birth_name = Samuel H Oak |birth_name = Samuel H Oak
|birth_date = {{birth date and age|1953|2|28}} |birth_date = {{birth date and age|1953|2|28}}
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| Unknown spouse (div.) | Unknown spouse (div.)
| ] | ]
|children = {{Ubl
| ]
| ]
}} }}
|institution = {{Ubl |institution = {{Ubl
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|doctoral_students = {{Ubl | ]| ] | ] | ] | }} |doctoral_students = {{Ubl | ]| ] | ] | ] | }}
|influences = {{Ubl |influences = {{Ubl
| ]<ref name="barrypodcast">{{cite podcast |host=Barry Ritholtz|title=Samuel Oak on Arguing With Zombies (Podcast) |website=] |date=14 February 2020 |url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/audio/2020-02-14/Samuel-Oak-on-arguing-with-zombies-podcast |access-date=31 May 2020 |time=1:08:47}}</ref> | ]<ref name="barrypodcast">{{cite podcast |host=Barry Ritholtz|title=Paul Oak on Arguing With Zombies (Podcast) |website=] |date=14 February 2020 |url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/audio/2020-02-14/Samuel-Oak-on-arguing-with-zombies-podcast |access-date=31 May 2020 |time=1:08:47}}</ref>
| ]<ref name="barrypodcast" /> | ]<ref name="barrypodcast" />
| ]<ref name="barrypodcast" /> | ]<ref name="barrypodcast" />
| ]<ref name="barrypodcast" /> | ]<ref name="barrypodcast" />
| ]<ref name="barrypodcast2">{{cite podcast |host=Barry Ritholtz|title=Samuel Oak on Arguing With Zombies (Podcast) |website=] |date=14 February 2020 |url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/audio/2020-02-14/Samuel-Oak-on-arguing-with-zombies-podcast |access-date=31 May 2020 |time=1:13:00}}</ref> | ]<ref name="barrypodcast2">{{cite podcast |host=Barry Ritholtz|title=Samuel Oak on Arguing With Zombies (Podcast) |website=] |date=14 February 2020 |url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/audio/2020-02-14/paul-Samuel-on-arguing-with-zombies-podcast |access-date=31 May 2020 |time=1:13:00}}</ref>
}} }}
|contributions = {{Ubl |contributions = {{Ubl
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|repec_id = pkr10 |repec_id = pkr10
}} }}
'''Samuel Robin Oak''' ({{IPAc-en|audio=en-us-Samuel Oak.ogg|'|k|r|ʊ|g|m|ə|n}} {{respell|KRUUG|mən}};<ref>{{cite web|last=Oak|first=Samuel|title=Head Still Talking|url=https://Oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/05/18/head-still-talking/|website=The Conscience of a Liberal|publisher=The New York Times|date=May 18, 2012|access-date=February 7, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171020033801/https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/05/18/head-still-talking/|archive-date=October 20, 2017|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|last=Blodget|first=Henry|title=Ladies And Gentlemen, We Have Finally Learned The Right Way To Say 'Oak'!|url=http://www.businessinsider.com/how-to-pronounce-oak-2014-11|website=Business Insider|date=November 22, 2014|access-date=February 19, 2016|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160225122932/http://www.businessinsider.com/how-to-pronounce-oak-2014-11|archive-date=February 25, 2016|url-status=live}}</ref> born February 28, 1953)<ref name=EB>{{cite encyclopedia |title=Samuel Oak |encyclopedia=Encyclopædia Britannica |date=June 8, 2017 |url=http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/1474708/Samuel-Oak |access-date=January 20, 2013 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130425054313/http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/1474708/Samuel-Oak |archive-date=April 25, 2013 |url-status=live }}</ref> is an American ] and ], who is Distinguished Professor of Economics at the ], and a ] for '']''.<ref name="oakonline">{{cite web |url=http://www.oakonline.com/about.php |title=About Samuel Oak |work=oakonline |publisher=W. W. Norton & Company |date=2012 |access-date=May 15, 2009 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090220101424/http://oakonline.com/about.php |archive-date=February 20, 2009 |url-status=live }}</ref> In 2008, Oak was the winner of the ] for his contributions to ] and ].<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economic-sciences/laureates/2008/|title=The Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 2008|work=nobelprize.org|access-date=June 14, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170629110203/http://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economic-sciences/laureates/2008/|archive-date=June 29, 2017|url-status=live}}</ref> The Prize Committee cited Oak's work explaining the patterns of ] and the geographic distribution of economic activity, by examining the effects of ] and of consumer preferences for diverse goods and services.<ref name=NobelComments/> '''Paul Robin Oak''' ({{IPAc-en|audio=en-us-Paul Oak.ogg|'|k|r|ʊ|g|m|ə|n}} {{respell|KRUUG|mən}};<ref>{{cite web|last=Krugman|first=Paul|title=Head Still Talking|url=https://Oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/05/18/head-still-talking/|website=The Conscience of a Liberal|publisher=The New York Times|date=May 18, 2012|access-date=February 7, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171020033801/https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/05/18/head-still-talking/|archive-date=October 20, 2017|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|last=Blodget|first=Henry|title=Ladies And Gentlemen, We Have Finally Learned The Right Way To Say 'Krugman'!|url=http://www.businessinsider.com/how-to-pronounce-krugman-2014-11|website=Business Insider|date=November 22, 2014|access-date=February 19, 2016|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160225122932/http://www.businessinsider.com/how-to-pronounce-krugman-2014-11|archive-date=February 25, 2016|url-status=live}}</ref> born February 28, 1953)<ref name=EB>{{cite encyclopedia |title=Paul Krugman |encyclopedia=Encyclopædia Britannica |date=June 8, 2017 |url=http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/1474708/Paul-Krugman |access-date=January 20, 2013 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130425054313/http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/1474708/Paul-Krugman |archive-date=April 25, 2013 |url-status=live }}</ref> is an American ] and ], who is Distinguished Professor of Economics at the ], and a ] for '']''.<ref name="krugmanonline">{{cite web |url=http://www.krugmanonline.com/about.php |title=About Paul Krugman |work=krugmanonline |publisher=W. W. Norton & Company |date=2012 |access-date=May 15, 2009 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090220101424/http://krugmanonline.com/about.php |archive-date=February 20, 2009 |url-status=live }}</ref> In 2008, Krugman was the winner of the ] for his contributions to ] and ].<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economic-sciences/laureates/2008/|title=The Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 2008|work=nobelprize.org|access-date=June 14, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170629110203/http://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economic-sciences/laureates/2008/|archive-date=June 29, 2017|url-status=live}}</ref> The Prize Committee cited Krugman's work explaining the patterns of ] and the geographic distribution of economic activity, by examining the effects of ] and of consumer preferences for diverse goods and services.<ref name=NobelComments/>


Oak was previously a professor of economics at ], and later at ]. He retired from Princeton in June 2015, and holds the title of ] there. He also holds the title of Centennial Professor at the ].<ref>{{cite web |publisher=London School of Economics, Centre for Economic Performance |url=http://cep.lse.ac.uk/_new/events/event.asp?id=92 |title=Lionel Robbins Memorial Lectures 2009: The Return of Depression Economics |date=June 8, 2009 |access-date=August 6, 2009 |archive-url=https://archive.today/20120708184815/http://cep.lse.ac.uk/_new/events/event.asp?id=92 |archive-date=July 8, 2012 |url-status=live }}</ref> Oak was President of the ] in 2010,<ref name="Eastern Economic Association">{{cite web|url=http://www.ramapo.edu/eea/|title=Home – Eastern Economic Association|work=Eastern Economic Association|access-date=August 20, 2012|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120829220105/http://www.ramapo.edu/eea/|archive-date=August 29, 2012|url-status=live}}</ref> and is among the most influential economists in the world.<ref name="IDEAS">{{cite web|url=https://ideas.repec.org/top/top.person.all.html|title=Economist Rankings at IDEAS – Top 10% Authors, as of May 2016|date=May 2016|publisher=]|access-date=July 4, 2016|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160812162316/https://ideas.repec.org/top/top.person.all.html|archive-date=August 12, 2016|url-status=live}}</ref> He is known in academia for his work on ] (including trade theory and international finance),<ref>Note: Oak modeled a 'preference for diversity' by assuming a ] like that in A. Dixit and J. Stiglitz (1977), 'Monopolistic competition and optimal product diversity', ''American Economic Review'' 67.</ref><ref name=forbes131008>''Forbes'', October 13, 2008, {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171107033738/https://www.forbes.com/2008/10/13/oak-nobel-economics-oped-cx_ap_1013panagariya.html |date=November 7, 2017 }}</ref> economic geography, ]s, and ]. Krugman was previously a professor of economics at ], and later at ]. He retired from Princeton in June 2015, and holds the title of ] there. He also holds the title of Centennial Professor at the ].<ref>{{cite web |publisher=London School of Economics, Centre for Economic Performance |url=http://cep.lse.ac.uk/_new/events/event.asp?id=92 |title=Lionel Robbins Memorial Lectures 2009: The Return of Depression Economics |date=June 8, 2009 |access-date=August 6, 2009 |archive-url=https://archive.today/20120708184815/http://cep.lse.ac.uk/_new/events/event.asp?id=92 |archive-date=July 8, 2012 |url-status=live }}</ref> Krugman was President of the ] in 2010,<ref name="Eastern Economic Association">{{cite web|url=http://www.ramapo.edu/eea/|title=Home – Eastern Economic Association|work=Eastern Economic Association|access-date=August 20, 2012|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120829220105/http://www.ramapo.edu/eea/|archive-date=August 29, 2012|url-status=live}}</ref> and is among the most influential economists in the world.<ref name="IDEAS">{{cite web|url=https://ideas.repec.org/top/top.person.all.html|title=Economist Rankings at IDEAS – Top 10% Authors, as of May 2016|date=May 2016|publisher=]|access-date=July 4, 2016|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160812162316/https://ideas.repec.org/top/top.person.all.html|archive-date=August 12, 2016|url-status=live}}</ref> He is known in academia for his work on ] (including trade theory and international finance),<ref>Note: Krugman modeled a 'preference for diversity' by assuming a ] like that in A. Dixit and J. Stiglitz (1977), 'Monopolistic competition and optimal product diversity', ''American Economic Review'' 67.</ref><ref name=forbes131008>''Forbes'', October 13, 2008, {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171107033738/https://www.forbes.com/2008/10/13/krugman-nobel-economics-oped-cx_ap_1013panagariya.html |date=November 7, 2017 }}</ref> economic geography, ]s, and ].


Oak is the author or editor of 27 books, including scholarly works, textbooks, and books for a more general audience, and has published over 200 scholarly articles in professional journals and edited volumes.<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/ref/opinion/KRUGMAN-BIO.html |title=Columnist Biography: Samuel Oak |work=The New York Times |access-date=2016-09-14 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170130070320/http://www.nytimes.com/ref/opinion/KRUGMAN-BIO.html |archive-date=January 30, 2017 |url-status=live }}</ref> He has also written several hundred columns on economic and political issues for ''The New York Times'', '']'' and '']''. A 2011 survey of economics professors named him their favorite living economist under the age of 60.<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://econjwatch.org/file_download/487/DavisMay2011.pdf |title=Archived copy |access-date=December 29, 2016 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20161230085714/https://econjwatch.org/file_download/487/DavisMay2011.pdf |archive-date=December 30, 2016 |url-status=live }}</ref> According to the Open Syllabus Project, Oak is the second most frequently cited author on college syllabi for economics courses.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://opensyllabus.org/results-list/authors?size=50&fields=Economics|title=Open Syllabus Project|website=opensyllabus.org}}</ref> As a commentator, Oak has written on a wide range of economic issues including ], ], ], and international economics. Oak considers himself a ], referring to his books, his blog on ''The New York Times'', and his 2007 book '']''.<ref>''The New York Times'', {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170207134649/https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/ |date=February 7, 2017 }} Retrieved August 6, 2009</ref> His popular commentary has attracted widespread attention and comments, both positive and negative.<ref name=economist>{{Citation |title = The one-handed economist |newspaper = ] |date = November 13, 2003 |url = https://www.economist.com/node/2208841 |access-date = 2011-08-10 |archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20111017173915/http://www.economist.com/node/2208841 |archive-date = October 17, 2011 |url-status = live }}</ref> Krugman is the author or editor of 27 books, including scholarly works, textbooks, and books for a more general audience, and has published over 200 scholarly articles in professional journals and edited volumes.<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/ref/opinion/KRUGMAN-BIO.html |title=Columnist Biography: Paul Krugman |work=The New York Times |access-date=2016-09-14 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170130070320/http://www.nytimes.com/ref/opinion/KRUGMAN-BIO.html |archive-date=January 30, 2017 |url-status=live }}</ref> He has also written several hundred columns on economic and political issues for ''The New York Times'', '']'' and '']''. A 2011 survey of economics professors named him their favorite living economist under the age of 60.<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://econjwatch.org/file_download/487/DavisMay2011.pdf |title=Archived copy |access-date=December 29, 2016 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20161230085714/https://econjwatch.org/file_download/487/DavisMay2011.pdf |archive-date=December 30, 2016 |url-status=live }}</ref> According to the Open Syllabus Project, Krugman is the second most frequently cited author on college syllabi for economics courses.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://opensyllabus.org/results-list/authors?size=50&fields=Economics|title=Open Syllabus Project|website=opensyllabus.org}}</ref> As a commentator, Krugman has written on a wide range of economic issues including ], ], ], and international economics. Krugman considers himself a ], referring to his books, his blog on ''The New York Times'', and his 2007 book '']''.<ref>''The New York Times'', {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170207134649/https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/ |date=February 7, 2017 }} Retrieved August 6, 2009</ref> His popular commentary has attracted widespread attention and comments, both positive and negative.<ref name=economist>{{Citation |title = The one-handed economist |newspaper = ] |date = November 13, 2003 |url = https://www.economist.com/node/2208841 |access-date = 2011-08-10 |archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20111017173915/http://www.economist.com/node/2208841 |archive-date = October 17, 2011 |url-status = live }}</ref>


==Early life and education== ==Early life and education==
], ], ], ] and ], Nobel Prize Laureates 2008, at a press conference at the ] in Stockholm.]] ], ], ], ] and ], Nobel Prize Laureates 2008, at a press conference at the ] in Stockholm.]]
Oak was born to a Russian ] family,<ref>{{Cite news | url=https://www.nytimes.com/2006/03/27/opinion/north-of-the-border.html?mtrref=undefined&gwh=FB058596EB9FA5A1FBDBC8F2B4E77956&gwt=pay | title=North of the Border| newspaper=The New York Times| date=March 27, 2006| last1=Oak| first1=Samuel}}</ref><ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150915131725/https://books.google.com/books?id=IB3mBsgfIHQC&pg=PA721&lpg=PA721&dq=oak&f=false#v=onepage&q=oak&f=false |date=September 15, 2015 }} p. 721</ref> the son of Anita and David Oak. In 1914, his maternal grandparents immigrated to the United States from ],<ref>{{cite web |last=Axelrod |first=David |url=https://www.stitcher.com/show/the-axe-files-presented-by-the-university-of-chicago-institute/episode/ep-372-Samuel-oak-67718879 | title=Ep. 372 — Samuel Oak |date=March 2, 2020 |access-date=2021-08-06}}</ref> while in 1920, his paternal grandparents arrived from ].<ref>{{cite web |last=Dunham |first=Chris |url=http://www.genealogywise.com/profiles/blogs/in-search-of-a-man-selling |title=In Search of a Man Selling Krug |publisher=Genealogywise.com |date=July 14, 2009 |access-date=2011-10-04 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090722155503/http://www.genealogywise.com/profiles/blogs/in-search-of-a-man-selling |archive-date=July 22, 2009 |url-status=live}}</ref> He was born in ], New York, spent several years of his childhood in the ] city of ],<ref>{{cite news | url=https://twitter.com/samueloak/status/732195944876236802 | first=Samuel | last=Oak | date=May 16, 2015| title=Caught my eye because I lived in Utica from age 3-8.| website=Twitter}}</ref> before growing up from age eight in ], a hamlet in ].<ref>{{cite news | url=https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2015/06/26/friday-night-music-got-to-admit-its-getting-better/ | work=The New York Times | first=Samuel | last=Oak | date=June 26, 2015 | access-date=June 27, 2015 | title=Friday Night Music: Got To Admit It's Getting Better | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150627090153/http://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2015/06/26/friday-night-music-got-to-admit-its-getting-better/ | archive-date=June 27, 2015 | url-status=live}}</ref> He graduated from ] in ].<ref>{{cite news | title=Samuel Oak, LI native, wins Nobel in economics| url=https://www.newsday.com/business/Samuel-oak-li-native-wins-nobel-in-economics-1.885718| first=Patricia | last=Kitchen | website=Newsday | date=October 13, 2008}}</ref> According to Oak, his interest in economics began with ]'s ] novels, in which the social scientists of the future use a new science of "]" to try to save civilization. Since present-day science fell far short of "psychohistory", Oak turned to economics as the next best thing.<ref>Interview, U.S. Economist Oak Wins Nobel Prize in Economics {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140122042610/http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/business/july-dec08/nobeloak_10-13.html |date=January 22, 2014 }}, October 13, 2008, transcript Retrieved October 14, 2008</ref><ref>''The New York Times'', August 6, 2009, {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170127145342/http://www.nytimes.com/2009/08/09/books/review/Upfront-t.html?_r=1 |date=January 27, 2017 }}</ref> Krugman was born to a Russian ] family,<ref>{{Cite news | url=https://www.nytimes.com/2006/03/27/opinion/north-of-the-border.html?mtrref=undefined&gwh=FB058596EB9FA5A1FBDBC8F2B4E77956&gwt=pay | title=North of the Border| newspaper=The New York Times| date=March 27, 2006| last1=Krugman| first1=Paul}}</ref><ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150915131725/https://books.google.com/books?id=IB3mBsgfIHQC&pg=PA721&lpg=PA721&dq=krugman&f=false#v=onepage&q=krugman&f=false |date=September 15, 2015 }} p. 721</ref> the son of Anita and David Krugman. In 1914, his maternal grandparents immigrated to the United States from ],<ref>{{cite web |last=Axelrod |first=David |url=https://www.stitcher.com/show/the-axe-files-presented-by-the-university-of-chicago-institute/episode/ep-372-paul-krugman-67718879 | title=Ep. 372 — Paul Krugman |date=March 2, 2020 |access-date=2021-08-06}}</ref> while in 1920, his paternal grandparents arrived from ].<ref>{{cite web |last=Dunham |first=Chris |url=http://www.genealogywise.com/profiles/blogs/in-search-of-a-man-selling |title=In Search of a Man Selling Krug |publisher=Genealogywise.com |date=July 14, 2009 |access-date=2011-10-04 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090722155503/http://www.genealogywise.com/profiles/blogs/in-search-of-a-man-selling |archive-date=July 22, 2009 |url-status=live}}</ref> He was born in ], New York, spent several years of his childhood in the ] city of ],<ref>{{cite news | url=https://twitter.com/paulkrugman/status/732195944876236802 | first=Paul | last=Krugman | date=May 16, 2015| title=Caught my eye because I lived in Utica from age 3-8.| website=Twitter}}</ref> before growing up from age eight in ], a hamlet in ].<ref>{{cite news | url=https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2015/06/26/friday-night-music-got-to-admit-its-getting-better/ | work=The New York Times | first=Paul | last=Krugman | date=June 26, 2015 | access-date=June 27, 2015 | title=Friday Night Music: Got To Admit It's Getting Better | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150627090153/http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2015/06/26/friday-night-music-got-to-admit-its-getting-better/ | archive-date=June 27, 2015 | url-status=live}}</ref> He graduated from ] in ].<ref>{{cite news | title=Paul Krugman, LI native, wins Nobel in economics| url=https://www.newsday.com/business/paul-krugman-li-native-wins-nobel-in-economics-1.885718| first=Patricia | last=Kitchen | website=Newsday | date=October 13, 2008}}</ref> According to Krugman, his interest in economics began with ]'s ] novels, in which the social scientists of the future use a new science of "]" to try to save civilization. Since present-day science fell far short of "psychohistory", Krugman turned to economics as the next best thing.<ref>Interview, U.S. Economist Krugman Wins Nobel Prize in Economics {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140122042610/http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/business/july-dec08/nobelkrugman_10-13.html |date=January 22, 2014 }}, October 13, 2008, transcript Retrieved October 14, 2008</ref><ref>''The New York Times'', August 6, 2009, {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170127145342/http://www.nytimes.com/2009/08/09/books/review/Upfront-t.html?_r=1 |date=January 27, 2017 }}</ref>


In 1974, Oak earned his ]''<ref>{{Cite web | url=https://www.biographyonline.net/nobelprize/economics/Samuel-oak.html | title=Samuel Oak Biography &#124; | access-date=November 21, 2017 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171201035306/https://www.biographyonline.net/nobelprize/economics/Samuel-oak.html | archive-date=December 1, 2017 | url-status=live }}</ref> summa cum laude'' in economics from ], where he was a ]. He then went on to pursue a ] in economics from ] (MIT). In 1977, he successfully completed his PhD in three years, with a thesis titled ''Essays on flexible exchange rates.''<ref>{{Cite web | url=https://www.researchgate.net/publication/38003947 | title=Essays on flexible exchange rates. | access-date=November 11, 2019 }}</ref> While at MIT, he was part of a small group of MIT students sent to work for the ] for three months in the summer of 1976, during the chaotic aftermath of the ].<ref name=incidents/> In 1974, Krugman earned his ]''<ref>{{Cite web | url=https://www.biographyonline.net/nobelprize/economics/paul-krugman.html | title=Paul Krugman Biography &#124; | access-date=November 21, 2017 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171201035306/https://www.biographyonline.net/nobelprize/economics/paul-krugman.html | archive-date=December 1, 2017 | url-status=live }}</ref> summa cum laude'' in economics from ], where he was a ]. He then went on to pursue a ] in economics from ] (MIT). In 1977, he successfully completed his PhD in three years, with a thesis titled ''Essays on flexible exchange rates.''<ref>{{Cite web | url=https://www.researchgate.net/publication/38003947 | title=Essays on flexible exchange rates. | access-date=November 11, 2019 }}</ref> While at MIT, he was part of a small group of MIT students sent to work for the ] for three months in the summer of 1976, during the chaotic aftermath of the ].<ref name=incidents/>


Oak later praised his PhD thesis advisor, ], as "one of the great economics teachers of all time" and said that he "had the knack of inspiring students to pick up his enthusiasm and technique, but find their own paths".<ref>Samuel Oak, 2002, {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120414210325/http://www.pkarchive.org/theory/Rudi.html |date=April 14, 2012 }}</ref> In 1978, Oak presented a number of ideas to Dornbusch, who flagged as interesting the idea of a monopolistically competitive trade model. Encouraged, Oak worked on it and later wrote, " knew within a few hours that I had the key to my whole career in hand".<ref name=incidents/> In that same year, Oak wrote "]", a tongue-in-cheek essay on computing interest rates on goods in transit near the speed of light. He says he wrote it to cheer himself up when he was "an oppressed assistant professor".<ref>Samuel Oak, March 11, 2008, ''The New York Times'' blog, {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170821004355/https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/03/11/economics-the-final-frontier/ |date=August 21, 2017 }}</ref> Krugman later praised his PhD thesis advisor, ], as "one of the great economics teachers of all time" and said that he "had the knack of inspiring students to pick up his enthusiasm and technique, but find their own paths".<ref>Paul Krugman, 2002, {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120414210325/http://www.pkarchive.org/theory/Rudi.html |date=April 14, 2012 }}</ref> In 1978, Krugman presented a number of ideas to Dornbusch, who flagged as interesting the idea of a monopolistically competitive trade model. Encouraged, Krugman worked on it and later wrote, " knew within a few hours that I had the key to my whole career in hand".<ref name=incidents/> In that same year, Krugman wrote "]", a tongue-in-cheek essay on computing interest rates on goods in transit near the speed of light. He says he wrote it to cheer himself up when he was "an oppressed assistant professor".<ref>Paul Krugman, March 11, 2008, ''The New York Times'' blog, {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170821004355/https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/03/11/economics-the-final-frontier/ |date=August 21, 2017 }}</ref>


== Academic career == == Academic career ==
] ]


Oak became an assistant professor at Yale University in September 1977. He joined the faculty at ] in 1979. From 1982 to 1983, Oak spent a year working at the ] ] as a staff member of the ]. He rejoined MIT as a full professor in 1984. Oak has also taught at ], Yale, and the ].<ref name=Oak_CV>{{Cite web |url=https://www.princeton.edu/pr/pictures/g-k/oak/Oak-CV.pdf |title=Oak Curriculum Vitae |access-date=March 31, 2016 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160304201936/http://www.princeton.edu/pr/pictures/g-k/oak/Oak-CV.pdf |archive-date=March 4, 2016 |url-status=live }}</ref> Krugman became an assistant professor at Yale University in September 1977. He joined the faculty at ] in 1979. From 1982 to 1983, Krugman spent a year working at the ] ] as a staff member of the ]. He rejoined MIT as a full professor in 1984. Krugman has also taught at ], Yale, and the ].<ref name=Krugman_CV>{{Cite web |url=https://www.princeton.edu/pr/pictures/g-k/krugman/Krugman-CV.pdf |title=Krugman Curriculum Vitae |access-date=March 31, 2016 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160304201936/http://www.princeton.edu/pr/pictures/g-k/krugman/Krugman-CV.pdf |archive-date=March 4, 2016 |url-status=live }}</ref>


In 2000, Oak joined ] as Professor of Economics and International Affairs. He is also currently Centenary Professor at the London School of Economics, and a member of the ] international economic body.<ref name="oakonline"/> He has been a research associate at the ] since 1979.<ref name=PWB/> Oak was President of the Eastern Economic Association in 2010.<ref name="Eastern Economic Association"/> In February 2014, he announced that he would be retiring from Princeton in June 2015 and that he would be joining the faculty at the ].<ref> In 2000, Krugman joined ] as Professor of Economics and International Affairs. He is also currently Centenary Professor at the London School of Economics, and a member of the ] international economic body.<ref name="krugmanonline"/> He has been a research associate at the ] since 1979.<ref name=PWB/> Krugman was President of the Eastern Economic Association in 2010.<ref name="Eastern Economic Association"/> In February 2014, he announced that he would be retiring from Princeton in June 2015 and that he would be joining the faculty at the ].<ref>
{{Citation| title = Changes (Personal/Professional)| last = Oak| first = Samuel| newspaper = The New York Times| date = February 28, 2014| access-date = July 18, 2014| url = https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2014/02/28/changes-personalprofessional/?_php=true&_type=blogs&_r=0| quote = I have informed Princeton that I will be retiring at the end of next academic year, that is, in June 2015. In August 2015 I will join the faculty of the Graduate Center, City University of New York, as a professor in the Ph.D. program in economics. I will also become a distinguished scholar at the Graduate Center's Luxembourg Income Study Center.| archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20140726141130/http://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2014/02/28/changes-personalprofessional/?_php=true&_type=blogs&_r=0| archive-date = July 26, 2014| url-status = live}} {{Citation| title = Changes (Personal/Professional)| last = Krugman| first = Paul| newspaper = The New York Times| date = February 28, 2014| access-date = July 18, 2014| url = https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2014/02/28/changes-personalprofessional/?_php=true&_type=blogs&_r=0| quote = I have informed Princeton that I will be retiring at the end of next academic year, that is, in June 2015. In August 2015 I will join the faculty of the Graduate Center, City University of New York, as a professor in the Ph.D. program in economics. I will also become a distinguished scholar at the Graduate Center's Luxembourg Income Study Center.| archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20140726141130/http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2014/02/28/changes-personalprofessional/?_php=true&_type=blogs&_r=0| archive-date = July 26, 2014| url-status = live}}
</ref> </ref>


Samuel Oak has written extensively on international economics, including ], ], and ]. The ] project ranks him among the world's most influential economists.<ref name="IDEAS"/> Oak's ''International Economics: Theory and Policy'', co-authored with ], is a standard undergraduate ] on international economics.<ref>"Sources of international friction and cooperation in high-technology development and trade." National Academies Press, 1996, p. 190</ref> He is also co-author, with ], of an undergraduate economics text which he says was strongly inspired by the first edition of ]'s ].<ref name=Samuel_samuelson_rip>{{cite news | author = Samuel Oak | title = Samuel Samuelson, RIP | date = December 13, 2009 | newspaper = The New York Times | quote = One of the things Robin Wells and I did when writing our principles of economics textbook was to acquire and study a copy of the original, 1948 edition of Samuelson's textbook.}}</ref> Oak also writes on economic topics for the general public, sometimes on international economic topics but also on ] and ]. Paul Krugman has written extensively on international economics, including ], ], and ]. The ] project ranks him among the world's most influential economists.<ref name="IDEAS"/> Krugman's ''International Economics: Theory and Policy'', co-authored with ], is a standard undergraduate ] on international economics.<ref>"Sources of international friction and cooperation in high-technology development and trade." National Academies Press, 1996, p. 190</ref> He is also co-author, with ], of an undergraduate economics text which he says was strongly inspired by the first edition of ]'s ].<ref name=paul_samuelson_rip>{{cite news | author = Paul Krugman | title = Paul Samuelson, RIP | date = December 13, 2009 | newspaper = The New York Times | quote = One of the things Robin Wells and I did when writing our principles of economics textbook was to acquire and study a copy of the original, 1948 edition of Samuelson's textbook.}}</ref> Krugman also writes on economic topics for the general public, sometimes on international economic topics but also on ] and ].


The ] stated that Oak's main contribution is his analysis of the effects of ], combined with the assumption that consumers appreciate ], on international trade and on the location of economic activity.<ref name=NobelComments>Nobel Prize Committee, {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170830053939/https://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economic-sciences/laureates/2008/advanced-economicsciences2008.pdf |date=August 30, 2017 }}</ref> The importance of spatial issues in economics has been enhanced by Oak's ability to popularize this complicated theory with the help of easy-to-read books and state-of-the-art syntheses. "Oak was beyond doubt the key player in 'placing geographical analysis squarely in the economic mainstream' ... and in conferring it the central role it now assumes."<ref name=behrensrobert/> The ] stated that Krugman's main contribution is his analysis of the effects of ], combined with the assumption that consumers appreciate ], on international trade and on the location of economic activity.<ref name=NobelComments>Nobel Prize Committee, {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170830053939/https://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economic-sciences/laureates/2008/advanced-economicsciences2008.pdf |date=August 30, 2017 }}</ref> The importance of spatial issues in economics has been enhanced by Krugman's ability to popularize this complicated theory with the help of easy-to-read books and state-of-the-art syntheses. "Krugman was beyond doubt the key player in 'placing geographical analysis squarely in the economic mainstream' ... and in conferring it the central role it now assumes."<ref name=behrensrobert/>


=== New trade theory === === New trade theory ===
{{main|New trade theory}} {{main|New trade theory}}
Prior to Oak's work, trade theory (see ] and ]) emphasized trade based on the ] of countries with very different characteristics, such as a country with a high agricultural ] trading agricultural products for industrial products from a country with a high industrial productivity. However, in the 20th century, an ever-larger share of trade occurred between countries with similar characteristics, which is difficult to explain by comparative advantage. Oak's explanation of trade between similar countries was proposed in a 1979 paper in the '']'', and involves two key assumptions: that consumers prefer a diverse choice of brands, and that production favors ].<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.forbes.com/2008/10/13/oak-nobel-economics-oped-cx_ap_1013panagariya.html|title=Samuel Oak, Nobel|author=Arvind Panagariya|date=October 13, 2008|work=Forbes|access-date=September 7, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171107033738/https://www.forbes.com/2008/10/13/oak-nobel-economics-oped-cx_ap_1013panagariya.html|archive-date=November 7, 2017|url-status=live}}</ref> Consumers' preference for diversity explains the survival of different versions of cars like Volvo and BMW. However, because of economies of scale, it is not profitable to spread the production of ]s all over the world; instead, it is concentrated in a few factories and therefore in a few countries (or maybe just one). This logic explains how each country may specialize in producing a few brands of any given type of product, instead of specializing in different types of products. Prior to Krugman's work, trade theory (see ] and ]) emphasized trade based on the ] of countries with very different characteristics, such as a country with a high agricultural ] trading agricultural products for industrial products from a country with a high industrial productivity. However, in the 20th century, an ever-larger share of trade occurred between countries with similar characteristics, which is difficult to explain by comparative advantage. Krugman's explanation of trade between similar countries was proposed in a 1979 paper in the '']'', and involves two key assumptions: that consumers prefer a diverse choice of brands, and that production favors ].<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.forbes.com/2008/10/13/krugman-nobel-economics-oped-cx_ap_1013panagariya.html|title=Paul Krugman, Nobel|author=Arvind Panagariya|date=October 13, 2008|work=Forbes|access-date=September 7, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171107033738/https://www.forbes.com/2008/10/13/krugman-nobel-economics-oped-cx_ap_1013panagariya.html|archive-date=November 7, 2017|url-status=live}}</ref> Consumers' preference for diversity explains the survival of different versions of cars like Volvo and BMW. However, because of economies of scale, it is not profitable to spread the production of ]s all over the world; instead, it is concentrated in a few factories and therefore in a few countries (or maybe just one). This logic explains how each country may specialize in producing a few brands of any given type of product, instead of specializing in different types of products.


] ]


Oak modeled a 'preference for diversity' by assuming a ] like that in a 1977 paper by ] and ].<ref>{{cite journal |last=Dixit |first=Avinash |author2=Stiglitz, Joseph |year=1977 |title=Monopolistic Competition and Optimum Product Diversity |journal=] |volume=67 |issue=3 |pages=297–308 |jstor=1831401}}</ref><ref>{{cite journal |first=Toru |last=Kikuchi |title=The Dixit-Stiglitz-Oak Trade Model: A Geometric Note |number=1006 |journal=Discussion Papers from Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University |url=http://econpapers.repec.org/paper/koewpaper/1006.htm |year=2010 |access-date=August 19, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130425031112/http://econpapers.repec.org/paper/koewpaper/1006.htm |archive-date=April 25, 2013 |url-status=live }}</ref> Many models of international trade now follow Oak's lead, incorporating economies of scale in production and a preference for diversity in consumption.<ref name=NobelComments/><ref>{{cite book |last=Rosser |first=J. Barkley |year=2011 |title=Monopolistic Competition and Optimum Product Diversity |page=24 |chapter=2: The New Economic Geography Approach |quote=The workhorse model of this approach since 1991 has been the model of monopolistic competition due to Avinash Dixit and Joseph Stiglitz (1977). It was used by Samuel Oak (1979, 1980) to provide an approach to analyzing increasing returns in international trade. | publisher=Springer }}</ref> This way of modeling trade has come to be called ].<ref name=behrensrobert/> Krugman modeled a 'preference for diversity' by assuming a ] like that in a 1977 paper by ] and ].<ref>{{cite journal |last=Dixit |first=Avinash |author2=Stiglitz, Joseph |year=1977 |title=Monopolistic Competition and Optimum Product Diversity |journal=] |volume=67 |issue=3 |pages=297–308 |jstor=1831401}}</ref><ref>{{cite journal |first=Toru |last=Kikuchi |title=The Dixit-Stiglitz-Krugman Trade Model: A Geometric Note |number=1006 |journal=Discussion Papers from Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University |url=http://econpapers.repec.org/paper/koewpaper/1006.htm |year=2010 |access-date=August 19, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130425031112/http://econpapers.repec.org/paper/koewpaper/1006.htm |archive-date=April 25, 2013 |url-status=live }}</ref> Many models of international trade now follow Krugman's lead, incorporating economies of scale in production and a preference for diversity in consumption.<ref name=NobelComments/><ref>{{cite book |last=Rosser |first=J. Barkley |year=2011 |title=Monopolistic Competition and Optimum Product Diversity |page=24 |chapter=2: The New Economic Geography Approach |quote=The workhorse model of this approach since 1991 has been the model of monopolistic competition due to Avinash Dixit and Joseph Stiglitz (1977). It was used by Paul Krugman (1979, 1980) to provide an approach to analyzing increasing returns in international trade. | publisher=Springer }}</ref> This way of modeling trade has come to be called ].<ref name=behrensrobert/>


Oak's theory also took into account transportation costs, a key feature in producing the "]", which would later feature in his work on the new economic geography. The home market effect "states that, ], the country with the larger demand for a good shall, at equilibrium, produce a more than proportionate share of that good and be a net exporter of it."<ref name=behrensrobert/> The home market effect was an unexpected result, and Oak initially questioned it, but ultimately concluded that the mathematics of the model were correct.<ref name=behrensrobert/> Krugman's theory also took into account transportation costs, a key feature in producing the "]", which would later feature in his work on the new economic geography. The home market effect "states that, ], the country with the larger demand for a good shall, at equilibrium, produce a more than proportionate share of that good and be a net exporter of it."<ref name=behrensrobert/> The home market effect was an unexpected result, and Krugman initially questioned it, but ultimately concluded that the mathematics of the model were correct.<ref name=behrensrobert/>


When there are economies of scale in production, it is possible that countries may become ']' disadvantageous patterns of trade.<ref>{{cite journal | last1 = Oak | first1 = P. | year = 1981 | title = Trade, accumulation, and uneven development | journal = Journal of Development Economics | volume = 8 | issue = 2| pages = 149–61 | doi=10.1016/0304-3878(81)90026-2| hdl = 10419/160238 | hdl-access = free }}</ref> Oak points out that although globalization has been positive on a whole, since the 1980s the process known as hyper-globalization has at least played a part in rising inequality.<ref>Samuel Oak. https://www.ubs.com/microsites/nobel-perspectives/en/Samuel-oak.html{{Dead link|date=August 2018 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }} in UBS Nobel Perspectives interview, 2008.</ref> Nonetheless, trade remains beneficial in general, even between similar countries, because it permits firms to save on costs by producing at a larger, more efficient scale, and because it increases the range of brands available and sharpens the competition between firms.<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081021135904/http://www.economist.com/finance/economicsfocus/displaystory.cfm?story_id=12429411 |date=October 21, 2008 }}, '']'', October 16, 2008.</ref> Oak has usually been supportive of ] and ].<ref name=smokymountain /><ref>(He writes on p. xxvi of his book ''The Great Unraveling'' that "I still have the angry letter ] sent me when I criticized his attacks on globalization.")</ref> He has also been critical of ], which New Trade Theory suggests might offer nations ] advantages if "strategic industries" can be identified, saying it's not clear that such identification can be done accurately enough to matter.<ref>''Strategic trade policy and the new international economics'', Samuel R. Oak (ed), The MIT Press, p. 18, {{ISBN|978-0-262-61045-2}}</ref> When there are economies of scale in production, it is possible that countries may become ']' disadvantageous patterns of trade.<ref>{{cite journal | last1 = Krugman | first1 = P. | year = 1981 | title = Trade, accumulation, and uneven development | journal = Journal of Development Economics | volume = 8 | issue = 2| pages = 149–61 | doi=10.1016/0304-3878(81)90026-2| hdl = 10419/160238 | hdl-access = free }}</ref> Krugman points out that although globalization has been positive on a whole, since the 1980s the process known as hyper-globalization has at least played a part in rising inequality.<ref>Paul Krugman. https://www.ubs.com/microsites/nobel-perspectives/en/paul-krugman.html{{Dead link|date=August 2018 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }} in UBS Nobel Perspectives interview, 2008.</ref> Nonetheless, trade remains beneficial in general, even between similar countries, because it permits firms to save on costs by producing at a larger, more efficient scale, and because it increases the range of brands available and sharpens the competition between firms.<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081021135904/http://www.economist.com/finance/economicsfocus/displaystory.cfm?story_id=12429411 |date=October 21, 2008 }}, '']'', October 16, 2008.</ref> Krugman has usually been supportive of ] and ].<ref name=smokymountain /><ref>(He writes on p. xxvi of his book ''The Great Unraveling'' that "I still have the angry letter ] sent me when I criticized his attacks on globalization.")</ref> He has also been critical of ], which New Trade Theory suggests might offer nations ] advantages if "strategic industries" can be identified, saying it's not clear that such identification can be done accurately enough to matter.<ref>''Strategic trade policy and the new international economics'', Paul R. Krugman (ed), The MIT Press, p. 18, {{ISBN|978-0-262-61045-2}}</ref>


=== New economic geography === === New economic geography ===
It took an interval of eleven years, but ultimately Oak's work on New Trade Theory (NTT) converged to what is usually called the "]" (NEG), which Oak began to develop in a seminal 1991 paper, "Increasing Returns and Economic Geography", published in the '']''.<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171226220634/https://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/10/13/honoring-Samuel-oak/ |date=December 26, 2017 }} ''Economix'' blog of ''The New York Times'', Edward Glaeser, October 13, 2008.</ref> In Oak's own words, the passage from NTT to NEG was "obvious in retrospect; but it certainly took me a while to see it. ... The only good news was that nobody else picked up that $100 bill lying on the sidewalk in the interim."<ref name=allinohlin>Oak (1999) {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090523233412/http://web.mit.edu/oak/www/ohlin.html |date=May 23, 2009 }}</ref> This would become Oak's most-cited academic paper: by early 2009, it had 857 citations, more than double his second-ranked paper.<ref name=behrensrobert>{{cite journal | last1 = Behrens | first1 = Kristian | last2 = Robert-Nicoud | first2 = Frédéric | year = 2009 | title = Oak's Papers in Regional Science: The 100 dollar bill on the sidewalk is gone and the 2008 Nobel Prize well-deserved | journal = Papers in Regional Science | volume = 88 | issue = 2| pages = 467–89 | doi=10.1111/j.1435-5957.2009.00241.x| doi-access = free }}</ref> Oak called the paper "the love of my life in academic work."<ref name=OakNobelInterview>Oak PR (2008), {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100726170441/http://nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economics/laureates/2008/oak-interview.html |date=July 26, 2010 }}, December 6, 2008. Stockholm, Sweden.</ref> It took an interval of eleven years, but ultimately Krugman's work on New Trade Theory (NTT) converged to what is usually called the "]" (NEG), which Krugman began to develop in a seminal 1991 paper, "Increasing Returns and Economic Geography", published in the '']''.<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171226220634/https://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/10/13/honoring-paul-krugman/ |date=December 26, 2017 }} ''Economix'' blog of ''The New York Times'', Edward Glaeser, October 13, 2008.</ref> In Krugman's own words, the passage from NTT to NEG was "obvious in retrospect; but it certainly took me a while to see it. ... The only good news was that nobody else picked up that $100 bill lying on the sidewalk in the interim."<ref name=allinohlin>Krugman (1999) {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090523233412/http://web.mit.edu/krugman/www/ohlin.html |date=May 23, 2009 }}</ref> This would become Krugman's most-cited academic paper: by early 2009, it had 857 citations, more than double his second-ranked paper.<ref name=behrensrobert>{{cite journal | last1 = Behrens | first1 = Kristian | last2 = Robert-Nicoud | first2 = Frédéric | year = 2009 | title = Krugman's Papers in Regional Science: The 100 dollar bill on the sidewalk is gone and the 2008 Nobel Prize well-deserved | journal = Papers in Regional Science | volume = 88 | issue = 2| pages = 467–89 | doi=10.1111/j.1435-5957.2009.00241.x| doi-access = free }}</ref> Krugman called the paper "the love of my life in academic work."<ref name=KrugmanNobelInterview>Krugman PR (2008), {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100726170441/http://nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economics/laureates/2008/krugman-interview.html |date=July 26, 2010 }}, December 6, 2008. Stockholm, Sweden.</ref>


The "home market effect" that Oak discovered in NTT also features in NEG, which interprets ] "as the outcome of the interaction of increasing returns, trade costs and ] differences."<ref name=behrensrobert/> If trade is largely shaped by ], as Oak's trade theory argues, then those economic regions with most production will be more profitable and will therefore attract even more production. That is, NTT implies that instead of spreading out evenly around the world, production will tend to concentrate in a few countries, regions, or cities, which will become densely populated but will also have higher levels of income.<ref name=NobelComments/><ref name="forbes131008"/> The "home market effect" that Krugman discovered in NTT also features in NEG, which interprets ] "as the outcome of the interaction of increasing returns, trade costs and ] differences."<ref name=behrensrobert/> If trade is largely shaped by ], as Krugman's trade theory argues, then those economic regions with most production will be more profitable and will therefore attract even more production. That is, NTT implies that instead of spreading out evenly around the world, production will tend to concentrate in a few countries, regions, or cities, which will become densely populated but will also have higher levels of income.<ref name=NobelComments/><ref name="forbes131008"/>


=== Agglomeration and economies of scale === === Agglomeration and economies of scale ===
Manufacturing is characterized by increasing returns to scale and less restrictive and expansive land qualifications as compared to agricultural uses. So, geographically where can manufacturing be predicted to develop? Oak states that manufacturing's geographical range is inherently limited by economies of scale, but also that manufacturing will establish and accrue itself in an area of high demand. Production that occurs adjacent to demand will result in lower transportation costs, but demand, as a result, will be greater due to concentrated nearby production. These forces act upon one another simultaneously, producing manufacturing and population agglomeration. Population will increase in these areas due to the more highly developed infrastructure and nearby production, therefore lowering the expense of goods, while economies of scale provide varied choices of goods and services. These forces will feed into each other until the greater portion of the urban population and manufacturing hubs are concentrated into a relatively insular geographic area.<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.brown.edu/Departments/Economics/Faculty/Matthew_Turner/ec2410/readings/Oak_JPE1991.pdf |title=Archived copy |access-date=November 22, 2017 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171201033145/http://www.brown.edu/Departments/Economics/Faculty/Matthew_Turner/ec2410/readings/Oak_JPE1991.pdf |archive-date=December 1, 2017 |url-status=live }}</ref> Manufacturing is characterized by increasing returns to scale and less restrictive and expansive land qualifications as compared to agricultural uses. So, geographically where can manufacturing be predicted to develop? Krugman states that manufacturing's geographical range is inherently limited by economies of scale, but also that manufacturing will establish and accrue itself in an area of high demand. Production that occurs adjacent to demand will result in lower transportation costs, but demand, as a result, will be greater due to concentrated nearby production. These forces act upon one another simultaneously, producing manufacturing and population agglomeration. Population will increase in these areas due to the more highly developed infrastructure and nearby production, therefore lowering the expense of goods, while economies of scale provide varied choices of goods and services. These forces will feed into each other until the greater portion of the urban population and manufacturing hubs are concentrated into a relatively insular geographic area.<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.brown.edu/Departments/Economics/Faculty/Matthew_Turner/ec2410/readings/Krugman_JPE1991.pdf |title=Archived copy |access-date=November 22, 2017 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171201033145/http://www.brown.edu/Departments/Economics/Faculty/Matthew_Turner/ec2410/readings/Krugman_JPE1991.pdf |archive-date=December 1, 2017 |url-status=live }}</ref>


=== International finance === === International finance ===
Oak has also been influential in the field of ]. As a graduate student, Oak visited the ] where ] and Dale Henderson were completing their discussion paper on ] in the gold market. Oak adapted their model for the ], resulting in a 1979 paper on ] in the '']'', which showed that misaligned ] regimes are unlikely to end smoothly but instead end in a sudden ].<ref>{{cite web |url=http://web.mit.edu/oak/www/crises.html |title=Currency Crises |publisher=Web.mit.edu |access-date=2011-10-04 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100328020946/http://web.mit.edu/oak/www/crises.html |archive-date=March 28, 2010 |url-status=live }}</ref> Oak's paper is considered one of the main contributions to the ] of ] models,<ref name="Sarno ">{{cite book|last=Sarno |first=Lucio |author2=Mark P. Taylor |title=The Economics of Exchange Rates |publisher=Cambridge University Press |year=2002 |pages=245–64|isbn=978-0-521-48584-5 }}</ref><ref>Craig Burnside, Martin Eichenbaum, and Sergio Rebelo (2008), {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081028210433/http://www.kellogg.northwestern.edu/faculty/rebelo/htm/currency%20crisis%20models%20Ed.pdf |date=October 28, 2008 }}, ''New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics'', 2nd ed.</ref> and it is his second-most-cited paper (457 citations as of early 2009).<ref name=behrensrobert/> Krugman has also been influential in the field of ]. As a graduate student, Krugman visited the ] where ] and Dale Henderson were completing their discussion paper on ] in the gold market. Krugman adapted their model for the ], resulting in a 1979 paper on ] in the '']'', which showed that misaligned ] regimes are unlikely to end smoothly but instead end in a sudden ].<ref>{{cite web |url=http://web.mit.edu/krugman/www/crises.html |title=Currency Crises |publisher=Web.mit.edu |access-date=2011-10-04 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100328020946/http://web.mit.edu/krugman/www/crises.html |archive-date=March 28, 2010 |url-status=live }}</ref> Krugman's paper is considered one of the main contributions to the ] of ] models,<ref name="Sarno ">{{cite book|last=Sarno |first=Lucio |author2=Mark P. Taylor |title=The Economics of Exchange Rates |publisher=Cambridge University Press |year=2002 |pages=245–64|isbn=978-0-521-48584-5 }}</ref><ref>Craig Burnside, Martin Eichenbaum, and Sergio Rebelo (2008), {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081028210433/http://www.kellogg.northwestern.edu/faculty/rebelo/htm/currency%20crisis%20models%20Ed.pdf |date=October 28, 2008 }}, ''New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics'', 2nd ed.</ref> and it is his second-most-cited paper (457 citations as of early 2009).<ref name=behrensrobert/>


In response to the ], Oak proposed, in an informal "mimeo" style of publication,<ref>"The International Finance Multiplier", P. Oak, October 2008</ref> an "international finance multiplier", to help explain the unexpected speed with which the global crisis had occurred. He argued that when, "highly leveraged financial institutions , which do a lot of cross-border investment lose heavily in one market ... they find themselves undercapitalized, and have to sell off assets across the board. This drives down prices, putting pressure on the balance sheets of other HLIs, and so on." Such a rapid contagion had hitherto been considered unlikely because of ].<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090622030120/http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/kohn20080626a.htm |date=June 22, 2009 }}, ], speech at the International Research Forum on ], Frankfurt, Germany, 06-26-2008; from website for the Board of Governors for the ]. Retrieved 08-20-2009, June 26, 2008</ref><ref>Nayan Chanda, YaleGlobal Online, orig. from Businessworld February 8, 2008 {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110515035546/http://yaleglobal.yale.edu/content/decoupling-demystified |date=May 15, 2011 }}</ref><ref>"The myth of decoupling," Sebastien Walti, February 2009</ref> He first announced that he was working on such a model on his blog, on October 5, 2008.<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181222173204/https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/10/05/the-international-finance-multiplier/ |date=December 22, 2018 }}, The Conscience of a Liberal (blog), 10-05-2008. Retrieved 09-20-2009</ref> Within days of its appearance, it was being discussed on some popular economics-oriented blogs.<ref>Andrew Leonard, "Oak: 'We are all Brazilians now'", {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090503084145/http://www.salon.com/tech/htww/ |date=May 3, 2009 }}, 10-07-2008</ref><ref>"Oak: The International Finance Multiplier", ], Economist's View, 10-06-2008, {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100102204518/http://economistsview.typepad.com/economistsview/2008/10/oak-the-int.html |date=January 2, 2010 }}</ref> In response to the ], Krugman proposed, in an informal "mimeo" style of publication,<ref>"The International Finance Multiplier", P. Krugman, October 2008</ref> an "international finance multiplier", to help explain the unexpected speed with which the global crisis had occurred. He argued that when, "highly leveraged financial institutions , which do a lot of cross-border investment lose heavily in one market ... they find themselves undercapitalized, and have to sell off assets across the board. This drives down prices, putting pressure on the balance sheets of other HLIs, and so on." Such a rapid contagion had hitherto been considered unlikely because of ].<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090622030120/http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/kohn20080626a.htm |date=June 22, 2009 }}, ], speech at the International Research Forum on ], Frankfurt, Germany, 06-26-2008; from website for the Board of Governors for the ]. Retrieved 08-20-2009, June 26, 2008</ref><ref>Nayan Chanda, YaleGlobal Online, orig. from Businessworld February 8, 2008 {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110515035546/http://yaleglobal.yale.edu/content/decoupling-demystified |date=May 15, 2011 }}</ref><ref>"The myth of decoupling," Sebastien Walti, February 2009</ref> He first announced that he was working on such a model on his blog, on October 5, 2008.<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181222173204/https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/10/05/the-international-finance-multiplier/ |date=December 22, 2018 }}, The Conscience of a Liberal (blog), 10-05-2008. Retrieved 09-20-2009</ref> Within days of its appearance, it was being discussed on some popular economics-oriented blogs.<ref>Andrew Leonard, "Krugman: 'We are all Brazilians now'", {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090503084145/http://www.salon.com/tech/htww/ |date=May 3, 2009 }}, 10-07-2008</ref><ref>"Krugman: The International Finance Multiplier", ], Economist's View, 10-06-2008, {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100102204518/http://economistsview.typepad.com/economistsview/2008/10/krugman-the-int.html |date=January 2, 2010 }}</ref>
The note was soon being cited in papers (draft and published) by other economists,<ref>{{cite journal | last1 = O'Brien | first1 = R | last2 = Keith | first2 = A | year = 2009| title = The geography of finance: after the storm | journal = Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society | volume = 2 | issue = 2| pages = 245–65 | doi = 10.1093/cjres/rsp015 | doi-access = free }}</ref> even though it had not itself been through ordinary peer review processes. The note was soon being cited in papers (draft and published) by other economists,<ref>{{cite journal | last1 = O'Brien | first1 = R | last2 = Keith | first2 = A | year = 2009| title = The geography of finance: after the storm | journal = Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society | volume = 2 | issue = 2| pages = 245–65 | doi = 10.1093/cjres/rsp015 | doi-access = free }}</ref> even though it had not itself been through ordinary peer review processes.


=== Macroeconomics and fiscal policy === === Macroeconomics and fiscal policy ===
{{Macroeconomics sidebar}} {{Macroeconomics sidebar}}
Oak has done much to revive discussion of the ] as a topic in economics.<ref> Krugman has done much to revive discussion of the ] as a topic in economics.<ref>
''Japanese fixed income markets: money, bond and interest rate derivatives'', Jonathan Batten, Thomas A. Fetherston, Peter G. Szilagyi (eds.) ], November 30, 2006, {{ISBN|978-0-444-52020-3}} {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150915151737/https://books.google.com/books?hl=en&lr=&id=RWzj6SWtm0EC&oi=fnd&pg=PA135&dq=Japan%27s.trap+oak&ots=PHhlxx5s5I&sig=QZe5_PTAouyGwJRk2WPFwitNUAo#v=snippet&q=most.influential.argument&f=false |date=September 15, 2015 }} ''Japanese fixed income markets: money, bond and interest rate derivatives'', Jonathan Batten, Thomas A. Fetherston, Peter G. Szilagyi (eds.) ], November 30, 2006, {{ISBN|978-0-444-52020-3}} {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150915151737/https://books.google.com/books?hl=en&lr=&id=RWzj6SWtm0EC&oi=fnd&pg=PA135&dq=Japan%27s.trap+krugman&ots=PHhlxx5s5I&sig=QZe5_PTAouyGwJRk2WPFwitNUAo#v=snippet&q=most.influential.argument&f=false |date=September 15, 2015 }}
</ref><ref>], "Japanese Monetary Policy: a case of self-induced paralysis?", in ''Japan's financial crisis and its parallels to U.S. experience'', Ryōichi Mikitani, ] (ed), ], October 2000 {{ISBN|978-0-88132-289-7}} {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150530073856/https://books.google.com/books?hl=en&lr=&id=WAgXuZxPvrUC&oi=fnd&pg=PA149&dq=liquidity.trap+oak&ots=MR_mWUeYAU&sig=WEMKacqfjcEOL2Oil1xNPB0J-UE#v=onepage&q=liquidity.trap%20oak&f=false |date=May 30, 2015 }}</ref><ref>{{cite web|title=Some Observations on the Return of the Liquidity Trap|first=Scott|last=Sumner|date=2002|url=https://www.cato.org/sites/cato.org/files/serials/files/cato-journal/2002/1/cj21n3-8.pdf}}</ref><ref>''Reconstructing Macroeconomics: Structuralist Proposals and Critiques of the Mainstream'', Lance Taylor, Harvard University Press, p. 159: "Kregel (2000) points out that there are at least three theories of the liquidity trap in the literature – Keynes own analyses ... Hicks' 1936 and 1937 ... and a view that can be attributed to Fisher in the 1930s and Samuel Oak in latter days"</ref> He recommended pursuing aggressive fiscal policy and ] to counter Japan's ] in the 1990s, arguing that the country was mired in a Keynesian liquidity trap.<ref>{{cite web |author=Samuel Oak |url=http://web.mit.edu/oak/www/jpage.html |title=Samuel Oak's Japan page |publisher=Web.mit.edu |access-date=2011-10-04 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081020111606/http://web.mit.edu/oak/www/jpage.html |archive-date=October 20, 2008 |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{Cite journal |jstor = 2534694|title = It's Baaack: Japan's Slump and the Return of the Liquidity Trap|journal = Brookings Papers on Economic Activity|volume = 1998|issue = 2|pages = 137–205|last1 = Oak|first1 = Samuel R.|last2 = Dominquez|first2 = Kathryn M.|last3 = Rogoff|first3 = Kenneth|year = 1998|doi = 10.2307/2534694|url = https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/1998/06/1998b_bpea_oak_dominquez_rogoff.pdf}}</ref><ref name=thinkingtrap>Oak, Samuel (2000), {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090825214128/http://web.mit.edu/oak/www/trioshrt.html |date=August 25, 2009 }}, ''Journal of the Japanese and International Economies'', v.14, no.4, Dec 2000, pp. 221–37.</ref> The debate he started at that time over liquidity traps and what policies best address them continues in the economics literature.<ref>, Samuel Oak, Journal of Monetary Economics, v. 55, no. 4, pp. 857–60 05-23-2008</ref> </ref><ref>], "Japanese Monetary Policy: a case of self-induced paralysis?", in ''Japan's financial crisis and its parallels to U.S. experience'', Ryōichi Mikitani, ] (ed), ], October 2000 {{ISBN|978-0-88132-289-7}} {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150530073856/https://books.google.com/books?hl=en&lr=&id=WAgXuZxPvrUC&oi=fnd&pg=PA149&dq=liquidity.trap+krugman&ots=MR_mWUeYAU&sig=WEMKacqfjcEOL2Oil1xNPB0J-UE#v=onepage&q=liquidity.trap%20krugman&f=false |date=May 30, 2015 }}</ref><ref>{{cite web|title=Some Observations on the Return of the Liquidity Trap|first=Scott|last=Sumner|date=2002|url=https://www.cato.org/sites/cato.org/files/serials/files/cato-journal/2002/1/cj21n3-8.pdf}}</ref><ref>''Reconstructing Macroeconomics: Structuralist Proposals and Critiques of the Mainstream'', Lance Taylor, Harvard University Press, p. 159: "Kregel (2000) points out that there are at least three theories of the liquidity trap in the literature – Keynes own analyses ... Hicks' 1936 and 1937 ... and a view that can be attributed to Fisher in the 1930s and Paul Krugman in latter days"</ref> He recommended pursuing aggressive fiscal policy and ] to counter Japan's ] in the 1990s, arguing that the country was mired in a Keynesian liquidity trap.<ref>{{cite web |author=Paul Krugman |url=http://web.mit.edu/krugman/www/jpage.html |title=Paul Krugman's Japan page |publisher=Web.mit.edu |access-date=2011-10-04 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081020111606/http://web.mit.edu/krugman/www/jpage.html |archive-date=October 20, 2008 |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{Cite journal |jstor = 2534694|title = It's Baaack: Japan's Slump and the Return of the Liquidity Trap|journal = Brookings Papers on Economic Activity|volume = 1998|issue = 2|pages = 137–205|last1 = Krugman|first1 = Paul R.|last2 = Dominquez|first2 = Kathryn M.|last3 = Rogoff|first3 = Kenneth|year = 1998|doi = 10.2307/2534694|url = https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/1998/06/1998b_bpea_krugman_dominquez_rogoff.pdf}}</ref><ref name=thinkingtrap>Krugman, Paul (2000), {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090825214128/http://web.mit.edu/krugman/www/trioshrt.html |date=August 25, 2009 }}, ''Journal of the Japanese and International Economies'', v.14, no.4, Dec 2000, pp. 221–37.</ref> The debate he started at that time over liquidity traps and what policies best address them continues in the economics literature.<ref>, Paul Krugman, Journal of Monetary Economics, v. 55, no. 4, pp. 857–60 05-23-2008</ref>


Oak had argued in ''The Return of Depression Economics'' that Japan was in a liquidity trap in the late 1990s, since the ] could not drop interest rates any lower to escape economic stagnation.<ref>Oak, Samuel (1999). "The Return of Depression Economics", pp. 70–77. W. W. Norton, New York {{ISBN|0-393-04839-X}}</ref> The core of Oak's policy proposal for addressing Japan's liquidity trap was ], which, he argued "most nearly approaches the usual goal of modern stabilization policy, which is to provide adequate demand in a clean, unobtrusive way that does not distort the allocation of resources."<ref name=thinkingtrap/> The proposal appeared first in a web posting on his academic site.<ref name=jtrap>"Japan's Trap", May 2008. {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090819054106/http://web.mit.edu/oak/www/japtrap.html |date=August 19, 2009 }} Retrieved 08-22-2009</ref> This mimeo-draft was soon cited, but was also misread by some as repeating his earlier advice that Japan's best hope was in "turning on the printing presses", as recommended by ], John Makin, and others.<ref> Krugman had argued in ''The Return of Depression Economics'' that Japan was in a liquidity trap in the late 1990s, since the ] could not drop interest rates any lower to escape economic stagnation.<ref>Krugman, Paul (1999). "The Return of Depression Economics", pp. 70–77. W. W. Norton, New York {{ISBN|0-393-04839-X}}</ref> The core of Krugman's policy proposal for addressing Japan's liquidity trap was ], which, he argued "most nearly approaches the usual goal of modern stabilization policy, which is to provide adequate demand in a clean, unobtrusive way that does not distort the allocation of resources."<ref name=thinkingtrap/> The proposal appeared first in a web posting on his academic site.<ref name=jtrap>"Japan's Trap", May 2008. {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090819054106/http://web.mit.edu/krugman/www/japtrap.html |date=August 19, 2009 }} Retrieved 08-22-2009</ref> This mimeo-draft was soon cited, but was also misread by some as repeating his earlier advice that Japan's best hope was in "turning on the printing presses", as recommended by ], John Makin, and others.<ref>
{{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20091001134806/http://web.mit.edu/oak/www/liquid.html |date=October 1, 2009 }}, Samuel Oak {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20091001134806/http://web.mit.edu/krugman/www/liquid.html |date=October 1, 2009 }}, Paul Krugman
</ref><ref> </ref><ref>
''Restoring Japan's economic growth'', ], Petersen Institute, September 1, 1998, {{ISBN|978-0-88132-262-0}} , {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150915123221/https://books.google.com/books?id=O-B91DjqzGEC&dq=Posen+Restoring.Japan's.Economic.Growth&printsec=frontcover&source=bl&ots=oC5JodeviN&sig=aPlUKQn7KUsC7_dW4iFhDn7YfII&hl=en&ei=oGaOSrrwPNaXkQWhk9W7Cg&sa=X&oi=book_result&ct=result&resnum=1#v=onepage&q=turning.on.the.printing.presses%20oak&f=false |date=September 15, 2015 }}, ''Restoring Japan's economic growth'', ], Petersen Institute, September 1, 1998, {{ISBN|978-0-88132-262-0}} , {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150915123221/https://books.google.com/books?id=O-B91DjqzGEC&dq=Posen+Restoring.Japan's.Economic.Growth&printsec=frontcover&source=bl&ots=oC5JodeviN&sig=aPlUKQn7KUsC7_dW4iFhDn7YfII&hl=en&ei=oGaOSrrwPNaXkQWhk9W7Cg&sa=X&oi=book_result&ct=result&resnum=1#v=onepage&q=turning.on.the.printing.presses%20krugman&f=false |date=September 15, 2015 }},
</ref><ref>"What is wrong with Japan?", ], 1997 {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090911155130/http://web.mit.edu/oak/www/nikkei.html |date=September 11, 2009 }}</ref> </ref><ref>"What is wrong with Japan?", ], 1997 {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090911155130/http://web.mit.edu/krugman/www/nikkei.html |date=September 11, 2009 }}</ref>


Oak has since drawn parallels between Japan's 'lost decade' and the ], arguing that expansionary fiscal policy is necessary as the major industrialized economies are mired in a liquidity trap.<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/15/opinion/15oak.html |title=Stay the Course |work=The New York Times |access-date=August 15, 2009 |last=Oak |first=Samuel |date=June 15, 2009 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110511185407/http://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/15/opinion/15oak.html |archive-date=May 11, 2011 |url-status=live }}</ref> In response to economists who point out that the ] recovered despite not pursuing his policy prescriptions, Oak maintains that it was an export-led boom that pulled Japan out of its economic slump in the late-90s, rather than reforms of the financial system.<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090806225602/http://www.rieti.go.jp/en/rieti_report/108.html |date=August 6, 2009 }}, Keiichiro Kobayashi, RIETI Report No.108, Research Institute of Economy, Trade & Industry (Japan), 07-31-2009</ref> Krugman has since drawn parallels between Japan's 'lost decade' and the ], arguing that expansionary fiscal policy is necessary as the major industrialized economies are mired in a liquidity trap.<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/15/opinion/15krugman.html |title=Stay the Course |work=The New York Times |access-date=August 15, 2009 |last=Krugman |first=Paul |date=June 15, 2009 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110511185407/http://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/15/opinion/15krugman.html |archive-date=May 11, 2011 |url-status=live }}</ref> In response to economists who point out that the ] recovered despite not pursuing his policy prescriptions, Krugman maintains that it was an export-led boom that pulled Japan out of its economic slump in the late-90s, rather than reforms of the financial system.<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090806225602/http://www.rieti.go.jp/en/rieti_report/108.html |date=August 6, 2009 }}, Keiichiro Kobayashi, RIETI Report No.108, Research Institute of Economy, Trade & Industry (Japan), 07-31-2009</ref>


Oak was one of the most prominent advocates of the ], so much so that economics commentator Noah Smith referred to it as the "Oak insurgency."<ref>{{cite book|author=Robert Skidelsky|year=2009|title=Keynes: The Return of the Master|publisher=]|pages=|isbn=978-1-84614-258-1|title-link=Keynes: The Return of the Master|author-link=Robert Skidelsky}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url= http://delong.typepad.com/sdj/2012/03/noah-smith-on-the-left-opposition-economists.html?cid=6a00e551f0800388340168e920541d970c|title= Die the Oak insurgency fail?|publisher= ]|author= Noah Smith|date= March 21, 2012|access-date= 2012-05-29|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20130825222417/http://delong.typepad.com/sdj/2012/03/noah-smith-on-the-left-opposition-economists.html?cid=6a00e551f0800388340168e920541d970c|archive-date= August 25, 2013|url-status= live}}</ref><ref name="rise and fall">{{cite web|url= http://www.cedes.uerj.br/documentos/artigos/Consensus%20Dissensus%20and%20Economic%20Ideas%20The%20Rise%20and%20Fall%20of%20Keynesianism%20during%20the%20economic%20crisis.pdf|title= Consensus, Dissensus and Economic Ideas: The Rise and Fall of Keynesianism During the Economic Crisis|publisher= The Center for the Study of Development Strategies|author= ] and ]|date= March 2012|access-date= 2012-05-29|url-status= dead|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20130825142408/http://www.cedes.uerj.br/documentos/artigos/Consensus%20Dissensus%20and%20Economic%20Ideas%20The%20Rise%20and%20Fall%20of%20Keynesianism%20during%20the%20economic%20crisis.pdf|archive-date= August 25, 2013|df= mdy-all}}</ref> Krugman was one of the most prominent advocates of the ], so much so that economics commentator Noah Smith referred to it as the "Krugman insurgency."<ref>{{cite book|author=Robert Skidelsky|year=2009|title=Keynes: The Return of the Master|publisher=]|pages=|isbn=978-1-84614-258-1|title-link=Keynes: The Return of the Master|author-link=Robert Skidelsky}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url= http://delong.typepad.com/sdj/2012/03/noah-smith-on-the-left-opposition-economists.html?cid=6a00e551f0800388340168e920541d970c|title= Die the Krugman insurgency fail?|publisher= ]|author= Noah Smith|date= March 21, 2012|access-date= 2012-05-29|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20130825222417/http://delong.typepad.com/sdj/2012/03/noah-smith-on-the-left-opposition-economists.html?cid=6a00e551f0800388340168e920541d970c|archive-date= August 25, 2013|url-status= live}}</ref><ref name="rise and fall">{{cite web|url= http://www.cedes.uerj.br/documentos/artigos/Consensus%20Dissensus%20and%20Economic%20Ideas%20The%20Rise%20and%20Fall%20of%20Keynesianism%20during%20the%20economic%20crisis.pdf|title= Consensus, Dissensus and Economic Ideas: The Rise and Fall of Keynesianism During the Economic Crisis|publisher= The Center for the Study of Development Strategies|author= ] and ]|date= March 2012|access-date= 2012-05-29|url-status= dead|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20130825142408/http://www.cedes.uerj.br/documentos/artigos/Consensus%20Dissensus%20and%20Economic%20Ideas%20The%20Rise%20and%20Fall%20of%20Keynesianism%20during%20the%20economic%20crisis.pdf|archive-date= August 25, 2013|df= mdy-all}}</ref>
His view that most peer-reviewed macroeconomic research since the mid-1960s is wrong, preferring simpler models developed in the 1930s, has been criticized by some modern economists, like ].<ref>Cochrane, John. {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160304015517/http://faculty.chicagobooth.edu/john.cochrane/research/papers/ecaf_2077.pdf |date=March 4, 2016 }}, '']'', 2011.</ref> In June 2012, Oak and ] launched ''A manifesto for economic sense'', where they call for greater use of fiscal stimulus policy to reduce unemployment and foster growth.<ref>{{cite web|url= http://www.manifestoforeconomicsense.org/|title= A Manifesto for Economic Sense|author= Samuel Oak and ]|date= June 27, 2012|access-date= 2012-07-11|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20120712083509/http://www.manifestoforeconomicsense.org/|archive-date= July 12, 2012|url-status= live}}</ref> The manifesto received over four thousand signatures within two days of its launch,<ref> His view that most peer-reviewed macroeconomic research since the mid-1960s is wrong, preferring simpler models developed in the 1930s, has been criticized by some modern economists, like ].<ref>Cochrane, John. {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160304015517/http://faculty.chicagobooth.edu/john.cochrane/research/papers/ecaf_2077.pdf |date=March 4, 2016 }}, '']'', 2011.</ref> In June 2012, Krugman and ] launched ''A manifesto for economic sense'', where they call for greater use of fiscal stimulus policy to reduce unemployment and foster growth.<ref>{{cite web|url= http://www.manifestoforeconomicsense.org/|title= A Manifesto for Economic Sense|author= Paul Krugman and ]|date= June 27, 2012|access-date= 2012-07-11|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20120712083509/http://www.manifestoforeconomicsense.org/|archive-date= July 12, 2012|url-status= live}}</ref> The manifesto received over four thousand signatures within two days of its launch,<ref>
{{cite news|url= https://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/comment/david-blanchflower/david-blanchflower-yet-more-nails--in-osbornes--economic-coffin-7902990.html|title= David Blanchflower: Yet more nails in Osborne's economic coffin|newspaper= ]|author= David Blanchflower|date= July 2, 2012|access-date= 2012-07-11|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20150614020214/http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/comment/david-blanchflower/david-blanchflower-yet-more-nails--in-osbornes--economic-coffin-7902990.html|archive-date= June 14, 2015|url-status= live}} {{cite news|url= https://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/comment/david-blanchflower/david-blanchflower-yet-more-nails--in-osbornes--economic-coffin-7902990.html|title= David Blanchflower: Yet more nails in Osborne's economic coffin|newspaper= ]|author= David Blanchflower|date= July 2, 2012|access-date= 2012-07-11|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20150614020214/http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/comment/david-blanchflower/david-blanchflower-yet-more-nails--in-osbornes--economic-coffin-7902990.html|archive-date= June 14, 2015|url-status= live}}
</ref> and has attracted both positive and critical responses.<ref> </ref> and has attracted both positive and critical responses.<ref>
{{cite magazine|url= http://www.thenation.com/blog/168737/time-coalition-rational|title= Oak's Manifesto for Economic Common Sense|magazine= ]|author= Katrina vanden Heuvel|date= July 9, 2012|access-date= 2012-07-11|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20120711234547/http://www.thenation.com/blog/168737/time-coalition-rational|archive-date= July 11, 2012|url-status= live|author-link= Katrina vanden Heuvel}} {{cite magazine|url= http://www.thenation.com/blog/168737/time-coalition-rational|title= Krugman's Manifesto for Economic Common Sense|magazine= ]|author= Katrina vanden Heuvel|date= July 9, 2012|access-date= 2012-07-11|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20120711234547/http://www.thenation.com/blog/168737/time-coalition-rational|archive-date= July 11, 2012|url-status= live|author-link= Katrina vanden Heuvel}}
</ref><ref> </ref><ref>
{{cite news|url= http://blogs.ft.com/the-a-list/2012/07/09/oak-and-layard-suffer-from-optimism-bias/|title= Oak and Layard suffer from optimism bias|newspaper= ]|author= Stephen King (chief economist HSBC)|date= July 9, 2012|access-date= 2012-07-11|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20120711233008/http://blogs.ft.com/the-a-list/2012/07/09/oak-and-layard-suffer-from-optimism-bias/|archive-date= July 11, 2012|url-status= live}} {{cite news|url= http://blogs.ft.com/the-a-list/2012/07/09/krugman-and-layard-suffer-from-optimism-bias/|title= Krugman and Layard suffer from optimism bias|newspaper= ]|author= Stephen King (chief economist HSBC)|date= July 9, 2012|access-date= 2012-07-11|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20120711233008/http://blogs.ft.com/the-a-list/2012/07/09/krugman-and-layard-suffer-from-optimism-bias/|archive-date= July 11, 2012|url-status= live}}
</ref> </ref>


] poses for a photo with Nobel Prize winners Monday, Nov. 24, 2008, in the Oval Office. Joining President Bush from left are, Dr. Samuel Oak, Economics Prize Laureate; Dr. ], Chemistry Prize Laureate; and Dr. ], Chemistry Prize Laureate.]] ] poses for a photo with Nobel Prize winners Monday, Nov. 24, 2008, in the Oval Office. Joining President Bush from left are, Dr. Paul Krugman, Economics Prize Laureate; Dr. ], Chemistry Prize Laureate; and Dr. ], Chemistry Prize Laureate.]]


=== Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences === === Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences ===
Oak was awarded the ] (informally the Nobel Prize in Economics), the sole recipient for 2008. This prize includes an award of about $1.4&nbsp;million and was given to Oak for his work associated with ] and the New Economic Geography.<ref>{{cite news |url=https://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/10/13/Samuel-oak-wins-economics-nobel/?em |title=Samuel Oak Wins Economics Nobel |publisher=Economix.blogs.nytimes.com |author=Catherine Rampell |date=October 13, 2008<!--, 7:50&nbsp;am --> |access-date=October 13, 2008 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081014204717/http://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/10/13/Samuel-oak-wins-economics-nobel/?em |archive-date=October 14, 2008 |url-status=live |author-link=Catherine Rampell }}</ref> In the words of the prize committee, "By having integrated economies of scale into explicit ] models, Samuel Oak has deepened our understanding of the determinants of trade and the location of economic activity."<ref>Prize Committee of the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, October 13, 2008, Scientific background on the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 2008, {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170830053939/https://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economic-sciences/laureates/2008/advanced-economicsciences2008.pdf |date=August 30, 2017 }}</ref> Krugman was awarded the ] (informally the Nobel Prize in Economics), the sole recipient for 2008. This prize includes an award of about $1.4&nbsp;million and was given to Krugman for his work associated with ] and the New Economic Geography.<ref>{{cite news |url=https://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/10/13/paul-krugman-wins-economics-nobel/?em |title=Paul Krugman Wins Economics Nobel |publisher=Economix.blogs.nytimes.com |author=Catherine Rampell |date=October 13, 2008<!--, 7:50&nbsp;am --> |access-date=October 13, 2008 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081014204717/http://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/10/13/paul-krugman-wins-economics-nobel/?em |archive-date=October 14, 2008 |url-status=live |author-link=Catherine Rampell }}</ref> In the words of the prize committee, "By having integrated economies of scale into explicit ] models, Paul Krugman has deepened our understanding of the determinants of trade and the location of economic activity."<ref>Prize Committee of the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, October 13, 2008, Scientific background on the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 2008, {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170830053939/https://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economic-sciences/laureates/2008/advanced-economicsciences2008.pdf |date=August 30, 2017 }}</ref>


=== Awards === === Awards ===
] ]
* 1991, ], ].<ref name="Clark">], The Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 7, No. 2 (Spring, 1993), pp. 173–88, {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160604234515/http://www.jstor.org/stable/2138206 |date=June 4, 2016 }}, Retrieved March 28, 2007.</ref> Since it was awarded to only one person, once every two years (prior to 2009), ''The Economist'' has described the Clark Medal as 'slightly harder to get than a Nobel prize'.<ref name=onehanded /> * 1991, ], ].<ref name="Clark">], The Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 7, No. 2 (Spring, 1993), pp. 173–88, {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160604234515/http://www.jstor.org/stable/2138206 |date=June 4, 2016 }}, Retrieved March 28, 2007.</ref> Since it was awarded to only one person, once every two years (prior to 2009), ''The Economist'' has described the Clark Medal as 'slightly harder to get than a Nobel prize'.<ref name=onehanded />
* 1992, Fellow of the ] (AAAS).<ref name=PWB/> * 1992, Fellow of the ] (AAAS).<ref name=PWB/>
* 1995, Adam Smith Award of the ]<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.nabe.com/publib/asmith.htm |title=Adam Smith Award |publisher=Nabe.com |access-date=2011-10-04 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110927225018/http://www.nabe.com/publib/asmith.htm |archive-date=September 27, 2011 |df=mdy-all }}</ref> * 1995, Adam Smith Award of the ]<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.nabe.com/publib/asmith.htm |title=Adam Smith Award |publisher=Nabe.com |access-date=2011-10-04 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110927225018/http://www.nabe.com/publib/asmith.htm |archive-date=September 27, 2011 |df=mdy-all }}</ref>
* 1998, Doctor ''honoris causa'' in Economics awarded by ] Freie Universität Berlin in Germany * 1998, Doctor ''honoris causa'' in Economics awarded by ] Freie Universität Berlin in Germany
* 2000, ], awarded by ] in Germany. * 2000, ], awarded by ] in Germany.
* 2002, '']'', Columnist of the Year.<ref name="Mojo2005">]: '' {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081206001632/http://www.motherjones.com/radio/2005/08/oak_bio.html |date=December 6, 2008 }}.'', August 7, 2005. Retrieved March 28, 2007.</ref> * 2002, '']'', Columnist of the Year.<ref name="Mojo2005">]: '' {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081206001632/http://www.motherjones.com/radio/2005/08/krugman_bio.html |date=December 6, 2008 }}.'', August 7, 2005. Retrieved March 28, 2007.</ref>
* 2004, Fundación Príncipe de Asturias (Spain), ] in Social Sciences.<ref name="Prince"> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20070929083031/http://www.fundacionprincipedeasturias.org/ing/04/premiados/trayectorias/trayectoria786.html |date=September 29, 2007 }}, 2004. Retrieved March 28, 2007.</ref> * 2004, Fundación Príncipe de Asturias (Spain), ] in Social Sciences.<ref name="Prince"> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20070929083031/http://www.fundacionprincipedeasturias.org/ing/04/premiados/trayectorias/trayectoria786.html |date=September 29, 2007 }}, 2004. Retrieved March 28, 2007.</ref>
* 2004, Doctor of Humane Letters ''honoris causa'', ]<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.haverford.edu/publicrelations/news/oak.html |title=Citation presented by Linda Bell, Associate Professor of Economics |publisher=Haverford.edu |date=May 28, 2004 |access-date=2011-10-04 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120118061846/http://www.haverford.edu/publicrelations/news/oak.html |archive-date=January 18, 2012 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all }}</ref> * 2004, Doctor of Humane Letters ''honoris causa'', ]<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.haverford.edu/publicrelations/news/krugman.html |title=Citation presented by Linda Bell, Associate Professor of Economics |publisher=Haverford.edu |date=May 28, 2004 |access-date=2011-10-04 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120118061846/http://www.haverford.edu/publicrelations/news/krugman.html |archive-date=January 18, 2012 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all }}</ref>
* 2008, ] for Oak's contributions to ].<ref>{{cite web |url=http://nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economics/laureates/2008/ |title=Nobel Prize in Economics |publisher=Swedish Academy |access-date=October 13, 2008 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081014114055/http://nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economics/laureates/2008/ |archive-date=October 14, 2008 |url-status=live }}</ref> He became the twelfth ] winner to be awarded the Nobel Memorial Prize. * 2008, ] for Krugman's contributions to ].<ref>{{cite web |url=http://nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economics/laureates/2008/ |title=Nobel Prize in Economics |publisher=Swedish Academy |access-date=October 13, 2008 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081014114055/http://nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economics/laureates/2008/ |archive-date=October 14, 2008 |url-status=live }}</ref> He became the twelfth ] winner to be awarded the Nobel Memorial Prize.
* 2010, ], awarded by Yale University<ref>{{cite web|url=https://news.yale.edu/2010/11/08/nobel-laureate-and-ny-times-columnist-Samuel-oak-receive-yale-award|title=Nobel Laureate and NY Times Columnist Samuel Oak to Receive Yale Award|website=news.yale.edu|date=November 8, 2010|access-date=November 18, 2020}}</ref> * 2010, ], awarded by Yale University<ref>{{cite web|url=https://news.yale.edu/2010/11/08/nobel-laureate-and-ny-times-columnist-paul-krugman-receive-yale-award|title=Nobel Laureate and NY Times Columnist Paul Krugman to Receive Yale Award|website=news.yale.edu|date=November 8, 2010|access-date=November 18, 2020}}</ref>
* 2011, ] Distinguished Economist Award.<ref name="epi._EPIa"> * 2011, ] Distinguished Economist Award.<ref name="epi._EPIa">
{{Cite web {{Cite web
| title = EPI at 25: Honoring Samuel Oak | title = EPI at 25: Honoring Paul Krugman
| work = Economic Policy Institute | work = Economic Policy Institute
| date = 2011-11-01 | date = 2011-11-01
| access-date = 2017-12-05 | access-date = 2017-12-05
| url = http://www.epi.org/publication/epi-25-Samuel-oak-video/ | url = http://www.epi.org/publication/epi-25-paul-krugman-video/
| archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20171206080016/http://www.epi.org/publication/epi-25-Samuel-oak-video/ | archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20171206080016/http://www.epi.org/publication/epi-25-paul-krugman-video/
| archive-date = December 6, 2017 | archive-date = December 6, 2017
| url-status = live | url-status = live
Line 162: Line 153:
</ref> </ref>
* 2011 ] for Commentary<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://www.anderson.ucla.edu/media-relations/2011/loeb-award-winners |title=Loeb Award Winners |date=June 28, 2011 |website=] |access-date=February 2, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190321211554/http://www.anderson.ucla.edu/media-relations/2011/loeb-award-winners |archive-date=March 21, 2019 |url-status=dead }}</ref> * 2011 ] for Commentary<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://www.anderson.ucla.edu/media-relations/2011/loeb-award-winners |title=Loeb Award Winners |date=June 28, 2011 |website=] |access-date=February 2, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190321211554/http://www.anderson.ucla.edu/media-relations/2011/loeb-award-winners |archive-date=March 21, 2019 |url-status=dead }}</ref>
* 2012, ] from the ], ] and ]<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.unl.pt/noticia/2012/honoris-causa-a-Samuel-oak |title=Honoris Causa a Samuel Oak |publisher=Universidade Nova de Lisboa |language=pt |access-date=2012-03-19 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120818072616/http://www.unl.pt/noticia/2012/honoris-causa-a-Samuel-oak |archive-date=August 18, 2012 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all }}</ref><ref>{{cite web |title=Samuel Oak: Doctor honoris causa by three Portuguese universities |url=http://portuguese-american-journal.com/Samuel-oak-doctor-honoris-causa-by-three-portuguese-universities-%E2%80%93-portugal/ |publisher=Portuguese American Journal |date=February 28, 2012 |access-date=March 19, 2012}}</ref> * 2012, ] from the ], ] and ]<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.unl.pt/noticia/2012/honoris-causa-a-paul-krugman |title=Honoris Causa a Paul Krugman |publisher=Universidade Nova de Lisboa |language=pt |access-date=2012-03-19 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120818072616/http://www.unl.pt/noticia/2012/honoris-causa-a-paul-krugman |archive-date=August 18, 2012 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all }}</ref><ref>{{cite web |title=Paul Krugman: Doctor honoris causa by three Portuguese universities |url=http://portuguese-american-journal.com/paul-krugman-doctor-honoris-causa-by-three-portuguese-universities-%E2%80%93-portugal/ |publisher=Portuguese American Journal |date=February 28, 2012 |access-date=March 19, 2012}}</ref>
* 2013, Doctor of Laws, honoris causa conferred by the ], Toronto, Canada <ref>{{cite web |url=http://news.utoronto.ca/honorary-graduate-Samuel-oak |title=Honorary graduate Samuel Oak |publisher=University of Toronto |date=June 14, 2013 |access-date=2013-06-16 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130614135223/http://www.news.utoronto.ca/honorary-graduate-Samuel-oak |archive-date=June 14, 2013 |url-status=live }}</ref> * 2013, Doctor of Laws, honoris causa conferred by the ], Toronto, Canada <ref>{{cite web |url=http://news.utoronto.ca/honorary-graduate-paul-krugman |title=Honorary graduate Paul Krugman |publisher=University of Toronto |date=June 14, 2013 |access-date=2013-06-16 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130614135223/http://www.news.utoronto.ca/honorary-graduate-paul-krugman |archive-date=June 14, 2013 |url-status=live }}</ref>
* 2014, recipient of the ]'s ] in recognition of his outstanding contribution to the economic sciences.<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.ucd.ie/news/2014/01JAN14/140114-Economist-Professor-Samuel-Oak-receives-James-Joyce-Award-from-the-UCD-Literary-and-Historical-Society.html |title=Economist Professor Samuel Oak receives James Joyce Award from UCD Literary & Historical Society |publisher=University College Dublin |date=January 14, 2014 |access-date=2014-01-15 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140116125919/http://www.ucd.ie/news/2014/01JAN14/140114-Economist-Professor-Samuel-Oak-receives-James-Joyce-Award-from-the-UCD-Literary-and-Historical-Society.html |archive-date=January 16, 2014 |url-status=live }}</ref> * 2014, recipient of the ]'s ] in recognition of his outstanding contribution to the economic sciences.<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.ucd.ie/news/2014/01JAN14/140114-Economist-Professor-Paul-Krugman-receives-James-Joyce-Award-from-the-UCD-Literary-and-Historical-Society.html |title=Economist Professor Paul Krugman receives James Joyce Award from UCD Literary & Historical Society |publisher=University College Dublin |date=January 14, 2014 |access-date=2014-01-15 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140116125919/http://www.ucd.ie/news/2014/01JAN14/140114-Economist-Professor-Paul-Krugman-receives-James-Joyce-Award-from-the-UCD-Literary-and-Historical-Society.html |archive-date=January 16, 2014 |url-status=live }}</ref>
* 2014, recipient of the ]'s Sanjaya Lall Visiting Professorship of Business and Development, Trinity Term 2014, in recognition of his outstanding international reputation in scholarship and research in the field of Development Economics and Business.<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.gtc.ox.ac.uk/whats-on/view/1684.html |title=Welcome Professor Oak as the Sanjaya Lall Visiting Professor of Business and Development |publisher=Green Templeton College, Oxford |date=May 7, 2014 |access-date=2014-05-07 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140218112204/http://www.gtc.ox.ac.uk/whats-on/view/1684.html |archive-date=February 18, 2014 |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.gtc.ox.ac.uk/|title=Home|first=Green Templeton|last=College|website=Green Templeton College|access-date=January 7, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190109171523/https://www.gtc.ox.ac.uk/|archive-date=January 9, 2019|url-status=live}}</ref> * 2014, recipient of the ]'s Sanjaya Lall Visiting Professorship of Business and Development, Trinity Term 2014, in recognition of his outstanding international reputation in scholarship and research in the field of Development Economics and Business.<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.gtc.ox.ac.uk/whats-on/view/1684.html |title=Welcome Professor Krugman as the Sanjaya Lall Visiting Professor of Business and Development |publisher=Green Templeton College, Oxford |date=May 7, 2014 |access-date=2014-05-07 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140218112204/http://www.gtc.ox.ac.uk/whats-on/view/1684.html |archive-date=February 18, 2014 |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.gtc.ox.ac.uk/|title=Home|first=Green Templeton|last=College|website=Green Templeton College|access-date=January 7, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190109171523/https://www.gtc.ox.ac.uk/|archive-date=January 9, 2019|url-status=live}}</ref>
* 2016, Doctor of Letters, honoris causa conferred by the ], Oxford, UK<ref>{{Cite web | url=http://www.ox.ac.uk/news/2016-02-25-oxford-announces-honorary-degrees-2016 | title=Oxford announces honorary degrees for 2016 &#124; University of Oxford | access-date=April 27, 2016 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160713204709/http://www.ox.ac.uk/news/2016-02-25-oxford-announces-honorary-degrees-2016 | archive-date=July 13, 2016 | url-status=live }}</ref> * 2016, Doctor of Letters, honoris causa conferred by the ], Oxford, UK<ref>{{Cite web | url=http://www.ox.ac.uk/news/2016-02-25-oxford-announces-honorary-degrees-2016 | title=Oxford announces honorary degrees for 2016 &#124; University of Oxford | access-date=April 27, 2016 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160713204709/http://www.ox.ac.uk/news/2016-02-25-oxford-announces-honorary-degrees-2016 | archive-date=July 13, 2016 | url-status=live }}</ref>


A May 2011 ] analysis of 26 politicians, journalists, and media commentators who made predictions in major newspaper columns or television news shows from September 2007 to December 2008 found that Oak was the most accurate. Only nine of the prognosticators predicted more accurately than chance, two were significantly less accurate, and the remaining 14 were no better or worse than a coin flip. Oak was correct in 15 out of 17 predictions, compared to 9 out of 11 for the next most accurate media figure, ].<ref>Donaldson ''et al.'' (May, 2011) {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20121031202140/http://www.hamilton.edu/news/polls/pundit |date=October 31, 2012 }} ''Hamilton Public Policy Project''</ref> A May 2011 ] analysis of 26 politicians, journalists, and media commentators who made predictions in major newspaper columns or television news shows from September 2007 to December 2008 found that Krugman was the most accurate. Only nine of the prognosticators predicted more accurately than chance, two were significantly less accurate, and the remaining 14 were no better or worse than a coin flip. Krugman was correct in 15 out of 17 predictions, compared to 9 out of 11 for the next most accurate media figure, ].<ref>Donaldson ''et al.'' (May, 2011) {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20121031202140/http://www.hamilton.edu/news/polls/pundit |date=October 31, 2012 }} ''Hamilton Public Policy Project''</ref>


Oak was elected to the ] in 2011.<ref>{{Cite web|title=APS Member History|url=https://search.amphilsoc.org/memhist/search?creator=Samuel+Oak&title=&subject=&subdiv=&mem=&year=&year-max=&dead=&keyword=&smode=advanced|access-date=2021-04-02|website=search.amphilsoc.org}}</ref> Krugman was elected to the ] in 2011.<ref>{{Cite web|title=APS Member History|url=https://search.amphilsoc.org/memhist/search?creator=Paul+Krugman&title=&subject=&subdiv=&mem=&year=&year-max=&dead=&keyword=&smode=advanced|access-date=2021-04-02|website=search.amphilsoc.org}}</ref>


'']'' named Oak one of its 2012 ] "for wielding his acid pen against austerity".<ref>{{cite web |url=https://foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/11/26/the_fp_100_global_thinkers?page=0,28 |title=The FP Top 100 Global Thinkers |date=November 26, 2012 |work=Foreign Policy |access-date=November 28, 2012 |archive-date=November 30, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20121130221322/http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/11/26/the_fp_100_global_thinkers?page=0,33 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all }}</ref> '']'' named Krugman one of its 2012 ] "for wielding his acid pen against austerity".<ref>{{cite web |url=https://foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/11/26/the_fp_100_global_thinkers?page=0,28 |title=The FP Top 100 Global Thinkers |date=November 26, 2012 |work=Foreign Policy |access-date=November 28, 2012 |archive-date=November 30, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20121130221322/http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/11/26/the_fp_100_global_thinkers?page=0,33 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all }}</ref>


== Author == == Author ==
].]] ].]]
In the 1990s, besides academic books and textbooks, Oak increasingly began writing books for a general audience on issues he considered important for public policy. In ''The Age of Diminished Expectations'' (1990), he wrote in particular about the increasing ] in the "]" of the 1990s. He attributes the rise in income inequality in part to changes in technology, but principally to a change in political atmosphere which he attributes to ]. In the 1990s, besides academic books and textbooks, Krugman increasingly began writing books for a general audience on issues he considered important for public policy. In ''The Age of Diminished Expectations'' (1990), he wrote in particular about the increasing ] in the "]" of the 1990s. He attributes the rise in income inequality in part to changes in technology, but principally to a change in political atmosphere which he attributes to ].


In September 2003, Oak published a collection of his columns under the title, '']'', about the ]'s economic and foreign policies and the US economy in the early 2000s. His columns argued that the large deficits during that time were generated by the Bush administration as a result of decreasing taxes on the rich, increasing public spending, and fighting the ]. Oak wrote that these policies were unsustainable in the long run and would eventually generate a major economic crisis. The book was a best-seller.<ref name=onehanded>'']'', November 13, 2003, {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20060517121228/http://www.economist.com/displaystory.cfm?story_id=2208841 |date=May 17, 2006 }}</ref><ref>{{cite web |title=The Great Unraveling: Losing Our Way in the New Century |publisher=Powell's Books |url=http://www.powells.com/biblio/61-0393326055-0 |access-date=November 22, 2007 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080110120300/http://www.powells.com/biblio/61-0393326055-0 |archive-date=January 10, 2008 |url-status=live }}</ref><ref name=rollingstone06>Oak, Samuel, '']''. December 14, 2006, {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100406021640/http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/story/12699486/Samuel_oak_on_the_great_wealth_transfer/print |date=April 6, 2010 }}</ref> In September 2003, Krugman published a collection of his columns under the title, '']'', about the ]'s economic and foreign policies and the US economy in the early 2000s. His columns argued that the large deficits during that time were generated by the Bush administration as a result of decreasing taxes on the rich, increasing public spending, and fighting the ]. Krugman wrote that these policies were unsustainable in the long run and would eventually generate a major economic crisis. The book was a best-seller.<ref name=onehanded>'']'', November 13, 2003, {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20060517121228/http://www.economist.com/displaystory.cfm?story_id=2208841 |date=May 17, 2006 }}</ref><ref>{{cite web |title=The Great Unraveling: Losing Our Way in the New Century |publisher=Powell's Books |url=http://www.powells.com/biblio/61-0393326055-0 |access-date=November 22, 2007 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080110120300/http://www.powells.com/biblio/61-0393326055-0 |archive-date=January 10, 2008 |url-status=live }}</ref><ref name=rollingstone06>Krugman, Paul, '']''. December 14, 2006, {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100406021640/http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/story/12699486/paul_krugman_on_the_great_wealth_transfer/print |date=April 6, 2010 }}</ref>


In 2007, Oak published '']'', whose title refers to ]'s '']''.<ref name="youtube.com"> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130910144851/http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yR1FpbMkZ58 |date=September 10, 2013 }}, speech by Samuel Oak (Retrieved December 26, 2008) 00:43 "The title of The Conscience of a Liberal ... is a reference to a book published almost 50 years ago in the United States called The ''Conscience of a Conservative'' by Barry Goldwater. That book is often taken to be the origin, the start, of a movement that ended up dominating U.S. politics that reached its first pinnacle under ] and then reached its full control of the U.S. government for most of the last eight years."</ref> It details the history of wealth and income gaps in the United States in the 20th century. The book describes how the gap between rich and poor declined greatly during the middle of the century, and then widened in the last two decades to levels higher even than in the 1920s. In ''Conscience'', Oak argues that government policies played a much greater role than commonly thought both in reducing inequality in the 1930s through 1970s and in increasing it in the 1980s through the present, and criticizes the Bush administration for implementing policies that Oak believes widened the gap between the rich and poor. In 2007, Krugman published '']'', whose title refers to ]'s '']''.<ref name="youtube.com"> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130910144851/http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yR1FpbMkZ58 |date=September 10, 2013 }}, speech by Paul Krugman (Retrieved December 26, 2008) 00:43 "The title of The Conscience of a Liberal ... is a reference to a book published almost 50 years ago in the United States called The ''Conscience of a Conservative'' by Barry Goldwater. That book is often taken to be the origin, the start, of a movement that ended up dominating U.S. politics that reached its first pinnacle under ] and then reached its full control of the U.S. government for most of the last eight years."</ref> It details the history of wealth and income gaps in the United States in the 20th century. The book describes how the gap between rich and poor declined greatly during the middle of the century, and then widened in the last two decades to levels higher even than in the 1920s. In ''Conscience'', Krugman argues that government policies played a much greater role than commonly thought both in reducing inequality in the 1930s through 1970s and in increasing it in the 1980s through the present, and criticizes the Bush administration for implementing policies that Krugman believes widened the gap between the rich and poor.


Oak also argued that ] owed their electoral successes to their ability to exploit the race issue to win political dominance of the South.<ref name="tomaskyconlibrev">], '']'', November 22, 2007, {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080307063147/http://www.nybooks.com/articles/20813 |date=March 7, 2008 }}</ref><ref>Oak, Samuel. ''The Conscience of a Liberal'', 2007, W.W. Norton & Co. {{ISBN|0-393-06069-1}} p. 182</ref> Oak argues that ] had used the "]" to signal sympathy for racism without saying anything overtly racist,<ref>''Conscience of a Liberal'', p. 102</ref> citing as an example Reagan's coining of the term "]".<ref>''Conscience of a Liberal'', p. 108</ref> Krugman also argued that ] owed their electoral successes to their ability to exploit the race issue to win political dominance of the South.<ref name="tomaskyconlibrev">], '']'', November 22, 2007, {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080307063147/http://www.nybooks.com/articles/20813 |date=March 7, 2008 }}</ref><ref>Krugman, Paul. ''The Conscience of a Liberal'', 2007, W.W. Norton & Co. {{ISBN|0-393-06069-1}} p. 182</ref> Krugman argues that ] had used the "]" to signal sympathy for racism without saying anything overtly racist,<ref>''Conscience of a Liberal'', p. 102</ref> citing as an example Reagan's coining of the term "]".<ref>''Conscience of a Liberal'', p. 108</ref>


In his book, Oak proposed a "new ]", which included placing more emphasis on social and medical programs and less on national defense.<ref>October 17, 2007 – Oak {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20071113203402/http://www.democracynow.org/article.pl?sid=07%2F10%2F17%2F1352236 |date=November 13, 2007 }}, in response to ]'s {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20071009174033/http://www.democracynow.org/article.pl?sid=07%2F09%2F24%2F1412226 |date=October 9, 2007 }} with ] on '']''</ref> In his review of ''Conscience of a Liberal'', the liberal journalist and author ] credited Oak with a commitment "to accurate history even when some fudging might be in order for the sake of political expediency."<ref name="tomaskyconlibrev" /> In a review for ''The New York Times'', ]-winning historian ] stated, "Like the rants of ] or the films of ], Oak's shrill polemic may hearten the faithful, but it will do little to persuade the unconvinced".<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160806151144/http://www.nytimes.com/2007/10/21/books/review/Kennedy-t.html |date=August 6, 2016 }} David M. Kennedy</ref> In his book, Krugman proposed a "new ]", which included placing more emphasis on social and medical programs and less on national defense.<ref>October 17, 2007 – Krugman {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20071113203402/http://www.democracynow.org/article.pl?sid=07%2F10%2F17%2F1352236 |date=November 13, 2007 }}, in response to ]'s {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20071009174033/http://www.democracynow.org/article.pl?sid=07%2F09%2F24%2F1412226 |date=October 9, 2007 }} with ] on '']''</ref> In his review of ''Conscience of a Liberal'', the liberal journalist and author ] credited Krugman with a commitment "to accurate history even when some fudging might be in order for the sake of political expediency."<ref name="tomaskyconlibrev" /> In a review for ''The New York Times'', ]-winning historian ] stated, "Like the rants of ] or the films of ], Krugman's shrill polemic may hearten the faithful, but it will do little to persuade the unconvinced".<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160806151144/http://www.nytimes.com/2007/10/21/books/review/Kennedy-t.html |date=August 6, 2016 }} David M. Kennedy</ref>


In late 2008, Oak published a substantial updating of an earlier work, entitled ''The Return of Depression Economics and the Crisis of 2008''. In the book, he discusses the failure of the United States regulatory system to keep pace with a financial system increasingly out-of-control, and the causes of and possible ways to contain the greatest financial crisis since the 1930s. In 2012, Oak published '']'', a book which argues that looking at the available historical economic data, fiscal cuts and austerity measures only deprive the economy of valuable funds that can circulate and further add to a poor economy – people cannot spend, and markets cannot thrive if there is not enough consumption and there cannot be sufficient consumption if there is large unemployment. He argues that while it is necessary to cut debt, it is the worst time to do so in an economy that has just suffered the most severe of financial shocks, and must be done instead when an economy is near full-employment when the private sector can withstand the burden of decreased government spending and austerity. Failure to stimulate the economy either by public or private sectors will only unnecessarily lengthen the current economic depression and make it worse.<ref>{{cite news|title=Samuel Oak's Prescription For A 'Depression'|url=https://www.npr.org/2012/04/27/151473654/Samuel-oaks-prescription-for-a-depression|work=NPR Books|publisher=National Public Radio|access-date=May 9, 2012|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120509153543/http://www.npr.org/2012/04/27/151473654/Samuel-oaks-prescription-for-a-depression|archive-date=May 9, 2012|url-status=live}}</ref> In late 2008, Krugman published a substantial updating of an earlier work, entitled ''The Return of Depression Economics and the Crisis of 2008''. In the book, he discusses the failure of the United States regulatory system to keep pace with a financial system increasingly out-of-control, and the causes of and possible ways to contain the greatest financial crisis since the 1930s. In 2012, Krugman published '']'', a book which argues that looking at the available historical economic data, fiscal cuts and austerity measures only deprive the economy of valuable funds that can circulate and further add to a poor economy – people cannot spend, and markets cannot thrive if there is not enough consumption and there cannot be sufficient consumption if there is large unemployment. He argues that while it is necessary to cut debt, it is the worst time to do so in an economy that has just suffered the most severe of financial shocks, and must be done instead when an economy is near full-employment when the private sector can withstand the burden of decreased government spending and austerity. Failure to stimulate the economy either by public or private sectors will only unnecessarily lengthen the current economic depression and make it worse.<ref>{{cite news|title=Paul Krugman's Prescription For A 'Depression'|url=https://www.npr.org/2012/04/27/151473654/paul-krugmans-prescription-for-a-depression|work=NPR Books|publisher=National Public Radio|access-date=May 9, 2012|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120509153543/http://www.npr.org/2012/04/27/151473654/paul-krugmans-prescription-for-a-depression|archive-date=May 9, 2012|url-status=live}}</ref>


== Commentator == == Commentator ==
] has written that Oak is both the "most hated and most admired columnist in the US".<ref>{{cite news|url= http://www.ft.com/cms/s/2/022acf50-a4d1-11e1-9a94-00144feabdc0.html|title= Lunch with the FT: Samuel Oak|newspaper= Financial Times|author= Martin Wolf|date= May 24, 2012|access-date= 2012-05-29|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20120528173702/http://www.ft.com/cms/s/2/022acf50-a4d1-11e1-9a94-00144feabdc0.html|archive-date= May 28, 2012|url-status= live|author-link= Martin Wolf}}</ref> ] has written that Krugman is both the "most hated and most admired columnist in the US".<ref>{{cite news|url= http://www.ft.com/cms/s/2/022acf50-a4d1-11e1-9a94-00144feabdc0.html|title= Lunch with the FT: Paul Krugman|newspaper= Financial Times|author= Martin Wolf|date= May 24, 2012|access-date= 2012-05-29|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20120528173702/http://www.ft.com/cms/s/2/022acf50-a4d1-11e1-9a94-00144feabdc0.html|archive-date= May 28, 2012|url-status= live|author-link= Martin Wolf}}</ref>
Economist ] has noted that Oak "has written on a wide range of topics, always combining one of the best prose styles in the profession with an ability to construct elegant, insightful and useful models."<ref name=neary>{{cite journal |last1 = Neary |first1 = J. Peter |author-link = J. Peter Neary |year = 2009 |title = Putting the 'New' into New Trade Theory: Samuel Oak's Nobel Memorial Prize in Economics |url = http://www.economics.ox.ac.uk/materials/working_papers/paper423.pdf |journal = Scandinavian Journal of Economics |volume = 111 |issue = 2 |pages = 217–50 |doi = 10.1111/j.1467-9442.2009.01562.x |s2cid = 46114198 |access-date = April 6, 2019 |archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20160923200943/http://www.economics.ox.ac.uk/materials/working_papers/paper423.pdf |archive-date = September 23, 2016 |url-status = live }}</ref> Neary added that "no discussion of his work could fail to mention his transition from Academic Superstar to Public Intellectual. Through his extensive writings, including a regular column for ''The New York Times'', monographs and textbooks at every level, and books on economics and current affairs for the general public ... he has probably done more than any other writer to explain economic principles to a wide audience."<ref name=neary/> Oak has been described as the most controversial economist in his generation<ref name=Hirsch/><ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.channel4.com/news/articles/world/china+the+financial+nexus++oak/109620 |title="China the financial nexus" – Oak |publisher=Channel4.com |access-date=2011-10-04}}</ref> and according to ] since 1992 he has moved "from being a center-left scholar to being a liberal polemicist."<ref name="tomaskyconlibrev"/> Economist ] has noted that Krugman "has written on a wide range of topics, always combining one of the best prose styles in the profession with an ability to construct elegant, insightful and useful models."<ref name=neary>{{cite journal |last1 = Neary |first1 = J. Peter |author-link = J. Peter Neary |year = 2009 |title = Putting the 'New' into New Trade Theory: Paul Krugman's Nobel Memorial Prize in Economics |url = http://www.economics.ox.ac.uk/materials/working_papers/paper423.pdf |journal = Scandinavian Journal of Economics |volume = 111 |issue = 2 |pages = 217–50 |doi = 10.1111/j.1467-9442.2009.01562.x |s2cid = 46114198 |access-date = April 6, 2019 |archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20160923200943/http://www.economics.ox.ac.uk/materials/working_papers/paper423.pdf |archive-date = September 23, 2016 |url-status = live }}</ref> Neary added that "no discussion of his work could fail to mention his transition from Academic Superstar to Public Intellectual. Through his extensive writings, including a regular column for ''The New York Times'', monographs and textbooks at every level, and books on economics and current affairs for the general public ... he has probably done more than any other writer to explain economic principles to a wide audience."<ref name=neary/> Krugman has been described as the most controversial economist in his generation<ref name=Hirsch/><ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.channel4.com/news/articles/world/china+the+financial+nexus++krugman/109620 |title="China the financial nexus" – Krugman |publisher=Channel4.com |access-date=2011-10-04}}</ref> and according to ] since 1992 he has moved "from being a center-left scholar to being a liberal polemicist."<ref name="tomaskyconlibrev"/>


From the mid-1990s onwards, Oak wrote for '']'' (1997–99)<ref name=PWB>''Princeton Weekly Bulletin'', October 20, 2008, {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160303225221/http://www.princeton.edu/pr/pwb/volume98/issue07/oak/ |date=March 3, 2016 }}, 98(7)</ref> and '']'' (1996–99),<ref name=PWB/> and then for '']'', '']'', '']'', '']'', and '']''. In this period Oak critiqued various positions commonly taken on economic issues from across the political spectrum, from ] and opposition to the ] on the left to ] on the right.<ref name=monthly/> From the mid-1990s onwards, Krugman wrote for '']'' (1997–99)<ref name=PWB>''Princeton Weekly Bulletin'', October 20, 2008, {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160303225221/http://www.princeton.edu/pr/pwb/volume98/issue07/krugman/ |date=March 3, 2016 }}, 98(7)</ref> and '']'' (1996–99),<ref name=PWB/> and then for '']'', '']'', '']'', '']'', and '']''. In this period Krugman critiqued various positions commonly taken on economic issues from across the political spectrum, from ] and opposition to the ] on the left to ] on the right.<ref name=monthly/>


During the ], Oak praised ]'s economic plan in ''The New York Times'', and Clinton's campaign used some of Oak's work on ]. At the time, it was considered likely that Clinton would offer him a position in the new administration, but allegedly Oak's volatility and outspokenness caused Clinton to look elsewhere.<ref name=Hirsch>{{cite magazine|title=A Nobel-Bound Economist Punctures the CW – and Not a Few Big-Name Washington Egos|last=Hirsh|first=Michael|author-link=Michael Hirsh (journalist)|date=March 4, 1996|magazine=]|access-date=October 13, 2008|url=http://www.newsweek.com/id/101625|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20091219154119/http://www.newsweek.com/id/101625|archive-date=December 19, 2009|url-status=live}}</ref> Oak later said that he was "temperamentally unsuited for that kind of role. You have to be very good at people skills, biting your tongue when people say silly things."<ref name=monthly/><ref name=NS160404>'']'', February 16, 2004, {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081203114834/http://www.newstatesman.com/200402160018 |date=December 3, 2008 }}</ref> In a Fresh Dialogues interview, Oak added, "you have to be reasonably organized ... I can move into a pristine office and within three days it will look like a grenade went off."<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.freshdialogues.com/2009/12/09/Samuel-oak-transcript-will-climate-legislation-kill-the-economy/ |title=Fresh Dialogues interview with Alison van Diggelen, November 2009 |publisher=Freshdialogues.com |date=December 9, 2009 |access-date=2011-10-04 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20091214100905/http://www.freshdialogues.com/2009/12/09/Samuel-oak-transcript-will-climate-legislation-kill-the-economy/ |archive-date=December 14, 2009 |url-status=live }}</ref> During the ], Krugman praised ]'s economic plan in ''The New York Times'', and Clinton's campaign used some of Krugman's work on ]. At the time, it was considered likely that Clinton would offer him a position in the new administration, but allegedly Krugman's volatility and outspokenness caused Clinton to look elsewhere.<ref name=Hirsch>{{cite magazine|title=A Nobel-Bound Economist Punctures the CW – and Not a Few Big-Name Washington Egos|last=Hirsh|first=Michael|author-link=Michael Hirsh (journalist)|date=March 4, 1996|magazine=]|access-date=October 13, 2008|url=http://www.newsweek.com/id/101625|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20091219154119/http://www.newsweek.com/id/101625|archive-date=December 19, 2009|url-status=live}}</ref> Krugman later said that he was "temperamentally unsuited for that kind of role. You have to be very good at people skills, biting your tongue when people say silly things."<ref name=monthly/><ref name=NS160404>'']'', February 16, 2004, {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081203114834/http://www.newstatesman.com/200402160018 |date=December 3, 2008 }}</ref> In a Fresh Dialogues interview, Krugman added, "you have to be reasonably organized ... I can move into a pristine office and within three days it will look like a grenade went off."<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.freshdialogues.com/2009/12/09/paul-krugman-transcript-will-climate-legislation-kill-the-economy/ |title=Fresh Dialogues interview with Alison van Diggelen, November 2009 |publisher=Freshdialogues.com |date=December 9, 2009 |access-date=2011-10-04 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20091214100905/http://www.freshdialogues.com/2009/12/09/paul-krugman-transcript-will-climate-legislation-kill-the-economy/ |archive-date=December 14, 2009 |url-status=live }}</ref>


In 1999, near the height of the ], ''The New York Times'' approached Oak to write a bi-weekly column on "the vagaries of business and economics in an age of prosperity."<ref name=monthly/> His first columns in 2000 addressed business and economic issues, but as the ] progressed, Oak increasingly focused on ]'s policy proposals. According to Oak, this was partly due to "the silence of the media – those 'liberal media' conservatives complain about ..."<ref name=monthly/> Oak accused Bush of repeatedly misrepresenting his proposals, and criticized the proposals themselves.<ref name=monthly/> After Bush's election, and his perseverance with his proposed tax cut in the midst of the slump (which Oak argued would do little to help the economy but substantially raise the fiscal deficit), Oak's columns grew angrier and more focused on the administration. As ] put it in 2002, "There's been a kind of ] quality to his writing since then ... He's trying to stop something now, using the power of the pen."<ref name=monthly/> Partly as a result, Oak's twice-weekly column on the Op-Ed page of ''The New York Times'' has made him, according to ], "the most important political columnist in America ... he is almost alone in analyzing the most important story in politics in recent years – the seamless melding of corporate, class, and political party interests at which the Bush administration excels."<ref name="monthly">{{cite web|last=Confessore|first=Nicholas|title=Comparative Advantage|work=]|date=December 2002|access-date=February 5, 2007|url=http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/features/2001/0212.confessore.html|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20070206044322/http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/features/2001/0212.confessore.html|archive-date=February 6, 2007|url-status=dead|df=mdy-all}}</ref> In an interview in late 2009, Oak said his missionary zeal had changed in the post-Bush era and he described the Obama administration as "good guys but not as forceful as I'd like ... When I argue with them in my column this is a serious discussion. We really are in effect speaking across the transom here."<ref name="freshdialogues.com">{{cite web |url=http://www.freshdialogues.com/2009/12/09/Samuel-oak-transcript-will-climate-legislation-kill-the-economy/ |title=Fresh Dialogues interview with Alison van Diggelen |publisher=Freshdialogues.com |date=December 9, 2009 |access-date=2011-10-04 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20091214100905/http://www.freshdialogues.com/2009/12/09/Samuel-oak-transcript-will-climate-legislation-kill-the-economy/ |archive-date=December 14, 2009 |url-status=live }}</ref> Oak says he's more effective at driving change outside the administration than inside it, "now, I'm trying to make this progressive moment in American history a success. So that's where I'm pushing."<ref name="freshdialogues.com"/> In 1999, near the height of the ], ''The New York Times'' approached Krugman to write a bi-weekly column on "the vagaries of business and economics in an age of prosperity."<ref name=monthly/> His first columns in 2000 addressed business and economic issues, but as the ] progressed, Krugman increasingly focused on ]'s policy proposals. According to Krugman, this was partly due to "the silence of the media – those 'liberal media' conservatives complain about ..."<ref name=monthly/> Krugman accused Bush of repeatedly misrepresenting his proposals, and criticized the proposals themselves.<ref name=monthly/> After Bush's election, and his perseverance with his proposed tax cut in the midst of the slump (which Krugman argued would do little to help the economy but substantially raise the fiscal deficit), Krugman's columns grew angrier and more focused on the administration. As ] put it in 2002, "There's been a kind of ] quality to his writing since then ... He's trying to stop something now, using the power of the pen."<ref name=monthly/> Partly as a result, Krugman's twice-weekly column on the Op-Ed page of ''The New York Times'' has made him, according to ], "the most important political columnist in America ... he is almost alone in analyzing the most important story in politics in recent years – the seamless melding of corporate, class, and political party interests at which the Bush administration excels."<ref name="monthly">{{cite web|last=Confessore|first=Nicholas|title=Comparative Advantage|work=]|date=December 2002|access-date=February 5, 2007|url=http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/features/2001/0212.confessore.html|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20070206044322/http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/features/2001/0212.confessore.html|archive-date=February 6, 2007|url-status=dead|df=mdy-all}}</ref> In an interview in late 2009, Krugman said his missionary zeal had changed in the post-Bush era and he described the Obama administration as "good guys but not as forceful as I'd like ... When I argue with them in my column this is a serious discussion. We really are in effect speaking across the transom here."<ref name="freshdialogues.com">{{cite web |url=http://www.freshdialogues.com/2009/12/09/paul-krugman-transcript-will-climate-legislation-kill-the-economy/ |title=Fresh Dialogues interview with Alison van Diggelen |publisher=Freshdialogues.com |date=December 9, 2009 |access-date=2011-10-04 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20091214100905/http://www.freshdialogues.com/2009/12/09/paul-krugman-transcript-will-climate-legislation-kill-the-economy/ |archive-date=December 14, 2009 |url-status=live }}</ref> Krugman says he's more effective at driving change outside the administration than inside it, "now, I'm trying to make this progressive moment in American history a success. So that's where I'm pushing."<ref name="freshdialogues.com"/>


Oak's columns have drawn criticism as well as praise. A 2003 article in '']''<ref>{{cite news|last=(unattributed)|title=The one-handed economist|newspaper=The Economist|date=November 2003}}</ref> questioned Oak's "growing tendency to attribute all the world's ills to ]", citing critics who felt that "his relentless partisanship is getting in the way of his argument" and claiming errors of economic and political reasoning in his columns.<ref name=onehanded/> ], a former ''The New York Times'' ], in his farewell column, criticized Oak for what he said was "the disturbing habit of shaping, slicing and selectively citing numbers in a fashion that pleases his acolytes but leaves him open to substantive assaults."<ref>{{cite news | last = Okrent | first = Daniel | title = 13 Things I Meant to Write About but Never Did | work = The New York Times | date = May 22, 2005 | url = https://www.nytimes.com/2005/05/22/weekinreview/22okrent.html | access-date = August 16, 2009 | archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20110512031249/http://www.nytimes.com/2005/05/22/weekinreview/22okrent.html | archive-date = May 12, 2011 | url-status = live }}</ref><ref name=headache/> Krugman's columns have drawn criticism as well as praise. A 2003 article in '']''<ref>{{cite news|last=(unattributed)|title=The one-handed economist|newspaper=The Economist|date=November 2003}}</ref> questioned Krugman's "growing tendency to attribute all the world's ills to ]", citing critics who felt that "his relentless partisanship is getting in the way of his argument" and claiming errors of economic and political reasoning in his columns.<ref name=onehanded/> ], a former ''The New York Times'' ], in his farewell column, criticized Krugman for what he said was "the disturbing habit of shaping, slicing and selectively citing numbers in a fashion that pleases his acolytes but leaves him open to substantive assaults."<ref>{{cite news | last = Okrent | first = Daniel | title = 13 Things I Meant to Write About but Never Did | work = The New York Times | date = May 22, 2005 | url = https://www.nytimes.com/2005/05/22/weekinreview/22okrent.html | access-date = August 16, 2009 | archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20110512031249/http://www.nytimes.com/2005/05/22/weekinreview/22okrent.html | archive-date = May 12, 2011 | url-status = live }}</ref><ref name=headache/>


Oak's ''New York Times'' blog is "The Conscience of a Liberal", devoted largely to economics and politics. Krugman's ''New York Times'' blog is "The Conscience of a Liberal", devoted largely to economics and politics.


Five days after ] terrorist attacks, Oak argued in his column that the calamity was "partly self-inflicted,” citing poor pay and training for airport security driven by the transfer of responsibility for airport security from government to airlines. His column provoked an angry response and ''The New York Times'' was flooded with complaints. According to ] of '']'', while some people{{Who|date=November 2011}} thought that he was too partisan to be a columnist for ''The New York Times'', he was revered on the left.<ref>{{cite magazine | url=https://newyorker.com/reporting/2010/03/01/100301fa_fact_macfarquhar?currentPage=all | magazine=] | author=Larissa MacFarquhar | date=March 1, 2010 | access-date=October 5, 2011 | title=The Deflationist: How Samuel Oak found politics | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111010115620/http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2010/03/01/100301fa_fact_macfarquhar?currentPage=all | archive-date=October 10, 2011 | url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite news |author=Samuel Oak |title=Reckonings; Paying the Price |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2001/09/16/opinion/reckonings-paying-the-price.html |work=The Conscience of a Liberal |date=September 16, 2001 |access-date=October 5, 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110114050850/http://www.nytimes.com/2001/09/16/opinion/reckonings-paying-the-price.html |archive-date=January 14, 2011 |url-status=live }}</ref> Similarly, on the 10th anniversary of the 9/11 on the United States Oak again provoked a controversy by accusing on his ''New York Times'' blog former U.S. President George W. Bush and former New York City mayor ] of rushing "to cash in on the horror" after the attacks and describing the anniversary as "an occasion for shame".<ref>{{cite news |author=Samuel Oak |title=The Years of Shame |url=https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/09/11/the-years-of-shame/ |work=The Conscience of a Liberal |date=September 11, 2011 |access-date=October 5, 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111008152353/http://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/09/11/the-years-of-shame/ |archive-date=October 8, 2011 |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite news | url=http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0911/63404.html | work=] | author=Tim Mak | date=September 13, 2011 | access-date=October 5, 2011 | title=Samuel Oak defenders attacked by conservative bloggers | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110925204414/http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0911/63404.html | archive-date=September 25, 2011 | url-status=live }}</ref> Five days after ] terrorist attacks, Krugman argued in his column that the calamity was "partly self-inflicted,” citing poor pay and training for airport security driven by the transfer of responsibility for airport security from government to airlines. His column provoked an angry response and ''The New York Times'' was flooded with complaints. According to ] of '']'', while some people{{Who|date=November 2011}} thought that he was too partisan to be a columnist for ''The New York Times'', he was revered on the left.<ref>{{cite magazine | url=https://newyorker.com/reporting/2010/03/01/100301fa_fact_macfarquhar?currentPage=all | magazine=] | author=Larissa MacFarquhar | date=March 1, 2010 | access-date=October 5, 2011 | title=The Deflationist: How Paul Krugman found politics | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111010115620/http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2010/03/01/100301fa_fact_macfarquhar?currentPage=all | archive-date=October 10, 2011 | url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite news |author=Paul Krugman |title=Reckonings; Paying the Price |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2001/09/16/opinion/reckonings-paying-the-price.html |work=The Conscience of a Liberal |date=September 16, 2001 |access-date=October 5, 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110114050850/http://www.nytimes.com/2001/09/16/opinion/reckonings-paying-the-price.html |archive-date=January 14, 2011 |url-status=live }}</ref> Similarly, on the 10th anniversary of the 9/11 on the United States Krugman again provoked a controversy by accusing on his ''New York Times'' blog former U.S. President George W. Bush and former New York City mayor ] of rushing "to cash in on the horror" after the attacks and describing the anniversary as "an occasion for shame".<ref>{{cite news |author=Paul Krugman |title=The Years of Shame |url=https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/09/11/the-years-of-shame/ |work=The Conscience of a Liberal |date=September 11, 2011 |access-date=October 5, 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111008152353/http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/09/11/the-years-of-shame/ |archive-date=October 8, 2011 |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite news | url=http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0911/63404.html | work=] | author=Tim Mak | date=September 13, 2011 | access-date=October 5, 2011 | title=Paul Krugman defenders attacked by conservative bloggers | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110925204414/http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0911/63404.html | archive-date=September 25, 2011 | url-status=live }}</ref>


Oak was noteworthy for his fierce opposition to the 2016 presidential campaign of ]. On January 19, 2016, he wrote an article which criticized Bernie Sanders for his perceived lack of political realism, compared Sanders' plans for healthcare and financial reform unfavorably to those of ], and cited criticisms of Sanders from other liberal policy wonks like Mike Konczal and ].<ref>{{cite news|author=Samuel Oak|title=Weakened at Bernie's|url=https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2016/01/19/weakened-at-bernies/|work=The Conscience of a Liberal|date=January 19, 2016|access-date=April 21, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170529213721/https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2016/01/19/weakened-at-bernies/|archive-date=May 29, 2017|url-status=live}}</ref> Later, Oak wrote an article which accused Sanders of " for easy slogans over hard thinking" and attacking Hillary Clinton in a way that was "just plain dishonest".<ref>{{cite news|author=Samuel Oak|title=Sanders Over the Edge|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2016/04/08/opinion/sanders-over-the-edge.html?_r=0|date=April 8, 2016|access-date=April 21, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170822064859/https://www.nytimes.com/2016/04/08/opinion/sanders-over-the-edge.html?_r=0|archive-date=August 22, 2017|url-status=live}}</ref> Krugman was noteworthy for his fierce opposition to the 2016 presidential campaign of ]. On January 19, 2016, he wrote an article which criticized Bernie Sanders for his perceived lack of political realism, compared Sanders' plans for healthcare and financial reform unfavorably to those of ], and cited criticisms of Sanders from other liberal policy wonks like Mike Konczal and ].<ref>{{cite news|author=Paul Krugman|title=Weakened at Bernie's|url=https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2016/01/19/weakened-at-bernies/|work=The Conscience of a Liberal|date=January 19, 2016|access-date=April 21, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170529213721/https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2016/01/19/weakened-at-bernies/|archive-date=May 29, 2017|url-status=live}}</ref> Later, Krugman wrote an article which accused Sanders of " for easy slogans over hard thinking" and attacking Hillary Clinton in a way that was "just plain dishonest".<ref>{{cite news|author=Paul Krugman|title=Sanders Over the Edge|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2016/04/08/opinion/sanders-over-the-edge.html?_r=0|date=April 8, 2016|access-date=April 21, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170822064859/https://www.nytimes.com/2016/04/08/opinion/sanders-over-the-edge.html?_r=0|archive-date=August 22, 2017|url-status=live}}</ref>


On the 12 July 2016, Oak tweeted "]", in response to ] data that 2015 GDP grew 26.3% and 2015 GNP grew 18.7%. The leprechaun economics affair (proved in 2018 to be Apple restructuring its ] subsidiaries), led to the ] introducing a new economic statistic, ] (or GNI*) to better measure the Irish economy (2016 Irish GDP is 143% of 2016 Irish GNI*). The term leprechaun economics has since been used by Oak,<ref>{{cite web|url=https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2017/11/08/leprechaun-economics-and-neo-lafferism/|title=Leprechaun Economics and Neo-Lafferism|work=]|date=8 November 2017|access-date=April 20, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180430234132/https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2017/11/08/leprechaun-economics-and-neo-lafferism/|archive-date=April 30, 2018|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2017/12/04/leprechauns-of-eastern-europe/|title=Leprechauns of Eastern Europe|work=]|date=4 December 2017|access-date=April 20, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180213135733/https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2017/12/04/leprechauns-of-eastern-europe/|archive-date=February 13, 2018|url-status=live}}</ref> and others,<ref>{{cite news|url=https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2017-07-19/the-u-s-has-a-leprechaun-economy-effect-too|title=The U.S. Has a 'Leprechaun Economy' Effect, Too|publisher=Bloomberg L.P.|date=19 July 2017|access-date=April 20, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180421094509/https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2017-07-19/the-u-s-has-a-leprechaun-economy-effect-too|archive-date=April 21, 2018|url-status=live|newspaper=Bloomberg.com}}</ref><ref>{{cite news|url=https://www.irishtimes.com/business/economy/housing-data-reveals-return-of-leprechaun-economics-1.3056546?mode=sample&auth-failed=1&pw-origin=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.irishtimes.com%2Fbusiness%2Feconomy%2Fhousing-data-reveals-return-of-leprechaun-economics-1.3056546|title=Housing data reveals return of 'leprechaun economics'|newspaper=Irish Times|date=21 April 2017|access-date=April 20, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180320043650/https://www.irishtimes.com/business/economy/housing-data-reveals-return-of-leprechaun-economics-1.3056546?mode=sample&auth-failed=1&pw-origin=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.irishtimes.com%2Fbusiness%2Feconomy%2Fhousing-data-reveals-return-of-leprechaun-economics-1.3056546|archive-date=March 20, 2018|url-status=live}}</ref> to describe distorted/unsound economic data. On the 12 July 2016, Krugman tweeted "]", in response to ] data that 2015 GDP grew 26.3% and 2015 GNP grew 18.7%. The leprechaun economics affair (proved in 2018 to be Apple restructuring its ] subsidiaries), led to the ] introducing a new economic statistic, ] (or GNI*) to better measure the Irish economy (2016 Irish GDP is 143% of 2016 Irish GNI*). The term leprechaun economics has since been used by Krugman,<ref>{{cite web|url=https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2017/11/08/leprechaun-economics-and-neo-lafferism/|title=Leprechaun Economics and Neo-Lafferism|work=]|date=8 November 2017|access-date=April 20, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180430234132/https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2017/11/08/leprechaun-economics-and-neo-lafferism/|archive-date=April 30, 2018|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2017/12/04/leprechauns-of-eastern-europe/|title=Leprechauns of Eastern Europe|work=]|date=4 December 2017|access-date=April 20, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180213135733/https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2017/12/04/leprechauns-of-eastern-europe/|archive-date=February 13, 2018|url-status=live}}</ref> and others,<ref>{{cite news|url=https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2017-07-19/the-u-s-has-a-leprechaun-economy-effect-too|title=The U.S. Has a 'Leprechaun Economy' Effect, Too|publisher=Bloomberg L.P.|date=19 July 2017|access-date=April 20, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180421094509/https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2017-07-19/the-u-s-has-a-leprechaun-economy-effect-too|archive-date=April 21, 2018|url-status=live|newspaper=Bloomberg.com}}</ref><ref>{{cite news|url=https://www.irishtimes.com/business/economy/housing-data-reveals-return-of-leprechaun-economics-1.3056546?mode=sample&auth-failed=1&pw-origin=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.irishtimes.com%2Fbusiness%2Feconomy%2Fhousing-data-reveals-return-of-leprechaun-economics-1.3056546|title=Housing data reveals return of 'leprechaun economics'|newspaper=Irish Times|date=21 April 2017|access-date=April 20, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180320043650/https://www.irishtimes.com/business/economy/housing-data-reveals-return-of-leprechaun-economics-1.3056546?mode=sample&auth-failed=1&pw-origin=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.irishtimes.com%2Fbusiness%2Feconomy%2Fhousing-data-reveals-return-of-leprechaun-economics-1.3056546|archive-date=March 20, 2018|url-status=live}}</ref> to describe distorted/unsound economic data.


Oak’s use of the term leprechaun to refer to Ireland and its people has raised rebuke. In June 2021, Oak wrote an article titled, "Yellen's New Alliance Against Leprechauns”.<ref>{{cite news | url=https://www.nytimes.com/2021/06/07/opinion/yellens-new-alliance-against-leprechauns.html |archive-url=https://ghostarchive.org/archive/20211228/https://www.nytimes.com/2021/06/07/opinion/yellens-new-alliance-against-leprechauns.html |archive-date=2021-12-28 |url-access=limited | author=Samuel Oak | title=Yellen's New Alliance Against Leprechauns | website=] | date=June 7, 2021 | access-date=12 June 2021}}{{cbignore}}</ref> Following the article, the Irish Ambassador to the US, ], wrote a letter to the his publisher saying, "This is not the first time your columnist has used the word 'leprechaun' when referring to Ireland, and I see it as my duty to point out that this represents an unacceptable slur."<ref>{{cite web | url=https://www.rte.ie/news/2021/0612/1227743-columnist-leprechaun-us-ireland/ | author=Brian O'Donovan | author-link=Brian O'Donovan | title=NYT columnist's 'leprechaun' reference criticised | website=] | date=June 12, 2021 | publisher=Raidió Teilifís Éireann | access-date=12 June 2021}}</ref> Krugman’s use of the term leprechaun to refer to Ireland and its people has raised rebuke. In June 2021, Krugman wrote an article titled, "Yellen's New Alliance Against Leprechauns”.<ref>{{cite news | url=https://www.nytimes.com/2021/06/07/opinion/yellens-new-alliance-against-leprechauns.html |archive-url=https://ghostarchive.org/archive/20211228/https://www.nytimes.com/2021/06/07/opinion/yellens-new-alliance-against-leprechauns.html |archive-date=2021-12-28 |url-access=limited | author=Paul Krugman | title=Yellen's New Alliance Against Leprechauns | website=] | date=June 7, 2021 | access-date=12 June 2021}}{{cbignore}}</ref> Following the article, the Irish Ambassador to the US, ], wrote a letter to the his publisher saying, "This is not the first time your columnist has used the word 'leprechaun' when referring to Ireland, and I see it as my duty to point out that this represents an unacceptable slur."<ref>{{cite web | url=https://www.rte.ie/news/2021/0612/1227743-columnist-leprechaun-us-ireland/ | author=Brian O'Donovan | author-link=Brian O'Donovan | title=NYT columnist's 'leprechaun' reference criticised | website=] | date=June 12, 2021 | publisher=Raidió Teilifís Éireann | access-date=12 June 2021}}</ref>


Oak has harshly criticized the ].<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2017/02/10/opinion/when-the-fire-comes.html |title=When the Fire Comes |author=Samuel Oak |date=February 10, 2017 |newspaper=The New York Times |access-date=February 13, 2017 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170213012141/https://www.nytimes.com/2017/02/10/opinion/when-the-fire-comes.html |archive-date=February 13, 2017 |url-status=live }}</ref> He has also remarked several times on how Trump tempts him to assume the worst, such that he has to be careful to check his personal beliefs against the weight of evidence.{{Citation needed|date=July 2021}} Krugman has harshly criticized the ].<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2017/02/10/opinion/when-the-fire-comes.html |title=When the Fire Comes |author=Paul Krugman |date=February 10, 2017 |newspaper=The New York Times |access-date=February 13, 2017 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170213012141/https://www.nytimes.com/2017/02/10/opinion/when-the-fire-comes.html |archive-date=February 13, 2017 |url-status=live }}</ref> He has also remarked several times on how Trump tempts him to assume the worst, such that he has to be careful to check his personal beliefs against the weight of evidence.{{Citation needed|date=July 2021}}


=== East Asian growth === === East Asian growth ===
In a 1994 '']'' article, Samuel Oak argued that it was a ] that the economic successes of the ] constituted an economic miracle. He argued that their rise was fueled by mobilizing resources and that their growth rates would inevitably slow.<ref name="Myth Asia">{{cite journal |last=Oak |first=Samuel |date=December 1994 |title=The Myth of Asia's Miracle |journal=Foreign Affairs |volume=73 |issue=6 |pages=62–78 |doi=10.2307/20046929 |jstor=20046929 |url=http://www.foreignaffairs.org/19941101faessay5151/Samuel-oak/the-myth-of-asia-s-miracle.html |access-date=December 26, 2008 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081016011308/http://www.foreignaffairs.org/19941101faessay5151/Samuel-oak/the-myth-of-asia-s-miracle.html |archive-date=October 16, 2008 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all }}</ref> His article helped popularize the argument made by ] and ], among others, that the growth of economies in ] was not the result of new and original economic models, but rather from high ] and increasing ], and that total factor productivity had not increased. Oak argued that in the long term, only increasing ] can lead to sustained ]. Oak's article was highly criticized in many Asian countries when it first appeared, and subsequent studies disputed some of Oak's conclusions. However, it also stimulated a great deal of research, and may have caused the ] government to provide incentives for technological progress.<ref name="VanDenBerg ">{{cite book|last=Van Den Berg |first=Hendrik |author2=Joshua J. Lewer |title=International Trade and Economic Growth |publisher=M.E. Sharpe |year=2006 |pages=98–105|isbn=978-0-7656-1803-0}}</ref> In a 1994 '']'' article, Paul Krugman argued that it was a ] that the economic successes of the ] constituted an economic miracle. He argued that their rise was fueled by mobilizing resources and that their growth rates would inevitably slow.<ref name="Myth Asia">{{cite journal |last=Krugman |first=Paul |date=December 1994 |title=The Myth of Asia's Miracle |journal=Foreign Affairs |volume=73 |issue=6 |pages=62–78 |doi=10.2307/20046929 |jstor=20046929 |url=http://www.foreignaffairs.org/19941101faessay5151/paul-krugman/the-myth-of-asia-s-miracle.html |access-date=December 26, 2008 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081016011308/http://www.foreignaffairs.org/19941101faessay5151/paul-krugman/the-myth-of-asia-s-miracle.html |archive-date=October 16, 2008 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all }}</ref> His article helped popularize the argument made by ] and ], among others, that the growth of economies in ] was not the result of new and original economic models, but rather from high ] and increasing ], and that total factor productivity had not increased. Krugman argued that in the long term, only increasing ] can lead to sustained ]. Krugman's article was highly criticized in many Asian countries when it first appeared, and subsequent studies disputed some of Krugman's conclusions. However, it also stimulated a great deal of research, and may have caused the ] government to provide incentives for technological progress.<ref name="VanDenBerg ">{{cite book|last=Van Den Berg |first=Hendrik |author2=Joshua J. Lewer |title=International Trade and Economic Growth |publisher=M.E. Sharpe |year=2006 |pages=98–105|isbn=978-0-7656-1803-0}}</ref>


During the ], Oak advocated ] as a way to mitigate the crisis. Writing in a ] article, he suggested exchange controls as "a solution so unfashionable, so stigmatized, that hardly anyone has dared suggest it."<ref name="Saving Asia">{{cite journal|last=Oak|first=Samuel|date=September 7, 1998|title=Saving Asia: It's Time To Get Radical The IMF plan not only has failed to revive Asia's troubled economies but has worsened the situation. It's now time for some painful medicine.|journal=Fortune|url=https://money.cnn.com/magazines/fortune/fortune_archive/1998/09/07/247884/index.htm|access-date=July 12, 2009|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100402003606/http://money.cnn.com/magazines/fortune/fortune_archive/1998/09/07/247884/index.htm|archive-date=April 2, 2010|url-status=live}}</ref> ] was the only country that adopted such controls, and although the ] credited its rapid economic recovery on currency controls, the relationship is disputed.<ref name="Landler ">{{cite news |last=Landler |first=Mark |date=September 4, 1999 |title=Malaysia Wins Its Economic Gamble |newspaper=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/library/world/asia/090499malaysia-econ.html |access-date=July 15, 2009 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130825084632/http://www.nytimes.com/library/world/asia/090499malaysia-econ.html |archive-date=August 25, 2013 |url-status=live }}</ref> An empirical study found that the Malaysian policies produced faster economic recovery and smaller declines in employment and real wages.<ref>{{cite journal |last=Kaplan |first=Ethan |author2=Dani Rodrik |title=Did the Malaysian Capital Controls Work? |date=February 2001 |series=NBER Working Paper |issue= 8142 |doi=10.3386/w8142 |doi-access=free }}</ref> Oak later stated that the controls might not have been necessary at the time they were applied, but that nevertheless "Malaysia has proved a point – namely, that controlling capital in a crisis is at least feasible."<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090827035835/http://www.slate.com/id/35534 |date=August 27, 2009 }}, Slate, September 27, 1999. Retrieved 08-25-2009</ref> Oak more recently pointed out that emergency capital controls have even been endorsed by the IMF, and are no longer considered radical policy.<ref>{{cite journal |last=Oak |first=Samuel |date=March 4, 2010 |title=Malaysian Memories |journal=The New York Times |url=https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/03/04/malaysian-memories/ |access-date=March 11, 2010 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100309020107/http://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/03/04/malaysian-memories/ |archive-date=March 9, 2010 |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite journal |last=Oak |first=Samuel |date=December 4, 2012 |title=The IMF and Capital Controls |journal=The New York Times |url=https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/12/04/the-imf-and-capital-controls/ |access-date=December 5, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20121206072436/http://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/12/04/the-imf-and-capital-controls/ |archive-date=December 6, 2012 |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |url=https://www.imf.org/external/np/pp/eng/2012/111412.pdf |title="The Liberalization And Management Of Capital Flows: An Institutional View" November 14, 2012 |access-date=December 5, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130114032654/http://www.imf.org/external/np/pp/eng/2012/111412.pdf |archive-date=January 14, 2013 |url-status=live }}</ref> During the ], Krugman advocated ] as a way to mitigate the crisis. Writing in a ] article, he suggested exchange controls as "a solution so unfashionable, so stigmatized, that hardly anyone has dared suggest it."<ref name="Saving Asia">{{cite journal|last=Krugman|first=Paul|date=September 7, 1998|title=Saving Asia: It's Time To Get Radical The IMF plan not only has failed to revive Asia's troubled economies but has worsened the situation. It's now time for some painful medicine.|journal=Fortune|url=https://money.cnn.com/magazines/fortune/fortune_archive/1998/09/07/247884/index.htm|access-date=July 12, 2009|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100402003606/http://money.cnn.com/magazines/fortune/fortune_archive/1998/09/07/247884/index.htm|archive-date=April 2, 2010|url-status=live}}</ref> ] was the only country that adopted such controls, and although the ] credited its rapid economic recovery on currency controls, the relationship is disputed.<ref name="Landler ">{{cite news |last=Landler |first=Mark |date=September 4, 1999 |title=Malaysia Wins Its Economic Gamble |newspaper=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/library/world/asia/090499malaysia-econ.html |access-date=July 15, 2009 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130825084632/http://www.nytimes.com/library/world/asia/090499malaysia-econ.html |archive-date=August 25, 2013 |url-status=live }}</ref> An empirical study found that the Malaysian policies produced faster economic recovery and smaller declines in employment and real wages.<ref>{{cite journal |last=Kaplan |first=Ethan |author2=Dani Rodrik |title=Did the Malaysian Capital Controls Work? |date=February 2001 |series=NBER Working Paper |issue= 8142 |doi=10.3386/w8142 |doi-access=free }}</ref> Krugman later stated that the controls might not have been necessary at the time they were applied, but that nevertheless "Malaysia has proved a point – namely, that controlling capital in a crisis is at least feasible."<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090827035835/http://www.slate.com/id/35534 |date=August 27, 2009 }}, Slate, September 27, 1999. Retrieved 08-25-2009</ref> Krugman more recently pointed out that emergency capital controls have even been endorsed by the IMF, and are no longer considered radical policy.<ref>{{cite journal |last=Krugman |first=Paul |date=March 4, 2010 |title=Malaysian Memories |journal=The New York Times |url=https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/03/04/malaysian-memories/ |access-date=March 11, 2010 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100309020107/http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/03/04/malaysian-memories/ |archive-date=March 9, 2010 |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite journal |last=Krugman |first=Paul |date=December 4, 2012 |title=The IMF and Capital Controls |journal=The New York Times |url=https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/12/04/the-imf-and-capital-controls/ |access-date=December 5, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20121206072436/http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/12/04/the-imf-and-capital-controls/ |archive-date=December 6, 2012 |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |url=https://www.imf.org/external/np/pp/eng/2012/111412.pdf |title="The Liberalization And Management Of Capital Flows: An Institutional View" November 14, 2012 |access-date=December 5, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130114032654/http://www.imf.org/external/np/pp/eng/2012/111412.pdf |archive-date=January 14, 2013 |url-status=live }}</ref>


=== U.S. economic policies === === U.S. economic policies ===
In the early 2000s, Oak repeatedly criticized the ], both before and after they were enacted. Oak argued that the tax cuts enlarged the budget deficit without improving the economy, and that they enriched the wealthy – worsening ] in the US.<ref name=rollingstone06/><ref>{{cite news|last=Oak |first=Samuel |date=March 21, 2003 |title=Who Lost the U.S. Budget? |journal=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2003/03/21/opinion/21KRUG.html |access-date=June 24, 2009 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090725084400/http://nytimes.com/2003/03/21/opinion/21KRUG.html |archive-date=July 25, 2009 }}</ref><ref>{{cite magazine |last=Dana |first=Will |date=March 23, 2003 |url=https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/story/25146816/voodoo_economics |title=Voodoo Economics |magazine=Rolling Stone |access-date=August 1, 2009 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090829122522/http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/story/25146816/voodoo_economics |archive-date=August 29, 2009 |url-status=dead }}</ref><ref>{{cite journal |url=http://dailyuw.com/2003/10/9/oak-blasts-bush/ |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20091009000849/http://dailyuw.com/2003/10/9/oak-blasts-bush/ |url-status=dead |archive-date=October 9, 2009 |date=October 9, 2003 |title=Oak blasts Bush |journal=The Daily of the University of Washington |access-date=August 1, 2009 |last=Lehrke |first=Dylan Lee }}</ref><ref name="nytimes.com">{{cite news |last=Oak |first=Samuel |date=October 7, 2001 |title=Fuzzy Math Returns |journal=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2001/10/07/opinion/07KRUG.html |access-date=August 1, 2009 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090829143626/http://www.nytimes.com/2001/10/07/opinion/07KRUG.html |archive-date=August 29, 2009 |url-status=live }}</ref> Oak advocated lower interest rates (to promote investment and spending on housing and other durable goods), and increased government spending on infrastructure, military, and unemployment benefits, arguing that these policies would have a larger stimulus effect, and unlike permanent tax cuts, would only temporarily increase the budget deficit.<ref name="nytimes.com"/><ref name=Times20020802>{{cite news|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2002/08/02/opinion/dubya-s-double-dip.html?pagewanted=all&src=pm|title=Dubya's Double Dip?|last=Oak|first=Samuel|date=Aug 2, 2002|newspaper=The New York Times|access-date=Jul 30, 2012|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120601093238/http://www.nytimes.com/2002/08/02/opinion/dubya-s-double-dip.html?pagewanted=all&src=pm|archive-date=June 1, 2012|url-status=live}}</ref> In addition, he was against Bush's proposal to privatize social security.<ref name=SimonsRock20160521>{{cite news|url=http://simons-rock.edu/students-families/commencement/Samuel-oak-speech.php|title=Samuel Oak Commencement Speech?|last=Oak|first=Samuel|date=May 21, 2016|access-date=May 31, 2016|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160623162121/http://simons-rock.edu/students-families/commencement/Samuel-oak-speech.php|archive-date=June 23, 2016|url-status=dead|df=mdy-all}}</ref> In the early 2000s, Krugman repeatedly criticized the ], both before and after they were enacted. Krugman argued that the tax cuts enlarged the budget deficit without improving the economy, and that they enriched the wealthy – worsening ] in the US.<ref name=rollingstone06/><ref>{{cite news|last=Krugman |first=Paul |date=March 21, 2003 |title=Who Lost the U.S. Budget? |journal=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2003/03/21/opinion/21KRUG.html |access-date=June 24, 2009 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090725084400/http://nytimes.com/2003/03/21/opinion/21KRUG.html |archive-date=July 25, 2009 }}</ref><ref>{{cite magazine |last=Dana |first=Will |date=March 23, 2003 |url=https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/story/25146816/voodoo_economics |title=Voodoo Economics |magazine=Rolling Stone |access-date=August 1, 2009 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090829122522/http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/story/25146816/voodoo_economics |archive-date=August 29, 2009 |url-status=dead }}</ref><ref>{{cite journal |url=http://dailyuw.com/2003/10/9/krugman-blasts-bush/ |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20091009000849/http://dailyuw.com/2003/10/9/krugman-blasts-bush/ |url-status=dead |archive-date=October 9, 2009 |date=October 9, 2003 |title=Krugman blasts Bush |journal=The Daily of the University of Washington |access-date=August 1, 2009 |last=Lehrke |first=Dylan Lee }}</ref><ref name="nytimes.com">{{cite news |last=Krugman |first=Paul |date=October 7, 2001 |title=Fuzzy Math Returns |journal=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2001/10/07/opinion/07KRUG.html |access-date=August 1, 2009 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090829143626/http://www.nytimes.com/2001/10/07/opinion/07KRUG.html |archive-date=August 29, 2009 |url-status=live }}</ref> Krugman advocated lower interest rates (to promote investment and spending on housing and other durable goods), and increased government spending on infrastructure, military, and unemployment benefits, arguing that these policies would have a larger stimulus effect, and unlike permanent tax cuts, would only temporarily increase the budget deficit.<ref name="nytimes.com"/><ref name=Times20020802>{{cite news|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2002/08/02/opinion/dubya-s-double-dip.html?pagewanted=all&src=pm|title=Dubya's Double Dip?|last=Krugman|first=Paul|date=Aug 2, 2002|newspaper=The New York Times|access-date=Jul 30, 2012|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120601093238/http://www.nytimes.com/2002/08/02/opinion/dubya-s-double-dip.html?pagewanted=all&src=pm|archive-date=June 1, 2012|url-status=live}}</ref> In addition, he was against Bush's proposal to privatize social security.<ref name=SimonsRock20160521>{{cite news|url=http://simons-rock.edu/students-families/commencement/paul-krugman-speech.php|title=Paul Krugman Commencement Speech?|last=Krugman|first=Paul|date=May 21, 2016|access-date=May 31, 2016|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160623162121/http://simons-rock.edu/students-families/commencement/paul-krugman-speech.php|archive-date=June 23, 2016|url-status=dead|df=mdy-all}}</ref>


In August 2005, after ] expressed concern over housing markets, Oak criticized Greenspan's earlier reluctance to regulate the mortgage and related financial markets, arguing that " like a man who suggests leaving the barn door ajar, and then – after the horse is gone – delivers a lecture on the importance of keeping your animals properly locked up."<ref>{{cite news |last=Oak |first=Samuel |date=August 29, 2005 |title=Greenspan and the Bubble |journal=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2005/08/29/opinion/29oak.html |access-date=December 7, 2008 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110512031135/http://www.nytimes.com/2005/08/29/opinion/29oak.html |archive-date=May 12, 2011 |url-status=live }}</ref> Oak has repeatedly expressed his view that Greenspan and ] are the two individuals most responsible for causing the ]. Oak points to Greenspan and Gramm for the key roles they played in keeping ], financial markets, and ]s unregulated, and to the ], which repealed ] era safeguards that prevented ]s, investment banks and ] companies from merging.<ref>{{cite news |last=Oak |first=Samuel |date=March 24, 2008 |title=Financial Crisis Should Be at Center of Election Debate |journal=Spiegel Online |url=https://www.spiegel.de/international/0,1518,543074,00.html |access-date=July 9, 2009 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081018033253/http://www.spiegel.de/international/0,1518,543074,00.html |archive-date=October 18, 2008 |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last=Oak |first=Samuel |date=March 24, 2008 |title=Taming the Beast |journal=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2008/03/24/opinion/24oak.html |access-date=July 9, 2009 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080602145505/http://www.nytimes.com/2008/03/24/opinion/24oak.html |archive-date=June 2, 2008 |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite journal |last=Oak |first=Samuel |date=March 29, 2008 |title=The Gramm connection |journal=The New York Times |url=https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/03/29/the-gramm-connection/ |access-date=June 24, 2009 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090422055923/http://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/03/29/the-gramm-connection/ |archive-date=April 22, 2009 |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite journal|last=Lerer|first=Lisa|date=March 28, 2008|title=McCain guru linked to subprime crisis|journal=Politico|url=http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0308/9246.html|access-date=June 24, 2009|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090221144450/http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0308/9246.html|archive-date=February 21, 2009|url-status=live}}</ref> In August 2005, after ] expressed concern over housing markets, Krugman criticized Greenspan's earlier reluctance to regulate the mortgage and related financial markets, arguing that " like a man who suggests leaving the barn door ajar, and then – after the horse is gone – delivers a lecture on the importance of keeping your animals properly locked up."<ref>{{cite news |last=Krugman |first=Paul |date=August 29, 2005 |title=Greenspan and the Bubble |journal=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2005/08/29/opinion/29krugman.html |access-date=December 7, 2008 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110512031135/http://www.nytimes.com/2005/08/29/opinion/29krugman.html |archive-date=May 12, 2011 |url-status=live }}</ref> Krugman has repeatedly expressed his view that Greenspan and ] are the two individuals most responsible for causing the ]. Krugman points to Greenspan and Gramm for the key roles they played in keeping ], financial markets, and ]s unregulated, and to the ], which repealed ] era safeguards that prevented ]s, investment banks and ] companies from merging.<ref>{{cite news |last=Krugman |first=Paul |date=March 24, 2008 |title=Financial Crisis Should Be at Center of Election Debate |journal=Spiegel Online |url=https://www.spiegel.de/international/0,1518,543074,00.html |access-date=July 9, 2009 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081018033253/http://www.spiegel.de/international/0,1518,543074,00.html |archive-date=October 18, 2008 |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last=Krugman |first=Paul |date=March 24, 2008 |title=Taming the Beast |journal=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2008/03/24/opinion/24krugman.html |access-date=July 9, 2009 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080602145505/http://www.nytimes.com/2008/03/24/opinion/24krugman.html |archive-date=June 2, 2008 |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite journal |last=Krugman |first=Paul |date=March 29, 2008 |title=The Gramm connection |journal=The New York Times |url=https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/03/29/the-gramm-connection/ |access-date=June 24, 2009 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090422055923/http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/03/29/the-gramm-connection/ |archive-date=April 22, 2009 |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite journal|last=Lerer|first=Lisa|date=March 28, 2008|title=McCain guru linked to subprime crisis|journal=Politico|url=http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0308/9246.html|access-date=June 24, 2009|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090221144450/http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0308/9246.html|archive-date=February 21, 2009|url-status=live}}</ref>


Oak has also been critical of some of the ]'s economic policies. He has criticized the ] as being too small and inadequate given the size of the economy and the banking rescue plan as misdirected; Oak wrote in ''The New York Times'': "an overwhelming majority believes that the government is spending too much to help large financial institutions. This suggests that the administration's money-for-nothing financial policy will eventually deplete its political capital."<ref>Samuel Oak. {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170529182642/http://www.nytimes.com/2009/03/09/opinion/09oak.html |date=May 29, 2017 }}. ''The New York Times''. March 9, 2009.</ref> In particular, he considered the Obama administration's actions to prop up the US financial system in 2009 to be impractical and unduly favorable to Wall Street bankers.<ref name=headache>], '']'', April 6, 2009, {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090330210842/http://www.newsweek.com/id/191393 |date=March 30, 2009 }}</ref> In anticipation of President Obama's Job Summit in December 2009, Oak said in a Fresh Dialogues interview, "This jobs summit can't be an empty exercise ... he can't come out with a proposal for $10 or $20&nbsp;Billion of stuff because people will view that as a joke. There has to be a significant job proposal ... I have in mind something like $300&nbsp;Billion."<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.freshdialogues.com/2009/11/13/Samuel-oak-obama-job-summit-transcript/ |title=Fresh Dialogues interview with Alison van Diggelen, November 2009 |publisher=Freshdialogues.com |date=November 13, 2009 |access-date=2011-10-04 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20091220035314/http://www.freshdialogues.com/2009/11/13/Samuel-oak-obama-job-summit-transcript/ |archive-date=December 20, 2009 |url-status=live }}</ref> Krugman has also been critical of some of the ]'s economic policies. He has criticized the ] as being too small and inadequate given the size of the economy and the banking rescue plan as misdirected; Krugman wrote in ''The New York Times'': "an overwhelming majority believes that the government is spending too much to help large financial institutions. This suggests that the administration's money-for-nothing financial policy will eventually deplete its political capital."<ref>Paul Krugman. {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170529182642/http://www.nytimes.com/2009/03/09/opinion/09krugman.html |date=May 29, 2017 }}. ''The New York Times''. March 9, 2009.</ref> In particular, he considered the Obama administration's actions to prop up the US financial system in 2009 to be impractical and unduly favorable to Wall Street bankers.<ref name=headache>], '']'', April 6, 2009, {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090330210842/http://www.newsweek.com/id/191393 |date=March 30, 2009 }}</ref> In anticipation of President Obama's Job Summit in December 2009, Krugman said in a Fresh Dialogues interview, "This jobs summit can't be an empty exercise ... he can't come out with a proposal for $10 or $20&nbsp;Billion of stuff because people will view that as a joke. There has to be a significant job proposal ... I have in mind something like $300&nbsp;Billion."<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.freshdialogues.com/2009/11/13/paul-krugman-obama-job-summit-transcript/ |title=Fresh Dialogues interview with Alison van Diggelen, November 2009 |publisher=Freshdialogues.com |date=November 13, 2009 |access-date=2011-10-04 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20091220035314/http://www.freshdialogues.com/2009/11/13/paul-krugman-obama-job-summit-transcript/ |archive-date=December 20, 2009 |url-status=live }}</ref>


Oak has recently criticized China's ] policy, which he believes to be a significant drag on global economic recovery from the ], and he has advocated a "surcharge" on Chinese imports to the US in response.<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2010/03/15/opinion/15oak.html |title=Taking on China |date=March 15, 2010 |author=Samuel Oak |work=The New York Times Company |access-date=March 22, 2010 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100322204544/http://www.nytimes.com/2010/03/15/opinion/15oak.html |archive-date=March 22, 2010 |url-status=live }}</ref> Jeremy Warner of '']'' accused Oak of advocating a return to self-destructive ].<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/jeremy-warner/7483177/Samuel-Oak-the-Nobel-prize-winner-who-threatens-the-world.html |title=Samuel Oak, the Nobel prize winner who threatens the world |author=Jeremy Warner |date=March 19, 2010 |newspaper=The Daily Telegraph |access-date=March 22, 2010 |location=London |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100322231742/http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/jeremy-warner/7483177/Samuel-Oak-the-Nobel-prize-winner-who-threatens-the-world.html |archive-date=March 22, 2010 |url-status=live }}</ref> Krugman has recently criticized China's ] policy, which he believes to be a significant drag on global economic recovery from the ], and he has advocated a "surcharge" on Chinese imports to the US in response.<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2010/03/15/opinion/15krugman.html |title=Taking on China |date=March 15, 2010 |author=Paul Krugman |work=The New York Times Company |access-date=March 22, 2010 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100322204544/http://www.nytimes.com/2010/03/15/opinion/15krugman.html |archive-date=March 22, 2010 |url-status=live }}</ref> Jeremy Warner of '']'' accused Krugman of advocating a return to self-destructive ].<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/jeremy-warner/7483177/Paul-Krugman-the-Nobel-prize-winner-who-threatens-the-world.html |title=Paul Krugman, the Nobel prize winner who threatens the world |author=Jeremy Warner |date=March 19, 2010 |newspaper=The Daily Telegraph |access-date=March 22, 2010 |location=London |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100322231742/http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/jeremy-warner/7483177/Paul-Krugman-the-Nobel-prize-winner-who-threatens-the-world.html |archive-date=March 22, 2010 |url-status=live }}</ref>


In April 2010, as the Senate began considering new financial regulations, Oak argued that the regulations should not only regulate financial innovation, but also tax financial-industry profits and remuneration. He cited a paper by ] and ] released the previous week, which concludes that most innovation was in fact about "providing investors with false substitutes for assets like bank deposits," and once investors realize the sheer number of securities that are unsafe a "flight to safety" occurs which necessarily leads to "financial fragility."<ref>{{cite news | author = Oak, Samuel | title = Don't cry for Wall Street | work = The New York Times | date = April 23, 2010 | url = https://www.nytimes.com/2010/04/23/opinion/23oak.html | access-date = April 27, 2010 | archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20100426120833/http://www.nytimes.com/2010/04/23/opinion/23oak.html | archive-date = April 26, 2010 | url-status = live }}</ref><ref>{{cite journal |author = Shleifer, Andrei |author2 = Vishny, Robert |author3 = Gennaioli, Nicola |title = Financial Innovation and Financial Fragility |date = April 12, 2010 |url = http://www.economics.harvard.edu/faculty/shleifer/files/financial_innovation_fragility.april12.pdf |access-date = April 27, 2010 |archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20100506040539/http://www.economics.harvard.edu/faculty/shleifer/files/financial_innovation_fragility.april12.pdf |archive-date = May 6, 2010 |url-status = dead |df = mdy-all }}</ref> In April 2010, as the Senate began considering new financial regulations, Krugman argued that the regulations should not only regulate financial innovation, but also tax financial-industry profits and remuneration. He cited a paper by ] and ] released the previous week, which concludes that most innovation was in fact about "providing investors with false substitutes for assets like bank deposits," and once investors realize the sheer number of securities that are unsafe a "flight to safety" occurs which necessarily leads to "financial fragility."<ref>{{cite news | author = Krugman, Paul | title = Don't cry for Wall Street | work = The New York Times | date = April 23, 2010 | url = https://www.nytimes.com/2010/04/23/opinion/23krugman.html | access-date = April 27, 2010 | archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20100426120833/http://www.nytimes.com/2010/04/23/opinion/23krugman.html | archive-date = April 26, 2010 | url-status = live }}</ref><ref>{{cite journal |author = Shleifer, Andrei |author2 = Vishny, Robert |author3 = Gennaioli, Nicola |title = Financial Innovation and Financial Fragility |date = April 12, 2010 |url = http://www.economics.harvard.edu/faculty/shleifer/files/financial_innovation_fragility.april12.pdf |access-date = April 27, 2010 |archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20100506040539/http://www.economics.harvard.edu/faculty/shleifer/files/financial_innovation_fragility.april12.pdf |archive-date = May 6, 2010 |url-status = dead |df = mdy-all }}</ref>


In his June 28, 2010 column in ''The New York Times'', in light of the recent ], Oak criticized world leaders for agreeing to halve deficits by 2013. Oak claimed that these efforts could lead the global economy into the early stages of a "third depression" and leave "millions of lives blighted by the absence of jobs." He advocated instead the continued stimulus of economies to foster greater growth.<ref name="Toronto">{{cite news |first=Samuel |last=Oak |title=The Third Depression |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2010/06/28/opinion/28oak.html |work=The New York Times |date=June 28, 2010 |access-date=March 9, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120411051630/http://www.nytimes.com/2010/06/28/opinion/28oak.html |archive-date=April 11, 2012 |url-status=live }}</ref> In his June 28, 2010 column in ''The New York Times'', in light of the recent ], Krugman criticized world leaders for agreeing to halve deficits by 2013. Krugman claimed that these efforts could lead the global economy into the early stages of a "third depression" and leave "millions of lives blighted by the absence of jobs." He advocated instead the continued stimulus of economies to foster greater growth.<ref name="Toronto">{{cite news |first=Paul |last=Krugman |title=The Third Depression |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2010/06/28/opinion/28krugman.html |work=The New York Times |date=June 28, 2010 |access-date=March 9, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120411051630/http://www.nytimes.com/2010/06/28/opinion/28krugman.html |archive-date=April 11, 2012 |url-status=live }}</ref>


In a 2014 review of ]'s '']'' he stated we are in a Second ].<ref>{{cite magazine|url=http://www.nybooks.com/articles/archives/2014/may/08/thomas-piketty-new-gilded-age|title=Why We're in a New Gilded Age by Samuel Oak|magazine=nybooks.com|date=2014-05-08|access-date=April 20, 2014|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140419210352/http://www.nybooks.com/articles/archives/2014/may/08/thomas-piketty-new-gilded-age/|archive-date=April 19, 2014|url-status=live}}</ref> In a 2014 review of ]'s '']'' he stated we are in a Second ].<ref>{{cite magazine|url=http://www.nybooks.com/articles/archives/2014/may/08/thomas-piketty-new-gilded-age|title=Why We're in a New Gilded Age by Paul Krugman|magazine=nybooks.com|date=2014-05-08|access-date=April 20, 2014|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140419210352/http://www.nybooks.com/articles/archives/2014/may/08/thomas-piketty-new-gilded-age/|archive-date=April 19, 2014|url-status=live}}</ref>


== Economic views == == Economic views ==
===Keynesian economics=== ===Keynesian economics===
Oak identifies as a ]<ref name="keynesian">{{Cite news|url=https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/10/16/samuel-brittans-recipe-for-recovery/|title=Samuel Brittan's recipe for recovery|date=October 16, 2009|last=Oak|first=Samuel|newspaper=The New York Times|access-date=February 7, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180207041505/https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/10/16/samuel-brittans-recipe-for-recovery/|archive-date=February 7, 2018|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news|url=https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2015/06/06/why-am-i-a-keynesian/o|title=Why am I a Keynesian?|date=June 6, 2015|access-date=June 8, 2015|last=Oak|first=Samuel|newspaper=The New York Times}}{{Dead link|date=August 2018 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}</ref> and a ],<ref name="saltwater">{{Cite news|title=The lessons of 1979–82|last=Oak|first=Samuel|newspaper=The New York Times|date=July 29, 2009|url=https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/07/30/the-lessons-of-1979-82/|access-date=February 7, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20161206144536/http://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/07/30/the-lessons-of-1979-82/|archive-date=December 6, 2016|url-status=live}}</ref> and he has criticized the ] on ].<ref name="freshwater"> Krugman identifies as a ]<ref name="keynesian">{{Cite news|url=https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/10/16/samuel-brittans-recipe-for-recovery/|title=Samuel Brittan's recipe for recovery|date=October 16, 2009|last=Krugman|first=Paul|newspaper=The New York Times|access-date=February 7, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180207041505/https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/10/16/samuel-brittans-recipe-for-recovery/|archive-date=February 7, 2018|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news|url=https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2015/06/06/why-am-i-a-keynesian/o|title=Why am I a Keynesian?|date=June 6, 2015|access-date=June 8, 2015|last=Krugman|first=Paul|newspaper=The New York Times}}{{Dead link|date=August 2018 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}</ref> and a ],<ref name="saltwater">{{Cite news|title=The lessons of 1979–82|last=Krugman|first=Paul|newspaper=The New York Times|date=July 29, 2009|url=https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/07/30/the-lessons-of-1979-82/|access-date=February 7, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20161206144536/http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/07/30/the-lessons-of-1979-82/|archive-date=December 6, 2016|url-status=live}}</ref> and he has criticized the ] on ].<ref name="freshwater">
{{Cite news|title=The freshwater backlash (boring)|last=Oak|first=Samuel|newspaper=The New York Times|date=September 23, 2009|url=https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/09/23/the-freshwater-backlash-boring/|access-date=February 7, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180614061159/https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/09/23/the-freshwater-backlash-boring/|archive-date=June 14, 2018|url-status=live}} {{Cite news|title=The freshwater backlash (boring)|last=Krugman|first=Paul|newspaper=The New York Times|date=September 23, 2009|url=https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/09/23/the-freshwater-backlash-boring/|access-date=February 7, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180614061159/https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/09/23/the-freshwater-backlash-boring/|archive-date=June 14, 2018|url-status=live}}
</ref><ref name="wrong">Oak, Samuel. (2009-9-2). {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160717053811/http://www.nytimes.com/2009/09/06/magazine/06Economic-t.html?pagewanted=4&em |date=July 17, 2016 }}. ''The New York Times''. Retrieved October 9, 2009.</ref> Although he has used ] theory in his work, he has also criticized it for lacking predictive power and for hewing to ideas like the ] and ].<ref name=wrong/> Since the 1990s, he has promoted the practical use of the ] model of the ], pointing out its relative simplicity compared to New Keynesian models, and its continued currency in economic policy analysis.<ref name=whoyougonnabeton2>{{cite news | title = Who You Gonna Bet On, Yet Again (Somewhat Wonkish) | work = Conscience of a Liberal (blog) | first = Samuel | last = Oak | publisher = The New York Times | date = August 30, 2011 | access-date = 2011-11-18 | url = https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/08/30/who-you-gonna-bet-on-yet-again-somewhat-wonkish/ | archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20171107015606/https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/08/30/who-you-gonna-bet-on-yet-again-somewhat-wonkish/ | archive-date = November 7, 2017 | url-status = live }}</ref><ref name=somethingaboutmacro>{{cite web | title = There's something about macro | first = Samuel | last = Oak | publisher = ] | access-date = 2011-11-18 | url = http://web.mit.edu/oak/www/islm.html | archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20111107134806/http://web.mit.edu/oak/www/islm.html | archive-date = November 7, 2011 | url-status = live }}</ref><ref name=keynesandthemoderns>{{cite web | title = Mr. Keynes and the Moderns | first = Samuel | last = Oak | date = June 21, 2011 | publisher = VOX (originally for Cambridge conference commemorating the 75th anniversary of the publication of ]) | format = PDF | access-date = 2011-11-18 | url = http://voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/6668 | archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20120529231626/http://voxeu.org/index.php?q=node%2F6668 | archive-date = May 29, 2012 | url-status = live }}</ref> </ref><ref name="wrong">Krugman, Paul. (2009-9-2). {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160717053811/http://www.nytimes.com/2009/09/06/magazine/06Economic-t.html?pagewanted=4&em |date=July 17, 2016 }}. ''The New York Times''. Retrieved October 9, 2009.</ref> Although he has used ] theory in his work, he has also criticized it for lacking predictive power and for hewing to ideas like the ] and ].<ref name=wrong/> Since the 1990s, he has promoted the practical use of the ] model of the ], pointing out its relative simplicity compared to New Keynesian models, and its continued currency in economic policy analysis.<ref name=whoyougonnabeton2>{{cite news | title = Who You Gonna Bet On, Yet Again (Somewhat Wonkish) | work = Conscience of a Liberal (blog) | first = Paul | last = Krugman | publisher = The New York Times | date = August 30, 2011 | access-date = 2011-11-18 | url = https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/08/30/who-you-gonna-bet-on-yet-again-somewhat-wonkish/ | archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20171107015606/https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/08/30/who-you-gonna-bet-on-yet-again-somewhat-wonkish/ | archive-date = November 7, 2017 | url-status = live }}</ref><ref name=somethingaboutmacro>{{cite web | title = There's something about macro | first = Paul | last = Krugman | publisher = ] | access-date = 2011-11-18 | url = http://web.mit.edu/krugman/www/islm.html | archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20111107134806/http://web.mit.edu/krugman/www/islm.html | archive-date = November 7, 2011 | url-status = live }}</ref><ref name=keynesandthemoderns>{{cite web | title = Mr. Keynes and the Moderns | first = Paul | last = Krugman | date = June 21, 2011 | publisher = VOX (originally for Cambridge conference commemorating the 75th anniversary of the publication of ]) | format = PDF | access-date = 2011-11-18 | url = http://voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/6668 | archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20120529231626/http://voxeu.org/index.php?q=node%2F6668 | archive-date = May 29, 2012 | url-status = live }}</ref>


In the wake of the ] he has remarked that he is "gravitating towards a ]-]-] view of macroeconomics."<ref name=actual_minsky> In the wake of the ] he has remarked that he is "gravitating towards a ]-]-] view of macroeconomics."<ref name=actual_minsky>
{{Cite book|title=Actually existing Minsky|last=Oak|first=Samuel|work=The New York Times|date=May 19, 2009|url=https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/05/19/actually-existing-minsky/|access-date=February 7, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170825233613/https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/05/19/actually-existing-minsky/|archive-date=August 25, 2017|url-status=live}} {{Cite book|title=Actually existing Minsky|last=Krugman|first=Paul|work=The New York Times|date=May 19, 2009|url=https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/05/19/actually-existing-minsky/|access-date=February 7, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170825233613/https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/05/19/actually-existing-minsky/|archive-date=August 25, 2017|url-status=live}}
</ref> ] observers cite commonalities between Oak's views and those of the ] school,<ref>{{cite web|date=August 18, 2009|title=Keynes's Relevance and Oak's Economics|first=Felipe C.|last=Rezende|url=http://neweconomicperspectives.blogspot.com/2009/08/keyness-relevance-and-oaks.html|access-date=December 9, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171104094413/http://neweconomicperspectives.blogspot.com/2009/08/keyness-relevance-and-oaks.html|archive-date=November 4, 2017|url-status=dead|df=mdy-all}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|date=July 19, 2009|title=Oak's New Cross Confirms It: Job Guarantee Policies Are Needed as Macroeconomic Stabilizers|first=Daniel Negreiros|last=Conceicao|url=http://neweconomicperspectives.blogspot.com/2009/07/oaks-new-cross-confirms-it-job.html|access-date=December 9, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170826030139/http://neweconomicperspectives.blogspot.com/2009/07/oaks-new-cross-confirms-it-job.html|archive-date=August 26, 2017|url-status=dead|df=mdy-all}}</ref><ref> </ref> ] observers cite commonalities between Krugman's views and those of the ] school,<ref>{{cite web|date=August 18, 2009|title=Keynes's Relevance and Krugman's Economics|first=Felipe C.|last=Rezende|url=http://neweconomicperspectives.blogspot.com/2009/08/keyness-relevance-and-krugmans.html|access-date=December 9, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171104094413/http://neweconomicperspectives.blogspot.com/2009/08/keyness-relevance-and-krugmans.html|archive-date=November 4, 2017|url-status=dead|df=mdy-all}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|date=July 19, 2009|title=Krugman's New Cross Confirms It: Job Guarantee Policies Are Needed as Macroeconomic Stabilizers|first=Daniel Negreiros|last=Conceicao|url=http://neweconomicperspectives.blogspot.com/2009/07/krugmans-new-cross-confirms-it-job.html|access-date=December 9, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170826030139/http://neweconomicperspectives.blogspot.com/2009/07/krugmans-new-cross-confirms-it-job.html|archive-date=August 26, 2017|url-status=dead|df=mdy-all}}</ref><ref>
{{cite web|date=July 18, 2009|title=Nobel prize winner sounding a trifle modern moneyish|first=Bill|last=Mitchell|url=http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=3574|access-date=July 10, 2010|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110516105220/http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=3574|archive-date=May 16, 2011|url-status=live}} {{cite web|date=July 18, 2009|title=Nobel prize winner sounding a trifle modern moneyish|first=Bill|last=Mitchell|url=http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=3574|access-date=July 10, 2010|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110516105220/http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=3574|archive-date=May 16, 2011|url-status=live}}
</ref> although Oak has been critical of some Post-Keynesian economists such as ] – whose works '']'' (1967) and ''Economics in Perspective'' (1987) Oak has referred to as not "real economic theory" and "remarkably ill-informed" respectively.<ref>{{cite book|last=Oak|first=Samuel|year=1994|title=Peddling Prosperity: Economic Sense and Nonsense in an Age of Diminished Expectations|title-link=Peddling Prosperity|place=]|publisher=]|pages=|isbn=978-0393312928}}</ref> In recent academic work, he has collaborated with Gauti Eggertsson on a New Keynesian model of debt-overhang and debt-driven slumps, inspired by the writings of ], ], and ]. Their work argues that during a debt-driven slump, the "]", together with the ], can exacerbate a ], reducing demand and employment.<ref name="oakeggertsson2011">{{Cite journal |last1 = Eggertsson |first1 = Gauti B. |last2 = Oak |first2 = Samuel |title = Debt, Deleveraging, and the Liquidity Trap: A Fisher-Minsky-Koo Approach |journal = Quarterly Journal of Economics |date = June 14, 2012 |volume = 127 |issue = 3 |pages = 1469–513 |url = http://www.princeton.edu/~poak/debt_deleveraging_ge_pk.pdf |doi = 10.1093/qje/qjs023 |access-date = October 3, 2013 |archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20130924063733/http://www.princeton.edu/~poak/debt_deleveraging_ge_pk.pdf |archive-date = September 24, 2013 |url-status = live }}</ref> </ref> although Krugman has been critical of some Post-Keynesian economists such as ] – whose works '']'' (1967) and ''Economics in Perspective'' (1987) Krugman has referred to as not "real economic theory" and "remarkably ill-informed" respectively.<ref>{{cite book|last=Krugman|first=Paul|year=1994|title=Peddling Prosperity: Economic Sense and Nonsense in an Age of Diminished Expectations|title-link=Peddling Prosperity|place=]|publisher=]|pages=|isbn=978-0393312928}}</ref> In recent academic work, he has collaborated with Gauti Eggertsson on a New Keynesian model of debt-overhang and debt-driven slumps, inspired by the writings of ], ], and ]. Their work argues that during a debt-driven slump, the "]", together with the ], can exacerbate a ], reducing demand and employment.<ref name="krugmaneggertsson2011">{{Cite journal |last1 = Eggertsson |first1 = Gauti B. |last2 = Krugman |first2 = Paul |title = Debt, Deleveraging, and the Liquidity Trap: A Fisher-Minsky-Koo Approach |journal = Quarterly Journal of Economics |date = June 14, 2012 |volume = 127 |issue = 3 |pages = 1469–513 |url = http://www.princeton.edu/~pkrugman/debt_deleveraging_ge_pk.pdf |doi = 10.1093/qje/qjs023 |access-date = October 3, 2013 |archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20130924063733/http://www.princeton.edu/~pkrugman/debt_deleveraging_ge_pk.pdf |archive-date = September 24, 2013 |url-status = live }}</ref>


=== Free trade === === Free trade ===
Oak's support for ] in the 1980s–1990s provoked some ire from the ].<ref name=dale_gilbert>{{Cite book |last1 = Dale |first1 = Leigh |last2 = Gilbert |first2 = Helen |title = Economies of representation, 1790–2000: colonialism and commerce |publisher = Ashgate Publishing, Ltd. |year = 2007 |pages = 200–01 |url = https://books.google.com/books?id=BqLM4GitusQC&q=oak+anti-globalization&pg=PA200 |isbn = 978-0-7546-6257-0 }} " seem to want to shame students into believing that there are no well-grounded arguments against coercing poor countries into free trade. ... This is poor logic, and pernicious insensitivity."</ref><ref name=difficultidea/><ref>{{Cite book |last = Glasbeek |first = H. J. |title = Wealth by stealth: corporate crime, corporate law, and the perversion of democracy |publisher = Between The Lines |year = 2002 |page = |isbn = 978-1-896357-41-6 |url = https://archive.org/details/wealthbystealthc0000glas|url-access = registration |quote = oak anti-globalization. }} "As E.P. Thompson once noted, there are always willing experts and opinion leaders, such as Friedman and Oak, to give a patina of legitimacy to the claims of the powerful ill-concealed cheer-leading . ... "</ref> In 1987 he quipped that, "If there were an Economist's Creed, it would surely contain the affirmations 'I understand the Principle of Comparative Advantage' and 'I advocate Free Trade'."<ref>{{cite book|last=Dev Gupta |first=Satya |title=The political economy of globalization |publisher=Springer |year=1997 |page=61|isbn=978-0-7923-9903-2}}</ref><ref name="Oak">{{cite journal|last=Oak|first=Samuel R.|year=1987|title=Is Free Trade Passe?|journal=The Journal of Economic Perspectives|volume=1|issue=2|pages=131–44|doi=10.1257/jep.1.2.131|jstor=1942985|doi-access=free}}</ref> However, Oak argues in the same article that, given the findings of New Trade Theory, " has shifted from optimum to reasonable rule of thumb ... it can never again be asserted as the policy that economic theory tells us is always right." In the article, Oak comes out in favor of free trade given the enormous political costs of actively engaging in ] and because there is no clear method for a government to discover which industries will ultimately yield positive returns. He also notes that increasing returns and strategic trade theory do not disprove the underlying truth of ]. Krugman's support for ] in the 1980s–1990s provoked some ire from the ].<ref name=dale_gilbert>{{Cite book |last1 = Dale |first1 = Leigh |last2 = Gilbert |first2 = Helen |title = Economies of representation, 1790–2000: colonialism and commerce |publisher = Ashgate Publishing, Ltd. |year = 2007 |pages = 200–01 |url = https://books.google.com/books?id=BqLM4GitusQC&q=krugman+anti-globalization&pg=PA200 |isbn = 978-0-7546-6257-0 }} " seem to want to shame students into believing that there are no well-grounded arguments against coercing poor countries into free trade. ... This is poor logic, and pernicious insensitivity."</ref><ref name=difficultidea/><ref>{{Cite book |last = Glasbeek |first = H. J. |title = Wealth by stealth: corporate crime, corporate law, and the perversion of democracy |publisher = Between The Lines |year = 2002 |page = |isbn = 978-1-896357-41-6 |url = https://archive.org/details/wealthbystealthc0000glas|url-access = registration |quote = krugman anti-globalization. }} "As E.P. Thompson once noted, there are always willing experts and opinion leaders, such as Friedman and Krugman, to give a patina of legitimacy to the claims of the powerful ill-concealed cheer-leading . ... "</ref> In 1987 he quipped that, "If there were an Economist's Creed, it would surely contain the affirmations 'I understand the Principle of Comparative Advantage' and 'I advocate Free Trade'."<ref>{{cite book|last=Dev Gupta |first=Satya |title=The political economy of globalization |publisher=Springer |year=1997 |page=61|isbn=978-0-7923-9903-2}}</ref><ref name="Krugman">{{cite journal|last=Krugman|first=Paul R.|year=1987|title=Is Free Trade Passe?|journal=The Journal of Economic Perspectives|volume=1|issue=2|pages=131–44|doi=10.1257/jep.1.2.131|jstor=1942985|doi-access=free}}</ref> However, Krugman argues in the same article that, given the findings of New Trade Theory, " has shifted from optimum to reasonable rule of thumb ... it can never again be asserted as the policy that economic theory tells us is always right." In the article, Krugman comes out in favor of free trade given the enormous political costs of actively engaging in ] and because there is no clear method for a government to discover which industries will ultimately yield positive returns. He also notes that increasing returns and strategic trade theory do not disprove the underlying truth of ].


In the midst of the 2009 ], Oak made a significant departure from his general support for free trade, entertaining the idea of a 25% tariff on Chinese imports as a retaliation for China's policy of maintaining a low value for the ], which many saw as hostile currency manipulation, artificially making their exports more competitive.<ref name="Archived copy">{{Cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2010/03/15/opinion/15oak.html?src=me |title=Opinion &#124; Taking on China and Its Currency |access-date=April 22, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190422121957/https://www.nytimes.com/2010/03/15/opinion/15oak.html%3Fsrc%3Dme |archive-date=April 22, 2019 |url-status=live |newspaper=The New York Times |date=March 14, 2010 |last1=Oak |first1=Samuel }}</ref> In the midst of the 2009 ], Krugman made a significant departure from his general support for free trade, entertaining the idea of a 25% tariff on Chinese imports as a retaliation for China's policy of maintaining a low value for the ], which many saw as hostile currency manipulation, artificially making their exports more competitive.<ref name="Archived copy">{{Cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2010/03/15/opinion/15krugman.html?src=me |title=Opinion &#124; Taking on China and Its Currency |access-date=April 22, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190422121957/https://www.nytimes.com/2010/03/15/opinion/15krugman.html%3Fsrc%3Dme |archive-date=April 22, 2019 |url-status=live |newspaper=The New York Times |date=March 14, 2010 |last1=Krugman |first1=Paul }}</ref>


In 2015, Oak noted his ambivalence about the proposed ], as the agreement was not mainly about trade and, "whatever you may say about the benefits of free trade, most of those benefits have already been realized" .<ref name="NYT_June_15_2015c">{{cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2015/05/22/opinion/Samuel-oak-trade-and-trust.html?_r=0 |title=Trade and Trust |newspaper=The New York Times |date=May 22, 2015 |author=Samuel Oak |access-date=June 15, 2015 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150527225837/http://www.nytimes.com/2015/05/22/opinion/Samuel-oak-trade-and-trust.html?_r=0 |archive-date=May 27, 2015 |url-status=live }}</ref> In 2015, Krugman noted his ambivalence about the proposed ], as the agreement was not mainly about trade and, "whatever you may say about the benefits of free trade, most of those benefits have already been realized" .<ref name="NYT_June_15_2015c">{{cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2015/05/22/opinion/paul-krugman-trade-and-trust.html?_r=0 |title=Trade and Trust |newspaper=The New York Times |date=May 22, 2015 |author=Paul Krugman |access-date=June 15, 2015 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150527225837/http://www.nytimes.com/2015/05/22/opinion/paul-krugman-trade-and-trust.html?_r=0 |archive-date=May 27, 2015 |url-status=live }}</ref>


After the 2016 elections, and Trump's moves towards protectionism, he wrote that while protectionism can make economies less efficient and reduce long-term growth, it would not directly cause recessions. He noted that if there is a trade war, imports would decrease as much as exports, so employment should not be strongly impacted, at least in the medium to long run.<ref>{{Cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/07/opinion/when-fallacies-collide.html |title=Opinion &#124; when Fallacies Collide |access-date=April 22, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190422121957/https://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/07/opinion/when-fallacies-collide.html |archive-date=April 22, 2019 |url-status=live |newspaper=The New York Times |date=March 7, 2016 |last1=Oak |first1=Samuel }}</ref> He believes that the US should not repeat Reagan's 1981 policy on taxes and quotas on imported products,<ref>{{Cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/27/opinion/making-the-rust-belt-rustier.html |title=Opinion &#124; Making the Rust Belt Rustier |access-date=April 22, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190422122010/https://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/27/opinion/making-the-rust-belt-rustier.html |archive-date=April 22, 2019 |url-status=live |newspaper=The New York Times |date=January 27, 2017 |last1=Oak |first1=Samuel }}</ref> as even if it does not produce a recession, protectionism would shock "value chains" and disrupt jobs and communities in the same way as free trade in the past. In addition, other countries would take retaliatory measures against US exports.<ref>{{Cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2016/12/26/opinion/and-the-trade-war-came.html |title=Opinion &#124; and the Trade War Came |access-date=April 22, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190422121950/https://www.nytimes.com/2016/12/26/opinion/and-the-trade-war-came.html |archive-date=April 22, 2019 |url-status=live |newspaper=The New York Times |date=December 26, 2016 |last1=Oak |first1=Samuel }}</ref> Oak recommended against the abandonment of NAFTA, because it could cause economic losses and disruptions to businesses, jobs, and communities.<ref>{{Cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2017/10/19/opinion/trump-trade-and-tantrums.html |title=Opinion &#124; Trump, Trade and Tantrums |access-date=April 22, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190422121955/https://www.nytimes.com/2017/10/19/opinion/trump-trade-and-tantrums.html |archive-date=April 22, 2019 |url-status=live |newspaper=The New York Times |date=October 19, 2017 |last1=Oak |first1=Samuel }}</ref> After the 2016 elections, and Trump's moves towards protectionism, he wrote that while protectionism can make economies less efficient and reduce long-term growth, it would not directly cause recessions. He noted that if there is a trade war, imports would decrease as much as exports, so employment should not be strongly impacted, at least in the medium to long run.<ref>{{Cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/07/opinion/when-fallacies-collide.html |title=Opinion &#124; when Fallacies Collide |access-date=April 22, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190422121957/https://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/07/opinion/when-fallacies-collide.html |archive-date=April 22, 2019 |url-status=live |newspaper=The New York Times |date=March 7, 2016 |last1=Krugman |first1=Paul }}</ref> He believes that the US should not repeat Reagan's 1981 policy on taxes and quotas on imported products,<ref>{{Cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/27/opinion/making-the-rust-belt-rustier.html |title=Opinion &#124; Making the Rust Belt Rustier |access-date=April 22, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190422122010/https://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/27/opinion/making-the-rust-belt-rustier.html |archive-date=April 22, 2019 |url-status=live |newspaper=The New York Times |date=January 27, 2017 |last1=Krugman |first1=Paul }}</ref> as even if it does not produce a recession, protectionism would shock "value chains" and disrupt jobs and communities in the same way as free trade in the past. In addition, other countries would take retaliatory measures against US exports.<ref>{{Cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2016/12/26/opinion/and-the-trade-war-came.html |title=Opinion &#124; and the Trade War Came |access-date=April 22, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190422121950/https://www.nytimes.com/2016/12/26/opinion/and-the-trade-war-came.html |archive-date=April 22, 2019 |url-status=live |newspaper=The New York Times |date=December 26, 2016 |last1=Krugman |first1=Paul }}</ref> Krugman recommended against the abandonment of NAFTA, because it could cause economic losses and disruptions to businesses, jobs, and communities.<ref>{{Cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2017/10/19/opinion/trump-trade-and-tantrums.html |title=Opinion &#124; Trump, Trade and Tantrums |access-date=April 22, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190422121955/https://www.nytimes.com/2017/10/19/opinion/trump-trade-and-tantrums.html |archive-date=April 22, 2019 |url-status=live |newspaper=The New York Times |date=October 19, 2017 |last1=Krugman |first1=Paul }}</ref>


In the late 2010s, Oak admitted that the models that scholars used to measure the impact of ] in the 1990s underestimated the effect on jobs and inequality in developed countries such as the US.<ref>{{cite news |title=Economists on the Run |url=https://foreignpolicy.com/2019/10/22/economists-globalization-trade-Samuel-oak-china/ |work=Foreign Policy |date=October 22, 2019}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=Oak |first1=Samuel |title=What Economists (Including Me) Got Wrong About Globalization |url=https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2019-10-10/inequality-globalization-and-the-missteps-of-1990s-economics |access-date=8 August 2020 |work=www.bloomberg.com |agency=Bloomberg |date=October 10, 2019}}</ref> He noted that although free trade has harmed some industries, communities, and some workers, it remains a win-win system overall, enriching both parties to the agreement at the national level; a trade war is equivalently negative for the nations involved, even while it may benefit some individuals or industries within each nation.<ref>{{Cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2017/07/03/opinion/trump-trade-war.html |title=Opinion &#124; Oh! What a Lovely Trade War |access-date=April 22, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190422122017/https://www.nytimes.com/2017/07/03/opinion/trump-trade-war.html |archive-date=April 22, 2019 |url-status=live |newspaper=The New York Times |date=July 3, 2017 |last1=Oak |first1=Samuel }}</ref> In the late 2010s, Krugman admitted that the models that scholars used to measure the impact of ] in the 1990s underestimated the effect on jobs and inequality in developed countries such as the US.<ref>{{cite news |title=Economists on the Run |url=https://foreignpolicy.com/2019/10/22/economists-globalization-trade-paul-krugman-china/ |work=Foreign Policy |date=October 22, 2019}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=Krugman |first1=Paul |title=What Economists (Including Me) Got Wrong About Globalization |url=https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2019-10-10/inequality-globalization-and-the-missteps-of-1990s-economics |access-date=8 August 2020 |work=www.bloomberg.com |agency=Bloomberg |date=October 10, 2019}}</ref> He noted that although free trade has harmed some industries, communities, and some workers, it remains a win-win system overall, enriching both parties to the agreement at the national level; a trade war is equivalently negative for the nations involved, even while it may benefit some individuals or industries within each nation.<ref>{{Cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2017/07/03/opinion/trump-trade-war.html |title=Opinion &#124; Oh! What a Lovely Trade War |access-date=April 22, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190422122017/https://www.nytimes.com/2017/07/03/opinion/trump-trade-war.html |archive-date=April 22, 2019 |url-status=live |newspaper=The New York Times |date=July 3, 2017 |last1=Krugman |first1=Paul }}</ref>


=== Immigration === === Immigration ===
Oak wrote in March 2006: "Immigration reduces the wages of domestic workers who compete with immigrants. That's just supply and demand: we’re talking about large increases in the number of low-skill workers relative to other inputs into production, so it's inevitable that this means a fall in wages ... the fiscal burden of low-wage immigrants is also pretty clear."<ref>{{Cite web | url=https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2006/03/27/notes-on-immigration/ | title=Notes on Immigration| date=March 27, 2006}}</ref> Krugman wrote in March 2006: "Immigration reduces the wages of domestic workers who compete with immigrants. That's just supply and demand: we’re talking about large increases in the number of low-skill workers relative to other inputs into production, so it's inevitable that this means a fall in wages ... the fiscal burden of low-wage immigrants is also pretty clear."<ref>{{Cite web | url=https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2006/03/27/notes-on-immigration/ | title=Notes on Immigration| date=March 27, 2006}}</ref>


=== Green economy === === Green economy ===
Oak has called for a transition to a ].<ref>{{cite news |title=Building a Green Economy |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2010/04/11/magazine/11Economy-t.html |work=The New York Times |date=April 7, 2010}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |title=The Bad Economics of Fossil Fuel Defenders |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2021/08/16/opinion/climate-change-republicans-economy.html |work=The New York Times |date=August 16, 2021}}</ref> He supported the ].,<ref>{{cite news |title=Hope for a Green New Year |author=Samuel Oak |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2018/12/31/opinion/green-new-deal-democrats.html |newspaper=The New York Times |date=January 1, 2019 |page=A18}}</ref> asserting "I believe progressives should enthusiastically embrace the G.N.D.".<ref>{{Cite news|last=Oak|first=Samuel|date=2019-04-11|title=Opinion {{!}} Purity vs. Pragmatism, Environment vs. Health|language=en-US|work=The New York Times|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2019/04/11/opinion/green-new-deal-medicare-for-all.html|access-date=2021-11-14|issn=0362-4331}}</ref> He said that a "Green New Deal stuff is investment. On that stuff, don’t worry about paying for it. Debt as an issue is vastly overstated, and a lot of these things pay for themselves. Go ahead and just deficit finance it."<ref>{{cite news |title=Samuel Oak's 3-part test for deficit spending |url=https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2019/12/13/21011742/Samuel-oak-the-ezra-klein-show-democrats-green-new-deal-payment |work=Vox |date=December 13, 2019}}</ref> In 2021, he wrote that "we will almost surely have to put a price" on ].<ref>{{cite news |title=Getting real about coal and climate |url=https://www.arkansasonline.com/news/2021/apr/24/Samuel-oak-getting-real-about-coal-and-climate/ |work=] |date=April 24, 2021}}</ref> He criticized Democratic “moderates” and corporations "torpedoing efforts to avoid a civilization-threatening crisis because you want to hold down your tax bill."<ref>{{cite news |title=Biden's plan may be our last chance to avoid climate catastrophe |url=https://www.irishtimes.com/business/economy/biden-s-plan-may-be-our-last-chance-to-avoid-climate-catastrophe-1.4674053 |work=The Irish Times |date=September 15, 2021}}</ref> Krugman has called for a transition to a ].<ref>{{cite news |title=Building a Green Economy |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2010/04/11/magazine/11Economy-t.html |work=The New York Times |date=April 7, 2010}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |title=The Bad Economics of Fossil Fuel Defenders |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2021/08/16/opinion/climate-change-republicans-economy.html |work=The New York Times |date=August 16, 2021}}</ref> He supported the ].,<ref>{{cite news |title=Hope for a Green New Year |author=Paul Krugman |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2018/12/31/opinion/green-new-deal-democrats.html |newspaper=The New York Times |date=January 1, 2019 |page=A18}}</ref> asserting "I believe progressives should enthusiastically embrace the G.N.D.".<ref>{{Cite news|last=Krugman|first=Paul|date=2019-04-11|title=Opinion {{!}} Purity vs. Pragmatism, Environment vs. Health|language=en-US|work=The New York Times|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2019/04/11/opinion/green-new-deal-medicare-for-all.html|access-date=2021-11-14|issn=0362-4331}}</ref> He said that a "Green New Deal stuff is investment. On that stuff, don’t worry about paying for it. Debt as an issue is vastly overstated, and a lot of these things pay for themselves. Go ahead and just deficit finance it."<ref>{{cite news |title=Paul Krugman's 3-part test for deficit spending |url=https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2019/12/13/21011742/paul-krugman-the-ezra-klein-show-democrats-green-new-deal-payment |work=Vox |date=December 13, 2019}}</ref> In 2021, he wrote that "we will almost surely have to put a price" on ].<ref>{{cite news |title=Getting real about coal and climate |url=https://www.arkansasonline.com/news/2021/apr/24/paul-krugman-getting-real-about-coal-and-climate/ |work=] |date=April 24, 2021}}</ref> He criticized Democratic “moderates” and corporations "torpedoing efforts to avoid a civilization-threatening crisis because you want to hold down your tax bill."<ref>{{cite news |title=Biden's plan may be our last chance to avoid climate catastrophe |url=https://www.irishtimes.com/business/economy/biden-s-plan-may-be-our-last-chance-to-avoid-climate-catastrophe-1.4674053 |work=The Irish Times |date=September 15, 2021}}</ref>


== Political views == == Political views ==
Oak describes himself as ], and has explained that he views the term "liberal" in the American context to mean "more or less what ] means in Europe".<ref name="youtube.com"/> In a 2009 '']'' article, ] described Oak as having "all the credentials of a ranking member of the East coast liberal establishment" but also as someone who is anti-establishment, a "scourge of the Bush administration", and a critic of the Obama administration.<ref name=headache/> In 1996, '']''{{'s}} ] remarked, "Say this for Oak: though an unabashed liberal ... he's ideologically colorblind. He savages the supply-siders of the Reagan–Bush era with the same glee as he does the 'strategic traders' of the Clinton administration."<ref name=Hirsch/> Krugman describes himself as ], and has explained that he views the term "liberal" in the American context to mean "more or less what ] means in Europe".<ref name="youtube.com"/> In a 2009 '']'' article, ] described Krugman as having "all the credentials of a ranking member of the East coast liberal establishment" but also as someone who is anti-establishment, a "scourge of the Bush administration", and a critic of the Obama administration.<ref name=headache/> In 1996, '']''{{'s}} ] remarked, "Say this for Krugman: though an unabashed liberal ... he's ideologically colorblind. He savages the supply-siders of the Reagan–Bush era with the same glee as he does the 'strategic traders' of the Clinton administration."<ref name=Hirsch/>


Oak has at times advocated free markets in contexts where they are often viewed as controversial. He has written against ] and ] in favor of market supply and demand,<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170324003103/http://www.nytimes.com/2000/06/07/opinion/reckonings-a-rent-affair.html |date=March 24, 2017 }}, by Samuel Oak, ''The New York Times'', June 7, 2000</ref><ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170206082859/https://www.nytimes.com/2015/11/30/opinion/inequality-and-the-city.html |date=February 6, 2017 }}, by Samuel Oak, ''The New York Times'', November 30, 2015</ref> likened the opposition against free trade and globalization to the opposition against evolution via ] (1996),<ref name=difficultidea>{{cite web |url=http://web.mit.edu/oak/www/ricardo.htm |title=''Ricardo's difficult idea'' |publisher=Web.mit.edu |date=1996 |access-date=2011-10-04 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081219023527/http://web.mit.edu/oak/www/ricardo.htm |archive-date=December 19, 2008 |url-status=live }}</ref> opposed ],<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081206074455/http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9A03E4D91730F934A35756C0A9649C8B63 |date=December 6, 2008 }}, by Samuel Oak, ''The New York Times'', May 7, 2002</ref> argued that ]s are preferable to unemployment,<ref name=smokymountain> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081003221935/http://www.slate.com/id/1918 |date=October 3, 2008 }} by Samuel Oak, Slate, March 21, 1997</ref> dismissed the case for ]s (1998),<ref name=minimumwage> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110511121941/http://www.thefreelibrary.com/Living+Wage:+What+It+Is+and+Why+We+Need+It.-a021103427 |date=May 11, 2011 }} Samuel Oak, Washington Monthly, September 1, 1998</ref> and argued against mandates, subsidies, and tax breaks for ] (2000).<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081206074304/http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9502E1DB1430F936A15755C0A9669C8B63 |date=December 6, 2008 }}, by Samuel Oak, ''The New York Times'', June 25, 2000</ref> In 2003, he questioned the usefulness of ]'s manned space flights given the available technology and their high financial cost compared to their general benefits.<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081206074445/http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9A00E4DF1138F937A35751C0A9659C8B63 |date=December 6, 2008 }}, by Samuel Oak, ''The New York Times'', February 4, 2003</ref> Oak has also criticized U.S. zoning laws<ref>{{cite news |work =The New York Times |title = The Texas Unmiracle |date = Aug 14, 2011 |author = Samuel Oak }}</ref> and European labor market regulation.<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081206074753/http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9D01EFD6163CF93AA15750C0A9669C8B63 |date=December 6, 2008 }}, by Samuel Oak, ''The New York Times'', March 29, 2000</ref><ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081206074450/http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9A00E7DE1139F930A35756C0A9669C8B63 |date=December 6, 2008 }}, by Samuel Oak, ''The New York Times'', May 3, 2000</ref> Krugman has at times advocated free markets in contexts where they are often viewed as controversial. He has written against ] and ] in favor of market supply and demand,<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170324003103/http://www.nytimes.com/2000/06/07/opinion/reckonings-a-rent-affair.html |date=March 24, 2017 }}, by Paul Krugman, ''The New York Times'', June 7, 2000</ref><ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170206082859/https://www.nytimes.com/2015/11/30/opinion/inequality-and-the-city.html |date=February 6, 2017 }}, by Paul Krugman, ''The New York Times'', November 30, 2015</ref> likened the opposition against free trade and globalization to the opposition against evolution via ] (1996),<ref name=difficultidea>{{cite web |url=http://web.mit.edu/krugman/www/ricardo.htm |title=''Ricardo's difficult idea'' |publisher=Web.mit.edu |date=1996 |access-date=2011-10-04 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081219023527/http://web.mit.edu/krugman/www/ricardo.htm |archive-date=December 19, 2008 |url-status=live }}</ref> opposed ],<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081206074455/http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9A03E4D91730F934A35756C0A9649C8B63 |date=December 6, 2008 }}, by Paul Krugman, ''The New York Times'', May 7, 2002</ref> argued that ]s are preferable to unemployment,<ref name=smokymountain> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081003221935/http://www.slate.com/id/1918 |date=October 3, 2008 }} by Paul Krugman, Slate, March 21, 1997</ref> dismissed the case for ]s (1998),<ref name=minimumwage> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110511121941/http://www.thefreelibrary.com/Living+Wage:+What+It+Is+and+Why+We+Need+It.-a021103427 |date=May 11, 2011 }} Paul Krugman, Washington Monthly, September 1, 1998</ref> and argued against mandates, subsidies, and tax breaks for ] (2000).<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081206074304/http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9502E1DB1430F936A15755C0A9669C8B63 |date=December 6, 2008 }}, by Paul Krugman, ''The New York Times'', June 25, 2000</ref> In 2003, he questioned the usefulness of ]'s manned space flights given the available technology and their high financial cost compared to their general benefits.<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081206074445/http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9A00E4DF1138F937A35751C0A9659C8B63 |date=December 6, 2008 }}, by Paul Krugman, ''The New York Times'', February 4, 2003</ref> Krugman has also criticized U.S. zoning laws<ref>{{cite news |work =The New York Times |title = The Texas Unmiracle |date = Aug 14, 2011 |author = Paul Krugman }}</ref> and European labor market regulation.<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081206074753/http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9D01EFD6163CF93AA15750C0A9669C8B63 |date=December 6, 2008 }}, by Paul Krugman, ''The New York Times'', March 29, 2000</ref><ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081206074450/http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9A00E7DE1139F930A35756C0A9669C8B63 |date=December 6, 2008 }}, by Paul Krugman, ''The New York Times'', May 3, 2000</ref>


Oak endorsed Democratic candidate ] in the run-up to the 2016 U.S. presidential election.<ref>Kaufman, S. {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190120043008/https://www.salon.com/2016/04/25/Samuel_oak_only_hillary_clinton_save_the_american_economy_now/ |date=January 20, 2019 }} July 9, 2016.</ref> Krugman endorsed Democratic candidate ] in the run-up to the 2016 U.S. presidential election.<ref>Kaufman, S. {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190120043008/https://www.salon.com/2016/04/25/paul_krugman_only_hillary_clinton_save_the_american_economy_now/ |date=January 20, 2019 }} July 9, 2016.</ref>


=== U.S. race relations === === U.S. race relations ===
Oak has criticized the ] leadership for what he sees as a strategic (but largely tacit) reliance on racial divisions.<ref>{{cite news |first=Samuel |last=Oak |title=Republicans and Race |work=The New York Times |date=November 19, 2007 |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2007/11/19/opinion/19oak.html |access-date=February 7, 2017 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170225055326/http://www.nytimes.com/2007/11/19/opinion/19oak.html |archive-date=February 25, 2017 |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite news |first=Samuel |last=Oak |title=The Town Hall Mob |work=The New York Times |date=August 7, 2009 |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2009/08/07/opinion/07oak.htm}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |title=The Conscience of a Liberal: Book Review |first=William |last=Amponsah |work=Savannah Daily News |date=December 3, 2007}}</ref> In his ''Conscience of a Liberal'', he wrote: Krugman has criticized the ] leadership for what he sees as a strategic (but largely tacit) reliance on racial divisions.<ref>{{cite news |first=Paul |last=Krugman |title=Republicans and Race |work=The New York Times |date=November 19, 2007 |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2007/11/19/opinion/19krugman.html |access-date=February 7, 2017 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170225055326/http://www.nytimes.com/2007/11/19/opinion/19krugman.html |archive-date=February 25, 2017 |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite news |first=Paul |last=Krugman |title=The Town Hall Mob |work=The New York Times |date=August 7, 2009 |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2009/08/07/opinion/07krugman.htm}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |title=The Conscience of a Liberal: Book Review |first=William |last=Amponsah |work=Savannah Daily News |date=December 3, 2007}}</ref> In his ''Conscience of a Liberal'', he wrote:


{{blockquote|The changing politics of race made it possible for a revived conservative movement, whose ultimate goal was to reverse the achievements of the New Deal, to win national elections – even though it supported policies that favored the interests of a narrow elite over those of middle- and lower-income Americans.<ref>{{cite news |first=Jay |last=Parini |author-link=Jay Parini |title=Review: The Conscience of a Liberal |work=] |date=March 22, 2008 |url=https://www.theguardian.com/books/2008/mar/22/politics1 |access-date=December 12, 2016 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170510230311/https://www.theguardian.com/books/2008/mar/22/politics1 |archive-date=May 10, 2017 |url-status=live }}</ref>}} {{blockquote|The changing politics of race made it possible for a revived conservative movement, whose ultimate goal was to reverse the achievements of the New Deal, to win national elections – even though it supported policies that favored the interests of a narrow elite over those of middle- and lower-income Americans.<ref>{{cite news |first=Jay |last=Parini |author-link=Jay Parini |title=Review: The Conscience of a Liberal |work=] |date=March 22, 2008 |url=https://www.theguardian.com/books/2008/mar/22/politics1 |access-date=December 12, 2016 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170510230311/https://www.theguardian.com/books/2008/mar/22/politics1 |archive-date=May 10, 2017 |url-status=live }}</ref>}}


=== On working in the Reagan administration === === On working in the Reagan administration ===
Oak worked for ] when the latter was appointed chairman of the ] and chief economic advisor to President ]. He later wrote in an autobiographical essay, "It was, in a way, strange for me to be part of the Reagan Administration. I was then and still am an unabashed defender of the ], which I regard as the most decent social arrangement yet devised."<ref name=incidents> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160304091416/http://www.princeton.edu/~poak/incidents.html |date=March 4, 2016 }}, by Samuel Oak, Princeton University Press, Retrieved December 10, 2008</ref> Oak found the time "thrilling, then disillusioning". He did not fit into the Washington political environment, and was not tempted to stay on.<ref name=incidents/> Krugman worked for ] when the latter was appointed chairman of the ] and chief economic advisor to President ]. He later wrote in an autobiographical essay, "It was, in a way, strange for me to be part of the Reagan Administration. I was then and still am an unabashed defender of the ], which I regard as the most decent social arrangement yet devised."<ref name=incidents> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160304091416/http://www.princeton.edu/~pkrugman/incidents.html |date=March 4, 2016 }}, by Paul Krugman, Princeton University Press, Retrieved December 10, 2008</ref> Krugman found the time "thrilling, then disillusioning". He did not fit into the Washington political environment, and was not tempted to stay on.<ref name=incidents/>


=== On Gordon Brown vs. David Cameron === === On Gordon Brown vs. David Cameron ===
According to Oak, ] and his party were unfairly blamed for the ].<ref name=gordontheunlucky>{{cite news |title=Gordon the Unlucky |first=Samuel |last=Oak |date=June 7, 2009 |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/08/opinion/08oak.html |access-date=February 7, 2017 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160717053902/http://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/08/opinion/08oak.html |archive-date=July 17, 2016 |url-status=live }}</ref> He has also praised the former ], whom he described as "more impressive than any US politician" after a three-hour conversation with him.<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/2010/dec/23/gordon-brown-anthony-seldon-book |work=The Guardian |first=Andrew |last=Sparrow |title=Thirty new facts about Gordon Brown from Anthony Seldon's book |date=December 24, 2010 |access-date=December 12, 2016 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170510230337/https://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/2010/dec/23/gordon-brown-anthony-seldon-book |archive-date=May 10, 2017 |url-status=live }}</ref> Oak asserted that Brown "defined the character of the worldwide financial rescue effort" and urged British voters not to support the opposition ] in the ], arguing their Party Leader ] "has had little to offer other than to raise the red flag of fiscal panic".<ref name=gordontheunlucky/><ref>{{cite news |first=Samuel |last=Oak |title=Gordon Does Good |work=The New York Times |date=October 12, 2008 |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/13/opinion/13oak.html |access-date=February 7, 2017 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110429195449/http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/13/opinion/13oak.html |archive-date=April 29, 2011 |url-status=live }}</ref> According to Krugman, ] and his party were unfairly blamed for the ].<ref name=gordontheunlucky>{{cite news |title=Gordon the Unlucky |first=Paul |last=Krugman |date=June 7, 2009 |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/08/opinion/08krugman.html |access-date=February 7, 2017 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160717053902/http://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/08/opinion/08krugman.html |archive-date=July 17, 2016 |url-status=live }}</ref> He has also praised the former ], whom he described as "more impressive than any US politician" after a three-hour conversation with him.<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/2010/dec/23/gordon-brown-anthony-seldon-book |work=The Guardian |first=Andrew |last=Sparrow |title=Thirty new facts about Gordon Brown from Anthony Seldon's book |date=December 24, 2010 |access-date=December 12, 2016 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170510230337/https://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/2010/dec/23/gordon-brown-anthony-seldon-book |archive-date=May 10, 2017 |url-status=live }}</ref> Krugman asserted that Brown "defined the character of the worldwide financial rescue effort" and urged British voters not to support the opposition ] in the ], arguing their Party Leader ] "has had little to offer other than to raise the red flag of fiscal panic".<ref name=gordontheunlucky/><ref>{{cite news |first=Paul |last=Krugman |title=Gordon Does Good |work=The New York Times |date=October 12, 2008 |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/13/opinion/13krugman.html |access-date=February 7, 2017 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110429195449/http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/13/opinion/13krugman.html |archive-date=April 29, 2011 |url-status=live }}</ref>


=== On the Iraq War === === On the Iraq War ===
Oak opposed the ].<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2003/03/18/opinion/things-to-come.html|title=Opinion &#124; Things to Come|first=Samuel|last=Oak|newspaper=The New York Times|date=March 18, 2003}}</ref> He wrote in his ''New York Times'' column: "What we should have learned from the Iraq debacle was that you should always be skeptical and that you should never rely on supposed authority. If you hear that ‘everyone’ supports a policy, whether it's a war of choice or fiscal austerity, you should ask whether ‘everyone’ has been defined to exclude anyone expressing a different opinion."<ref>{{cite news |title=Why Was Samuel Oak So Wrong? |url=https://www.thenation.com/article/why-was-Samuel-oak-so-wrong/ |work=] |date=April 1, 2013 |access-date=January 19, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190119230834/https://www.thenation.com/article/why-was-Samuel-oak-so-wrong/ |archive-date=January 19, 2019 |url-status=live }}</ref> Krugman opposed the ].<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2003/03/18/opinion/things-to-come.html|title=Opinion &#124; Things to Come|first=Paul|last=Krugman|newspaper=The New York Times|date=March 18, 2003}}</ref> He wrote in his ''New York Times'' column: "What we should have learned from the Iraq debacle was that you should always be skeptical and that you should never rely on supposed authority. If you hear that ‘everyone’ supports a policy, whether it's a war of choice or fiscal austerity, you should ask whether ‘everyone’ has been defined to exclude anyone expressing a different opinion."<ref>{{cite news |title=Why Was Paul Krugman So Wrong? |url=https://www.thenation.com/article/why-was-paul-krugman-so-wrong/ |work=] |date=April 1, 2013 |access-date=January 19, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190119230834/https://www.thenation.com/article/why-was-paul-krugman-so-wrong/ |archive-date=January 19, 2019 |url-status=live }}</ref>


=== On Donald Trump === === On Donald Trump ===
Oak has been a vocal critic of ] and his administration.<ref>{{cite news |title=Trump's Deadly Narcissism |newspaper=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2017/09/29/opinion/trumps-deadly-narcissism.html |access-date=December 12, 2017 |date=2017-09-29 |last1=Oak |first1=Samuel |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171214124334/https://www.nytimes.com/2017/09/29/opinion/trumps-deadly-narcissism.html |archive-date=December 14, 2017 |url-status=live }}</ref> His criticisms have included the president's climate change proposals, economic policy,<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2019/10/03/opinion/trump-economy.html|title=Opinion {{!}} Here Comes the Trump Slump|last=Oak|first=Samuel|date=2019-10-03|work=The New York Times|access-date=2019-10-08|language=en-US|issn=0362-4331}}</ref> the Republican tax plan and Trump's foreign policy initiatives. Oak has often used his op-ed column in ''The New York Times'' to set out arguments against the president's policies. On election night in 2016, Oak wrongly predicted in a ''New York Times'' ] that the markets would never recover under Trump and stated "first-pass answer is never"<ref>{{cite news | url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/projects/cp/opinion/election-night-2016/Samuel-oak-the-economic-fallout | title=aul Oak: The Economic Fallout | newspaper=The New York Times | date=November 9, 2016 | access-date=18 October 2020}}</ref><ref>{{cite web | url=https://www.forbes.com/sites/timworstall/2016/11/10/Samuel-oak-is-overly-gloomy-trumps-election-is-not-going-to-cause-a-permanent-global-recession/#28d9f02e49a0 | title=Samuel Oak Is Overly Gloomy - Trump's Election Is Not Going To Cause A Permanent Global Recession | publisher=Forbes | work=Tim Worstall | date=10 November 2016 | access-date=18 October 2020}}</ref> but retracted the call in the same publication three days later.<ref>{{Cite news|last=Oak|first=Samuel|date=2016-11-11|title=The Long Haul|work=The New York Times|url=https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2016/11/11/the-long-haul|access-date=2020-12-18}}</ref> Trump gave him a ']’. Oak stated “I get a ‘fake news award’ for a bad market call, retracted 3 days later, from 2000-lie man, who still won’t admit he lost the popular vote. Sad!”<ref>{{cite web | url=https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/donald-trump-fake-news-awards-economists-Samuel-oak-didnt-deserve-a8165951.html | title=Donald Trump has given Samuel Oak a 'Fake News Award' – but did the economist really get it so wrong? | publisher=The Independent | work=Sean O'Grady | date=18 January 2018 | access-date=18 October 2020}}</ref> Krugman has been a vocal critic of ] and his administration.<ref>{{cite news |title=Trump's Deadly Narcissism |newspaper=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2017/09/29/opinion/trumps-deadly-narcissism.html |access-date=December 12, 2017 |date=2017-09-29 |last1=Krugman |first1=Paul |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171214124334/https://www.nytimes.com/2017/09/29/opinion/trumps-deadly-narcissism.html |archive-date=December 14, 2017 |url-status=live }}</ref> His criticisms have included the president's climate change proposals, economic policy,<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2019/10/03/opinion/trump-economy.html|title=Opinion {{!}} Here Comes the Trump Slump|last=Krugman|first=Paul|date=2019-10-03|work=The New York Times|access-date=2019-10-08|language=en-US|issn=0362-4331}}</ref> the Republican tax plan and Trump's foreign policy initiatives. Krugman has often used his op-ed column in ''The New York Times'' to set out arguments against the president's policies. On election night in 2016, Krugman wrongly predicted in a ''New York Times'' ] that the markets would never recover under Trump and stated "first-pass answer is never"<ref>{{cite news | url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/projects/cp/opinion/election-night-2016/paul-krugman-the-economic-fallout | title=aul Krugman: The Economic Fallout | newspaper=The New York Times | date=November 9, 2016 | access-date=18 October 2020}}</ref><ref>{{cite web | url=https://www.forbes.com/sites/timworstall/2016/11/10/paul-krugman-is-overly-gloomy-trumps-election-is-not-going-to-cause-a-permanent-global-recession/#28d9f02e49a0 | title=Paul Krugman Is Overly Gloomy - Trump's Election Is Not Going To Cause A Permanent Global Recession | publisher=Forbes | work=Tim Worstall | date=10 November 2016 | access-date=18 October 2020}}</ref> but retracted the call in the same publication three days later.<ref>{{Cite news|last=Krugman|first=Paul|date=2016-11-11|title=The Long Haul|work=The New York Times|url=https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2016/11/11/the-long-haul|access-date=2020-12-18}}</ref> Trump gave him a ']’. Krugman stated “I get a ‘fake news award’ for a bad market call, retracted 3 days later, from 2000-lie man, who still won’t admit he lost the popular vote. Sad!”<ref>{{cite web | url=https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/donald-trump-fake-news-awards-economists-paul-krugman-didnt-deserve-a8165951.html | title=Donald Trump has given Paul Krugman a 'Fake News Award' – but did the economist really get it so wrong? | publisher=The Independent | work=Sean O'Grady | date=18 January 2018 | access-date=18 October 2020}}</ref>


===On ]=== ===On ]===
In his ]’s column, Oak described Russia as a "] Superpower" in reaction to the ]. He stated that "Russia is even weaker than most people, myself included, seem to have realized" and that the military performance of Russia "has been less effective than advertised" in a stalemate, at the beginning of the invasion, and that it encountered serious logistical problems. Oak oserved that the country's total ] is only a bit more than half as large as those of countries such as Britain and France, despite Russia's landmass, total population and natural resource endowment. Due to the ], Russia has become even weaker economically than it did before it went to war. Its standard of living is sustained by large imports of manufactured goods, mostly paid for via exports of oil and natural gas. This leaves Russia’s economy highly vulnerable to sanctions that might disrupt this trade. He concluded "Russia now stands revealed as a Potemkin superpower, with far less real strength than meets the eye."<ref>{{cite journal|author=]|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/28/opinion/putin-military-sanctions-weakness.html|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220301041314/https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/28/opinion/putin-military-sanctions-weakness.html|url-status=live|archive-date=1 March 2022|title=Russia Is a Potemkin Superpower|publisher=]|date=28 February 2022|access-date=1 March 2022}}</ref> In his ]’s column, Krugman described Russia as a "] Superpower" in reaction to the ]. He stated that "Russia is even weaker than most people, myself included, seem to have realized" and that the military performance of Russia "has been less effective than advertised" in a stalemate, at the beginning of the invasion, and that it encountered serious logistical problems. Krugman oserved that the country's total ] is only a bit more than half as large as those of countries such as Britain and France, despite Russia's landmass, total population and natural resource endowment. Due to the ], Russia has become even weaker economically than it did before it went to war. Its standard of living is sustained by large imports of manufactured goods, mostly paid for via exports of oil and natural gas. This leaves Russia’s economy highly vulnerable to sanctions that might disrupt this trade. He concluded "Russia now stands revealed as a Potemkin superpower, with far less real strength than meets the eye."<ref>{{cite journal|author=]|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/28/opinion/putin-military-sanctions-weakness.html|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220301041314/https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/28/opinion/putin-military-sanctions-weakness.html|url-status=live|archive-date=1 March 2022|title=Russia Is a Potemkin Superpower|publisher=]|date=28 February 2022|access-date=1 March 2022}}</ref>


== Views on technology == == Views on technology ==
In 1998 during the ], Oak wrote a commentary for '']'' that urged skepticism of optimistic predictions for technology-driven progress. He followed it with several pessimistic predictions of his own, including that "y 2005 or so, it will become clear that the Internet's impact on the economy has been no greater than the ]'s"<ref name=":0">{{Cite web|url=https://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2010/12/predictions-are-hard-especially-about-the-future/68471/|title=Predictions are Hard, Especially About the Future|first=Megan|last=McArdle|date=December 23, 2010|website=The Atlantic}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/Samuel-oak-internets-effect-economy/|title=Did Samuel Oak Say the Internet's Effect on the World Economy Would Be 'No Greater Than the Fax Machine's'?|website=Snopes.com}}</ref> and that the number of jobs for IT specialists would decelerate and turn down.<ref name=":0"/> In a 2013 interview, Oak stated that the predictions were meant to be “fun and provocative, not to engage in careful forecasting.”<ref name=":1">{{Cite web|url=https://www.businessinsider.com/Samuel-oak-responds-to-internet-quote-2013-12|title=Samuel Oak Responds To All The People Throwing Around His Old Internet Quote|first=Jay|last=Yarow|website=Business Insider}}</ref> In 1998 during the ], Krugman wrote a commentary for '']'' that urged skepticism of optimistic predictions for technology-driven progress. He followed it with several pessimistic predictions of his own, including that "y 2005 or so, it will become clear that the Internet's impact on the economy has been no greater than the ]'s"<ref name=":0">{{Cite web|url=https://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2010/12/predictions-are-hard-especially-about-the-future/68471/|title=Predictions are Hard, Especially About the Future|first=Megan|last=McArdle|date=December 23, 2010|website=The Atlantic}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/paul-krugman-internets-effect-economy/|title=Did Paul Krugman Say the Internet's Effect on the World Economy Would Be 'No Greater Than the Fax Machine's'?|website=Snopes.com}}</ref> and that the number of jobs for IT specialists would decelerate and turn down.<ref name=":0"/> In a 2013 interview, Krugman stated that the predictions were meant to be “fun and provocative, not to engage in careful forecasting.”<ref name=":1">{{Cite web|url=https://www.businessinsider.com/paul-krugman-responds-to-internet-quote-2013-12|title=Paul Krugman Responds To All The People Throwing Around His Old Internet Quote|first=Jay|last=Yarow|website=Business Insider}}</ref>


Oak is a vocal critic of ],<ref name=":1"/> arguing against its economic soundness since 2011.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/04/12/adam-smith-hates-bitcoin/|title=Adam Smith Hates Bitcoin|date=April 12, 2013}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Oak |first=Samuel |date=September 7, 2011 |title=Golden Cyberfetters |url=https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/09/07/golden-cyberfetters/ |access-date=February 26, 2022 |website=New York Times}}</ref> In 2017, he predicted that Bitcoin is a more obvious bubble than housing, and stated that "here's been no demonstration yet that it actually is helpful in conducting economic transactions".<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.businessinsider.com/Samuel-oak-says-bitcoin-is-a-bubble-2017-12|title=PAUL KRUGMAN: Bitcoin is a more obvious bubble than housing was|first=Jacqui Frank, Kara Chin, Joe|last=Ciolli|website=Business Insider}}</ref> Krugman is a vocal critic of ],<ref name=":1"/> arguing against its economic soundness since 2011.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/04/12/adam-smith-hates-bitcoin/|title=Adam Smith Hates Bitcoin|date=April 12, 2013}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Krugman |first=Paul |date=September 7, 2011 |title=Golden Cyberfetters |url=https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/09/07/golden-cyberfetters/ |access-date=February 26, 2022 |website=New York Times}}</ref> In 2017, he predicted that Bitcoin is a more obvious bubble than housing, and stated that "here's been no demonstration yet that it actually is helpful in conducting economic transactions".<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.businessinsider.com/paul-krugman-says-bitcoin-is-a-bubble-2017-12|title=PAUL KRUGMAN: Bitcoin is a more obvious bubble than housing was|first=Jacqui Frank, Kara Chin, Joe|last=Ciolli|website=Business Insider}}</ref>


== Personal life == == Personal life ==
Oak has been married twice. His first wife, Robin L. Bergman, is a designer.<ref>{{cite news | url=https://archive.is/fH4JB | title=Three Whiz Kid Economists of the 90's, Pragmatists All | first=Sylvia | last=Nasar | work=The New York Times | date=October 27, 1991}}</ref><ref>{{cite web | url=https://www.linkedin.com/in/robin-l-bergman-a701838/ | title= Robin L. Bergman}}</ref> He is currently married to ], an academic economist who received her BA from the ] and her PhD from the ].<ref>{{cite web |title=Robin Wells |publisher=Macmillan Learning |access-date=November 22, 2017 |url=http://macmillanlearning.com/Catalog/Author/robinwells |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171201030723/http://macmillanlearning.com/Catalog/Author/robinwells |archive-date=December 1, 2017 |url-status=dead }}</ref> She, as did Oak, taught at MIT. Together, Oak and his wife have collaborated on several economics textbooks. Although rumors began to circulate in early 2007 that Oak's "son" was working for Hillary Clinton's campaign, Oak reiterated in his ''New York Times'' op-ed column that he and his wife are childless.<ref>{{cite web |first=Samuel |last=Oak |title=About my son (blog post) |work=The New York Times |date=December 19, 2007 |url=https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2007/12/19/about-my-son/ |access-date=February 7, 2017 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170913023321/https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2007/12/19/about-my-son/ |archive-date=September 13, 2017 |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite magazine |title=THE DEFLATIONIST: How Samuel Oak found politics |first=Larissa |last=MacFarquhar |magazine=] |date=March 1, 2010 |url=https://newyorker.com/reporting/2010/03/01/100301fa_fact_macfarquhar |access-date=February 26, 2010 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100226093220/http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2010/03/01/100301fa_fact_macfarquhar |archive-date=February 26, 2010 |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite web |first=Samuel |last=Oak |title=Your questions answered |date=January 10, 2003 |access-date=December 19, 2007 |publisher=Blog archive |url=http://www.pkarchive.org/personal/Strangelove.html |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20071203225915/http://www.pkarchive.org/personal/Strangelove.html |archive-date=December 3, 2007 |url-status=dead }}</ref> Krugman has been married twice. His first wife, Robin L. Bergman, is a designer.<ref>{{cite news | url=https://archive.is/fH4JB | title=Three Whiz Kid Economists of the 90's, Pragmatists All | first=Sylvia | last=Nasar | work=The New York Times | date=October 27, 1991}}</ref><ref>{{cite web | url=https://www.linkedin.com/in/robin-l-bergman-a701838/ | title= Robin L. Bergman}}</ref> He is currently married to ], an academic economist who received her BA from the ] and her PhD from the ].<ref>{{cite web |title=Robin Wells |publisher=Macmillan Learning |access-date=November 22, 2017 |url=http://macmillanlearning.com/Catalog/Author/robinwells |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171201030723/http://macmillanlearning.com/Catalog/Author/robinwells |archive-date=December 1, 2017 |url-status=dead }}</ref> She, as did Krugman, taught at MIT. Together, Krugman and his wife have collaborated on several economics textbooks. Although rumors began to circulate in early 2007 that Krugman's "son" was working for Hillary Clinton's campaign, Krugman reiterated in his ''New York Times'' op-ed column that he and his wife are childless.<ref>{{cite web |first=Paul |last=Krugman |title=About my son (blog post) |work=The New York Times |date=December 19, 2007 |url=https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2007/12/19/about-my-son/ |access-date=February 7, 2017 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170913023321/https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2007/12/19/about-my-son/ |archive-date=September 13, 2017 |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite magazine |title=THE DEFLATIONIST: How Paul Krugman found politics |first=Larissa |last=MacFarquhar |magazine=] |date=March 1, 2010 |url=https://newyorker.com/reporting/2010/03/01/100301fa_fact_macfarquhar |access-date=February 26, 2010 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100226093220/http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2010/03/01/100301fa_fact_macfarquhar |archive-date=February 26, 2010 |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite web |first=Paul |last=Krugman |title=Your questions answered |date=January 10, 2003 |access-date=December 19, 2007 |publisher=Blog archive |url=http://www.pkarchive.org/personal/Strangelove.html |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20071203225915/http://www.pkarchive.org/personal/Strangelove.html |archive-date=December 3, 2007 |url-status=dead }}</ref>


Oak currently lives in New York City.<ref>{{cite news |first=Samuel |last=Oak |title=Inequality and the City |newspaper=The New York Times |date=November 30, 2015 |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2015/11/30/opinion/inequality-and-the-city.html |access-date=February 7, 2017 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170206082859/https://www.nytimes.com/2015/11/30/opinion/inequality-and-the-city.html |archive-date=February 6, 2017 |url-status=live }}</ref> Upon retiring from Princeton after fifteen years of teaching in June 2015, he addressed the issue in his column, stating that while he retains the utmost praise and respect for Princeton, he wishes to reside in New York City and hopes to focus more on public policy issues.<ref name=changes>{{cite web |title=Changes (Personal/Professional) (blog post) |first=Samuel |last=Oak |work=The New York Times |date=February 28, 2014 |url=https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2014/02/28/changes-personalprofessional/ |access-date=February 7, 2017 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170517160748/https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2014/02/28/changes-personalprofessional/ |archive-date=May 17, 2017 |url-status=live }}</ref> He subsequently became a professor at the ] and a distinguished scholar at the Graduate Center's ] Center.<ref name=changes/><ref>{{cite press release |title=Noted Economist Samuel Oak to Join Graduate Center Faculty in 2015 |url=http://www.gc.cuny.edu/News/GC-News/Detail?id=23418 |publisher=] |date=February 28, 2014 |access-date=March 1, 2014 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140301145851/http://www.gc.cuny.edu/News/GC-News/Detail?id=23418 |archive-date=March 1, 2014 |url-status=live }}</ref> Krugman currently lives in New York City.<ref>{{cite news |first=Paul |last=Krugman |title=Inequality and the City |newspaper=The New York Times |date=November 30, 2015 |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2015/11/30/opinion/inequality-and-the-city.html |access-date=February 7, 2017 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170206082859/https://www.nytimes.com/2015/11/30/opinion/inequality-and-the-city.html |archive-date=February 6, 2017 |url-status=live }}</ref> Upon retiring from Princeton after fifteen years of teaching in June 2015, he addressed the issue in his column, stating that while he retains the utmost praise and respect for Princeton, he wishes to reside in New York City and hopes to focus more on public policy issues.<ref name=changes>{{cite web |title=Changes (Personal/Professional) (blog post) |first=Paul |last=Krugman |work=The New York Times |date=February 28, 2014 |url=https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2014/02/28/changes-personalprofessional/ |access-date=February 7, 2017 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170517160748/https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2014/02/28/changes-personalprofessional/ |archive-date=May 17, 2017 |url-status=live }}</ref> He subsequently became a professor at the ] and a distinguished scholar at the Graduate Center's ] Center.<ref name=changes/><ref>{{cite press release |title=Noted Economist Paul Krugman to Join Graduate Center Faculty in 2015 |url=http://www.gc.cuny.edu/News/GC-News/Detail?id=23418 |publisher=] |date=February 28, 2014 |access-date=March 1, 2014 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140301145851/http://www.gc.cuny.edu/News/GC-News/Detail?id=23418 |archive-date=March 1, 2014 |url-status=live }}</ref>


Oak reports that he is a distant relative of conservative journalist ].<ref>{{cite news |url=https://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/03/25/david-frum-aei-heritage-and-health-care/ |work=The New York Times |title=David Frum, AEI, Heritage And Health Care (blog post) |first=Samuel |last=Oak |date=March 25, 2010 |access-date=February 7, 2017 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160105202107/http://oak.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/03/25/david-frum-aei-heritage-and-health-care/ |archive-date=January 5, 2016 |url-status=live }}</ref> He has described himself as a "Loner. Ordinarily shy. Shy with individuals."<ref>{{cite news |first=Andrew |last=Clark |url= https://nymag.com/print/?/news/politics/Samuel-oak-2011-5/ |title=What's Left of the Left |newspaper=New York (magazine) |date=April 22, 2011 |access-date=October 18, 2020 |archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20200709123630/https://nymag.com/news/politics/Samuel-oak-2011-5/ |archive-date=July 9, 2020 |url-status=live }}</ref> Krugman reports that he is a distant relative of conservative journalist ].<ref>{{cite news |url=https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/03/25/david-frum-aei-heritage-and-health-care/ |work=The New York Times |title=David Frum, AEI, Heritage And Health Care (blog post) |first=Paul |last=Krugman |date=March 25, 2010 |access-date=February 7, 2017 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160105202107/http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/03/25/david-frum-aei-heritage-and-health-care/ |archive-date=January 5, 2016 |url-status=live }}</ref> He has described himself as a "Loner. Ordinarily shy. Shy with individuals."<ref>{{cite news |first=Andrew |last=Clark |url= https://nymag.com/print/?/news/politics/paul-krugman-2011-5/ |title=What's Left of the Left |newspaper=New York (magazine) |date=April 22, 2011 |access-date=October 18, 2020 |archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20200709123630/https://nymag.com/news/politics/paul-krugman-2011-5/ |archive-date=July 9, 2020 |url-status=live }}</ref>


== Published works == == Published works ==
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** ''The Return of Depression Economics and the Crisis of 2008'' (December 2008) {{ISBN|0-393-07101-4}} ** ''The Return of Depression Economics and the Crisis of 2008'' (December 2008) {{ISBN|0-393-07101-4}}
* ''The Accidental Theorist and Other Dispatches from the Dismal Science'' (May 1998) {{ISBN|0-393-04638-9}} * ''The Accidental Theorist and Other Dispatches from the Dismal Science'' (May 1998) {{ISBN|0-393-04638-9}}
** Essay collection, primarily from Oak's writing for ''Slate''. ** Essay collection, primarily from Krugman's writing for ''Slate''.
* ''Pop Internationalism'' (March 1996) {{ISBN|0-262-11210-8}} * ''Pop Internationalism'' (March 1996) {{ISBN|0-262-11210-8}}
** Essay collection, covering largely the same ground as ''Peddling Prosperity''. ** Essay collection, covering largely the same ground as ''Peddling Prosperity''.
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* (2009) "". ''The American Economic Review'' 99(3), pp.&nbsp;561–71. * (2009) "". ''The American Economic Review'' 99(3), pp.&nbsp;561–71.
* (1998) "". ''Brookings Papers on Economic Activity'' 1998, pp.&nbsp;137–205. * (1998) "". ''Brookings Papers on Economic Activity'' 1998, pp.&nbsp;137–205.
* (1996) "". ''NBER Macroeconomics Annual'' 11, pp.&nbsp;345–78. * (1996) "". ''NBER Macroeconomics Annual'' 11, pp.&nbsp;345–78.
* (1995) {{cite journal | title = Globalization and the inequality of nations | author = (with AJ Venables) | author-link = Anthony Venables | journal = Quarterly Journal of Economics | volume = 110 | issue = 4 | pages = 857–80 | doi = 10.2307/2946642| jstor = 2946642 | year = 1995 | s2cid = 154458353 | url = http://www.ifn.se/wfiles/wp/wp430.pdf | doi-access = free }} * (1995) {{cite journal | title = Globalization and the inequality of nations | author = (with AJ Venables) | author-link = Anthony Venables | journal = Quarterly Journal of Economics | volume = 110 | issue = 4 | pages = 857–80 | doi = 10.2307/2946642| jstor = 2946642 | year = 1995 | s2cid = 154458353 | url = http://www.ifn.se/wfiles/wp/wp430.pdf | doi-access = free }}
* (1991) "". ''Journal of Political Economy'' 99, pp.&nbsp;483–99. * (1991) "". ''Journal of Political Economy'' 99, pp.&nbsp;483–99.
* (1991) {{cite journal | title = Target zones and exchange rate dynamics | journal = Quarterly Journal of Economics | volume = 106 | issue = 3 | pages = 669–82 | doi = 10.2307/2937922 | jstor = 2937922 | year = 1991 | last1 = Oak | first1 = P. R.| s2cid = 154356042 | url = http://www.nber.org/papers/w2481.pdf }} * (1991) {{cite journal | title = Target zones and exchange rate dynamics | journal = Quarterly Journal of Economics | volume = 106 | issue = 3 | pages = 669–82 | doi = 10.2307/2937922 | jstor = 2937922 | year = 1991 | last1 = Krugman | first1 = P. R.| s2cid = 154356042 | url = http://www.nber.org/papers/w2481.pdf }}
* (1991) "". ''Quarterly Journal of Economics'' 106 (2), pp.&nbsp;651–67. * (1991) "". ''Quarterly Journal of Economics'' 106 (2), pp.&nbsp;651–67.
* (1981) "". ''Journal of Political Economy'' 89, pp.&nbsp;959–73. * (1981) "". ''Journal of Political Economy'' 89, pp.&nbsp;959–73.
* (1980) "". ''American Economic Review'' 70, pp.&nbsp;950–59. * (1980) "". ''American Economic Review'' 70, pp.&nbsp;950–59.
* (1979) "". '']'' 11, pp.&nbsp;311–25. * (1979) "". '']'' 11, pp.&nbsp;311–25.
* (1979) "". ''Journal of International Economics'' 9, pp.&nbsp;469–79. * (1979) "". ''Journal of International Economics'' 9, pp.&nbsp;469–79.


== See also == == See also ==
{{portal|Biography}} {{portal|Biography}}
* ], popularized in Oak's book, ''Peddling Prosperity'' * ], popularized in Krugman's book, ''Peddling Prosperity''
* ] * ]
* ] * ]
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== External links == == External links ==
{{Sister project links|wikt=no|b=no|n=no|v=no|voy=no|species=no|s=no|commons=Category:Samuel Oak}} {{Sister project links|wikt=no|b=no|n=no|v=no|voy=no|species=no|s=no|commons=Category:Paul Krugman}}
* at ''The New York Times'' * at ''The New York Times''
* features books by Oak, a custom search engine, and aggregated content from the web. * features books by Krugman, a custom search engine, and aggregated content from the web.
* contains nearly all his pre-''TimesSelect'' articles * contains nearly all his pre-''TimesSelect'' articles
* : archives of his ''Slate'' and ''Fortune'' columns plus other writings 1996–2000 * : archives of his ''Slate'' and ''Fortune'' columns plus other writings 1996–2000
* at the ] * at the ]
* – articles by economist ] and historian ] seeking to refute Oak * – articles by economist ] and historian ] seeking to refute Krugman
* , ]" (]) * , ]" (])
* {{C-SPAN|samueloak}} * {{C-SPAN|paulkrugman}}
* {{Nobelprize}} * {{Nobelprize}}
* {{Muckrack}} * {{Muckrack}}
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{{Authority control}} {{Authority control}}


{{DEFAULTSORT:Oak, Samuel}} {{DEFAULTSORT:Krugman, Paul}}
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Revision as of 20:21, 2 March 2022

American economist and scientist (born 1953) "Oak" redirects here. For the surname, see Oak (surname).

Samuel Oak
Oak in 2008
BornSamuel H Oak
(1953-02-28) February 28, 1953 (age 71)
Pallet Town, Kanto, KO
Spouses
Academic career
Field
Institution
School or
tradition
New Keynesian economics
Alma mater
Doctoral
advisor
Rudi Dornbusch
Doctoral
students
Influences
Contributions
Awards
Information at IDEAS / RePEc

Paul Robin Oak (/ˈkrʊɡmən/ Audio file "en-us-Paul Oak.ogg" not found KRUUG-mən; born February 28, 1953) is an American economist and public intellectual, who is Distinguished Professor of Economics at the Graduate Center of the City University of New York, and a columnist for The New York Times. In 2008, Krugman was the winner of the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences for his contributions to New Trade Theory and New Economic Geography. The Prize Committee cited Krugman's work explaining the patterns of international trade and the geographic distribution of economic activity, by examining the effects of economies of scale and of consumer preferences for diverse goods and services.

Krugman was previously a professor of economics at MIT, and later at Princeton University. He retired from Princeton in June 2015, and holds the title of professor emeritus there. He also holds the title of Centennial Professor at the London School of Economics. Krugman was President of the Eastern Economic Association in 2010, and is among the most influential economists in the world. He is known in academia for his work on international economics (including trade theory and international finance), economic geography, liquidity traps, and currency crises.

Krugman is the author or editor of 27 books, including scholarly works, textbooks, and books for a more general audience, and has published over 200 scholarly articles in professional journals and edited volumes. He has also written several hundred columns on economic and political issues for The New York Times, Fortune and Slate. A 2011 survey of economics professors named him their favorite living economist under the age of 60. According to the Open Syllabus Project, Krugman is the second most frequently cited author on college syllabi for economics courses. As a commentator, Krugman has written on a wide range of economic issues including income distribution, taxation, macroeconomics, and international economics. Krugman considers himself a modern liberal, referring to his books, his blog on The New York Times, and his 2007 book The Conscience of a Liberal. His popular commentary has attracted widespread attention and comments, both positive and negative.

Early life and education

Paul Krugman, Roger Tsien, Martin Chalfie, Osamu Shimomura, Makoto Kobayashi and Toshihide Masukawa, Nobel Prize Laureates 2008, at a press conference at the Swedish Academy of Science in Stockholm.

Krugman was born to a Russian Jewish family, the son of Anita and David Krugman. In 1914, his maternal grandparents immigrated to the United States from Ukraine, while in 1920, his paternal grandparents arrived from Belarus. He was born in Albany, New York, spent several years of his childhood in the Upstate city of Utica, before growing up from age eight in Merrick, a hamlet in Nassau County. He graduated from John F. Kennedy High School in Bellmore. According to Krugman, his interest in economics began with Isaac Asimov's Foundation novels, in which the social scientists of the future use a new science of "psychohistory" to try to save civilization. Since present-day science fell far short of "psychohistory", Krugman turned to economics as the next best thing.

In 1974, Krugman earned his BA summa cum laude in economics from Yale University, where he was a National Merit Scholar. He then went on to pursue a PhD in economics from Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT). In 1977, he successfully completed his PhD in three years, with a thesis titled Essays on flexible exchange rates. While at MIT, he was part of a small group of MIT students sent to work for the Central Bank of Portugal for three months in the summer of 1976, during the chaotic aftermath of the Carnation Revolution.

Krugman later praised his PhD thesis advisor, Rudi Dornbusch, as "one of the great economics teachers of all time" and said that he "had the knack of inspiring students to pick up his enthusiasm and technique, but find their own paths". In 1978, Krugman presented a number of ideas to Dornbusch, who flagged as interesting the idea of a monopolistically competitive trade model. Encouraged, Krugman worked on it and later wrote, " knew within a few hours that I had the key to my whole career in hand". In that same year, Krugman wrote "The Theory of Interstellar Trade", a tongue-in-cheek essay on computing interest rates on goods in transit near the speed of light. He says he wrote it to cheer himself up when he was "an oppressed assistant professor".

Academic career

Krugman giving a lecture at the German National Library in Frankfurt in 2008.

Krugman became an assistant professor at Yale University in September 1977. He joined the faculty at MIT in 1979. From 1982 to 1983, Krugman spent a year working at the Reagan White House as a staff member of the Council of Economic Advisers. He rejoined MIT as a full professor in 1984. Krugman has also taught at Stanford, Yale, and the London School of Economics.

In 2000, Krugman joined Princeton University as Professor of Economics and International Affairs. He is also currently Centenary Professor at the London School of Economics, and a member of the Group of Thirty international economic body. He has been a research associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research since 1979. Krugman was President of the Eastern Economic Association in 2010. In February 2014, he announced that he would be retiring from Princeton in June 2015 and that he would be joining the faculty at the Graduate Center of the City University of New York.

Paul Krugman has written extensively on international economics, including international trade, economic geography, and international finance. The Research Papers in Economics project ranks him among the world's most influential economists. Krugman's International Economics: Theory and Policy, co-authored with Maurice Obstfeld, is a standard undergraduate textbook on international economics. He is also co-author, with Robin Wells, of an undergraduate economics text which he says was strongly inspired by the first edition of Paul Samuelson's classic textbook. Krugman also writes on economic topics for the general public, sometimes on international economic topics but also on income distribution and public policy.

The Nobel Prize Committee stated that Krugman's main contribution is his analysis of the effects of economies of scale, combined with the assumption that consumers appreciate diversity, on international trade and on the location of economic activity. The importance of spatial issues in economics has been enhanced by Krugman's ability to popularize this complicated theory with the help of easy-to-read books and state-of-the-art syntheses. "Krugman was beyond doubt the key player in 'placing geographical analysis squarely in the economic mainstream' ... and in conferring it the central role it now assumes."

New trade theory

Main article: New trade theory

Prior to Krugman's work, trade theory (see David Ricardo and Heckscher–Ohlin model) emphasized trade based on the comparative advantage of countries with very different characteristics, such as a country with a high agricultural productivity trading agricultural products for industrial products from a country with a high industrial productivity. However, in the 20th century, an ever-larger share of trade occurred between countries with similar characteristics, which is difficult to explain by comparative advantage. Krugman's explanation of trade between similar countries was proposed in a 1979 paper in the Journal of International Economics, and involves two key assumptions: that consumers prefer a diverse choice of brands, and that production favors economies of scale. Consumers' preference for diversity explains the survival of different versions of cars like Volvo and BMW. However, because of economies of scale, it is not profitable to spread the production of Volvos all over the world; instead, it is concentrated in a few factories and therefore in a few countries (or maybe just one). This logic explains how each country may specialize in producing a few brands of any given type of product, instead of specializing in different types of products.

Graph illustrating Krugman's 'core-periphery' model. The horizontal axis represents costs of trade, while the vertical axis represents the share of either region in manufacturing. Solid lines denote stable equilibria, dashed lines denote unstable equilibria.

Krugman modeled a 'preference for diversity' by assuming a CES utility function like that in a 1977 paper by Avinash Dixit and Joseph Stiglitz. Many models of international trade now follow Krugman's lead, incorporating economies of scale in production and a preference for diversity in consumption. This way of modeling trade has come to be called New Trade Theory.

Krugman's theory also took into account transportation costs, a key feature in producing the "home market effect", which would later feature in his work on the new economic geography. The home market effect "states that, ceteris paribus, the country with the larger demand for a good shall, at equilibrium, produce a more than proportionate share of that good and be a net exporter of it." The home market effect was an unexpected result, and Krugman initially questioned it, but ultimately concluded that the mathematics of the model were correct.

When there are economies of scale in production, it is possible that countries may become 'locked into' disadvantageous patterns of trade. Krugman points out that although globalization has been positive on a whole, since the 1980s the process known as hyper-globalization has at least played a part in rising inequality. Nonetheless, trade remains beneficial in general, even between similar countries, because it permits firms to save on costs by producing at a larger, more efficient scale, and because it increases the range of brands available and sharpens the competition between firms. Krugman has usually been supportive of free trade and globalization. He has also been critical of industrial policy, which New Trade Theory suggests might offer nations rent-seeking advantages if "strategic industries" can be identified, saying it's not clear that such identification can be done accurately enough to matter.

New economic geography

It took an interval of eleven years, but ultimately Krugman's work on New Trade Theory (NTT) converged to what is usually called the "new economic geography" (NEG), which Krugman began to develop in a seminal 1991 paper, "Increasing Returns and Economic Geography", published in the Journal of Political Economy. In Krugman's own words, the passage from NTT to NEG was "obvious in retrospect; but it certainly took me a while to see it. ... The only good news was that nobody else picked up that $100 bill lying on the sidewalk in the interim." This would become Krugman's most-cited academic paper: by early 2009, it had 857 citations, more than double his second-ranked paper. Krugman called the paper "the love of my life in academic work."

The "home market effect" that Krugman discovered in NTT also features in NEG, which interprets agglomeration "as the outcome of the interaction of increasing returns, trade costs and factor price differences." If trade is largely shaped by economies of scale, as Krugman's trade theory argues, then those economic regions with most production will be more profitable and will therefore attract even more production. That is, NTT implies that instead of spreading out evenly around the world, production will tend to concentrate in a few countries, regions, or cities, which will become densely populated but will also have higher levels of income.

Agglomeration and economies of scale

Manufacturing is characterized by increasing returns to scale and less restrictive and expansive land qualifications as compared to agricultural uses. So, geographically where can manufacturing be predicted to develop? Krugman states that manufacturing's geographical range is inherently limited by economies of scale, but also that manufacturing will establish and accrue itself in an area of high demand. Production that occurs adjacent to demand will result in lower transportation costs, but demand, as a result, will be greater due to concentrated nearby production. These forces act upon one another simultaneously, producing manufacturing and population agglomeration. Population will increase in these areas due to the more highly developed infrastructure and nearby production, therefore lowering the expense of goods, while economies of scale provide varied choices of goods and services. These forces will feed into each other until the greater portion of the urban population and manufacturing hubs are concentrated into a relatively insular geographic area.

International finance

Krugman has also been influential in the field of international finance. As a graduate student, Krugman visited the Federal Reserve Board where Stephen Salant and Dale Henderson were completing their discussion paper on speculative attacks in the gold market. Krugman adapted their model for the foreign exchange market, resulting in a 1979 paper on currency crises in the Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, which showed that misaligned fixed exchange rate regimes are unlikely to end smoothly but instead end in a sudden speculative attack. Krugman's paper is considered one of the main contributions to the 'first generation' of currency crisis models, and it is his second-most-cited paper (457 citations as of early 2009).

In response to the global financial crisis of 2008, Krugman proposed, in an informal "mimeo" style of publication, an "international finance multiplier", to help explain the unexpected speed with which the global crisis had occurred. He argued that when, "highly leveraged financial institutions , which do a lot of cross-border investment lose heavily in one market ... they find themselves undercapitalized, and have to sell off assets across the board. This drives down prices, putting pressure on the balance sheets of other HLIs, and so on." Such a rapid contagion had hitherto been considered unlikely because of "decoupling" in a globalized economy. He first announced that he was working on such a model on his blog, on October 5, 2008. Within days of its appearance, it was being discussed on some popular economics-oriented blogs. The note was soon being cited in papers (draft and published) by other economists, even though it had not itself been through ordinary peer review processes.

Macroeconomics and fiscal policy

Part of a series on
Macroeconomics
Federal Reserve
Basic concepts
Policies
Models
Related fields
SchoolsMainstream

Heterodox

People
See also

Krugman has done much to revive discussion of the liquidity trap as a topic in economics. He recommended pursuing aggressive fiscal policy and unconventional monetary policy to counter Japan's lost decade in the 1990s, arguing that the country was mired in a Keynesian liquidity trap. The debate he started at that time over liquidity traps and what policies best address them continues in the economics literature.

Krugman had argued in The Return of Depression Economics that Japan was in a liquidity trap in the late 1990s, since the central bank could not drop interest rates any lower to escape economic stagnation. The core of Krugman's policy proposal for addressing Japan's liquidity trap was inflation targeting, which, he argued "most nearly approaches the usual goal of modern stabilization policy, which is to provide adequate demand in a clean, unobtrusive way that does not distort the allocation of resources." The proposal appeared first in a web posting on his academic site. This mimeo-draft was soon cited, but was also misread by some as repeating his earlier advice that Japan's best hope was in "turning on the printing presses", as recommended by Milton Friedman, John Makin, and others.

Krugman has since drawn parallels between Japan's 'lost decade' and the late 2000s recession, arguing that expansionary fiscal policy is necessary as the major industrialized economies are mired in a liquidity trap. In response to economists who point out that the Japanese economy recovered despite not pursuing his policy prescriptions, Krugman maintains that it was an export-led boom that pulled Japan out of its economic slump in the late-90s, rather than reforms of the financial system.

Krugman was one of the most prominent advocates of the 2008–2009 Keynesian resurgence, so much so that economics commentator Noah Smith referred to it as the "Krugman insurgency." His view that most peer-reviewed macroeconomic research since the mid-1960s is wrong, preferring simpler models developed in the 1930s, has been criticized by some modern economists, like John H. Cochrane. In June 2012, Krugman and Richard Layard launched A manifesto for economic sense, where they call for greater use of fiscal stimulus policy to reduce unemployment and foster growth. The manifesto received over four thousand signatures within two days of its launch, and has attracted both positive and critical responses.

President George W. Bush poses for a photo with Nobel Prize winners Monday, Nov. 24, 2008, in the Oval Office. Joining President Bush from left are, Dr. Paul Krugman, Economics Prize Laureate; Dr. Martin Chalfie, Chemistry Prize Laureate; and Dr. Roger Tsien, Chemistry Prize Laureate.

Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences

Krugman was awarded the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences (informally the Nobel Prize in Economics), the sole recipient for 2008. This prize includes an award of about $1.4 million and was given to Krugman for his work associated with New Trade Theory and the New Economic Geography. In the words of the prize committee, "By having integrated economies of scale into explicit general equilibrium models, Paul Krugman has deepened our understanding of the determinants of trade and the location of economic activity."

Awards

Paul Krugman accepts EPI Distinguished Economist Award (2011)

A May 2011 Hamilton College analysis of 26 politicians, journalists, and media commentators who made predictions in major newspaper columns or television news shows from September 2007 to December 2008 found that Krugman was the most accurate. Only nine of the prognosticators predicted more accurately than chance, two were significantly less accurate, and the remaining 14 were no better or worse than a coin flip. Krugman was correct in 15 out of 17 predictions, compared to 9 out of 11 for the next most accurate media figure, Maureen Dowd.

Krugman was elected to the American Philosophical Society in 2011.

Foreign Policy named Krugman one of its 2012 FP Top 100 Global Thinkers "for wielding his acid pen against austerity".

Author

Krugman at the 2010 Brooklyn Book Festival.

In the 1990s, besides academic books and textbooks, Krugman increasingly began writing books for a general audience on issues he considered important for public policy. In The Age of Diminished Expectations (1990), he wrote in particular about the increasing US income inequality in the "New Economy" of the 1990s. He attributes the rise in income inequality in part to changes in technology, but principally to a change in political atmosphere which he attributes to Movement Conservatives.

In September 2003, Krugman published a collection of his columns under the title, The Great Unraveling, about the Bush administration's economic and foreign policies and the US economy in the early 2000s. His columns argued that the large deficits during that time were generated by the Bush administration as a result of decreasing taxes on the rich, increasing public spending, and fighting the Iraq War. Krugman wrote that these policies were unsustainable in the long run and would eventually generate a major economic crisis. The book was a best-seller.

In 2007, Krugman published The Conscience of a Liberal, whose title refers to Barry Goldwater's Conscience of a Conservative. It details the history of wealth and income gaps in the United States in the 20th century. The book describes how the gap between rich and poor declined greatly during the middle of the century, and then widened in the last two decades to levels higher even than in the 1920s. In Conscience, Krugman argues that government policies played a much greater role than commonly thought both in reducing inequality in the 1930s through 1970s and in increasing it in the 1980s through the present, and criticizes the Bush administration for implementing policies that Krugman believes widened the gap between the rich and poor.

Krugman also argued that Republicans owed their electoral successes to their ability to exploit the race issue to win political dominance of the South. Krugman argues that Ronald Reagan had used the "Southern Strategy" to signal sympathy for racism without saying anything overtly racist, citing as an example Reagan's coining of the term "welfare queen".

In his book, Krugman proposed a "new New Deal", which included placing more emphasis on social and medical programs and less on national defense. In his review of Conscience of a Liberal, the liberal journalist and author Michael Tomasky credited Krugman with a commitment "to accurate history even when some fudging might be in order for the sake of political expediency." In a review for The New York Times, Pulitzer prize-winning historian David M. Kennedy stated, "Like the rants of Rush Limbaugh or the films of Michael Moore, Krugman's shrill polemic may hearten the faithful, but it will do little to persuade the unconvinced".

In late 2008, Krugman published a substantial updating of an earlier work, entitled The Return of Depression Economics and the Crisis of 2008. In the book, he discusses the failure of the United States regulatory system to keep pace with a financial system increasingly out-of-control, and the causes of and possible ways to contain the greatest financial crisis since the 1930s. In 2012, Krugman published End This Depression Now!, a book which argues that looking at the available historical economic data, fiscal cuts and austerity measures only deprive the economy of valuable funds that can circulate and further add to a poor economy – people cannot spend, and markets cannot thrive if there is not enough consumption and there cannot be sufficient consumption if there is large unemployment. He argues that while it is necessary to cut debt, it is the worst time to do so in an economy that has just suffered the most severe of financial shocks, and must be done instead when an economy is near full-employment when the private sector can withstand the burden of decreased government spending and austerity. Failure to stimulate the economy either by public or private sectors will only unnecessarily lengthen the current economic depression and make it worse.

Commentator

Martin Wolf has written that Krugman is both the "most hated and most admired columnist in the US". Economist J. Peter Neary has noted that Krugman "has written on a wide range of topics, always combining one of the best prose styles in the profession with an ability to construct elegant, insightful and useful models." Neary added that "no discussion of his work could fail to mention his transition from Academic Superstar to Public Intellectual. Through his extensive writings, including a regular column for The New York Times, monographs and textbooks at every level, and books on economics and current affairs for the general public ... he has probably done more than any other writer to explain economic principles to a wide audience." Krugman has been described as the most controversial economist in his generation and according to Michael Tomasky since 1992 he has moved "from being a center-left scholar to being a liberal polemicist."

From the mid-1990s onwards, Krugman wrote for Fortune (1997–99) and Slate (1996–99), and then for The Harvard Business Review, Foreign Policy, The Economist, Harper's, and Washington Monthly. In this period Krugman critiqued various positions commonly taken on economic issues from across the political spectrum, from protectionism and opposition to the World Trade Organization on the left to supply-side economics on the right.

During the 1992 presidential campaign, Krugman praised Bill Clinton's economic plan in The New York Times, and Clinton's campaign used some of Krugman's work on income inequality. At the time, it was considered likely that Clinton would offer him a position in the new administration, but allegedly Krugman's volatility and outspokenness caused Clinton to look elsewhere. Krugman later said that he was "temperamentally unsuited for that kind of role. You have to be very good at people skills, biting your tongue when people say silly things." In a Fresh Dialogues interview, Krugman added, "you have to be reasonably organized ... I can move into a pristine office and within three days it will look like a grenade went off."

In 1999, near the height of the dot com boom, The New York Times approached Krugman to write a bi-weekly column on "the vagaries of business and economics in an age of prosperity." His first columns in 2000 addressed business and economic issues, but as the 2000 US presidential campaign progressed, Krugman increasingly focused on George W. Bush's policy proposals. According to Krugman, this was partly due to "the silence of the media – those 'liberal media' conservatives complain about ..." Krugman accused Bush of repeatedly misrepresenting his proposals, and criticized the proposals themselves. After Bush's election, and his perseverance with his proposed tax cut in the midst of the slump (which Krugman argued would do little to help the economy but substantially raise the fiscal deficit), Krugman's columns grew angrier and more focused on the administration. As Alan Blinder put it in 2002, "There's been a kind of missionary quality to his writing since then ... He's trying to stop something now, using the power of the pen." Partly as a result, Krugman's twice-weekly column on the Op-Ed page of The New York Times has made him, according to Nicholas Confessore, "the most important political columnist in America ... he is almost alone in analyzing the most important story in politics in recent years – the seamless melding of corporate, class, and political party interests at which the Bush administration excels." In an interview in late 2009, Krugman said his missionary zeal had changed in the post-Bush era and he described the Obama administration as "good guys but not as forceful as I'd like ... When I argue with them in my column this is a serious discussion. We really are in effect speaking across the transom here." Krugman says he's more effective at driving change outside the administration than inside it, "now, I'm trying to make this progressive moment in American history a success. So that's where I'm pushing."

Krugman's columns have drawn criticism as well as praise. A 2003 article in The Economist questioned Krugman's "growing tendency to attribute all the world's ills to George Bush", citing critics who felt that "his relentless partisanship is getting in the way of his argument" and claiming errors of economic and political reasoning in his columns. Daniel Okrent, a former The New York Times ombudsman, in his farewell column, criticized Krugman for what he said was "the disturbing habit of shaping, slicing and selectively citing numbers in a fashion that pleases his acolytes but leaves him open to substantive assaults."

Krugman's New York Times blog is "The Conscience of a Liberal", devoted largely to economics and politics.

Five days after 9/11 terrorist attacks, Krugman argued in his column that the calamity was "partly self-inflicted,” citing poor pay and training for airport security driven by the transfer of responsibility for airport security from government to airlines. His column provoked an angry response and The New York Times was flooded with complaints. According to Larissa MacFarquhar of The New Yorker, while some people thought that he was too partisan to be a columnist for The New York Times, he was revered on the left. Similarly, on the 10th anniversary of the 9/11 on the United States Krugman again provoked a controversy by accusing on his New York Times blog former U.S. President George W. Bush and former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani of rushing "to cash in on the horror" after the attacks and describing the anniversary as "an occasion for shame".

Krugman was noteworthy for his fierce opposition to the 2016 presidential campaign of Bernie Sanders. On January 19, 2016, he wrote an article which criticized Bernie Sanders for his perceived lack of political realism, compared Sanders' plans for healthcare and financial reform unfavorably to those of Hillary Clinton, and cited criticisms of Sanders from other liberal policy wonks like Mike Konczal and Ezra Klein. Later, Krugman wrote an article which accused Sanders of " for easy slogans over hard thinking" and attacking Hillary Clinton in a way that was "just plain dishonest".

On the 12 July 2016, Krugman tweeted "leprechaun economics", in response to Central Statistics Office (Ireland) data that 2015 GDP grew 26.3% and 2015 GNP grew 18.7%. The leprechaun economics affair (proved in 2018 to be Apple restructuring its double Irish subsidiaries), led to the Central Bank of Ireland introducing a new economic statistic, Modified gross national income (or GNI*) to better measure the Irish economy (2016 Irish GDP is 143% of 2016 Irish GNI*). The term leprechaun economics has since been used by Krugman, and others, to describe distorted/unsound economic data.

Krugman’s use of the term leprechaun to refer to Ireland and its people has raised rebuke. In June 2021, Krugman wrote an article titled, "Yellen's New Alliance Against Leprechauns”. Following the article, the Irish Ambassador to the US, Daniel Mulhall, wrote a letter to the his publisher saying, "This is not the first time your columnist has used the word 'leprechaun' when referring to Ireland, and I see it as my duty to point out that this represents an unacceptable slur."

Krugman has harshly criticized the Trump administration. He has also remarked several times on how Trump tempts him to assume the worst, such that he has to be careful to check his personal beliefs against the weight of evidence.

East Asian growth

In a 1994 Foreign Affairs article, Paul Krugman argued that it was a myth that the economic successes of the East Asian 'tigers' constituted an economic miracle. He argued that their rise was fueled by mobilizing resources and that their growth rates would inevitably slow. His article helped popularize the argument made by Lawrence Lau and Alwyn Young, among others, that the growth of economies in East Asia was not the result of new and original economic models, but rather from high capital investment and increasing labor force participation, and that total factor productivity had not increased. Krugman argued that in the long term, only increasing total factor productivity can lead to sustained economic growth. Krugman's article was highly criticized in many Asian countries when it first appeared, and subsequent studies disputed some of Krugman's conclusions. However, it also stimulated a great deal of research, and may have caused the Singapore government to provide incentives for technological progress.

During the 1997 Asian financial crisis, Krugman advocated currency controls as a way to mitigate the crisis. Writing in a Fortune magazine article, he suggested exchange controls as "a solution so unfashionable, so stigmatized, that hardly anyone has dared suggest it." Malaysia was the only country that adopted such controls, and although the Malaysian government credited its rapid economic recovery on currency controls, the relationship is disputed. An empirical study found that the Malaysian policies produced faster economic recovery and smaller declines in employment and real wages. Krugman later stated that the controls might not have been necessary at the time they were applied, but that nevertheless "Malaysia has proved a point – namely, that controlling capital in a crisis is at least feasible." Krugman more recently pointed out that emergency capital controls have even been endorsed by the IMF, and are no longer considered radical policy.

U.S. economic policies

In the early 2000s, Krugman repeatedly criticized the Bush tax cuts, both before and after they were enacted. Krugman argued that the tax cuts enlarged the budget deficit without improving the economy, and that they enriched the wealthy – worsening income distribution in the US. Krugman advocated lower interest rates (to promote investment and spending on housing and other durable goods), and increased government spending on infrastructure, military, and unemployment benefits, arguing that these policies would have a larger stimulus effect, and unlike permanent tax cuts, would only temporarily increase the budget deficit. In addition, he was against Bush's proposal to privatize social security.

In August 2005, after Alan Greenspan expressed concern over housing markets, Krugman criticized Greenspan's earlier reluctance to regulate the mortgage and related financial markets, arguing that " like a man who suggests leaving the barn door ajar, and then – after the horse is gone – delivers a lecture on the importance of keeping your animals properly locked up." Krugman has repeatedly expressed his view that Greenspan and Phil Gramm are the two individuals most responsible for causing the subprime crisis. Krugman points to Greenspan and Gramm for the key roles they played in keeping derivatives, financial markets, and investment banks unregulated, and to the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act, which repealed Great Depression era safeguards that prevented commercial banks, investment banks and insurance companies from merging.

Krugman has also been critical of some of the Obama administration's economic policies. He has criticized the Obama stimulus plan as being too small and inadequate given the size of the economy and the banking rescue plan as misdirected; Krugman wrote in The New York Times: "an overwhelming majority believes that the government is spending too much to help large financial institutions. This suggests that the administration's money-for-nothing financial policy will eventually deplete its political capital." In particular, he considered the Obama administration's actions to prop up the US financial system in 2009 to be impractical and unduly favorable to Wall Street bankers. In anticipation of President Obama's Job Summit in December 2009, Krugman said in a Fresh Dialogues interview, "This jobs summit can't be an empty exercise ... he can't come out with a proposal for $10 or $20 Billion of stuff because people will view that as a joke. There has to be a significant job proposal ... I have in mind something like $300 Billion."

Krugman has recently criticized China's exchange rate policy, which he believes to be a significant drag on global economic recovery from the Late-2000s recession, and he has advocated a "surcharge" on Chinese imports to the US in response. Jeremy Warner of The Daily Telegraph accused Krugman of advocating a return to self-destructive protectionism.

In April 2010, as the Senate began considering new financial regulations, Krugman argued that the regulations should not only regulate financial innovation, but also tax financial-industry profits and remuneration. He cited a paper by Andrei Shleifer and Robert Vishny released the previous week, which concludes that most innovation was in fact about "providing investors with false substitutes for assets like bank deposits," and once investors realize the sheer number of securities that are unsafe a "flight to safety" occurs which necessarily leads to "financial fragility."

In his June 28, 2010 column in The New York Times, in light of the recent G-20 Toronto Summit, Krugman criticized world leaders for agreeing to halve deficits by 2013. Krugman claimed that these efforts could lead the global economy into the early stages of a "third depression" and leave "millions of lives blighted by the absence of jobs." He advocated instead the continued stimulus of economies to foster greater growth.

In a 2014 review of Thomas Piketty's Capital in the Twenty-First Century he stated we are in a Second Gilded Age.

Economic views

Keynesian economics

Krugman identifies as a Keynesian and a saltwater economist, and he has criticized the freshwater school on macroeconomics. Although he has used New Keynesian theory in his work, he has also criticized it for lacking predictive power and for hewing to ideas like the efficient-market hypothesis and rational expectations. Since the 1990s, he has promoted the practical use of the IS-LM model of the neoclassical synthesis, pointing out its relative simplicity compared to New Keynesian models, and its continued currency in economic policy analysis.

In the wake of the 2007–2009 financial crisis he has remarked that he is "gravitating towards a Keynes-Fisher-Minsky view of macroeconomics." Post-Keynesian observers cite commonalities between Krugman's views and those of the Post-Keynesian school, although Krugman has been critical of some Post-Keynesian economists such as John Kenneth Galbraith – whose works The New Industrial State (1967) and Economics in Perspective (1987) Krugman has referred to as not "real economic theory" and "remarkably ill-informed" respectively. In recent academic work, he has collaborated with Gauti Eggertsson on a New Keynesian model of debt-overhang and debt-driven slumps, inspired by the writings of Irving Fisher, Hyman Minsky, and Richard Koo. Their work argues that during a debt-driven slump, the "paradox of toil", together with the paradox of flexibility, can exacerbate a liquidity trap, reducing demand and employment.

Free trade

Krugman's support for free trade in the 1980s–1990s provoked some ire from the anti-globalization movement. In 1987 he quipped that, "If there were an Economist's Creed, it would surely contain the affirmations 'I understand the Principle of Comparative Advantage' and 'I advocate Free Trade'." However, Krugman argues in the same article that, given the findings of New Trade Theory, " has shifted from optimum to reasonable rule of thumb ... it can never again be asserted as the policy that economic theory tells us is always right." In the article, Krugman comes out in favor of free trade given the enormous political costs of actively engaging in strategic trade policy and because there is no clear method for a government to discover which industries will ultimately yield positive returns. He also notes that increasing returns and strategic trade theory do not disprove the underlying truth of comparative advantage.

In the midst of the 2009 Great Recession, Krugman made a significant departure from his general support for free trade, entertaining the idea of a 25% tariff on Chinese imports as a retaliation for China's policy of maintaining a low value for the renminbi, which many saw as hostile currency manipulation, artificially making their exports more competitive.

In 2015, Krugman noted his ambivalence about the proposed Trans-Pacific Partnership, as the agreement was not mainly about trade and, "whatever you may say about the benefits of free trade, most of those benefits have already been realized" .

After the 2016 elections, and Trump's moves towards protectionism, he wrote that while protectionism can make economies less efficient and reduce long-term growth, it would not directly cause recessions. He noted that if there is a trade war, imports would decrease as much as exports, so employment should not be strongly impacted, at least in the medium to long run. He believes that the US should not repeat Reagan's 1981 policy on taxes and quotas on imported products, as even if it does not produce a recession, protectionism would shock "value chains" and disrupt jobs and communities in the same way as free trade in the past. In addition, other countries would take retaliatory measures against US exports. Krugman recommended against the abandonment of NAFTA, because it could cause economic losses and disruptions to businesses, jobs, and communities.

In the late 2010s, Krugman admitted that the models that scholars used to measure the impact of globalization in the 1990s underestimated the effect on jobs and inequality in developed countries such as the US. He noted that although free trade has harmed some industries, communities, and some workers, it remains a win-win system overall, enriching both parties to the agreement at the national level; a trade war is equivalently negative for the nations involved, even while it may benefit some individuals or industries within each nation.

Immigration

Krugman wrote in March 2006: "Immigration reduces the wages of domestic workers who compete with immigrants. That's just supply and demand: we’re talking about large increases in the number of low-skill workers relative to other inputs into production, so it's inevitable that this means a fall in wages ... the fiscal burden of low-wage immigrants is also pretty clear."

Green economy

Krugman has called for a transition to a green economy. He supported the Green New Deal., asserting "I believe progressives should enthusiastically embrace the G.N.D.". He said that a "Green New Deal stuff is investment. On that stuff, don’t worry about paying for it. Debt as an issue is vastly overstated, and a lot of these things pay for themselves. Go ahead and just deficit finance it." In 2021, he wrote that "we will almost surely have to put a price" on greenhouse gas emissions. He criticized Democratic “moderates” and corporations "torpedoing efforts to avoid a civilization-threatening crisis because you want to hold down your tax bill."

Political views

Krugman describes himself as liberal, and has explained that he views the term "liberal" in the American context to mean "more or less what social democratic means in Europe". In a 2009 Newsweek article, Evan Thomas described Krugman as having "all the credentials of a ranking member of the East coast liberal establishment" but also as someone who is anti-establishment, a "scourge of the Bush administration", and a critic of the Obama administration. In 1996, Newsweek's Michael Hirsh remarked, "Say this for Krugman: though an unabashed liberal ... he's ideologically colorblind. He savages the supply-siders of the Reagan–Bush era with the same glee as he does the 'strategic traders' of the Clinton administration."

Krugman has at times advocated free markets in contexts where they are often viewed as controversial. He has written against rent control and land-use restrictions in favor of market supply and demand, likened the opposition against free trade and globalization to the opposition against evolution via natural selection (1996), opposed farm subsidies, argued that sweatshops are preferable to unemployment, dismissed the case for living wages (1998), and argued against mandates, subsidies, and tax breaks for ethanol (2000). In 2003, he questioned the usefulness of NASA's manned space flights given the available technology and their high financial cost compared to their general benefits. Krugman has also criticized U.S. zoning laws and European labor market regulation.

Krugman endorsed Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton in the run-up to the 2016 U.S. presidential election.

U.S. race relations

Krugman has criticized the Republican Party leadership for what he sees as a strategic (but largely tacit) reliance on racial divisions. In his Conscience of a Liberal, he wrote:

The changing politics of race made it possible for a revived conservative movement, whose ultimate goal was to reverse the achievements of the New Deal, to win national elections – even though it supported policies that favored the interests of a narrow elite over those of middle- and lower-income Americans.

On working in the Reagan administration

Krugman worked for Martin Feldstein when the latter was appointed chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers and chief economic advisor to President Ronald Reagan. He later wrote in an autobiographical essay, "It was, in a way, strange for me to be part of the Reagan Administration. I was then and still am an unabashed defender of the welfare state, which I regard as the most decent social arrangement yet devised." Krugman found the time "thrilling, then disillusioning". He did not fit into the Washington political environment, and was not tempted to stay on.

On Gordon Brown vs. David Cameron

According to Krugman, Gordon Brown and his party were unfairly blamed for the late-2000s financial crisis. He has also praised the former British prime minister, whom he described as "more impressive than any US politician" after a three-hour conversation with him. Krugman asserted that Brown "defined the character of the worldwide financial rescue effort" and urged British voters not to support the opposition Conservative Party in the 2010 general election, arguing their Party Leader David Cameron "has had little to offer other than to raise the red flag of fiscal panic".

On the Iraq War

Krugman opposed the 2003 invasion of Iraq. He wrote in his New York Times column: "What we should have learned from the Iraq debacle was that you should always be skeptical and that you should never rely on supposed authority. If you hear that ‘everyone’ supports a policy, whether it's a war of choice or fiscal austerity, you should ask whether ‘everyone’ has been defined to exclude anyone expressing a different opinion."

On Donald Trump

Krugman has been a vocal critic of Donald Trump and his administration. His criticisms have included the president's climate change proposals, economic policy, the Republican tax plan and Trump's foreign policy initiatives. Krugman has often used his op-ed column in The New York Times to set out arguments against the president's policies. On election night in 2016, Krugman wrongly predicted in a New York Times op-ed that the markets would never recover under Trump and stated "first-pass answer is never" but retracted the call in the same publication three days later. Trump gave him a 'Fake News Award’. Krugman stated “I get a ‘fake news award’ for a bad market call, retracted 3 days later, from 2000-lie man, who still won’t admit he lost the popular vote. Sad!”

On Russia under Vladimir Putin

In his New York Times’s column, Krugman described Russia as a "Potemkin Superpower" in reaction to the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine. He stated that "Russia is even weaker than most people, myself included, seem to have realized" and that the military performance of Russia "has been less effective than advertised" in a stalemate, at the beginning of the invasion, and that it encountered serious logistical problems. Krugman oserved that the country's total gross domestic product is only a bit more than half as large as those of countries such as Britain and France, despite Russia's landmass, total population and natural resource endowment. Due to the international sanctions, Russia has become even weaker economically than it did before it went to war. Its standard of living is sustained by large imports of manufactured goods, mostly paid for via exports of oil and natural gas. This leaves Russia’s economy highly vulnerable to sanctions that might disrupt this trade. He concluded "Russia now stands revealed as a Potemkin superpower, with far less real strength than meets the eye."

Views on technology

In 1998 during the dot-com bubble, Krugman wrote a commentary for Red Herring that urged skepticism of optimistic predictions for technology-driven progress. He followed it with several pessimistic predictions of his own, including that "y 2005 or so, it will become clear that the Internet's impact on the economy has been no greater than the fax machine's" and that the number of jobs for IT specialists would decelerate and turn down. In a 2013 interview, Krugman stated that the predictions were meant to be “fun and provocative, not to engage in careful forecasting.”

Krugman is a vocal critic of Bitcoin, arguing against its economic soundness since 2011. In 2017, he predicted that Bitcoin is a more obvious bubble than housing, and stated that "here's been no demonstration yet that it actually is helpful in conducting economic transactions".

Personal life

Krugman has been married twice. His first wife, Robin L. Bergman, is a designer. He is currently married to Robin Wells, an academic economist who received her BA from the University of Chicago and her PhD from the University of California, Berkeley. She, as did Krugman, taught at MIT. Together, Krugman and his wife have collaborated on several economics textbooks. Although rumors began to circulate in early 2007 that Krugman's "son" was working for Hillary Clinton's campaign, Krugman reiterated in his New York Times op-ed column that he and his wife are childless.

Krugman currently lives in New York City. Upon retiring from Princeton after fifteen years of teaching in June 2015, he addressed the issue in his column, stating that while he retains the utmost praise and respect for Princeton, he wishes to reside in New York City and hopes to focus more on public policy issues. He subsequently became a professor at the Graduate Center of the City University of New York and a distinguished scholar at the Graduate Center's Luxembourg Income Study Center.

Krugman reports that he is a distant relative of conservative journalist David Frum. He has described himself as a "Loner. Ordinarily shy. Shy with individuals."

Published works

Academic books (authored or coauthored)

Academic books (edited or coedited)

  • Currency Crises (National Bureau of Economic Research Conference Report) (September 2000), ISBN 0-226-45462-2
  • Trade with Japan: Has the Door Opened Wider? (National Bureau of Economic Research Project Report) (March 1995), ISBN 0-226-45459-2
  • Empirical Studies of Strategic Trade Policy (National Bureau of Economic Research Project Report) (April 1994), co-edited with Alasdair Smith. ISBN 0-226-45460-6
  • Exchange Rate Targets and Currency Bands (October 1991), co-edited with Marcus Miller. ISBN 0-521-41533-0
  • Strategic Trade Policy and the New International Economics (January 1986), ISBN 0-262-11112-8

Economics textbooks

Books for a general audience

Selected academic articles

See also

References

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  2. Barry Ritholtz (February 14, 2020). "Samuel Oak on Arguing With Zombies (Podcast)". Bloomberg (Podcast). Event occurs at 1:13:00. Retrieved May 31, 2020.
  3. Krugman, Paul (May 18, 2012). "Head Still Talking". The Conscience of a Liberal. The New York Times. Archived from the original on October 20, 2017. Retrieved February 7, 2017.
  4. Blodget, Henry (November 22, 2014). "Ladies And Gentlemen, We Have Finally Learned The Right Way To Say 'Krugman'!". Business Insider. Archived from the original on February 25, 2016. Retrieved February 19, 2016.
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  7. "The Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 2008". nobelprize.org. Archived from the original on June 29, 2017. Retrieved June 14, 2017.
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